12-03-16 |
UL-Lafayette v. UL-Monroe +6.5 |
|
30-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Saturday NCAAF *UPSET SPECIAL* on Louisiana-Monroe +6.5
The Key: This has been a very closely-contested in-state rivalry. Six of the last 7 meetings between UL-Monroe and UL-Lafayette have been decided by a touchdown or less. Monroe has played pretty well at home this year, beating both South Alabama and Texas State, while only losing to Idaho by 3. That's an Idaho team that is 5-2 in Sen Belt play this year. The Warhawks have been running the ball well in conference play as they average 204.3 rushing yards per game. Lafayette is in a prime letdown spot in this game. It beat Arkansas State 24-19 at home last week, handing the Red Wolves their first conference loss of the season. But the Rajin' Cajuns were thoroughly outplayed in that game as they were outgained by 229 yards. They shouldn't be laying nearly a touchdown on the road to the Warhawks a week later in this clear letdown spot, especially considering the Warhawks have had 2 full weeks to prepare for this game after last playing on November 19. The underdog is 16-2-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings. Take Louisiana-Monroe.
|
12-03-16 |
Oklahoma State +11 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
20-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* Okie State/Oklahoma Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma State +11
The Key: This is a much more evenly-matched game than this spread would indicate, and thus I find value on the double-digit underdog in this rivalry game with the Big 12 title at stake. Oklahoma State is outscoring teams by 13.2 PPG this season and Oklahoma by 14.8 PPG. The Sooners can't be trusted to cover this big number because they have their worst defense in years. They allow 30.5 points, 443 yards per game and 5.9 yards per play this season. Two of the three meetings between these teams between 2012 and 2014 went to overtime, and the other was decided by 9 points. But the Cowboys will be out for revenge from their 58-23 loss to the Sooners last year. That was closer than the score as the Sooners only outgained the Cowboys by 67 yards. The Cowboys have actually played their best on the road this season as they won 44-20 at Kansas, 43-37 at Kansas State and 31-6 at TCU. They were dogs in those latter two games. The Cowboys are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after rushing for more than 200 yards in their previous game. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Oklahoma State.
|
12-03-16 |
Temple v. Navy UNDER 61 |
|
34-10 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Temple/Navy AAC Championship *CA$H COW* on UNDER 61
The Key: Navy has been putting up video game-type numbers offensively of late against very suspect defenses, which has inflated this total. They scored 75 on SMU just last week to cover the over themselves. But now they'll be up against one of the best defenses they've faced all year. Temple only gives up 17.8 points and 273 yards per game. And the Owls are elite at stopping the run, giving up only 128 rushing yards per game and 3.6 per carry. I don't expect either team to get to 30 points in this game as it's played on the ground as both teams prefer to run the football. Temple averages 42 rushes compared to 27 passes per game. There will be plenty of punts in this game, something that Navy hasn't been accustomed to doing in recent weeks. Navy is 26-10 UNDER in its last 36 vs. teams who possess the ball for 32 or more minutes per game. The UNDER is 4-0 in Owls last 4 games overall. The UNDER is 7-2 in Owls last 9 games vs. a team with a winning record. Each of the last 6 meetings between these teams have seen 60 or fewer combined points and an average of 53 points per game. There is clearly value with the UNDER in this contest. Take the UNDER.v
|
12-02-16 |
Rockets v. Nuggets -4 |
|
128-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Rockets/Nuggets ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Denver -4
The Key: The Rockets just played a double-OT thriller in Golden State last night and pulled off the upset as double-digit underdogs. They aren't going to have much left to give tonight here on the road against the Denver Nuggets a night later. While Houston should have an off game because of the circumstances, Denver should be primed for once of its best games of the season as it will be excited to play on National TV on ESPN. Plus the Nuggets have lost 3 of their last 4 and need a win here. Denver has won 3 straight meetings with Houston while covering the spread in all three. The Nuggets are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing at least 105 points in 5 straight games coming in. Take Denver.
|
12-02-16 |
Clippers v. Pelicans +5.5 |
|
114-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans +5.5
The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers are coming off a huge road win over the Cleveland Cavaliers last night. Now they're in a prime letdown spot here against the New Orleans Pelicans, and they're a tired team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after losing in double-OT to Brooklyn on Tuesday as well. The Pelicans are 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS since Jrue Holiday returned to the lineup. Four of those wins have come by 12 points or more as well. They are playing their best ball of the season and are primed to upset the Clippers here, especially since they've had 2 days off in between games. New Orleans is 26-12 ATS as a home dog over the last 3 seasons. The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Clippers are 10-24 ATS in the last 34 meetings and 5-16 ATS in the last 21 road meetings. Take New Orleans.
|
12-02-16 |
Pistons v. Hawks -2.5 |
Top |
121-85 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Hawks -2.5
The Key: The Atlanta Hawks are hungry for a victory after losing 4 straight and 7 of their last 8 games overall against a brutal schedule where 7 of the 8 games were on the road. It's safe to say they're happy to return home tonight, where they are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS and winning by 6.5 points per game. They get to face a terrible road team in the Pistons, who are 3-8 SU & 3-8 ATS on the road this season and losing by 7.1 points per game. The Pistons are coming off back-to-back road wins, which is rare for them and has them overvalued now. The chances of them winning 3 straight on the highway are slim to none, especially against a hungry team like the Hawks. Bets against any team off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog; tired team playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 28-7 ATS over the last 5 seasons. The Hawks are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take Atlanta.
|
12-02-16 |
SIU-Edwardsville +26 v. Indiana |
|
60-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on SIU-Edwardsville +26
The Key: The Indiana Hoosiers are primed for a letdown tonight. They are coming off a 76-67 home win over North Carolina on Wednesday just two days ago. They won't give the same kind of effort they gave in that one as they probably just feel like they need to show up to win tonight against SIU-Edwardsville. We saw this same effect after Indiana beat Kansas in its season opener. It came back flat the next game and only beat UMass-Lowell 100-78 while failing to cover as 28.5-point favorites. SIU-Edwardsville is a decent team that is 4-3 this season with three outright wins as underdogs against Hawaii, FAU and IUPUI. It also picked up a big 76-64 road win at Grand Canyon last time out and has had 3 days off since to prepare for the Hoosiers. The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. The Hoosiers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. SIU-Edwardsville is 22-8 ATS in its last 30 games after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog. Indiana is 11-24 ATS in its last 35 games following an ATS win. Take SIU-Edwardsville.
|
12-02-16 |
Ohio v. Western Michigan UNDER 59 |
|
23-29 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Ohio/WMU MAC Championship *CA$H COW* on UNDER 59
The Key: These are two of the best defensive teams in the MAC, which is a big reason why both are in the MAC Championship Game tonight. Western Michigan only allows 19.2 points per game this season while Ohio gives up just 21.7 points per game. The Broncos are allowing only 18.4 points per game in MAC play, while the Bobcats are yielding only 16.7 points per game in conference action. Ohio also features a below-average offense that puts up 21.9 points per game in MAC play. All of these numbers really show that the books have set this 59-point total too high. The UNDER is 10-1-1 in all Ohio games this season, including 7-0-1 in all Oho conference games. Take the UNDER.
|
12-01-16 |
Heat v. Jazz -9.5 |
|
111-110 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Utah Jazz -9.5
The Key: The Utah Jazz have won 4 straight games by an average of 20 points per game. Look for their domination to continue tonight against the Miami Heat. The Heat are running on fumes right now as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They are also dealing with some injuries, and after playing in the altitude last night in Denver, they won't have a whole lot left to give tonight. The Jazz are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 vs. a team with a losing record and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Heat at 12-27 ATS in their last 39 following a road win. Take Utah.
|
12-01-16 |
Cowboys -3 v. Vikings |
|
17-15 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* DAL/MIN Thursday NFL *CA$H COW* on Dallas -3
The Key: The Minnesota Vikings continue to get too much respect from the books. They got off to a 5-0 start but were a flawed team. Now their true colors have shown during a 1-5 slide since. The Vikings cannot move the football because they have no running game and their offensive line is so banged up that it's one of the worst in the NFL. The Cowboys have the best offensive line in the NFL and the best rushing attack. They can move the football on this Minnesota defense. This is a very small number for them to have to cover here in what is a complete mismatch on paper. The Cowboys are 9-1-1 ATS in all games this season. Dallas is 7-0 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 3 years. Take Dallas.
|
12-01-16 |
Clippers v. Cavs UNDER 215.5 |
Top |
113-94 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* Clippers/Cavs TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on UNDER 215.5
The Key: This is a battle between two of the best teams in the NBA. Both squads will be laying it all on the line defensively tonight to get a win. The Clippers are coming off 3 straight losses, while the Cavs are coming off an upset loss to the Bucks where both teams didn't play well defensively. That will be the focus heading into tonight's game. The Clippers rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency this season. Clippers games have averaged roughly 207 combined points per game while Cavs games have averaged roughly 214. I think there's some value with the UNDER tonight. Bets on the UNDER in a game involving 2 very good teams who outscore their opponents by 7-plus points per game after a combined score of 205 points or more are 43-13 over the last 5 seasons. Take the UNDER.
