Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-07-21 | Chargers -1 v. Eagles | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Chargers have lost two straight games and their lead has vanished in the AFC West as they now trail the Raiders by a game. Los Angeles has shown regression on defense over the last three games as it has allowed 34.3 ppg over that stretch. The Chargers are solid against the pass with a great secondary that is ranked No. 5 in passing defense and a fierce pass rush as they just frustrated Mac Jones and figure to do the same with Jalen Hurts. Justin Herbert put together three straight passer ratings of 107.6, 122.0 and 125.0 but has not broken 68 over his last two games. He faces a good defense here but he should get back on track and the Chargers are definitely undervalued. They are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games after a loss by three or less points. The Eagles are coming over a blowout win over Detroit which is not saying much and that snapped a two-game slide and a 1-5 run with that lone win coming against Carolina by three points and that came on a late touchdown. That win over the Lions is working against Philadelphia and it really should have no effect on this game. The Eagles beat the Falcons by 26 points in Week One then lost at home to the 49ers the following week and we expect a similar result here. The Eagles are ranked No. 7 in rushing offense but that number is skewed after gaining 236 yards on the ground against the Lions. The Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing six points or less last game going up against an opponent after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (467) Los Angeles Chargers |
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11-07-21 | Broncos +10 v. Cowboys | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Week. Dallas is coming off another close victory to improve to 6-1 on the season and a perfect 7-0 against the number. This line has jumped considerably due to the fact that Dak Prescott has been a full participant in practice this week after missing the last game against the Vikings. The Cowboys are at 3-0 home and the offense remains No. 1 in the NFL despite its second lowest output Sunday night against Minnesota. In its last home game, Dallas was favored by 7.5 points over the 2-6 Giants and now it is favored by more over a better team and it is the unblemished ATS record that is coming into play as the public will continue to back the Cowboys so there is no choice but to inflate this number. The Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as nonconference favorites of 10 or more points. Denver snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Washington last week to move back to .500 and it remains alive in the division and is very much in the Wild Card chase. The Broncos traded Von Miller earlier this week which puts the pressure on the rest of the defense but this unit is solid all around as the Broncos are No. 6 overall and No. 2 in points allowed. The offense has been up and down but having Teddy Bridgewater in this spot is ideal as he has been one of the best, going a perfect 10-0 ATS on the road against winning teams and catching double-digits is a bonus. The Broncos are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites averaging 385 or more total ypg, after gaining 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 32-7 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (453) Denver Broncos |
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11-07-21 | Falcons +6.5 v. Saints | Top | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFC South Game of the Year. The Saints are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last Sunday in a big upset that put New Orleans just a half-game behind the Buccaneers in the NFC South. They did it with Trevor Siemian who was not great but the Saints benefitted from three Tampa Bay turnovers, scoring 17 points off those, and 11 penalties. This offense is not good to begin with a New Orleans is No. 29 in total offense including No. 31 in passing and Michael Thomas is officially done for the season. The defense is playing very well but getting up for a second straight week after that big win will be a challenge. Despite the winning record, the Saints are getting outgained by close to 40 yards per game. The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. Atlanta is coming off a loss against Carolina to fall to 3-5 and the Panthers did catch a break when Matt Ryan got his left hand stomped on and he clearly was not the same. He will be fine this week and the Falcons are getting a bigger number than they should be. After a pair of blowout wins to open the season, Atlanta has been playing much better by going 3-2 over its last five games with the two losses coming by just a possession each. There are six teams in the NFC that are between 3-5 and 4-4 so Atlanta is still very much alive in the Wild Card race and these are those marginal games that need to be one, unlike last week against the Panthers. The Falcons are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (465) Atlanta Falcons |
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11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts -10.5 | Top | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 56 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Colts are coming off a tough loss against Tennessee on Sunday in overtime as they blew a 14-0 lead and had some costly turnovers down the stretch. They now trail the Titans by three games in the AFC South and they have some work to do to get back into the playoff picture. This is a big two-game home stretch against the Jets and Jaguars and they have to win both and they also need to dominate to get some confidence back before facing the Bills and Buccaneers. The Colts are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. After getting outgained in six of their previous seven games, New York outgained the Bengals by 193 total yards in a 34-31 win. While it was a solid Jets win, it can considered a bad Cincinnati loss as they still seemed to be relishing in their win over Baltimore the previous week. New York is 0-3 in true road games and has failed to cover any of those and has been outgained by close to 200 ypg while getting outscored by 24 ppg. Quarterback Matt White had a game for the ages as he threw for 405 yards and three touchdowns but he comes back down to earth here. In the four major statistical categories, total yards, rushing yards, passing yards and points per game, the Jets are ranked No. 27 or worse in six of eight of those eight categories on offense and defense. Conversely, Indianapolis is ranked No. 15 or better in those categories. The Jets are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games against teams allowing 235 or more passing ypg. Here, we play on favorites that are allowing between 18 and 23 ppg and after scoring 30 points or more last game going up against teams allowing 27 or more ppg. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (312) Indianapolis Colts |
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11-01-21 | Giants v. Chiefs -10 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Kansas City has lost two of its last three and four of its last six games to fall to 3-4 overall which has the Chiefs in last place in the AFC West. They have struggled within the conference but at 2-0 against the NFL, both coming against NFC East team Washington and Philadelphia and by a combined score of 73-43 and this is a statement game to close the first half on a positive before hitting a tough stretch of three straight games against division leaders. The offense has not lost a step but turnovers have been an issue. They led the NFL in total offense in 2020, averaging 414.7 ypg and this year, they are averaging 419.3 ypg, third in the NFL behind Dallas and Tampa Bay. The defense has been dreadful but in the four losses, Kansas City has faced offenses ranked No. 4, No. 5, No. 11 and No. 12 and the Giants are well below those rankings. New York continues to be ravaged with injuries at the wide receiver position so it will be hard pressed to take advantage of the Chiefs defense. They did put up 25 points against Carolina last week but managed only 302 total yards and while the defense played well, it came against the Panthers which have the eighth worst offense in the NFL. The Giants had a top-10 defense last season under coordinator Patrick Graham but this year, they were a bottom 10 unit and are allowing 25.7 ppg. The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The Giants are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while going 1-8 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. 10* (278) Kansas City Chiefs |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings -2.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Minnesota has won two straight games to improve to 3-3 on the season following an overtime win against Carolina prior to its bye week. The record could be better as the Vikings lost to Cincinnato in overtime to open the season and then lost to now 7-0 Arizona by two points and both of those were on the road. They have outgained all but two opponents and with the public all over the Dallas, the Vikings are in a good spot with a good matchup. While the story is of course Kirk Cousins and his lack of success in primetime games, he faces a weak secondary and has a chance for a breakout game as he has been very solid. He has completed close to 70 percent of his passes while throwing 13 touchdown passes and just two interceptions for a 105.4 passer rating. Trevon Diggs is having a breakout year as an exceptional cornerback but he will have his work cut out for him against Justin Jefferson, who has been a tough matchup since hitting the starting lineup for the Vikings early last year. Minnesota is 26-11 ATS in its last 37 home games after a win by 6 or fewer points. Dallas has won six straight games and has covered all seven which is a big reason public money will be all over them. The Cowboys defense has improved, but they can still exposed to the run as they did not have to face . Christian McCaffrey or Saquon Barkley so Dalvin Cook could also have a big game running the ball. Dallas s 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games where the line is +3 to -3. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing 24 or more ppg, after scoring 25 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (276) Minnesota Vikings |
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10-31-21 | Panthers +3 v. Falcons | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 67 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFC South Game of the Week. Carolina has lost four straight games, failing to cover any of those, and not many people will be wanting to back the Panthers because of that. The play of quarterback Sam Darnold is also part of that as he has been pretty bad of late and was benched last week against the Giants. After four solid games, he has posted passer ratings of 44.5, 55.6 and 57.3 over his last three games and after being sent to the sidelines, we expect him to be playing with a chip on his shoulder and he will be facing a defense that has been very inconsistent. Carolina does have a very strong defense as it is third overall including second against the pass and the Panthers are No. 9 in scoring defense. They have a tremendous pass rush, and the Falcons have one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL. Pressure was not an issue last week because Miami does not get to the quarterback as frequently as Carolina does. Carolina is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games off an upset loss as a road favorite. Atlanta has won two straight games sandwiched around a bye week and the Falcons have won the yardage battle only twice this season. Atlanta has lost both home games this season so the once strong home edge has been lost and there is no reason to think that the Falcons continue to struggle here. Atlanta is 0-6 ATS in its last six games as a home favorite of three points or less. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation 34-7 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (253) Carolina Panthers |
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10-31-21 | 49ers -3.5 v. Bears | 33-22 | Win | 100 | 67 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The 49ers have now lost four straight games, losing all four against the number, after a 2-0 start and there is now talk about head coach Kyle Shannahan being on the hot seat and whether true or not, we expect a huge effort from San Francisco here. Injuries have hurt San Francisco for yet another season so this does not all fall on Shannahan. The defense still remains one of the best in the NFL as the 49ers are ranked No. 6 in total defense and No. 5 against the pass so Justin Fields will be handcuffed yet again. On the other side, the 49ers have a solid rushing attack and for reason gave up on it early last week against the Colts and they can take advantage here with the Bears having key players hut. With games against the Cardinals and Rams on deck, this is a must win game for the 49ers as a 2-5 record likely ends any sort of playoff chances. Chicago got bludgeoned last week against Tampa Bay and the Bears have been outgained in all but one game this season and that was against winless Detroit. The offense has scored more than 20 points only once, again Detroit, as the offense remains dead last in total offense and No. 30 in scoring offense. On the other side, Aiken Hicks was out last week and he is one of the top defensive linemen in the NFL, as the entire dynamics of the defense change when he's not in the lineup. He will be limited this week while Khalil Mack has been ruled out. The Bears are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road favorites with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 off an upset loss as a home favorite, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (265) San Francisco 49ers |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -1.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our AFC South Game of the Month. Tennessee is coming off its second straight big win as it followed up its win against Buffalo with a victory over Kansas City last week. Both were far from dominant as the Titans outgained Kansas City by just 35 yards and were outgained by Buffalo by 55 yards. Both of those were at home and Tennessee has struggled on the road. They are 2-1 on the highway, with two games going into overtime and the third being a win over Jacksonville where they were actually outgained by 86 yards. The Colts defense has been playing at a high level with the exception of late in the game against Baltimore. Tennessee is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. The Colts have won two straight games to move to 3-4 to get back into the playoff picture. While the defense has been playing better, quarterback Carson Wentz is again playing at a high level. He has posted four straight games with a passer rating of 106.3 or better with last week being the most impressive against a tough 49ers defense in awful weather and he has tossed eight touchdowns and no interceptions over this stretch. The Colts are 1-2 at home but the two losses came early in the season when they were banged up and both were one possession games. Four of the previous five games were on the road and with the Jets and Jaguars on deck at home, getting to 6-4 is more than likely. Indianapolis 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games against teams averaging 350 or more ypg. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (258) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 58 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Publisher. Green Bay has won six straight games to keep pace in the NFC and this could be a preview of the NFC Championship. The Packers have covered all six of these games, winning their lone game as underdogs and this number has gone up which is adding value even though the offense looks like it could be down a key player. The Green Bay offense took a hit early in the week as Davante Adams tested positive for COVID and is likely out but could be in the lineup as long as he registers two negative tests 48 hours apart. The return of Marquez Valdes-Scantling would be huge in case Adams is definitely out. Aaron Rodgers has thrown multiple touchdown passes in every game this season except the season opener against the Saints and on the season, he has 15 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Arizona is the lone remaining undefeated team in the NFL as it is off to a surprising 7-0 start with both sides of the ball playing great. The Cardinals are No. 4 in the league in scoring offense and No. 7 in total offense and tied for first in scoring defense and No. 4 in total defense. Quarterback Kyler Murray has 17 touchdown passes this season to go with five interceptions and is a mid-season MVP candidate. The Cardinals are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (107) Green Bay Packers |
