Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-24-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Detroit Pistons +2.5 | Top | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +2.5
Bottom Line: Plays on teams like Detroit, 42 games or more into the season, that average 98-102 ppg and are up against a team that allows 98-102 ppg has resulted in a 27-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they have combined with their opponents for 205 total points or more in 3 straight games. This system tightens up to 16-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Detroit has underachieved to this point given the level of talent it has, but it will have no problem getting up for this game considering how it was embarrassed at Golden State earlier this season. Plus, the Pistons catch a break tonight with Bogut still nursing a shoulder injury and Lee dealing with an illness. Those absences give them a huge advantage inside. Pound the Pistons. |
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02-24-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. New Orleans Pelicans +4 | 123-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pelicans +4
Bottom Line: This is a very difficult spot for the Clippers, who are playing a 3rd road game in 4 days and are in a letdown spot following a big win at Oklahoma City yesterday. The Pelicans got a much-needed day off yesterday and they'll go after this one with everything they've got to try to end a 3-game skid because they go right back out on the road for 5 consecutive games starting Wednesday. The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing without a day of rest while the Pelicans are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing with 1 day of rest. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win while the Pelicans are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. The Clippers are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in New Orleans. |
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02-23-14 | Washington Wizards +1 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 96-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +1
Bottom Line: The Wizards lost by 2 at home Feb. 7 in the most recent matchup, and that loss will have them extremely motivated here. Washington is 12-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game, winning by an average of 4.8 points in this spot. The Wizards are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record. And, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Wizards are the healthier team, and they'll be the hungrier team. Pound Washington. |
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02-22-14 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Utah Jazz +4.5 | Top | 121-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Minnesota following a blowout win over Indiana. The T-Wolves have had the last two days off while Utah played last night, but they have a big revenge game in Portland tomorrow and that makes this a tough spot for them, especially since they won easily in two previous meetings against the Jazz this season. Minnesota's tendency will certainly be to look ahead to tomorrow. The Timberwolves are 13-27 ATS in their last 40 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win of more than 10 points. Home underdogs with a losing record that are playing 5 games or less in 14 days are 48-22 ATS the last 5 seasons. Home underdogs that have failed to cover in 2 of their last 3 games and playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 68-32 ATS since 1996. Things haven't exactly gone smoothly for the T-Wolves in Utah where they have lost 7 of the last 8 meetings. The Timberwolves are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall. Pound the Jazz. |
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02-22-14 | Quinnipiac v. Niagara +4 | Top | 90-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MAAC Game of the Year on Niagara +4
Bottom Line: Right away, I love the fact that plays against February road favorites or pickems that are riding a win streak of 6 games or more has resulted in a 105-64 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system alone makes Quinnipiac fade material today. What elevates this play to Game of the Year status is the fact the Bobcats are off a big upset win at Canisius and are playing a 2nd road contest in a 3-day span. This spot has letdown written all over it for the Bobcats, who will have an extremely tough time getting up for a Niagara team they defeated by 14 in the first matchup. It's been an extremely difficult season for the Purple Eagles, but it's Senior Day (the last home game of the season) and teams tend to show up in a big way as they try to send the upperclassmen out on a high note. Quinnipiac has outscored the opposition by an average of 4.4 points on the season. That's an excellent margin through 26 games. But here's the clincher: Niagara is 6-0 ATS in home games versus good teams that outscore their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by 3.0 points on average. Pound the Purple Eagles. |
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02-22-14 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -9.5 | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Oklahoma State -9.5
Bottom Line: Expect Texas Tech to suffer a hangover following a one-point loss to Kansas. The Red Raiders nearly pulled off the shocker, largely due to better than normal three-point shooting. Unfortunately for them, they are 0-12 ATS after a game where they made 50% of their 3-point shots or better over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 13.5 points in this situation. This game is all about revenge for Marcus Smart and company. We all know what happened in the first meeting. Smart is eligible to return here, and I expect him to show the country the type of talent he truly is in this highly motivated spot. |
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02-21-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Toronto Raptors -8 | Top | 91-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Raptors -8
Bottom Line: The Cavs have rattled off 6 consecutive SU and ATS wins and they're catching nearly double digits? The books clearly expect their winning streak to come to an end tonight, and they're looking to trap the public in the process. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off an upset loss and playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 65-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Cavaliers are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record. The Raptors are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss, 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games and 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games versus a team with a losing record. The Cavs have some key guys hurt and must also try to adjust to playing with a new teammate (Spencer Hawes). Look for Toronto to take advantage. |
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02-21-14 | Harvard v. Pennsylvania +11 | Top | 83-63 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Ivy League Game of the Year on Penn +11
Bottom Line: Harvard gets caught looking ahead to tomorrow's game against Princeton, who has been its biggest rival the past few seasons. Princeton played Harvard pretty tough in the first matchup so the Crimson will be much more concerned about the Tigers than they will the Quakers, who they defeated by 30 earlier this month. Penn has been a much better team at home where it is 3-0 in conference play. Penn has also had a lot of success at home against Harvard where it has won or lost by 6 points or less in 16 straight dating back to 1998. Pound Penn. |
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02-20-14 | Houston Rockets v. Golden State Warriors -1 | Top | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BEST BET* on Warriors -1
Bottom Line: The third time will be the charm for Golden State, who has lost both previous meetings with Houston this season. A big key is that Andre Iguodala will be available to defend James Harden tonight. Iguodala missed the first two meetings. The Rockets rolled over the Lakers last night but are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bogut is likely out, which means Golden State won't have him to defend Dwight Howard. However, I look for the Warriors to take Howard out of the game by making it a track meet. Pound the Warriors. |
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02-20-14 | Western Illinois +10.5 v. Denver | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Summit League Game of the Month on Western Illinois +10.5
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points that returned just two starters and are off an upset win on the road has resulted in a 42-17 ATS record the last five seasons. Additionally, playing on underdogs of 10 points or more that are out for revenge for a same-season loss has resulted in a 45-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against an opponent that's off an upset win on the road. Western Illinois is 11-3 ATS the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more. The Leathernecks are also 9-1 ATS the last 3 season on the road versus slow-tempo teams that average 53 shots per game or less. Pound Western Illinois. |
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02-19-14 | Boston Celtics +6.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +6.5
