Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-14-20 | Nevada -17 v. New Mexico | 27-20 | Loss | -109 | 99 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #179 Nevada Wolf Pack over New Mexico Lobos (6:30p.m., Saturday, November 14 FS2) Nevada is legit and they will be in the MWC Title Game next month because of their talent and their schedule. New Mexico is another tomato can that they can just roll over and they receive a break with this game being played in Las Vegas instead of Albuquerque. The Lobos are coming back from Hawaii to practice in Las Vegas and I do not see them keeping this game under 20 points. The Wolf Pack have been getting better teach week and sooner or later their offense will get rolling in this game and they will not be stopped. Nevada has beaten New Mexico in 4 of the last 5 games (4-1 ATS). New Mexico has a terrible defense giving up 541 yards per game. Nevada has covered the spread in 4 straight games. New Mexico is 5-17 ATS in their last 22 MWC games. |
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11-14-20 | South Florida v. Houston -13.5 | 21-56 | Win | 100 | 96 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #172 Houston Cougars over USF Bulls (3p.m., Saturday, November 14 ESPN+) Just do not see the Bulls putting forth another good effort like they did last week against Memphis. This will be their second straight road game and Houston is 4-0 against them (3-1 ATS) in their last 4 meetings as conference opponents. USF is 1-6 on the season with their only win coming against the Citadel. They have been blown out by Cincinnati, Notre Dame, East Carolina, and Tulsa. Houston has played a tough schedule in 2020 and they are ready to beat up on a lesser opponent. USF is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Houston is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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11-13-20 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati -27.5 | 17-55 | Win | 100 | 76 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #130 Cincinnati Bearcats over East Carolina Pirates (7:30p.m., Friday, November 13 ESPN2) Apparently the Bearcats will not play any more road games this season. This is their third straight home game and by far the weakest of the three opponents. Cincinnati has beaten East Carolina in 8 of the last 9 games (6-3 ATS) and they may have the best defense in the country. The Bearcats have a realistic chance to make the college football playoff, but this cannot just win game, they must dominate. Cincinnati has an 897-173 edge in rushing over their last 3 opponents. East Carolina is 0-5 in their last 5 games played in Cincinnati. The Bearcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 12 home games. Until Cincinnati does not cover a game, we will continue to ride them. |
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11-07-20 | Tennessee -1.5 v. Arkansas | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #403 Tennessee Volunteers over Arkansas Razorbacks (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 7 SECN) Tennessee got a much-needed bye week to regroup after three straight losses and expect them to take care of business on the road against Arkansas Saturday night. After losing to Alabama last year, Tennessee would go on to win six straight games and I see a similar streak happening today. Arkansas is better this year, but I cannot overlook the fact that they are 4-24 straight-up in their last 28 games. Tennessee is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 road games. |
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11-07-20 | Clemson -5 v. Notre Dame | 40-47 | Loss | -114 | 100 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #401 Clemson Tigers over Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 7 NBC) Clemson getting D.J. Uiagalelei some game action last week was huge, and I expect him to play even better tonight in South Bend. The Tigers turned it on in the second half against Boston College scoring the last 24 points in that game. Notre Dame is 6-0 this season but it is a little bit of fools gold, as every team that they have played this season has a losing record. Clemson just is on another talent level compared to Notre Dame and even without Trevor Lawrence they will win this game by double digits. Clemson is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games when they are favored. |
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11-07-20 | Houston v. Cincinnati -13 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 96 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #328 Cincinnati Bearcats over Houston Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 7 ESPN) We used the Bearcats last week as our top play and never looked back as they cruised to a 49-10 victory against Memphis. Now they take a step down in class facing Houston, again at home with fans in the stands. The Bearcats may have the best defense in the country and Houston has not done anything to show me that they can stay with good teams. Their two losses have come by an average of 20 points per game, well over today’s posted number. The Bearcats are 7-3 straight-up and 7-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against Houston. Still not sold that Dana Holgorsen is this offensive genius that can keep this program as a 10-win team in the AAC. They were 4-8 last year and do not see them being more than a .500 team this year. Lay the points with the best defensive team in the country. |
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11-04-20 | Ball State v. Miami-OH OVER 55 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take Over 55.5 in Ball State Cardinals @ Miami Oh Redhawks (7p.m., Wednesday, November 4 CBSSN) Ball State has gone over the posted total in 4 straight games and 6 straight games played during the month of November. The Cardinals can score points but cannot stop teams leading to a strong play with the over. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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10-31-20 | Nevada v. UNLV +14 | 37-19 | Loss | -100 | 101 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #154 UNLV Rebels over Nevada Wolf Pack (10:30p.m., Saturday, October 31 FS1) Just feel this is an overaction from the games last week. Nevada is the better team in this game, but the Rebels will be up for this game. Fans will be allowed in at Allegiant Stadium and UNLV has won this game two straight years (underdog in both games). The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings for the Freemont Cannon. Nevada is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite. UNLV is 12-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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10-31-20 | North Carolina -6.5 v. Virginia | 41-44 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #113 North Carolina Tar Heels over Virginia Cavaliers (8p.m., Saturday, October 31 ACCN) The visitor is 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings and I just believe the Carolina offense is much better. Virginia will not be able to keep pace in this game, as I do not think they are capable of scoring 40+ points in this game. QB Sam Howell got back on track last week putting up 48 points and if he does that again in this game the visitor should easily cover. North Carolina is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. The favorite is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between UFC and UVA. |
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10-31-20 | Virginia Tech v. Louisville UNDER 67.5 | 42-35 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Under in Virginia Tech Hokies @ Louisville Cardinals (4p.m., Saturday, October 31 ACCN) Just do not see explosive passing games in either of these two teams. Therefore, expect both teams to try and establish the run and thus that sets up a strong play with the under. Louisville has gone under the posted total in 5 of their last 7 home games against team with a winning road record. Virginia Tech has played under today’s posted total in 4 straight games. |
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10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 91 h 54 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #138 Cincinnati Bearcats over Memphis Tigers (12p.m., Saturday, October 31 ESPN) Really like this Cincinnati team and we will continue to use them with these low numbers. The Bearcats won in Dallas last week against SMU as a small underdog. Now they are back at home and face an easier team in Memphis. Payback is also on the line, as Memphis beat Cincinnati in back to back games last year to earn the Group of 5 New Year’s Six Bowl bid (Cincinnati covered both games). But this is not the same Memphis team, as they have a new coaching staff and gave up 500 total yards to Temple last week. The Bearcats has an outstanding defense allowing just 12.5 point per game and if they can score close to 30 points in this game they should easily cover. Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against Memphis. The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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10-24-20 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -11 | 14-19 | Loss | -117 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #330 Miami Hurricanes over Virginia Cavaliers (8p.m., Saturday, October 24 ACCN) Virginia does not have a quarterback without Brennan Armstrong and they will not be able to use 2-3 other guys and stay within single digits against Miami. If he does play, he will be rusty, and I just do not see many weapons on offense for Virginia to threaten this Miami defense. Virginia has lost three straight games including the last two by 17 points to Wake Forest and NC State. Miami could not beat Clemson (join the club) but there other 3 wins have all been by double digits. D’Eriq King is going to picks apart this defense and I just do not believe Virginia will be able to keep pace. If Miami can put it together on offense, they can score 50+ points in this game. Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Virginia is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. |
