Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-30-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat -7.5 | Top | 92-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Just think Miami takes care of business here and closes this series out with an exclamation point. We think they get the double-digit win here tonight. Both meetings in Miami in this series were of the double-digit variety. And the Pacers were lucky in Game 5 that LeBron James was in big foul trouble as that is likely the only reason they won that game and extended the series. We thought the Pacers would play strong in Game 5 and extend the series, but we just think that was their last gasp and that the better team will prevail tonight. The east was so bad this year that both teams probably looked better than they actually were, but Miami is the only true contender out of these teams, and they have turned it on in the playoffs after a lackluster regular season. |
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05-27-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 | Top | 92-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
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05-26-14 | Indiana Pacers +6.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 90-102 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
The Pacers had not lost consecutive games this postseason until Games 2 and 3 of this series. But they played a lot better in Game 3 and actually started off the game with a big lead. We think a big issue for them was foul trouble, which disrupted their continuity. Miami had some foul trouble as well, but this team is much better equipped to weather the situation than the Pacers, who need every available starter at their disposal, is. Just expect this to be a closer game, and a straight up win would not be shocking. Indiana has done some of its best work on the road in these playoffs, and also they have been super resilient as they always come up with a big game out of nowhere when people start to count them out. We also think the line is very telling here as the Heat are the big public team and they have this listed pretty much the same as Game 3, so you figure some of the bookies must be wanting Heat money here. We will side with the bookies here as we expect this to be a close game that goes down to the wire. |
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05-25-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder -2 | Top | 97-106 | Win | 100 | 50 h 2 m | Show |
San Antonio has made it look easy in Games 1 and 2, but betting the NBA is never as easy as just thinking the Spurs will continue to dominate, and we think that the Thunder will still make a series of this one. Just because the Spurs rolled at home does not mean that the Thunder can’t rebound in OKC, and we think that is exactly what will happen. There is a chance Serge Ibaka could be back for this game, and he will help the team, but even if he does not play the Thunder normally take a couple games to get back on track when they have had major injuries in the past. And this OKC team has had a lot of success over the Spurs as they have covered five straight before these two losses in San Antonio, and we expect the Thunder stars to perform a lot better in front of the home crowd as they have been cold the first two games. We also expect the Thunder to get the benefit of favorable calls from the refs. |
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05-24-14 | Indiana Pacers +7 v. Miami Heat | Top | 87-99 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
We think the Pacers have a great chance to keep this one close. They have done their best work on the road lately, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games in these playoffs. This is actually the most points that the Pacers have been catching this season – both in the regular season and playoffs. This team was pretty good as an underdog this year at 12-8 ATS. Paul George was injured with a concussion in Game 2, but all signs point to him coming back to play here in Game 3. We do like Miami for this series but just can’t pass up this amount of points for a Pacers team that has played very well on the road and a team that always plays Miami tough. We think both defenses will be strong here and that this game will be low scoring, which makes the points all the more valuable here for Game 3. |
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05-21-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder +6 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 77-112 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
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05-20-14 | Miami Heat -2 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Yes, Indiana looked great in a dominating Game 1 win here at home, but if there is anything you can say about the Pacers the last couple months is that they have been inconsistent. This team can look great one night and then look horrible the next, and we expect Miami to play a lot better here in Game 2. The Heat have so much experience, and this team has faced every possible situation in the playoffs. We guarantee that they are not even sweating that Game 1 loss and that they are just looking to play better in this next game. We think all the pressure is still on the Pacers here, and this team has shown it is not the best at facing pressure in this postseason. |
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05-18-14 | Miami Heat -2.5 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 96-107 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 0 m | Show |
Some might think the Pacers are “back” after rallying to beat the Wizards in their second-round series. We don’t think this team is back, and we just think they benefited from a horrible Eastern Conference. The Hawks gave Indiana all they could handle in the first round. This Hawks team had to business being in the playoffs this season, and this is one of the worst playoff teams we have seen in years. Washington was a better team, but this was also a pretty bad team that was getting its first taste of the playoffs, and Indiana should have swept them. Miami has hardly broken a sweat these playoffs. They played better teams in both series. Charlotte is a strong defensive team, but Miami had to trouble in sweeping them. Brooklyn was a team that had swept them in the regular season and had all sorts of playoff experience. The Heat made it look easy against them. Just don’t think that these teams are even close right now, and this is probably the most value-packed line you will get for Miami this series. The Pacers have lost four of their seven playoff games at home, and this team has lost the home-court advantage they have held almost all season. They have been an even worse 3-5 ATS. Miami looks to have the easiest path to the Finals of any season since the Big 3 got together in South Beach, and we think that they will dominate here in Game 1 to set the tone of this series. |
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05-15-14 | Indiana Pacers +4.5 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 93-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month: Really love the Pacers in this spot, and this line was released even better than we had hoped for. We were on the Wizards earlier in the series, but their playoff inexperience started to show big time in losing three straight to the Pacers. Indiana looked awful in losing Game 5 by more than 20 points. We think they used up all their energy in the Game 4 comeback win, and this team has been so helter skelter for a while that you can’t really judge them on their last game. This team has not lost consecutive games since early April in the regular season. More than any other team in the playoffs the Pacers have followed the zig zag theory of betting on a team after they lose. While we are not big fans of this theory, it really does seem to apply to an Indiana team that seems to have multiple personalities. But we were really down on Indiana at the beginning of the playoffs. However, their three-game winning streak over the Wizards in this series showed us this team is somewhat back and can play up to its capabilities. They didn’t have much urgency in Game 5, but we expect them to have it here, especially since the Heat have closed out their series and are resting up right now. And the Pacers, for whatever reason, have done their best work on the road lately. They have won four of their five playoff games on the road this postseason and six of their last eight road games overall stretching back to the regular season. We think that Indiana has a real good chance to win this game straight up tonight, but the points here are just a bonus in case this game is close. |
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05-14-14 | PORTLAND GM5 v. SAN ANTONIO GM5 -8 | Top | 82-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
We thought at the start of this series that the Blazers had a chance since the Spurs looked so lousy for most of their series against Dallas while the Blazers looked like a real contender in their defeat of Houston. But now that this series has played out we feel as if the Spurs are rounding into championship form while the Blazers are probably happy to be getting some playoff experience here and should be headed for an extended offseason tonight. We think the Game 4 loss in Portland was more of the Spurs having an off game and relaxing a bit rather than the Blazers dominating. But this San Antonio team knows it can’t afford long series every time as they need time to rest and gameplan for the Western Conference Finals. Popovich is such a great coach, and he will have his team motivated tonight. When this team is playing up to it’s capabilities the Blazers should be no match tonight. |
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05-13-14 | LA CLIPPERS GM5 +5.5 v. OKLAHOMA CITY GM5 | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
The Clippers picked up some major momentum in their come-from-behind Game 4 win at home in one of the most exciting finishes to a playoff game in quite awhile. We just think this one will be another close, hard-fought game that the Clippers could definitely win straight up if everything goes their way. LA has not played a game yet where they got full contributions from everyone on the team, and if some of these role players can step up this is a very dangerous team. But this is the best line we have gotten for the Clippers during this series, and we think all the value lies in them in what we expect to be a close game. The Clippers are 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings in OKC, so they have historically played well here, and we expect that to be the case tonight. |
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05-10-14 | SAN ANTONIO GM3 v. PORTLAND GM3 +1.5 | Top | 118-103 | Loss | -108 | 33 h 56 m | Show |
The Spurs have looked pretty dominant in the first two games of this series, but we like the heart that Portland showed down the stretch of Game 2, and we think that they can still make some noise in this series. Portland has been a bit above average on the road all season, but this team has been very good at home and has almost as good of a record at home than the Spurs do, and they have one of the best home-court advantages as well with a raucous crowd. Also, the Blazers probably know they aren’t a real serious title contender this season, and they were not even expected to beat Houston. So we think there is not much pressure on them in this Game 3 and they can play free and loose and play their game. The Spurs have not done well here historically and are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings here. We see the Blazers winning this game and making a series of this. |
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05-09-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Clippers -4 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