Bottom Line: I'll grab the points with Boston considering how well it has performed on the road of late as well as the fact it will have the fresher legs. The Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing with 3 or more days' rest while the Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine to log more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Suns picked up a hard-fought OT win in Denver last night, and they have San Antonio up next so they very well could get caught looking ahead here. The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last 7 road games overall, including 4-0 ATS during this stretch versus teams like Phoenix (Miami, Portland, Golden State, LA Clippers) that have a home winning percentage greater than .600. Pound Boston. |
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02-19-14 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Fla) -3 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Week on Miami -3
Bottom Line: Notre Dame is being overvalued on the road following its first road win of the season and a stretch where it has covered in 3 of its last 4. The Fighting Irish are 0-6 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 over the last 2 seasons. They are also 0-6 ATS after playing a road game this season. Miami is 0-6 at home in conference play so it will go after this game with all it's got. Early home conference losses to VA Tech and FSU were inexcusable. However, the last 4 have come against Duke, Syracuse, Pitt and NC State. Miami is 10-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Hurricanes. |
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02-18-14 | Georgia v. Tennessee -9 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee -9
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses to Florida and Mizzou, Tennessee will be all business when it takes the floor tonight. The Vols are a perfect 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Tennessee is 6-0 ATS lifetime in home games under coach Martin after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog. The Vols were swept by Georgia last season, which only adds to their level of motivation. Pound Tennessee. |
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02-17-14 | Oklahoma State +4.5 v. Baylor | Top | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Oklahoma State +4.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Baylor following a big double-OT win over K-State. The Bears won't give Oklahoma State their full attention in the wake of Saturday's win, especially since they won by six in Stillwater and the Cowboys are struggling and don't have Marcus Smart. It's been a rough stretch for Oklahoma State, but I don't see them packing it in. They still have the possibility of achieving a winning record in conference play, and that will keep them motivated. Playing against road teams that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent and are playing with one day of rest or none has resulted in a 369-256 ATS record the last five seasons. Plus, Baylor is a soft 10-19 ATS as a home favorite of 6.0 points or less or pickem under coach Drew. Pound Oklahoma State. |
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02-16-14 | Notre Dame v. Boston College -1 | 73-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major ACC *PUNISHER* (ESPNU) on Boston College -1
Bottom Line: Boston College will go after this game with everything it has in hopes of ending a four-game skid. The Eagles lost the first meeting at Notre Dame in OT so they will enter this one believing they can win. The Fighting Irish haven't had much fight on the road where they are 0-6 this season with an average losing margin of 5.5 points. They are a poor 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 versus the ACC while the Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 versus ACC foes. Bet BC. |
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02-16-14 | SMU v. Temple +9 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Temple +9
Bottom Line: Off an ugly loss to Louisville, look for Temple to come storming back as it seeks revenge for a Feb. 6 loss at SMU. The Owls are an impressive 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. They are an even more impressive 9-1 ATS when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons, winning these contests by an average of 8.2 points. Temple lost by double digits at Cincinnati earlier this season, and then played the Bearcats to a 4-point game for an easy cover at home in the rematch. Expect a similar turn of events here as the Owls give SMU all its wants and more. Pound Temple. |
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02-15-14 | Ohio State v. Illinois +5 | 48-39 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 10 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Illinois +5
Bottom Line: I expect Ohio State to suffer a hangover following a disappointing performance at home against rival Michigan. The Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Illinois has been a tough place for Ohio State to play, and I expect the Fighting Illini to be ready. They have won the last two home meetings by 5 and 19 points. Home court has been big in the series of late with the home team going 5-1 ATS in the last 6. After back-to-back games in the role of road dog, the Illini are home where they have won 9 of 13 on the season. Plus, John Groce's squads are 11-1 ATS lifetime after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog and have won these matchups by 7.8 points on average. |
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02-15-14 | Wyoming v. San Jose State +9.5 | Top | 46-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Mountain West Game of the Year on SJSU +9.5
Bottom Line: Wyoming won't give a SJSU squad that is 0-12 in league play and that it defeated by 11 points last month its full attention in the aftermath of Tuesday's upset win over San Diego State. The Cowboys haven't been even close to the same team on the road. They are 2-7 in true road games this season with the wins coming by just 2 and 7 points. Wyoming is 1-8 ATS lifetime under coach Shyatt following a victory of 6 points or fewer. Plus, Shyatt's clubs are 1-9 ATS lifetime in road games following an upset victory. Pound the Spartans. |
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02-15-14 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State -10 | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 12 *BEST BET* on Iowa State -10
Bottom Line: After getting whacked at West Virginia Monday, Iowa State will show no mercy to a Texas Tech team it defeated by 11 points last month. The Cyclones have delivered wins of 18 and 20 points the last two times they have hosted the Red Raiders, and I expect another dominant performance here. ISU is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following a loss of more than 20 points. When oddsmakers have installed Texas Tech as a double-digit dog, it's been for good reason. The Red Raiders are 5-15 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons, including 2-10 ATS during this stretch on the road. It has lost the road battles in this set by an average of 18.7 points. Texas Tech is also a soft 2-11 ATS when out for revenge for a home loss of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, losing these battles by an average of 19.7 points. Texas Tech looks like it has something going following 3 consecutive wins in conference play. However, it is on a 2-10 ATS slide in games following 3 straight wins against conference foes. |
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02-14-14 | Arizona v. Arizona State +5.5 | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* (ESPN) on Arizona State +5.5
Bottom Line: Arizona has been far from dominant on the road this season. It is 4-1 in its last 5 road games but only one of the wins came by more than 4 points, and that was against last-place USC. Since Miller arrived, the Wildcats have been a dead fade following a home win over a conference opponent. They are 9-26 ATS under his watch in this spot. Additionally, the Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. ASU was embarrassed 91-68 at Arizona in the first matchup, and it will be extremely motivated as a result. Pound the Sun Devils. |
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02-13-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Lakers +12.5 | Top | 107-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers +12.5
Bottom Line: Playing on a team like the Lakers that is out for revenge for a road loss of 20 points or more to an opponent has resulted in a 37-13 ATS record since 1996 if they are also off an upset loss of 15 points or more. The Lakers are on an 18-6 ATS run following a blowout loss of 15 points or more while the Thunder are mired in a 6-19 ATS skid off a road win of 3 points or less. Pound LA. |
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02-13-14 | Utah v. USC +3.5 | 79-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Major Pac-12 *PUNISHER* on USC +3.5
Bottom Line: USC has struggled in conference play, but Utah shouldn't be laying this many points on the road where it is 0-6 this season. The Trojans lost by 10 to rival UCLA last game, but they are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games following a double-digit loss at home. They are also 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Bet USC. |