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10-25-21 | Saints v. Seahawks +4.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans is off to a 3-2 start following a win over Washington and the Saints are coming off a bye which means they could get some key pieces back. But they are still banged up in some key areas and this line has risen since opening which is more fading Seattle because of no Russell Wilson. New Orleans did beat Green Bay in its season opener 38-3 but the Packers simply did not show up and since then, the Saints have been outgained in each of their last four games and by an average of 96.8 ypg and that is not a favorable differential heading out against a desperate team in need of a win. The Saints have failed to cover four of their last five Monday night games and are an overpriced favorite here. Seattle is coming off a big second half against the Steelers to send the game into overtime before losing by three points. The Seahawks were getting 5.5 points in Pittsburgh and are now getting roughly just a point less at home and that line differential makes no sense as the value is clearly on the home underdog. This will be the second game for Geno Smith to have a full week of preparation and he was pretty good with the exception of a lost fumble as he went 23-32 for 209 yards and a touchdown with no picks. The Seahawks are 34-15-4 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up loss. 10* (474) Seattle Seahawks |
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10-24-21 | Colts +4 v. 49ers | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 99 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Indianapolis rolled over Houston last week and it should have a three-game winning streak as it had Baltimore against the ropes before losing in overtime. The Colts are now 2-4 with another one of those losses coming against the Rams by just three points so they took two of the best teams in the NFL down to the wire. Offensively they have found their rhythm as Carson Wentz is getting comfortable with this offense as over the last three games, he has six touchdowns and no interceptions while posting passer ratings of 115.1, 128.5 and 127.7. San Francisco still possesses a great defense but it has allowed 28 or more points in three of its five games. The 49ers are coming off their bye week which was good to mend some injuries. The offense has been inconsistent and they will be facing a Colts defense ranked No. 11 in the NFL in scoring defense. Jimmy Garoppolo is expected to return under center but he is still not 100 percent. Indianapolis is 18-6 ATS in its last 25 road games after scoring 25 points or more in three straight games while the 49ers are 5-22-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off a road loss, playing a bad team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. this situation is 57-21 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (471) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-24-21 | Lions +16 v. Rams | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We have some double-revenge going on each side as Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff will be facing their former teams. While this looks like a blowout on paper, the points here are worth taking despite the Lions sitting at 0-6. There is no quit with Detroit as three of those games were winnable as the Lions blew a halftime lead against the Packers and lost two games on last second field goals. Goff has put up pedestrian numbers this season but the Rams secondary is pretty thin and we can expect the Lions to run the ball as the Rams are allowing 4.4 ypc which is No. 23 and allowing first downs on rushes 30.4 percent of the time which is No. 29. The quarterback trade has been beneficial for the Rams as through six weeks, Stafford ranks second in the NFL in yards per attempt, second in passer rating, first in QBR, third in DYAR, and first in DVOA. Not too bad. The running game has not been great as the Rams are averaging just 3.8 ypc. Detroit is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 road games after scoring 17 points or less in three straight games while the Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against home favorites that are outgaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing ypa, after gaining 6.75 or more passing ypa in four straight games. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (463) Detroit Lions |
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10-24-21 | Bengals +6.5 v. Ravens | Top | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 92 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC North Game of the Month. The Bengals are 4-2 on the season with both losses coming by just three points each. The Ravens were able to fluster Justin Herbert last week but while he struggles versus the blitz, Joe Burrow flourishes against it as he is second in the league in passer rating (136.8) against the blitz. Cincinnati has built its offense around Burrow, which produced significant ripple effects. He has four touchdown passes of 30+ air yards this season, most in the NFL. The Bengals can also beat teams on the ground, as running back Joe Mixon ranks fourth in the league with 480 rushing yards. Baltimore has won five straight games but three of those have been decided by a total of nine points and this will not be a dominant win like it has been recently in this series. Statistically, these two match up pretty well as the Ravens are seventh in the league at 28.3 ppg while the Bengals 11th at 24.7 ppg. On the other side, Cincinnati is fifth in the NFL with 18.5 ppg allowed and Baltimore seventh with 20.5 ppg allowed. The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record while the Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. Here, we play against home teams outgaining their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after gaining 400 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (451) Cincinnati Bengals |
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10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns -3.5 | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Denver has come back down to earth following a 3-0 start as the Broncos have lost their last three games, all as favorites. They have actually been favored in all six games this season so this marks their first game as underdogs. It has to be noted that those three wins to open the season came against the Giants, Jaguars and Jets which are a combined 3-14 and none of which have more than one victory. To their credit, the defense has been playing at a high level overall but that success is during those first three games where they allowed an average of 8.7 ppg but Denver has allowed an average of 28.0 ppg over its last three games. The Browns opened 3-1 both straight up and against the number, but they have dropped two straight against playoff bound teams. Injuries are mounting for Cleveland as the list keeps getting longer but come Thursday, they should be in better shape. Running back Nick Chubb has been ruled out so the running game is thin but Baker Mayfield said after the loss Sunday that he expects to play through his injury and be ready for Thursday. Instead. Case Keenum will get the start which is actually the better move. The defense has been a huge disappointment over the last two games but those offenses are both ranked in the top 11. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams forcing 1.25 or fewer tpg, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (310) Cleveland Browns |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo will be out for road revenge following a 42-16 loss last season and while the Bills are better this season, this is a tough spot following a 4-1 start including a big road win last week at Kansas City. They have covered all four games and they have not been close as the cover margins have been +31.5, +14.5, +21.0 and +20.5. in the loss last season, Bills quarterback Josh Allen finished 26-41 for 263 passing yards, throwing for two touchdowns and two interceptions. Buffalo has done a good job of limiting Derrick Henry over the last three matchups but he could be due for a breakout. Henry leads the league with 640 rushing yards, seven rushing touchdowns and 34 rushing first downs. Last year, the defense limited Henry to only 57 rushing yards but allowed touchdowns on all six red zone possessions. In addition to having the 10th best total offense averaging 389.2 ypg and 10th best scoring offense averaging 26.4 ppg, Tennessee is averaging 25.4 first downs per game which bis good for third in the NFL. Here, we play against favorites with an offense averaging 385 or more ypg, after gaining 450 or more ypg over their last three games. This situation is 29-7 (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (276) Tennessee Titans |
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10-17-21 | Seahawks +5 v. Steelers | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 99 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS with our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. The Seahawks took a big hit last Thursday as Russell Wilson has been ruled out because of the finger injury he suffered against the Rams last Thursday night and will likely be out until early December. Geno Smith will take over as the starter and he looked solid coming in for Wilson last week and now he has had extra preparation time to get ready for the Steelers. The Seahawks are 2-3 on the season including three losses in their last four games although the one victory was an impressive one over the 49ers on the road. Pittsburgh snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over Denver last week as it looks to have turned the corner but we are still not buying it. The offensive line looked solid last week against Denver but we see a regression here that should overlook the Seahawks sans Wilson. Ben Roethlisberger was fortunate to have three passes that should have been picked off but were not. The Seahawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog while the Steelers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .400 and .499. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (273) Seattle Seahawks |
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10-17-21 | Raiders v. Broncos -3.5 | 34-24 | Loss | -103 | 95 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. This is going to be a very tough spot for the Raiders as the firing of Jon Gruden will be a huge distraction in what was already a bad situation. They were clearly distracted last week as they managed just nine points against the Bears defense and they will be facing another stellar defense this week. Las Vegas has lost two straight games following a 3-0 start with two of those wins coming in overtime and the other coming against an inconsistent Pittsburgh team. They have dropped three straight against the spread. Denver has also dropped two straight games following a 3-0 start and while those three wins came against three of the worst teams in the NFL, we see a big effort here at home to get back to its winning ways. The lone home loss came against Baltimore which has been playing at a peak level. The Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Broncos are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on favorites in a game involving two teams with less than 1.25 tpg forced, after four consecutive games where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) since 1983. 9* (270) Denver Broncos |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +4 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -121 | 96 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. New England snapped a two-game losing streak with a less than impressive effort against Houston as it held on for a three point win as an eight-point road favorite. Now, the Patriots return home as a home underdog and justifiably so but we feel the spot is good as early money has been pouring in on Dallas and has already moved this line two points. The Patriots are 0-3 at home and the road team is 5-0 in their five games and the streak looks to be broken this week. The Cowboys have won four straight games following an opening loss against Tampa Bay and they are a perfect 5-0 against the number and that is a contrarian spot we love to go against. The offense has been rolling, averaging 40.3 ppg over their last three games, all coming at home. They will be facing a sneaky good defense as the Patriots are ranked No. 5 in total defense and No. 5 in scoring defense. The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog while the Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (272) New England Patriots |