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10-24-20 | Wyoming v. Nevada +4.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 98 h 50 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #382 Nevada Wolf Pack over Wyoming Cowboys (7p.m., Saturday, October 24 CBSSN) Just believe that the wrong team is favored in this game. Nevada returns a ton of talent on both sides of the football including QB Strong, who played well as the season went on last year. They should be able to move the football on a Wyoming defense that does not return much talent and have the replace their defensive coordinator for the second straight year. Nevada is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Jay Norvell lost his father this week and I think they play an inspired game in his honor. |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 94 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #324 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Virginia Tech Hokies (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 24 ESPN3) We used Wake Forest last week as our Underdog Game of the Year and won it easily. Not sure why they are this big of an underdog this week against Virginia Tech, a team that could not stop North Carolina whatsoever. Wake Forest will be able to score points in this game and if they can stop the rushing attack of the Hokies, I feel they can win this game straight-up. The home team is 9-0 ATS in the last 9 games that Wake Forest has played. Wake Forest has scored 40 points in every game this year except their opener against Clemson. If they do that in this game, they should be able to cover. Virginia Tech is 7-23 ATS in their last 30 road games when they are favored. |
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10-24-20 | Florida Atlantic v. Marshall -16.5 | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #374 Marshall Thundering Herd over FAU Owls (2:30p.m., Saturday, October 24 FSN) Never been a big fan of Willie Taggart and feel he will run this program into the ground like he did at Florida State. Marshall has won 6 of the last 7 games with FAU and have a superior defense in this matchup. They are allowing just 9.5 points per game and less than 70 rushing yards. The Owls have been off for three weeks and they struggled to put away Charlotte in their only game this season. FAU is just not the same team without Lane Kiffin and they will lose this game by 20+ points. FAU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Marshall. The Thundering Herd is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. |
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10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama -3.5 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 56 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #166 Alabama Crimson Tide over Georgia Bulldogs (8p.m., Saturday, October 17 CBS) Alabama looked terrible on defense last week, but I expect a much better effort on Saturday night in Tuscaloosa. Georgia does not play an up-tempo spread offense like Ole Miss does, and I expect Alabama to play much better in this game. Georgia has a strong defense, but I am not that impressed with their offense and do not believe Stetson Bennett is a big-time, high division one quarterback. Alabama has won 5 straight games against Georgia. Alabama put up 723 yards last week, and I am just not sure Georgia can keep pace with them. The Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Alabama is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Charlie Strong inspires the Alabama defense, and the home team win by double digits. |
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10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State OVER 64 | 28-31 | Loss | -107 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #126 Over 64 in North Carolina Tar Heels @ Florida State Seminoles (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 17 ABC) We used North Carolina last week as our top play and easily won as they scored 56 points against Virginia Tech. Now they face a worse team in Florida State and expect them to light up the scoreboard again on Saturday. Florida State gave up 42 points to Notre Dame last week in a game that went over the posted total by halftime. North Carolina has gone over the posted total in 9 of their last 12 road games. Florida State has gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 8 games. |
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10-17-20 | Virginia v. Wake Forest +3 | Top | 23-40 | Win | 100 | 92 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #122 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Virginia Cavaliers (4p.m., Saturday, October 17 ACCN) Just feel that the wrong team is favored in this game. Wake Forest needed some time off to get healthy and I feel their offensive is explosive and can score points with their up-tempo style. Virginia has quarterback injury issues, and they are coming off a home loss to NC State. They were not competitive in that game and they have lost 3 straight games to Wake Forest. Coach Clawson has won 4 straight games when they are an underdog of 3 points or less. This team played NC State much better than did Virginia and would have won that game if not for a couple of fluke plays. Virginia is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Wake Forest. The underdog is 5-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 8 meetings between the Cavaliers and Demon Deacons. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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10-17-20 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -6 | 34-7 | Loss | -112 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #134 Tennessee Volunteers -6 over Kentucky Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, October 17 SECN) Tennessee has dominated this series and giving less than 7 points makes this a strong play for us. Tennessee is 33-2 straight up and 26-9 ATS against Kentucky over the last 35 meetings. I just trust the Tennessee offense more in this game and hopefully we see the good Jarrett Guarantano in this game. The Volunteers are 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 SEC games. |
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10-10-20 | Alabama v. Ole Miss OVER 68.5 | 63-48 | Win | 100 | 50 h 3 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #328 Over 69.5 in Alabama Crimson Tide @ Ole Miss Rebels (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 10 ESPN) The over has collected in 4 of the last 5 games between Alabama and Ole Miss. Alabama has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 SEC games. Mississippi has gone over the posted total in 9 of their 13 games played during the month of October (1 push). |
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10-10-20 | Florida State v. Notre Dame OVER 52.5 | 26-42 | Win | 100 | 50 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #354 Over 52 in Florida State Seminoles @ Norte Dame Fighting Irish (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 10 NBC) I always like to play the over with the Irish, as they are a team that can light-up the scoreboard. Florida State continues to be unimpressive regardless of who the coach is, but they need to show progress in this game, especially on offense. Florida State has gone over the posted total in 8 of their last 10 road games. Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. |
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10-10-20 | Oklahoma v. Texas +2 | 53-45 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #324 Texas Longhorns over Oklahoma Sooners (12p.m., Saturday, October 10 FOX) Both teams are struggling at the moment, but Texas has covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 meetings with Oklahoma. The Longhorns have the edge at quarterback in this game for the first time in years and I have not been that impressed with Sooner Quarterback Spencer Rattler. Unlike Sam Ehlinger, he does not have the ability to beat you with his legs. Texas is a better team and Tom Herman is a better coach when they are the underdog and less is expected of them. The Sooners are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. The Longhorns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games as an underdog. |
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10-10-20 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -5 | Top | 45-56 | Win | 100 | 92 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #320 North Carolina Tar Heels over Virginia Tech Hokies (12p.m. Saturday, October 10 ABC) Both teams return a ton of talent from 2019 but I just feel Carolina has a major edge at quarterback and that will be the difference in this game. Braxton Burnmeister has not looked good in either start this season and has not thrown for over 170 yards in either game. QB Hendon Hooker may play in this game but he will be rusty having not played a snap this season. Virginia Tech had covid issues last week holding out a bunch of players. Carolina did not look impressive last week but they had a ton of time off and playing last week should get them back in the groove for this game. The Tar Heels have a strong rushing defense and the better quarterback in this game. Those are two indicators that this is the right side to take. The home team has covered the spread in this series 4 of the last 5 games. Virginia Tech is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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10-03-20 | Auburn +7 v. Georgia | 6-27 | Loss | -114 | 56 h 2 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #153 Auburn Tigers over Georgia Bulldogs (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 3 ESPN) Top College Football Play of the Week The Bulldogs are banking on a big upgrade on offense with QB JT Daniels clear to play but I just do not see an offensive explosion. They struggled last week with Arkansas trailing 7-5 at halftime and I do not expect their offensive line to hold up in this game against Auburn. The Tigers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. Auburn has not had much success against Georgia in recent years, but I like there quarterback better and the talent is just too even to be giving this many points. Auburn can win this game straight-up and expect them to easily cover the spread. |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 75 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #136 Kansas State Wildcats over Texas Tech Red Raiders (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 3 FS1) Just do not trust Texas Tech. Both teams experienced dramatic games last week with Kansas State beating Oklahoma and Texas Tech blowing a big lead late against Texas. The Wildcats have dominated this matchup winning 8 of their last 9 games against the Red Raiders (7-2 ATS). Texas Tech just does not historically win these types of games, especially on the road. They have allowed 30+ points in 10 of their last 11 games. Texas Tech is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Kansas State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Big 12 games. |
