Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-03-12 | Georgia Tech -7.5 v. Maryland | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 92 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #19/#329 Take Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets over Maryland Terrapins
(Saturday, 11/3, 12:30 pm ESPN 3) Georgia Tech Georgia Tech is used to being atop the standing in the ACC Coastal Division but that is not the case this year and they need to win their next three games just to become bowl eligible. They were blown out last week against BYU but we expect a much better effort on Saturday playing a depleted Maryland team. Maryland The Terrapins are 4-4 on the season but they have suffered numerous injuries at the quarterback position and now must turn to the defensive side of the football for a signal caller. The team already has trouble scoring points at just over 20 per game and it will be hard for them to even get this number on Saturday. Maryland is just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall. Final Comment The Yellow Jackets need a weak opponent to get their triple option attack back on track and Maryland will provide the perfect remedy for them to accomplish this. Georgia Tech has won 8 of the 11 meetings with Maryland and win No. 9 will come on Saturday. I have always stated that injuries are one of the most overrated factors in handicappers unless it is at the quarterback position. Playing at linebacker at quarterback will not get the job done for Maryland. Georgia Tech by 21 |
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11-03-12 | Syracuse v. Cincinnati -5 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 92 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #94/#374 Take Cincinnati Bearcats over Syracuse Orange
(Saturday, 11/4, 12 pm Big East Network) Top College Play of the Weekend Cincinnati The Bearcats started the season 5-0 but now sit at 5-2 with back-to-back losses to Toledo and Louisville. Cincinnati played well at Louisville in terrible conditions and expect them to bounce back in a big way today since they have not played a home game since October 13th. The Bearcats are 6-1 straight-up and 5-2 against the spread in this series against Syracuse. They won at Syracuse last year by 17 points and that was without their starting quarterback Zach Collaros. Munchie Legaux is now under center and he has the ability to beat teams with his arm or his legs. He has thrown and run for a touchdown in four straight games and expect him to pick apart this Orange defense. Cincinnati has covered 7 of their last 9 games. Syracuse The Cuse have turned the corner after a slow start to the season having won three of their last four games but that will come to an end in a big way on Saturday. As we mentioned Syracuse has had no success against Cincinnati and they are not a strong offensive team scoring just 26.8 points per game (73rd). They lost to Rutgers and must play Cincinnati and Louisville in consecutive weeks. The Orange are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. Final Comment Syracuse is set to leave the Big East after this school year and you can bet the remaining teams are ready to knock them around whenever they get the chance. Cincinnati has dominated this series and Syracuse is a team that has never handled prosperity well. The Orange are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. Cincinnati earns some Big East pride and we collect big in the process as well. Cincinnati by 20 |
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10-27-12 | Notre Dame v. Oklahoma -10 | 30-13 | Loss | -105 | 101 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #100/198 Take Oklahoma Sooners over Notre Dame Fighting Irish
(Saturday, 10/27, 8 pm ABC) Oklahoma The Sooners have been on a mission since their only loss of the season to Kansas State. They have won and covered three straight games and we have collected with them twice during this span. This team is getting it done on both sides of the football, ranking 5th in the country for points scored (44.7) and 12th in the country in points allowed (15.3). This team has a dominating passing attack and this is something Notre Dame has yet to see this season. DC Mike Stoops has made a difference as well coming back to help brother Bob and get this team back to playing typical Sooner defense. Oklahoma is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Notre Dame It is hard to believe that Coach Brian Kelly is able to have this good of a defense considering he is an offensive minded coach. But Notre Dame is second in the nation in points allowed and they are looking for their 8th straight victory to open the season. But when I look over those 7 victories I do not see many good teams and none of those teams are as explosive as Oklahoma is. Notre Dame still has major question marks at the quarterback position with Everett Golson expected to start this game. Neither one of those quarterbacks scares me and there is no way Notre Dame will be able to match the scoring punch of Oklahoma. Notre Dame is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Final Comment Talent is everywhere on defense for Notre Dame and everywhere on offense for Oklahoma. That being said, I think the different will be the lack of offense that Notre Dame has. I just cannot see them matching Oklahoma score for score and thus they will fall behind double digits. Playing from behind will undue this Irish offense and they will suffer their first loss of the season. Oklahoma by 21 |
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10-27-12 | Ohio State v. Penn State UNDER 50.5 | 35-23 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #60/#178 Take Under in Ohio State Buckeyes @ Penn State Nittany Lions
(Saturday, 10/27, 5:30 pm ESPN) Ohio State The Buckeyes remain the only undefeated team in the Big Ten but that was in serious jeopardy last week against Purdue. Ohio State came in flat and lost QB Braxton Miller and needed an overtime victory to beat Purdue. They will face a much better defense tonight in Happy Valley and expect a low scoring game setting up a strong play with the under. QB Braxton Miller will likely play in this game but I do not expect him to be 100% and also a little gun shy running the football. Ohio State has gone under the posted total in 11 of their last 17 road games (2 pushes) Penn State Bill O |
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10-27-12 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -6 | 16-13 | Loss | -105 | 73 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #64/#152 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Michigan State Spartans
(Saturday, 10/27, 3:30 pm ABC/ESPN 2) Wisconsin I could have never imagined Wisconsin being able to turn their season around after starting the season with just three wins in their first five games. Wisconsin has three great running backs and this will set-up for strength versus strength since Michigan State is a good defensive team. But where the advantage lies is that Wisconsin is good on both sides of the football and Michigan State is a terrible offensive team. Wisconsin will also have revenge on their minds since they have not hosted Michigan State since 2009 and lost two straight regular season games including the Hail Mary touchdown pass last year. Michigan State The Spartans are just 1-3 in the Big Ten and it is not because of their defense. Michigan State is allowed teams to score just 15.3 points per game. The problem is that their offense is terrible scoring just 19.6 points per game. They could have beaten Michigan last week, but unlike the Wolverines, the Badgers can beat your through the air or on the ground. Michigan State is just 1-5 ATS in their last six games. Final Comment Wisconsin has been waiting since 2009 to host the Spartans and expect a double-digit victory. Michigan State simply will not be able to match the offensive firepower of the Badgers. Wisconsin is 13-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 home games. Wisconsin by 17 |
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10-27-12 | Duke v. Florida State -27 | 7-48 | Win | 100 | 73 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #92/#134 Take Florida State Seminoles over Duke Blue Devils
(Saturday, 10/27, 3:30 pm ESPN U) Florida State The Seminoles still have an outside chance to make the BCS Championship Game but need a lot of help since they suffered a shocking upset to NC State on October 6th. They still have Florida remaining on the schedule and this week |
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10-27-12 | USC v. Arizona +7 | Top | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 73 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #110/#170 Take Arizona Wildcats over USC Trojans
(Saturday, 10/27, 3:30 pm ABC/ESPN 2) Arizona The Rich Rod era is well underway in Tucson and for the most part it has been a success as the Wildcats are on pace to make a bowl game despite having to learn a new system. Arizona averages over 350 yards per game passing and they have only been blown out one time this season and that came against Oregon. Arizona is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of October. USC The Trojans were the No. 1 team in the land to start the season but they have not played like it this season. They have struggled on the road this season in four games and they have yet to blow out anybody on the road despite playing mediocre teams (Syracuse, Washington, Utah, & Stanford (L)). USC is 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games played during the month of October. Final Comment I am just not a believer in Lane Kiffin and never like to use the Trojans as a favorite because of him. Arizona will be ready for this game and expect Rich Rod to develop a few wrinkles that will surprise the Trojans. The home crowd has been waiting for years to get excited and I believe that this Wildcat team can deliver the goods. Arizona by 3 |
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10-26-12 | Cincinnati v. Louisville OVER 51.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' in Cincinnati at Louisville (8 p.m., Friday, Oct. 26) Both of these teams will want to make a statement, and by statement I mean score the football. Last weekend Louisville could not stop South Florida from moving the football up and down the field and that was an offense that is ranked 50 spots lower than Cincinnati in points per game. Similar to that game was the previous home game for the Louisville, when they matched up with North Carolina. In the second half of that game the Cards didn't stand a chance of stopping North Carolina from moving the ball at will. Both of those games were your typical Saturday afternoon game but this is a Friday Night, nationally televised game and both offenses will be up to the challenge. Cincinnati knows how to play the role of the spoiler and I love the live dog playing 'over' the total. Louisville should have little difficulty scoring at home as they will be ready for this game following their narrow win versus South Florida. The Cards got a little tentative late versus the Bulls and I don't see that happening in this one as the coaching staff knows it almost cost them the game. The 'over' is 4-0 in the last four Friday night games for the Cincinnati Bearcats.
