Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-04-19 | Predators -185 v. Red Wings | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Wings are not a good team. Through 15 games, they have a -24 goal differential. Thats the worst in the leauge by a long way. Tonight, they'll face one of the top teams in the league. If the game was at Nashville, the price would be a lot higher, as it was when these teams played there a month ago. The Preds were laying -255 for that one but lost. Needless to say, they haven't forgotten. They're also coming off b2b losses. The previous time that happened this season, they responded with a 6-1 win. Expect them to bounce back big. |
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11-04-19 | Senators v. Rangers -158 | 6-2 | Loss | -158 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY. The Rangers are taking a major step down in class as the Senators are not a good team. The Rangers' recent games have come against the likes of Boston, Tampa and Nasvhille. Those are three of the top teams in the league and the Rangers won the last two of those. In fact, their last seven opponents have a 61-23 record, all of them above .500. Now, they'll take on the 3-8 Senators, a team they already beat 4-1. I expect the Rangers, 19-8 (+13.5) in November the past 2+ seasons, to take advantage. While the Sens would surely like to avenge the earlier loss, they're terrible (38-72 L2 years) in the revenge role. They're also a dismal 20-48 (-19) the last 2+ seasons, off a loss by two or more goals. All things considered, this line could easily be higher. |
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11-03-19 | Blackhawks v. Ducks -148 | 3-2 | Loss | -148 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Ducks are playing very well on home ice. With Friday's win, they're 6-1 (+4.6) here. On the other hand, the Hawks fell to 0-4 on the road, last night. While the Ducks had last night off, the Hawks were involved in a hard-fought battle, at LA. They tied the game late, to salvage a point, but gave up a goal in the closing seconds of OT to lose the game. Note that they're 10-22 the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. During that span, the Hawks are also an ugly 11-32 (-22.3) when facing a team with a winning record, in the first half of the season. Indeed, this Chicago team is a far cry from the teams that won the Cup in recent years. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Ducks to take care of business this evening. |
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11-02-19 | Canucks v. Sharks -132 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -132 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. Last night's game at Anaheim worked out just about perfectly. Not only did the Canucks losing (allowing us to cash with Anaheim) but they did so in OT. So, the Canucks worked extra hard and were somewhat satisfied with the result. Vancouver coach Travis Green commented post-game: "...pretty good game, pretty good road game, good to get a point..." In other words, they're physically tired and they're not going to be desperate. Its also worth noting that the Canucks saw Quinn go down with injury last night. While it appears it won't be as serious as initially feared, its hard to imagine him playing tonight. Unlike the Canucks, the Sharks played well but weren't rewarded with a point last night. SJ coach DeBoer had this to say: "That's the team I've become familiar with. That's the style of play. It was nice to see, we haven't seen it in a while. It would have been nice to get rewarded for it, but if we play with that type of game, the wins will come." DeBoer went on to say: "We want to get right back at it," DeBoer said. "We played a good game. We'll look at it tomorrow morning, have a quick meeting. We don't want to change anything. We want to play that same type of game tomorrow night." Expect the Sharks to be the more desperate team here, en route to an important two points. |
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11-01-19 | Canucks v. Ducks -108 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. While the Canucks have been on a nice roll, this is always a difficult venue for them. The Ducks are 4-0 the last four times that they hosted Vancouver. The Canucks were held scoreless in two of their last three trips here. While the Canucks are a solid 4-3 on the road, the Ducks are already 5-1 when listed as the home team. While the Canucks, 22-36 (-9.4) their last 58 after scoring four or more goals, play again tomorrow, the Ducks have tomorrow off. Look for them to continue their strong home play for another night. |
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10-31-19 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights -190 | 5-4 | Loss | -190 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. Off back-to-back wins, playing their second game in two days and down in Vegas for Halloween, the Canadiens could be a little complacent here. Either way, I expect them to struggle. The Habs are already 0-2 when playing the second of b2b games, losing vs. Detroit and at Minnesota. Going back further finds them at a money-burning 9-21 (-13.2) their last 30 in that situation. Schedule and venue in their favor, look for the well-rested Knights to improve to 13-7 the past 20 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. |
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10-30-19 | Canucks v. Kings -105 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. I played on the Canucks when these teams met earlier. It was a great spot for the Canucks. They were well-rested, hungry off a couple of losses and playing their home opener. The Kings, on the other hand, were playng their second game in two days, after winning at Calgary the previous night. The Canucks took advantage of the situation and won 8-2. Things are different now though. The Kings are rested and playing at home. Off three straight losses, they're going to be hungry, too. The Kings already lost three straight once this season and they responded with one of their best games, a 4-1 win against Calgary, to snap the skid. The Canucks are just 21-34 their past 55, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. While I've played against them recently, I say the revenge-minded Kings bounce back with a win tonight. |
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10-29-19 | Capitals v. Maple Leafs -120 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. While I respect the Capitals, I believe that this is a good spot for the Leafs. Washington is at the end of a fairly long road trip. The trip started on 10/20, at Chicago and took the Caps all through the West Coast of Canada. Having already achieved a sucessful trip, I feel it'll be easy for them to get caught looking ahead to the return home. Toronto, on the other hand, will be motivated to bounce back from a loss and to avenge an earlier loss to these same Caps. The well-rested Leafs are a profitable 51-31 (+8.1) in the revenge role the past couple of seasons. Expect them to improve on those stats Tuesday. |
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10-27-19 | Kings v. Blackhawks -133 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. I played against the Kings last night and they lost 5-1, at Minnesota. Facing what will be a hungry Chicago team, I'm going right back against them tonight. While the Hawks also lost yesterday, I like the fact that their game started seven hours earlier than the Kings' game. I also like that the Hawks are here in their own building, facing a team they match up well against. Knowing that that they hit the road after this - and that the second game of their trip will be at LA against these Kings - the Hawks are going to be desperate for a win tonight. With the Kings having been outscored by a combined 13-4 score, in two previous b2b instances, look for the Hawks' desperation to translate to a victory. |
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10-26-19 | Kings v. Wild -130 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. These teams met here almost exactly one year ago to the day. The Wild, laying -165, won that 10/25/18 game by a score of 4-1. Since then, the teams have met two more times. The Wild won both those games, too. I like them to take care of business again this evening. While they lost at Nashville last time out, the Wild have won their last two home games. Last time here, they beat the red hot Oilers by a 3-0 score. Knowing that this is their final home game in October, they're going to be highly determined to pick up the two points. The Kings have given up 15 combined goals their last three road games. I feel that the price could easily be higher and I look for the Wild to make it four straight in the series. |
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10-25-19 | Sharks v. Maple Leafs -165 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Leafs have both the venue and the schedule in their favor for this one. While the Leafs are rested, the Sharks are off a road win at Montreal last night. The Sharks lost 3-1 at Anaheim when playing the second of b2b games earlier this season. They're 13-16 (-5.1) in that situation the past couple of seasons. While the Sharks owned the Leafs for several years, the Leafs have now won three straight in the series. Toronto scored 10 goals, five in each game, in the last two. Expect a win for the home team. |
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10-24-19 | Panthers v. Flames -120 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Flames hit the road after this one. Off a loss last time out, they're going to be determined to pick up points before the trip. While I respect the Panthers, I also like this Flames lineup. Consider that that Flames were favored for both last season's meetings, laying -140 at Florida and -225 here at Calgary. Not that much has changed to bring the price down this much. Look for the "under-valued" Flames to bring their best game, bouncing back and improving to 34-24 (+6.7) the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. |
