Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The series heads back to Milwaukee for Game Five as the home team has held serve through the first four games. Milwaukee has been a force on home court during the postseason, winning straight up and ATS in six of seven, including five victories by 21 or more points. While momentum may have shifted, we feel the Bucks swing it back their way tonight. Two factors led to the Raptors tying this series up in Game Four and the Bucks need to reverse both. The Milwaukee bench outscored Toronto 130-78 through the first three games of the series but it was the Raptors bench, Norman Powell scoring 18 points, Serge Ibaka adding 17 points and Fred VanVleet tossing in 13 points, that decided Game Four and it will be up to the Bucks reserves to get back to the way they were in the first two games. Second, Game Four was the Bucks worst defensive game (120 points allowed on 96 possessions) of the postseason, and that was the focus of head coach Mike Budenholzer's frustration Tuesday night. The league's No. 1 defense simply cannot have the same kinds of breakdowns going forward. Milwaukee is 16-3 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite this season and here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Milwaukee Bucks |
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05-21-19 | Bucks -2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 102-120 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We had Toronto in Game Three and it was a fortunate cover that took double-overtime to complete and that only proved that the Bucks are dominating the postseason for a reason. Milwaukee could be ahead 3-0 if it had shot better than 14-44 from three-point range. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 12 points, his worst scoring night in four months, on 5-16 shooting, with eight turnovers. He was still just one of only two starters that finished on the plus side as his numbers were actually better than Kris Middleton and Eric Bledsoe who both went 3-16 from the floor, including 1-6 from long range and had a combined eight assists against eight turnovers. The Bucks have to remain positive as their best player had an off night and a lot went wrong at both ends of the court and they still had a win well within their reach. They have been in this position 23 times this season and they are 22-1 following a loss while going 19-4 against the number. Shockingly, that one loss came against Phoenix of all teams but there was no Middleton at the time and 17 of those wins came by double-digits. Included in that record is a 12-2 ATS mark coming off a road loss. 10* (503) Milwaukee Bucks |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers +3.5 | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Portland is facing elimination and with its back against the wall at home, we should see a big rebound tonight. The Blazers blew an 18-point lead in Game Three, eventually losing by 11 points and are down 3-0 in the series and no team in NBA history has lost the first three games of a playoff series and come back to win which is the big reason they have gone from a 2.5-point favorite to a 3.5-point underdog one game later. The one thing Portland needs to avoid one bad period. In all three games this series the Warriors have had a dominating quarter where they scored at least 15 points more than the Blazers. Most games between two quality opponents have some ebbs and flows, but a 15-point differential in a single quarter is just too much. The Blazers missed 13 free throws in Game Three on top of it, making just 20 of 33. Playing without Kevin Durant and DeMarcus Cousins seems like the sort of factor that would have extended the series, but instead it has served as a rallying cry of sorts for the remaining Warriors. However, Golden St. will be without Andre Iguodala tonight which puts its limited depth in question yet again. Here ,we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 43.5 and 45.percent shooting, after three straight games allowing 47 percent shooting or higher. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (502) Portland Trail Blazers |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Like Portland, Toronto is in must win mode after falling behind 2-0 in this series but after the Blazers blew an 18-point lead, we do not expect a repeat from the Raptors. Toronto is 37-11 at home and feasibly could have this series tied and home court advantage on its side. The Bucks, showing rust after a week off, needed a fourth-quarter surge to win Game One 108-100 on Wednesday. In Game Two on Friday, they dominated from the tip in a 125-103 victory to take a 2-0 series lead. The Raptors, after trailing by 28 points Friday, made a push to draw to within 13 in the third quarter and that was encouraging to see while the game was thought to be over. For the Bucks, the Friday victory continues a dominating run through the postseason, lifting them to 10-1 SU and ATS so far in the playoffs and with Milwaukee being the underdog, the public is all over the Bucks. Toronto 10-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games this season while Milwaukee is 7-21 ATS in its last 28 games off three or more consecutive home wins. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Toronto Raptors |
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05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -2 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We have been on Portland the first two games of this series and the Blazers head home in what should be a tied series as they gave Game Two away to the Warriors. If Golden St. can secure a split here, this series is likely over and it is up to the Blazers to keep hope alive after Game Three which is typically the time that home teams do respond after losing the first two games on the road. This is a pretty big deal in Portland tonight as Game Three will be the first conference final game in Portland since 2000. The Blazers lost that series to the eventual champion Los Angeles Lakers in seven games. Golden St. overcame a 15-point deficit at halftime, which was the second-largest comeback in postseason franchise history so there has to be some letdown coming from that as the Warriors hit the road where they are 4-2 in the postseason but could easily be 2-4. The Blazers tied for the third best home record in the NBA during the regular season while going 5-1 in the postseason and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Golden St. is 9-21 ATS in its last 30 games off two or more consecutive home wins and here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 90-46 ATS (66.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (548) Portland Trail Blazers |
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05-17-19 | Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 103-125 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We won with Milwaukee in Game One as it overcame a deficit most of the game with a big fourth quarter to take the series opener. Toronto got 14 of its 17 points in the fourth quarter from Kyle Lowry as the rest of the team was 0-15 from the floor and that was the big difference as the Raptors actually held the lead with three and a half minutes left. Another significant part was the play of Brook Lopez for the Bucks as he scored a playoff-career-best 29 points and grabbed 11 rebounds. To put that into perspective, he had scored a total of 27 points in his previous five games combined. Do not expect a repeat performance.. Toronto has to knock down some shots from deep as after going 10-22 in the first half, it was just 5-20 in the second half but the opportunities will be there considering no team gave up more three-point attempts per game than the Bucks this season. While the offense has struggled, fortunately for the Raptors, they have also proven largely effective at containing opposing shooters when playing on the road, allowing just 101 ppg over their past seven games. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage of .750 or better when leading in a playoff series, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .750. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (545) Toronto Raptors |
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05-16-19 | Blazers +7.5 v. Warriors | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. We lost with Portland in Game One as it could not have played worse but was not out of it until late. Portland went 7-28 from long range while committing 21 turnovers yet the Blazers were still in this game leading up to the final quarter and we can expect a much better performance tonight. The backcourt of the Blazers was horrible as both Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum both struggled which has been atypical this postseason as one or the other has picked up the slack if the other has been struggling. Lillard scored 19 points on just 4 of 12 shooting while McCollum was only 7 of 19 from the floor and scored 17 points. A lot of the poor play on both ends of the floor can be blamed on the quick turnaround from the seven-game series against Denver while Golden St. enjoyed an extra two days off. Now, the time off is back even and do not foresee the Warriors hitting 51.5 percent from long range once again. But this is not the first time the Blazers, who lost Game One to the Nuggets in the conference semifinals, have been in this position as they rebounded to win Game Two. Portland is 8-0 ATS revenging a road loss of 10 points or more this season while Golden St. is 9-19 ATS after a win by 15 points or more this season. 10* (543) Portland Trail Blazers |
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05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Toronto hits the court after just two days off from its last second miracle win over Philadelphia that looked destined to go to overtime. The Raptors won the final four games against Orlando in the opening round but struggled to put the Sixers away in the 336 minutes played and now they face a tougher challenge. Milwaukee took three of four games against the Raptors during the regular season and are now playing at a higher level. Only one of the Bucks nine games (Game 3 in Boston) has been within five points in the last five minutes, though that was only when the Celtics got to within five with just 11 seconds left. Seven of their eight wins have been by double-digits and five of the eight have been by 21 points or more. Milwaukee's reserves remained significant as it breezed through its first two playoff rounds, but Toronto has had limited contributions from its backups. By relying so heavily on a shortened rotation in a grueling series with the Sixers, the Raptors might show some fatigue here. The Bucks, meanwhile, not only have had a week off, but have confidence in their reserves. Here, we play on home favorites that are averaging 83 or more shots per game on the season, after allowing opponent to shoot 35 percent or less. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (532) Milwaukee Bucks |
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05-12-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Philadelphia avoided elimination with an 11-point win over Toronto on Thursday to force a Game Seven and while the majority will be on the Raptors, this has the makings of a classic Game Seven which gives the value to the Sixers and the big number. Philadelphia did win here once in the series and while it was blown out in the other two games, a healthy Joel Embiid will make a difference from those two games. He is coming off his best game of the series and while his stat line looked average, in the 35 minutes he was on the floor, he had a plus-minus rating of +40, which means that the Sixers outscored the Raptors by 40 points with him patrolling the paint. His defensive presence goes a long way. Both teams might play seven-man rotations, with the schedule, two full days off between Games Six and Seven, and then two full days off before Game One of the conference finals, allowing the starters to play extended minutes and this should favor the Sixers. Toronto 4-15 ATS in its last 19 home games revenging a loss of 10 points or more while the Sixers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (521) Philadelphia 76ers |
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05-10-19 | Warriors +7.5 v. Rockets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. This line is a big overreaction to the Kevin Durant injury as Golden St. is the biggest underdog it has been in a long time. How long? The 7.5 number is the largest Golden St. has seen with Steph Curry in the lineup and Steve Kerr as head coach ever, a span of 440 games dating back to 2014, including the postseason. This is a very interesting scenario with Durant on the sidelines as the perception is that the Warriors are not as good without him and while that may be the case on paper based on who he is and what he brings on a nightly basis, the Warriors are 26-1 in their last 27 games when Curry plays but Durant does not. That is not a knock on Durant by any means but it is just the way Golden St. adjusts when he is not on the floor. The Warriors bench is thin and that is the only difference between now and the team before Durant even arrived, the one that won 73 regular season games and were a layup away from two NBA Championships. Obviously, Houston has a shot to extend this series to it length but there is too much value in this line to not consider the Warriors covering and even winning outright. Here, we play against teams off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. this situation is 99-44 ATS (69.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (519) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-08-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -6 | Top | 99-104 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The series heads back to Golden St. tied at 2-2 with the home team winning each of the first four games. All have been close however as the biggest win came by six points which has been good for Houston bettors as the Rockets have covered three of the last four games. While many will feel that the close margins of victory will continue, we could see our first relatively easy cover for the Warriors tonight. One way to back this is simply looking at the last game where Golden St. played a horrible game based on efficiency, got nothing from Klay Thompson or Andre Iguodala and nothing from the bench yet had to shots to tie the game late. If the Warriors play the way they are capable of and get even normal production from the key pieces, they win easy and that is what is predicted tonight. Expect Golden St. to be more physical as it is no secret it has been getting pushed around and even head Steve Kerr called his team out on that. The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games playing on one day of rest while the Warriors are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 64-28 ATS (69.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Denver opened this series with a win but then lost the next two games including that epic four overtime loss in Portland before winning on Sunday to tie it up and regain home court advantage. Despite a loss here in Game Two, the Nuggets are 38-9 at home as they look to carry the momentum over and Denver is 18-5 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season. The Blazers had won 12 consecutive games at home, including four in the playoffs, before the loss on Sunday. They effectively lost Game 4 in the third quarter, when they made just 5 of 18 shots, committed seven turnovers and scored 14 points. Portland is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 road games after failing to cover five or six of their last seven games against the spread over the last three seasons. Here, we paly against road underdogs against division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. This situation is 25-8 ATS (75.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Denver Nuggets |