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10-20-12 | Idaho v. Louisiana Tech -30 | 28-70 | Win | 100 | 78 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #74/#386 Take Louisiana Tech Bulldogs over Idaho Vandals
(Saturday, 10/20, 7 pm ESPN 3) Louisiana Tech The Bulldogs were a trendy pick to run the table and possibly receive an at-large BSC bowl bid, but all that went out the window when they lost to Texas A&M last Saturday. They were down 26 points in that game before making a valiant comeback that fell just two points short. They are now pissed off, and I expect them to take out their frustration against one of the worst FBS teams in the country. The Bulldogs can cover this big of a number since they are No. 1 in the country in scoring 53.8 points per game. Louisiana Tech is 12-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games against teams with a losing record. Idaho Idaho is a terrible team that has just one victory on the season. They are 121st in the country in points scored and 115th in the country in points allowed. They have already been beaten by this number three times this season, and this will be the most explosive offense that they will face. Idaho is 13-32 ATS in their last 45 conference games. Final Comment The Bulldogs are angry that their BCS bowl bid is no longer a viable option, and they are ready to pound Idaho for 60 minutes. La Tech is explosive on offense, and, thus, the 30-point spread will not be difficult for them to clear. This will likely be a 4-hour game, and it would not surprise me if the Bulldogs score 70 points. Louisiana Tech by 42 |
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10-20-12 | South Carolina v. Florida -3 | 11-44 | Win | 100 | 75 h 45 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #52/#374 Florida Gators over South Carolina Gamecocks
(Saturday, 10/20, 3:30 pm CBS) Florida The Gators are back! Florida is 6-0 on the season, and they have a chance to run the table and set up a great SEC Championship Game against Alabama. They are getting the job done in a traditional style of running the football and playing outstanding defense. Florida has lost the last two games to South Carolina, but they have never lost three straight in the history of this series. Florida is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. South Carolina South Carolina had high hopes for the season, and most of those were dashed last week in the second half against LSU. This is a brutal stretch of games for USC, as they have played Georgia and LSU the two previous weeks. After losing last week in Baton Rouge, I do not believe they will have much left in the tank for another road game in Gainesville. QB Connor Shaw did not perform well in the second half last week, and I expect him to have more miscues in this game as well. Final Comment This is a game that a defensive coach would love, as both teams are loaded with talent on defense. Playing at home and with revenge will allow Florida to remain undefeated, and we will collect big in the process as well. This brutal stretch of the Carolina schedule is too difficult for them to overcome, especially after suffering a devastating loss last week. Florida by 13 |
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10-20-12 | Michigan State v. Michigan -10 | 10-12 | Loss | -101 | 75 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #56/#358 Take Michigan Wolverines over Michigan State Spartans
(Saturday, 10/22, 3:30 pm Big Ten Network) Michigan The Wolverines have righted the ship after a brutal nonconference schedule, and they have been waiting for this game all season long. Michigan State has beaten Michigan four straight years, and you can be sure Coach Brady Hoke has mentioned that once or twice this week! Michigan has got its offense going the last two weeks, scoring 44.5 points per game. Michigan State has a much better defense than Purdue and Illinois, but I do not think it will matter. Michigan has covered 6 of their last 8 home games. Michigan State The Spartans are in full rebuild mode on the offensive side of the football, and they have struggled to score points all season long. They are 104th in the nation scoring just 21 points per game, and only twice have they scored over 23 points per game (Central Michigan & Indiana). They are coming off a devastating overtime loss to Iowa last week in East Lansing, and they just to not have the offensive firepower to match Denard Robinson and company. Michigan State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. Final Comment Hoke got the fan base a win over Ohio State last year for the first time in what seemed like forever, and now it is Michigan State |
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10-20-12 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin -18.5 | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 71 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #102/#314 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Minnesota Golden Gophers
(Saturday, 10/20, 12 pm ESPN U) Wisconsin I will be the first to admit that I have undervalued this team and the coaching staff. After a dreadful start to the season in which they should have lost three of their first five games (only lost two), Bucky has gottenits running attack back on track and I expect the Badgers to roll from here. This battle with Minnesota is a Trophy Game (Paul Bunyan |
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10-20-12 | Purdue v. Ohio State -18 | Top | 22-29 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #62/#356 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Purdue Boilermakers
(Saturday, 10/20, 12 pm ABC) Big Ten Game of the Year Ohio State The Buckeyes have one of the most explosive offensives in the country and we fully expect them to pick apart this Purdue defense and score close to 60 points. This will allow them to cover this big number and I really believe this is a game where Coach Urban Meyer can just name his score. Coach Meyer is one of the best offensive minds in the entire country and he has a great leader in QB Braxton Miller, my sleeper pick for the Heisman Trophy. Ohio State is 8th in the country running the football and expect them to put forth similar numbers to what Wisconsin did last week in West Lafayette. The defense has given up points and yards including a surprising 49 points to Indiana last week. That performance bodes well for us in this game, since Coach Meyer will let the defense have it all week and expect a much better performance on Saturday against a team that has thrown in the towel. Ohio State is 44-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 64 Big Ten games. Purdue Well I must admit that I was way off the mark with Purdue, as this team is terrible and belongs at the bottom of the conference standing. Purdue had a golden opportunity to make a statement that they are a top team in the Big Ten with back-to-back home games against Michigan & Wisconsin. But they laid an egg in both of those games and now must go on the road to play the best team in the conference. In that Wisconsin game three quarterbacks threw six or more passes and the old adage is true, if you have more than one quarterback, that means you do not have any good quarterbacks. Purdue is 10-26 ATS (1 push) in their last 37 games played during the month of October. Final Comment Purdue has certainly shown that they are a pretender and we will likely go against them for rest of the Big Ten Conference season. They cannot stop the run and things will only get worse from here in this run heavy conference. Coach Meyer has shown in the past he is not afraid to run up the score and expect that to occur in this game. Ohio State will play much better on defense and this will be a 30-point woodshed beating. Ohio State by 35 |
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10-13-12 | Utah State v. San Jose State -3 | 49-27 | Loss | -106 | 95 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #60/#172 Take San Jose State Spartans over Utah State Aggies
(Saturday, 10/13, 4 pm ESPN3) San Jose The Spartans were able to get healthy last week with a bye and now look for their fifth straight victory since opening the season with a loss to Stanford by three points. This team has move the football through the air averaging over 300 yards per game and that is 23rd in the country. They also have a strong defense that is 25th in the country averaging just 17.4 points per game. San Jose State is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games. Utah State The Aggies also have a strong defense but they will have trouble keeping pace with the scoring capabilities of the Spartans. They are coming off a weird game in which they have up just 6 points but lost the game to BYU. Utah State is just -25 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Final Comment The Spartans should have won last year in Logan leading 33-21 in the fourth quarter but lost the game 34-33. They will be out for revenge in this game and I expect them to get it in a big way. This is an important game for both teams, as neither team was to drop below the standing and behind conference favorite Louisiana Tech. Playing at home will allow the Spartans to get their revenge on the field. San Jose State by 10 |
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10-13-12 | Stanford v. Notre Dame -8 | 13-20 | Loss | -101 | 95 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #54/#170 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Stanford Cardinal
(Saturday, 10/13, 3:30 pm NBC) Notre Dame The Irish just continue to move up the standings in the latest polls and after a double-digit win this afternoon in South Bend, they may be a top-5 team. What has been the turnaround this season? The Irish are playing outstanding defense, as they are currently second in the country allowing just 7.8 points per game. The offense is still a work in progress but is getting better each week and should be able to shine against Stanford. Notre Dame has covered 4 of their last 5 games. Stanford The Cardinal have outperformed expectations thus far in 2012, but replacing Andrew Luck is too much for them to overcome to consistently beat top teams. Yes they did beat USC at home earlier this season but we are finding out that USC is not that good and they have a shaky coach in Lane Kiffin. Since that win it has been all downhill since, losing to Washington and struggling to beat an average Arizona team in Palo Alton. They will have trouble scoring any points today in South Bend. Stanford is just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games against Independents. Final Comment Notre Dame is getting undervalued a lot this season since they have had a terrible defense over the last decade. They have always had talent and this will be a breakout season for them and I BCS Bowl Bid is likely coming their way. They win today by double digits. Notre Dame by 14 |
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10-13-12 | Fresno State +7.5 v. Boise State | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #39/#161 Take Fresno State Bulldogs over Boise State Broncos
(Saturday, 10/13, 3:30 pm NBC Sports Network) Fresno State The Bulldogs have joined the Mountain West Conference and for the first time in 16 years they have a new coach in Tim DeRuyter. They have played well this season going 4-2 and they are a top-20 team in points scored. Fresno State has scored 80 combined points the last two weeks and they will give Boise State all that they can handle in this game. Fresno State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. Boise State This is not a typical Boise State team, as they have suffered a major loss in talent. They returned just 7 starters out of 22 positions from last year |
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10-13-12 | Iowa v. Michigan State -9.5 | 19-16 | Loss | -108 | 91 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #18/#114 Take Michigan State Spartans over Iowa Hawkeyes
(Saturday, 10/13, 12 pm ESPN) Michigan State The offense has not been up to par this season for Sparty, but their defense remains rock solid and that alone should be good enough to blowout a terrible Iowa team. Michigan State has a top-15 defense in the country allowing just over 15 points per game. They held Ohio State to 17 points and that same Buckeye team scored 63 points last week against Nebraska. Michigan State is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Iowa Iowa was supposed to be an improved team under Coach Kirk Ferentz this season but the early results have not been promising. They have already lost two games to mediocre teams (Iowa State & Central Michigan) and struggled to beat a rebuilding Northern Illinois squad. The fact is they just do not have many playmakers on offense and are not outstanding on either side of the football. They have yet to play anybody this season and Michigan State has challenged themselves much more during the non-conference portion of the season. Iowa is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games. Final Comment Whichever offense plays the best will likely win this game and we will side with the home town Spartans. Iowa has been in a major slide the last couple of years and this is not the team that will be able to pull out of it. Michigan State has played a more difficult schedule this season (Notre Dame, Boise State, & Ohio State) and that has prepared them for this blowout. The home team has won 10 of the last 12 games in this series. Michigan State by 21 |
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10-13-12 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -2 | Top | 38-14 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 20 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #20/#130 Take Purdue Boilermakers over Wisconsin Badgers
(Saturday, 10/13, 12 pm Big Ten Network) Revenge Game of the Year Purdue Purdue is coming off a disappointing showing last week at home against Michigan, but that performance sets up well this week, as the coaches will get the players attention for this game. Throw in the fact that Purdue lost to Wisconsin last season by a score of 62-17 and you can be sure that revenge will be on the minds of each and every one of the Purdue players. This is Coach Danny Hope |
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10-06-12 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -3 | Top | 38-63 | Win | 100 | 77 h 0 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #56/#394 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Nebraska Cornhuskers
(Saturday, 10/6, 8 pm ABC) Top College Play of the Weekend Ohio State The Buckeyes are the best team in the Big Ten this season and they are coming off an impressive victory at Michigan State last Saturday. They have the most dynamic quarterback in the league in Braxton Miller and expect him to put up big numbers tonight against this suspect Cornhusker defense. Ohio State is 43-18 (1 push) in their last 62 Big Ten Conference games. Nebraska The Huskers disappointed us last weekend as they played a terrible first 33 minutes of the game before they dominated Wisconsin in the last 27 minutes. They will face a much tougher defense tonight in a hostile environment. Nebraska has not handled prosperity fell going 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when they won their previous game straight-up. Final Comment Ohio State will have revenge on their minds in this game, as they gave up a late lead last year in Lincoln and that was with a lame duck coach. Their coaching staff is much better this season led by Urban Meyer and Bo Pelini is not in the same league as him when it comes to performing well in big games. Ohio State by 14 |
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10-06-12 | Miami (Fla) v. Notre Dame -12.5 | 3-41 | Win | 100 | 76 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #94/#390 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Miami Hurricanes
(Saturday, 10/6, 7:30 pm NBC) Notre Dame The Irish have a brutal schedule for the rest of the season but so far they have been up to the challenge. These two teams met in the 2010 Sun Bowl and it was all Notre Dame despite having less talent than Miami did at the time. Coach Brian Kelly has been able to fix the defense and that plagued this team for so long and they currently rank No. 3 in the nation allowing just 9 points per game. The Irish are a good team to play coming off a bye going 10-4 ATS in these types of situations. Miami The Hurricanes have surprised many people with their 4-1 record and they have rebounded nicely after getting pounded by Kansas State. That being said, they are giving up over 33 points per game and that just will not get the job done against Notre Dame. Miami is just 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Final Comment It is the Catholics vs. Convicts renewed at Soldier Field in Chicago. Miami just a shell of its former self from the glory days and they are waiting for the hammer to drop with sanctions at any time from the NCAA. Notre Dame does not have to worry about any of this and will have a home crowd advantage playing this game in Chicago. Notre Dame by 20 |
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10-06-12 | Georgia +1 v. South Carolina | 7-35 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #85/#349 Take Georgia Bulldogs over South Carolina Gamecocks