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10-24-19 | Ducks v. Stars -139 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The home team has dominated this series in recent seasons and I expect that to continue this evening. The Ducks check in with the better record. However, its Dallas which is currently the hotter team. After a shaky start, the Stars are off b2b wins. They've won those games by a convincing (combined) 6-2 margin. The Ducks have gone the other way. After a hot start, they've been outscored 8-2 their last two games. I played against them last game and they lost 6-1. Note that they're a poor 19-31 (-13.7) the last 50 times that they were off a game in which they scored one goal or less. While they've dropped six straight at Anaheim, the Stars are a perfect 6-0 their last six as a host in this series. Expect that home ice dominance to continue this evening. |
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10-23-19 | Red Wings v. Senators -124 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. The Senators could badly use a victory. Here, they've got a team which they can match up well against along with the venue and schedule in their favor. While the Sens come in rested, the Wings hosted Vancouver last night. The Wings lost 2-1 less than a week ago, when playing the second of b2b games. They're a dreadful 18-40 (-17.8) when facing divisional opponents. Opportunities like this one don't come around that often for the Sens. Look for them to make the most of it. |
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10-22-19 | Ducks v. Predators -160 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Ducks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Ducks had been perfect at home before losing 2-1 in their last game. Note that they're just 19-30 (-12.7) the past couple of seasons, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Tonight, they're at one of the league's most difficult venues. The Predators come in well-rested and in a foul mood. The Preds tend to elevate their game against the league's better teams; over the past couple of seasons, they're a dominant 27-10 (+16.3) against teams which have a winning record in the first half of the season. The home team has won five straight in this series. Here at Nashville, the Preds are 4-0 their last four against the Ducks and 7-1 their last eight. They were laying -240 the last time that the teams met here. We're getting them at a better price than that tonight and I expect them to roll again. |
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10-21-19 | Avalanche v. Blues -137 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. Needless to say, the Avs are off to a fantastic start. However, I believe they'll finally suffer their first regulation loss here. They just won two games in two days, in the state of Florida. They've been on the road for a long time already and they've got some time in Vegas ahead of them. They'll also be facing the defending champs. The Blues are going to be extremely hungry to get back on track. They've beaten the Avs four straight times. Going back further finds the Blues at 13-3 the past 16 meetings. Expect a highly motivated effort to lead to them improving on those stats Monday. |
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10-20-19 | Oilers v. Jets -127 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jets have failed to come through for me a couple of times. However, with the red hot Oilers coming to town, I expect them to elevate their game. The old Oiler teams used to be famous for "loving to party." While the current Oilers don't have the same reputation for going out on Saturday nights, its still interesting that Edmonton is just 6-14 (-9.4) its last 20 Sunday games. During the same span, Winnipeg is 20-8 (+10.1) when playing on Sunday. Not why I'm making the play but interesting all the same. The Jets have had success against Edmonton. They've beaten the Oilers each of the last two meetings and five of the past six. Speaking of "five of six," the Jets are 5-1 the past 2+ seasons, after having lost their previous three consecutive games. They're going to be hungry, to say the least. Expect them to bounce back and improve to 30-18 (+8.2) their last 48, when off a loss by two or more goals. |
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10-19-19 | Stars v. Flyers -145 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -145 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Tough start for the Stars and I expect that to continue to be the case for at least another day. The home team won both meetings in this series last season. That was also the case the previous season. The Flyers won the two games here by identical 2-1 scores. Not only do the Flyers have the venue in their favor, they've also got the schedule working for them. The Stars fought hard against the Penguins yesterday, getting off to an early lead but ultimately losing, while the Flyers had the past couple of days off. The Stars' previous b2b situation this season resulted in a loss at Detroit. Over the past five games, all of them losses, the Stars have scored just seven combined goals. Thats not going to get it done. The Flyers are 0-3 on the road but 2-0 here at home. Off a disappointing trip out West, they're going to be angry. Home ice proves significant, again. |
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10-19-19 | Canucks v. Devils -110 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ. The Canucks have been on a nice roll. Playing an early game in the Eastern Time Zone and in potential "letdown mode" off a win over the defending champs, I expect their winning streak to come to an end here. Even off the win over the Blues, the Canucks are still just 3-8 the past 2+ seasons, after winning their previous three or more games. During that span, they're also 20-34 (-9.4) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Devils got the monkey off their back with their first win last time out. They handled the Canucks last season incl. a 4-0 win here. Expect them to take care of business once again. |
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10-18-19 | Blue Jackets v. Blackhawks -130 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Hawks got on track in their last game, a 3-1 win (their first) against Edmonton. They're the only team to knock off the Oilers thus far. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. The Jackets have been outscored 9-5 in two road games this season. Unlike Chicago, Columbus plays tomorrow night. I say the Hawks take care of business. |
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10-18-19 | Avalanche v. Panthers -125 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Avs finally got cooled off last game. Off their first loss and with a showdown against Tampa on deck tomorrow night, I expect them to stumble again this evening. The Panthers have played four of six on the road and their two home games came against the Lightnining and Hurricanes, two of this season's top teams so far. The Panthers did win their last game though and come in well-rested for this one. (They're 6-4 L10 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games.) I believe that they're currently a bit under-valued. Look for the Panthers to improve to 36-24 the past 60 times that they played here at home when the O/U line was six or greater. |
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10-17-19 | Islanders v. Jets -125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jets were laying -170 the last time that they hosted the Isles. We're getting them for a far more reasonable price tonight and I believe that they're providing us with excellent value. The Isles have only played one road game and they lost 5-2. They were outshot by a 40-19 margin, too. Off b2b losses to begin this homestand, the Jets are going to be extremely hungry. Look for a highly motivated effort as they improve to 30-17 (+9.5) the past 2+ seasons, when off a loss of two or more goals. |
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10-17-19 | Rangers v. Devils -124 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ. Its been a tough start for the Devils and they're going to under a lot of pressure to get their first win. I believe a visit from the rival Rangers will be just what they need to get going though. At least for tonight. The Rangers have had an extended break and thats historically not been a good thing for them. Over the years, the Rangers are just 73-94 (-38.9) when playing with three or more day's rest. That includes a money-burning 5-10 (-2-8) record in that situation the past 2+ seasons. Note that NY, which lost 4-1 last time out, while also off an extended break, is also 17-38 (-20.6) during that span, when off a loss by two or more goals and 8-23 after scoring one goal or less its previous game. The Devils offense got going last time out as they scored four goals in a loss against the Panthers. They're 26-16 (+4.1) the past couple seasons, off a game where they scored four or more. Expect them to improve on those stats with a highly motivated effort this evening. |
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10-16-19 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals -113 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. In addition to having the venue in their favor, the Capitals also have the schedule working for them here. The Leafs beat Minnesota last night while the Caps were resting. Toronto hasn't been very good in b2b situations, going 13-15 (-5.6) the past couple of seasons. The Leafs are already 0-1 when playing the second of b2b games this season, too, falling against Montreal after beating Columbus the previous night. The Caps are going to come in hungry; they're 29-19 (+7.7) when off a loss by two or more goals, the past couple of seasons. Expect them to improve on those numbers here. |
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10-15-19 | Coyotes v. Jets -135 | 4-2 | Loss | -135 | 28 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jets were at least -200 each of the past few times that they hosted the Coyotes. We're getting them at a considerably more reasonable price here and I feel thats offering excellent value. Indeed, the Coyotes are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 7-2 loss against Pittsburgh on Sunday, the Jets are going to be in an angry mood for this one. They're 29-16 the past 45 times that they were off a loss by two or more goals, 2-0 already this season. The Jets were 31-12 against sub-500 teams in the first half of the season the past couple of years, 52-26 against losing teams overall. During that span, the Coyotes were 34-52 against winning teams. With Arizona also just 9-21 (-11.5) the past 30 times that they played with two day's rest in between games, look for the Jets to take care of business. |