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02-13-14 | St John's v. Seton Hall +1.5 | Top | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Year on Seton Hall +1.5
Bottom Line: Off a big win over Creighton, I expect St. John's to suffer a letdown at Seton Hall where it has walked away a loser 8 straight times. Those 8 losses have come by 11.3 points on average. Seton Hall has had only way day to gear up for this contest, but it is 9-1 ATS under Kevin Willard in home games when playing with 1 or less days of rest, winning in this spot by an average of 16.6 points. Pound the Pirates. |
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02-12-14 | New Mexico v. Boise State -2.5 | 70-71 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
4* Major Mountain West Monster on Boise State -2.5
Bottom Line: Coach Craig Neal's boys have been a bad investment in odd scheduling spots. Playing 2 games in a week is normal, but the Lobos are 0-6 ATS under Neal when playing for the 2nd time in 8 days. They have won these games on average but only by 0.6 points. Boise State can score the basketball, which makes it the type of team New Mexico has struggled against when it hits the road. The Lobos are on a 4-14 ATS slide in road games 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams that average 77.0 ppg or more. They have lost to these teams by 9.4 points on average. |
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02-12-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +8 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Pre All-Star Break Game of the Year on 76ers +8
Bottom Line: The 76ers were completely and utterly destroyed in their last two games, and they will put forth an extraordinary effort tonight in hopes of entering the All-Star break on a positive note. Utah has won its last two games with one of those being against Miami, which clearly took the night off, and the Jazz are being hugely overvalued because of it. The Jazz have been favored just 7 times all season and never by this much, and they are 1-3 ATS when laying 3 points or more. The Jazz have also won two consecutive games just five times this season and are 0-4 following the first 4 instances. Utah is just 7-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Pound the 76ers. |
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02-12-14 | Stanford v. Washington +2.5 | Top | 60-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Washington +2.5
Bottom Line: Washington has lost 3 in a row and was beaten badly at Colorado last time out. However, it is on a 19-8 ATS run at home after a loss of 15 points or more. The Huskies are also on a 9-2 ATS run at home after playing their last 3 games on the road. Stanford won the first matchup, but coach Romar's clubs are on a 57-36 ATS run when out for revenge for a road loss. Pound Washington. |
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02-12-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Brooklyn Nets -7.5 | 89-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets -7.5
Bottom Line: Charlotte can't be trusted playing without rest. The Bobcats are just 15-38 ATS in their last 53 games when playing without a day of rest. The Bobcats kicked Dallas last night, but they are 9-22 ATS off an upset win over the last 2 seasons. Charlotte has reached the century mark in its last two games despite being one of the weaker offensive teams in the league. This bodes well for us as it is 1-9 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. |
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02-12-14 | Dallas Mavericks +9.5 v. Indiana Pacers | 81-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Mavericks +9.5
Bottom Line: This line has been inflated due to Dallas' bad showing last night, and I'll gladly take the points as its motivational level should be off the charts, especially since it was crushed by Indiana in last season's two matchups. The Mavericks are 38-14 ATS in their last 52 road games, 37-14 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS loss, 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus the Central division. Plus, the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. |
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02-12-14 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh -2 | 58-56 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Pitt -2
Bottom Line: Look for Syracuse to suffer its first loss of the season tonight. Pitt gave the Orange major problems in the first matchup, and it figures to be even more of a handful on its home floor where it is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with an 11.2-point average margin of victory. |
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02-11-14 | Atlanta Hawks +2 v. Chicago Bulls | 85-100 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Hawks +2
Bottom Line: The Hawks have had 2 days to regroup after losing a third straight, and they will be hungry to get back in the win column. They lost by 7 as a 5-point dog in Chicago last month, and now they are only catching 2 points? Part of the reason is the Bulls no longer have Deng, but the bottom line is the books clearly believe Atlanta has a much better chance to win this time around and I agree. I expect the Hawks to get this one. Chicago is coming off a lengthy road trip and is just 5-16-1 ATS in its last 22 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. The Bulls have also been a weak investment lately following any win and cover, going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. |
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02-11-14 | Dallas Mavericks v. Charlotte Bobcats +4 | Top | 89-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA-Conference Game of the Week on Bobcats +4
Bottom Line: Not only is this a fatigued spot for the Mavs, who have been playing every other day and traveling following each game since Feb. 3, but it is a definite look-ahead spot with Indiana tomorrow. The Mavs have already defeated the Bobcats this season so they will be much more interested in tomorrow night's contest against a team that blasted them twice last season. The Bobcats have had the last 2 days off, and they had 3 days off prior to that so they will be very fresh. The Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Charlotte lost by 4 at home to San Antonio last game, but it is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following a loss. It's also 18-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Pound the Bobcats. |
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02-11-14 | Florida v. Tennessee +2 | Top | 67-58 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee +2
Bottom Line: The beating the Volunteers received at Florida only helps our cause as they will be that much more motivated. I'm not sure they needed any added motivation because they are 7-1 in their last 8 home games against the Gators, but the revenge factor certainly applies given that the Vols are on a 13-2 ATS run when looking for revenge for a road loss to an opponent. They haven't just won these games, they've won them by an average of 11.1 points. Plus, Tennessee is on a 17-4 ATS run as a home dog of 3 points or fewer or pickem, winning in this spot by an average of 4.4 points. Pound Tennessee. |
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02-10-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Detroit Pistons +4 | Top | 100-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +4
Bottom Line: There is a good amount of history on our side considering February underdogs of 3.5-9.5 points that are off a home win are 72-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Pistons are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last 4 home games with all 4 wins coming by double digits. Detroit can really rebound the basketball, and that doesn't bode well for the Spurs, who are 3-13 ATS this season versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game. San Antonio has lost to these teams by 1.0 point on average. The Palace of Auburn Hills hasn't treated the Spurs well lately. They are just 3-3 in their last 6 meetings there with 2 of the wins coming by only 4 points. Pound the Pistons. |
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02-10-14 | Iowa State v. West Virginia +2.5 | Top | 77-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on West Virginia +2.5
Bottom Line: Iowa State is 0-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games under coach Fred Hoiberg, losing by an average of 1.9 points in this spot. This trend shows the way high point output causes oddsmakers to overvalue teams. Teams like WVU that pack in it defensively don't force as many turnovers, but they also don't give up as many easy buckets on fly-by's and overplays. Iowa State is on a 0-6 ATS skid in conference play versus teams that force 14 turnovers per game or less. It has lost to these teams by an average of 0.2 points. Additionally, the Cyclones are 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons following 2 or more consecutive overs, losing these contests by an average 0.9 points. Pound the Mountaineers. |
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02-09-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +15 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 78-123 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +15
