Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-09-24 | Knicks -4.5 v. Bulls | Top | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
This is a quick revenge spot as the Knicks lost to the Bulls by 8 here on Friday. The Bulls don’t have much chance to rise above the play in tourney, while the Knicks can definitely drop into the play in. So they have the motivational edge tonight along with revenge. They have won and covered in four of the last six meetings, and we will give them a mulligan for the poor performance on Friday and expect them to bounce back strong here. They are also fairly healthy tonight, while the Bulls have a long injury list and could be missing key players tonight. |
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04-06-24 | Pistons v. Nets -8.5 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Detroit is not a deep team by any means and not only are they on a back-to-back, but they are playing their third game in four nights. The Nets have had two nights off. Brooklyn has been eliminated as well but they will want to finish the season strong and should take this game seriously and this is one they should win by double digits. |
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04-03-24 | Cavs v. Suns -5.5 | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
The Suns have been one of the worst ATS teams this season but they seem to be making a playoff push and are playing some of their most inspired basketball of the season. They have covered in five of their last seven, and they catch the Cavs on a B2B and Mitchell is questionable after missing their game against Utah last night. We think Phoenix is just in better form right now, and these back-to-backs, especially on the road, really start to take their toll here at this point of the season. |
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04-02-24 | Cavs v. Jazz +12 | Top | 129-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
The Jazz stink and are missing some key players here, but this is simply too many points. The Jazz still have some players that can compete, and they have one of the better home court advantages in the NBA. Despite players in and out of the lineup, they have played well enough at home recently to keep games close and haven’t lost by more than 10 in four straight, including games against the Mavs and Timberwolves. Cleveland has covered in only one of their last seven games, so the oddsmakers have them a bit overvalued recently. We think the home team keeps this one within double digits. |
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04-01-24 | Blazers +16.5 v. Magic | 103-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Whenever we see a line this high, we always try and figure out a reason to take the underdog. And we like the Blazers to keep this somewhat close tonight. Even if this one is a blowout, we can cash the ticket with this many points, and a backdoor cover is always in the mix. The reason we like the Blazers here is because of the very low total. In a low-scoring game, every point becomes all the more valuable. Portland had one of their worst games of the season last time out but have had a couple days off and we think we see a more focused effort here tonight. |
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03-31-24 | Lakers v. Nets +6.5 | 116-104 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
The Nets have won two straight in this series, and we think they will challenge for the win today. The Lakers are banged up and we don’t yet know who will suit up. Even with the Lakers at full strength, we think Brooklyn will play well at home. The Nets are still alive but their season is on life support and this is essentially a must win game. They have won three straight and are playing well at the moment. And the Lakers have been a lousy team all season on the road, where they are 14-21 on the season. |
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03-31-24 | NC State v. Duke -7 | 76-64 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
1 Unit Play. Take #658 Duke -7 over NC State (5:05p.m., Sunday, March 31 CBS) The Elite 8 is the round most Cinderella teams go to die. NC State has not beaten Duke twice in a season since 1995. I do not see it happening on Sunday, as Duke makes the Final 4. |
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03-29-24 | NC State +6.5 v. Marquette | Top | 67-58 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #643 NC State over Marquette (7:09p.m., Friday, March 29 CBS) We collected going against Marquette last week and feel we will be able to cash another ticket on Friday night. This is a lot of points to be laying, and the ACC has already proven they should have had more teams make the field of 68. NC State has some size that they can use to their advantage, and I feel they will get this game close late in the second half and take it down to the wire. Take the points in the first Sweet 16 game on Friday. |
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03-28-24 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -10.5 | Top | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #634 Connecticut over San Diego State (7:39p.m., Thursday, March 28 TBS) This is a rematch of the 2023 National Championship, and I feel it will be another side sided affair. San Diego State did not have a great year especially during Mountain West play and they will be running into a buzzsaw having to play UCONN in Boston. The Huskies have been on a roll of late and I do not see any team being able to knock them off before the Final Four. They have too much size for the Aztecs and if they shoot it well at all they should be able to win this game by double digits. We will not overthink this play and just back the home Huskies. |
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03-26-24 | Cincinnati v. Indiana State -3.5 | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #612 Indiana State over Cincinnati (9p.m., Tuesday, March 26 ESPN) Indiana State is over the heartbreak of not making the NCAA Tournament and now seems poised to make the Final Four in Indianapolis, IN. They have already beat two Power Conference teams and are getting better as the tournament goes on. Cincinnati has played two mid major programs and playing this one on the road will be too much for them to overcome. |
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03-25-24 | Nets v. Raptors +6.5 | 96-88 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Toronto should play hard in this winnable game and they will want to end their long winning streak. But this is more a bet against the Nets than for the Raptors, as there is no situation where Brooklyn should be favored by this many on the road against any team. This team is 10-26 on the road this season. They have lost five straight on the road. Nice value on the Raptors tonight. |
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03-22-24 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -5.5 | 99-97 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Memphis has a long history of success in this series but the tide is turning and the Spurs are the better team now. Memphis is wrought with injuries this season and they are fielding a glorified G-League squad right now. The Grizzlies are a team likely to reset in the offseason, so this team is a fade the rest of the way out, while the Spurs are building something special here with their phenomenal rookie and some nice supporting players. We think, with both squads eliminated, that there will be not a lot of defense played here but when all is said and done, the Spurs should win this one by double digits. |