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10-14-19 | Oilers v. Blackhawks -115 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Oilers are off to a terrific 5-0 start. They've been falling behind in each game and then coming back. Facing a desperate Chicago team, one determined to notch its first victory, I expect the Oilers' magic to run out. While Edmonton is certainly a better team than it showed last season, the issues aren't entirely fixed. The Hawks have won six of the last nine meetings with the Oilers, here at Chicago. Toews has more than 80 points last season for the Hawks but is pointless thus far. Expect that to change this evening, as the former Conn Smythe winner leads his team by example this evening. Hawks win. |
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10-14-19 | Ducks v. Bruins -185 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Both teams are off to great starts but I expect home ice and the early start time to favor the Bruins in this one. While the Ducks had a run off success in this series for three or four years, that came to an end last season. The Bruins won last season's two games by a combined score of 6-1. Look for the Bruins to remain perfect at home. |
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10-12-19 | Maple Leafs -165 v. Red Wings | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Leafs have struggled out of the gate. However, this is still an elite team, in terms of talent - one which will have plenty of its own fans in the building for this one. Over the past couple of seasons, the Leafs are 8-2 (+5.4) when off three or more consec. losses. During that span, the Wings were a terrible 18-39 (-16.8) in divisional games. The Leafs have been laying more than -300 for recent home games against Detroit but we're able to get them for a reasonable price due to the game being played at Detroit. Expect them to bounce back with their best effort, en route to earning an important two points. |
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10-11-19 | Ducks v. Blue Jackets -140 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. I successfully played against the Ducks last night. Off their first loss of the season and now playing the second of b2b games, I'm going against them again tonight. The Jackets got on track in their last game, a hard-fought 4-3 win over Buffalo. They've had the past three days off. Knowing they play a tough road game tomorrow, they know they need to take care of business tonight. Note that the Jackets have long been profitable when playing with three or more day's rest, including an 8-6 (+2.3) mark in that situation the past couple of seasons. During the same span, the Ducks were 10-13 when playing the second of b2b games and just 18-30 (-13.9) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. I'm backing the well-rested home team. |
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10-10-19 | Capitals v. Predators -140 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Predators have had their way with the Capitals in recent meetings and I expect that to be the case again this evening. This is the final game of a 4-game homestand for the Preds. They're 18-8 the past couple of seasons after playing their previous three at home and they're going to be anxious for another victory before the road trip. The Caps have lost b2b games and they play a revenge-game against Dallas, a team which just beat them, next. Expect home ice to prove significant. |
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10-10-19 | Ducks v. Penguins -135 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Ducks are on a roll but I expect the Penguins to bring them back down to earth this evening. While the Pens don't have Malkin, they still have plenty of other weapons. Off a 4-1 loss last time out, the Pens are going to be all business here. Note that they're 45-29 the past couple of seasons after allowing four or more goals and 28-17 after a loss by two or more goals. During the same span, the Ducks are just 7-10 (-4.4) after winning their previous three games. The Pens were laying -175 the last time that they hosted the Ducks. We're getting them at a far better price here and I believe thats providing excellent value. |
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10-10-19 | Red Wings v. Canadiens -174 | 4-2 | Loss | -174 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. This is the Canadiens' home opener and they're going to be fired up. Sure, they lost last night, putting them in a b2b situation. However, they had the previous three days off, so its not that bad a spot. The Wings lost 3-1 against Anaheim on Tuesday. They're an ugly 16-35 (-10.5) off a loss by two or more goals, the past couple of seasons. While the Habs have been respectable against divisional opponents, the Wings are just 17-39 (-18.5) in division games the past couple of seasons. The Habs were laying -375 the last time that the teams met here, Montreal winning 3-1. That continued an extended run of dominance in the series. More of the same tonight. |
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10-09-19 | Kings v. Canucks -145 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. I've successfully played against the Canucks in each of their first two games. Those were both on the road, each against determined and fairly talented Alberta-based teams. The Canucks are playing their home opener here though and they match up far better against the Kings. Note that the Canucks won the previous two 2019 meetings, one in February and another in March. They're going to be extremely determined and I expect their very best effort. While the Canucks come in rested, the Kings are off a game at Calgary last night. Schedule and venue in their favor, the Canucks earn their first "W." |
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10-08-19 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -118 | 6-3 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Canes are off to a nice 3-0 start and they came through for us in their opening win against Montreal. They're 9-13 (-6.5) the past 22 times that they were on a 3-game unbeaten streak though and I expect the Panthers to bring them back down to earth this evening. The Panthers have quietly assembled a lot of offensive weapons and they beat Tampa in their lone home game. They're now 35-23 the past 2+ seasons, when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Knowing their next three are at home, they're going to be hungry to pick up the two points here. Expect them to do just that. |
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10-07-19 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Sabres have higher than normal expectations this season and are off to a 2-0 start. The Jackets, meanwhile, are being projected to finish last in their division. The Sabres are 2-0 while the Jackets are 0-2. Yet, I'm backing Columbus. Here's why. Home ice can't be ignored. We're getting what will be a desperate Columbus team at a pick'em price. Last time these teams met, the Jackets were laying -220, at Buffalo. In fact, in all six meetings since the start of 2017, the Jackets were favored. Lines ranged from -160 to -270. Yes, some things have changed. But not enough to make the line swing that much. The Sabres are 16-33 (-13.5) the past couple of seasons, after scoring four or more goals. During that span, they were also 8-22 (-12.6) when off a win by two or more goals. On the other hand, the Jackets were 34-17 (+13.6) when off a loss by two or more. Bottom line is that I expect the home team to be a little hungrier and for that to lead to victory. |
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10-06-19 | Stars -134 v. Red Wings | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. Both teams played last night. The Wings won at Nashville, upsetting the Predators. The Stars lost at St. Louis. I feel that situation favors the Stars here. Not only have the Stars been better than the Wings in b2b situations in recent seasons but the fact that they lost (again) should have them extra determined in this one. The Wings, meanwhile, could be caught patting themselves on the back a bit, off their somewhat unlikely win at a tough venue. With the Wings just 9-16 the past 25 times that they played the second of b2b games, expect the highly motivated visitors to come away with the "W." |
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10-05-19 | Canucks v. Flames -185 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Canucks won their first game of the season each of the past four seasons. In each case, the Vancouver fans got all excited. In each case, the team ultimately faded and missed the playoffs. This year, however, the Canucks stumbled out of the gate. (I read an article in a Vancouver paper claim that was a good thing.) Now, they face perhaps an even tougher opponent, one who will be extremely hungry to avoid an 0-2 start. The Flames are a deeper, stronger team. They're 50-35 their last 85 against losing teams. (Canucks may be only 0-1 but they've been a losing team for years.) Anxious to rid the bad taste in their mouth from last year, look for them to take care of business tonight. |
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10-03-19 | Flames v. Avalanche -121 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. Three of four home teams won last night. I expect home ice to also prove significant in this one. We're getting a very fair price on the Avs here, in part because many will be looking to back the revenge-minded Flames. Recall that Colorado upset the Flames in the playoffs last season. Yes, the Flames want payback. But the Avs are every bit as determined to get the season started on the right foot and to prove that last season wasn't a fluke. The Avs have some decent new pieces to complement their core top guys. I like this team and I expect them to start the year with a "W." |
