Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-25-23 | Tulsa v. Arkansas-Little Rock +4.5 | Top | 82-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LITTLE ROCK TROJANS for our CBB False Favorite. Tulsa is off to a 4-0 start which is already just one win away from its win total from last season where it went 5-25 including a 1-17 record in the AAC. The Golden Hurricane had nowhere to go but up based on the disaster from last season but are still predicted to finish No. 12 in the 14-team conference and this is the first test. Tulsa lost all five starters and nine of its top ten scorers from last season which may not be a bad thing and the main goal was to shore up a horrible defense which it has done thus far. However, They have played no one with all four games at home and they were favored by double digits in all four games. Little Rock has seen opposite results as it is 1-4 to open the season which includes four straight losses and four straight non-covers. Three of those defeats were away from home with the last one coming in overtime in Little Rock and all of these followed a season opening win at home against Texas St. The Trojans are expected to make a move up in the OVC after a 10-21 season that was filled with brutal losses as 12 times it was a one-point game either way at the last media timeout and they lost all of them. False favorite. 10* (616) Little Rock Trojans |
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11-25-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State +7 | Top | 93-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the SE MISSOURI ST. REDHAWKS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. Evansville is off to a 5-0 start and those five wins have already matched the win total all of last season. The Purple Aces are coming off an overtime win over UT-Chattanooga as 8.5-point underdogs yesterday so they are in a tough spot playing back-to-back days off an overtime game. Evansville clearly has improved from last season which was expected with four returning starters but it is still picked to finish 11th in the 12-team Missouri Valley Conference. SE Missouri St. will also be playing back-to-back games in this format in Chattanooga but this is the first game with the second taking place on Sunday. The Redhawks are 1-3 to start the season including a 0-4 ATS mark after making the NCAA Tournament last season. They lost some great guards from that team and have two starters back which means it may take time but coming off their first win and now in a great spot put them in a great position. This is an rare early nonconference revenge spot as SE Missouri St. already lost to Evansville by 19 points at home no less which was just 10 days ago and we are seeing a massive nine-point line swing. 10* (602) SE Missouri St. Redhawks |
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11-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Rice -4 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the RICE OWLS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. Rice closes the season at home with a chance to become bowl eligible. The Owls did go to a bowl game last season but they were 5-7 and made it due to not enough 6-win teams being eligible and got in because of academics so they are going for six wins for the first time since 2013. They won at Charlotte last week to keep hope alive following a three-game losing streak against the three teams that are a combined 21-0 in the AAC and two of those were by seven points combined. Florida Atlantic was on pace to make it to a bowl game for the first time since the COVID season and now the best they can do is win five games for a fourth straight season. The Owls have lost three straight and the wind has come out of their sails with the offense scoring just 15 points over the last two games. The offense has struggled overall as they are No. 102 overall and they are not much better on defense at No. 89. Their three wins against FBS teams were against teams with losing records. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season in a game involving two rushing teams averaging between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc. This situation is 44-21 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (190) Rice Owls |
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11-25-23 | Ohio State +3.5 v. Michigan | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the OHIO ST. BUCKEYES for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. A trip to the Big 10 Championship is up for grabs yet again with the chance to face Iowa. Michigan comes in as the expected favorite playing at home and it has dominated Ohio St. the last two meetings and for being a heated rivalry, it has not been close of late with the last five meetings decided by double digits, that last one possession game taking place in 2016. The Wolverines have been dominant for the most part but had a scare last week against Maryland and the game plan it had against Penn St. where they did not throw a pass in the second half will likely not work here as they will have to pass the ball. Ohio St. has a great pass rush so that could be an issue and the Michigan offense line has struggled in pass protection. The Buckeyes have been just as dominant as the offense is averaging only four points less than Michigan while both teams are allowing only nine ppg. We have not seen those defenses dominate in this series during the last five games but that easily should change here and that favors a low scoring game obviously which favors the underdog. Here, we play on road teams with a great scoring defense allowing 14 or less ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (141) Ohio St. Buckeyes |
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11-24-23 | Oregon State v. Oregon -13.5 | Top | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 57 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. There is a lot on the line for Oregon in this edition of the Civil War. A Pac-12 title game appearance and keeping alive hopes of a possible College Football Playoff berth are the two big factors and there is also revenge in play. Last season, the Ducks built what seemed like a commanding 31-10 lead with 4 minutes, 46 seconds left in the third quarter and appeared to be on their way to a spot in the Pac-12 championship game but the Beavers scored 28 of the next 31 points to pull off the comeback with a 38-34 victory. Since losing to Washington by three points, the Ducks have rolled over their last five games. Oregon St. is coming off a tough loss against Washington as it lost by two points, its third loss of the season by three points or less. This will be its biggest test on the road where it is 3-2 with the best win coming against California or San Jose St. The Beavers do a lot of things right as they have a top 25 offense and a top 30 defense and while the letter unit has been great at generating turnovers which has helped the offense, Oregon has only six giveaways the entire season with two of those coming last week against Arizona St. Here, we play against road teams in a game involving two teams averaging 34 or more ppg, after a loss by six or less points. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (136) Oregon Ducks |
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11-24-23 | Nuggets -3 v. Rockets | Top | 86-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Denver opened the season 8-1 and looked to continue the run from its NBA Title from last season but it has gone 2-4 since then to fall into third place in the Western Conference. The Nuggets have failed to cover seven straight games and we are getting some value here. The struggles have coincided with the absence of Jamal Murray but this is now their fourth game without him so there has been time to find the continuity without him. The Rockets opened 0-3 but have turned a corner by going 7-3 over their last 10 games to get over .500 and they are currently in the No. 8 spot in the conference. It has been the opposite at the betting window as Houston has covered 10 straight games and this is certainly not sustainable. This is a good roster overall but not a good spot with a revenge minded Denver coming to town. Here, we play on road teams revenging a loss of three points or less, off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (567) Denver Nuggets |
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11-24-23 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 73-57 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Texas Tech is off to a 4-1 start following a 1-1 split to open the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament as it lost to Villanova by 16 points in the opener before beating Northern Iowa, which is the top team in the Missouri Valley Conference, yesterday. The Red Raiders were a fringe NCAA Tournament team last season before losing their final three regular season games and dropping the opener in the Big 12 Tournament and now it is a fresh start with a new head coach in Grant McCasland, who won the NIT with North Texas and brings in a tenacious defense. Michigan lost to Memphis in the opener before beating Stanford by five points yesterday. The Wolverines opened the season 3-0 with three blowout wins but then lost against Long Beach St., falling by eight points as a 16-point favorite. That defeat was probably a more telling sign of this team that did not bring much back and is picked to finish 12th in the big 10. 10* (853) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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11-24-23 | Missouri v. Arkansas +8 | Top | 48-14 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CFB Friday Ultimate Underdog. Missouri is coming off a dramatic last second win over Florida last week in its final home game to improve to 9-2 on the season and has a chance for its first 10-win season since 2014. That should provide the motivation but coming off the win over the Gators and knowing the SEC Championship is out of play, this is not an easy spot. The Tigers offense has been one of the best in the country as they are ranked No. 20 overall and No. 33 in scoring but face an above average defense that is No. 49 in the nation. Arkansas is coming off a 44-20 win over Florida International last week. The Razorbacks are 4-7 on the season with their lone SEC win coming against the Gators in overtime so they will not be going bowling but this is the Battle Line Rivalry so playing spoiler and ending the season on a high is the goal. It has been a tough season as it easily could have been better as Arkansas has a 1-5 record in one-score games so it has been close. Razorbacks quarterback KJ Jefferson has had a solid season as he has been able to keep these games within reach. Here, we play against road favorites in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg and after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up teams allowing between 330 and 390 ypg. This situation is 56-21 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (128) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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11-24-23 | UTSA v. Tulane -3 | Top | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 52 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. A berth in the AAC Championship is on the line with the winner going while the loser still can make it should SMU lose to Navy on Saturday. Tulane has won nine straight games and is 10-1 overall with the only loss coming against Mississippi where quarterback Michael Pratt missed. New Year's Six stakes are also on the line, primarily for No. 23 Tulane, which controls its own destiny for a second consecutive appearance. The Green Wave have been dominant at home in its five wins and are laying a short number. The Roadrunners are also 7-0 but has done so on a different path. UTSA has had a fairly easy run to its undefeated conference record as all seven opponents the Roadrunners have faced are all below .500, so the Green Wave represent a significant step up in competition. They too have been great down the stretch after an uneven start but quarterback Frank Harris is over his injury but now faces his biggest defensive test with Tulane coming in No. 25 overall and No. 18 in scoring. Their own defense has not been nearly as good despite playing lesser teams as they are No. 59 overall and No. 56 in points allowed. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 63-28 ATS (69.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (186) Tulane Green Wave |
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11-24-23 | USC v. Oklahoma | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CBB Star Attraction. USC opened the season with a big win against Kansas St. as it came into the season ranked No. 21 in the preseason AP Poll and then rolled UC Santa Barbara before losing to UC Irvine but the Trojans were without two of their best players as Boogie Ellis and Kobe Johnson were out. They are back and USC is totally healthy now and that duo scored a combined 35 points yesterday in their eight-point win over Seton Hall and they are in good shape to take the tournament. Oklahoma opened the season 4-0 with four blowout wins at home over some bad competition and it opened the tournament with a nice win over Iowa, which looks to be in another down season. The Sooners are coming off a rough season a year ago as they finished with just 15 wins including a 5-13 record in the Big 12 and not much more is expected this season. The early 4-0 start has this team overvalued. 10* (861) USC Trojans |
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11-24-23 | Toledo +2.5 v. Indiana State | Top | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. The final round of the Ball Dawgs Classic from Henderson, NV takes place Friday with the first tip between Toledo and Indiana St. The Rockets are 0-2 through the first two games and the Sycamores are 2-0 but the teams had completely different draws. Toledo had to face New Mexico and UC Irvine, two teams that are expected to contend in the Mountain West Conference and Big West Conference respectively so the Rockets take a step down. Conversely, Indiana St. faces Rice and Pepperdine, two teams that are predicted to finish near the bottom of the AAC and WCC respectively so the Sycamores take a step up. Indiana St. came to Nevada 2-1 with both wins at home against garbage teams while toledo came in 3-0 that included a very impressive win on the road at Wright St. Wrong team favored. 10* (801) Toledo Rockets |
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11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +6.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -103 | 50 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. The 49ers are coming in as big road favorites and while those spots have been good to take on Thanksgiving, this is a good spot to fade in a divisional game with a lot on the line. San Francisco has a one game lead over Seattle in the NFC West following a pair of wins over Jacksonville and Tampa Bay which happened to be the first two games back at pretty much full strength with Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams returning for the offense. The 49ers swept all three games last season including a 41-23 win in the playoffs setting up a big revenge spot for the Seahawks. Seattle is coming off a loss to the Rams by a point as it missed a last second field goal making it two of its four losses coming against the Rams. The Seahawks are currently in the No. 6 spot in the NFC and this starts a stretch of four games against the 49ers twice, Dallas and Philadelphia so they need to at least take care of business at home. Seattle is 4-1 at home including four straight wins and while the competition has not been great, the metrics are still good taking the strength of schedule into consideration. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 48-14 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average point differential being just 1.5 ppg. 10* (110) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-23-23 | Boise State +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Boise St. has made the NCAA Tournament each of the last two seasons and will be going for a third consecutive trip which should not be an issue. The Broncos are one of the most experienced teams in the country coming off 51 wins the last two seasons and they have three potential All-MWC Players with the best frontcourt in the conference. Boise St. is off to a 2-1 start with the most recent game resulting in a 17-point loss at Clemson and we can chalk that up to an aberration as the Broncos could not buy a bucket in the second half while Clemson ended up making 51 percent of its shots and now it gets a second chance against another ACC school, one that is not close to that of the Tigers. Virginia Tech is 3-1 to start the season with wins over teams where it was favored by at least 18 points with its one loss coming against South Carolina, a team pegged to finish last in the SEC. The Hokies have three starters back but this team is nothing special as they are picked as a bottom half ACC team. Basically, they should not be favored here. 10* (775) Boise St. Broncos |