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03-22-24 | Texas A&M +1.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 98-83 | Win | 100 | 32 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #779 Texas A&M over Nebraska (6:50p.m., Friday, March 22 TNT) NCAA TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR. The Cornhuskers are getting some love after making it to the NCAA Semifinals and having a unique star in Keise Tominaga. But I am not buying them and feel they would have to shoot it outstanding to win this game. They did that in the first half against Illinois on Saturday and still lost that game by 11 points. Tominaga is a liability on defense and look for the Aggies to exploit them. Nebraska has never won an NCAA tournament game and they will struggle with the physicality of Texas A&M. Nebraska has not beaten an NCAA tournament team this season since 2/1/24. Texas A&M underachieved most of the season but they have been playing better of late winning 5 of their last 6 games. They do not shoot it very well but rebound extremely well and should be able to take advantage of this undersized Huskers team. The SEC was a strong conference this season and the middle is much better than what Nebraska faced in the Big 10. They also have the best player on the floor in Wade Taylor IV. Most of the Huskers wins came at home this season and this game will be played in Memphis, TN. This is not the type of team that is good enough to break the NCAA Tournament drought and I feel there will be a carryover effect going into this game from their last game. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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03-21-24 | Colorado State v. Texas -2 | 44-56 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take 732 Texas over Colorado State (6:50p.m., Thursday, March 21 TNT) The Rams are riding high after beating Virginia on Tuesday, but I do not expect them to follow that up with another win. Texas is not Virginia, and I am not expecting them to go an actual hour without scoring a basket in this game. Texas underachieved this year, but this still have talent and expect them to reach the round of 32. |
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03-21-24 | Nevada -1 v. Dayton | 60-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take Nevada over Dayton (4:30p.m., Thursday, March 21 TBS) Many people were surprised that Dayton and Virginia made the NCAA Tournament. We saw how well Virginia did with their performance and I think Dayton will lose as well. Nevada is a veteran team and should benefit from the week off after losing to Colorado State in the quarter-finals last week in Las Vegas. |
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03-20-24 | UNLV v. Princeton -3 | 84-77 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #708 Princeton over UNLV (8p.m., Wednesday, March 20 ESPN+) Just do not see UNLV putting forth much effort in this game. Princeton is happy to play in the NIT and getting to host a home game makes them motivated to win this game big. UNLV lost again early in the conference tournament and has a coach that is squarely on the hot seat. |
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03-19-24 | Nuggets -7.5 v. Wolves | Top | 115-112 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Minnesota is banged up (Towns is out and Gobert is now questionable for tonight), and they are on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. We don’t see them doing well against the defending champs, who are playing championship-caliber basketball right now and playing as well as any team in the NBA. They are rested since they had Monday off, and Minnesota has to be running on fumes after a hard-fought game at Utah last night. Minnesota has looked good lately but this line being so large for Denver on the road is very telling, and we think the Wolves run into a buzzsaw tonight and the Nuggets get a comfortable win on the road. These teams also have identical records, so this game will be important for playoff seeding. Another reason for Denver to bring their A Game. |
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03-19-24 | Colorado State v. Virginia +2.5 | 67-42 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 672 Virginia Cavaliers over Colorado State Rams (9:10p.m., Tuesday, March 19 Tru Tv) Everyone is upset that Virginia made the NCAA Tournament and thus I expect them to come out and prove people wrong. Colorado State did not do much during the MWC play, most of their damage was done during the nonconference portion of the season. Virginia still plays good defense and if they can make any shots, they should be able to take this one down to the wire and grind out a victory. |
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03-17-24 | Nets v. Spurs -1.5 | Top | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
The Spurs aren’t favored often, but they are a rightful favorite tonight. Brooklyn is at the tail of a long road trip that has seen them go 1-4, with losses to Detroit and Charlotte. They needed a strong showing on this road trip for any hopes of the postseason, but they fell flat on their faces. They probably just want to get home, and we don’t see them suddenly giving an inspired performance here in San Antonio against an improving Spurs team. Brooklyn is also on a back-to-back, and they were run ragged by the Pacers on Saturday in a 20+-point loss. The Spurs were off on Saturday and they will enjoy home court advantage tonight. The Spurs have been underrated by the oddsmakers and they have covered six of nine. This team has been quietly improving all season long and they have some nice players that have been developing. We see them notching a comfortable win tonight. |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin +3 v. Illinois | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #649 Wisconsin Badgers over Illinois Fighting Illini (3:30p.m., Sunday, March 16 CBS) These two teams played a contested game a few weeks ago and I see this one going down to the wire as well. Wisconsin is poised to win this conference tournament championship for the first time under Gregg Gard and this will silence a bunch of his critics. Badgers have more rest than the Illini and I do not expect Wisconsin to go cold like Nebraska did yesterday. This means more to Wisconsin and they get it by winning straight-up! |
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03-15-24 | Baylor v. Iowa State -1 | Top | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #854 Iowa State Cyclones over Baylor Bears (9:30p.m., Thursday, March 15 ESPN) CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR We went against Baylor last Saturday for our top play and will do so again on Friday as our Conference Tournament Game of the Year! The home crowd plays a major edge in the Big 12 Conference Tournament and Iowa State is driving distance away from Kansas City. Baylor is not the same team as they have been in past years, and they do not shoot it as well against good teams. Iowa State has revenge, losing their only meeting with Baylor this season and just do not have any bad conference losses on the season. They want to play Houston in the finals, whereas Baylor might want the extra rest. Hilton South will be alive and kicking as the Cyclones move on and we lay the small change with them on Friday night. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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03-15-24 | Magic -8.5 v. Raptors | Top | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Orlando is one of the best ATS teams in the league and they keep quietly getting the job done. They have son six of eight and have covered in every win. Toronto has all sorts of problems and they are not only banged up now but have a major non-hoops related absence tonight. They have lost seven of eight and covered in only two of those games despite some very generous lines from the oddsmakers. The Magic blew the Raptors out in the last meeting and we think there is a very good chance this is another double-digit win as the Magic are healthy and well rested. |
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03-14-24 | New Mexico +1.5 v. Boise State | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #789 New Mexico over Boise State (11:30p.m., Thursday, March 14 CBSSN) The Lobos are fighting for their tournament life and likely need to win this game to qualify for the NCAA Tournament next week. This is another situation where I truly believe Boise State cannot beat New Mexico 3 times in one season. Losing at home to the Broncos is what spiraled the Lobos season, but they will get back on track during the conference tournament. I believe New Mexico is the most talented team in the conference and has great guard play. Guards are what wins during March and look for them to win this game and advance to the semifinals of the MWC Tournament. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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03-14-24 | 76ers v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Embiid is really an MVP type player and the way the Sixers have fallen apart really shows how much he means to the team. They put up 79 points last time out in a loss to the Knicks, and this will be another tough game for them. No doubt Doc Rivers will want to lay the beat down on his former team. We don’t see the Bucks letting down for this matchup and we expect them to keep hooping until the final buzzer sounds. |
