Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-10-11 | Atlanta Hawks v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 189.5 | Top | 120-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Thunder/Lakers OVER 189.5
Bottom Line: After 4 straight defeats, this is a game the Lakers really want. Expect them to be very aggressive offensively in the early going to set the tone. Plus, this one figures to be very physical with plenty of fouls, so we should see quite a bit of scoring done at the foul line without the clock moving. Both teams have been unders machines this season, but odds makers have been forced to bring this line down because of it. We saw 195 total points scored in this season's previous meeting in LA and I like this one to reach 200. Bet the Over. |
|||||||
04-09-11 | Utah Jazz v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 200 | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" MASSACRE on Jazz/Spurs UNDER 200
Bottom Line: First off, the Jazz are 10-1 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 since Corbin took over. Utah is also 9-1 UNDER when playing with double revenge (2 straight losses vs. an opponent) this season. We are only seen an average of 190.3 total points scored in these games. In addition, San Antonio is 12-1 UNDER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. We are only seeing an average of 184.5 total points scored in this situation. Bet the UNDER. |
|||||||
04-08-11 | Sacramento Kings v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 203 | Top | 96-101 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" MASSACRE on Kings/Grizzlies UNDER 203
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams when the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 20 points or more - are 143-87 the last 5 seasons. Also, the Under is 5-0 in the Grizzlies' last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, 6-1 in their last 7 home games and 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bet the Under. |
|||||||
04-07-11 | Boston Celtics v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 179 | Top | 81-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy TNT Primetime Total on Celtics/Bulls UNDER 179
Bottom Line: Expect the defenses to take center stage in what will feel like a playoff game. Plays Under on all teams (CHICAGO) when the total is between 170 and 179.5 points that have won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games and 60% or more of their games on the season are 43-17 the last 5 seasons. We are only seeing an average of 171.0 total points scored in this situation. The Under is 12-3 in the Celtics' last 15 overall and 9-3 in the Bulls' last 12 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Under is also 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Chicago. Bet the Under. |
|||||||
04-06-11 | Denver Nuggets v. Dallas Mavericks -4.5 | 104-96 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Mavericks -4.5
Bottom Line: Letdown spot for the Nuggets after coming up short in a game they really wanted against division rival Oklahoma City last night. Major bounce back spot for Dallas, meanwhile, following 3 straight defeats. Plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - playing on back-to-back days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record - are 96-55 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the points. |
|||||||
04-06-11 | New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 212.5 | Top | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Week on Knicks/76ers UNDER 212.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - looking to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponents, off a road loss, are 101-51 (66.4%) since 1996. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Bet the Under as Philly brings the "D" at home, where they are only allowing 95.2 ppg this season. |
|||||||
04-05-11 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 208 | 101-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" MASSACRE on Thunder/Nuggets UNDER 208
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams when the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER), that have gone under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 71-29 since 1996, including 8-1 this season. We are only seeing an average of 198.7 total points scored in this situation. The Under is 10-3 in the Thunder's last 13 overall and 5-1 in their last 6 road games. The Under is also 13-3 in the Nuggets' last 16 overall. Take the Under. |
|||||||
04-03-11 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. New York Knicks UNDER 216 | Top | 107-123 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Knicks UNDER 216
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games and with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season - are 30-10 (75%) since 1996. We are only seeing an average of 205.4 total points scored in this situation. We'll bet the Under. |
|||||||
04-01-11 | Atlanta Hawks v. Portland Trail Blazers -2.5 | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Trail Blazers -2.5
Bottom Line: The Blazers have lost 3 times to OKC this season so they will be out for some series revenge tonight. It's extremely tough to beat any team 4 times in the same season, especially one as good as Portland. The Blazers have won their last 6 home games and are 26-10 in all home contests this season. They really "D" up at the Rose Garden, and I'm confident their defense will earn them the win and cover here. Portland is 11-2 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of its last 3 games this season. It is winning by an average score of 100.1 to 89.4 in this situation. Bet the Blazers. |
|||||||
04-01-11 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 189.5 | Top | 88-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Massacre on Bucks/Pacers UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: One of the most lucrative trends this season has been to take the Under in Milwaukee games following a game in which the Bucks finishes Over the totals. The Bucks are an awesome 20-6 UNDER after one or more consecutive overs this season, and we are only seeing an average of 182.2 total points scored in these games. Bet the Under. |
|||||||
03-31-11 | Dallas Mavericks v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 191.5 | Top | 82-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT "Total" MASSACRE on Mavs/Lakers UNDER 191.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers have been at their best defensively against the best competition. In fact, LA is 12-2 UNDER versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. We are only seeing an average of 186.2 total points scored in this situation. The Under is 9-4 in the Lakers' last 13 overall and 5-1 in the Mavericks' last 6 overall. We'll take the Under in what should be a lower scoring defensive battle. |
|||||||
03-30-11 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 212 | 116-98 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Bailout on Thunder/Suns UNDER 212
Bottom Line: Phoenix was killed on the glass by Sacramento last night, which is the biggest reason why it lost the game. Such terrible rebounding efforts have spurred on much better ones for Phoenix this season. In fact, the Suns are a perfect 9-0 UNDER after being outrebounded by 15 or more boards this season. We are only seeing an average of 196.1 total points scored in this situation. Look for Phoenix to get on the boards tonight to limit Oklahoma City's second chance opportunity. The Thunder should score less points as a result. Take the Under. |
|||||||
03-30-11 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 210 | Top | 91-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Warriors/Grizzlies UNDER 210
Bottom Line This is a rare situation we can't afford to pass up. Golden State is 20-9 UNDER in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons. If the Warriors are playing their second road contest in as many days, this trend tightens up to 16-3 UNDER! The Warriors have been a money UNDERS play on the road all season. Bet the UNDER! |
|||||||
03-29-11 | Phoenix Suns v. Sacramento Kings OVER 214 | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Massacre on Suns/Kings OVER 214
Bottom Line: After a pair of lackluster games offensively, expect the Suns to get it going tonight. Phoenix is 13-2 OVER in road games when avenging a home loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. We are seeing an average of 228.3 total points scored in this situation. Bet the Over. |
|||||||
03-28-11 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 191.5 | Top | 97-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Massacre on 76ers/Bulls UNDER 191.5
Bottom Line: Under coach Thibodeau, Chicago is 14-2 UNDER when out to avenge a road loss to an opponent. The Bulls have really tightened the screws defensively in these spots and we are only seeing an average of 179.1 total points scored in this situation as a result. Bet the UNDER. |