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10-17-21 | Chargers +3 v. Ravens | 6-34 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS with his AFC Game of the Week. Baltimore is coming off an epic comeback over Indianapolis in overtime on Monday night as it overcame an 18-point second half deficit to win by six points. This could be considered a letdown spot on a short week but we cannot bank on that angle when one of the best teams in the NFL is coming to town. The Ravens have won four straight games following an opening loss against Las Vegas in overtime and they have looked dominant only once this season as three of those wins came by a combined nine points. The Chargers are coming off a shootout win over Cleveland to also improve to 4-1 on the season with the lone loss coming against the Cowboys by just three points. Los Angeles is 2-0 on the road and while this is not an easy spot playing on the east coast, that is negated with the shorter week for the Ravens. The Ravens are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record while the Chargers are 12-3-3 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing 360 or more total ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (261) Los Angeles Chargers |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | Top | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 59 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFC Thursday Primetime Punisher. Philadelphia sits at 2-3 following a 21-18 win at Carolina on Sunday. The Eagles have actually played better than the record shows as they have outgained three opponents and the two games in which they were outgained, they were just by 10 and 13 yards against Kansas City and Dallas respectively. The Philadelphia passing defense has been very average but came up big against the Panthers as they held Sam Darnold to just 177 passing yards, with three interceptions and three sacks. Darnold is no Tom Brady but after coming off his best game of the season, expect some regression here. Tampa Bay has been rolling with a 4-1 record but two of those wins came by just two points apiece. Since the start of last season, the Buccaneers are 4-6 ATS with just a +4.3 cover average. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. While the Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against favorites averaging 385 or more total ypg, after averaging 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent over the last five seasons. 10* (110) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-11-21 | Colts v. Ravens -7 | Top | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC Monday Game of the Year. We will be laying the price Monday night as this is a horrible spot for the Colts. They are coming off their first win of the season as they pretty much dominated the Dolphins last week and while that could provide momentum, the spot is just too poor. After opening the season with two straight home games, this is the third straight road game for Indianapolis and even though it has an extra day to prepare, it is not ideal. Baltimore has won three straight games following a season opening loss at Las Vegas in overtime. The defense has led the way of late and they should be able to dominate again here. The Ravens have allowed fewer points in every game this season and after two straight road games, heading home is a great opportunity to stay atop the AFC North. The Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road teams that are coming off two straight road games including a win in the last one, going up against teams coming off two straight wins. This situation is 22-7 ATS (75.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (480) Baltimore Ravens |
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10-10-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 52 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Primetime Punisher. The Chiefs have one of the best offenses in the NFL but that is not going to be difference here. Kansas City has allowed at least 29 points in every game this season and the Bills offense is no slouch as they are No. 7 in the NFL. Buffalo has won three straight games following a bad opening day loss against Pittsburgh. This includes a pair of shutouts and they will give the Chiefs fits. The Bills are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The Bills are ranked No. 1 in total defense while the Chiefs are ranked No. 31 in total defense and the differential is huge as the yardage differential in 221 ypg. The Chiefs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win. Here, we play against home favorites with an offense averaging 385 or more ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (477) Buffalo Bills |
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10-10-21 | 49ers +5 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFC West Game of the Month. The Cardinals are the only undefeated team in the NFL at 4-0 following a big win at Los Angeles last weekend but they are in a tough spot to keep that unblemished record alive. They lead the NFL in total offense but will face a big test here against the 49ers. The Cardinals are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite. San Francisco has lost two straight games to Green Bay and Seattle, both by just one possession each. The 49ers are now 2-2 in arguably the toughest division in the NFL so this is a huge game to keep pace. San Francisco may have to depend on rookie quarterback Trey Lance to go into Arizona and pull out a win and his scrambling ability could be a big asset. San Francisco is 11-3-1 ATS following back-to-back losses as a favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games against opponent after covering the spread in three out of their last four games. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (475) San Francisco 49ers |
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10-10-21 | Saints -2 v. Washington Football Team | 33-22 | Win | 100 | 46 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. New Orleans is coming off an overtime loss against the Giants at home to fall to 2-2 on the season. The Saints now travel to Washington to try and get back on track and this has been a great situation in the past. Under Sean Payton, the Saints are 49-28-1 when coming off a loss including the one spot this season. The Saints are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite. Washington is coming off a win over Atlanta and is also 2-2 on the season. The Football Team was supposed to rely on its defense but they have allowed 43 and 30 points over their last two games and New Orleans is capable of putting up a big offensive game. The Football Team are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games, in the first half of the season. This situation is 64-26 ATS (71.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (457) New Orleans Saints |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -103 | 32 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our Thursday Night Game of the Month. The Rams are coming off their first loss of the season as they were hammered in Arizona 37-20 last Sunday as after jumping out to a 1-07 lead, they fell behind by 11 points at halftime. In four games, they are -22 yards in differential so they have been far from dominating as opposed to what their 3-1 record indicates. Los Angeles is a surprising favorite here as it heads to one of the toughest places to play in all of the league. The difference could be he Seattle offense. DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett have certainly helped production of Russell Wilson, and that should continue in this contest. This Rams secondary was just absolutely torched by the Cardinals last time out as Kyler Murray threw for 268 yards and two scores. The Rams are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home while the Seahawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a terrible defense allowing 360 or more total ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (302) Seattle Seahawks |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC Game of the Month. Cincinnati is coming off a 24-10 win over Pittsburgh on Sunday and the question is are the Bengals vastly improved or are the Steelers on a decline and we think it’s a mix of the two. The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Jacksonville has one of the worst rosters in the NFL and it has shown already as the Jaguars are 0-3 straight up and ATS. Trevor Lawrence has struggled as he has completed just 54.2 percent of his passes while throwing five touchdowns and seven interceptions. The Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing between 18 and 23 ppg going up against a team allowing 27 ppg or more. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (102) Cincinnati Bengals |
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09-27-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Monday Game of the Month. Dallas, who lost in the season opener against Tampa Bay in Week One, bounced back last Sunday with a 20-17 road win over the Chargers and now head back to Dallas for its home opener. The money is coming in heavily on the Cowboys yet the line has not moved which shows the smart money is on the Eagles. The Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. Philadelphia is coming off a loss against San Francisco but actually outgained the 49ers. This came after a win over Atlanta where they outgained the Falcons by 174 yards. The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. Here, we play against home divisional favorites that were outscored by opponents by four or more ppg last season. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (497) Philadelphia Eagles |
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09-26-21 | Packers +3 v. 49ers | Top | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS four our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Green Bay is coming off a win over Detroit on Monday as they outscored the Lions 21-0 after trailing at halftime. The Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The 49ers are playing their home opener after coming off two road wins. The 49ers are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home favorites that had a losing record last season, in conference games. This situation is 161-94 ATS (63.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (495) Green Bay Packers |
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09-23-21 | Panthers -7.5 v. Texans | Top | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 38 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our Thursday Primetime Punisher. Houston is a mess at this point on offense and on a short week, it will not get better. Deshawn Watson is inactive again. Davis Mills, the third-round draft pick, completed just 8 of 18 passes for 102 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the loss to the Browns. We are not sure that he can carry this team at this point. The addition of Sam Darnold so far looks like a great pick up for Carolina, which is now 2-0 to start the season. Coaching is huge and the Panthers have that here. Here, we play against home teams with a scoring defense last season that allowed 24 or more ppg, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 56-22 ATS (71.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Carolina Panthers |
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09-20-21 | Lions +12 v. Packers | Top | 17-35 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Monday Game of the Month. This is the perfect bounce back spot for Green Bay to get back on track but it is laying way too much on Monday night. We should expect a much better performance from the offence that scored just three points against the Saints but defensively, the Packers will continue to experience some growing pains. Detroit put up a solid effort against the 49ers and while the defense stunk, the offense had a great showing with 33 points. Jared Goff went off for 338 yards with three touchdowns against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going ip against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 55-23 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (297) Detroit Lions |
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09-19-21 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Game of the Month. Arizona is coming off a 38-13 blowout win over Tennessee in Week One and heads back to Arizona for its home opener. On offense, quarterback Kyler Murray threw four touchdown passes while also running for another. Minnesota is coming off a poor loss at Cincinnati as it fell 27-24 in overtime. This team is talented enough to overcome that and this is a good number. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems poor passing defense from last season that allowed 230 or more passing ypg, after allowing eight or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (287) Minnesota Vikings |
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09-19-21 | Raiders +6.5 v. Steelers | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. Pittsburgh is coming off an upset over Buffalo in Week One and now host the Raiders in Week Two. They beat Buffalo despite having just 252 yards of offense as the Steelers were outgained by 119 total yards. The Raiders are coming off an overtime win against the Ravens Monday night. Derek Carr is coming off a monster game as he threw the ball 56 times for 409 yards and two touchdowns. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems that averaged 275 or more passing ypg last season, after allowing seven or more passing ypa last game. This situation is 29-5 ATS (85.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (275) Las Vegas Raiders |
