Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The 49ers are off to a rough 2-3 start with both wins coming against the winless Jets and Giants. Injuries have played a big role in this, but they are getting healthier and this is a must win to stay alive in the NFC West. San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has a sprained right ankle and while it might not be at full strength just yet, it is as close as it has been since before he injured it back in Week Two. According to Pro Football Focus, Garoppolo threw just 13 percent of his total passes accurately, and he ended up with a 32.6 passing grade, which was good for the second-worst grade of the season. The Rams are 4-1 but all four wins have come against teams from the NFC East, easily the worst division in the NFL. The 49ers defense has been banged up but is still ranked No. 5 overall and No. 3 against the pass. The Rams are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games after allowing 3.5 or less yppl in their previous game while the 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. 10* (274) San Francisco 49ers |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs +1.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Tampa Bay is coming off a loss at Chicago last Thursday to fall to 3-2, snapping a three-game winning streak. The Buccaneers have won the yardage battle in four of their five games and the passing game is starting to click and receiver Chris Godwin is back this week. The Buccaneers are 2-0 when running for 115 yards or more, and Green Bay has allowed more than that in two of its four games. Overall, the Packers defense is 29th in efficiency which is not a good sign heading into this game. The Packers are 4-0 following their bye week and Aaron Rodgers has been outstanding. This is the toughest defense he will face however as Tampa Bay is ranked No. 2 in total defense and No. 1 in rushing defense. Tampa Bay is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 that are coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (272) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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10-18-20 | Washington Football Team v. Giants -2.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The two worst teams in the NFC East square off as the winless Giants face Washington which has lost four straight games by two or more touchdowns. The New York offense showed some life last Sunday against the Cowboys as the game was theirs for the taking but allowed a pair of field goals. The Giants defense has quietly seen solid as they are second the NFL with 31 stops behind the line of scrimmage. Meanwhile the Washington offense is ranked last in the NFL averaging just 263 ypg. Kyle Allen was able to get nothing going last week and he will be making the start again this week. Washington is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games after 1 or more consecutive losses while the Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams averaging between 70 and 95 rushing ypg going up against a team allowing between 95 and 125rushing ypg, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in two straight games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1983. 9* (260) New York Giants |
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10-18-20 | Lions -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Detroit is coming off its bye week following a 35-29 loss against New Orleans and it is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following a bye. The Lions have been competitive in two of their three losses and they have faced some tough defenses. That is not the case here as Jacksonville has allowed 30 or more points in four straight games. Matthew Stafford has not been great by his standards, but he picked up the aggression in the loss heading into the bye week, averaging a season-high 11 intended air yards per throw. In the lone win over the Colts, the Jaguars were actually outgained by 204 total yards but benefitted from three turnovers. Jacksonville is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 in home games after allowing 30 points or more last game. Here, we play against home underdogs or pickems that are being outgained by their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (253) Detroit Lions |
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10-13-20 | Bills -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 16-42 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Tennessee is off to a 3-0 start, but it has not been overly dominating as the three wins have come by a combined six points and it has needed a game-winning field goal in each. Buffalo has more wins than the three teams Tennessee has beaten combined. Plus, the Titans have to play this game after an unexpected bye and an abbreviated practice schedule. The defense has been awful as the Titans are ranked 30th in total defense and 31st in rushing defense. They have taken a hit on offense as the Titans are without several key players, including top receivers Adam Humphries and Corey Davis, who have been placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Overall, Tennessee is down five starters based on positive tests. Buffalo is 4-0 and rolling along on offense as it possesses the No. 3 total offense and No. 5 scoring offense. Buffalo offensive coordinator Brian Daboll has scripted some tremendous drives to open games, first and foremost, which has led to Buffalo scoring before their opposition in all four games this year. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 26-6 (81.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (461) Buffalo Bills |
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10-12-20 | Chargers +8 v. Saints | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
10-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. Seahawks | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is off to a perfect 4-0 start, both straight up and ATS. That being said, the Seahawks are overinflated here as in the last four meetings, they have been favored by no more than four points. The Vikings offense is tied for eighth in the NFL in goal-to-go touchdown rate (87.5 percent) and fifth in inside-the-20 touchdown rate (76.9 percent) while the defense is seventh in goal-to-go touchdown rate (58.3%) and second in inside-the-20 touchdown rate (41.2%). Dalvin Cook leads the league with 424 yards rushing and is averaging 5.7 ypc and this is a big part to Sunday night. He will be facing a Seattle defense that ranks third in the league in yards rushing allowed but has not necessarily been tested. Todd Gurley in Week 1 and Ezekiel Elliott in Week 3 both had only 14 carries against Seattle. The Vikings have given up more points and yards than has been the norm for a Mike Zimmer team and struggled with turnovers for the first few weeks, but this is a talented unit that can slow down the Seattle offense. The Vikings are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the Seahawks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. 9* (475) Minnesota Vikings |
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10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns +1 | 23-32 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Everyone is all about the Colts right now and their defense, but we are not quite sold just yet. Indianapolis has played the Jaguars, Jets, Vikings and Bears, four of the worst offenses in the league. The Colts have not played an offensive line like the Browns and they have not faced a running game like the Browns even without Nick Chubb. Not only are the Browns using zone run schemes successfully, but Cleveland also is one of the best gap running teams in football as well and ranks second in gap run play calls. If there was a silver lining in the Chubb injury, it is that the Browns played most of last week without him and thrived. The Colts offense has been inconsistent and ranked 21st in total offense. The Cleveland defense, led by a rejuvenated Miles Garrett, has forced eight turnovers the past two weeks and leads the league with 11 takeaways. Indianapolis is shorthanded as well as starting left tackle Anthony Castonzo and All-Pro linebacker Darius Leonard have officially been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, coach Frank Reich said Friday. Despite money coming in on the Colts, the line has dropped so we have a solid reverse line move to back the slight home underdog. 9* (474) Cleveland Browns |
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10-11-20 | Bengals +13 v. Ravens | 3-27 | Loss | -118 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Cincinnati is coming off its first win on the season as it defeated the Jaguars by eight points. The Bengals are now 1-2-1 with the two losses coming by a combined eight points. Joe Burrow has been great this season as he is the first rookie quarterback in NFL history to throw for 300-plus yards in three consecutive games. The Bengals have averaged 28.6 ppg over their past three games, with Burrow throwing for a cumulative 928 yards with six touchdown passes and just one interception. The difference in this game will be on the Cincinnati defense as the Bengals have the 27th ranked run defense in the NFL entering Week Five, giving up 181.7 yards a game. Baltimore bounced back with a win last week against Washington following a loss against Kansas City. In that lone defeat, the Chiefs did a commendable job at keeping Lamar Jackson in the pocket and they limited him to a meager 97 yards passing. Baltimore last year set an NFL record for rushing yards and averaged 206 ypg on the ground. So far this year, the Ravens have averaged 160.8 rushing ypg. Here, we play against home favorites of 10.5 or more points after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in October games. This situation is 40-13 ATS (75.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (467) Cincinnati Bengals |
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10-11-20 | Panthers v. Falcons -1 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Falcons are off to their first 0-4 start since 1999 and are out to save the job of head coach Dan Quinn. Atlanta remains solid on offense as it is ranked ninth in total offense. The Atlanta defense has had a lot of guys banged up and this week, they could see three starters return to the lineup (S Keanu Neal, S Ricardo Allen, DL Takk McKinley) and getting those guys back should help the production of their defense The Falcons are hoping to continue recent success in their division as they have four straight seasons with winning records in the NFC South, including a 4-2 record each of last three years. Carolina has won two straight games following a 0-2 start. The offense had a good showing last week against the Cardinals, but they were outgained by 134 total yards in their win against the Chargers two weeks ago. The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game while the Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 and coming off an upset win by 10 or more as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 42-16 (72.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (452) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears +4 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Bears are coming off their first loss of the season as the offense could get nothing going. One bright spot on Sunday was wide receivers Allen Robinson and Darnell Mooney, who combined for 12 receptions and 153 receiving yards. Nick Foles needs to be more consistent but as much as the Buccaneers get after the quarterback, establishing a run game will be the key to moving the ball. Tampa Bay improved to 3-1 with a comeback win over the Chargers last week and it has now won three in a row. This is a tough spot having to travel on a short week as a favorite no less. While the offense is slowly coming into its own, it is still pretty banged up and the Chicago defense is for real once again as after four games, the Bears are ranked seventh in scoring defense and eighth in total defense. Last week, the defense had nine plays in which it stopped a Colts run for a loss or no gain. Five came on first down to put the Colts behind the chains, and that was significant as the Bears entered the game allowing an average of 7.34 yards on first down, which ranked 29th. Chicago is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse while the Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. 10* (302) Chicago Bears |
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10-05-20 | Falcons +7 v. Packers | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The 3-0 Packers take on the 0-3 Falcons with money going to be all over the former based on the two recent meltdowns from Atlanta. The Falcons have lost their last two games after leading in the fourth quarter by more than two touchdowns. This offense is still clearly capable of putting up big numbers and it is up to the team to put those last two games behind them. Matt Ryan is expected to have a big game with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley expected to both suit up. While the Packers have not allowed a lot of completions, they are 28th with 7.88 ypa and 30th with an opponent passer rating of 113.4. Green Bay is the first team in NFL history to have at least 35 points and no turnovers in each of its first three games, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. The Packers average 6.9 yppl to lead the NFL. The Packers cannot sustain this however and this is a great opportunity for a possible lookahead while catching a big number. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games while going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs. 10* (279) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-04-20 | Eagles +7.5 v. 49ers | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 58 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Philadelphia is off to a 0-2-1 start following a tie with the lowly Bengals last Sunday. The Eagles are a better team than this as turnovers have killed them on both as they have eight on offense and none on defense through three games which are both dead last in the NFL. Quarterback Carson Wentz has been a shell of his normal self with six interceptions and while he will be facing a typically tough 49ers defense, he gets a break. 49ers defensive linemen Nick Bosa and Solomon Thomas are already out for the year while defensive end Dee Ford is dealing with back problems. One bright spot for the Eagles offensive line has been the return of Lane Johnson from injury. He did not allow a single pressure in 43 pass-blocking efforts against the Bengals. On defense, the Eagles defensive line was ranked No. 2 by Pro Football Focus coming into the season and have produced 12 sacks, good for fourth in the league. The 49ers would like to have quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo return from injury, but those plans do not appear to be very realistic. The Eagles are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the 49ers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite. 9* (277) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-04-20 | Bills v. Raiders +3.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -120 | 54 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. We played against the Raiders last Sunday as they were outrushed by 124 yards against the Patriots. They take a step down in class in that regard as the Bills are ranked just 24th in rushing offense. Quarterback Josh Allen has been unconscious as he has tossed 10 touchdowns with no interceptions and in all three games, he has surpassed 300 yards. He has tossed four touchdowns in two straight games and he became the only Buffalo quarterback to do so in back-to-back games. He cannot sustain this production, however. Against the Rams, the Bills run defense allowed 167 rushing yards. The defense needs to fix things like missed tackles and gap problems quickly because they will play more teams with talented offensive lines and running backs and that includes the Raiders. Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr has thrown for six touchdowns and no interceptions while completing 74 percent of his passes. He has posted a passer rating over 100 in all three games. The Las Vegas defense is better than what was on the field last week and it must reorganize its defense and find consistency. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in the first month of the season. This situation is 81-43 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (276) Las Vegas Raiders |
