Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-15-11 | Miami Heat -2.5 v. Chicago Bulls | 96-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major Saturday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Heat -2.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses, including an absolute pounding at the hand of the Nuggets, expect the Heat to show up in a big way this evening. Plus, LeBron James is expected to be back in action. The Heat are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite. In addition, plays on road teams (MIAMI) - good team outscoring its opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are an impressive 83-46 ATS the last 5 seasons. We find out what the Heat are really made of tonight, and I fully expect them to rise to the occasion. Lay the points. |
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01-14-11 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors -3.5 | Top | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Warriors -3.5
Bottom Line: Expect the Clippers to endure a major letdown tonight following Wednesday's huge upset win over the Heat. The Clippers put 111 points on the board in that victory - 13.1 points over their season average. With this in mind, consider that the Clipps are 1-10 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons, losing by 16.6 points on average in this situation. The Warriors will be motivated by back-to-back defeats, including a double-digit loss to the Clippers Sunday. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite and the Clippers are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings at Golden State. Lay the points. |
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01-14-11 | New Orleans Hornets v. Houston Rockets -1.5 | 110-105 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Southwest Division Game of the Week on Rockets -1.5
Bottom Line: Having lost 4 in a row to New Orleans, this is a game the Rockets want badly. I like Houston's chances at home where it has won 9 of its last 13. In addition, New Orleans has dropped 10 of its last 14 on the road. This series has been dominated by both the favorite and the home team as both are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Plus, the Hornets are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. the Western Conference and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. the NBA Southwest. Take the Rockets. |
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01-13-11 | Miami Heat v. Denver Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 102-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: With or without LeBron James on the floor I like the Nuggets tonight at home, where they are 16-4 this season. It is also worth noting that 2 of Denver's home losses have come by a single point. Denver has been dealing with all the trade talk surrounding Melo, but the Nuggets will put that aside as they look to hand the most hated team in the league a second straight loss. This is a tough spot for Miami playing back-to-back, especially in Denver's high altitude. Fatigue will be a factor for the Heat in the second half. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. They are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver. Take the Nuggets. |
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01-12-11 | New York Knicks v. Utah Jazz -6.5 | Top | 125-131 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Jazz -6.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks will not have enough legs to keep this one within the number tonight. This is their 4th road games in 6 nights and the 2nd of a back-to-back. The Jazz, meanwhile, haven't played a game since Jan. 8. They'll be extremely fresh tonight. Utah has been one of the best home teams in the NBA in recent years, but it was clubbed 110-87 by Atlanta in its last home game. That loss is not sitting well and the Jazz will be out to something about it. Utah has not been playing well over its last few games, but that is in our favor here. Consider that the Jazz are 15-5 ATS after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half since coach Sloan has been at the helm. With 3 full days off, the Jazz will be the more prepared team tonight. |
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01-12-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 | 91-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Bucks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks played the Spurs to a 2-point game on the road last month, and I like them to finish the job at home tonight. Milwaukee has had 3 full days to rest and prepare, while the Spurs are playing their 2nd game of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 nights. The Spurs are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Bet the Bucks. |
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01-11-11 | Indiana Pacers +5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
5* NBA Underdog Game of the Month on Pacers +5
Bottom Line: Trying to avoid a 10th straight road defeat, and looking to avenge a 101-75 loss to the 76ers in the series' last meeting, expect the Pacers to be very hungry tonight. That earlier blowout loss was a complete fluke as the Pacers shot a season-worst 31.5 percent. Danny Granger missed 12 of 14 shots in that meeting, scoring a season-low seven points. Considering that was the only time he hasn't had at least 20 in his last five games versus the 76ers, I expect a big game from him this evening. The Pacers are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Philadelphia. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Pound the Pacers. |
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01-09-11 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Phoenix Suns -10 | 100-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Suns -10
Bottom Line: The Cavs are hurting without LeBron James, and to make matters worse, they are suffering some major injury problems. The Suns miss Amare Stoudemire, but they remain one of the highest scoring teams in the league. I expect them to lay the wood here after suffering their worst home loss in over a year. The Over/Under line is very telling when you consider that Cleveland is 0-8 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season. It is losing these games by 18.8 points on average. This may seem like a lot of points to lay with Phoenix, but the Suns are highly motivated and Cleveland is losing by an average of 12.2 points in all road games this season. Take the Suns. |
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01-08-11 | Boston Celtics v. Chicago Bulls -2 | Top | 79-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bulls -2
Bottom Line: Back-to-back defeats are not sitting well with the Bulls. Neither are 2 prior losses to Boston this season. With these things in mind, I won't hesitate to take Chicago at home (15-3 this season) in this highly motivated spot. The Bulls are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. They are also an outstanding 14-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Bet the Bulls. |
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01-07-11 | New York Knicks v. Phoenix Suns -2.5 | 121-96 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
4* Major Friday Night NBA Bailout on Suns -2.5
Bottom Line: The Suns will be extremely motivated to get back in the win column tonight with former teammate Amare Stoudemire back in town. The Knicks have lost their last three on the road, and I expect their road struggled to continue here. Under coach Gentry, Phoenix is 8-0 ATS after a game when it was outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more. It is winning by an average score of 107.3 to 95.3 in this spot. Lay the points. |
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01-07-11 | New Jersey Nets v. Washington Wizards -4.5 | Top | 77-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Wizards -4.5
Bottom Line: The Nets are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win. The Nets are also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Lay the points with the Wiz at home tonight as New Jersey's road struggles continue. |
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01-06-11 | Denver Nuggets v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 207.5 | Top | 102-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Total of the Month on Nuggets/Kings UNDER 207.5
Bottom Line: Denver is 13-3 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season, and we are only seeing 198.0 total points scored in these games. Going back to the beginning of last season, Denver is 21-6 UNDER in a road game when the total is 200 to 209.5. We are only seeing 201.1 total points scored in these games. With Kenyon Martin doubtful, and key second-team players Ty Lawson and J.R. Smith banged up (both questionable), I don't see the Nuggets having enough to push this one Over. |