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10-03-20 | Missouri v. Tennessee -11.5 | 12-35 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #116 Tennessee Volunteers over Missouri Tigers (12p.m., Saturday, October 3 SECN) The Tigers 38-19 loss last week against Alabama was very misleading. Missouri trailed 35-3 before they produced some yardage and points after Alabama took the pedal off the gas and substituted backups into the game. We used Tennessee as our top play last week and they were in control of that game despite being terrible on third down. Tennessee won this game last year as an underdog and they currently have the longest winning streak of any team in the country. Missouri is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. Tennessee is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 SEC games. |
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09-26-20 | Tennessee -3 v. South Carolina | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 100 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #405 Tennessee Volunteers over South Carolina Gamecocks (7:30p.m., Saturday, September 26 SECN) Tennessee got off to a horrible start last year but beating South Carolina by 21 points was the turning point. That was the first game of a six-game winning streak to close out the 2019 season. Tennessee is more experienced and that is a good thing since practices have been hard to come by during this Covid summer. The visitor is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 games between Tennessee and USC. Carolina was terrible on offense last year and I just do not have confidence that Will Muschamp is the guy to turn this program around. South Carolina is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 SEC games. |
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09-26-20 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh -2.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 92 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #402 Pittsburgh Panthers over Louisville Cardinals (12p.m., Saturday, September 26 ACCN) WKU losing straight-up despite being a big favorite to Liberty last Saturday was an indicator that this Louisville team is not all that good. The Cardinals lost at home to Miami later that evening and I do not see things getting better for them on the road at Pittsburgh. The Panthers were not very impressive either against Syracuse but remember that the Orange hung around against North Carolina for three quarters before collapsing in the fourth quarter. Pittsburgh has won 5 of the last 6 games against Louisville and has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 meetings. The Panthers dominated more than the score indicated last week but missed three field goals. They clean that up today and win this one by double digits. |
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09-19-20 | Wake Forest v. NC State -2.5 | Top | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 101 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #108 NC State Wolfpack over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (8p.m., Saturday, September 19 ACCN) Wake Forest has the advantage of having played last week but the home team has dominated this series. The home team has won 19 of the last 23 meetings and is also 18-5 ATS. NC State is coming off a rare down year in 2019 winning just 4 games but the track record of Dave Doeren suggests they will bounce back and have a winning record this year. Wake Forest has allowed 36.3 points per game in their last 6 games. Wake Forest is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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09-19-20 | Liberty v. Western Kentucky -14 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #124 WKU Hilltoppers over Liberty Flames (12p.m., Saturday, September 19 ESPNU) Western Kentucky did not play that well on offense last week but should have a much easier time moving the football against Liberty this week. The Toppers defense played decent against Louisville but got beat deep on a couple of fluke plays. They did block two punts in that game and I just believe they are better in all three phases than is Liberty. The Flames lack experience on both sides of the football, and this is their first game of the season. WKU is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games. Liberty is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games. |
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09-12-20 | Western Kentucky v. Louisville -11.5 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 78 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #406 Louisville Cardinals over WKU Hilltoppers (8p.m., Saturday, September 12 ACCN) Just liked how Louisville played in year one under Scott Satterfield winning 8 games including the Music City Bowl last time they took the field. They return a ton of playmakers on both sides of the football including Micale Cunningham, who threw for 22 touchdowns last year. They teams met last year at a neutral site and they game was over early with Louisville up 24 points at halftime before a minor comeback by WKU to only lose by 17 points. Louisville is expected to have some fans in the stands and that will only make this much more of a homefield edge. The Cardinals are 19-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games against Conference USA teams. |
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09-12-20 | Syracuse +22.5 v. North Carolina | 6-31 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #395 Syracuse Orange over North Carolina Tar Heels (12p.m., Saturday, September 12 ACCN) Just feel this spread has risen too high considering this is a conference game with no fans in attendance. The Orange played better down the stretch winning two of their last three games, both times they were underdogs. They return some talent on offense and should be able to score some points to keep up with North Carolina. The Tar Heels are loaded on offense as well, but Mack Brown teams have never been known to be offensive juggernauts. Expect the Orange to stay within this number, which has now gone over three touchdowns. Syracuse is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during the month of September. |
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09-07-20 | BYU -1.5 v. Navy | Top | 55-3 | Win | 100 | 105 h 16 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #243 BY Cougars over Navy Midshipman (8p.m., Monday, September 7 ESPN) The line movement tells me a lot for this game. Navy opened as a small home favorite of 2.5 but now BYU is favored at release time for this play. I always like extra time to prepare for the triple option and that is what BYU has for this game. QB Zach Wilson is back behind center for the Cougars and played better down the stretch last year winning 5 of his last 6 regular season games. Most year’s Navy has to rebuild and that is again the case this year losing their quarterback from last season. They were not as good as their record indicated last year and are just a middle of the pack team in the AAC this year. Navy is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against Independent teams. |
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09-05-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Army -3 | 0-42 | Win | 100 | 51 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #242 Army Black Knights over Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1:30p.m., Saturday, September 5 CBSSN) This game was added in August and thus the Blue Raiders do not have as much time as normal to prepare for the triple option. The Black Nights took a step back in 2019 but look to turn things around in 2020 and this is important game for them in hopes of having a winning season. MTSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of September. Army is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games played during the month of September. 82% of the money is coming in on Army and that is usually a key indicator early in the season. |
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09-03-20 | South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #235 South Alabama Jaguars +13 over Southern Miss Golden Eagles (9p.m., Thursday, September 3 CBSSN) This line opened at 16 but has come down under two touchdown and we will side with the line movement. The Golden Eagles did not perform well down the stretch losing three straight games by double digits to close out the 2019 season. USA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Southern Miss is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on Thursday. |
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08-29-20 | Austin Peay State v. Central Arkansas OVER 43 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 12 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #308902 Over in Austin Peay Governors @ Central Arkansas Bears (9p.m., Saturday, August 29 ESPN) College Football is back and this is the lone game of week 0. These two teams met last year and it was more of a defensive struggle but we believe things will open up this year. Central Arkansas likes to move the football through the air and averaged close to 300 yards passing per game. Austin Peay averaged over 34 points per game last year and I see both teams reaching the 20’s in points. We will not worry about won wins this game and just focus our attention on the total. |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU -5.5 | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 151 h 55 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #284 LSU Tigers over Clemson Tigers (8:10p.m., Monday, January 13 ESPN) LSU has been more dominating for the start of the season to the finish and playing in New Orleans will push them over the top to win a National Championship. Clemson had a very physical game against Ohio State in the semifinals and I just do not know how much left they have in the tank for this game. Clemson had trouble containing Ohio State and benefited by a strong red zone defense. LSU will move the football and finish drives in the red zone with a touchdown. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games when they are favored. Clemson’s winning streak ends tonight as the LSU Tigers prove once again, they are the best team in the country. |