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11-23-23 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State +10 | Top | 17-7 | Push | 0 | 48 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Mississippi St. snapped a three-game losing streak with a 21-point win over Southern Mississippi to keep its bowl hopes alive. The Bulldogs are 5-6 and need this game and in a rivalry game, anything is possible even in a game with a spread this big. The most significant change for the Bulldogs in their first game under interim head coach Greg Knox last week is that they committed to the run game more than they had all season as they rushing for 240 yards on 43 carries (5.6 ypc). The Mississippi rushing defense could be in trouble because of that as the Rebels are No. 79 in rushing defense, allowing 157 ypg. While that could be a big edge, the Bulldogs possess a solid defense as they are No. 48 overall including No. 48 against the pass and No. 49 against the run. Bulldogs quarterback Will Rogers played for the first time in more than a month against the Golden Eagles and his presence is a big one. Mississippi easily took out UL-Monroe last week 35-3 to close out its home schedule and hits the road where it is 2-2 and while those losses were against Alabama and Georgia, this will be a tougher spot than expected. While the defense will be tested, the offense does face that strong defense and the Rebels have not been as lethal on the road. Their offense averages 36.5 ppg overall, but that includes an average of 23.0 ppg away from home. 10* (110) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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11-23-23 | Commanders v. Cowboys -10.5 | Top | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 46 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. This is a big number to be laying with the Cowboys which are always a big public play on Thanksgiving but we are backing them in a great situational spot. Dallas has not been very good on Thanksgiving covering numbers but this team is rolling right now and has been dominant at home. The Cowboys are 4-0 at home and have outscored opponents by nearly 28 ppg and while those have been against some poor teams, their opponent Thursday falls into that as well. Dallas has moved up to No. 6 in DVOA and No. 2 in net EPA with both offense and defense ranked in the top 5. Washington is coming off a brutal loss to the Giants last week as it committed six turnovers in the 12-point defeat. The Commanders are now 4-7 and likely out of playoff consideration with a very tough upcoming schedule with three games against two of the top teams in the NFC. Washington has fallen to No. 27 in DVOA and No.. 26 in net EPA with the offense landing at No. 22 and defense being No. 30. Quarterback Sam Howell had a decent run going but was dreadful against New York and he has been sacked 51 times this season and Dallas is the No. 6 ranked blitzing team in the league. He leads the league in passing yards but is No. 22 in QBR. Here, we play against road underdogs of 10.5 or more points with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after two or more consecutive losses. This situation is 23-2 ATS (92 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average scoring differential being 22.6 ppg. 10* (108) Dallas Cowboys |
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11-23-23 | Penn State v. Texas A&M -7.5 | Top | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. Penn St. had a magical run last season as it nearly won the Big 10 Tournament, losing by a bucket to Purdue, then defeated Texas A&M in the first round of the NCAA Tournament before losing to Texas by five points. The Nittany Lions are now starting over as they brought back only four players while losing 95 percent of their scoring to go along with a new head coach. They are 4-0 but have played no one as they were favored by at least 13 points in all of those games. Texas A&M is also 4-0 with impressive wins at Ohio St. and SMU and the Aggies are primed for another run after winning 25 games last season. They have four starters back and are currently ranked No. 12 and certainly in the mix in the SEC. They have had this game circled and get their revenge today. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800 from last season, with three or more starters returning from last year than opponent. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (770) Texas A&M Aggies |
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11-22-23 | SMU +7.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 61-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the SMU MUSTANGS for our CBB Star Attraction. SMU is undervalued here with a lot of that based on what transpired last season but the 10-22 record does not tell the whole story. The Mustangs lost seven games by one possession and of those 22 losses, 15 were by five points or less so things could have been a lot better. They were coming off a 24-win season in the previous year but lost a ton of talent including point guard Kendrick Davis who transferred to Memphis and averaged 22.1 ppg. SMU was forced to plug the point but are much better off this season with plenty of backcourt experience. The Mustangs are already 4-1 including a big win at West Virginia last time out. Wisconsin opened the season 1-2 with two double-digit losses against Tennessee and Providence but has since won two straight games including a home upset over Virginia in its last game by 24 points and that is also affecting this line. This is a very experienced team that is expected to make a move up in the Big Ten after going 20-15 including 9-11 in the conference. That being said, this is a slow down team as usual making points a premium and SMU can score and has its own solid defense as well. 10* (747) SMU Mustangs |
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11-22-23 | Kings -1.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 112-117 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. This is the second game of a two-game home set for New Orleans which rolled over Sacramento on Monday by 36 points for this is a big revenge game for the Kings. They are now 8-5 and had a six-game winning streak snapped in that last contest. This included three straight road wins after starting 1-3 on the highway. De'Aaron Fox has played only eight games but is healthy again and coming off his worst game of the season as he scored 14 points on 5-18 shooting including 2-12 from long range so we should see a big bounce back game from him. New Orleans has won three of its last four games following a five-game losing streak. The offense has been shooting lights out, going over 51 percent from the floor in its last five games including a season high 54.3 percent on Monday. The Pelicans can expect the best effort from Sacramento after that awful effort and they do come in just 5-4 at home. The Pelicans are still without CJ McCollum who is out indefinitely with a collapsed lung. Here, we play on teams revenging a same season loss, off an upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (539) Sacramento Kings |
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11-22-23 | Bulls +7 v. Thunder | Top | 102-116 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Oklahoma City is one of the biggest surprises in the NBA as it is now 10-4 following its fifth straight win. Two of those games were against two of the worst teams in the Western Conference in Portland and San Antonio while the other three games were against a depleted Golden St. twice and a banged up Phoenix team at the time. The Thunder are 11-3 against the number and the markets are starting to catch up as they are laying a sizeable number here. Chicago is coming off a four-game homestand where it went 1-3, losing to games against Orlando and splitting games with Miami. The Bulls are now 5-10 straight up and 5-0-1 against the number and are catching their third biggest number of the season with the first two bigger numbers coming against Denver and Milwaukee and we cannot put Oklahoma City in the group with those team just yet. This is a road revenge game with Chicago losing the season opener by 20 points at home. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg, after scoring 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 52-22 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (541) Chicago Bulls |
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11-22-23 | Bucks v. Celtics -5.5 | Top | 116-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Boston is coming off an overtime loss at Charlotte as it was in a horrible spot riding a six-game winning streak with this game on deck so the fact there was a lack of focus was no surprise. We played against the Celtics there but are now backing them as they return home where they are undefeated but has played only five of their 14 games here. Their three losses have by a combined 11 points and currently sitting in the No. 1 spot in the Eastern Conference, this is an early statement game. Milwaukee got off to an uneven start as it opened 5-4 but has won five straight games to sit one game behind Boston in the conference and while this is a statement game for the Bucks as well, the venue will make a big difference here. Milwaukee has played a very favorable schedule that is ranked No. 27 in the league and while it is 6-1 at home, it is 4-3 on the road. The Damon Lillard acquisition is paying off thus far and while a top team in the NBA, this is not a good spot. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 51-26 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (536) Boston Celtics |
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11-22-23 | Georgia Tech +10.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 54-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Cincinnati is off to a 4-0 start with the four wins all coming against mid-majors and now have its biggest test of the season Wednesday. The Bearcats had a great season in their last in the AAC as they went 23-13 and made a run in the NIT. They lost a lot from that team as four of the top five scorers departed as did five of the last seven players in minutes played. They were hoping to have a pair of big time transfers get onto the court right away but 7’0 Aziz Bandaogo and 6’10 Jamille Reynolds were not granted waivers and have to sit out the season. Georgia Tech is in its first season with Damon Stoudamire as head coach following a 15-18 season and the last five years under Josh Pastner were just not good enough. The Yellow Jackets brought back four starters from last season, although one of those is on the shelf until December, so there is plenty of experience and they have five starters that are averaging double digits. They are led by Miles Kelly who is averaging 21 ppg and is in the running for a First Team All ACC player. Georgia Tech is 2-1 with a loss last time out against a very good UMass-Lowell team and are in bounce back mode but more of our concern, it is getting a big number. 10* (687) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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11-22-23 | Princeton v. Old Dominion +3.5 | Top | 76-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Princeton was one of many Cinderella stories last season as it made it to the Sweet 16 as a No. 15 seed after defeating Arizona and Missouri before eventually losing to Creighton. The Tigers are expected to be a top half team in the Ivy League again but they lost a ton as they have to replace three key seniors in Tosan Evbuomwan, Ryan Langborg and Keeyshawn Kellman which contributed a combined 36 ppg last season. They are off to a 4-0 start, both straight up and against the number and that is affecting this number. There has been a lot of travel with this being the fifth destination in five games with their first home game of the season coming up. Old Dominion is off to a 1-2 start with two straight losses coming into today, both on the road at Ball St. and Arkansas. The Monarchs are coming off a solid 19-12 season despite going through numerous uphill battles mostly due to injury and so far, they remain healthy. They have the best player on the floor in Chaunce Jenkins, a junior point guard who led the team in scoring, assists and three-point shooting last year and he is averaging 19 ppg so far and he is in the running for SBC Player of the Year. 10* (680) Old Dominion Monarchs |
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11-22-23 | Appalachian State v. Murray State +2.5 | Top | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the MURRAY ST. RACERS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. This is a great early spot play for Murray St. Appalachian St. played yesterday and rolled over UNC Wilmington by 30 points but it was in the good spot there as the Seahawks were coming off win the previous day in overtime against the Racers in the first game of the Fort Myers Tip-Off. Now it is the Mountaineers playing in a back-to-back spot and playing early in the afternoon no less. That win snapped a two-game losing streak where they lost at Illinois St. and Oregon St. by double digits, two teams to finish in the bottom half of their respective conferences. Murray St. let that game against UNC Wilmington get away as it has a 10-point lead in the second half and led by seven points with 2:06 remaining but lost the lead and the game was sent into overtime on a controversial foul with 1.6 seconds left. That bad taste in their mouths will provide plenty of motivation for the Racers whose defense will improve. Here, we play on teams shooting 36.5 percent or better from three going up against a team shooting 32 percent or worse from three, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting percentage of 47 percent or higher. This situation is 39-12 ATS (76.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (672) Murray St. Racers |
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11-21-23 | Pacers v. Hawks -3.5 | Top | 157-152 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. The Hawks have opened their four-game homestand with a pair of losses against New York and Philadelphia to fall to 6-6 on the season. Atlanta has lost three straight home games and are in a good spot here to keep the offense rolling as it is No. 5 in the league in scoring with Trae Young and Dejounte Murray averaging a combined 44.7 ppg while having seven players averaging double digits in scoring. Indiana is coming off a home loss against Orlando to go to 7-5 on the season. The Pacers have the top scoring offense in the NBA as they go fast, averaging a league high 107.7 possessions per game but the defense suffers from it. Indiana is No. 28 in points allowed and No. 26 in opponents shooting and over the last four games, they have allowed 50.7 percent shooting. Here, we play on teams after a loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after two straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more. This situation is 83-43 ATS (65.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (522) Atlanta Hawks |
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11-21-23 | James Madison v. Southern Illinois +5.5 | Top | 82-76 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SALUKIS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Southern Illinois is off to a 3-0 start with wins against Kentucky St., Queens, and Chicago St. and while this is obviously their toughest opponent, the Salukis are a live dog here. While they lost their top two scorers from last season, thee starters are back from a team that went 23-10 and finished tied for third in Missouri Valley Conference. James Madison is off to a 4-0 start and has moved up to No. 22 in the AP Poll. The Dukes opened the season with the big upset over Michigan St. and most recently snuck by Radford at home by three points. This is a buy low, sell high spot and have a tough matchup here against a long and athletic team. The offense has been potent but the defense has been an issues as they are No. 349 in points allowed while their 43.4 percent shooting percentage allowed in No. 229. Here, we play against neutral court teams that has a winning percentage between .600 and .800 last season off a home win by three points or less, playing a team that had a winning record. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1997. 10* (660) Southern Illinois Salukis |
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11-20-23 | Akron v. Utah State | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Akron is off to a 4-0 start following a win over Florida International last night and is in another good spot here. Akron is the preseason pick to win the MAC and for good reason. The Zips finished 13-5 in the conference last season behind Toledo and Kent St. and have arguably the two best players in the MAC. Center Enrique Freeman is the Preseason Player of the Year after two straight seasons averaging a double-double and the Zips leading scorer from two years ago, Ali Ali, is back after going to Butler for a season. Overall, the Zips have six players that are playing in their fifth year so this is one of the most experienced teams in the country. Utah St. rolled over Marshall by 23 points yesterday which was a big win after an uneven start to the season. The Aggies are one of the most inexperienced teams in the country as it lost 100 percent of its scoring from last season so facing an experienced team here is not ideal. The Aggies are picked No. 7 in the MWC after a tie for second last season and not in the spot here. 10* (841) Akron Zips |