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10-03-19 | Wild v. Predators -163 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Three of four home teams won last night. I expect home ice to also prove significant in this one. The Predators were one of the top teams in the preason, finishing with a 5-1 record. They closed the exhibition campaign off three straight wins and I expect them to carry the positive momentum into tonight's game. The Preds swept the Wild last season and have won five straight in the series. Nashville should be a top team again this season. I'm not sure the same can be said of Minnesota. Preds roll. |
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10-03-19 | Canadiens v. Hurricanes -147 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. Three of four home teams won last night. I expect home ice to also prove significant in this one. The Canes have had their way with the Habs in recent seasons. They've won six of the past seven meetings. The Canes are arguably stronger now, too. They returned to the playoffs, after a 9-year drought, last season. This season, they're expected to be one of the top teams in the Metro. division. While that remains to be seen, I do expect them to get their season off to a winning start tonight. |
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10-02-19 | Canucks v. Oilers -114 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 51 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. Obviously, both teams want to start strong. The Oilers arguably need this one more though. They were a big disappointment last year and can't afford to start under-achieving out of the gate. The Canucks are a team which they match up well against and I expect them to take advantage of the favorable matchup. Note that Edmonton one both previous 2019 (reg season) meetings and that the Oilers were laying -190 for the game here at Edmonton. Tonight's price is significantly lower, providing us with excellent value. The Canucks were 2-0 against the Oilers in preseason and they hammered them here at Edmonton by a score of 6-1. We'll see a different Oiler team tonight though and they'll settle the score. |
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06-09-19 | Bruins v. Blues -120 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. Did the Bruins get robbed on a bad call last game? Probably so. However, thats not going to help them here. They need to get over it but thats all anyone has talked about. They've certainly already got their excuse ready to go, when the Blues close things out tonight. The city of St. Louis has supported the Blues through good times and bad over the years. They love this team. They're starving for a winner. The Bruins have been mediocre on the road all season. The building is going to be electric and the fans are going to provide some extra energy for the Blues. Binnington has absolutely regained his swagger and comes in full of confidence. The Cup will be in the building and I say the season ends tonight. |
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06-01-19 | Bruins v. Blues -111 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -111 | 34 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. At roughly a pick'em price, I feel that the Blues are offering excellent value in Game 3. If they'd won Game 2, the Bruins had a chance to practically put this series to bed. It didn't happen though, the Blues pulling out the OT win. Now back home and having achieved the road split, I expect too see the Blues' best. The Bruins are 2-3 when tied in a playoff series. The Blues are 4-2 when tied. The Bruins are 26-23 on the road, the Blues are 29-22 at home. The Blues are 11-5 their last 16 as a host in this series and they beat the Bruins here in the regular season each of the past two seasons. The Blues were dominant (5-1 win over SJ) their last game here. Expect home ice to prove significant. |
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05-19-19 | Blues v. Sharks -127 | 5-0 | Loss | -127 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Blues scored in the opening minute of Game 3, en route to a 2-1 victory. Back on home ice, the series now tied 2-2, I fully expect the Sharks to respond with a victory. Not only are the Sharks 5-1 when tied in these playoffs, they're also 8-1 the last nine times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. They've been battle-tested in these playoffs, with both Vegas and Colorado taking them to a seventh game. I believe that's going to serve them well in this pivotal game. The Blues are 27-22 on the road, 13-13 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. On the other hand, the Sharks are 32-19 at home, 9-2 when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Sharks have taken three of four meetings here at SJ this season. Look for them to seize control of the series. |
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05-14-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -105 | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. At a pick'em price, I believe that a desperate Hurricane team is offering us excellent value. The Canes return to Raleigh after dropping both at Boston and know that they can ill afford to go down 3-0. Keep in mind that the Bruins are only 24-23 on the road compared to the Canes' 29-17 mark here at home. That includes a 9-1 mark their last 10 here, a perfect 7-0 their past seven. These teams last met here on 12/23. Carolina won 5-3. The Canes are 10-1 (+8.2) when playing at home with an O/U line of 5.5. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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05-11-19 | Blues v. Sharks -117 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. I've felt that the Sharks have been offering excellent value throughout these playoffs and I believe thats the case again here. They've won both their opening games, I backed them in each. In fact, I'm 7-0 playing on the Sharks in these playoffs. I've played on them in their wins and avoided them in their losses. These teams met three times in the reg. season. The Blues won the lone meeting at St. Louis. The two other meetings were here, the Sharks won both. They were laying -190 and -140 for those games. Needless to say, we're getting a far better price here. In fact, they were even laying -120 for the game at St. Louis. True, the Sharks are off another 7-game series. They've had the past two days off though and Game 7 was here at San Jose. I expect them to be fully ready to go. While the Blues are 26-21 on the road, the Sharks are 31-18 at home. Expect The Shark Tank to be rocking and the home team to draw first blood. |
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05-08-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. I've been successfully playing on the Sharks - and avoiding them when they lost - these entire playoffs. In fact, I'm a perfect 6-0 (all 4 wins in the Vegas series and 2 in this one) when playing on the Sharks, steering clear of all of their losses. I haven't played against them and I'm not going to here either. The Sharks have been under-achieving in the playoffs for years but I've been saying all along that this very well could be the year that they surprise and finally make a run. They've earned the right to play this game at home and thats going to play a factor. Vegas took them to the brink - and the Sharks still rallied for an improbable Game 7 win. I believe that experience is going to serve them well here. The Avs won 4-3 last game as these teams have been alternating wins/losses. They're just 12-22 (-13.4) on the season after scoring four or more goals though. The Avs are 20-27 on the road, the Sharks are 30-18 at home. Lets go Sharks! |
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05-06-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets -114 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -114 | 33 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Bruins earned a huge victory in Game 5 and now have a chance to close things out in Game 6. They rarely do anything "easy" though, as seen by the seven game series against Toronto. The Jackets, meanwhile, are a scrappy team that is going to be playing for its season. I think we'll see a Game 7. The only previous time that Columbus was trailing in this series (and these playoffs) was after Game 1. They responded by winning Game 2 and Game 3. They're 19-12 since the beginning of the season, after allowing four or more goals. Including their Game 2 loss, the Bruins are only 2-6 (-5.7) their last eight, when leading in a playoff series. The Jackets have a better home record than Boston's road record. All things considered, I feel that they're offering us excellent value. Don't count the Jackets out yet. |
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05-04-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -140 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 38 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. While I won with the under last game, I've also backed the Sharks five times in these playoffs. They won all five times. Here's another spot where I expect them to rise to the occasion with a very important victory. The Avs are just 20-26 on the road. The Sharks, on the other hand, are 29-18 at home. Yes, the Avs won 3-0 in Game 4, at Colorado. However, they're just 4-9 their past 13, when off a shutout win. During that span, the Sharks are an excellent 28-13 (+11.9) after scoring one goal or less. That includes a 7-1 record in that situation this season. The Sharks are hopeful to get Pavelski back for this game. Either way, playing in front of the home fans, look for them to step up and seize control of the series. |
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05-01-19 | Blues v. Stars -119 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. So far, in this series, these teams have alternated wins and losses. The Blues grabbed Game 1. The Stars won Game 2. The Blues won Game 3. I expect that pattern to continue for at least one more game and for a desperate Dallas team to have the advantage for Game 4. The Stars were also trailing the Predators 2-1 after three games. Just like this series, they'd won Game 2 and lost Game 1 and Game 3. They responded with their best game of the playoffs in Game 4, a convincing 5-1 victory. Once again, don't count out the Stars yet. They've got a great goalie, plenty of talent and they've been excellent on the penalty-kill throughout the playoffs. Look for them to dig deep and even up the series. |