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10-04-20 | Vikings +4 v. Texans | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 51 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Minnesota and Houston both enter this game 0-3 which makes it a must win for each team. The Vikings are coming off a tough loss by a point against Tennessee as Stephen Gostkowski kicked field goals of 54 and 55 yards late in the fourth quarter. The once stout defense has struggled but they catch a break here. On the other side, the Vikings lead the NFL with an average of 6.03 ypc. Minnesota running back Dalvin Cook had a career-high 181 yards rushing last week and the Texans have the worst run defense in the NFL, allowing 188.3 ypg. Quarterback Kirk Cousins has covered all eight games he has played following consecutive losses. Minnesota is 9-0 ATS in non-division games when coming off a loss of six points or less. While the run defense has stunk in up for the Texans, the rushing offense has been just as bad. Houston is averaging 3.67 ypc which is 29th in the NFL and its 66.0 ypg is 31st in the league. Deshawn Watson has not been as successful eluding the pressure, taking 13 sacks. Here, we play on teams averaging between 125 and 150 rushing ypg going and after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game up against averaging 70 or fewer rushing ypg. This situation is 21-3 ATS (87.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (261) Minnesota Vikings |
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10-04-20 | Saints -4 v. Lions | Top | 35-29 | Win | 100 | 51 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. New Orleans has lost two straight games, both in primetime, and people are hitting the panic button but that should not be the case. The Saints now take on a 28th ranked Lions defense that has given up an average of 409 ypg and 30 ppg this season. The Lions enter their fourth game of the season ranked 30th in the NFL in rush defense, surrendering 170+ yards per game. New Orleans should take note that Detroit has struggled against shifty scat backs like Alvin Kamara. Success on the ground will help open up the passing game which has been inconsistent this season. Detroit won their first game of the season upsetting the Cardinals on the road on a last second field goal and that broke an 11-game losing streak dating back to last year. While the defense has been inconsistent, the offense has struggled also. The Detroit offense has scored a touchdown on six of their 13 trips into the red zone through the first three weeks and its red zone efficiency rate of 46.2 percent ranks 27th in the NFL. Here, we play on road favorites with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 coming off a loss as a home favorite, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1983. 10* (253) New Orleans Saints |
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10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 37-28 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Jets have opened 0-3 and have arguably been the worst team in football with all three losses coming by double-digits. The play of Sam Darnold has been bad but there is reason for optimism. Last year, Darnold had a bad three-game stretch when he went 59-of-101 (58.42 percent) for 564 yards with three touchdowns and eight interceptions with a 50.9 quarterback rating. He bounced back in the final eight games of the season with 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. After losing to the Buccaneers on Sunday, Denver is now 0-3 and the Broncos have started consecutive years 0-3 for the first time in franchise history. They will reportedly turn to their third different starting quarterback this season as Brett Rypien is expected to start in place of the injured Drew Lock. Denver has now seen six starters go down to injuries just three weeks into the season. The Broncos are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 72-35 ATS (67.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) New York Jets |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs +4 v. Ravens | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. A pair of streaks are on the line Monday. Baltimore closed the regular season with 12 straight wins and have now won 14 straight regular season games while the Chiefs will be bringing an 11-game winning streak into the game. Both teams come in a perfect 2-0 and the Ravens home field advantage is taken away here yet the Ravens come in as an overpriced favorite. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is 21-3 during the regular season but two of those losses came against the Chiefs. Pass protection is an issue for Baltimore as in a win over the Texans last week, Jackson went down for four sacks, his highest single-game total since Week Five of last season and the Chiefs got him on the ground three times last season. While the Baltimore defense was and still is solid, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 377 yards and two touchdowns in that 2018 game, and last year pierced the Ravens for 374 yards and three scores. Kansas City is one of three teams in the NFL to not turn the ball over in the first two weeks which is right in line with their 2019 season where they were third in fewest giveaways. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 275 or more passing ypg last season, after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (489) Kansas City Chiefs |
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09-27-20 | Texans +4 v. Steelers | 21-28 | Loss | -103 | 45 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Houston has gotten off to a 0-2 start but to its defense, it has had to open with the two best teams in the NFL. Losses to Kansas City and Baltimore were expected and this becomes the most winnable game on the early schedule. Deshaun Watson has thrown for 528 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions this season and is looking to do more to help the offense improve and help the team get in the win column. While the Steelers are the most blitzing team in the league, the Texans have the tools to beat the blitz. Watson is nimble and shifty enough to avoid pass rushers and running back David Johnson is one of the better pass-catching backs in the league. Pittsburgh has defeated the Giants, who are not expected to do much this season, and the Steelers got a break last week when Denver quarterback Drew Lock left the game early with an injury. The Texans are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a double-digit loss at home while the Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in September games. This situation is 69-32 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (465) Houston Texans |
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09-27-20 | 49ers v. Giants +3.5 | 36-9 | Loss | -103 | 45 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Giants are off to a 0-2 start and now face the 49ers who went to the Super Bowl last season. This is not the same San Francisco team however as it will be without its quarterback, top running back and two best defensive players who were all injured in its win over the Jets last week. Tight end George Kittle has also been ruled out for a second consecutive week. This is the second straight trip to the east coast for the 49ers and there has been some hesitation about the turf at MetLife Stadium and with the injuries that happened last week, there could be some apprehension. The Giants are not healthy either as no Saquon Barkley puts even more pressure on the offense, especially quarterback Daniel Jones. He has shown the ability to get it done and against a banged-up 49ers defense, he can definitely get it done. Also, without Sterling Shepard (turf toe), the Giants will need Golden Tate and Evan Engram to have big games. The 49ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Giants are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 9* (468) New York Giants |
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09-27-20 | Bears v. Falcons -3 | 30-26 | Loss | -116 | 44 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Atlanta is coming off a brutal loss against Dallas last week as a special team miscue led to an on-sides kick recovery for the Cowboys. While that could cause concern for a letdown, it should give the Falcons plenty of motivation. Atlanta has scored 64 points and put up 886 yards of total offense but are 0-2 as the defense, and special teams, have let them down. In the opener, they actually outgained the Seahawks by 123 total yards. There should be no cause for concern here facing a Bears offense that has faced two poor defenses in the Lions and Giants and yet have averaged just 333.5 ypg. Over the last 18 games, Chicago has scored 24 or more points just four times. Quarterback Mitch Trubisky threw three fourth-quarter touchdowns against Detroit and was sharp in the first half against the Giants, but the other five quarters have not gone as well for him. Additionally, the defense is going to have to get off the field against a significantly better offense than it faced the first two weeks. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win while the Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. 9* (476) Atlanta Falcons |
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09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 45 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Raiders are coming off a very emotional win as an underdog at home on Monday night which puts them in a tough spot here. They are now working on a short week and are travelling to the east coast for the second time in three weeks. Las Vegas is dealing with some key injuries as running back Josh Jacobs, tight end Darren Waller and offensive tackle Trent Brown all did not practice Thursday. That is a problem for the offense if these players are not 100 percent because bailing out the defense will be a problem. The passing defense for the Raiders has allowed the third most passing yards in the NFL. Cam Newton looked brilliant in Week Two, passing for 397 yards, the third-highest total of his career, while rushing for two scores and he has learned this system and looks very comfortable. This is a big game for the Patriots coming off that loss as they have to travel the Kansas City next week and sitting at 1-3 after the first quarter of the season is not is not ideal. Look for a big bounce back effort from New England. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win while the Patriots are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games following a straight up loss. 10* (462) New England Patriots |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. We like what we have seen out of Miami as it fought hard in two divisional losses. This is a team on the rise, and this is its first winnable game of the season and quite frankly, should not be an underdog here. These teams are even in the power rankings and the three points assigned for home field advantage is overinflated since the stadium will seat only 14,000 fans and this is one of the worst home field advantages anyway. Ryan Fitzpatrick is 7-0-1 ATS in his career as an underdog coming off consecutive losses. The Jaguars can be considered impressive as well, but it is a bit misleading. They defeated the Colts in the season opener, but they were outgained by 204 total yards. It was a narrow loss last week against Tennessee, but it was more the Titans letting the foot off the gas as they had a 30-17 lead after three quarters but allowed Jacksonville to sneak back in it. The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game while the Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against home favorites that allowed 24 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Miami Dolphins |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +6 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Raiders won their season opener over Carolina 34-30 and head home for their first game ever in Las Vegas albeit with no fans. While the Saints won their opener last Sunday, they were actually outgained by Tampa Bay by 39 yards. They took a bigger hit as they lost wide receiver Michael Thomas for a few weeks with a high ankle sprain and he is an obviously a big part of this offense. The Saints run defense has been one of the best in the league the last few years but they will be tested here as running back Josh Jacobs ran for 93 yards and three touchdowns and caught four passes for 46 yards in the opener. The offensive line did a great job from that standpoint and Derek Carr was under pressure on only 10 percent of his dropbacks for the game, the best rate in the league in Week One, according to Pro Football Focus. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in the first month of the season. This situation is 77-37 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (290) Las Vegas Raiders |
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09-20-20 | Patriots +4 v. Seahawks | 30-35 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. New England is coming off a win in its first game without Tom Brady as his replacement Cam Newton looked very solid as he has this offense down. Overall, the Patriots racked up 357 yards of offense including 217 yards on the ground and it needs to be noted that six players had at least 22 yards with five averaging at least 4.0 ypg. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks offense looked great, though that was against a below-average defense in Atlanta. They face a much tougher test against the Patriots. One of the loudest venues in the NFL will be silent for the Seattle home opener. No fans will be allowed in CenturyLink Field for at least the first three home games for the Seahawks and that is a big disadvantage for one of the loudest venues in the NFL. Here, we play against home favorites that allowed 24 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 24-2 ATS (92.3 percent) since 1983. 9* (287) New England Patriots |