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11-20-23 | Celtics v. Hornets +9 | Top | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Boston has won six straight games to move to 11-2 and one game up on the Sixers and two games up on the Bucks. The Celtics are coming off their second straight one possession win and while the opposition is not good tonight, this is a bad spot. Boston is No. 2 in both points allowed and opponents shooting even with the loss of Marcus Smart and while this should be an easy layup, It is too many points with a home game on deck against Milwaukee. Charlotte has lost four straight games and is 3-9 on the season but it is in a great spot off two double digit losses. This is contrarian and the line says it. Arguably, one of the worst teams in the league, they can score as the Hornets are No. 14 in scoring and No. 15 in shooting. They can keep up here in a great lookahead spot for the opponent in a quad revenge spot. The Celtics are 9-19 in their last 28 games following consecutive road games. 10* (504) Charlotte Hornets |
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11-19-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 134-91 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. This is the ultimate letdown spot for Oklahoma City which is coming off a two-game sweep at Golden St. including an overtime win last night. The Warriors led by as many as 18 points midway through the third quarter before the Thunder came back to force overtime as Chet Holmgren has his coming out party with 36 points and 10 rebounds. Along with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored 40 last night, this will be a great top two but it is not sustainable yet. Oklahoma City is one of the big surprises at 9-4 and with its 10-3 ATS record, it is now a public team. Portland is off to an expected poor start as it is 3-9 which includes six straight losses and this is exactly the time to back the Blazers. The offense has failed to reach 100 points in three straight games shooting just over 37 percent but catches a team at the right time. The Blazers have been hurt with injuries but that has only built chemistry with the latest roster and there is a possibility Malcolm Brogdon comes back tonight after missing the last four games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) Portland Trail Blazers |
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11-19-23 | Vikings v. Broncos -2 | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -113 | 51 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. Minnesota is one of the hottest teams in the NFL as it has won five consecutive games to get within a game and a half of Detroit in the NFC North. The Vikings have covered all five of those games as well, the last two with Joshua Dobbs at quarterback and he has been a great story but those wins were against the NFC South, the worst division in football. They now head out west to face another team on a turnaround and one that is more justified at this point. The Vikings are the public darling right now with the longest winning streak in the league and are catching 82 percent of the money yet this line has not budged since opening and that is telling. The Broncos have won three straight games to move to 4-5 to get right into the playoff hunt. They are coming back home for a pair of games where they have won two in a row after dropping their first three games in Denver. The defense has been outstanding during this recent winning streak as they have allowed only 16 ppg which has helped an offense that has not been very productive. While Russell Wilson has not put up big numbers, he has been efficient with 18 touchdowns and only four interceptions and a 104.0 passer rating. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (474) Denver Broncos |
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11-19-23 | St. Mary's -4.5 v. Xavier | Top | 49-66 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. MARY'S GAELS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Xavier made a run to the Sweet 16 last season and ended up finishing the season 27-10 and led the Big East in every offensive category but the Musketeers lost the majority of that production with three departed starters that averaged a combined 45.6 ppg. Only four players from last season are on the roster and making matters worse, the two returning starters who were going to lead the offense are out for the season as Jerome Hunter and Zach Freemantle are done. Xavier has to rely on a brand new roster and the offense is hurting as it is ranked No. 206 in scoring and No. 170 in shooting and even more concerning is its free throw shooting that comes in No. 256. St. Mary's is also coming off a great season where it went 27-8 but it is in much better shape as three starters are back. The Gaels opened the season 2-0 but have dropped their last two games with total meltdowns in the second half. They lost to Weber St. after blowing a 16-point lead and in their last game against San Diego St., they trailed by just one point at halftime before getting outscored 45-21 in the second half. This is the get right game they need before heading back home. 10* (735) St. Mary's Gaels |
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11-19-23 | Winnipeg -7.5 v. Montreal | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Game of the Year. Montreal went into their semifinal game against Toronto with a 12-7 record and the record was pretty straight forward as it depended upon who they were playing. Toronto, Winnipeg and B.C. were the only other teams that finished with a winning record and Montreal went 0-7 in those games but it went 12-0 against every other team. The Alouettes broke that streak by defeating Toronto last week to make the Grey Cup but it was a very misleading final. They were outgained 385-244 but benefitted from five Argonauts turnovers including two interceptions returned for touchdowns, one of them for 101 yards that opened the scoring, and also returned a kickoff for a touchdown that broke the game open in the fourth quarter. Winnipeg defeated B.C. to make its fourth straight Grey Cup and while it benefitted from a 4-0 turnover advantage, it still dominated by holding the Lions to just 189 total yards. Winnipeg led the CFL with 431.4 ypg and 33.0 ppg and was led by the most balanced unit in the league. The Blue Bombers have the best quarterback/running back combo in the league with Zach Collaros and Brady Oliveira so they can come at with you both ways. It will face a tough Montreal passing defense but the balance will keep that defense off balance. As for their own defense, the Blue Bombers can dominate again and they have given quarterback Cody Fajardo fits as they have held him to three touchdowns and 12 interceptions the last 12 meetings. Somewhat of a big number but right around the same as both meetings this season that Winnipeg both by a combined 64-20. 10* (441) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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11-19-23 | Wofford +18 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 76-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the WOFFORD TERRIERS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Wofford is coming off an uneven season where it went 17-16 including an 8-10 record in the SoCon but it was a tough year where its coach resigned in January and yet the Terriers plugged along. They lost three starters but have a core group back with a lot of size and athleticism and played No. 7 Tennessee tough for a majority of the game before losing by 21 as a 31-point underdog. Facing a tough defense, they for forced into 10 steals and while facing another power program, they should not be getting this number here. Virginia Tech is 2-1 to start the season with wins over Coppin St. and Campbell, the latter by 16 points with its one loss coming against South Carolina, a team pegged to finish last in the SEC. The Hokies have three starters back but this team is nothing special as they are picked as a bottom half ACC team and are laying close to the same number it did against Campbell which they did not cover. The story here is head coach Mike Young was at Wofford for 17 years before coming to Blacksburg so there will be no running it up against the school that got him to the ACC 10* (671)Wofford Terriers |
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11-19-23 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Year. Seattle is tied atop the NFC West with the 49ers at 6-3 but while San Francisco is +109 in scoring differential, the Seahawks are -1 and they have been outgained overall by 209 yards. Seattle is at the top of the list as one of the most overrated teams with a winning record and they could be exposed with its upcoming schedule. They are coming off a win over Washington which was their second win in three games which were by a combined seven points and both at home. Taking a look at the teams they have dominated, they are the Panthers, Giants and Cardinals and while the other cover came against Detroit, that was in overtime where the Lions did not even see the ball. This is a possible lookahead with a Thanksgiving game on deck against the 49ers. Los Angeles is coming off its bye week which came at a great time after a brutal stretch. The Rams have dropped three straight games, failing to cover any of those but just one of those was with Matthew Stafford playing a full game and that was the loss to Pittsburgh where the defense allowed a pair of fourth quarter touchdowns. Stafford will return this week and he brings a different dynamic to the offense especially with Cooper Kupp back in the lineup. Even with Stafford and Kupp missing time, the Rams are No. 15 in offensive DVOA which is nothing special but that is just two spots below Seattle. 10* (470) Los Angeles Rams |
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11-19-23 | Steelers +1.5 v. Browns | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. The Steelers keep finding ways to win as they are now 6-3 following a pair of wins over Tennessee and Green Bay and while those wins are not saying much, they come into a good spot this week. Pittsburgh was turnover free in both of those games and it has only four turnovers in its last seven games after committing four turnovers in its first two games. This is the first of two straight divisional games where they are 2-0 and three of the final four games against the AFC North will be against teams without their starting quarterback with Joe Burrow our for the season. The defense continues to lead the way as Pittsburgh is No. 7 in defensive DVOA and have a great matchup here. Cleveland is coming off an improbable win over Baltimore as it rallied from a 24-9 and won on a last second field goal to also improve to 6-3. Quarterback Deshawn Watson delivered an inspired effort in the second half to pull off the victory but it was announced that he is out for the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. Granted he was not having the best season overall but now the ball will be in the hands of rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson who made one start and he was awful against the Ravens, going 19-36 for 121 yards with no touchdowns and three interceptions. Granted, he was thrust into that game with no preparation and while he has had practice this week with the top unit, he will struggle. 10* (451) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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11-19-23 | Bears +8 v. Lions | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. Detroit is coming off a win over the Chargers for their second straight win following their second loss of the season at Baltimore. The Lions lead the NFC North by a game and a half over the surging Vikings and their offense has led the way as they are No. 2 overall and No. 6 in scoring. They have been buoyed by a rushing offense that has put up over 200 yards in each of their last two games but face a very underrated Bears defense that has improved dramatically. Detroit has been one of the better teams against the number which adds value and it has the lookahead to Thanksgiving. Chicago has been an improving team as it is 3-3 over its last six games and after getting blown out in each of its first three games, the Bears last four losses have come by one possession and they have outgained their opponent in six of their last seven games. The Bears are on a mini bye following a Thursday night game which is always beneficial this late into the season and we have seen this line come down based on the return of Justin Fields at quarterback but we are still above two key numbers in a divisional game. The Chicago defense has improved after an awful start and the numbers prove that as they have allowed 214 passing yards or less in five of their last seven games while giving up an average of only 56.4 ypg on the ground. 10* (461) Chicago Bears |
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11-19-23 | Cowboys v. Panthers +11 | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. This one is ugly but at this number, it is a must take. Dallas is coming off a home win over the quarterback depleted Giants and that has been the story this season as the Cowboys are 4-0 at home with every win coming by at least 20 points and by an average of 27.5 ppg. It has been a different story on the road as they are 2-3 and while two of those losses were against the 49ers and Eagles, the other came at Arizona where they were laying a similar number and lost by 12 points and they have covered just once in their last nine road games coming off a win. Dallas is clearly the better team here and it would be an easy game if the better team always dominated by that is far from the case in this league and the Cowboys have been awful in these spots, going 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games coming off double-digit win. Carolina is coming off a loss in Chicago which was its best road effort of the season where its other four losses were by an average of 15.8 ppg, three of those coming against current division leaders. The Panthers are 1-3 at home with the lone win coming against Houston and two of the losses were by one possession. We are going to see full focus and effort here as Carolina is staring at a three-game upcoming roadtrip. Home underdogs of a touchdown or more that have a winning percentage of .250 or worse have covered at close to a 60 percent rate since 1993. 10* (466) Carolina Panthers |
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11-18-23 | Heat v. Bulls +3 | Top | 97-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Miami has been red hot as it has won seven straight games after a 1-4 start to move into the No. spot in the early Eastern Conference standings. Previous to the most recent win over Brooklyn at home, their last four wins have been on the road and this is the start of another roadtrip, this one five games. Three of those road wins were against three of the worst teams in the league and tonight the Heat are actually favored by more than they were against San Antonio. Chicago is off to a rough start at 3-9 but it still is not considered as one of the worst teams in the league as the Bulls have a solid roster. Three of their last six losses have come by a combined five points so they have been unfortunate. This is the second of a back-to-back following a pair of losses against Orlando where the offense scored 94 and 97 points, their two lowest outputs of the season but the Magic have a top four defense. This is a get right spot with the first of two straight against the Heat. Here, we play on underdogs outscored by their opponents by 3.0 or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 65-30 ATS (68.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Chicago Bulls |
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11-18-23 | Kansas State v. Kansas +10 | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CFB Primetime Power. Kansas and Kansas St. meet in the Sunflower showdown with identical records yet the Jayhawks come in as a significant home underdog. They are coming off a three-point home loss against Texas Tech which was impacted by quarterback Jason Bean leaving the game early with a head injury and his replacement Cole Ballard was not able to supplement the running game with any sort of passing attack but Bean is probable and practiced. Kansas will rely on its strong rushing game where it is ranked No. 18 in the country. Kansas St. shook off a loss against Texas with a blowout win against Baylor last week by 34 points but it was a misleading final as the Wildcats won the turnover battle 4-0. They have been a dominant team against the lesser opponents with most of those coming as home where the Wildcats are 6-0 but they are 1-3 on the road. That win was at Texas Tech by 17 points but again, it was aided by turnovers where they won that 3-0. This is a well rounded team on both sides of the ball but one that is not in a good spot. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 24-8 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (364) Kansas Jayhawks |
