Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-27-18 | Knicks v. Bucks UNDER 228 | Top | 96-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Week on Knicks/Bucks UNDER 228 The Key: This will already be the 4th and final meeting between the Bucks and Knicks this season. Not to mention, they just played two days ago on Christmas Day with the Bucks winning 109-95 for 204 combined points. And now this total is 228 just 2 days later? Give me a break. The UNDER has tremendous value in this matchup. Familiarity breeds low-scoring games and favors the defenses over the offenses. The UNDER is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 games following a win by more than 10 points. The UNDER is 8-1 in Bucks last 9 vs. Eastern Conference teams. The UNDER is 9-2 in Bucks last 11 games overall. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
12-26-18 | Wolves v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 119-94 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Week on Chicago Bulls +4.5 The Key: The Bulls come in playing well with back-to-back upset blowout victories over the Magic (90-80) and the Cavs (112-92). They have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 97 points or fewer as interim head coach Jim Boylen is getting them to play defense. Lauri Markkanen, off consecutive 30-point games for the first time in his career, says the team is having fun playing basketball again under Boylen. The Timberwolves should not be favored on the road in this matchup. The Timberwolves are just 3-13 SU & 6-10 ATS on the road this season and giving up 116 PPG away from home. The home team has won and covered each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. The Timberwolves are 13-28 ATS in their last 41 road games dating back to last year. The Bulls are 11-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Take Chicago. |
|||||||
12-25-18 | Blazers +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 96-117 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
7* Blazers/Jazz ESPN *BAILOUT* on Portland +6.5 The Key: The Blazers will be revenge-minded following their 90-120 home loss to the Jazz on December 21st just 4 days ago. Everything went right for the Jazz in that game as they shot 55.3% overall and 51.6% from 3-point range. The Blazers shot 40.2% overall and 31.2% from 3-point range. Ricky Rubio scored 24 points, and Rubio, Crowder and Korver combined to go 11-of-18 from 3-point range. That’s not going to happen again. Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have lost 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 26-6 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Portland. |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Wichita State v. VCU -5.5 | 54-70 | Win | 109 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on VCU -5.5 The Key: VCU is off back-to-back losses to Virginia and Charleston that will have them hungry for a victory. And they’ve had a whole week to get ready for Wichita State after playing on December 15th last. Wichita State only has two days to get ready for VCU after playing on Wednesday, December 19th last at home against Oral Roberts. That rest and preparation advantage makes VCU a strong play today. Wichita State has only played one true road game this season, and they lost that game handily 48-80 at Oklahoma as 6.5-point underdogs. VCU is 5-1 at home this year. Take VCU. |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Pelicans v. Lakers -3.5 | Top | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
7* Pelicans/Lakers NBA *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -3.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Lakers tonight as short home favorites over the New Orleans Pelicans. The Lakers come in hungry off consecutive losses. The Lakers have won 9 of their last 10 home games and if they win this game, they’re likely going to cover. I think they will win because the Pelicans are banged up right now. Mirotic and Payton are out, and Julius Randle, Ian Clark and Anthony Davis are all questionable. The Pelicans are 4-12 SU on the road this year. The Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after covering the spread in their previous game. The team favored in this series is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Los Angeles. |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Pistons +4.5 v. Hornets | 86-98 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +4.5 The Key: I like the situation for the Pistons tonight. They blew a double-digit lead at Charlotte the last time these teams played on December 12th just over a week ago and lost 107-108. They want to avenge that defeat and I think they will here. They gutted out an impressive OT win at Minnesota last time out and are playing much better here of late. They beat Boston 3 games back and only lost to Milwaukee by 3, so they’ve played 3 straight good teams tough and won two of them outright as underdogs. Detroit is 14-3 ATS vs. teams who shoot 24 or fewer free throws per game this season. Charlotte is 3-12 ATS in December home games over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games overall. Take Detroit. |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Cal-Irvine +9 v. Butler | 54-71 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
6* UC-Irvine/Butler NCAAB *CA$H COW* on UC-Irvine +9 The Key: UC-Irvine is off to an impressive 11-2 start to the season while upsetting both Texas A&M and St. Mary’s in true road games. It’s a veteran bunch that returned 5 starters and one that is capable of hanging with any team in the country. I think they will hang with Butler, which is coming off a lackluster 9-point home win over Presbyterian. The Bulldogs also have losses to Dayton and Saint Louis this season among their three losses in an 8-3 start. Irvine is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games. Take UC-Irvine. |
|||||||
12-20-18 | Mavs v. Clippers -3 | Top | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
7* Mavs/Clippers NBA *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -3 The Key: The Clippers have played 7 of their last 10 games on the road. It hasn’t gone well for them as they’ve gone just 3-7 during this stretch. But now they are back home here and on two days’ rest so they should be primed for a big performance against the Mavericks. This is a Dallas team that has been dreadful on the road this season with a 2-11 record. The Mavericks are 3-14 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. I like the price we are getting with the Clippers at home tonight. Take Los Angeles. |
|||||||
12-19-18 | Rider v. Drake -4.5 | 58-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Drake -4.5 The Key: The Drake Bulldogs are one of the most underrated teams in the entire country. They have gone 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall as the books have consistently missed their mark. Heck, they were leading against Iowa State deep into the second half just a few games ago to show their potential, and easily covered as 13.5-point dogs. Their only other loss came at Colorado. They have upset wins over Boise State and North Dakota State and sit at 7-2 SU on the season. Rider is just 4-4 SU & 2-6 ATS. They are 1-4 SU in true road games with all 4 losses by 14 points or more, and their only win coming as a favorite at lowly Wagner. The Broncs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Bulldogs are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. Take Drake. |
|||||||
12-19-18 | Suns +12 v. Celtics | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +12 The Key: The Phoenix Suns have Devin Booker back in the lineup and it’s no surprise that they are now playing up to their potential. The Suns are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall with upset wins over the Mavericks and Timberwolves, and a blowout road win by 18 at the Knicks. They stay out East here for this showdown with the Celtics, a team they have owned. The Celtics are starting to get too much respect from the books now after going 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Suns are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Celtics, not once losing by more than 10 points. Take Phoenix. |
|||||||
12-18-18 | South Dakota +22 v. Kansas | 53-89 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on South Dakota +22 The Key: Kansas is already going to be getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers due to their No. 1 ranking this season. But this isn’t the best team in the country. The Jayhawks have won 6 of their 9 games by single-digits this season, and 8 of their 9 wins have come by 16 points or fewer. And South Dakota is a good team that went 26-9 last year and returned 4 starters. They can hang with the Jayhawks. And I like fading Kansas in this awful spot. They are coming off a huge 74-71 home win over defending champion Villanova, and they have a huge game on deck this weekend at Arizona State. It’s a sandwich game that the Jayhawks won’t show up for. They recently lost star C Udoka Azubuike to an ankle injury and there’s no timetable for his return. That’s a big loss moving forward for this team. South Dakota is 8-0 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons, and 13-1 ATS off a road game over the last 2 years. Take South Dakota. |
|||||||
12-18-18 | Cavs +12 v. Pacers | Top | 92-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Cleveland Cavaliers +12 The Key: Indiana is starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers due to their 7-game winning streak. And they certainly will not be that excited to play the Cavs tonight, which will make it difficult for them to cover this 12-point spread. Especially when you fact in that they have a huge road game at Toronto on deck tomorrow night, so they’ll want to conserve their energy for that game against the East’s top team. It’s just a great situation here to back the Cavs given the Pacers’ obvious lack of motivation tonight. The Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Cavs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after giving up more than 125 points in their previous game. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