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09-20-20 | Vikings +3 v. Colts | 11-28 | Loss | -100 | 48 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Minnesota and Indianapolis are both coming off disappointing losses in their season openers and we expect the Vikings to be the team that rebounds. They lost to Green Bay 43-34 as they were thoroughly outgained until a late fourth quarter surge and while a lot can be blamed on the defense, the offense was on the field for just 18:44, the lowest in franchise history. That led to a gassed defense that just could not keep up. They will be in better shape here against Philip Rivers that struggled against Jacksonville in a 27-0 loss. He threw two interceptions and Pro Bowl receiver T.Y. Hilton dropped the last two passes of the game while Marlon Mack was lost for the season. Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer is 12-4 ATS off a loss against a division rival. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems allowed 335 or more ypg last season, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (273) Minnesota Vikings |
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09-20-20 | 49ers -7 v. Jets | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 48 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Game of the Month. The 49ers are coming off a disappointing season opener as they lost to the Cardinals, continuing the trend of the Super Bowl loser hangover. A big part of the 49ers loss to the Cardinals was the scrambling of quarterback Kyler Murray, but Sam Darnold will be a relative sitting duck for the San Francisco pass rush. This San Francisco defense will be playing with a chip on its shoulder after allowing 404 yards to the Cardinals. Jimmy Garoppolo had an efficient game and can thrive against the Jets which allowed 404 yards against Buffalo. Tight end George Kittle is upgraded to probable after having just four catches last week. Here, we play on teams in Week Two after losing in Week One as favorites of six points or more. This situation is 15-4 ATS (78.9 percent) since 2002. 10* (269) San Francisco 49ers |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | Top | 30-35 | Loss | -104 | 53 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Cleveland got hammered in its opener 38-6 at Baltimore but the score is a bit skewed. The Browns were outgained by just 71 total yards, had only three fewer first downs and won the time of possession. Four of the six Baltimore scoring drives started at midfield or in Cleveland territory, so field position played a big role. The defense needs to step up and they can do so here against a rookie quarterback. Joe Burrow was decent but unspectacular as he threw for just 193 yards while tossing an interception and having no touchdown passes although he did run for one. The defense played surprisingly well but the Bengals will be facing a more loaded roster this time around. The Browns will be out for revenge as one of the Bengals two wins last season came in the season finale. The Browns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite while the Bengals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. 10* (102) Cleveland Browns |
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09-14-20 | Titans v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 103 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. We are getting exceptional value with Denver here as Tennessee is going to be a heavy bet team early on based on its run at the end of last season. The Titans went 9-4 in their last 13 games and jumped out to an early double-digit lead at Kansas City before succumbing 35-24 to the soon-to-be Super Bowl champs. Now they are road favorites and they go to a place where it has not been good for opponents early in the season. At home in the first two weeks of the season, Denver is 33-4 straight up and 22-11-4 ATS since 1989 and this is based on teams having trouble early on due to the altitude. Additionally, Denver is 18-2 straight up and 16-3-1 ATS in its last thirty games in home openers against non-division opponents. The Broncos finished 7-9 last season, but they have a strong chance to improve upon that this season with a strong defense, sans Von Miller, and the continued improvement of quarterback Drew Lock. 10* (482) Denver Broncos |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys v. Rams +3 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 77 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This is a situation where the lack of a full stadium does not hurt the home team as the crowd here would have been at least 50 percent Dallas. Most talk about the Rams focuses on the personnel they lost after last season, including Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks, Dante Fowler, Cory Littleton, Eric Weddle and Clay Matthews. This is still a great roster with one of the top head coaches in the NFL in Sean McVey. Dallas is the favorite in the NFC East as it brings back nearly everything from last season where it went a disappointing 8-8. It also brings in a new head coach in Mike McCarthy, but he is fortunate that he has a loaded roster. That being said, the Cowboys are overpriced here laying a price on the road. Quarterback Dak Prescott is often a no-show in key road games and it will not be surprising if he struggles here. Los Angeles also has contrarian value in a primetime game, receiving only one-third of tickets on Sunday Night Football. The Rams are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games against NFC teams. 9* (478) Los Angeles Rams |
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09-13-20 | Bucs +3.5 v. Saints | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. With home field advantage taken away for most teams this season for the foreseeable future, Tampa Bay gets a big edge in the season opener. The fact the Buccaneers added so much on both sides of the ball, they are the trendy pick to win the division. We all know what happened with the offense with the additions on offense where they will be much more efficient, but the other side is what should get the job done here. The Buccaneers defense finished 14th in defensive DVOA according to Football Outsiders and they should be even better this season as turnovers on offense will likely be down meaning less time on the field. New Orleans went 13-3 last season, tied for the second-best record in the NFL and expectations are high there as well but the Saints are laying more than expected. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 360 or more ypg last season, versus division opponents. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (475) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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09-13-20 | Raiders -3 v. Panthers | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 70 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. These are two teams that are in opposite stability heading into the season. The Raiders are in their third year under head coach Jon Gruden and have a quarterback in that system with a lot of weapons. The entire offense is essentially intact from last season and they added Henry Ruggs as another weapon. Only the Dolphins allowed more points than the Panthers 470 in 2019 and they lost All Pro linebacker Luke Kuechly to retirement. Carolina will be starting nearly from scratch with a new head coach, new coordinators and a new quarterback and with no preseason, that hurts teams in this situation. They still have the unstoppable Christian McCaffrey, but this offense will struggle early on. The Raiders have won three of their last four openers, and in the game that they lost, outgained their opponent and led at halftime. Our numbers project Carolina to produce 344 yards of offense and going back, the Panthers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games when gaining between 300 and 350 total yards. 9* (459) Las Vegas Raiders |
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09-10-20 | Texans +10 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -125 | 53 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Houston will face the Chiefs for a second straight time after blowing a 24-0 second-quarter lead in the playoffs last season, eventually losing 51-31. Revenge is obviously in play and there is too much value on the Texans and do not forget that they defeated the Chiefs once last season. While that was at home, only 22 percent of the seats will be filled this Thursday, knocking down the homer field advantage. Houston head coach Bill O'Brien likes having one featured back in his offense, so David Johnson should get plenty of opportunities as the Texas want to milk the clock and keep the Kansas City offense off the field as much as possible. The matchup favors Houston as the Chiefs gave up 4.9 ypc last season, fourth most in the league, and allowed running backs to total 1,039 yards receiving, second most in the NFL. Additionally, with all five starters on the offensive line returning, including Pro Bowl left tackle Laremy Tunsil, they should take a big step forward protecting Deshaun Watson. We all know what the Chiefs offense is so it will be up to Houston to slow the attack down because they cannot stop it completely. A healthy J.J. Watt is a big boost to the unit a well. The last 20 games in Week One where there was an underdog of eight or more points, the underdog covered 15 times. 10* (451) Houston Texans |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -103 | 79 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Super Bowl Winner. While it is hard to go against the dynamic Kansas City offense, the 49ers possess a defense that can slow it down while also posing problems with its own offense against the Chiefs defense. Defensively, the 49ers are powered by a star-studded line that features five former first-round picks in the rotation and the pass rush has made the secondary even better. San Francisco allowed the fewest passing yards (2,707) and defensed the 10th-most passes (74). They only intercepted 12 passes, admittedly an improvement over picking off two in 2018, but San Francisco allowed the fewest completions exceeding 20 yards in the NFL this season, according to Pro Football Focus. On the other side, San Francisco had the second-best rushing offense in the NFL in 2019 at 144.6 ypg while it finished tied for second in the NFL with 16 runs of 20-plus yards. Against the Chiefs, San Francisco needs to continue to pound the ball given the Chiefs struggles against the run, particularly against runs preceded by shifts or motions, when Kansas city has allowed 5.2 ypc. Although Jimmy Garoppolo hasn't been asked to throw it much in the playoffs, he put together a highlight reel of pinpoint passes during the regular season with games hanging in the balance. On deep balls, according to Next Gen Stats, Garoppolo actually led the NFL in completion percentage (58.1) and yards per attempt (20.3), while also totaling seven passing touchdowns and posting a 102.6 passer rating on such throws. 10* (101) San Francisco 49ers |
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01-19-20 | Packers +7.5 v. 49ers | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFC Championship Winner. San Francisco is an overpriced favorite here as it is now favored by more points than it was against Minnesota which ended the regular season three games worse than the Packers. Green Bay is a sneaky live dog here as they are getting no credit. Matt LaFleur came in and tinkered with the offense, and they brought in key additions such as pass-rushing duo Preston Smith and Za'Darius Smith, who combined for 25.5 sacks on the season. Many will point to the first meeting where San Francisco dominated in a 37-8 win but that is a thing of the past. Aaron Rodgers had the worst day of his career, averaging 3.2 yards per attempt and getting sacked five times so do not think there is not a chip on his shoulder. The Packers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning record while the 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after two consecutive covers as a favorite going up against opponent off a home win. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (311) Green Bay Packers |
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01-19-20 | Titans +7.5 v. Chiefs | 24-35 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our AFC Championship Winner. Tennessee has shown that given the right gameplan, it can go out and do what it needed to do. This is the fourth road game in four weeks for the Titans while the Chiefs have not left Kansas City since before Christmas. Who cares? This is a tough matchup for the Chiefs as they struggle stopping the run. On offense, that means pounding away with running back Derrick Henry, just as the Titans did during a back-and-forth Week 10 win over the Chiefs. Since week Seven, the titans redzone offense has been incredible, scoring 30 touchdowns in 31 attempts. The Titans have gotten back to the stingy defense they played much of the season, including the first seven games, when they didn't allow an opponent to score more than 20 points. They've allowed only two touchdowns on seven chances inside their 20. The Titans are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .50 or better after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, in the second half of the season. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (313) Tennessee Titans |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. We were hoping to get some earlier injury news and while there is positive news, it is not official. Seattle left tackle Duane Brown, who has missed the past three games with a knee injury, is hoping to get back. Brown was able to practice on a limited basis on Friday, his first practice action since having surgery and will be a game-day decision, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll said. The offensive line is the weakness for the Seahawks so this could be a big upgrade. Green Bay is very overrated. The Packers did have a pair of solid wins over Minnesota but they were outgained in one of those and the Vikings were not healthy in the second one and the win over Kansas City was against Matt Moore and not Patrick Mahomes. This is the smallest of the spreads in the Divisional round yet it is arguably too high. This is a spot Russell Wilson has excelled in as he is 10-4 ATS as an underdog of three or more points, while going 6-2 ATS when the line is four or more points. The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-8 ATS (76.