Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-16-21 | Ravens +2.5 v. Bills | 3-17 | Loss | -106 | 102 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #303 Baltimore Ravens over Buffalo Bills (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 16 NBC) Both teams are playing well down the stretch and you could make a case for Buffalo, but the experience of the Ravens will prevail in this game. Buffalo looked shaky last week against Indianapolis at home and both times they appeared to have control of that game; they gave up a touchdown in a matter of one minute. QB Jackson got his first playoff win last week at Tennessee and I just feel the Ravens defense is playing better now. Baltimore is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road playoff games. Buffalo is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games played during the month of January. |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 98 h 10 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #302 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Rams (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 16 FOX) NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR We used the 49ers has our top play last year right out of the gate in the Divisional Round and will follow that formula again in 2021. The Rams are banged up and the game time temperature for this game should be around 30 degrees. The Packers are rested and QB Rodgers knows the importance of having the No. 1 seed in the NFC (only had it 1 other time in his career). Green Bay is 13-1 in their last 14 home games. QB Rodgers has a 23-2 touchdown to interception ratio at home this year. Green Bay led the league in points this year and I just do not believe Los Angeles will be able to match them score for score in this game. The Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against the Packers. The favorite is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings as well. Green Bay is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State +8.5 v. Alabama | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #499 Ohio State Buckeyes over Alabama Crimson Tide (8:05p.m., Monday, January 11 ESPN) Would not surprise me if Alabama jumped out to an early lead in this game, but I believe Ohio State will be able to take this game down to the wire. Alabama has not faced a complete team like this all year and I just do not believe they will be able to run the Buckeyes off the field. The Crimson Tide defense has trouble when teams can spread you out and this will be a high scoring game that will remain in single digits. Ohio State played their best game of the season last time out and it would not surprise me if they follow that up with another strong performance this Monday. Alabama is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Ohio State is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. |
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01-10-21 | Bears v. Saints -10 | Top | 9-21 | Win | 100 | 101 h 36 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #150 New Orleans Saints over Chicago Bears (4:40p.m., Sunday, January 10 CBS) The Bears backed into the playoffs this season with a soft schedule down the stretch before getting pounded at home last week against the Packers. The Saints are simply better on both sides of the football and they will win this game by double-digits. New Orleans lost last year in the wildcard round and thus they will not take this game lightly. QB Trubisky has played better of late, but neither the coaching staff or fans have much confidence that he will perform well in this game. He is not the quarterback of the future and this may be the end of the road for him in Chicago as the starter. New Orleans is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 7 games against Chicago. The Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens -3 v. Titans | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 97 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #147 Baltimore Ravens over New Orleans Saints (1:05p.m., Sunday, January 10 ABC) The Ravens are everyone’s sleeper picks, and it would not surprise me in they make some noise in the 2021 playoffs this season. QB Jackson has yet to win a playoff game in his career and I expect him to finally get that monkey off his back on Sunday. Tennessee does not have a strong defense and they just are not particularly good in any layer on defense. The road team is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 4 matchups between Baltimore and Tennessee. The Titans are 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 home playoff games. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8.5 | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 80 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #146 Washington Football Team over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 9 NBC) Nobody is giving Washington much of a chance in this game, but teams that host playoff games with a record of .500 or less have been well in this spot. Alex Smith is a capable NFL quarterback and expect him to bounce back in a big way on Saturday night. The strength of the football team is their defense and expect them to contain QB Brady and company for much of this game. These teams have met twice before in the playoffs and both of those games have been decided under tonight’s posted number. The underdog is 5-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 6 games between Tampa Bay and Washington. The Buccaneers are 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games played on Saturday. |
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01-09-21 | Colts v. Bills -6 | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #142 Buffalo Bills over Indianapolis Colts (1:05p.m., Saturday, January 9 CBS) Just do not feel that Phillip Rivers will be able to keep up with the high scoring Bills offense in this game. Buffalo finished the season on fire, winning 6 straight games and all of them came over today’s posted number. Buffalo went 5-2 ATS this season against teams with a winning record. Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS this season against teams with a winning record. The Colts are 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games as an underdog. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Colts and Bills. Finally, the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games in this series. |
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01-03-21 | Jaguars v. Colts -14 | 14-28 | Push | 0 | 119 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #104 Indianapolis Colts over Jacksonville Jaguars (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 3 CBS) The Colts need to win and also need help or they will be on the outside looking in when it comes to the AFC playoffs. Jacksonville is terrible and has already thrown in the towel on their 2020 season getting the No. 1 draft pick. This will be a 20+ point victory for the Colts and we will not hesitate to lay the points in this game. |
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01-03-21 | Packers -5 v. Bears | Top | 35-16 | Win | 100 | 119 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #105 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 3 FOX) The Packers will need to win this game to clinch the No. 1 seed and earn the only bye in the NFC. Green Bay has won 8 of the last 9 games against Chicago and crushed them in the first meeting in November at Lambeau Field. The favorite is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings between Green Bay and Chicago. The Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. QB Rodgers cements his legacy as the 2020 MVP with another outstanding performance and a double-digit Packers victory. |
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01-03-21 | Steelers v. Browns -7.5 | 22-24 | Loss | -100 | 116 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #110 Cleveland Browns over Pittsburgh Steelers (1p.m., Sunday, January 3 CBS) The Browns got a gift with Pittsburgh winning last week and now the Steelers can rest up for the playoffs and not try and win this game. The line has skyrocketed but it will not matter with Cleveland winning this game by double-digits. Pittsburgh has dominated this series, but this is not the same Cleveland doormat that they have been for the last two decades. Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Steelers will show some fight early but in the end Cleveland will pull away and make the playoffs with a dominating win. |
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01-03-21 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Bills | 26-56 | Loss | -106 | 116 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #123 Miami Dolphins over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, January 3 CBS) The Dolphins have a lot more to play for in this game, as Buffalo will likely be the No. 2 seed with Pittsburgh not playing to win on Sunday. It would be a remarkable accomplishment for this Miami team to make the playoffs and they will do that with a win. Miami is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against AFC teams. Buffalo is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games played during the month of January. |