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09-12-21 | Steelers v. Bills -6.5 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. We think Buffalo will have a chip on its shoulder this season and why not take it out on one of the perennial AFC top teams. Buffalo returns 20 of 22 starters which is one of the best percentages in the NFL while the Steelers have plenty of new faces on both sides of the ball and are already dinged up with injuries. The Bills offense had the no. 2 passing offense in the NFL last season, and quarterback Josh Allen had a record season that helped Buffalo score more than 500 points in a season for the first time franchise history. Allen completed 9 of his first 10 passes against the Packers in the only preseason action and should be ready to go full force from the start. The Steelers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week One while the Bills are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in Week One. 10* (454) Buffalo Bills |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys v. Bucs -8 | Top | 29-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Opening Winner. The reigning Super Bowl Champions Tampa Bay will host Dallas in the NFL opener on Thursday night. The Cowboys welcome back Dak Prescott but not taking a snap in the preseason has us wondering how effective he will be coming off his ankle injury. The Buccaneers return all 22 starters from last season, the first time a Super Bowl team has done so since the 1970s. The Buccaneers were No. 1 in defense against the run last season, as well as No. 1 defense in Adjusted Line Yards allowed on runs up the middle which will put a lot of pressure on the depleted Dallas offensive line. The Dallas defense is likely to be extremely overmatched against Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown. 10* (452) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 155 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Game of the Month. Kansas City looks to win its second straight Super Bowl while Tom Brady will be playing in his 10th Super Bowl and searching for his seventh win. While Tampa Bay is considered the home underdog in this game, there is no real home field advantage based on fans but the comfort of their own stadium from locker room to site visions is and edge for the Buccaneers. Bet count is higher on the Chiefs, but money volume is higher on Tampa Bay which means smaller bettors are all over Kansas City but the big money bets are on the Buccaneers. One big factor that cannot be overlooked is the Tampa Bay pass rush against a depleted Kansas City offensive line. Kansas City was already without All-Pro right tackle Mitchell Schwartz and lost its Pro Bowl left tackle, Eric Fisher, to a torn Achilles in the AFC Championship Game. Shaquil Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul, who combined for five sacks at Green Bay and they should have another huge game here. Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS against teams allowing 5.65 yppl this season while the Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. Here, we play against road favorites outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing ypg on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 81-40 ATS (66.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3.5 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Conference Championship Game of the Year. The Packers are in their fourth conference championship since 2014 and playing at home is big. Green Bay has committed a league-low 11 turnovers this season, including only two during its current seven-game winning streak. The Packers have allowed just 21 sacks all season and did not give up any sacks last week against the Los Angeles Rams, who had 53 sacks during the regular season. While the Buccaneers finished the regular season with the 4th most passing yards, 4,776 yards, Tampa Bay finished near the bottom of the league with only 1,519 rushing yards and balance is key in this matchup. Tampa Bay allowed an average of 246.6 yards per game, which is inside the bottom third of the NFL. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 132-80 ATS (62.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (312) Green Bay Packers |
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01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Year. Tampa Bay looks for revenge after suffering a pair of losses against the Saints during the regular season. The Saints defeated the Buccaneers twice in the regular season, by a score of 34-23 in Week 1 and handily by a score of 38-3 in Week 9. Over the last five games since the Tampa Bay bye week, the Bucs have averaged 35.8 ppg as the offense has found its groove. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Saints are coming off a win over Chicago 21-9 as they dominated throughout but it is a bigger challenge this week. The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (307) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Green Bay is back in action following its bye week and has a big home field advantage here, not because of the crowd, but because of the weather and its familiarity to it. The Green Bay defense, which has allowed 25 points or less in its last six games, is an underrated unit and it will be facing an inconsistent Rams offense that has scored more than 30 points only twice in their last 10 games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff is only a few weeks removed from surgery on the thumb of his throwing hand. He appeared to struggle with his grip last week and that can only get worse in freezing temperatures. While the Rams defense is solid and ranked No. 1 in the NFL, Aaron Donald will almost certainly be playing, but with a rib injury and they are facing the No. 1 scoring offense in the NFL. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 131-79 ATS (62.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (302) Green Bay Packers |
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01-10-21 | Bears +10.5 v. Saints | Top | 9-21 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Wild Card Game of the Year. The Bears earned the No. 7 seed in the expanded playoff format when the Cardinals lost to the Rams in Week 17. They closed with three victories in four games to close the regular season and sneak into the playoffs. Mitch Trubisky was benched earlier this season and has started just nine games but the Bears went 6-3 in those games. The Bears offense has averaged 31.2 ppg over the final five weeks of the season, tied with the Saints for sixth in the NFL. While the Saints finished 12-4, they defeated only one team this season with a winning record. The Bears catch a break on offense as the Saints ruled out one of their top defensive playmakers, defensive end Trey Hendrickson, with a neck injury on Friday. He finished with a team high 13.5 sacks. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .730 or better in the second half of the season off a road win against a division rival. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (149) Chicago Bears |
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01-09-21 | Rams +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Los Angeles clinched a playoff spot last week with an 18-7 win over Arizona and will be out for revenge as Seattle held Los Angeles to less than 10 points for only the sixth time in the Sean McVay tenure. The Rams have not said whether starting quarterback Jared Goff or backup John Wolford will be under center to face the Seahawks and neither is a downgrade. The Rams defense was the best in the NFL by most statistical measures this season, finishing tops in both total yards allowed and points allowed while boasting the No. 1 pass defense as well. Seattle has slipped on offense as Russell Wilson was putting up MVP numbers but has digressed over the last few weeks. His only touchdown pass against the Rams since the arrival of Jalen Ramsey came in the fourth quarter two weeks ago. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games. This situation is 71-34 ATS (67.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (143) Los Angeles Rams |
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01-09-21 | Colts +6.5 v. Bills | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Saturday Afternoon Dominator. The Bills are hosting their first playoff game since 1996 and they are the talk of the NFL right now. Since Week 12, the Bills rank second in the NFL in yards per game (429.7), fourth in passing yards per game (305.2) and first in scoring (38.17). The Colts defense slipped some down the stretch but it is still a tough unit for the Bills to go against. Offensively, the Colts have scored the eighth most points in the league since Week 12. Quarterback Philip Rivers threw for the fourth-lowest interception total of his 17-year career in 2020 and was brilliant down the stretch, tossing eight touchdowns against two interceptions in the Colts final five games of the regular season. The Colts are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with a winning record. Play against teams coming off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 43-15 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (141) Indianapolis Colts |
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01-03-21 | Raiders v. Broncos +3 | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Raiders once promising season was derailed by five losses in the last six games following a 6-3 start, and their playoff hopes were permanently closed last week that resulted in a 26-25 last-second loss to Miami. It is letdown time. Denver has been struggling all season but this is a good spot with a good number. This could be a good spot for Drew Lock to finish strong as the Raiders have surrendered the eighth-most passing yards (259.2), the fifth-most yards per carry (4.7), the ninth-most total yards (385.3), and the fourth-most points per game (29.8). Here, we play on home teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points, off a close loss by three points or less to a division rival. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (130) Denver Broncos |
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01-03-21 | Falcons +7 v. Bucs | 27-44 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Atlanta looks to close out a disappointing season and it has been playing well of late. The team has gone 4-5 under interim coach Raheem Morris, including a 31-27 loss at home to Tampa Bay two weeks ago. Last time around, the Falcons proved that they could take advantage of the Buccaneers passing defense as is, as quarterback Matt Ryan threw for 356 yards and three touchdowns without wide receiver Julio Jones playing. Tampa Bay is now down two key players in the secondary. The Falcons have lost four straight games but all were within five points so this team continues to fight. Here, we play on road teams off a close road loss by three points or less, in the last two weeks of the regular season. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) since 1983. 9* (119) Atlanta Falcons |
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01-03-21 | Steelers v. Browns -9.5 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our AFC North Game of the Year. Pittsburgh scored 21 unanswered points to beat the Colts last week and clinched a home playoff game next week. The Steelers are resting starters this week with nothing to play for and they will be starting Mason Rudolph at quarterback. Additionally, defensive lineman Cam Heyward, center Maurkice Pouncey and linebacker T.J. Watt will stay back in Pittsburgh. The Browns need a win to get into the playoffs following a bad loss against the Jets last week but they were down two offensive linemen and their top four receivers. Three seasons removed from 0-16, Cleveland can exorcise demons for players and fans. Here, we play on favorites revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 61-28 ATS (68.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (110) Cleveland Browns |
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12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots +7 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The AFC East champion Bills have already clinched home-field advantage in the wild-card round. While they had a chance to get a first round bye with the top seed heading into Sunday, those chances were dashed with the Chiefs narrow victory over the Falcons so the only thing left for Buffalo is to stay healthy. While the Patriots have been eliminated from the playoffs, there is motivation for this proud franchise as they can keep alive their record streak of 19 seasons without getting swept by a divisional opponent. And Bills Mafia will add to that motivation as they won a contest for the best NFL fanbase this fall. The prize was a billboard proclaiming their supremacy, placed in an opposing town and of course the Buffalo fans picked a spot on Route 1 just four miles south of Gillette Stadium. The matchup itself is pretty much a wash based on offense against defense on both sides so this line is inflated based on records and standings. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 90-44 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (482) New England Patriots |
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12-27-20 | Rams +1 v. Seahawks | 9-20 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Rams are coming off a horrible loss to the Jets despite winning the yardage battle which snapped a two-game winning streak. Los Angeles can still the division with a wins over Seattle and in Week 17 against Arizona. The Rams also need one more win, or some help from others, to clinch a postseason berth. Los Angeles is eighth in the league in total yards (383.2) and 10th in red zone touchdown percentage (64.7%). NFL teams coming off a loss to a 0-8 or worse opponent are 7-0 ATS the following game when facing an opponent with a winner percentage of .444 or better coming off consecutive wins. Seattle has won two straight games to take over sole possession of first place in the NFC West but it is in a tough spot going up against the top ranked defense and the No. 1 ranked passing defense in the NFL. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games. This situation is 70-31 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (475) Los Angeles Rams |
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12-27-20 | Colts v. Steelers -1.5 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Pittsburgh has lost three straight games after an 11-0 start but can still clinch the division with a win on Sunday. One of the major reasons the Pittsburgh offense has taken a significant step backward in recent weeks is because of the running game unable to do much at all. The Steelers are the 31st-ranked rushing offense, but they might have found some momentum in Cincinnati after Benny Snell ran for 84 yards. Indianapolis has won three straight games but it was outgained in two of those while outgaining the Raiders by just 32 yards in the other one. The Steelers defense remains one of the best in the NFL as they are ranked No. 2 overall, against the pass and in scoring defense. On the other side, the Colts have dipped on defense as they have allowed 415.7 ypg over their last three games. Pittsburgh is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 home games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite while the Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (466) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-25-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7 | Top | 33-52 | Win | 106 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Friday Star Attraction. New Orleans is coming off a loss against Kansas City which was its second straight loss by a field goal but things are not that bad. The Saints can win the NFC South with a win over the Vikings when they kick off Week 16 on Christmas Day. Drew Brees did not play great in his return but that was expected against a tough Kansas City defense. The Vikings defense is a shell of its former self and just got gashed by the Bears for 199 yards rushing. If the Saints could find a way to have something similar, this game should not be close. New Orleans has a very underrated defense as the Saints are ranked No. 3 overall, No. 5 in passing defense, No. 4 in rushing defense and No. 6 in scoring defense. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Saints are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams who give up 27 or more ppg. Here, we play teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 37-7 ATS (84.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (452) New Orleans Saints |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals +15 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Pittsburgh has lost two straight games after an 11-0 start and while it will be motivated to bounce back before ending the season with two big games against Indianapolis and Cleveland, the Steelers are overpriced here. Cincinnati has lost five straight games and has averaged a mere 10 ppg over that stretch but getting over two touchdowns at home makes this a home contrarian play. Pittsburgh is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games laying double-digits on the road. It was announced that Ryan Finley will start for the Bengals and while that is a downgrade, he will be fine here. In the first meeting, a 36-10 loss, Joe Burrow was still the starter but he did not play well, yet the Bengals were outgained by just 53 total yards as the Steelers could not run the ball and they still cannot. The Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. 10* (370) Cincinnati Bengals |