|||||||
03-27-11 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 192.5 | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Total Play of the Day on Blazers/Thunder Under 192.5
Bottom Line: Under coach McMillan, Portland is an awesome 10-1 UNDER in road games when checking in off a home no-cover in which they won straight up as a favorite. We are only seeing an average of 184.9 total points scored in this situation. The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams in Oklahoma City. The Under is 7-1 in the Thunder's last 8 overall and 12-3-1 in the Trail Blazers' last 16 vs. a team with a winning SU record. Bet the Under. |
|||||||
03-26-11 | New York Knicks -4 v. Charlotte Bobcats | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Knicks -4
Bottom Line: Big letdown spot for Charlotte after last night's big come from behind win over Boston. The Knicks, meanwhile, will be out for blood after enduring their 5th straight defeat yesterday. The Knicks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less and 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest. The Bobcats are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days rest. The Knicks are the much more talented team and should have their way with Charlotte tonight. |
|||||||
03-25-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trail Blazers -4 | 96-98 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Bailout on Blazers -4
Bottom Line: Without Duncan, the Spurs were able to hang with a defensively challenged Nuggets team the other night. I don't see them hanging here. Portland has won 5 straight at home against the Spurs, including a 13-point win last month. The Blazers have also covered the number in all 5 of those games, winning them by an average score of 99 to 89. Without Duncan, Portland has a big edge on the interior with Aldridge, who scored 40 points against the Spurs the last time he faced them. Expect another big game from him to lead to another comfortable win by Portland. |
|||||||
03-25-11 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Boston Celtics -13 | Top | 83-81 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics -13
Bottom Line: Motivated by a loss to Memphis last game and a loss to Charlotte last month, expect the Celtics to flex their muscles at home tonight. Boston knows how valuable the home court advantage is in the playoffs, so I don't expect it to just hand it over to the Bulls. A Boston team this motivated should have no problem taking it to a Charlotte squad that has dropped 10 of its last 12 with those 10 defeats coming by 17.5 points on average. Lay the points. |
|||||||
03-23-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Denver Nuggets -5 | Top | 112-115 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Nuggets -5
Bottom Line: San Antonio enters this match up with the best record in the NBA, however, without one of their key players with Tim Duncan nursing a bad ankle. The Nuggets have looked great at home since the Carmelo Anthony trade. They've won and covered the spread in 6-straight home games and are facing a San Antonio team who is playing in their fourth game in six days. San Antonio also comes in with just a 1-4 ATS record on the road against teams with a .600 home winning percentage or better. The Nuggets fit that description, lay the points. |
|||||||
03-23-11 | Orlando Magic v. New York Knicks +1 | 111-99 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major Wednesday *BLOOD BATH* on New York Knicks +1
Bottom Line: This is an important spot for the Knicks, who are still fighting for a better seed in the NBA playoffs. Here we have a case of a hot team (Orlando) who hits the road to face a cold home team (New York). The rub is that the Magic's record as the visiting teams is nearly identical to the Knicks' home record. Orlando has looked good of late winning three straight (though failing to cover in all three), but those games were against less talented teams. New York has dropped three straight, but two of those games were on the road and their most recent loss came to one of the top teams in the East in the Boston Celtics. Look for the Knicks to get back on track Wednesday night. |
|||||||
03-22-11 | Chicago Bulls v. Atlanta Hawks +4.5 | Top | 114-81 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT PRIMETIME PUNISHER on Hawks +4.5
Bottom Line: This is a game the Hawks really want after the 18-point loss they were handed in Chicago earlier this month, and they won't be lacking any confidence against a team they have defeated 6 straight times at home by an average of 14.0 ppg. The Hawks match up very well with the Bulls with their physical, athletic lineup, which is the main reason Chicago 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Take the points. |
|||||||
03-21-11 | Sacramento Kings v. Chicago Bulls -15.5 | Top | 92-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Monday NBA Blowout on Bulls -15.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls blew a 35-point lead and lost to the Kings at the United Center last season. That defeat, and the most recent, assures us Chicago will be in major revenge mode this evening. Chicago is a deadly 7-0 ATS in home games after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite this season. The Bulls are winning by an average of 17.3 points in this situation. Bet the Bulls. |
|||||||
03-20-11 | Detroit Pistons v. Atlanta Hawks -7 | Top | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sunday NBA Blowout on Hawks -7
Bottom Line: I fully expect the Hawks to show up today after getting their butts kicked in their last 2. The Pistons have lost 6 in a row on the road by an average of 11.0 points. They have also lost their last 5 in Atlanta, averaging just 86.0 points in those defeats. The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Expect them to take care of business in this highly motivated spot. |
|||||||
03-19-11 | Indiana Pacers v. Memphis Grizzlies -9 | Top | 78-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Grizzlies -9
Bottom Line: Indiana is in for a major letdown here following last night's big OT victory over the Bulls. Memphis, meanwhile, will be out for blood following a blowout loss to the Knicks in its last game. The a lousy 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games when playing on 0 days of rest. The 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat of more than 10 points and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus the Pacers. Lay the number. |
|||||||
03-18-11 | Charlotte Bobcats +9.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | 82-99 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA GAME OF THE NIGHT on Bobcats +9.5
Bottom Line: A double-digit defeat to Houston last game and a double-digit loss to OKC earlier this season assure us the Bobcats will be hungry when they take the floor tonight. The numbers are in our favor as well. Charlotte is 24-9 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of its last 8 games over the last 3 seasons and 20-8 ATS after being held to 80 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Also, OKC is 3-12 ATS after having won 8 or more of its last 10 games over the last 2 seasons. Odds makers are spotting the Bobcats too many tonight and we'll look to take advantage. Take the points. |
|||||||
03-16-11 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Miami Heat UNDER 202.5 | Top | 96-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Thunder/Heat UNDER 202.5
Bottom Line: This is without a doubt the strongest totals system I've come across this year. Plays Under on any team (MIAMI) after a huge blowout win by 30 or more, against an opponent that led in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half, are 34-7 since 1996, 17-2 the last 5 seasons and 1-0 this season. We have only seen an average of 185.0 total points scored in this system. Pound the Under. |
|||||||
03-15-11 | Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 85-110 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Bucks +5.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks have been a pure fade when valued as a home favorite this season. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 8-19 ATS in all games as a home favorite this season. The Hawks have also struggled in revenge spots like this. In fact, they are just 1-8 ATS in home games when out to avenge a loss to a foe this season. Milwaukee has already taken 2 of 3 from Atlanta this season and it will be lacking no motivation after the way it was pounded by Boston Sunday. Take the points. |
|||||||
03-14-11 | Orlando Magic v. Los Angeles Lakers -6 | Top | 84-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Lakers -6