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04-26-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -125 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Sharks are off an extremely hard fought series against the Knights, rallying from a 3-1 series deficit and taking Game 7 in OT. That may cause some to stay off them here and has helped provide us with a very fair price. However, I believe it gives them a ton of momentum. They've just dug themselves out of a huge hole and are feel that they can take on anyone. While the Vegas series was indeed tough, they've had two full days off and there was no travel, as Game 7 was here in San Jose. That's just about perfect, in my opinion. Note that they're 12-6 on the season, when on a 3-game winning streak. The Avs, on the other hand, haven't played since 4/19. Thats a long gap in between games and its going to be tough early for them to get to the intensity level of the Sharks. Note that you'd be a perfect 7-0 this season, if playing against the Avs when they played with three or more day's rest in between games. The Sharks have beaten the Avs four straight times, most recently a 5-2 win here three weeks ago. They were laying -165 for that one. While the Avs are 19-25 on the road, the Sharks are 28-17 at home. Sharks draw first blood. |
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04-25-19 | Stars v. Blues -149 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. While both these teams were strong in the first round, I expect the Blues to have a solid advantage in Game 1 of this second round series. The Blues were 24-15-2 at home this reg. season. The Stars were 19-18-4 on the road. The Stars are a respectable 27-21 their last 48. However, during the same span, the Blues were a dominant 34-17. The Stars are just 7-10 (-4) when playing with two or more day's rest in between games. On the other hand, the Blues were 6-3 (+3.5) when playing with three or more day's rest. Even after knocking off the Preds, the Stars are still just 12-11 their last 23 against winning teams. Conversely, the Blues are 16-6 (+11.1) their last 22 against teams with a winning record. Expect the Blues to draw first blood. |
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04-23-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -116 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 37 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. I've successfully played on the Sharks in all three of their wins in this series, while staying off of them in all three of their losses. They battled so hard to keep the series going and now get to play at home with everything on the line. At a pick'em price, I feel that they're offering outstanding value. While the Knights are 20-24 on the road, the Sharks are 27-17 at home. The Sharks dominated the last game here, jumping all over the Knights out of the gate and eventually winning 5-2. The Sharks still haven't forgotten that it was the Knights who knocked them out of the playoffs last season. On Tuesday, they finally settle the score. |
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04-20-19 | Stars v. Predators -144 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -144 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on NASHVILLE. Off b2b losses, we're going to see a determined Nashville team on Saturday afternoon. While the Stars are 20-23 on the road, the Preds are 26-17 at home. The Stars are just 6-10 when playing with two day's rest in between games. They're also only 12-14 (-5.3) off a win by two or more goals. Meanwhile, Nashville is 13-6 (+3.1) off a loss by two or more. Going back further finds the Preds at 39-23 (+8.4) in that situation. During the same span, the Preds are also 32-19 after scoring one goal or less. Expect home ice to prove significant, the Preds bouncing back and regaining control of the series. |
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04-19-19 | Avalanche v. Flames -170 | 5-1 | Loss | -170 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. Clearly, anything can happen in the NHL playoffs. Just ask fans of the Tampa Bay Lightning. That said, I don't expect the #1 seed in the West to go quietly. Facing elimination, I expect them to come out desperate from the opening whistle and to play the type of hockey that led to a 27-16 record here. (The Avs are 18-25 on the road.) An overall record which was 17 points better than Colorado. The Flames could easily be tied in this series, despite getting very little production from their top line. Look for Gaudreau and co. to finally get going, the Flames rallying to force a Game 6. |
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04-18-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -118 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ. The Sharks took Game 1. Since then, the Knights have won three straight. I'm not counting San Jose out though. The Sharks are 26-17 at home, the Knights are 20-23 on the road. While Vegas was dominant in winning 5-0 last game, the Sharks are 6-1 after scoring one goal or less. Going back further finds them at a profitable 27-13 (+10.9) their last 40 in that situation. On the other hand, the Knights are just 14-16 (-9.1) after scoring four or more goals. Needless to say, the Sharks haven't forgotten that the Knights knocked them out last year. They're not going to let it happen on home ice. Not tonight, at least. Expect them to play with desperation right from the opening whistle and look for them to extend the series. |
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04-16-19 | Islanders v. Penguins -162 | 3-1 | Loss | -162 | 28 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Its going to be hard for the Pens to come all the way back in this series, as they've dug themselves a big hole. That said, they can only take it one game at a time and I expect a huge effort tonight. The Pens remain a healthy 43-23 the past 2+ seasons, after a loss by two or more goals. Crosby has had a forgettable series. He's been one of the best in the game for a long time though and I don't expect him to just go away quietly. Expect a determined Penguin team to be all business, extending the series and avoiding the sweep. |
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04-16-19 | Lightning -133 v. Blue Jackets | 3-7 | Loss | -133 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. Its going to be hard for the Lightning to come all the way back in this series, as they've dug themselves a big hole. That said, they can only take it one game at a time and I expect a huge effort tonight. The Lightning, who were absolutely dominant in the regular season, get Kucherov back. The Lightning remain a healthy 4021 the past 2+ seasons, after a loss by two or more goals. During that span, Tampa is also a lucrative 9-2, after losing three straight. Expect a determined Lightning team to be all business, extending the series and avoiding the sweep. |
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04-15-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -128 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Canes are down 0-2. They've been right in both games though. Saturday's game went to OT. Back home, in front of their loving fans, I expect them to bounce back with a badly needed victory. Since Christmas, the Canes are 16-6 here, including a 4-1 mark their last five. The Caps were only 19-21 (-7.4) after scoring four or more goals this season. While I'm not surprised that the Caps held serve at home, I'm not counting out the Canes, quite yet. |
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04-14-19 | Islanders v. Penguins -191 | 4-1 | Loss | -191 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Down 0-2, we're going to see the best from the Penguins in this one. This is still an elite team, one with plenty of postseason experience. The Isles had the support of their home crowd in the first two games. This is all new to them though and they're going to find the going far more difficult here at Pittsburgh. Don't write off the Pens yet, they'll take this one and be right back in the series. Play Pittsburgh. |
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04-13-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -137 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. After the Leafs took Game 1, we're going to get a desperate Bruins team tonight. The Bruins are 8-2 (+4.9) the past 10 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. Going back further finds them at 26-14 (+8.3) their last 40 in that situation. The Leafs are just 8-15 over the years, when leading in a playoff series. The Bruins remain a dominant 29-13 at home. That includes a 17-8 mark when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. They badly need this game and I expect them to get it. |
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04-13-19 | Stars v. Predators -138 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 54 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Predators lost a close one in Game 1. That puts them in practically a must-win spot for Game 2. I expect them to respond with a huge effort. I stayed off the opener. While I leaned to Nashville, I didn't like the fact that the Stars were a perfect 6-0 when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. I've also always found that winning Game 1 at home often isn't easy. Backs to the wall, however, I expect the Preds to be all business in Game 2. Even factoring in the Game 1 result, the Stars are still below 500 (20-22) away from Dallas while the Preds are still a much better 25-17 here at home. The Preds are still 19-9 their last 28 in the month of April, including 8-3 their last 11 first round playoff games. Expect them to bounce back and even the series. |
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04-12-19 | Blues v. Jets -113 | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jets lost a close one in Game 1. That puts them in practically a must-win spot for Game 2. I expect them to respond with a huge effort. The Jets have their entire city in their corner. Fans in Winnipeg love this team and are extra loud when they come to the rink. Though the Blues did steal the opener, winning here is not easy. The Blues are still 22-20 on the road, the Jets are 25-17 at home. The Jets have been here before; even with Wednesday's loss, they're still a dominant 15-5 (+10.9) their last 20 games in the month of April. Look for them to bounce back and even the series, improving to 12-6 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. |