|
11-30-16 |
Spurs v. Mavs UNDER 189.5 |
|
94-87 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Wednesday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Spurs/Mavs UNDER 189.5
The Key: We have two of the slowest teams in the NBA matching up tonight in the Spurs and Mavs. The Mavs rank 29th in the NBA in pace this season while the Spurs are 27th. The Mavs haven't done much with those few possessions as they also rank 28th in offensive efficiency. The Spurs have beaten the Mavs 96-91 in consecutive meetings for 187 combined points in each. The most recent was on November 21st just over a week ago, so these teams are familiar with one another. And I can't see them getting to 190 combined points here, which is what it would take to top this 189.5-point total. The UNDER is 9-2 in Spurs last 11 vs. NBA Northwester Division opponents. The UNDER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. The UNDER is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 home games. Take the UNDER.
|
11-30-16 |
Rutgers +15 v. Miami (Fla) |
|
61-73 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Rutgers +15
The Key: Rutgers is off to a 6-0 start this season, yet continues to get no respect from the books here as 15-point dogs to the Miami Hurricanes. I realize that the Scarlet Knights have played a soft schedule, but they are certainly way improved this year as they returned three players who averaged at least 12.3 PPG last season. And it's clear that Miami is taking a big step back this year. That was evident in blowout losses to Iowa State (56-73) and Florida (56-65) over the weekend. The Scarlet Knights are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. The Hurricanes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Miami is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 vs. Big Ten opponents. Take Rutgers.
|
11-29-16 |
Pistons +3 v. Hornets |
|
112-89 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +3
The Key: The Detroit Pistons have owned up to their road woes as they are just 1-8 away from home this season. They realize it's a problem if they want to be a playoff contender, and look for them to tackle it head-on tonight. There's every reason they should win this game against Charlotte. The Hornets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days, one of the toughest situations you'll find in the NBA. I expect a pretty weak effort from them here tonight as they just don't have much left to give. The Pistons come in on 2 days' rest after last playing on Saturday. This is a huge scheduling advantage that they must capitalize on tonight. Take Detroit.
|
11-29-16 |
North Dakota State +18 v. Xavier |
Top |
55-85 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* Tuesday NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on North Dakota State +18
The Key: North Dakota State has been one of the best small school programs in the country throughout the years. They nearly made their 3rd straight NCAA Tournament appearance last season, falling just short with a loss to rival South Dakota State in the Summit League Championship Game. They brought back 4 starters from that team and 3 key reserves who all averaged at least 6.3 points per game last year. They're 5-2 this season thus far and looking to hang with a Top 25 program like Xavier. I think this is a bad spot for Xavier, After playing Missouri, Clemson, and Northern Iowa (twice) in their last 4 games, and with huge road games against both Baylor and Colorado on deck, this could be a sandwich game for the Musketeers. I don't expect them to bring the kind of effort it's going to take to beat this solid NDSU outfit by more than 18 points tonight. The Musketeers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Summit League foes. Take North Dakota State.
|
11-28-16 |
Packers v. Eagles OVER 47.5 |
Top |
27-13 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* GB/PHI ESPN National TV *Total* Annihilator on OVER 47.5
The Key: The Green Bay Packers still boast an explosive offense that has scored at least 24 points in 5 consecutive games. But their defense has been their downfall, giving up 30 or more points in 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 games overall. I expect this trend to continue as we see a shootout in Philadelphia tonight. The Eagles have had no problem putting up points at home as they average 27 points per game at home this season. Green Bay is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 road games after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points. The Packers are 7-0 OVER in road games after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games. Green Bay is 8-0 OVER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Philadelphia is 6-0 OVER vs. terrible defensive teams that allow 6 or more yards per play over the last 2 years. This is a combined 31-1 angle backing the OVER. Take the OVER.
|
11-28-16 |
Hornets -1 v. Grizzlies |
|
104-85 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets -1
The Key: The Charlotte Hornets opened as 2.5-point dogs and are now 1-point favorites. I completely agree with this move as they should beat the Memphis Grizzlies. They'll be out for revenge from a home loss to the Grizzlies on November 21st exactly one week ago today. And they should be able to get it because they are nearly 100% healthy, while the Grizzlies are battling several key injuries right now. They are without two starters in Chandler Parsons and James Ennis, and they are also without the best 6th man in the NBA in Zach Randolph. I can't see the Grizzlies even being competitive tonight this short-handed. Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Charlotte.
|
11-28-16 |
Arizona State v. Kentucky -16.5 |
|
69-115 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* ASU/Kentucky ESPN 2 *CA$H COW* on Kentucky -16.5
The Key: Somehow the Kentucky Wildcats continue to be undervalued. This is a team that gets a lot of public support but the books haven't been able to set their numbers high enough. The Wildcats have covered 4 straight games and have won all 6 games by 21 or more points during their 6-0 start, including a 21-point win over Michigan State as 6.5-point favorites. Arizona State isn't going to break this streak today. The Sun Devils are clearly down this season as they are 4-2 SU but 1-4-1 ATS. ASU lost to Northern Iowa 63-82 and Davidson 60-68 on neutral courts. Those two results alone show that the Sun Devils aren't going to be able to hang with one of the top teams in the country here. ASU is 8-20 ATS after winning 2 of its last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Kentucky is 9-2 ATS off a combined score of 155 points or more over the last 2 years. The Wildcats are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Wildcats are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games as a favorite. The Sun Devils are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Take Kentucky.
|
11-27-16 |
Clippers v. Pacers +10 |
|
70-91 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Dog of the Week on Indiana Pacers +10
The Key: The Indiana Pacers should not be catching double-digits at home to the Los Angeles Clippers today. The Clippers are overrated right now because they have the best record in the NBA. Bets on underdogs of 10 or more points after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in thier last 3 games, with a winning percentage between 40% & 49% on the season are 25-5 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Indiana.
|
11-27-16 |
Iowa State +4 v. Gonzaga |
|
71-73 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* Iowa State/Gonzaga NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State +4
The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones are a legit Top 25 team that can make a deep run in the NCAA Tournament because they have tremendous guard play across the board. They came through with their most complete performance of the season last time out in a 73-56 win over Miami. Now they're up against a Gonzaga team that isn't as strong as last year despite the 5-0 start against week competition. The Bulldogs beat Florida 77-72 last time out, and Iowa State is better than Florida. The Cyclones are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games. The Cyclones are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Bulldogs are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. Take Iowa State.
|
11-27-16 |
Chargers -2.5 v. Texans |
Top |
21-13 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Situational Game of the Year on San Diego Chargers -2.5
The Key: The Houston Texans are playing on a short week after returning from Mexico City and their Monday Night Football game against the Oakland Raiders. Now they'll be up against a San Diego Chargers team that is coming off their bye week and desperate for a win. Given this awful spot for the Texans and great one for the Chargers, I think the road team gets the job done today. The Chargers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Texans. Take San Diego.
|
11-26-16 |
Pistons v. Thunder -3.5 |
|
88-106 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5
The Key: This line has been bet down from -6.5 to -3.5 and I feel that we are now getting the right price to back the Thunder. I get the move because the Thunder played on overtime game last night against the Nuggets. But they showed a lot of fight in that game to end a 3-game losing streak. And now they'll want revenge from an 88-104 loss in Detroit back on November 14th just less than 3 weeks ago. They were in a bad spot there as they were on a back-to-back while the Pistons were not. And the Pistons also played yesterday in a 108-97 home win over the Clippers, so it's not like they'll be much fresher than the Thunder here. They'll be playing their 6th game in 9 days. And they could have a letdown off such a big win over the Clippers, plus the fact that they've already beaten the Thunder once this season. And the Pistons have been a terrible road game, going 1-7 SU & 1-7 ATS on the highway this season while losing by 11.3 points per game. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Oklahoma City.
|
11-26-16 |
Utah v. Colorado -9 |
|
22-27 |
Loss |
-109 |
22 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Utah/Colorado Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Colorado -9
The Key: Looking ahead last week this game appeared to be for all the marbles in the Pac-12 South. Colorado took care of its business with a home win over Washington State, but Utah failed to do the same. It was upset 30-28 at home by Oregon on a last-second touchdown. Talk about a deflating loss because now the Utes are eliminated from the Pac-12 race. I don't see them getting up emotionally for the Buffaloes this week after that loss to Oregon. The Buffaloes need a win and they'll be playing Washington in the Pac-12 title game. A loss would allow USC to partake. The Buffaloes have been undervalued all season as they are 10-1 ATS this year. They are 5-0 at home and winning by nearly 28 points per game. The Utes are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The Buffaloes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 meetings with the Buffaloes. Take Colorado.
|
11-26-16 |
Virginia -13 v. Providence |
|
63-52 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* Providence/Virginia Emerald Coast Classic *CA$H COW* on Virginia -13
The Key: The Virginia Cavaliers are clearly one of the best teams in the country this season. They haven't even been letting their opponents come up for air. They have won each of their first 5 games by at least 24 points. None were more impressive than their 74-41 win over Iowa yesterday. Their suffocating defense is only giving up 39.2 points and 29.3% shooting this season. Providence is in rebuild mode after losing its two best players from last year in Ben Bentil (21.1 PPG, 7.7 RPG) and Kris Dunn (16.4 PPG, 6.2 APG, 5.3 RPG). The Friars erased a double-digit deficit yesterday to beat a down Memphis team 60-51. But they won't have much success here against this Virginia defense because they don't shoot the ball very well, especially from 3-point range, and the Cavaliers force you to shoot from outside with their pack line defense. The Cavaliers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Virginia is 14-3-1 ATS in its last 18 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Virginia.
