Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys v. Bucs -8 | Top | 29-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Opening Winner. The reigning Super Bowl Champions Tampa Bay will host Dallas in the NFL opener on Thursday night. The Cowboys welcome back Dak Prescott but not taking a snap in the preseason has us wondering how effective he will be coming off his ankle injury. The Buccaneers return all 22 starters from last season, the first time a Super Bowl team has done so since the 1970s. The Buccaneers were No. 1 in defense against the run last season, as well as No. 1 defense in Adjusted Line Yards allowed on runs up the middle which will put a lot of pressure on the depleted Dallas offensive line. The Dallas defense is likely to be extremely overmatched against Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown. 10* (452) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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09-06-21 | Louisville +10 v. Ole Miss | Top | 24-43 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our Nonconference Game of the Month. Louisville went just 4-7 last season but four of those losses came by just one possession. The Cardinals officially have 13 starters back but this is a very experienced team. They have 31 players that started at least one game and of those, 17 come on the offensive side of the ball and 14 were on defense. Quarterback Malik Cunningham had career highs last season in both passing and rushing yards and his 293.3 total ypg was good for No. 20 in the country. Mississippi head coach Lane Kiffin will miss this game after testing positive for COVID. This is also a very experienced team but laying this number on a neutral field is too much. Louisville is another live dog. 10* (225) Louisville Cardinals |
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09-05-21 | Notre Dame v. Florida State +7 | Top | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES for our CFB Sunday Enforcer. Florida St. is coming off a humble 3-6 season and it has not had a winning season since 2017 but things should turn around this season. The Seminoles return 17 starters including 10 on offense. This could be the turnaround season for Mike Norvell. Notre Dame brings back just nine starters overall including just three on offense and very well could be in a tough spot early on. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that allowed 425 or more total ypg last season, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 58-26 ATS (69 percent) since 1992. 10* (224) Florida St. Seminoles |
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09-04-21 | Georgia +3 v. Clemson | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS as part of our Saturday Triple Play. Analysis to follow. 10* (207) Georgia Bulldogs |
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09-04-21 | Indiana +3.5 v. Iowa | 6-34 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS as part of our Saturday Triple Play. Analysis to follow. 9* (173) Indiana Hoosiers |
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09-04-21 | Alabama v. Miami-FL +19.5 | 44-13 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES as part of our Saturday Triple Play. Analysis to follow. 9* (180) Miami Hurricanes |
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09-03-21 | Michigan State +3 v. Northwestern | Top | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Michigan St. had a rough season with the first year under Mel Tucker as it went 2-5 with a very young roster. Things will be better this season as the Spartans return 16 starters which is the most in the Big Ten. They were -14 in turnovers and that will not happen this season. Northwestern went 7-2 last season and won the Big Ten West as well as a win in the Citrus Bowl over Auburn. The Wildcats return just eight starters, four each on offense and defense. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that had a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse last season. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (153) Michigan St. Spartans |
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09-02-21 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +14 | Top | 45-31 | Push | 0 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our Big Ten Game of the Month. Minnesota went 3-4 last season with two of those losses coming in overtime. The Gophers bring back the most experienced team in the country as they return 10 starters on both offense and defense. They have potential to win the Big Ten West with a couple upsets along the way and they will be undervalued. Ohio St. not only has to replace starting quarterback Justin Fields but also five other offensive starters plus six starters on defense. The Buckeyes will have the hangover effect from the 52-24 loss to Alabama in the CFP Championship. Ohio St. will continue to be overvalued on name alone and while they are projected to win the Big Ten, it should take this team some time to gel. Too many points to lay on the road opening night. 10* (146) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 155 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Game of the Month. Kansas City looks to win its second straight Super Bowl while Tom Brady will be playing in his 10th Super Bowl and searching for his seventh win. While Tampa Bay is considered the home underdog in this game, there is no real home field advantage based on fans but the comfort of their own stadium from locker room to site visions is and edge for the Buccaneers. Bet count is higher on the Chiefs, but money volume is higher on Tampa Bay which means smaller bettors are all over Kansas City but the big money bets are on the Buccaneers. One big factor that cannot be overlooked is the Tampa Bay pass rush against a depleted Kansas City offensive line. Kansas City was already without All-Pro right tackle Mitchell Schwartz and lost its Pro Bowl left tackle, Eric Fisher, to a torn Achilles in the AFC Championship Game. Shaquil Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul, who combined for five sacks at Green Bay and they should have another huge game here. Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS against teams allowing 5.65 yppl this season while the Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. Here, we play against road favorites outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing ypg on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 81-40 ATS (66.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3.5 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Conference Championship Game of the Year. The Packers are in their fourth conference championship since 2014 and playing at home is big. Green Bay has committed a league-low 11 turnovers this season, including only two during its current seven-game winning streak. The Packers have allowed just 21 sacks all season and did not give up any sacks last week against the Los Angeles Rams, who had 53 sacks during the regular season. While the Buccaneers finished the regular season with the 4th most passing yards, 4,776 yards, Tampa Bay finished near the bottom of the league with only 1,519 rushing yards and balance is key in this matchup. Tampa Bay allowed an average of 246.6 yards per game, which is inside the bottom third of the NFL. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 132-80 ATS (62.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (312) Green Bay Packers |
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01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Year. Tampa Bay looks for revenge after suffering a pair of losses against the Saints during the regular season. The Saints defeated the Buccaneers twice in the regular season, by a score of 34-23 in Week 1 and handily by a score of 38-3 in Week 9. Over the last five games since the Tampa Bay bye week, the Bucs have averaged 35.8 ppg as the offense has found its groove. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Saints are coming off a win over Chicago 21-9 as they dominated throughout but it is a bigger challenge this week. The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (307) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Green Bay is back in action following its bye week and has a big home field advantage here, not because of the crowd, but because of the weather and its familiarity to it. The Green Bay defense, which has allowed 25 points or less in its last six games, is an underrated unit and it will be facing an inconsistent Rams offense that has scored more than 30 points only twice in their last 10 games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff is only a few weeks removed from surgery on the thumb of his throwing hand. He appeared to struggle with his grip last week and that can only get worse in freezing temperatures. While the Rams defense is solid and ranked No. 1 in the NFL, Aaron Donald will almost certainly be playing, but with a rib injury and they are facing the No. 1 scoring offense in the NFL. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 131-79 ATS (62.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (302) Green Bay Packers |
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01-10-21 | Bears +10.5 v. Saints | Top | 9-21 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Wild Card Game of the Year. The Bears earned the No. 7 seed in the expanded playoff format when the Cardinals lost to the Rams in Week 17. They closed with three victories in four games to close the regular season and sneak into the playoffs. Mitch Trubisky was benched earlier this season and has started just nine games but the Bears went 6-3 in those games. The Bears offense has averaged 31.2 ppg over the final five weeks of the season, tied with the Saints for sixth in the NFL. While the Saints finished 12-4, they defeated only one team this season with a winning record. The Bears catch a break on offense as the Saints ruled out one of their top defensive playmakers, defensive end Trey Hendrickson, with a neck injury on Friday. He finished with a team high 13.5 sacks. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .730 or better in the second half of the season off a road win against a division rival. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (149) Chicago Bears |
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01-09-21 | Rams +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Los Angeles clinched a playoff spot last week with an 18-7 win over Arizona and will be out for revenge as Seattle held Los Angeles to less than 10 points for only the sixth time in the Sean McVay tenure. The Rams have not said whether starting quarterback Jared Goff or backup John Wolford will be under center to face the Seahawks and neither is a downgrade. The Rams defense was the best in the NFL by most statistical measures this season, finishing tops in both total yards allowed and points allowed while boasting the No. 1 pass defense as well. Seattle has slipped on offense as Russell Wilson was putting up MVP numbers but has digressed over the last few weeks. His only touchdown pass against the Rams since the arrival of Jalen Ramsey came in the fourth quarter two weeks ago. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games. This situation is 71-34 ATS (67.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (143) Los Angeles Rams |
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01-09-21 | Colts +6.5 v. Bills | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Saturday Afternoon Dominator. The Bills are hosting their first playoff game since 1996 and they are the talk of the NFL right now. Since Week 12, the Bills rank second in the NFL in yards per game (429.7), fourth in passing yards per game (305.2) and first in scoring (38.17). The Colts defense slipped some down the stretch but it is still a tough unit for the Bills to go against. Offensively, the Colts have scored the eighth most points in the league since Week 12. Quarterback Philip Rivers threw for the fourth-lowest interception total of his 17-year career in 2020 and was brilliant down the stretch, tossing eight touchdowns against two interceptions in the Colts final five games of the regular season. The Colts are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with a winning record. Play against teams coming off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 43-15 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (141) Indianapolis Colts |
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01-03-21 | Raiders v. Broncos +3 | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Raiders once promising season was derailed by five losses in the last six games following a 6-3 start, and their playoff hopes were permanently closed last week that resulted in a 26-25 last-second loss to Miami. It is letdown time. Denver has been struggling all season but this is a good spot with a good number. This could be a good spot for Drew Lock to finish strong as the Raiders have surrendered the eighth-most passing yards (259.2), the fifth-most yards per carry (4.7), the ninth-most total yards (385.3), and the fourth-most points per game (29.8). Here, we play on home teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points, off a close loss by three points or less to a division rival. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (130) Denver Broncos |
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01-03-21 | Falcons +7 v. Bucs | 27-44 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Atlanta looks to close out a disappointing season and it has been playing well of late. The team has gone 4-5 under interim coach Raheem Morris, including a 31-27 loss at home to Tampa Bay two weeks ago. Last time around, the Falcons proved that they could take advantage of the Buccaneers passing defense as is, as quarterback Matt Ryan threw for 356 yards and three touchdowns without wide receiver Julio Jones playing. Tampa Bay is now down two key players in the secondary. The Falcons have lost four straight games but all were within five points so this team continues to fight. Here, we play on road teams off a close road loss by three points or less, in the last two weeks of the regular season. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) since 1983. 9* (119) Atlanta Falcons |