(Saturday, 10/6, 7 pm ESPN) Georgia The Dogs head to Columbia with SEC East implications on the line, as the loser of this game will struggle to make the championship game in Atlanta come December. Georgia has never lost three games in a row to South Carolina and I fully expect that streak to continue. Georgia has a dynamic offense behind QB Aaron Murray and they are currently 8th in the nation in scoring (48.2). Unlike USC, they have blown out every team that they have faced this season. Georgia is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. South Carolina The Gamecocks also sit at 5-0 on the season but they get things done with their defense, as they have one of the best units in the country. This will be the first explosive offensive team that they will face this season. I do not believe that the Carolina offense will be able to match the Georgia offense blow for blow. Final Comment This is one of the key games in the SEC this season and the winner will have the inside track to a division title. South Carolina does not win many big games under Coach Steve Spurrier and it would not surprise me if they get beaten handily today. Georgia just has too much firepower on offense. Georgia by 13 |
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10-06-12 | Oklahoma -5.5 v. Texas Tech | 41-20 | Win | 100 | 72 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #63/#371 Take Oklahoma Sooners over Texas Tech Red Raiders
(Saturday, 10/6, 3:30 pm ESPN 2) Oklahoma The Sooners have played just three games this season and have not looked very impressive but they should be able to get back on track this weekend against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders won at Oklahoma last season by three points despite being a 28 point underdog. You can bet Coach Bob Stoops has not forgotten that embarrassment. Oklahoma is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss in their previous outing. Texas Tech The Red Raiders have played a very easy schedule thus far in 2012 but things will get much tougher starting Saturday. This team will fall out of the polls and be lucky to win one of their next five games. Expect the Sooners to shut down their passing attack and then the Red Raiders will be out of options. Texas Tech is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games against teams with a winning road record. Final Comment Oklahoma has already lost their game this season that they were not supposed to. I do not expect history to repeat itself on Saturday. Oklahoma takes care of business and we collect big in the process as well! Oklahoma by 17 |
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10-06-12 | Northwestern v. Penn State OVER 49 | 28-39 | Win | 100 | 69 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #60/#332 Take Over in Northwestern Wildcats @ Penn State Nittany Lions
(Saturday, 10/6, 12 pm ESPN) Northwestern The Wildcats are been one of the most surprising teams in a disappointing Big Ten season thus far. They are 5-0 on the season and 4 of those wins have come against BCS Conference teams. They are averaging over 33 points per game and expect them to put forth a good showing in this game as well. Northwestern has gone over the posted total in 8 of their last 11 Big Ten games. Penn State After starting the season 0-2, the Nittany Lions have played better, although I am still not sold on them. They have averaged 31 points per game over the last three and it would not surprise me if they reach that platform against playing this suspect defense in Northwestern. Final Comment This would be a very hard game for me to pick a side on and thus we will go with a strong play with the over. Northwestern always has a dynamic offense and that should allow them to reach the thirties in points. Play the Over |
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09-29-12 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska -13 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 100 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. (#86/#182) Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Wisconsin Badgers
(Saturday, 9/29, 8 pm ABC) College Game of the Year Nebraska The Cornhuskers have rebounded nicely after a disappointing performance in Los Angeles with back-to-back blowout wins against inferior competition. I do not believe that Wisconsin will be able to provide much more of a challenge than did Southern Miss, Idaho State, & Arkansas State. Nebraska is healthy as a team with Rex Burkhead back rushing for over 100 yards last week. The key to this game for Big Red will by the play of QB Taylor Martinez, as he had a game to forget when these two teams met last year in Madison. He has worked at throwing the football better all summer long and the early results have come, as he has nine touchdowns and only one interception this season. Nebraska has covered 4 straight home games. Wisconsin As much as we like Nebraska as a team in this game, most of this selection is based on going against Wisconsin. The Badgers just do not have much talent this season outside of the running back position. QB Danny O |
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09-29-12 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -1 | 37-17 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#28/#174) Take Western Michigan Broncos over Toledo Rockets
(Saturday, 9/29, 7 pm ESPN 3) Western Michigan The Broncos are 2-2 on the season, but both of those losses came against Big Ten teams. WMU has been competitive in all 4 games this season that they have played. QB Alex Carter has a 2-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio and is listed as probable for this game after leaving last week with a hand injury. The Broncos have covered 7 of their last 10 MAC games. Toledo The Rockets are coming off three straight wins after suffering a setback in the first game of the season at Arizona. This was a shootout when these teams met last year, but most of the talent for Toledo from 2011 is gone. Toledo has just 8 starters out of a possible 22 back from 2011. Final Comment This was a game for the ages last season as Toledo beat Western Michigan, 66-63. That game featured 18 touchdowns, and I do not believe that will be the case tonight. However, I expect the home team to get the job done. Western Michigan by 8 |
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09-29-12 | Ohio State v. Michigan State UNDER 43.5 | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 96 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#14/#154) Take Under in Ohio State Buckeyes @ Michigan State Spartans
(Saturday, 9/29, 3:30 pm ABC) Ohio State The Buckeyes may be the best team in the Big Ten, but nobody will ever know since they are ineligible for postseason play, including the Big Ten Championship Game in Indianapolis. They do have the best quarterback in the league in Braxton Miller and they are 4-0 on the season, but all 4 of those games were played in Columbus. This will be their first tough test of the season, and they have yet to face a defense as strong as what Michigan State has. The Buckeyes have gone under the posted total in 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan State The Spartans have one of the best defenses in the country, but their offense is terrible. QB Kirk Cousins plays for the Redskins, and without him behind center the Spartans have had trouble moving the football. Michigan State is scoring just 21 points per game, and that is 104th of all the FBS teams. Final Comment This will be a grind-it-out typical Big Ten game from years past. Both teams have solid defenses, and I expect conservative game plans by both offenses. We will not worry about who wins this game and just collect with the under. Play the Under |
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09-29-12 | Tennessee v. Georgia -13 | 44-51 | Loss | -109 | 96 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#52/#156) Take Georgia Bulldogs over Tennessee Volunteers
(Saturday, 9/29, 3:30 pm CBS) Georgia The Bulldogs are the clear team to beat in my opinion in the SEC East, and I expect them to take care of business against an inferior team this afternoon in Athens. Georgia has won 8 of the last 12 meetings with Tennessee, including games the last two years. QB Aaron Murray has numerous weapons at his disposal, and Georgia has been playing outstanding football since the second half of the Week 2 against Missouri. Georgia is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 SEC games. Tennessee Tennessee fell apart against Florida during the second half and they have yet to play good football since. The Volunteers have put up impressive passing numbers, but I do not expect them to have much success today in Athens. Tennessee has been giving up close to 25 points per game, and I expect Georgia to score close to 40 points. Final Comment This is a traditional SEC rival and an important game for both teams. Georgia held Vanderbilt to 3 points last week, and I expect Tennessee to struggle to move the football in this game. Georgia has a difficult schedule coming up, and I expect them to get an easy win in this game. Georgia by 25 |
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09-29-12 | Penn State v. Illinois -1.5 | 35-7 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#10/#112) Take Illinois Fighting Illini over Penn State Nittany Lions
(Saturday, 9/29, 12 pm ESPN) Illinois The Fighting Illini are coming off one of the most surprising losses of the season last week, as they got blown out at home against Louisiana Tech. But the fact remains that this team still has a lot of talent, as former coach Ron Zook was a great recruiter during his stay in Champaign. Illinois has always bounced back well for setbacks, going 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss in the previous week. Penn State Penn State has bounced back nicely and evened their record at 2-2 on the season after starting the season with two setbacks. But the fact remains that they do not have much talent and I expect them to struggle throughout the Big Ten portion of the season. Illinois is much better than Navy and Temple, and Penn State will find that out on Saturday. QB Matt McGloin is not a top quarterback, and I expect Illinois to frustrate him for 60 minutes. Penn State is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games played during the month of September. Final Comment Penn State lost most of their talent and Illinois still has most of their talent on their roster and eligible to play Saturday. Expect the Illini to bounce back, as they still have a shot Leaders Division championship. Expect them crack the pads early and this game and win by double digits. Illinois by 13 |
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09-22-12 | Clemson v. Florida State -14 | 37-49 | Loss | -109 | 77 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#72/#312) Take Florida State Seminoles over Clemson Tigers
(Saturday, 9/22, 8 pm ABC) Florida State This is by far the best team Coach Jimbo Fisher has had during his tenure at FSU. QB E.J. Manuel has returned to form after last season |
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09-22-12 | San Jose State +3.5 v. San Diego State | 38-34 | Win | 100 | 77 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#91/#385) Take San Jose State Spartans over San Diego State Aztecs
(Saturday, 9/22, 8 pm) San Jose State This Spartans team took their Northern California rival to the wire losing by just three points to Stanford, a team that just beat USC. That tells me this team is much improved since they lost to Stanford in 2011, 57-3. RB De |
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09-22-12 | Michigan v. Notre Dame -5.5 | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 77 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#70/#370) Take Norte Dame Fighting Irish over Michigan Wolverines
(Saturday, 9/22, 7:30 pm NBC) Notre Dame Coach Brian Kelly finally has been able to implement his program and the results have been outstanding in 2012. The defense is totally improved as Michigan State found out last week. Revenge will also be on the minds of the Irish, as they led 24-7 last season in Ann Arbor before a late rally by Michigan won the game. They will be well prepared for QB Denard Robinson and company and they will make Robinson beat them with his arm. Michigan Michigan has gotten back on track against inferior opponents since getting blown out by Alabama in the opening game of the season. QB Denard Robinson has had his way with Notre Dame beating them three straight times (although he did play much in the 2009 game). Robinson will have to be able to move the team through the air for him to be successful tonight. Michigan is just 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 road games. Final Comment Look for Notre Dame to be ready from the start, as they would like to end this three game losing streak to Michigan. In past year |
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09-22-12 | Missouri v. South Carolina -10 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 73 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#62/#368) Take South Carolina Gamecocks over Missouri Tigers
(Saturday, 9/22, 3:30 pm CBS) South Carolina Coach Steve Spurrier quietly continues to improve this team over the last couple of seasons and they may be better this year than the 2011 team that won 11 games. They have some very tough games against LSU and Florida on the road but they have the offensive weapons that can threaten both of those teams. They have a rock solid defense and their front seven may be the best in the conference. USC has covered 4 straight games at home. Missouri The Tigers always have a solid team under Coach Gary Pinkel but they will find life much more difficult in the SEC. QB James Franklin leads a very good passing game but their offensive line is very young, as they start two freshman. This is the first road game of the season for Missou and they are coming off two highly intense games against Georgia and Arizona State. Missouri is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a victory in their previous game. Final Comment This is a tough spot for the Tigers and expect their offensive line to struggle to protect the quarterback against USC. This is a game that South Carolina needs since they have a brutal schedule in October. The defense shines for the home team. South Carolina by 20 |
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09-22-12 | East Carolina v. North Carolina -16.5 | Top | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 73 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. (#14/#326) Take North Carolina over East Carolina Pirates
(Saturday, 9/22, 3:30 pm ESPN U) Top College Football Play of the Weekend North Carolina The Tar Heels find themselves at 1-2 on the season but with any luck they could be 3-0. The lost back-to-back road games by a combined total of six points but expect things to be much easier on Saturday facing a weak East Carolina team. The Pirates are not strong on pass defense and expect UNC to have numerous big plays through the air. QB Bryn Renner has been solid this year throwing nine touchdowns and just three interceptions. North Carolina is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference USA games. East Carolina The Pirates should be an improved team from 2011 since they return a lot of starters and they are coming off a nice victory on the road last week against Southern Miss. But they did not perform well against the only BCS Conference team that they faced in South Carolina, getting blown out in Columbia by a score of 48-10. East Carolina is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against ACC teams. Final Comment UNC is ready for some home cooking after back-to-back losses on the road. ECU will be playing their third straight road game and that will take its toll on them. Look for North Carolina to have a field day with their passing attack and I just cannot see the Pirates being able to trade points with them. North Carolina by 24 |
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09-21-12 | Baylor v. Louisiana-Monroe +8 | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 102 h 36 m | Show | |
1 Unit Play. #82 Take ULM Warhawks over Baylor Bears (Friday 8 pm ESPN) This is the third straight game for the Warhawks against BCS conference teams and they have shown their can hold their own. ULM won at Arkansas and lost in overtime against Auburn. Both of those teams are better that what they will see tonight from Baylor and given that this game is in Monroe, I expect it to go down to the wire. Baylor had to replace RG3 on offense this year along with their top running back (Terrance Ganaway) and their top receive (Kendall Wright). They are 2-0 on the season, but both of those games where in Waco against mid-major programs in Texas (SMU & Sam Houston State). Baylor is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. ULM is 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
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09-19-12 | Kent State v. Buffalo -3 | 23-7 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 37 m | Show | |
1 Unit Play. #2 Take Buffalo Bulls over Kent State Golden Flashes (7 pm ESPN U) Are you ready for some Wednesday night football? Well this game is sort of football, as it features two of the bottom feeder teams in the MAC. Both teams are 1-1 with their victories coming against FCS teams. Buffalo lost to Georgia but did cover the spread in that game by double digits. The Bulls have two strong running backs that are averaging close to six yards per carry and they have won four of the last five meetings in this match-up. Kent State is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Home field will make all the difference in this game, as the Bulls get the straight-up and ATS victory giving us the cash!