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01-02-21 | North Carolina +7.5 v. Texas A&M | 27-41 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #497 North Carolina Tar Heels over Texas A&M Aggies (8p.m., Saturday, January 2 ESPN) Orange Bowl Everyone expects a letdown in this game for Texas A&M since they did not get into the College Football Playoff, and now they must face a high scoring offense in North Carolina. We will grab the points with the Tar Heels, as Mack Brown is familiar with the Aggies have played them numerous times in the Big 12 while he was the head coach at Texas. North Carolina underachieved this season, but I believe they will play a complete game tonight and take this one down to the wire. |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State v. Clemson -7 | Top | 49-28 | Loss | -115 | 75 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #334 Clemson Tigers over Ohio State Buckeyes (8p.m., Friday, January 1 ESPN) Sugar Bowl This is a rematch of the semi-final game last year in which questionable officiating allowed Clemson to emerge victorious. But in 2020 I just do not see the same Ohio State team that have been so explosive in year’s past. Clemson had a 541-263 yardage edge against Notre Dame and that game was never in doubt after the first quarter. Everyone thinks Ohio State will be motivated for revenge and the diss that Dabo Sweeny gave them by ranking them No. 11 in the coaches poll, but in the end talent wins out. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame +20 v. Alabama | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #331 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Alabama Crimson Tide (4p.m., Friday, January 1 ESPN) Rose Bowl Nobody is giving Notre Dame a chance in this game, but I believe they will be able to score some points against this Alabama defense. The Tide have been lit up on defense a couple of times this season and Notre Dame has an offense capable of scoring 30 points against them. The Irish are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Alabama is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of January. The Tide might be up big at some point in this game, I just believe Notre Dame will keep it in the teens once 60 minutes are completed. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State v. San Jose State -7.5 | 34-13 | Loss | -114 | 215 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #322 San Jose State Spartans over Ball State Cardinals (2p.m., Thursday, December 31 CBS) Arizona Bowl Ball State is coming off their Super Bowl two weeks ago winning the MAC Championship in surprising fashion over Buffalo. Not sure how much left in the tank they will have for this game. The Spartans are explosive on offense led by QB Nick Starkel, who has 16 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions in 7 games played this season. Ball State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. San Jose State is 12-3 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 17 games. |
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12-30-20 | Wisconsin v. Wake Forest +6.5 | Top | 42-28 | Loss | -108 | 189 h 10 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #312 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Wednesday, December 30 ESPN) Duke Mayo Bowl We have faded Wisconsin in their last two games and easily covered both games. Wisconsin has quarterback issues, banged up wide receivers, and running backs that are not explosive. They have a solid defense, but they have yet to face an offense as up-tempo and explosive like Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons are coming off a bad performance against the Cardinals, but that final score is a little misleading (Louisville scored 17 points in the last 17 minutes of that game). Wake Forest is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 bowl games. Wisconsin is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as a favorite. If Wake Forest can take care of the football, they should be able to take this game down to the wire and win it straight-up. |
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12-29-20 | Oklahoma State v. Miami-FL +2.5 | 37-34 | Loss | -109 | 171 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #296 Miami Hurricanes over Oklahoma State Cowboys (5:30p.m., Tuesday, December 29 ESPN) Cheez-it Bowl The Hurricanes have lost 3 straight bowl games and I feel it is important for Many Diaz to right the ship in this game. Miami has the advantage of playing in-state for this game and there will be fans in attendance. I am a big fan of D’Eriq King and expect him to bounce back in a big way tonight after a bad performance against UNC last time out. Oklahoma State beat Iowa State but that was their only quality win on the season and I just think Miami has a big edge at the quarterback position. The Pokes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. |
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12-27-20 | Titans v. Packers -3 | Top | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 125 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #480 Green Bay Packers over Tennessee Titans (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 27 NBC) Green Bay has the No. 1 seed in sight if they win this game tonight and I see no reason not to lay this small number with the best team in the NFC. QB Tannehill has played outstanding this season but he is not in the same league as Aaron Rogers, the likely MVP of the league. Green Bay has been jumping out early on teams of late and I see them doing the same as well in this game. They will need to stop the run-on defense, but their defense last been playing better of late as well. The Titans are 3-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games played during Week 16 of the regular season. Green Bay is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. The Packers win this game by 7-10 points and lay claim to the No. 1 seed in the NFC. |
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12-27-20 | Rams v. Seahawks | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 121 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #476 Seattle Seahawks over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 27 FOX) This is an important game in the NFC West with the winner likely winning the NFC East and hosting a playoff game. Everyone expects to the Rams to bounce back after an embarrassing loss to the Jets last Sunday, but I just do not see them going into Seattle and winning this game. The Hawks have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 home games. Seattle is also 9-4 ATS against Los Angeles in the last 13 games against them in Seattle. |
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12-27-20 | Panthers v. Washington Football Team -2.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #470 Washington Football Team over Carolina Panthers (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 27 CBS) Carolina is just playing out the season and will enter this game having lost 3 straight games and 8 of their last 9 games. They are competitive in some of those losses, but they are still losses and that eventually takes its toll on a team. Washington has so much on the line in this game and with Alex Smith expected to be back I think they have enough to win it. Washington has beaten Carolina each of the last two seasons. The Football Team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. The Panthers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a losing record. Finally, Coach Ron Rivera wants to win this game in a big way since he was fired by the Panthers last year. |
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12-27-20 | Colts v. Steelers | 24-28 | Loss | -125 | 118 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Indianapolis Colts over Pittsburgh Steelers (1p.m., Sunday, December 27 CBS) Pittsburgh is in freefall now and not much analysis is needed to describe why we are picking against them. They have lost 3 straight games including 2 against inferior opponents in Washington and Cincinnati. They are banged up on defense and have not been able to run the football whatsoever. The Colts need this game more and want to end their 6 games losing streak to the Steelers. Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Pittsburgh is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of December. |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins v. Raiders +3 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 101 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #462 Las Vegas Raiders over Miami Dolphins (8:15p.m., Saturday, December 26 NFLN) Just do not trust the Dolphins as a favorite on the road. They are coming off a big win over New England last Sunday and it will not surprise me if they have a letdown in this game. The Raiders have extra rest and I do not see much of a drop-off with Mariota as quarterback. Miami is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games during Week 16 of the regular season. Las Vegas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played during Week 16 of the NFL season. |
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12-25-20 | Marshall v. Buffalo -3 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 72 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #280 Buffalo Bulls over Marshall Thundering Herd (2:30p.m., Friday, December 25 ESPN) Camellia Bowl Buffalo is coming off their worst performance on the season, losing to Ball State in the MAC. Marshall has a suspect offense and that will put a lot of pressure on them to be able to stop Jaret Patterson in this game. Marshall will enter having lost 2 straight games by an average of 14.5 points. Marshall is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. Buffalo is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. |
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12-20-20 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Saints | 32-29 | Win | 100 | 119 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #365 Kansas City Chiefs over New Orleans Saints (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 19 CBS) The Saints are coming off a devastating loss at Philadelphia last week and now will likely not earn the top seed in the NFC (only 1 team gets a bye this year). The Chiefs have been winning games but not covering the spread of late, but now they have a low number where they likely just need to win the game. QB Brees have been eyeing this date to return but I do not think it will matter. Kansas City is an offensive machine and New Orleans will have to score in the high twenties to have a chance to cover this spread. Kansas City is 11-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-20-20 | Texans v. Colts -7 | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 115 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #342 Indianapolis Colts over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, December 20 CBS) This is the second meetings in three weeks for the Texans and Colts. Houston is just playing out the string and I see them losing this game by many more points than the first game. Indianapolis got right last week in Las Vegas and expect them to continue their success. They have the ability to beat teams running the ball or throw the air and I just do not have any confidence in this Texans defense. QB Watson did not throw a touchdown pass in the first meeting (only time this season that happened). Houston is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Indianapolis is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games divisional teams. |
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12-20-20 | Patriots v. Dolphins -1 | 12-22 | Win | 100 | 115 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #354 Miami Dolphins over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, December 20 CBS) This is a bad situation for the Patriots, as they have fallen out of playoff contention in the AFC and will be playing their third straight road games. Teams have figured out the Patriots, and you can beat them by not turning over the football and making Cam Newton beat you through the air. Miami has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 games against New England in Miami. This is by far the worst Patriots squad they will have faced during the last 8 years. Miami put the final nail in the coffin for New England and wins this game convincingly. |