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01-03-21 | Steelers v. Browns -9.5 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our AFC North Game of the Year. Pittsburgh scored 21 unanswered points to beat the Colts last week and clinched a home playoff game next week. The Steelers are resting starters this week with nothing to play for and they will be starting Mason Rudolph at quarterback. Additionally, defensive lineman Cam Heyward, center Maurkice Pouncey and linebacker T.J. Watt will stay back in Pittsburgh. The Browns need a win to get into the playoffs following a bad loss against the Jets last week but they were down two offensive linemen and their top four receivers. Three seasons removed from 0-16, Cleveland can exorcise demons for players and fans. Here, we play on favorites revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 61-28 ATS (68.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (110) Cleveland Browns |
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12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots +7 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The AFC East champion Bills have already clinched home-field advantage in the wild-card round. While they had a chance to get a first round bye with the top seed heading into Sunday, those chances were dashed with the Chiefs narrow victory over the Falcons so the only thing left for Buffalo is to stay healthy. While the Patriots have been eliminated from the playoffs, there is motivation for this proud franchise as they can keep alive their record streak of 19 seasons without getting swept by a divisional opponent. And Bills Mafia will add to that motivation as they won a contest for the best NFL fanbase this fall. The prize was a billboard proclaiming their supremacy, placed in an opposing town and of course the Buffalo fans picked a spot on Route 1 just four miles south of Gillette Stadium. The matchup itself is pretty much a wash based on offense against defense on both sides so this line is inflated based on records and standings. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 90-44 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (482) New England Patriots |
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12-27-20 | Rams +1 v. Seahawks | 9-20 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Rams are coming off a horrible loss to the Jets despite winning the yardage battle which snapped a two-game winning streak. Los Angeles can still the division with a wins over Seattle and in Week 17 against Arizona. The Rams also need one more win, or some help from others, to clinch a postseason berth. Los Angeles is eighth in the league in total yards (383.2) and 10th in red zone touchdown percentage (64.7%). NFL teams coming off a loss to a 0-8 or worse opponent are 7-0 ATS the following game when facing an opponent with a winner percentage of .444 or better coming off consecutive wins. Seattle has won two straight games to take over sole possession of first place in the NFC West but it is in a tough spot going up against the top ranked defense and the No. 1 ranked passing defense in the NFL. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games. This situation is 70-31 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (475) Los Angeles Rams |
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12-27-20 | Colts v. Steelers -1.5 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Pittsburgh has lost three straight games after an 11-0 start but can still clinch the division with a win on Sunday. One of the major reasons the Pittsburgh offense has taken a significant step backward in recent weeks is because of the running game unable to do much at all. The Steelers are the 31st-ranked rushing offense, but they might have found some momentum in Cincinnati after Benny Snell ran for 84 yards. Indianapolis has won three straight games but it was outgained in two of those while outgaining the Raiders by just 32 yards in the other one. The Steelers defense remains one of the best in the NFL as they are ranked No. 2 overall, against the pass and in scoring defense. On the other side, the Colts have dipped on defense as they have allowed 415.7 ypg over their last three games. Pittsburgh is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 home games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite while the Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (466) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-25-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7 | Top | 33-52 | Win | 106 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Friday Star Attraction. New Orleans is coming off a loss against Kansas City which was its second straight loss by a field goal but things are not that bad. The Saints can win the NFC South with a win over the Vikings when they kick off Week 16 on Christmas Day. Drew Brees did not play great in his return but that was expected against a tough Kansas City defense. The Vikings defense is a shell of its former self and just got gashed by the Bears for 199 yards rushing. If the Saints could find a way to have something similar, this game should not be close. New Orleans has a very underrated defense as the Saints are ranked No. 3 overall, No. 5 in passing defense, No. 4 in rushing defense and No. 6 in scoring defense. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Saints are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams who give up 27 or more ppg. Here, we play teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 37-7 ATS (84.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (452) New Orleans Saints |
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12-22-20 | Tulane v. Nevada | Top | 27-38 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Tulane started slow this season, losing four of its first six games, allowing an average of 35 ppg. The Green Wave, though, has won four of its last five, scoring 35 or more points in each of the four victories. The last two victories for Tulane were over teams that finished with a winning record, over Army and Memphis. The Wolf Pack has not beaten a team this season that currently is over .500. In its 11-game regular season, Tulane rushed on more than 62 percent on its plays and gained 2,408 yards, the eighth-best total in the nation. On the other side, Tulane is also very capable in defending the run (137.4 ypg) and the Green Wave front line also gets after the quarterback as their 37 sacks are third-most nationally. Tulane is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games as a favorite over the last two seasons while the Wolf Pack are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up an against opponent after winning the yardage battle by 125 or more yards in their previous game. This situation is 115-61 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (269) Tulane Green Wave |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals +15 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Pittsburgh has lost two straight games after an 11-0 start and while it will be motivated to bounce back before ending the season with two big games against Indianapolis and Cleveland, the Steelers are overpriced here. Cincinnati has lost five straight games and has averaged a mere 10 ppg over that stretch but getting over two touchdowns at home makes this a home contrarian play. Pittsburgh is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games laying double-digits on the road. It was announced that Ryan Finley will start for the Bengals and while that is a downgrade, he will be fine here. In the first meeting, a 36-10 loss, Joe Burrow was still the starter but he did not play well, yet the Bengals were outgained by just 53 total yards as the Steelers could not run the ball and they still cannot. The Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. 10* (370) Cincinnati Bengals |
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12-20-20 | Patriots +1.5 v. Dolphins | 12-22 | Loss | -102 | 44 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Cam Newton was awful last Thursday against the Rams but will have had nine days to recover from his lingering injury, which should help him perform better in this game. Even better for the Patriots is that head coach Bill Belichick has extra time to prepare after the embarrassing loss to the Rams and the Patriots are 9-2 SU and 9-2 ATS off a 20-point or more loss since 2003. New England destroyed the Chargers two weeks ago and Belichick is 11-0 in his last 11 games against rookie quarterbacks and 22-5 overall. Additionally, the Patriots, conversely have been much better on defense ever since Stephon Gilmore returned from injury. The Dolphins are banged up on offense as Mike Gesicki, DeVante Parker and Jakeem Grant all got hurt last week and are questionable/doubtful this week. The Patriots are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss, with a losing record. This situation is 41-17 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (353) New England Patriots |
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12-20-20 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team +6.5 | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 43 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Four consecutive victories fueled largely by rookie Chase Young and a talented defense have lifted Washington to a 6-7 record and a spot alone atop the NFC East heading into its matchup with Seattle. The Football Team was getting 3.5 points on the road last week against San Francisco and are now getting 6.5 points at home against Seattle. Sure, a lot of that has to do with the fact that Dwayne Haskins was named the starter this week but he has a much easier matchup against the Seahawks that remain dead last in the NFL in passing defense. Seattle is coming off a blowout win over the Jets but that is not saying a whole lot. The Seahawks can clinch a playoff spot with a victory as they sit at 9-4, tied with the Rams for first place in the NFC West. Seattle is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games after allowing six points or less last game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1983. 9* (356) Washington Football Team |
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12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings -3 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC North Game of the Year. This is a prime example of an overreaction to recent results. The look-ahead line on this game was Minnesota -6.5 but has been bet down to -3 in some places. The Vikings are coming off a 12-point loss against the Buccaneers but they outgained Tampa Bay and has 10 more first downs but were bad on third down which led to three missed field goals. On the other side, the Bears rolled over Houston 36-7 as Mitch Trubisky had one of his better games of his career. While the Minnesota defense is not going to strike fear into many teams, a repeat performance of that is unlikely. The Vikings won the first meeting by just six points but they outgained the Bears by 236 yards on the road. The key here is Kirk Cousins who was not horrible last week and he was facing the top defense in the league. He had a good game against Chicago in that first meeting. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (358) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-19-20 | Panthers +8.5 v. Packers | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Panthers are undervalued as despite a 4-9 record, they are better than that and still have a slim chance at a playoff spot. Carolina has won the yardage battle in eight of its 13 games as it has been more competitive than the record shows. The Panthers are getting outgained by just eight ypg while getting outscored by only two ppg. Seven of the nine losses have come by one possession so they have been in most games until the final whistle. Teddy Bridgewater has been terrific in this role as he 18-2 ATS as a non-divisional underdog including a perfect 10-0 ATS mark when getting more than a field goal. The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Packers have clinched the division and currently possess the top seed in the NFL so naturally, they are going to be overpriced. The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .750 or better coming off a road win against a division rival, in the second half of the season. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (343) Carolina Panthers |