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12-20-20 | Patriots +1.5 v. Dolphins | 12-22 | Loss | -102 | 44 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Cam Newton was awful last Thursday against the Rams but will have had nine days to recover from his lingering injury, which should help him perform better in this game. Even better for the Patriots is that head coach Bill Belichick has extra time to prepare after the embarrassing loss to the Rams and the Patriots are 9-2 SU and 9-2 ATS off a 20-point or more loss since 2003. New England destroyed the Chargers two weeks ago and Belichick is 11-0 in his last 11 games against rookie quarterbacks and 22-5 overall. Additionally, the Patriots, conversely have been much better on defense ever since Stephon Gilmore returned from injury. The Dolphins are banged up on offense as Mike Gesicki, DeVante Parker and Jakeem Grant all got hurt last week and are questionable/doubtful this week. The Patriots are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss, with a losing record. This situation is 41-17 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (353) New England Patriots |
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12-20-20 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team +6.5 | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 43 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Four consecutive victories fueled largely by rookie Chase Young and a talented defense have lifted Washington to a 6-7 record and a spot alone atop the NFC East heading into its matchup with Seattle. The Football Team was getting 3.5 points on the road last week against San Francisco and are now getting 6.5 points at home against Seattle. Sure, a lot of that has to do with the fact that Dwayne Haskins was named the starter this week but he has a much easier matchup against the Seahawks that remain dead last in the NFL in passing defense. Seattle is coming off a blowout win over the Jets but that is not saying a whole lot. The Seahawks can clinch a playoff spot with a victory as they sit at 9-4, tied with the Rams for first place in the NFC West. Seattle is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games after allowing six points or less last game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1983. 9* (356) Washington Football Team |
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12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings -3 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC North Game of the Year. This is a prime example of an overreaction to recent results. The look-ahead line on this game was Minnesota -6.5 but has been bet down to -3 in some places. The Vikings are coming off a 12-point loss against the Buccaneers but they outgained Tampa Bay and has 10 more first downs but were bad on third down which led to three missed field goals. On the other side, the Bears rolled over Houston 36-7 as Mitch Trubisky had one of his better games of his career. While the Minnesota defense is not going to strike fear into many teams, a repeat performance of that is unlikely. The Vikings won the first meeting by just six points but they outgained the Bears by 236 yards on the road. The key here is Kirk Cousins who was not horrible last week and he was facing the top defense in the league. He had a good game against Chicago in that first meeting. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (358) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-19-20 | Panthers +8.5 v. Packers | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Panthers are undervalued as despite a 4-9 record, they are better than that and still have a slim chance at a playoff spot. Carolina has won the yardage battle in eight of its 13 games as it has been more competitive than the record shows. The Panthers are getting outgained by just eight ypg while getting outscored by only two ppg. Seven of the nine losses have come by one possession so they have been in most games until the final whistle. Teddy Bridgewater has been terrific in this role as he 18-2 ATS as a non-divisional underdog including a perfect 10-0 ATS mark when getting more than a field goal. The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Packers have clinched the division and currently possess the top seed in the NFL so naturally, they are going to be overpriced. The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .750 or better coming off a road win against a division rival, in the second half of the season. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (343) Carolina Panthers |
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12-17-20 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Chargers are arguably the best team in the NFL with a losing record as seven losses have been by one possession including three games by a field goal or less. Over the last eight games, Los Angeles has outgained six of its opponents and in the two games it did not, it was outgained by just 33 and 7 yards. Despite being just 4-9, the Chargers are ranked in the top ten in both total offense and total defense, one of only four teams to be there, joining the Packers, Colts and Rams. The Raiders have lost three of their last four games and are falling out of the playoff picture in the AFC as they are currently the No. 9 seed. Turnovers have been an issue as over the last four games, Derek Carr thrown at least one pick in each game and fumbled three times against the Falcons. Las Vegas is 7-3 when he has one or fewer turnovers and 0-3 when he commits multiple giveaways. The Raiders are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing 25 points or more in three straight games while the Chargers are 32-15-4 ATS in their last 51 games as road underdogs. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 10 * (301) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-14-20 | Ravens -3 v. Browns | Top | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Baltimore is coming off a much needed win against Dallas as it snapped a three-game skid to remain in the hunt for an AFC playoff spot. The Lamar Jackson return got the Baltimore strong running game roaring as the Ravens averaged 7.9 ypc against the Cowboys while getting contributions from all three running backs. The key here is Baltimore getting off to a strong start which we anticipate as the Browns are 3-14 since drafting Baker Mayfield when he attempts at least 35 passes in a game. The Browns defense has not been dominant this season as it ranks No. 22 in points allowed and No. 19 overall. Cleveland has won four straight games but has not been dominant as it has outgained just one opponent by more than 100 yards. Baltimore linebacker Matthew Judon and tight end Mark Andrews will be back Monday after missing two straight games while on the COVID-19 list. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 60-25 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (179) Baltimore Ravens |
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12-13-20 | Steelers +2 v. Bills | Top | 15-26 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This game is nearly identical to the Washington/San Francisco game as the line is an overreaction to what happened on national television. The Steelers were upset by Washington and their undefeated record came to a halt while the Bills easily got past the 49ers in the second game. That cause a line flip as Pittsburgh was favored in the opening line last week but now comes in as underdogs. Pittsburgh turned the ball over twice on downs and another on an interception in squandering a 14-0 lead in that loss. The Bills looked great once again and the market loves them at this point. Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while Pittsburgh is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (177) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-13-20 | Washington Football Team v. 49ers -2.5 | Top | 23-15 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFC Game of the Month. This is a complete overreaction to last Monday and what transpired with Washington handing Pittsburgh its first loss of the season and the favored 49ers losing at home against the Bills. This is the third straight road game for Washington and while home field advantage is not what it is normally like, the travel is a concern, going from Dallas to Pittsburgh to San Francisco. The 49ers had their chances last week but a pair of interceptions really cost them. This is a good bounce back spot for San Francisco which is still alive for a playoff berth. Washington is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the 49ers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against teams playing their third straight game and seeking revenge coming off an underdog win and covering the spread by more than 13 points. This situation is 10-0 ATS (100 percent) since 1980. 10* (176) San Francisco 49ers |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals -2 v. Giants | 26-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Two teams going in opposite directions face off and we are going with the favored Cardinals to get back in the hunt. The Cardinals have lost three straight and four of five in seeing their hopes dim for their first postseason berth since 2015 to fall to 6-6 on the season. The Giants are riding a four-game winning streak in attempting to become the first team in the NFL to start winless in five games and make the playoffs. It would be their first postseason appearance since 2016. During the current winning streak, the Giants defense has held each of the last four opponents to 20 points or less but this is a unique offense to face. The Giants are 2-10 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams averaging 5.0 or more rushing ypc while the Cardinals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage of .500 or better that are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games going up against teams coming off a straight up underdogs win. This situation is 19-3 ATS (86.4 percent) since 1980. 9* (157) Arizona Cardinals |
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12-13-20 | Vikings v. Bucs -6.5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Tampa Bay is in a great spot here. After losing three of four to division title contenders prior to the bye last week, the Buccaneers are not in a position to take any opponent for granted. Especially the Vikings have won five of six games following a 1-5 start. This is a must win for Tampa Bay who has made the playoffs since 2007. Tom Brady is 46-21 against the spread following a defeat, and if you exclude games in which he is favored by a touchdown or more, he is 38-10 against the spread after losing. Minnesota struggled to win in overtime against Jacksonville last week and it catches Tampa Bay at the wrong time. Minnesota is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 road games after a win by three or less points while the Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 36-7 ATS (83.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (164) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams -5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. New England is coming off a 45-0 shellacking of the Chargers but special teams played a big role in that as the Patriots outgained the Chargers by just 33 total yards. They managed only 291 total yards and have averaged a mere 235 total yards over the last two games and now faces one of the best defenses in the NFL. Los Angeles is ranked No. 2 overall, No. 1 against the pass and No. 3 against the run. Cam Newton does possess the ability to move the pocket and run the ball but so does Kyler Murray and the Rams held him to just 15 yards rushing and only 232c total yards for the Cardinals overall. On the other side, the Patriots defense has been playing better, obviously by them pitching a shutout last week, but that was against a rookie quarterback where Bill Belichick improved to 21-5 against rookie quarterbacks. The Rams are ranked No. 3 overall in total offense and New England will be challenged here. Los Angeles is are 6-0 ATS in its last six games after a game where its time of possession was 34 minutes or more and it gained 24 or more first downs. Meanwhile, the Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. 10* (102) Los Angeles Rams |
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12-08-20 | Cowboys v. Ravens -8.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Bad news and good news for Baltimore as it is on the outside looking in as the No. 9 seed in the AFC but it gets Lamar Jackson back and the remaining schedule is one of the easiest remaining in the league. Four of the last five games are against teams with losing records including three that have three wins or less. One of those is on Tuesday facing the 3-8 Cowboys which are coming off a 41-16 blowout loss on Thanksgiving against the Redskins. Jackson will be activated and will start hoping to snap a three-game losing streak. The run game will be in full effect as the Ravens are ranked No. 2 in rushing offense. The Cowboys entered the weekend ranked No. 24 in the NFL in defensive efficiency while their run defense was No. 29. On the other side, the Cowboys have used 15 unique combinations on their offensive line through 10 games. Four players have seen action at left tackle and now there will be no Zack Martin making matters even worse. Here, we play on teams averaging 5.4 to 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 35-7 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (484) Baltimore Ravens |
