Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-09-23 | West Virginia v. Kansas -180 | 61-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Mountaineers have enjoyed some recent success but won't dethrone the conference champs in the tourney. West Virginia has an explosive offense with perimeter shooters and has proven to be a good rebounding team. It won't matter, though, against a rested Kansas squad with March Madness experience. The Jayhawks will hold their own in the rebounding department and make plays on the defensive side, causing turnovers — they average 8.7 steals per game, 16th-most in the NCAA — leading to scoring runs. In the most recent matchup with KU, WVU had 21 turnovers. Simply put, the Jayhawks value the basketball (26th in assist-per-turnover ratio) more than the Mountaineers (190th). |
|||||||
03-09-23 | Wake Forest v. Miami-FL -6 | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After staging a spirited comeback attempt against the New Jersey Devils on Sunday, the Arizona Coyotes hope to carry that vibe into today's home game against the St. Louis Blues. The Coyotes rallied from a 4-2 deficit to tie the game and force overtime with the Devils at Mullett Arena. The Blues are 1-5-2 in their last eight. These teams split their first two games this season. The Coyotes won 5-0 at home on Jan. 26 on Karel Vejmelka's 33-save shutout. Consider that the Blues are 8-21 in their last 29 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. |
|||||||
03-09-23 | Rutgers v. Michigan -140 | 62-50 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Michigan has the better big man, and the better supporting cast in this matchup. This game weighs heavily on the tournament hopes for both teams. In a matchup of two of the best bigs in the country, Hunter Dickinson has the edge over Clifford Omoruyi in the post. Dickinson has 2 inches and 20 pounds on Omoruyi, and is the better scorer. Dickinson averages 18.2 PPG, while Omoruyi averages 13.5. They play different styles, which will benefit the Wolverines. Dickinson can step out and hit outside shots, which will force Omoruyi out from under the basket and open up lanes for the other Michigan players. Omoruyi scores the majority of his points around the basket, but that won't be easy against the bigger Dickinson. Michigan also has Jett Howard and Kobe Bufkin scoring on the perimeter, and Rutgers' Caleb McConnell cant guard both of them at the same time. Michigan is the better team, and will advance in this game. |
|||||||
03-07-23 | Warriors v. Thunder +4.5 | 128-137 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s getting nitty-gritty time for the Thunder who find themselves 1.5 games back of the 10th and final playoff seed in the Western Conference at press time. The good news is they will carry a double revenge chip on their shoulders into this contest from a pair of setbacks they suffered at the hands of the Warriors in January and February earlier this year. And they’ll do so on a home court where they stood 18-12 SUATS this season at press time. Better yet, the big boom is 4-1-1 ATS this season when seeking same season revenge from a 20-plus point same-season defeat while the Dubs are 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS away on Tuesdays. With Goldie arriving off a revenge tussle with the Lakers, there's only one way to look here. |
|||||||
03-07-23 | Bucks -7 v. Magic | 134-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee finally lost a game over the weekend, but the Bucks immediately got back on track. They also held a big lead in their loss to the 76ers, so they could easily be riding an 18-game winning streak right now. I am not ready to fade them at this point, as they have covered the spread at an 8-2-2 clip in their last 12 games. They have also covered in four of their last five games against Orlando, cruising to a 22-point win as 8-point favorites when these teams met last week. I don’t see any reason why the Magic will be better prepared to cover the spread this time around, especially with Milwaukee facing a tight battle for the No. 1 seed. |
|||||||
03-07-23 | Notre Dame v. Virginia Tech -6.5 | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Notre Dame has struggled all season long and they have dropped five straight meetings with Virginia Tech entering this contest. None of that instills confidence in their chances here. For that matter, their short rotation is problematic against a Hokies team that has pretty decent depth to work with and who are a good scoring unit. Should Starling miss this game as he has the last three, Notre Dame’s already thin group takes another hit and that makes for too deep a hole for them to dig out of here. The Fighting Irish aren’t good enough defensively to overcome missing one of their better offensive players. Virginia Tech brings the curtain down on the Brey era by prevailing here to advance to the second round. |
|||||||
03-06-23 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga -14 | 73-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Consider that the Dons are 10-23 ATS in their last 33 games following an ATS win, 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. While the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
|||||||