|
11-26-16 |
Virginia +18.5 v. Virginia Tech |
|
10-52 |
Loss |
-106 |
14 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Virginia +18.5
The Key: This is a great situation to back Virginia. The Virginia Tech Hokies just took a collective sigh of relief when they saw North Carolina get upset by NC State on Friday. That's because the Hokies were gifted the ACC Coastal Division title with that upset. Now they don't have nearly as much at stake in this game, and they will most certainly be more worried about saving up for Clemson next week in the ACC Championship Game. But this game means everything to Virginia, which won't be going to a bowl game, so it will be their Super Bowl. We've seen the Cavaliers be competitive all season as they haven't lost once by more than 21 points this year. Bronco Mendenhall is getting his players to show up week in and week out. This has been a very tight series recently. The Cavaliers are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings as they've all been decided by 10 points or less, and by 20 points total. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Virginia is 18-8 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Cavaliers are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Hokies are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take Virginia.
|
11-26-16 |
Michigan v. Ohio State -5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Loss |
-106 |
14 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* Michigan/Ohio State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State -5
The Key: This is a very cheap price for the Ohio State Buckeyes here. They have the home-field edge and a big edge at quarterback with J.T. Barrett over John O'Korn. The Buckeyes are beating teams by 42 points per game at home this season. We saw Michigan lose on the road at Iowa and struggle beating Michigan State away from home. We also saw O'Korn struggle against Indiana at home last week. Ohio State has won 11 of its last 12 meetings with Michigan and there hasn't been an upset in this series in 11 years. Urban Meyer is 8-0 ATS when favored by less than 10 points or an underdog in his last 8 games as a head coach. Take Ohio State.
|
11-25-16 |
Memphis v. Providence -2 |
|
51-60 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Providence -2
The Key: Providence has been impressive in its two toughest games this season to show what it is capable of. In the opener it beat a very good Vermont team that is likely headed to the NCAA Tournament 80-58 as only 4.5-point home favorites. Then it traveled to Ohio State and only lost 67-72 as 6.5-point road dogs. Memphis is starting over with first-year head coach Tubby Smith. The Tigers are 4-0, but they haven't played anyone as their four opponents have been UTRGV, Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Savannah State and McNeese State, all at home. I like the fact that the Friars are battle-tested here having played two tough opponents already, while the Tigers don't have the same luxury, and this will be the first road game for Memphis. Providence is 8-0 ATS away from home when playing its 3rd game in a week over the last 3 seasons. Memphis is 7-17 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 years. Take Providence.
|
11-25-16 |
Clippers v. Pistons +6.5 |
|
97-108 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +6.5
The Key: This is a very nice price for the Detroit Pistons at home tonight. They have had one of the more underrated home-court advantages over the past few seasons. They are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS at home this season with their only two losses coming to Boston (92-94) and Houston (96-99) by a combined 5 points. They are actually outscoring opponents by 13.1 points per game at home this year. The Los Angeles Clippers are getting too much respect from the books now after their NBA-best 14-2 start to the season. The Clippers are 9-22 ATS in their last 31 games as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. The Pistons are 8-0 ATS in home games revenging a loss where they scored 85 points or fewer over the last 3 seasons. The home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Detroit.
|
11-25-16 |
Washington -6 v. Washington State |
|
45-17 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Washington/Washington State Apple Cup *CA$H COW* on Washington -6
The Key: The Washington Huskies are by far the superior team in this matchup. They have played the tougher conference schedule having to face USC, Utah and Stanford. Washington State has only had to play one of those three teams this season and has benefited from a watered-down conference schedule. But the Cougars took a step up in class last week and lost 24-38 at Colorado while getting outgained by 141 yards. Washington owns Washington State, going 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. All 6 wins have come by at least a touchdown and 5 have come by double-digits. They won 45-10 as only 7.5-point home favorites last year. Their defense will be the difference in this game as it is way better than the stop unit Washington State has to offer. And the Huskies only give up 196 passing yards per game and 6.0 per attempt, so they are equipped to stop Luke Falk and the Cougar passing attack. Washington is 6-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive ATS losses over the last 3 seasons. The Huskies are 6-0 ATS in road games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 5.9 or more yards per play. Take Washington.
|
11-25-16 |
Northern Illinois -5 v. Kent State |
Top |
31-21 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Friday *HEAVY HITTER* on Northern Illinois -5
The Key: The Northern Illinois Huskies are playing very well here down the stretch at 4-3 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They have found their QB of the future in Daniel Santacaterina, who led them back from 21-0 down to beat Eastern Illinois last week. He rushed for 91 yards in the second half alone after taking over for their injured starting QB. Kent State is down to its 3rd-string QB now after losing 7-42 at Bowling Green last week. That was an alarming loss and it's hard to tell what kind of effort you are going to get from the Golden Flashes this week. The Huskies are 8-0 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings winning seven of those by at least 7 points. The Huskies are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Northern Illinois.
|
11-24-16 |
LSU -6.5 v. Texas A&M |
|
54-39 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* LSU/Texas A&M ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on LSU -6.5
The Key: LSU is by far the superior team in this matchup with Texas A&M. The Tigers do have 4 losses, but they came to Wisconsin, Auburn, Alabama and Florida, and they could have won every one of those games. Texas A&M is on a downward spiral while going 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games overall. The Aggies barely beat lowly UTSA 23-10 last week after falling to both Mississippi State and Ole Miss, two teams that LSU has beaten this season. The Aggies will get run over in this game defensively behind the power rushing attack of the Tigers. The Aggies have allowed 282-plus rushing yards in 3 of their last 6 contests. LSU is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last 5 meetings with Texas A&M. Look for that series dominance to continue as the Tigers send Ed Orgeron out a winner in the regular season finale. Take LSU.
|
11-24-16 |
Redskins +7 v. Cowboys |
Top |
26-31 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* WAS/DAL NFC East Game of the Month on Washington Redskins +7
The Key: The Washington Redskins will be out for revenge from their 23-27 home loss to the Dallas Cowboys back in Week 2. That was the start of a 9-game winning streak both straight up and ATS for the Cowboys. They are getting way too much respect from the books now as the Redskins were 3-point favorites in that first game, and now they're 7-point dogs in the rematch, a whopping 10-point swing. The Redskins continue flying under the radar as they've gone 6-1-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. Statistically these teams are very similar as the Redskins outgain teams by 48 yards per game and 0.4 per play while the Cowboys outgain teams by 65 yards per game and 0.3 yards per play. The Redskins are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 trips to Dallas, so clearly the Cowboys don't have much of a home-field advantage in this series at all. Take Washington.
|
11-24-16 |
New Mexico v. Virginia Tech -5 |
|
72-92 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* Thursday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Virginia Tech -5
The Key: Virginia Tech came out of nowhere to finish 6th in the loaded ACC last season. Buzz Williams has this Hokie basketball program on the rise and flying under the radar once again this season. He returns 3 starters this season, including each of his top two scorers in Zach LeDay (15.5 PPG, 7.9 RPG last season) and Seth Allen (14.4 PPG). It's no surprise that both LeDay (18.3 PPG, 9.7 RPG this season) and Allen (13.3 PPG) are leading the team in scoring once again this season. But they are getting plenty of held as they have 5 other players averaging at least 8.7 points per game. New Mexico only beat Idaho State by 11, Houston Baptist by 16 and New Mexico State by 13 in its first 3 games this season and appears down a notch this year. The Lobos simply aren't as good away from home, where they have one of the best advantages in the country. New Mexico is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 neutral site games. Virginia Tech is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games overall. The Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a win. Take Virginia Tech.
|
11-23-16 |
Thunder v. Kings -2.5 |
|
101-116 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Thunder/Kings Western Conference *BAILOUT* on Sacramento -2.5
The Key: The wheels have fallen off in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 2-6 SU & 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. This is a tired team right now as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 7th game in 11 days. The Sacramento Kings are rested as they have had 2 days off and will be playing just their 4th game in 12 days. They only lost by 5 to the Spurs, by 6 to the Clippers and beat the Raptors by 3 in their last three contests, which are three of the best teams in the NBA. The Thunder are 3-15 ATS in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Oklahoma City is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games. The Kings are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Thunder are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Sacramento.
|
11-23-16 |
Vermont v. Houston -7 |
Top |
71-72 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB Wednesday Night *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -7
The Key: The Houston Cougars took a big leap forward last season in Kelvin Sampson's second year. They went 22-10 and are going to make a run at the NCAA Tournametn this season with 3 starters back, including Damyean Dotson (13.9 PPG, 6.8 RPG), Rob Gray Jr (16.0 PPG) and Galen Robinson Jr (7.9 PPG, 3.4 APG). The Cougars are 4-0 this season and winning by 29.2 points per game. They covered easily in their two games with point spreads, beating George Mason 93-56 as 12-point favorites and South Dakota 85-58 as 13.5-point favorites. Vermont is off to a 5-1 start but overvalued as its loss came by 22 points as 4.5-point dogs to a down Providence team. The five wins have come against Quinnipiac, Marist (by 4), Wofford (by 1) and Hofstra. The Catamounts are outclassed here. Vermont is 3-14-2 ATS in its last 19 games following a win. The Cougars are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Sampson is 11-1 ATS after scoring 85 points or more in 2 straight games in all games he has coached. Take Houston.