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11-18-23 | Central Florida v. Texas Tech -2.5 | Top | 23-24 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. We won with UCF last week as it rolled over Oklahoma St. by 42 points and the Knights are now overvalued because of that. That was just as much of a play against the Cowboys as it was on UCF which has won two straight games after losing five games in a row. The Knights are now 5-5 and have to either win here or in their finale at home against Houston which is more likely at this point as they are 2-3 on the road with all of those losses coming in the Big 12 and while all against better teams than Texas Tech, they were thoroughly outgained in all. The Red Raiders also come in at 5-5 following a pair of wins against TCU and Kansas and this is a must win to become bowl eligible as they close the season at Texas next week. They opened the season 0-2 with a rough loss in Wyoming after blowing a 17-0 lead and the other coming against Oregon by one possession. The last two losses against Kansas St. and BYU were the result of losing the turnover battle 8-0 and that is always a factor for any team. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 230 or more rushing ypg and after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (414) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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11-18-23 | Harvard v. Boston College -5 | Top | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Harvard is in a big letdown spot following an overtime win yesterday against Massachusetts to improve to 4-0. Harvard was fortunate that the Minutemen could not make a free throw as they went 10-25 from the charity stripe. While it is 4-0, it is not a very impressive 4-0 against three Division 1 teams predicted to finish in the bottom half of their conference and a win against UMass-Boston. The Crimson finished second to last in the Ivy League last season and that is where they are picked again. After losing four seniors, this is a young team with three freshman starters still coming off a Friday high and the back-to-back will be too much to overcome including the preparation standpoint. Boston College is 3-0 with a solid win over Richmond and this is its final home game tune up before playing in the Hall of Fame Classic starting Wednesday. The Eagles are another Harvard opponent picked to finish in the second half of the conference but this is a team from a major conference with a lot of experience. Boston College has gone from 4 to 13 to 16 wins the last three years and brings back three starters all in their third season in the program under head coach Earl Grant. 10* (622) Boston College Eagles |
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11-18-23 | Georgia v. Tennessee +10.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. Georgia is once again in the driver's seat for a spot in the CFP as it comes in 10-0 and while it has been potent on both sides of the ball, it has not been as dominant with only three covers. Speaking of three, this is just their third road game of the season as the Bulldogs rolled over a bad Vanderbilt team and escaped Auburn with a seven-point win. They are going to be a big public play here coming off their final home game which was a rout over Mississippi by 35 points and now are laying what is perceived as a short number. We played against Tennessee last week as it went to Missouri and laid an egg, losing by 29 points as it committed a season-high three turnovers. The Volunteers may have been guilty to looking ahead to this game which they cannot be faulted for. They are 5-0 at home with a home finale against Vanderbilt to close the season. Tennessee is obviously not as strong on either side but they are not far off as they are No. 18 in total offense and No. 40 in total defense and this game is obviously their season. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 34 or more ppg going against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after scoring 37 points or more last game. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (330) Tennessee Volunteers |
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11-18-23 | North Carolina +7.5 v. Clemson | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CFB Star Attraction. Clemson has won two straight games since the incident with Dabo Swinney and the media but that does not necessarily mean the Tigers have turned that much of a corner. They are still just 6-4 on the season and are laying a touchdown which is still based on name. To their credit, the opening loss against Duke was mostly turnover driven and the last three losses have all been by one possession so the record could be better but on the other side, they should have lost to Notre Dame and only beat Wake Forest by five points. North Carolina is so close to being undefeated as it opened 6-0 before losing two straight games against Virginia and Georgia Tech by a combined eight points with the yardage differentials landing in their favor. They are coming off a closer that expected win over Duke last week to keep the hopes of getting to 10 wins before bowl season. There is also some payback from the ACC Championship last season which Clemson won despite getting outgained but won the turnover battle 3-0. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last three games going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (341) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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11-18-23 | Illinois v. Iowa -3 | Top | 13-15 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Big 10 Game of the Year. Iowa is coming off its first shutout of the season as it defeated Rutgers 22-0 with the defense allowing just 127 total yards. This offense has taken shots all season which is justified but the Hawkeyes are 8-2 because of that defense which is ranked No. 8 in the country overall and No. 3 in scoring. That has given them the ability to overcome the offensive deficiencies but that offense did put up 402 yards last week against a top 20 Rutgers defense and now they face a defense that was one of the best in the country last season but has regressed. This is a revenge game for Iowa as well after losing a very ugly game last season 9-3 in Champaign. Illinois has won two straight games and three of its last four after opening the season 2-4 to give it a shot at bowl eligibility. The Illini host Northwestern next week in their season finale rivalry game which is certainly their better change of finding the postseason. This is a middle of the road offense that will struggle here. The defense that was one of the best is now No. 81 overall and No. 101 in scoring as they have allowed fewer than 24 points only twice while giving up a season high 45 points to Indiana last week. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season in a game involving two rushing teams averaging between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc. This situation is 42-19 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (360) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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11-18-23 | Cincinnati v. West Virginia -6.5 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. Cincinnati snapped a seven-game losing streak with a win at Houston last week but that previous losing skid made the Bearcats ineligible for a bowl game and now they are on the road for a second straight week. It has been a huge disappointment for them in their first season in a much tougher conference and they clearly are not on the same level yet and six of those seven losses came by more than what they are getting here. The once potent defense has slipped to No. 53 overall. West Virginia had its two-game winning streak snapped last week with a blowout loss at Oklahoma by 39 points. The defense has been on a solid run but allowed 646 yards of offense and it was a horrible spot with the Sooners coming off consecutive losses. The Mountaineers are already bowl eligible so there is no pressure and they can increase their stock with two winnable games to close the season and this is their final home games of the season. They are 4-1 at home with the lone loss against Oklahoma St. that was closer than the final score showed. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in in two straight games. This situation is 72-32 ATS (69.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (326) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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11-18-23 | Princeton v. Monmouth +7.5 | Top | 82-57 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONMOUTH HAWKS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Princeton was one of many Cinderella stories last season as it made it to the Sweet 16 as a No. 15 seed after defeating Arizona and Missouri before eventually losing to Creighton. The Tigers are expected to be a top half team in the Ivy League again but they lost a ton as they have to replace three key seniors in Tosan Evbuomwan, Ryan Langborg and Keeyshawn Kellman which contributed a combined 36 ppg last season. They are off to a 3-0 start, both straight up and against the number and that is affecting this number. Monmouth was a very young team last season and it showed early on as it went 1-12 during the non-conference season and started slow in the CAA but played well late and won a game in the CAA Tournament. The Hawks have four starters back and are expected to make a big move in the conference and they already own a win over West Virginia by eight points as a 14.5-point underdog. The biggest impact should be an already has been graduate transfer Xander Rice, the son of coach King Rice, who was an impactful point guard for Bucknell in the Patriot League. He scored 30 points in the upset of West Virginia. 10* (608) Monmouth Hawks |
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11-18-23 | Oklahoma v. BYU +24.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Oklahoma shook off a pair of losses against Kansas and Oklahoma St. with a 39-point win over West Virginia last week as the offense erupted for 646 total yards but it was the defense that put together its best effort since the end of September as it allowed just 330 yards. It was a get right game for the Sooners that got knocked out of playoff contention but that victory is helping us with this number. With the exception of a game against Tulsa, this is the biggest line Oklahoma has laid all season against FBS opponents. BYU is not having the greatest season but it is still 5-5 and the big part of this number is the recent run. The Cougars have lost three straight games and they have not been close with the defeats coming by 29, 30 and 32 points. The first two were on the road at Texas and West Virginia and the most recent one against Iowa St. was aided by a -3 turnover margin. This is the biggest home game of the season for the Cougars in their first season in the Big 12 and this is the biggest line they have gotten all season. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 6.2 or more yppl and after gaining 6.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games going up against a team with a defense allowing between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl. This situation is 83-41 ATS (66.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (372) BYU Cougars |
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11-18-23 | SMU v. Memphis +9 | Top | 38-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS TIGERS for our AAC Game of the Month. This is a very questionable line with SMU favored by over a touchdown on the road against a team with a similar resume. The Mustangs are red hot as they have won six straight games but those victories have been against no one special as none of them have a winning record with only Rice being the only possible bowl team at 4-6. The only other FBS win came against 3-8 Louisiana Tech and the only team with a winning record they have faced was Oklahoma and this has correlates into a schedule that is ranked No. 121 in the country. Memphis has won four straight games to also move to 8-2 and while its resume has not been a whole lot better, it does not equate to the Tigers being a home underdog by this amount. While the SMU offense is a potent one, Memphis is right there as it is ranked No. 21 overall and No. 9 in scoring. The Tigers two losses were against Missouri on a neutral field and against Tulane at home where it lost the turnover battle 2-0 in a game where they were outgained by just 40 yards. Here, we play against road favorites after one or more consecutive straight up wins going up against an opponent after four or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 48-14 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (398) Memphis Tigers |
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11-17-23 | Rockets v. Clippers -7 | Top | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Game of the Week. The Clippers are a wreck right now as they have lost six straight games and the addition of James Harden has been the blame which is partly true but it is about chemistry as a team. Los Angeles is now 3-7 following a 3-1 start with the home team winning those first four games. The schedule has not been in its favor during this losing streak as five of the six games were on the road and while it is no excuse, winning on the road is not easy in this league. The lone home loss was against Memphis which was a bad one and it was a game they should have won, outshooting the Grizzlies. On the opposite spectrum, the rockets have been the early surprise of the NBA. They opened the season 0-3 but have won six straight games to currently sit in fourth place in the Western Conference but enjoy it while it lasts. Houston is coming off a seven-game homestand which is a benefit in itself and it faced a majority of the teams that had players out. Houston is now on the road for just the third time this season and it could not be in a worst spot. This is a big number that has gone up from opening but it is a must lay as this is the statement game similar to the Suns game on Wednesday. 10* (542) Los Angeles Clippers |
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11-17-23 | Colorado v. Washington State -4.5 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 49 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Washington St. and Colorado are both fighting for their playoff lives as they both come in 4-6 and needing to win their last two games. The Cougars are the bigger of the two disappointments as they came into the season with higher expectations, opened the season 4-0 and moved up to No. 13 in the AP Poll but have since lost six straight games. The last two have been the toughest ones as both were by three points against California and Stanford and they return home for their final home game of the season. This is just their third home games in nearly two months with four of their last six games taking place on the road. Washington St. still has a potent offense as it is No. 42 overall and N0. 48 in scoring keyed by a passing attacked that is No. in the country led by quarterback Cameron Ward. He has thrown for 3,131 yards on a 67.1 percent completion rate with 20 touchdowns and five interceptions and has a great matchup against this Buffaloes defense. Colorado was the talk of the country when it opened 3-0 but looking back, none of those were quality wins and the Buffaloes have dropped six of their last seven. The only win was against Arizona St. by three points and we are catching a good number based on the name and the fact they have covered their last three games. The Colorado offense opened the season on fire but has tapered off as teams have been able to figure them out and the fact they have the worst rushing offense in the nation. Defensively is where the difference will be here as Colorado cannot stop anyone through the air as it is ranked No. 131, allowing 292.0 ypg. It was a fun story for a while but the much better team gets it done tonight. 10* (318) Washington St. Cougars |
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11-17-23 | Eastern Washington +14 v. Stanford | Top | 70-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the EASTERN WASHINGTON EAGLES for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Eastern Washington put together an incredible season although it did not end the way it wanted. The Eagles put together an 18-game winning streak that included wins in their first 16 Big sky Conference games but then they dropped their final two regular season games, which were meaningless as they already clinched the regular season championship. That lost momentum carried over into the conference tournament where they lost in the first round and were relegated to the NIT. They lost two starters but still have a veteran group led by all-conference forward Etan Price and they bring in the newcomer of the year in transfer Jake Kyman. Eastern Washington is 0-3 but faced three elite teams and are now catching another big number similar to the last two ones that they covered. Stanford is a middle of the pack team in the Pac 12 after a 14-19 overall season that includes a 7-13 conference record. The Cardinal lost two starters and did not get a ton of transfer help and is off to a 2-1 start against three inferior teams yet they still cannot defend. They were one of the worst teams defensively in the conference and in the country and have allowed 75 ppg. 10* (825) Eastern Washington Eagles |