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01-03-20 | Ohio v. Nevada +8.5 | 30-21 | Loss | -112 | 69 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #276 Nevada Wolf Pack over Ohio Bobcats (Idaho Potato Bowl, 3:30p.m., Friday, January 3 ESPN) This line really jumped after Nevada got in a brawl last game against UNLV and will be missing some key people in this game. But we will grab the points, as the Pack have had over a month to get new players acquainted. Nevada has better wins on the season and should have a better crowd since Boise is much closer to Reno compared to Athens. This is not one of Ohio’s better teams under Frank Solich and they pretty much just beat the dreads of the MAC to get to 6 wins. Ohio is 2-7 in their last 9 games as a favorite. Nevada is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 bowl games. |
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01-02-20 | Tennessee -1.5 v. Indiana | Top | 23-22 | Loss | -110 | 221 h 33 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #293 Tennessee Volunteers over Indiana Hoosiers (Gator Bowl, 7p.m., Thursday, January 2 ESPN) Tennessee has had a remarkable turnaround winning 5 straight games to close out the regular season and get the fan base back on board. Both teams have a lot of experience, but I believe the best unit on the field will be the Tennessee defense. Tennessee is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Big 10 teams. Their last 3 bowl appearances have come against Big 10 teams and they have won those games by 17, 39, and 14 points. Indiana did not finish the season well, losing 2 of their last 3 games with only a 3 point victory against Purdue during this span. |
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01-01-20 | Wisconsin -2.5 v. Oregon | 27-28 | Loss | -110 | 195 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #267 Wisconsin Badgers over Oregon Ducks (Rose Bowl, 5p.m., Wednesday, January 1 ESPN) The Badgers being favored in this game tells me we are on the right side. Just not a fan of Mario Cristobal as a game coach. He is a great recruiter but never seems to get over the hump and have a truly great season. QB Just Herbert is in a similar boat, as he looks the part but never seems to put it together for 60 minutes. Wisconsin has been playing the way Oregon wants to play for the last 30 years. RB Jonathan Taylor is the best player on the field, and he wants to go out with a bang! Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Oregon is 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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12-31-19 | Kentucky v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | 37-30 | Loss | -105 | 166 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #292 Virginia Tech Hokies over Kentucky Wildcats (Belk Bowl, 12p.m., Tuesday, December 31 ESPN) Mark Stoops was getting some publicity for the Florida State job but that would have been an uninspiring hire. Kentucky is not any good this year and they had one of the worst passing offenses in the country. They were floundering for most of the season before getting better down the stretch winning 3 straight game. 2 of those wins came against terrible teams, but they did beat Louisville in their regular season finale. They have quarterback that struggles to throw the football and you can bet Bud Foster will make the Wildcats beat them through the air. Virginia Tech had an up and down season, but they did win 8 games and are a much more balanced team. They lost last time out to Virginia and that prevented them from playing in the ACC Championship. But it also keep them fresh and healthy by avoiding Clemson and they will be ready to make a big statement in this game. This will be the last game for Bud Foster, and he has just as much respect as most head coaches in the country. The players and coaches want to send him out with a victory. Virginia Tech is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Kentucky is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Lay the points and play Virginia Tech. |
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12-30-19 | Illinois +7 v. California | 20-35 | Loss | -115 | 146 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #249 Illinois Fighting Illini over California Golden Bears (Redbox Bowl, 4p.m., Monday, December 30 FOX) Lovie Smith was close to being fired but turned it around in 2019 to qualify for a bowl game. Cal had a hot start to the season but faded during conference play losing 5 of their last 8 games down the stretch. This game is being played in Santa Clara but the Bears to not travel well and Illinois is excited to be here. Cal is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Illinois is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. |
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12-28-19 | Clemson -2 v. Ohio State | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 102 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #243 Clemson Tigers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Fiesta Bowl, 8p.m., Saturday, December 28 ESPN) Not much you can find to not like about either of these teams. Just feel Clemson is favored for a reason and they have been in a competitive game this season, something that cannot be said for Ohio State. Clemson has the more experienced coaching staff and they have covered the spread in 18 of their last 21 games. Clemson is the defending National Champion and they can play the no respect card since they were awarded the No. 3 seed despite winning 27 straight games. Clemson is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against ACC teams. |
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12-27-19 | USC +2 v. Iowa | 24-49 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #233 USC Trojans over Iowa Hawkeyes (Holiday Bowl, 8p.m., Friday, December 27 FS1) Clay Helton lives to coach another year and the Trojans had a pretty good season despite injuries and a brutal schedule. Just not a fan of Iowa this season on the offensive side of the football. QB Nate Stanley is just not a big-time player and Iowa did not perform well against the top teams on their schedule. USC had a nice finish to the season winning 3 straight games (2 road games) and this team wants Clay Helton as their coach despite the fan base and media. USC is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Iowa is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass. |
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12-27-19 | Michigan State v. Wake Forest +4 | 27-21 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #230 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Michigan State Spartans (Pinstripe Bowl, 3:20p.m., Friday, December 27 ESPN) Michigan State has fallen back to a middle of the pack Big 10 teams and they do not warrant to be favored by anyone that qualifies for a bowl game. Wake Forest returns a ton of talent and I just do not believe their defense will be picked apart by Michigan State. The Spartans got to play to terrible teams to close out the regular season but prior to that they lost 5 straight games and they were only competitive in one of those 5 losses. Wake Forest finished poorly down the stretch, but they have the edge in offense and special teams and will win this game straight-up. Michigan State is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games. |
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12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 217 h 10 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #224 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs over Miami Hurricanes (Independence Bowl, Thursday, December 26 ESPN) Miami just is not what they once were and nobody can figure out how to get this program back to glory. They finished the season with two straight losses including a 10-point setback to Duke, a team that did not even quality for a bowl. Manny Diaz thought he had all the answers resigning from Temple after not even coaching a game. He has been humbled and already lost the fan base and former players. The Bulldogs had a good year and were in great shape before stumbling down the stretch losing 2 of their final 3 games. But they did rebound beating UTSA last time out and will be more excited to be in this game than Miami is. The Hurricanes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 bowl games. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 bowl games. |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State +3.5 | 38-7 | Loss | -106 | 101 h 41 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #216 Boise State Broncos over Washington Huskies (Las Vegas Bowl, 7:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 ABC) Chris Petersen has been a fixature at both schools and we will resign as head coach of the Washington Huskies after this game. Boise State just wins bowl games and they have won 3 of their last 4 bowl games including a victory in the Las Vegas Bowl two years ago. Washington did not have a good year finishing just 7-5 and did not beat any top teams in the country this season besides USC. Boise State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin +16.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 102 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #119 Wisconsin Badgers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Big 10 Championship Game, 8p.m., Saturday, December 7 FOX) Sooner or later Ohio State is going to have a competitive game. They clobbered Michigan last week, but Wisconsin did the same thing to the Wolverines as well this season. The line opened at -18 but has bet down a little since 12/1/19 and I still think Wisconsin gives them a game and easily covers this spread. Penn State and Wisconsin both had to play in Columbus and getting to face them in Indianapolis will be a much different atmosphere. The underdog has covered the spread in 5 of the last 8 meetings (1 push). Wisconsin is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-06-19 | Oregon +7 v. Utah | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 78 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #103 Oregon Ducks over Utah Utes (Pac-12 Championship Game, 8p.m., Friday, December 6 ABC) Utah has the better coach but I just believe Oregon has the better team. The Ducks are catching a lot of points and I think they will thrive under the spoiler role in this situation. Oregon is 2-0 in this game and they have not played many complete games this year, but this would be a great time for that to occur. Oregon is 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games being played on grass. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will come out on top with whoever wins this game by a field goal. |