|
11-23-16 |
Blazers v. Cavs -11.5 |
|
125-137 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Cleveland Cavaliers -11.5
The Key: I think we're actually getting a discount on the Cleveland Cavaliers for once because they have gone 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. But Lebron James returned to the lineup last time out, and they rolled the Pistons 104-81 at home. That was five days ago as they have had four days off in between games. They will be primed for a big performance tonight. The Blazers are running on fumes right now as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They have gone 1-4 straight up in their last 5 games, and they are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as they have been consistently overvalued. Portland is 1-9 ATS vs. good offensive teams who score 99-plus points per game this season. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Cleveland.
|
11-22-16 |
Pelicans v. Hawks -8.5 |
|
112-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks -8.5
The Key: The Atlanta Hawks have lost two straight road games to the Hornets and Knicks to fall to 9-4 on the season. It's safe to say they will be very hungry for a win tonight to get back on track. The opposite is true for the Pelicans, who are coming off two straight home wins over the Blazers and Hornets to get to 4-10 on the season. Now the Pelicans hit the road where they are 1-5 and losing by 7.3 points per game. The Hawks are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 10.0 points per game. Take Atlanta.
|
11-22-16 |
Central Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +1.5 |
Top |
21-26 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* CMU/EMU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Eastern Michigan +1.5
The Key: Eastern Michigan is looking to get to its first bowl game since 1987. The Eagles are 6-5 this season, but they may need another victory to secure their spot in the postseason. And after blowing a 21-0 lead and losing to Northern Illinois last week, they will come back very hungry on Senior Night here against Central Michigan. The Chippewas are also 6-5, but with their win over Oklahoma State earlier this season, they're probably going to a bowl either way. They had lost 3 straight before winning 27-20 over Ohio last week, but Ohio pretty much gave that game away by committing four turnovers. CMU was held to just 286 total yards in that game and outgained by 71 yards. EMU is 6-0 ATS off one or more consecutive unders this season. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Eastern Michigan.
|
11-22-16 |
Northwestern +4 v. Notre Dame |
|
66-70 |
Push |
0 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +4
The Key: The Northwestern Wildcats won 20 regular-season games for the first time in school history last year. They returned G Bryant McIntosh, who averaged 13.8 points and finished 9th in the nation in assists at 6.7 per game. Forward Aaron Falzon is back after nailing 63 3-pointers as a freshman last year. Forward Vic Law missed last season because of a shoulder injury, but he's back after averaging 7 points and 4.8 rebounds while shooting 35.5 percent from 3-point range as a freshman in 2014-15. Northwestern is 3-1 this season with a 31-point win over Miss Valley State, a 14-point win over Eastern Washington, a 2-point loss as 7.5-point dogs at Butler, and a dominant 19-point win over Texas yesterday as 3-point dogs. I like the value here with the Wildcats as I feel they are a better team than Notre Dame this year and will win outright. Notre Dame is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. The Wildcats are 10-1 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams who outrebound their opponents by 4-plus per game over the last 3 seasons. The Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. The Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Take Northwestern.
|
11-21-16 |
Texans v. Raiders OVER 45 |
Top |
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* HOU/OAK AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 45
The Key: The OVER is 7-2 in all Raiders games this season. Oakland has an elite offense that puts up 27.2 points and 401 yards per game, but a terrible defense that gives up 24.8 points and 398 yards per game. I look for a shootout in Mexico City tonight. The altitude will be a huge issue here as both of these teams will get fatigued in the second half. I expect the offenses to continue to roll in the second half, while the fatigue will hurt the defenses a lot more. You know the NFL wants to put on a show in Mexico City, so expect plenty of offensive fireworks in this game. Oakland is 10-1 OVER off one or more ATS wins over the last 2 seasons. Houston is 8-1 OVER in road games vs. teams who commit 60 or more penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons. Take the OVER.
|
11-21-16 |
Suns +8 v. Wizards |
|
101-106 |
Win
|
102 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Phoenix Suns +8
The Key: The Washington Wizards have only one win by 8 points or more this season in 12 games. I like the Suns for that reason alone. Plus the Suns have gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Washington. They haven't lost to the Wizards by more than 7 points in any of their last 6 meetings. The Suns are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS loss, and 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss by 10 points or more. Take Phoenix.
|
11-21-16 |
George Washington v. Georgia -4 |
|
73-81 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Georgia -4
The Key: The Georgia Bulldogs have won 20-plus games in 3 consecutive seasons. They are loaded with talent this year. Guard J.J. Frazier is the SEC's leading returning scorer at 16.9 points per game. Forward Yante Mate is the SEC's third-leading returning score at 16.5 points per game, and its second-leading returning rebounds are 8.0 boards per game. George Washington won the NIT last year, but lost 3 starters from that team that combined to average 35 points per game. The Colonials are 3-0 this season but all 3 games were at home, and they barely beat both Siena (77-75) and MD-East Shore (75-71). This team is clearly rebuilding now. Georgia is 8-0 ATS vs. teams who outrebound their opponents by 7-plus boards per game over the last 3 seasons. George Washington is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 road games vs. SEC opponents. Take Georgia.
|
11-20-16 |
Jazz v. Nuggets -3.5 |
|
91-105 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets -3.5
The Key: The Denver Nuggets have been one of the more underrated teams in the NBA as they are 8-4 ATS in their 12 games this season. They had yesterday off following an OT loss to the Raptors, and they'll be hungry to bounce back and get a win at home against the Jazz. And the Jazz have been overvalued, going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games. They are dealing with a plethora of injuries right now as starters George Hill and Derrick Favors are out, while key role player Boris Diaw is questionable. Now the Jazz are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a run-and-gun 102-111 loss at Houston last night. They won't have much left in the tank for the Nuggets, who also like the push the pace like Houston. The Nuggets are 8-0 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Take Denver.
|
11-20-16 |
Xavier -4.5 v. Northern Iowa |
|
67-59 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Northern Iowa/Xavier NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Xavier -4.5
The Key: Xavier is 4-0 this season and ranked as one of the top teams in the country. I really think they are capable of giving Villanova a run for its money in the Big East this season. Northern Iowa is off to a surprising 3-0 start, upsetting both Arizona State and Oklahoma. Off a huge OT win over Oklahoma, I believe this team is in a letdown spot tonight. And they are also overvalued because of that win, only catching 4.5 points against Xavier here. Northern Iowa actually trailed by 18 points in the second half against Oklahoma. But the Sooners miraculously went like 11 straight minutes without a field goal in the 2nd half to allow the comeback. That's not going to happen again. The Musketeers are 7-0 ATS vs. good 3 point shooting teams who make 37% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Xavier is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 neutral site games. The Musketeers are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 non-conference games. Take Xavier.
|
11-20-16 |
Dolphins v. Rams +1 |
|
14-10 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* Dolphins/Rams Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +1
The Key: The Dolphins are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers after winning each of their last 4 games. But those are the only 4 games where they have had a completely healthy, intact starting 5 offensive line. They were down a few starters before that run, and now they'll be down a few starters again this week as both C Mike Pouncey and T Branden Albert are expected to miss this game. That's bad news for the Dolphins, who will be up against arguably the best defensive line in the league in the Rams. Jared Goff will give the Rams' offense a spark this week as he can't be any worse than Case Keenum was. And the Dolphins stayed out West after playing the Chargers last week and probably haven't been all that focused leading up to this contest with so many distractions. Miami is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Dolphins are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Los Angeles.
|
11-20-16 |
Cardinals +2.5 v. Vikings |
Top |
24-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* NFC Game of the Month on Arizona Cardinals +2.5
The Key: The Arizona Cardinals remain one of the best teams in the NFL. Just look at the numbers they have put up this season. They are 1st in the NFL in yardage differential as they average 382.0 yards per game on offense and only give up 295.2 yards per game on defense, outgaining opponents by 86.8 yards per game. They face a Minnesota Vikings team that is 0-4 in its last 4 games overall with no signs of turning it around soon due to an offense that ranks as the worst in the NFL, averaging just 302.3 yards per game. This is a mismatch on paper and it will be a mismatch on the field, too. Take Arizona.
|
11-20-16 |
Jaguars +6 v. Lions |
|
19-26 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Jacksonville Jaguars +6
The Key: The Detroit Lions cannot be trusted to lay this kind of weight against anyone in the NFL. They may be 5-4 this season, but all 5 wins have come by 6 points or less. The only 6-point win came in overtime against the Vikings as the other 4 wins came by 4 points or fewer. Matthew Stafford has had plenty of late-game heroics to save this team, masking a defense that ranks 23rd in giving up 366.3 yards per game and 5.9 per play. The Jaguars have been better than their record, and they have the league's 8th-ranked defense in yielding 327.7 yards per game and 5.0 per play. They just have to quit turning the ball over, which has been their biggest problem. They are actually outgaining teams by 15.6 yards per game this season, while the Lions are getting outgained by 28.5 yards per game. Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a loss by 3 points or less to a division opponent, winning 25% or fewer of their games playing a team with a winning record are 28-8 ATS since 1983. The Lions are 27-50 ATS in their last 77 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Take Jacksonville.
|
11-19-16 |
Celtics v. Pistons -3.5 |
|
94-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons -3.5
The Key: The Detroit Pistons are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 17.4 points per game. The Pistons are 24-8 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Both the Celtics and Pistons played yesterday, but while the Pistons are relatively healthy, the Celtics are not. They are expected to be without Al Horford and Jae Crowder again tonight, and those are two of their best players. The Pistons are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days' rest. Detroit is 37-17-2 ATS in its last 56 home games. Take Detroit.