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04-10-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -110 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 77 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ. As you may remember, these teams met in the playoffs last year, the Knights scoring the upset. Needless to say, the Sharks haven't forgotten. They're coming in on a mission and I expect them to take this game and this series. The Knights weren't as good this year and I don't expect them to be able to just turn it on now that the playoffs are here. Home ice figures to be significant. The Knights were just 19-22 on the road. The Sharks, on other hand, are 25-16 in San Jose. The Sharks are 14-5 the last 19 times that they played with three day's rest. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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04-06-19 | Jets -118 v. Coyotes | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. While the Coyotes may like to reward the fans with a win, they only just got officially eliminated Thursday, despite winning, and its going to be hard for them to get up for this one. On the other hand, the Jets have positioning to play for and they're going to be highly motivated to head into the postseason on a winning note. Catching the Coyotes off the trip to Vegas and already thinking about the golf course, look for the Jets, who are 14-4 (+11.1) their last 18 in the month of April, to take this one. |
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04-04-19 | Senators v. Sabres -180 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Sens beat me last night but its not happening again here. While Ottawa is off a rare road win yesterday, the Sabres had the day off. Note that the Sens are just 4-11 when playing the second of b2b games. After a solid start to the season, the Sabres eventually faded. This is their final home game of the season though and its the perfect opportunity to snap their losing streak and reward the faithful with a final victory. The Sens won this season's two meetings at Ottawa by a combined score of 8-2. However, the Sabres won 9-2 in the game here at Buffalo. Schedule in their favor, the motivated Sabres take care of business on home ice once again. |
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04-04-19 | Canadiens v. Capitals -133 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. These teams split a pair of meetings, back in November. Both were at Montreal. Tonight, they'll face each other at Washington. Note that the Habs are below .500 on the road. Its true that the Canadiens have been playing well of late and that they need to keep winning. The Caps need this game too though and I feel that they're providing us excellent value this evening. The Habs are 29-40 (-16) the past 2+ seasons, off a win by two or more goals. During the same span, the Caps were 35-24 (+5.9) off a loss by two or more goals. Also, during that period, Montreal was 21-41 (-20.2) when facing a winning team in the second half of the season. Washington, on the other hand, was 52-34 (+18) when facing a team with a winning record, during the second half of the season. With the Caps also a lucrative 30-14 (+12.8) the past 44 times that they played with two day's rest in between games, I'm backing the home team in this one. |
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04-03-19 | Senators v. Rangers -165 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -165 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. While I played against them in their last game, I'm coming right back with the Rangers in this one. While both teams have long since been eliminated from playoff contention, the Rangers bring more to the table, in my opinion. Playing at home has always been important in this series - the home team won both meetings this season and has won 14 of 16 in the series - and should provide the Rangers with an edge in motivation. The Sens have been respectable at home but they're a dismal 10-27-2 on the road. Its been the same story for the Rangers. They know this is their best chance at one final home win for the faithful (Columbus visits next) and I expect them to take advantage of the opportunity. |
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04-01-19 | Rangers v. Devils -117 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ. It was 25 years ago that Mark Messier made his famous guarantee. Down 3-2 in the series, Messier guaranteed that the Rangers would win. As some of you will recall, Messier got a hat trick in that Game 6 and the Rangers would go on to win Game 7 in double-OT. (They'd then go on to win the Cup.) Needless to say, the stakes aren't nearly as high for this evening's game. Both teams are playing out the string. That said, playing with triple revenge, the Devils should be the more motivated team for this one. Venue and schedule in their favor, I expect them to get some payback. While the Rangers are off a road win at Philly yesterday afternoon, the Devils had the day off. A 5-2 loss on 3/16 dropped the Rangers to an ugly 1-8 (-6.5) when playing the second of b2b games. Devils get some payback. |
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03-31-19 | Rangers v. Flyers -161 | 3-0 | Loss | -161 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Rangers are a team that the Flyers have dominated. In fact, Philly has won the past six meetings. Playing at home, expect them to continue that dominance this afternoon. Sure, the Flyers played yesterday. However, they'd had the previous two days off - and they had two days off before that. So, this is not one of your more difficult b2b situations. Of course, they get tomorrow off which is not the case for the Rangers, who will take on the Devils. The Rangers are off a 4-2 win over the Blues. They've had real trouble stringing together victories though and they're also just 3-9 (-6.1) when off a win by two or more goals. While the Rangers would like the snap their skid in the series, they're just 5-17 the last 22 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. With the Flyers an outstanding 11-2 their last 13 against losing teams, this one goes to the home team. |
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03-30-19 | Ducks v. Oilers -150 | 5-1 | Loss | -150 | 28 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Oilers' hopes of making the playoffs are extremely remote. However, they are at least mathematically still alive. Thats more than can be said for the Ducks, who have been playing out the string for some time. While the Oilers had yesterday off, the Ducks were busy getting beaten up (6-1) by the Flames. With last Saturday's loss at LA, the Ducks are 4-7 when playing the second of b2b games. The Oilers have taken two of the three meetings this season, including a win in the lone game here at Edmonton. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to finish on top once again. |
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03-30-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -140 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. On an extended losing streak, the Sharks are going to be a desperate team tonight. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect that desperation to lead to a victory. The Sharks' recent skid has seen the Knights close the gap on them and means that they need to win tonight to make sure that they'd have home ice advantage in the event these teams meet in the playoffs. While the Sharks had yesterday off, the Knights are off a hard-fought loss against Minnesota. Note, however, that they still clinched a playoff spot last night, with Arizona losing. The Knights handed the Sharks the worst loss (7-3) in the Sharks' current losing streak. Tonight, San Jose gets some payback. |
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03-30-19 | Canadiens v. Jets -144 | 3-1 | Loss | -144 | 25 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Habs won 5-2 when these teams met at Montreal last month. Playing at home, I expect the Jets to return the favor this evening. Off its loss against Columbus, a game in which they were over-matched and over-powered as the game went on, the Canadiens are now just 18-21 on the road. The Jets, meanwhile, are 25-15 at home. Its true that Montreal is desperate to win this game. However, the game also has playoff implications for the Jets and they're also going to be hungry. This is the Jets' reg. season home opener. Off b2b losses, they're really going to want to close out the homestand with a win. They're 9-4 after playing their previous three at home and I expect them to improve on those stats tonight. |
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03-28-19 | Blackhawks v. Sharks -220 | 5-4 | Loss | -220 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Hawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Sharks have lost six straight and are desperate to right the ship. While the Hawks may not be mathematically eliminated, reality has set in and they know they won't be making the playoffs. The Hawks are 16-22 on the road, the Sharks are 23-14 at home. While the Hawks are 12-21 against winning teams this year, the Sharks are also a dominating 41-19 their last 60, when facing a losing team in the second half of the season. San Jose rolls. |
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03-28-19 | Kings v. Canucks -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. Off three straight home losses, the Canucks are going to be highly motivated to win this one. Victories have been hard to come by for them recently and they know that this is an opportunity they shouldn't squander. Note that the Canucks are 9-6 (+5.2) after playing their previous three on the road. Though the visiting team has won all three meetings this season, I expect home ice to prove the difference here. While the Canucks have fallen to 17-21 at Vancouver, the Kings are an ugly 13-25 on the road. Canucks rise to the occasion and provide the home faithful with a victory. |