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12-07-20 | Washington Football Team v. Steelers -6.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. This line has been bet down considerably with a lot of that based on the most recent results as well as the rest factor and the fact that Ben Roethlisberger has ended up on the injury report. Washington has not played since Thanksgiving when in trampled Dallas 41-16 so it is on significant rest which can be good or bad as it could kill momentum. Pittsburgh is coming off a Wednesday win over Baltimore 19-14 but the Steelers dominated that game as they outgained the Ravens by 115 total yards. Baltimore got the cover on a 70-yard touchdown pass late in the game so the yardage differential should have been bigger if not for that fluke play. Washington is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road teams coming off a win by 21 or more points as an underdog going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 22-5 ATS (81.5 percent) since 1983. If Roethlisberger is a late scratch, this is a NO PLAY but he did practice Sunday. 10* (488) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-06-20 | Rams v. Cardinals +3 | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our Sunday NFL Enforcer. The Cardinals are 6-5 as they have lost two straight games to fall into the No. 7 seed in the NFC. Arizona is 4-3 over its last seven games but the three losses have come by one possession including two by three points. They have failed to cover four straight games and despite being just a game behind the Rams, they are home underdogs which is based on that four-game winless cover streak. Los Angeles is also coming off a three-point loss as it lost at home against the 49ers on a last second field goal. The Rams do possess recent big wins over Tampa Bay and Seattle but the others have come against reeling Chicago and the entire NFC East. Los Angeles is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 road games against winning teams that are coming off consecutive losses. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (470) Arizona Cardinals |
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12-06-20 | Lions +3 v. Bears | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS as part of our Sunday NFL Trifecta. Both Detroit and Chicago are on rough skids but we side with the Lions here as they will be playing hard for their new interim head coach Darrell Bevell. The Lions get some extra rest here following their Thanksgiving blowout loss against Houston which ultimately lead to the ousting of head coach Matt Patricia. The Bears have lost five straight games and even when they were 5-1, there were big problems on offense. Lately, a defense that ranked among the top 10 for most of the season has not been able to carry them. And the loss against last week Green Bay was particularly ugly. The Bears are 0-12 ATS since Nov 10, 2013 coming off a game as an underdog where the total was at least 40 and they had a rusher with at least 102 rushing yards. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off a road loss, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 49-19 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (451) Detroit Lions |
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12-06-20 | Bengals +11.5 v. Dolphins | 7-19 | Loss | -117 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS as part of our Sunday NFL Trifecta. Even though Joe Burrow is out, the Dolphins have no business laying a number this big especially with Kansas City and New England on deck, making this a big lookahead spot. They have won six of their last seven games but they have been outgained in three of their last five games. Cincinnati was extremely competitive last week against the Giants as the defense has played very well of late, allowing 20 points or less in three out of its last four games. The Dolphins are 0-20 ATS in their last 20 home games against non-divisional opponents that had at least two fewer wins the previous regular season. Meanwhile, the Bengals are 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog coming off a game as an underdog of more than three points where they gained no more than 15 first downs. Here, we play against home favorites of 10.5 or more points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after covering the spread in two out of their last three games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 66-29 ATS (69.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (453) Cincinnati Bengals |
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12-06-20 | Colts -3 v. Texans | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS as part of our Sunday NFL Trifecta. Houston is coming off a blowout win over Detroit on Thanksgiving but it is in a tough spot here. The Texans defense has been awful as the Texans are ranked No. 30 in total defense and they suffered a serious blow this week when cornerback Bradley Roby along with wide receiver Will Fuller who were suspended six games each for violating the NFL PED policy. The Colts are coming off a tough loss to the Titans but have won four of six and rank No. 5 in the league in total defense. Deshawn Watson is having a solid season but Indianapolis in ranked No. 6 against the pass. The Colts are sitting in the No. 7 spot in the AFC and needs to move up as to not face Kansas City in the Wild Card round. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season that are averaging 265 or more passing ypg going up against teams allowing between 230 and 265 passing ypg, after allowing seven or more passing ypa in two straight games. This situation is 34-8 ATS (81 percent) since 1983. 9* (455) Indianapolis Colts |
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11-30-20 | Seahawks -6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Seattle took out Arizona last Thursday to snap a two-game slide and the extra prep time here is big. The Seahawks get Chris Carson back and with Carlos Hyde also back in the mix, Russell Wilson has the ability to be more efficient. The Seahawks are third overall in total offense and first in the league in scoring offense. The Eagles are a game and a half out of first place in the NFC East as they have been outgained in three straight games. Carson Wentz has had issues all season as he leads the NFL with 18 turnovers, including 14 interceptions, and has career lows in completion percentage (58.4) and passer rating (73.3). The arrival of Carlos Dunlap in a trade from Cincinnati has helped the Seahawks turn up the pass rush in recent weeks. Seattle has 16 sacks over the past four games, including three sacks last week of Arizona's Kyler Murray. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a losing home record while the Eagles are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games after one or more consecutive losses. 10* (275) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-29-20 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Chiefs got their revenge as they rallied for a 35-31 win over the Raiders to move to 9-1 on the season. Patrick Mahomes has been masterful as he has thrown for 1,136 yards in his last three games while adding 11 touchdowns and just a single interception. Tampa Bay is 7-4 but the inconsistencies continue as just two of the seven wins have come against teams with winning records. The Chiefs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game while the Buccaneers are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game going up against an opponent after gaining 4.5 or less passing ypa in last game. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (271) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-29-20 | Raiders v. Falcons +3 | 6-43 | Win | 103 | 25 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Falcons had won three of four games before losing to New Orleans last Sunday to fall to 3-7 on the season but they are in a great spot here as they head back home and catch a tam travelling from the west coast for an early game. Las Vegas lost to the Chiefs which was a tough defeat in the last two minutes but holding down that Kansas City offense in the last few minutes was next to impossible. The Raiders are now 6-4 and are an overpriced road favorite this week. The Raiders are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games against defenses allowing 7.5 or more ypa while the Falcons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. Here, we play on teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against a team with a defense allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 33-7 ATS (82.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (252) Atlanta Falcons |
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11-29-20 | Panthers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC Game of the Year. The Panthers are coming off a 20-0 shutout win over Detroit last week to snap a five-game losing streak. Carolina has really struggled in stopping the run all season and even though it held Detroit in check, the Lions were short-handed and Dalvin Cook has been a beast. Minnesota lost to Dallas as a touchdown favorite despite outgaining the Cowboys by 55 total yards which snapped a three-game winning streak. Christian McCaffrey missed six games with a high ankle sprain earlier and will likely sit out a third straight game on Sunday with a shoulder problem. The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (260) Minnesota Vikings |
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11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions +3 | Top | 41-25 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford and the offense is coming off a tough outing as they were shutout in a 20-0 loss against the Panthers. The Lions have lost three of their last four games and at 4-6 are mathematically alive for the postseason making this a must win game. It was the first time Detroit has been shut out in 11 years so we can expect a bounce back here. They face a Houston defense that is ranked second to last in the NFL. The Texans have won two of three games since their bye and are coming off a 27-20 win over the Patriots. The Texans announced a slew of players will not make the trip to Detroit for the game including receivers Kenny Stills and Randall Cobb. Here, we play on teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 33-6 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (122) Detroit Lions |
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11-22-20 | Chiefs -7.5 v. Raiders | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Kansas City is coming off its bye week following four straight wins and we all know how good Andy Reid is coming off a bye week. The Chiefs are now 8-1 on the season and that lone loss was at home against Las Vegas so there will be a little extra in the tank for their division rival. The offense leads the way as they are ranked No. 2 overall and they lead the NFL in passing offense at 294.7 ypg. They will go up against a Raiders defense that in No. 25 against the pass and No. 21 overall. The Raiders have caught fire with three straight wins following a 1-3 stretch and they are now sitting at 6-3 and right in the think of the playoffs. They are outscoring opponents by just 1 ppg compared to 12 ppg for Kansas City so that is a huge disparity. Kansas City is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons while Las Vegas is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 10* (471) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-22-20 | Dolphins v. Broncos +4 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 47 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The improbable Miami turnaround continues as it has won five straight games to keep pace in the AFC East behind Buffalo. Tua Tagovailoa has won all three of his starts but the Dolphins were outgained badly against the Rams and Cardinals and outgained the Chargers by just seven yards last weekend. They have used an opportunistic defense as Miami is fourth in the league with 15 takeaways but while that has helped keep scoring down, the unit as a whole has not been great as the Dolphins are ranked No. 19 overall, No. 20 against the pass and No. 22 against the run. Miami is 25-44 when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. Denver has struggled to a 3-6 record including a pair of road losses against Las Vegas and Atlanta over its last two games. Denver is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 home games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival and 6-0 ATS in its last six games after a loss by 14 or more points. 9* (476) Denver Broncos |
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11-22-20 | Titans v. Ravens -5 | 30-24 | Loss | -117 | 44 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. This is a revenge game for Baltimore after losing 28-12 against Tennessee in the AFC Divisional Round last season. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson had three turnovers in that loss and he has not been as sharp as he was earlier in the season but he squares off against a bad Tennessee defense that is ranked No. 25 overall. Baltimore leads the NFL in rushing offense at 164.0 ypg and getting that going here will be key. The Ravens are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against the AFC. Tennessee has lost three of its last four games with the lone win coming against a poor Chicago team. The most recent loss was against Indianapolis at home as the Titans lost by 17 points. Overall, Tennessee is getting outgained by an average of 24 ypg which may not seem significant but it is when the record is 6-3. The Titans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. 9* (466) Baltimore Ravens |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Seattle let us down on Sunday as it scored a season low 16 points but it also allowed just 23 points which tied for a season low and with how the defense has been, that is a big deal against a solid Rams defense. The Seahawks have lost their last two games and three of their last four after a 5-0 start to the season. Russell Wilson has tried to do too much bit it should be scaled back here. In 2018, when the Seahawks passed on fewer than half their plays, he had the best passer rating of his career (110.9) and was fourth in the league in touchdown passes (35). Expect a heavy run game against the Cardinals which are very average against the run. The return of running back Chris Carson is huge. The Cardinals beat the Bills 32-30 last week as Kyler Murray connected with DeAndre Hopkins for a 43-yard Hail Mary touchdown pass with 2 seconds left in the game. Arizona has won for of its last five games to take over first place in the NFC West but this is not a good spot coming off that miracle and facing a desperate Seahawks team. Seattle is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games after two or more consecutive losses while going 6-0 ATS in its last six home games off a loss by seven points or less to a division rival. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, versus division opponents. This situation is 35-8 ATS (81.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -100 | 49 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Chicago has lost three straight games to fall to 5-4 on the season. The Bears were handled by the Rams without much resistance but they played a great game against New Orleans to lose in overtime and while they lost to Tennessee by a touchdown last week, they outgained the Titans by 147 total yards but they were -2 in turnovers. This included a fumble being returned 63 yards for a touchdown. The Vikings are coming off a pair of wins over Green Bay and Detroit to move to 3-5 on the season but they were +4 in turnovers in those two games. The Bears defense could be the difference here as they are ranked No. 9 overall and No. 7 in scoring defense. Dalvin Cook has just 86 yards on 34 carries in three career games against the Bears. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, since joining the Vikings in 2018, is 0-3 with just three touchdown passes, two interceptions and one lost fumble against Chicago. While the Bears offense has been an issue, the Vikings defense is struggling as they are No. 29 0verall, including No. 30 against the pass, and No. 25 in scoring defense. Chicago is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games against teams averaging 5.0 or more rushing ypc while going 19-4 ATS in their last 23 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. Meanwhile, the Vikings are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 Monday games. 10* (276) Chicago Bears |