|
11-19-16 |
Stanford -10.5 v. California |
Top |
45-31 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Stanford -10.5
The Key: The Stanford Cardinal have won three straight games by double-digits, including a 24-point win at Arizona and a 25-point win at Oregon. They should keep this streak going against the Cal Bears, who have lost three straight games by at least 21 points each while getting outscored by an average of 31.7 points per game. Their defense has given up 662 yards per game during this stretch. Stanford will have its way rushing the football in this game as the Golden Bears allow 283 yards per game on the ground, and frankly I don't know how they are going to ever stop Stanford from scoring. The Cardinal have owned this series with 6 straight victories over Cal and 5 of those coming by 13 points or more. The Cardinal are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when favored by 10.5 to 21 points. Take Stanford.
|
11-19-16 |
St. Mary's -2.5 v. Dayton |
|
61-57 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Saturday Afternoon *CA$H COW* on St. Mary's -2.5
The Key: St. Mary's returned all 5 starters from a team that went 29-6 last season and barely missed out on the NCAA Tournament. They even beat Gonzaga twice during the regular season, but lost to them in the WCC Tournament. This team is going to be dynamite this year. Dayton returned 4 starters, but have 2 key players out now due to injury in Kendall Pollard (10.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG last year) and Josh Cunningham (7.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG). St. Mary's is 13-2 ATS off a game with 24 or more assists. The Gaels are 8-0 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Gaels are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games after scoring 95 points or more. Take St. Mary's.
|
11-19-16 |
Ohio State v. Michigan State +22 |
|
17-16 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Ohio State/Michigan State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Michigan State +22
The Key: Michigan State is coming off a 49-0 shutout win over Rutgers in its best performance of the season. This team is not just going to lay down as Mark Dantonio will have them ready. Remember, they put up 401 yards on Michigan's defense in a 9-point loss as 24.5-point dogs. In fact, Dantonio is 11-2 ATS the last 13 times he has been an underdog, and 8 of those have been outright upsets. Ohio State will be looking ahead to its huge showdown with Michigan next week. Urban Meyer is 1-5 ATS the week before playing Michigan. The Buckeyes are way overvalued right now after back-to-back 62-3 wins over Nebraska and Maryland. It's time to fade them this week in this rivalry game. Take Michigan State.
|
11-19-16 |
Oklahoma State v. TCU -5 |
|
31-6 |
Loss |
-120 |
12 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Oklahoma State/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on TCU -5
The Key: TCU head coach Gary Patterson is a ridiculous 14-1 ATS at home off a bye. And TCU is off a bye this week following its best performance of the season, a 62-22 road win at Baylor as 7-point underdogs. The Horned Frogs racked up 688 total yards in the win, including 431 rushing. And they held Baylor to a respectable 417 total yards. Oklahoma State is extremely fatigued right now off back-to-back barnburners in a 43-37 win at Kansas State two weeks ago, and a 45-44 home win over Texas Tech last week. The Cowboys are ripe for the picking, especially since their have their rivalry on deck against Oklahoma and could be looking ahead to that. Take TCU.
|
11-18-16 |
Raptors v. Nuggets +4 |
|
113-111 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets +4
The Key: The Toronto Raptors are in a very tough spot mentally here. They just played two huge games on back-to-back nights against the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers, the two teams who played in the NBA Finals each of the past two seasons. And now they face the Denver Nuggets and won't be able to emotionally get up for this game tonight. The Nuggets want revenge from a 102-105 road loss at Toronto in their first meeting this season. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Nuggets are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Bets against favorites in a game involving two bad defensive teams who allow at least 102 points per game, after scoring 110 points or more in 4 straight games are 27-6 ATS since 1996. The Nuggets are 14-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in 5 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Take Denver.
|
11-18-16 |
UNLV +28.5 v. Boise State |
Top |
25-42 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* UNLV/Boise NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNLV +28.5
The Key: The UNLV Rebels just beat Wyoming in Triple Overtime last Saturday. That gives these teams a common opponent at Boise State actually lost to Wyoming 30-28. And UNLV gained 653 yards against Wyoming and outgained them by 168 yards. Boise State was actually outgained by 2 yards by Wyoming in that loss. UNLV averages 253 rushing yards per game this season and will find success on the ground against Boise State. After all, the Broncos have allowed 215 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games to Wyoming, San Jose State and Hawaii. The Broncos haven't won by more than 14 points at home this season, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games at home dating back to last season. Take UNLV.
|
11-18-16 |
Siena +23 v. Kansas |
|
65-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Friday Night *CA$H COW* on Siena +23
The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks are in a prime letdown spot here. After losing to Indiana and then beating top-ranked Duke to open the season, there's no way they're going to be able to get up for Siena tonight. They will just be going through the motions and won't win by more than 23 points. Sienna is a very good team that went 21-13 last season with its only loss this season coming by 2 points at George Washington, which won the NIT last year and barely missed the NCAA Tournament. Siena has all five starters back from last season and each of its top five scorers. I love the experience on this team, and they won't be intimidated by Kansas. They have five players back who averaged double-digits scoring last year. Saints coach Jimmy Patsos is 9-1 ATS in road games after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more in all games he has coached. Take Siena.
|
11-17-16 |
Saints v. Panthers -3 |
Top |
20-23 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NO/CAR Thursday NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Carolina Panthers -3
The Key: The Carolina Panthers had won 3 straight meetings with New Orleans by an average of 13 points per game before losing 38-41 to them on the road earlier this season. I think they get their revenge here Thursday night to hold on to slim hopes of making the playoffs. This is the make-or-break game for the Panthers, who blew a 17-0 lead to the Chiefs last week and lost despite dominating that game. Bets on favorites revenging a loss by 7 points or less while also coming off an upset loss as a favorite are 27-6 ATS over the last 10 seasons. Take Carolina.
|
11-17-16 |
76ers v. Wolves -11 |
|
86-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Minnesota Timberwolves -11
The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They will be missing two key players tonight in Jahlil Okafor and Nik Stauskas, who combined for 34 points last night against Washington. I think the 76ers will show their fatigue here and fail to keep this game against the Minnesota Timberwolves competitive. The 76ers are 0-4 on the road this season and getting outscored by 17.7 points per game. The 76ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS in its last four games playing on zero rest. Take Minnesota.
|
11-17-16 |
Louisville v. Houston +15 |
|
10-36 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Louisville/Houston ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Houston +15
The Key: The Houston Cougars have kind of just been going through the motions over the past month. Because they've had upset losses to Navy and SMU, they are clearly undervalued right now. But you can bet that Houston will get up for this game against Louisville. Let's not forget that Houston beat Oklahoma 33-23 and it is fully capable of beating Louisville when it brings its 'A' game. And this will be a hostile atmosphere at home. Louisville's 44-12 win over Wake Forest was very misleading last week. It actually trailed 12-3 midway through the 3rd quarter. The Cardinals scored 34 points in the 4th quarter of that game. I think that 'blowout' win has provided us with some line value here. Bets on home dogs of 14.5 or more points off 2 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season are 38-10 ATS since 1992. The Cougars are 7-0 ATS as underdogs over the last 3 seasons. Take Houston.
|
11-17-16 |
Northern Iowa v. Arizona State -4 |
|
82-63 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Thursday Afternoon *CA$H COW* on Arizona State -4
The Key: Bobby Hurley is now in his second season at Arizona State and big improvements can be expected. Two key starters return from last year's team in Tra Holder (14.2 PPG) and Obinna Oleka (9.6 PPG, 6.4 RPG). Guard Shannon Evans followed Hurley from Buffalo, sitting out last season due to transfer rules. But he was Arizona State's best player in practice at times and will make significant contributions this season. The Suns Devils are 2-0 SU & 1-0-1 ATS this season, winning by 18 over Portland State as 18-point favorites and by 22 over Cal Poly as 14.5-point favorites. They are clearly undervalued in the early going. Northern Iowa is overvalued after making the NCAA Tournament last season and showing well. But the Panthers lost 3 starters and 3 of their top 4 scorers from that team. They can be expected to get out to a slow start this season as a result. Northern Iowa is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games off a win by 30 points or more. Bets against neutral court underdogs in the first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8 or more wins in their last 10 games, good team from last season that won 60% to 80% of their games are 22-4 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Arizona State.
|
11-16-16 |
Rockets v. Thunder -2 |
Top |
103-105 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City Thunder -2
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder will be hungry for a win following 4 consecutive losses. I like the price we are getting here as they basically just have to win to cover the spread. I like the fact that the home team has won 7 of the last 9 meetings between OKC and Houston, and the home team went 4-0 straight up at home in their 4 meetings last season as well. The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss by double-digits. Take Oklahoma City.
|
11-16-16 |
Ball State +20.5 v. Toledo |
|
19-37 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Ball State/Toledo MAC *CA$H COW* on Ball State +20.5
The Key: The Toledo Rockets finally put an end to a 7-game losing streak to Northern Illinois with a 31-24 victory last Wednesday. Now they have an even bigger game on deck against unbeaten Western Michigan next week. That makes this a sandwich game for the Rockets, and I don't expect them to put forth the kind of effort it's going to take to beat Ball State more three or more touchdowns to cover this 20.5-point spread. Ball State is still alive for a bowl at 4-6 this season and will keep fighting until the end. Five of Ball State's six losses this season have come by 10 points or less with the only exception being Western Michigan. The Cardinals haven't lost by more than 20 points to Toledo in any of the last 11 meetings. Take Ball State.