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (307) Seattle Seahawks |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens -9.5 | 28-12 | Loss | -109 | 74 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Punisher. As much as we do not like laying doubles in the postseason, this looks to be a mismatch all down the line. First off, of all the teams in the AFC playoffs, the Ravens drew the one team they have not yet faced this season as their divisional game opponent and that is a big edge for the Ravens never having a team face this offense. Baltimore has shown it can score in bunches and Tennessee ranked 31st in the NFL this year in the redzone, allowing touchdowns on 68.1 percent of opponents trips inside the 20-yard line. Rust will be a talking point considering key players have not suited up since Dec. 22 but for a team that has played at a high level for three months, rust is not an issue. Baltimore is the most healthy team in the postseason as Mark Ingram is the lone player on the 53-man roster that is dealing with any sort of injury. Tennessee relies heavily on its running game, led by the leading NFL rusher Derrick Henry but it will be facing the No. 5 ranked run defense, as the Ravens are allowing just 93.4 ypg. That could lead to Ryan Tannehill needing to take over and while he has been the top rated quarterback in the NFL since taking over, the Ravens have an outstanding secondary. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off two consecutive road wins, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (304) Baltimore Ravens |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. 49ers | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -105 | 70 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Vikings showed they can go on the road and win a big game and if there was any pressure on Kirk Cousins, he did not show it and any hint of that theory is long gone. While the 49ers defense is thought to be the better defense when compared to the Saints, they are actually in a worse position based on this matchup and the strengths of the Vikings offense. Minnesota has a healthy Dalvin Cook, Adam Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs for the first time in a long time and that is a dangerous trio. On the other side, the main focus for the 49ers against the Vikings should be protecting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo against one of the best front sevens in the NFL. Coming into last week, Saints starting offensive tackles Terron Armstead and Ryan Ramczyk had not given up a sack all season but they gave up three Sunday. Quarterbacks making their first playoff start are 16-34 straight up and 15-34-1 ATS since 2002 and while that 30.6 percent record may seem skewed based on the fact that first-time starters are more likely to be on the road, home favorites in this scenario are just 5-16 ATS (23.8 percent). Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Minnesota Vikings |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks -1 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle was inches away from winning the NFC West but lost in the final seconds to the 49ers and were handed the No. 5 seed. While the Seahawks have to travel, that is not a bad thing for this team as they finished 7-1 on the road and get to face a banged up Eagles team that is lucky to be here. Seattle is banged up in its own right but is not as depleted as the Eagles are. Russell Wilson is healthy, and he threw for 4,110 yards and 31 touchdowns this season with just five interceptions. he finished sixth in the NFL in passing yards despite attempting just 516 passes, which ranked 12th. Travel is certainly no issue for him. Since the beginning of the 2018 season, Wilson is 7-0 in the Eastern time zone, with a 72.2 completion percentage, a 15-1 intercept touchdown ratio and a 128.0 pin rating. Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer said more of the playbook should be available to Marshawn Lynch on Sunday now that he has another week of work under his belt. Carson Wentz guided the Eagles to four straight wins to close out the season, albeit all against the moribund NFC East. Now facing a team with a pulse, Philadelphia will have its hands full despite playing at home. He has limited targets at receiver and tight end Zach Ertz is still listed as questionable. Making matters worse, starting right tackle Lane Johnson will not play. Here, we play on road favorites averaging 335 or more total ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 44-20 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Seattle Seahawks |
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01-04-20 | Bills +3 v. Texans | Top | 19-22 | Push | 0 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The first Wild Card game of the playoffs takes place in Houston as the Bills hit the road in the postseason for the second time in three years. Buffalo leaned on their defense to reach 10 wins this season. The Bills defense finished second in points allowed (16.2), fourth in passing yards allowed (195.2), 10th in rushing yards allowed (103.1) and third in total yards allowed (298.2) this season. They were one of only three teams that held opposing quarterbacks to under an 80.0 QB rating (To put that in perspective opposing quarterbacks had a 95.3 rating against the Texans this year). The Texans are an offense-first squad which explodes at unpredictable times. It did not happen enough in the second half of the season, and it usually happens when Will Fuller is on the field but he has been downgraded to doubtful. Houston averages over 25 ppg when Fuller plays and less than 20 when he is missing so he is a big factor in this offense. J.J. Watt will be back on Saturday but the Texans defense has major issues lately even though Watt will be back. Look for Buffalo to try and pound the ball as Devin Singletary had 775 yards, two touchdowns, on 151 carries, which is an average of 5.1 ypc, fifth-best in the NFL. Get the running game going and Josh Allen should be able to take some shots against this Texans secondary. Here, we play against home favorites that are averaging 4.5 ypc going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.5ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 54-20 ATS (73 percent) since 1983. 10* (141) Buffalo Bills |
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12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | 26-21 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Bettors have very short memories and that plays into this game. The Seahawks lost at home last week to the Cardinals and the public overreaction to that has forced linesmakers to not only make the 49ers the favorites, but to make them overpriced favorites. This is a huge matchup for both sides. But the 11-4 Seahawks have a chance to completely thwart where San Francisco sits in the standings, as a Seattle win would give the Seahawks the tiebreaker, the NFC West crown while pushing the 49ers down to the No. 5 seed in the conference. The Seattle offensive line will be a big factor as Russell Wilson has been sacked 47 times this season but the 49ers have just two sacks over their last three games. On the other side, Jadeveon Clowney looks to return to action after missing the last two weeks. The Seahawks are giving up an average of 4.8 ypc, which ranks fifth worst among defenses but they held San Francisco to 3.2 ypc in the first meeting. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in the last two weeks of the regular season. This situation is 53-24 ATS (68.8 percent) since 1983. 9* (130) Seattle Seahawks |
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12-29-19 | Eagles v. Giants +4.5 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This is another instance of going against a team that needs to win and one simple belief for that is if a team needs to win in Week 17 to get into the playoffs, it cannot be that good of a team to begin with. That is certainly the case for the Eagles which are coming off a must win game against the Cowboys. We are not here saying the Eagles cannot or will not win this game but this line is simply too high. The Giants have won two straight games, albeit against Miami and Washington and they would like nothing more than to finish with three straight wins and knock their rival from the playoffs. Daniel Jones is coming off the best game of his rookie season where he threw for 352 yards and five touchdowns. He has another good matchup here and while the Eagles help Dak Prescott in check last week, clearly he was not close to 100 percent. Additionally, Saquon Barkley is back as he has two straight 100-yard games, including a career-best 189 yards rushing last week. He finished with a franchise-record 279 yards from scrimmage. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (116) New York Giants |
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12-29-19 | Raiders v. Broncos -3 | Top | 15-16 | Loss | -124 | 47 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Oakland still has an outside shot at a playoff berth as it needs a win here plus losses by Pittsburgh and Tennessee, a win by Indianapolis and a win or tie from either Chicago, Detroit, Los Angeles Chargers or New England. The scenario for the final four teams would give the Raiders the strength of schedule tiebreaker over Pittsburgh. That being said, this is a very inconsistent team and one that should not be trusted on the road. The Raiders are 2-5 away from home and their -105 scoring differential of fifth worst in the NFL. Denver has played well of late by winning three of its last four games has played very well in those wins. The game against Kansas City can be tossed out since it was being played in a snowstorm. Oakland has some horrible history heading into this game. The Raiders are 0-12 ATS in their last 12 games as divisional underdogs coming off a SU/ATS Win, 0-18 ATS in their last 18 games following a win in which they had less than 400 yards of offense and did not commit a single turnover and 0-11 ATS in their last 11 road games following a win. This includes losses this season at the Packers 42-24 and at the Jets 34-2. 10* (132) Denver Broncos |
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12-29-19 | Bears -3 v. Vikings | 21-19 | Loss | -108 | 44 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Dominator. This game is meaningless for the Vikings and as expected the line has the Bears favored in this one. Courtney Cronin of ESPN is reporting that the Vikings are leaning heavily towards resting their starters against the Bears on Sunday afternoon. With the Vikings locked into the #6 spot in the NFC playoff field and several key players already dealing with injury issues, the team appears to have decided that getting healthy for the postseason will outweigh the potential for getting to a record of 11-5. It has been a lost season for Chicago after winning the division a year ago with a 12-4 record. The Bears will be out to finish 8-8 and this is the final chance for quarterback Mitchell Trubisky to prove he's the right player to commit to for the future, giving him plenty to play for against the Vikings. In week 17, teams which have between one and three wins fewer than their opponent are 136-75-5 ATS (64.5 percent). Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in December games. This situation is 48-19 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (105) Chicago Bears |
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12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings -4.5 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Even though we are 14 games into the season, it is hard to get a grasp on the Packers and how good their 11-3 record really is. They've been outscored in the second and fourth quarters, only four of their 11 wins have come by more than one score and their team rankings in rushing and passing yardage on both offense and defense are all in the bottom half of the league. Green Bay has been outgained in five of its last six and seven of its last 10 games and just two of the 11 wins are against teams in current playoff positions. The Vikings have won eight of their last 10 games after an uneven 2-2 start to the season. There is a lot on the line for Minnesota as well even though it clinched a playoff berth with the Rams loss on Saturday. The only way Minnesota can win the NFC North is if the sputtering Lions beat the Packers in addition to Vikings victories in their last two games. They host Chicago on Dec. 29, with the chance to go 8-0 at home for the first time in 10 years. It is well documented that Kirk Cousins is 0-8 on Monday Night Football but he is not solely to blame. He has completed 191 of 292 passes (65.4 percent) for 2,153 yards with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions, and his passer rating is 92.7 in those games. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. This situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (482) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-22-19 | Cardinals +9 v. Seahawks | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Seahawks know two wins will at the very least give them a first-round bye in the postseason. But a loss here would still mean a first round bye should they defeated the 49ers next week to win the NFC West. And based on how the year has gone with 10 of Seattle's 11 wins being decided by one score, this week will probably be close as well. The Seattle defense is in bad shape right now with the status of Jadeveon Clowney, Qunadre Diggs, Ziggy Ansah, Mychal Kendricks and Shaquill Griffin all in question. The first two have been downgraded to doubtful while the others are listed as questionable. Arizona snapped a six-game losing streak with a win over the Browns last week. The offense was balanced and that will be important here, especially against the Seahawks defense that is undermanned. It is important for that consistency to remain as it will keep the Seattle offense off the field and take some pressure off the worst defense in the NFL. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a scoring defense allowing 27 or more ppg. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (477) Arizona Cardinals |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys v. Eagles +2.5 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. We won with Dallas last week as a home underdog and now it comes into this week as a road favorite which is a complete overreaction to the win last week. Couple that with the Eagles needing a late comeback to defeat to the Redskins and the public will be all over the Cowboys this week.0020Dallas is top ten in scoring offense, total offense, scoring defense and total defense yet it is just 7-7 on the season. The Cowboys can win the NFC East with a win no matter what happens next week but a playoff berth is still in play for the Eagles. Beat the Cowboys and win in Week 17 against the Giants, and they're in so clearly there is a lot at stake for both sides. Carson Wentz is playing one of the true must-win games of his career. He tossed a two-yard touchdown pass to Zach Ertz in overtime to beat the Giants and followed up on the road with a touchdown pass to Greg Ward to beat the Redskins. He is down his top three receivers so expect big games from Ertz and Ward as the Cowboys struggle to defend the middle of the field. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) Philadelphia Eagles |