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11-30-19 | Arizona +13.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 101 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #419 Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State Sun Devils (10p.m., Saturday, November 30 ESPN) Arizona State is coming off a huge win against Oregon last Saturday, but now we have an inflated line in a rivalry game. The Wildcats are playing their final game of the season Saturday night and expect them to be competitive for 60 minutes. Arizona State has lost 4 of their last 5 games and they have home losses to USC and Colorado. Arizona State has only beaten 1 team all season (Kent State) by over tonight’s posted number. The Territorial Cup will remain with the Sun Devils but they win by just 7-10 points. The underdog is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games between Arizona and Arizona State. |
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11-30-19 | Navy -7.5 v. Houston | 56-41 | Win | 100 | 98 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #363 Navy Midshipmen over Houston Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, November 30 ESPN2) Just do not think Houston is very good this season and they have a coach that is completely full of himself. The Cougars ended a three-game losing streak last week winning at Tulsa, but did not dominate that game whatsoever. Navy does not have a bad loss on the season and should be able to reach 10 wins by winning their last two games against teams they will be favored against. Houston is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Houston got destroyed last year against a triple option team in Army and will lose this game by double digits. |
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11-30-19 | UAB -3 v. North Texas | 26-21 | Win | 100 | 95 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #421 UAB Blazers over North Texas Mean Green (4p.m., Saturday, November 30 Stadium) The Blazers are not the same team away from Birmingham, but they have a lot of play for in this game. IF UAB win they play next week in the Conference USA Championship Game and should get Tyler Johnston III back for this game. The Mean Green are coming off a bad loss to Rice last time out and I do not see things getting better for them on Senior Day. They have yet to beat a quality team this year. UAB is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against North Texas. |
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11-30-19 | Alabama -3.5 v. Auburn | 45-48 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #397 Alabama Crimson Tide over Auburn Tigers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 30 CBS) With Oregon going down last week, the Tide still have a lot of play for in this game and I expect them to make a statement in their last regular season game of the 2019 season. Auburn has not been able to hold up against the top teams in the SEC and this game should be no different. They still have a true freshman quarterback and that does not bode well against a Nick Saban defense. Rarely do you see a line this low in an Alabama game and that is basically because of their quarterback Tua Tagovailoa not playing in this game. Alabama still has the better roster and expect Coach Saban to thrive in a situation like this similar to what Coach Meyer did with QB Cardale Jones. |
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11-30-19 | Wisconsin -2 v. Minnesota | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 94 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #371 Wisconsin Badgers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 30 ABC) A lot is on the line in this game as the winner gets to play Ohio State next week in the Big 10 Championship Game. The road team has been the play of late, as they have covered the spread 4 times in the last 5 years (1 push). Wisconsin has shocked last year and that is one of the worst losses under Coach Paul Chryst at Wisconsin. The Badgers will be far and away the best defense the Gophers have faced this season. Wisconsin is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. Just do not believe Minnesota is ready to win a game like this. They are improved but their schedule has been soft all season long and this is the game where that will show up in a big way. Wisconsin pulls away late to win this game by 10 points. |
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11-29-19 | Iowa v. Nebraska +6 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #328 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Iowa Hawkeyes (2:30p.m., Friday, November 29 BTN) This is a game Nebraska needs more for a variety of reasons. A win by the Cornhuskers will get them bowl eligible and that extra month of practice would be vital in year 2 under Scott Frost. Iowa is just in all aspects, but they are not explosive and thus I do not like to lay points with them when the spread is over a field goal. Nebraska got back on against Maryland last week and should be able to take this game down to the wire. Nebraska is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in the month of November. |
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11-29-19 | Virginia Tech -2.5 v. Virginia | 30-39 | Loss | -117 | 67 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #315 Virginia Tech Hokies over Virginia Cavaliers (12p.m., Friday, November 29 ABC) Virginia Tech has dominated this series winning 15 straight games against Virginia. Both teams have a lot on the line as the winner gets the Coastal Championship and a date with Clemson next Saturday. The Hokies have at a quiet 8-3 record and nobody is talking about them whatsoever. Virginia is banged up on defense, especially in the secondary and expect Virginia Tech to move the football at will through the air. Virginia is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on Friday. Virginia Tech has covered the spread in 5 straight games. |
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11-23-19 | Nevada +14 v. Fresno State | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 104 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #163 Nevada Wolf Pack over Fresno State (10:30p.m., Saturday, November 23 ESPN2) Nevada is starting to play more ball control and that should keep the score low and thus be able to cover this big number. Fresno State is not very good this season and have lost 3 of their last 4 games including to San Diego State, a team Nevada beat last time out. The Bulldogs are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Nevada is 12-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 games played in November. Fresno State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in November. |
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11-23-19 | Syracuse +10 v. Louisville | 34-56 | Loss | -109 | 97 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #191 Syracuse Orange over Louisville Cardinals (4p.m., Saturday, November 23 ACCN) Syracuse needs to win out to become bowl eligible and firing their defensive coordinator gave this team some life last week. Syracuse clobbered Duke by a score of 49-6 last Saturday. Syracuse beat Louisville last year, 54-23 and many of the players that played in that game will play in this game. Louisville has overachieved a little this season and playing as a favorite if much different than sneaking up on teams. Louisville is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-23-19 | Central Florida v. Tulane +6 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 93 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #180 Tulane Green Wave over UCF Golden Knights (12p.m., Saturday, November 23 CBSSN) UCF is coming back to reality and I am not sold on Josh Heupel as a head coach. He piggy backed off of Scott Frost’s players last year and they are nowhere near as good in 2019. Throw in the fact everyone wants to beat them this year for how cocky they have been the last two years and I could see them suffering 5 losses this season. Tulane has been losing of late as well, but they made a nice comeback to fall short last week against Temple when they were down big early in that game. Tulane is undefeated at home this season and they should be able to take this game down to the wire. UCF is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Tulane is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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11-16-19 | USC -6.5 v. California | Top | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 101 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #361 Southern Cal Trojans over California Golden Bears (11p.m., Saturday, November 16 FS1) The Golden Bears have not been the same team as they were at the start of the season. They did beat Washington State last time out, but I do not see them winning another game when they are an underdog. USC has played a brutal schedule in 2019 and they have a chance for 8 wins should they win out. Clay Helton still has the respect of his players and expect them to go all out for him in the remaining two games. USC has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games in Berkeley. Cal is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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11-16-19 | New Mexico v. Boise State -27.5 | 9-42 | Win | 100 | 100 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #348 Boise State Broncos over New Mexico Lobos (10:15p.m., Saturday, November 16 ESPN2) Boise has been shaky covering of late but no bet against New Mexico is a bad bet. The Lobos have a terrible defense, and this should allow the Broncos to score points as will in this game. The Broncos still have a chance for a New Year’s Six Bowl and must earn some style points along with winning all their remaining games. New Mexico is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games. Boise State is 6-1 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-16-19 | Cincinnati -14 v. South Florida | 20-17 | Loss | -104 | 97 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #327 Cincinnati Bearcats over USF Bulls (7p.m., Saturday, November 16 CBSSN) The Bulls are a fraud and Charlie Strong does not have this team heading in the right direction whatsoever. They lost by double-digits at home last time out and they will lose this