Bottom Line: While winning 9 of their last 10, the Lakers have paid back the Spurs and the Mavs for previous losses this season. I expect them to have their revenge against Orlando tonight. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - avenging a loss to an opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 62-29 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this system are winning by an average of 8.9 points. In addition, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - avenging a loss in which it was held to less than 85 points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 32-10 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this profile are winning by an average of 11.7 points. Take the Lakers. |
|||||||
03-13-11 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Boston Celtics -8.5 | Top | 56-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sunday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics -8.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics are one of the best bounce back teams in the NBA at 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games following a SU loss. They have lost back-to-back games just 4 prior times this season, and they have responded to win the next game each time by an average of 16.0 points. Plus, Boston will benefit from the presence of Delonte West and Glen Davis. Both are expected back in the lineup today. Bet Boston. |
|||||||
03-12-11 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Milwaukee Bucks -2 | 74-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Bucks -2
Bottom Line: I really like the Bucks in this spot. They have had 2 full days to gear up for this one and they are playing with same season double revenge. The 76ers are primed for a letdown following a huge win over Boston last night. Plus, fatigue will be an issue for them as this is their 2nd game in as many nights and their 4th in 5 days. Philly is just 12-20 on the road this season, and I believe it runs into a buzz saw tonight. Lay the points. |
|||||||
03-11-11 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Charlotte Bobcats +4.5 | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Bobcats +4.5
Bottom Line: Portland is 1-8 ATS when it has won 4 of its last 5 games this season. It is losing by an average score of 94.7 to 89.4 in this spot. Charlotte is 22-8 ATS after losing 6 or 7 of its last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. It is winning by an average score of 94.3 to 90.2 in this spot. Off a big win over Miami, the Blazers will get caught overlooking a team they crushed last week. Take the points. |
|||||||
03-10-11 | New York Knicks v. Dallas Mavericks -5.5 | Top | 109-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Mavericks -5.5
Bottom Line: Letdown city for the Knicks after last night's buzzer-beater win over Memphis. Dallas, meanwhile, is in extreme bounce back mode after completely peeing away yesterday's contest with New Orleans. Dallas have won 16 of the last 18 games in this matchup. It is also worth noting that 14 of the Mavs' last 17 wins in this series have come by at least 6 points. With Billups ruled out, the Mavs have the huge edge at the guard spots with Rodrique Beaubois, Jason Kidd, Jason Terry and Jose Barea. Plus, Tyson Chandler and Brendan Haywood should be able to hold their own down low with Stoudemire. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the NBA Atlantic, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. the Eastern Conference. Lay the points. |
|||||||
03-09-11 | Orlando Magic -9 v. Sacramento Kings | 106-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Magic -9
Bottom Line: The Magic get Dwight Howard back from suspension tonight, and they will waste no time jumping all over a Sacramento team that upset in their first game out of the All-Star break. Orlando is 20-6 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, defeating these foes by an average of 15.7 points. Also, the Magic 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take Orlando. |
|||||||
03-09-11 | Dallas Mavericks v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 189 | 92-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/Hornets UNDER 189
Bottom Line: The Hornets only managed 77 points in their last game without Chris Paul to facilitate the offense. He won't be back in the lineup tonight, and that means the offense should continue to struggle. Plus, plays Under on all teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less, are 51-24 the last 5 seasons. We are only seeing an average of 180.1 total points scored in this situation. Lastly, the Under is 12-4 in the Hornets' last 16 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Bet the Under. |
|||||||
03-08-11 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Atlanta Hawks +5.5 | Top | 101-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA MONSTER LINE MISTAKE on Hawks +5.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are getting way too much respect from odds makers in this situation. I know they have won 7 straight out of the break, but this is a major sandwich game. LA is coming off its biggest win of the season (over San Antonio) and it will be much more concerned with 3 upcoming revenge games against Miami, Dallas and Orlando than it will a Hawks team it defeated by 24 2 weeks ago. While Atlanta won't get LA's full attention, you better believe LA will get all of Atlanta's focus. The Hawks are off consecutive losses, including an ugly loss to the Knicks. Combine that with their ugly loss at LA, and I expect this to be one of the most motivated spots for the Hawks all season. Atlanta has won 3 in a row at home against the Lakers and the last 2 wins have come by 10 and 17 points. We'll take the points. |
|||||||
03-07-11 | Oklahoma City Thunder +3 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 101-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Letdown Game of the Month on Thunder +3
Bottom Line: After coming back from 18 down to end Dallas' 8-game win streak on Zach Randolph's buzzer-beater, the Grizzlies are primed for a major letdown today. In addition, OKC wants this game badly after falling at home to Memphis last month. Randolph has been effective against the Thunder this season, but I expect a lackluster performance from him here after logging 42-plus minutes Sunday. OKC is 8-1 ATS in road games this season when looking to avenge a loss in which it allowed its opponent to score 100 or more points. The Thunder are winning these games by an average score of 100.2 to 99.3. Expect the Thunder to earn the outright win. |
|||||||
03-06-11 | Los Angeles Lakers +3 v. San Antonio Spurs | 99-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major (ABC) on Lakers +3
Bottom Line: The Lakers have been out to remind everyone following that they are the two-time defending champs. The Lakers have won 6 straight, and they will be extremely motivated here having lost the season's first 2 meetings with San Antonio. The Lakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Spurs, meanwhile, are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Plus, Friday's blowout win over the Heat won't do the Spurs any favors as they'll come into this one riding a little too high. Expect the Lakers to knock them down a notch with a win Sunday. |
|||||||
03-06-11 | Chicago Bulls v. Miami Heat -5 | Top | 87-86 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* (ABC) on Heat -5
Bottom Line: I doubt we will find a team as talented as the Heat in a more motivated spot the rest of the season. Miami has lost the season's first 2 meetings with the Bulls and it enters this contest having lost its last 3 games. Getting absolutely embarrassed by the Spurs on national TV Friday night assures us that the Heat will be extremely focused for this national TV affair. Plays on any team (MIAMI) - off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 46-22 ATS (67.6%) the last 5 seasons. Lay the points. |
|||||||
03-05-11 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Clippers -1.5 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
4* Major Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Clippers -1.5
Bottom Line: Expect Denver to finally endure a letdown against a Clippers team that is back to full strength. The Clippers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Denver has is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in its last 7 and LA is favored? Odds makers thing the Nuggets are going down, and I completely agree. |
|||||||
03-04-11 | Golden State Warriors +9.5 v. Boston Celtics | 103-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Non-Conference *Cash Cow* on Warriors +9.5
Bottom Line: Boston is getting too much respect against a Warriors team that will be lacking no motivation following the defeat the Celtics handed them out of the All-Star break. Plus, Boston will be playing with a short bench with Glen Davis and Delonte West not expected to go. Boston is a lousy 31-44 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons, including just 14-26 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points during this span. Going back three seasons, Boston is a dismal 9-23 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. Take the Warriors. |