12-17-18 | Bucks v. Pistons +4 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +4 The Key: The Bucks are just 6-6 SU & 5-7 ATS on the road this season. They are getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight as 4-point road favorites over a Pistons team that is 10-6 at home this year. It’s also a hungry, rested Pistons team that will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. And they have lost 6 of their last 7 coming in, but they were a tired team previously, and now they’re fresh. It helped when they returned from 2 days off to beat the Celtics 113-104 at home as 2-point dogs last time out. Home-court advantage has clearly matters in this series. The home team is 7-0 SU in the last 7 meetings. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win by more than 10 points. Take Detroit. |
|||||||
12-15-18 | Wolves v. Suns +8.5 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +8.5 The Key: The Timberwolves are 2-11 on the road this season and losing by 7.6 PPG. They can’t be laying 8.5 points on the road to anyone. Minnesota is 12-26 ATS in its last 38 road games. The Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home meetings with the Timberwolves. Take Phoenix. |
|||||||
12-15-18 | Davidson v. Temple -3 | 75-77 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Davidson/Temple NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Temple -3 The Key: Davidson has played a much weaker schedule than Temple. In their toughest game, they lost by 21 to Purdue as 7.5-point underdogs on a neutral. And Purdue is a rebuilding team this year. Temple is battle-tested with true road games at Missouri, St. Joe’s and Villanova. They beat the first two, and took Villanova down to the wire. The Owls are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games. Take Temple. |
|||||||
12-14-18 | Warriors v. Kings +7.5 | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
6* Warriors/Kings NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento +7.5 The Key: The Kings are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They will relish this opportunity to face the defending champion Warriors at home tonight. The Kings have actually won 2 of their last 5 meetings with the Warriors outright, and in their only meeting this season they only lost 116-117 on the road. They are now getting 7.5 points to the Warriors at home. The Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference teams. The Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when coming in on one days’ rest. Take Sacramento. |
|||||||
12-14-18 | Bucks v. Cavs +10.5 | 114-102 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Cavaliers +10.5 The Key: The Cavaliers just lost by 16 at Milwaukee 5 days ago on December 10th. I like looking to back teams who have a shot at revenge in the 2nd meeting between teams who have just recently played. Especially big underdogs like the Cavs here, who are now catching double-digits against the Bucks at home. The Cavs have won their last two home games outright as underdogs over the Wizards and Knicks by a combined 22 points. The Bucks are only 20-48 ATS in their last 68 as a double-digit favorite and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
12-14-18 | Knicks v. Hornets UNDER 224.5 | Top | 126-124 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Month on Knicks/Hornets UNDER 224.5 The Key: The Hornets and Knicks just played 6 days ago on December 9th. The Hornets won that game 119-107 for 226 combined points. I like looking to the UNDER in the 2nd meeting between teams who have just recently played. And I think it’s safe to take the UNDER here as they just need to combine for 2 fewer points to get the UNDER. The Knicks have a ton of injuries right now and are without three key players in Trey Burke, Alonzo Trier and Lance Thomas. Trier and Burke are big losses because they create offense. The Knicks just don’t have many playmakers left. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
12-12-18 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -3 | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Memphis Grizzlies -3 The Key: The Blazers are in a difficult situation tonight. They will be playing the second of a back-to-back while having to take a long flight from Houston to Memphis last night in between. The Grizzlies are hungry for a victory off two straight losses to the Lakers and Nuggets, and they had yesterday off. The Grizzlies are 8-4 SU & 8-4 ATS at home this season, while the Blazers are 5-8 SU & 4-9 ATS on the road. The Blazers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Portland is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games overall. Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Grizzlies are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. Take Memphis. |
|||||||
12-11-18 | Raptors -4 v. Clippers | Top | 123-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
7* Raptors/Clippers NBA TV *BAILOUT* on Toronto -4 The Key: The situation is a good one for the Raptors. They are coming off two straight upset losses to the Nets and Bucks, and they’ve covered just one of their last six coming in. They’ll be hungry for a victory here against the Clippers. This is a Clippers team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after needing overtime to beat the lowly Suns on the road last night. Several starters played close to 40 minutes, and they’ll be fatigued now. It’s also their 3rd game in 4 days and their 6th game in 10 days. The Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Clippers. Take Toronto. |
|||||||
12-10-18 | Cavs +13.5 v. Bucks | 92-108 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Cleveland Cavaliers +13.5 The Key: This is a great situation to fade the Milwaukee Bucks. They are coming off an upset win yesterday over the Raptors on the road, so they’ll be playing for a second consecutive day. And that followed up a 10-point home loss to the Warriors. So their last two games have been against the defending champs and the team with the best record in the NBA. There’s absolutely no way they get up emotionally to face the Cavs tonight, and that’s going to make it tough for them to cover this big spread. And this is a Cavs team that is playing competitive basketball now. They went on the road and upset the Nets 99-97 as 6-point dogs a few games back, and last time out they won 116-101 as 7.5-point home dogs to the Wizards. Milwaukee is 2-11 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. The Bucks are 3-12 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 years. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
12-08-18 | Nuggets v. Hawks +6.5 | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks +6.5 The Key: The Nuggets just had their 7-game winning streak come to an end in Charlotte last night. I always like going against teams who just had a long winning streak ended because they seem to be deflated the next game out. And the Nuggets will now be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. Plus, they’ll be without two of their best players in Paul Millsap and Gary Harris. Millsap suffered a broken toe against the Hornets last night, and his loss is a big one for this team. Harris is the Nuggets’ leading scorer this year. And they’re already without Will Barton. The Hawks are rested having two days off prior to this game, and they’ll be playing only their 3rd game in 8 days. The situation really favors Atlanta. The Nuggets are 1-8 ATS off one or more consecutive overs this season. The Hawks are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games following a double-digit home loss. The Hawks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 home meetings. Take Atlanta. |
|||||||
12-08-18 | Nets v. Knicks -2.5 | Top | 112-104 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on New York Knicks -2.5 The Key: The Nets are in a letdown spot off their 106-105 upset win over the Raptors last night. They’re also a tired team as they’ll be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days. The Knicks will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. The home team is 3-0 in the last three meetings, including a 19-point win and a 16-point win by the Knicks in the last two meetings in New York. The Nets are 0-7 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. Take New York. |
|||||||
12-08-18 | Buffalo -7 v. St Bonaventure | 80-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Buffalo -7 The Key: The Buffalo Bulls are one of the best teams in the country that nobody knows about. They have moved up to No. 17 in the rankings this week and are off to an 8-0 start. And now they want some revenge on St. Bonaventure after losing 4 straight meetings in this series between these upstate New York rivals. Buffalo has gone on the road and beaten West Virginia 99-94 as 10.5-point dogs, Southern Illinois 62-53 as 4-point favorites, and San Francisco 85-81 as 4-point favorites. Those are 3 really good teams. St. Bonaventure is in a rebuilding year. The Bonnies are just 4-5 with their 4 wins coming against Jackson State, Canisius, Delaware State and Siena all at home. They have lost to Bucknell at home, as well as Niagara, Georgia State, Boise State and Akron on the road. Those last four losses all came by 8 points or more. That’s why I think Buffalo has no problem covering this 7-point spread today. The Bulls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bulls are 8-1 ATS in road games off a win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Bonnies are 4-16 ATS in their last 20 home games after committing 8 or fewer turnovers in their previous game. Take Buffalo. |
|||||||