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03-14-24 | Bowling Green -2.5 v. Central Michigan | 66-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #713 Bowling Green over Central Michigan (1:30p.m., Thursday, March 14 ESPN+) Like our selection with Utah last night, it is hard for Central Michigan to beat Bowling Green three times in one season. These are similar talented teams and I see the Falcons prevailing in this game and will enter the semifinals winning 3 straight games. The Falcons being favored is a key indication that they are the better team. |
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03-14-24 | Arizona State v. Utah -5.5 | 57-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #678 Utah -5.5 over Arizona State (11:30p.m., Wednesday, March 13 PAC12N) The Bobby Hurley era may be coming to an end shortly and I do not expect the Sun Devils to make any noise in the conference tournament in Las Vegas. Utah had a disappointing season and actually lost to ASU twice this season. Arizona State is not good enough to beat any team in this league three times in a season. The Utes will win this game by double digits. |
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03-12-24 | West Virginia +9.5 v. Cincinnati | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #609 West Virginia over Cincinnati (3p.m., Tuesday, March 12 ESPN+) Just do not see why Cincinnati is this big of a favorite in a neutral site conference tournament game. Both teams split games on their home court with the Bearcats winning big last game. It will be hard for them to follow up that game and I see this game being played in single digits. West Virginia has won 5 of the last 6 games against Cincinnati. |
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03-11-24 | Celtics -9.5 v. Blazers | 121-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Boston has won two of the last three and three of the last four visits to Portland by double digits. We just don’t see a letdown here for the best team in the NBA, in our opinion. The Celtics are rolling right now and they just won in Phoenix by 10, so we think they can do even better here. They have covered in seven of their last nine games, and when they win, they usually win big and big enough to cover the large number. |
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03-11-24 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #858 Northern Kentucky over Milwaukee (9:30p.m., Monday, March 11 ESPN2) This is the rubber game between these two schools for a berth in the winner take all Championship Game tomorrow night. Both schools won on their home floor, but I feel Milwaukee’s season will end having to play an extra game to reach the semi-finals. The Norse have won 7 of their last 9 games and avenged one of those losses last time out. |
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03-10-24 | Pacers v. Magic -1.5 | Top | 111-97 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Orlando is by far the strongest ATS team in the league this season and they are being underestimated by the oddsmakers once again. This is a young team and they will have a dud every now and then. That was surely the case last time out as they played one of their worst games of the season, a 98-74 loss at New York. We will give them a mulligan on that one, however, and expect they come out strong here in this one. Indiana has lost three of four and this team has been inconsistent lately. Orlando has held four of six opponents under the century mark and we think that defense wins this matchup on Sunday. |
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03-10-24 | Nebraska v. Michigan +5.5 | 85-70 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #802 Michigan over Nebraska (12p.m., Sunday, March 10 BTN) Juwan Howard may be on his way out, but I just do not believe Nebraska is good enough to be laying this many points on Senior Day in Ann Arbor. Michigan has talent and Nebraska is 2-8 in true road games this season. Take the points and hope Michigan gives some effort in this game. |
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03-09-24 | New Mexico +3.5 v. Utah State | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #713 New Mexico +3.5 over Utah State (8:30p.m., Saturday, March 9 CBSSN) New Mexico needs this victory to solidify a spot in the NCAA Tournament and I feel they will get it. Utah State does not have the same homecourt advantage as they have had over the last two decades. They have a lot on the line as well, playing for an outright conference championship, but I expect them to play tight and struggle in this game. New Mexico has the most talent of anyone in the league and they Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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03-09-24 | Nets -6.5 v. Hornets | 99-110 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Nets are coming off an embarrassing loss at Detroit and they should give much better effort here against a team that is probably worse than the Pistons. Brooklyn should be getting some injured players back tonight, and this team needs a win badly for the play in tournament. They have covered in three of the last four meetings, and they are the much better team here. A motivated Brooklyn squad should get the comfortable win. |
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03-09-24 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -1.5 | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
7 Unit Play. Take #686 Texas Tech over Baylor (6p.m., Saturday, March 9 ESPN2) An unranked team that is favored over a ranked team is always a strong betting trend. This is senior day in Lubbock, TX and I am looking for the Red Raiders to take care of business against an overrated Bears team. Baylor is coming off back-to-back wins against their traditional rivals in Kansas and Texas and I see a letdown for them in this game. Baylor is 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games following 3 straight wins. Homecourt is still strong in the Big 12 and Texas Tech wants this game to finish off with 3 straight wins and improve their seeding in both the conference and NCAA Tournaments. |
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03-08-24 | Boise State v. San Diego State -7.5 | 79-77 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #868 San Diego State -7.5 over Boise State (10p.m., Friday, March 8 FS1) Neither team can win the league, but I look for the Aztecs to take out their frustrations and improve their seed for the upcoming NCAA Tournament later this month. The Aztecs do not want to have to play in the prelims next week in Las Vegas and a win ensures that they will not have to. Boise State laid an egg at home earlier this week against Nevada and I do not see them bouncing back tonight. This will be a double-digit victory for the home team. |
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03-08-24 | Magic -1.5 v. Knicks | 74-98 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
This spread is short, in our opinion, as we had the Knicks as 4.5-point dogs here with a lean to Orlando at that number. Orlando is healthy, while the Knicks are banged up and a shell of the team that looked like a true championship contender earlier in the season. New York has dropped eight of 11, and this team might not even make the play in. Orlando is playing amazing defense, and we don’t see the Knicks cracking the century mark tonight and they will have to lean on defense to keep this competitive. We don’t see them keeping this one close, and there is nice value here with the road team. |
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03-07-24 | Arizona State v. USC -9.5 | 73-81 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #772 USC Trojans over ASU Sun Devils (11p.m., Thursday, March 7 FS1) USC has the second most talent of anyone in the PAC-12 this season and are starting to show signs that they can make a run next week in Las Vegas. ASU has a lame duck coach, and they are just playing out the string of games this season. They have some blowout losses this season and they gave all they had last week against Arizona but still lost big. Injuries have taken its toll on the Sun Devils and they just do not field much of a roster in March. The line being this big with a 12-17 tells me all I need to know about the talent of each team. |
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03-06-24 | Fresno State v. New Mexico -18.5 | 58-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #716 New Mexico over Fresno State (10:30p.m., Wednesday, March 6 FS1) The Lobos are squarely on the bubble and likely need to win their last two games to ensure they make the NCAA Tournament. They have a strong NET rating but have some bad losses, especially at the PIT. They need to beat one of the bottom feeder teams in the MWC by at least 20 points tonight to keep their strong NET rating. Fresno State has a lame duck coach and are just playing out the string of games. They have lost big a bunch this season and tonight should be no different. |