|||||||
03-04-11 | Chicago Bulls +2 v. Orlando Magic | Top | 89-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Bulls +2
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Magic, which used a ton of energy in erasing a 24-point deficit to defeat the Heat last night. Meanwhile, this is a big bounce back spot for a Bulls team that would like to wash the sour taste of Wednesday's loss to the Hawks out of its mouth. Chicago blew a 19-point lead in that contest, which will have it even more focused this evening. Chicago has become an elite defensive team under coach Thibodeau. In fact, it is an impressive 19-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game under Thibodeau, defeating these foes by an average of 7.0 points. Chicago's defense will be the difference in this one. Bet the Bulls. |
|||||||
03-03-11 | Orlando Magic +5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 99-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake (TNT) on Magic +5
Bottom Line: The Magic have had this one circled ever since they fell at home to the Heat a month ago. They enter tonight's contest in better current form, and I fully expect them to have their revenge. Dwight Howard has taken his game to another level and that spells bad news for a Miami team that is lacking a physical post presence. The Heat are a poor 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Considering the Magic have an excellent shot to win this one outright, we'll take the points. |
|||||||
03-02-11 | Portland Trail Blazers -3 v. Sacramento Kings | 107-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Late Night Bailout on Blazers -3
Bottom Line: The Blazers will be very hungry tonight after a poor performance against Houston Tuesday. They will be further motivated by a loss to Sacramento in January. The Blazers have won 4 in a row on the road, and they have also won their last 4 in Sacramento. The Trail Blazers are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road favorite of 4.5 points or less while the Kings are 10-29-1 ATS in their last 40 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less. Also, the Trail Blazers are 26-11-1 ATS in their last 38 games when playing on 0 days rest. Lay the number. |
|||||||
03-02-11 | Phoenix Suns v. Boston Celtics OVER 199 | 103-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Suns/Celtics OVER 199
Bottom Line: Normally the Celtics would look to slow the game down on Phoenix, but Boston is a smaller team now following the trade of Perkins. Plus, Phoenix has played back-to-back overtime games and this will be its 4th road game in 6 days. Expect the C's to run with Phoenix tonight, as they believe they will have more stamina in this one. The result of an uptempo affair should be an easy Overs winner. The Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these teams in Boston. Bet the Over. |
|||||||
03-02-11 | Chicago Bulls -3.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 80-83 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Public Opinion *Power Play* on Bulls -3.5
Bottom Line: I'm confident the public has this one right. The Bulls are the better team and they are in good current form. Atlanta will be without star forward Josh Smith. Plus, the Bulls will be very motivated by the fact that the Hawks have taken it to them the last few seasons. Chicago is now the better team, and it will look to send a message. The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 18-6 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Bet the Bulls. |
|||||||
03-01-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies -1 | Top | 93-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Public Burial on Grizzlies -1
Bottom Line: Memphis has played San Antonio as tough as anyone this season, and I like the Grizzlies to get the win at home against the Spurs tonight. Memphis has now played several games without Rudy Gay and has had others step up. San Antonio, meanwhile, will struggle in its first full game without Tony Parker. Without Parker on the floor, Memphis was able to erase a huge deficit in Sunday's meeting. Plus, we saw how much the Spurs struggled last season when Parker missed significant time. The Grizz are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus their division, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take Memphis in the small chalk. |
|||||||
02-28-11 | Boston Celtics v. Utah Jazz +5 | 107-102 | Push | 0 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Jazz +5
Bottom Line: The Celtics are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. The Jazz, meanwhile, are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less. With Kirilenko, Millsap, Jefferson and Favors, the Jazz have plenty of front court depth and talent to take Boston down to the wire tonight. The Celtics don't have nearly as much size and depth up front following their trade of Kendrick Perkins, especially since Shaq and Jermaine O'Neal are yet to return from injury. Boston's bench will be even thinner tonight with Delonte West expected to be held out with an ankle injury. Look for the Jazz to get the cover in their first home game following the All-Star break. |
|||||||
02-27-11 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Oklahoma City Thunder | Top | 90-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Lakers pk
Bottom Line: With Jeff Green no longer on the roster, and with Kendrick Perkins (the guy they traded him for) not yet able to play due to injury), the Lakers should be laying several points here. I strongly feel getting them at a pick is a gift. LA already had a big advantage in the paint over the Thunder, which is the reason why OKC traded for Perkins. I expect the Lakers to take advantage of their size in this one. LA has won 11 of the last 14 in this series. Take the Lakers. |
|||||||
02-25-11 | Denver Nuggets v. Portland Trail Blazers -6.5 | Top | 106-107 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night *BLOOD BATH* on Trail Blazers -6.5
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Nuggets following last night's win over the Celtics. It is also tough to win in Portland and this is the first road game for the Nuggets following their blockbuster trade. Don't expect the road to bring the same good fortune. The this series has been dominated by the home team in terms of the point spread. In fact, the home team have covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 meetings. Also, Denver is just 11-23 ATS in the second games of a back-to-back over the last 2 seasons and 16-28 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Blazers fell by 19 at Denver earlier this month, so don't expect them to show the Nuggets any mercy tonight. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-25-11 | New Orleans Hornets v. Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5 | 95-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *Underdog Shocker* on T-Wolves +5.5
Bottom Line: The T-Wolves have given the Hornets fits this season. They won by 15 at home in December and by 12 in New Orleans earlier this month. I love their chances again tonight as the Hornets are expected to be without David West. The Hornets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Hornets are also just 5-21 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take the points. |
|||||||
02-24-11 | Boston Celtics -4.5 v. Denver Nuggets | 75-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Celtics -4.5
Bottom Line: The C's have the advantage in this one as they take on a Denver team looking to break in a whole new cast of players. Last night, we played against the Knicks, as Melo and Billups made their debuts, to earn a nice cover with the Bucks +7.5. Those two did some nice things, but it was evident that New York had some chemistry issues. That's expected in the first few games with a new team, and I believe Denver will go through it tonight. Boston's last two wins over Denver have come by 16 and 14 points. Expect the well-oiled Celtics to take advantage of the new-look Nuggets in this one. |
|||||||
02-24-11 | Miami Heat -2.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 89-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year (TNT) on Heat -2.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls have been tough to take at home this season, but this is a tough spot for them. They used a lot of energy in last night's loss to Toronto. The Bulls didn't have Noah when they defeated the Heat by 3 points last month. Miami, however, didn't have King James, and Bosh also missed the majority of that one. Motivated to avenge that loss, and with the big three intact, expect Miami to prevail this evening. Plays on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI), good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after a blowout win by 20 points or more, are an impressive 91-49 ATS since 1996. Lay the points with the Heat tonight. |