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12-19-20 | Alabama -17 v. Florida | 52-46 | Loss | -109 | 98 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #240 Alabama Crimson Tide over Florida Gators (8p.m., Saturday, December 19 CBS) Just do not believe Florida has any desire to play in this game against a team that is much better than them. By losing to LSU last week, Florida cannot make the college football playoff. Alabama has won this game the last 6 times they have been in it by an average of 18 points per game. The Crimson Tide have been getting better on defense and expect them to contain the high-powered Florida offense. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between Alabama and Florida. The Crimson Tide are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games played. Florida is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. |
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12-19-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +10.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -109 | 94 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #236 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Clemson Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, December 19 ABC) For the first time in years, Notre Dame has the athletes to make this game competitive against the top teams from the south. The Irish already beat the Tigers this year and I just do not believe this will be a blowout with Trevor Lawrence back behind center. Notre Dame can win the ACC for the first and likely only time in their history and they will not pass up this opportunity. The Clemson defense is still the same as it was in the first meeting where Notre Dame put up 47 points in that game. Both teams will put up points in this game, but I see the result being in single digits. The Irish are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-19-20 | Minnesota +12.5 v. Wisconsin | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 94 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #211 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Wisconsin Badgers (4p.m., Saturday, December 19 BTN) Wisconsin has a terrible offense and should not be giving this many points against anyone in the Big 10. They have a quarterback that lacks confidence, and they are playing a team that has won 3 of their last 4 games. Wisconsin may get some playmakers back for this game, but I just cannot overlook the fact that they have scored 20 combined points in their last 3 days. |
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12-18-20 | Oregon v. USC -3 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -106 | 74 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #252 USC Trojans over Oregon Ducks (8p.m., Friday, December 18 FOX) Oregon was a late add to this game after Washington did not have enough healthy players. The Trojans have a major edge getting to play this game at their home stadium and I just do not trust Oregon enough to keep this close. Both teams have played down to the level of their competition, but USC tends to pull away late, whereas Oregon often loses close games. Losing to Cal and Oregon State is embarrassing for the Ducks and now they must face a team with better talent and experience than what they have. Oregon is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. USC is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between Oregon and USC. |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals v. Giants +2.5 | Top | 26-7 | Loss | -100 | 116 h 47 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #158 New York Giants over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, December 13 CBS) Just believe these two teams are heading in opposite directions. Arizona is a fluke play away from losing 5 straight games and they may need to win 3 of their last 4 to make the playoffs. The Giants have won 4 straight and have control of the NFC East since they own the tiebreaker with Washington. They are coming off their best performance of the year beating Seattle in the Emerald City last time out. It goes not matter who the Giants start at quarterback, they are going to win this game. Arizona has been easy to run on of late and Wayne Gallman should put up big numbers. Arizona is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. |
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12-12-20 | Virginia +2 v. Virginia Tech | 15-33 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #421 Virginia Cavaliers over Virginia Tech Hokies (8p.m., Saturday, December 12 ACCN) Virginia beat Virginia Tech last season for the first time in 16 years and look for them to make it 2 in a row on Saturday night. Both teams play a lot of people at quarterback, but the Hokies are coming off a blood bath against Clemson last week and I do not feel they will be ready to bounce back in just one week. Virginia Tech enters this game having lost 4 straight games and they have been blown out in their last two (lost 47-14 to Pittsburgh). Justin Fuente is on the hot seat and he may not survive if things do not go well on Saturday. Virginia will enter this game having won 4 straight games. |
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12-12-20 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +1.5 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 94 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #386 Iowa Hawkeyes over Wisconsin Badgers (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 12 FS1) The Badgers lack confidence on the offensive side of the football, and they have been exposed for their lack of playmakers. Iowa has a chance to end this 4-game losing streak to Wisconsin by getting them at home this season. Iowa has won 5 straight games and only one of those wins came by less than double-digits. They have a better defense than does Indiana and expect them to crowd the line and force Wisconsin to beat them over the top with deep throws. Wisconsin is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Iowa is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games. |
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12-12-20 | Wake Forest +2.5 v. Louisville | 21-45 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #113 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Louisville Cardinals (12p.m., Saturday, December 12 ACCN) Just do not like this Louisville team in 2020. They appear to have taken a step back in year two under Scott Satterfield. They are 3-7 this season and do not have any quality wins among those three. Wake Forest does not have a bad loss this season and they also have some quality wins against Virginia Tech and Virginia. Both of those teams are better than what they will see today from Louisville. The underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between Wake Forest and Louisville. But this game just comes down to Wake Forest having an identity on offense (up-tempo) and Louisville will not be able to keep up in scoring. The Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Cardinals. |
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12-11-20 | Nevada +2.5 v. San Jose State | 20-30 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #309 Nevada Wolf Pack over San Jose State Spartans (10p.m., Friday, December 11 CBSSN) Just cannot picture San Jose State playing in the MWC Championship Game next week. They have a much-improved team in 2020 but I feel having to vacate the Bay Area will finally catch up with them in this likely winner take all game. The Spartans were expected to host their last two games, but they had to travel to Hawaii last week and now will play this game at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas. Nevada has already played a game here in 2020 and they only had to leave the state of Nevada one time this season. Nevada is 15-2 straight-up and 12-5 ATS against San Jose State in the last 17 meetings. Both teams have stud quarterbacks, but the difference could lie with Nevada’s defense. |
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12-10-20 | Patriots +4.5 v. Rams | 3-24 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #101 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Rams (8:20p.m., Thursday, December 10 Amazon Prime) Look for the Patriots to play a competitive game in Los Angeles after pounding the Chargers on Sunday. The Patriots have beaten the Rams 6 straight times (5-1 ATS) and I see them taking this game down to the wire. New England is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Thursday. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played on Thursday. |
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12-07-20 | Bills -2.5 v. 49ers | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 147 h 25 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #477 Buffalo Bills over San Francisco 49ers (8:15p.m., Monday, December 7 ESPN) Buffalo has already won in Arizona this season and now they get a huge advantage with the 49ers having to play on the road as well. Just not sold on the 49ers, especially on offense. QB Mullins has limitations and if Buffalo does not turn over the football, the 49ers will struggle to score points. Buffalo has gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC teams. They have already beaten the Rams and Seahawks, and had the Cardinals beat before giving up a Hail Mary pass with just seconds remaining. They will make it 3 of 4 on Monday night against the NFC West with a double-digit victory. |
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12-06-20 | Eagles v. Packers -9 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 120 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Green Bay Packers over Philadelphia Eagles (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 6 FOX) The Eagles had no business being less than a double-digit underdog to the Packers at Lambeau Field. Philadelphia is coming off a 6 point loss to Seattle on Monday Night Football, but at no point in that game did anyone believe they had a chance to win it. Their offense is terrible and sooner or later QB Rodgers will get hot and cruise to a double-digit victory. Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against NFC teams. |