12-07-18 | Lakers v. Spurs +1 | Top | 120-133 | Win | 102 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs +1 The Key: I love the situation here for the Spurs. They blew a big lead against the Lakers on Wednesday and lost 113-121. Now they get their chance at revenge just two days later, this time in San Antonio. And I think they get that revenge tonight. The Lakers are banged up right now as they were already playing without Rajon Rondo, and now they’ll also be without starter Brandon Ingram for their next two games. And they are playing a back-to-back here with Memphis on deck tomorrow night. They won’t be nearly as hungry as the Spurs here, and they will be looking to limit their starters’ minutes if they can. The Spurs are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 home games. The Spurs are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 Friday games. The underdog is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take San Antonio. |
|||||||
12-06-18 | Suns v. Blazers -13 | 86-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -13 The Key: This really feels like a get right game for the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. They are just 1-6 SU in their last 7 games and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games. But the Suns are the worst team in the West at 4-20 on the season, and they are 1-11 on the road while losing by 14.6 PPG on average. The Suns are also 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall, losing 5 times by double-digits, including 4 straight by 14 points or more. And now the Suns are without their two leading scorers in Devin Booker and TJ Warren. They are already short on talent, but they really stand zero chance of being competitive without these two, who combine to average 41.2 PPG on the season. The Blazers are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 home games, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games. Take Portland. |
|||||||
12-05-18 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | Top | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
7* 76ers/Raptors ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -6 The Key: The Toronto Raptors are coming off a rare loss this season to drop to 20-5 on the year. They should come back hungry here against the Philadelphia 76ers Wednesday night. The home team is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings with the only exception being the Raptors winning at the 76ers last year. The Raptors are 12-0 SU in their last 12 home meetings with the 76ers with all 12 wins coming by 8 points or more. Chalk up another win by 8-plus points tonight for them. Take Toronto. |
|||||||
12-05-18 | Marshall -1 v. Duquesne | 82-93 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Marshall -1 The Key: There’s a lot to like about this Marshall team that returns 4 starters behind underrated head coach Dan D’Antonio. They are 5-2 this season with both of their losses coming on the road to very good Maryland and Ohio teams. They should be able to handle this Duquesne squad that returns just 2 starters and lost by 21 to Pitt and by 11 to Notre Dame, failing to cove the spread in both those games. Their 4 wins have all come at home against William & Mary, Illinois-Chicago, Redford and UMass-Lowell. Marshall is their stiffest competition at home thus far this season. The Thundering Herd are 15-3 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. Duquesne is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 home games with a total set of 160 or higher. Take Marshall. |
|||||||
12-04-18 | Kings -5.5 v. Suns | Top | 122-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Game of the Week on Sacramento Kings -5.5 The Key: The Sacramento Kings come in on 2 days’ rest. It will also be just their 3rd game in 9 days. They will run the Phoenix Suns to death, and the Suns won’t be able to do much about it. The Suns are expected to be without their top two scores in Devin Booker and T.J. Warren, who combined to average 41.2 PPG this season. That’s a lot of production to have to replace. There’s just not much talent on this roster outside those two, and that’s evident with their 4-19 record this year. The Kings are 9-1 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. The Suns are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall, losing 4 times by 11 points or more. Take Sacramento. |
|||||||
12-04-18 | Providence v. Boston College -3.5 | 100-95 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Boston College -3.5 The Key: Boston College is a veteran team with 4 returning starters. That has helped the Eagles to a 6-1 start hit season that includes a 68-56 home win over a Minnesota team that returned all 5 starters. Providence only has 2 starters back this year and is 6-2. The six wins have come against weak competition, and they lost to Wichita State on a neutral and Michigan on a neutral by 19. This will be the first true road game of the season for Providence. The Friars are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games. The Friars are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games. The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Friars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road meetings with the Eagles. Take Boston College. |
|||||||
12-03-18 | Clippers v. Pelicans UNDER 236.5 | 129-126 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
6* Monday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Clippers/Pelicans UNDER 236.5 The Key: Both the Pelicans and Clippers will be gassed tonight. Both are playing for a second consecutive night after playing on the road last night. They will have tired legs, and that will affect their shooting more than anything. These teams played earlier this season on October 23rd and combined for 225 points. I think this 236.5-point total is too high given that result and the situation. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings, and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
12-01-18 | Celtics +2.5 v. Wolves | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
6* NBA Game of the Day on Boston Celtics +2.5 The Key: Boston handled its business in a 128-95 home win over Cleveland last night. The Celtics were able to rest their starters late because of the blowout, negating the impact of this back-to-back. They also had 3 days’ rest coming into that game, so this will still be just their 2nd game in 5 days. They will have plenty left in the tank for the Timberwolves, who are starting to get too much love after a 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS stretch coming into this game. But those 4 wins all came against bad teams in the Nets, Bulls, Cavs and Spurs, four teams who are below .500. Boston is 10-1 ATS following a blowout home win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take Boston. |
|||||||
12-01-18 | Tulsa +7.5 v. Utah | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Game of the Day on Tulsa +7.5 The Key: Utah is a rebuilding team with just one returning starter and they should not be favored by 7.5 over Tulsa today. Utah’s 3 wins have come against Maine, Grand Canyon and Miss Valley State. They lost by 9 at Minnesota, by 11 to Hawaii on a neutral and by 22 to Northwestern on a neutral. They clearly aren’t very good. Tulsa is 5-2 with its only losses coming as underdogs to Nevada and Southern Illinois. And they only lost by 7 to Nevada as 14-point dogs, and Nevada is unbeaten and one of the best teams in the country. Take Tulsa. |
|||||||
11-30-18 | Nuggets v. Blazers -2 | 113-112 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
6* Nuggets/Blazers ESPN *BAILOUT* on Portland -2 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Blazers as short home favorites over the Nuggets tonight. And we’re getting this price because the Blazers have lost 3 of their last 4 coming in an are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. The Nuggets are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. Those recent performances are giving us line value on the Blazers. The home team is 6-1 SU in the last 7 meetings. Portland is 32-12 SU in its last 44 home meetings with Denver. The Blazers are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 home games. Take Portland. |
|||||||
11-30-18 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +2 | 72-66 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Wisconsin/Iowa Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Iowa +2 The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes are off to a 6-0 start this season. They are one of the most improved teams in the Big Ten due to their 5 returning starters. They have already beaten Oregon and UConn in New York and they should be able to beat Wisconsin at home tonight. Iowa beat Wisconsin 85-67 as 2.5-point home favorites in their lone meeting last season. The Hawkeyes are 28-10 ATS in their last 38 home games against teams who force 12 or fewer turnovers per game. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Take Iowa. |
|||||||
11-29-18 | Clippers v. Kings +2.5 | 133-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Clippers/Kings NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento +2.5 The Key: The Kings should be able to beat the Clippers at home tonight given their massive advantage in this situation. They come in on 3 days’ rest and are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on 3 or more days’ rest. The Clippers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after their win over the Suns last night. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Kings have covered the spread in 6 straight Thursday games. Take Sacramento. |
|||||||
11-28-18 | Wizards +6.5 v. Pelicans | 104-125 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington Wizards +6.5 The Key: The Wizards are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Pelicans are slumping, going 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games overall. They lost to the Wizards by 10 just the other night and are now favored by 6.5 points in the rematch. I like the Wizards to hang tough again and possibly win this game outright. New Orleans is 0-7 ATS off two or more consecutive losses this season. The Pelicans are 1-8 ATS after scoring 105 points or more in 4 straight games this season. The Wizards are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. The Pelicans are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss. The Wizard are 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings, and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings in New Orleans. Take Washington. |