|||||||
02-23-11 | Atlanta Hawks +3 v. Phoenix Suns | 97-105 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
4* Major Non-Conference *Cash Cow* on Hawks +3
Bottom Line: Expect the Hawks to respond in a big way following last night's brutally embarrassing loss to the Lakers. The Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. Atlanta has been a solid road team all season, and it looks like a solid investment in this motivated spot. |
|||||||
02-23-11 | Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 v. New York Knicks | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Bucks +7.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are getting way too much respect tonight. We can't expect Melo and Billups to step right in and for the Knicks to be a well-oiled machine in game 1. That's unrealistic. Plus, Milwaukee has had New York's number. The Bucks are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last 8 in the series, including 4-0 SU and ATS during this stretch at New York. It also bodes well for the Bucks that they were able to get a tune up game against the T-Wolves last night. Take the points as Milwaukee has an excellent opportunity to win this one outright. |
|||||||
02-22-11 | Atlanta Hawks v. Los Angeles Lakers -7 | 80-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Lakers -7
Bottom Line: The Lakers showed fatigue and apathy prior to the All-Star break, losing their last 3 games. Their last lost came to Cleveland, which owns the NBA's worst record. With plenty of time for that embarrassing loss to fester, I expect the now rested Lakers to do something about it tonight. Kobe showed that he still has some fire by putting on a show in the All-Star game to collect yet another All-Star MVP award. I expect to see more of that fire tonight. The Lakers have won their last 4 home games against the Hawks by an average of 15.3 points. We'll lay the points with LA here. |
|||||||
02-17-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Chicago Bulls -1.5 | 99-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Punisher on Bulls -1.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls are 24-4 at home this season where they own wins over the Lakers, Celtics, Heat, Mavs and Magic. Motivated by a loss at San Antonio early in the season, expect the Bulls to add the Spurs to this list. This is the Spurs' 9th straight road game. In other words, they are very fatigued at this point and can't wait for the All-Star break. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the Bulls. |
|||||||
02-16-11 | Golden State Warriors v. Utah Jazz -5 | 107-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Jazz -5
Bottom Line: Utah has lost 4 straight home games, but I'm confident it won't lose a fifth. After all, the Jazz haven't lost 5 in a row at home in nearly 30 years. The Warriors have been playing some good ball, but keep in mind that they have been playing it at home. Golden State has only played 3 road games dating back to Jan. 9, and it lost all 3 of them. In fact, the Warriors are just 6-18 away from home this season, where they are losing by an average of 8.0 points. The Jazz have had no problem with Golden State in Utah. They have won 27 of the last 30 at home by an average score of 108-97. The Jazz fell by 1 point to Phoenix last night, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. The Warriors defeating the struggling Hornets last night, but they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Take Utah. |
|||||||
02-15-11 | Utah Jazz +4.5 v. Phoenix Suns | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Dog of the Night on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz have had 3 days to prepare following a disappointing loss to Phoenix in which they blew a double-digit halftime lead, and I expect them to do something about it this evening. Utah is a terrific 21-9 ATS following a home loss over the last 3 seasons, bouncing back to win by an average score of 103.2 to 97.7. Also, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the Jazz are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings at Phoenix. Expect Utah to have its revenge this evening. |
|||||||
02-15-11 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Chicago Bulls -9 | Top | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Bulls -9
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Bobcats playing the second game of a back-to-back on the road following a big blowout win over the Lakers. This is also a big revenge spot for the Bulls, which have dropped the first two meetings of the season with Charlotte. In fact, plays on any team (CHICAGO) looking to avenge an upset loss to an opponent in a home game in which it was favored by 7 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), are an impressive 48-21 ATS since 1996. Also, Charlotte is a dismal 5-16 ATS in its last 21 road games in the second half of the season when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). It is losing these contests by an average of 13.6 points. Bet the Bulls tonight. |
|||||||
02-14-11 | Denver Nuggets +2.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 102-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: Denver is the superior team in this matchup, and I believe it will prove it tonight. The Nuggets will be very hungry this evening after blowing a 17-point lead in a loss to Memphis Sunday. Plus, a home loss to these Rockets last Monday will have the Nuggets even more focused and motivated. Denver's defense was absolutely horrendous against the Grizzlies, but that bodes well for us tonight. In fact, the Nugs are an impressive 20-7 ATS under coach Karl following a game in which they allowed a shooting percentage of 55% or higher. The Nuggets have bounced back to win by an average score of 108.0 to 101.2 in this situation. Prior to last week's defeat, Denver had either won or lost by 2 points or less to the Rockets in 7 straight meetings. Take Denver. |
|||||||
02-14-11 | Atlanta Hawks -4.5 v. Detroit Pistons | 94-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Major on Hawks -4.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are the better team in this matchup. With rest and revenge factors in their favor, expect them to prove it this evening. An embarrassing 23-point loss at Detroit in December will be fresh on the minds of the Hawks when they take the floor tonight. History tells us this is a good thing. In fact, plays on road favorites (ATLANTA) looking to avenge an upset loss, if they are coming off a home defeat, are a rock solid 99-50 ATS since 1996. This is a second game of a back-to-back for the Pistons, and their 5th game in 7 days. This is just Atlanta's 3rd game in 7 days. Take the much more rested Hawks in this revenge spot. |
|||||||
02-13-11 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Warriors pk
Bottom Line: The Warriors are a respectable 17-11 at home this season where they have recent wins over Utah, Chicago and Denver. Following one of their worst defeats of the season at Phoenix, I expect Golden State to come storming back in its return home tonight. Consider that the Warriors are a ridiculous 22-5 ATS the last 2 seasons when coming off a road loss by 10 or more points. The Warriors are winning these games outright by an average score of 110.2 to 109.4. The Warriors have had 2 days to gear up for this one while OKC is being asked to play its 2nd game in 2 days. Look for Golden State to exploit OKC's fatigued legs by pushing the tempo here. |
|||||||
02-11-11 | Phoenix Suns v. Utah Jazz -6 | 95-83 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Bailout on Jazz -6
Bottom Line: It's sad to see a Hall of Famer like Jerry Sloan call it quits, especially in this fashion at mid-season, but I fully expect the Jazz to be sparked tonight following his exit. We have seen the way the Bobcats and Pacers were sparked by coaching changes, and I expect the same to take place in Utah. We're also playing the revenge angle tonight. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) looking to avenge a same season loss, provided the team they playing is coming off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, are 40-14 ATS since 1996. This system is an impressive 12-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Take Utah. |
|||||||