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12-06-20 | Patriots v. Chargers +1 | 45-0 | Loss | -106 | 120 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #474 Los Angeles Chargers over New England Patriots (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 6 CBS) The line tells me that the Chargers have the better talent in this game, but the Patriots have the better coach. QB Newton had another terrible performance last week but got bailed out late by a missed field goal and a questionable late hit out of bounds. The Patriots must play three straight road games and I do not believe that they have the talent to make the playoffs this season. New England is 2-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games played during the month of December. The opening team favored has covered the spread in 4 straight games between New England and Los Angeles. |
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12-06-20 | Lions v. Bears -3 | 34-30 | Loss | -109 | 116 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, December 6 FOX) The Lions are a mess and I do not see things getting better under Darrel Bevel as interim coach. Chicago cannot beat the Packers, but they still have a capable defense and already beat the Lions in Detroit earlier this season. Chicago has covered the spread against Detroit in 4 of their last 5 meetings. Detroit has 4 of their last 5 games and all 4 of those losses have come by double-digits. |
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12-05-20 | UCLA +3.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 25-18 | Win | 100 | 102 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #383 UCLA Bruins over Arizona State Sun Devils (10:30p.m., Saturday, December 5 FS1) Just cannot trust Arizona State laying points in this game. The Sun Devils have been off since November 7 and now have to play a team that is getting better in UCLA. The Bruins are 2-2 and both of their losses went down to the wire and I see them winning this game straight-up. UCLA was a mess last year but dominated ASU leading by over 30 points at one point in that game. The Bruins may also get back Dorian Thompson-Robinson and that will only enhance their chances of winning this game. UCLA is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 games against Arizona State. |
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12-05-20 | Clemson -21.5 v. Virginia Tech | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 99 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #343 Clemson Tigers over Virginia Tech Hokies (7:30p.m., Saturday, December 5 ABC) Virginia Tech has been a fraud all season long and I do not see things getting any better today against one of the two best teams in the country. The Hookies are lost three straight games including getting blown out last time out against Pittsburgh. Clemons is playing to impress the voters and expect them to score a bunch of points in this game as well. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Hokies. Clemson is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 ACC games. |
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12-05-20 | Florida v. Tennessee +17.5 | 31-19 | Win | 100 | 95 h 44 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #378 Tennessee Volunteers over Florida Gators (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 5 CBS) The talent level does not warrant this big of a number, but Tennessee has lost 5 straight games and has a coach on the hot seat. But if there was ever a game that could get up for it would be this one. The home team has won 4 of the past 5 matchups (4-1 ATS). Florida might be looking ahead as they control their own destiny to make the College Football Playoffs. Tennessee finds a way to keep this around 7-10 points, as Florida has not been that impressive in their last two games. |
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12-05-20 | Ohio State -23 v. Michigan State | 52-12 | Win | 100 | 91 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #355 Ohio State Buckeyes over Michigan State Spartans (12p.m., Saturday, December 5 ABC) Michigan State has pulled off two surprising upsets this year but all three of their losses have come by double digits. Now they are set to face the best team in the league and I do not see them keeping this game close whatsoever. The Buckeyes are beaten Michigan State 4 straight times and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in East Lansing. Michigan State just do not have the offense to threaten this suspect secondary of Ohio State. Michigan State is 3-14 ATS in their last 17 home games. Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. |
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12-02-20 | Ravens v. Steelers -10 | 14-19 | Loss | -102 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #278 Pittsburgh Steelers over Baltimore Ravens (4:30p.m., Wednesday December 2 NBC) Just do not see the Steelers losing their unbeaten streak to the Ravens at home on Thanksgiving. The Steelers are the best team in the league mainly due to their defense, and I expect the Ravens to struggle moving the football in this game. Baltimore is coming off a devastating loss on Sunday to Tennessee, and I just do not believe they can recover in 4 days. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games and already beat Baltimore on the road this season. Baltimore is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss in their previous game. Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. |
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11-30-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +6.5 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 Philadelphia Eagles +5 over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Monday, November 30 ESPN) Just do not trust the Seahawks defense, especially on the road against a desperate team. QB Wilson has thrown 7 interceptions over his last 5 games and he has fallen out of the MVP race. QB Wentz has been poor as well, but I trust that he will play better at home. The Eagles still sit atop the standings in the NFC East. And if they can win games like this, they will win the division. Just do not believe they Seahawks can beat the Eagles 7 straight times. They have been similar teams over the last decade, and Philadelphia is the more desperate team tonight. |
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11-29-20 | Bears v. Packers -7.5 | 25-41 | Win | 100 | 125 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #274 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 29 NBC) The Bears are a sinking ship now, and this just cannot find a quarterback that can consistently win game. The Packers have won 7 of the last 8 games against the Bears (5-3 ATS) and this is just a complete mismatch at the quarterback position. Both Bears quarterbacks have injuries, and it does not matter who starts for them, the Packers are winning this game by double digits. |
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11-29-20 | Cardinals v. Patriots +2.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 118 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #254 New England Patriots over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, November 29 FOX) This is just a coaching mismatch to the highest degree. The Cardinals have had an easy schedule this season and should have a better record than 6-4 (losses to Carolina, Detroit, & Miami). New England has won 6 of the last 7 games against Arizona and getting them as an underdog is too good to pass up. The Patriots still have a chance to make the playoffs and they have covered the spread in every home game that they have been an underdog in since 2005. Arizona is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. New England is 36-17 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 56 games when they are an underdog. |
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11-28-20 | Kansas State v. Baylor -5 | 31-32 | Loss | -115 | 100 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #234 Baylor Bears over Kansas State Wildcats (7p.m., Saturday, November 28 ESPN2) Kansas State has been a fraud of late with a terrible offense that has struggled to score points. They have quarterback issues with Will Howard getting pulled last week in their 45-0 loss to Iowa State. The Wildcats are getting outgained by over 100 yards and if Baylor does not help them, I see them winning this game by double digits. Baylor has been a tough luck loser this year with all 5 losses 11 points or less. Kansas State has not been able to stop teams rushing the football on the road. Baylor has the better quarterback, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of November. Teams have figured out how to stop Kansas State, but the oddsmakers have not caught up to how bad they are on offense yet. |
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11-27-20 | Stanford v. California -1 | 24-23 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #138 California Golden Bears over Stanford Cardinal (4:30p.m., Friday, November 27 FOX) Cal finally gets a home game and I believe they have too much talent for Stanford in the Big Game. Cal had an edge in yards and first downs last week against Oregon State, but two interceptions did them in. Chase Garbers is too good of a player do play this poorly for many games and he will break out of his funk in this game. Stanford has yet to win a game this year as well and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 6 road PAC-12 games. Cal ended their long losing streak to Stanford last year and expect them to make it two in a row Friday in Berkley. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 games between Stanford and Cal. The Golden Bears are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played during the month of November. |
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11-27-20 | Nebraska v. Iowa -13 | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -113 | 70 h 37 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #148 Iowa Hawkeyes over Nebraska Cornhuskers (1p.m., Friday, November 27 FOX) The Hawkeyes have righted the ship winning 3 straight games in blowout fashion. Nebraska is terrible on both sides of the ball and I do not see things getting any better in this game. They cannot stop the run and they are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Iowa has won 5 straight in this series and winning their games by an average of 30 points is just hard to overlook. Penn State was just as desperate last week against Iowa and they got killed. Nebraska has quarterback issues and whoever gets the start will struggle to move the football against this Iowa defense. Nebraska is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games. Iowa is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-26-20 | Washington Football Team +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 49 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #123 Washington Football Team over Dallas Cowboys (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 26 FOX) Nobody can handle prosperity in the NFC East and I look for this game to go down to the wire. Dallas had a medical emergency on Tuesday and thus they were not able to practice for a team already on a short week. Washington won the first meeting by 22 points and having a stable quarterback in Alex Smith should allow this team to win some games down the stretch. The underdog is 28-13 ATS in the last 41 meetings between Washington and Dallas. |