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03-06-24 | Clippers -6.5 v. Rockets | 122-116 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won eight straight meetings and covered in five of those. We love to take a good team off a bad or embarrassing loss, and that is the case with the Clippers tonight. Last time they were on a back-to-back against a banged up Bucks squad and really fell apart late in that game after relinquishing a big lead. So we think they will be a lot more focused tonight. Houston is a solid team but they are a couple rungs below the Clips, who are a true championship contender and probably the second best team in the league behind Boston. We think a determined Clippers team wins this one comfortably. |
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03-05-24 | Pistons +11.5 v. Heat | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Miami has been playing great basketball but we think the oddsmakers have overinflated this number so we have to plug our nose and take the Pistons here. The Pistons had a horrible start to the season and injuries were a major issue. Some felt heading into the season that this team could make the play in. But they ended up setting the NBA record for longest losing streak. But this team has gotten healthy and has been very competitive lately. They are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games. There were a couple of those ATS losses that were close, also. They didn’t play well last time out vs. Orlando so we think we will see a better effort here. And Miami goes on the road after this one to play at Dallas and at OKC on back-to-back nights starting Thursday. They probably won’t give full effort here and that should play to our advantage. Detroit has covered in seven of the last eight meetings, so they normally get up for this opponent. |
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03-05-24 | Purdue v. Illinois -1.5 | 77-71 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #618 Illinois over Purdue (7p.m., Tuesday, March 5 Peacock) Illinois is favored in this game against what many feel is the best and most accomplished team in the country. The Illini are coming off one of their best games of the season on Saturday against Wisconsin and look for them to win this game as well. Purdue just needs to beat Wisconsin at home on Sunday to win the regular season title and I see them faltering in this game in a hostile environment. Illinois is a great offensive team and sooner or later they will get hot from the arc and pull away late in this game. |
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03-04-24 | Clippers v. Bucks -5.5 | Top | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
The Clippers have been overrated by the oddsmakers lately compared to their effort on the court and they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10. They come in on a back-to-back after a hard-fought win at Minnesota in a game that probably meant more to the team than tonight’s matchup at Milwaukee from the Eastern Conference. This Clippers squad isn’t the youngest team, so back-to-backs can really take their toll at this point in the season. It doesn’t get any easier with this matchup at the Bucks, who have won and covered five straight and are rounding into postseason form. We think Doc Rivers will do all he can to beat his old team, and the Clippers are definitely looking vulnerable tonight as they have been inconsistent since the all start break and we just think this is a real bad spot for them tonight. |
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03-03-24 | Indiana +9 v. Maryland | 83-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #823 Indiana over Maryland (2p.m., Sunday, March 3 CBS) Did Maryland become good overnight and worthy of laying this many points against anyone in the Big 10? Indiana is terrible on the road, but they did play one of the better games on the season last week hosting Wisconsin and I look for them to follow that up on Sunday. Maryland cannot shoot very well and does not score many points and thus we will take the dog on Sunday. |
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03-02-24 | Rockets +9.5 v. Suns | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Houston has covered in four of five meetings, and we think they will keep this one close tonight. There was a point where the Rockets started to be overvalued by the oddsmakers, but that time has passed. We really like them coming off a loss, yet a hard-fought one that included an ATS cover, against these Suns here on Thursday. It’s very difficult to beat a team twice in a row, and we have also seen some reverse line movement on this game that would favor the Rockets to cover. |
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03-01-24 | Cavs v. Pistons +9 | Top | 110-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
The Cavs haven’t covered in their last seven games. They have been winning quite a bit, but they haven’t been dominating. Detroit has been the opposite as they have been losing but covering as they are exceeding the oddsmaker expectations recently. They have covered in three straight and six out of nine. They have also covered in three straight meetings (all losses), and we think they will play well enough to keep this one close. |
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02-29-24 | Hawaii v. UC-Davis -2 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #814 UC Davis over Hawaii (9p.m., Thursday, February 29 ESPN+) Hawaii is just not the save team when playing on the road compared to when playing on the islands. UC Davis will have revenge on their minds after getting blown out in Hawaii earlier this month, but they still have a strong homecourt advantage. UD Davis has been trending down but they will have a winning conference record and need to improve their seed for the winner take all conference tournament next month. |
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02-29-24 | Thunder -11 v. Spurs | 118-132 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Four straight meetings have resulted in OKC double-digit wins. They have covered in six straight meetings. This is a regional rivalry, and we think that the road team will bring their A Game tonight. They have won and covered in six straight and the Spurs are back home after a long road trip, which is usually a bad spot for the home team. |
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02-28-24 | Lakers v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 116-112 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
The Lakers are banged up as LeBron and AD are suffering from various ailments and won’t be 100 percent, although both are expected to play. They better bring their A Game, because the Clippers always do in this matchup. If you have followed our service for a long time, you would know that we always think of this as a one-sided rivalry. The Lakers are the Clippers biggest rival, so they always bring their best. The Lakers have more traditional rivals, so this is just another game to them. In fact, they often like to make it seem like they don’t care at all about the Clippers, and that often shows on the court, as the Clippers have won 12 of 14 meetings, and they have had a lot of success in this series since the early Lob City days. Both squads have been sluggish out of the break, but we are confident the deep Clippers, without George, will bring their best performance to the court tonight. |
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02-28-24 | Marshall v. Georgia Southern -1.5 | 73-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #692 Georgia Southern over Marshall (7p.m., Wednesday, February 28 ESPN+) The Eagles did not win a game during the nonconference portion of the season but have done much better in Sun Belt play. They lost by just 5 points at Marshall earlier this season and I see them winning this game by 5-8 points. They took James Madison to the wire last time out and will get over the hump with a win tonight W.S. Hanner Fieldhouse. |
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02-27-24 | Pelicans -3 v. Knicks | Top | 115-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
The Knicks took all they could handle from the Pistons last night and now this very thin roster finds itself on a back-to-back against a much better squad. We don’t think the slumping Knicks have a chance here. The Knicks have covered in only one of the last five meetings. They have dropped six of their last nine overall and those three wins were not against quality opponents (the Sixers are banged up now also). The Pels get it done tonight with a comfortable win. |