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12-22-19 | Panthers +7 v. Colts | Top | 6-38 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Colts put up a dud for us on Monday night as the Saints used the Drew Brees record setting night as a means for motivation. Now there is nothing to play for as a rash of injuries, a flurry of costly special teams mistakes, and back-to-back sub-par defensive performances led to a fourth consecutive loss at New Orleans, sealing their playoff fate. They've been outscored 31-7 in the fourth quarter of the last three games to go along with no running game. The Panthers have given up on the Kyle Allen experiment that actually started out good but has failed miserably of late. They have lost six straight games but four of those losses came by just one possession and there is no wat the Colts should be laying this number with nothing on the line especially facing Christian McCaffrey. He needs 186 yards receiving over the final two games to become the third player to have 1,000 yards both rushing and receiving so he will be a heavy part of the passing game with new starter Will Grier. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 off a road loss, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 49-18 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (471) Carolina Panthers |
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12-21-19 | Rams +7 v. 49ers | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 32 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Punisher. The Rams are coming off a loss last week in Dallas which severely hurt their playoff chances. They have to win out in their final two games, here and then next week at home against the Cardinals. Additionally, Los Angeles needs Minnesota to love this Monday and then next week at home against the Bears. All scenarios are more than possible so it is up to the Rams to do its job. The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. San Francisco is coming off a bad loss against Atlanta last Sunday and while it can still lock down the No. seed in the NFC, it can also fall to the No. 5 seed which is where it currently sits. The 49ers are just 3-2 against the top 10 in the league while playing the No. 17 ranked schedule. While these teams are separated by three games, San Francisco seems pretty overpriced here and this is just the second time the Rams have been road underdogs and by far by the biggest amount. The 49ers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset loss as a road favorite, in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (451) Los Angeles Rams |
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12-21-19 | Bills +7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Saturday Afternoon Dominator. This is a game where you have to trust the eye test and not the history lesson. New England is making its 11th straight playoff appearance but this could be the worst of the bunch despite an 11-3 record. The defense is great but the offense has struggled as Tom Brady looks slow and inaccurate and he has no weapons to throw to. Facing one of the best defenses in the league will be a challenge and the Patriots struggled in the first meeting as they won by six points but mustered a mere 224 yards of total offense and the difference was a blocked punt returned for a touchdown. Playing at home with a chance to win the division in tough to go against but the Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo will not be intimidated here just like last week when they were not against the Steelers. They held Pittsburgh to 229 total yards and the site of Brady is not going to scare them off. The offense has certainly been inconsistent but Josh Allen has the ability to confuse the Patriots with his mobility. The Bills are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, in the last two weeks of the regular season. This situation is 38-14 ATS (73.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (453) Buffalo Bills |
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12-16-19 | Colts +10 v. Saints | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -122 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The money and the public is on the Saints here which comes as no surprise and that has driven this line up to double-digits in some places. The Saints are coming off a tough loss against the 49ers last Sunday but have still clinched the division but they can win out and still get the third seed if they don't receive some extra help. The New Orleans defense has regressed and that is not ideal when laying a number this big as the Saints enter this game ranked 13th in total defense, surrendering 338 ypg and 17th in points allowed at 22.8 ppg. New Orleans is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 home games as favorites coming off a home loss including 0-7 ATS when laying more than a touchdown. Indianapolis needs to win out and get some help for the postseason as it is a game and a half out of the final Wild Card spot in the AFC. The Colts are 2-4 on the road but three of those losses came by a combined eight points and the other came in overtime. Indianapolis is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games against NFC teams .500 or better. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems off a road loss by three points or less, in the last four weeks of the regular season. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (333) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-15-19 | Rams v. Cowboys | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 147 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Game of the Year. The advanced line for this game was Dallas -3.5 which was released on Tuesday but after the Dallas loss on Thursday, the number came down to -3 and then after the Rams blowout winner over Seattle on Sunday night, the line came down once again and this is the time to buy. The Cowboys have lost three straight games to fall to 6-7 and this is a must win game with their following contest taking place at Philadelphia which will most likely decide the NFC East. In the loss against the Bears, Dallas still won the yardage battle for the ninth straight game. Dallas is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 home games after having lost three out of their last four games. The Rams are coming off the impressive win over Seattle to remain in the Wild Card hunt. They are one game behind the Vikings for the second Wild Card spot and the Rams are going to have to get some help from the Vikings. While the offense has looked good the last two games, quarterback Jared Goff is having a mediocre season, posting 3712 passing yards with a 15:14 TD to INT ratio. The Rams are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. The game will be a rematch of the NFC Divisional round matchup from last season, when Dallas traveled to Los Angeles and got their pride handed to them. Head coach Sean McVay used a combination of Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson to rush for over 250 yards on the Dallas defense and the Cowboys were outgained 459-308 making revenge a big factor. Here, we play on home favorites after having lost four or five out of their last six games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Dallas Cowboys |
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12-15-19 | Vikings v. Chargers +1.5 | 39-10 | Loss | -109 | 46 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Los Angeles is coming off a much needed win last week at Jacksonville. The Chargers have already been eliminated from playoff contention, but they've got more than enough talent and motivation to worry the Vikings in their final road game of the regular season. Los Angeles' eight losses have all been by seven points or fewer, leaving the Chargers out of the playoff race despite a plus-38 point differential and elite talent on both sides of the ball. The Chargers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Minnesota is coming off a win against Detroit last week to make it three wins in its last four games to keep hold of the top Wild Card spot in the NFC. This is not the ideal spot as after losing 37-30 at Seattle two games ago, they're 1-6 on the road in the Mountain and Pacific time zones in six seasons under coach Mike Zimmer. The Vikings are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers. This situation is 40-15 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1983. 9* (332) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-15-19 | Jaguars v. Raiders -6.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -106 | 46 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. After three straight losses, the Raiders are nearly eliminated from playoff contention so one could argue there is little motivation on the Oakland sideline. That could be the furthest from the truth. This is the final game being played in Oakland as it will be calling Las Vegas home starting next season so there will be plenty of motivation to pull out one final victory for the home crowd. It was a rough second half last week for the Raiders but they are in a great bounce back spot here facing a team that has mailed it in. The Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Jacksonville has lost five straight games and none have been close as those losses have all come by at least 17 points and by an average of 23.4 ppg. The Jaguars are officially out of the playoff mix and are ready for the season to end. The Jaguars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, after the first month of the season. This situation is 105-67 ATS (61 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (324) Oakland Raiders |
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12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans -3 | 24-21 | Loss | -103 | 43 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Dominator. Tennessee put on a second half show last week as it broke open a 21-21 tie at halftime by scoring 21 unanswered points. Coupled with the Houston loss, the Titans moved into a tie for first place in the AFC South so this is a big game for both sides. Tennessee is playing excellent right now as its four straight wins trail only Baltimore for the longest active streak in the league. The Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. Houston is coming off a bad loss against the Broncos and while it has been solid coming off a loss, there is one significant factor. The Texans are 4-0 following a defeat but all four of those follow up wins came at home. This is a bad spot as the Texans are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, a playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (314) Tennessee Titans |
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12-09-19 | Giants +9.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Giants have lost eight in a row but could spoil Philadelphia's playoff hopes with a victory. Eli Manning is expected to make his first start since Week 2 because rookie Daniel Jones has a high ankle sprain. Manning struggled in his first two starts but there was a lot of pressure on him to keep his job and now with that pressure being lifted, he should be able to go out and just play. The Giants are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Despite their poor record, the Eagles would win the NFC East by winning their last four games. But when you lose 7 of 12, three in a row, and at the woeful Dolphins, nothing is guaranteed. The Eagles have not shown the ability to put a team away aside from their life-draining drive against the Bears in Week Nine, their win over the Bills in Week Eight and the rout of the Jets in Week Five. The Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more last game going up against an opponent after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (159) New York Giants |
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12-08-19 | Titans v. Raiders +3 | 42-21 | Loss | -107 | 45 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Dominator. The Raiders were looking good for a playoff spot just three weeks ago but laid a pair of eggs on the road against the Jets and Chiefs, getting outscored by a combined 74-12. The schedule has been brutal from a travel aspect as the Raiders went six weeks without a home game between September and the end of October and after a three-game homestand, had to travel the last two weeks. Oakland did go 3-0 in those three home games and it is far from done in the AFC as a win here puts them in a tie with the Titans and possibly the Steelers if they lose at Arizona for the second Wild Card spot. Tennessee has won three straight and five of six but four of those wins were at home and had the fluke road win last week. The Titans host Houston next week so there is the possibility of a lookahead which makes this a flat spot if that is the case. They are getting outgained by over 60 ypg and even with Ryan Tannehill at quarterback, there is inconsistencies. Here, we play on teams after scoring nine points or less in two straight games. This situation is 33-14 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (156) Oakland Raiders |
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12-08-19 | Broncos +9.5 v. Texans | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 41 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Denver has struggled on the road to a 1-5 record but only one of those losses was it never in it, a 20-3 loss to the Bills. The Broncos 3-3 against the number in those games and going back, they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs. Drew Lock posted a decent 84.5 passer rating in his first career start and he showed signs that he can be a really good option at quarterback. Houston is coming off a massive win against New England to make it two straight wins to retain its one game lead over Tennessee in the AFC South. Speaking of Tennessee, the Texans travel there next week so this is a classic sandwich spot. The Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. 76 percent of the money is on Denver yet this line has not moved as just the juice has fluctuated and while it is not a reverse line movement, it is as close as you can get without the line actually moving. Here, we play against favorites off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 64-29 ATS (68.8 percent) since 1983. 9* (135) Denver Broncos |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +6.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. We bet against Baltimore again last week as it finally paid off as the Ravens snuck by a quality opponent. While some may not think it, Buffalo is another quality opponent as its 9-3 record indicates. The line is inflated once again as the book want to avoid liability after getting crushed for five straight games. The San Francisco defense did a great job on the Ravens offense, holding them to a season low 20 points. The Bills defense is built similarly to the 49ers and it is a legit unit. On the other side, Josh Allen has been sensational since the Patriots game with just the one hiccup against Cleveland. Buffalo gained the early action causing the line to go from -6 to -5 on Sunday. When Monday hit, the action switched and the Ravens were getting hit hard moving the line to 5.5 and the action has remained on the Baltimore side yet the line has increased to -6 as of Friday night. Here, we plat on home teams off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .750 or better. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (132) Buffalo Bills |