We love the Clippers for this series. They took a step back in Game 2, but we are willing to give them a mulligan. Kevin Durant completely went off after getting his MVP award and Russell Westbrook had a very good game also, and the Thunder had a couple other players step up as well. Even with all that the Clippers still hung in there and made the final score respectable when most teams would have lost that game by 20+. Not to mention the Clippers had some key players, including Chris Paul, in foul trouble. Not only should the Clippers get the benefit of some favorable calls now that the series switches back to LA, but this is one of the best home teams in the league as they have lost only 8 games here all season. This team will get better contributions at home from the likes of Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, who have not played well yet this series. And Paul seems to be healing as these last two games were his best of the playoff so far, and he seems to finally be getting a full range of movement back and is playing with tons of confidence right now. The Clippers just have too many weapons, and it is unlikely the Thunder are going to have someone step up with a major contribution other than their two stars, and it just seems like the Clippers have a couple guys who are due to step up and make some noise here in Game 3. We see more of the Game 1 Clippers showing up here and think that the oddsmakers are giving too much respect here for a Thunder team that we think is the favorite in this series in name only. |
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05-08-14 | Portland Trailblazers +7 v. SAN ANTONIO GM2 | Top | 97-114 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 26 m | Show |
Both of the road teams got blown out on Tuesday in their opening games of the second round. Of those two we think the Blazers have the best chance to bounce back tonight. This is a team that has to shoot the ball very well in order to have success, and they were just terrible on Tuesday with a shooting percentage less than 35% for most of the game. Some of that was the Spurs defense but some was also just missing shots, and we think that the Blazers were due a bad game after all the hoopla over their buzzer-beater against Houston and the fact that they even won that series as an underdog. We think those numbers will even out for shooting and expect them to do a lot better in that department here. We also don’t think the Spurs play quite as well as they did in Game 1 as everything went right for them. But we are still not convinced this team is the true best in the west after Dallas pushed them to the brink in their first-round series, and we expect this game to be much closer and will chock that Game 1 result up to just a bad game for the visitors. |
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05-07-14 | Washington Wizards +4.5 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Indiana had a tough time with the Hawks in the first round, and they were the worst team in the NBA Playoffs by far. They have a much tougher opponent this time around, and the Wizards have a great chance to win this series quickly, in our opinion. Washington is playing their best basketball of the season right now and peaking in the playoffs. This team was inconsistent in the regular season, but they are dialed in now, and they are also well rested after making quick work of Chicago in their opening-round series. The Pacers are just not right, and we don’t see them playing as well in this series as they did against the Hawks. They rebounded well from some bad games in that series, but this is a much stronger team they are facing here. Just think this Indiana team is broken right now, and they don’t have any time to fix the situation or look for answers in their current situation. |
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05-06-14 | Brooklyn Nets +7.5 v. Miami Heat | Top | 86-107 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
We don’t think that this Miami team is the same club that won the NBA Finals last season, and we think that they are going to have some problems winning it all this season. This team normally sleepwalks through portions of the regular season, but this season it seemed as if they really struggled a lot more than normal. It takes so much drive and desire to win an NBA Championship, and we don’t think the Heat have that fire this season. Not saying they will lose this series, but we think as the playoffs go on that this team will hit some bumps in the road. Their first-round opponent, Charlotte, was just happy to be in the postseason. But their Tuesday semifinals opponent Brooklyn has real championship aspirations and should be a more formidable opponent. That’s not to mention that they match up well and even swept the season series 4-0. Just think this series will be a real battle and that this Game 1 line is way too high. Great value in the underdogs here as we think this line should be closer to 4.5 or 5.0. |
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05-04-14 | Dallas Mavericks +7 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 96-119 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
This has been a great series, and we expect a great and hotly-contested Game 7. These teams are in-state rivals and know each other well, and the Mavs have shown that they are not intimidated by playing in San Antonio, which is known as one of the toughest places in the NBA for opposing clubs to succeed. But Dallas is one of the best road teams in the NBA, and they have shown all series that they match up well with San Antonio. We would not be shocked at all for a Dallas straight up win. Everyone remembers the Spurs run to the NBA Finals last season but no one is talking about all the times the Spurs excelled in the regular season and then fell way short in the postseason. We expect a close, hard-fought game here that should go right down to the end. |
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05-03-14 | GOLDEN STATE GM7 v. LA CLIPPERS GM7 -7 | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
The Clippers came within one point of closing the Warriors out in Game 6, and that was despite playing a really lousy game. We think they will get back on track here at home for Game 7 and roll to a pretty comfortable win just like in Game 5. Game 6 was really ugly and the Clippers two best players, Chris Paul and Blake Griffin, were both in foul trouble. We think that they get the benefit of some favorable calls here in Game 7 and that they will both be much more of a factor than they were in the Bay Area last time out. Jermaine O’Neal for the Warriors hyper extended his knee in that last game, and although he is listed as questionable the injury looked pretty bad and we doubt he will be too effective if he does play. And that gives the Clippers a huge advantage down low with the sixe they have with Griffin and DeAndre Jordan. The Clippers are 5-1 in the last six meetings at Staples Center, and we just have to go with the stronger team here in this close-out game and we expect the home team to come out focused and ready to dominate. |
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05-01-14 | Los Angeles Clippers -1 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 99-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
We mistakenly went with Golden State in Game 5 in LA on Tuesday. That is before the commish came down hard on Clippers owner Donald Sterling with a lifetime ban. That really changed everything with this team. We think the Clippers are the most complete team in the playoffs and that they have a great chance to represent the west in the finals. Now that this burden is off their shoulders we think they close the pesky Warriors out tonight. Remember in Game 3 they were up big here and brought some ferocious perimeter defense that frustrated the Warriors all game long. Golden State did rally, but they were forced to take some crazy shots from way behind the 3-point line. We give the Clippers a mulligan for Game 4 because of the controversy, and with OKC and San Antonio struggling we think the Clippers really want to end this series early and give Chris Paul a chance to rest his hamstring and also for this team to take a collective breath as it has been a real whirlwind of a week for them dealing with a hotly-contested playoff series as well as an unprecedented NBA controversy that has really showed just how strong and focused this team is. |
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04-30-14 | Brooklyn Nets +3 v. Toronto Raptors | Top | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
We expect Brooklyn to win this series and think there is a great chance that they score a road win tonight here. This team has been inconsistent all season, but we just think that they had one of those “off” games in Game 4 and that this team is still the better overall club top to bottom. The underdog has been the play in this series in just about every game, as it has throughout the NBA Playoffs as a whole, and we think that is the play here tonight. The Nets were off offensively in Game 4, but we think that they will make the necessary adjustments needed to challenge for the win here tonight. We expect a close game throughout and for the Nets to pull away late in the fourth. But taking the points here protects us in case of a Toronto buzzer beater. |
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04-29-14 | GOLDEN STATE GM5 +6 v. LA CLIPPERS GM5 | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -102 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
It is amazing to us that the oddsmakers have not made a major adjustment to this line. This is about where the line should be without all the distractions the Clippers have had to deal with regarding the Donald Sterling saga. This team looked lost in their blowout loss in Game 4 on Sunday (we were on Golden State after taking the Clippers in all three previous games). This team just did not look like itself, and we don’t see how anything is going to be any different in this game. Doc Rivers is trying to put on a strong face as the leader of this team, but he seems kind of lost and confused, and his tactics definitely did not work in Game 4 as the team looked flat. The Clippers skipped practice on Monday. This was one of the most important practice days in team history and Doc Rivers just gave his players the day off. That can’t help their case on the court Tuesday night. That is not to mention that Golden State has some major momentum here in this game. The Clippers are losing endorsements left and right, and no one would blame the players and coaches if they just bowed out of this playoffs quietly, and we are pretty sure that is what is going to happen. This is one of the most unique situations in NBA history, and we think we are ahead of the oddsmakers in their adjustment to the line here. We had a “test” in Game 4 to see if the Clippers players would rise above the controversy and play in spite of their owner, and we think they failed that test. So why would anyone think they are going to come out and play the same way at home that they did before the controversy just after they got that one bad game out of their system? We’re not buying it, and Golden State is the clear play here. |
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04-28-14 | San Antonio Spurs -4 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 93-89 | Push | 0 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
We were on the Spurs in Game 3 and they lost a close one, but we still think that they are the rightful favorite in this series and that they will find a way to rise up and win this game. In the writeup for the last game we talked about Dallas’s horrible home ATS record, and now after that rare Game 3 cover they are 5-15 ATS at home against above-.500 teams. We already like the Spurs a lot tonight even without those trends, but the Mavs track record in home games ATS can’t be discounted. Just think there is so much pressure for both teams in this crucial Game 4 tonight and that the Spurs with their personnel and coaching and more better equipped to handle the situation. Just don’t see the Spurs going on the brink of elimination tonight, and we expect them to win and cover this spread with a couple points to spare. |
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04-27-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors +2 | Top | 97-118 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