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01-05-11 | Los Angeles Lakers -4 v. Phoenix Suns | 99-95 | Push | 0 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Lakers -4
Bottom Line: The Lakers got back on track in a big way last night, and I don't expect them to get caught looking past a Phoenix team that won the last meeting in LA in November. The Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4. Lay the points. |
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01-05-11 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Houston Rockets -5.5 | 103-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Rockets -5.5
Bottom Line: The Rockets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite, 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite overall and 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. The Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Houston has won 7 straight at home in this series. With revenge on the mind following an embarrassing loss at Portland Sunday, expect the Rockets to cruise to a double-digit victory tonight. |
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01-04-11 | Detroit Pistons v. Los Angeles Lakers -12 | Top | 83-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
5* NBA Double Digit Blood Bath Game of the Month on Lakers -12
Bottom Line: The Lakers have won 4 straight over Detroit by at least 12 points and they'll be ready to run up the score tonight after an embarrassing home loss to Memphis. Plus, this is a terrible spot for Detroit, which spent a lot or energy in last night's showdown at Utah. Plays on home teams (LA LAKERS) off an upset loss by 15 points or more against an opponent off a road cover, provided it lost straight up as an underdog, are an impressive 24-5 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average score of 102.4 to 89.3. We saw what the Lakers did to an inferior New Orleans team following a poor performance against San Antonio, and they did that on the road without a day of rest. Lay the points with LA tonight. |
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01-03-11 | Houston Rockets v. Denver Nuggets OVER 218 | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Rockets/Nuggets OVER 218
Bottom Line: The Over is 4-0 in the Rockets' last 4 games playing on 0 days rest and 12-2 in their last 14 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Over is 4-1-1 in the Nuggets' last 6 games playing on 1 days rest and 10-4 in their last 14 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. After such a poor offensive performance last night, expect Houston to be a lot more aggressive. This should lead to plenty of points scored at the foul line with the clock stopped. Denver is 12-1 Over versus good foul drawing teams attempting >=27 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. We are seeing 227.5 total points scored on average in this situation. Bet the Over. |
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12-31-10 | Detroit Pistons v. Phoenix Suns -6 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Suns -6
Bottom Line: Phoenix has owned the Pistons the last couple years, and I expect the Suns to continue their dominance over Detroit tonight. The Suns will be out for blood to end a 4-game skid, especially after an embarrassing loss to Philly. Who better to take out their frustrations on than Detroit, which finds itself at 3-13 on the road this season? Phoenix has won 4 straight in the series by an average of 17.3 points. Lay the number. |
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12-30-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks +3 | 99-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Game of the Night on Mavericks +3
Bottom Line: No Nowitzki tonight, but I still like the Mavs at home catching 3 points. Following a terrible performance against Toronto, the Mavs will step it up with the Spurs coming to town. San Antonio has not had much luck in Dallas, where it has lost 7 of its last 9. Plus, Dallas is 9-0 ATS as an underdog this season, winning by an average score of 101.1 to 95.4 in these games. The Spurs are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Dallas. Take the points. |
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12-29-10 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 200 | 92-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Bobcats OVER 200
Bottom Line: Cleveland has been giving up big points on the road all season (107.2). Plus, Charlotte is now playing an uptempo game under Silas. We saw the Bobcats and Piston combine for 205 points Monday, and I'm expecting an even higher scoring game this evening. Plays Over on home teams when the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHARLOTTE) after a game where they failed to cover the spread, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, are 25-6 the last 5 seasons. We are seeing 213.2 total points scored on average in this situation. Bet the Over. |
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12-28-10 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 180 | 77-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bucks/Bulls UNDER 180
Bottom Line: The last time these two teams faced off in Chicago we saw 153 total points. The time before that, we only saw 164. Milwaukee has scored 86 or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games as it has struggled to score without leading scorer Brandon Jennings. The Under is 5-1 in the Bucks' last 6 overall and 18-6 in the Bulls' last 24 overall. Bet the Under. |
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12-27-10 | Detroit Pistons v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 193 | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Pistons/Bobcats OVER 193
Bottom Line: With Silas taking over on an interim basis, he wants the Bobcats to become a more up-tempo offensive team. Expect this new philosophy to allow us to cash an easy Overs play tonight. The extra rest will benefit the Bobcats also, as they are 10-1 in their last 11 home games when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days. We are seeing 203.2 points scored on average in this situation. Bet the Over. |
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12-25-10 | Chicago Bulls +1.5 v. New York Knicks | 95-103 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major Early *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Bulls +1.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls are a dominant 18-6 ATS in their last 24 road games. They are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or less. This game is all about revenge for Chicago, which was upset by the Knicks earlier this season. Keep in mind that the Knicks shot an amazing 16 of 24 from 3-point range in that game. That's flukishly good and something which can't be counted on again. The Bulls are the better team, especially on the defensive end where it counts the most. They weren't at all happy about the way they played in the first meeting and I expect them to right their wrongs here. Bet the Bulls. |
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12-23-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Orlando Magic -2 | Top | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Primetime Punisher on Magic -2
Bottom Line: The Magic will be lacking no motivation tonight as they look to snap a 4-game skid. Plus, they catch San Antonio at the perfect time. The Spurs have played a lot of games in not a lot of days. They exhausted a ton of energy in last night's comeback win over the Nuggets and I expect that to show up in the second half tonight. The Spurs have lost their last 2 trips to Orlando by double-digits. Lay the points with the Magic tonight. |
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12-22-10 | New Jersey Nets +8.5 v. New Orleans Hornets | 91-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major on Nets +8.5
Bottom Line: The Nets are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Hornets are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 games as a favorite and 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. New Jersey enters this game with tons of momentum off back-to-back wins, and I fully expect it to take the struggling Hornets right down to the wire. |
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12-22-10 | Philadelphia 76ers +9.5 v. Boston Celtics | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Major on 76ers +9.5
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Celtics, meanwhile, are 13-29-1 ATS in their last 43 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Off last night's embarrassing loss, expect Philly to keep this one close against a team it played to a 1-point game less than 2 weeks ago. |