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05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -1.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Boston was able to snag the first game of this series but the Bucks have won the last two games to regain home court advantage and they have a chance to take a commanding 3-1 lead with a win but the Celtics get it done at home tonight. Giannis Antetokounmpo nearly collected a triple-double with 32 points, 13 rebounds and eight assists and Boston needs to limit his trips to the line as he went to the stripe 22 times, becoming just the sixth player this decade to attempt at least 22 free throws in a playoff game. Another huge factor for the Celtics is that Marcus Smart could return tonight after missing the last month as he has been cleared for full contract practice and is hopeful of playing tonight. Despite the Game Three loss, the Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset loss as a favorite, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 90-53 ATS (62.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (502) Boston Celtics |
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05-03-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers -4 | Top | 137-140 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Which Denver team shows up tonight? The Nuggets shot 50.6 percent from the field and 41.4 percent from three-point range in Game One but they hit just 34.7 percent (34-for-98) from the field, 20.7 percent from three-point range (6-for-29) and 61.5 percent from the foul line (16-for-26) in Game Two. We are thinking somewhere in-between and maybe shying toward Game Two as the Nuggets are a much different team on the road as they come in with a 21-23 record. Portland was able to steal home court advantage with the Game Two victory despite guard Damian Lillard being held to season playoff lows in points (14) and assists (four) on Wednesday. That is a telling sign as the Blazers showed that they are capable of winning other ways as they had five other players score in double-figures while stepping up defensively. This should not come as a surprise as the Blazers were ranked ninth in the NBA in effective field goal shooting defense during the regular season. The Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Blazers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road underdogs against division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (588) Portland Trail Blazers |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Philadelphia stole Game Two of this series to gain home court advantage and it has still not gotten a top effort from Ben Simmons or Joel Embiid which is actually a good sign at this stage with this series being tied. The fact the Sixers are a home underdog here is surprising based on the venue change and what the lines were in Toronto but it is clear that the linesmakers are expecting more Raptors action tonight but we are not buying into that. The Sixers are 33-11 at home which have included two blowout wins over the Nets in their last two games and while the Nets are not on the same level as the Raptors, Philadelphia cannot be taken lightly on its home floor. The Sixers defense was shaky in Game One but terrific in Game Two as they held the Raptors to 36.7 percent shooting, including 27 percent from long range. The return of Mike Scott is actually a big deal tonight as he is a 3-and-D combo forward capable of covering opposing players 2-4 while even being able to play some small ball center. The Game Three winner in a series that is tied 1-1 has gone on to win the series 74 percent of the time which shows how important winning one of those first two games on the road is. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg, after scoring 90 points or less. This situation is 46-21 ATS (68.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (582) Philadelphia 76ers |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Denver took Game One of this series thanks to a huge effort from Nikola Jokic but it also got huge efforts from Jamal Murray and Paul Millsap to improve to 38-8 at home and it rolls into Game Two laying another short price. One of the most important playoff lessons the Nuggets learned was how difficult a series can be after giving up home court advantage. Denver losing Game One to San Antonio put them behind the eight ball until Game Four when they stole it back in a road victory so they know they cannot give this one up. Expect Millsap and Jokic to again have big performances against Portland due to the makeup of the Blazers frontcourt and if they choose to double-team Jokic, it would open up more looks from deep for the Denver backcourt. Damien Lillard has shown in the past he can take over a game as witnessed by his 50-point effort against the Thunder in the series clinching five-point win but he can not do it alone against a team as deep and balanced as Denver. He scored 39 points in Game One but only Enos Kanter had more than 17 points for the Blazers. Denver is 18-4 ATS in 22 home games after a game where they covered the spread this season. The Blazers meanwhile are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (578) Denver Nuggets |
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04-30-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. We lost with Golden St. on Sunday as it won Game One but failed to cover the number despite outshooting the Rockets 50.7 percent to 41.9 percent. The postgame, and going into Monday, was the lack of calls for the Rockets, namely James Harden and while some think those could be made up tonight, that will not be the case as the postseason is a big difference for those marginal calls. The main reason the Warriors were unable to pull away on Sunday was due to their 20 turnovers which is close to seven more than its season average so taking better care of the ball is imperative. The Warriors committed 10 turnovers in the first 16 minutes, giving Houston 10 points. Even with so many empty possessions, they had a three-point lead which tells a lot. Additionally, Golden St. was third best in the league during the regular season in long range shooting but went just 7-22 (31.8 percent) from behind the arc so those two small areas can turn a four-point win into a blowout victory. As can better games from two of its stars that seemed their ankle issues slowed them down. Steph Curry struggled all game (3-of-10 on three-pointers with 18 points) as did Klay Thompson (13 points on 5-of-13 shooting) and both of those lines can be considered outliers. Here, we play against underdogs off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation 57-15 ATS (79.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (574) Golden St. Warriors |
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04-28-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 100-104 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Golden St. showed what it is capable of with its Game Six win over the Clippers and as long as this team is focused, there is no stopping it. That can be said about every NBA team but the Warriors are on a different level and after going seven games with Houston last season, they will be coming out firing today to open this series. Additionally, with Houston winning both regular season games here, there will be a greater sense of urgency. Surprisingly this postseason, the Warriors have lost more home games (they were 1-2 at home in the first round) than they lost in the last two postseasons combined (19-1) but they can blame this year on complacency rather than focus. Against Utah, the Rockets allowed the Jazz to take wide open threes and hoped that they would not be able to hit them which they did not and they cannot take that chance here. Utah took 77.5 percent of their shots from the restricted area or three-point range, the second-highest rate in the postseason and only slightly lower than that of the Rockets (77.7 percent) and against Golden St. that is not an option. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (that are shooting 48 percent or better on the season, after two straight games making nine or more three-point shots. This situation is 84-58 ATS (60 percent) since 1996. 10* (556) Golden St. Warriors |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 86-90 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We won with San Antonio on Thursday as it staved off elimination with a dominant home win by 17 points by pulling away in the fourth quarter. It was during the beginning of that final period, when Nikola Jokic was on the bench, that the Spurs extended their lead with a massive 22-4 run. The Spurs shot 57.1 percent from the floor but despite that, they were outscored 72-36 in the paint and that is where the Nuggets can once again take advantage on their home floor. It is hard to go against the experience of the Spurs as they have dominated the postseason for two decades however, there are hardly any remnants from those teams on the current roster. San Antonio is only the sixth No. 7 seed in NBA history to force a Game Seven against a No. 2 seed, and only five times has a No. 7 seed beaten a No. 2 seed in a first round match-up. Denver has responded well to must-win situations at every turn in this series as it has won by nine and 14 points following the first two losses. If nothing else, their NBA best 36-8 home record should afford them some measure of comfort in what will be an unprecedented environment. Denver is 12-4 ATS in home games revenging a loss this season while the Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. 10* (542) Denver Nuggets |
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04-26-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +10 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We won with the Clippers in Game Five in Golden St. as they won outright to send the series back to Los Angeles and we are backing them again behind another huge number. Based on the venue change, this number should be no more than 8.5 but because it is the Warriors, and coming off a loss, the spread is inflated once again. The Clippers have scored 135 and 129 points the last two games at Golden St. but managed only 105 points in the two games at home and that cannot happen again. Los Angeles was far more reserved after its latest win at Golden St.. The Clippers are plenty aware that they shot 56.5 percent from the floor in Game Two, only to turn around and shoot 37.2 percent in Game Three. Now, after shooting 54.1 percent in Game Five, they are fully aware they cannot have a similar regression. Golden St. is 9-22 ATS after failing to cover four or five of their last six games against the spread this season while the Clippers are 29-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or more five straight games this season. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 39-20 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (534) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Denver has a chance to end this series tonight and while it comes in with big momentum, things will not be easy. The Spurs are a very good home team with a 33-10 overall record and have lost in San Antonio twice in a row only once this season. They are hungry and desperate after two shellackings at the hands of the Nuggets that has put Denver ahead 3-2 in the series. The Spurs are obviously in must win mode and they are 24-5 ATS revenging a road loss this season. The Nuggets would love nothing more than to end this series early so they can rest a little bit extra and while they are the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference, their 20-21 road record was second worst of all Western Conference playoff teams. The Nuggets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games playing with one day of rest while going 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games after a game where they covered the spread this season. 10* (526) San Antonio Spurs |
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04-24-19 | Clippers +14 v. Warriors | Top | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The Clippers put up a good effort in Game Four but eventually lost by eight points and now their backs are really against the wall down 3-1 in this series. Los Angeles stole one here in Game Two and there is no reason to believe it cannot steal another one although our main concern is staying within this huge number. The Clippers got a poor effort from Lou Williams in Game Four as he scored just 12 points off the bench on 2-10 shooting and they need a bigger effort from him tonight. the Clippers are 28-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or more in five straight games this season. The Warriors would like to close this series out to that added rest similar to Philadelphia last night although we hardly see a dominating effort like that one. This is the most vulnerable Golden St. team we have seen since the dynasty began and while they can flip the switch at any given moment, they can also go into a funk at any given moment. The Warriors are 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 home games. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10 or more points playing with double revenge, against opponent off a road win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 97-56 ATS (63.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (515) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-23-19 | Nets v. 76ers -8.5 | Top | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. After losing the opener of this series, Philadelphia has won the last three games to take control and this is a big game to seize as the Sixers need the same time off as the Raptors which also play tonight and can close out Orlando. They needed a comeback against Brooklyn in Game Four as they outscored the Nets by 10 points in the fourth quarter but the two games prior to that resulted in wins by 22 and 16 points and that is what we expect tonight as long as the Sixers show up, they are capable of another blowout victory. One of the reasons Philadelphia enjoys a 3-1 lead against the Nets is the exceptional defense the team has played on D'Angelo Russell and the Sixers should be able to continue that heading home where they are 32-11 while the Nets, despite the Game One win, are three games under .500 on the road. Additionally, Philadelphia is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 home games after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games while the Nets are now 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (508) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-22-19 | Bucks v. Pistons +13 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. This series is a good as over but the Pistons will be playing for pride as they have lost all seven meetings this season including the first three in this series that have come by an average of 24 ppg. While the Bucks will be looking to end their streak of eight straight first-round exits there is a little more embarrassment for the Pistons to remove as they have lost 13 consecutive playoff games, tied for the longest streak in NBA postseason history. Power forward Blake Griffin made his debut in the series after sitting out the first two games with a sore left knee. He toughed it out for 31 minutes and posted 27 points, seven rebounds and six assists. His teammates let him down, as Detroit shot below 40 percent for the third straight game. The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points revenging two straight losses of 10 points or more, off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival. This situation is 55-24 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (574) Detroit Pistons |