Bottom Line: I think the return of Chris Paul puts a momentary hitch in LA's giddy-up. It will take Paul a little time to get back in the swing of things, and it will take the team a little time to adjust to playing with him again. For LA, this game won't be about seeing how badly they can beat the 76ers, it will be about getting adjusted to playing together again. This gives Philly an excellent opportunity to cover this big number. Playing against home favorites of 10 or more points has resulted in a 61-28 ATS record since 1996 if they are off a home games where both they are their opponent cracked the century mark and if they are playing 8 games or more in a 14-day span. Pound the 76ers. |
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02-09-14 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Brooklyn Nets -5 | 81-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets -5
Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs of 3.5-9.5 points 42 games or more into the schedule has resulted in a 60-28 ATS record since 1996 if they have a 45.5-47.5% field goal percentage and are facing a team that allows opponents to shoot 45.5-47.5% and if they average 14.5 turnovers per game or fewer and are up against a team that forces an average of 14.5-16.5 turnovers per game. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 5.6 points on average and have lost by 8.9 points on average. This system is 8-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Bet the Nets. |
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02-09-14 | Illinois State v. Loyola-Chicago +1 | Top | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Loyola-Chi +1
Bottom Line: Loyola is a perfect 4-0 ATS this season as a home underdog. The Ramblers are also on a 4-0 ATS run when matched up against a team that has a winning record. The Redbirds are 1-5 both SU and ATS in their last 6 road games. Loyola lost the first matchup on the road, but I expect it to have its revenge at home. Pound the Ramblers. |
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02-08-14 | Wichita State v. Northern Iowa +7 | 82-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
4* Major MVC *SUREFIRE* on Northern Iowa +7
Bottom Line: Northern Iowa is a tough place to play. The Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings with the Panthers winning last season's home meeting by 5 points. Look for Northern Iowa to take the Shockers down to the wire. |
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02-08-14 | Miami Heat v. Utah Jazz +9.5 | 89-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Jazz +9.5
Bottom Line: The Heat are off a big win over the Clippers, and that plays majorly in our favor as Miami is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games following a SU win and 6-20 ATS in its last 26 games following an ATS win. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. |
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02-08-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Phoenix Suns -2 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Suns -2
Bottom Line: The Warriors haven't shown they can be trusted to string consecutive covers together, let alone wins lately. The Warriors are just 7-15 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season, including 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. The Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. The Suns were blown out at Houston last game but are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Phoenix. |
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02-08-14 | St. Louis v. La Salle +4.5 | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major Atlantic-10 *SUREFIRE* on La Salle +4.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to go against the Billikens. They are off a dominant 65-49 win at St. Joseph's but are 0-4 ATS following a cover and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. The underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. We'll grab the points. |
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02-08-14 | Florida State v. Maryland -3.5 | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major ACC Game of the Week on Maryland -3.5
Bottom Line: Florida State is 0-5 ATS in its last five games versus a team with a winning record. Maryland has been outstanding in bounce back spots, going 22-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses under Turgeon. The Noles have the Terps a beatdown in Tallahassee so Maryland will be extremely focused today. |
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02-08-14 | Michigan v. Iowa -4.5 | Top | 67-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Year on Iowa -4.5
Bottom Line: Michigan is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing their 3rd game in a week over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 8.8 points in this spot. The Wolverines are also 0-6 ATS in road games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons. Iowa does an excellent job on the glass, which is a very positive sign. The Hawkeyes are 9-0 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average of 9.5 points in this spot. Pound Iowa. |
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02-08-14 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State +13.5 | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* on Mississippi State +13.5
Bottom Line: Kentucky hasn't been a good bet on the road where it is on a 4-13 ATS skid in lined road games. The Wildcats are 0-7 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 2 seasons, 0-6 ATS in road games off 2 straight wins against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons, 0-7 ATS in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS in road games after a game forcing opponent to commit only 8 turnovers or less over the last 2 seasons. |
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02-07-14 | Utah Jazz +9.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | 81-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Major Western Conference *SUREFIRE* on Jazz +9.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz were embarrassed at home by Toronto last time out, but they've had 3 days to put that one behind them. Besides, lopsided losses have been a good motivator for Utah, which is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points. While the Mavs have been a covering machine on the road, they are a soft 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games. Plus, Dallas has had its issues with Utah, going 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. |
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02-07-14 | UNC-Charlotte v. Tulane +3.5 | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA *SUREFIRE* on Tulane +3.5
Bottom Line: Charlotte got off to slow starts in its last two games but managed to turn it on in the second half against a pair of inferior teams at home. These recent results don't bode well for the 49ers as they are 0-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 16.0 points in these contests. The 49ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win, period, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. I think they'll be much more concerned with Sunday's showdown at So. Miss than they will a Tulane squad that was just blown out by the Golden Eagles. The Green Wave are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Grab the points as Tulane bounces back strong. |
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02-07-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Cavs +8.5
Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to Cleveland's embarrassing loss to the short-handed Lakers. The Cavs have lost 6 in a row and the firing GM Chris Grant sends a message to the coaching staff as well as the players. I believe the Cleveland organization will collectively respond as they look to save a little face. The Wizards are 0-5 ATS this season when favored by 8 or more points and have lost 4 of these games SU. The Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Eastern Conference teams. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus NBA Southeast division foes and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Washington. The underdog is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Cleveland. |
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02-07-14 | Iona v. Niagara +8.5 | Top | 90-89 | Win | 102 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Niagara +8.5
Bottom Line: I'll gladly grab the points with Niagara as they have won or lost by fewer than 8.5 points in 14 of their last 15 home games against Iona. Off back-to-back to back defeats and a blowout loss in the first matchup, the Purple Eagles will be out for revenge. Iona, on the other hand, will be much more concerned about Sunday's showdown with MAAC co-leader Canisius. Pound Niagara. |
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02-06-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Golden State Warriors -8.5 | Top | 87-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -8.5
Bottom Line: Disgusted following arguably their worst game of the season, the Warriors will be ready to bury the Bulls tonight. Golden State is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. After laying an egg in back-to-back losses to New Orleans and Sacramento where they didn't reach the 80-point mark in either, the Bulls bounced back with an upset win over Phoenix. That bodes well for us as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover. Pound Golden State. |