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11-22-20 | Patriots -2 v. Texans | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #457 New England Patriots over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, November 22 CBS) The Texans are one of the most disappointing teams in the league in 2020, as they have already fired their coach. JJ Watt wanted out before the trade deadline and now he is just playing out the season making sure he stays healthy. Houston has only beaten New England one time since 2009 and New England will enter having won two straight games and still is alive for playoffs. This line has swing 5 points after the Patriots beat the Ravens Sunday night and we will follow the movement. The Patriots are 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against the Texans. |
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11-22-20 | Titans v. Ravens -6 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #466 Baltimore Ravens over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, November 22 CBS) Everyone is down on both teams, but I will side with the Ravens at home bouncing back. Baltimore has revenge on their minds, as Tennessee knocked them out of the playoffs in 2019. The Titans have lost 3 of their last 4 games including two home games. The Ravens dominated the stats against the Titans in January last year but were done in by turnovers. QB Jackson needs to prove that he has beat the good teams in the league and today is a perfect opportunity for him to do that. Tennessee is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. When Baltimore wins, they usually cover, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against AFC teams. |
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11-21-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +2 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 94 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #388 Nevada Wolf Pack over San Diego State Aztecs (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 21 CBS) As of this writing the wrong teams is favored, as Nevada is going to make the MWC Championship Game and is a perfect 4-0 on the season. Both teams have played easily schedules this far but not being able to play in San Diego will eventually catch up with the Aztecs. They got beat by San Jose State and now have a brutal finish to the season with 3 of their last 4 games on the road (will be lucky to win 1 of them). Nevada has covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games against SDSU and has the best player on the field in Carson Strong. The Wolf Pack defense has talent as well and I believe that the Aztec offense will struggle to move the football against them. Never been a Brady Hoke fan and feel Rocky Long was the genius of SDSU for the last decade that got them to overachieve on a consistent basis. Nevada is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. SDSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss in their last home game. |
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11-21-20 | Wisconsin -7.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
NOTE: THIS IS A FIRST HALF PLAY. 10 Unit Play. Take #395 Wisconsin Badgers (-3.5 First Half Line) over Northwestern Wildcats (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 21 ABC) Big Ten Game of the Year Northwestern is 4-0, but they have started poorly in two of their four games. They would not have covered this number against Iowa or Nebraska, two teams that are inferior to Wisconsin. I expect Wisconsin to jump out early and feel great value lies with the first half line. Wish this line came in under a touchdown for the game, but the Badgers dominated Michigan last week and thus we are left with this higher number. Wisconsin is clearly the second-best team in the league, and the winner of this game will likely reach the Big Ten title game in Indianapolis. The Wildcats have not been as impressive since their 40-point victory over Maryland to open the season, grinding out games against Iowa, Nebraska, and Purdue to reach 4-0. Their defense is good, but they have yet to face a team like Wisconsin that can beat you on the ground or through the air. I just feel that Wisconsin is better on both sides of the football (healthier for this game compared to last) and will pull away in the second quarter to win this game by double-digits. Northwestern can only play at a certain pace. And if they get behind, they will struggle to come back if they are one-dimensional. Wisconsin is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 road games. Northwestern is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 home games. |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6 | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 94 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #344 UCF Golden Knights over Cincinnati Bearcats (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 21 ESPN) We have been riding Cincinnati for most of the year including the last 3 weeks, but I finally believe that the number has been over adjusted. The Bearcats have been doing most of their damage at home and now much finish out the regular season with 3 straight road games. UCF is legit and they will be up for this game trying to knock off the Bearcats and spoil their perfect season. Cincinnati has yet to face an offense as strong as what UCF has. The home team has won 4 of the 5 games between these two teams. UCF has not been a home dog since 2016 and despite missing some key people of defense, I believe they can take this game down to the wire. |
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11-21-20 | California -3.5 v. Oregon State | 27-31 | Loss | -104 | 94 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #379 California Golden Bears over Oregon State Beavers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 21 FS1) Think the line on this game tells us something. Cal was in an impossible situation last week having to travel to UCLA on short notice for a 9 a.m. local start at the Rose Bowl. Now they have a full week to prepare and not that their opponent will be the Oregon State Beavers, a bottom feeder program in recent years. The visitor is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 Oregon State games. Cal still has the best player on the field in Chase Garbers and his success last year just cannot be overlooked. Last week was the anomaly for the Bears and expect them to bounce back today in Corvallis. |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 50 h 24 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #322 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 19 Amazon Prime) Everyone is down on the Seahawks after two straight losses but those came against likely playoff teams in Los Angeles and Buffalo. Seattle gave away the first meeting blowing a double-digit lead late in the fourth quarter. Arizona is coming off a huge win when a miraculous finish to beat Buffalo last time out. Everyone is buying Arizona stock now, but I believe there is no carryover week to week in the NFL. Seattle needs this game more and they will get it behind the best player on the field in Russell Wilson. Seattle is 7-1 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 10 games played on Thursday. |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan | 52-44 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #313 Western Michigan Broncos over Central Michigan Chippewas (7p.m., Wednesday, October 18 ESPN2) Both teams enter 2-0 straight-up and against the spread. Western Michigan has the best win of the bunch beating Toledo last week in dramatic fashion. Expect that to carryover into this game against CMU. Western Michigan has won 5 of the last 6 matchups and the visitor has covered the spread in this game 8 straight games. QB Kaleb Eleby is the best player on the field throwing 6 touchdowns and 0 interceptions this season. Central Michigan has 6 turnovers in just two games this season and that will not get the job done against good teams. |
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11-15-20 | Ravens v. Patriots +7.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 125 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #274 New England Patriots over Baltimore Ravens (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 15 NBC) Just believe that this is too many points for a road game. The Patriots should have lost to the Jets last Monday, but they won as time expired and will be up for this game. QB Jackson has not played at his MVP level of 2019 and expect Coach Belichick to have a game play to contain him. The Ravens are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. QB Jackson rallied for his first career victory when trailing at half last Sunday but I just do not see a blowout in this game. The underdog is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 meetings. |
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11-14-20 | Wisconsin -3.5 v. Michigan | 49-11 | Win | 100 | 100 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #161 Wisconsin Badgers over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 14 ABC) This line has been all over the place early in the week with Wisconsin appearing that they will be able to field a team for the first time in three weeks. Michigan has their own problems that are much greater than Covid. Coach Harbaugh appears to be on his way out and Michigan is just 1-2 on the season with both losses coming to teams they were favored to beat. Wisconsin beat a much better Michigan team by 21 points last season, and they have covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 meetings. The best player on the field in Graham Mertz and expect big things out of him on Saturday. Michigan is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Wisconsin is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. |