Doc |
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09-15-12 | Houston v. UCLA Bruins -17 | 6-37 | Win | 100 | 57 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#94/#176) Take UCLA Bruins over Houston Cougars
(Saturday, 9/15, 10:30 pm PAC-12 Network) UCLA The Bruins appeared to make the right call with the coaching change, as Jim Mora has brought life into this program after it had been essentially dormant for over a decade. The Bruins are coming off an impressive victory against Nebraska last Saturday night and some may feel that this game sets up for a letdown, but I am not in this camp. The Bruins have motivation for this game since they lost to Houston last year and they have not forgotten about that. UCLA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Houston Boy did Coach Kevin Sumlin jump ship at the right time! The Cougars are 0-2 this season, losing both games at home and have already fired their offensive coordinator. Houston still throws the football quite a bit, but that is not as effective against BCS Schools as they have the depth and speed that mid-majors just do not have. The Houston defense was bad last year despite a dynamic offense, and I do not see any improvement in 2012 as they have given up 86 points in two games. Houston is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 nonconference games. Final Thought Coach Jim Mora appears to have turned this team around, as UCLA always has talent but they have yet to play to their potential in recent years. UCLA returns 16 starters from last season, including nine players on defense. Expect them to keep rolling at home against an inferior opponent allowing us to cash in as well! UCLA by 31 |
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09-15-12 | Utah State v. Wisconsin UNDER 51 | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 55 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#88/#164) Take Under in Utah State Aggies @ Wisconsin Badgers
(Saturday, 9/15, 8 pm Big Ten Network) Wisconsin The Badgers seem to be in a free fall and in full panic mode. Through two games they have not been able run the football, and because of this they have fired their offensive line coach. I expect Wisconsin to be determined to run the football, and that sets up a strong play with the under. The Badgers have gone under the posted total in six of their last eight nonconference games. Utah State The Aggies are coming off an emotional victory against Utah last Friday night, and I do not think they will be able to rise up again for this game. Utah State has gone under the posted total 4 straight games, and if they have any chance of staying in this game, they will have to keep their defense off of the field and win the time of possession battle. Final Thought When the schedule was released earlier this season, most people in Wisconsin believed that this would be a cakewalk game and Utah State was just coming for the check. But things have changed and this may be a more competitive game that previously thought. Expect Wisconsin to try and establish the run to justify the coaching change and that will chew up the clock and allow this game to stay under the posted total. Play the Under |
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09-15-12 | Navy +7 v. Penn State | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#51/#107) Take Navy Midshipmen over Penn State Nittany Lions
(Saturday, 9/15, 3:30 pm ABC) Navy Navy has not played a game in the United State this season and has had ample time to recover after playing their first and only game on Sept. 1 in Dublin, Ireland. The Midshipmen did not perform well against Notre Dame, but that was just not a good matchup for them. The Irish were strong in the front seven and weak in the secondary, but Navy does not pass well out of the triple-option attack. I expect them to find many more holes against this Penn State team on Saturday. Navy is 37-17 ATS in their last 54 road games. Penn State Things do not appear to be getting better anytime soon in State College. Penn State is 0-2 on the season and they should have won both of those games. The fact remains that they lost most of their talent via free agency and QB Matt McGloin cannot beat teams through the air. That is Navy |
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09-15-12 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech -9.5 | Top | 20-56 | Win | 100 | 51 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. (#42/#140) Take Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets over Virginia Cavaliers
(Saturday, 9/15, 3:30 pm ESPN U) Top College Game of the Weekend Georgia Tech The Yellow Jackets should be 2-0 on the season but did not make any plays down the stretch against Virginia Tech in their opener and, thus, need to take care of business the rest of the way in order to keep their championship hopes alive. This is always an important game for Al Groh (DC for Georgia Tech), as he was head coach at Virginia for nine seasons. The triple option is always tough to prepare for, especially when their opponent is coming off a hard-fought victory the week before. The Yellow Jackets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of September. Virginia The Cavaliers are 2-0 on the season, but they are lucky to be in this position. Penn State totally outplayed them last week in Charlottesville, but the Nittany Lions missed 4 field goals and an extra point, allowing Virginia to win the game, 17-16. Virginia will have their hands full with this triple option and they did not perform well against it last year, giving up 477 yards on the ground (yet still won the game). Final Thought This is a series that has been dominated by the home team, and I do not see that changing this year. The home team is 14-3ATS, and that stat just cannot be ignored. Expect Georgia Tech to rack up big yardage on the ground and coast to a victory in Atlanta. Georgia Tech by 21 |
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09-15-12 | Eastern Michigan v. Purdue -24 | 16-54 | Win | 100 | 47 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. (#22/#114) Take Purdue Boilermakers over Eastern Michigan Eagles
(Saturday, 9/15, 12 pm Big Ten Network) Purdue This is the best squad that Coach Danny Hope has had during his tenure, and I fully expect them to make some noise in the Leaders Division and challenge Wisconsin for the top spot. Purdue took a good Notre Dame team to the wire last weekend. I do not see a carryover effect this week, as they cannot afford to look past any opponent since they have not been very good the last couple of years. This is the first of four straight home games for Purdue, and I expect them to win at least three of these games. Purdue is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. Eastern Michigan The Eagles have yet to win a game this season and were blown out at home last week by a FCS team in Illinois State. This team has not been to a bowl game since 1987 and it will not be able to end that streak this year. They return a lot of experience on offense but lack quality. The Eagles are 0-46 on the road when playing against BCS conference teams. Eastern Michigan is 11-30 in their last 41 nonconference games. Final Thought In the past Purdue has not played well in their following game after playing the Irish but that tide will turn on Saturday. This is an inferior opponent and we will lay the wood, as EMU moves to 0-47 lifetime against current BCS teams in road games. Purdue by 31 |
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09-14-12 | Washington State v. UNLV +10.5 | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 78 h 12 m | Show | |
1 Unit Play. (#6/#106) Take UNLV Rebels over Washington State Cougars
(Friday, 9/14, 9 pm ESPN) Washington State has a new |
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09-08-12 | Nebraska -5.5 v. UCLA | 30-36 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #91 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over UCLA Bruins
(Saturday, 9/8, 7:30 pm FOX) Nebraska Many people believed that Southern Miss would give Nebraska a good game last Saturday in Lincoln, but that was not the case. The Golden Eagles had to deal with Hurricane Isaac, but, nonetheless, they gave up 600 yards on offense. QB Taylor Martinez worked all offseason on his throwing and the early returns do look promising. The talent is there and this will be the best team Coach Bo Pelini has had. UCLA Look for this Bruins team to be much better this season under new coach Jim Mora. They are coming off an impressive win at Rice and they are secure at the skill positions with QB Kevin Prince and RB Jonathon Franklin. But they have questions on the offensive line with a really young squad. UCLA is just 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games. Final Comment As much as I believe UCLA will improve under their new coach, they are not on the same talent level as Nebraska. I look for the senior-led Cornhusker defense to give the UCLA offense all that they can handle. QB Martinez will need to be sharp this week since he may be without RB Rex Burkhead (listed as questionable), but since Martinez is playing in his home state I expect him to rise to the occasion! Nebraska by 10 |
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09-08-12 | Louisiana-Monroe +30.5 v. Arkansas | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 55 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #17 Take ULM Warhawks over Arkansas Razorbacks
(Saturday, 9/8, 7 pm ESPN U) ULM The Warhawks are certainly no match for the Razorbacks with regards to a straight up victory, but they do return a solid cast. ULM returns 8 starters on defense and a strong quarterback in Kolton Browning. With a big game on deck, the Razorbacks will likely just go through the motions and allow the Warhawks to hang around. Arkansas The Hogs return a lot of talent led by QB Tyler Wilson and RB Dennis Johnson. But they did lose their top two wideouts from last year and that will make life more difficult for QB Wilson. I expect them to challenge in the SEC West, but this will be a game that they have no interest in. Arkansas is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games played during the month of September. Final Thought On paper this is no match, but this game is being played in Little Rock, taking away some of the home-field advantage. With Alabama on deck, the points in this game look very attractive. I do not believe Arkansas will show much in this game and ULM will play their hearts out. Expect an easy cover with the underdog. Arkansas by 20. |
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09-08-12 | Wisconsin v. Oregon State +7.5 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 52 h 36 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #88 Take Oregon State Beavers over Wisconsin Badgers
(Saturday, 9/8, 4 pm FX) Top Big Ten Underdog Oregon State Oregon State has struggled the last couple of years, but expect an improved squad in 2012 for Coach Mike Reily. The Beavers return 15 starters, and that includes two of the best cover corners in the Pac-12. With Jordan Poyer and Rashaad Reynolds, I expect them to being playing a lot of one-on-one coverage on an island, and this will allow the Beavers to stack the line of scrimmage for the strong Wisconsin running attack. When the Beavers went to Madison last year, they were a depleted team with 8 starters out and they had to play 8 true freshman. I see this team getting back to 8 wins and challenging atop the standing in the Pac-12. Wisconsin Wisconsin struggled to put away a FCS opponent last Saturday in Northern Iowa. The Panthers stacked the line of scrimmage and were able to contain the running attack of Wisconsin and not let them get any big plays on the ground. I look for Wisconsin to have more success this week running the football, but this opponent is a much more balanced team. If Wisconsin plays like they did last week, they will lose this game straight up, never mind the point spread. The Badgers have another transfer quarterback in Danny O |
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09-08-12 | Michigan State v. Central Michigan +21 | 41-7 | Loss | -119 | 51 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play.#74 Take Central Michigan Chippewas over Michigan State Spartans
(Saturday, 9/8, 3:30 pm ESPN U) Central Michigan The Chippewas should be a vastly improved team from 2011 as they return 16 starters. Coach Dan Enos was a quarterback at Michigan State, and emotion will have a role in this game. They opened the season with SE Missouri State on 8/30 and, thus, have had extra days to prepare for this contest. They lost last year to Michigan State, 45-7, but that was their third straight road game after they had already lost the first two. The Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Big Ten teams. Michigan State What a brutal beat that was for us last week with Michigan State. They totally dominated the game with Boise State but missed field goals, turnovers, and taking a knee on the two yard line did us in. The Spartans looked dominating on defense, but I still have major questions about their offense and that will become evident playing on the road. Final Comment It is not very often Big Ten teams play true road games against MAC teams, but that will be the case Saturday afternoon in Mt. Pleasant. I look for Central Michigan to ride the high emotion for 60 minutes. This is not a good spot for Michigan State, as they have Notre Dame on deck and are coming off a big game against Boise State. It is a sandwich game and they will face a team that gives it their all! Michigan State by 10 |
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09-08-12 | Central Florida +18.5 v. Ohio State | 16-31 | Win | 100 | 48 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play.#45 UCF Knights over Ohio State Buckeyes
(Saturday, 9/8, 12 pm ESPN 2) UCF This team could be a big surprise in 2012. The Knights went 5-7 last year, but six of those losses came by a touchdown or less. UCF returns 16 starters, and that experienced showed last week in their dominating victory against Akron. The Knights are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 September games. Ohio State No question that this team has talent and a great coach in Urban Meyer. I believe that this team could be the best in the Big Ten and they have the most dynamic quarterback in the conference in Braxton Miller (yes, he is better than Denard Robinson). But they are not facing a pushover in this game and Ohio State has struggled with prosperity of late, going 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up victory in their previous outing. Final Comment It is always difficult to play in the Horseshoe, but we do not expect a victory by the Knights, just a cover. I do not expect the Buckeyes to take this game lightly; however, I firmly believe that the Knights have the talent to exchange blows. You can be sure that Coach George O |
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09-07-12 | Utah -7 v. Utah State | 20-27 | Loss | -111 | 77 h 27 m | Show | |
1 Unit Play. #5 Take Utah Utes over Utah State Aggies (Friday 8 pm ESPN 2) This battle of Utah has been dominated by the visitor of late and tonight will be no different. Utah has won 12 straight games against Utah State and the average margin of victory is 24 points per game. The Utes take great pride in beating their in-state opponents evident by the fact they went into Provo last year and beat BYU 54-10. Both teams are coming off blowout victories in their last game, but Utah has PAC-12 talent and Utah State has WAC talent. Utah is 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games coming off a 40+ point performance in their last game. The Aggies have not handled prosperity well going 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win in their previous game.