|||||||
11-28-18 | Bulls +14.5 v. Bucks | Top | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Chicago Bulls +14.5 The Key: The Bulls want to avenge their 19-point loss to the Bucks earlier this month. And I can’t see the Bucks being too hungry to beat the Bulls by another big margin in this rematch. And the Bucks haven’t been covering of late so they shouldn’t be this big of favorites. They are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall and have lost outright as favorites in two of those. They are just 19-47 ATS in their last 66 tries when favored by at least 10 points. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Bulls are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 meetings with the Bucks. Take Chicago. |
|||||||
11-28-18 | Rutgers +11.5 v. Miami-FL | 57-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
6* ACC/Big Ten Challenge *CA$H COW* on Rutgers +11.5 The Key: Rutgers is 4-1 this season with all 4 wins coming by double-digits. They should be able to hang with Miami, which has had some ugly showings. Miami only beat Bethune-Cookman 78-70 as 27-point home favorites. They only beat Fresno State 78-76 as 8-point neutral court favorites. And they lost to a bad Seton Hall team 81-83 as 4.5-point neutral court favorites. They should not be this heavily favored against Rutgers tonight. Miami is 5-17 ATS as a home favorite or PK over the last 3 seasons. The Scarlet Knights are 11-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. The Hurricanes are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 home games. Miami is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 vs. Big Ten teams. Take Rutgers. |
|||||||
11-27-18 | Virginia Tech -4 v. Penn State | Top | 62-63 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
7* VA Tech/Penn State ESPN 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Virginia Tech -4 The Key: Virginia Tech has been mighty impressive during its 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS start this season. The Hokies have beaten Purdue along the way and should be able to handle another Big Ten opponent tonight in Penn State. The Nittany Lions have already lost two games. They were upset by DePaul on the road and also upset by Bradley on a neutral court. Their 3 wins have come against North Florida, Jacksonville State and Wright State. So Virginia Tech is by far the best opponent that the Nittany Lions will have faced. The Hokies are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 November games. The Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten teams. Take Virginia Tech. |
|||||||
11-26-18 | Spurs -6 v. Bulls | 108-107 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -6 The Key: The Spurs will be hungry for a victory after losing 3 of their last 4 coming in. And they should be able to get back on track against a Chicago Bulls team that has been playing awful for weeks. The Bulls are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall with all 6 losses coming by 5 points or more, including 4 by 15 points or more. The Bulls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. The Spurs have won their last 3 meetings with the Bulls by 39, 10 and 19 points. Expect another double-digit blowout win in their favor tonight. Take San Antonio. |
|||||||
11-23-18 | Pelicans v. Knicks +7 | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks +7 The Key: I like the situation for the Knicks tonight. They’ll be looking to avenge a 124-129 road loss at New Orleans as 11-point underdogs on November 16th. And they don’t have to wait long to do it as this game will be played exactly one week to the day later. Bets on underdogs who are revenging a same season loss who are also off an upset win as a road dog of 10 points or more are 22-4 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take New York. |
|||||||
11-21-18 | Blazers v. Bucks -7 | Top | 100-143 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Game of the Week on Milwaukee Bucks -7 The Key: The Bucks will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days here and will be fresh for the Blazers. They also want revenge from a 103-118 loss at Portland in their first meeting this season on November 6th. The Blazers are in a tough situation here. They’ll be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 118-114 win in New York last night. The Bucks are 8-1 SU at home this year and winning by 15.3 PPG on average. The Bucks are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home meetings with Portland. Take Milwaukee. |
|||||||
11-21-18 | San Diego State v. Iowa State -3 | 57-87 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
6* SDSU/Iowa State NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -3 The Key: Iowa State has 3 newcomers this season that have been their 3 best players. Marial Shayok is averaging 19.2 PPG and 7.2 RPG, Michael Jacobson is averaging 17.4 PPG and 7.2 RPG, and Taken Horton-Tucker is averaging 17.2 PPG and 6.4 RPG. This trio is flying under the radar. They have allowed the Cyclones to flourish this season despite all their injuries and suspensions to 3 returning starters and 1 other key player. They should handle this overmatched San Diego State squad today that lost by 26 to Duke and needed a late rally to beat Xavier. Iowa State thumped Illinois 84-68 after blowing a late lead against Arizona thus far. The Cyclones are 8-1 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Take Iowa State. |
|||||||
11-20-18 | Arizona +10 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
7* Arizona/Gonzaga ESPN *BAILOUT* on Arizona +10 The Key: The Arizona Wildcats were impressive in their 71-66 win over Iowa State yesterday. They are now 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS as head coach Sean Miller has done a great job of reloading with talent via transfers this season. They should be able to hang with Gonzaga, which barely beat Illinois 84-78 yesterday as 15.5-point favorites. I like the fact that Arizona played before Gonzaga yesterday, so they will be the more rested team, and they will have had the opportunity to watch the Zags. They should be able to stay within 10 points of the Bulldogs tonight. Arizona is 11-1 ATS in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 ATS over the last 3 seasons. Gonzaga is 0-7 ATS off 4 straight games where it made 47% of its shots or better over the last 2 years. The Wildcats are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. teams who make 52% of their shots or better. Take Arizona. |
|||||||
11-20-18 | Clippers v. Wizards +1 | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +1 The Key: The Washington Wizards had yesterday off and should be a hungry team tonight with all of the trade talks surrounding them right now. The Clippers played last night and needed a big comeback late to beat the Hawks. They will now be playing for a second consecutive night and won’t have much left in the tank. This is a great situation spot to back the Wizards, who are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after losing at home by 10 or more points in their previous game. Take Washington. |
|||||||
11-19-18 | Spurs +7.5 v. Pelicans | 126-140 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs +7.5 The Key: The Spurs had 2 days off prior to beating the Warriors 104-92 last night. That should help ease the effects of this back-to-back situation. They should still be competitive against the Pelicans tonight, especially catching 7.5 points here. The Pelicans are getting a little too much respect from the books after going 5-1 in their last 6 games. New Orleans is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 home games after having won 3 of its last 4 games coming in. The Pelicans are 0-7 ATS vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 36% of their attempts or better this season. Take San Antonio. |
|||||||
11-14-18 | Pelicans -1 v. Wolves | Top | 100-107 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
7* Pelicans/Timberwolves ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on New Orleans -1 The Key: The Pelicans have won 3 in a row and will be playing just their 3rd game in 7 days tonight. They should have plenty of energy to give to the Timberwolves, who just traded away Jimmy Butler. So the Timberwolves are in transition right now with Robert Covington and Dario Saric expected to make their team debuts. And Andrew Wiggins and Jeff Teague are questionable for the Timberwolves tonight. The Pelicans are expected to get Nikola Mirotic back in the lineup, and Elfrid Payton could return as well as he’s listed as questionable. Either way, I like the Pelicans in this spot because they are the better team with Anthony Davis and Jrue Holiday leading the way. The Pelicans are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games after scoring 120 points or more. New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team that wins less than 40% of their games. Take New Orleans. |
|||||||
11-14-18 | Seton Hall v. Nebraska -7.5 | 57-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Seton Hall/Nebraska NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska -7.5 The Key: Nebraska is a legit contender to win the Big Ten this season. The Huskers went 22-11 last season and 13-5 in Big Ten play. And now they have 4 starters and each of their top 4 starters back from that squad, including James Palmer Jr. and his 17.2 PPG. Seton Hall is not going to be very good this season with the losses of 3 of their top 4 scorers in Khadeen Carrington, Angel Delgado and Desi Rodriquez, who combined to average 46.7 PPG. The loss of that trio is a huge one for this Pirates program, which is now in rebuilding mode. They return just one starters in Myles Powell. The Huskers are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 home games and 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Take Nebraska. |