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11-14-20 | Oregon -9.5 v. Washington State | Top | 43-29 | Win | 100 | 100 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #185 Oregon Ducks over Washington State Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, November 14 FOX) The Ducks have a chance to make the College Football Playoff and I just feel they are better on both sides of the ball in this game. Washington State has a new head coach, and they are very inexperienced at the quarterback position. The Cougars have been great against Oregon in recent years, but they no longer have Mike Leech and Anothy Gordon on the sidelines. The Ducks have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 road games when they are the favorite. Oregon put up 35 points last week against a better defensive team in Stanford and they know they need to come out and dominate to break into the top 10 rankings. Wazzou is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a victory in their previous outing. |
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11-14-20 | Nevada -17 v. New Mexico | 27-20 | Loss | -109 | 99 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #179 Nevada Wolf Pack over New Mexico Lobos (6:30p.m., Saturday, November 14 FS2) Nevada is legit and they will be in the MWC Title Game next month because of their talent and their schedule. New Mexico is another tomato can that they can just roll over and they receive a break with this game being played in Las Vegas instead of Albuquerque. The Lobos are coming back from Hawaii to practice in Las Vegas and I do not see them keeping this game under 20 points. The Wolf Pack have been getting better teach week and sooner or later their offense will get rolling in this game and they will not be stopped. Nevada has beaten New Mexico in 4 of the last 5 games (4-1 ATS). New Mexico has a terrible defense giving up 541 yards per game. Nevada has covered the spread in 4 straight games. New Mexico is 5-17 ATS in their last 22 MWC games. |
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11-14-20 | South Florida v. Houston -13.5 | 21-56 | Win | 100 | 96 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #172 Houston Cougars over USF Bulls (3p.m., Saturday, November 14 ESPN+) Just do not see the Bulls putting forth another good effort like they did last week against Memphis. This will be their second straight road game and Houston is 4-0 against them (3-1 ATS) in their last 4 meetings as conference opponents. USF is 1-6 on the season with their only win coming against the Citadel. They have been blown out by Cincinnati, Notre Dame, East Carolina, and Tulsa. Houston has played a tough schedule in 2020 and they are ready to beat up on a lesser opponent. USF is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Houston is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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11-13-20 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati -27.5 | 17-55 | Win | 100 | 76 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #130 Cincinnati Bearcats over East Carolina Pirates (7:30p.m., Friday, November 13 ESPN2) Apparently the Bearcats will not play any more road games this season. This is their third straight home game and by far the weakest of the three opponents. Cincinnati has beaten East Carolina in 8 of the last 9 games (6-3 ATS) and they may have the best defense in the country. The Bearcats have a realistic chance to make the college football playoff, but this cannot just win game, they must dominate. Cincinnati has an 897-173 edge in rushing over their last 3 opponents. East Carolina is 0-5 in their last 5 games played in Cincinnati. The Bearcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 12 home games. Until Cincinnati does not cover a game, we will continue to ride them. |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Arizona Cardinals over Miami Dolphins (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 8 CBS) Miami is all in on Tua but their win last week was a little bit of fool’s gold. The Rams dominated the stat sheet, but special teams and turnovers did them in. Arizona will not be as generous today, as the Cardinals are well within the playoffs race but play in an extremely competitive division. Just do not believe Miami has the weapons on offense to attack this suspect Arizona defense. QB Wilson picked apart Miami and Arizona just beat Seattle last time out. Just cannot back a team that had a 31-8 deficit in first downs last week. Miami is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. |
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11-08-20 | Raiders v. Chargers -1 | 31-26 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take Los Angeles Chargers over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 8 CBS) Was not that impressed with the Raiders last week and playing their second straight road game will doom them on Sunday. The Chargers continue to be tough luck losers, but they seem to have found their quarterback in Justin Herbert. Cleveland just could not get off the field last week against Las Vegas but expect the Chargers to be able to make some plays on defense and force the Raiders to punt from time to time. Las Vegas is 17-36 ATS (1 push) in their last 54 games following a victory in their previous game. Los Angeles is 9-3 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 14 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. |
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11-08-20 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 117 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take New York Giants over Washington Football Team (1p.m., Sunday, November 8 FOX) Just do not believe that Washington should be favored by this many points against any team in the NFL. New York has won 5 of the last 6 games with Washington and they are 14-3 in their last 17 games when they are an underdog playing on the road. This is the first time in 14 games that Washington is favored to win a game. The Giants should some life last week against Tampa Bay and expect that to carryover into this game as well. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between the Giants and Football Team. Washington is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. |
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11-07-20 | Tennessee -1.5 v. Arkansas | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #403 Tennessee Volunteers over Arkansas Razorbacks (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 7 SECN) Tennessee got a much-needed bye week to regroup after three straight losses and expect them to take care of business on the road against Arkansas Saturday night. After losing to Alabama last year, Tennessee would go on to win six straight games and I see a similar streak happening today. Arkansas is better this year, but I cannot overlook the fact that they are 4-24 straight-up in their last 28 games. Tennessee is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 road games. |
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11-07-20 | Clemson -5 v. Notre Dame | 40-47 | Loss | -114 | 100 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #401 Clemson Tigers over Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 7 NBC) Clemson getting D.J. Uiagalelei some game action last week was huge, and I expect him to play even better tonight in South Bend. The Tigers turned it on in the second half against Boston College scoring the last 24 points in that game. Notre Dame is 6-0 this season but it is a little bit of fools gold, as every team that they have played this season has a losing record. Clemson just is on another talent level compared to Notre Dame and even without Trevor Lawrence they will win this game by double digits. Clemson is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games when they are favored. |
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11-07-20 | Houston v. Cincinnati -13 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 96 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #328 Cincinnati Bearcats over Houston Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 7 ESPN) We used the Bearcats last week as our top play and never looked back as they cruised to a 49-10 victory against Memphis. Now they take a step down in class facing Houston, again at home with fans in the stands. The Bearcats may have the best defense in the country and Houston has not done anything to show me that they can stay with good teams. Their two losses have come by an average of 20 points per game, well over today’s posted number. The Bearcats are 7-3 straight-up and 7-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against Houston. Still not sold that Dana Holgorsen is this offensive genius that can keep this program as a 10-win team in the AAC. They were 4-8 last year and do not see them being more than a .500 team this year. Lay the points with the best defensive team in the country. |
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11-05-20 | Packers v. 49ers +7 | 34-17 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #301 San Francisco 49ers +7 over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 5 NFLN) People cannot get their money in fast enough on the Packers for the game tonight. Both teams have people out (49ers have more) but Rodgers struggles in his home state of California and I do not envision a blowout tonight. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games against the Packers. |
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11-01-20 | Raiders v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 16-6 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #260 Cleveland Browns over Las Vegas Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, November 1 CBS) Just feel the line is light and we will side with the home team looking for their sixth victory on the season. OBJ is out, but Cleveland still has a ton of weapons and QB Mayfield should be able to pick apart this suspect Raiders defense. Las Vegas has a ton of issues on both sides of the football and Cleveland usually does well when not playing Pittsburgh or Baltimore. The Raiders have allowed 30+ points in 5 of their last 6 games including 12 rushing touchdowns during this span. Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Las Vegas. The Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 AFC games. |
