Jordan Love has had mixed reviews in his first 2 starts to begin the post Aaron Rodgers era. The good news is Love has thrown 6 TDs and 0 INT's. The bad news is the Packers offense has gained just 583 total yards in 2 games. The 31ppg is not sustainable with those numbers, and I think there will be regression for Love as the season moves forward, especially against the best defense he will have seen in the New Orleans Saints. The Packers are also playing into a situation that is 2-21-1 ATS. Make the play on New Orleans.

This is strictly a turnover play that works against the Bears. The situation is exclusive to the Bears and is a total situation that is 33-2 ATS. Make the play UNDER the total.

The Detroit Lions opened last season 1-6 and it looked like the same old Lions. Things began to click, and confidence grew as the Lions did a quick turnaround and finished the season 8-2 in their last 10 games. They are now dealing with a rash of injuries as they have 17 players listed on the injury report. That includes some key players, as they take on a relatively healthy Atlanta team. Detroit is facing a lot of downgrades on the field, while Atlanta already 2-0 has some significant upgrades. This game including home field advantage for the Lions grades out to a pick 'em game, so there is line value on the Falcons. NFL teams off a home favorite loss prior to game 5 and not a favorite of 4 or more points are 81-143-10 ATS. NFL week 3 home favorites of 3 or fewer points and coming off a loss are a woeful 12-38-5 ATS. Make the play on Atlanta.

The Minnesota Vikings had everything go right for them last year. They won 13 games despite being out-gained and out-scored by their opponents. They won 11 games by a single possession, and the regression is underway this season. The Vikings passed on Dalvin Cook and are paying the price as they have rushed for fewer than 70 total yards through 2 games, the worst mark in the league. The Vikings have taken the opposite course as they are 0-2 with 2 one-possession losses. The Chargers may be the best of the 0-2 teams. The Vikings have turned the ball over 7 times in 2 games. Justin Herbert is 9-4 ATS in his career as a road dog with 30 TDs and just 8 INTs. The Chargers fit a very strong 103-47 ATS situation. Vikings are in an 82-128 ATS situation. I like the LA Chargers in this one.

The Sean Payton era is getting off to a slow start in Denver as the Broncos head to Miami at 0-2. The Payton offense that went through Alvin Kamara when he was in New Orleans now goes through RB Samaje Perine. His receiving success is #1 for all backs so far this season, and with Miami playing soft underneath vs. running backs I can see Denver having success moving the chains. Overall, the Dolphins have been awful against the run and I'm sure they will face a heavy dose of it Sunday. The Miami passing game has been elite throwing downfield, but this week they will be without Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle who suffered a concussion last week. DB Pat Surtain is a tougher matchup than what Tyreek Hill has seen this year, and without Waddle there should be help as well. This game also favors Denver with a 23-4 ATS situation that plays in part on game 3 teams off 2 straight spead losses to start the season. Make the play on Denver.