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12-19-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +10.5 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH for our ACC Game of the month. This is a rematch of one of the best game of the season as Notre Dame prevailed 47-40 in double overtime. Clemson will be out for revenge but the Irish will be out to feasibly take the Tigers out of the CFP top four. The Irish dominated the line of scrimmage with a 209-34 rushing yard edge. That was the most rushing yards given up by Clemson in a game since 2016 and the fewest rushing yards gained by the Tigers since 2011. Notre Dame is ranked No. 7 in the country in rushing defense, allowing just 99.7 ypg. In the previous meeting, Clemson was just 4-for-15 on third downs, while Notre Dame was 10-for-19. For the season, Notre Dame leads the ACC with a 52 percent success rate. In the four game stretch surrounding Notre Dame, the Tigers were just 21-58 (36.2 percent). While Trevor Lawrence gets the pub, Notre Dame quarterback Ian Book is the winningest quarterback in Notre Dame history with 30 victories and his numbers are comparable. Here, we play against teams in conference championship games revenging a same season loss against an opponent that has a winning percentage of .900 or better. This situation is 10-4 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (236) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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12-19-20 | Missouri -1 v. Mississippi State | 32-51 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Missouri looks to cap off a successful season and strengthen its bowl position with a win here to improve to 6-4 on the season. The Tigers were dismantled last week against Georgia but they take a big step down in competition here. They had won three straight games and three of their losses have come against aforementioned Georgia, Alabama and Florida which are a combined 25-4. Mississippi St. has been outgained in six straight games and the offense, which was supposed to be a potent unit, has averaged only 17.3 ppg and has failed to top 24 points in each of its last eight games. While the Missouri defensive line is banged up, Mississippi St. does not have the run game to take advantage as it is averaging an embarrassing 23.2 ypg which is dead last in the country. The Bulldogs defense has been middle of the pack, allowing 27.9 ppg but they have allowed at least 478 yards in three of their last five games and could get shredded again. Here, we play against home teams after allowing 6.0 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after allowing 6.5 or more rushing ypc last game. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (249) Missouri Tigers |
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12-18-20 | Oregon +3.5 v. USC | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Pac 12 Championship Winner. The Trojans first three opponents of the season, Arizona St., Arizona and Utah, were playing their 2020 openers when the Trojans lined up against them so they had edges facing teams that yet to take the field. USC is coming off a come-from-behind victory over UCLA, its third victory in five games where it had to come back and win in the final seconds. The Trojans will be without their leading rusher, Vavae Malepeai, who sprained his knee late against UCLA. The Ducks were on pace to win the division title until dropping their past two games on the road, 41-38 to Oregon St. and 21-17 to previously winless California. The Ducks finished second in the Pac-12 North Division behind Washington, but a COVID-19 spike in the Huskies program knocked them out of the title game Monday morning, putting Oregon in the championship game. Oregon is confident in the abilities of their own and fired up to show the nation what it can do. The Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record while the Trojans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs after a game where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after three consecutive games where they forced three or more turnovers. This situation is 71-31 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (251) Oregon Ducks |
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12-17-20 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Chargers are arguably the best team in the NFL with a losing record as seven losses have been by one possession including three games by a field goal or less. Over the last eight games, Los Angeles has outgained six of its opponents and in the two games it did not, it was outgained by just 33 and 7 yards. Despite being just 4-9, the Chargers are ranked in the top ten in both total offense and total defense, one of only four teams to be there, joining the Packers, Colts and Rams. The Raiders have lost three of their last four games and are falling out of the playoff picture in the AFC as they are currently the No. 9 seed. Turnovers have been an issue as over the last four games, Derek Carr thrown at least one pick in each game and fumbled three times against the Falcons. Las Vegas is 7-3 when he has one or fewer turnovers and 0-3 when he commits multiple giveaways. The Raiders are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing 25 points or more in three straight games while the Chargers are 32-15-4 ATS in their last 51 games as road underdogs. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 10 * (301) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-14-20 | Ravens -3 v. Browns | Top | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Baltimore is coming off a much needed win against Dallas as it snapped a three-game skid to remain in the hunt for an AFC playoff spot. The Lamar Jackson return got the Baltimore strong running game roaring as the Ravens averaged 7.9 ypc against the Cowboys while getting contributions from all three running backs. The key here is Baltimore getting off to a strong start which we anticipate as the Browns are 3-14 since drafting Baker Mayfield when he attempts at least 35 passes in a game. The Browns defense has not been dominant this season as it ranks No. 22 in points allowed and No. 19 overall. Cleveland has won four straight games but has not been dominant as it has outgained just one opponent by more than 100 yards. Baltimore linebacker Matthew Judon and tight end Mark Andrews will be back Monday after missing two straight games while on the COVID-19 list. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 60-25 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (179) Baltimore Ravens |
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12-13-20 | Steelers +2 v. Bills | Top | 15-26 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This game is nearly identical to the Washington/San Francisco game as the line is an overreaction to what happened on national television. The Steelers were upset by Washington and their undefeated record came to a halt while the Bills easily got past the 49ers in the second game. That cause a line flip as Pittsburgh was favored in the opening line last week but now comes in as underdogs. Pittsburgh turned the ball over twice on downs and another on an interception in squandering a 14-0 lead in that loss. The Bills looked great once again and the market loves them at this point. Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while Pittsburgh is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (177) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-13-20 | Washington Football Team v. 49ers -2.5 | Top | 23-15 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFC Game of the Month. This is a complete overreaction to last Monday and what transpired with Washington handing Pittsburgh its first loss of the season and the favored 49ers losing at home against the Bills. This is the third straight road game for Washington and while home field advantage is not what it is normally like, the travel is a concern, going from Dallas to Pittsburgh to San Francisco. The 49ers had their chances last week but a pair of interceptions really cost them. This is a good bounce back spot for San Francisco which is still alive for a playoff berth. Washington is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the 49ers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against teams playing their third straight game and seeking revenge coming off an underdog win and covering the spread by more than 13 points. This situation is 10-0 ATS (100 percent) since 1980. 10* (176) San Francisco 49ers |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals -2 v. Giants | 26-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Two teams going in opposite directions face off and we are going with the favored Cardinals to get back in the hunt. The Cardinals have lost three straight and four of five in seeing their hopes dim for their first postseason berth since 2015 to fall to 6-6 on the season. The Giants are riding a four-game winning streak in attempting to become the first team in the NFL to start winless in five games and make the playoffs. It would be their first postseason appearance since 2016. During the current winning streak, the Giants defense has held each of the last four opponents to 20 points or less but this is a unique offense to face. The Giants are 2-10 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams averaging 5.0 or more rushing ypc while the Cardinals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage of .500 or better that are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games going up against teams coming off a straight up underdogs win. This situation is 19-3 ATS (86.4 percent) since 1980. 9* (157) Arizona Cardinals |
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12-13-20 | Vikings v. Bucs -6.5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Tampa Bay is in a great spot here. After losing three of four to division title contenders prior to the bye last week, the Buccaneers are not in a position to take any opponent for granted. Especially the Vikings have won five of six games following a 1-5 start. This is a must win for Tampa Bay who has made the playoffs since 2007. Tom Brady is 46-21 against the spread following a defeat, and if you exclude games in which he is favored by a touchdown or more, he is 38-10 against the spread after losing. Minnesota struggled to win in overtime against Jacksonville last week and it catches Tampa Bay at the wrong time. Minnesota is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 road games after a win by three or less points while the Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 36-7 ATS (83.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (164) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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12-12-20 | Fresno State -12 v. New Mexico | Top | 39-49 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Fresno St. has been playing really well as it has won three of its last four games and while it did lose to Nevada last week, the Bulldogs won the yardage battle by 183 total yards. They have outgained their opponents in all four games and by an average of 131.5 ypg. New Mexico snapped a 14-game losing streak with a win over Wyoming last week despite getting outgained. The New Mexico quarterback situation is a mess as its top three quarterbacks Tevaka Tuioti, Trae Hall and Connor Genal are all either out or questionable and the Lobos had to finish with Isaiah Chavez who was fifth on the depth chart coming into the season. The Lobos have spent the rest of the season operating out of Las Vegas. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 43-13 ATS (76.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (427) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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12-12-20 | Tennessee -14 v. Vanderbilt | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Vanderbilt looks to avoid its first winless season in program history as it comes in 0-8 but that seems highly likely. The Commodores had an unscheduled off week when it pulled out of a game at Georgia last Saturday due to COVID-19 issues. Opt-outs are really becoming an issue as well as Vanderbilt has been particularly hurt by departures on defense. Inside linebacker Dimitri Moore, a preseason third-team All-SEC pick, entered the transfer portal last month. Preseason second-team All-SEC defensive end Dayo Odeyingbo opted out ahead of this week's game. Tennessee has dropped six in a row but four of those were against four of the top six teams in the SEC. Here, we play against home teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (307) Tennessee Volunteers |
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12-12-20 | Navy v. Army -7 | Top | 0-15 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Month. This is the first time this game has not been played on a neutral field since 1943 so that does give Army a small edge as it is 6-0 here this season. This is just the second time the Black Knights have been favored in this series since 2002 and it is nearly not enough of a spread. Army is No. 4 in the country in total defense and No. 8 in scoring defense while coming in at No. 3 in the nation in rushing offense. Navy had not covered in this series since 2013 when it rolled last season but this is a totally different team. The Midshipmen are just 3-6 on the season and their normally potent rushing attack has been bad the last few weeks, averaging just 179 ypg over the last four games. Army has had two weeks to prepare for this one. Here, we play against road underdogs averaging between 4.2 and 4.8 yppl going up against a team with a defense allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl, after gaining 2.75 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 28-5 (84.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (434) Army Black Knights |
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12-12-20 | Wake Forest v. Louisville -1.5 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Louisville is just 3-7 but it could have a better record. Four of its losses have been by seven points or fewer, including a 12-7 setback at then-No. 4 Notre Dame on Oct. 17. Wake Forest has played just twice since Halloween as COVID-19 issues took out two of its games. When Wake Forest held a full practice on Saturday, it was its first since Thanksgiving Day. The Demon Deacons are -6 ypg on the season as they have benefitted from a +15 turnover ratio. Meanwhile, Louisville is outgaining its opponents by 71 ypg but the Cardinals are -14 in turnovers so that has been their issue for the losing season. Expectations were high coming in but it has been a rough year and the Cardinals will be out to end their season right. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a poor first half defense, allowing 16 or more points per game, after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored. This situation is 56-27 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (114) Louisville Cardinals |