|||||||
11-13-18 | Hornets -8.5 v. Cavs | Top | 89-113 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets -8.5 The Key: The Cavs are decimated by injuries right now. They are without 3 starters in Cedi Osman, George Hill and Kevin Love. They are also without key reserves Kyle Korver and Sam Dekker, and fellow reserve JR Smith is questionable. I just don’t see how they can even be competitive tonight against the Charlotte Hornets, who are one of the most improved teams in the league. The Hornets already beat the Cavs 126-94 back on November 3rd in their first meeting this season, and I think we see a similar result tonight given the Cavs’ injury situation. Cleveland is 4-21 ATS in its last 25 home games with a total set of 210 to 219.5. The Cavs are 19-42-1 ATS in their last 62 home games overall. The Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games. Take Charlotte. |
|||||||
11-13-18 | Wisconsin +1 v. Xavier | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
6* Wisconsin/Xavier NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Wisconsin +1 The Key: The Wisconsin Badgers return 95% of their scoring from a year ago and all 5 starters. They also have all of their key reserves back. They basically don’t lose anyone. Xavier loses its top 3 scorers from last season and 2 key reserves. The Musketeers are in trouble this season. That was evident last time out when they only beat Evansville by 6, an Evansville team that lost by 39 to Illinois the game prior. Take Wisconsin. |
|||||||
11-12-18 | Spurs -2.5 v. Kings | 99-104 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Spurs/Kings Western Conference *CA$H COW* on San Antonio -2.5 The Key: The Spurs love facing the Sacramento Kings. They are 14-0 SU in their last 14 meetings, and 7-0 SU in their last 7 meetings in Sacramento. And with a spread of just 2.5 tonight, the price is right to lay it with the Spurs to earn their 15th straight win over the Kings. They basically just have to win the game to get the cover. The road team is 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. The Spurs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 trips to Sacramento. Take San Antonio. |
|||||||
11-12-18 | 76ers v. Heat -2 | 124-114 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -2 The Key: The Heat have playoff revenge in mind from the 76ers knocking them out in the first round last year. And they will be playing a depleted 76ers team that is without Jimmy Butler, Dario Saric and Robert Covington, the 3 players in the big trade with the Timberwolves. The Heat should be able to get a win and cover here at home Monday night given the situation. The Heat are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games vs. teams who attempt 27-plus free throws per game. Take Miami. |
|||||||
11-10-18 | Thunder v. Mavs +1.5 | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
6* Thunder/Mavs Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Dallas +1.5 The Key: The Thunder have been able to win their first two games without Russell Westbrook, winning on the road at Cleveland and at home against Houston. But we see this time and time again. Teams play well for one or two games without their stars, but then it catches up to them. I think that happens tonight here against the Mavericks. The Thunder will be without Westbrook again here tonight. The Thunder are 1-14 ATS in their last 15 road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 ATS coming in. The Mavericks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games off a loss by more than 10 points. The Mavs are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 home meetings. Take Dallas. |
|||||||
11-10-18 | Nets +7.5 v. Warriors | 100-116 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets +7.5 The Key: The Brooklyn Nets have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Warriors, including a 6-point home loss in their first meeting this season. The Nets are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 trips to Golden State. And their job gets a lot easier today against a banged-up Warriors team that is playing without Steph Curry, Draymond Green, Shaun Livingston and DeMarcus Cousins. They are just a shell of their former selves right now and will be a money burner for backers until they get healthy. The Nets have a legitimate shot to win this game outright, just like the Bucks did the other night in their 134-111 win at Golden State. Take Brooklyn. |
|||||||
11-09-18 | Wolves v. Kings +3 | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Timberwolves/Kings Western Conference *BAILOUT* on Sacramento +3 The Key: The Sacramento Kings have been flying under the radar this season. They are 6-5 SU & 7-4 ATS and have picked up some impressive wins along the way. But off back-to-back losses to Milwaukee and Toronto, they should be hungry for a victory at home tonight against the Timberwolves. Minnesota has off-court distractions that just aren’t getting fixed. They have lost 4 in a row coming in with 3 of those losses by double-digits. And the Timberwolves are 0-7 SU & 2-5 ATS on the road this season, getting outscored by 11.0 PPG in the process. Minnesota is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 road games dating back to last season. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take Sacramento. |
|||||||
11-09-18 | Washington +10.5 v. Auburn | 66-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Washington/Auburn Top 25 *CA$H COW* on Washington +10.5 The Key: The Washington Huskies should be one of the top teams in the Pac-12 this season. They went 21-13 and 10-8 in conference play last year in the first season under Mike Hopkins. And now they return all 5 starters from a team that suffers zero key losses from that team. I backed them against Western Kentucky in a 73-55 win as 8.5-point favorites in their opener. Now I’m taking them as double-digit underdogs here against Auburn. This game will be closer than the books are expecting. Take Washington. |
|||||||
11-09-18 | Arkansas v. Texas -6 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
7* Arkansas/Texas ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas -6 The Key: The Texas Longhorns return 4 starters this season and should be one of the top teams in the loaded Big 12. The Arkansas Razorbacks lost 6 of their top 7 scorers from a year ago and are in rebuilding mode under Mike Anderson. I think it’s worth laying the 6 points with Texas here given that these programs are going in opposite directions heading into the season. Take Texas. |
|||||||
11-08-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -5 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -5 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are just rolling along and consistently undervalued. They are 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS this season. They have won 5 of their 7 home games this season all by double-digits. And they should make easy work of the Clippers tonight. The Clippers will be without Avery Bradley, and his loss is huge because he would have been guarding either Lillard or McCollum. Now they just have Patrick Beverly to guard one of those two, which means the other should be able to go off. It will most likely be McCollum, who is coming off a 40-point game and gaining confidence in his shot. The Clippers are 37-64 ATS in their last 101 games off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The Blazers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. The Blazers are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 home games. Take Portland. |
|||||||
11-07-18 | 76ers v. Pacers -2.5 | 100-94 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
6* 76ers/Pacers ESPN *CA$H COW* on Indiana -2.5 The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are still in search of their first road victory of the season. They are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS on the road this year and getting outscored by a whopping 15.2 PPG. That’s why I have no problem laying the short price with the Pacers at home tonight as only 2.5-point favorites. They are one of the top teams in the East and took Lebron James and the Cavs to 7 games last year, which nobody else in the East can say. The Pacers are 10-2 SU & 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings with the 76ers as well. The 76ers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Pacers are 40-18 ATS in their last 58 games following a loss. Take Indiana. |
|||||||
11-06-18 | Western Kentucky v. Washington -8.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
6* WKU/Washington ESPNU *BAILOUT* on Washington -8.5 The Key: The Washington Huskies should be one of the top teams in thePac-12 this season. They went 21-13 and 10-8 in conference play last year in the first season under Mike Hopkins. And now they return all 5 starters from that squad and suffer zero key losses. Look for them to get out of the gate quickly against Western Kentucky tonight. WKU only returns 2 starters, and they will be without Auburn transfer DeSean Murray, who is suspended to start the season. Lamonte Bearden (11.8 ppg LY) is one of the two returning starters, and he’s serving a 6-game suspension to start the year as well. Take Washington. |
|||||||
11-06-18 | Bucks v. Blazers +2 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers +2 The Key: The Bucks are really starting to get too much love from the books now after their 8-1 start to the season. They are being asked to go on the road and lay points here to one of the better teams in the Western Conference in the Portland Trail Blazers, who are 7-3 SU & 7-3 ATS. If anything, the Blazers are getting disrespected. They should play the underdog card here and get an outright win and cover. The Bucks are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 ATS coming in. Bets on home teams of +3 to -3 in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams who average 82 or more shots per game, after a game where they allowed a shooting percentage of 35% or less are 26-6 ATS since 1996. Take Portland. |