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02-27-24 | Wisconsin -4 v. Indiana | 70-74 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #613 Wisconsin over Indiana (7p.m., Tuesday, February 27 Peacock) The Badgers need to show they can beat a bad team on the road and tonight should be that day that this gets accomplished. Indiana has lost 4 straight games and Wisconsin is a better team than 3 of those opponents. That included home losses to Northwestern and Nebraska. Wisconsin will be able to dominate the paint and if they make some shots from the arc they will win this game by double-digits. |
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02-25-24 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -6.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #858 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 25 BTN) Nebraska is outstanding at home this season and Minnesota is not as good as their 8-7 record would indicate. Nebraska has the better shooting team and that will be the difference on Sunday night. They cannot afford a bad loss and will win this game by double digits. |
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02-24-24 | Alabama v. Kentucky -2.5 | 95-117 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #682 Kentucky Wildcats -2.5 over Alabama Crimson Tide (4p.m., Saturday, February 24 CBS) Kentucky has already lost multiple home games this season and they cannot afford to lose anymore in Lexington. Alabama is a tough animal at home, but they got pounded by Auburn on the road, a spot Kentucky just won at. Kentucky needs this game more and they will find a way to get it. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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02-24-24 | Missouri v. Arkansas -5 | 73-88 | Win | 100 | 1 h 39 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #612 Arkansas Razorbacks -5.5 over Missouri Tigers (12p.m., Saturday, February 24 ESPN2) This is a straight fade against Missouri, the worst team by far in the SEC. Arkansas is not very good either, but they still have a strong homecourt advantage and should be able to take care of business today at Bud Walton Arena. Missouri has been more competitive of late, but losing close games is eventually taking its toll on its team. Arkansas already beat Missouri in Columbia this season by 7 points and they will win this game by double digits. |
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02-23-24 | Clippers -9 v. Grizzlies | 101-95 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Clippers got embarrassed last night at OKC and they had an off night; it happens to the best teams in the NBA at some point in the season. We think this team will bounce back nicely tonight as they take a big step down in competition. The Clippers have won and covered two straight in this series, and injuries have derailed the Grizzlies season in a big way. This team is just a shell of the squad we expected to be competing for a playoff spot by this point of the season. |
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02-22-24 | Washington -2 v. Arizona State | 84-82 | Push | 0 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #815 Washington over Arizona State (9p.m., Thursday, February 22 ESPN2) Washington trails Arizona State in the standing, yet it a small favorite in this game despite it being in Tempe. That tells me that Arizona State has thrown in the towel on this season and is ready for it to end. They are coming off a 45-point loss to their rival last time out and I see them struggling to keep this game within single digits. The Sun Devils score just under 70 points per game, 324th in the country. Washington has an identity and can usually beat the bad teams on their schedule and Arizona State is certainly a bad team. The Huskies already beat them once by 15 points and that is how I see this game going as well. |
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02-22-24 | Clippers +1.5 v. Thunder | 107-129 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Clippers are healthy coming out of the break and entered the break with an epic win at Golden State without their best player. Kawhi is back here and rested, and we think the Clippers will be pumped for this game. We had them as a 2-point favorite here, so there is nice value in the spread tonight. OKC is a very good team and they rarely lose at home, but the Clippers may be the best team in the league and they certainly have the soldiers to come in and get a win here. The Clippers haven’t won here in awhile, but they didn’t have their full squad, either, and we expect a strong showing tonight. |
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02-21-24 | Furman v. Samford -7 | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #692 Samford over Furman (7:30p.m., Wednesday, February 21 ESPN+) The Bulldogs are the best team in the Southern Conference this season and will enter this game with a 23-4 record and a perfect record at home. One of their four losses came at Furman and they will look to avenge that tonight. I expect them to win by double digits and all but clinch the regular season title. |
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02-20-24 | Baylor v. BYU -3.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #644 BYU over Baylor (9p.m., Tuesday, February 20 ESPN) The Cougars are always a tough team to beat in Provo and we will lay the small number of points backing them tonight. BYU is coming off a bad loss last time out against Oklahoma State and look for them to bounce back in a big way tonight at the Mariott Center. Baylor has been on a nice winning streak and is likely due for a loss in this brutal conference. |
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02-18-24 | Utah v. UCLA -2.5 | 70-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #864 UCLA over Utah (7p.m., Sunday, February 18 FS1) The Bruins have been rolling and will enter this game having won 6 straight. They were embarrassed at Utah earlier this season, but they are a much better team now. |
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02-17-24 | Wisconsin +1 v. Iowa | 86-88 | Loss | -112 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #655 Wisconsin (pk) over Iowa (2:15p.m., Saturday, February 17 BTN) Wisconsin has had great success against Iowa over the last couple of years and today should be no different. This is not a great Iowa team on either side of the floor and Wisconsin should be able to make ways inside the paint with their post players. The Badgers have beaten Iowa three straight times and are 3-0 ATS in those games as well. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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02-17-24 | Duke -5.5 v. Florida State | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #649 Duke -5.5 over Florida State (2p.m., Saturday, February 17 ESPN) FSU will be up for this game, but the Noles just do not have the firepower that they have had in year's past. Duke is coming off three straight wins since their lost to North Carlina and for the most part this season they have beaten the bad teams on their schedule. |
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02-15-24 | Wolves v. Blazers +9.5 | Top | 128-91 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
These teams played Tuesday and the Timberwolves scored a comfortable win. The game wasn’t as one-sided as the final scored might indicate as the Blazers entered the fourth quarter down only one before falling apart late. But it’s very tough to win two games in a row on the opponent’s floor in the span of two consecutive games. Revenge is an overrated factor in handicapping as it is in college ball because these guys are professionals and they let losses slip away after the game and move on to the next matchup. But when teams play in consecutive games like this, it is definitely a factor and we think Portland will give an extra push to play a more complete game here. The Blazers are a bad team. But they are on a level above the real dregs like Washington, San Antonio and Charlotte. This team is competitive, can score some big wins over strong opponents, and they have covered in close to half their games. So we don’t think the Wolves will just come in and dominate here. Portland has covered in four of their last seven. One of those ATS losses was by a half point, so we think they have been playing slightly above the oddsmakers expectations lately and we think they will give it all they have tonight in the rematch as rest is coming during the all0star break. |