03-06-23 | Raptors v. Nuggets -6 | 113-118 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Denver is on fire, winning 11 of their last 14 contests, but they are not just winning games – they are dominating them. The last three opponents have been defeated by at least 10 points and they have won each of their last six games at home by at least nine points. The Nuggets are now 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall. Toronto has lost two of their last three games on the road and it took overtime to win in Washington. The Raptors are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on the road and are 1-4 ATS in their last five games on the road when facing a team with a winning percentage of greater than 60% at home. Denver is tough to beat already, posting the top shooting percentage in the NBA while Toronto is one of the worst teams in terms of shutting opponents down. Not a good match-up for the Raptors at all. |
|||||||
03-06-23 | BYU v. St. Mary's -7 | 69-76 | Push | 0 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Gaels will win straight-up and cover as spread favorites, forcing BYU into enough turnovers to separate on the scoreboard. Saint Mary's slow-tempo approach (359th in pace of play) will put pressure on the Cougars to maximize their offensive opportunities, which will be problematic for a team that averages over 14 turnovers per game, one of the highest turnover ratios in the NCAA. The Cougars will not be able to rely on offensive rebounds, either, as Saint Mary's boasts a +7.1 rebounding margin. I bet the Gaels will win with an efficient shooting performance (52.8 eFG%, 37.2 3PT%) and stout defense (5th in defensive efficiency). |
|||||||
03-06-23 | Celtics v. Cavs -6.5 | 114-118 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland has been one of the league’s best home teams this season, going 27-7 in its 34 outings. The Cavaliers have also covered the spread at a 21-11-2 clip in those games, so they have been an excellent betting option at home. This is another profitable spot to back them, as Boston is on the second leg of a back-to-back and is going to lack energy against the top defense in the NBA. Cleveland is also coming off a strong performance against Detroit and will be motivated to get revenge for its loss to Boston last week. The Celtics are also dealing with several key injuries, giving me another reason to back Cleveland today. |
|||||||
03-06-23 | Northern Kentucky +3.5 v. Youngstown State | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Norse are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games, 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games versus a team with a winning record, 13-6 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games. While the Penguins are 2-8 in their last 10 neutral site games. |
|||||||
03-05-23 | Bucks -180 v. Wizards | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee is going to be an angry team after blowing a 19-point lead on Saturday and even if they are tired, they have so much depth, that they can overcome a bad game from a starter. When you can bring a Kris Middleton or Jon Ingles off the bench, you are living pretty well. Washington had a great chance to come into this one off a three-game winning streak, but at 10th in the Eastern Conference, they are what they are-a very average team. Having that kind of depth is crucial when you are playing the back end of a back-to-back and the Wiz could be missing 2-3 key players. |
|||||||
03-05-23 | Knicks +5.5 v. Celtics | 131-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York has already beaten Boston during their eight-game winning streak, winning 109-94 on February 27. That was the second straight time that they had beaten the Celtics, earning an overtime victory in Boston on January 26. While the Celtics may be higher up in the standings, New York is not the least bit intimidated by them and has been playing better basketball than Boston over the last 10 days. Right now, it is the way that New York is defeating opponents that is quite impressive. During the winning streak, they have beaten five of the eight opponents by at least 15 points, with Boston being one of those victories. The Celtics suddenly find themselves battling through a lot of close contests and look like they will be clipped in this game. |
|||||||
03-05-23 | Pacers v. Bulls -5.5 | 125-122 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The good news for the Windy City crew is its 8-2 ATS record in this series when seeking same season double revenge exact, including 4-0 ATS at home as well as 5-0 ATS with revenge from a most recent loss of 10 or fewer points. The recent swoon by the Bulls (2-7 SUATS previous nine games entering March) helps to make the price right today, and with it we’ll be there. Remember, the Pacers took a 5-17 SU and 9-13 ATS ledger into the month of March itself, so the Naptown arsonists arrive with a combustible warning of their own. Finally, consider that Indiana is 11-25-1 ATS away versus foes seeking same-season double revenge, including 0-4 ATS the last four games. |
|||||||
03-05-23 | South Florida +7 v. Wichita State | 49-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units South Florida will cover the spread on Sunday, playing a more complete game than it did in the first meeting with Wichita State. The Bulls are coming off a rousing Senior Night victory and the Shockers are hoping to rebound from deflating second-half letdown at the hands of number-one Houston. WSU shot over 60 percent in that game and still lost, turning the ball over 18 times. It won't have similar efficiency from the field against the Bulls and could struggle in the rebounding department if Tchewa is available to suit up. |
|||||||
03-05-23 | SMU v. Cincinnati -11 | 74-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Mustangs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. While the Bearcats are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. |