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04-21-19 | Blazers v. Thunder -5.5 | Top | 111-98 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. After losing the first two games in this series, Oklahoma City got one back on Friday and definitely needs to take Game Four before heading back to Portland. The Thunder won despite a horrible shooting night from Paul George who went just 3-16 from the floor including 2-7 from long range so that is actually a good edge for tonight as he likely will not be as bad. The Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games while the Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home win by 10 points or more, playing a winning team. This situation is 41-14 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (572) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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04-20-19 | Rockets v. Jazz -2.5 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We played on Utah in Game Two on Wednesday but a horrible start cost the Jazz as they fell behind by 20 points after the first quarter and never led the entire game. They shot just 21.1 percent from long range and that was also the problem in Game One where they shot only 25.9 percent from behind the arc. A return home should get Utah back in gear where it is 29-12 on the season. Houston has kept Donovan Mitchell from making plays as he is shooting only 32.4 percent from the floor including going just 4-15 from three-point range. Houston is 0-7 ATS in road games after leading their last two games by 10 or more points at the half this season while the Jazz are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 53-21 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Utah Jazz |
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04-19-19 | Celtics v. Pacers -2.5 | Top | 104-96 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Pacers need a win tonight to avoid a 3-0 series disadvantage and heading home will help them. Indiana held a lead late in Game Two but went scoreless for nearly eight full minutes in the fourth quarter, a stretch during which the Celtics scored 16 straight points to flip an 82-70 deficit into a four-point lead. The Pacers are 29-12 at home and this is their first home game in close to two weeks. Going back the Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Boston is just 21-20 on the road and this is a tough spot to be in which is similar to last postseason when it won the first two games in its opening series against Milwaukee only to hit the road and lose by 24 points in Game Three. The Pacers have another intangible edge as Victor Oladipo is expected to attend Game Three, marking his first public appearance in Bankers Life Fieldhouse since he ruptured his quad tendon. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3 off two or more consecutive road losses, playing a winning team. This situation is 86-45 ATS (65.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (554) Indiana Pacers |
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04-17-19 | Pistons +15 v. Bucks | Top | 99-120 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with the Clippers on Monday as it was coming off a blowout loss against Golden St. in Game One and we will be backing the Pistons in a similar situation tonight. Detroit lost by 35 points on Sunday in a game it never led and trailed by an many as 43 points and the situation here is similar to that of the Clippers in that they are getting the same amount of points in Game Two. The defensive intensity was bad on Sunday as the Pistons were not getting back on defense, which made for some easy baskets so they have to shore that up tonight. They fell behind 20-4 because of that lack of intensity and after returning home and watching the film, head coach Dwane Casey said many adjustments will be made. The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on two days of rest while the Bucks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points that are outscoring their opponents by nine or more ppg going up against an opponent after scoring 90 points or less. This situation is 106-57 ATS (65 percent) since 1996. 10* (539) Detroit Pistons |
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04-16-19 | Thunder +2 v. Blazers | Top | 94-114 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Oklahoma City finds itself in a hole after Game One as it led only once and fell behind by 14 points after one quarter and was unable to make a late rally. The Thunder shot 39.8 percent as a team and were only 5 for 33 from the three-point line which is surprising against a Portland defense that is ranked a below average No. 17 in defensive efficiency. Despite their issues, the Thunder were down just 93-92 with 2:44 remaining in regulation so any average shooting night can even this series heading back to Oklahoma City. One of the main problems was Paul George who after averaging 38 ppg and hitting 45.9 percent from long range on nearly 10 attempts against the Blazers during the regular season, he scored just 26 points, including going 4-15 from behind the arc. The Oklahoma City defense resulted in the Blazers making 12-20 shots (60 percent) overall and 7-10 three-pointers (70 percent) from the floor in the first quarter which was the ultimate difference. Here, we play on road underdogs after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after three straight wins by six points or less. This situation is 35-9 (79.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (535) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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04-15-19 | Clippers +13.5 v. Warriors | Top | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Golden St. is clearly the top team in the NBA and it went into playoff mode on Saturday by putting away the Clippers by 17 points in a game it trailed by just three points at one time. The Warriors are now favored by the same amount in Game Two which is a little surprising based on the bounce angle where bettors take the opposing team from the Game One cover but the dominance of Golden St. balances that out with the spread. It is tough in this league to put together back-to-back performances like that, even with the Warriors as last postseason after dominating Game One wins over New Orleans and Houston, they struggled in Game Two. Los Angeles held its own for a while as the game was tied at 51 before Golden St. pulled away so it can certainly hang and needs to as even a small loss can give the Clippers some hope and momentum heading back home. The Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Clippers are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games after allowing 105 points or more five straight games this season. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, playing only their 2nd game in five days. This situation is 131-77 (63 percent) since 1996. 10* (523) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-14-19 | Jazz +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 90-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Utah is expected to be another tough out in the playoffs as its defense should be able to go toe-to-toe with the Rockets. The Jazz have ranked in the top three in defensive efficiency each of the last three seasons and they were one of two teams that allowed fewer than 10 three-pointers per game this season. The Jazz and Rockets ranked fourth and fifth, respectively, in point differential per 100 possessions. They were the league's two best teams in that regard after the All-Star break. Utah cannot be discounted on offense however is it scored 6.0 more points per 100 possessions after the All-Star break (114.4, fourth in the league) than they did before the break (108.4, 19th). That was the league's biggest post-break, OffRtg improvement. Utah is 21-9 ATS after one or more consecutive losses this season while the Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games playing on three or more days rest. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season that are averaging 102 or more ppg against allowing 102 or more ppg, after scoring 110 points or more three straight games. This situation is 152-96 ATS (61.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (517) Utah Jazz |
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04-13-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 101-96 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. This is a statement game for Denver as it is getting crushed by the media despite finishing second in the Western Conference, just three games behind Golden St. The Nuggets finished 34-7 at home which was the best home record in the NBA and they get a good matchup in the first round against the Spurs whose 16-25 road record is the second worst of the 16 playoff teams, one win better than Detroit. The home and road defensive splits for the Spurs are not pretty. They gave up 106.7 points per 100 possessions, which was the 10th ranked home mark in the entire league and would have been good for 6th across the entire season. Their performance on the road, however, was another story. For some reason, they were unable to bring the focus and desire they showed at home on the road, allowing 114.3 points per 100 possessions. That 7.6 drop-off made them the 25th ranked defense on the road. In the first two games they played, Denver was without the services of Paul Millsap, Gary Harris, and Will Barton, three players that make up their current starting lineup. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after three or more consecutive wins, playing a winning team. This situation is 81-46 ATS (63.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Denver Nuggets |
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04-09-19 | Raptors v. Wolves +7 | Top | 120-100 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Raptors have been locked into the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference so there is nowhere to move going into their regular season finale tonight. Toronto is expected to play the starters tonight to avoid any rust in the upcoming playoffs but minutes will be downsized for rest and injury avoidance and we could see a late scratch so getting the big number early could pay off. The Raptors are coming off a win over Miami on Sunday and now they play their final game of the season on the road and going back, the Raptors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Minnesota has had a disaster of a season but most of the damage has come on the road where it is 11-29, the third worst road record in the Western Conference with one game remaining. That makes this the final home game of the season for the Timberwolves where they are a respectable 25-15 and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having won four of their last five games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 116-69 ATS (62.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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04-07-19 | Nets v. Pacers -3.5 | Top | 108-96 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. It is do or die for the Pacers which have to win out and hope the Celtics lose their final two games to secure home court advantage in the first round of the NBA playoffs. A loss against Boston on Friday put Indiana in this tough spot and the good news is that it plays first on Sunday. Indiana currently owns the fifth spot and is one game behind Boston, which hosts Orlando two and a half hours after the tip-off here. If the Celtics and Pacers finish tied, Boston wins the head-to-head tiebreaker because it won three of four meetings. Brooklyn is fighting for its playoff life as it is tied with Orlando for sixth place in the Eastern Conference while sitting a half-game ahead of the Pistons, which they beat in two of three meetings to get the tiebreaker. They are coming off an upset win last night in Milwaukee but the Bucks sat Giannis Antetokounmpo and limited most starters minutes. The Pacers, who have won nine straight over the Nets, 12 of 14 and seven straight at home, are 26-7 ATS in their last 33 games following a double-digit loss at home. Meanwhile, the Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games playing with no rest and they are 0-5 this season in the second of back-to-back road games. 10* (570) Indiana Pacers |
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04-05-19 | Celtics v. Pacers -1 | Top | 117-97 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Friday Star Attraction. While it is not a playoff game just yet, Boston and Indiana are likely to play in the first round of the postseason with home court yet to be determined which makes the game tonight a big one for both sides. Both teams enter with identical 47-32 records, although the Celtics own the tiebreaker by virtue of their 2-1 record against the Pacers this season so there is more desperation for Indiana as a loss here would essentially put them two games back with two games to play. Although a first-round matchup between the teams is not official, neither will finish worse than fifth in the standings, and in order for one team to move into third place, it would have to make up 2.5 games with three to play. The Celtics have won two straight games and four of their last five following a four-game losing streak but they enter tonight a game under .500 on the road. The Pacers have also won two straight games following a home-and-home sweep of the Pistons after a dreadful 1-7 run that knocked them out of third place in the Eastern Conference. Indiana is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 home games revenging a same season loss and here, we play on home favorites after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .501 and .600. This situation is 98-47 ATS (67.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (540) Indiana Pacers |