|
11-16-16 |
Morehead State v. Marshall -2.5 |
|
77-85 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Marshall -2.5
The Key: Dan D'Antoni has his best team yet as he enters year 3 at Marshall. They managed a 17-16 record last season and should be even better in 2016-17. That's because they return 4 starters in Stevie Browning (12.8 PPG), Ryan Taylor (14.2 PPG), Jone Elmore (15.2 PPG) and Austin Loop (9.4 PPG). Morehead State only has 2 starters back this year and loses three key players in Corban Collins (11.0 PPG), Brent Arrington (10.2 PPG) and Anthony Elechi (8.3 PPG). I like the Thundering Herd to cover this small number and beat Morehead State tonight. The Thundering Herd are 9-1 ATS in home games off a win over the last 3 seasons. Marshall is 8-1 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take Marshall.
|
11-15-16 |
Bulls v. Blazers -3 |
|
113-88 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* Bulls/Blazers Non-Conference *BAILOUT* on Portland -3
The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are 7-4 this season with two of their losses coming to the Los Angeles Clippers, who are the best team in the NBA right now. The Blazers are 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. But they have failed to cover the spread in 4 straight, which has them undervalued right now as only 3-point favorites over the Chicago Bulls. With wins and covers in 3 of their last 4 games against the Magic, Heat and Wizards, the Bulls come into this game overvalued. I think the Blazers are the far superior team on a neutral court, and home-court advantage should be worth more than 3 points for them here. This is a discount. Take Portland.
|
11-15-16 |
Kansas +2 v. Duke |
|
77-75 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Kansas/Duke ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Kansas +2
The Key: The Duke Blue Devils are title favorites for good reason. However, they aren't at full strength right now or even close to it as they are basically letting 6 players play all their minutes. That's because they are without three McDonald's All-Americans in Jayson Tatum, Henry Giles and Marques Bolden. Because of these losses, Kansas is actually the better team right now and shouldn't be underdogs. The Jayhawks will also be motivated to avoid opening 0-2 after losing to Indiana in overtime in their opener. The Blue Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. The Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Kansas is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 neutral site games. The Jayhawks are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a loss. Take Kansas.
|
11-15-16 |
Ohio v. Central Michigan |
Top |
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* Ohio/CMU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Michigan PK
The Key: The Central Michigan Chippewas need a win to get bowl eligible as they sit at 5-5 on the season. They will be motivated here at home. I question the motivation of the Ohio Bobcats, who can lose tonight and still win the MAC East with a home win over Akron next week. The Bobcats have played one of the easiest schedules in the country up to this point and are extremely overrated. Central Michigan went on the road and beat Oklahoma State. Ohio is coming off 3 straight ATS covers, while CMU is coming off 3 straight ATS losses. That has put the value squarely on the home team in this contest tonight. Take Central Michigan.
|
11-14-16 |
Georgia State v. Auburn -7 |
|
65-83 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Auburn -7
The Key: The Auburn Tigers are in Year 3 under Bruce Pearl and primed for their best season yet. They are revitalized with an influx of new, talented players joining key contributors from an injury-riddled 2015-16 campaign. Pearl has done an excellent job in recruiting, and he now has his deepest, most talented team yet. The Tigers beat North Florida 83-66 in their opener while forcing 28 turnovers. This seems like a cheap price to back them at home against overmatched Georgia State as only 7-point favorites. Georgia State is 2-12 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Panthers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. Georgia State is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 vs. SEC opponents. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Sun Belt foes. Take Auburn.
|
11-14-16 |
Bengals v. Giants |
Top |
20-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* MNF Game of the Year on Cincinnati Bengals PK
The Key: The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off their bye week after tying the Washington Redskins in London. They are now as healthy as they have been at any point this season. Tyler Eiffert returned against the Redskins, and he and AJ Green both had over 100 yards receiving. This Bengals' offense should thrive now with Eiffert back in the fold because they already have a strong running game. The Giants cannot say the same as they average just 68 rushing yards per game. The Giants have been outgained in 4 of their last 5 games. Their 3-game winning streak comes to an end tonight against the superior Bengals. Cincinnati is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 road games. Take Cincinnati.
|
11-14-16 |
Thunder v. Pistons -2.5 |
|
88-104 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons -2.5
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder are a tired team right now. They have lost 3 straight games coming in and now will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 8th game in 12 days. I don't expect a very good effort from them here tonight off their 117-119 home loss to the Magic last night. The Pistons are 4-0 at home this season. Not only are they winning, they are dominating, beating opponents by over 17 points per game. The Pistons are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite. Take Detroit.
|
11-13-16 |
Texas-San Antonio +17.5 v. Oregon State |
|
64-72 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on UTSA +17.5
The Key: The UTSA Road Runners really impressed me in their opener. They only lost 66-69 at Fresno State as 15-point dogs, covering the spread by 12 points. They outrebounded the Bulldogs by 25 boards and only lost the game because they committed 20 turnovers. This is a team that returned 4 starters from last year and hired Steve Henson, Lon Kruger's right-hand man at Oklahoma. Oregon State is a team that lost 4 key players from last year, including star PG Gary Payton II, who averaged 16 points and 7.8 boards last year. I wasn't impressed with Oregon State's 78-58 home win over Prairie View A&M in the opener as the Beavers shot just 41.3% and committed 20 turnovers. That's really bad when you consider they had only 46 shot attempts. Take UTSA.
|
11-13-16 |
Cowboys v. Steelers -3 |
|
35-30 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Cowboys/Steelers Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh -3
The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers will be playing with a sense of urgency today. They have lost 3 straight games coming in, and Ben Roethlisberger hasn't been healthy for any of them. But now Roethlisberger should be closer to full strength at today against the Dallas Cowboys in a game the Steelers are looking at like a must-win. After all, the Steelers are 7-0 in Roethlisberger's last 7 home starts. The Cowboys are 7-0-1 ATS this season and getting too much respect from oddsmakers now. It's time to fade them. Mike Tomlin is 9-1 ATS off 3 or more straight ATS losses as the coach of the Steelers. Take Pittsburgh.
|
11-13-16 |
Packers -2.5 v. Titans |
Top |
25-47 |
Loss |
-120 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on Green Bay Packers -2.5
The Key: The Packers are just .500 at this late in the season for the first time since Aaron Rodgers' rookie year. Off two straight losses, it's clear that the Packers will be playing with a sense of urgency. Tennessee's Nissan Stadium will be turned into Lambeau Field South today as the Titans just have no home-field advantage at all. The only team they can beat at home is the Jaguars over the past couple seasons. Oh yeah, they also beat the winless Browns 28-26 earlier this season at home. The Titans are 12-36-3 ATS in their last 51 games overall and 15-34-3 ATS in their last 52 home games. Tennessee is 4-15 ATS in home games over the past 3 seasons alone, losing by an average of 8.1 points per game. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take Green Bay.
|
11-13-16 |
Falcons v. Eagles +1.5 |
|
15-24 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* NFC *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia Eagles +1.5
The Key: The Philadelphia Eagles will be playing with a sense of urgency today. After their 3-0 start, they have lost 4 of their last 5 games by a touchdown or less, and all 4 losses were on the road. So they have had a chance to win every game they've played this season, but they have just come up short in 50/50 games. At home though, there has been no such thing as a 50/50 game for the Eagles. They have absolutely dominated at home this season, going 3-0 while winning by an average of 20.3 points per game. They are holding opponents to just 7.7 points per game in their 3 home contests, which includes a 34-3 win over the Steelers. Look for the Eagles to right the ship today. The home team has won 7 of the last 9 meetings. Take Philadelphia.
|
11-12-16 |
Nets v. Suns -4.5 |
|
122-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Phoenix Suns -4.5
The Key: The Phoenix Suns have been competitive in almost every game this season. They have won three of their last five overall and were competitive in the other two in road losses to the Lakers and Blazers. The Brooklyn Nets have lost three of their last five with blowout losses to Chicago by 30 and New York by 14. All three of the Nets' wins this season have come at home, but they are 0-3 on the road. I look for the supremely talented Suns to put them away early and win this one going away. The Nets are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games. Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home games. The Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Take Phoenix.
|
11-12-16 |
USC v. Washington -7.5 |
|
26-13 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* USC/Washington FOX National TV *Annihilator on Washington -7.5
The Key: Washington is easily one of the Top 5 toughest places to play in the country. I look for the unbeaten Huskies to feed off of their home crowd and improve to 10-0 with a blowout win over USC this weekend. Everyone is making a big deal about USC winning 5 straight games coming in, but 4 of those came at home and they were mostly against soft competition. I like using common opponents to compare team. USC is 3-2 while winning by 11.8 points per game against common opponents of Washington this season. Washington is 5-0 against those 5 and winning by 28.0 points per game. There's no doubt in my mind that the Huskies are by far the superior team, and those numbers prove that. USC is 0-6 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons, losing by 19.3 points per game. USC is 0-7 ATS in road games after winning 4 or 5 of its last 6 games coming in over the last 3 seasons. Take Washington.