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12-21-10 | Philadelphia 76ers +6 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 76-121 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on 76ers +6
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games. Expect them to cash another ticket tonight against a Bulls team that will be without Joakim Noah. Philly is also a perfect 9-0 ATS after having won 2 of its last 3 games this season and 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog. Take the points. |
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12-20-10 | Utah Jazz v. Cleveland Cavaliers +7 | 101-90 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Cavs +7
Bottom Line: Off a confidence-boosting win over the Knicks, expect the Cavs to give Utah all its wants and more tonight. The Jazz are 3-12-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in this series and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Cleveland. Plus, this is a tough scheduling spot for the Jazz, playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. The Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, and the Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win. Expect the Jazz to be a little road weary tonight. Take the points. |
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12-17-10 | Utah Jazz v. New Orleans Hornets +1.5 | 71-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
4* Major Super System Power Play on Hornets +1.5
Bottom Line: Expect the Hornets to avenge an earlier season loss to the Jazz at home tonight, where they are a dominant 10-3 this season. Plays on home teams (NEW ORLEANS) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are an impressive 52-22 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by 8.3 ppg on average. Chris Paul gets the best of Deron Williams to silence the doubters on his home floor tonight. Take the Hornets. |
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12-17-10 | Miami Heat -5 v. New York Knicks | Top | 113-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Heat -5
Bottom Line: The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Heat are also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series. It's going to be tough for New York to be able to put the same amount of energy and passion into this one after giving so much in a devastating loss to the Celtics the other night. LeBron James has been known to put on a show at MSG, and I expect him to do just that this evening. Heat send a message with a comfortable win. Lay the points. |
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12-16-10 | San Antonio Spurs -1 v. Denver Nuggets | 113-112 | Push | 0 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Spurs -1
Bottom Line: Denver has won 10 straight at home, but it has been extremely fortunate to do so with a number of close calls. I expect this superior Spurs team to bring Denver's home winning streak to an end tonight. San Antonio is an impressive 25-10 ATS in its last 35 road games following a close home win by 3 points or less. Meanwhile, Denver is just 10-23 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Without the veteran leadership of Chauncey Billups on the floor tonight, Denver will have a tough time keeping it together against this veteran Spurs team. Spurs have won their last 2 at Denver by 19 points and I like them again tonight. |
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12-16-10 | Atlanta Hawks v. Boston Celtics UNDER 187 | 90-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Total of Hawks/Celtics UNDER 187
Bottom Line: The Hawks are already missing Joe Johnson and now Jamal Crawford has been ruled out for this game. That is a lot of offense they will be missing. The Celtics are pretty banged up as well, and they will no doubt be feeling the effects of last night's tiring game at Madison Square. The Under is the the 5-1 in Hawks' last 6 road games. Atlanta is also is 15-3 Under as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Under. |
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12-15-10 | Portland Trail Blazers +6.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 98-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Blazers +6.5
Bottom Line: The Blazers match up well with the Mavs, and as a result always play them close. In fact, Portland has won 3 of the last 4 meetings, and it hasn't been defeated by more than 6 points in any of the last six showdowns. The Mavericks are 15-36-3 ATS in their last 54 home games and 10-24-2 ATS in their last 36 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. They are also just 5-21-2 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Portland has not played up to its potential on the road lately, but I'm confident it will bring its "A" game tonight after back-to-back lackluster efforts. Pound Portland. |
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12-15-10 | Boston Celtics v. New York Knicks +5 | 118-116 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Knicks +5
Bottom Line: The Knicks always get up for the Celtics. As a result, they have either won or lost by 4 or fewer points in 4 of the last 5 meetings. This Knicks team already played the Celtics to a 4-point game on the road earlier this season, and that was before Amare Stoudemire was comfortable playing with his new teammates. NY is 10-1 ATS as an underdog this season, winning these games by an average score of 109.7 to 107.2. Take the Knicks. |
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12-14-10 | Philadelphia 76ers v. New Jersey Nets +1.5 | Top | 82-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nets +1.5
Bottom Line: While Philly has been playing solid ball of late, winning 5 of its last 7, we can't overlook the fact that all 5 of those wins came at home. This 76ers teams is a dreadful 1-10 on the road this season, and I expect its road struggles to continue tonight. New Jersey has played just about everyone tough at home. It played Orlando to a 1-point game, beat Atlanta, beat Portland, took OKC to triple OT and took the Lakers down to the wire. The Nets will be ready to go tonight as they see this game as a golden opportunity to get off the snide. The 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite while the Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The 76ers are also 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Jersey. Take the Nets. |
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12-13-10 | New Orleans Hornets +11.5 v. Miami Heat | 84-96 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Hornets +11.5
Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to yesterday's poor performance in Philly. Hence, creating excellent line value. The Heat are a terrible 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games as a favorite of 11 or more points while the Hornets are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games as a dog of 11 or more. The Heat are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games overall. Take the points with Chris Paul and company as they keep this one to single digits. |
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12-11-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 v. Chicago Bulls | 82-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Underdog Game of the Week on T-Wolves +9.5
Bottom Line: I'll fade the Bulls tonight laying big points after such an emotionally and physically draining game against the reigning champs last night. The Bulls have dropped 5 of their last 7 ATS when laying 5-10.5 points at home. The Bulls are 8-2 at home this season, but they are only winning those game by an average if 4.0 points. Expect the T-Wolves, who are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the Eastern Conference, to take Chicago right down to the wire. |
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12-10-10 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Phoenix Suns -5 | Top | 101-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Suns -5
Bottom Line: The Suns want this one badly having already lost to the Blazers twice this season. Plus, they have the big advantage in terms of fresh legs with Portland having just played last night. Portland is 0-9 ATS when coming off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average score of 99.8 to 89.8 in these games. The Suns are also an impressive 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Pound Phoenix. |
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12-10-10 | Los Angeles Lakers -2 v. Chicago Bulls | 84-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Lakers -2
Bottom Line: LA has won 7 in a row against Chicago by no less than 7 points. The Lakers have lost their last 3 games away from Staples Center, so they'll approach this game as a must-win. All this talk about the Spurs and Celtics being the 2 best teams in the NBA will have LA playing very motivated ball tonight. The Lakers are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Lay the deuce. |