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12-08-19 | Colts +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 42 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Colts burned us last week as they were ready to take the lead against Tennessee but had their field goal blocked and returned for a touchdown and then another turned sealed the game. The Colts outgained the Titans by 99 total yards and have won the yardage battle in five of their last six games despite going 2-4. The Colts are in must win mode and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home. The Buccaneers are on a two-game winning streak but are just 1-3 at home with the lone won coming by a field goal against Arizona. They were favored by 5.5 points in that game and are now 0-4 ATS at home not including the London game where they were the designated home team and lost by 11 points. At 5-7, Tampa Bay is out of the playoff mix yet is favored again. Here, we play against home favorites after having won two out of their last three games, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 in the second half of the season. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys -3 v. Bears | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Dallas has lost two straight games and is 3-5 0ver its last eight games but there has been one common denominator and that is the Cowboys have outgained all eight opponents in those games. The problem is not on the offense as they have the top ranked offense in the NFL with 432.8 ypg and the defense has not been bad either as they are ranked No. 8 overall with 321.6 ypg. But on that side of the ball, they have just 12 takeaways which is tied for fourth fewest in the NFL and the eight teams they are grouped with that have 14 or fewer takeaways, seven have no chance for the playoffs. A lot of this is luck and can turn around quickly as we are backing a team that is one of only two ranked in the top eight in both offense and defense, San Francisco being the other and the 49ers are 10-2. Chicago was fortunate to get out of Detroit with a win on Thanksgiving as it had its best game on offense on the season with 419 yards yet won by just four points. Mitchell Trubisky had his best game of the season but that was against the third worst passing defense in the NFL and we do not expect a big effort Thursday. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Dallas Cowboys |
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12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-37 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Seattle has won four straight games including three on the road where it is a perfect 6-0 on the season. The Seahawks are just 3-2 at home with those three wins being an overtime win over Tampa Bay, a one-point win over the Rams and a one-point win over the Bengals. They are outgaining opponents by just 17 ypg at home and going back, the Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Minnesota has won two straight games and is coming off its bye week which is a big edge this late in the season. The Vikings are a half-game behind Green Bay in the NFC North and they hold onto a game and a half lead over the Rams for the final Wild Card slot in the NFC and can take over the first spot with a win tonight. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games, in December games. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (475) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-01-19 | Chargers v. Broncos +3.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Dominator. The Chargers are a mess as they have been crushed with turnovers of late with a lot of that being the fault of Philip Rivers. They have lost five of their last seven games with the offense averaging just 19.1 ppg and faces a formidable Broncos defense that is ranked seventh in the league, allowing just 321.1 ypg. The Chargers are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall and are a false favorite here against a team that is just one game worse. The Broncos were hammered by Buffalo last week as Brandon Allen threw for just 82 yards and they managed only 134 total yards of offense. Allen has been benched and Drew Lock will get the start and even though he has not seen any action, it has to be an upgrade. The Broncos are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 51-22 ATS (69.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (470) Denver Broncos |
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12-01-19 | Jets v. Bengals +3.5 | 6-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Jets have turned the corner and have won three straight games, all as underdogs. Now they go into Cincinnati as road favorites which seems reasonable considering the Bengals are 0-11 but there is an issue with this line. It opened at -3.5 and it was announced that Andy Dalton has been named the starting quarterback yet the line has only come down by a half-point. Dalton is by no means a great quarterback but he is a huge upgrade from Ryan Finley whose passer rating was 62.1 in his three games he started. The Bengals defense has played well the last two games, allowing just 16.5 ppg and should be able to slow down the Jets offense that has overachieved against bad offenses during their winning streak. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1983. 9* (466) Cincinnati Bengals |
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12-01-19 | Titans v. Colts -1 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Game of the Week. Indianapolis and Tennessee are both squarely in the playoff mix as both come in at 6-5, one game behind Houston in the NFC South and with the Texans playing the Patriots, the winner of this game could be in a first place tie. Tennessee is coming off a pair of impressive wins as it defeated Kansas City and then Jacksonville in a blowout but both were at home. Tennessee is just 1-3 in its last four road games yet is getting just one point as of Saturday. The Colts stumbled in Houston for their third loss in four games but against the Texans, it broke a streak of outgaining their opponents in four straight games. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season averaging between 335 and 370 ypg going up against teams averaging between 295 and 335 ypg, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (458) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-01-19 | 49ers +6 v. Ravens | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Baltimore is coming off another impressive win last week against the Rans but it came with a cost and now the Ravens are playing on short rest. Center Matt Skura got hurt on Monday night and now the Ravens weak at left guard and center and San Francisco can take advantage of this. Baltimore has now won seven straight games, the last five coming by double-digits so it is no surprise the public is loving the Ravens yet the line has actually come down. San Francisco is coming off a pair of impressive wins as it defeated Arizona and Green Bay, outgaining them by 176 yards and 141 yards respectively. The 49ers are 10-1 but are not getting the deserved respect because of the dominant Baltimore run. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 27 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (455) San Francisco 49ers |
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11-28-19 | Saints -6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 26-18 | Win | 100 | 53 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans and Atlanta meet on Thanksgiving night for the second straight season with the Saints looking to wrap up the NFC South division. They have a four-game lead over Carolina following their win over the Panthers this past Sunday. New Orleans has won two straight games to improve to 9-2 on the season and it had a six-game winning streak snapped three games back at home against Atlanta. Revenge will be in play here against an inconsistent Atlanta team which pulled off stunning back-to-back road wins only to fall flat at home last week against the Buccaneers. The Falcons have lost four straight home games and while they have the edge in not having to travel following a home game, the defense will struggle here. The Saints are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 road games while Atlanta is 0-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Additionally, the Falcons are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing six or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game going up against teams with forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after four consecutive games where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 30-10 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 10* (309) New Orleans Saints |
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11-28-19 | Bears v. Lions +3 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for out NFL Thursday Afternoon Dominator. The Bears are coming off a home win over the lowly Giants by it was by just by five points. Since a 3-1 start to the season, Chicago is only 2-5 in its last seven games including a 0-3 record on the road. Three games back, they defeated Detroit by a touchdown for its third straight win in this series so the Lions will be out for payback. This offense remains incredibly inconsistent as they are ranked No. 29, averaging a mere 269.3 ypg and 17.1 ppg. Chicago has outgained only four of 11 opponents while on the other side, Detroit has outgained six of its 11 opponents. This includes outgaining the Redskins by 134 total yards this past Sunday but lost late. Quarterback Jeff Driskel has not been great but he is no worse than Mitchell Trubisky yet the Lions come in as the road underdog here. The defense has struggled overall but their worst games have come against premier offenses as they have gone against the top ten units. Detroit held Chicago to 226 yard offense in the first meeting. The Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 86-43 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1983. 9* (306) Detroit Lions |
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11-25-19 | Ravens v. Rams +4 | Top | 45-6 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Everyone is in love with Baltimore right now and rightfully so. The Ravens opened the season by hanging 59 points on the Dolphins, and have also enjoyed 49, 40, and 37 point outbursts. The Ravens defense has also enjoyed some success this season as they have allowed the 6th fewest points in the league and are 14th in yardage allowed. This is a bad matchup though. The Rams defense is stout and ranks 10th overall. They have given up 10 or fewer points three of the past four weeks. Offensively, the Rams need some work. In 10 games this season, they totaled only 243 ppg and 24 offensive touchdowns. Los Angeles has coughed up the ball 18 times,15 times by Jared Goff in the form of 10 interceptions and five lost fumbles. And a ground attack that finished with the third-most yards in the league a year ago ranks 20th in the NFL. Still, only five quarterbacks have thrown for more yards than Goff (2,783) so he will give the Ravens a big test. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 53-18 ATS (74..6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) Los Angeles Rams |
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11-24-19 | Packers v. 49ers -3 | 8-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. The 49ers took advantage of an easy schedule in the first half of the season and while it gets much tougher going forward, the spot here is a good one. San Francisco got a miracle push last week against the Cardinals despite winning the yardage battle by 176 total yards and on the season, it has outgained its opponent in eight of ten games. The 49ers are 4-1 at home with the lone loss coming against Seattle in overtime. The Packers have not been a dominant team despite their 8-2 record. Green Bay has outgained only four of 10 opponents this season including just one on the road which came at Kansas City with no Patrick Mahomes. The Packers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. Here, we play on favorites after having won three out of their last four games going up against an opponent, after having won eight or more out of their last 10 games. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (272) San Francisco 49ers |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys +6 v. Patriots | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Patriots are a M*A*S*H unit right now on offense as the three top receiving targets Mohamed Sanu, Julian Edelman and Philip Dorsett are all questionable and even Tom Brady popped up on the injury report with an elbow issue. New England has gained 342 yards or less in its last four games while playing the second easiest schedule in the NFL. We all know New England has won 20 straight home games but being favored by this much against one of the best rosters in the league is too much. The Cowboys have underachieved this season as they are just 3-4 over their last seven games. Despite this, they have outgained their opponents by 133.0 ypg over their last six games. Here, we lay against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having won six or seven out of their last eight games, , in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (269) Dallas Cowboys |
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11-24-19 | Giants +6.5 v. Bears | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday ultimate Underdog. The Bears are overpriced as there is no way a team that has gained more than 300 yards of offense only once on the season should be favored by this much. The Bears have been outgained in seven of 10 games thanks to an anemic offense that is third worst in the NFL with 262.7 ypg. Additionally, they are allowing close to 30 more ypg than in 2018. The Giants are coming off their bye week following six straight losses but they have been competitive of late, losing three of their last four games by just one possession. As much heat vas Daniel Jones has gotten for his trouble holding onto the ball, he has a 9:1 TD:INT ratio over his last three games and is No. 17 in QBR. Going back, the Giants are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after six or more consecutive losses, in weeks 10 through 13. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (257) New York Giants |