We think this is one of the easiest calls of the season. Of course the Clippers are embroiled in controversy right now as a audio tape leaked yesterday which is alleged to be the voice of Clippers owner Donald Sterling spewing racist sentiment. This story has now taken on a life of its own and is the top story nationwide in the news and even the President has weighed in. We leaned towards Golden State to begin with before all this came out. But now the Clippers have to deal with what is probably the biggest distraction in playoff history. Best-case scenario this team is very focused at the task at hand and able to block this stuff out (unlikely). But yesterday was probably the most important practice day in team history as they get ready to play their biggest game in team history, and dealing with this controversy was all the players could think about all day. LA did a great job of defending the perimeter in Game 3, but the Warriors will likely shoot a lot better in this game. And who would blame LA if they laid an egg here? We still think they will get it together and win the series, but playing in one of the toughest arenas in the NBA against a very good team under the pressure cooker of controversy is going to be too much for this team today. |
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04-26-14 | San Antonio Spurs -3.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
Love the Spurs in this spot for Game 3 back in the Big D. We were on the Mavs in Game 2 on the road, and they won straight up. While this team has been a great bet on the road all season, that just hasn’t been the case at home. This team is just 17-24 ATS at home compared to 29-14 ATS on the road. The most glaring ATS statistic, however, is their home ATS mark against winning teams: 4-15. This team always underwhelms at home against top teams, and now they face the top team record-wise in the entire NBA that has its back against the wall and is in nearly a must-win situation. We expect the Spurs to come out strong in this one. There is no doubting that the Mavs have played well in this series. That win in Game 2, however, broke a 10-game winning streak by the Spurs over their in-state rivals. The Mavs had a great gameplan to counter the Spurs strengths in Game 2, but Popovich is the best coach in the game, and we have no doubt he will make the adjustments needed to get home-court advantage back with a big win in Game 3. |
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04-24-14 | Los Angeles Clippers -1.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 33 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week: The Clippers Game 1 loss was a fluke. The team was off all night and Blake Griffin was in foul trouble and played only 19 minutes before fouling out. But LA showed during Game 2 that this is a real mismatch in winning by 40 points. This reminds us of the regular season when LA lost a head-scratcher to the Lakers in the first game before becoming a pretty dominant team in the regular season. Maybe this team has first-game jitters or something. But we expect more of the Game 2 Clippers in this one. Yes, the Warriors won both meetings at Oracle this season. In one of those games Griffin got tossed while the Clippers were up in the fourth. He is obviously the key for this team (not to mention that Golden State has absolutely no answer for him). The other game was on a back-to-back and without Chris Paul. And the Clippers have taken their game to another level since they played here, and they are a healthy and complete team. We don’t think we will see any more hiccups from this club, and we think they have a great chance to win both games here in the Bay Area. After that Game 2 performance we think that this line should be about 4 or 5, and we would take the Clippers enthusiastically even at those numbers. |
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04-21-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -7.5 | Top | 98-138 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
We were on the Clippers big in Game 1 of this series, and even though they lost straight up we still think this is the better team. Out of all the Game 1 upsets, this one had the most cases of extenuating circumstances of any of those games. The refs were horrible in this game, and they even admitted after the game they screwed up in a non-call at the end on Chris Paul that would have given the Clippers a chance to tie the game up and send it to OT. And Blake Griffin was on the wrong end of some questionable calls and was in such bad foul trouble the entire game that he played only 19 minutes. You could tell when he was in that the entire offense was centered around him and that Doc Rivers did not really have a Plan B (the rest of the team had an off night, and even with all this the Clippers were right in it at the end). It seems as if the NBA does not like the Clippers. But we expect this game to be called more fairly, and LA might even get a couple makeup calls. But we fully expect this team to play better tonight and to win this one pretty comfortably as we feel they are the more superior team. |
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04-19-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -7 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
The Warriors had a lot of playoff magic last year, and bettors can’t help but remember that. But this is just not the same team this season. And this time they face a very tough task from a pretty complete Clippers team that can make a good argument for being the best in the NBA. And not only are they one of the best teams in the league, but they really hate this Warriors team. They will not hesitate to run up the score on this team late, and that should help protect us if this line is close at the end. But we do not think it will be. Even though these teams split their games this season, each winning both at home, one of those wins in the Bay Area was that real sketchy game where the Warriors were attacking Blake Griffin all game, and they ended up getting him ejected when the Clippers were ahead late (the league later rescinded that second technical foul and stated that he should have been allowed to finish the game). Golden State will probably try to rattle the Clippers again and get inside their heads. But we think this LA team has grown so much since then (not to mention they are prepared for any of these tactics) and we think they are very focused and determined right now. And we just think that they are way better than their opponent here. The Warriors have been very inconsistent all season and have not looked like the team that should have taken a big step forward this year. When Chris Paul went down for the Clippers for an extended period, Golden State had the perfect opportunity to take control of the division, but they started playing even worse while the Clips showed their depth and resiliency by not missing a step with Paul’s absence. That just showed a real lack of hear from this Warriors team, in our opinion. We think the Clippers are real anxious to get off to a fast start here and put last year’s first-round upset loss to Memphis out of their minds. They have had a couple days to get ready and prepare for this one and should have all the players on the team at their disposal for Game 1. Bogut being out for the Warriors really hurts this team. The Clippers should dominate down low with Griffin and Jordan and CP3 driving to the basket. And LA can match the Warriors on the perimeter with its own group of sharpshooters. LA won both games at home this season by double-digits, and we think this one has a good chance of being a bigger defecit than either of those two games. |
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04-14-14 | Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 97-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
This is a defacto playoff game tonight in Phoenix. The Suns have to win this one or they are officially eliminated from postseason contention. In a game with this type of pressure you have to go with the experience and toughness of this Memphis team that has been here before in high-pressure situations and a team that has a ton of playoff experience under their belt to draw from. This team would not even be in this situation if not for a slow start to the season under a new coach and a major injury to Marc Gasol that kept him out of the lineup for an extended period. Don’t get us wrong, we have been very impressed with this Suns team this season. They have been one of the best in the league ATS all year, and they play hard every night. Just think they are outmatched here in this do-or-die situation, and we expect the better team to win here, and the points are just a bonus in case the game is close at the end. Memphis has won all three meetings this season pretty comfortably, and they even got a 9-point win here in Phoenix earlier in the season.
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04-10-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks -2 | Top | 109-100 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
Love the Mavs in this spot. Dallas is playing very well lately, and they just swept their four-game road trip, including a win over the Clippers. Every game for the rest of this season is a virtual playoff game for this club, and we expect them to bring their A Game on Thursday in front of a national audience against a rival. The Spurs are probably going to coast for the rest of the season and save their energy for the playoffs. They played one of their worst games of the season last time out in a 19-point loss in Minnesota. They just didn’t give max effort in that game, and it is very likely they come into this one with a similar mindset while the Mavs will be giving everything they have. Dallas is completely healthy while the Spurs will be missing two key players in Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili here. Dallas looks like they can get a big win here to solidify their playoff positioning, and it seems like the sportsbooks are begging for San Antonio money here, which is a real good sign for this pick tonight.
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04-07-14 | Kentucky v. Connecticut +3 | Top | 54-60 | Win | 100 | 32 h 50 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #602 Take Connecticut Huskies over Kentucky Wildcats (Monday 9:10 pm CBS) It ends tonight! Two traditional powers that very few expected to be in this game this year are set to do battle in Arlington with a National Championship on the line. UCONN has had the easier path to this game as they have not had a game go down to the wire since their round of 64 game. Kentucky has shown great resilience to get to this point but they have yet to face a team with guards like UCONN has. If Niels Giffey could ever make a three point shot I believe UCONN would win this game comfortably. Connecticut just does all the little right and unlike Wisconsin, the Huskies will get in your face and create turnovers. Kentucky was just too comfortable against Wisconsin with only 4 turnovers yet still almost lost the game. UCONN will make all of their free throws and win this game straight-up, as getting points is just icing on the cake. The Huskies are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 neutral site games.
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04-06-14 | Utah Jazz v. Golden State Warriors -12 | Top | 102-130 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show |
Love the Warriors in this spot and think that this line should be closer to 16. Last time we saw Golden State, they were laying down the hammer on another bad team, Sacramento, in a game they won on this same court by 33. This Utah team is particularly bad on the road, and even with some very favorable lines they have covered only 3 of their last 11 road games. They really have trouble scoring on the road, and their defense is very inconsistent. This is a team the Warriors can score a lot of points on, and their defense, which has been playing very well lately, should be able to hold Utah down to a real low score. These teams have not played in the Bay Area since early November, and the Warriors won by 14 then. We think that Golden State is rounding into playoff form while the Jazz are just waiting for the season to end, and we think there is a good chance they win this one by even more than that despite a couple injuries that we don’t think will become a major factor in affecting this spread.