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12-10-10 | New York Knicks v. Washington Wizards +2.5 | 101-95 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Wizards +2.5
Bottom Line: Great spot for the Wizards to end the Knicks' winning streak with John Wall and Andray Blatche set to return to the lineup. The Knicks kicked Washington's butt at MSG last month, and the Wiz will be out for revenge here. The Knicks are a lousy 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points, including 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or less. The Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less points. The home team is also 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Expect Washington pull off the upset tonight. |
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12-09-10 | Boston Celtics v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 192.5 | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Total on Celtics/76ers Under 192.5
Bottom Line: Right away I like the fact that plays Under on any team (PHILADELPHIA) following a win by 10 points or more, if that team is playing an opponent that has won 3 straight by 10 points or more, are 55-22 (71.4%) the last 5 seasons. This system is already a perfect 3-0 this season. In addition, Boston is a perfect 8-0 Under after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing 181.4 total points scored on average in these games. We know Boston is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, but Philly has really improved on the defensive end (only allowing 92.5 ppg at home). Buckets should be tough to come by in this one. Bet the Under. |
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12-08-10 | Indiana Pacers v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 189 | Top | 95-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Pacers/Bucks UNDER 189
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (INDIANA) in a game involving two average defensive teams (allowing 92-98 ppg), after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game, are 39-13 the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 3-0 already this season. We are only seeing 180.5 total points scored on average in this situation. Pound the Under. |
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12-07-10 | Golden State Warriors v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 205.5 | Top | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Total "Blowout" of the Week on Warriors/Mavs UNDER 205.5
Bottom Line: Dallas is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, surrendering only 92.2 ppg (4th). When playing at home, this number goes down to 90.5 ppg. Teams willing to get down and dirty on the defensive end are normally strong "Unders" investments and Dallas is no exception. In fact, the Under is 16-4-1 in the Mavericks' last 21 home games. The perception surrounding Golden State is that it's a high scoring team, but not on the road. The Warriors are only averaging 98.8 ppg away from home this season. Going to the numbers, the Under is 14-4-1 in the Warriors' last 19 road games. Lastly, the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams in Dallas. Bet the Under tonight. |
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12-07-10 | New Jersey Nets +6.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | 101-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Side of the Night on Nets +6.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Off 4 straight losses, including a horrible performance against Boston, the Nets will be ready to go. Atlanta, however, will have a tough time getting up for this one off back-to-back games with Miami and Orlando and San Antonio up next. Take the points. |
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12-06-10 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Utah Jazz -9.5 | 85-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
4* Major Monday Night NBA Monster Blowout on Jazz -9.5
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are 1-11 ATS in the last 12 meetings in this series, including 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Utah. Utah has won six straight home meetings with the Grizzlies by an average of 19.8 points. It's going to be tough for Memphis to get up for this one following such a tough loss in Denver last night. Meanwhile, the Jazz are rested and hungry after seeing their 7-game win streak come to an end Friday. Lay the points. |
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12-05-10 | Memphis Grizzlies +6 v. Denver Nuggets | 107-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
4* Major Sunday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Grizzlies +6
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Nuggets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Nuggets are a poor 5-20-2 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Expect Memphis to bounce back strong with a solid performance tonight after such a poor performance against Houston in its last game. Take the points. |
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12-03-10 | Dallas Mavericks +3.5 v. Utah Jazz | 93-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Mavericks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Mavericks are one of the best road bets in the NBA, checking in at 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games. Just this season, the Mavs are 7-0 ATS on the road, winning by an average score of 102.3 to 94.9. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or less points. The Jazz, meanwhile, are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less. Bet the Mavs. |
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12-03-10 | Chicago Bulls +5.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 92-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Bulls +5.5
Bottom Line: Motivated by a blowout loss to the Spurs and an OT loss at Boston earlier this season, look for the Bulls to take care of business tonight. The Celtics are 8-25-1 ATS in their last 34 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Recently, they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. The Bulls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Bet the Bulls. |
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12-02-10 | Miami Heat v. Cleveland Cavaliers +6 | 118-90 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Cavaliers +6
Bottom Line: The Cavs want this game more than anyone can imagine. They feel as though LeBron James turned his back on them, and they'll be out to prove he made a major mistake. Miami has not looked good on the road this season, going just 2-5 SU and ATS. Plus, the Heat are just 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games. It's going to be tough for James to see the city that loved him so much ridicule him tonight. I'm take the Cleveland and the points. |
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12-01-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 86-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Timberwolves +10.5
Bottom Line: The road team is 23-6 ATS in the last 29 meetings, which includes a perfect 8-0 ATS run by Minnesota at Dallas. Expect this run to continue as Minnesota enters this contest fresh (3 days of rest) and Dallas does not (6th game in 9 days). The Mavericks are a terrible 7-22-2 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. In addition, Dallas is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Take the T-Wolves. |
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12-01-10 | Detroit Pistons +11.5 v. Miami Heat | 72-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Major on Pistons +11.5
Bottom Line: Miami has failed to cover the number in 7 straight and 12 of its last 13. Odds makers continue to overvalue the Heat because they are getting plenty of betting attention despite the fact that they are yet to jell. The Pistons have covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 games. With LeBron James looking ahead to a big showdown at Cleveland tomorrow night, I don't expect Detroit to get his full attention. Pound the Pistons. |
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11-30-10 | Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 96-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Lakers -5.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses we'll see the real defending NBA champs tonight. It's no secret that LA coasts from time to time during the regular season, but a blown 19-point lead against Utah and a home loss to Indiana have certainly gotten its attention. The Lakers have recorded 13 wins already this season and 10 of those victories have come by at least 7 points. Plus, the Lakers have already put a 19-point whooping on the Grizz this season, so we know what they are capable of when they come to play. LA has won 7 of the L8 against Memphis by an average score of 105 to 94. Lay the points. |