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02-14-24 | Tennessee v. Arkansas +8.5 | 92-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #706 Arkansas over Tennessee (9p.m., Wednesday, February 14 ESPN2) Tennessee has been inconsistent this season and have struggled against inferior opponents. Arkansas still has talent and a good home court advantage. We will grab the points and expect this game to be played in single digits. |
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02-14-24 | Iowa v. Maryland -5 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #698 Maryland over Iowa (8:30p.m., Wednesday, February 14 BTN) Maryland gave away a game on Saturday against Ohio State and I expect them to take out their frustration against Iowa on Wednesday night. Playing at Xfinity Center is always tough for opponents and Iowa just does not have the offensive or defensive firepower this season to win games on the road. |
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02-13-24 | New Mexico v. Nevada -2 | 83-82 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take Nevada over New Mexico (11p.m., Tuesday, February 13 CBSSN) Nevada has righted the ship of late winning 3 straight games and playing at home tonight will allow them to make it four in a row. Homecourt is still a major edge in the MWC and the Pack will also have revenge on their minds since the Lobos blew them out last month. New Mexico has been struggling of late and they are a very streaky team. Nevada does not want another home loss on their resume and they sellout crowd will propel them to a victory. |
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02-13-24 | Thunder -2 v. Magic | Top | 127-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Orlando is a fine team and they have been solid this season at covering the spread and winning games. But we think they are out of their depth here tonight. The Thunder are a true championship contender and we think if they come and play their game in Orlando that they will win comfortably here at the Kia Center. OKC has covered in five of the last six meetings. They have lost two of three, but those were at Dallas and Utah, so they will be motivated to play well here. Orlando has been playing well but they have had a somewhat easy schedule and they have been a bit inconsistent compared to the start of the season. They are also not getting as much value in their lines as they were early in the season as the bookies have caught on to the talent and capabilities of this team. But we think a motivated Thunder team wins this one going away, and there looks to be plenty of value in this line. |
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02-12-24 | Wolves +4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 121-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
The Timberwolves match up well with the Clippers and they have had a lot of success against them. They have won and covered five of the last six meetings, including two of three in Los Angeles. Minnesota comes into this one very well rested and they have tons of confidence after going into Milwaukee and laying a beatdown on the Bucks last time out. They also have recent wins against OKC and Dallas, so they have been raising their game against the best competition. We feel this will be a very close game and think the Wolves have a great chance for the outright win, and they are getting great value on the spread here. |
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02-12-24 | Kansas +3 v. Texas Tech | 50-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #887 Kansas over Texas Tech (9p.m., Monday, February 12 ESPN) Kansas has been bad on the road this season, but they have the more talented team and sooner or later they will win a road game. The Red Raiders have been in free fall of late losing 3 of their last 4 games and Kansas is better then the three teams that they lost too. The Jayhawks need to win this game if they have hopes of winning the Big 12 and will get this win tonight in Lubbock. |
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02-11-24 | Northern Iowa -3.5 v. Illinois-Chicago | 65-71 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #863 Northern Iowa over UIC (4p.m., Sunday, February 11 ESPN+) The Flames sit at the bottom of the MVC and will struggle to win any games the rest of the way. The Panthers have underachieved this season but they still have experience and talent and should win this game by close to double digits. UIC has lost 8 of their last 9 games including an 8 point loss to Northern Iowa. |
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02-10-24 | Maryland v. Ohio State -2.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #708 Ohio State Buckeyes over Maryland Terrapins (4p.m., Saturday, February 10 FS1) TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Nothing good can be said about Ohio State of late, but they did cash for us in December with our Nonconference Game of the Year against UCLA. Now they play a terrible road team in Maryland, as Ohio State is desperate for any kind of a win. The Buckeyes have lost 5 straight games, and their coach is clearly on the hot seat. But they have talent and Maryland is one of the worst shooting teams in the conference, especially from the arc. You cannot lose them all and Ohio State picks up a much-needed victory at home on Saturday. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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02-09-24 | Rockets +2 v. Raptors | Top | 104-107 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Despite the Rockets poor play on the road, we had them favored in this matchup. Toronto after the Trade Deadline looks like one of the worst teams in the NBA and they will likely be tanking the rest of the season. The Raptors will miss VanVleet for sure as he is out for likely a few games but we think that Houston has a good enough roster, plus the motivation, to win here. They looked pretty good in their first game with VanVleet sidelined as they went toe to toe with the Pacers on the road and lost by three, easily covering the 8-point spread. The Rockets aren’t going to win a lot of games on the road this season, but this looks like a very winnable game for them. They need every win they can get for the postseason so we think they will be focused here. Toronto is playing their first home game after a long road trip, and those are often tricky since players have obligations in their personal lives, and for Toronto with no hope, those probably outweigh the game tonight. The Raptors haven’t been just losing but they haven’t been covering, either, despite some generous lines from the oddsmakers. |
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02-08-24 | Cal Poly +10 v. CS-Northridge | 65-78 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #843 Cal Ply over Cal State Northridge (10p.m., Thursday, February 8 ESPN+) Just do not believe the Matadors are good enough to be laying double digit in a conference game. Before beating UC Riverside, Northridge lost 5 straight games and only one of those losses was competitive. The Mustangs have lost all of their conference games this season, but they have been competitive in most of their recent games. Look for them to keep the score low and that will allow them to lose by single digits. |
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02-07-24 | Spurs +8 v. Heat | 104-116 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
We think this is a real nice spot for the Spurs to play a competitive game. They catch the Heat not only on a back-to-back but playing their third game in four nights. Those came against the Clippers and in-state rival Orlando, so this game really isn’t going to move the needle for them as far as motivation goes. The Spurs have been up and down lately but are getting generous lines from the oddsmakers and they have covered more games recently than they haven’t, and they also have a better ATS record than the Heat. We think they have a great chance to keep this close. |
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02-07-24 | Wisconsin -5.5 v. Michigan | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #687 Wisconsin -5.5 over Michigan (7p.m., Wednesday, February 7 BTN) The Badgers will enter this game having lost two straight games and are looking to get back on track against the worst team in the Big 10. The Badgers are the better coached team and will win this game by double digits. Juwan Howard is likely to be replaced come seasons send and Michigan is just playing out the string now. |
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02-06-24 | Thunder v. Jazz +3 | Top | 117-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