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12-11-20 | Nevada v. San Jose State | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. San Jose St. can secure a perfect regular season and a spot in the Mountain West championship game with a win. Because of COVID-19 restrictions in Santa Clara County, this game has been relocated to Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas but that is no advantage or disadvantage either way as home field has meant nothing in this conference with the lack of spectators. Nevada is still in the hunt as well as it comes in at 6-1 with the lone loss coming against Hawaii by just a field goal. The Wolf Pack are coming off an 11-point win over Fresno St. but were outgained by 183 total yards. It will be strength against strength and we like the defense to prevail. Nevada averages the third-most points per game in the Mountain West (31.3), and San Jose St. allows the third-fewest points per game (17.0). Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 8.3 or more passing ypa going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 passing ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) San Jose St. Spartans |
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12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams -5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. New England is coming off a 45-0 shellacking of the Chargers but special teams played a big role in that as the Patriots outgained the Chargers by just 33 total yards. They managed only 291 total yards and have averaged a mere 235 total yards over the last two games and now faces one of the best defenses in the NFL. Los Angeles is ranked No. 2 overall, No. 1 against the pass and No. 3 against the run. Cam Newton does possess the ability to move the pocket and run the ball but so does Kyler Murray and the Rams held him to just 15 yards rushing and only 232c total yards for the Cardinals overall. On the other side, the Patriots defense has been playing better, obviously by them pitching a shutout last week, but that was against a rookie quarterback where Bill Belichick improved to 21-5 against rookie quarterbacks. The Rams are ranked No. 3 overall in total offense and New England will be challenged here. Los Angeles is are 6-0 ATS in its last six games after a game where its time of possession was 34 minutes or more and it gained 24 or more first downs. Meanwhile, the Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. 10* (102) Los Angeles Rams |
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12-10-20 | Florida Atlantic -8 v. Southern Miss | Top | 31-45 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS for our CFB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Florida Atlantic lacked the necessary sharpness to push its winning streak to five games in its loss to the Eagles, with the Owls committing a season-high four turnovers against Georgia Southern. They are still in the mix to win the C-USA East Division as the Thundering Herd loss to Rice on Saturday opened the door for the Owls to possibly win the division for a second consecutive season. They need Marshall to lose to Charlotte which is unlikely but the good news is that Florida Atlantic plays first on Thursday so it knows it has to win. This is the final game of the season for the Golden Eagles and they cannot wait for it to be over. They are 2-7 and have played well over their last three games but one of those was against a team from the FCS. Southern Mississippi is on its third head coach of the season and just hired its fourth as Will Hall was named the new permanent head coach and takes over next fall. Here, we play against home underdogs after having lost five or six out of their last seven games going up against an opponent after having won three out of their last four games. This situation is 93-50 ATS (65 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (375) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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12-08-20 | Cowboys v. Ravens -8.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Bad news and good news for Baltimore as it is on the outside looking in as the No. 9 seed in the AFC but it gets Lamar Jackson back and the remaining schedule is one of the easiest remaining in the league. Four of the last five games are against teams with losing records including three that have three wins or less. One of those is on Tuesday facing the 3-8 Cowboys which are coming off a 41-16 blowout loss on Thanksgiving against the Redskins. Jackson will be activated and will start hoping to snap a three-game losing streak. The run game will be in full effect as the Ravens are ranked No. 2 in rushing offense. The Cowboys entered the weekend ranked No. 24 in the NFL in defensive efficiency while their run defense was No. 29. On the other side, the Cowboys have used 15 unique combinations on their offensive line through 10 games. Four players have seen action at left tackle and now there will be no Zack Martin making matters even worse. Here, we play on teams averaging 5.4 to 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 35-7 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (484) Baltimore Ravens |
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12-07-20 | Washington Football Team v. Steelers -6.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. This line has been bet down considerably with a lot of that based on the most recent results as well as the rest factor and the fact that Ben Roethlisberger has ended up on the injury report. Washington has not played since Thanksgiving when in trampled Dallas 41-16 so it is on significant rest which can be good or bad as it could kill momentum. Pittsburgh is coming off a Wednesday win over Baltimore 19-14 but the Steelers dominated that game as they outgained the Ravens by 115 total yards. Baltimore got the cover on a 70-yard touchdown pass late in the game so the yardage differential should have been bigger if not for that fluke play. Washington is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road teams coming off a win by 21 or more points as an underdog going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 22-5 ATS (81.5 percent) since 1983. If Roethlisberger is a late scratch, this is a NO PLAY but he did practice Sunday. 10* (488) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-06-20 | Rams v. Cardinals +3 | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our Sunday NFL Enforcer. The Cardinals are 6-5 as they have lost two straight games to fall into the No. 7 seed in the NFC. Arizona is 4-3 over its last seven games but the three losses have come by one possession including two by three points. They have failed to cover four straight games and despite being just a game behind the Rams, they are home underdogs which is based on that four-game winless cover streak. Los Angeles is also coming off a three-point loss as it lost at home against the 49ers on a last second field goal. The Rams do possess recent big wins over Tampa Bay and Seattle but the others have come against reeling Chicago and the entire NFC East. Los Angeles is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 road games against winning teams that are coming off consecutive losses. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (470) Arizona Cardinals |
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12-06-20 | Lions +3 v. Bears | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS as part of our Sunday NFL Trifecta. Both Detroit and Chicago are on rough skids but we side with the Lions here as they will be playing hard for their new interim head coach Darrell Bevell. The Lions get some extra rest here following their Thanksgiving blowout loss against Houston which ultimately lead to the ousting of head coach Matt Patricia. The Bears have lost five straight games and even when they were 5-1, there were big problems on offense. Lately, a defense that ranked among the top 10 for most of the season has not been able to carry them. And the loss against last week Green Bay was particularly ugly. The Bears are 0-12 ATS since Nov 10, 2013 coming off a game as an underdog where the total was at least 40 and they had a rusher with at least 102 rushing yards. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off a road loss, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 49-19 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (451) Detroit Lions |
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12-06-20 | Bengals +11.5 v. Dolphins | 7-19 | Loss | -117 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS as part of our Sunday NFL Trifecta. Even though Joe Burrow is out, the Dolphins have no business laying a number this big especially with Kansas City and New England on deck, making this a big lookahead spot. They have won six of their last seven games but they have been outgained in three of their last five games. Cincinnati was extremely competitive last week against the Giants as the defense has played very well of late, allowing 20 points or less in three out of its last four games. The Dolphins are 0-20 ATS in their last 20 home games against non-divisional opponents that had at least two fewer wins the previous regular season. Meanwhile, the Bengals are 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog coming off a game as an underdog of more than three points where they gained no more than 15 first downs. Here, we play against home favorites of 10.5 or more points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after covering the spread in two out of their last three games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 66-29 ATS (69.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (453) Cincinnati Bengals |
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12-06-20 | Colts -3 v. Texans | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS as part of our Sunday NFL Trifecta. Houston is coming off a blowout win over Detroit on Thanksgiving but it is in a tough spot here. The Texans defense has been awful as the Texans are ranked No. 30 in total defense and they suffered a serious blow this week when cornerback Bradley Roby along with wide receiver Will Fuller who were suspended six games each for violating the NFL PED policy. The Colts are coming off a tough loss to the Titans but have won four of six and rank No. 5 in the league in total defense. Deshawn Watson is having a solid season but Indianapolis in ranked No. 6 against the pass. The Colts are sitting in the No. 7 spot in the AFC and needs to move up as to not face Kansas City in the Wild Card round. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season that are averaging 265 or more passing ypg going up against teams allowing between 230 and 265 passing ypg, after allowing seven or more passing ypa in two straight games. This situation is 34-8 ATS (81 percent) since 1983. 9* (455) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-05-20 | Colorado -7 v. Arizona | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 32 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Typically, we like to go contrarian bit this matchup favors the Buffaloes too much this early into the season for both teams. Colorado has been solid on both sides of the ball, ranking No. 42 or better in four different categories and they have remained healthy. The Buffaloes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. The Wildcats are 0-3 and could be playing with freshman quarterback Will Plummer who was awful in relief of Grant Gunnell last week. The Wildcats lost a tough one in their opener against USC but have been blown out in their last two games. There has been no consistency and Arizona has now lost a school record 10 straight games. The Wildcats are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss. 9* (381) Colorado Buffaloes |
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12-05-20 | San Jose State v. Hawaii +2.5 | 35-24 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. San Jose St. is off to a surprising 4-0 start but now finds itself in a tough spot based on scheduling. This game has turned into a big edge for Hawaii as it was supposed to travel to San Jose for this game but because of COVID restrictions, the Spartans have to now hit the road and go to the islands. Two wins have come against UNLV and New Mexico which are a combined 0-10. This is the first game since November 14 for the Spartans and that is a big disadvantage for momentum purposes. Hawaii is 3-3 including a 2-1 record at home with the lone loss coming against Boise St. by just eight points as 12-point underdogs. Now they are underdogs against the overvalued Spartans despite the venue change and the Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. 9* (446) Hawaii Warriors |
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12-05-20 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -14 | Top | 14-6 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our Big Ten Game of the Month. Although it has only played three games, Wisconsin is first in the country in total defense, third in rushing defense, fifth in passing defense and third in scoring defense. It is a small sample size but it cannot be understated especially against an Indiana team that just lost its starting quarterback as Michael Penix Jr. is out for the season with a torn ACL. Despite a nearly-even split between run and pass plays, the Hoosiers average just 3.0 ypc and with a new quarterback at the helm, this is a problem. Here, we play on home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 390 to 440 ypg going up against a team with allowing between 330 to 390 ypg, after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (402) Wisconsin Badgers |