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09-06-12 | Pittsburgh v. Cincinnati -3.5 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 53 h 16 m | Show | |
1 Unit Play. #4 Take Cincinnati Bearcats over Pittsburgh Panthers (Thursday 8 pm ESPN) The Panthers are coming off an embarrassing performance against Youngstown State last Saturday and I do not see things getting any better tonight in Cincinnati. The Panthers have a completely different coaching staff and they have to replace most of their talent on defense from 2011. They return a lot of starters on offense, but quality is another thing, as I just do not have any confidence in Tino Sunseri. New coach Paul Chryst is a great offense mind when he has a quarterback, but he does not and thus Cincinnati will beat Pittsburgh for the second consecutive season. Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 Thursday night games. Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. Take the chalk at home tonight.
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09-03-12 | Georgia Tech +7.5 v. Virginia Tech | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 125 h 13 m | Show | |
1 Unit Play. #216 Take Georgia Tech over Virginia Tech (Monday 8 pm ESPN) The battle of the institutes of technology takes place tonight in Blacksburg, VA. The Hokies have lost their first game in three of the last four seasons and this is just too many points to be laying in the opinion of this writer. The Hokies return just three starters on offense and scoring points has always been the main issue for this program. Georgia Tech dominated the meeting last year in Atlanta for 53 minutes before suffering a letdown at the end of the game. They will be determined to finish off the game in 2012 and not let Virginia Tech beat them for a third straight season. Georgia Tech is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 September games. Virginia Tech is 0-5 ATS (1 push) in their last six games at Lane Stadium.
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09-02-12 | SMU v. Baylor OVER 58 | 24-59 | Win | 100 | 100 h 52 m | Show | |
1 Unit Play. #214 Take Over in SMU Mustangs at Baylor Bears (Sunday 6:30 pm FSN) Life after RG3 will start this Sunday night in Waco for the Baylor Bears. Both teams like to throw the football and the running game is just an afterthought, so I fully expect a high scoring game and we will not worry if Baylor can cover this double digit number and just collect with the over. Baylor has gone over the posted total in 20 of their last 27 home games. June Jones appeared to be off to Arizona State, but the Alumni (myself included) backlash from Tempe kept him at SMU for at least one more year. Expect his offense to take it out on a suspect Baylor defense. This will likely be a 4 hour game that is over the posted total early in the 4th quarter allowing us to sit back and enjoy the rest of the game!
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09-01-12 | Michigan +14 v. Alabama | 14-41 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #69 Take Michigan Wolverines over Alabama Crimson Tide (Saturday 8 pm ABC)
This is the marquee game of the weekend. And in this writer |
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09-01-12 | Nevada v. California -11 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #68 Take California Golden Bears over Nevada Wolf Pack
(Saturday, 9/1, 3 pm PAC-12 Network) California The Golden Bears were a very productive offensive unit in 2011 and I expect even better results in 2012. Senior QB Zach Maynard returns along with numerous playmakers at the skill positions. On defense their linebackers are a concern with a couple of injuries plaguing that unit, but the back-ups have talent as well. I really feel this will be the surprise team in the conference, as Cal has the ability to get back to the top of the standings. Nevada I certainly cannot say that this team will not challenge for a Mountain West Championship. But they are not playing a MWC team on Saturday and their defense is a real concern. I feel they will have trouble stopping this high-powered California offense. Nevada has not performed well in road openers, going 1-15 in their last 16. Final Comment This will be a game very few people will be able to watch since it is on the PAC-12 Network, but the Bears are excited for this game, as they return home to their on-campus stadium. This is a tough place for the visitor to play. The Bears have a brutal schedule ahead and I look for Coach Tedford to take this game seriously. Cal is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when they are favored by 10.5 or more points. In a high scoring game, I side with the home team. California by 20! |
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09-01-12 | Ohio v. Penn State UNDER 44.5 | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 70 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #84 Take Under in Ohio Bobcats @ Penn State Nittany Lions
(Saturday, 9/1, 12 pm ESPN) Penn State The Bill O |
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09-01-12 | Notre Dame -15 v. Navy | 50-10 | Win | 100 | 91 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #157 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Navy Midshipman (Saturday 9 pm CBS)
This game is an early start on the opening Saturday of the college football season and it will kick off in Dublin, Ireland. I really think it is going to be a great game for the Irish |
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08-31-12 | Boise State v. Michigan State -6.5 | Top | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #52 Take Michigan State Spartans over Boise State Broncos (Friday 8 pm ESPN)
On paper this is one of the biggest games of the weekend. These are two great programs but a deeper look into these team, I see uncertainty on both sides because each of them is trying to replace experienced senior starters at quarterback. I give Michigan State the edge here. They have eight starters back on a defense that finished No. 5 in the country in yards allowed and No. 10 in the country in scoring last year. That gives Sparty a big advantage, especially in an opening game like this where Boise State is still trying to figure things out. Michigan State really might have the best group of linebackers in the country and they should control this game. The Spartans have been shafted the last two years with regards to receiving a berth in a BSC Bowl and they will take out their frustration in this game. Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Boise State really is a great program. Chris Peterson has done an amazing job. But the Broncos only have about five starters back from last year |
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08-30-12 | UMass v. Connecticut -24.5 | 0-37 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show | |
1 Unit Play. #16 Take Connecticut over Massachusetts (Thursday 7:30 pm SNY) UMASS is in FBS Football as a transitional member and their New England rival will welcome them into the action with a beating behind the woodshed. UCONN is eager to put the 2011 5-7 season behind them and get back to atop the standing in a watered down Big East Conference. With West Virginia gone, the BCS Bid is wide open and I expect the Huskies to make a statement in this game. Connecticut is 21-9 in their last 30 home games.
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01-09-12 | Alabama v. LSU +1 | 21-0 | Loss | -101 | 124 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #270 Take LSU Tigers over Alabama Crimson Tide (BCS Championship Game Monday 8:30 pm ESPN)
This is the rematch very few people outside the southeast wanted, but they are the two best teams in college football and it should be an outstanding game. We will side with LSU, as they have the advantage of playing this game in New Orleans. LSU has the better athlete at quarterback in Jordan Jefferson, as he has the ability to beat you with his arm or his legs. I believe that he will be the difference, as both teams have a strong defense and it will be very tough to run the football on either of these teams. Things will be a lot less complicated if LSU wins this game, as an Alabama victory would lead some to believe that LSU or Oklahoma State should share the title by winning the AP poll. LSU is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Expect another low scoring game but LSU will beat Alabama for a second time with this one coming in more convincing fashion. LSU by 8 |
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01-03-12 | Michigan v. Virginia Tech +3 | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 152 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #260 Take Virginia Tech Hokies over Michigan Wolverines (Sugar Bowl, Tuesday, January 3rd, 8:30 pm ESPN)
Virginia Tech was not given much credit this season for going 11-2 and everybody has been on Michigan thinking that they will blow them out in this game. Michigan still does not have a quarterback that can beat you with his arm and I expect the Hokies defense to key on Denard Robinson running the football. Virginia Tech has just two losses on the season and both came against Clemson. Michigan had a favorable schedule with their first five games coming at home and they really have not beaten anybody impressive away from Ann Arbor. They looked terrible against an average Iowa team and expect them to struggle moving the football tonight in New Orleans. Michigan is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0. Virginia Tech is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog. Virginia Tech by 4 |
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01-02-12 | Wisconsin v. Oregon UNDER 72 | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #256 Take Under in Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon Ducks (Rose Bowl, Monday, January 2nd, 5 pm ESPN)
The Grand Daddy of them all features the last two Rose Bowl teams, as Oregon and Wisconsin do battle. Oregon has an explosive offense and is based on speed and Wisconsin has a strong running game that is based on power. We expect the Badgers to control the pace of play and that will set up a strong play with the under since the total is in the seventies. The last two bowl games for the Ducks have been low scoring, as just 45 points were scored in the 2009 Rose Bowl and 41 points were scored in the 2010 BCS Championship Game. I believe that Auburn game last year is a great indication of how this game will go. Everyone thought the title game would a shootout last year, but the time off seems to disrupt the rhythm of the offenses. The Badgers have gone under in their last 4 January bowl games. The Ducks have gone under in their last 4 January bowl games. |
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01-02-12 | Wisconsin +6.5 v. Oregon | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 174 h 12 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #255 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Oregon Ducks (Rose Bowl, Monday, January 2nd, 5 pm ESPN) Bowl Game of the Year.