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02-06-14 | New Mexico State v. Idaho +8.5 | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Major on Idaho +8.5
Bottom Line: This is a flat spot for New Mexico State as it hits the road for the first time since Jan. 18. The Aggies won the first meeting by 24 points so they will have a hard time getting up for this contest. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games following three or more consecutive home games and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. |
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02-06-14 | Temple +13 v. SMU | 52-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Major AAC Game of the Week on Temple +13
Bottom Line: Playing against February home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points off a home win where they scored 85 or more points has resulted in a 41-15 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. SMU is a soft 14-35 ATS in home games off a home win since 1997. Also, Temple is 10-2 ATS under head man Fran Dunphy after a loss of 15 points or more. This is a sandwich game for SMU off a big win over Memphis and with Cincy on deck. |
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02-06-14 | LSU v. Georgia +3 | Top | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Month on Georgia +3
Bottom Line: Playing against road teams, 15 games or more into the schedule, that hold opponents to 40% shooting or worse and have shot 50% or better their last two games has resulted in a 33-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons provided they are matched up against a team that holds its opponents to 40-42.5% shooting. This system is 2-0 ATS this season. The Tigers haven't been a good bet on the road where they are 0-2-2 ATS in their last four. They are 0-3-2 ATS in their last five road games versus teams with a home winning percentage above .600. The Bulldogs are on a 0-3 slide in conference play, but they are on a 7-0 ATS roll at home following 3 straight losses against conference rivals. Pound the Dawgs. |
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02-06-14 | Cleveland State v. Oakland +2.5 | 92-85 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Major on Oakland +2.5
Bottom Line: Cleveland State is being overvalued following back-to-back high scoring wins on the road. Teams coached by head man Gary Waters are just 5-16 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight since 1997. Oakland has won 8 of 10 at home this season, and I expect it to continue its strong play at home tonight. |
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02-05-14 | San Diego State v. Boise State -1.5 | 67-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Mountain West Game of the Week on Boise State -1.5
Bottom Line: San Diego State is very fortunate to still be undefeated in league play as it needed OT to win at Utah State Jan. 25. I believe it suffers its first league loss tonight against an experienced and talented Boise State squad. Boise State is 11-1 at home this season and won last season's home meeting with SDSU 69-65. The Aztecs are only 1-9 ATS the last 3 seasons when entering with covers in 3 of their last 4 games. Bet Boise State. |
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02-05-14 | Dallas Mavericks v. Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 | Top | 110-96 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Southwest Division Game of the Month on Grizzlies -2.5
Bottom Line: Playing against road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that went over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game has resulted in a 47-19 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are a winning team playing against winning team. Memphis has been a nice investment in games oddsmakers expect to be close because of how solid it is defensively. The Grizzlies are 28-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. The Grizz are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games versus a team with a winning record. Dallas has won the first two matchups of the season but both were in Dallas. The Grizzlies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games in the series with an average winning margin of 10.2 points in these contests. Pound Memphis. |
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02-05-14 | Wichita State v. Indiana State +4.5 | Top | 65-58 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MVC Game of the Month on Indiana State +4.5
Bottom Line: Playing against February road favorites or pickems after 6 or more consecutive wins has resulted in a 97-50 ATS record the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 5-0 ATS record this season. Indiana State was crushed 68-48 in the season's first matchup, but the Sycamores are 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a defeat where they were held to fewer than 60 points. They have won these contests by 6.8 points on average. Indiana State won by double-digits at Wichita State last season and played the Shockers to a 4-point game at home so they are very capable of pulling off the upset. Pound Indiana State. |
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02-04-14 | Butler v. Marquette -6.5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Marquette -6.5
Bottom Line: Marquette was kicked at St. John's last game, but the Golden Eagles have a history of bouncing back. In fact, they are 12-3 ATS following a road loss over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 11.7 points in these games. They are also 11-3 ATS off a loss to a conference foe over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 9.7 points in these games. Marquette lost the first meeting 69-57 at Butler so it will draw additional motivation from that loss. Bet Marquette. |
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02-04-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Atlanta Hawks +3.5 | Top | 89-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, and I expect them to make it 5 straight covers as they face an Indiana team they have owned at home. The Hawks are 12-0 in their last 12 regular-season home games against the Pacers, winning these by an average of 10.6 points. Plus, Atlanta should be the fresher team as it has had the last 2 days off while Indiana is playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 3rd in 4 days. The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest. I managed to get 3.5, but 3.0 is the number that is most available at the time of this report. Because of this, I felt it worth mentioning that Atlanta is 8-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average of 6.0 points. Add up these 4 trends and we have a 28-0 angle in our favor. Pound the Hawks. |
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02-03-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Utah Jazz +3.5 | 94-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Major Non-Conference *POWER PLAY* on Jazz +3.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days' rest, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the Eastern Conference and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Raptors have really struggled in Utah, having dropped 7 of their last 8 there by an average of 14.9 points. Their only win there since 2006 came in double-overtime. The Raptors are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings, including 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Utah. |
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02-03-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Denver Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are expected to have Ty Lawson back in the lineup tonight, which should give them quite a boost, but I like them in this spot regardless of whether he returns. Denver has dropped 2 straight at home after a stretch where it had won 5 of 6 at home so it will be very hungry to get back in the win column tonight. The Clippers have struggled in Denver's high altitude. The Nuggets are 25-9 in their last 34 home games in the series, including 14-4 in their last 18 and 2-0 in their last 2. Denver has also had an extra day to prepare for this game, and that only helps its cause. Pound Denver. |
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02-03-14 | Georgetown v. DePaul +5.5 | 71-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on DePaul +5.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Georgetown following Saturday's big win upset win over Michigan State. The Hoyas are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Bet DePaul. |
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02-01-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Portland Trail Blazers -7 | 103-106 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Trailblazers -7
Bottom Line: The Blazers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Raptors, including 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings at home. Their last 4 home wins in the series have all come by double digits and by an average of 13.8 points. Portland has had 3 days to let its ugly loss to Memphis fester, and I expect it to deliver an inspired performance this evening. |
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02-01-14 | Miami Heat -5 v. New York Knicks | 106-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Major *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Heat -5