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11-24-19 | Broncos +4 v. Bills | Top | 3-20 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Game of the Week. Despite a 7-3 record, Buffalo is No. 23 in the latest power rankings as it has played the easiest schedule in the NFL. After outgaining their opponents in their first five games, Buffalo has outgained only two of their last five opponents. The Bills wins have come against the Jets, Giants, Bengals, Titans, Redskins and Dolphins twice. We can throw Denver into this mix as it is just 3-7 but the Broncos are the best losing team in the NFL. Five of the seven losses have been by just one possession which includes four coming within the final minute. Denver is just -25 points in scoring differential while outgaining half of its opponents and not being outgained by more than 84 yards in any game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (253) Denver Broncos |
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11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans -3.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We played on Houston last week and got totally destroyed as the Texans lost 41-7 and coupled with the Indianapolis blowout of Jacksonville, they are now tied for first place in the AFC South so this game will go a long way in determining the champion. The running game will be key here. Houston held Indianapolis to just 62 rushing yards in the first meeting, by far the Colts worst showing of the season. The loss of Marlon Mack, who broke his hand against Jacksonville, makes it harder to get the ground game going. On the other side, a Colts run defense that ranks ninth in the NFL will be tested as Houston has rushed for more than 100 yards in six straight games. The Texans are in revenge mode from the 30-23 loss in the first meeting as well as the 21-7 at home in the playoffs last season. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss by seven points or less, off a road loss. This situation is 41-13 ATS (75.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (110) Houston Texans |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs -4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Mexico City hosts a big AFC West divisional game as what once looked like a runaway win for the Chiefs has suddenly become a packed race. Kansas City won its first four games but has dropped four of its past six, allowing Oakland to get within a half-game of the division lead with the Chargers sitting just two games back. The absence of quarterback Patrick Mahomes led to a lot of the struggles for the Chiefs but he claimed this week he feels as healthy as he has been since Week One. He had a monster game last week in his return but the Chiefs lost at Tennessee despite outgaining the Titans by 159 total yards as a fumble return for the touchdown was the ultimate difference. The Chargers fell to 4-6 after a loss to the Raiders and that was the sixth loss by one possession. That would entice a play on the Chargers as those numbers point to a close game However, while the Chargers were among the league's better teams in not committing turnovers the past two seasons, their 16 giveaways this season are tied for seventh in the league. And that adds to a great situation as we play on teams after three consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (475) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-17-19 | Bears v. Rams -6 | Top | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. The Rams have been catching a lot of heat for their 5-4 record after going 13-3 last season and making it to the Super Bowl. They have been one of the unluckiest teams in the NFL however as they have 16 giveaways to just 14 takeaways compared to a +11 turnover margin last season. Los Angeles has outgained eight of nine opponents this season which shows they are playing better than their record shows. The fell short at Pittsburgh last week 17-12 and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Chicago is in the same situation as they already have one more loss than all of last season but its 4-5 record is s true indication of how it has played. The Bears have been outgained in six of nine games thanks to an anemic offense that is fourth worst in the NFL with 262.2 ypg. Additionally, they are allowing close to 30 more ypg than in 2018. The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 after having lost four or five out of their last six games. This situation is 23-5 (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (474) Los Angeles Rams |
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11-17-19 | Broncos +10.5 v. Vikings | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Minnesota is turning some heads with its 7-3 start as it has won five of its last six games to remain one game behind the Packers in the NFC North. The Vikings defense gets a lot of credit, maybe a little too much as they have allowed 24, 26 and 30 points in three of their last four games. The only exception was allowing nine points to lowly Washington. After being first in third down percentage defense each of the last two years, Minnesota is just No. 16 in that category this season. The Vikings are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. With the exception of getting blown out against Kansas City a few Thursdays ago, the Broncos have held their own as four of the other five losses came by one possession with three of those coming by two points and in the other only double-digit loss, they were outgained by just two yards by the Packers. Broncos quarterback Brandon Allen, who won his first NFL start in the team's most recent game on Nov. 3 against Cleveland, played a very efficient game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (459) Denver Broncos |
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11-17-19 | Texans +5 v. Ravens | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Underdog Game of the Month. Baltimore remains the talk of the NFL, namely Lamar Jackson, and because of all of the positive pub, the lines are remaining inflated. Coming off a divisional win and a winner over the Patriots prior to that, this could be the letdown finally especially with a Monday night game with the Rams on deck. Baltimore has outgained six of nine opponents, the same as Houston, so they may have overachieved slightly based on their 7-2 record that consists of wins over the Bengals twice, the Cardinals and the Dolphins. The Ravens are 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Houston is coming off its bye week with a chance for extra preparation for Jackson. The Texans are 6-3 with all three losses coming by one possession and they were tied or had the lead going into the fourth quarter in two of those. Not much respect in this line with a strong Houston team. The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (465) Houston Texans |
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11-14-19 | Steelers v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We played on Cleveland last Sunday and it resulted in a push for most and we are backing the Browns again this week in their back-to-back home spot. It was a must win then and it is a must win again this week and the Browns catch Pittsburgh coming off an upset win as a home underdog and now has to travel. With Mason Rudolph failing to exceed 200 passing yards in four of his seven starts, the Steelers will likely feature a run-heavy offensive attack. The key is whether Cleveland will be able to limit Pittsburgh on the ground on a short week. The money is coming in on the Steelers which is because of their recent success but they have played only one road game over the past seven weeks and they have been outgained in seven of nine games on the season. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 22-3 (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (310) Cleveland Browns |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks +6.5 v. 49ers | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Night Primetime Punisher. A once heated rivalry is restored with a lot on the line in the NFC West. It is hard to believe but this is the first time since Thanksgiving night in 2014 where both teams have a winning record. Seattle has won two straight games including a thrilling overtime win last week against Tampa Bay. The Seahawks rushed for 145 yards against the Buccaneers which has the top raked rushing defense in the NFL and while the San Francisco defense is highly praised, it is just No. 14 against the run while allowing 4.7 ypc which is near the bottom of the league. The Seahawks are 7-2 and going back, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. The 49ers are the lone remaining undefeated team in the NFL at 8-0 but they have played the third easiest schedule in the league. The 49ers suffered a big loss last week when linebacker Kwon Alexander went down with a season-ending torn left pectoral muscle. Additionally, standout tight end George Kittle likely will not see the field as he is listed as doubtful. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or higher off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (273) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-10-19 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our Sunday Night Primetime Punisher. Minnesota had a four-game winning streak snapped with a loss in Kansas City last week as it allowed two field goals over the last 2:30 including one with no time remaining to lose by three. This is a very solid team with one of the best rosters in the NFL and the Vikings come in as the No. 6 ranked team in the latest power ratings which is three spots higher than the Cowboys making this line off by two points. The Vikings trail Green Bay by a game in the NFC North and currently hold the last playoff spot in the conference. The Cowboys are coming off a pair of divisional wins over the Eagles and Giants. Four of their five wins have come against teams with two or fewer wins so it is hard to gage how good this team really is. Dallas is playing on a short week coming off a Monday night game and the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss, in November games. This situation is 64-32 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (271) Minnesota Vikings |
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11-10-19 | Bills v. Browns -2.5 | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. This is it for Cleveland. This is a must win game to salvage its season which may already be done. The Browns are 2-6 and have lost four straight games. The loss last week against the Broncos was a bad one in a game they should have won and even with that game, they have played the third toughest schedule in the NFL. Cleveland will be looking to get off the schneid at home where it is winless at 0-3. Buffalo ha had the opposite first half of the season as it is 6-2 in part thanks to playing the easiest schedule in the NFL. The Bills have played only two teams with a winning record and those resulted in losses. Additionally, the Bills are coming off three straight home games and a bye before that making this their first road game since Oct. 6. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers. This situation is 40-15 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1983. 9* (254) Cleveland Browns |
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11-10-19 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Bucs | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. Arizona is 3-5-1 on the season but it is in a great spot here as the Cardinals are playing with additional rest after their game last Thursday against San Francisco. They have played a middle of the road schedule but have taken advantage when available as Arizona is 0-5 against teams ranked within the top 16 and 3-0-1 against teams outside that ranking. Two of those wins came on the road against the giants and Bengals and Tampa Bay can certainly be grouped with those two teams. The Buccaneers have lost four straight games, failing to cover any of those. They are coming off a devastating loss last week in Seattle in overtime as they led for most of the game, tied the game with less than a minute left before succumbing in the extra period. That is hard to get through and the hangover will remain. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season. This situation is 35-12 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (255) Arizona Cardinals |
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11-10-19 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. Everyone is down on Mitchell Trubisky and rightfully so. The Bears were counting on him to take another step forward and an offense that showed promise in coach Matt Nagy's first season to make more big plays. That has not happened. He has just five touchdown passes after throwing for 24 last season but this game can turn things around. The Bears have lost four straight games and not covering any of those. This is giving us great line value against a team that is struggling just as bad. The Lions have lost four of their last five games with the lone victory coming against the 2-7 Giants. Detroit has the second worst passing defense in the NFL, allowing 288.4 ypg and this is where Trubisky has to take advantage. Additionally, they are allowing 27.1 ppg. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (266) Chicago Bears |
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11-10-19 | Ravens v. Bengals +10.5 | Top | 49-13 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC North Game of the Year. We won with Baltimore last week as it won as a home underdog over previously undefeated New England. Now hitting the road and facing a winless team, this presents the perfect letdown spot. Additionally, the Ravens next three games are against the Texans, Rams and 49ers. It has been an ugly season for the Bengals which are 0-8 and finally decided to make a change at quarterback as Andy Dalton has likely played his last game as a Bengal. Ryan Finley will get the start and while some will think this is a bad idea against an elite Baltimore defense, the defense is not elite like it used to be. Baltimore allows 348.3 ypg which is middle of the pack and its 22 ppg allowed is also right in the middle. Look for the Bengals to play an inspired game for Finley. Here, we play against favorites coming off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (262) Cincinnati Bengals |