It is hard to imagine either defense stopping either offense but we will take the points in what will likely be a high scoring shootout. Wisconsin has a dominating offensive line and this is something Oregon does not see on the west coast. The Badgers have won their last three Rose Bowl against PAC-12 opponents and they were underdogs in two of those games as well. Wisconsin has a strong identity of ground and pound and this will eventually wear down the Ducks come the second half. Oregon has a strong face-paced offense that will be able to move the football on this suspect Wisconsin defense; however, the Badgers do have a strong front four that should be able to put some pressure on Darron Thomas. Oregon has not won a Rose Bowl since 1917 and they are just not a good match-up against a traditional Big Ten team. A suspect Ohio State team beat them in the 2010 game holding them to just 17 points and I felt that offensive was more explosive than this year |
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01-02-12 | Michigan State v. Georgia UNDER 50 | 33-30 | Loss | -101 | 120 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #250 Take Under in Michigan State Spartans vs. Georgia Bulldogs (Outback Bowl, Monday, January 2nd, 1 pm ABC)
This is a very intriguing match-up, as both teams lost out on a chance to earn a BCS Bowl bid by losing their conference championship and now have to settle for a Florida Bowl Game. This is the second straight year that the Spartans just missed a BCS Bowl and they laid an egg last year against Alabama scoring just 7 points. It would not surprise me if history repeats itself, as they are going up against another SEC team that has a good defense. But Georgia does not have a strong offense to threaten Michigan State and thus I expect a low scoring game that goes down to the wire. Georgia has went under the posted total in 4 straight bowl games. |
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12-31-11 | Cincinnati v. Vanderbilt -1.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -106 | 125 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #244 Take Vanderbilt Commodores over Cincinnati Bearcats (Liberty Bowl, Saturday, December 31st, 3:30 pm ABC)
The Big East cannot even compare to the SEC and thus we will side with the team coming from the better conference. Vanderbilt played pretty good football during their last six games, as their three wins were all blowouts and they went right down to the wire in their three losses against Florida, Arkansas, and Tennessee. Cincinnati was blown out this year by Tennessee and Vanderbilt has the defense that can slow down this Bearcat offense. Vanderbilt is tied for 19th in the FBS, giving up 324.6 yards per game, and is 27th in points allowed at 20.8 per game. The Bearcats have been blown out in their last 2 bowl games and they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. Vanderbilt is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. A team with a 6-6 record being favored over a team that is 9-3 should give you the indication that we indeed are on the right side. Vanderbilt keeps the SEC dominance rolling. Vanderbilt by 13 |
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12-31-11 | Texas A&M v. Northwestern +10 | Top | 33-22 | Loss | -107 | 121 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #238 Take Northwestern Wildcats over Texas A & M Aggies (MEINEKE CAR CARE BOWL Saturday, December 31st, 12 pm ESPN) Big Ten Game of the Year.
Both teams underachieved this season and it ended up costs Coach Mike Sherman his job. Northwestern struggled with injuries all season long with QB Dan Persa but he is now healthy and I fully expect him to pick apart this weak A & M defense that allows 29 points per game. Coach Pat Fitzgerald knows who important this game is for his Wildcats, as they have not won a bowl game since 1949. This is the fourth straight year Northwestern has qualified for a bowl game and the last three have been nail bitters, losing two of them in overtime and lost by just 7 points last year. They have played much better teams in those games (Missouri, Auburn, and Texas Tech) than what they will get today from the Aggies. Also expect QB Persa to be hungry as he missed the bowl game last year (Achilles' injury). Texas A & M has talent, but they were never able to put it together this season and I do not expect them to be able to figure it out with an interim coach and a staff that will be looking for new jobs come next season. They are also banged up on offense with the loss of Christine Michael (torn ACL) Cyrus Gray (shoulder |
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12-30-11 | Wake Forest v. Mississippi State -6.5 | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #234 Take Mississippi State Bulldogs over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Music City Bowl, Friday, December 30th, 6:30 pm)
The Bulldogs come from the best conference and I expect them to make short work of the Demon Deacons today in Nashville, TN. The Bulldogs are a better team than what their record would indicate, but playing in the SEC West is brutal it that side of the conference featured the two best teams in the country. Mississippi State has won their last 4 bowl games including a dominating performance against Michigan last year in the Gator Bowl, 52-14. The Bulldogs allow just 20 points per game compared to the Demon Deacons, as they allow 28 points per game. Wake Forest is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bulldogs behind Vick Ballard win their 5th straight bowl game and it comes in convincing fashion. Mississippi State by 14 |
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12-29-11 | Notre Dame v. Florida State OVER 46 | 14-18 | Loss | -102 | 79 h 42 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #226 Take Over in Norte Dame Fighting Irish vs. Florida State Seminoles (Champs Sports Bowl, Thursday, December 29th, 5:30 pm ESPN) Top Over/Under Play.
Notre Dame is always a strong over play since they put the ball in the air on most offensive plays and it should be no different on Thursday against the Seminoles. The Irish put up 33 points last year against Miami and if they do that in this game this will go way over the posted total since Notre Dame does not play much defense. Florida State averages 32 points per game and they feature a strong quarterback in EJ Manuel that can beat you with his arm or his legs. Notre Dame has gone over the posted total in their last 5 December games. Florida State has gone over the posted total in 5 of their last 6 December games. This should be a game that goes down to the wire and we will not worry about who comes out on top and just collect with the OVER. |
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12-27-11 | Louisville v. North Carolina State -2 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 174 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #4 Take North Carolina State Wolfpack over Louisville Cardinals (Belk Bowl Tuesday, December 27th 8 pm ESPN) Magnificent 7 Game.
NC State has been a hard to figure out this season but the ACC is a much better conference than the Big East and the Wolfpack should have an edge in fans since this game is being played in Charlotte. NC State started off the season 2-3 and Coach O |
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12-17-11 | Louisiana-Lafayette v. San Diego State OVER 58 | 32-30 | Win | 100 | 103 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #10 Take Over in UL-Lafayette vs. San Diego State (New Orleans Bowl
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12-03-11 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin UNDER 54.5 | 39-42 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #44 Take Under in Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 8 pm Fox)
It is the rematch that everyone in the Midwest wanted, as the two best teams will square off in the inaugural Big Ten Championship Game in Indianapolis, IN. Michigan State beat Wisconsin in the first game on a hail mary pass with no time remaining on the clock. Despite that game, Wisconsin comes into this game as a huge favorite and I just do not see how they will blow out this Spartan team. The Badgers defense is still very shaky and Michigan State has great balance with a strong and accurate quarterback in Kirk Cousins. Michigan State has not been to the Rose Bowl since 1988 and would be a remarkable accomplishment if they can achieve this. Wisconsin is loaded on offense, but Michigan State has a strong defense and they will be able to keep the Badgers in the twenties. Remember, Bill Gholston was suspended and did not play in the first game. Michigan State is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Big Ten games. This will be lower scoring than what the experts believe and go right down to the wire. Wisconsin by 3 |
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12-03-11 | Michigan State +10 v. Wisconsin | 39-42 | Win | 100 | 102 h 44 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #44 Take Michigan State Spartans over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 8 pm Fox)
It is the rematch that everyone in the Midwest wanted, as the two best teams will square off in the inaugural Big Ten Championship Game in Indianapolis, IN. Michigan State beat Wisconsin in the first game on a hail mary pass with no time remaining on the clock. Despite that game, Wisconsin comes into this game as a huge favorite and I just do not see how they will blow out this Spartan team. The Badgers defense is still very shaky and Michigan State has great balance with a strong and accurate quarterback in Kirk Cousins. Michigan State has not been to the Rose Bowl since 1988 and would be a remarkable accomplishment if they can achieve this. Wisconsin is loaded on offense, but Michigan State has a strong defense and they will be able to keep the Badgers in the twenties. Remember, Bill Gholston was suspended and did not play in the first game. Michigan State is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Big Ten games. This will be lower scoring than what the experts believe and go right down to the wire. Wisconsin by 3 |
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12-03-11 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 10-44 | Win | 102 | 101 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over Oklahoma Sooners (Saturday 8 pm ABC)
With no Big 12 Title Game this season, this is the winner take all game with the victory getting a BCS Bid and the loser getting a lesser bowl bid. Neither team has played well down the stretch, but the Pokes have had over two weeks to prepare for this game since their loss to Iowa State on November 18th. The Sooners are still without their playmaking WR Ryan Broyles and this is a major loss and it will show its face in this game. Both teams have dynamic offenses, but I trust the experience of Brandon Weeden more than I do Landry Jones. He has thrown 34 touchdowns on the season and expect him to put on a show against a shaky Sooner defense in this Bedlam match-up. The home team has been the play in recent match-up in Bedlam covering 9 of the last 13 match-ups (1 push). The Pokes have covered 17 of their last 22 games. Oklahoma State by 10 |
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12-03-11 | Georgia +14 v. LSU | 10-42 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #39 Take Georgia Bulldogs over LSU Tigers (Saturday 4 pm CBS)
The Tigers are in a bad predicament, as they have to play an extra game to reach the BCS Title Game whereas Alabama gets to rest up and is all but a lock to make the game as well. This will not be a walk in the park for the Tigers, as they have to face a Georgia team that has won ten straight games in their home state. This year Coach Mark Richt was squarely on the hot seat and appeared to be out the door before yet turned it around yet again. I truly believe Georgia has an equal if not better offense than does LSU and getting this many points is too good to pass up. The Tigers have an outstanding defense and it is imperative that the Dawgs do not give LSU a short field with costly turnovers or penalties. If they do not, the Dawgs will make a game of them and take it down to the wire. Georgia is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. LSU by 4 |
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12-03-11 | Iowa State +11 v. Kansas State | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 47 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #9 Take Iowa State Cyclones +11 over Kansas State Wildcats (Saturday 12:30 pm FSN)
The Wildcats are certainly not the 11th best team in the country, but they have played well under Bill Snyder but they are not good enough to be laying double digits against a conference foe. Another rebuilding project has occurred in Ames, as the Cyclones are now bowl eligible and have won three of their last four games including handing Oklahoma State their only loss on the season. Iowa State leads the series 49-41 (4 ties) and I see this game going down to the wire as well. In their nine victories these season, Kansas State has only covered this big of a number two times and both came against terrible teams (Kansas & Kent State). Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Kansas State is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 December games. Kansas State wins, but it comes in a battle for sixty minutes. Kansas State by 3 |
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11-26-11 | Purdue -7 v. Indiana | 33-25 | Win | 100 | 96 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #37 Take Purdue Boilermakers over Indiana Hoosiers (Sunday 3:30 pm Big Ten Network)
I must admit that this game is more about going against Purdue than it is going with Purdue, as the Hoosiers are by far and away the worst team in the Big Ten. The Hoosiers have just one victory on the season and that came against a non-division FBS team and they have not been in a competitive game since 10/1/2011. If Purdue wants to reach a third tier bowl game this season, this is a must win game for them and this team seems to bounce back well from adversity. Purdue has won 7 of the last 9 meetings between these two rivals. Purdue is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Indiana is 1-5 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Indiana will give it all that they have in this game, but they will eventually be worn down and lose by double digits. Purdue by 17 |
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11-26-11 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -14.5 | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 96 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #48 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN)