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10-31-20 | Nevada v. UNLV +14 | 37-19 | Loss | -100 | 101 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #154 UNLV Rebels over Nevada Wolf Pack (10:30p.m., Saturday, October 31 FS1) Just feel this is an overaction from the games last week. Nevada is the better team in this game, but the Rebels will be up for this game. Fans will be allowed in at Allegiant Stadium and UNLV has won this game two straight years (underdog in both games). The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings for the Freemont Cannon. Nevada is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite. UNLV is 12-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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10-31-20 | North Carolina -6.5 v. Virginia | 41-44 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #113 North Carolina Tar Heels over Virginia Cavaliers (8p.m., Saturday, October 31 ACCN) The visitor is 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings and I just believe the Carolina offense is much better. Virginia will not be able to keep pace in this game, as I do not think they are capable of scoring 40+ points in this game. QB Sam Howell got back on track last week putting up 48 points and if he does that again in this game the visitor should easily cover. North Carolina is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. The favorite is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between UFC and UVA. |
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10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 91 h 54 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #138 Cincinnati Bearcats over Memphis Tigers (12p.m., Saturday, October 31 ESPN) Really like this Cincinnati team and we will continue to use them with these low numbers. The Bearcats won in Dallas last week against SMU as a small underdog. Now they are back at home and face an easier team in Memphis. Payback is also on the line, as Memphis beat Cincinnati in back to back games last year to earn the Group of 5 New Year’s Six Bowl bid (Cincinnati covered both games). But this is not the same Memphis team, as they have a new coaching staff and gave up 500 total yards to Temple last week. The Bearcats has an outstanding defense allowing just 12.5 point per game and if they can score close to 30 points in this game they should easily cover. Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against Memphis. The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks -3 v. Cardinals | 34-37 | Loss | -120 | 123 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (4:05p.m., Sunday, October FOX) Arizona will not be facing Andy Dalton and a dysfunctional team on Sunday. The Seahawks are coming off a bye and get to face Arizona on a short week, as the Cardinals played on Monday night football. Seattle won in Glendale by 17 points and I see another double-digit victory for the road team on Sunday. QB Wilson is playing at an MVP level and the coaches are finally letting him throw the ball early in games. Seattle is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 years coming off a bye week. The Seahawks are 13-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 road games. The Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a victory of more than 14 points in their previous game. |
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10-25-20 | Chiefs v. Broncos +10.5 | Top | 43-16 | Loss | -125 | 119 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #472 Denver Broncos over Kansas City Chiefs (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 25 CBS) Denver is coming off a big victory at Foxborough last Sunday, a team the Chiefs struggled to beat. Now Kansas City must play in the Mile-High air on short rest against a team that is desperate to remain in the playoff race. Kansas City has dominated Denver in recent years but getting Drew Lock back should stabilize the Broncos offense. The Broncos are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of October. |
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10-25-20 | Packers -3 v. Texans | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 116 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay Packers over Houston Texas (1p.m., Sunday, October 25 FOX) When the Packers lose, they tend to get blown out, but they usually bounce back strong. Romeo Crennel made a play to be the permanent coach of the Texans that backfired last week against Tennessee. Now he knows he will not be retained, and the Texans are just playing out the string. Green Bay is 3-1 ATS in this matchup with Houston and the Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. 75% of the early money is on Green Bay and expect them to win this game by 7+ points. Houston is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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10-25-20 | Browns v. Bengals +3.5 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 116 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 Cincinnati Bengals over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, October 25 CBS) Cleveland had a devastating loss last week at Pittsburgh and I am not sure they will be able to right the ship in just one week. The Bengals played the Browns tough in the first meeting and I see this game going down to the wire as well. Cleveland does not do well as a road favorite losing both games last year in the division when that occurred. Cincinnati is getting players back on defense and expect them to win this game straight-up. Cleveland is 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings with Cincinnati. |
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10-24-20 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -11 | 14-19 | Loss | -117 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #330 Miami Hurricanes over Virginia Cavaliers (8p.m., Saturday, October 24 ACCN) Virginia does not have a quarterback without Brennan Armstrong and they will not be able to use 2-3 other guys and stay within single digits against Miami. If he does play, he will be rusty, and I just do not see many weapons on offense for Virginia to threaten this Miami defense. Virginia has lost three straight games including the last two by 17 points to Wake Forest and NC State. Miami could not beat Clemson (join the club) but there other 3 wins have all been by double digits. D’Eriq King is going to picks apart this defense and I just do not believe Virginia will be able to keep pace. If Miami can put it together on offense, they can score 50+ points in this game. Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Virginia is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. |
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10-24-20 | Wyoming v. Nevada +4.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 98 h 50 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #382 Nevada Wolf Pack over Wyoming Cowboys (7p.m., Saturday, October 24 CBSSN) Just believe that the wrong team is favored in this game. Nevada returns a ton of talent on both sides of the football including QB Strong, who played well as the season went on last year. They should be able to move the football on a Wyoming defense that does not return much talent and have the replace their defensive coordinator for the second straight year. Nevada is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Jay Norvell lost his father this week and I think they play an inspired game in his honor. |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 94 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #324 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Virginia Tech Hokies (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 24 ESPN3) We used Wake Forest last week as our Underdog Game of the Year and won it easily. Not sure why they are this big of an underdog this week against Virginia Tech, a team that could not stop North Carolina whatsoever. Wake Forest will be able to score points in this game and if they can stop the rushing attack of the Hokies, I feel they can win this game straight-up. The home team is 9-0 ATS in the last 9 games that Wake Forest has played. Wake Forest has scored 40 points in every game this year except their opener against Clemson. If they do that in this game, they should be able to cover. Virginia Tech is 7-23 ATS in their last 30 road games when they are favored. |
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10-24-20 | Florida Atlantic v. Marshall -16.5 | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #374 Marshall Thundering Herd over FAU Owls (2:30p.m., Saturday, October 24 FSN) Never been a big fan of Willie Taggart and feel he will run this program into the ground like he did at Florida State. Marshall has won 6 of the last 7 games with FAU and have a superior defense in this matchup. They are allowing just 9.5 points per game and less than 70 rushing yards. The Owls have been off for three weeks and they struggled to put away Charlotte in their only game this season. FAU is just not the same team without Lane Kiffin and they will lose this game by 20+ points. FAU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Marshall. The Thundering Herd is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys +2 | 38-10 | Loss | -108 | 104 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 Dallas Cowboy over Arizona Cardinals (8:15p.m., Monday, October 19 ESPN) Just do not see that much of a drop-off with Dak Prescott injured and Andy Dalton under center. Arizona has had an easy schedule, and they should be 5-0 considering the teams that they have played. Arizona is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Dallas. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 matchups between the Cardinals and Cowboys. Dallas win this game straight-up, and getting points is icing on the cake. |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #271 Green Bay Packers over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 18 FOX) Many people did not expect the Packers to match their win total of 13 games from last year. But they are on pace to do just that and will enter this game healthy and well rested off a bye week. QB Brady is showing his age and is not playing at a level that can win games against the top teams in the league. Green Bay has won 3 straight games in this series, and the line has swung 5 points to the side of the Packers. Green Bay is better on both sides of the football, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when they are the favorite. Tampa Bay is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against NFC teams. |
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10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers -3.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #262 Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, October 18 CBS) Cleveland has played well of late and have stayed under the radar. If they win this game everyone will take notice, but beating Pittsburgh is something they seldom do. The Browns have not won at Pittsburgh since 2003. Enough said. |