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11-17-23 | Butler v. Michigan State -8 | Top | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. There have been rough times at Butler of late as it not reached 20 wins in four years after going 14-18 last season including 6-14 in the Big East to finish ahead of only lowly DePaul and Georgetown. The Bulldogs are starting over once again and are picked to move down in the conference to last place as they lost four starters. 10 new players arrive consisting of six transfers and four freshman that need to replace 91 percent of their scoring and minutes. Butler has started 3-0 with three blowout wins all at home against a bunch of nobody's and now comes the test in its first road game. Michigan St. is off to a 1-2 start but there is no time to panic. The Spartans lost to James Madison to open the season but bounced back against Southern Indiana even though they did not cover. They then lost to Duke on Tuesday and they are off to a 0-3 ATS start and coupled with the Butler 3-0 ATS start, the value is on their side. This is still a top five team with this game and Alcorn St. on deck to get right before facing another daunting test against Arizona on Thanksgiving next week. 10* (778) Michigan St. Spartans |
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11-17-23 | St. John's +1 v. Dayton | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. JOHNS RED STORM for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. We had plays on both St. Johns and Dayton yesterday which ended up splitting with the former blowing a big lead and only winning by one point. We covered with Dayton but the Flyers looked unimpressive against an inferior LSU team. Rick Pitino took over the St. Johns program and brought in in three players from his old school as well as numerous big name transfers that were all conference players so this roaster is loaded with talent, it just needs to gel. Now a few games in, they are coming together with the exception of the late lapse yesterday and the Red Storm are now 0-3 against the number with no one betting on them today. The Flyers should have destroyed LSU which is in complete rebuild mode and they actually had to rally to pull off the win. They shot just 39 percent from the floor while the defense allowed 52 percent shooting for the Tigers and overall Dayton is now No. 250 in opponents shooting. While expected to win the A-10, it is a weak conference. The line is telling as Dayton was favored by just one point over the Tigers and is now a pickem in most spots against a much better roster. 10* (839) St. Johns Red Storm |
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11-16-23 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the Cincinnati BENGALS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. It was a 1-3 start for Cincinnati but the Bengals ran off four straight wins before losing last week against Houston with the defense getting lit up for 544 yards. While they are 5-4, the tiebreakers are not on their side as they have only one win against the AFC which was the most recent win over reeling Buffalo and this includes a 0-2 record in the AFC North so this has turned into a massive game. Being a divisional game, we are getting a good line with Cincinnati as it is over the key number of three after opening at 2.5. This is a great spot for quarterback Joe Burrow who won his lone game as an underdog this season over San Francisco has he has won seven of his last 11 games when getting points. Baltimore is coming off a tough loss against Cleveland as it blew a 24-9 lead and eventually lost on a last second field goal. The Ravens are still in first place in the division at 7-3 but are just 3-2 at home and while this should be a bounce back spot, it is not the ideal situation. The Ravens still lead the league in total DVOA so the numbers are there but there are some key injuries hurting them with the big one being offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley who had to leave last game with a knee injury. Here, we play against home teams outgaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing ypa, after gaining 7 or more passing ypa last game. This situation is 57-26 ATS (68.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (311) Cincinnati Bengals |
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11-16-23 | Nets v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Star Attraction. After opening the season 1-4, Miami has won six straight games with most of those coming against some poor teams. That being said, this is a scheduling spot the Heat have to take advantage of with a good line on top of it. They are coming off a four-game roadtrip and begin a five-game roadtrip right after this in a very quirky scheduling disadvantage. The offense was horrid through those first five games but they have shot 48.7 percent during this winning streak and face an up and down defense tonight. This is a revenge game for the Heat which lost by four in the first meeting and were favored by 6.5 points in that game. Brooklyn has been an early season surprise as it is 6-5 with most of those losses being relatively competitive and the Nets have opened the season 9-1-1 ATS and that is certainly part of keeping this line short. The five losses have come against teams that will be likely in the playoffs while the win over Miami was the only one against a quality team with the Clippers possibly being in that group but they are playing horrible right now. The Nets are No. 5 in shooting defense but are No. 17 in points allowed and Miami is scoring at a high pace right now. 10* (518) Miami Heat |
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11-16-23 | Boston College v. Pittsburgh -3 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Boston College started the season 1-3 with the lone win coming against Holy Cross of the FCS and that was by just a field goal but then reeled off five straight games to become bowl eligible. It has been a very favorable schedule however as the Eagles have played a slate ranked No. 75 and none of the wins have come against a winning team. They defeated Syracuse and Georgia Tech which are both 5-5 but they won the turnover battle in both and by a combined 7-3. Despite the easy slate, five of the six wins have been by one possession including three by a field goal. Granted, they are playing another bad team but the line is telling the story as Boston College is four games better that Pittsburgh yet come in as the underdog. The Panthers have had a rough season as they are 2-8 which includes four straight losses. The offense has struggled as Pittsburgh is ranked No. 120 in total offense and No. 117 in scoring offense but has a decent matchup here against a defense that has taken a step back. The running game has been a big disappointment but they have not carried the ball much and that should increase here as the Eagles have allowed 209 or more yards on the ground in three of their last four games. This is the final home game of the season where they have collected both wins as opposed to going 0-4 on the road. Here, we play against road teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 36-10 ATS (78.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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11-16-23 | Wright State +9.5 v. Indiana | Top | 80-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Indiana is off to a 2-0 start but the wins have come against Florida Gulf Coast and Army and both were a lot closer than expected. The Hoosiers had a solid season last year where they advanced to the NCAA Tournament second round but they have to replace four starters including First Team All American Trayce Jackson-Davis and this could take some time. Even head coach Mike Woodson stated early that there is a lot of work to do. McKenzie Mgbako was supposed to be a big piece to the puzzle as he was ranked in the top ten freshmen coming into the season but has scored only six points. Indiana has Connecticut on deck. Wright St. is 0-2 as it got shellacked at Colorado St. before losing a tough game by one point against Toledo, a preseason MAC contender. After winning 22 games two seasons ago, the Raiders won only 18 games last season including 10-10 in the Horizon, their worst conference record since 2016. They are the preseason favorite to win the conference as they have three starters back including two possible first team conference players highlighted by preseason Player of the Year Trey Calvin. This line is based on name and not about roster talent. 10* (717) Wright St. Raiders. |
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11-16-23 | Dayton -1 v. LSU | Top | 70-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the DAYTON FLYERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. LSU looked like a contender last season heading into SEC action as it opened the season 12-1 before things went south in a hurry. The Tigers lost their next 14 games before a win against Vanderbilt but had only one more win before the season ended in the SEC Tournament against that same Vanderbilt team. It looks to be a complete rebuild and it was intended to be highlighted by the return of Jalen Cook who was here as a freshman before going to Tulane where he became a two-time First Team All-AAC point guard but he was not granted a waiver and he is ineligible this season. The Tigers beat Mississippi Valley St. but then lost to Nichols St. at home as a 19.5-point favorite. Dayton also opened the season with a convincing win over SUI-Edwardsville but lost its second game at Northwestern but at least it has been road tested. Despite 22 wins, the Flyers did not make it to a postseason tournament as they passed on the NIT because there were too many injuries which hampered them all season. They took a summer trip to Europe to get some early chemistry and they bring back DaRon Holmes II who is averaging 18 ppg and was named the Preseason Player of the Year in the A-10 and Dayton is the favorite to win the conference. 10* (743) Dayton Flyers |
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11-16-23 | St. John's -2.5 v. North Texas | Top | 53-52 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. JOHNS RED STORM for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. St. Johns defeated Stony Brook in its opener before getting blown out by Michigan by 16 points as a three-point favorite. The big news obviously was the hiring of head coach Rick Pitino who came over after a successful stint at Iona. He cleaned house as nine players transferred as he wanted to build his own regime and is doing so through the transfer portal. He brought in three players from his old school as well as numerous big name transfers that were all conference players so this roaster is loaded with talent, it just needs to gel and it is in a great bounce back spot here. North Texas is coming off its best season ever as it won a school record 31 games while winning the NIT behind one of the best defenses in the country. The Mean Green are expected to take a fall and while they are 2-0, those wins were against Northern Iowa and Nebraska-Omaha, both at home and both fairly competitive from an opponent standpoint. They not only have a new head coach as Grant McCasland left for Texas Tech but they have to replace four starters from last season and are now away from home for the first time. One of the best defenses in the country last year has been a shell of that so far. 10* (741) St. Johns Red Storm |
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11-15-23 | Wolves v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 115-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Wednesday Star Attraction. Minnesota has been one of the hottest teams in the NBA as it has won seven straight games including a pair of wins at Golden St., culminated with a three-point win last night in a game where the Warriors lost Klay Thompson and Draymond Green in the first couple minutes. The Timberwolves are now 8-2 and they have done it with defense as they are ranked No. 1 in points allowed, opponents shooting and opponents three-point shooting. They will be tested here in what is a contrarian spot despite the line. Phoenix is off to a slow start as it is now 4-6 following a pair of home losses against the Lakers and Thunder. Injuries have played a big part as Bradley Beal missed the early part of the season and then the Suns lost Devin Booker as he has played only two games due to a calf injury but he is probable tonight and they will be at full strength for the first time this season. This is arguably the best roster in the league and as long as they can stay healthy, they can start their run. Phoenix is shooting just 45.4 percent from the floor which is No. 23 in the league and it would normally be a tough matchup but this is the statement game. 10* (512) Phoenix Suns |
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11-15-23 | Central Michigan +11 v. Ohio | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Ohio came through for us last week as it defeated Buffalo by 10 points on the road to improve to 7-3. The Bobcats are a public pick this week with this being their final home game with a very outside chance at winning the MAC East. They need to win out and hope that Miami Ohio loses its final two games as they are a game back but lost the tiebreaker with the head-to-head defeat two week ago to the RedHawks. They are laying a big number again this week but it is against a better opponent with a lot on the line still. This is a team that has had trouble pulling away because the offense has struggled as Ohio is scoring just 21.6 ppg on the season which is No. 107 in the country. The Bobcats defense makes up for it as they are ranked No. 5 in both total defense and points allowed but for a team that has outscored opponents by only 6.5 ppg, laying a big number is not ideal. Central Michigan s coming off a loss to Western Michigan to drop it to 5-5 so it is still a win away from bowl eligibility so there is a lot on the line. The Chippewas have Toledo on deck so it is not going to be easy but the effort will be there with their season still alive. They do not have much of a passing game as they rely on their ground game, averaging 164.8 ypg on 4.3 ypc and they will shorten the game. That being said, quarterback Jase Bauer is capable as he has five touchdowns and just one interception in his last three games. Here, we play against home teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in November games. This situation is 52-21 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (309) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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11-15-23 | Utah Valley v. Charlotte -6.5 | Top | 45-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Utah Valley has a special season a year ago as it won the WAC regular season title with a 15-3 record and it went 28-9 overall to advance to the NIT where it rolled to three wins against New Mexico, Colorado and Cincinnati. Now the Wolverines have to start from scratch as all five starters are gone and only two players from the roster are back, Additionally, there is a new coach in charge after Mark Madsen left for California so this team could take a while to come together. They are off to a 2-0 start including a win over Sam Houston St. in their first Division 1 game but the Bearkats are in rebuild mode as well. Charlotte is a much more experienced team as it has three starters back from a team that went deep into the postseason by winning the CBI Tournament. The 49ers also have a new head coach but they promoted a top assistant and he was able to retain they key players that were expected to transfer out and he brought in a great recruiting class. Charlotte is coming off a loss to Liberty, a team that is favored to win Conference USA and the 49ers are back home to bounce back from that loss. 10* (690) Charlotte 49ers |
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11-14-23 | Spurs +10 v. Thunder | Top | 87-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. San Antonio started the season 3-2 but it has lost five straight games and failed to cover any of those. The last two have been competitive in losses against Minnesota and Miami with both being at home and now the Spurs are catching an even bigger number albeit on the road but against a fairly similar talented team. The Spurs defense has been the worst in the league as they are dead last in points allowed and shooting but it is a pace thing as they are No. 16 in scoring and No. 13 in opponent shooting percentage. Oklahoma City opened the season 2-0 and has gone 4-4 since then including an upset win at Phoenix on Sunday. The Thunder have been paced with an offense that is ranked No. 4 in shooting and No. 8 in scoring but have shot more than 50 percent in just four their nine games. They are now laying their biggest number on the season as they have been favored only three times and this is a huge overadjustment. Oklahoma City has two games on deck at Golden St. so there is that lookahead as well. 10* (567) San Antonio Spurs |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills -7.5 | Top | 24-22 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFLO BILLS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. We were waiting for this line to drop but it has not but this is still a great spot for Buffalo with anything under 8. The Bills are coming off a loss at Cincinnati to go 2-3 over their last five games and have failed to cover any of those, going 0-5 ATS. Yet they come in as the big favorite in a good spot with the rest of the AFC coming back. Despite being 5-4, the Bills are No. 7 in net EPA and No. 1 in offense even with the recent numbers pf ppg which is at 20.2 ppg over this five-game stretch. While failing to cover in their last home game against Tampa Bay, they have gone 3-0 in the three games following a loss. Denver has found a way to win two straight games but both of those were at home. The Broncos are 1-2 on the road with the lone win coming in Chicago and this not the place to be. Denver is ranked middle of the league in offense and while some might say the defense is carrying them, it is not. The defense is ranked dead last in EPA and also No. 32 in defensive DVOA and that is bad news against an offense ready to get right. Buffalo is 26-10 ATS in its last 37 games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread. 10* (266) Buffalo Bills |