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04-05-14 | Kentucky -2 v. Wisconsin | Top | 74-73 | Loss | -100 | 126 h 56 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #815 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 8:49 pm TBS) Really surprised that this line is so low considering how well Kentucky has played of late. Wisconsin had trouble on the boards against Arizona and Kentucky has a lot more big man than does the Arizona Wildcats. Wisconsin may have the best player on the floor in Frank Kaminsky but the supporting cast of Wisconsin has not been playing well around him of late. Kentucky has been making shots of late and that is the key to their success since they are a great rebounding team. Wisconsin is just happy to reach the Final Four whereas Kentucky feels that it has more work to do. Kentucky is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Kentucky is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against Big 10 teams.
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04-05-14 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Orlando Magic +4.5 | Top | 92-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Really love the Magic in this spot. We were eyeing this game before the games were played last night. We thought that the Timberwolves would get up for the Heat and play hard there and that they might be in a big letdown spot here. The Wolves did play hard, and they played an exhausting, emotional game in a double-OT win. We think they will come out here very flat. This team already stinks on back-to-backs (they are 4-14 SU and 6-12 ATS), and with no hope for the playoffs we think that this team will be satisfied with the win last night and take the night off. Orlando played last night, too, and they are also bad on back-to-backs (but they are at least 7-9 ATS in these situations, so they are a better bet than Minnesota), but this team did not have a meaningful game last night, and they come to play back home where they are much better. In fact, they have a better home winning percentage than the Wolves do on the road. Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Orlando, and the Magic are pretty healthy and primed to compete for the win here tonight.
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04-01-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Dallas Mavericks -4 | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
We think this is a real favorable line for Dallas here. Golden State will likely be missing David Lee and Andrew Bogut, while the Mavs are at full strength. If both teams were at full strength here we think the line should be close to this number, so there seems to be some good value here. Both teams have been inconsistent lately, especially against the spread, but the Mavs have had a tougher recent schedule. We think that overall they have been playing better basketball and are in better form right now. This is a crucial game for playoff seeding, and we expect the Mavericks to take care of business here tonight in front of the home fans.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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03-30-14 | Kentucky -2 v. Michigan | Top | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #719 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Michigan Wolverines (Sunday 5:05 pm CBS) Michigan really had to hang on last night against Tennessee and I do not believe that will carryover well into this game against a red hot Kentucky. The Wildcats are finally putting it together and have been giant killers of late beating Wichita State and Louisville in consecutive games. I am a bit surprised that Kentucky is favored in this game but that just shows me the smart money in on Kentucky especially from the wise guys. Kentucky has covered the spread in 6 straight games. Michigan is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on Sunday. This will not be an all-Big Ten match-up in Arlington as big blue marches onto the Final Four!
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03-30-14 | Utah Jazz v. Oklahoma City Thunder -15 | Top | 96-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
This Utah team is really bad on the road. They are awful just about everywhere lately, but especially on the road. They have lost nine of their last 10 road contests, and the only win in that span was against the Sixers. They have covered only three games during that span despite getting some very favorable lines. Their last two similar road games like this they didn
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03-29-14 | Wisconsin +3 v. Arizona | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 32 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #515 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 8:49 pm CBS) We have rode Wisconsin numerous times this season and also will collect on a futures bet if they win this game straight-up. This will eliminate one of the two best coaches in the country never to reach a Final Four and how can one not want to see Bo Ryan clear that hurdle. Wisconsin has been playing lights out down the stretch and they are clearly the better scoring team in this game. They destroyed Baylor because of their balance and expect similar situation tonight against Arizona. UCLA was a great offensive team and Arizona could not keep pace with them. The Wildcats played San Diego State, a team with only one good offensive player and struggled for most of the game against the Aztecs. Wisconsin is 6-0 in their last 6 nonconference games. Wisconsin is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Getting points is just icing on the cake as Wisconsin marches on to the Final Four for the first time under Bo Ryan.
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03-28-14 | Michigan State -1.5 v. Virginia | Top | 61-59 | Win | 100 | 99 h 9 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #877 Take Michigan State Spartans over Virginia Cavaliers (Friday 9:57 pm TBS) Virginia looked as impressive as anybody during the round of 32 but now they face a team that can beat you in a variety of ways. Memphis could only play one way and they are not a good shooting team and this is the type of team that Virginia can eat alive. Things will be much different in New York City and I really feel that this line does not do Michigan State justice. We now know that the ACC was not very good this year with Virginia the lone standing team (Big 10 still have three teams that made it to the Sweet 16). History shows that they type of team does not advance very far into the NCAA Tournament because sooner or later Virginia is going to have to make shots against a good defensive team. It will not be tonight, as the Spartans and their size, speed, and balance will be too much to overcome.
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03-28-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Denver Nuggets +7.5 | Top | 133-102 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 31 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Year:
While we don |
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03-27-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +20.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 98-120 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
The Sixers are playing hard every night to avoid the distinction of the longest losing streak in NBA history. And they have covered four of their last five games, and should have also covered last time out against San Antonio if not for a late meaningless three by the Spurs. But we think that the Sixers will play hard again tonight. This is no longer a team you can automatically bet against every game. They have showed a lot of heart lately with minimal talent, and opponents are often overlooking them. We think that will be the case here on Thursday as the Rockets have a huge game against the Clippers to look forward to on Saturday. The Sixers are 11-6 ATS this season when getting 11 or more points, and this is one of the situations they have done the best in ATS-wise. They really should have covered against the Spurs, who are much better than Houston, and they were in covering distance most of the game until that late three. Also, Dwight Howard banged his knee on Wednesday in practice and is questionable for this game. If he is s scratch, which might happen just because this game is winnable for Houston without him, then this line will get slimmer. We don
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03-27-14 | Baylor v. Wisconsin -3 | Top | 52-69 | Win | 100 | 73 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #814 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Baylor Bears (Thursday 7:45 pm TBS) Baylor looked impressive against Creighton as they knocked Doug McDermott and company out of the NCAA Tournament but they will get a much stiffer test tonight against a well-rounded Wisconsin team. Creighton never defended well this season and relied too much on McDermott and with Baylor not missing many shots you get a 30 points rout. But things will be much different on Thursday. First of all I just do not see Baylor shooting lights out for a second straight game. Very few teams are in the zone Baylor was in on Sunday and history just will not repeat itself. Wisconsin has a ton of people that can score points and it would not surprise me if they win this game convincingly. I will take Bo Ryan any day of the week over Scott Drew. I really believe this is the year Bo Ryan gets to the Final Four and we will collect with him along the way!
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03-26-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Detroit Pistons -6 | Top | 97-96 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
We just think this is a real bad spot for the Cavs tonight. We were on them last night against Toronto, and they nearly coughed up a 21-point lead. They looked really tired at the end of that game, and they should be in for a tough time tonight playing their third game in four nights and fourth game in five nights. The Pistons have not been that good lately, but this team has covered three straight, and they have owned this series, covering in eight of the last nine meetings. We think that the loss of Kyrie Irving really starts to be felt here in this bad spot for the Cavs as their team leader is needed with this team so fatigued and with not a lot to play for. We think this one could get real ugly and should be a big win for the home team.
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03-25-14 | Portland Trail Blazers -6 v. Orlando Magic | Top | 85-95 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
Orlando is in an absolute freefall, and this team has won only two games in their last 14, and both were against Philly, the only team that is playing worse than them right now. This team seems to have given up on the season and is looking for more ping pong balls in the draft lottery. The Blazers have been a mixed bag lately, but overall they have won the games they are supposed to, and this one definitely qualifies tonight. Orlando is outmatched in just about every category, even with Aldridge out for Portland. And this is just the type of game the Blazers need to get back on track after two straight road losses against much tougher competition. We are getting a good line here because Portland is on the road, but home-court advantage will not matter tonight as this Magic team gets blown out again.