|||||||
11-05-18 | Wolves v. Clippers -5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
6* Timberwolves/Clippers NBA *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -5 The Key: The Timberwolves are in disarray. They are just 4-6 this season and coming off road losses by 30 and 17 points. They won’t be able to hang with an improved Clippers team tonight. The Clippers are rested having the last 2 days off since beating the Magic by 25 on the road last time out. The Timberwolves are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games. The Clippers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games off a win by more than 10 points. Take Los Angeles. |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Rockets -8 v. Bulls | 96-88 | Push | 0 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets -8 The Key: James Harden makes his return from a hamstring injury tonight. That should help ease the load on the Rockets from playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here. And they should be fresh either way because this is still just their 3rd game in 8 days. The Bulls are also playing on a back-to-back tonight after losing yet another heartbreaker to the Pacers by 2 points last night. They could be flat here off back-to-back tough close losses. And the Bulls will be playing their 6th game in 9 days. They’re already short-handed with 4 key players out with injury in Markkanen, Dunn, Portis and Valentine. They won’t be able to keep pace with the Rockets tonight. The Rockets are 28-13 ATS as a road favorites over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with the Bulls winning by 32, 9 and 21 points. Take Houston. |
|||||||
11-02-18 | Grizzlies +8 v. Jazz | 110-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies +8 The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS this season. Their 4 wins have all come by 8 points or more, including a 92-84 road win at Utah as 11-point underdogs in their first meeting this season. This line is only 8 because Utah has some key injuries right now. The Jazz are expected to be without leading scorer Donovan Mitchell (23.3 PPG) tonight and key reserve Alec Burks. I just don’t see how they’re going to cover this spread without Mitchell. The Grizzlies come in on 2 days’ rest. Memphis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 vs. NBA Northwest Division teams. The Jazz are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah. Take Memphis. |
|||||||
11-01-18 | Thunder +1.5 v. Hornets | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder started the season 0-4 and that has had them undervalued. They have since reeled off two straight blowout home victories over the Suns and Clippers and I think they are back to being the team we thought they’d be coming into the season. Russell Westbrook was banged up to start the season, so that had a lot to do with the slow start. But now they are basically at full strength going forward. They are certainly better than the Charlotte Hornets, who are now overvalued after a 6-2 ATS start to the season. The Hornets should not be favored here. Charlotte is 2-16 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are 5-21 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 ATS over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder are 14-5-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings. Take Oklahoma City. |
|||||||
10-31-18 | Pacers v. Knicks +6 | 107-101 | Push | 0 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Pacers/Knicks ESPN *CA$H COW* on New York +6 The Key: The New York Knicks are 5-2 ATS this season and have consistently been overlooked by oddsmakers. I expect them to hang with the Indiana Pacers tonight and possibly pull off the upset as 6-point home underdogs. The home team is 22-6 ATS in the last 28 meetings. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home meetings with Indiana. Take New York. |
|||||||
10-30-18 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -1.5 | 95-107 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 The Key: I like the situation for the Grizzlies tonight. They are rested with 2 days off in between games and will be playing for just the 2nd time in 6 days here. The Wizards will be playing their 5th straight road game and their 5th game in 9 days. They are 1-3 on this trip thus far with their only win coming by one point in overtime, and they are coming off a 32-point loss to the Clippers. I think the Wizards are running out of gas, especially with injuries to two key players in Dwight Howard and Markieff Morris. The Grizzlies are 17-4 SU & 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home meetings with the Wizards. Washington is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Memphis. |
|||||||
10-29-18 | Nets v. Knicks -2 | 96-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks -2 The Key: The Brooklyn Nets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days here Monday. Not only that, they are coming off a hard-fought 114-120 loss to the Warriors last night in which they used a lot of energy for a 4th quarter comeback. They will be tired and won’t be nearly as excited to face the Knicks as they were the Warriors. The Knicks come in on 2 days of rest having last played on Friday. They want revenge from a 105-107 road loss to the Nets on October 19th just 10 days ago. The situation really favors the Knicks tonight. Take New York. |
|||||||
10-26-18 | Wizards v. Kings OVER 235 | 112-116 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
6* Wizards/Kings NBA TV *BAILOUT* on OVER 235 The Key: The Wizards have been forced to go to a small lineup these last two games with Markieff Morris playing center. That’s because both Dwight Howard and Ian Mahinmi are out with injuries. And it’s no surprise that they have gone OVER the total in all 4 games this season, and the last 2 were the highest-scoring. They combined for 249 points with the Blazers two games back and 266 points with the Warriors last time out. And they should sail OVER this 235-point total with the Kings as well. The Kings are 4-1 to the OVER this season and trying to play at a faster place to utilize De’Aron Fox’s skill set. They have combined for 240, 278, 251 and 238 points in their 4 OVERS. All four of those numbers were higher than this 235-point total. Get ready for a shootout in Sacramento tonight. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
10-25-18 | Blazers -3 v. Magic | 128-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -3 The Key: This is a tough situation for the Magic. They are coming off a huge upset win over the Boston Celtics on the road. I can’t help but think they will have a letdown at home against Portland tonight. The Magic are just 18-40 ATS in their last 58 games following a victory. And the Magic haven’t been very good at home this year, going 1-1 with a 3-point win over a depleted Miami team, and a 32-point loss to Charlotte. The Blazers are coming off a loss that will have them focused. And they’ve gone 4-1 in their last 5 meetings with the Magic with an average victory of nearly 15 PPG. Take Portland. |
|||||||
10-24-18 | Wizards v. Warriors OVER 234 | Top | 122-144 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
7* Wizards/Warriors NBA *Total* Annihilator on OVER 234 The Key: The Wizards have to go small ball tonight because Dwight Howard didn’t make the trip West, and Ian Mahinmi left their last game with a back injury. The Wizards went with Markieff Morris at center in their small ball lineup against the Blazers after Mahinmi’s departure and it worked well. They eventually won 125-124 in overtime. The Warriors love going small themselves, so this should be a track meet tonight. The Warriors beat the Wizards 120-117 in their last meeting at Golden State. I think both teams top 120 points tonight. Washington head coach Scott Brooks even said prior to this game if you don’t score 120 it’s tough to win in today’s NBA. And all his players complimented the small ball approach. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
10-24-18 | Hornets v. Bulls +4.5 | 110-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls +4.5 The Key: The Bulls are hungry for their first win of the season tonight. They should get it as 4.5-point home dogs to the Hornets. Their last two losses have come by a combined 8 points to the Mavs and Pistons, so they’ve been close. And I like the price we are getting with the Bulls tonight. The Bulls are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Hornets. Charlotte is 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games following a loss by more than 10 points. The Hornets are 5-20 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 ATS over the last 3 years. The Bulls are 15-3 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 years. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take Chicago. |
|||||||
10-23-18 | Kings +11.5 v. Nuggets | 112-126 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +11.5 The Key: The Denver Nuggets are in a tough spot tonight. They are in letdown mode off their 100-98 upset win over the defending champion Warriors last time out. They won’t be nearly as hungry here tonight against the Kings, and that’s a problem when you’re being asked to lay 11.5 points. I think the Nuggets come out flat here and the Kings get the cover. The Kings are coming off a 131-120 upset road win of their own as 10.5-point underdogs against Russell Westbrook and the OKC Thunder. But they won’t have a letdown because beating the Thunder is not like beating the Warriors. The Kings are shooting 52.8% as a team this season as they’ve clearly improved dramatically on the offensive end, averaging 125.7 PPG. Take Sacramento. |
|||||||