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03-28-19 | Islanders v. Jets -147 | 5-4 | Loss | -147 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Islanders are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Since losing 5-2 against Dallas, the Jets have had a couple of day's off. Thats noteworthy as they're 26-14 (+9.4) their last 40, when playing with two day's rest in between games. They're also 13-7 (+3.4) their last 20, when off a loss by two or more goals. The Isles have been great against sub-500 teams. However, they're just 14-20, when facing a team with a winning record. They're now 44-67 (-11.2) against winning teams, the past 2+ seasons. The Jets, won won 3-1 on the road, when these teams met earlier, are 25-14 at home. Expect them to complete the season series sweep. |
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03-28-19 | Canadiens v. Blue Jackets -153 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Both teams are off a big win on Tuesday. The Habs won 6-1 while the Jackets won 4-0. The Jackets tend to follow up a big win a lot better than the Canadiens do though. Columbus is 40-34 the past 2+ seasons, when off a win by two or more goals. During the same span, the Habs are an ugly 28-39 (-16) when off a win by two or more. Note that Montreal is also an ugly 19-40 (-21.4) the last 2+ years, when facing a winning team in the second half of the season. The Jackets are 47-30 the past couple of years, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. They've won their last two by a combined score of 9-0 and I look for them to make it three in a row here. |
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03-28-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -135 | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 25 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. This is the back-end of a home-and-home as these teams just met, at Washington. The Caps won 4-1. Playing this evening's rematch at Raleigh, I expect the Canes to return the favor. The Canes are 13-8 (+4.4) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Caps, meanwhile, are just 17-20 (-8.5) after scoring four or more in their previous game. In addition to the 'recent revenge,' this is a triple-revenge game for the Canes, as the Caps have won all three of this season's meetings. Expect a highly motivated effort, the revenge-minded home team getting some payback. |
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03-28-19 | Red Wings v. Sabres -140 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -140 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* PERS FAV). Off four straight losses, the Sabres are going to be a determined team this evening. Having already defeated them twice, the Sabres know that they can take the Wings. Buffalo's last three losses all came on the road. Tonight, they're back home where they are a much better team. Note that the Sabres are 20-17 at home. Not great but a whole lot better than Detroit's 14-25 record on the road. Catching the Wings at the end of a road trip that started on the West Coast, expect the Sabres to improve to 7-3, after playing their previous three on the road. |
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03-27-19 | Stars v. Flames -160 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Stars have taken both meetings thus far. Playing at home, expect the revenge-minded Flames to finish on top tonight. While the Stars are 17-20 away from Dallas, the Flames are an oustanding 25-13 here at Calgary. Note that Calgary is also 21-12 (+6.5) when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. The Flames have been playing around with different lineups in practice and may have a new look tonight. They know that there's a chance that they'll face these same Stars in the playoffs and they'll be looking to make a statement this evening. Off the 3-0 loss to LA last time out, expect the Flames to be at their best, bouncing back and picking up the two points. |
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03-26-19 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes -125 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. Huge game for both teams. The Coyotes had a nice run but have now dropped five straight. I expect their very best effort tonight and look for that to lead to a much-needed victory. Though they did win their next two games, the Coyotes could easily point to a 7-1 loss, at Chicago, on 3/11 as the start of their downfall. The Coyotes played well last time out but came up short. Coach Rick Tocchet noted: "That was a tough one. We played hard. I thought we played a good game today..." Arizona defenseman Jason Demers added: "I thought we played our hearts out in this game. We battled. Obviously back-to-back (games) on the road is always tough, but I thought we weathered the storm in the first, and I thought in the second and the third we kind of took over the game. Their goalie made some big saves ... but our guys didn't quit until the end. That's what we've got to take from that game. We've just got to dust ourselves off and get back at it." Expect Demers and co. to do exactly that, "dusting themselves off" and bouncing back with a critical win. |
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03-26-19 | Ducks v. Canucks -140 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. While I successfully played against the Canucks in each of their last two games, I'm backing them tonight. The home team has won all three meetings this season. The Ducks took the two in Southern California by a combined 5-3 margin. However, the Canucks won 4-0 when the teams played here at Vancouver. Note that the Canucks are 9-5 (+6.6) after playing their previous three at home. They're also a lucrative 11-10 (+6.6) when coming off a loss by two or more goals. After struggling against teams fighthing for the playoffs, or playoff positioning, these next two games are both winnable for the Canucks. Look for them to take advantage, starting tonight. (10* PERS FAV) |
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03-26-19 | Islanders v. Blue Jackets -145 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Columbus. I successfully backed the Blue Jackets on Saturday. Playing the fourth and final game of a four-game road trip, they responded with a much needed 5-0 victory. Back home, still in need of wins, I expect another big game from them this evening. Not that the Jackets should require any further motivation but they're also playing with 'triple revenge' in this one, having lost all three of this season's meetings with the Isles. The Jackets, now 4-1 after playing their previous three on the road, absolutely cannot afford another loss here. Look for them to rise to the occasion, improving to 47-30 their past 77, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. |
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03-25-19 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -201 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (7* BEATDOWN). The Panthers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off an upset loss, their fifth setback in the past seven, the Leafs are going to be highly motivated to get back on track here. The Panthers have disappointed this season, due largely to their inability to win on the road. They're 14-24 on the road. The Leafs, meanwhile, are 22-16 at home. While the Panthers are 21-30 the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater, the Leafs are 48-29 when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Not surprisingly, the home team has won all three meetings on the season. The Panthers won 4-3 and 3-1 at Florida. However, the Leafs won 6-1 in the game here at Toronto. While the Panthers play again tomorrow, the Leafs have tomorrow off. Fully focused on the task at hand, Toronto takes care of business tonight. |
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03-24-19 | Blue Jackets -145 v. Canucks | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Winless (0-3) on their current 4-game road trip, the Blue Jackets come in as an absolutely desperate team. They've fallen out of playoff position and time is running out fast. Sunday, the well-rested Jackets catch the Canucks off a big division game vs. Calgary on Saturday. The Jackets, who lost 4-1 at Edmonton on Thursday, are 16-7 off a loss by two or more goals. Going back further finds them at 43-21 (+14.3) in that situation the past few seasons. During that span, the Jackets are also 38-21 (+9.2) when playing with 2-day's rest. Not that the Jackets need any extra motivation but they also haven't forgotten that the Canucks upset them, at Columbus already this season and swept them last season. Desperate for a win, schedule in their favor, expect the Jackets get some payback. |
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03-24-19 | Canadiens v. Hurricanes -150 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. These teams split a pair of meetings, at Montreal. The Canes have home ice advantage now though which is important as the Canadiens aren't nearly as strong on the road. Both teams played yesterday, each earning a crucial victory. However, while the Habs played at Montreal, the Canes did so right here, at Raleigh. Sleeping in their own beds and not having to travel figures to help them this evening. Note that the Canadiens lost 8-2 (at Anaheim) the last time that they played the second of b2b games, falling to 5-8 in that situation. Expect home ice to prove the difference. |
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03-23-19 | Flames -169 v. Canucks | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. Sure the Canucks may have won three straight. However, they've haven't won four in a row this entire season. Every 3-game win streak has been followed by a loss. Its also worth noting that the Canucks are a dismal 20-44 (-19) the past 2+ seasons, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Flames are 15-4 their last 19 against sub-500 teams. In fact, they're now a dominant 40-19 when facing a losing team in the 2nd half of the season. Playing with revenge from two straight losses to Vancouver, expect the Flames to be all business this evening. |