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11-30-10 | New Jersey Nets +5 v. New York Knicks | 100-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
4* Major on Nets +5
Bottom Line: The Knicks have struggled at home this season, and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. With this in mind, I just don't trust the Knicks laying this many points. Plus, New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games as an underdog. Avery Johnson has the Nets competing in just about every game. They'll take New York down to the wire with a chance to win this one outright tonight. |
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11-29-10 | Houston Rockets v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 197.5 | 91-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Rockets/Mavs UNDER 197.5
Bottom Line: Both of these teams have played a lot of games in few days, which means we can expect a slower pace tonight. Plus, Houston is without two of its top scorers and is facing one of the better defensive teams in the league. The Under is 14-4-1 in the Mavericks' last 19 home games and 11-1 in their last 12 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Under is 5-1 in the Rockets' last 6 road games and 9-2 in their last 11 overall. Bet the Under. |
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11-26-10 | Los Angeles Lakers -1.5 v. Utah Jazz | 96-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Major Friday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -1.5
Bottom Line: After losing Boozer and sharp shooter Kyle Korver, the Jazz aren't even as talented as they were last spring when the Lakers swept them in the playoffs The Lakers have won 13 of the last 16 against the Jazz. They are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Utah. The Lakers are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Lay the points. |
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11-24-10 | New Orleans Hornets v. Utah Jazz -3.5 | Top | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Jazz -3.5
Bottom Line: This is a tough scheduling spot for New Orleans, and it comes against a team that has had its number. New Orleans will be playing its 7th game in 12 days and its 3rd road game in 4 days. Plus, Utah is 6-1 SU and ATS in its last 7 games against New Orleans, winning these games by an average score of 104 to 92. Also, the Hornets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Utah. The Jazz are an impressive 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Bet the Jazz. |
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11-24-10 | Miami Heat +5 v. Orlando Magic | 95-104 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Heat +5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back defeats, the Heat will be extremely hungry when they take the floor tonight. They punched Orlando in the mouth with a 96-70 win in the season's first meeting, and they definitely have what it takes to win outright in this highly motivated spot. The Magic are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Eastern Conference and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Take Miami and the points. |
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11-23-10 | Chicago Bulls +8 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Bailout on Bulls +8
Bottom Line: The underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings between these teams. The Lakers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games period. Bet the Bulls. |
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11-23-10 | Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 89-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Cavs +4.5
Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for Indiana after such a big win over Miami last night. The Pacers will still be patting themselves on the back when this rested Cleveland team comes out strong tonight. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 at Indiana. Plus, the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the Cavs. |
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11-22-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves +10 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | 107-117 | Push | 0 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Timberwolves +10
Bottom Line: The Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. The Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Since the Sonics moved to OKC and became the Thunder, they have only defeated Minnesota by double digits 1 time in 8 games. Take the points. |
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11-20-10 | Dallas Mavericks +3 v. Atlanta Hawks | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Mavs +3
Bottom Line: The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. The Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games. Also, Dallas is 15-4 ATS in road games off an upset loss over the last 3 seasons, responding to win by an average score of 102.1 to 94.2. Look for the Mavs to bounce back strong here following last night's disappointing loss to the Bulls. |
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11-19-10 | Chicago Bulls +5 v. Dallas Mavericks | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Bulls +5
Bottom Line: The Mavericks are 14-35-3 ATS in their last 52 home games, and just 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. Lastly, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points. |
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11-19-10 | Oklahoma City Thunder +6.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 89-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Thunder +6.5
Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Thunder, who were defeated by 9 points at home by Boston earlier this month. The Thunder are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Celtics are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Still a big play at +8.5 or better if Durant can't go. |
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11-18-10 | Denver Nuggets v. Portland Trailblazers UNDER 203 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT "Total" Bailout on Nuggets/Blazers UNDER 203
Bottom Line: The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in Portland. The Under is 6-1 in the Trail Blazers' last 7 home games and 5-1 in the Nuggets' last 6 road games. Not having Roy in the lineup hurts the Portland offense tonight, but the Blazers should still bring their "D". The Blazers are holding their opponents to just 90.2 ppg at home this season. Take the Under. |
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11-17-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Miami Heat -7.5 | 96-123 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night (ESPN) on Heat -7.5
Bottom Line: Look for a rested Miami team to crush a Suns team that will be playing its 4th game in 6 nights. The Suns will really miss center Robin Lopez in this one. Without him, Miami should really dominate the paint. It's going to take another impressive shooting display for Phoenix to cover this number, and I don't see it happening. The legs will be a little tired, and the Heat will be focused on the defensive end after a bad 3-game stretch defensively. Lay the points. |
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11-16-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 193 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Bucks UNDER 193
Bottom Line: Milwaukee is the No. 1 defensive team in the league (89.4 ppg allowed) and the 30th ranked offensive team (92.1 ppg). The Lakers are more than capable of putting the clamps on defensively, and I expect a strong defensive effort from them tonight after allowing 118 and 121 in their last 2 games. Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (LA LAKERS) after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, against an opponent that has gone under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, are 74-35 since 1996. This situation is already 1-0 this season. Pound the Under. |
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11-15-10 | Oklahoma City Thunder +6 v. Utah Jazz | 115-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major Monday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Thunder +6
Bottom Line: This is a big revenge spot for the Thunder, who were handed a 21-point home loss by Utah late last month. With that loss, and last night's disappointing 2nd half performance against San Antonio, fueling the fire, I like the Thunder's chances of pulling off the upset. The Thunder are 50-24 ATS in their last 74 games following a S.U. loss and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Look for this talented OKC team to play up to its potential tonight. |