02-11-11 | Los Angeles Lakers v. New York Knicks +3.5 | Top | 113-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Punisher on Knicks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks have quietly been one of the best investments in the NBA at 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 games. They have been an insanely profitable investment when catching points. The Knicks are 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Recently, the Knicks have been money in the bank following a defeat. In fact, they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. With the Lakers still riding high after last night's win over Boston, and with New York out to avenge a loss at L.A. last month, the Knicks are in prime position to take down another giant at MSG, where they have already defeated San Antonio and Miami. Take the points. |
|||||||
02-10-11 | Golden State Warriors +6.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 88-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Warriors +6.5
Bottom Line: Motivated by 2 prior defeats to Phoenix this season, including an embarrassing performance Monday, expect the Warriors to answer the call tonight. "We played terrible, it's embarrassing," said guard Monta Ellis. That kind of disgust often fuels a great performance, and I expect no less this evening. The Warriors are 20-9 ATS versus terrible defensive teams allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, defeating these teams by an average score of 111.4 to 109.3. The Warriors are also a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Lastly, the underdog is an impressive 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Take the points. |
|||||||
02-10-11 | Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 v. Boston Celtics | 92-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
4* Major Primetime Punisher (TNT) on Lakers +2.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers have struggled against the upper echelon teams in the NBA this season, but I expect them to snap out of it tonight. Having just lost to Boston at home by double digits on Jan. 30, the Lakers will be extremely motivated. Plus, they will enter this contest with a great deal of confidence following back-to-back road wins over quality Western Conference opponents. Also, Shaq is not expected to play tonight. He gave the Celtics a nice boost off the bench on the defensive end in Boston's recent win over L.A. I have a feeling the C's will miss his presence in the paint against his former team. The Lakers are an impressive 13-2 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 102.4 to 94.2. Bet the Lakers. |
|||||||
02-09-11 | Chicago Bulls +1 v. Utah Jazz | 91-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
4* Major on Bulls +1
Bottom Line: The Bulls haven't lost 3 games in a row all season, and I don't expect this trend to come to an end here against the struggling Jazz. The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 4.5 of fewer points. The Jazz are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games, 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Look for Chicago to bounce back strong tonight. |
|||||||
02-09-11 | Los Angeles Clippers +7.5 v. New York Knicks | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Clippers +7.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are giving the Knicks way too much respect tonight. We're talking about a team that is just 4-9 in its last 13 games and a team that has lost 7 in a row to the Western Conference. These Clippers are not the same team the Knicks beat in L.A. in November. The Clipps have lost 4 in a row, but those 4 losses will have them mighty hungry tonight. Plus, it must be mentioned that all 4 of those defeats came to teams ranked in the top 10 in scoring defense. The Knicks, meanwhile, allow 106.0 points per contest. Just don't see New York playing good enough defense to get the job done tonight. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the Clippers. |
|||||||
02-08-11 | Toronto Raptors v. Milwaukee Bucks -7.5 | 74-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Bucks -7.5
Bottom Line: Off 4 straight defeats, expect the Bucks to take out their frustrations on one of the worst road teams in the NBA tonight. Under coach Triano, Toronto is a dismal 22-42 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. It is losing these contests by an average score of 108.0 to 98.4. Also, plays on home teams (MILWAUKEE) off an upset loss by 10 points or more, playing with 2 days rest, are an impressive 49-19 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Raptors are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series, and I expect this trend to continue. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-07-11 | Phoenix Suns v. Golden State Warriors -5 | Top | 104-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Monday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Warriors -5
Bottom Line: The Suns are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. the Western Conference, 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss and 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss. The Warriors are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 vs. the NBA Pacific, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Western Conference and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. I love the way the Warriors have picked up their defense, holding each of their last 3 opponents to 94 points or less. Golden State's defense will get it the win and cover tonight. |
|||||||
02-04-11 | Dallas Mavericks v. Boston Celtics -6 | 101-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Celtics -6
Bottom Line: The Mavericks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. They are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog overall. The Mavericks are also just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Boston. The Celtics are an impressive 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. Playing at home with fresher legs, and motivated by a narrow 2-point loss at Dallas earlier this season, I expect the C's to take care of business in a big way tonight. |
|||||||
02-04-11 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Atlanta Hawks -7 | 100-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Hawks -7
Bottom Line: Plays on favorites after a cover as a double digit favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team winning between 25% to 40% of their games are an impressive 68-39 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average of 12.0 points. The Clipps are just 3-15 on the road, where they are losing by an average of 8.1 points. On the road in the second half of the season and matched up against a team with a winning percentage between 60% and 70%, LA is just 4-19 ATS the last 3 seasons. It is losing these games by an average score of 109.2 to 93.3. The Clippers have received plenty of buzz because of Blake Griffin, but they are still very much unproven on the road. Without Eric Gordon to aid Griffin, the Clippers will struggle tonight. |
|||||||
02-04-11 | Miami Heat v. Charlotte Bobcats +5.5 | Top | 109-97 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Bobcats +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for the Heat after such a big win over the Magic last night. The Bobcats, meanwhile, are playing well, and they will especially be hungry tonight after 2 prior losses to the Heat this season. Consider that plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset win over a division rival, playing on back-to-back days, are 81-45 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are favored by 5.9 points on average, but are only winning by an average of 2.5. The Bobcats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet the Bobcats. |
|||||||
02-03-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 | Top | 89-88 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Year on Lakers -3.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers lost at home to Miami on Christmas. They were just defeated at home by Boston Sunday. They have also lost at San Antonio this season. Those are 3 games the Lakers wanted and they didn't get any of them. That has many sports analysts doubting whether the Lakers can 3-peat. Motivated by those defeats, expect Kobe Bryant and company to silence the doubters tonight. The Spurs may own the best record in the league, but they are far from unstoppable. They have been blown out at Orlando, New York, New Orleans and Portland. They have also lost 7 of their last 8 road games against the Lakers with all of those losses coming by at least 4 points. It's time for the Lakers to make a statement. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-02-11 | New Orleans Hornets v. Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* Game of the Month on Thunder -7.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets are ripe for a beating tonight. They escaped with a win over OKC last week on a last second shot and Kevin Durant and company have not forgotten. I expect the Thunder to have their revenge at home in a big way here. The Hornets won't have the services of leading rebounder Emeka Okafor, and they will be playing their fourth game in five days. The Thunder, meanwhile, haven't played since Sunday. With extra time to rest and prepare, OKC has the huge advantage tonight. Great spot for the Thunder. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-01-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Trail Blazers +5.5