10-22-18 | Suns +12.5 v. Warriors | 103-123 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Suns/Warriors NBA *BAILOUT* on Phoenix +12.5 The Key: The Phoenix Suns should be one of the most improved teams in the NBA this season. They have a young roster and have been stockpiling talent for years. That talent is about to come to fruition this season. They got DeAndre Ayton with the No. 1 pick in the draft and he’s a can’t-miss player. Devin Booker is becoming a star already. And the addition of Trevor Ariza gives them a leader in the locker room that they’ve desperately needed. All Ariza does is win everywhere he goes because he plays winning basketball. The Warriors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 98-100 loss in Denver last night. Playing in altitude will have certainly taken more out of them than in most normal back-to-back situations. Take Phoenix. |
|||||||
10-20-18 | Spurs +4.5 v. Blazers | 108-121 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
6* Spurs/Blazers Western Conference *CA$H COW* on San Antonio +4.5 The Key: The Spurs aren’t getting much respect early in the season. I don’t think they’re any worse off than they were last year. In fact, they should be better. The replaced Kawhi Leonard with DeMar DeRozan. Leonard played hardly at all last season, and DeRozan is healthy and still one of the best players in the NBA. The Spurs haven’t lost any of their last 10 meetings with the Blazers by more than 4 points. They are 7-3 SU in those 10 games with their 3 losses coming by 1, 1, and 4 points. Take San Antonio. |
|||||||
10-19-18 | Celtics v. Raptors -3 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
6* Celtics/Raptors ESPN *CA$H COW* on Toronto -3 The Key: Home-court advantage has been huge in this series between the Celtics and Raptors. The home team is 10-1 SU in the last 11 meetings. The Raptors are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home meetings with the Celtics. This is a pretty cheap price to get the Raptors at tonight given the series history. Take Toronto. |
|||||||
10-17-18 | Cavs +13 v. Raptors | Top | 104-116 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Cavaliers +13 The Key: The betting public wants nothing to do with the Cavs without Lebron James. That’s why we will see some inflated numbers early in the season with them, and this is one of them. But the Cavs have some nice chemistry with Tryonn Lue entering his 4th year, and still plenty of talent with Kevin Love and company to remain competitive in the weak East. The Raptors are going through a system change with first-year head coach Nick Nurse, and they have to try and figure out how to make this new offense work now that leading scorer DeMar DeRozan is gone. I think it will take some time before the Raptors are hitting on all cylinders, so they shouldn’t be laying 13 points to the Cavs in the opener. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
10-16-18 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 210 | 87-105 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
6* 76ers/Celtics *Total* Annihilator on OVER 210 The Key: The 76ers were one of the best offensive teams in the Eastern Conference last season in averaging 110 PPG. They are loaded again and don’t put nearly as much emphasis on the defensive end. The Celtics had to play more defense last year because they were without their best 2 scores for much of the season in Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward, especially in the playoffs. But with Irving and Hayward back this should be one of the best offensive teams in the East. And Irving doesn’t play much defense. The OVER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Boston. The OVER is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 road games. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
06-08-18 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 108-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Cavs Game 4 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 216 The Key: As a series goes on, games tend to be lower and lower scoring. That has been the case in this series as well as each game has been lower scoring than the next. The Cavs and Warriors combined for 212 points in Game 3 and now we’re seeing a total of 216, so I think there’s value with the UNDER. Both teams know what each other is trying to do, which makes scoring at a premium. The UNDER is 10-3 in Warriors last 13 games overall. The UNDER is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The UNDER is 11-5 in Cavaliers last 16 home games. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
06-06-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +4.5 | Top | 110-102 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
7* NBA Finals Game of the Year on Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 The Key: It’s do or die for the Cavaliers tonight. I like backing teams with their backs against the wall because you know what kind of effort you are going to get from them. While the Cavs will be at 110% tonight, the Warriors could relax after protecting home court with their 2-0 series lead. And the Cavs will be happy to return home where they are 8-0 SU in their last 8 playoff games. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
06-03-18 | Cavs +11.5 v. Warriors | Top | 103-122 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
7* Cavs/Warriors Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +11.5 The Key: The Warriors clearly should not be double-digit favorites against the Cavs in Game 2 tonight. The Cavs should have beaten them in Game 1 and were the better team until overtime. And with the injuries to the Warriors’ Klay Thompson and Andre Iguodala, they aren’t the juggernaut that they are perceived to be. The Cavs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference teams. The Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when playing on 2 days rest. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
05-31-18 | Cavs +13 v. Warriors | Top | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
7* Cavs/Warriors Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +13 The Key: This Game 1 line has gotten out of control. Too much has been made of the Warriors being massive favorites in this series. I think it will be closer than most expect, starting with Game 1 tonight as the Cavs are ridiculous 13-point underdogs. Kevin Love may or may not play, but it doesn’t matter as the Cavs were great without him and actually better defensively in winning their final two games against Boston. Andre Iguodala is the best defender Golden State has against Lebron James, but he’s going to be out for Game 1. James should be able to have his way against Golden State’s defense to keep this one closer than expected. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
05-28-18 | Warriors v. Rockets +6.5 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Rockets Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +6.5 The Key: The Houston Rockets have held their own at home against the Warriors. After losing Game 1, they came back to win Game 2 and 5. And they were favorites in all 3 previous home games in this series. Yet now they are 6.5-point underdogs in Game 7. I like the price we are getting with them here. Andre Iguodala is doubtful while Kevin Looney is questionable. Chris Paul could return today, but it’s factored into the line that he’s not playing, so if he does it would only be an added bonus. The Rockets showed they could play with the Warriors without Paul by taking a 17-point lead in Game 6 before faltering in the second half. They should be able to sustain that level of play for 48 minutes this time around due to the boost they’ll get from their home fans. The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss. Take Houston. |
|||||||
05-27-18 | Cavs v. Celtics -2.5 | Top | 87-79 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
7* Cavs/Celtics Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston -2.5 The Key: This one is just about as easy as it gets. The home team is 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the six meetings thus far in this series. The home team has won all 6 games by 9 points or more. Boston has beaten Cleveland by 25, 13 and 15 points in its three home meetings. The Cavs’ role players just don’t travel well. And now they’ll be without Kevin Love due to a concussion, making their task even more daunting today. The Celtics are 10-0 at home in the playoffs and will improve to 11-0 while earning a trip to the NBA Finals with a victory tonight. Take Boston. |
|||||||
05-26-18 | Rockets v. Warriors -11.5 | Top | 86-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
7* Rockets/Warriors Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -11.5 The Key: No Chris Paul, no chance for the Rockets. They suffered a huge blow when he hurt his hamstring in the final seconds of Game 5 and has now been ruled out for Game 6. He is the heart and soul of this team. He is also a massive part of their game plan. Mike D’Antoni staggers the minutes of Paul and Harden to make sure that at least one of them is on the court at all times. Now the onus will be on Eric Gordon to take over Paul’s role, but he’s much better working off the ball. And the Rockets will have to go deeper into their thin bench. Houston knows it has a home game in its hip pocket coming up in Game 7, so I don’t expect the Rockets to be giving 100% trying to win Game 6. It’s do or die for the Warriors, so they should come out like gangbusters and cover this 11.5-point spread with ease. Take Golden State. |
|||||||
05-25-18 | Celtics v. Cavs -7 | Top | 99-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
7* Celtics/Cavs Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -7 The Key: Home-court advantage has made all the difference in this series thus far, and I don’t see that changing in Game 6 in this do-or-die game for Cleveland. The Celtics know they still have a home game in their back pocket, which is huge considering they are 10-0 at home in these playoffs. They can afford to not show up tonight. The Cavs don’t have the same luxury. The Cavs are 7-0 at home in the playoffs, while the Celtics are 1-6 on the road. The home team is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series with an average win of 18 PPG. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