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03-24-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Game of the Week: Just love the way the Pelicans have been playing lately, and Anthony Davis is developing into the next NBA superstar right before our eyes. He is just dominating lately and carrying this team on his back. We think that this is a great spot for them tonight against a Brooklyn team that is going to be very fatigued after playing last night in OT in Dallas. This is also their third game in four nights while the Pelicans had Sunday off and should be well-rested and focused for this one. New Orleans is playing with lots of confidence right now and is coming in with three wins in their last four games, including a double-digit win over the Heat in their last game. That win was not a fluke
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03-23-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Dallas Mavericks -4.5 | Top | 107-104 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Just think this is a great spot for an underrated Dallas team tonight. There is no way around it
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03-23-14 | Kentucky v. Wichita State -4.5 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #722 Take Wichita State Shockers over Kentucky Wildcats (Sunday 2:45 pm CBS) I am actually surprised that this line is moving toward Wichita State after it opened right where I thought it would. However, that just tells me that the sharps realize the same thing that I do. Wichita State is a much better team that Kentucky is. The Wildcats held off a bad Kansas State team on Friday with the help of two questionable technicals despite shooting terrible from the field. 30% shooting is a staple with this Kentucky team and that just will not get the job done. Wichita State already already pounded two SEC teams this season and playing in St. Louis will give them a big edge in the crowd (think Wisconsin last night against Oregon). Wichita State does not beat themselves with stupid passes and careless turnovers. Kentucky is 5-16 ATS in their next game after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Wichita State is 36-13 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 51 games. Take the sleeping giant on Sunday!
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03-22-14 | Oregon v. Wisconsin -5 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #526 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Oregon Ducks (7:45 pm CBS) Wisconsin playing in Milwaukee with this low of a number is too good to pass up. Wisconsin looked as impressive as anybody in the round of 64 and that included them not playing well for the first 12 minutes. Imagine what they can do if they put it together for an entire 40 minutes. Oregon has been a very streaky team this year and I just do not believe that they are patient and consistent enough to beat Wisconsin in Milwaukee. Wisconsin is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. In order to win games in the NCAA Tournament you must make shots from the arc and I like Wisconsin
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03-21-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 v. Toronto Raptors | Top | 119-118 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
The Thunder are getting back on track and have won four of their last five games. This team had some troubles with team chemistry with players moving in and out of the lineup because of injury, but this team now looks to be dominant again, and we think they will be a strong bet to close the season. And even though Toronto has been playing well and overachieving all season, this Oklahoma City team is just so much better. We are getting a nice line because the Thunder played last night and also because they are on the road, but road favorites have been a great bet this season, and we think that this line is very beatable. The Thunder have won and covered in three of four meetings.
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03-21-14 | Oklahoma State -2 v. Gonzaga | Top | 77-85 | Loss | -106 | 51 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #851 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over Gonzaga Bulldogs (Friday 4:40 pm TNT) NCAA Tournament Game of the Year! I must admit I have not been a fan of this Oklahoma State team this year and do not have much confidence in their head coach Travis Ford. But that being said, this team is loaded with talent and even Coach Ford will not be able to mess it up. Since Marcus Smart has returned from suspension, the Pokes have played much better with five victories and just two overtime losses to Kansas and Iowa State. I actually believe getting away from the Big XII refs will help this team a great deal since it appeared those refs were set on punishing the Cowboys for their behavior.
But the main reason for this play is that I just do not believe Gonzaga is very good this year. They are extremely well coached but the WCC was way down this year and despite that Gonzaga lost games at San Diego, Portland, and BYU. They do not have a big man in the middle and when you watch these teams warm-up it will look like it is men against boys. The Bulldogs best player Kevin Pangos has been struggling of late and did not make a field goal in his last game (held to single digits in three of his last four games). David Stockton has picked up his game of late but you just cannot depend on him especially to score points. Talent wins out on Friday as Oklahoma State marches onto the Round of 32. |
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03-17-14 | Los Angeles Clippers -4.5 v. Denver Nuggets | Top | 100-110 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This Clippers team is on a roll, and we think they continue their stellar play tonight in Denver. LA is decent in back-to-backs as they are 7-6 ATS in this situation this season, but this team is really playing as well as any team in the league right now, and they seem ultra motivated to fight for the top seed in the west. We don
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03-16-14 | Golden State Warriors -2 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 113-112 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
The Blazers have lost four of five games, and with them being home in the first home game after a long road trip, we think they are in a bad spot tonight. Golden State had a tough loss at the Clippers and then came home with a letdown loss against Cleveland, but overall this team has been playing very well lately, and we think they are primed for a big game here. The Blazers were scorching hot the first half of the season, but this team has fallen off in a big way, and the Warriors are just a much better team. And even though they are a small favorite on the road, we think that this spread is very manageable.
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03-15-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Atlanta Hawks -6 | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
The Nuggets are coming in on a back-to-back after an improbable win over the Heat on Friday, and we just think this is a big letdown spot for them here in Atlanta tonight. The Hawks have a lot to play for as they have a very tenuous hold on the No. 8 spot in the east. Atlanta is well-rested, and they have played very good in their last three games, two wins over bad teams and a one-point loss at Staples Center to the Clippers, the hottest team in the NBA. We think they give max effort tonight. With the way the Nuggets have been playing the second half of the season, we think they will be content with their win in Miami last night and will probably mail this one in. This is the type of team that can look great one night only to disappoint the next. And also it doesn
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03-15-14 | New Mexico +1.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #535 Take New Mexico Lobos over San Diego State Aztecs (6 pm CBS) Both of these teams are locks for the NCAA Tournament but they both want to win this game badly. I just believe that New Mexico is the much better offensive team with the better player at 4 of the 5 positions on the court. The Lobos are angry at the way the game ended last Saturday when they blew a big lead to SDSU and got some bad calls against them down the stretch. New Mexico is looking for the three peat in the MWC Tournament and with a huge crowd it the stands from Albuquerque this will be like a game at the Pit. I actually believe that Boise State was a more dangerous team than San Diego State because of their outside shooting and the Lobos were able to hang on last night and now the trophy is within their sites. New Mexico has covered the spread in 13 of their last 16 games. New Mexico has gone 38-14-1 in their last 53 Mountain West games. They dominated both meetings with SDSU winning the first one by 14 points and they actually led the second game by 16 points with just over 12 minutes to play.
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03-14-14 | Ohio State v. Nebraska +4 | Top | 71-67 | Push | 0 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #832 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Ohio State Buckeyes (2:25 pm ESPN) The Cornhuskers have been playing outstanding basketball of late and a win today against Ohio State will all but assure that they make the NCAA Tournament round of 64. Ohio State continues to get too much respect from the oddsmakers and the fact remains this is just not a good offensive team whatsoever. They struggled to put away a terrible Purdue team on Thursday and this is just way too many points to be giving to a higher seed. Nebraska has won 8 of their last 9 games to close out the regular season and they beat Ohio State straight-up by 6 points in their last meeting. Nebraska is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games. Ohio State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Big 10 games.
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03-13-14 | Los Angeles Lakers +16.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | Top | 102-131 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
The Lakers evidently get up to play the Thunder, and they shockingly even beat OKC last week in a game they led by as many as 19. They also lost by only four last month in Los Angeles as well. We do not see this team challenging for the win tonight, but we also think this spread is too large. The Lakers have been a covering machine lately, cashing tickets in five of their last seven games. This is the largest spread they have faced all season. The OKC defense is hurting with Sefolosha and Perkins out of the lineup, and we think the fast-paced Lakers will be able to score enough to keep this game close enough to cover. This OKC team is not playing playoff basketball right now, and they have lost five of their last nine games. They have just five covers in their last 14 games. We don
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03-13-14 | Penn State v. Minnesota -4.5 | Top | 56-63 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #710 Take Minnesota Golden Gophers over Penn State Nittany Lions (6:30 pm ESPN 2) These teams are pretty equal in talent I just believe Minnesota has too much to play for to lose this game. Thus we will lay more points than I would like but some way or another Minnesota will get the victory and cover the spread. These two teams played just last Sunday and Minnesota beat Penn State by 18 points and in a game they had to have. This game is no different and if Minnesota has any chance of making the NCAA Tournament this is a must win. Minnesota also won at State College on January 8th and they have played a brutal schedule this season which accounts for their numerous losses. Minnesota has the better players at three of the five positions on the court and expect them to use their athletic ability to emerge victorious. Penn State is never a good team away from home and tonight will be no different in Indianapolis.