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11-14-10 | Detroit Pistons v. Sacramento Kings -5 | 100-94 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings -5
Bottom Line: After 4 consecutive losses, I expect the Kings to end their skid in a big way at home this evening. Detroit is just 1-4 on the road this season, where it is losing by 7.6 points on average. Sac has won 10 of its last 13 at home against Detroit, and the Pistons are a lousy 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. the NBA Pacific. They are also just 6-16 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons, losing by 9.0 ppg on average in this situation. Take the Kings. |
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11-13-10 | Utah Jazz v. Charlotte Bobcats +2 | 96-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Saturday Night *BLOOD BATH* on Bobcats +2
Bottom Line: Utah has managed to come from behind to beat Miami, Orlando and Atlanta, but it will finally run out of gas tonight. The Bobcats are strong defensively, and they will be hungry to record their first home win of the season. The Bobcat defense is ridiculously good, and it is certainly worth noting that the Cats are 10-1 ATS after 5 straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 8.0 ppg in these spots. The home team is a dominant 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the Jazz are just 1-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Bet the Bobcats. |
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11-12-10 | Utah Jazz v. Atlanta Hawks -4 | Top | 90-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
5* ESPN Game of the Month on Hawks -4
Bottom Line: Off 3 straight defeats, expect the Hawks to bounce back strong against a Utah team which should be feeling the effects of two come from behind wins. The Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or less points while the Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. The Hawks are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Utah. Lay the points. |
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11-11-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets +4 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Nuggets +4
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings with Denver. They are also just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Denver. The Nuggets have played the Lakers as tough as anyone in recent years, and they will be extremely motivated to hand LA its first loss of the season tonight. Denver was embarrassed at Indiana in its last game, but it is certainly worth noting that it is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Lastly, the Lakers are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or less points. Take Denver and the points. |
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11-10-10 | Golden State Warriors v. New York Knicks -3.5 | 122-117 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
4* Major Wednesday Night NBA Blowout on Knicks -3.5
Bottom Line: This is a big time bounce back spot for the Knicks after an embarrassing loss to Milwaukee last night. The Knicks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss of more than 10 points. I'm not sold on this Golden State team, which doesn't play any defense and has its two best players banged up - Curry (ankle) and Ellis (back). Lay the points. |
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11-10-10 | Utah Jazz v. Orlando Magic UNDER 194.5 | Top | 104-94 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Month (ESPN) on Jazz/Magic UNDER 194.5
Bottom Line: Orlando is a great defensive team, especially at home where it is only allowing 87.0 ppg. I expect the Magic to have a great deal of success slowing down a Jazz team that used a ton of energy in last night's come from behind, overtime upset at Miami. The Under is 6-1 in Utah's last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Under is 37-13-2 in Orlando's last 52 games playing with 1 day of rest and 40-13-1 in its last 54 games following an ATS loss. Pound the Under. |
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11-09-10 | Los Angeles Clippers +8.5 v. New Orleans Hornets | 82-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *Top Dog* on Clippers +8.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets are being extremely overvalued at home tonight because of their fast start, and we'll look to take advantage. The Hornets are a poor 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Clippers have been playing well, winning, or losing by 7 or less, in 3 straight covers as a dog. New Orleans hasn't been favored by more than 3 points all season. This big of a jump tells me the books are trying to trap the public bandwagon jumpers. Take the points with LA. |
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11-09-10 | New York Knicks v. Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 | Top | 80-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Bucks -4.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks own the Knicks, going 6-1 SU and ATS versus NY the last 2 seasons. 4 of the last 5 wins by Milwaukee in this series have come by at least 15 points. Having lost their last 2 home games, the Bucks will be lacking no motivation and no confidence against this Knicks team. The Bucks are a rock solid 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. I like Milwaukee by double digits. |
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11-08-10 | Boston Celtics v. Dallas Mavericks -3 | 87-89 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major Monday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Mavericks -3
Bottom Line: This will be Boston's 5th game in the last week, while it will only be Dallas's 3rd. Considering the game is at home, where Dallas has won 9 of its last 13 against Boston, and considering Dallas is in a bounce back spot, I really like its chances. The Mavericks are an impressive 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. Back the Mavs as they push the ball on a Boston team with some very tired legs. |
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11-07-10 | Portland Trail Blazers +8 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 96-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Bailout on Trail Blazers +8
Bottom Line: Portland has won 4 of the last 5 against the Lakers, and it is 7-2 against the Lakers with Brandon Roy in the lineup. I know the Blazers just played last night, but they are an awesome 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on back-to-back days, winning these games by an average score of 99.3 to 92.9. The Trail Blazers are 24-8 ATS in the last 32 meetings and the underdog is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Portland isn't getting the respect it deserves here. We'll take the generous amount of points in what should be a dog fight. |
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11-06-10 | New Orleans Hornets v. Milwaukee Bucks -3 | 87-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Saturday Night *BLOOD BATH* on Bucks -3
Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for New Orleans playing on the road after a big win over the mighty Heat. Plus, the Bucks will be out for revenge after losing by just 4 points at New Orleans in their season opener. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The Bucks are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 19-4 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons. With or without Bogut (missed last night with migraine), I like the Bucks to hand the Hornets their first loss of the season. |
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11-05-10 | Toronto Raptors +13.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Raptors +13.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are a terrible 24-52 ATS in their last 76 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. They are also just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 11.0 or more points. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. With a big matchup against Portland up next, Toronto won't get LA's full attention tonight. Meanwhile, Toronto will show up ready to play off back-to-back losses. Take the points. |
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11-05-10 | Chicago Bulls v. Boston Celtics UNDER 195 | 105-110 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Primetime Total (ESPN) on Bulls/Celtics UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The Chicago Bulls are a perfect 9-0 to the Under in their last 9 road games after scoring 100 points or more in 2 straight games. We are only seeing 189.3 total points scored on average in this situation. With Chicago playing back-to-back, and against a strong defensive team, I fully expect this one to come in Under the number tonight. |