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04-04-19 | Bucks v. 76ers +5 | Top | 128-122 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. One of the last marquee games of the season takes place Thursday night and this line came out late in most places due to the uncertain status of Jimmy Butler and Joel Embiid. The latter is expected to play after missing tow games to rest a sore knee and Butler rejoined the lineup but could be rested tonight. The only meaningful game remaining on the schedule is the one and it is as close to a dress rehearsal as you can get this time of year so Philadelphia coming in with all of its horses would not be a surprise. The Sixers, with four games left in their season, are 2.5 games ahead of Boston for the third seed in the Eastern Conference. Their 30-9 home record is tied for fifth best in the NBA and going back, Sixers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Milwaukee needs one win to clinch the Eastern Division and with upcoming home games against Brooklyn and Atlanta, winning the conference is pretty much assured. The Bucks won the first meeting at home very early in the season but the Sixers won the second game in Milwaukee two and a half weeks ago with their current roster. Here, we play on home underdogs coming off an upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 38-14 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (526) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-03-19 | Raptors v. Nets +1.5 | Top | 115-105 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Toronto is still mathematically alive for the top seed in the Eastern Conference, it is highly unlikely as it trails Milwaukee by three games with four games so it has to win out while the Bucks have to go 0-4 and the schedules do not set up well for that scenario. The Raptors have done their best with four straight wins but those were against teams on the outside looking in including a pair of wins over Chicago and one over New York, two of the three worst teams in the conference. Toronto is 3-13 ATS after four or more consecutive wins this season. While the Raptors continue tuning up for their sixth consecutive postseason appearance, the Nets are in a scramble to secure one of the final three seeds in the Eastern Conference. The Nets head into tonight a half-game behind sixth-place Detroit, a half-game up on Miami and one game ahead of Orlando. The remainder of the schedule is the toughest in the NBA so every game is huge at this point and there can be no letting up. The Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. Here, we play on home underdogs off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Brooklyn Nets |
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04-02-19 | Hawks v. Spurs -10 | Top | 111-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. All playoff spots in the Western Conference have been filled but positioning is still up in the air and San Antonio has a lot to gain with a big finish. The Spurs are currently tied for seventh place with the Thunder meaning the first round playoff opponent would be wither Golden St. or Denver but moving up to sixth place means playing a depleted Portland team. They trail the Clippers by 2.5 games for that spot but it is doable with an easy schedule to close out the season. San Antonio lost on Sunday at home against Sacramento as a double-digit favorite and going back, it is 21-7 ATS in its last 28 games coming off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more. Atlanta pulled off the upset against Milwaukee at home on Sunday in overtime but the Bucks sat everyone with no starter playing a single minute. The Hawks are just 12-26 on the road and are likely to be without leading scorer and rebounder John Collins as he is expected to so sit. 10* (582) San Antonio Spurs |
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04-01-19 | Pistons v. Pacers -5 | Top | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. It has been a rough stretch for the Pacers and they have fallen into a tie for fourth place in the Eastern Conference after possessing third place not that long ago. The Pacers finished the month of March 4-10, including a 1-7 mark over the last eight games which includes three straight losses. Indiana lost four straight games after leading scorer Victor Oladipo suffered a ruptured quadriceps tendon in his right knee in late January. The Pacers got over the initial shock of losing him by posting a 9-3 record in February. Indiana is 24-11 ATS in its last 35 games off a home loss. Detroit meanwhile has won two straight games to maintain its spot in 6th place in the Eastern Conference but has no chance to move up. Detroit is 10-23 ATS in its last 33 road games off a home win. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that are between +3 to +7 ppg in scoring differential going up against a team with a +/- 3 ppg in scoring differential, after allowing 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 41-20 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (562) Indiana Pacers |
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03-31-19 | Wizards +11 v. Nuggets | Top | 95-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Denver and Golden St. are tied atop the Western Conference and both teams play Sunday prior to their showdown on Tuesday. While the Warriors host a Hornets team still in playoff contention, the Nuggets play a Wizards team that was eliminated on Thursday so while that may seem to make Denver the obvious play here, that is far from the case with this number being inflated because of it. While Washington has been losing more than it has been winning, of its last 11 losses, only two have been by more points than what they are getting today. Denver is having a fantastic season at home once again and while winning this game is at a premium, there is no reason to go full out with the game against the Warriors upcoming. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points after a loss by six points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 110 points or more. This situation is 57-33 ATS (63.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (555) Washington Wizards |
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03-30-19 | Magic v. Pacers -2.5 | Top | 121-116 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. While Indiana has clinched a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, the Pacers are now sitting in the No. 5 spot following a two-point loss in Boston last night. They can move back into the No. 4 spot with a win here depending what Boston does in Brooklyn and the remainder of the schedule sets up well for them. They are back home for four of their final six games as they look to improve upon their 28-9 record at home and they have dominated the poor teams here, going 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. We played against Orlando on Thursday as it lost in Detroit and while all games are now must wins, this is a team that does not have what it takes down the stretch. The Magic are a half-game behind Miami for the final playoff spot but they are nine games under .500 on the road and have to play four of their final six games on the highway, all against teams fighting for a playoff spot or playoff positioning. This is also a revenge spot for Indiana and it is 16-4 ATS this season in home games revenging a same season loss. 10* (538) Indiana Pacers |
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03-29-19 | Blazers -2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 118-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Atlanta has won three straight and five of its last eight games as it playing out the season looking to build a foundation for next season. The Hawks are playing spoiler at the moment as they have defeated Utah and Philadelphia during the recent streak, hurting their playoff seeding hopes. They will be out to do it again here on Friday and despite the aforementioned victories, Atlanta is just 5-18 on the season against top ten power ranked teams. Atlanta is 12-24 ATS in its last 36 games after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games. Portland has won five straight games and eight of its last nine to remain tied with Houston for third place in the Western Conference. The Blazers are beating the teams they need to as they have not lot to a non-contending playoff team since March 5 and on the season, they are 25-9 against teams outside the top 16 in the power rankings. Portland is 11-1 ATS in 12 games this season following a win by 15 points or more. Here, we play against home underdogs that are averaging 99 or more ppg going up against an opponent after a win by 20 points or more. This situation is 110-67 ATS (62.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (519) Portland Trail Blazers |
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03-28-19 | Magic v. Pistons -3 | Top | 98-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Orlando has won six straight games to overtake Miami for the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference and it has a chance to move up to the No. 7 position with a win tonight. The first five wins came at home and the most recent win at Miami on Tuesday snapped a four-game road losing streak where the Magic are just 14-22 on the season. Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. Detroit is back home following a five-game roadtrip that included a brutal stretch of games against Portland, Golden St. and Denver over the last three. The Pistons have been red hot at home as they have won and covered nine straight games and the streak has not been just against garbage teams as the winning streak includes victories against Toronto twice, Indiana and Denver. This run has put Detroit 10 games over .500 at home and it has been fantastic in this spot on the year, going 25-6 in 31 games as a favorite and going back, the Pistons are 23-14 ATS in 37 games after playing a road game this season. 10* (504) Detroit Pistons |
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03-27-19 | Pacers v. Thunder -6 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with the Pacers on Sunday as they snapped a four-game slide to remain in fourth place in the Eastern Conference with eight games left. The Pacers are back on the road which is not a good thing as Indiana has struggled on the road of late, dropping eight consecutive games away from home. This includes a four-game roadtrip sweep against Western Conference playoff teams and it faces another one tonight and a desperate one at that. The last time Indiana and Oklahoma City met, March 14 in Indianapolis, the Pacers came back after trailing by 19 points midway through the third to beat the Thunder 108-106 on Wesley Matthews' tip-in with 1.8 seconds remaining so revenge is in play tonight. That started a 1-5 slide for the Thunder which have fallen into seventh place in the conference. Indiana is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 road games against teams allowing 106 or more ppg while the Thunder are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games against teams from the NBA Central Division. 10* (576) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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03-26-19 | Magic v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We played against the Magic last night and Philadelphia was in fine shape until the Orlando defense stepped up in the second half, holding the 76ers scoreless for nearly 12 minutes, forcing 15 consecutive missed shots during a 30-5 run. Orlando just finished the first 5-0 home stretch in franchise history and now trails Miami by just a half-game in the race for the eighth and final playoff berth in the Eastern Conference. They now hit the road where they have lost four straight games and are just 13-22 on the season. The Magic are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Miami is coming off a win at Washington and it has won four of its last five games to maintain its lead in the Southeast Division. The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more. This situation is 115-67 ATS (63.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (560) Miami Heat |
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03-25-19 | 76ers -2 v. Magic | Top | 98-119 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. The Sixers are in the drivers seat for third place in the Eastern Conference but it is not over yet. They are 2.5 games ahead of Indiana for fourth place with that spot to face Boston in the first round and that is what Philadelphia wants to avoid. The Sixers are coming off a loss at Atlanta on Saturday which snapped a six-game winning streak and this is a good spot for a bounceback as Philadelphia is 20-5 this season following a loss, covering 16 of those games and this includes an 11-4 ATS mark when the line is -6 or less. Orlando meanwhile has won four straight games to move one game behind Miami for eighth place in the Eastern Conference but being three games under .500 for the season is certainly nothing to be intimidated by. Orlando is just 15-20 against teams ranked within the top 16 of the league in power rankings and going back, the Magic are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games playing with two days of rest. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 15-2 ATS in 17 games this season after failing to cover four or five of their last six against the spread. Here, we play on road favorites after a loss by three points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 105 points or more. This situation is 98-56 ATS (63.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (547) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-24-19 | Nuggets v. Pacers +2 | Top | 88-124 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. This is a contrarian play on Indiana which is riding a four-game losing streak, all coming on the road against Western Conference Playoff teams, but the Pacers remain in fourth place in the Eastern Conference thanks to the rest of conference faltering as well. Indiana is back home where it is 27-9, the sixth best home record in the NBA, and it has covered eight of its last 11 games here. One of those recent road losses came at Denver by a bucket and the Pacers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 home games revenging a same season loss. Denver meanwhile has won six straight games to take over first place in the Western Conference. The last three have come on the road where the Nuggets are just three games over .500 on the season. They are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games after a win by 10 points or more. Here, we play on underdogs in non-conference games, off three or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 57-29 ATS (66.3 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (536) Indiana Pacers |