|
11-12-16 |
Stanford -3 v. Oregon |
|
52-27 |
Win
|
101 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Stanford/Oregon Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Stanford -3
The Key: The Oregon Ducks are just 3-6 SU & 1-7-1 ATS this season, but they still continue to get too much respect from the books here as only 3-point underdogs to the Stanford Cardinal. Stanford is by far the superior team. While the slight edge on offense goes to Oregon, the massive edge on defense goes to Stanford. The Cardinal have held their last four opponents to an average of 11.2 points per game. Oregon is allowing 49.0 points and 601.5 yards per game in conference play this season. The Ducks give up 239 rushing yards per game and 5.5 per carry. Christian McCaffrey is primed for perhaps the biggest game of his career. The Cardinal have rushed for 301 yards per game in their last two contests. Stanford wants revenge from a 36-38 home loss to Oregon last season that likely cost the Cardinal a spot in the four-team playoff. They would love nothing more than to hand Oregon its 7th loss and assure that the Ducks won't be going to a bowl game. The Cardinal are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Ducks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Take Stanford.
|
11-12-16 |
Wyoming -7.5 v. UNLV |
Top |
66-69 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* Mountain West Game of the Year on Wyoming -7.5
The Key: Wyoming is 5-0 in conference play with a win over Boise State to boot. With wins in 2 of their final 3 games, the Cowboys will be going to the conference championship game. But they still have tough games coming up at home against San Diego State and on the road at New Mexico. They really need to win this game against UNLV if they want to reach their goals. I look for them to continue playing well against the Rebels here. UNLV has lost 3 of its last 4 with its only win coming against Hawaii, and I don't expect it to put up much of a fight here. That includes a 23-42 home loss to Colorado State, which is the same team Wyoming beat 38-17 on the road earlier this season. UNLV is a one-dimensional running team that only completes 45.2% of its passes for 163 yards per game. Wyoming has been great against the run, giving up just 139 rushing yards per game and 4.1 per carry. Bets on favorites on of 3.5 to 10 points after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 25-3 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Wyoming.
|
11-11-16 |
Kings v. Blazers -6.5 |
|
120-122 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -6.5
The Key: The Sacramento Kings are in the midst of the toughest early schedule in the NBA. They are being asked to play an 11th game in 17 days to open the season tonight. This will be their 5th game in 7 days and the 2nd of a back-to-back after a home loss to the Lakers last night. The Blazers have owned the Kings, going 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last 6 home meetings while winning 5 times by at least 11 points. Given the tough spot for the Kings, another blowout win for the Blazers can be expected tonight. Take Portland.
|
11-11-16 |
Boston College +20.5 v. Florida State |
Top |
7-45 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* BC/FSU NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Boston College +20.5
The Key: The Florida State Seminoles have already suffered 3 losses this season and are merely playing for bowl positioning. They're not concerned at all about this game against Boston College. They were flat last week in their 24-20 win over NC State, and I don't see them putting forth a much better effort here. Keep in mind that Boston College also beat NC State 21-14 on the road as 14-point dogs two weeks ago. Speaking of 14, the Eagles haven't lost by more than 14 points to Florida State in any of the past 3 meetings. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in road games off an ATS loss over the last 3 seasons. After failing to cover in a blowout loss to Louisville last week, the Eagles are undervalued here. Take Boston College.
|
11-11-16 |
Michigan State v. Arizona +1 |
|
63-65 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* Michigan State/Arizona ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Arizona +1
The Key: Arizona has four new starters, including two true freshman starters in guard Rawle Alkins and power forward Lauri Markkanen, a 3-point shooter and NBA lottery prospect who was the team's leading scorer with 21 points in its final exhibition game against Chico State on Sunday. Sophomore post player Chance Comanche should be good to go after serving a suspension due to academics. Comanche (6-11) joins a front line that includes 7-footer Markkanen, 7-foot center Dusan Ristic and 6-9 forward Keanu Pinder, a junior college transfer. Michigan State also replaces 4 starters from last season, and they'll be without big men Ben Carter and Gavin Schilling due to knee injuries. That leaves Nick Ward, at 6-8, as the team's tallest player tonight. The Wildcats should own the Spartans on the glass in this game, which will be the key to victory. Take Arizona.
|
11-10-16 |
Browns +8 v. Ravens |
Top |
7-28 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* Browns/Ravens AFC North Game of the Month on Cleveland +8
The Key: The Baltimore Ravens can't be trusted to lay this kind of weight. Not when they haven't blown anyone out over the past two seasons. The Ravens haven't won a game by more than 8 points in any of their last 24 games. They have been the kings of close games as 22 of those 24 games were decided by 8 points or fewer. Plus, the Ravens are coming off a huge win over the rival Steelers on Sunday, so they could come out flat here against the Browns. The Browns have at least been competitive in the majority of their games, and they will be again here tonight against the offensively-challenged Ravens. The Ravens are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. The road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 trips to Baltimore. Take Cleveland.
|
11-10-16 |
Pelicans v. Bucks -5.5 |
|
112-106 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee Bucks -5.5
The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks have won 3 of their last 4 games coming in. They throttled the Pacers 125-107 and the Kings 117-91 in the process. Their only loss came on the road in overtime at Dallas while playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. But the Bucks have had the last 3 days off to get ready for the Pelicans, who they already beat 117-113 on the road just over a week ago. The Pelicans are a mess as they are 0-8 SU & 2-6 ATS this season. They should be much bigger underdogs here to the Bucks on the road. The Pelicans are 10-22 ATS in their last 32 vs. Eastern Conference. Take Milwaukee.
|
11-10-16 |
North Carolina -11 v. Duke |
|
27-28 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
6* UNC/Duke ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on North Carolina -11
The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels are 5-1 in conference play with their only loss coming to Virginia Tech in the slop left over by Hurricane Matthew. They have a great chance to win the Coastal for a second consecutive season. They have won their last 3 games in impressive fashion with a 7-point win at Miami, a 21-point win at Virginia, and a 28-point home win over Georgia Tech. I look for this blowout streak to continue as they put Duke away early. The Tar Heels have blown out the Blue Devils each of the last 2 seasons. They won 45-20 on the road in 2014 and 66-31 at home in 2015. Bets against home teams who have lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponents who have won 3 of their last 4 games are 34-7 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take North Carolina.
|
11-09-16 |
Blazers v. Clippers -9.5 |
Top |
80-111 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Los Angeles Clippers -9.5
The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are in a very tough situation here. They are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days. They used up a lot of energy in a 124-121 home win over the Phoenix Suns last night as Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum combined for 71 points. The Clippers are 6-1 this season and outscoring teams by 14.9 points per game. They have been the best team in the NBA thus far in point differential. And they want revenge on the Blazers after getting knocked out of the playoffs by them last year once Chris Paul and Blake Griffin were lost to injury. Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 home games. That includes 20 and 21-points wins over the Blazers in Game 1 and 2 of the playoffs last year when they were healthy. Take Los Angeles.
|
11-09-16 |
Bowling Green v. Akron -10.5 |
|
38-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Bowling Green/Akron MAC *CA$H COW* on Akron -10.5
The Key: One thing is certain, and that is the fact that the Akron Zips will show up to play tonight. It is Senior Night for the Zips, and sitting at 5-5 on the season, they need another win to get bowl eligible. The same cannot be said for Bowling Green, which at 1-8 on the season, may not show up tonight. The Falcons lost by 14 at home to Miami Ohio and by 25 on the road to Northern Illinois in their last two games. Another double-digit blowout loss can be expected here against the Zips. Bowling Green is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall. The Zips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Take Akron.
|
11-08-16 |
Suns +7.5 v. Blazers |
Top |
121-124 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix Suns +7.5
The Key: The Phoenix Suns, with their terrific guard trio of Eric Bledsoe, Devin Booker and Brandon Knight, match up very well with the Portland Trail Blazers and their superb guard duo of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. That probably helps to explain why the Suns have had so much success against the Blazers recently. Dating back to last season, the Suns have won 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Blazers outright. Bets on road underdogs after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 24-3 ATS over the last 5 seasons. I think the Suns are catching too many points tonight. Take Phoenix.
|
11-08-16 |
Eastern Michigan v. Ball State |
|
48-41 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* EMU/Ball State MAC *CA$H COW* on Eastern Michigan PK
The Key: Eastern Michigan can get bowl eligible with a win tonight over Ball State, which is huge for a program that hasn't played in the postseason since 1987. The Eagles are one of the most improved teams in the country. They easily covered against both Toledo and Western Michigan in competitive games, and playing those two teams tough is no small feat. Ball State just lost to Western Michigan 20-52 last week, while EMU only lost 31-45 on the road to WMU a couple weeks ago. EMU QB Brogan Roback has thrown 10 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions this season as the Eagles are averaging 282 passing yards per game. Ball State gives up 296 passing yards per game, so Roback should have a big day. The Eagles only give up 3.9 yards per carry, and the Cardinals rely heavily on the run as they run it 46 times per game. Eastern Michigan is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 road games, while Ball State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. Take Eastern Michigan.
|
11-07-16 |
Bills +6.5 v. Seahawks |
Top |
25-31 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* Bills/Seahawks MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Buffalo +6.5
The Key: The Buffalo Bills are 4-4 this season and catching too many points here against the Seattle Seahawks. They have only lost one game by more than 6 points this season, and that was last week against the New England Patriots, who just cannot be stopped right now. But the Bills get back LeSean McCoy this week and add in Percy Harvin. Seattle is 4-2-1 this season, but two of its wins came by exactly 2 points at home against the Dolphins and Falcons. The Seahawks are broken offensively. They rank 29th in points per game (18.7) and 23rd in total offense. Their defense is missing DE Martellus Bennett and S Kam Chancellor as well. The Bills are averaging 29.3 points per game in their last 7 games since changing offensive coordinators. Buffalo is 6-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive losses over the past 3 seasons, coming back to win by 14.6 points per game. Take Buffalo.