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11-15-20 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Rams | Top | 16-23 | Loss | -104 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFC West Game of the Year. Seattle is coming off its second loss of the season as it fell at Buffalo 44-34. The defense continues to be an issue as Seattle is allowing a league-worst 362 yards per game passing, on pace to shatter the NFL record for most passing yards allowed in a season. The Rams offense has been off of late as they have scored 17 points or less in three of their last five games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff struggled in his last game, going 35 for 61 with four turnovers while Los Angeles scored only 17 points in losing to Miami. They do have the benefit of coming off a bye week but facing Russell Wilson off a loss is bad news as he is 13-1 in 14 starts coming off a loss and playing with revenge. The Rams defense is strong but they have played only two teams with a winning record and they are 4-0 against the putrid NFC East. Seattle is 7-0 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while Los Angeles 17-50 ATS in its last 67 games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. Here, we play against home favorites after a loss by 10 or more points going up against an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. This situation is 95-51 ATS (65. Percent) since 1983. 10* (269) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-15-20 | Bills v. Cardinals -2.5 | 30-32 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Buffalo has gotten back on track with three straight wins. The Bills are now 7-2 on the season but two of those wins came against the winless Jets while in three other wins, they were outgained by their opponent. The Bills defense might finally be finding an identity with coordinator Leslie Frazier taking a more aggressive approach. In its past three games, Buffalo has generated 13 sacks and seven takeaways which is a big difference from its first six outings in which it combined for 11 sacks and seven takeaways. However, they now face a very dynamic offense with Kyler Murray proving he is a star in the making. The Cardinals are ranked No. 1 in total offense including No. 2 in rushing offense. Arizona had its three-game winning streak snapped with a three-point loss to the Dolphins but it actually outgained Miami by 130 total yards as it was hurt by a costly fumble that was returned for a touchdown. Arizona is 7-0 ATS defenses allowing 7 or more passing ypa while going 26-11 ATS in home games off a home loss. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 10 or more as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1983. 9* (268) Arizona Cardinals |
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11-15-20 | Chargers +1.5 v. Dolphins | 21-29 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Chargers are 2-6, with their losses by a combined 24 points, but quarterback Justin Herbert has been terrific since becoming the starter in Week Two. He has 2,146 yards with 17 touchdowns and just five picks for a passer rating of 104.7. Despite losses in the last two games against Denver and Las Vegas, the Chargers won the yardage battle in both games by 134 and 120 yards, respectively. Miami has won four straight games including the last two with Tua Tagovailoa behind center but those games were won with smoke and mirrors as the Dolphins were outgained by 426 total yards. They scored three defensive/special teams touchdowns over that stretch. The defense is getting a lot of credit but Miami is just No. 22 in total defense including No. 26 against the pass and No. 21 against the run. The Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games after scoring 25 points or more in 4 straight games while Miami is 5-20 ATS in its last 25 home games after a win by three or less points. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 57-23 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1983. 9* (277) Los Angeles Chargers |
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11-12-20 | Colts +1 v. Titans | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Tennessee snapped a two-game losing skid with a win over Chicago but it was skewed as the Titans were outgained by 147 total yards. They have not topped 24 points in three straight games, and slow starts have been an issue, only one field goal in the first quarter combined in that span. As effective as the Bears were in slowing the Titans offense, the Colts defense is rated even higher and they pair it with a better offense. Indianapolis is ranked first in the NFL in total defense while coming in at No. 3 in both rushing defense and scoring defense. The Indianapolis defense turned in another strong performance last week, holding the Ravens almost 40 percent below their average rushing total while allowing just 266 total yards. On the other side, nobody has allowed fewer sacks than the Colts, who have given up only eight. The Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home while the Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (121) Indianapolis Colts |
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11-09-20 | Patriots v. Jets +10 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. This is not a matchup that many will be wanting to witness but it is an intriguing game to see which team can bounce back. The Patriots are 2-5, well back of first place in the AFC East. Injuries have played havoc on the Patriots ability to establish consistency on both sides of the ball but it is mostly the offense that has struggled. They entered the week ranked 29th in the NFL averaging 19.4 ppg as part of the reason for their lack of production can be traced to their poor starts. A loss here would mark New England's first five-game losing streak since 1995. The Jets are winless at 0-8 and they have covered only one game this season which came in their last home game against a really good Buffalo team. Sam Darnold has been ruled out but that is not a bad thing as he has the worst passer rating in the NFL and he will be replaced by veteran Joe Flacco. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems averaging 5.3 or less ypa going up against teams allowing 7.3 or more ypa after allowing 8.0 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 21-4 ATS (84 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Jets |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs -4.5 | 38-3 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Tampa Bay was just going through the motions last Monday against the Giants as it won by two points following a controversial no call on a Giants two-point conversion that would have put the game into overtime. It is safe to say the Buccaneers were in lookahead mode to this game considering this is a revenge game from Week One when the Saints won 34-23. This is a different team now as Tom Brady was playing his first game and the offense is now getting healthy and clicking. They did put up a clunker in their loss against the Bears but in the six wins surrounding that defeat, Tampa Bay has averaged 34.2 ppg. While the offense has been potent, the defense is even better as the Buccaneers are No. 3 in total defense including No. 1 against the rush. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. New Orleans is a half-game behind Tampa Bay in the NFC South following a four-game winning streak. Those wins have been by just 3.8 ppg including two overtime wins by a field goal. New Orleans has won the yardage in six of seven games, the only exception being the game against Tampa Bay. The Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 9* (474) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Blowout Game of the Year. Miami is coming off one of the more improbable wins we have ever seen. The Dolphins defeated the Rams 28-17 last Sunday despite being outgained by 326 total yards as they managed just 145 total yards and had only eight first downs. They took advantage of four turnovers, including a 78-yard fumble return for a touchdown, and an 88-yard punt return for a touchdown. It was the third straight win for Miami but the others came against the winless Jets and the banged up 49ers while its other victory earlier in the season came against 1-6 Jacksonville. While the Dolphins have the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL, they are just No. 20 in total defense. The disparity is due to the defense has 13 takeaways which is tied for No. 5 in the league. Arizona does not give the ball away though as it has just nine giveaways and the offense has shifted into a new gear. The Cardinals are coming off their bye week and now possess the top ranked offense in the NFL, averaging 419.1 ypg. Arizona is 5-2 on the season with a scoring differential of +41 which is fourth best in the NFC. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in weeks 5 through 9. This situation is 56-25 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Arizona Cardinals |
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11-08-20 | Ravens -1 v. Colts | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 49 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We lost with the Ravens last week despite the fact they outgained the Steelers by 236 total yards but four turnovers did them in. It was an incredibly rare loss historically as teams that rush for at least 250 yards and outgain their opponent by more than double are now 215-2-1. Baltimore is now 5-2 on the season but it has dropped four of its last five against the number and that is part of the reason this number has shrunk from an opener of -3. Baltimore has won nine straight road games, which is the longest active streak in the NFL, while the defense has forced a turnover in 20 straight games. The Ravens also have scored 20 or more points in 30 successive games, tied for the longest streak in NFL history and they also have rushed for 100 yards in 30 straight games. The Colts have won two straight games and five of their last six but of those five wins, only one has come against a winning team which is the Bears and they are one of the worst winning teams in the league. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 56-23 ATS (70.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (459) Baltimore Ravens |
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11-08-20 | Giants v. Washington Football Team -2.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -108 | 49 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Washington can move within a half-game of idle, first-place Philadelphia in the NFC East by evening the season series with the Giants. That would make the Washington Football Team 3-1 in the division and only increase the confidence growing around the young team. They have played well in their last two games as they rolled over Dallas and lost to the Giants by just one point despite winning the yardage battle by 97 total yards. That makes this a revenge game for Washington which is laying a favorable number. The Washington defense has been excellent as it is ranked No. 4 overall and No. 1 against the pass, making this a good matchup here. This will be Washington's first home game this season with fans in attendance and while they will be limited, it still makes a difference. The Giants are coming off a really good game Monday night against Tampa Bay as it was a two-point conversion away from sending the game into overtime. Even though this is a revenge game, that could spell a letdown. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage of 25 percent or worse after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (466) Washington Football Team |
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11-05-20 | Packers -5.5 v. 49ers | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Packers are coming off a loss against Minnesota despite outgaining the Vikings by 76 total yards as they were killed by Dalvin Cook and his 226 total yards and four touchdowns. Green Bay is thin at running back so the passing game and Aaron Rodgers will be big as usual. Davante Adams has been terrorizing secondaries since returning from a hamstring injury that sidelined him for two and a half games as he has 20 catches for 249 yards and five touchdowns in the last two games, including three against the Vikings Sunday. The offensive line remains outstanding as they have given up just eight sacks this season, the third-fewest in the league. Making it even more impressive is that All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari has missed the last two games but has a good chance to be back on Thursday. The 49ers injuries continue to mount up as Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle are both back on the injury list. The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Green Bay Packers |