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11-04-10 | Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 107-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Thunder +5.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder are a much better team than they have shown in their last two games, and they'll rise to the occasion against Portland tonight. I'll gladly grab the points when you consider that the Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Take the Thunder tonight. |
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11-04-10 | New York Knicks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 205 | 120-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT "Total" Blowout on Knicks/Bulls UNDER 205
Bottom Line: Odds makers have set the bar too high tonight. Chicago is 18-8 Under when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons. The Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings between these teams and a perfect 9-0 in the Knicks' last 9 Thursday games. Because of the betting attention that big market teams like the Bulls and Knicks receive, odds makers really look to trap the public, especially in these national TV games. I like this one to come in 10 points Under the number. |
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11-03-10 | San Antonio Spurs -1 v. Phoenix Suns | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major Wednesday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -1
Bottom Line: The Suns swept the Spurs in the playoffs last season, but that Phoenix team had Amare Stoudemire. This one doesn't, but that won't change the fact that San Antonio will be out for some serious revenge. Nash often struggles against quicker guards, and he'll have a heck of a time sticking with Tony Parker tonight. Plus, a finally healthy Tim Duncan will have his way in the post without the younger, more athletic Stoudemire in the paint. San Antonio has the better players and it is the better defensive side. In a huge revenge spot, I'm backing the Spurs. |
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11-03-10 | Indiana Pacers -1.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | 75-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NBA Surefire on Pacers -1.5
Bottom Line: This is a terrible spot for Philly, which is playing back-to-back off an overtime loss at Washington last night. It is also playing against a team that has had its number. The Pacers just beat the 76ers by 13 points last weekend, which marked the third straight win for Indiana in the series. It is also worth noting that all 3 of those wins have come by at least 11 points. Philly is an awful 1-12 ATS in home games off a road loss since the beginning of last season, losing these contests by an average score of 101.5 to 92.5. Take the Pacers. |
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11-01-10 | Toronto Raptors v. Sacramento Kings -4 | 108-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Major Monday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings -4
Bottom Line: Great spot for the Kings as they will be jacked up for their first home contest of the season against a Raptors team playing on the road for the first time. The Kings are 11-2 SU & 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games against the Raptors, winning these games by an average score of 105 to 92. Also, the favorite is a perfect 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings. I'm laying the points. |
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10-31-10 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Lakers -9.5 | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -9.5
Bottom Line: The Warriors don't match up well with the size and length of the Lakers, which is a big reason why LA has won 9 straight in the series. The Warriors find themselves at an even bigger disadvantage today with Stephen Curry out with an ankle injury. Playing their first road game of the season without their starting point guard spells disaster against a two-time defending NBA champs. Lay the points with LA. |
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10-30-10 | Portland Trail Blazers -4.5 v. New York Knicks | 100-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Major Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Trail Blazers -4.5
Bottom Line: I'll take the rested Blazers here against a Knicks team that expended a lot of energy in last night's loss at Boston. Plays on road favorites (PORTLAND) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more, against an opponent coming off a game with a combined score of 205 points or more, are 59-27 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by 8.4 points on average. Also, the Trail Blazers are a terrific 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road favorite. Lay the points. |
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10-29-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 209.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Total (ESPN) on Lakers/Suns UNDER 209.5
Bottom Line: The Suns won't have the gas to run and gun this one over the total after playing in Utah last night. Plus, the Under has been a money play on the Lakers when they have had 2 days to rest the last couple seasons. In fact, the Under is 24-9 in the Lakers' last 33 games in this situation, and we are only seeing a total of 196.6 points scored on average. The Under is also a perfect 8-0 in the Lakers' last 8 Friday night games. Bet the Under. |
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10-29-10 | Denver Nuggets v. New Orleans Hornets +1.5 | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA **TOP SIDE** on Hornets +1.5
Bottom Line: New Orleans on its home floor with a healthy Chris Paul has cashed a lot of tickets the last few seasons, and I believe it cashes another one here. The shorthanded Nuggets (minus Kenyon Martin and Chris Andersen) are a pathetic 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. This team is also 2-12-3 ATS in its last 17 games following a win of more than 10 points. Take the Hornets at home. |
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10-28-10 | Washington Wizards v. Orlando Magic -13.5 | Top | 83-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Magic -13.5
Bottom Line: Without Arenas in the lineup tonight, the Wizards will be without their best scorer. That's not good news considering they are up against one of the best teams in the entire league. Without Arenas, the Wizards will be asking a lot of rookie PG John Wall. I'm expected him to be very turnover prone early in the year as he has to carry the load. The Magic are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Magic are deep, and they'll be out to lay the wood to send a message to division rival Miami that they're still the team to beat. |
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10-27-10 | Portland Trailblazers v. Los Angeles Clippers +3 | Top | 98-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Late Night Bailout (ESPN) on Clippers +3
Bottom Line: I expect major improvement from the Clippers this season with former No. 1 draft pick Blake Griffin joining Chris Kaman to create a dominant front court. Plus, this is a very tough spot for Portland, playing back-to-back nights to start the season with the second game coming on the road. The Blazers haven't started 2-0 since 2004. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. I expect them to be the more energized team tonight. Take the points. |
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10-27-10 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 184.5 | 86-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bobcats/Mavericks UNDER 184.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings between these teams, and I expect this trend to continue tonight. The Under is 9-1-1 in the Bobcats' last 11 games as a road underdog and 4-0-1 in the Mavericks' last 5 games as a home favorite. Charlotte boasted the No. 1 scoring defense in the league last season. Dallas made huge defensive improvements as the year went on, and I expect it to be a Top 10 defensive team this season. I'm betting the Under with these 2 strong defenses battling it out tonight. |
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10-26-10 | Houston Rockets +7.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 110-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Rockets +7.5
Bottom Line: I'm expecting a very good season out of the Houston Rockets this year, and they'll go hard after the target on LA's back tonight. Houston has a lot of young athletic guys that pose matchup problems for LA. That's why Houston played LA to a 1-point game in the first meeting last season and defeated the Lakers in the second meeting. Not having Andrew Bynum hurts the Lakers, and Kobe Bryant and Lamar Odom are both banged up to start the season. The Lakers will be in the running for another title by season's end, but tonight I like the Rockets to steal the show. |