Bottom Line: Playing on any team that is looking for revenge for an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 points or more and is also coming off a home loss has resulted in a 23-5 ATS record since 1996. The Heat are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. |
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02-01-14 | Milwaukee Bucks +13 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +13
Bottom Line: Milwaukee is terrible, but this is a great spot to back the Bucks catching big points against a team that rarely blows anyone out. The Grizzlies are a defensive team that plays mostly in the halfcourt, and that will especially be the case tonight with Mike Conley likely to sit this one out. The Bucks have been able to stick with teams that aren't explosive offensively. We saw them play the Grizzlies to a 77-82 game last month to earn a cover. The Grizzlies are a off a revenge win against the T-Wolves and have a big one at OKC Monday so they won't be giving Milwaukee their full focus. The Grizzlies are on a 10-24 ATS slide as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1996. Playing against February double-digit favorites that have gone under the total by 54 points or more in their last 10 games has resulted in a 27-7 ATS record since 1996. Double-digit road dogs that have lost 8 or more of their last 10 games are 47-19 ATS the last 5 seasons when they're matched up with a team that has won 8 or more of their last 10 games. Lastly, double-digit road dogs in the second half of the season off a double-digit road loss are 69-29 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Milwaukee. |
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02-01-14 | Akron v. Kent State +1.5 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Kent State +1.5
Bottom Line: Kent State has been an outstanding underdog investment at 15-5 ATS in the role the last 2 seasons, and it will have no problem getting up for this game following an ugly loss to Northern Illinois. The Golden Flashes are 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons off an upset loss, winning by an average of 2.2 points in this spot. The Golden Flashes are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being held to less than 50 points in their previous game. Akron knocked Kent State out of last season's MAC tourney and went on to make the Big Dance, and the Golden Flashes will be out for payback. |
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02-01-14 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State -8 | 75-81 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Iowa State -8
Bottom Line: ISU is an impressive 32-17 ATS in home lined games under coach Fred Hoiberg, including 25-14 ATS as a home fave or pickem and 9-2 ATS in home February games. This last trend shows that the Cyclones are taking care of business at home in the heart of Big 12 play. They have won those 11 February contests by an average of 10.4 points. |
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02-01-14 | Memphis v. SMU -2 | 72-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
4* Major AAC Game of the Week on SMU -2
Bottom Line: SMU is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite this season. The Mustangs are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus Memphis. The Mustangs got caught looking ahead to this matchup and took a bad loss to USF. Now, they'll be even hungrier as they look to end a 2-game skid in the series. |
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01-31-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Utah Jazz +5 | Top | 95-90 | Push | 0 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Western Conference Game of the Week on Jazz +5
Bottom Line: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home wins and playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 50-26 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams are losing straight up on average but only by 2.9 points. Additionally, January home dogs off a home win are 56-22 ATS the last 5 seasons (8-3 ATS this season). Also, home dogs playing 3 or less games in 10 days that failed to cover the spread last game are 75-38 ATS since 1996. Pound Utah. |
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01-31-14 | Manhattan +2.5 v. Iona | Top | 73-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MAAC Game of the Month (ESPNU) on Manhattan +2.5
Bottom Line: Iona lives and dies by the 3-point shot with 44% of its field goal attempts coming from beyond the arc this season. I expect it to die by it tonight as it goes up against a Manhattan team that defends the 3 very well, especially on the road where it has limited opponents to just 31.8%. The Jaspers are 6-0 ATS under Steve Masiello in contests 15 games or more in versus good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% of their attempts or more. Iona is a weak rebounding team, and that also puts it at a disadvantage tonight. The Jaspers are 8-0 ATS under Masiello in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game. The road team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings, and the Jaspers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iona. Pound Manhattan. |
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01-31-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Brooklyn Nets +5.5 | 120-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets +5.5
Bottom Line: Oklahoma City will be looking for revenge for a 95-93 home loss to the Nets earlier this month, but Brooklyn will be equally motivated following a 1-point loss to Toronto that snapped a 5-game win streak. Consider that playing against teams that are seeking revenge for a home defeat to an opponent has resulted in a 58-26 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that is off an upset defeat to a division foe. This system is off to a 4-1 ATS start this season. Bet the Nets. |
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01-30-14 | Purdue +12 v. Michigan | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Major Big Ten *SUREFIRE* on Purdue +12
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Michigan Wolverines following a huge win over rival Michigan State to take over sole possession of first in the Big Ten standings. The Purdue Boilermakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Boilermakers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall and 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings at Michigan. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Plays 15 games or more into the season on teams like Purdue that average 74-78 ppg has resulted in a 38-14 ATS record since 1997 if they have been held to 65 points or less in 3 straight games and are playing a team that allows 63-67 ppg. This system is 4-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. |
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01-30-14 | Pacific v. BYU -13 | Top | 78-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Week on BYU -13
Bottom Line: Fading the Pacific Tigers as a road dog of 12.5 to 15.0 points has resulted in a perfect 10-0 ATS record the last 17 years. The Tigers have lost these contests by 20.3 points on average. Backing the BYU Cougars at home against marginal winning teams (51% to 60% win rate) has resulted in a perfect 6-0 ATS record the last 2 seasons. The Cougs have won these contests by 25.2 points on average. Pound BYU. |
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01-30-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Indiana Pacers -11.5 | 102-94 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -11.5
Bottom Line: Playing home favorites that are playing their 2nd game in 5 days has resulted in a 29-10 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team playing 4th game in 5 days. Not only does Indiana have a significant advantage in terms of rest, it will be extremely determined because it was embarrassed in Phoenix last week. |
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01-30-14 | Florida Intl. v. Marshall -4 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA *BLOOD BATH* on Marshall -4
Bottom Line: Expect the FIU Golden Panthers to struggle as they step out on the road for the first time since Jan. 11. The Golden Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Marshall Thundering Herd were smacked at Louisiana Tech last game, but they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 20 points and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game. |
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01-30-14 | Florida v. Mississippi State +13.5 | 62-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* on Mississippi State +13.5
Bottom Line: The Florida Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 20 points, 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Playing against double-digit favorites off a blowout win of 20 points or more in conference play has resulted in a 70-36 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that's off a double-digit loss in conference play. |
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01-29-14 | Arizona State v. California -6 | 89-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
4* Major Pac-12 Bailout (ESPNU) on Cal -6