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11-02-20 | Bucs v. Giants +13 | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South standings thanks to a 5-2 record and come in with a two-game winning streak. They are laying a big number here which is no surprise but this is a tough test based on the situation. This will be the Buccaneers third road game over the last four weeks in a stretch that featured games against the Bears and Packers. Also, there is a massive look-ahead factor with a home game against the Saints coming up, a team they lost to back in Week One. The Giants have had extra time to prepare for this one following a tough loss against the Eagles last Thursday after blowing a 22-10 lead. The defense does not get enough credit for what it has done, limiting four teams to 24 points or less. The Buccaneers are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (274) New York Giants |
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11-01-20 | Cowboys +9 v. Eagles | 9-23 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The Cowboys struggles are well known as they fell to 2-5 following their second straight blowout loss in which they lost their second quarterback with Andy Dalton nearly getting his head taken off. He is questionable and if Dalton is out Sunday, Ben DiNucci is slated to be the starter which does not inspire a ton of confidence but that has been taken into consideration in this line. Dallas has not covered a single spread this season, going 0-7 ATS and that is putting the majority of money on the Eagles which makes this the perfect contrarian situation. Ezekiel Elliott still does not have a 100-yard outing and he had never gone more than two games deep in a season without hitting 100 yards. That should change against a bad Philadelphia rushing defense. The Eagles secured their second win of the season in a come-from-behind win over the Giants and while injuries are plaguing the Cowboys, it is not much better for Philadelphia either. The offense has struggled behind a busted up offensive line as they are ranked No. 25 overall and No. 24 in scoring. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are being outscored by opponents by seven or more ppg, after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 122-66 ATS (64.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (271) Dallas Cowboys |
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11-01-20 | 49ers v. Seahawks -3 | 27-37 | Win | 106 | 73 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Seattle is coming off its first loss of the season as it lost in overtime against Arizona despite outgaining the Cardinals by 53 total yards. The offense racked up 572 yards of total offense but the defense let the Seahawks down and it was the first time that it bit them. They return home where they are 3-0 but a play in each of those games going against them could make them 0-3 as they were outgained in all three of those games. The historically bad defense has caught up with the lines as this number has been bet down from an opening of five to its current number. The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game. San Francisco has won two straight games but this remains banged up as the injury list is significant. Last week they outgained New England by 226 total yards and the 33-6 defeat was the worst home loss for the Patriots ever under Bill Belichick and that is certainly playing a part with this number as well. San Francisco is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games after allowing six points or less last game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing six points or less last game going up against an opponent after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (270) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-01-20 | Titans v. Bengals +6 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 69 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Tennessee suffered its first loss of the season last week against the Steelers as it nearly rallied from a 27-7 deficit but just fell short and this despite a 3-0 turnover advantage. The Titans now hit the road for the first time since September 27 and as a significant favorite. Only one of their five wins has been by more than six points and even in that game against the Bills, they were outgained. The Titans are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a losing home record. Cincinnati is coming off a tough loss against Cleveland and despite the 1-5-1 record, the Bengals have been more competitive than anyone would have thought. They had a bad loss at Baltimore but the other four losses have come by an average of 3.8 ppg and none by more than five points. Joe Burrow has proven to be the right choice for the No. 1 pick as he has been sensational as he has thrown for 300 or more yards in five of his last six games. Cincinnati is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 home games after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .250 or less off a loss by three points or less to a division rival, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (258) Cincinnati Bengals |
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11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC North Game of the Year. This is a rescheduled game as both Pittsburgh and Baltimore were supposed to be on their bye week. Instead the Steelers had their bye week in Week Four while the Ravens had their bye week last week which is a significant edge in this matchup. Pittsburgh is now the lone undefeated team in the NFL but we expect that to end abruptly on Sunday after coming of a physical game against the Titans only to face an ever tougher test against the Baltimore defense. The lookahead line in this game was -6 so the Steelers are getting a lot of credit with a lot of that based on the undefeated record obviously but also because they have covered four straight games. Pittsburgh is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games after a win by six or less points. Baltimore failed to cover its last game against the Eagles as it had a big lead only to let Philadelphia get back into it. Under head coach John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 12-3 after a bye wile going 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 72-34 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (282) Baltimore Ravens |
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10-29-20 | Falcons +3 v. Panthers | Top | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Atlanta is coming off another brutal loss to fall to 1-6 in this already lost season. Detroit drove down the field, 75 yards in eight plays, and scored on an 11-yard touchdown pass as time expired. Give this team credit however as the Falcons continue to fight every week as they have been outgained by just 174 total yards and they are only -23 in scoring differential as four of their six losses have come by just one possession including three by four points or less. Atlanta will be out for revenge following a seven-point loss to the Panthers in Week Five, but it was without Julio Jones and Matt Ryan had his worst game of the season as he threw for just 226 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. The Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. Carolina is coming off a loss at New Orleans to fall to 3-4. While the Panthers lost by just three points, they were outgained by 132 total yards and managed just 283 total yards. Running back Christian McCaffrey is off the IR but is a longshot to play. The Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games, playing a losing team. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Nobody is talking about the 5-1 Bears and for good reason. Their defense is particularly good as usual, but the offense is one of the worst in the league as they are ranked No. 27 or lower in total offense, rushing offense, passing offense and scoring offense. Chicago does own a win over Tampa Bay, but it was outgained in that game by 96 yards and overall, it has been outgained in five of six games on the season. The Rams are coming off a loss to the 49ers to fall to 4-2 on the season but with the Seahawks loss last night, they can stay right in the mix with a victory tonight. Chicago ranks top-10 in pass yards allowed per game and has surrendered a league-best one touchdown to a wide receiver, but the Robert Woods/Cooper Kupp duo will be their toughest test to date. The Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record while going 8-24 in their last 32 road games against teams averaging 375 or more ypg. The Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. 10* (476) Los Angeles Rams |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is one of three remaining undefeated teams in the league and we fell that there will be just one after Sunday as the other two teams square off against each other. The Seahawks are the worst of the undefeated teams as they have been outgained in all five games and by an average of 75 ppg. They are dead last in total defense and while it is a small sample size, it is the worst defense in yards allowed in the history of the league should this pace continue. Seattle will be missing All-Pro safety Jamal Adams who has been ruled out for the third straight game due to a groin injury. Arizona is rolling along as following a 31-10 win over the Cowboys last week, the Cardinals are 4-2 which is their best start since 2015. Possessing one of the most productive offenses led by Kyler Murray and receiver DeAndre Hopkins as well as the No. 2 scoring defense, Arizona has arrived as a contender. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in its last six games against teams allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa. 10* (468) Arizona Cardinals |
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10-25-20 | Bucs v. Raiders +4.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Late Afternoon Winner. This is an ADD ON due to the Raiders offensive line being cleared to play after it was possible that the entire starting linemen would miss this game due to COVID-19. Tampa Bay is coming off an upset win over previously undefeated Green Bay and now the Buccaneers head west in a possible trap game. They are now 4-2 and sit atop the NFC South thanks mostly to the top ranked defense in the NFL. The Raiders offense is ranked No. 6 in both total offense and scoring offense and with the entire offensive line able to play, they can have success here. On the other side, the pass rush will be the most important element of the Raiders defense. Here, we play against road teams coming off an upset win by 21 or more points as an underdog going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (474) Las Vegas Raiders |
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10-25-20 | Packers -3 v. Texans | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Packers dropped their first game of the season last week against Tampa Bay as they built a 10-0 lead, but a pair of interceptions changed momentum and the Buccaneers scored 38 unanswered points. Expect Green Bay to bounce back here, especially Aaron Rodgers. He is coming off a dreadful performance as he committed his first turnovers of the season while completing just 47.5 percent of his passes. He goes up against a Houston passing defense that has allowed 13 touchdowns, tied for No. 25 in the league while picking off just one pass, tied for lowest in the NFL. Additionally, the Texans are allowing a 69.6 completion percentage. Houston is coming off an overtime loss against Tennessee to fall to 1-5 on the season and even with a strong passing game, they are outmatched in this one. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems that are averaging 5.7 or more yppl, after being outgained 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 92-49 ATS (65.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (465) Green Bay Packers |
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10-25-20 | Steelers +1.5 v. Titans | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. This is the game of the day as both Pittsburgh and Tennessee come in at 5-0. The Titans may be a bit overrated however as four of the five wins have come by a combined 12 points, and all against losing teams, while in the lone blowout win, they were outgained by Buffalo. Pittsburgh has played a weak schedule as well, but it has been more dominant with a +65 scoring differential, which is second best in football. The Steelers defense is second-best in the league as well as second against the rush which is important against the Titans. A big reason the Steelers defense has forced and capitalized on turnovers is their elite pass-rushing abilities as the unit leads the league with 24 sacks. On the other side, Tennessee allows 129 more ypg on defense than the Steelers. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (477) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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10-22-20 | Giants v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. While the Giants have looked better over their last two games, losing a close game against Dallas and defeating Washington last week, this offense remains extremely limited. They were outgained both times and put up just 240 yards against Washington. The Eagles put together a comeback last week against the Ravens but still fell short and are now 1-4-1. Injuries are the story for both teams, so the depth of the Eagles is an advantage. The New York offensive line might be in worse shape than the Eagles and the Giants are also without star running back Saquon Barkley, wide receiver Sterling Shepard, and thanks to an injury sustained in Week Six, they could possibly be without wide receiver Darius Slayton. Carson Wentz having a trustworthy receiver like Travis Fulgham opens up the playbook as the offense has been decimated with injuries. Still, in the end, they put up an average of 28.5 ppg against two of the best defenses in the league over the last two weeks. The Giants are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five Thursday games. 10* (304) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys -1 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Cowboys are off to a 2-3 start but still lead the NFC East thanks to the other three teams possessing just one victory. The string of 72 straight starts for Dak Prescott to begin his career will end Monday when Andy Dalton makes his initial start as a Cowboy and his first start in anything other than a Bengals uniform. We saw last week what he is still capable of and with the weapons around him, he can thrive in this situation. So, the Cowboys not only get a proven starter but one with something still to prove. Dallas comes in with the No. 1 offense in the league and it has outgained each of its last four opponents. The Cowboys can help ease the sting of losing Prescott by being more balanced on offense and having running back Ezekiel Elliott shoulder a larger share of the load. The Cardinals present a good opportunity for the Cowboys to establish a strong running game as they are allowing 4.5 ypg on the ground. The Cardinals are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games. 10* (276) Dallas Cowboys |