I must admit I did not believe that the Nittany Lions could win at Ohio State last week, but I would be shocked if they are able to win in Madison. The Badgers are the best team in the Big Ten and despite two road setbacks, they have everything in front of them. Two wins in the next two weeks will give them a chance to return to the Rose Bowl. Expect them to pound the Nittany Lions this week and set up a much anticipated rematch with Michigan State in the Big Ten Title Game next Saturday in Indianapolis, IN. To be frank, Penn State has one of the worst offensives in the country and did not score any points in the second half last week against Ohio State. That will not get the job done this Saturday, as the Badgers have a dominating offense that can beat you on the ground or in the air. The Badgers have always risen to the occasion on Senior Day, going 14-4 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 18 home finales. QB Russell Wilson will pick apart this Lion defense and I do not see Penn State being able to score double digits on Wisconsin in Madison. Penn State is 2-8 ATS ( 1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Wisconsin is 15-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 home games. Wisconsin by 28 |
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11-26-11 | Illinois v. Minnesota +10.5 | 7-27 | Win | 100 | 97 h 31 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #90 Take Minnesota Golden Gophers over Illinois Fighting Illini (Saturday 3:30 pm Big Ten Network)
This is just a classic case of bad teams meeting and heading in opposite directions. The Gophers continue to play hard for Coach Jerry Kill and the Illinois have given up on Ron Zook, who will likely be fired early next week. Minnesota had played well against Illinois of late winning 5 of the last 7 meetings. It is hard to say many good things about either team, but playing in Minneapolis will give the Gopher the edge to not only cover this game but win it straight-up. Illinois cannot handle prosperity, as they are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with a losing record. The Gophers are 8-0 in their last 8 November games. Minnesota by 1 |
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11-26-11 | Michigan State v. Northwestern +7 | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #40 Take Northwestern Wildcats over Michigan State Spartans (Saturday 12 pm Big Ten Network)
In essence this is a meaningless game for Michigan State, as they have already clinched the Big Ten Legends Division and they will likely be looking ahead to their rematch next week against Wisconsin. Michigan State will need to win the Big Ten Championship in order to go to a BCS Bowl and it would not surprise me if they get all that they can handle for Northwestern in this affair. Northwestern seems to falter as a favorite but thrive as an underdog and will enter this game having won four straight games. QB Den Persa had the turnover bug early in the season but he has played much better of late throwing 9 touchdowns during this four game winning streak. Northwestern is 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. This is a classic look ahead spot for Michigan State and they will get all that they can handle and more from Northwestern. The Wildcats improve their Bowl by beating Michigan State straight-up and we collect big in the process as well. Northwestern by 1 |
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11-26-11 | Ohio State v. Michigan -7.5 | Top | 34-40 | Loss | -105 | 93 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #76 Take Michigan Wolverines over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 12 pm ABC)
The Buckeyes have dominated this series in recent years, but coaching changes at both schools lead me to believe that Michigan is the play this weekend. The Buckeyes are coming off two bad losses in consecutive weeks to Purdue and Penn State and they must win this game to avoid a .500 record on the season. They will likely make a coaching change at the end of the season and they will have to rebuild with a new identity, as without the vest as head coach, they team has lost its identity. Giving up 46 points the last two weeks to Purdue and Penn State would not give you confidence when having to face Denard Robinson and the high powered Wolverine offense. Michigan dominated Nebraska last week for 60 minutes and it would not surprise me if this final score was similar to the game last week. Michigan is coming off two straight impressive victories (Illinois & Nebraska) and they have a lot of play for in this game, as a victory will all but assure them a BCS bid. Coach Brady Hoke has given this team confidence and expect them to put on a show and pound Ohio State. Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at the Big House. This is a celebration of the revival of Michigan and we will collect big in the process as well! Michigan by 21 |
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11-25-11 | Arkansas +13 v. LSU | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #13 Take Arkansas Razorbacks over LSU Tigers (Friday 2:30 pm CBS)
LSU is clearly the best team in the land, but I am still not sold on their offense and fell that Coach Bobby Petrino will have a great game plan to attach this vaunted Tiger defense. The Razorbacks have stayed under the radar because of the success of LSU & Alabama, but they have won seven straight games. This includes blowout victories against South Carolina and Mississippi State. QB Tyler Wilson has 21 touchdown passes against only 5 interceptions and he will be able to move the football on this LSU defense. LSU is just 5-17 ATS (1 push) in their last 23 SEC games as a home favorite. Arkansas is 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games. LSU remains undefeated and moves onto the SEC Championship Game in Atlanta next Sunday, but it comes much closer than what the experts believe. LSU by 8 |
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11-25-11 | Iowa +9.5 v. Nebraska | 7-20 | Loss | -105 | 69 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #11 Take Iowa Hawkeyes over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Friday 12 pm ABC)
Iowa has been playing better of late winning two of their last three games and they have the more stable quarterback in James Vanderberg. Nebraska laid an egg in their last game against Michigan, losing by 28 points and they cannot wait for this season to end. The Cornhuskers lost their chance to play in the Big 10 Championship and they will now be delegated to a second class bowl game come January. QB Taylor Martinez just do not scare any teams with his arm and they focus on his running ability and expect Iowa to employ this strategy successfully. Iowa is 12-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games as an underdog. Nebraska is 3-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games as a home favorite. Getting this many points with two evenly matched teams is just too good to pass up. Expect Nebraska to struggle in this contest and only win by a field goal. Nebraska by 3 |
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11-19-11 | Penn State v. Ohio State UNDER 39.5 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 96 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #50 Take Under in Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC)
The Nittany Lions will have much less interest this week when they take on Ohio State at the Horseshoe. Penn State has been a cash cow all season long with the under and we will use them for a second straight week after an easy collect last week with the under. The fact is that Penn State does not have a good quarterback and team just stack the line and make them beat you through the air. This is something Matt McGloin is just not able to do on a consistent basis. The Lions are 87th in the country in passing yards averaging under 200 yards per game and most of their success came against Indiana State and Eastern Michigan. The Buckeyes are a slightly better version of Penn State, but still rely on their defense for success. QB Braxton Miller has played well at times, but he is young and prone to mistakes especially when facing a good defense. Penn State has a strong defense and assuming turnovers do not give up easy points, this game will stay way under the posted total. Penn State has gone under in 8 of their last 10 games (1 push). Ohio State has gone under in 6 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. We will not worry if Ohio State can cover this number and just collect with the spread. |
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11-19-11 | Penn State v. Ohio State -6.5 | 20-14 | Loss | -113 | 75 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #50 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC)
The Nittany Lions will have much less interest this week when they take on Ohio State at the Horseshoe. Penn State has been a cash cow all season long with the under and we will use them for a second straight week after an easy collect last week with the under. The fact is that Penn State does not have a good quarterback and team just stack the line and make them beat you through the air. This is something Matt McGloin is just not able to do on a consistent basis. The Lions are 87th in the country in passing yards averaging under 200 yards per game and most of their success came against Indiana State and Eastern Michigan. The Buckeyes are a slightly better version of Penn State and thus we will lay the points with them as well in this game. That being said, they still rely on their defense for success. QB Braxton Miller has played well at times and he has the ability to beat you with his arm or his legs. Penn State has a strong defense and assuming turnovers do not give up easy points, this game will stay way under the posted total. Penn State has gone under in 8 of their last 10 games (1 push). Ohio State has gone under in 6 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Ohio State by 14 |
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11-19-11 | Iowa v. Purdue +3 | 31-21 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #26 Take Purdue Boilermakers over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 12 pm Big Ten Network)
This line really surprises me and I cannot understand how Iowa can be favored at Purdue, let alone close to a field goal. Iowa is 0-3 on the road this season and I fully expect them to close out 0-5 on the road, as they will lose this game and face Nebraska next week in Lincoln. To make matters worse, all three of their road games were against winnable teams (Iowa State, Minnesota, & Penn State) and out of this group only Penn State will have enough wins to qualify for a bowl game. Purdue is coming off their best win of the season as they beat Ohio State and never trailed in that game. They are starting to get healthy and this team needs to win just one of their last two games to qualify for a bowl game. The home team has won 9 of the last 10 games in this series (7-3 ATS). Iowa is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Purdue has covered 4 of their last 5 games in West Lafayette. Iowa does not have the recruits as in year |
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11-19-11 | Nebraska v. Michigan -3.5 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 71 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #48 Take Michigan Wolverines over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Saturday 12 pm ESPN)
When comparing the quarterbacks of both teams, both of them are run first, but I believe that Michigan gives Denard Robinson a much better chance for success than Nebraska gives Taylor Martinez. The Wolverines defense is poor, but if Nebraska can only score 25 points against Northwestern (last 7 points came when the game was already decided), I expect Michigan to be able to contain them as well. The Cornhuskers will be shell-shocked after playing Penn State last week. Penn State has a terrible offense and Nebraska was able to just focus on the run. That will not be the case this afternoon at the Big House, as Michigan will light up the scoreboard and cruise to a victory. Nebraska is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played during November. Michigan is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played at Michigan Stadium. Michigan keeps the pressure on the Nebraska defense for 60 minutes and pulsl away late to earn the victory. Michigan by 13 |
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11-19-11 | Wisconsin v. Illinois +15 | Top | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 41 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #20 Take Illinois Fighting Illini over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2)
The Badgers are the best team in the Big Ten, but Illinois has a lot of talent and this is just too many points to be laying in Champaign. The home team has won three straight in this series and the Illini beat the Badgers the last time in Champaign when Wisconsin was ranked No. 5 in the country. The Illini have a strong defense and Wisconsin will not be able to run all over them similar to what they did last week against Minnesota. This is also the second straight road game for Wisconsin and that usually catches up with teams that have to cover a big number. The Badgers are strong on offense but their defense is questionable and their special teams are awful. Last week UW allowed a fake field goal and a kickoff return for touchdowns and this unit has been dreadful throughout the Big Ten portion of the season. Illinois is coming off a poor performance against Michigan, but that is the only game that they have not been in this season and I expect them to bounce back in a big way today. Wisconsin is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games when they are a favorite of 10.5 points or more. Illinois is 9-1 in their last 10 games when they are an underdog. Certain teams do not handle prosperity well and expect Illinois to thrive in the underdog role and keep this one close for sixty minutes. Wisconsin by 6 |
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11-18-11 | Toledo -14 v. Central Michigan | 44-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
1-Unit Play. Take #315 Toledo over Central Michigan (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 18) Central Michigan is just 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games and they are not the team that we have seen them be over the last few years. CMU was blown out by Ohio last week and will be playing this game without several key pieces on the offensive and defensive lines. Toledo needs this game to keep pace with Northern Illinois in the MAC West and they won't hold back. They have several players that are capable of big plays on offense and if they get out in front early they could run away with it. The Rockets are 13-5 ATS after failing to cover a spread and they are 4-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite. The Chippewas are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games and just 2-6 ATS at home. The public has been slow to adjust to CMU but this is a big spot for Toledo and we'll stay out in front with this one.