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11-12-23 | Jets +1 v. Raiders | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. The Jets are coming off a loss you do not see very often as they lost by 21 points despite outgaining the Chargers 270-191 as they lost the turnover battle 3-0. New York can get back over .500 here in a great situation against a team in a massive letdown spot. The Jets remain dead last in offensive EPA and No. 30 in offensive DVOA but have a good matchup here after facing some really strong defenses through the first part of the season. What has kept them competitive is the defense as they are No. 6 in defensive DVOA and No. 7 in defensive EPA and go up against a rookie quarterback that has significant film on him. The Raiders are coming off a blowout win against arguably the worst team in the NFL as they responded in their first game with a new coach. They are a deceiving 4-5 with the first three wins coming by a total of nine points and they have gone 0-4 against teams ranked in the top 16 in the power rankings and the Jets come in at No. 13 and have played the No. 1 ranked schedule so they have been more impressive than the .500 record shows. Las Vegas made the change at quarterback with Aidan O'Connell and he was pretty average against the Giants with just 209 yards on 64 percent completions and takes a big step up in defense here. 10* (263) New York Jets |
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11-12-23 | Weber State +16.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEBER ST. WILDCATS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Weber St. had a solid season a year ago in the Big Sky Conference going 12-6 but was up against Eastern Washington and Montana St. which both had the two most experienced teams in the conference and now that mantra goes to the Wildcats. They return all five starters including Dillon Jones who is the Preseason Player of the Year in the conference and one of the underrated players in the country after dabbling going into the NBA draft following accolades in the G League. St. Mary's is off to a 2-0 start following a 27-8 season a year ago where it made it to the second round of the NCAA Tournament before losing to eventual National Champion Connecticut. The Gaels won the WCC with the 14-2 record and will be in contention again but lost two key starters and are overvalued here. They beat New Mexico in their last game but the Lobos were shorthanded and it was a revenge spot for the Gaels which are also in a lookahead with San Diego St. on deck. 10* (723) Weber St. Wildcats |
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11-12-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 136-124 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Sunday Star Attraction. Dallas bounced back from its loss against Toronto with an 18-point win over the Clippers on Friday to improve to 7-2 on the season and hits the road as a favorite. The Loka Doncic and Kyrie Irving experiment that failed miserably last season is in fine form so far this season as they are averaging a combined 54.2 ppg and with the exception of Tim Hardaway, Jr., after that there is not much. The Mavericks are second in the league in scoring but the defense has suffered with the pace as they are No. 23 in points allowed and No. 27 in opponents shooting. New Orleans opened the season 4-1 with the lone loss coming against Golden St. but it has lost four straight games, three by double digits and the most recent being a three-point loss at Houston. The last three games have come on the road and the Pelicans are back home to right the ship. They have been dealing with a not full roster as Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson have both already missed time but they are both back to give this offense some consistency. New Orleans is No. 28 in scoring and No. 26 in shooting but can keep up here as the home underdog. 10* (544) New Orleans Pelicans |
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11-12-23 | Commanders v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 26-29 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. We lost with Seattle last week as it got thumped in Baltimore 37-3 to fall to 5-3 but has bounced back with a win after its previous two losses. The defense got lit up against the Ravens which is a concern but they were trending the right way and are still No. 13 in defensive EPA after going into last week No. 11. The offense could generate nothing against a great defense but that will not be the case here and Seattle comes in No. 10 in offensive DVOA. This is a near must win with a pair of division games on deck with Dallas, San Francisco and Philadelphia immediately after that. The Commanders are coming off a win at New England to improve to 4-5 but it is pretty deceiving. While Sam Howell has improved as the season has gone on, they are No. 26 in offense DVOA and No. 22 in offensive EPA and it is even worse on the other side. Even though the Commanders have allowed 17 points or less in three of their last four games, those were against the Patriots, Giants and Cardinals which are all No. 25 or worse in DVOA. Washington is 0-3 against the top 16 and while it was competitive in both games against Philadelphia, those were divisional games and it was blown out in its other one against Buffalo. 10* (262) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-12-23 | Lions v. Chargers +3 | Top | 41-38 | Push | 0 | 67 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. We are going anti public in this game as well as this line has done a slip from opening as the Chargers opened as a slight favorite and have seen the line shirt to the Lions being favored. Los Angeles is coming off a win over the Jets by 21 points despite getting outgained as they benefitted from a 3-0 turnover advantage. The Chargers have not looked right as their 4-4 record can attest to that and now is the chance to beat a quality team as they have failed to beat Miami, Dallas and Kansas City with two of those losses coming by a combined five points. They are No. 13 in net EPA which is only five spots behind the Lions. Detroit has won five of six games and coming off its bye week and it is coming off its best defensive effort of the season where it allowed 157 yards against the Raiders. Th Lions are certainly a contender in the NFC with San Francisco and Dallas playing inconsistent and Philadelphia not looking like the team it did last season. Detroit is No. 4 in total DVOA but it has played a schedule ranked No. 27 in the league and has gone 1-2 in games against the top 16 in the league while rolling to a 5-0 record against teams outside that and the Chargers in fact fall in that inside that in the latest power rankings. 10* (258) Los Angeles Chargers |
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11-12-23 | Browns +6.5 v. Ravens | Top | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 64 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. This line has risen from opening and continues to go up. Baltimore is the talk of the NFL as it has now won four straight games and are in the midst of a stretch of for games taking place over five games. The Ravens have a game and half lead in the AFC North with a pair of divisional games starting this week which will leave them with only one more the rest of the season. Baltimore has moved to No. 1 in net EPA and No. 1 in total DVOA so the talk is real but this is too many points in a divisional game against a very good team. Cleveland is coming off a 27-0 win over Arizona as it allowed just 58 total yards, the second time it has allowed fewer than 100 yards, the first coming against Tennessee. While we are not expecting that here, the defense is real as the Browns are ranked No. 1 in defensive EPA and No. 1 in defensive DVOA. The offense was fine with Deshawn Watson in his first game back in a while and now should continue to get better with more snaps. He was a late scratch in the first meeting and Cleveland did not stand a chance with the limited offense along with turnovers doing them in. While they are 1-2 on the road, they have won the yardage battle in all of those and this looks like another close game with those two road losses coming by four points each. 10* (243) Cleveland Browns |
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11-12-23 | Saints -2.5 v. Vikings | Top | 19-27 | Loss | -120 | 64 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. One of the big stories in the league from last week was the Minnesota win with quarterback Joshua Dobbs leading the Vikings to a win over Atlanta despite being with the team for only five days as he replaced starter Jaren Hall, who got a concussion in the first half, and went on to pass for 158 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 66 yards and a touchdown. It was a performance that is hard to top given the circumstance and now it is time to fade. The Vikings have gotten back into the playoff mix as after a 1-4 start, they have won and covered four straight games and sharp early coming went against them here as a repeat of that performance is not going to happen. New Orleans has won two straight games to also move to 5-4 following a win over Chicago where it was outgained but benefitted from a 5-0 turnover advantage. There have been some ugly wins along the way but also some tough losses with three of the four coming by one possession. The offense is an inconsistent unit but has gotten better since the return of Alvin Kamera and the defense remains strong as the Saints are No. 4 in defensive EPA and No. 9 in defensive DVOA and have a big advantage here against a depleted Minnesota offense that could still be without Justin Jefferson. 10* (249) New Orleans Saints |
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11-11-23 | Cavs v. Warriors -4 | Top | 118-110 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Game of the Week. Golden St. starts a six-game homestand following a 2-2 roadtrip that included a tough loss at Denver in the final game and now it has its first revenge game of the season. The other loss on that roadtrip was at Cleveland by 11 points and that was its worst loss of the season based on the numbers as the Warriors were outshot by over 13 percent from the floor. That was the part of that four-game stretch where they allowed a shooting percentage of 50.3 percent after allowing just over 42 percent in their first five games. The defense returns here. Cleveland is off to an awful start with that Warriors win notwithstanding as it is 2-5 in its other seven games with those two wins coming against Brooklyn by a point and against the Knicks in their own revenge game in the second of a back-to-back. The Cavaliers lost at Oklahoma City by eight points to open their four-game roadtrip and the offense continues to struggle as they are now No. 26 in scoring and No. 23 in shooting. Donovan Mitchell is carrying the team with 30.7 ppg on 51 percent shooting but there has been no one else. 10* (530) Golden St. Warriors |
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11-11-23 | Illinois State +8.5 v. St. Louis | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS ST REDBIRDS for our CBB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. St. Louis has been a great program for years as it has won 21 or more games four of the last five years including last season when it went 21-12 including 12-6 in the A-10 but did not get a single postseason invitation and that is telling about where it sits yet still it is an overvalued team. The Billikens lost four starters from last season as well as six of its top seven scorers and while it is not considered a complete rebuild, they are not in a place to compete with experienced competition and even less so when laying a number like this. They rolled some school called Lincoln but prior to that they beat Southern Indiana by shooting 36.4 percent. Illinois St. had a miserable season last year as it went 11-21 including 6-14 in the MVC and that can actually be considered not bad considering the Redbirds had only one starter back with a brand new coach. Now there is experience as three starters are back along with two other players that combined for 24 starts. Additional transfers makes this one of the most experienced teams in their conference. Live dog. 10* (645) Illinois St. Redbirds |
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11-11-23 | Fresno State v. Kent State -2.5 | Top | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. We lost with Kent St. on Thursday as the Golden Flashes fell in double overtime against James Madison and the Dukes have to be given credit for that as they overcame two late deficits and that was with them coming off that huge win over Michigan St. This is a great bounce back spot for Kent St. after a shaky first game and that recent loss. Four of the starters are juniors or seniors and the fifth starter is a top transfer from Central Michigan who was the MAC Freshman of the Year last season. The offense showed it can score and that was against a solid defense. Fresno St. is coming off a win in its season opener against Fresno Pacific but it was just an 11-point victory and this is not a great spot as this is the Bulldogs only real long travel spot of the season. The MWC is top heavy as usual and Fresno St. is predicted to not be anywhere close as it has been picked to finish either 10 or 11 of the 11-team conference. The Bulldogs return three starters but four of their top seven scorers left and scoring 77 points against a non-D1 shows they cannot keep up here. 10* (644) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-11-23 | BC v. Winnipeg -4.5 | Top | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. The four best teams in the CFL are vying for a shot to go to the Grey Cup and the two best teams in the West Division square off in Winnipeg. B.C. came away with a 41-30 win over Calgary last week to advance and while it was a solid performance on offense, the defense did not look good again which has been the case for a while now. The Lions have allowed 30 or more points in six of their last 10 games with an average of 31.6 ppg given up over that stretch and have gone just 6-4 in those games. This is not good news against the best offense in the league. Winnipeg led the CFL with 431.4 ypg and 33.0 ppg and was led by the most balanced unit in the league. The Blue Bombers have the best quarterback/running back combo in the league with Zach Collaros and Brady Oliveira so they can come at with you both ways. Those offensive numbers are even better at home for the Blue Bombers which went 8-1 here and going back to last season, they are 17-2 at home and the scoring margin has been 17.2 ppg this season. One of the losses came against B.C. but the Blue Bombers avenged that loss and are catching a good line to get back to the Grey Cup. 10* (274) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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11-11-23 | Arkansas State v. South Alabama -11 | Top | 14-21 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. South Alabama has lost two straight games to fall to 4-5 and after coming into the season with high expectations, the Jaguars are in danger of not making the postseason although the schedule is on their side. They do have a bad loss against Central Michigan but the other four defeats have been to quality teams and these next two games at home loom large as they finish at Texas St. Despite the losing record, South Alabama is ranked No. 43 or better in overall and scoring offense and defense so it has been a bit of a deceiving record. The Jaguars are the only team in the SBC that has a losing record but a plus point differential so this number is big for a reason. Arkansas St. ha done an opposite move as it has won two straight games. After a 0-2 start, the Red Wolves have won five of seven games but one of those was against FCS Stony Brook and three others against teams that are a combined 7-21 with the other being against 5-4 Louisiana. Even with a winning record, the numbers do not correspond with it as the Red Hawks are No. 75 in total offense and No. 84 in scoring while ranking No. 125 in total defense and No. 112 in points allowed. They have taken good care of the ball with only nine giveaways but conversely, have only seven takeaways. Here, we play against teams outscored by opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 61-25 ATS (70.9 percent0 over the last 10 seasons. 10* (222) South Alabama Jaguars |