We were on the Thunder last meeting between these two. The line was similar, and we had a massive play on OKC and honestly we were lucky to win that one as everything went right for us in the last 30 seconds. Utah is rested and healthy, and they have revenge here for the earlier meeting. They had a real chance to win that one outright. OKC has three nights off after this game then a trip to Dallas, and as a result they may not be full focused here. Even if they are, the Jazz are strong enough at home to beat any team, any night. |
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02-06-24 | Dayton -1.5 v. St. Joe's | 94-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #637 Dayton over St Joes (8p.m., Tuesday, February 6 CBSSN) The Flyers are the best team in the Atlantic 10 and are well on their way to receiving an at-large bid for the 2024 NCAA Tournament. Never like Anthony Grant as a head coach, but his team is loaded with talent this season. They have just one loss since the middle of November and that trend will continue on Tuesday with a 6-8 point victory tonight on Hawk Hill. |
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02-05-24 | Warriors v. Nets | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Brooklyn has won three of four and are playing well at the moment. They have enjoyed a light playing schedule lately and should be primed to defend the home court tonight. The same can’t be said for Golden State. While not on a back-to-back, they will be playing their third road game in four nights, and it’s not like this is the youngest bunch… so fatigue will be a factor. The Warriors are just 8-11 on the road this season. These teams played last month in the Bay Area, and Brooklyn held their own in a four-point loss. We think they match up well and will be able to get their revenge here. Golden State covered that one by just the hook, and that was their first cover in four games in this series. The Nets have actually covered in six of the last eight. |
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02-04-24 | Clippers -4 v. Heat | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Love the Clippers in this spot. Miami has been underachieving lately and they have been overvalued by the oddsmakers. They have covered two straight but that followed a seven-game non cover streak. The Clippers play tomorrow also, but this team has been taking things one game at a time this season more than season’s past, and we think they will be extra focused on this very winnable game. Oh, and they have also covered in eight of the last 10 meetings. |
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02-04-24 | Purdue v. Wisconsin +2.5 | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #830 Wisconsin over Purdue (1p.m., Sunday, February 4 CBS) Purdue got gifted a game earlier this week and I expect Karma to hit them on Sunday. Purdue had a huge free throw advantage last time out against Northwestern, but they will not get that against Wisconsin on the road at the Kohl Center. Wisconsin is coming off a bad loss to Nebraska last time out, a game in which they blew a big lead and lost by 8 in overtime. Wisconsin needs this game if they have any hope of winning the regular season conference championship and expect them to grind out a win late behind A. J. Storr. |
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02-03-24 | Houston v. Kansas +1.5 | Top | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #702 Kansas Jayhawks over Houston Cougars (4p.m., Saturday, February 3 ESPN) COLLEGE BASKETBALL GAME OF THE YEAR Kansas at home getting points is too good to pass up. Houston does not face this type of environment in the AAC, but will see it on Saturday now they are a member of the Big 12. Kansas takes great pride in winning the Big 12 and this is a game they need to win if they have any hopes of winning the conference come March. This will be the Cougars third road game in their last four games, and they will not be able to push around Kansas in Lawrence. The Jayhawks have the much better offensive team and are coming off their best performance of conference play last time out. That was without Kevin McCullar, who is probable for this game. Kanas needs this game more, and they will get it by 6-8 points. They should never be an underdog at home and we will gladly ride them in this game. |
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02-02-24 | Raptors v. Rockets -4 | Top | 106-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
The Rockets have been a bit back and forth lately but we think this is a good spot for them, and the line is more than fair. They seem to be locked into winning every other game lately, and good for us they lost last time out. That was against a better team, and this is a good spot for a bounce back. Toronto has been a very poor road team and have just seven wins away from home. They have covered in two straight but haven’t been good in general at covering despite some generous lines from the oddsmakers. Houston has covered in three of their last four, so they are playing a bit better than expectations. They have also covered in seven of the last nine meetings in this series. |
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02-01-24 | Pacers v. Knicks -2.5 | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Knicks are just rolling right now and we think they have the defense to slow down the Pacers. They play at one of the slowest paces in the league and they can throw Indiana off their game tonight. The Knicks are banged up right now but they have one of the best home records in the league, while the Pacers are less than a .500 team on the road. New York has covered sin six straight and they continue to be underappreciated by the oddsmakers. |
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01-31-24 | Magic v. Spurs +5.5 | Top | 108-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
The Spurs are vastly improving throughout the season right in front of our eyes, and this is a team that should have great betting value down the stretch run of the season. They have covered in five of the last seven and have been underrated by the oddsmakers. Orlando started off the season great, but it looks like they may not be as good as advertised as they have fallen off quite a bit recently. San Antonio has covered in seven of the last nine meetings, so they have a strong history here. |
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01-30-24 | Pacers +7.5 v. Celtics | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The Celtics expended a lot of energy last night in a rally vs the Pelicans and they honestly haven’t looked great the last couple games. Indiana has covered in six of the last nine meetings and they normally come to play when visiting Boston. Every team goes through ups and downs at points in the season and that big loss to the Clippers, who were on a tough back-to-back, has to be concerning. Indiana might get some players back tonight as well and we think this will be a close game regardless. |
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01-30-24 | Texas Tech +5.5 v. TCU | 78-85 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #625 Texas Tech over TCU (7p.m., Tuesday, January 30 ESPN2) Texas Tech has been sneaky good in the Big 12 this season currently sitting at first play with a 5-1 record. TCU is coming off a marathon 3 overtime victory on Saturday and thus we expect tired legs and a little letdown in this game. We will grab the points and play the road underdog. |
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01-26-24 | Blazers v. Spurs -3.5 | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
They haven’t been winning a lot of games so it may not be evident to the casual eye, but the Spurs are improving a lot as the season goes on. They have had a very tough schedule recently but they have hung with some of the big boys and they have been covering more frequently. They had a real bad outing last time out in a home blowout to OKC, and that was a very good team and the first home game after a long road trip can be tricky. But now they drop down a couple levels in talent and they are settled at home and they should be primed for a comfortable win over the Blazers. |
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01-26-24 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -3 | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #886 Wisconsin Badgers over Michigan State Spartans (8p.m., Friday, January 26 FS1) Wisconsin is in control to win the Big 10 regular season championship and expect them to take care of business at home against Michigan State. The Spartans have faced 3 bad opponents of late to have a winning streak, but they have struggled against the top teams in the league and the country. Wisconsin has only lost once at home this season and that streak will stay intact after Friday night. |