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03-22-19 | Spurs v. Rockets -6 | Top | 105-111 | Push | 0 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. San Antonio had won nine straight games before losing 110-105 to the Heat on Wednesday and is opening a three-game roadtrip with the Rockets. It was a surprising home loss for the Spurs as they are 29-8 at home and seven of those wins during the streak came there. They are just 13-22 on the road and the two victories were against Dallas and Atlanta, noncontending playoff teams. San Antonio has just three road wins the entire season on the against teams in current playoff positions. The Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. Houston is also coming off a loss last time out as it lost in Memphis in overtime by a point. The Rockets have won seven of their last eight home games, the lone loss coming against Golden St. by a bucket. They are still chasing first and second place in the Western Conference as they are 4.5 games back but they have just a half-game lead over Portland for fourth place. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season with a scoring differential +3 to +7 ppg going up against a team that is +/- 3 ppg in scoring differential, after scoring 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 53-29 ATS (64.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (510) Houston Rockets |
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03-20-19 | Jazz v. Knicks +12.5 | Top | 137-116 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. New York was coming off a last second win over the Lakers on Sunday and to no surprise, the Knicks were unable to keep the momentum going as they were blown out in Toronto the next night. They are back home getting an absurd number and taking nothing away from Utah, but there is no reason it should be laying this price. New York has been a double-digit home underdog only three times this season and those games were against Golden St., Boston and Toronto. New York is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. Utah is riding a four-game winning streak, covering all of those games as well, and currently sitting in a tie for seventh place in the Western Conference. The Jazz have been road favorites in their last four games and 20 times overall on the season and this is the biggest they have been favored by in all of those games. Here, we play on home teams coming off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent after two consecutive covers as a favorite. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) New York Knicks |
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03-19-19 | 76ers v. Hornets +2 | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The Sixers have won four consecutive games, including Sunday's 130-125 victory at Milwaukee in which Joel Embiid scored 40 points, grabbed 15 rebounds and handed out six assists as Philadelphia officially clinched a playoff berth. They will rest him tonight however as they have a game tomorrow at home against Boston. Philadelphia has been inconsistent on the road as it is just one game over .500 and despite Embiid being out, it has gone from road underdog to a road favorite and going back, it is 1-5 ATS in its last six games against teams with a losing straight up record. A 93-75 loss at Miami on Sunday marked a season-low in points for Charlotte as it fell two and a half games behind the Heat for eighth place in the Eastern Conference. The Hornets are 21-14 at home and the value is here based on the fact they have not covered a home game since February 22nd. The Hornets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Here, we play on home underdogs revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road loss scoring less than 80 points. This situation is 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (552) Charlotte Hornets |
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03-18-19 | Nuggets v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 114-105 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. This is a revenge game for Boston and while it was a while back, that is one the Celtics have not forgotten about. Jamal Murray scored 48 points in the Nuggets' 115-107 in Denver on Nov. 5 and jacked up a last-second three-pointer to try to reach 50. Boston guard Kyrie Irving was not happy and threw the basketball into the stands after the buzzer, drawing a fine. Denver hits the road following three straight wins, all at home where they are 30-6, but come in just 16-16 on the road. Denver is 9-21 ATS in its last 30 road games off a home win. After a slump that was questioned by many, Boston has won five of its last six games to move a game behind Indiana for fourth place in the Eastern Conference. The Celtics are 26-10 at home and going back, they are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 games revenging a same season loss. 10* (538) Boston Celtics |
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03-16-19 | Suns v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 138-136 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Both Phoenix and New Orleans are coming off losses last night and we like the Pelicans to bounce back as they remain on their home floor. Anthony Davis sat out Friday's game but is expected to start against the Suns, continuing the trend of playing in just one game in back-to-back sets. Point guard Elfrid Payton has had three consecutive triple doubles, finishing with 14 points, 12 rebounds a career-high 16 assists in a 122-110 home loss to Portland on Friday. Phoenix played a good game last night against Houston as it led pretty much throughout but got outscored by 12 points in he fourth quarter. Phoenix is just 29 when playing with no rest this season including 1-3 in the second of back-to-back road games. The Suns have covered all of those games however, they were getting 13.5, 9.5, 12 and 17 points in those games so this is a whole different scenario. New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage of .250 or worse while going 12-3 ATS off a home loss this season. Here, we play om teams in a game involving two teams averaging 102 or more ppg, after three straight losses by 10 points or more. This situation is 61-36 ATS (62.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) New Orleans Pelicans |
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03-15-19 | Kings v. 76ers -9 | Top | 114-123 | Push | 0 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Friday Supreme Annihilator. Philadelphia fell back into fourth place in the Eastern Conference after Indiana won last night and third place is coveted, especially for the Sixers. The third place team will face Brooklyn, Detroit or Miami in the first round of the playoffs while the fourth place team would face Boston, something the Sixers want to avoid as they do not match up well. When asked if his team had overlooked Sacramento in an earlier 115-108 loss on Feb. 2, and perhaps even in last season's series sweep at the hands of the Kings, head coach Brett Brown insisted only that it surely would not be the case in Friday's rematch. The Kings will be playing the second half of a road back-to-back after a tightly contested 126-120 loss at Boston on Thursday. They have lost two straight games and while the playoffs were once a possibility, those chances are likely gone now as they are five games behind the Clippers. Sacramento is 8-24 ATS in its last 32 road games after two straight losses by six points or less while Philadelphia is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 home games when playing with two days of rest. 10* (574) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-13-19 | Pistons +2 v. Heat | Top | 74-108 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Things did not go right for Detroit on Monday against the Nets. The Pistons were on an offensive roll until they got to New York as they shot a season-worst 27.8 percent from the field and 23.5 percent from three-point range. They trailed by as much as 31 points and got outscored by 30 points in the paint. They are currently sitting in seventh place in the Eastern Conference, trailing the Nets by a half-game, and they are three games up on Miami and win here would move them four up plus the head-to-head series tiebreaker. The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. Miami had its four-game winning streak snapped with a loss against Toronto on Sunday which also snapped a four-game home winning streak. The Heat haven't done a good job of protecting their home court this season as they're just 15-19 at American Airlines Arena, which is the worst home record among playoff contenders, including a 119-96 loss to Detroit on Feb. 23. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half going up against an opponent after scoring 100 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (547) Detroit Pistons |
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03-12-19 | Blazers -2 v. Clippers | Top | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The Clippers have won five straight games while covering their last seven so it is no surprise they are getting the majority of the action tonight as a home underdog. The problems here is the timing of this game as Los Angeles is coming off a game last night, a big win over the Celtics, while the Blazers have been off since Saturday. The Clippers are now 20-12 at home which is the worst home record of all playoff teams in the Western Conference so there is not a huge edge in that regard either. The Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Portland snapped a two-game losing streak with an unimpressive win over Phoenix which was its third straight non-cover. Portland can move back into a tie for fourth place in the Western Conference with Oklahoma City and going back, the Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg going up against an opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 155-109 ATS (58.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (545) Portland Trail Blazers |
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03-11-19 | Pistons v. Nets -2 | Top | 75-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. We played on Brooklyn on Saturday and while it won outright, it failed to cover the short number as it blew a double-digit lead by allowing 35 fourth quarter points. The Nets are now back home in what is another crucial game with a seven-game roadtrip looming, six games against teams in playoff contention. Brooklyn trails the Pistons by a half-game for sixth place in the Eastern Conference and can take over that spot with a win. Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS this season when favored by fewer than four points while going 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Detroit has won five straight games but four of those came against noncontending playoff teams with the other coming against Toronto which was playing without Kawhi Leonard. The Pistons are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games when the line is +3 to -3 while going 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Additionally, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after three or more consecutive wins, playing a winning team. This situation is 78-42 ATS (65 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (526) Brooklyn Nets |
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03-10-19 | Magic -1 v. Grizzlies | Top | 97-105 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Motivation plays a big role this time of year and Orlando clearly has that on Sunday. The Magic are coming off a win over Dallas on Friday which kicked off a stretch of seven consecutive games against opponents that are below .500. Orlando has won nine of its past 13 games to remain a game behind Miami for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They did fail to cover against the Mavericks but the Magic are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. Memphis is on a rare winning streak as it has won two straight games, against playoff teams no less, but the Grizzlies have not won three straight games since November, going 0-3 in their last three games following consecutive victories. Going back, the Grizzlies are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (509) Orlando Magic |
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03-09-19 | Nets -3.5 v. Hawks | Top | 114-112 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Saturday Supreme Annihilator. This is a huge game for Brooklyn. The Nets are dueling Detroit, Miami, Orlando and Charlotte for the final three playoff spots in the Eastern Conference and they have the toughest upcoming schedule in the NBA so these are the games they need. Eight of the next nine games are on the road and following a home game on Monday, they begin a seven-game roadtrip with four straight games against Western Conference playoff contenders. The Nets are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. The Hawks season has been done for a while and they are riding a two-game losing skid. Atlanta is just 11-20 at home which is the fifth worst home record in the entire league. The Hawks are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more. This situation is 80-50 ATS (61.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (571) Brooklyn Nets |
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03-08-19 | Wizards v. Hornets -4.5 | Top | 111-112 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS as part of our NBA Friday Trifecta. The Hornets lost on Wednesday against Miami which knocked them out of the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference and this has turned into a must win game. Charlotte is wrapping up a three-game homestand before starting a difficult four-game roadtrip, where it is 9-21 on the season, that starts in Milwaukee and Houston before finishing up with rematches against Washington and Miami. The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Washington is still in the hunt as it trails Miami by three games but making up ground here will be a challenge considering its 8-25 road record is third worst in the Eastern Conference and fifth worst in all of the league. Washington is 6-21 ATS in its 27 road games against teams allowing 106 or more ppg this season while going 1-12 ATS in its 13 road games after allowing 120 points or more this season. 10* (552) Charlotte Hornets |
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03-07-19 | Thunder v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 129-121 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. Portland is back home following a seven-game roadtrip where it went 5-2 but two of those losses came over the final three games. The big thing here is that this is the first home game for the Blazers since before the All Star Break, a span of 22 days and they are the last team in the league to have played a home game since the break. Portland is 24-8 at home and has lost here just twice in 2019 and going back, the Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. The span between home games is a huge advantage and one that takes away from the normal contrarian play as the Thunder have dropped their last eight games against the number, having lost six of those outright. This has put them into a three-way tied with the Blazers and the Rockets for third place in the Western Conference. This is a huge game for Portland as it has lost the first three meetings so a loss would essentially put them two games behind the Thunder. Here, we play against road underdogs against division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Portland Trail Blazers |