|||||||
03-04-23 | 76ers v. Bucks -183 | Top | 133-130 | Loss | -183 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units The Sixers edged the Bucks, 110-102, in Philly in their most recent get-together in November, setting the table for this payback, as Milwaukee has reeled off six wins in a row in same-season revengers entering the fray. In addition, John Deere has gone 18-3 SU and 16-5 ATS when laying fewer than 8 points as a host this season. We’re not jumping in front of that, especially with added support that Milwaukee is 23-8 SU and 20-11 ATS in this series, including 7-1 SUATS with same-season revenge, as well as 5-0 SUATS when the Bucks own a winning record. |
|||||||
03-04-23 | Connecticut v. Villanova +3 | Top | 71-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
NCAAB Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Cats are playing their best ball of the season at the right time. Even so, 16-14 Villanova will likely need to win out thru the Big East tourney in order to capture an invite into the NCAA Tournament for the 17th time in the last 18 Dances. Meanwhile, UConn took the opposite approach to the season, opening the campaign on a 14-0 winning run before going just 9-7 heading into March. Still, with 23 wins at press time, the Huskies all but have their NCAA tourney ticket punched. A trip to the archives tells us Villanova is 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in this series, as well as 9-1 SU and 6-3 ATS in Last Home Games. Then there’s the program’s intimidating history: winning the Big East regular season championship 7 of the last 9 years, and the Big East conference tournament 5 of the last 8 years. Yes, they miss Jay Wright, but these are still the players he recruited and they won’t back down now. With a 10-3 SU effort at home this season and revenge for a 74-66 loss to UConn in late December, we seal the deal for Villanova with the fact that UConn is 6-11 SU and 5-12 ATS against foes playing their final home game of the season, including 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS when the Huskies sport a .586 or greater win percentage. |
|||||||
03-04-23 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech -6 | 71-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Texas Tech has been streaky this season as they started the year 10-2, dropped eight in a row, then won six of eight before losing their last two games. The Red Raiders aren’t quite as stingy defensively as they’ve been in recent seasons but they are at home here. Texas Tech is 11-5 at home while Oklahoma State has posted just a 4-7 mark as the visiting team on the year. The Cowboys have slumped of late with five straight losses and they have only two road wins in conference play. Oklahoma State doesn’t have great offensive firepower and that proves to be their undoing as the Red Raiders earn a home win to close the regular season on a positive note. |
|||||||
03-04-23 | Tennessee v. Auburn -130 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tennessee has done most of its damage this campaign at Knoxville, going 14-2 SU and 11-5 ATS as opposed to 4-5 SU and 3-6 ATS as visitors. Yes, the Rocky Top 5 rank No. 2 in overall defensive Field Goal Percentage, but Auburn counters as the No. 12 team in the land in the same category. Let’s also not forget that the Tigers took the Vols to the wire a month ago at Thompson Boling Arena before dropping a 46-43 thriller. As for today’s revenger, War Eagle is 7-2 ATS in this series, including 3-0 SUATS at home. In addition, Coach Pearl stands 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS in Last Home Games versus .700 or fewer foes, including 5-1 ATS between the 10’s (favored 10 or less or dog of 10 or less points). Look, Auburn was ranked No. 15 in the AP preseason poll and definitely underachieved this season, but the talent is still there. If you’re still not sold, we suggest you check out that Auburn is 6-0 ATS in Last Home Games when .400 or greater if facing a .640 or greater opponent. |
|||||||
03-04-23 | Kentucky +5 v. Arkansas | 88-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Arkansas is coming off back-to-back losses to ranked opponents, while Kentucky took a tough 68-66 defeat against Vanderbilt on Wednesday. After their regular-season finale, the Southeastern Conference tournament awaits, and both teams are projected to make the NCAA Tournament. Calipari kept praising his players for the fight they showed against the Commodores. The Wildcats (20-10, 11-6 SEC) trailed by 11 in the second half and rallied to take a two-point lead with 1:10 left on a jumper by Oscar Tshiebwe'. Vanderbilt's Jordan Wright scored the next two baskets, and the Wildcats' Antonio Reeves missed a 3-point attempt at the buzzer. Consider that the Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. |
|||||||
03-04-23 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -4.5 | Top | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