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03-12-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -6.5 | Top | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Both teams are hot, but the Clippers are hotter right now and in our opinion a much better team. They have a major revenge factor here because of the last two matchups, both Golden State wins in the Bay Area. In the first meeting there were a lot of questionable calls by the refs and even more questionable tactics by the Warriors players. The last meeting was an off night for the Clippers without Chris Paul and on a back-to-back and third-game-in-four-nights situation. But now Golden State is in that situation, and the Clippers should be highly-motivated to play their best game here. And when they are at their best we think that this matchup is a mismatch. We think the Clippers are in the midst of one of these long, season-defining winning streaks, and this game is their toughest for awhile, and we just think the better team wins tonight, and with the way the Clippers offense has been playing, we think they have no problem covering this number.
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03-12-14 | Colorado State v. Utah State -2.5 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #646 Take Utah State Aggies over Colorado State Rams (5 pm the mwc) Colorado State made the NCAA Tournament last year but lost almost all of their firepower from that team. They finished about where I expected them to finish at 7-11 in the MWC. That being said their coach is a ticking time bomb that is ready to go off at any point whether it be at his players or at the officials. Utah State also finished 7-11 in the MWC but their performance was much more disappointing. They found the transition from the WAC to the MWC extremely difficult and they were never really able to get on track. That being said this team has too much experience to be a quick exit in the conference tournament and we will side with them tonight at this low number. Utah State actually beat Colorado State twice this season including in Fort Collins for one of their few conference road victories. Utah State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a victory in their previous game. Colorado State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Lay the small change with the better team on Wednesday.
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03-08-14 | Washington Wizards -8 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 114-107 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
We watched the Bucks game last night from opening tip to final buzzer, and we just think that this team played about the best game they could play and still wound up losing by 8. Now this team comes in on a back-to-back, and this is one of the worst teams in the league in that situation. As they are just 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS, That is with some pretty generous spreads that this team has been getting for most of the season. The Wizards are rolling right now and have won seven of eight games, and they are covering with regularity as well. They have also covered in three of the last four meetings in this series, and we just think this game has real blowout potential tonight as the Wizards are playing some of their best basketball of the season despite losing Nene. Milwaukee will continue to struggle on back-to-backs, and the Wiz Kids keep the party going tonight.
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03-08-14 | UNLV v. Nevada -1.5 | Top | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #626 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over UNLV Rebels (10 pm ESPN 3) Normally I would feel that Nevada is not good enough to beat UNLV twice in one season; however, I just do not believe that UNLV cares about this game. The Rebels will need to win the conference tournament next week in order to advance to the NCAA Tournament and this game does not mean anything in that regard. They will still have a bye and to show how meaningless they think this game is they have suspended their leading scorer Bryce Dejaun-Jones. That along with leading rebounded Roscoe Smith out with a concussion takes away much of the offensive firepower for the visitor. Nevada has been a hard team to figure out by I feel we have a good read on them at the moment as we have collected for or against them the last three games. In fact in none of those three games was the spread ever in doubt. The game means much more too them, as a win here will propel them to the No. 3 seed for the MWC Tournament and it is also senior day for a couple of starters including their best player Deonte Burton. Unlike many top teams, Nevada has experience and you can be sure that they want to send out their seniors on a high note. The Wolf Pack beat Boise State this week whereas UNLV lost a tough battle to San Diego State. Nevada wins this pick
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03-07-14 | Atlanta Hawks v. Golden State Warriors -9.5 | Top | 97-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
The Hawks are really falling apart. They have lost 12 of 13 games and have covered only once during that stretch. This team is sinking out of the playoff picture in the east, and we expect another ugly outing tonight against a Warriors team that is playing pretty well lately and has covered in seven of their last nine games. Just think this one is a mismatch. The Atlanta defense has been horrible lately, and the Warriors can really exploit that on the road. The Golden State defense has been playing well, and Atlanta has really had a hard time scoring, so we just expect blowout city here and think this line should be 12 or 13.
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03-06-14 | Los Angeles Clippers -11 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 142-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Besides the season-opening shocker when the Lakers stunned the Clips, this rivalry has been completely one-sided. The Clippers have won three of the last four meetings by double-digits, and we see this one going that direction as well. The Clips consider this a big rivalry and always get up for this matchup (despite that season-opening loss, of course). The Clippers are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now, and this team just matches up extremely well with their Staples Center nemesis. And even though this is a
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03-06-14 | Villanova -3 v. Xavier | Top | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #513 Take Villanova Wildcats over Xavier Musketeers (7 pm FS 1) Both of these teams will be in the big dance but I just believe Villanova is the more well-rounded team. Xavier has stayed under the radar most of the season but they have already won twenty games with only seven losses. That being said they are coming off a bad los to Seton Hall and this will be their third game in six days. Villanova still needs one victory to lock up the conference championship and I believe they get it tonight. Villanova is 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games. This will not be a blowout but I believe that the visitor will pull away late to emerge victorious.
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03-04-14 | Los Angeles Clippers -3.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
Chris Paul is back in the mix, and the Clippers are feeling very confident. We have a feeling this team is ready to go on a tear to finish off the season. They have won four straight, including two very tough games at OKC and at home against the Rockets, and this team has a very favorable schedule down the stretch and should be motivated to capture the No. 2 seed in the west (or maybe even the No. 1, who knows?). We do like this Phoenix team, but we think they will fade a bit down the stretch, and the Clippers are just a much better team. And they for sure remember the nearly 20-point beatdown the Suns handed them earlier in the season at Staples Center while LA was having a bad night. But we think there is a very good chance that the Clippers win in a blowout here tonight.
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03-03-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets -3 | Top | 80-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Just think this is a bad spot for the Bulls. They have been playing over their heads for awhile, and they come into this one on a back-to-back while the Nets had the night off on Sunday. Brooklyn just came off a long road trip, but it was a pretty successful one because they went 4-3. We think that this is a team that is going to finish the season strong, and we think that, despite the records, that this team has more upside than the Bulls and more chance to make some noise in the playoffs. Plus, the public is loading up on the Bulls tonight, so we will side with the sportsbooks on this game where we already liked the Nets a lot.
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03-02-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +11 v. Orlando Magic | Top | 81-92 | Push | 0 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
The Magic as double-digit favorites? Yeah, OK. The Sixers are probably the worst team in the league, but the Magic are not real far behind. They have won only two of their last eight games. One of them was a double-digit win at Philly, but we still don
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03-02-14 | New Mexico -4.5 v. Nevada | Top | 72-58 | Win | 100 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #845 Take New Mexico Lobos over Nevada Wolf Pack (6 pm ESPN 3) The Lobos are just not a good match-up for the Wolf Pack. Nevada does not have much confidence at the moment with just a victory against Air Force in their last 6 outings. New Mexico pounded Nevada by 18 points on 2/15 and that game was not even as close as the 18 point deficit would indicate. Since January 16th, the Lobos have lost just one game (at the buzzer in Boise) and they have been far and away the best team in the MWC of late. Nevada does not have many weapons especially from long range and they just will not be able to threaten this suspect New Mexico defense. The Wolf Pack have dropped 14 straight games against ranked teams. New Mexico is 35-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 51 MWC games. Nevada is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
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03-01-14 | Indiana Pacers -7.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 102-97 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Indiana has been a bit sluggish after the all-star break, but they should be able to dominate this opponent tonight, and the line is right. Boston is a horrible offensive team, and they are facing the best defense in the league tonight. The Celtics rarely get anywhere near 100, and we just don
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03-01-14 | Boise State -2.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 72-63 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #613 Take Boise State Broncos over Wyoming Cowboys (6 pm CBSSN) The Broncos will not be receiving an at-large berth to the NCAA Tournament this season after getting pounded by Fresno State this last weekend. But they are facing a sinking ship in Wyoming that is just not the same team without their best player Larry Nance Jr (leads team in scoring and rebounding). We went against Wyoming last Saturday as a big play and easily won backing a bad Colorado State team. Boise State is much better than Colorado State and they should have no problem winning this game by double-digits. Wyoming actually beat Boise State in Boise already this season and I just do not believe the Cowboys are good enough to beat Boise State twice in a year. I believe this if they were a full strength but without their best player they are a below average team evident by the fact they lost to Air Force at home this week. Wyoming is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games.