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03-06-19 | Jazz -4 v. Pelicans | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. This is the second game of a home-and-home between New Orleans and Utah and the Jazz will be out for some road revenge. The Pelicans beat Utah 115-112 on Monday, extending their winning streak to three games and ending Utah's win streak at four. Prior to the win over the Jazz, New Orleans defeated Denver on the road without Anthony Davis so it has certainly been a surprising run. The Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. The Jazz have been one of the hottest teams in the NBA in the new year, and they have climbed to the sixth spot in the Western Conference after a disappointing start to the season. They have won 18 of their last 25 games and the rest of the schedule is totally in their favor as the Jazz play 16 of their final 20 games against teams currently at .500 or below. Utah is 17-8 ATS after one or more consecutive losses this season. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a loss by three points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 105 points or more. This situation is 51-23 ATS (68.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (537) Utah Jazz |
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03-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 107-95 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Houston defeated the Celtics 115-104 in Boston on Sunday with James Harden scoring 42 points before fouling out late in the game. It was the fifth straight win for the Rockets which remain in fifth place in the Western Conference and while they have won three straight games on the road, they are just 16-16 on the highway and going back, the Rockets are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Toronto remains two games behind Milwaukee for first place in the Eastern Conference and this is a good opportunity to gain some ground following the Bucks loss against Phoenix last night. The Raptors lost 112-107 in overtime Sunday to the Pistons in Detroit, but they have won nine of their past 11 games. Toronto is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 games after failing to cover four of its last five games against the spread. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that are between +3 to +7 in scoring differential going up against a team with a +/- 3 scoring differential, after allowing 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 37-17 ATS (68.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (520) Toronto Raptors |
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03-04-19 | Clippers v. Lakers -4 | Top | 113-105 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. The Lakers are coming off one of their worst losses of the season based on the opponent as they lost by nine points to the Suns which possess the worst record in the NBA and that was just their second win since mid-January. The Lakers are 4-7 in games LeBron James has played since he returned from a 17-game absence because of a groin injury, and they have lost four of five heading into a pivotal matchup tonight against the Clippers. They are 18-13 at home and the Lakers are 24-12 ATS in their last 36 games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games. The Clippers have won two straight games, most recently a 21-point win over the Knicks on Sunday, while covering their last four games. They are a half game up on San Antonio for seventh place in the Western Conference. This is a huge game for the Lakers to get their mojo back as they have been lost and what better team than to do it against but the rival Clippers. Here, we play on home teams failing to cover the spread in eight or more of their last 10 going up against an opponent after having covered five or six of their last seven against the spread. This situation is 152-96 ATS (61.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (514) Los Angeles Lakers |
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03-03-19 | Raptors v. Pistons +4 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Pistons are coming off an easy win last night in Cleveland and the fact this is a back-to-back means little in this spot. Detroit opened up a 33-point halftime lead and was never threatened in the second half, allowing head coach Dwane Casey to rest his regulars. None of his starters played more than 27 minutes. The Pistons are 18-13 at home and are holding down the No. 7 spot in the Eastern Conference but are just a game and a half out of ninth place so every game is huge at this point. The Raptors concluded a six-game homestand, where they went 5-1, with a come-from-behind win over Portland. They have won four straight on the road but three were against non-playoff teams. Toronto is 8-17 ATS after scoring 110 points or more two straight games this season. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and ..750 after having won four of their last five games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 111-62 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (584) Detroit Pistons |
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03-01-19 | Clippers v. Kings -3 | Top | 116-109 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Friday Supreme Annihilator. A big game for playoff implications takes place tonight when the Kings host the Clippers with seventh and eighth place on the line. Sacramento is coming off a pair of losses, most recent on Wednesday by a point in overtime against Milwaukee. The Kings trail the Spurs and Clippers by two games so a win gets them right in the hunt while a loss could be the end. Sacramento is 13-2 ATS as a favorite this season while going 17-8 ATS when playing with double revenge. The Clippers are coming off a loss at Utah on Wednesday to fall back to .500 on the road for the season. While the Kings have thrived as favorites, Los Angeles is 8-16 as a road underdog and on the season, the favorite is 46-17 in Clippers games. Here, we play on home favorites after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .501 and .600. This situation is 97-45 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (552) Sacramento Kings |
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02-28-19 | Wolves v. Pacers -3.5 | Top | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Indiana concluded a 1-2 roadtrip with a loss at Dallas last night but returns home in a very favorable spot. The Pacers are 23-8 at home and still remain a half-game ahead of Philadelphia for third place in the Eastern Conference, which at this point means a date with Brooklyn in the first round of the playoffs and not Boston. Indiana is 8-3 this season when playing with no rest including a perfect 4-0 record when going from the road to home, covering all four of those games. Minnesota also lost last night in overtime in Atlanta and that was a bad loss for its playoff chances as it is four games out of the final spot in the Western Conference. The Timberwolves have not been nearly as good playing with no rest as they are 0-5 in the second of back-to-back road games. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 33-12 ATS (73.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (530) Indiana Pacers |
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02-27-19 | Pistons v. Spurs -4.5 | Top | 93-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. The Spurs are back home following a disastrous roadtrip where they went 1-7 with the lone victory coming by just one point over Memphis. This is just the second home game this month where San Antonio is 22-7 on the season compared to 11-22 on the road and it looks to extend a four-game home winning streak. The Spurs have especially dominated in these spots as they are 10-2 ATS as home favorites of six points or less this season, winning by an average of nearly 13 ppg. Detroit has won three straight games and is now 7-1 over its last eight games to move to a game under .500 overall. The Pistons are in seventh place in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half ahead of Charlotte and two and a half games ahead of Orlando but are just 11-17 on the highway. They are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning straight up record and here, we play on teams in non-conference games, off three or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 79-37 ATS (68.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (520) San Antonio Spurs |
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02-26-19 | Magic v. Knicks +7.5 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Magic are coming off an upset win at Toronto on Sunday to go 6-1 over their last seven games and they are now just a half-game out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. This spot looks to be ideal as Orlando has won four consecutive road games, all by at least 15 points and over the past 10 games, its average margin of victory is 17.3 ppg. The problem is that the Magic are overpriced and are still just 12-17 on the road and a game on deck against Golden St. could have them looking past the Knicks. New York snapped an 18-game home losing streak with a win over the Spurs on Sunday and can carry that momentum forward here. The Knicks have the second worst record in the league and while talks of tanking continue to make the rounds, these players are playing for their futures and they are in a great spot tonight. New York is 10-0 ATS in its last 10 home games after having won two of its last three games and here ,we play against teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off an upset win as a road underdog, playing a losing team. This situation is 67-34 ATS (66.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (502) New York Knicks |
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02-25-19 | Kings v. Wolves -2.5 | Top | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Minnesota is coming off a loss at Milwaukee by 12 points on Saturday as it was without Karl-Anthony Towns for a second straight game, the first two games he has ever missed, as he was diagnosed with a concussion. Towns has 37 double-doubles while averaging 23.1 ppg and 12.0 rpg, and the Timberwolves certainly missed him in that loss but he is probable to return tonight. Minnesota is back home where it is 19-10 and on the season, it is 10-2 ATS at home against teams allowing 110 or more ppg. Sacramento is coming off an upset win at Oklahoma City and has moved to within one game of the Spurs and Clippers for eighth place in the Western Conference. The Kings are still just 12-17 on the road and have struggled against better competition for the most part, going 14-22 against teams ranked in the top 16. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games, playing five or less games in 14 days. This situation is 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (578) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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02-23-19 | Pistons v. Heat -3.5 | Top | 119-96 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Miami opened the second half with a loss at Philadelphia as it allowed 33 fourth quarter points to fall to 26-31 and put it into ninth place following the Orlando win last night. The Heat are now back home where they are just 11-16 on the season but this is their first home game since February 2nd so it is time to turn things around. Miami is 36-20 ATS in its last 56 games after having lost two of its last three games. Detroit is coming off a win in Atlanta last night but it was not easy as it has to overcome a 14-point deficit and won by just three points. The Pistons are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games when their starting five players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Here, we play against road underdogs with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points, playing a losing team. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (544) Miami Heat |
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02-22-19 | Jazz v. Thunder -4 | Top | 147-148 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Utah closed the first half by going 13-3 over its last 16 games and can make a big push down the stretch as it plays just eight of its final 25 games against teams with a winning record. The Jazz face one of those opponents tonight however and going back, they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Currently, Utah is in sixth place in the Western Conference which at this point would mean another matchup against Oklahoma City in the playoffs. An Oklahoma City win would clinch the season series for the Thunder after Utah eliminated Oklahoma City in the first round of the playoffs last season. The Thunder won 11 of their last 13 games although one of those losses came at New Orleans in the final game before the break. They are 20-7 at home and going back, they are 18-9 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a straight up loss as a favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. This situation is 122-72 ATS (62.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (530) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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02-21-19 | Blazers v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 113-99 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. We waited on this game and as expected, news broke late this morning that Damian Lillard will be available to play and also as expected, the line adjusted because of it. The number moved up a point and a half which adds to the value for the Nets. The Blazers are 10-15 on the road compared to being 24-8 at home and being favored in this spot is a little questionable. The Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Brooklyn is in sixth place in the Eastern Conference, two games ahead of Charlotte, 2.5 games ahead of Detroit and Miami and three games in front of Orlando. At 30-29, the Nets headed into the All-Star break with a winning record for the first time since the 2012-13 season. They are 17-13 at home and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a losing road record. Additionally, Brooklyn is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games after scoring 105 points or more in three straight games. 10* (506) Brooklyn Nets |
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02-14-19 | Hornets +3 v. Magic | Top | 89-127 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Charlotte looks to conclude the first half with a split on this four-game roadtrip and move to within a game of Brooklyn for sixth place in the Eastern Conference. The Hornets have struggled on the road this season but the majority of their losses have come against the NBA elite and overall, they are just 5-20 against teams ranked within the top 16 and those five wins are tied for fourth fewest in the league. They are 22-9 against every other teams and they have gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a losing straight up record. Orlando has won and covered four straight games including the last three on the road but this is a team we cannot buy into yet as it has played down to the opposition as the Magic are just 13-14 against teams ranked outside the top 16. Orlando is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 home games off an upset win as an underdog. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off an upset win as a road underdog, playing a losing team. This situation is 67-33 ATS (67 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Charlotte Hornets |