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11-07-19 | Chargers v. Raiders +1.5 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Raiders are only half a game ahead of the Chargers, but they have shown all season that they are a better team. The Raiders schedule was incredibly tough in the first half of the season as they have played the second toughest slate behind Tampa Bay. They are 0-4 against the top 10 but 4-0 against everyone else. One big factor here will be the rushing game. For Oakland, Josh Jacobs has been great all season and is coming off an awesome game against the Lions where he rushed for 120 yards and scored two touchdowns. He goes up against a Chargers run defense that allows 114.1 ypg on 4.2 ypc. On the other side, the Chargers averaging just 79.4 rushing ypg on 3.6 ypc, both of which are fifth worst in the NFL. Meanwhile, Oakland is allowing only 92.5 ypg on 3.7ypc, seventh and fifth respectively in the league. The Raiders have plenty of revenge to play for as they have been swept by the Chargers in each of the last two seasons. The Chargers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Raiders have covered six of their last seven home games. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (108) Oakland Raiders |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +7 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Night Primetime Punisher. The debut of Daniel Jones was a resounding success in a win over Tampa Bay, the first of two straight victories but the Giants have now lost four straight games. He is coming off a great game last week however against the Lions where he threw for 322 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions and now he heads back home where New York has outgained two of its three opponents. Dallas is coming off a win over the Eagles, which snapped a three-game losing streak, and then had its bye week last week. The Cowboys have owned the Giants in recent seasons, winning five straight, including a 35-17 victory in Dallas in the season opener so that brings the revenge angle into play for tonight. The Giants are 17-3 ATS after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games while the Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage of .250 or below after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 133-77 ATS (63.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Giants |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 52 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. New England is off to an 8-0 start but we are still not completely sold. The Patriots have played the easiest schedule in the NFL as they have played only one team with a winning record and that resulted in a six-point win over Buffalo where they were outgained by 151 total yards. The defense is putting up record numbers but again, we are still not completely sure how good they are. The Patriots have struggled against versatile quarterbacks and Lamar Jackson fits the bill. He has passed for 1,650 yards and rushed for 576 yards and has led Baltimore to a 5-2 record. The Ravens are coming off a bye following a big win in Seattle to increase their winning streak to three games. The extra time off is key here in facing the Patriots and the Ravens have won 10 straight primetime games. Here we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 52-18 ATS (74.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (474) Baltimore Ravens |
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11-03-19 | Bucs +6 v. Seahawks | Top | 34-40 | Push | 0 | 48 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Underdog Game of the Month. The Seahawks have won four of their last five games to improve to 6-2 overall but this team has its flaws. They have been outgained in three of their wins, two of which were against Cincinnati and Atlanta which are a combined 1-15. Seattle lost starting center Justin Britt for the season last week and that is huge for an offensive line that was bad to begin with. The Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. The Buccaneers have lost three straight games including a loss against Tennessee last week that was misleading. They outgained the Titans by 143 total yards but lost the turnover battle 4-1. The week before, they lost to Carolina despite outgaining the Panthers by 139 total yards but lost that turnover battle 7-1. Keep the mistakes in check and they will be fine here. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential., after allowing three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (467) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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11-03-19 | Titans +3.5 v. Panthers | 20-30 | Loss | -104 | 45 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. We made the mistake of playing on Carolina last weekend. And it got hammered by San Francisco51-13. It was the third straight game the Panthers have been outgained and that is not a good sign for a team now laying over a field goal. Quarterback Kyle Allen was finally exposed as he threw his first three interceptions of the season against the second best defense in the NFL. Now he faces the ninth best defense in the league, an underrated Titans unit that allows just 335.6 ypg and allows the eighth lowest quarterback rating. The Titans are coming off a pair of home wins to improve to 4-4 on the season. Tennessee is 2-2 on the road and going back, the Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against home favorites averaging 4.5 ypc going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.5 ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 51-18 ATS (73.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (455) Tennessee Titans |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals +10.5 | Top | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. San Francisco has been favored by six or more points this season and has failed to cover both times. The latest came in Washington and while the weather played a big role in that game, the 49ers were favored by 10 points and now they are favored by that same amount. Against a team that is much better and playing much better of late sans last week against New Orleans. Taking nothing away from the 7-0 start but San Francisco has played the fifth easiest schedule in the NFL so that has skewed some of its outstanding defensive numbers. That goes along the same line as some of the quarterbacks they have faced. While Kyler Murray is having an average season, he has improved immensely over his last four games compared to his first four games. The 49ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 27 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (302) Arizona Cardinals |
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10-27-19 | Panthers +6 v. 49ers | Top | 13-51 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Another surprise in the first half of the season in San Francisco which is one of just two undefeated teams in the league. The 49ers are coming off a 9-0 win at Washington where the weather played a role in the outcome of that although it likely would have resulted in a bigger win had the weather been good. A win over the Rams was nice but the other five wins came against teams a combined 7-19 and overall, the schedule is ranked No 27 in the league. The defense has allowed only 10 points over the last three games but should get tested here. Carolina is ranked No. 5 in scoring offense in the NFL and has won four straight games, averaging 31.3 ppg over that stretch. The Panthers have not been as good defensively as in years past but it is still a strong unit. When above .500, Carolina 7-1 ATS coming off a bye and coming off back-to-back wins. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 370 or more ypg going up against teams allowing between 335 and 370 ypg. This situation is 64-29 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (269) Carolina Panthers |
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10-27-19 | Chargers +4 v. Bears | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 43 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. It was a crazy ending in Tennessee as the Chargers took the lead only to have review move the all back to the one-yard line. Los Angeles failed to punch it in on two chances, the second resulting in a Melvin Gordon fumble. It was the third straight loss for the Chargers as they fell to 2-5 with all five losses coming by one possession. They have outgained their opponent in three of those losses and almost every game is a must at this point. They are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games after one or more consecutive ATS losses. Chicago is a mess as well as it has dropped two straight games with a bye in-between. The Bears have been outgained in four of their last five games and the defense has taken a hit with the loss of defensive tackle Akiem Hicks. The offense is in worse shape as it is fourth to last in total offense in the NFL. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 off a road loss. This situation is 114-67 ATS (63 percent) since 1983. 9* (255) Los Angeles Chargers |
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10-27-19 | Broncos +6 v. Colts | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 43 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. This can be considered a hold your nose play after the performance Denver gave us last Thursday night. The Broncos had won two straight games prior to that but mustered just 205 total yards and allowed nine sacks, not exactly what you want against a struggling defense. Three of their five losses have by just one possession and they have outgained four of their seven opponents. Denver is outgaining opponents by 17.5 ypg which is pretty good for a team that sits 2-5. The Broncos are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Indianapolis has won two straight games and is in a prime letdown spot here as the wins came in Kansas City and at home against division rival Houston last Sunday. Jacoby Brissett has been great in taking over for Andrew Luck and is coming off his best game of the season where he threw for 326 yards and four touchdowns. But now he faces a Denver defense that is ranked fourth in total defense eighth in scoring defense. The Colts are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing record. 9* (271) Denver Broncos |
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10-27-19 | Eagles +2.5 v. Bills | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 44 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Non-Conference Game of the Year. The surprise of the first half in the NFL has to include Buffalo which is off to a 5-1 start thanks to a strong defensive presence. The Bills are third in the NFL in total defense and scoring defense but have not played any team with a strong offense and that even includes New England which is a middle of the pack offense. This is a tough spot this week coming off a hard fought divisional win and going up a team that is desperate for a win to turn its season around. Buffalo is 14-28 ATS in its last 42 games coming off a home win against a division rival. The Eagles were embarrassed on national TV last Sunday night and nobody wants a part of this team at the betting window right now. Philadelphia has dropped two straight games and sits a game behind Dallas in the NFC East. The season is far from lost and this is their fifth road game of the season including this being their third straight. Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing against a l team with a winning percentage of .750 or better. 10* (261) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-20-19 | Saints v. Bears -3.5 | 36-25 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Since Drew Brees went down and Teddy Bridgewater has taken over at quarterback, the Saints are a perfect 4-0. The offense has been hit or miss however as special teams and a defensive touchdown were the difference against Seattle where they were outgained by 249 total yards. They did put up 31 points against a bad Tampa Bay defense but in the other two games, they scored just 12 and 13 points and now face the best defense they have seen. Chicago is coming off its bye week after losing to Oakland in London which snapped a three-game winning streak. This is just their third home game of the season where Chicago is 1-1 on the season but won the yardage battle in both games. The Bears are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against road teams after allowing six points or less last game going up against an opponent after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 47-21 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (472) Chicago Bears |
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10-20-19 | Raiders +5 v. Packers | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Raiders rough travel schedule continues as they hit the highway again against the Packers. This is not overly difficult however as they are coming off their London game followed by a week off and the team actually took the entire week off so they are well rested. At 3-2, Oakland is one of the early season surprises especially coming off that win over Chicago and even with the week off, it brings in some solid momentum on both sides of the ball. Green Bay was fortunate to walk away with a win against Detroit on Monday as it was aided by a couple late flags to improve to 5-1 on the season. Prior to that, the Packers defeated Dallas by 10 points but were outgained by 228 total yards and on the season, they have been outgained in three of their six games. Overall, they are getting outgained on average for the season. Here, we play against favorites after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 50-21 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (459) Oakland Raiders |
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10-20-19 | Vikings v. Lions +2.5 | Top | 42-30 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Game of the Month. Detroit got hosed on Monday night as a couple late penalties cost them a chance at winning at Green Bay and improving to 3-1-1. The Lions could be 5-0 as they had Kansas City on the ropes and let Arizona back late in the game in their opener. Now they are catching points at home because of recency bias. The other part of that is how good Minnesota looked against the Eagles last week but the Vikings outgained Philadelphia by just 47 yards and were fortunate in facing a ravaged Eagles secondary. They been able to take advantage of suspect offensive lines but that will not be the case here as the Lions possess an under the radar solid offensive line. The Vikings are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (458) Detroit Lions |
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10-20-19 | Texans v. Colts | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We lost playing against the Texans last week and this is another situation of recency bias. Houston is coming off a pair of big wins over Atlanta and Kansas City so this line had to be placed where it is knowing the public would be all over the Texans side. While they have been playing well, it was not that long ago that Houston put up 10 and 13 points against Carolina and Jacksonville respectively and that has been forgotten. The Colts are coming off that win over the Chiefs and had a bye last week so they have a solid scheduling edge this week as well. While Jacoby Brissett is no Andrew Luck, he lines up behind arguably the best offensive line in the NFL so the solid Houston pass rush will be limited here. Houston is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games off an upset win as an underdog while the Colts are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (454) Indianapolis Colts |