game by 20+ points. The Bearcats have won 7 straight games and they have a chance to earn a New Year’s Six Bowl should they win out. USF was outplayed last year in this match-up, but the cold weather and some fluke plays allowed them to cover despite losing by 12 points. USF is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Lay the wood in this game. |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota +3 v. Iowa | 19-23 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #335 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Iowa Hawkeyes (4p.m., Saturday, November 16 FOX) Minnesota is just a better all-around team than Iowa is. We used them last week as a top play and that cover was never in doubt for the entire 60 minutes against Penn State. Iowa is coming off a poor offensive performance against Wisconsin where it took them 3 quarters to finally get some yards in that game. The visitor has covered 5 of the last 6 games between the Gophers and Hawkeyes. Minnesota has covered the spread in 7 straight conference games. Iowa is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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11-09-19 | Tennessee +1 v. Kentucky | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 102 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #179 Tennessee Volunteers over Kentucky Wildcats (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 9 SECN) This is an important game for both team as the winner will likely reach bowl eligibility and the loser will struggle to win 6 games. Tennessee is 20-2 in their last 22 games against Kentucky (17-5 ATS). Tennessee will enter having won 2 straight games and covered the spread in 4 straight games. Kentucky is terrible on offense and I do not believe they can be one-dimensional in this game and beat Tennessee. The Volunteers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Lexington. Kentucky is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games played during the month of November. |
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11-09-19 | Appalachian State v. South Carolina -4.5 | 20-15 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #140 South Carolina Gamecocks over Appalachian State Mountaineers (7p.m., Saturday, November 9 ESPN2) The Mountaineers were riding high before they suffered a setback last week to Georgia Southern and basically saw their chances for a New Year’s Six Bowl Game vanish. Now they are on the road in a pay game against a team that is desperate for a victory to keep their slim chances of making a bowl game alive. This line is below a touchdown and we will use the team with better athletes. Will Muschamp is a so-so coach, but he did beat Georgia in Athens this season. South Carolina is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Sun Belt teams. |
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11-09-19 | Penn State v. Minnesota +7 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 94 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #142 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, November 9 ABC) I just believe that most people are overvaluing this Penn State team and undervaluing this Minnesota team. Both teams are undefeated, and Penn State will be playing their second straight road game. Minnesota will be the best offense Penn State has faced all season long and this is the biggest home game in decades for Gophers. Just do not see them getting blown out in a 11 am local time start. Penn State struggled against Iowa and Michigan this year and I see this won going down to the wire and we will take the points. The home team is 3-1 ATS (2 pushes) in the last 6 meetings between Penn State and Minnesota. The Golden Gophers are 33-16 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 51 games played during the month of November. |
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11-09-19 | Purdue +2.5 v. Northwestern | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 94 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #145 Purdue Boilermakers over Northwestern Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, November 9 BTN) This play basically comes down to Northwestern, and no bet against the Wildcats is a bad bet. Surprised Northwestern opened as the favorite, as they may be the worst offensive team in the country this season. We have had success with Purdue this year, using them as our Big 10 Top Play against Iowa and feel they will win this game by double-digits. Northwestern will never quit under Coach Fitzgerald, but reality has set in and they will be lucky to win 2 more games this season. The Wildcats have scored 6 total points in their last 3 games. Enough said! |
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11-02-19 | Northwestern v. Indiana -11 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 102 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #326 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Northwestern Wildcats (7p.m., Saturday, November 2 FS1) The Wildcats are having a miserable season and they just cannot move the football and score points on offense whatsoever. Indiana is quietly 6-2 on the season and they have a chance to win 8 games on the season. Northwestern has only been competitive in 1 game of late and if Indiana can score in the 30s they should be able to cover this spread as well. The home team has covered the spread in this series 5 of the last 7 meetings. Indiana has done well against bad teams going 5-1 in their last 6 home games against teams with a losing road record. |
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11-02-19 | Georgia v. Florida +6.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -106 | 98 h 10 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #372 Florida Gators over Georgia Bulldogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 CBS) Florida always has a big location advantage in this game since Jacksonville in much closer to Gainesville than is Athens. Georgia has not been playing well on offense of late and this is the best defense they will face to this point of the season. Florida has played well in all of their games this season and I do not see them getting blown out in this game. The Gators are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a bye week. Florida is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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11-02-19 | Marshall -10.5 v. Rice | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 98 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #355 Marshall Thundering Herd over Rice Owls (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 Stadium) I though Rice was improving and, on their way, to recording a couple of wins this season but they just cannot get over the hump. Marshall controls their own destiny to winning the CUSA East and cannot afford a letup in this game. Rice is terrible on offense averaging 4.2 yards per play (125th in FBS). Marshall has won three straight games and generally beats the bottom feeder teams in the league. Rice is 5-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 home games. |
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11-02-19 | Arkansas State -1.5 v. UL-Monroe | 48-41 | Win | 100 | 98 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #385 Arkansas State Red Wolves over ULM Warhawks (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 ESPNU) The Red Wolves have dominated this match-up winning 9 straight games against the Warhawks (9-0 ATS). Both teams have been giving up yards on defense and expect Arkansas State to be able to move the football at will through the air. ULM is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 home games. Arkansas State is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games played during the month of November. |
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11-02-19 | Michigan -20.5 v. Maryland | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 95 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #323 Michigan Wolverines over Indiana Hoosiers (12p.m., Saturday, November 2 ABC) Many teams in the Big 10 have thrown in the towel on the 2019 season and Maryland is one of those teams. They have just a win against Rutgers in their last 6 games and when they lose they tend to lose big. Michigan has beaten Maryland 4 straight times (4-0 ATS) winning the games by an average of 33 points. Michigan can relax now and should be able to run the table in their 3 games before they face Ohio State. Maryland is 7-17 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. This line opened at -17 and continues to rise but it is not enough. |
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10-26-19 | Utah State +4 v. Air Force | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #145 Utah State Aggies over Air Force Falcons (10:15p.m., Saturday, October 26 ESPN2) Utah State has better talent than Air Force on both sides of the football. If QB Jordan Love could have play to his potential, this is a team that can do damage and possible win the MWC. The Aggies are 4-2 on the season with both of their losses coming against Power 5 teams in the deep south. Air Force is not as strong as their record would indicate, as their schedule has yet to really test them. They should not be favored in this game against a defensive minded coach that will be able to stop the triple option. Air Force is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 MWC games. Utah State is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games. |
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10-26-19 | Notre Dame +1.5 v. Michigan | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #207 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 26 ABC) Still cannot believe that Michigan opened as the favorite in this game. The Wolverines do not win games against top 10 teams and they are not great on either side of the football. Notre Dame still has a chance to make the College Football Playoff if they can win out and they should be able to win in Ann Arbor against a team that lacks confidence. The fan base will turn on Michigan if things do not go well early. If just seems that Coach Harbaugh cannot win these type of games. Notre Dame 7-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. The underdog is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 games between the Fighting Irish and the Wolverines. |