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11-11-23 | Tennessee v. Missouri +2 | Top | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 49 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for our SEC Game of the Year. Tennessee and Missouri both come in with identical 7-2 records yet the Volunteers come in as the road favorite. They are coming off a home blowout win over Connecticut which was their second straight win following their loss to Alabama. Tennessee is 2-2 on the road with the other loss coming against Florida while one of the wins came against a bad Virginia team on a neutral field and the other against Kentucky by just six points. Tennessee has been solid on both sides of the ball as it is in the top 25 overall and scoring on both sides of the ball. Their two worst performances came in those two road losses so the home/road splits have played a big part. Missouri Is coming off a loss at Georgia but it was a very solid effort in the nine-point loss as it was outgained by only 22 yards. The other loss was by 10 points at home against LSU but the Tigers lost the yardage battle by only six yards. In both defeats, they lost the turnover battle and were -3 in turnover margin combined. While the overall numbers are not as good as Tennessee, they are not far behind and the Tigers have played the more difficult schedule. Missouri has covered six of its last seven games and have been one of the pleasant surprises in the SEC and have a chance to win out with a favorable schedule. Here, we play against road teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc and after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game going up against a team allowing between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc. This situation is 50-19 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (196) Missouri Tigers |
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11-11-23 | Oklahoma State v. Central Florida +2.5 | Top | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 50 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma St. has been on a roll with five straight wins and covers to improve to 7-2 overall. This includes a win last week against rival Oklahoma at home in the last installment of Bedlam for the foreseeable future and that brough out a massive celebration on the home field. Four of the five wins during this stretch have been at home with the lone road win coming at West Virginia by 14 points even though the Cowboys won the yardage battle by only 18 yards. One common theme during the winning streak has been the defense creating turnovers as they have 13 takeaways during this stretch. UCF has had a tough go of it in its inaugural season in the Big 12 as the Knights are 1-5 but are coming off their first win as they beat Cincinnati last week. Two of the losses came by three combined points that included a one point loss to Baylor at home. The other home loss was against West Virginia by 13 points yet they won the yardage battle but were -3 in turnovers. UCF is 4-5 overall so it will have to win two of its last three games to become bowl eligible and this is the first chance to avoid having to sweep the final two games. The Knights have been favored in all four home games and are now an underdog based on recent results from both sides. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (142) Central Florida Knights |
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11-11-23 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +3 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 49 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our ACC Game of the Month. We lost with Syracuse last Friday in what a very unfortunate break when quarterback Garrett Shrader was a late scratch and the offense suffered from that as the Orange managed only 10 points and 246 yards of offense. That was the fifth straight loss for Syracuse after opening the season 4-0 and have not covered any of it last six games. Prior to the late injury, it was three straight losses on the road and Clemson before that. The Orange have to win two of their last three games to win bowl eligibility and it starts here in this game taking place from Yankee Stadium. The offense has been non-existent of late, averaging a meager 230.6 ypg during the four-game slide but faces a below average defense. Pittsburgh lost to Florida St. last week, its third straight loss, which took away a chance at a bowl game as the Panthers are now 2-7. One win was against Wofford of the FCS and the other came against Louisville where they were outgained 444-305 but won the turnover battle 3-0. The Panthers come in No. 63 in total defense and No. 91 in scoring and the offense has been even worst as they have no running game to speak of and overall they are No. 118 and No. 112 in scoring. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing a completion percentage of 62 percent or worse, after allowing 9.0 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 64-34 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (214) Syracuse Orange |
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11-11-23 | Michigan v. Penn State +5.5 | Top | 24-15 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the PENN ST. NITTANY LIONS for our CFB Star Attraction. Michigan is off to a 9-0 start but has really not been overly tested as it is 6-0 in the Big 10 and while three of those victories have come against winning teams, they are just a combined 16-11. Overall, the Wolverines have played a schedule ranked No. 71 in the country and now face their biggest test and on the road no less. They could not cover a game early in the season with Jim Harbaugh serving his suspension before running off but straight covers before coming up shot last week against Purdue as they won by 28 points as a 31-point favorite. The defense has been the real deal as Michigan is ranked No. 1 overall and in points allowed, but again, the schedule has played into that. Penn St. is 8-1 with the lone loss coming against Ohio St. on the road by eight points. The Nittany Lions did have some bad break including having a 60-yard fumble return for a touchdown called back because of a holding penalty. While they were penalized only five times, another one of those gave Ohio St. a first down at the two-yard line and eventually scored. While the Michigan defense leads the country, Penn St. is right there as it is ranked No. 2 overall and No. 3 in scoring and this has come against a more difficult schedule. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 40-11 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (150) Penn St. Nittany Lions |
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11-11-23 | Maryland -2 v. Nebraska | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 45 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. It has been a mini freefall for Maryland as it has lost four straight games after a 5-0 start. The Terrapins have failed to cover any of those four games as they were beaten badly by Ohio St. and Penn St. while losing to Illinois and Northwestern by nine points combined as a double-digit favorite. Those two losses were bad ones and overall, the offense has struggled during this four-game stretch but did face to of the best defenses in the country and they are coming off that Penn St. game where they had only 234 yards that included -49 yards rushing. Quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa has still played well and on the season he has 2,486 yards on a 65.1 percent completion rate with 21 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Nebraska has had a good turnaround as it is 5-2 over its last seven games following a 0-2 start so it is also one win away from bowl eligibility as Matt Ruhle has done a great coaching job. Still, this offense has not been good as the Huskers are ranked No. 115 overall and No. 117 in scoring so they have relied on a stout defense that is anchored by the No. ranked rushing defense but does not set up well for the strength of the Maryland offense. Turnovers remain a problem as Nebraska has given it up 22 times, most in the country. Here, we play against home teams after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 82-37 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (217) Maryland Terrapins |
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11-10-23 | Wyoming +5.5 v. UNLV | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -108 | 43 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. UNLV has been one of the bigger surprises this season as it is 7-2 following a blowout win over New Mexico but the schedule overall has been on its side. The Rebels have played the No. 129 ranked schedule in the country and they have yet to beat a beat with a winning record as they have faced only two teams above .500. additionally, they have faced mostly finesse teams and have basically played only one physical game and that certainly changes here. UNLV possesses a potent offense as it ranked No. 16 in scoring and No. 42 overall but again, scheduling has played a big role in that. The Rebels are not as strong defensively, coming in No. 84 overall and No. 67 in scoring and the discrepancies from overall rank and scoring rank on both sides are because of their 20 takeaways. Wyoming snapped a two-game slide with a win over Colorado St. to get to bowl eligibility with its 6-3 record. Sitting at 3-2 in the MWC, it is unlikely to make it to the conference championship due to a loss against 5-0 Air Force but the Cowboys handed Fresno St. its only conference loss so they are not completely out of contention but will need some help over the final quarter of the season. The Cowboys have faced a much stiffer slate as they have played the No. 67 ranked schedule. Wyoming has only eight giveaways this season which is tied for No. 13 in the country. 10* (121) Wyoming Cowboys |
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11-10-23 | San Diego State v. BYU -1.5 | Top | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS as part of our CBB Friday Triple Play. San Diego St. made it all the way to the NCAA Championship before losing to Connecticut and it was certainly a season to remember. The Aztecs went 32-7 including 15-2 in the MWC and made the improbable run in the NCAA Tournament with a relentless defense but did have a couple fortunate breaks along the way. They lost three starters and projected starter Darrion Trammell missed the opener and is questionable with a shoulder injury. San Diego St. rolled over a below average Cal State Fullerton team as that defense was on display, allowing just 33 percent shooting but they take a big step up here and the line is telling. BYU is coming off a 19-15 season including a 7-9 record in their final year in the WCC and now it enters the Big 12 are have been projected to be a middle of the pack team. The Cougars have four starters back and got an early jump on the season with an overseas trip to Italy and Croatia and that extra time together is important. They rolled Houston Christian and now have a statement game in a revenge spot. 10* (864) BYU Cougars |
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11-10-23 | Memphis v. Missouri -3 | Top | 70-55 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS as part of our CBB Friday Triple Play. Memphis has had a great run under head coach Penny Hardaway as it has won at least 20 games over the last five seasons. The Tigers made it to the NCAA Tournament last season but lost to eventual Final Four team FAU and while they are going to compete for the AAC title, there is work to do in the meantime. Memphis brings back only one player that saw playing time so it is going to take some time, especially when playing a quality team like the one they see tonight. Missouri also made it to the NCAA Tournament last year and was bounced by Princeton in the second round so it was a very successful season as well. The Tigers bring back two starters and brought in the No. 27 ranked recruiting class so there is plenty of talent. They are aggressive on defense and can cause a young Memphis team into mistakes and in its opener, Missouri rolled Arkansas-Pine Bluff with a 56 percent shooting performance and hung 101 points on the Golden Lions. 10* (870) Missouri Tigers |
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11-10-23 | Wright State +9 v. Colorado State | Top | 77-105 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS as part of our CBB Friday Triple Play. Wright St. opens its season tonight and have the edge in that regard with nothing for Colorado St. to go off. The Raiders went 10-10 last season in the Horizon League and have three starters back, led by First Team point guard Trey Calvin who is the Preseason Player of the Year and are the preseason pick to win the conference. They also have a key addition as the NCAA granted a waiver to Tanner Holden after he transferred from Ohio St. and graduated from Wright State in July. He averaged 20 ppg for the Raiders two years ago so this is a loaded lineup. Colorado St. won its opener over Louisiana Tech but it was not a pretty win as it won by eight points against a Bulldogs team noy expected to do much this season. The Rams outscored them 23-8 from the free throw line which was clearly the difference. They have three starters back from a team that went 15-18 and have a very tough matchup here against a team they do not know much about. 10* (873) Wright St. Raiders |
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11-10-23 | Wolves v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 117-110 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. After opening the season 1-2, Minnesota has won four straight games including impressive wins over Denver and Boston but all of those were at home and now it hits the road as a significant favorite. The venue has been the difference as the home team is 7-0 in Timberwolves games and while this is certainly a winnable game for them, this is too big of a price. They have been effective thanks to a strong defense that is ranked No. 1 in points allowed, opponents shooting and opponents three-point shooting and they have allowed more than 40 percent shooting only once. San Antonio started the season 3-2 but it has lost three straight games and failed to cover any of those. The last two were by 41 and 21 points against the Pacers and Knicks respectively but those were away from home and the Spurs have actually played five of their last six games on the road. This is the start of a stretch of over their next seven games, six are at home. Not much is expected from San Antonio but it is an exciting time with Victor Wembanyama who has had an up and down start to his career but has shown signs of future stardom. 10* (512) San Antonio Spurs |
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11-10-23 | Nets v. Celtics -11.5 | Top | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Boston has lost two straight games following a 5-0 start including a loss against rival Philadelphia on Wednesday but both of those were on the road by a combined eight points. Five of the Celtics first seven games have been on the road and the last time we say them at home, they hung 155 points on Indiana in a 51-point victory. Their last victory came against Brooklyn on the road by 10 points which resulted in a push and now Boston is laying just a point more at home and it certainly wants to get right after the two-game skid. Brooklyn is coming off a win Wednesday against the Clippers which snapped its own two-game skid to get back to .500. The Nets are an impressive 3-1 on the road and overall, they have overachieved which is apparent in their ATS record where they are 7-0-1 against the number, coming in as the underdog in all but one game. Yes, this is a big number but it sets up for a blowout as we should see big games from Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown who had subpar games against the Sixers as they combined for only 27 points on 10-27 shooting as they both lit the Nets up last time out. 10* (510) Boston Celtics |
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11-10-23 | 76ers v. Pistons +9 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. The Sixers opened the season with a one point loss at Milwaukee but has won six straight games but the last five have been at home and after tonight, their next three are at home so their schedule could not have been more in their favor to open the season. Philadelphia is a perfect 7-0 ATS so that is a streak many will keep riding but we go contrarian of that as the line is being inflated here because of that so while they clearly are a better team that Detroit, being asked to win by nearly double digits on the road is a lot to ask. Detroit got off to a good start at 2-1 but it has been downhill since then with six straight losses. The Pistons did go on a 0-5 ATS run to start the skid but put together a solid effort against Milwaukee on Wednesday, losing by just two points on the road to get the cover and now face their fourth straight title contender. Nine players are averaging double digits as injuries have kept a few players out of the lineup but this is valuable experience to pace the roster behind Cade Cunningham who is having a strong comeback season after missing most of last season, averaging a team high 24 ppg. 10* (506) Detroit Pistons |