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02-13-19 | Bucks -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 106-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. You have to give Indiana a ton of credit as after losing its first four games following the loss of Victor Oladipo, it has won five straight games. The level of competition as been suspect however as all five of those wins came against teams with losing records and overall, the Pacers have played the easiest schedule in the NBA. Their 10 wins against the top 16 are by far the fewest among all teams that possess a winning record. The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Milwaukee possesses the best record in the NBA and it is not due to a soft schedule as its 11 wins against the top ten are tied for most in the league while its five losses against top ten teams are the fewest. The Bucks possess the second best road record in the NBA at 19-9 as they have won six straight on the highway. Milwaukee is 12-4 ATS this season revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points while going 7-1 ATS in its last eight games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (503) Milwaukee Bucks |
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02-12-19 | Magic v. Pelicans -4.5 | Top | 118-88 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The return of Anthony Davis was positive for New Orleans as it defeated Minnesota last Friday but the momentum could not be contained as the Pelicans lost at Memphis the next night with Davis taking just eight shots and scoring a mere 14 points. They are back home where they are 16-10 and the Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Orlando has won three straight games including the last two on the road and going back further, the Magic have won five of their last six games. They have won just seven of 23 games as road underdogs and this spot is not ideal as the Magic are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while going 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against the Western Conference. Here, we play against road underdogs with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points, playing a losing team. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (572) New Orleans Pelicans |
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02-11-19 | Clippers v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 120-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Enforcer. This line came out late due to the injuries on the Minnesota side but the most significant one has been confirmed as Jeff Teague has been upgraded to probable after missing eight straight games and seeing just 17 minutes in his first game back on Friday. The Timberwolves are back home after losing all three games of their roadtrip to fall to 8-20 on the highway. Minnesota is 17-10 at home and needs to take care of business here in order to get back into the playoff hunt as it is five games behind the Clippers for the final Wild Card spot in the Western Conference. Los Angeles is coming off an improbable win over Boston on Saturday as it trailed by as many as 28 points but outscored the Celtics by 39 points the rest of the way. We can certainly see a letdown here after that and the Clippers have lost their last three games following a victory, the last two coming by at least 14 points. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 47-19 (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (566) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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02-10-19 | Blazers v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Portland is coming off a win over San Antonio to conclude a 3-1 homestand to improve to 23-8 at home. The Blazers head to Dallas for the first of a back-to-back road set and the road has not been nearly as kind as they are just 10-13 with a good possibility of looking ahead to Oklahoma St. tomorrow and ultimately Golden St. at home on Wednesday. The Mavericks fell to 19-8 at home with a loss against Milwaukee on Friday, its second straight loss at home and going back to mid-January, three of their last four home losses have come against teams either first or second in their respective conferences. Despite the loss against Milwaukee, Dallas is still 9-2 ATS as a home underdog this season while going a perfect 5-0 ATS when getting fewer than three points. Additionally, the Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. 10* (542) Dallas Mavericks |
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02-09-19 | Hornets -2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Charlotte is coming off a pair of losses to snap a two-game winning streak and it has fallen back to two games under .500. The Hornets still control the No. 7 spot in the Eastern Conference and these are the games they have done well in. Their problem has been playing the top teams as they are 5-19 against teams ranked in the top 16 in the power rankings and those five wins are by far the fewest of any playoff contending team. Charlotte is 21-9 against teams ranked below that. Atlanta lost at home against Toronto in its last game which also snapped a two-game winning streak and at this put, it is all about the future. The Hawks shook up their roster before the break and all were minor moves mostly to create room moving forward. Atlanta is playing with revenge from a 14-point loss in the last meeting but the Hawks are 3-11 ATS in 14 home games revenging a road loss this season. 10* (523) Charlotte Hornets |
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02-08-19 | Bucks v. Mavs +8 | Top | 122-107 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Dallas remains on the outside in the Western Conference playoff picture as its road play continues to hamper it. The Mavericks are just 6-21 on the highway compared to 19-7 at home and they are catching a big number tonight against the top team from the East. They also have a new look after a number of trades before the deadline yesterday. Dallas is 9-1 ATS this season as a home underdog, the only non-cover coming in its first game against Utah so it has rattled off nine straight. Additionally, the Mavericks are 10-1 ATS this season in its 11 home games following a win. Milwaukee has won five straight games to remain atop the Eastern Conference, a game and a half clear of Toronto. The Bucks are a respectable 17-9 on the road but they are just 10-8-2 ATS as road favorites. Milwaukee will rest Kris Middleton tonight who is averaging 17.3 ppg. 10* (510) Dallas Mavericks |
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02-06-19 | Nuggets -2 v. Nets | Top | 130-135 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. After a five-game winning streak, Denver layed an egg in Detroit on Monday, trailing by as many as 29 points and losing by 26 points. The loss coupled with the Golden St. win dropped the Nuggets a half-game behind the Warriors in the Western Conference and with a game at Philadelphia on deck Friday, this is a needed win. Brooklyn made a big push up the Eastern Conference standings with a 19-5 run but has lost four of its last five games including three in a row. The Nets have done their damage when favored as they have won 14 of 15 games when laying points but they are just 14-26 as underdogs. Additionally, the Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (559) Denver Nuggets |
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02-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 119-107 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. Toronto easily defeated the Clippers on Sunday to improve to 22-5 at home but it is a much less inspiring 16-11 on the road and it will once again be without point guard Kyle Lowry. He missed Sunday due to lingering back pain and while an unconfirmed report came out saying he will miss the rest of the season, that is not the case but it is bad enough that he will not be back tonight. The Raptors are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games. Philadelphia concluded ca four-game roadtrip with a bad loss at Sacramento but it came just two days after defeating Golden St. so the letdown was imminent. Philadelphia fell to back under .500 with that defeat but it heads back home where it is 21-5 and needs these games to climb back up the standings as the Sixers are currently tied for third place with Boston and Indiana in the Eastern Conference. The Sixers are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (554) Philadelphia 76ers |
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02-04-19 | Hawks v. Wizards -6 | Top | 137-129 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Washington is 2.5 games out the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference but has lost three of the past four games, including a 131-115 decision to Milwaukee at home on Saturday. The Wizards started the season 1-7 and haven't hit .500 at any point this season. They are 15-10 at home though and they have not lost at home to a team with a losing record since December 28th. The Wizards are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. Atlanta is coming ff a win against Phoenix Saturday but winning streaks have been few and far between. The Hawks have been on an extended road trip because of the Super Bowl being played in Atlanta and will return home after tonight and this has been a grueling trek with a ton of miles throughout the west coast. The Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a game committing 13 or more turnovers than opponent. This situation is 62-25 ATS (71.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (534) Washington Wizards |
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02-02-19 | Nets +2 v. Magic | Top | 89-102 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Brooklyn lost in San Antonio two nights ago to make it two straight losses on the road and it has fallen back to two games under .500 on the highway. The Nets are 7-6 in their last 13 road games and all six of those losses have come against teams currently residing in playoff positions. Brooklyn is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games. Orlando took care of Indiana on Thursday to snap a four-game losing streak as well as a four-game home losing skid. The Magic are just 11-15 at home so there is not much of a home court edge here and going back, they are is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as home favorites of six points or less. Here, we play on underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after having won five or six of their last seven games, playing a losing team. This situation is 36-14 ATS (72 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (503) Brooklyn Nets |
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02-01-19 | Thunder v. Heat +5 | Top | 118-102 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Miami had won two straight games to get back to .500 on the season but did not show up against Chicago on Wednesday as it lost by 16 points at home as a 10.5-point favorite. That puts the Heat in a great spot tonight as teams coming off embarrassing losses tend to bounce back big times, especially one against a team with the second worst record in the Eastern Conference. Additionally, the Heat are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Oklahoma City has won six straight games including a win at Orlando on Wednesday as part of this Florida trip and this can be a tough trek for teams that head to South Beach. The Thunder head to Boston for a game on Sunday so there is the chance of a lookahead as well. Here, we play on home underdogs in the second half of the season that are coming off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (586) Miami Heat |
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01-31-19 | Mavs v. Pistons -2 | Top | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Dallas picked up a rare road win last night as it won for just the fifth time away from home. The Mavericks have not won consecutive road games this season and the follow up results have been awful with the four road losses following the road wins coming by 10, 11, 21 and 12 points. Additionally, the Mavericks have been unable to solve playing with no rest on the highway as they are 0-7 this season when playing the second of a back-to-back game on the road. Detroit has lost two straight games with the latest coming at home against top seeded Milwaukee and the game before that on the road in Dallas which sets up a quick turnaround revenge spot. It has been a tough season for the Pistons but despite being seven games under .500, they are just 2.5 games out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They are just one game over .500 at home and because of that, they are laying a short number which is a big edge as the favorite is 38-13 in Detroit games this season with Detroit winning 12 of 16 games in this position. 10* (572) Detroit Pistons |
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01-30-19 | Hawks v. Kings -5.5 | Top | 113-135 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The Kings are back home after a 2-4 roadtrip, both wins coming against non-playoff teams and all four losses coming against teams that would qualify for the playoffs. Sacramento is 14-10 at home and of those 10 losses, none have come against a team with a losing record and with the exception of a loss against the Lakers back in November when LeBron James was playing, every home loss has comes against teams sitting in a playoff spot. It has been consistent as Sacramento is 16-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. When favored, the Kings are 10-2 ATS and they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Hawks picked up a rare win over the Clippers two nights ago and while they have been more consistent since opening the season 6-23, this is not a good spot as they have lost five straight games following a win and by an average of 9.4 ppg. Additionally, the Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. 10* (566) Sacramento Kings |
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01-29-19 | 76ers -7 v. Lakers | Top | 121-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. This line came out late in most places due to the myriad of injuries that the Lakers are dealing with. LeBron James is out at least one more game, Lonzo Ball will miss his fourth straight game with an ankle injury, Josh Hart looks doubtful with knee issues and Kyle Kuzma, the second best player on this team, is questionable after missing the last game. Los Angeles did win last time out despite the limited roster but that came against Phoenix and since James went down, it is 6-10 in 16 games with only one win coming against a team with a winning record. The Sixers were on a 5-1 run heading to Denver but their own injuries got in the way of what would have been a great matchup but Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler both missed the game as they lost by 16 points. Both are back tonight and this is a tune up before playing Golden St. on Thursday. The Sixers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season with a scoring differential between +3 and +7 going up against a team with a scoring differential between +3 and -3, after allowing 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (551) Philadelphia 76ers |