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11-12-11 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +17.5 | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 100 h 49 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. #42 Take Mississippi State Bulldogs over Alabama Crimson Tide (Saturday 7:45 pm ESPN)
The Tide will not be up for this game, as they suffered an emotional loss to LSU last week and in essence saw their national championship hopes comes to an end. Alabama will not get a rematch against LSU in the BCS Championship Game and if history is any indication, it would not surprise me if they lose once more this season. Remember after LSU lost to Florida in the 2008 SEC Championship Game, they laid an egg in the Sugar Bowl against Utah and I feel a similar situation will occur this week in Starkville. Alabama is just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss. Alabama has a strong defense, but their quarterback does not threaten anybody. It will be very important for Mississippi State to stop the run in this game and not let Trent Richardson beat them and instead make AJ McCarron beat them with his arm. The Bulldogs do not have a bad loss on the season and they will enter this game having won two straight games with both of them coming by double-digits. Mississippi State is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games Davis Wade Stadium against teams with a winning road record. Alabama just goes through the motions and is satisfied with a 10-point victory. Alabama by 10 |
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11-12-11 | Wisconsin -27 v. Minnesota | 42-13 | Win | 100 | 96 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #93 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (Saturday 3:30 pm Big Ten Network)
Despite having two losses on the season, Wisconsin is the only good team in the Big Ten and it would not surprise me if the Badgers win out and possibly make it back to the Rose Bowl in January 2nd, 2012. Wisconsin has a high powered offense and a coach that is not afraid to run it up and this we will lay the wood with them on Saturday afternoon at TCF Bank Stadium. Minnesota is going through growing pains and did not show life lately beating Iowa and hanging around with Michigan State. But they are simply overmatched in this game and I expect Wisconsin to dominate for 60 minutes and win this game by 35-40 points. Wisconsin has dominated this series of late winning seven straight meetings. Wisconsin is averaging 47 points per game in 2011 and this I do not mind laying this many points on the road. Wisconsin has covered 9 of their last 11 Big Ten games. Minnesota is 4-9 ATS in their 13 home games. Bucky pounds Minny to keep the AX with an impressive victory. Wisconsin by 38 |
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11-12-11 | Ohio State v. Purdue +7.5 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 92 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #26 Take Purdue Boilermakers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 12 pm Big Ten Network)
If you take out Wisconsin, the Big Ten is pretty evenly matched and this I just cannot justify over a touchdown with any of these teams playing on the road. Despite this teams being on opposite sides of the Big Ten Standing over the last decade, Purdue has had success against Ohio State, covering 2 of the last 3 meetings including a straight-up victory in 2009 at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, IN. Purdue has also won 2 of the last 3 meetings in West Lafayette, IN. The Buckeyes have played better since they return on Dan Herron but they just do not have an explosive offense that can move the football and score at will on Big Ten teams. Purdue got their bell rung last week against an angry Wisconsin team, but they will find it much easier to contain Ohio State this week. Ohio State struggled to put away a terrible Indiana team last week, as that game was with under a minute remaining in the third quarter. Purdue has covered 16 of their 24 games (1 push) played during the month of November. Ohio State just does not have the same magic without Coach Tressel and they suffer a setback on Saturday. This is a must win game if Purdue has visions of going bowling in 2011 and they get it in a big way! Purdue by 3 |
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11-12-11 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 43 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 92 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #74 Take Under in Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 12 pm ESPN)
As of this writing the Penn State scandal is still up in the air and thus we will not chose a side in this game and instead focus on the total. Assuming the three quarterbacks do not give up direct points to the opposing defense with turnovers, this game should stay way below the posted total. If you watched Penn State |
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11-12-11 | Michigan State -2.5 v. Iowa | Top | 37-21 | Win | 100 | 92 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #19 Take Michigan State Spartans over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2)
For the second straight week, we will fade the Hawkeyes in Iowa City as our top play in college football. Last week did not turn out well, but Michigan State is a much better all-around team than Michigan is. Michigan State has a strong defense that can shut down this questionable Iowa offense. The Spartans will have revenge on their minds, as Iowa handed them their only loss of the season last year and knocked them out of the Rose Bowl. Last week Michigan was halted by an injury to Denard Robinson and despite that nearly mounted a comeback and could have tied the game, but two touchdowns were overturned on the last drive. Iowa was not afraid of the Michigan passing game but that will not be the case this Saturday. Michigan State QB Kirk Cousins is one of the best passing quarterback in the conference and I expect him to pick apart this Iowa defense. Michigan State is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Iowa is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games coming off a victory. This will be the first good team Iowa will play at home this season and it will also be Iowa |
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11-10-11 | Virginia Tech v. Georgia Tech +1 | 37-26 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 6 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #10 Take Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets over Virginia Tech Hokies (Thursday 8 pm ESPN)
A critical match-up in the ACC, as the winner will have the edge in making the ACC Title Game. The Jackets got back on track by beating Clemson in their last game and will enter this game with rest having not played since 10/29. Georgia Tech has covered the last three meetings in this series and should be able to overpower the Hokies defense with a strong running attack. The Hokies have been padding their record of late by beating bottom feeder teams from the ACC (Duke, Wake Forest, Boston College) and are not ready for the physical Yellow Jackets. Virginia Tech has covered just 1 of their last 8 games overall. Georgia Tech has covered 4 of their last 5 games at Bobby Dodd Stadium. The Georgia Institute of Technology prevails in this match-up taking control of the ACC Coastal Division. Georgia Tech by 9 |
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11-06-11 | Utah State v. Hawaii -3 | 35-31 | Loss | -115 | 106 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #104 Take Hawaii Warriors over Utah State Aggies (Saturday 11:59 pm ESPN 3)
I must admit that I believe this line is way off the mark, as the Warriors are always a tough team to beat on the Island. Hawaii has won four of the last five games and three of those victories came by double digits. Utah State has just one victory on the season against FBS teams and the WAC is not as strong of a conference as it once was when Boise State was in it. Hawaii is 5-1 straight-up in conference meetings against Utah State and they have covered four of those six games as well. In fact, Utah State has not won on the island since 1966 and have lost their three most recent meetings on the island by an average of 18 points. Utah State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 WAC games. Hawaii is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games at Aloha Stadium. Wake up with lots of money in your pocket by playing the home team in the wee hours of the night. Hawaii by 20 |
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11-05-11 | Utah v. Arizona -3.5 | 34-21 | Loss | -100 | 100 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #94 Take Arizona Wildcats over Utah Utes (Saturday 7 pm FSN)
We suffered a bad beat (not as bad as USC) last week with Arizona, as they were leading into the fourth quarter against Washington last week and not only lost straight-up, but failed to cover as well. Nonetheless we will ride them again this week playing an inferior opponent in Utah. The Utes are a tough team to figure out, as they have been beaten soundly in all but one of their PAC-12 games but they do have some impressive non-conference wins. Since the coaching change, the Wildcats have been playing better including destroying UCLA in their last home game. They have the best player on the field in QB Nick Foles and he should be able to crave up this Ute defense. Utah is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Arizona wins by double digits for the second straight home game scoring over 40 points. Arizona by 17 |
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11-05-11 | Middle Tennessee State v. Tennessee -20 | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 100 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #76 Take Tennessee Volunteers over Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 3)
The Blue Raiders do not have any quality wins on the season and they have laid an egg numerous times as a favorite in 2011. Now they face an in-state team from the SEC and what will clearly be a get well game for the Volunteers. The Blur Raiders cannot stop anybody and have given up over 34 points per game (107th in the nation). The Volunteers have played 3 non-conference opponents thus far in 2011 and all of them have been blowouts, winning by an average of around 26 points per game. The SEC is loaded this season and Tennessee has had a brutal schedule to open conference play. They have already played the two best teams in each division and they are a much better team than their record would indicate. They will take out their frustrations tonight at Neyland Stadium against a mid-major. MTSU is just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings against Sun Belt Conference teams. |
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11-05-11 | Northwestern +17.5 v. Nebraska | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 96 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #51 Take Northwestern Wildcats over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Saturday 3:30 pm Big Ten Network)
The Wildcats seem to be a terrible team to play as a favorite, but they are always a good team to play as a double-digit underdog. They have a powerful offense that can score at will on teams but they have a terrible defense that gives up points on most drives. Thus I expect a high scoring game but I just do not believe Nebraska is strong enough on offense to blow out Northwestern. Taylor Martinez is a one dimensional quarterback and when he is forced to throw the football, bad things usually happen. QB Dan Persa is much more dependable and expect him to be able to move the football against this black shirt defense similar to Wisconsin. Northwestern is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games when they are a road underdog. Nebraska is 3-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games as a home favorite. Nebraska wins this game by it comes much closer than what the experts believe. Nebraska by 7 |
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11-05-11 | Michigan -4 v. Iowa | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -102 | 93 h 41 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #15 Take Michigan Wolverines over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 12 pm ESPN)
The Wolverines have come back well after losing to Michigan State with a convincing 22-point victory against Purdue last week. Iowa is on the other end of the spectrum coming off an embarrassing loss to Minnesota last Sunday. Yes this is the same Gopher team that lost to New Mexico State and North Dakota State at home this season. To make no bones about it, Iowa has been lacking in recruiting lately against other top teams in the Big Ten and now Coach Kirk Ferentz is squarely on the hot seat. The Wolverines will have revenge on their minds as well losing to Iowa the last two years. But that came under Rich Rodriguez and Brady Hoke has returned Michigan to its identity. Iowa has never beaten Michigan three straight years and that will stay intact as the Wolverines offense is the only good squad on the field. Iowa does not have enough playmakers on offense to threaten this suspect Michigan defense and thus Michigan can simply outscore their way to a victory. Michigan is 4-0 in their last 4 games when they are favored to win. Iowa is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 Big Ten games. QB Denard Robinson and company stay atop the standing in the Big Ten and we collect with them as well! Michigan by 13 |
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11-04-11 | Central Michigan v. Kent State | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
2-Unit Play. Take #312 Kent State over Central Michigan (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 4) I am going with the home team here and the line is telling me everything I need to know about this one. Central Michigan has been one of the MAC's best teams for the last few years. Why are they road underdogs in Kent State? The reason is that the Golden Flashes are going to be ready to play in this spot. They are on national television and they are facing an opponent that hasn't been in this stadium in four years. Central Michigan is just 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games and the public is just pouring money into them. But the homer is still favored here. The Flashes struggle to score at times but they have the much better defense (by almost 100 yards) and that will lead the way. I think Kent State will force turnovers and that they will make some big plays on offense. And in the end they will manage a win that doesn't look good on paper or on TV, but one that cashes this ticket for me at the window!
Allen Eastman |
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10-29-11 | Arizona +6.5 v. Washington Huskies | 31-42 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #105 Take Arizona Wildcats over Washington Huskies (Saturday 10:30 pm FSN)
The Wildcats seem to have life for the first time this season and firing Mike Stoops may have been the reason why. The Huskies were ranked last week before getting blown out by Stanford by 44 points and suffering their first conference loss of the season. The two good teams that Washington has faced this season they have been lost by double-digits and this is just too many points to be laying against a similar team. The Wildcats had a brutal schedule to open the season and I expect them to do much better now that the schedule has lightened up. They played their best game of the season last Thursday against UCLA dominating the Bruins from start to finish in route to a 48-12 victory. Arizona has covered 4 of their last 5 games played during the month of October. Washington is 16-34 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 53 games when they are favored to win. Arizona by 1 |
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10-29-11 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State +7.5 | 29-33 | Win | 100 | 101 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #90 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 8 pm ESPN)
The Badgers are coming off a heartbreaking emotional loss to Michigan State last Saturday night and going right back on road against a traditional powerhouse will be too much for them to overcome. The Buckeyes must bring their A game on defense and I fully expect that they will. The Buckeyes have improved of late since they got back some key personal from suspension and enter this game off of a bye playing the best game of the season two weeks ago against Illinois. The Buckeyes have stayed under this posted total in 5 of their 7 games this season. Ohio State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Under is 8-1 ATS in Ohio State |
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10-29-11 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 50.5 | 29-33 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #90 Take Under in Wisconsin Badgers @ Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 8 pm ESPN)
The Badgers are coming off a heartbreaking emotional loss to Michigan State last Saturday night and going right back on road against a traditional powerhouse will be too much for them to overcome. The Buckeyes must bring their A game on defense and I fully expect that they will. The Buckeyes have improved of late since they got back some key personal from suspension and enter this game off of a bye playing the best game of the season two weeks ago against Illinois. The Buckeyes have stayed under this posted total in 5 of their 7 games this season. Ohio State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Under is 8-1 ATS in Ohio State |