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01-25-24 | Celtics -7.5 v. Heat | Top | 143-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Even though the Celtics already got a comfortable win over Miami at the start of the season, we are confident revenge is still on their mind from the playoff series loss. And they are in a great spot for a big win tonight. They are healthy and have had two nights off, while the Heat come in on a back-to-back. They lost last night at home to the banged-up Grizzlies in another ugly performance that marked their fourth straight loss. All those opponents were much worse teams than the Celtics. Boston should be extra motivated tonight and they won’t take it easy on the Heat just because they are struggling. We think they bring their A Game tonight and score a double digit win. |
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01-24-24 | Colorado State v. Nevada -3 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #738 Nevada over Colorado State (10:30p.m., Wednesday, January 25 FS1) This is a make or break game for Nevada, as their chances to make the NCAA Tournament are slim at the moment. They have lost 3 straight games, but still have a solid 15-4 record and I expect them to right the ship on Wednesday night playing at home. The Rams are just not the same team in true road games and expect them to lose their third straight road game. Nevada is desperate and gets this game by 7-9 points. |
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01-23-24 | Knicks -3.5 v. Nets | Top | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
This one is a road game for the Knicks but one of the easiest road games in the NBA. These teams are going in opposite directions and we don’t see the Nets being too competitive here. They have been getting some pretty generous lines from the oddsmakers and still haven’t been covering. The Knicks are playing some of the best defense in the NBA since their big trade, and we think they will shut down the Nets inconsistent offense. The Knicks have won and covered in three straight meetings, and we expect a comfortable win tonight. |
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01-23-24 | Wisconsin -3.5 v. Minnesota | 61-59 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #625 Wisconsin over Minnesota (7p.m., Tuesday, January 23 BTN) Wisconsin has dominated this series and we will gladly lay the points in this game tonight at the barn. Not sure why this line has been coming down since it was posted yesterday afternoon, as the Badgers have beaten Minnesota six straight times. Wisconsin has great depth and can score points this season in a variety of ways. Minnesota is 11-2 at home but those two losses came against Iowa and Missouri. Wisconsin is better than both of those teams, as Minnesota will enter tonight having lost 3 straight games. The Badgers have a lot of recruits from Minnesota and they always get up for playing this game. |
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01-22-24 | Spurs +14 v. 76ers | 123-133 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
We are likely going to be a buyer for the Spurs in the second half of the season – in good sports of course. This team is improving and they are well coached. They are going to be much more competitive and one we will be looking at when getting a big number like this. San Antonio is 8-2 ATS in their last 10. We think there is a great chance they keep this one within single digits as this matchup doesn’t really move the needle for the Sixers. |
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01-21-24 | Michigan State v. Maryland +1.5 | 61-59 | Loss | -120 | 1 h 31 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take Maryland +1 over Michigan State (12p.m., Sunday, January 21 CBS) Michigan State is not out of their funk and Maryland is a much better team when playing at home. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-18-24 | Thunder -3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 134-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Utah has been playing great basketball, and OKC is coming off a pair of losses. But it is very telling that the Thunder are laying some points here on the road. Sharp bettors pounded OKC when the line was released, but there is still plenty of value at this number. Even though OKC is playing their third game in four nights, they are coming in off a night off, and this team is young, athletic, and conditioned, and we don’t see fatigue being an issue. Props to the Jazz as they have been playing great, but they are a hot team that will likely flame out in the postseason very quickly, while the Thunder are a legit championship contender. And OKC has been one of the most reliable betting teams for the last few years. The Thunder will take this game very seriously after a pair of losses to the Lakers and Clippers. Utah was supposed to play Golden State last night, but the game was postponed due to the tragedy with the Warriors coach. This blip might have thrown the Jazz off their momentum. OKC always plays well against the Jazz. They have won and covered in four straight meetings. Utah has covered in only one of the last eight meetings (one push). |
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01-18-24 | Illinois -2.5 v. Michigan | 88-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #799 Illinois over Michigan (8:30p.m., Thursday, January 18 FS1) Just do not see Illinois losing two games in a row to inferior competition. Michigan is a mess and has a terrible head coach and they struggle on both ends of the court. The Illini have great balance and that will be the difference on Thursday. The Wolverines have lost 5 of their last 6 games and Illinois is a better team than all of them. |
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01-17-24 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky -6.5 | 77-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #690 Kentucky over Mississippi State (7p.m., Wednesday, January 17 ESPN) Kentucky is 8-1 at home and Mississippi State will struggle during most of SEC play, especially when they are playing road games. This Kentucky team can shoot it better than past teams averaging over 10 made three pointers per game. The Wildcats are coming off a tough loss to Texas A&M last time out and they will be ready to make a statement in this game winning it by double digits. |
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01-16-24 | Thunder v. Clippers -6.5 | Top | 117-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Love the Clippers in this spot. They are coming off a rare loss at Minnesota that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated, so they will want to get back on track here. OKC comes in on a back-to-back after a really tough game against the Lakers last night. They expended lots of energy in that one, so facing a better team in the second leg will be difficult. We love that this number is on the good side of the key NBA betting number of 7, as that is the point where the losing team stops fouling at the end of the game and concedes the loss. |
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01-16-24 | Wisconsin -5.5 v. Penn State | 83-87 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #645 Wisconsin over Penn State (9p.m., Tuesday, January 16 BTN) Wisconsin is going to win the Big 10 this season. They already have quality road wins at Ohio State and Michigan State. Now they take a step down in class against a rebuilding Penn State team. The Lions are 2-4 in conference and should be 1-5 if not for a miraculous comeback against Ohio State, a game in which they were down big. Wisconsin is better at 4 of the 5 positions on the court and will win this game by double digits. |
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01-15-24 | Spurs +8.5 v. Hawks | Top | 99-109 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
The Hawks are 9-29 ATS on the season, so you have to take notice when they are laying a number like this. We really like the way the Spurs have been improving. They are coached by one of the best to ever do it, and he is getting the most out of his club at the moment. They are no longer an easy blowout for their opponent. They have covered six straight games. This Spurs team is starting to show the recipe for a team we really like to bet on. They are underappreciated by the oddsmakers and betting public, yet they are competing on a nightly basis and covering but not winning a lot of games. So if they stay under the radar, they can produce a lot of betting profits. They have also covered two straight and three of four against the Hawks. |