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10-18-20 | Bears v. Panthers -2.5 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #252 Carolina Panthers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 18 FOX) The Bears are a fraud at 4-1 and I think there is a good chance they do not even make the playoffs come January. 3 of their 4 wins have come against the Lions, Giants, and Falcons. Carolina has won 3 straight games and Chicago is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games. Carolina is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of October. The Panthers have something going with a new coach and quarterback and we will ride them again on Sunday looking for their fourth straight wins. |
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10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama -3.5 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 56 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #166 Alabama Crimson Tide over Georgia Bulldogs (8p.m., Saturday, October 17 CBS) Alabama looked terrible on defense last week, but I expect a much better effort on Saturday night in Tuscaloosa. Georgia does not play an up-tempo spread offense like Ole Miss does, and I expect Alabama to play much better in this game. Georgia has a strong defense, but I am not that impressed with their offense and do not believe Stetson Bennett is a big-time, high division one quarterback. Alabama has won 5 straight games against Georgia. Alabama put up 723 yards last week, and I am just not sure Georgia can keep pace with them. The Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Alabama is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Charlie Strong inspires the Alabama defense, and the home team win by double digits. |
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10-17-20 | Virginia v. Wake Forest +3 | Top | 23-40 | Win | 100 | 92 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #122 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Virginia Cavaliers (4p.m., Saturday, October 17 ACCN) Just feel that the wrong team is favored in this game. Wake Forest needed some time off to get healthy and I feel their offensive is explosive and can score points with their up-tempo style. Virginia has quarterback injury issues, and they are coming off a home loss to NC State. They were not competitive in that game and they have lost 3 straight games to Wake Forest. Coach Clawson has won 4 straight games when they are an underdog of 3 points or less. This team played NC State much better than did Virginia and would have won that game if not for a couple of fluke plays. Virginia is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Wake Forest. The underdog is 5-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 8 meetings between the Cavaliers and Demon Deacons. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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10-17-20 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -6 | 34-7 | Loss | -112 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #134 Tennessee Volunteers -6 over Kentucky Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, October 17 SECN) Tennessee has dominated this series and giving less than 7 points makes this a strong play for us. Tennessee is 33-2 straight up and 26-9 ATS against Kentucky over the last 35 meetings. I just trust the Tennessee offense more in this game and hopefully we see the good Jarrett Guarantano in this game. The Volunteers are 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 SEC games. |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins v. 49ers -9 | 43-17 | Loss | -108 | 70 h 26 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #470 San Francisco 49ers -9 over Miami Dolphins (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 11 FOX) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK The 49ers are starting to get healthy and feel that this is a game that will get them back on track. San Francisco has a brutal schedule on deck and will enter that gauntlet at 3-2 on the year. Miami is sticking with QB Fitzpatrick for some reason and he does not give either side of the football much confidence. Seattle moved the football at will, had a red zone interception and still won a true road game by 8 points. The 49ers have a much better defense than does Seattle and I expect Miami to struggle moving the football against them. San Francisco beats bad teams big and that will be the case again on Sunday. Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against San Francisco. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. |
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10-11-20 | Bengals +13.5 v. Ravens | 3-27 | Loss | -115 | 117 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Cincinnati Bengals over Baltimore Ravens (1p.m., Sunday, October 11 CBS) This is just a lot of points to be giving for a divisional game. Cincinnati is capable now on offense of moving the football and scoring some points. Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite against other AFC North teams (Pittsburgh, Cleveland, & Cincinnati). The stats lasts week against Washington were not that impressive for Baltimore. Washington had 6 more first down in that game and Baltimore had just 7 more total yards. The Bengals are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games when they are an underdog. Baltimore is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games. |
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10-10-20 | Oklahoma v. Texas +2 | 53-45 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #324 Texas Longhorns over Oklahoma Sooners (12p.m., Saturday, October 10 FOX) Both teams are struggling at the moment, but Texas has covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 meetings with Oklahoma. The Longhorns have the edge at quarterback in this game for the first time in years and I have not been that impressed with Sooner Quarterback Spencer Rattler. Unlike Sam Ehlinger, he does not have the ability to beat you with his legs. Texas is a better team and Tom Herman is a better coach when they are the underdog and less is expected of them. The Sooners are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. The Longhorns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games as an underdog. |
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10-10-20 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -5 | Top | 45-56 | Win | 100 | 92 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #320 North Carolina Tar Heels over Virginia Tech Hokies (12p.m. Saturday, October 10 ABC) Both teams return a ton of talent from 2019 but I just feel Carolina has a major edge at quarterback and that will be the difference in this game. Braxton Burnmeister has not looked good in either start this season and has not thrown for over 170 yards in either game. QB Hendon Hooker may play in this game but he will be rusty having not played a snap this season. Virginia Tech had covid issues last week holding out a bunch of players. Carolina did not look impressive last week but they had a ton of time off and playing last week should get them back in the groove for this game. The Tar Heels have a strong rushing defense and the better quarterback in this game. Those are two indicators that this is the right side to take. The home team has covered the spread in this series 4 of the last 5 games. Virginia Tech is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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10-04-20 | Bills v. Raiders +3 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #276 Las Vegas Raiders over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 4 CBS) Karma will bite the Buffalo Bills in this game. They were very fortunate to win last week against the Rams with the help of a questionable pass interference call kept their game winning driver alive. The Raiders got worn down last week against the Patriots but expect them to bounce back in a big way at home today against the Bills. The Raiders played well against the Saints and expect them to find their form from that game. Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Oakland. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of October. Oakland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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10-04-20 | Chargers v. Bucs -7 | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 97 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #266 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Los Angeles Chargers (1p.m., Sunday, October 4 CBS) Just believe the Buccaneers continue to be a little under valued and feel they will win this game by double digits. The Chargers are coming off a bad home loss to the Panthers and they are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games. QB Brady is coming off his best performance on the year in which he threw for 3 touchdowns and 9 interceptions in a dominating victory at Denver last Sunday. Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games. |
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10-03-20 | Auburn +7 v. Georgia | 6-27 | Loss | -114 | 56 h 2 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #153 Auburn Tigers over Georgia Bulldogs (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 3 ESPN) Top College Football Play of the Week The Bulldogs are banking on a big upgrade on offense with QB JT Daniels clear to play but I just do not see an offensive explosion. They struggled last week with Arkansas trailing 7-5 at halftime and I do not expect their offensive line to hold up in this game against Auburn. The Tigers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. Auburn has not had much success against Georgia in recent years, but I like there quarterback better and the talent is just too even to be giving this many points. Auburn can win this game straight-up and expect them to easily cover the spread. |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 75 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #136 Kansas State Wildcats over Texas Tech Red Raiders (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 3 FS1) Just do not trust Texas Tech. Both teams experienced dramatic games last week with Kansas State beating Oklahoma and Texas Tech blowing a big lead late against Texas. The Wildcats have dominated this matchup winning 8 of their last 9 games against the Red Raiders (7-2 ATS). Texas Tech just does not historically win these types of games, especially on the road. They have allowed 30+ points in 10 of their last 11 games. Texas Tech is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Kansas State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Big 12 games. |