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12-05-20 | Oklahoma State +1 v. TCU | 22-29 | Loss | -113 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Oklahoma St. opened the season 4-0 but has gone just 2-2 since then, going 0-4 ATS, but it is coming off a win over Texas Tech last week following a blowout loss to rival Oklahoma the previous week. The Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. TCU is coming off a win against Kansas St. but it was fortunate as it scored three non-offensive touchdowns and that skewed win is keeping this number down. The Horned Frogs are now 4-4 and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road favorites after allowing 42 points or more last game going up against an opponent after a win by 17 or more points. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (393) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -2.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Appalachian St. lost to Coastal Carolina two weeks ago to remove any chance of a trip to the Sun Belt Championship but it bounded back with a 37-point win over Troy last week. The is the final home game for the Mountaineers and this is a good spot as they enter this matchup with better overall numbers in ppg and ypg. Louisiana has already clinched a berth in the Sun Belt Championship against Coastal Carolina so it may not be going full throttle and not give up a ton of its playbook. The Cajuns are 8-1 with that lone loss coming against Coastal Carolina so this is a big lookahead spot. Here, we play on home favorites that are outgaining opponent by 100 or more ypg going up against teams outgaining opponents by 50-100 ypg, after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (328) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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12-03-20 | Air Force -11.5 v. Utah State | Top | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Air Force had it game cancelled last Thursday following a 28-0 win over New Mexico the previous week. Air Force averages 5.8 ypc and 336.5 ypg which is first in the country while Utah St. allows 5.1 ypc and 202.8 ypg which is No 101 in the nation. The game represents another difficult challenge for Utah St., which just lost another starter in running back Jaylen Warren after he entered the NCAA Transfer Portal. The Aggies are coming off their first win of the season after opening 0-4. Not only are they dealing with a lot of missing starters, but they also have an interim head coach after Gary Anderson was let go after a 0-3 start. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (325) Air Force Falcons |
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11-30-20 | Seahawks -6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Seattle took out Arizona last Thursday to snap a two-game slide and the extra prep time here is big. The Seahawks get Chris Carson back and with Carlos Hyde also back in the mix, Russell Wilson has the ability to be more efficient. The Seahawks are third overall in total offense and first in the league in scoring offense. The Eagles are a game and a half out of first place in the NFC East as they have been outgained in three straight games. Carson Wentz has had issues all season as he leads the NFL with 18 turnovers, including 14 interceptions, and has career lows in completion percentage (58.4) and passer rating (73.3). The arrival of Carlos Dunlap in a trade from Cincinnati has helped the Seahawks turn up the pass rush in recent weeks. Seattle has 16 sacks over the past four games, including three sacks last week of Arizona's Kyler Murray. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a losing home record while the Eagles are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games after one or more consecutive losses. 10* (275) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-29-20 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Chiefs got their revenge as they rallied for a 35-31 win over the Raiders to move to 9-1 on the season. Patrick Mahomes has been masterful as he has thrown for 1,136 yards in his last three games while adding 11 touchdowns and just a single interception. Tampa Bay is 7-4 but the inconsistencies continue as just two of the seven wins have come against teams with winning records. The Chiefs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game while the Buccaneers are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game going up against an opponent after gaining 4.5 or less passing ypa in last game. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (271) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-29-20 | Raiders v. Falcons +3 | 6-43 | Win | 103 | 25 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Falcons had won three of four games before losing to New Orleans last Sunday to fall to 3-7 on the season but they are in a great spot here as they head back home and catch a tam travelling from the west coast for an early game. Las Vegas lost to the Chiefs which was a tough defeat in the last two minutes but holding down that Kansas City offense in the last few minutes was next to impossible. The Raiders are now 6-4 and are an overpriced road favorite this week. The Raiders are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games against defenses allowing 7.5 or more ypa while the Falcons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. Here, we play on teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against a team with a defense allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 33-7 ATS (82.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (252) Atlanta Falcons |
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11-29-20 | Panthers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC Game of the Year. The Panthers are coming off a 20-0 shutout win over Detroit last week to snap a five-game losing streak. Carolina has really struggled in stopping the run all season and even though it held Detroit in check, the Lions were short-handed and Dalvin Cook has been a beast. Minnesota lost to Dallas as a touchdown favorite despite outgaining the Cowboys by 55 total yards which snapped a three-game winning streak. Christian McCaffrey missed six games with a high ankle sprain earlier and will likely sit out a third straight game on Sunday with a shoulder problem. The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (260) Minnesota Vikings |
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11-28-20 | Rutgers v. Purdue -11 | 37-30 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. After a season opening win over Michigan St., Rutgers has lost four straight games and as every week goes on, the win over the Spartans is less and less impressive. Last week, it was a hard-fought loss to Michigan in three overtimes and that is a gut wrenching defeat. Purdue has lost two straight games, both by a single possession, after opening the season 2-0. While the Boilermakers are in the top-15 for passing yards in the country, struggles in the red zone have become a challenge but that should change against this defense that is ranked No. 95 against the pass and No. 109 in scoring defense. The Boilermakers are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games following an ATS loss. Here, we play against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the second half of the season. This situation is 37-15 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (194) Purdue Boilermakers |
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11-28-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas State +17.5 | Top | 49-14 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS ST. BOBCATS for our CFB Sun Belt Game of the Year. Coastal Carolina is the first team in Sun Belt Conference history to hold an 8-0 record and the Chanticleers are coming off a huge come-from-behind win over Appalachian St., which was its lone remaining barrier to win out. This presents a big letdown for Coastal Carolina and it is laying an overpriced number on the road. Texas St. is coming off a win over Arkansas St. which snapped a seven-game losing streak and that momentum can come into play for playing spoiler. The Bobcats have covered four straight games as the lines continue to be too high priced. Texas St. is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games after allowing 575 or more total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 28 and 34 ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21, after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (226) Texas St. Bobcats |
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11-27-20 | Stanford v. California +2.5 | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Stanford and host California take winless records into the annual Pac 12 rivalry Friday afternoon in the 128-year history of one of the greatest rivalries in college football. This is the first home game for the Golden Bears after losing at UCLA in their opener and then at Oregon St. despite outgaining the Beavers by 79 total yards. Stanford is also off to a 0-2 start and has now lost six straight games going back to last season as this once top level program has taken a tumble. Stanford has dropped seven straight games against the number while the Golden Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams being outscored by opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 43-20 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (138) California Golden Bears |
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11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions +3 | Top | 41-25 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford and the offense is coming off a tough outing as they were shutout in a 20-0 loss against the Panthers. The Lions have lost three of their last four games and at 4-6 are mathematically alive for the postseason making this a must win game. It was the first time Detroit has been shut out in 11 years so we can expect a bounce back here. They face a Houston defense that is ranked second to last in the NFL. The Texans have won two of three games since their bye and are coming off a 27-20 win over the Patriots. The Texans announced a slew of players will not make the trip to Detroit for the game including receivers Kenny Stills and Randall Cobb. Here, we play on teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 33-6 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (122) Detroit Lions |
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11-22-20 | Chiefs -7.5 v. Raiders | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Kansas City is coming off its bye week following four straight wins and we all know how good Andy Reid is coming off a bye week. The Chiefs are now 8-1 on the season and that lone loss was at home against Las Vegas so there will be a little extra in the tank for their division rival. The offense leads the way as they are ranked No. 2 overall and they lead the NFL in passing offense at 294.7 ypg. They will go up against a Raiders defense that in No. 25 against the pass and No. 21 overall. The Raiders have caught fire with three straight wins following a 1-3 stretch and they are now sitting at 6-3 and right in the think of the playoffs. They are outscoring opponents by just 1 ppg compared to 12 ppg for Kansas City so that is a huge disparity. Kansas City is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons while Las Vegas is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 10* (471) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-22-20 | Dolphins v. Broncos +4 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 47 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The improbable Miami turnaround continues as it has won five straight games to keep pace in the AFC East behind Buffalo. Tua Tagovailoa has won all three of his starts but the Dolphins were outgained badly against the Rams and Cardinals and outgained the Chargers by just seven yards last weekend. They have used an opportunistic defense as Miami is fourth in the league with 15 takeaways but while that has helped keep scoring down, the unit as a whole has not been great as the Dolphins are ranked No. 19 overall, No. 20 against the pass and No. 22 against the run. Miami is 25-44 when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. Denver has struggled to a 3-6 record including a pair of road losses against Las Vegas and Atlanta over its last two games. Denver is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 home games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival and 6-0 ATS in its last six games after a loss by 14 or more points. 9* (476) Denver Broncos |
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11-22-20 | Titans v. Ravens -5 | 30-24 | Loss | -117 | 44 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. This is a revenge game for Baltimore after losing 28-12 against Tennessee in the AFC Divisional Round last season. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson had three turnovers in that loss and he has not been as sharp as he was earlier in the season but he squares off against a bad Tennessee defense that is ranked No. 25 overall. Baltimore leads the NFL in rushing offense at 164.0 ypg and getting that going here will be key. The Ravens are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against the AFC. Tennessee has lost three of its last four games with the lone win coming against a poor Chicago team. The most recent loss was against Indianapolis at home as the Titans lost by 17 points. Overall, Tennessee is getting outgained by an average of 24 ypg which may not seem significant but it is when the record is 6-3. The Titans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. 9* (466) Baltimore Ravens |