05-24-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 219.5 | Top | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Rockets Game 5 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 219.5 The Key: I’m surprised the books keep setting the number too high in this series. The UNDER is 3-1 and we’ve seen lower scoring games as the series has gone on. Houston beat Golden State 95-92 for only 187 combined points in Game 4. Now this total is 219.5 for Game 5, which is 32.5 points more than their Game 4 result. They will likely score more points than in Game 4, but they won’t reach 220 or more. These teams are very familiar with each other now and defense is winning out. It has become an isolation series as neither team is able to move the ball on offense. That results in longer possessions and contested shots at the end of the shot clock frequently. Houston is 13-2 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season. The UNDER is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games overall. The UNDER is 38-18 in Rockets last 56 games overall. The UNDER is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 Thursday games. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
05-23-18 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 | Top | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
7* Cavs/Celtics Game 5 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 206.5 The Key: Boston will control the tempo playing at home tonight just as they did in Games 2 and 3. The Celtics and Cavs combined for just 191 points in Game 1 and 201 points in Game 2. Now we’re seeing a total of 206.5 in Game 5, which I believe to be too high here. The UNDER is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 14-6 in Cavs last 20 games following an ATS win. The UNDER is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Boston. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
05-22-18 | Rockets +9 v. Warriors | Top | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
7* Rockets/Warriors Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +9 The Key: The Houston Rockets will put forth a much better effort in Game 4 than they did in Game 3. It was mind-blowing how poorly they played, and the Warriors took advantage. But the Warriors will likely not have Andre Iguodala tonight, a key piece in their Hampton’s 5 lineup. Buckets will be easier to come by for Houston without having Iguodala’s presence on the defensive end tonight. And the Rockets surely won’t shoot as poorly as they 39% they shot in Game 3 as they continued to miss layup after layup. They made great adjustments in Game 2, and I expect the same for Game 4 tonight. Take Houston. |
|||||||
05-21-18 | Celtics v. Cavs -7 | Top | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
7* Celtics/Cavs Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -7 The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers are 35-13 at home this season, including 6-1 in the playoffs. The Boston Celtics have been vulnerable on the road in the playoffs. They are just 1-5 in their 6 road playoff games. The Cavs won Game 3 by 30 and should have no problem covering this generous 7-point spread at home tonight to square this series. Tyronn Lue is 16-5 ATS off a blowout home win by 20 points or more as the coach of the Cavs. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
05-20-18 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 226 | Top | 85-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
7* Rockets/Warriors Game 3 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 226 The Key: Points will be harder to come by as this series goes along and the Rockets and Warriors learn offensive tendencies. These teams are both better defensively than they get credit for. Houston is 9-1 UNDER off a combined score of 215 points ormolu in two straight games this season. The Rockets are 7-0 UNDER in road games off three consecutive home games this season. The UNDER is 11-1 in Rockets last 12 vs. NBA Pacific division. The UNDER is 21-10 in Rockets last 31 overall. The UNDER is 4-1 in Warriors last five games overall. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
05-19-18 | Celtics v. Cavs -6 | Top | 86-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
7* Celtics/Cavs Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -6 The Key: This is a great situation to back the Cavaliers. They are down 0-2 and returning home for a must-win game. They will be 100% locked in. It also helped them having three days off after last playing on Tuesday, especially Lebron James who really needed the rest. The Cavs should come out like gangbusters tonight. The Celtics will likely relax knowing that they have a cushion now after keeping their home-court advantage. And while the Celtics haven’t lost at home in these playoffs, they are just 1-4 on the road with their lone victory coming in overtime. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
05-16-18 | Warriors v. Rockets -1.5 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Rockets Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -1.5 The Key: The Houston Rockets will be hungry to even this series and get right back in it. They did win two out of three against the Warriors during the regular season, so they know they are capable. And it’s unlikely Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson shoot that well again. The Warriors are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games off a win by 10 points or more. Golden State is also just 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on one day of rest. Take Houston. |
|||||||
05-15-18 | Cavs +1 v. Celtics | Top | 94-107 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
7* NBA Playoffs Game of the Year on Cleveland Cavaliers +1 The Key: I’m shocked the Cavs aren’t big favorites over the Celtics in Game 2 tonight. They got their asses kicked in Game 1 and are sure to come back with a big effort tonight. They made only 4 3-pointers in the game and shot just 15% from distance. The odds of them shooting anything close to that again from deep are slim to none. The Cavs will come with a much better game plan after making some adjustments, and they are clearly the more talented team in this series. That talent will shine through in Game 2 tonight. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the Cavs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 trips to Boston. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
05-14-18 | Warriors v. Rockets -1 | Top | 119-106 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
7* Warriors/Rockets Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -1 The Key: The Houston Rockets are the only team in the NBA that has the goods to beat the Warriors. They are very similar teams, but the Rockets have the deeper bench and will be able to hang with the Warriors in this series. I think they take Game 1 tonight in Houston. They won 2 of 3 meetings with the Warriors during the regular season. They are hungry for a title and realize this is their best chance since Hakeem Olajuwon. Houston is 22-8 ATS off a home ATS loss where they won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Take Houston. |
|||||||
05-13-18 | Cavs -1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 83-108 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
7* Cavs/Celtics Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -1.5 The Key: Lebron James and the Cavaliers will prove to be too much for the Celtics in this series, and it starts with Game 1 tonight. They are extra rested after sweeping the Raptors and will look to continue their dominance of the Celtics in the playoffs. The Cavs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a blowout home win by 20 points or more. That’s a 91% angle backing the Cavs here this afternoon. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
05-09-18 | 76ers v. Celtics +1 | Top | 112-114 | Win | 102 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
7* 76ers/Celtics Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston +1 The Key: The Boston Celtics simply do not lose at home. They have not only gone 7-0 straight up, but also 7-0 against the spread in their last 7 home games. Now they are home underdogs to the 76ers in Game 5, where they just have to win to cover. Sign me up. The Celtics are 10-0 ATS as home underdogs this season. They are also 10-0 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss this season. Couple these trends with the 7-0 home trend and we have a 27-0 angle backing the Celtics. Take Boston. |
|||||||
05-08-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 228.5 | Top | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
7* Pelicans/Warriors Game 5 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 228.5 The Key: The Pelicans and Warriors have combined for 224, 237, 219 and 210 points in games 1-4, respectively. They have been lower scoring games than oddsmakers have anticipated, and I think there’s a good chance Game 5 stays well UNDER 228.5 points as well. Bets on the UNDER on road teams where the total is 200 or more, an extremely well rested team playing 5 or less games in 14 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 67-34 since 1996. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
05-07-18 | Celtics v. 76ers -6 | Top | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
7* Celtics/76ers Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -6 The Key: The 76ers have blown late leads in each of the last two games in this series. They know they are better than Boston and still have hope that they can make this a series. It starts with a victory in Game 4 tonight. Philadelphia is 11-2 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. The 76ers are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games. Take Philadelphia. |