Bottom Line: The Blazers have had no trouble beating the Spurs in Portland. I especially like their chances here as they are motivated by consecutive defeats. Portland is 6-2 SU and ATS versus San Antonio the last 3 seasons, including 4-0 SU and ATS at home. Under coach Nate McMillan, Portland is an impressive 44-27 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. The Trail Blazers are 33-16 ATS in their last 49 games as a home underdog period. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings at Portland. With as well as this Blazers' team defends on its home floor, I'll gladly take the points. |
|||||||
01-30-11 | New Orleans Hornets +1.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 102-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Hornets +1.5
Bottom Line: After getting their 10-game losing streak snapped by the lowly Kings, the Hornets will be out for blood Sunday. The Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Suns may have defeated Boston in their last game, but the Celtics were clearly looking ahead to today's game with the Lakers. Phoenix just can't be trusted laying any amount of points. After all, it is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games as a home favorite. The Hornets are playing better basketball right now with Chris Paul emerging as the MVP frontrunner. Take New Orleans. |
|||||||
01-29-11 | New Jersey Nets +6 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 81-91 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Nets +6
Bottom Line: The Nets will have no problem getting up for the Bucks after getting embarrassed by the Pacers last night. As if that isn |
|||||||
01-28-11 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Golden State Warriors -4 | 121-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
4* Major on Warriors -4
Bottom Line: The Warriors will be extremely focused and hungry when they take the floor tonight following 3 straight defeats. And they won't be lacking any confidence against a Bobcats squad they have already defeated in Charlotte this season. This is a tough spot for the Bobcats with it being their 3rd road game in 4 nights. They've tried to play more uptempo under Silas, but it's evident they don't have the horses to run and gun with Golden State's athletes. The Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. Bet Golden State. |
|||||||
01-28-11 | Boston Celtics v. Phoenix Suns +4 | Top | 71-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Suns +4
Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Boston. The Celtics are playing the second game of a back-to-back tonight against a fresh Suns team that will really be looking to push the ball. In addition, Boston will be looking ahead to Sunday's showdown with the Lakers. Winning that game against the team that defeated them in the NBA Finals means much more to Boston than beating Phoenix. Plus, Paul Pierce is really banged. He was already battling an ankle injury and suffered a thigh injury against the Blazers last night. I like the Suns in this spot regardless, but don't be surprised if Doc decides to hold pierce out. Boston is 4-16 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Celtics are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points of less, 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. The Suns need this game, and I strongly believe they'll get it tonight. |
|||||||
01-27-11 | Houston Rockets +7 v. Dallas Mavericks | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Rockets +7
Bottom Line: Dallas still isn't rolling the way it was prior to Nowitzki's injury, which leaves it very susceptible against a Houston team that is playing well tonight. The Mavericks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 19-41-3 ATS in their last 63 home games, 17-37-3 ATS in their last 57 games as a home favorite and 12-26-2 ATS in their last 40 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. It's also worth noting that the underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Take the points with Houston tonight. |
|||||||
01-26-11 | Denver Nuggets v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 204 | Top | 109-100 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Total "Blowout" of the Week on Nuggets/Pistons UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Denver is 16-6 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season, 22-8 UNDER in road games when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons and 12-1 UNDER in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more points in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back, Denver won't have as much energy on the offensive end to push the pace. Plus, Detroit has been playing exceptional defense, holding its last 5 opponents to 86.8 ppg. Bet the Under. |
|||||||
01-25-11 | Utah Jazz +8 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 91-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Bailout on Jazz +8
Bottom Line: If you are going to back the Lakers, you normally don't want to do when they are coming off a win. In fact, L.A. is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following a victory. It also hasn't been a good idea to lay this much chalk with the Lakers, especially at home, where they are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Jazz have lost 4 in a row, so you can bet they'll leave it all on the floor tonight. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-24-11 | Milwaukee Bucks +8.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 83-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Bucks +8.5
Bottom Line: Milwaukee has won 3 of its last 4 against Chicago. After losing the first meeting of the season by 13 points in Chicago last month, the Bucks will be out for revenge this evening. From the standpoint of the point spread, this matchup has been dominated by the road team, which has covered the number in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Plus, the Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus the Eastern Conference. The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Chicago has been playing tough defense, but Milwaukee can play a little "D" as well. With as good as the Bucks are defensively, they aren't getting the respect they deserve with this line. Take the points as Milwaukee takes Chicago right down to the wire. |
|||||||
01-22-11 | Utah Jazz +2 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 85-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Jazz +2
Bottom Line: Motivated by 3 straight defeats, including an embarrassing loss to Boston last night, expect the Jazz to snap out of it against a team they have dominated. Utah has won 6 straight against Philly, and each of the last 4 wins have come by 13 or more points. Expect a huge game from Deron Williams tonight after being held to a season-low 5 points Friday. He is averaging 27.0 points while shooting 65.6 percent from the floor, including 8 of 10 from 3-point range, in his last two meetings with the 76ers. Utah is 12-3 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 11-1 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Jazz. |
|||||||
01-21-11 | New York Knicks v. San Antonio Spurs -8.5 | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Spurs -8.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are begging for action on the Knicks with this line, but I won't bite. The Knicks are struggling, having lost 4 in a row, and it will be extremely tough for them to bounce back in San Antonio, where the Spurs are 23-2 this season and winning by 10.8 points on average. The Knicks embarrassed the Spurs 128-115 in New York earlier this month and I fully expect San Antonio to have its revenge. Plus, this is the Spurs' last home game before playing 12 of their next 13 on the road. They'll use it to build momentum for their lengthy road trip. The Spurs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-21-11 | Houston Rockets v. Memphis Grizzlies -3.5 | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -3.5
Bottom Line: Memphis hasn't lost 3 in a row in a month. After consecutive defeats, I have no doubt the Grizzlies will show up in a big way tonight. Plus, Memphis has already gone down to Houston twice this season. That will add a little more fuel to the fire. The Grizz have played well against the Western Conference's top clubs this month, beating the Los Angeles Lakers, Oklahoma City, Utah and Dallas. Memphis has proven it can beat anyone, and I expect it to take care of Houston tonight in this highly motivated spot. |
|||||||