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11-21-20 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Oklahoma | Top | 13-41 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our Big 12 Game of the Year. Oklahoma St. is off to a 5-1 start and has a great chance at getting revenge from five straight losses in this series. The Cowboys lone loss came against Texas in overtime which never should have happened as they outgained the Longhorns by 243 total yards but were hurt by a -4 turnover margin as well as allowing a 100-yard kickoff return. The Sooners started the season with two losses but have won and covered four straight games and that is playing into this line. Oklahoma leads the Big 12 in passing offense and total offense but Oklahoma St. is second in total defense, scoring defense and passing defense so the Sooners finally have a challenge. Though the series has often favored Oklahoma, the Sooners know that does not matter this year, especially with so much on the line and this is the best Oklahoma St. team they have faced in years but are still a touchdown favorite. The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while the Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 9* (401) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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11-21-20 | Liberty +4 v. NC State | 14-15 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Liberty is 8-0 which is its best start in program history, and it already has defeated ACC members Syracuse and Virginia Tech. The Flames offense has been potent from the start as they are ranked No. 18 in total offense and No. 16 in scoring offense. Malik Willis, who transferred from Auburn, has thrown for 15 touchdowns with just one interception and he has a team-high 700 rushing yards and nine of their 20 rushing touchdowns. They have outgained all eight opponents and have done so by 183 ypg. NC State snapped a two-game skid with a 38-22 win over Florida St. but it outgained the Seminoles by just 66 yards and the Wolfpack have been outgained in five of their eight games. Liberty is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games while NC State is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games against teams averaging 34 or more ppg. Here, we play on road underdogs that are outgaining their opponents by 125 or more ypg, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 69-32 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (359) Liberty Flames |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6 | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Cincinnati is off to a perfect start to the season and the recent dominance has skewed this line. The Bearcats have upped the pace offensively their past four outings, averaging a scoring margin of 46-13 in wins over SMU, Memphis, Houston and East Carolina. But those wins came over teams that are a combined 15-13 for the season, with SMU and Memphis accounting for 11 of the wins. UCF has won three in a row since dropping back-to-back games to Tulsa and Memphis and has averaged 44.3 ppg in its winning streak. Quarterback Dillon Gabriel has completed 63.3 percent of his passes for an average of 396.3 ypg which is No. 1 in the country with 23 touchdowns against only two interceptions. This is a dangerous team that can mess up the Bearcats playoff hopes. UCF is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games after allowing 14 points or less last game Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that allow 8.0 or fewer ppg in the first half, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (344) Central Florida Knights |
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11-20-20 | New Mexico v. Air Force -7 | Top | 0-28 | Win | 100 | 55 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Air Force has been off since Halloween as it had to pull out of its past two games, at Army and at Wyoming, for similar reasons because of COVID-19. The Falcons are 1-2 as they have lost two straight games following a season opening rout over Navy. The practice to game ratio, approaching something in the neighborhood of 30 to 1, has tested the patience of everyone. This is a huge motivational advantage and we saw a similar situation with Wisconsin last week. Air Force leads the country in rushing at 330.0 ypg and while the Lobos have a solid rushing defense, this is by far their toughest test to date. New Mexico is 0-3 as they have been scorched on defense, allowing 491.7 ypg which is No. 116 in the country. The Lobos look to be limited on offense once again as junior starting quarterback Tevaka Tuioti has yet to gain clearance after sustaining a concussion against Hawaii on Nov. 7.Air Force is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games against teams allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing ypc while New Mexico is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS win. Here, we play against road teams with a losing record coming off two covers where the team lost as an underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Air Force Falcons |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Seattle let us down on Sunday as it scored a season low 16 points but it also allowed just 23 points which tied for a season low and with how the defense has been, that is a big deal against a solid Rams defense. The Seahawks have lost their last two games and three of their last four after a 5-0 start to the season. Russell Wilson has tried to do too much bit it should be scaled back here. In 2018, when the Seahawks passed on fewer than half their plays, he had the best passer rating of his career (110.9) and was fourth in the league in touchdown passes (35). Expect a heavy run game against the Cardinals which are very average against the run. The return of running back Chris Carson is huge. The Cardinals beat the Bills 32-30 last week as Kyler Murray connected with DeAndre Hopkins for a 43-yard Hail Mary touchdown pass with 2 seconds left in the game. Arizona has won for of its last five games to take over first place in the NFC West but this is not a good spot coming off that miracle and facing a desperate Seahawks team. Seattle is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games after two or more consecutive losses while going 6-0 ATS in its last six home games off a loss by seven points or less to a division rival. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, versus division opponents. This situation is 35-8 ATS (81.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -1.5 | Top | 52-44 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Western Michigan is coming off an improbable win against Toledo as it trailed 38-28 with less than three minutes remaining, scoring a touchdown with 45 seconds left and then recovered the ensuing onside kick and then faked a clock killing spike for the go-ahead score. The Broncos are 2-0 and while the offense is humming, the defense looks to be short-handed as they hope to get starting defensive ends Ali Fayad (calf) and Andre Carter (ankle) back from injuries, but both players are doubtful. The Chippewas have been playing just as well through two weeks as they beat visiting Ohio 30-27 in Week One before crushing Northern Illinois 40-10 on the road last week. Central Michigan has a great running game, averaging 210.5 ypg and with the Broncos ends out, it could have a really big night. Central Michigan is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games while Western Michigan is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after a win by three or less points. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (314) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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11-17-20 | Akron v. Kent State -23.5 | Top | 35-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Akron has lost its first two games of the season and has now lost an amazing 19 straight games going back to 2018. The Zips did have a solid effort last time out against Ohio as they actually won the yardage battle but committed three turnovers and that will be an issue going on with a freshman quarterback to go along with four freshmen offensive linemen. They will struggle here as Kent St. leads the MAC with just 173.0 passing ypg allowed and ranks fifth with 160.5 rushing ypg allowed. The Golden Flashes have opened the season 2-0 and have won seven straight games dating back to last season. Kent St. is leading the MAC in total offense, rushing offense, and passing offense, averaging 549.0 ypg to go along with 44.5 ppg. Akron is giving up 7.3 yppl, the second-worst mark in the MAC, and the Zips defense will have its hands full trying to slow down a Golden Flashes offense that can it do on the ground or through the air. Akron is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games after two or more consecutive straight up losses while Kent St. is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in its previous game. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games. This situation is 61-25 ATS (70.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -100 | 49 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Chicago has lost three straight games to fall to 5-4 on the season. The Bears were handled by the Rams without much resistance but they played a great game against New Orleans to lose in overtime and while they lost to Tennessee by a touchdown last week, they outgained the Titans by 147 total yards but they were -2 in turnovers. This included a fumble being returned 63 yards for a touchdown. The Vikings are coming off a pair of wins over Green Bay and Detroit to move to 3-5 on the season but they were +4 in turnovers in those two games. The Bears defense could be the difference here as they are ranked No. 9 overall and No. 7 in scoring defense. Dalvin Cook has just 86 yards on 34 carries in three career games against the Bears. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, since joining the Vikings in 2018, is 0-3 with just three touchdown passes, two interceptions and one lost fumble against Chicago. While the Bears offense has been an issue, the Vikings defense is struggling as they are No. 29 0verall, including No. 30 against the pass, and No. 25 in scoring defense. Chicago is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games against teams averaging 5.0 or more rushing ypc while going 19-4 ATS in their last 23 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. Meanwhile, the Vikings are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 Monday games. 10* (276) Chicago Bears |
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11-15-20 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Rams | Top | 16-23 | Loss | -104 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFC West Game of the Year. Seattle is coming off its second loss of the season as it fell at Buffalo 44-34. The defense continues to be an issue as Seattle is allowing a league-worst 362 yards per game passing, on pace to shatter the NFL record for most passing yards allowed in a season. The Rams offense has been off of late as they have scored 17 points or less in three of their last five games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff struggled in his last game, going 35 for 61 with four turnovers while Los Angeles scored only 17 points in losing to Miami. They do have the benefit of coming off a bye week but facing Russell Wilson off a loss is bad news as he is 13-1 in 14 starts coming off a loss and playing with revenge. The Rams defense is strong but they have played only two teams with a winning record and they are 4-0 against the putrid NFC East. Seattle is 7-0 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while Los Angeles 17-50 ATS in its last 67 games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. Here, we play against home favorites after a loss by 10 or more points going up against an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. This situation is 95-51 ATS (65. Percent) since 1983. 10* (269) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-15-20 | Bills v. Cardinals -2.5 | 30-32 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Buffalo has gotten back on track with three straight wins. The Bills are now 7-2 on the season but two of those wins came against the winless Jets while in three other wins, they were outgained by their opponent. The Bills defense might finally be finding an identity with coordinator Leslie Frazier taking a more aggressive approach. In its past three games, Buffalo has generated 13 sacks and seven takeaways which is a big difference from its first six outings in which it combined for 11 sacks and seven takeaways. However, they now face a very dynamic offense with Kyler Murray proving he is a star in the making. The Cardinals are ranked No. 1 in total offense including No. 2 in rushing offense. Arizona had its three-game winning streak snapped with a three-point loss to the Dolphins but it actually outgained Miami by 130 total yards as it was hurt by a costly fumble that was returned for a touchdown. Arizona is 7-0 ATS defenses allowing 7 or more passing ypa while going 26-11 ATS in home games off a home loss. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 10 or more as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1983. 9* (268) Arizona Cardinals |