|
11-07-16 |
Heat v. Thunder -5 |
|
85-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma City Thunder -5
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder aren't missing Kevin Durant too much. They are 5-1 this season with their only loss coming to Durant's Warriors on the road. They also have a road win over the Clippers, and they are 3-0 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 13.4 points per game. The Miami Heat are clearly taking a step back this season as their roster is one of the worst in the NBA now. They have lost 3 of their last 4 with all 3 losses coming by at least 6 points. The Thunder have won their last 2 home meetings with the Heat by 25 and 18 points. Take Oklahoma City.
|
11-06-16 |
Titans v. Chargers UNDER 47.5 |
|
35-43 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NFL *TOTAL* Annihilator on Titans/Chargers UNDER 47.5
The Key: The Titans have gone over the total in five straight games, while the Chargers have gone over the total in four of their last five games. Because of these recent over streaks, I think there is a ton of value with the UNDER this week as the Titans face the Chargers. Both of these teams like to control time of possession and they have this season. The Titans have done it with their running game, while the Chargers have done it with their short passing game. Both teams have been stout against the run, so it's going to be hard to get points in the red zone. The Titans only give up 82 rushing yards per game while the Chargers allow just 86 per game. The Chargers are 11-2 UNDER in home games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons. Take the UNDER.
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11-06-16 |
Panthers -3 v. Rams |
|
13-10 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Panthers/Rams NFC *CA$H COW* on Carolina -3
The Key: The Carolina Panthers are poised to make a run. They opened the season 1-5 but were clearly better than their record as they lost a few games they obviously shouldn't have. But then they had their bye week, and they returned with a dominant 30-20 home win over the Cardinals. Now they go on the road against a Los Angeles Rams team that simply isn't very good. The Rams have lost three straight coming in. Their offense is one of the worst in the NFL as they average just 17.1 points and 308 yards per game. The Panthers average 27.3 points and 388 yards per game, and some of that has even been without Cam Newton due to injury. But they just put up 30 points on a very good Arizona defense last week and even had to settle for three field goals. Newton and Jonathan Stewart are back now and rushed for 141 yards on Arizona last week. The Rams love to run the ball with Todd Gurley, but the Panthers only give up 80 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry. The Panthers are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take Carolina.
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11-06-16 |
Eagles v. Giants -3 |
Top |
23-28 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* NFC East Game of the Year on New York Giants -3
The Key: The New York Giants are showing great value as 3-point favorites over the Philadelphia Eagles today. They should be much bigger favorites here. They enter on a 2-game winning streak and are coming off their bye week to get healthy. The Eagles have lost 3 of their last 4 and just aren't playing well right now. They are also coming off an overtime game against the Cowboys, and it's going to be tough to bounce back from that against a Giants team off their bye. The Giants are 2-1 at home this season and outgaining teams by 76 yards per game. The Eagles are 1-3 on the road and getting outgained by 81 yards per game. This is a very short price for the Giants at home given the situation. Take New York.
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11-05-16 |
Rockets +3 v. Hawks |
|
97-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets +3
The Key: The Atlanta Hawks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after playing a road game against the Washington Wizards last night. Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets come in on 2 days' rest and chomping the bit to hit the court. The Rockets' up-tempo style will test the legs of the Hawks as they have to be tired right now. The Rockets are scoring 110.2 points per game on 47.2% shooting. Houston is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Take Houston.
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11-05-16 |
Oregon +17 v. USC |
|
20-45 |
Loss |
-102 |
20 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Oregon/USC ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Oregon +17
The Key: The USC Trojans have won four in a row, but now they're starting to get a little too much love from oddsmakers. It's time to sell on them and buy on the Oregon Ducks, who are just 1-6-1 ATS this season, thus they are getting to love from the betting public. But the Ducks are coming off their best performance of the season in a 54-35 win over Arizona State behind 734 yards of total offense. They have found their QB of the future in freshman Justin Herbert, who has thrown for 747 yards and 10 touchdowns against 1 interception in the last two games alone. Oregon is 8-0 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. USC is 0-6 ATS after winning 5 or 6 of its last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. The Ducks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 November games. The Trojans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Take Oregon.
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11-05-16 |
Florida v. Arkansas +4 |
Top |
10-31 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* SEC Game of the Year on Arkansas +4
The Key: The Arkansas Razorbacks are fresh off their bye week. They needed it after playing the likes of Alabama, Ole Miss and Auburn in consecutive weeks. Quarterback Austin Allen is now healthy and ready to lead his troops at home against 11th-ranked Florida. The Gators may be the most overrated team in their country because their 6-1 start has come against a very easy schedule. They best team they've played is Tennessee, and they lost 38-28 on the road. They also barely beat Vanderbilt 13-6 in their other true road game. The Razorbacks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games off a loss by 21 points or more. The Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover against the spread. The wrong team is favored in this game. Take Arkansas.
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11-05-16 |
Virginia v. Wake Forest -3 |
|
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* ACC Game of the Week on Wake Forest -3
The Key: The Wake Forest Demon Deacons had a chance to become bowl eligible last week. They couldn't do it as they lost to a pesky Army team. I expect them to take advantage of this opportunity this week at home against Virginia as they'll be extremely motivated to do so. And Virginia is getting way too much respect from the books for playing Louisville tough last week. That was a huge effort, but now I expect them to suffer a hangover after falling just short. They won't get up to play Wake Forest this week. The Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Wake Forest.
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11-04-16 |
San Jose State +30 v. Boise State |
Top |
31-45 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* SJSU/Boise State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on San Jose State +30
The Key: The Boise State Broncos just had their dreams crushed of playing in the Cotton Bowl. They lost 28-30 at Wyoming last week as 14.5-point underdogs. I expect them to come out flat tonight against the San Jose Spartans, which is going to make it extremely difficult to cover this 30-point spread. The Broncos have been one of the worst bets in college football, yet they still keep getting a ton of respect from oddsmakers. They are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They only won by 1 at home over BYU, by 5 at home over Colorado State, by 11 at home over Utah State and by 3 at home over Washington State in their four home games, where they've gone 0-4 ATS. The Spartans come in with confidence after winning 2 of their last 3 games while not committing a single turnover in that stretch, which has made the biggest difference. The Broncos are 0-7 ATS vs. teams who give up 8 or more yards per pass attempt over the last 3 seasons. They are only beating these teams by 4.8 points per game. Take San Jose State.
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11-04-16 |
Spurs -4.5 v. Jazz |
|
100-86 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -4.5
The Key: I really like this spot for the San Antonio Spurs. It's a home and home situation for them after losing to the Jazz at home on Tuesday night. Now they've had two days off and will get their shot at revenge against the Jazz here on the road. The Jazz don't have that same luxury as they came back and played the Mavs on Wednesday, so this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. And the Jazz are short-handed right now playing without Alec Burks, Gordon Hayward and Boris Diaw. The Spurs have still won 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Jazz with 3 of those wins coming by 18-plus points. San Antonio is 19-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more since 1996. Utah has only covered in 3 of its last 15 games vs. a team with a winning record. Take San Antonio.
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11-03-16 |
Falcons -3.5 v. Bucs |
Top |
43-28 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* ATL/TB Thursday NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta -3.5
The Key: The Atlanta Falcons are outgaining teams by 1.2 yards per play this season, which is the best mark in the entire NFL. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are getting outgained by 0.9 yards per play on the year, which is the second-worst mark in the NFL. I think this is an absolute mismatch, especially with the Bucs' top 3 running backs out due to injury. The Oakland Raiders put up 626 yards of offense on the Bucs last week. The Bucs' defense was on the field for a long time in the OT loss, which works against them on this short week. The Falcons have the league's top scoring offense and total offense and should shred the Bucs just as the Raiders did. Tampa Bay is 18-43-1 ATS in its last 62 home games, and 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS at home this season. Take Atlanta.
|
11-03-16 |
Celtics +10 v. Cavs |
|
122-128 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Boston Celtics +10
The Key: I know the Boston Celtics will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here, but this is one of the deepest teams in the NBA. That depth allows the Celtics to play well on no rest. They are actually 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games playing on 0 days' rest. The city of Cleveland is down right now after losing the World Series. I think that will carry over to their basketball team here tonight. Either way, it's going to be hard for the Cavs to win by double-digits against these pesky Celtics. Take Boston.
|
11-03-16 |
Oklahoma v. Iowa State +20.5 |
|
34-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* Oklahoma/Iowa State ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Iowa State +20.5
The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones have had some weekday magic over the years. They beat previously unbeaten and national title contender Oklahoma State as 27-point underdogs in 2011. They only lost to Texas 30-31 in 2013 and should have won that game as the refs blew a fumble call in the final minutes. Now they take on Oklahoma and should give the Sooners are run for their money. The Sooners are down to one scholarship running back, and he's a freshman. That's because Samaje Perine is hurt, and Joe Mixon is suspended. The Cyclones are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They only lost to Baylor by 3 at home and to Kansas State by 5 at home. Iowa State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 home games overall, while Oklahoma is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following an ATS win. Take Iowa State.
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