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10-26-10 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics UNDER 189 | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Primetime Total on Heat/Celtics UNDER 189
Bottom Line: It's going to take LeBron James, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh a little while to figure out how to play with one another. These guys are all used to seeing a lot of the basketball, and now they must learn how to share it. I don't expect the Miami offense to start looking like a well-oiled machine until this dynamic is ironed out. In addition, the Heat are up against a very good defensive team tonight. The Under is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings between these teams in Boston. Bet the Under. |
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06-17-10 | Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 186 | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Finals Game 7 "Total" Dominator on Celtics/Lakers OVER 186
Bottom Line: We've made some good money by pounding the Under in this series, but now is the time to go the other way as plays Over on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (BOSTON) - after scoring 35 points or less in the first half last game, against an opponent which played in a game with a combined score of 175 points or less, are 29-8 the last 5 seasons. We are seeing an average of 191.9 total points scored in this situation. With the intensity high, I expect to see a lot of fouls, and therefore a lot of free throw attempts, to push this one Over. |
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06-17-10 | Boston Celtics +7 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 7 BOMB on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: Boston's Game 6 blowout loss was an aberration. I know the Celtics will be without Perkins tonight, but they are still not getting the respect they deserve with this line. With Perkins out, Big Baby and Rasheed Wallace will get more playing time, and Boston is better offensively when those two are in the game. It takes the heart of a champion to bounce back after such a devastating defeat, and Boston certainly has that. In fact, Boston is 16-4 ATS in road games off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points since 1996, winning these games by an average of 1.1 points. And over the last 2 seasons, Boston is 8-0 ATS in road games when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent, winning in these spots by an impressive 12.3 points. The Celtics are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss period. Take the points as Boston has an excellent opportunity to pull off the upset tonight. |
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06-15-10 | Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers -6.5 | Top | 67-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Lakers -6.5/Under 189
Bottom Line: This is a must-win Game 6 for the Lakers, and I have no doubts that they will take care of business tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 at home in the playoffs, and those 9 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. Boston is responsible for that lone loss, but the Lakers are too good of a team to suffer 3 straight defeats to anyone. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against it. The reason why LA is behind in this series is because Bryant and Gasol haven't had much help. I expect Odom, Artest and Fisher to be much more comfortable on their home floor tonight, and they will provide the Lakers with the extra offensive spark they've been missing. We've seen these two teams play to the Under each of the last 3 games, and the Under is now 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Game 5 went Under easily despite Boston shooting over 56% from the field. This is a strong reflection of how slow the pace of play has been. The Lakers weren't happy with their defensive effort in Game 5, and you can bet it will trigger a much stronger defensive performance tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in the NBA finals are 38-8 since 1996, including a perfect 4-0 over the last seasons. And we are only seeing an average of 176.3 total points scored in these games. We'll play the Lakers -6.5 and the Under 189 as our NBA Finals Parlay of the Year. Best of Luck! |
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06-15-10 | Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 189 | Top | 67-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Lakers -6.5/Under 189
Bottom Line: This is a must-win Game 6 for the Lakers, and I have no doubts that they will take care of business tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 at home in the playoffs, and those 9 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. Boston is responsible for that lone loss, but the Lakers are too good of a team to suffer 3 straight defeats to anyone. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against it. The reason why LA is behind in this series is because Bryant and Gasol haven't had much help. I expect Odom, Artest and Fisher to be much more comfortable on their home floor tonight, and they will provide the Lakers with the extra offensive spark they've been missing. We've seen these two teams play to the Under each of the last 3 games, and the Under is now 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Game 5 went Under easily despite Boston shooting over 56% from the field. This is a strong reflection of how slow the pace of play has been. The Lakers weren't happy with their defensive effort in Game 5, and you can bet it will trigger a much strong defensive performance tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in the NBA finals are 38-8 since 1996, including a perfect 4-0 over the last seasons. And we are only seeing an average of 176.3 total points scored in these games. We'll play the Lakers -6.5 and the Under 189 as our NBA Finals Parlay of the Year. Best of Luck! |
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06-13-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 188.5 | 86-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major Game 5 "Total" Dominator on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 188.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers have lowered the number again, knowing that the public would be ready to jump on the Over. That's exactly what has happened, but I have to go against the grain and stick with the Under tonight. This game is incredibly important. Of the 25 finals series' that have been tied at 2-all, the Game 5 winner has gone on to win 19 of them. With so much at stake tonight, I expect the defensive intensity to go up yet another notch. Game 4 marked the first time in this series both teams shot over 44% from the field in the same game and we only saw 185 points. With the defense expected to be even better tonight, the point production should go down. And you have to consider this: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points, in the finals, are 36-8 since 1996. We'll bet the Under. |
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06-13-10 | Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 86-92 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 5 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +2.5
Bottom Line: I absolutely love the Lakers' chances of winning Game 5 outright tonight. Since 1996, the Lakers are 20-6 when tied in a playoff series. They are a perfect 3-0 in this situation in the 2010 NBA playoffs and a perfect 9-0 over the last 3 years in this spot. It is also worth noting that the Lakers are a perfect 2-0 after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season and 12-1 over the last 3 seasons in this spot. In a bounce back spot, with an extra day of rest on Bynum's knee, I'll take the Lakers and the points tonight. Best of Luck! |
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06-10-10 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 190.5 | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major Game 4 "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 190.5
Bottom Line: Based on opening lines, we have seen the Under cash in 2 of the first 3 games of this series. The pace of Game 2 was on track for the Under as well, but Ray Allen had an abnormally good shooting night to push that one Over. Both teams have been great defensively in this series as the intensity has picked up each game. I expect this pattern to continue and for the result to be another Under winner. The Under is 5-1 in the Celtics' last 6 home games and 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. The Under is also 14-6-1 the last 21 times the Lakers have been an underdog. We'll ride these trends here tonight. |