01-20-11 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Charlotte Bobcats -5 | Top | 97-100 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Thursday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bobcats -5
Bottom Line: Can't see Philly picking itself up off the floor after such an emotionally and physically draining overtime loss last night. Charlotte, meanwhile, has had a day to rest and will be out for revenge after 2 prior losses to Philly this season. The Bobcats have won 5 straight at home in this series. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-19-11 | Minnesota Timberwolves +7 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 111-126 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Major Wednesday Night NBA Bailout on T-Wolves +7
Bottom Line: Blake Griffin and the Clippers have created a little bit of buzz lately and the public is eating it up. As a result, odds makers have jacked up this number in an attempt to trap Joe Public. He has taken the bait. We'll go against the grain with Minnesota as it has covered the number in 6 of its last 8 road games. Already this month, the T-Wolves have taken the Celtics and Spurs down to the wire on the road, falling by just 3 points in each. The fact that Minnesota was kicked here last month means it will be out for some serious revenge tonight. Consider that Minne is 47-26 ATS in its last 73 road games when revenging a loss in which its opponent scored 110 or more points. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-19-11 | Washington Wizards v. Milwaukee Bucks -6 | Top | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Bucks -6
Bottom Line: Big bounce back spot for the Bucks after 3 straight losses and big letdown spot for the Wizards after an upset win over the Jazz. As you know, Washington is 0-19 on the road, losing those games by an average score of 108.8 to 94.4. Also, Washington is 0-7 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season, losing these games by an average score of 111.1 to 96. Milwaukee, meanwhile, is an impressive is 9-1 ATS at home off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-17-11 | Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Thunder +4.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder have been looking forward to this game ever since they were knocked out of the playoffs by the Lakers last season. They catch LA at a good time too, as the Lakers' starters logged a lot of minutes in yesterday's loss to the Clippers. The Thunder, meanwhile, haven't played since Thursday. OKC is a strong 25-13 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons, only losing these games by 1.9 points on average. The Thunder have either won or lost by 3 or less points in 4 of the last 5 and 7 of the last 10 in this series. The Thunder are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest while the Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-17-11 | Orlando Magic v. Boston Celtics UNDER 192.5 | 106-109 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Total on Magic/Celtics UNDER 192.5
Bottom Line: Expect a heated defensive battle between the Magic and Celtics tonight. These teams only combined for 164 points when they last met on Christmas day. Play Under on any team (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a good team (60% to 75%), are 63-31 the last 5 seasons. We have only seen average of 189.7 total points scored per game in these games. The Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between these teams and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Boston. Bet the Under. |
|||||||
01-15-11 | Miami Heat -2.5 v. Chicago Bulls | 96-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major Saturday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Heat -2.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses, including an absolute pounding at the hand of the Nuggets, expect the Heat to show up in a big way this evening. Plus, LeBron James is expected to be back in action. The Heat are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite. In addition, plays on road teams (MIAMI) - good team outscoring its opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are an impressive 83-46 ATS the last 5 seasons. We find out what the Heat are really made of tonight, and I fully expect them to rise to the occasion. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-14-11 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors -3.5 | Top | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Warriors -3.5
Bottom Line: Expect the Clippers to endure a major letdown tonight following Wednesday's huge upset win over the Heat. The Clippers put 111 points on the board in that victory - 13.1 points over their season average. With this in mind, consider that the Clipps are 1-10 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons, losing by 16.6 points on average in this situation. The Warriors will be motivated by back-to-back defeats, including a double-digit loss to the Clippers Sunday. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite and the Clippers are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings at Golden State. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-14-11 | New Orleans Hornets v. Houston Rockets -1.5 | 110-105 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Southwest Division Game of the Week on Rockets -1.5
Bottom Line: Having lost 4 in a row to New Orleans, this is a game the Rockets want badly. I like Houston's chances at home where it has won 9 of its last 13. In addition, New Orleans has dropped 10 of its last 14 on the road. This series has been dominated by both the favorite and the home team as both are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Plus, the Hornets are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. the Western Conference and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. the NBA Southwest. Take the Rockets. |
|||||||
01-13-11 | Miami Heat v. Denver Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 102-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: With or without LeBron James on the floor I like the Nuggets tonight at home, where they are 16-4 this season. It is also worth noting that 2 of Denver's home losses have come by a single point. Denver has been dealing with all the trade talk surrounding Melo, but the Nuggets will put that aside as they look to hand the most hated team in the league a second straight loss. This is a tough spot for Miami playing back-to-back, especially in Denver's high altitude. Fatigue will be a factor for the Heat in the second half. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. They are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver. Take the Nuggets. |
|||||||
01-12-11 | New York Knicks v. Utah Jazz -6.5 | Top | 125-131 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Jazz -6.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks will not have enough legs to keep this one within the number tonight. This is their 4th road games in 6 nights and the 2nd of a back-to-back. The Jazz, meanwhile, haven't played a game since Jan. 8. They'll be extremely fresh tonight. Utah has been one of the best home teams in the NBA in recent years, but it was clubbed 110-87 by Atlanta in its last home game. That loss is not sitting well and the Jazz will be out to something about it. Utah has not been playing well over its last few games, but that is in our favor here. Consider that the Jazz are 15-5 ATS after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half since coach Sloan has been at the helm. With 3 full days off, the Jazz will be the more prepared team tonight. |
|||||||
01-12-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 | 91-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Bucks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks played the Spurs to a 2-point game on the road last month, and I like them to finish the job at home tonight. Milwaukee has had 3 full days to rest and prepare, while the Spurs are playing their 2nd game of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 nights. The Spurs are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Bet the Bucks. |
|||||||
01-11-11 | Indiana Pacers +5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
5* NBA Underdog Game of the Month on Pacers +5
Bottom Line: Trying to avoid a 10th straight road defeat, and looking to avenge a 101-75 loss to the 76ers in the series' last meeting, expect the Pacers to be very hungry tonight. That earlier blowout loss was a complete fluke as the Pacers shot a season-worst 31.5 percent. Danny Granger missed 12 of 14 shots in that meeting, scoring a season-low seven points. Considering that was the only time he hasn't had at least 20 in his last five games versus the 76ers, I expect a big game from him this evening. The Pacers are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Philadelphia. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Pound the Pacers. |