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11-15-20 | Chargers +1.5 v. Dolphins | 21-29 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Chargers are 2-6, with their losses by a combined 24 points, but quarterback Justin Herbert has been terrific since becoming the starter in Week Two. He has 2,146 yards with 17 touchdowns and just five picks for a passer rating of 104.7. Despite losses in the last two games against Denver and Las Vegas, the Chargers won the yardage battle in both games by 134 and 120 yards, respectively. Miami has won four straight games including the last two with Tua Tagovailoa behind center but those games were won with smoke and mirrors as the Dolphins were outgained by 426 total yards. They scored three defensive/special teams touchdowns over that stretch. The defense is getting a lot of credit but Miami is just No. 22 in total defense including No. 26 against the pass and No. 21 against the run. The Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games after scoring 25 points or more in 4 straight games while Miami is 5-20 ATS in its last 25 home games after a win by three or less points. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 57-23 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1983. 9* (277) Los Angeles Chargers |
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11-14-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan +5 | 49-11 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Michigan has lost two straight games after beating Minnesota in its opener. The Wolverines were 23-point favorites against in-state rival Michigan St. and failed to force a turnover in a 27-24 loss. Michigan then lost to Indiana for the first time in 33 years and it was not close as the Wolverines allowed 342 passing yards and once again did not force a turnover in the 38-21 loss. Michigan is not in the Top 25 poll for the first time since the end of the 2017 season and while the last two losses have not been good, this team is better than that and is in a great situation here. Wisconsin rolled over Illinois in its opener but has not played the last two weeks because of COVID yet comes in as a road favorite. Wisconsin is the team that had the outbreaks, not their opponents, and that means they went a significant time without having players going through workouts and in practice together. The Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing record while Michigan is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games after a game where it forced one or less turnovers. 9* (162) Michigan Wolverines |
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11-14-20 | Army v. Tulane -3 | Top | 12-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Saturday Blowout Game of the Year. Army is off to a 6-1 start and became the first team to accept a bowl invitation this season when it reached six victories by defeating Mercer 49-3 on Oct. 24. The Black Knights are scheduled to face a Pac-12 opponent in the Independence Bowl. They have won four straight games but three of those were against FCS teams and the other three victories teams that are a combined 6-17. Tulane has won two straight games to move to 4-4 on the season. With Tulane, its passing defense has been bad but that will not come into play here against a basic run only team. The improved play of the Tulane run defense and especially its defensive line has been important the last two weeks. The Green Wave held Temple to 77 rushing yards on 36 attempts, then limited East Carolina to 35 yards on 29 rushes. Tulane has the No. 3 rushing offense in the AAC, averaging 230.8 ypg. Here, we play on teams in a game involving two teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc, after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (204) Tulane Green Wave |
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11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota +4 | Top | 35-7 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. We won with Iowa last week but will be going against the Hawkeyes this week as a road chalk. The Iowa defense made life miserable for Michigan St. quarterbacks last week, producing two sacks, three interceptions and five quarterback hurries while forcing the Spartans into 21 incompletions in their blowout victory. Minnesota defeated host Illinois 41-14 on Saturday behind a standout performance from running back Mohamed Ibrahim, who rushed 30 times for 224 yards and four touchdowns. Gophers quarterback Tanner Morgan is 16-6 as a starter and has completed 61.6 percent of his passes this season, completing 45-of-73 passes for 602 yards. The Gophers are second in the Big Ten with 15 touchdowns through three games and they are averaging 36.3 ppg, which ranks fourth in the conference. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (128) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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11-12-20 | Colts +1 v. Titans | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Tennessee snapped a two-game losing skid with a win over Chicago but it was skewed as the Titans were outgained by 147 total yards. They have not topped 24 points in three straight games, and slow starts have been an issue, only one field goal in the first quarter combined in that span. As effective as the Bears were in slowing the Titans offense, the Colts defense is rated even higher and they pair it with a better offense. Indianapolis is ranked first in the NFL in total defense while coming in at No. 3 in both rushing defense and scoring defense. The Indianapolis defense turned in another strong performance last week, holding the Ravens almost 40 percent below their average rushing total while allowing just 266 total yards. On the other side, nobody has allowed fewer sacks than the Colts, who have given up only eight. The Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home while the Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (121) Indianapolis Colts |
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11-11-20 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -2 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Western Michigan was able to tune up with a nearly flawless 58-13 performance against Akron. The Broncos run defense might get hit for a big dash or two this week, but overall, the defense is just strong enough to a lot of bending, but not a lot of breaking. Coming into the season, Western Michigan quarterback Kaleb Eleby was targeted to solve all of his Broncos offensive concerns if he is as good as advertised. He did not disappoint in the opener as he went 12-16 for 262 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Toledo is coming off an equally impressive performance as it hammered Bowling Green, 38-3, scoring 21 first quarter points and never looking back. The Broncos will have to get off to a fast start against Toledo after the Rockets took a 24-7 halftime lead and held on for a 31-24 win last season in Toledo. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game while the Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. 10* (120) Western Michigan Broncos |
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11-09-20 | Patriots v. Jets +10 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. This is not a matchup that many will be wanting to witness but it is an intriguing game to see which team can bounce back. The Patriots are 2-5, well back of first place in the AFC East. Injuries have played havoc on the Patriots ability to establish consistency on both sides of the ball but it is mostly the offense that has struggled. They entered the week ranked 29th in the NFL averaging 19.4 ppg as part of the reason for their lack of production can be traced to their poor starts. A loss here would mark New England's first five-game losing streak since 1995. The Jets are winless at 0-8 and they have covered only one game this season which came in their last home game against a really good Buffalo team. Sam Darnold has been ruled out but that is not a bad thing as he has the worst passer rating in the NFL and he will be replaced by veteran Joe Flacco. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems averaging 5.3 or less ypa going up against teams allowing 7.3 or more ypa after allowing 8.0 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 21-4 ATS (84 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Jets |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs -4.5 | 38-3 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Tampa Bay was just going through the motions last Monday against the Giants as it won by two points following a controversial no call on a Giants two-point conversion that would have put the game into overtime. It is safe to say the Buccaneers were in lookahead mode to this game considering this is a revenge game from Week One when the Saints won 34-23. This is a different team now as Tom Brady was playing his first game and the offense is now getting healthy and clicking. They did put up a clunker in their loss against the Bears but in the six wins surrounding that defeat, Tampa Bay has averaged 34.2 ppg. While the offense has been potent, the defense is even better as the Buccaneers are No. 3 in total defense including No. 1 against the rush. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. New Orleans is a half-game behind Tampa Bay in the NFC South following a four-game winning streak. Those wins have been by just 3.8 ppg including two overtime wins by a field goal. New Orleans has won the yardage in six of seven games, the only exception being the game against Tampa Bay. The Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 9* (474) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Blowout Game of the Year. Miami is coming off one of the more improbable wins we have ever seen. The Dolphins defeated the Rams 28-17 last Sunday despite being outgained by 326 total yards as they managed just 145 total yards and had only eight first downs. They took advantage of four turnovers, including a 78-yard fumble return for a touchdown, and an 88-yard punt return for a touchdown. It was the third straight win for Miami but the others came against the winless Jets and the banged up 49ers while its other victory earlier in the season came against 1-6 Jacksonville. While the Dolphins have the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL, they are just No. 20 in total defense. The disparity is due to the defense has 13 takeaways which is tied for No. 5 in the league. Arizona does not give the ball away though as it has just nine giveaways and the offense has shifted into a new gear. The Cardinals are coming off their bye week and now possess the top ranked offense in the NFL, averaging 419.1 ypg. Arizona is 5-2 on the season with a scoring differential of +41 which is fourth best in the NFC. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in weeks 5 through 9. This situation is 56-25 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Arizona Cardinals |
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11-08-20 | Ravens -1 v. Colts | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 49 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We lost with the Ravens last week despite the fact they outgained the Steelers by 236 total yards but four turnovers did them in. It was an incredibly rare loss historically as teams that rush for at least 250 yards and outgain their opponent by more than double are now 215-2-1. Baltimore is now 5-2 on the season but it has dropped four of its last five against the number and that is part of the reason this number has shrunk from an opener of -3. Baltimore has won nine straight road games, which is the longest active streak in the NFL, while the defense has forced a turnover in 20 straight games. The Ravens also have scored 20 or more points in 30 successive games, tied for the longest streak in NFL history and they also have rushed for 100 yards in 30 straight games. The Colts have won two straight games and five of their last six but of those five wins, only one has come against a winning team which is the Bears and they are one of the worst winning teams in the league. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 56-23 ATS (70.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (459) Baltimore Ravens |
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11-08-20 | Giants v. Washington Football Team -2.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -108 | 49 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Washington can move within a half-game of idle, first-place Philadelphia in the NFC East by evening the season series with the Giants. That would make the Washington Football Team 3-1 in the division and only increase the confidence growing around the young team. They have played well in their last two games as they rolled over Dallas and lost to the Giants by just one point despite winning the yardage battle by 97 total yards. That makes this a revenge game for Washington which is laying a favorable number. The Washington defense has been excellent as it is ranked No. 4 overall and No. 1 against the pass, making this a good matchup here. This will be Washington's first home game this season with fans in attendance and while they will be limited, it still makes a difference. The Giants are coming off a really good game Monday night against Tampa Bay as it was a two-point conversion away from sending the game into overtime. Even though this is a revenge game, that could spell a letdown. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage of 25 percent or worse after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (466) Washington Football Team |
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11-07-20 | Washington State v. Oregon State -1.5 | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS CFB Saturday Late Night Beatdown. This is the opening game for both teams and Oregon St. has the clear edge playing at home and laying a very short price. Oregon St. averaged 31.2 ppg in 2019, the second-best mark in program history for a 12-game season, and it hopes to keep that going this season even with a switch at quarterback. The key component is the offensive line as the starters have combined to start 83 games entering 2020. The Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Cougars have an entirely new coaching staff, did not have spring practice, are breaking in a new quarterback and do not exactly strike fear in opponents defensively. Washington St. will be starting freshman Jayden de Laura at quarterback, now that he has won the competition in camp for the job. The Cougars lost most of their top receivers from a year ago as well so it could be a challenge for new head coach Nick Rolovich to build a strong offense early in the season. The Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. 9* (362) Oregon St. Beavers |