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02-28-14 | Charlotte Bobcats +8.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 82-92 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
We knew this number would come in too large, and sure enough the oddsmakers gave us the number we wanted for this game. First of all, the Bobcats are one of the best teams against the spread in the entire NBA at 32-22-3, and they have earned that distinction from playing better than expected in games like this. Charlotte comes into this game very confident as they have won four straight and five of six overall. They are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games. They are also 17-9-2 ATS on the road this season, so this is where they do most of their best work against the oddsmakers. Charlotte comes into this game extremely well rested, with five days off, and they are 11-3-1 ATS with two or more days rest. This Charlotte team plays great team basketball, they are well coached, and they rarely take a night off. But what impresses us most about this team is the defense, and they are in the Top 5 in that category for points allowed this season. That strong defense makes them an attractive underdog play, especially when they are getting big points like this. And their stellar defense tends to play better with rest. Their points allowed average drops even further when they are rested, and we expect this defense to really be able to slow down the Spurs tonight. The Spurs are normally one of the best ATS teams, but they have a losing record against the number this season, and even though they have a very good record, this team is just not playing up to their normal expectations. They have a lot more close games than normal and more inexplicable losses than normal as well. This team has already lost eight games at home, and that is a lot for them. They have dealt with all sorts of injuries this year, and again in this game Tony Parker is listed as out. These teams met a few weeks ago in Charlotte, and the Spurs needed a fourth-quarter rally to win by four. So we already know the Bobcats can hang with them. Just think this is way too many points for a Bobcats team that is underrated by the oddsmakers right now.
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02-28-14 | Cornell +23 v. Harvard | Top | 47-72 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
I will take the underdog in this game. There is a lot of pressure on Harvard this weekend. They have their last two home games of the season and they have just a one-game lead on second-place Yale for the Ivy League's bid to the NCAA Tournament. Harvard has a big game against Columbia tomorrow. So if they get up big in this game I can see them resting some starters and that should let Cornell get in the back door. Cornell is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings. The books are going to keep posting Harvard's spreads too high because they are the best team in the league. This is a good example. Let's go against the public and take the points.
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02-27-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Denver Nuggets | Top | 112-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Brooklyn got their butts whooped in Portland last night, but this team has been playing much better overall, and we think they have a big bounce back tonight against a team they are much better than. The Nets have all the motivation tonight as they are in the thick of the playoff race in the east and they probably want to put that bad loss from last night behind them. Denver will not be playing any postseason basketball, and honestly this team is just a mess right now. They have won only one game in their last nine, and this team has rarely been competitive lately. The Nets have alternated wins and losses on this long road trip, and we expect them to notch a win here with a strong effort after their dud last night. Although we never believed in the whole
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02-27-14 | Ohio State v. Penn State +6 | Top | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
I hit with a home underdog last night with Purdue. I see a very similar situation tonight. The teams at the top of the Big Ten have not been blowing out teams at the bottom and there is a lot of parity in this conference. Ohio State did beat Minnesota by 18 over the weekend. But that game was close until the final eight minutes and the Buckeyes pulled away. Penn State won the first meeting in Columbus. I think that they can keep this one close and may even be able to pull off the sweep. The public is all over the Buckeyes here but the spread on this game has actually moved from 6 to 5.5. I think the smart money is on the Nittany Lions and I will look to get another underdog to come through.
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02-26-14 | Boise State v. Fresno State +1.5 | Top | 56-76 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
The Bulldogs have been sneaky good of late winning 6 of their last 7 games with their only loss coming at Wyoming where they still covered the spread. The run has likely saved their coaches job and expect them to finish out the season strong with an outside chance to win the conference tournament next month in March. Big things were expected for Boise State this year but they have not lived up to those expectation especially during MWC play. They are coming off a big victory against UNLV when it came down to the monitor to decide who won that game. Many people were upset with how Leon Rice acted after getting that victory and karma may bite him in the butt tonight. Boise State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 MWC games. Fresno State is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Take the home team on Wednesday night.
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02-25-14 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Indiana Pacers -13.5 | Top | 98-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
The Pacers are well rested (two nights off), they will be motivated tonight (they have lost three of six), and the Lakers are the perfect team to get back on track against right now. Indiana already won by 12 late last month in LA, and we think they will win even bigger here tonight. This team needs a blowout win right now to get its confidence back, and the Lakers are perfect fodder for that goal. With this rag-tag roster of players, the Lakers offense is having enough trouble as it is developing chemistry. And now they have to do it against the best defense in the league. And their porous LA defense will allow Indiana to exert their will in this one and win by a very comfortable margin.
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02-25-14 | Dayton v. St. Joseph's -3 | Top | 53-79 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #526 Take St. Josephs Hawks over Dayton Flyers (7 pm CBSN) The Hawks do not always win pretty, but they are close to receiving a bid to the NCAA Tournament and they will record their fourth victory during A-10 play tonight. Dayton is a team that was predicted to do some damage this year in the A-10 but that just has not happened. They have been playing better of late but they already lost to St. Joes once this season at home. Dayton has just beaten up on teams at the bottom of the standing with only one quality win during conference play (George Washington). The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The Flyers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or greater. Lay the small change with the home team on Tuesday.
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02-23-14 | Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns +1.5 | Top | 115-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
The Suns are by far the best ATS team in the NBA, and they keep getting the job done while defying the oddsmakers low expectations. And in this game they seem a bit undervalued as well as we had them as a three-point favorite in our handicapping. The Rockets are a team we like as well, but they are in a bad spot here. They had their long winning streak broken last time out against Golden State in OT, but before that they had won eight straight. But their schedule during that time was pretty easy, and maybe this team is a tad overrated coming into this matchup. Houston handed the Suns one of their worst losses of the season earlier this month in Houston, and we think revenge is in order here as we expect a much different result tonight.
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02-23-14 | Seton Hall +14.5 v. Creighton | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #833 Take Seton Hall Pirates over Creighton Bluejays (5 pm FSN) On paper Seton Hall has talent, they just do not always play up to that level. Creighton has a nice record but I am just not sold on them especially when you have to lay double digits. If the supporting cast to Doug McDermott makes shots from beyond the arc they could be a blowout, but that usually does not happen when the face bad teams. Creighton struggled to put away St. John
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02-22-14 | Wyoming v. Colorado State -4 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #596 Take Colorado State Rams over Wyoming Cowboys (6 pm ROOT Sports) Things certainly have not gone as smoothly in Larry Eustachy
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02-20-14 | Houston Rockets +1 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 99-102 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Houston is the hottest team in the league, with eight straight wins, and they picked up right where they left off at the all-star break last night in throttling the LA Lakers in a game where they barely broke a sweat and won by 26. We are going to ride them tonight against a Golden State team that has been inconsistent lately. They have been alternating wins and losses for the last six games (coming off a win last night), and they have had a pretty easy schedule, so they should be doing a lot better. The Rockets have won and covered in both meetings this season, and they are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. And when these teams played in December the Rockets were still working the kinks out, but they are a much better team now, and we think they continue their domination in this series against an overrated Warriors club.
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02-19-14 | Houston Rockets -8 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 134-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
This looks all around like a double-digit win for Houston here. The Lakers are just a horrible team right now. Dwight Howard will be very motivated to play his best tonight against his old team as there is obviously some bad blood there. Will any of the Lakers that will be on the court tonight be extra motivated because Howard is back in town? Unlikely. Maybe if Kobe was playing in this game, but he, of course, is out. This is just another game in a struggle of a season for this ragtag group of Lakers, but the Rockets will be extra motivated tonight (the whole team seems to have Howard
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02-19-14 | Arizona v. Utah +4.5 | Top | 67-63 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #778 Take Utah Utes over Arizona Wildcats (10 pm FS 1) This line is way off the mark and I truly believe that the wrong team is favored. Utah has an outstanding home court advantage even more than Arizona State, a team that just beat Arizona last Friday night. Arizona had a ton of fans at that game in Tempe but that will not be the case tonight at the Huntsman Center. The Utes played the Wildcats hard in Tucson this season and that was when Arizona was at full strength with Brandon Ashley. He is long gone and this team is just not the same with a very thin bench and they are not a great shooting team. The Utes have only lost one game this season at home and I just do not see them getting blown out in this game. Utah is 41-16 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 59 games. Arizona is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Both trends hold true tonight in Salt Lake City, Utah.
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02-15-14 | Florida v. Kentucky -2 | Top | 69-59 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #648 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Florida Gators (9 pm ESPN) The two best teams in the SEC are set to do battle on Saturday night in Lexington with the College Gameday Crew on-site. Despite have good teams under Billy Donovan, Florida has had very little success in Lexington going 8-48 all-time. This includes a 3-14 mark in games Billy Donovan has coached Florida. The Gators have had a very easy SEC schedule thus far but were on the road and Tennessee and have to go on the road three of their next four games. Kentucky is getting better as the season progresses and they are undefeated at home. The have the athletic ability to guard the perimeter and I just do not see Patrick Young betting them inside the paint. Kentucky has covered five of their last six home games. This game means more to Kentucky and we fully expect them to take care of business on Saturday at Rupp Arena.