Bottom Line: Cal is 10-0 at home this season with an average winning margin of 19.1 points in these games. The total line is significant as it is a good indicator of what the books expect to happen. According to a total of 144, oddsmakers have Cal winning this game 75-69. Since ASU averages 76.6 ppg, clearly the books expect Cal to be able to slow the Sun Devils down with a defense that is allowing just 58.8 ppg at home. The Golden Bears are 18-3 ATS in home games when the total is 140 to 144.5 under Mike Montgomery. They have won these games by an average of 15.1 points. |
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01-29-14 | Washington Wizards +9 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Wizards +9
Bottom Line: We were on Washington +8.5 last night and watched the Wizards upset Golden State. I normally look to stay away from teams playing without rest, but the Wizards had two days off prior to last night's contest so I think they'll still have plenty left in the take to keep this one within the number. The Clippers cruised 113-97 in Washington last month but Chris Paul was huge in that game with 38 points and 12 assists. John Wall had 24 points and 12 assists and should really be able to take it to the Clippers tonight without having to expend as much energy on the defensive end against Paul. The Wizards are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. They are 21-7 ATS when out for revenge for a home loss over the last 2 seasons and 11-3 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss where they gave up 100 or more points. |
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01-29-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Sacramento Kings +5 | Top | 99-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +5
Bottom Line: The Kings have been tough at home against good teams. They have home wins over Miami and Portland and just took the Pacers to OT Friday. The numbers really show how good Sacramento has been at home against good teams. It is on a 9-0 ATS run in home games versus teams that sport winning road marks, and it is on a 5-0 ATS run at home versus teams that have a road winning percentage greater than .600. Pound Sacramento. |
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01-29-14 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee -8 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
5* SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee -8
Bottom Line: It's bounce back time for Tennessee following Saturday's embarrassing loss at Florida. The Volunteers are 12-4 ATS under coach Cuonzo Martin off a loss to a conference opponent. They are also 9-2 ATS under Martin after a double-digit defeat. Pound Tennessee. |
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01-28-14 | Washington Wizards +8.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 88-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy *BEST BET* Bailout on Wizards +8.5
Bottom Line: The Wizards will be the more focused team tonight as they look for revenge for a 112-96 home loss to Golden State earlier this month. The Wizards are 30-15 ATS under coach Wittman when out for revenge for a home loss, losing these contests by only 3.0 points on average. Washington is also on a 27-11 ATS run the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a loss where it allowed 100 points or more. It has lost these contests by only 0.7 points on average. The Wizards are off a 3-point loss at Utah, but they have had 2 days to recover from that defeat, and they are on a 23-8 ATS run in road games off a close road loss of 3 points or less. Pound the Wizards. |
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01-28-14 | Virginia v. Notre Dame +4 | Top | 68-53 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +4
Bottom Line: Home teams that average 74-78 ppg but were held to 60 points or less last game, in games that occur 15 games or more into the season, are 30-8 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that allows 63 ppg or less. Virginia has been rolling, but it's also been at home for 3 straight games. The Cavs are on a 2-10 ATS skid when they hit the road after 2 or more consecutive wins at home. Pound the Irish. |
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01-28-14 | San Antonio Spurs +1.5 v. Houston Rockets | 90-97 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
4* Major Divisional Dominator on Spurs +1.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs haven't lost consecutive games all season. They are 10-0 following their losses, winning these games by an average of 14.8 points. They will be very motivated tonight after a poor showing against the Heat Sunday. They will be even more incensed by losses to Houston in the season's first 2 matchups. Bet San Antonio. |
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01-28-14 | Boston Celtics v. New York Knicks -6 | 88-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Divisional Dominator on Knicks -6
Bottom Line: The Knicks have regained their confidence following back-to-back wins, and they'll be hungry tonight after losing the season's first 2 matchups. The Knicks were absolutely humialated 114-73 by Boston at MSG last month, and they'll be out for some serious revenge as a result. Teams playing with double revenge are 118-71 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that is off a home loss where it was held to less than 80 points. This system tightens up to 20-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, Boston is 1-10 in its last 11 road games with the losses coming by 12.6 points. |
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01-27-14 | Villanova v. Georgetown +6.5 | Top | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Georgetown +6.5
Bottom Line: Playing against January favorites that have won 80% or more of their games has resulted in a 111-82 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that has won 51% to 60% of their games. Nova is 2-10 ATS when playing a 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons and 18-33 ATS in road games after covering the number in 3 of their last 4 games since 1997. Georgetown is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home meeting against the Wildcats. Pound the Hoyas. |
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01-27-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Milwaukee Bucks +10 | Top | 114-86 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +10
Bottom Line: This is the final game of a 7-game road trip for the Clippers, and they will have played these games in an 11-day period. That's a lot of games and a lot of travel in not very many days. You better believe these Southern California are looking forward to getting out of the cold when they return home following this game. They'll be looking forward to getting off the road so much that they won't be focused on the task at hand, thinking they can beat the worst team in the NBA in their sleep. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover. They are also on a 48-73 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Home teams 42 games or more in that shoot 33-36.5% from 3-point range and average 14.5-16.5 turnover per game are 27-10 ATS the last 3 seasons when they are taking on a team that allows 33-36.5% shooting from 3-point range and forces 14.5-16.5 turnovers per game. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound the Bucks. |
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01-27-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Philadelphia 76ers +6 | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on 76ers +6
Bottom Line: The Suns won in Cleveland yesterday, but they had lost 3 straight and 4 of 5 on the road prior with the win coming by a single point. I don't think they'll have enough legs left to cover this number after playing yesterday. The 76ers have lost their last 3 home games, but 2 of those were against Miami and Oklahoma City. Nevertheless, they'll be motivated to get back in the win column. They've lost their last 2 overall and are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games following back-to-back losses. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win. |
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01-26-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Golden State Warriors -4.5 | Top | 88-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -4.5
Bottom Line: Playing favorites that are holding opponents to 43.5-45.5% shooting on the season has resulted in a 39-17 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team allowing 45.5-47.5% shooting on the season and if both teams have +3 to +5.5 average rebounding advantage per game. Teams fitting this scenario have won by an average of 8.9 points. Golden State is indeed the better defensive team, and it will be out to prove just how good it can be defensively following a stretch of 4 poor defensive efforts in 5 games. It should be able to slow down a Portland team that will be playing its 7th game in 10 days. The Blazers put up 110 and 115 points, respectively, in their last two games, but they are 1-8 ATS this season after scoring 110 points or more in 2 straight games. The Warriors have allowed their last 2 opponents to reach the century mark, but they are 8-2 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more 2 in straight games, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. Pound Golden State. |
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01-26-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Boston Celtics +4.5 | 85-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Major Divisional Dominator (ESPN) on Celtics +4.5