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10-26-19 | Memphis v. Tulsa +11 | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 102 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #118 Tulsa Golden Hurricane over Memphis Tigers (7p.m., Saturday, October 26 CBSSN) This is a classic look ahead game for the Tigers, as they have undefeated SMU on deck. The Golden Hurricane have played better than what they record would indicate. They were competitive against SMU and Cincinnati, the top teams in the AAC. Tulsa is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. Expect them to keep this game in single digits and we will collect with the underdog. |
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10-26-19 | Texas +1 v. TCU | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #187 Texas Longhorns over TCU Horned Frogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 26 FOX) Just do not believe TCU has the talent to complete and outscore Texas in this game. The Frogs have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are just 3-3 on the season despite an easy schedule that gets much tougher. Texas did not play well last week against Kansas, but it is easy to just go through the motions against a bottom feeder team. That performance gave us value in this game with. Texas is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during the month of October. TCU is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games. The Gary Patterson magic has faded and he is still getting too much respect for the oddsmakers. |
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10-26-19 | Iowa v. Northwestern +10.5 | 20-0 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #132 Northwestern Wildcats over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Saturday, October 26 ESPN2) Northwestern does not have the team speed to stay with Ohio State, but they can take this game down to the wire in Evanston against Iowa. Northwestern is 3-0 straight-up (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 games against Iowa. The underdog in Wildcat games is 16-4 ATS (1 push) in the last 21 games. We went against Iowa as our Big 10 Top Play last week and we fade them again expecting another victory. Northwestern is 22-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 31 Big 10 games. Iowa is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played on grass. |
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10-19-19 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +9.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 102 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #348 Eastern Michigan Eagles over Western Michigan Broncos (7p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPN+) The Eagles have not beaten the Broncos is recent years but they are 2-0 (1 push) in the last 3 meetings against the spread. The Eagles must win this game to make a bowl game and expect them to go all out at home against an in-state rival. Western Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Eastern Michigan is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a winning record. |
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10-19-19 | Rice -3.5 v. UTSA | 27-31 | Loss | -116 | 101 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #415 Rice Owls over UTSA Road Runners (6p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPN3) An 0-6 teams being favored on the road against a 2-4 team tells you all you need to know about this game. Rice played well in a marathon game against UAB two weeks ago (two weather delays) and they will notch their first win of the season tonight in San Antonio. If Rice can prevent the big plays and make UTSA drive the length of the field they will be in good shape. UTSA is 2-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 home games. Rice is 21-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 30 games against teams with a losing record. |
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10-19-19 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +3.5 | 41-43 | Win | 100 | 98 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #398 Virginia Tech Hokies over North Carolina Tar Heels (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 19 ACCNX) Just do not believe North Carolina should be favored in this game on the road. Virginia Tech has won two straight games and beaten North Carolina 3 straight times. The Tar Heels played well against Clemson, but they enter having lost 3 of their last 4 games and they will struggle to become bowl eligible this season. Virginia Tech is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against North Carolina. |
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10-19-19 | Purdue +18 v. Iowa | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 95 h 48 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Purdue Boilermakers over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPN2) BIG 10 TOP PLAY These two teams are heading in opposite directions and I just do not believe Iowa should be this big of a favorite. Purdue has righted the ship after losing their quarterback and they dominated Maryland last week in impressive fashion. Purdue has beaten Iowa two straight games and the visitor has dominated this series going 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Iowa is not explosive on offense and Purdue has played well in their last 7 quarters (last 3 against Penn State). Purdue was shell shocked early by Penn State but held their own after the first quarter and got a pass rush against them. Iowa is coming off back-to-back losses and have seen their hopes for a Big 10 Title Game appearance all but vanish. Iowa is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games. Purdue is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games. |
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10-12-19 | Washington v. Arizona +6.5 | Top | 51-27 | Loss | -109 | 104 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #152 Arizona Wildcats over Washington Huskies (11p.m., Saturday, October 12 FS1) The Huskies are overvalued this season and oddsmakers have yet to catch up with their current talent on the roster. The match-up has been dominated by the home team, as they have won 8 of the last 10 games (8-2 ATS). Washington has two bad losses on the season and Arizona will enter this game having won 4 straight games. Washington is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Arizona is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 home games. Both trends hold true tonight as Arizona wins this game straight-up. |
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10-12-19 | Army -4 v. Western Kentucky | 8-17 | Loss | -112 | 100 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #191 Army Black Knights over Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7p.m., Saturday, October 12 Stadium) The results of each team last week have given us value with Army. The Black Knights lost at Tulane and WKU beat Old Dominion. It is always hard to prepare for a triple option team with just a week of prep and I expect Army to dominate on the road and rack up over 300 yards rushing. Army is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. WKU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of October. |
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10-12-19 | San Jose State v. Nevada -1.5 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 97 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #182 Nevada Wolf Pack over San Jose State Spartans (4p.m., Saturday, October 12 ATTSN) The fans in Reno will get their wish with Malik Henry (Last Chance U) starting under center for the first time this season. This line has dropped early in the week and I believe San Jose State is getting too much respect. Nevada has won 14 of the last 16 games and the bye week came at a perfect time since they were blown out last time out against Hawaii. The Spartans will be playing their third road game in the last four game and that will doom in them. When the Spartans lose, they lose big and that is how I see this game going as well. Nevada is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against San Jose State when the game is in Reno. |
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10-12-19 | Cincinnati -7 v. Houston | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 97 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #171 Cincinnati Bearcats over Houston Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 12 ESPN2) The line continues to move up. I bet it early (Sunday night), as these two teams are heading in opposite directions. Houston has thrown in the towel on the 2019 football season and Cincinnati has beaten them 5 of the last 7 meetings. Houston played well last week against North Texas but will get a major step-up in talent this week against Cincinnati. The Bearcats are 4-1 on the season with their only loss coming against Ohio State. They have covered this number in 3 of their 4 victories. Houston is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The road team is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 4 games between Cincinnati and Houston. |
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10-05-19 | Tulsa +13.5 v. SMU | 37-43 | Win | 100 | 97 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #353 Tulsa Golden Hurricanes over SMU Mustangs (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 5 ESPN U) The Mustangs are riding high at the moment and are ranked for the first time since the 1980s. They are overvalued at the moment and we will take the points in this game. Tulsa has won 4 of the last 5 meetings. The Golden Hurricanes are 2-2 and they do not have a bad loss this season losing just to Oklahoma State and Michigan State. Tulsa is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 road games. The Underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings. |
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10-05-19 | Texas -10.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 42-31 | Win | 100 | 93 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #317 Texas Longhorns over West Virginia Mountaineers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 5 ABC) Just do not believe much in West Virginia this year. They have a new coach and system and will struggle to win any of their remaining games in the Big 12. For Texas to become elite again these are the type of games they must dominate. Texas lost at the buzzer last year to West Virginia and that revenge will allow them to win this game big. QB Kelly Bryant took apart this team winning 38-7 and I expect QB Sam Ehlinger to do the same. West Virginia is 7-22 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 31 home games against teams with a winning road record. |