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11-07-20 | Florida v. Georgia -3 | 44-28 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Georgia is coming off a pedestrian 14-3 win over Kentucky last Saturday but the defense proved how good it is. It was a ball-control offensive approach that allowed the Bulldogs to find the end zone twice in a game that was a defensive struggle. Given that Kentucky is a solid defensive team, this bodes well for Georgia going up against a Florida squad that is better known for its passing attack. Georgia has played tremendously well defensively in all of its wins this season. While the team did fall apart in the second half of the Alabama game nearly a month ago, Georgia did lead heading into halftime. The Bulldogs may have the most complete and dominant defense in the country. Florida rolled past Missouri and will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak in this series. They were exposed against Texas A&M which can happen here as well. The Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last seven neutral site games as an underdog while the Bulldogs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as a favorite. 9* (382) Georgia Bulldogs |
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11-07-20 | Maryland +25 v. Penn State | 35-19 | Win | 100 | 51 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. After getting blown out in its opener against Northwestern, Maryland bounced back with an overtime win over Minnesota last week, outgaining the Gophers by 224 total yards. That was a big confident-boosting win for the Terrapins and they are catching an even bigger number this week. Quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa went 26 for 35 for 394 yards and three touchdowns. Penn St. lost its opening game in overtime against Indiana and then got blasted by Ohio St., getting outgained by 201 total yards. The mindset of the Nittany Lions has to be in question as they are out of contention already for the Big Ten Championship and any sort of big bowl game. Penn St. is 3-17 ATS in its last 20 games coming off a loss while going 0-8 ATS in its last eight home games coming off a home loss. Here, we play against home teams with two teams at -0.75 or worse tpg, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (343) Maryland Terrapins |
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11-07-20 | Houston +13.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Saturday AAC Game of the Year. Houston got blasted at UCF last week 44-21 as it was outgained by 247 total yards. That will not instill a lot of confidence on the Cougars but they are in a great spot while catching a huge number. Houston is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games as a double-digit underdog including 8-1 ATS when sitting at .500 or better. After crushing a good SMU team, Cincinnati exacted a measure of revenge against Memphis last Saturday, rolling to a 49-10 victory over the Tigers. Memphis handed the Bearcats a pair of losses last season, including a 29-24 decision in the AAC Championship one week after beating Cincinnati in the season finale. The Bearcats defense is excellent as they are No. 18 overall and No. 8 in scoring defense and this is by far their strength but Houston does possess a solid offense even without receiver Marquez Stevenson. Cincinnati has put together two straight near perfect games so putting up another one is a stretch in what clearly is a letdown situation. 10* (327) Houston Cougars |
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11-07-20 | Michigan State v. Iowa -6.5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 47 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We lost with Iowa last week as it was unable to hold on to a 17-0 lead after the first quarter as the Hawkeyes managed just three points in the last three quarters. This came after a loss to Purdue in its season opener and Iowa had not lost its first two games since the 2000 season. The two losses have been by a combined five points and the Hawkeyes won the yardage battle in both games. Iowa is 18-9-1 ATS in its last 28 games coming off a loss as a favorite. Michigan St. is coming off a huge upset over rival Michigan as it won 27-24. This came after a clunker where the Spartans lost to Rutgers at home by 11 points no thanks to having seven turnovers. Because of that victory coupled with the Iowa losses, this line is filled with value as the Spartans were getting three touchdowns last week and that has been cut by two touchdowns. The Spartans are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 9* (350) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State +3 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. BYU comes in with a perfect 7-0 record, winning all but one of its games by double digits. This will be the biggest test to date however even though Boise St. has played just two games. BYU did not practice on Sunday, per its own rules, and by NCAA dictates could not practice on Tuesday so that means BYU had and has three days to get ready. Boise has already disassembled Utah St. and Air Force, taking those victories with the same ease and comfort the Cougars have taken theirs. While Zach Wilson is having a fantastic season as the BYU quarterback, the Boise St. pass defense has been solid so far, allowing just 80.5 ypg which is No. 1 in the country. Boise St. is 7-3 all-time against BYU, including an unblemished 5-0 record on the blue turf at Albertsons Stadium and the Broncos will be playing with revenge following a 28-25 loss at BYU last season as a touchdown favorite. Boise St. is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 home games after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival while the Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home underdogs after scoring 42 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 60-27 ATS (69 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) Boise St. Broncos |
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11-05-20 | Wyoming v. Colorado State +3.5 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Colorado St. is coming off a 21-point loss despite getting outgained by just 60 total yards. As the teams get ready for the 112th rendition of the Border War, the Rams are deciding between two quarterbacks as coach Steve Addazio said he has already decided on a starter between Patrick O’Brien and Todd Centeio, but it is not being made public and that is a big disadvantage for the Wyoming defense in preparation for this one. Achieving a balance between the two could undoubtedly pay dividends against Wyoming especially given the difficulty of devising a sound multi-quarterback game plan for opposing defenses. Colorado St. will get back one of its more explosive athletes in receiver/kick returner Dante Wright, who was not available for the opener. Aside from a couple of substantial bursts from Ronnie Rivers, Colorado St. contained the Fresno St. rushing attack to an encouraging extent upon holding the Bulldogs to a mere two ypc on 43 attempts. The Rams are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game while going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. 10* (306) Colorado St. Rams |
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11-05-20 | Packers -5.5 v. 49ers | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Packers are coming off a loss against Minnesota despite outgaining the Vikings by 76 total yards as they were killed by Dalvin Cook and his 226 total yards and four touchdowns. Green Bay is thin at running back so the passing game and Aaron Rodgers will be big as usual. Davante Adams has been terrorizing secondaries since returning from a hamstring injury that sidelined him for two and a half games as he has 20 catches for 249 yards and five touchdowns in the last two games, including three against the Vikings Sunday. The offensive line remains outstanding as they have given up just eight sacks this season, the third-fewest in the league. Making it even more impressive is that All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari has missed the last two games but has a good chance to be back on Thursday. The 49ers injuries continue to mount up as Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle are both back on the injury list. The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Green Bay Packers |
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11-04-20 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois +13.5 | Top | 49-30 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Northern Illinois opens the season at home and as a significant underdog with a lot of this based on the results from last season. While the Huskies lost Tre Harbison, their leading rusher in 2019, they return quarterback Ross Bowers, who threw for 2,130 yards on 166-for-287 passing last season, and averaged 236.7 yards per game while throwing for at least 200 yards in seven of the nine games in which he played. With a multi-dimensional offense, playmaking at both running back and wide receiver, and a strong-armed quarterback, Northern Illinois distinguishes itself positively from Bulls offense. Buffalo comes into this season with high expectations as they finished with the best overall record in the MAC last season but 8-5 overall is nothing to get overly excited about. Buffalo has no clear starting quarterback as it took almost up to game time to name the starter. This is a run first team and the Huskies front seven has the capability to slow them down as the passing attack will not be able to take over. Northern Illinois is 5-0 ATS as home underdogs in MAC games over the last two seasons. 10* (294) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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11-02-20 | Bucs v. Giants +13 | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South standings thanks to a 5-2 record and come in with a two-game winning streak. They are laying a big number here which is no surprise but this is a tough test based on the situation. This will be the Buccaneers third road game over the last four weeks in a stretch that featured games against the Bears and Packers. Also, there is a massive look-ahead factor with a home game against the Saints coming up, a team they lost to back in Week One. The Giants have had extra time to prepare for this one following a tough loss against the Eagles last Thursday after blowing a 22-10 lead. The defense does not get enough credit for what it has done, limiting four teams to 24 points or less. The Buccaneers are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (274) New York Giants |
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11-01-20 | Cowboys +9 v. Eagles | 9-23 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The Cowboys struggles are well known as they fell to 2-5 following their second straight blowout loss in which they lost their second quarterback with Andy Dalton nearly getting his head taken off. He is questionable and if Dalton is out Sunday, Ben DiNucci is slated to be the starter which does not inspire a ton of confidence but that has been taken into consideration in this line. Dallas has not covered a single spread this season, going 0-7 ATS and that is putting the majority of money on the Eagles which makes this the perfect contrarian situation. Ezekiel Elliott still does not have a 100-yard outing and he had never gone more than two games deep in a season without hitting 100 yards. That should change against a bad Philadelphia rushing defense. The Eagles secured their second win of the season in a come-from-behind win over the Giants and while injuries are plaguing the Cowboys, it is not much better for Philadelphia either. The offense has struggled behind a busted up offensive line as they are ranked No. 25 overall and No. 24 in scoring. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are being outscored by opponents by seven or more ppg, after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 122-66 ATS (64.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (271) Dallas Cowboys |
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11-01-20 | 49ers v. Seahawks -3 | 27-37 | Win | 106 | 73 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Seattle is coming off its first loss of the season as it lost in overtime against Arizona despite outgaining the Cardinals by 53 total yards. The offense racked up 572 yards of total offense but the defense let the Seahawks down and it was the first time that it bit them. They return home where they are 3-0 but a play in each of those games going against them could make them 0-3 as they were outgained in all three of those games. The historically bad defense has caught up with the lines as this number has been bet down from an opening of five to its current number. The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game. San Francisco has won two straight games but this remains banged up as the injury list is significant. Last week they outgained New England by 226 total yards and the 33-6 defeat was the worst home loss for the Patriots ever under Bill Belichick and that is certainly playing a part with this number as well. San Francisco is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games after allowing six points or less last game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing six points or less last game going up against an opponent after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (270) Seattle Seahawks |