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02-12-14 | Fresno State v. Nevada -4 | Top | 75-67 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #796 Take Nevada over Fresno State (10 pm the MWC) Nevada beat Fresno State in Fresno already this season and this line is way too low considering the talent of the Wolf Pack. Nevada is coming off a brutal road trip to Logan and San Diego and they are ready to pound someone and get back to their winning ways in Mountain West Conference play. Three of Fresno State
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02-11-14 | Utah Jazz +1.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 96-79 | Win | 100 | 33 h 6 m | Show |
Just don
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02-10-14 | Houston Rockets -4.5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | Top | 107-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
The Rockets are a team we are very high on right now, and we think there is a very good chance that this game is a blowout tonight. The Timberwolves are real banged up right now, and their best player, Kevin Love, is questionable for this game. This team has not been great even with him in the lineup, and if he is out or limited then that makes the Rockets an even stronger play. Houston is really rounding into its best form of the season right now, and they are going for a season-high sixth straight win. The Timberwolves have not developed any consistency this season, and they are one of the biggest underachievers in the league after many expected them to have a breakout season. But that hasn
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02-09-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Cleveland Cavaliers +4 | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
The Memphis offense is really struggling lately. This offense was lousy anyways, but they have really been having a hard time putting up points with Mike Conely out of the lineup. This team did not get out of the 70s against Atlanta and OKC. In the NBA if you are scoring in the 70s on a regular basis there are some issues there. This team had been hot, but now they have dropped three of four ATS, and we think this is a real bad spot for them tonight. The Cavaliers have suddenly found some offense, and that has been one of their problems all season. They have put up 107 or more points in three straight games, and they should come into this game with lots of newfound confidence after a beatdown of the hot Wizards in DC in a game that was not as close as the final score indicated. Cleveland is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these teams, and we think this is a game where the Cavs should win straight up.
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02-08-14 | Arkansas v. Vanderbilt +1 | Top | 77-75 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #568 Take Vanderbilt over Arkansas (4 pm ESPN 3) The Razorbacks on the road is always an automatic play against Arkansas. In Mike Anderson
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02-07-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Detroit Pistons -1.5 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
The Pistons are playing well at home and have won two straight here. Brooklyn comes in on a back-to-back, and they have been horrible in this situation with a 2-8 record this season on the second night of a back-to-back. Just think this is a bad spot for Brooklyn. Detroit matches up very well with this team. Just look at the last game that was played in early December on this same court. That was a four-point Detroit victory that was not as close as the score suggests. Detroit took its foot off the gas late in that game and let the Nets make a late charge. But they pretty much controlled the game except for the fourth quarter and led by 21 at one point. Detroit has covered three of their last four overall, and we think this team is a bit underrated right now and is primed for a big win tonight against a fatigued Brooklyn club.
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02-06-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Brooklyn Nets -6 | Top | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
San Antonio won the first two games of this road trip, including a double-OT win last night in Washington. They lost Tony Parker in that game, and Tim Duncan played more than 40 minutes. Just don
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02-05-14 | Portland Trail Blazers -2 v. New York Knicks | Top | 94-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
This Portland team is just so much better than the Knicks, we are just really surprised they are not closer to 7-point favorites here. Names play a factor when the bookies set these lines for public consumption, and the Knicks are definitely the more glitzy team. And the Blazers have lost three of four coming into this game. So maybe that is why we are getting such a nice number. But all three of those Portland losses were to likely playoff teams. All three were against teams better than this New York club. The Knicks had recently won four straight after a long losing streak (they have now lost two more in a row), but those games were against some of the worst clubs in the NBA. And the Knicks just lost to Milwaukee, the unanimous worst team in the league. New York is 1-11 ATS as a dog of 5.5 points or less. This one is an easy call.
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02-03-14 | Memphis Grizzlies +9 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | Top | 77-86 | Push | 0 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
The Thunder have been playing some great basketball, and the massive hype they have been getting from the media is much deserved. However, their lines are starting to get out of control, and we think this is an extremely public line. Memphis has been very impressive lately too, and they are way more under the radar than the Thunder are right now. The Grizzlies are 11-1 in their last 12 games, and they really are playing like one of the best teams in the league right now. Their defense has been incredible, and with the Pacers lapsing in that area right now it is safe to say that the Grizzlies are playing the best defense in the league right now. They have also covered in six of their last seven meetings in this series, so we are pretty sure they come to play tonight with the intention of trying to win this game straight out.
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02-01-14 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin -5 | Top | 59-58 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #528 Take Wisconsin over Ohio State (12 pm ESPN) Big 10 Game of the Year. Both of these teams cannot get out of their own way at the moment, as Ohio State has lost 5 of their last 6 games and Wisconsin has lost 4 of their last 5 games. That being said, Wisconsin only has one bad loss on their resume, this past Wednesday against Northwestern whereas Ohio State has lost their last two games against teams that will not be making the NCAA Tournament (Penn State & Nebraska). So let
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01-30-14 | Los Angeles Clippers +6 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 92-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
We have had this game circled since Christmas Night when these teams last met in this same building. The Clippers have had this game circled as well, and we expect them to bring their A Game tonight. That last game was extremely physical, and the Warriors won by two with some real sketchy tactics including baiting Blake Griffin into two very questionable technical fouls that led to his ejection. The Clippers pretty much dominated for most of the game and had a 13-point lead at one time (the Warriors largest lead was six). While we don
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01-29-14 | Washington Wizards +9 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a huge look-ahead game for the Clippers with a trip to the Bay Area and a Thursday TNT matchup with the Warriors on tap for Thursday. When the Clippers met Golden State last time a brawl almost erupted every couple of minutes, and we think they are more focused on their Thursday opponent than they are this nonconference foe tonight. Washington got a win against that same Warriors team last night, as we think that Golden State was in a similar look-ahead situation. Even though the Wizards have not been winning, they have been playing hard and have been in a lot of close games lately, and we see the same tonight. This team has also been good in back-to-backs, so we expect a strong effort from the visitors tonight.
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01-28-14 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Cleveland Cavaliers -2 | Top | 100-89 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Both teams are banged up right now, but with the lineups that will be on the court tonight we think the Cavs are the superior team, and we expected this line closer to 4.5 or 5. So we think there is some nice value here. The Pelicans have won and covered three of four, but only their game against Memphis was a quality win in our eyes as the others were against Detroit and Orlando. Cleveland has not played well lately, but they have had a pretty tough schedule and we think they are primed for a win here tonight. The Pelicans were a poor team trying to implement a new cast of players this season, and right when they were starting to gel they got hit with the injury bug, which further hampered this team
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01-27-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Brooklyn Nets -3.5 | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Brooklyn is very quietly one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now, and Toronto has that distinction recently but has cooled off considerably after losing three of their last five games, including losses to the Lakers and Bobcats. The Nets are finally getting healthy, and Toronto will be without one of its best players, DeMar DeRozan. He is not a household name by any means, so the bookies don
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01-26-14 | Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 88-103 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
We just see this as a very close game. The Blazers are one of the top ATS teams in the league, and they rarely get blown out. This will be an offensive matchup, and the Blazers have a better offense than Golden State. Portland has more wins on the road than the Warriors do at home. And the Blazers already won here, in November by 12 points. Portland is one of the best underdog plays in the NBA at 9-3 ATS, and the Warriors have not been good at all as a slim underdog as they are just 7-17 ATS as a favorite of seven or fewer points. Portland is probably getting a couple extra points for coming in on a back-to-back, but this team is completely healthy and it is 9-3 in back-to-back situations this year. We think the Blazers have a great chance to pull the upset here.
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01-25-14 | Houston Rockets -1.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 81-99 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
These teams met last night in Houston, and the Grizzlies pulled off a one-point win for the road upset. When teams play back-to-back, home-and-home games like this, you always have to look at the team that lost the previous night. Revenge is a way overrated handicapping factor for the NBA, but it is huge in situations like this where the loss is still fresh on the team
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01-25-14 | New Mexico -2.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 68-66 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #669 Take New Mexico Lobos over Colorado State Rams (4 pm ESPN 3) It is now or never for this very talented Lobo team. This team is loaded with talent but they have not played like it at certain times this season. CSU has a great freshman player but this season in a complete rebuild after they lost all of their talent from last season. They have already lost three home games on the season and New Mexico is used to playing in the high elevations of Fort Collins. New Mexico is 27-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 39 MWC games. CSU is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Bairstow, Kirk, Williams, & Greenwood have too much talent and balance.
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