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10-05-19 | Purdue v. Penn State -27.5 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 90 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #320 Penn State Nittany Lions over Purdue Boilermakers (12p.m., Saturday, October 5 ESPN) This line is inflated with the results of last week, but Purdue is really banged up at the moment and they will not be able to overcome those injuries to keep this game under 30 points. Penn State exploded last week against Maryland and they have a coach that does not mind running up the score. Coach Jeff Brohm has got to be upset that he stayed at Purdue instead of taking the Maryland job. This Boilermaker team is going nowhere fast. Purdue is 3-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 meetings with Penn State. Purdue is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Penn State is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games. |
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10-05-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -3 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 90 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #356 Take Michigan Wolverines over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Saturday, October 5 FOX) Everyone is off the Michigan bandwagon after how they have played early in the season. But they got right last week against Rutgers and will be able to beat Iowa by double-digits. Michigan has covered the spread in 5 of the last 8 games against Iowa. The Hawkeyes have played a weak schedule thus far and are not battle tested to win on the road against top teams in the conference. Iowa is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning home record. |
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09-28-19 | Washington State v. Utah -4.5 | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 98 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #146 Utah Utes over Washington State Cougars (10p.m., Saturday, September 28 FS1) Both teams lost last week but I just feel Utah is a better all-around team compared to Washington State. Any team that cannot hold a 32-point lead is not worth a damn and I never believe in Mike Leach teams. The Utes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. Utah was predicted to win the PAC-12 South and they get back on track with a double-digit win at home tonight. |
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09-28-19 | Kentucky +3 v. South Carolina | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -106 | 95 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #157 Kentucky Wildcats over South Carolina Gamecocks (7:30p.m., Saturday, September 28 SECN) The Will Muschamp Era is on life support. USC has yet to defeat a FBS team this year and they have been blown out in their 2 SEC games this year. Kentucky collapsed against Florida two weeks ago and there was a residual effect last week against Mississippi State. Expect them to bounce back in a big way on Saturday against a team they have dominated in recent years (6-0 ATS last 6 meetings). Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played during September. |
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09-28-19 | Cincinnati -3.5 v. Marshall | 52-14 | Win | 100 | 93 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #177 Cincinnati Bearcats over Marshall Thundering Herd (5p.m., Saturday, September 28 Facebook) Marshall has trouble stopping the run and Cincinnati is more battle tested. The Bearcats come from the AAC and they play much better competition that what Marshall sees from Conference USA. Marshall is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games. Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of September. |
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09-28-19 | Georgia Tech v. Temple -7.5 | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 91 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #126 Temple Owls over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 28 CBSSN) Nice setup here for a blowout despite Georgia Tech coming from a power conference. Georgia Tech is a mess this year with players that are not used to running this offensive system. Temple gets to face their former coach and they will want to put it to him if they have the opportunity. Both teams laid an egg last time out with Temple losing to Buffalo and Georgia Tech losing to The Citadel. Temple is 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a loss in their previous game. Georgia Tech is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. |
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09-21-19 | Colorado +7.5 v. Arizona State | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 98 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #351 Colorado Buffaloes over Arizona State Sun Devils (10p.m., Saturday, September 21 PAC-12N) The Sun Devils are on cloud 9 now off a victory against Michigan State last Saturday. That being said they are not a strong team that can be laying this many points in conference games. Arizona State scored just 10 points in that victory and that will not consistently win games against decent competition. The Sun Devils beat the Spartans last year as well and then went on to lose two straight games. Colorado has played a tough schedule this far with all three games coming against rivals (Colorado State, Air Force, & Nebraska). They are 2-1 thus far with the lone loss coming against Air Force, a team that is tough to prepare for. They are determined to make a bowl game this year and they must show they can be competitive in these types of games and be able to take it down to the wire. Colorado beat Arizona State last year by 7 points. Arizona State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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09-21-19 | Nebraska -13 v. Illinois | 42-38 | Loss | -105 | 96 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #323 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Illinois Fighting Illini (8p.m., Saturday, September 21 BTN) Illinois is bottom feeder program in the Big 10 and Lovie Smith was a bad hire for a college coaching job. The bubble has burst after an impressive opening game against Akron. They barely beat UCONN and lost at home to Eastern Michigan. Nebraska is coming off their most impressive performance on the season and I feel this team will make some noise in the Big Ten West all season long. Illinois is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. Nebraska is 6-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 Big 10 games. |
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09-21-19 | SMU +9.5 v. TCU | Top | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 52 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #379 SMU Mustangs over TCU Horned Frogs (3:30 p.m., Saturday, September 21 FS1) The Frogs are coming off a dominating performance last week against Purdue, but they will not have the good fortune of playing a back-up quarterback in this game. SMU can put up points this year, and TCU will have trouble keeping up with them. SMU needs to contain the running game of TCU and force them to beat them through the air. The road team has covered 5 straight games in this matchup. TCU is 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games. |
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09-21-19 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -3 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 88 h 59 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #344 Wisconsin over Michigan (12p.m., Saturday, September 21 FOX) Jim Harbaugh just has not proven he can consistently win big game in the conference, especially on the road. Wisconsin is back after getting rid of their quarterback from last year that seemed to be a cancer for the entire team. Wisconsin has revenge on their minds after a bad showing in Ann Arbor last year but they are much different team when playing at home. 68% of the money is coming in on Wisconsin and the line is also moving in that direction as well. Wisconsin is 9-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games against Michigan. The Wolverines have not covered a spread in their last 6 games. |
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09-14-19 | Texas Tech v. Arizona +2.5 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 82 h 28 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #198 Arizona Wildcats over Texas Tech Red Raiders (10:30p.m., Saturday, September 15 ESPN) Arizona has not played up to their ability in two games this season but they have talent and should be able to defeat a rebuilding Texas Tech team at home. The Red Raiders have played two terrible teams to open the season and they just are not ready for the step-up in competition against a Power 5 teams. Both teams will put up points in this game but Arizona will get a much needed win at home. Arizona has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against FBS teams. |
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09-14-19 | Florida v. Kentucky +8 | 29-21 | Push | 0 | 79 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #175 Kentucky Wildcats over Florida Gators (7p.m., Saturday, September 14 ESPN) The Wildcats still have a strong defense and I just do not believe Florida can blow them out on the road. The Gators did not look that impressive against the Hurricanes in Week 0 and Kentucky ended their long losing streak to Florida last year. The back-up quarterback for Kentucky played well last game and I do not expect a huge drop-off in this game. Kentucky is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. |
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09-14-19 | Ohio +6 v. Marshall | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 79 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #171 Ohio Bobcats over Marshall Thundering Herd (6:30p.m., Saturday, September 14 Facebook) Like taking the Bobcats as an underdog, as they are well coached and beaten the Thundering Herd 4 of the last 5 meetings. Marshall is coming back from Boise last week and lost that game 14-7, but the score was misleading. Marshall did not get a first down in the second half and were outgained by over 250 yards. Ohio is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 nonconference games. Marshall is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. |