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03-21-19 | Islanders v. Canadiens -135 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* ANNIHILATOR). These teams recently met. Playing at home, the Isles won. With this evening's rematch at Montreal, I expect the Canadiens to return the favor. While the Habs are off a 3-1 win, the Isles are off a 5-0 loss. Note that NY is just 4-7 its last 11, when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. The Habs are one point behind Columbus for the second and final Wildcard spot in the East. In other words, they desperately need this one. Expect them to be at their very best, en route to earning a critical victory. |
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03-18-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -160 | 7-3 | Loss | -160 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8* VIOLATOR). The Sharks split a pair of earlier meetings, at Vegas. Venue and schedule now in their favor, I expect them to have the advantage here. While the Sharks had yesterday off, the Knights were busy hosting Edmonton. The last time that the Knights played the second of b2b games, they lost by a 6-3 margin. Including that result, they're just 4-7 (-4.5), when playing their second game in two days. The Sharks are off b2b losses for the first time since January. They're going to be highly motivated to stop the bleeding right there and begin a new winning streak. Additional motivation stems from the fact that they haven't forgotten that the Knights knocked them out of the playoffs last season. The Sharks are a lucrative 37-21 (+9.4) the past 2+ seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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03-16-19 | Rangers v. Wild -208 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (6*). Off three straight losses, this is an excellent spot for the Wild to get back on track. While Minnesota had yesterday off, the Rangers were busy battling the Flames, at Calgary. Not only have the Rangers have been dismal on the road all season but they're also an ugly 1-7 when playing the second of b2b games. While the Rangers would like to avenge an earlier 4-1 loss at MSG, they're a brutal 5-15 the last 20 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss, entering Friday's action. The Wild swept last season's series. Expect them to complete the season sweep once again here. |
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03-16-19 | Blackhawks v. Canadiens -155 | 2-0 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (8*). While the Hawks would surely like to avenge an earlier loss at Chicago, they're an ugly 5-15 when playing with revenge, from an earlier home loss. In other words, if they can't beat a team at home, they rarely do so on the road. Overall, they're 15-20 on the road while the Habs are 20-15 at home. Off a 2-1 loss last time out, the Canadiens are going to be hungry. They're 11-4 (+7.5) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game and I expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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03-16-19 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins -155 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8*). While the Jackets were busy taking care of the Hurricanes last night, the Bruins had the day off. Thats noteworthy as the Jackets are just 5-8 (-5), when playing the second of b2b games. The Bruins, who play with revenge from an earlier loss at Columbus, are going to be extremely motivated to snap their 3-game skid. They're 11-4 (+6.9) the past 15 times that they'd lost their previous three games, a perfect 3-0 in that situation this season. Sechedule and venue in their favor, expect them to rise to the occasion with an important victory. |
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03-16-19 | Flames v. Jets -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (8*). While the Flames were busy taking care of the Rangers last night, the Jets had the day off. Thats noteworthy as the Flames are just 14-17 the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. During that span, Calgary is also an ugly 16-34 when facing a winning team, in the second half of the season. The Jets, 23-13 at home, play with double-revenge, having lost a pair of earlier meetings. They're 61-47 (+9.1) in the revenge role in recent seasons and I expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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03-15-19 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs -178 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (8* VIOLATOR). The Flyers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, most recently a 5-4 loss to the Hawks, who they spotted a 5-0 lead, the Leafs are going to be in an angry mood. Note that they're a lucrative 16-5 (+8.4) on the season, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. While the Leafs had yesterday off, the Flyers are off a loss vs. Washington. The last time that the Flyers played the second of b2b games, they were blown out 6-1. Speaking of "blowouts," this season's earlier meeting saw the Leafs win 6-0. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect another decisive victory. |
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03-14-19 | Ducks v. Coyotes -136 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA (10* PERS FAV). The Coyotes are a much better team than the one we've gotten used to in recent season. Arguably, the opposite is true of the Ducks. The Coyotes bounced back from their embarrassing 7-1 loss to Chicago by beating the Blues (3-1) the very next day. They've now won three of four and nine of their last 11. Speaking of nine of 11, note that the Coyotes are also 9-2 their last 11 against teams with a losing record. Expect the desert dogs to keep on rolling for another day, improving to 13-7 when off a win by two or more goals. |
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03-14-19 | Stars v. Wild -115 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8*). Hockey fans in Minnesota have never quite forgiven Dallas for stealing their team (the North Stars) all those years ago. The fans and team tend to "get up" for visits from the Stars. The Wild are 4-1 their last five as a host in the series. While the Stars are off a 2-0 win, they're an awful 23-39 (-25.8) the past 2+ seasons, when off a win by two or more goals. With an O/U line of just five, note that the Wild are a dominating 21-8 the past 29 times that they played a home game with an O/U line which was less than 5.5. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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03-12-19 | Sharks v. Jets -120 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (10* PERS FAV). The Sharks are on a roll and I've got a lot of respect for them. However, the Jets are also a powerful team and they've got both the venue and schedule working in their favor here. While the Sharks did win 3-0 at Minnesota last night, they're still a mediocre 19-17 away form San Jose. Meanwhile, the Jets are 22-12 at home. While the Sharks were battling the Wild, the Jets were resting. Off a 3-1 loss to the Capitals on Sunday, note that Winnipeg is 9-4 after scoring one goal or less in its previous game and 12-6 when coming off a loss by two or more goals. Though the road team has taken both meetings so far this season, expect home ice to prove the difference this evening. |
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03-10-19 | Golden Knights v. Flames -130 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. (10* Western Conf GOW) The Knights looked pretty dominant at Vancouver last night. They scored five first period goals and coasted to a 6-2 win. Expect them to find things MUCH more difficult against a strong Calgary team. While the Knights were playing, the Flames were resting for the past two days. Note that Vegas is just 4-6 (-3.5) in 10 tries, when playing the second of b2b games. The Knights are also a poor 4-7 (-5.4) their last 11 against teams with a winning record. Additionally, we find them at 10-14 (-8.4) after scoring four or more goals. The Flames, 19-12 (+4.5) in the revenge role, are going to be extremely motivated to snap their skid and to avenge a pair of losses at Vegas. They won 7-2 the last time the teams played here in Calgary and I expect another big win this evening. |
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03-09-19 | Penguins v. Blue Jackets -140 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* GAME OF MONTH). This is the backend of a home-and-home series with these two teams. The Penguins won 3-0 at Pittsburgh, on Thursday. Playing at home, I fully expect the revenge-minded Blue Jackets to return the favor. Columbus truly has a score to settle. Not only did Pittsburgh win Thursday's game but the Pens are already 3-0 in the season series, after also sweeping all four games last season. The Jackets know that this is a monkey that they need to get off their back. I expect them to do just that. The Pens are far more beatable (17-17-7) on the road. There's more than revenge on the line. There are serious playoff implications also at stake. The Jackets have fallen to 9th place in the conference. This is an absolutely critical game for them. Look for them to rise to the occasion, bringing their best effort en route to a very important victory. |
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03-07-19 | Canadiens v. Sharks -175 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 33 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Canadiens couldn't beat the Sharks when they hosted them earlier in the season, the Sharks winning 3-1. While the Habs would love to avenge that loss and pick up an important two points, winning here is NOT easy. Indeed, the Sharks are a dominant 21-5-5 at home. It should be noted that Montreal is an ugly 50-79 (-33.4!) in the 'revenge' role the past 2+ seasons, including 24-38 (-15.5) when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. Off a 3-1 win at LA, its also worth mentioning that the Habs are a poor 26-36 (-15) the past 2+ seasons when off a win by two or more goals. The Sharks are well rested and that typically serves them well. They're 3-0 this season, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games and 13-5 (+6.7) their last 18 in that situation. Expect them to take care of business once again. |