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11-10-23 | Princeton v. Hofstra -1 | Top | 74-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOFSTRA PRIDE for our CBB Friday Enforcer. Princeton was one of many Cinderella stories last season as it made it to the Sweet 16 as a No. 15 seed after defeating Arizona and Missouri before eventually losing to Creighton. The Tigers are expected to be a top half team in the Ivy League again but they lost a ton as they have to replace three key seniors in Tosan Evbuomwan, Ryan Langborg and Keeyshawn Kellman which contributed a combined 36 ppg last season. It is a mini rebuild and Princeston opened the season with an upset win over Rutgers in Trenton but the Scarlet Knight are in complete rebuild mode so all that win is doing here is adding value the other way. Hofstra shared the CAA regular season title with a 16-2 record and made it to the NIT second round and the Pride will be contenders again. The lost two-time CAA Player of the Year Aaron Estrada but bring back three starters led by Tyler Thomas who scored 26 points in their opening win over St. Joes-Long Island. 10* (814) Hofstra Pride |
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11-09-23 | Southern Miss v. UL-Lafayette -9.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Louisiana fell to 2-3 in the SBC West following a loss to Arkansas St. on Saturday but the Cajuns are still not mathematically eliminated from winning the division. They have already defeated Texas St. and still have a game with Troy, which is two games up, so they will need help but can only control what they so. At 5-4, they are a win away from bowl eligibility and return home where they are 3-1, the lone loss coming against 6-3 Georgia St. by a field goal. Louisiana has a big edge in the rushing game as they are averaging 198.0 ypg on the ground which is No. 20 in the country despite being held to just 64 yards against Arkansas St. The loss of starting quarterback Zeon Chriss has brought this number down but replacement Chandler Fields is in his fifth year here and can run this offense. Southern Mississippi is coming off it first win over an FBS opponent as it took out UL-Monroe last week which was its second straight solid performance on offense. The Golden Eagles are 2-7 and eliminated from postseason consideration so give them credit for stepping up last week but now travel on a short week. The offense improved to No. 77 overall but it is still just No. 96 in scoring and the real issue is the defense as Southern Mississippi is No. 116 in total defense and No. 127 in points allowed. The bigger liability is the rushing defense that has allowed 185.4 ypg and has been lit up against the top rushing teams. 10* (118) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
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11-09-23 | Bucks -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Milwaukee has won three straight games to improve to 5-2 but failed to cover any of those and fell to 1-6 against the number with their only cover being their big revenge game against Miami. The Bucks blew a 15-point lead and had to rally against the Pistons last night as they overcame a 10-point fourth quarter deficit. Giannis Antetokounmpo played just 21 minutes after being ejected for picking up a pair of technical fouls but it was Damian Lillard who picked up the slack with 34 points and overall seven Bucks scored in double digits. The poor ATS record is giving us value on their side. Also, part of that is due to the recent play of Indiana which has put together two straight blowout wins after a 3-4 start. The schedule has been in favor of the Pacers in the early going as seven of their eight games have come against teams with a losing record with the only game against a team with a winning record came against Boston in a 51-point loss. The offense remains the highest scoring team in the league with pace being a main factor in that as Indiana is No. 26 in scoring defense and No. 21 in shooting defense. The road favorite price is no issue as Milwaukee is 37-19 ATS in its last 56 games as road chalk. 10* (501) Milwaukee Bucks |
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11-09-23 | James Madison v. Kent State -3.5 | Top | 113-108 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. James Madison is coming off the biggest opening night upset as it took out No. 4 Michigan St., the only top 25 team to lose its opening game. It was a three-point win that was aided by the Spartans going 1-20 from long range and the fact they went just 23-37 (62 percent) from the free throw line. The Dukes shot just 37 percent from the floor including 28 percent from behind the arc so it was certainly a fortunate win but credit has to be given. That being said, this is a big letdown spot especially going on the road again in another tough environment. Kent t. is coming off a 19-point win over Malone College which is not really an indication of how this team really is. After a rough first half, the Golden Flashes poured it on in the second half and overall shot 46 percent from the floor. Three starters are gone from the team that went 28-7 including 15-3 in the MAC so the slow first half start cannot be overly surprising but there is still a ton of experience. Four of the starters are juniors or seniors and the fifth starter is a top transfer from Central Michigan who was the MAC Freshman of the Year last season. 10* (650) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-08-23 | Lakers -2.5 v. Rockets | Top | 94-128 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. It was a slow start last season for the Lakers and that is the case again this season as they are now 3-4 following a pair of losses in Florida against Orlando and Miami. After a slow start, the offense has picked it up by shooting 51 percent or better in three of their last four games but the problem has been shots taken as they have put up more than 84 only once in that span. Conversely, the defense has allowed 91 or more shots in five of seven games but face a team that does not put it much. Houston opened the season 0-3 but has won three straight games, one against a bad Charlotte team and two other against an banged up Sacramento team. It is a pace scenario with the Rockets as they are No. 7 in scoring defense and No. 20 in scoring defense but are middle of the pack in both shooting categories. This could be a team on the rise going forward with head coach Ime Udoka but this is not a good spot as we see a similar result in their only home loss against Golden St. Here, we play against home underdogs after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 105-57 ATS (64.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (563) Los Angeles Lakers |
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11-08-23 | Heat -1 v. Grizzlies | Top | 108-102 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Miami won on Monday but did not cover again in a one-point win over the Lakers and we are backing the Heat again which are now 0-6-1 or 0-5-2 ATS based on the closing line. Miami is 3-4 on the season following an opening game win over Detroit by one point and then four straight losses before its last two victories. The Heat are 0-4 on the road but those were against two title contenders and a good Minnesota team. The defense has been surprisingly bad, allowing 50 percent shooting or more in four of their last five games but have a great matchup here. Memphis opened the season 0-6 before picking up its first win against Portland on Sunday. The absence of Ja Morant is evident as the Grizzlies are No. 24 in scoring and No. 27 in shooting and have shot 43 percent or less in four of seven games and a lot that is with the depth with the top four bench players shooting less than 38 percent. This was one of the best home floors last season at 35-6 but that is not the case with this current roster. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points, playing with two days of rest. This situation is 54-27 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (569) Miami Heat |
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11-08-23 | Jazz +7 v. Pacers | Top | 118-134 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Utah has lost three straight games including two losses to open this roadtrip by 28 and 17 points. That is inflating this number for the Jazz which are 0-4 on the road and failing to cover any of those which makes them the contrarian side here. The defense has struggled this season by allowing 49.4 percent from the floor which is No. 27 in the league and no one will back that based on the Pacers performance in their last game. Pace has played a factor with the offense shooting 46 percent or better in three of their last four games so that is not a liability. Indiana is coming off a thrashing of San Antonio where it scored 152 points in a 41-point victory. That moved the Pacers to 4-3 and that aberration moved them into the No. 1 spot in scoring offense and like Utah, it has a lot to with pace. Indiana is allowing 48.5 percent shooting which is No. 23 and its 121.7 ppg allowed is No. 27 so Utah can keep up. Here we play on teams after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (555) Utah Jazz |
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11-08-23 | Akron +18 v. Miami-OH | Top | 0-19 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Miami is coming off a big win over Ohio which put it in first place in the MAC East by a game in the loss column following the Bobcats win on Tuesday. The RedHawks opened the season with a loss at Miami Florida and then reeled off six straight wins before a loss against Toledo, the team they are likely going to face in the MAC Championship. That being said, they are laying a huge number here with an offense that has done nothing of late. They have barely gone over 300 total yards in two of their last five games while averaging just over 311 ypg over that stretch and now are laying their biggest number over an FBS team. Akron picked up its first win over an FBS team with a four-point win over Kent St. following a six-game losing streak. The Zips lost at Kentucky by 32 points but four of the other six losses have been by one possession so they have been competitive and even being 0-5 on the road, they have been outscored by just two touchdowns and that is taking the Kentucky game into it. This is actually a really good defense that is ranked No. 41 in the country and facing an offense that cannot move the ball. Too many points. 10* (111) Akron Zips |
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11-07-23 | Ohio -7 v. Buffalo | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Ohio lost last week in a swing game against Miami Ohio and now sits in second place in the MAC East, one game behind the RedHawks. The Bobcats now need to win out and get some help and this is the perfect opponent. Ohio has struggled on offense this season as they ranked No. 94 overall and No. 105 in points scored and quarterback Kurtis Rourke is back in form after an early season injury. He faces a defense that has been really good over the last four games but have benefited from 12 takeaways. The Bobcats have a defense that is one of the best in the country as they are ranked No. 4 overall and No. 7 in scoring. A lot is on the line for Buffalo as it has to win out to get to a bowl game but the resume has not been good. Two wins have come against Akron and Kent St. which are a combined 1-9 in the conference while the third, the Bulls benefitted from a 4-0 turnover margin. Buffalo is ranked No. 110 in total offense and No. 81 in total defense and while it is a must win, they cannot matchup here. Ohio has taken advantage of these spots going 8-1 ATS in its last nine games against teams allowing 5.9 or more yppl. 10* (101) Ohio Bobcats |
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11-06-23 | Akron +1 v. South Dakota State | Top | 81-75 | Win | 100 | 52 h 48 m | Show |
This is play on the AKRON ZIPS as part of our CBB Opening Night 3-Pack. Akron is the preseason pick to win the MAC and for good reason. The Zips finished 13-5 in the conference last season behind Toledo and Kent St. and have arguably the two best players in the MAC. Center Enrique Freeman is the Preseason Player of the Year after two straight seasons averaging a double-double and the Zips leading scorer from two years ago, Ali Ali, is back after going to Butler for a season. Overall, the Zips have six players that are playing in their fifth year so this is one of the most experienced teams in the country. They made a trip to Puerto Rico in August, an international trip allowed every four years, to gain even more early practice time together. South Dakota St. is no slouch as the Jackrabbits are the preseason pick in the Summit League but a lot of that is due to top teams from last season losing a ton. Three starters are back led by Zeke Mayo, who made the Preseason All Summit Team, but there are numerous newcomers coming in and they are at a big disadvantage down low. Overall, there are seven players back with experience but South Dakota St. has seven players that are either freshman or redshirt freshman and a sophomore transfer. 10* (869) Akron Zips |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +4 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -120 | 81 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. The Jets are coming off an improbable win over the Giants last Sunday as they turned a missed Giants field goal with 24 seconds left into a game-tying drive and eventually won it in overtime. That was the third straight win for the Jets which are suddenly now 4-3 and right in the playoff mix getting close to the halfway point of the season. The offense remains inconsistent as they are currently dead last in the league in EPA while sitting No. 29 on DVOA but have a very favorable matchup here. The defense has kept New York afloat as it has held four opponents to 16 points or less including Buffalo and Philadelphia while also keeping Kansas City in check. The Jets are No. 9 in defensive EPA and No. 6 in defensive DVOA. The Chargers are coming off a win over the Bears Sunday night which halted a two-game losing streak to move to 3-4. The win over Chicago was the first by more than one possession as they had their best defensive effort of the season but this is still a bad unit. Los Angeles is ranked No. 28 in defensive EPA and No. 27 in defensive DVOA and while facing another weak offense here, the environment is different. The Chargers have one of the top passing games in the league with a No. 6 EPA in passing behind Justin Herbert who is having his best season thus far with a 101.1 rating but has a big test in this one. The Chargers are a big public side as this line opened at -1.5 and crossed the key number on Wednesday. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points outscored by five or more ppg in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (476) New York Jets |
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11-06-23 | Kings +2 v. Rockets | Top | 97-122 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. This is the second game of a home and home for Sacramento and Houston with the Rockets winning by 18 points in the first meeting. The Kings were coming off their worst offensive performance of the season against Golden St. where they scored 101 points on 40.9 percent shooting but they trumped it Saturday by scoring just 89 points on 38.1 percent shooting. Only two starters scored in double figures with just 16 field goals including just five from long range. This is the ideal bounce back spot. Houston opened the season with three straight losses before picking up its first win of the season against Charlotte last Wednesday which was the second game of a seven-game homestand. This is still a team in transition with additions of Fred Van Vleet and Dillion Brooks and we consider Saturday an aberration. As mentioned the, the Rockets consecutive games only eight times last season and was 2-6 following consecutive wins. The line has completely flipped to our side based on one result. (541) Sacramento Kings |
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11-06-23 | Celtics v. Wolves +4.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. Boston remains the only undefeated team in the NBA as it moved to 5-0 with a 10-point win over Brookyln which was its third straight double-digit victory. The Celtics are in a tough spot here following that win over Brooklyn with another road game at Philadelphia on deck. The numbers back them up as the Celtics are No. 1 in scoring offense and No. 7 in scoring defense with the latter being No. 1 in opponents shooting percentage. Minnesota is off to a 2-3 start as it has won two straight games that included giving Denver its first loss of the season two games back. As typical with the NBA, the home team is 5-0 in Timberwolves games this season and the splits have shown that as Minnesota is shooting 50.8 percent at home in three games while the defense allows just 42.7 percent shooting. The Timberwolves have a great roster that continues to underachieve but there has been great balance thus far with five players averaging double digits led by Anthony Edwards and his 26.2 ppg. Great spot for another upset. 10* (546) Minnesota Timberwolves |