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01-28-19 | Warriors v. Pacers +9.5 | Top | 132-100 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. We played against Golden St. on Saturday as it escaped against the Celtics no thanks to an offensive rebound on a missed free throw with 8.6 seconds left to secure a four-point win and cover. The Warriors have now won 10 straight games as well as nine straight games on the road but after laying 3.5 points against Boston, they are laying a minimum of five points more against a team that has a better record than Boston and is just two points behind the Celtics in the updated power rankings. The loss of Victor Oladipo is a big one for sure but he is not worth the line adjustment that has been made here and the Pacers still have a loaded roster. While they have struggled against the top ten teams in the league with just seven wins, we are not asking them to win here, just stay competitive. Indiana is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 games as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points while Golden St. is 4-16 ATS in 20 games this season as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Additionally, we play on home underdogs coming off an upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (530) Indiana Pacers |
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01-27-19 | Raptors -4 v. Mavs | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Raptors, now 15-11 on the road, will look to snap a two-game skid against one of the better home teams in the league, despite Dallas being out of the Western Conference playoff mix. Toronto lost in Indiana and Houston by four and two points respectively and it will look to end a three-game road losing streak. Of the 11 road losses for the Raptors, only one has come against a team with a losing record and that came in Orlando without Kyle Lowry. Following close wins against the Clippers and the Pistons on Friday, the Mavericks own an 18-6 home mark, tied for the second-fewest home losses in the Western Conference. Certainly that is significant but the Mavericks struggled in their latest tough home tests, losing to Golden St. and San Antonio two weeks ago. Dallas is just 7-10 against the top ten power ranked teams while Toronto is 26-6 against teams ranked outside the top ten. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season with a scoring differential between +3 and +7 going up against a team with a scoring differential between +3 and -3, after allowing 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (517) Toronto Raptors |
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01-26-19 | Warriors v. Celtics +3.5 | Top | 115-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. With DeMarcus Cousins back on the court, not many are going to be stepping in front of the Warriors as they have looked dominant in his three games. Overall, Golden St. has won nine straight games as it is finally back in the form that was expected all season but now comes another true test and it has not passed the test so far. The Warriors have played just 12 games against teams ranked in the top ten, the second fewest of teams ranked within the top ten, and they have gone just 4-8 in those games. Boston has won five straight games and it gets Kyrie Irving back tonight after he missed the last game with an illness. The Celtics got off to a slow start this season but are 20-8 over their last 28 games including 10 straight wins at home. Boston has thrived in this spot as it is 10-1 ATS in 11 games as a home underdog dating back to last season. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams allowing between 43.5 and 45.5 percent shooting, after a game where it made 55 percent of their shots or better. This situation is 28-6 ATS (82.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) Boston Celtics |
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01-25-19 | Wizards v. Magic -3.5 | Top | 95-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Orlando is coming off a loss in Brooklyn on Wednesday to make it a 1-4 run but three of those losses came by four points or less and the Magic are in a great spot tonight to win going away. Aaron Gordon was a non-factor against the Nets after missing two games with a sore back but we expect him to be a big contributor tonight after playing just 24 minutes. The Magic are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. Washington has had a tough season from the start and with John Wall out for the season, there is little to no hope of any possible success. The Wizards are coming off a six-game homestand culminating with a loss against Golden St. last night which was a game they were clearly up for which presents a letdown tonight. Washington is 4-12 ATS as a road underdog this season while going 3-15 ATS in 18 road games against teams allowing 10 or more ppg. 10* (566) Orlando Magic |
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01-24-19 | Pelicans +12 v. Thunder | Top | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Oklahoma City has won three straight games and what normally would have been a great matchup has lost some of the sizzle with New Orleans struggling and Anthony Davis being out. The Thunder defeated Portland on Tuesday to take sole possession of third place in the Western Conference by one game over the Blazers and that coupled with an upcoming game against the Eastern Conference-leading Bucks puts them in a tough spot tonight in trying to avoid a letdown. Oklahoma City is 8-20 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last two seasons. The Pelicans are coming off a loss against Detroit last night as they had no answer for Blake Griffin with Davis sidelined. The matchup is definitely better tonight and as bad as New Orleans has been on the road with a 7-19 record, it has been outscored by just 1.3 ppg and only six of those 19 losses were by double-digits. The Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season shooting between 45.5 and 47.5 percent going up against a team allowing between 45.5 and 47.5 percent shooting, after two straight games shooting 50 percent or better. This situation is 91-42 ATS (68.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (559) New Orleans Pelicans |
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01-23-19 | Hornets v. Grizzlies -1 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Memphis is in a tailspin as it has lost six straight games and 12c of its last 13 games and while there are no excuses, the Grizzlies have played a brutal schedule over this stretch. They have faced Boston twice, Houston twice, San Antonio twice as well as playing Toronto and Milwaukee. Overall, they have played the toughest schedule in the NBA as 32 of their 47 games have come against the top 16 in the league. The Grizzlies are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Charlotte opened the season by winning its first two road games but it is 4-16 on the highway since then and the Hornets have covered just two of their last 10 games on the road. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are shooting between 43.5 and 45.5 percent from the floor after two straight games making nine or more three-point shots going up against a team allowing between 43.5 and 45.5 percent shooting from the floor. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (554) Memphis Grizzlies |
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01-22-19 | Clippers v. Mavs -4 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. It has been an up and down season for both Los Angeles and Dallas and for different reasons. We played on the Clippers on Sunday as they went into San Antonio and won outright as 9.5-point underdogs to snap a five-game losing streak and have now moved back up to seventh place in the Western Conference. Injuries have been the problem even though they overcame it Sunday as Lou Williams and Danilo Gallinari remain out. They account for a combined 37.7 ppg. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Dallas is riding a four-game losing streak but three of those came against the Bucks, Warriors and Pacers, all ranked in the top five and the other was against San Antonio. The problem for the Mavericks is they cannot win away from home as their 4-20 road record is tied with Phoenix for worse in the league. Dallas is 7-0 ATS at home when playing six or less games in 14 days this season. Here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points and coming off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 187-118 ATS (61.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (534) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-21-19 | Rockets v. 76ers -4 | Top | 93-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. The Sixers look to shake off a loss against Oklahoma City on Saturday which was its second loss at home in its last three games following am 18-3 start. They now trail Toronto by 4.5 games in the Atlantic Division. Going back, Philadelphia is 26-10 ATS in its last 36 home games against teams with a losing road record. Houston hits the road following a pair of overtime wins to close out its three-game homestand including a win over the Lakers to improve to 17-7 at home but the Rockets are just 9-12 on the highway and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that possess a scoring differential between +3 and +7 going up against a team with a scoring differential between +3 and -3, after scoring 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 45-19 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (524) Philadelphia 76ers |
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01-20-19 | Clippers +9 v. Spurs | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Once atop the Western Conference, the Clippers are in a freefall as they have lost five straight games and are now in eighth place in the conference, just percentage points ahead of the Lakers. This includes four straight losses at home but going back, the Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. San Antonio has won two straight games, a pair of road victories against Dallas and Minnesota as underdogs. The Spurs have been on a solid long run but they are completely overpriced here as the last meeting here a month ago, they were favored by just three points. They are just 3-6 ATS on the season when favored by six or more points and here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off two or more consecutive wins as a road underdog. This situation is 90-49 ATS (64.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (505) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-19-19 | Mavs v. Pacers -6.5 | Top | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We backed the Pacers in their most recent game and they were trounced by Philadelphia by 24 points. This is a good bounce back spot however and they are catching a good number as well. Despite that most recent setback, Indiana has won nine of its last 11 games at home and overall, the Pacers are outscoring opponents by 8.7 ppg here. Going back, Indiana is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games off a home loss by 10 points or more. Dallas was 16-4 at home heading into a tough two-game stretch against San Antonio and Golden St. and the Mavericks failed on both occasions even though both games were close. They hit the road where it has been a struggle all season as Dallas is 4-18 which is tied for the second worst road record in the league. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are shooting 48 percent or better on the season, after two straight games making nine or more three-point shots. This situation is 167-110 ATS (60.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (574) Indiana Pacers |
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01-18-19 | Nets v. Magic +1 | Top | 117-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Orlando is coming off an overtime loss at Detroit on Wednesday which snapped a two-game winning streak. The home team has had the edge of late, going 10-1 in the last 11 games for the Magic and this includes a current four-game home winning streak for Orlando. The Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a losing road record. Brooklyn meanwhile has won two straight games and both were impressive victories against Boston and Houston, the latter coming on the road in overtime on Wednesday. It has been an impressive run for the Nets which are 15-5 over their last 20 games and while this includes a 6-4 record on the road, three of those wins came against the Bulls (twice) and the Knicks. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg on the season, after a win by three points or less. This situation is 109-55 ATS (66.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (554) Orlando Magic |
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01-16-19 | Raptors v. Celtics -2 | Top | 108-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. This line came out late because of the Kyrie Irving injury situation but he is now probable. Toronto has won five straight games to take over first place in the Eastern Conference, one game in front of Milwaukee. One of those wins came on the road against the Bucks, the first of two straight road wins but the Raptors are just 3-5 in their last eight road games. Additionally, the Raptors are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Boston is back home following a three-game roadtrip where it dropped all three games and it is now seven games behind the Raptors in the Atlantic Division. The Celtics have won six straight home games and they have had success against the elite teams, going 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 61-23 ATS (72.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (530) Boston Celtics |
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01-15-19 | Warriors v. Nuggets +2 | Top | 142-111 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. First place in the Western Conference is on the line tonight when Golden St. visits Denver and the Nuggets continue to get no respect with the public right there with them as Golden St. is a heavy consensus. Denver has the best home record in the NBA at 18-3 including 12 straight wins and it is 49-13at home since last season. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a winning road record. One argument that will be made for Golden St. is the fact that it steps up in these big games against elite teams but that is actually not the case. The Warriors are 3-8 against teams ranked within the top 10 and those three wins are tied for fourth fewest in the league with Phoenix and Cleveland and ahead of only New York, Chicago and Atlanta. Additionally, they are one of only five teams ranked in the top 16 that have single-digit wins within that group. Conversely, Denver has 15 wins against the top 16 which is tied for second most in the NBA. The Warriors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning home record. There is no intimidation here as Denver has actually won five of the last nine meetings. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a game where they failed to cover the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 168-109 ATS (60.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (522) Denver Nuggets |