Bottom Line: After a really poor showing last time out versus an OKC team that was playing without Kevin Durant, I expect Boston to come storming back. The Celtics lost the first meeting in Brooklyn, and they'll be motivated to make sure the return of Pierce and Garnett doesn't go as planned. This time Boston will benefit from having Rondo on the floor. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 divisional games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 following a loss. The Celtics are also a too good to ignore 13-1 ATS in Sunday home games the last 3 seasons. The Nets are just 4-15 ATS on Sunday the last 3 seasons and 15-32-1 ATS in their last 48 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The Celtics are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 home games versus a team with a losing road record. |
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01-26-14 | Minnesota v. Nebraska +1 | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Week on Nebraska +1
Bottom Line: The Huskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. They are 17-6 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pickem since 1997 and 14-2 ATS off a loss against a conference opponent over the last 2 seasons. Nebraska beat Ohio State in its last home game and played Michigan to a 1-point game in the home contest before that. The Huskers also defeat Minnesota the last time they hosted the Gophers. Pound Nebraska. |
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01-25-14 | Washington Wizards v. Utah Jazz +1 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +1
Bottom Line: This is a rough spot for Washington, which will be playing its 2nd road games in as many nights and its 3rd game in 4 days. The Jazz have had 3 full days off so they should be the more energetic team in this one. Utah took a double-digit loss at home to Minnesota last game, but it has still won 5 of 7 at home. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Jazz are 3-0 in their last 3 versus Washington and 6-1 in their last 7 at home in the series. Pound Utah. |
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01-25-14 | Southern Mississippi v. East Carolina +8.5 | 60-46 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA Game of the Week on East Carolina +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing against a favorite that's off a win of 10 points or more over a conference opponent has resulted in a 98-60 ATS record the last 5 seasons provided they have a win percentage of 80% or higher and are playing a team with a win percentage of 51-60%. So. Miss is a soft 17-33 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams like ECU that average 77.0 ppg or more since 1997, and the Golden Eagles fall to 5-15 ATS in this situation when the game takes place 15 games or more into the season. Lastly, head coach Jeff Lebo's squads are 7-0 ATS lifetime after failing to cover in 6 or 7 of their last 8. His teams have won by an average of 5.5 points in this spot. |
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01-25-14 | Connecticut v. Rutgers +6.5 | 82-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
4* Major AAC Game of the Week on Rutgers +6.5
Bottom Line: UConn is off a blowout win over Temple, but it is 28-49 ATS in road games off a home win of 10 points or more since 1997, winning by just 3.2 points in this spot. It is also 20-40 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1997, winning by 2.3 points in this spot. The Scarlet Knights have been very competitive at home where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4. |
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01-25-14 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -11.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Year on Ole Miss -11.5
Bottom Line: Mississippi State has won two straight in the series, and that's not sitting well with rival Ole Miss. The Bulldogs won the season's first meeting by 4 points at home and they're catching double digits here? That's because they've been awful on the road, losing each of their 3 true road games this season by an average of 20 points. It's also worth mentioning that they lost by 18 at Ole Miss last season. When oddsmakers have installed Mississippi State as a double-digit dog, it's been for good reason. The Bulldogs are just 4-14 ATS under coach Ray when catching 10 points or more and have lost by an average of 21.0 points in these contests. The Bulldogs have won their last 2, but they are 0-6 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 13.2 points in this spot. Pound Ole Miss. |
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01-24-14 | Washington Wizards +4 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4
Bottom Line: Road teams like Washington that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less are 46-19 ATS the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team like Phoenix that gives up 98-102 ppg. The Wizards are 17-6 ATS under coach Wittman in road games off a home loss. They are 9-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. The Suns are on a sorry 45-74 ATS slide after 2 straight wins of 10 points or more. I think Phoenix will still be patting itself on the back after knocking off Indiana. Plus, I don't see it having an answer for John Wall. Pound Washington. |
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01-24-14 | Memphis Grizzlies +6 v. Houston Rockets | 88-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major Divisional Dominator on Grizzlies +6
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are the more rested team heading into this contest having not played since Monday. They will also be the hungrier side because they have lost the season's first two battles. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record. |
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01-24-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Boston Celtics +7.5 | 101-83 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7.5
Bottom Line: Now is the time to go against the Thunder. They've won 5 in a row SU and ATS and are coming off back-to-back huge wins over Portland and San Antonio. They are catching all kinds of hype right now and are laying too big of a number on the road as a result. OKC is 2-11 ATS under coach Brooks after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games. The Thunder have lost by 0.3 points on average in these contests. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Celtics will be very motivated here because of the embarrassing loss they took in OKC earlier this month. |
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01-24-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. New York Knicks -3.5 | 96-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks -3.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are off a big win over the Clippers but are 7-20 ATS the last 2 seasons following an upset win, losing by an average of 6.8 points in this spot. The Knicks have lost 5 in a row, but I expect them to get up for the Bobcats in this revenge spot. Charlotte won last week 108-98, but the Knicks are 28-13 ATS under coach Woodson when out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 points or more. |
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01-23-14 | Denver Nuggets +7.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7.5
Bottom Line: Portland has played over half of its games, and that sets up two strong trends tonight. Denver is 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that outscore opponents by 3.0 ppg or more. It has defeated these teams by 10.5 points on average. The Nuggets are also 8-0 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that average 103.0 ppg or more, and they have defeated these teams by an average of 7.8 points. Portland is explosive offensively, but so is Denver. I don't see a Portland team that ranks near the bottom of the NBA in scoring defense getting enough stops to cover this number, especially since it will be the more fatigued team. Denver has had 3 days of rest and is 25-9-2 ATS in its last 36 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. This is Portland's 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 7 days. Pound Denver. |
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01-23-14 | Utah v. Arizona State -4.5 | 75-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Arizona State -4.5
Bottom Line: ASU has lost its last 2, but they came on the road to Arizona and UCLA, the 2 most talented teams in the league. Now the Sun Devils are back home where they are 9-1 on the season, and I expect them to bounce back strong. Under the direction of Herb Sendek, ASU is 31-15 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference foes. This system tightens up to a very impressive 9-1 ATS is both losses were by double digits. Pound ASU. |
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01-23-14 | Florida v. Alabama +5.5 | 68-62 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* (ESPN2) on Alabama +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Florida, who has a big revenge game against Tennessee Saturday. This is a big revenge game for Alabama, who has lost 7 straight to the Gators. Alabama has been very competitive at home this season where it is 8-2 with the losses coming by just 5 and 3 points, respectively, to very good Wichita State and Xavier teams. The Gators are 1-10 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. |