NCAAB Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Huggins led the Wildcats in 2006 and 2007, and he’s currently 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS with same-season revenge of 4 or more points at WVU against KSU (Wildcats beat West Virginia on New Year’s Eve, 82-76). It’s been an inconsistent season for WVU, though expectations were low after only 1 starter returned from the previous campaign’s 16-17 squad. But even though the Hillbillies have won just twice in their last six games, those two wins came in their last three outings. Owners of a 17-13 record at press time, the Huggies are sitting firmly on the NCAA bubble and needs this like kielbasa needs sauerkraut. Not so for the Wildcats, who are sitting pretty after knocking off Oklahoma to improve to 23-7 with 11 wins in Big 12 play. This is not a good role for the visitors, though, as they’re 0-3 SUATS against foes in Last Home Games playing with same-season revenge of 6 or fewer points. The Manhattan Cats are also just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS away in Big 12 Last Road Games in regular season finales. Finally, Huggy’s team is 12-4 SU in WVU Coliseum this season, which fits right in with the fact that WVU head coach Bob Huggins is 15-0 SU and 11-4 ATS in Last Home Games when playing with three or more days of rest, including 7-0 SUATS with West Virginia |
|||||||
03-04-23 | Ohio State v. Michigan State -6.5 | 78-84 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Ohio State Buckeyes recently had a nine-game losing streak which they finally ended last week. It’s been a disastrous season for a squad that has plenty of skill. They have not been a reliable team, covering in only two of their last ten bouts. The Michigan State Spartans have only lost two Big Ten home games all season. The Buckeyes' defense has been the culprit in many losses. They are squandering 102.8 points per 100 possessions, ranking them 113th while the Spartans are only allowing 96.3 points per 100. MSU has averaged a remarkable 88 points in their last three games. The Spartans completely dominated the Buckeyes last month on the road, winning by 20 points. |
|||||||
03-03-23 | New Mexico v. Colorado State OVER 155.5 | 84-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Over is 3-0-1 in Lobos last 4 games following a straight up win., 4-0 in Lobos last 4 Friday games, and 4-0-1 in Lobos last 5 road games. While the Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 4-0 in Rams last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 9-1 in Rams last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 10-2-1 in Rams last 13 games following a ATS loss. |
|||||||
03-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -190 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets have won six of their last seven games and six straight home games. They have played well offensively, especially at home where they are scoring more than 121 points per game while making over 52 percent of their shots. They do a great job finding the open man and they were very aggressive on the offensive glass in their last three games, grabbing 11 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. The Grizzlies have struggled defensively on the road this season, giving up more than 115 points per game, and will have a hard time slowing down the Nuggets in this game. The Grizzlies have won three straight games but they’ve lost eight of their last nine road games. They have played well offensively on the road, scoring more than 113 points per game. They usually rebound the ball well, but their rebounding dropped off in their last three games, so don’t expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring chances against the Nuggets. They’re also careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Nuggets, who average eight steals per game at home. The Nuggets have done a good job defensively at home, holding opponents under 110 points per game, so expect them to keep Memphis’ offense in check. |
|||||||
03-03-23 | Jazz +100 v. Thunder | 103-130 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I am going to ride with the Utah Jazz on the road, as I see them covering this spread. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Jazz have the sixth-highest adjusted offensive rating and they are scoring the fifth most points per game. The Thunder won't be able to consistently slow them down, as they will slowly fall behind in this game. OKC has also lost five games in a row and they are (3-7) in their last 1o. They aren't playing great right now and they won't be able to slow down the Jazz. The Thunder could also be without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in this game, as this would be a massive loss. He controls the offense and is one of their best overall players. Without him on the court, I don't see the Thunder competing in this game. OKC is also allowing the 20th most points per game and they have only held their opponents to the 19th-lowest shooting percentage. The Jazz will find open shots consistently throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage on the road. They are the better offensive team and the Thunder is dealing with too many injuries at the moment. |
|||||||
03-03-23 | Suns -155 v. Bulls | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I will be riding with the Suns on the road, as I see them having the advantage on the offensive end of the court. Kevin Durant is starting for the Suns now, as I see this giving them a massive boost to finish this regular season. They are also getting healthy, as I don't see the Bulls being able to slow down this Phoenix offense. The Bulls are (3-7) in their last 10 games played, as they haven't been hot as of late. They will continue to struggle in this game, as Ayton, Booker, Durant, and Paul will efficiently score throughout. Chicago will also struggle to efficiently score against this Sun's defense. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Suns have the sixth-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the fourth least amount of points per game. The Bulls have struggled on the offensive end of the court, as they won't score enough points to cover this spread. Chicago only has the 24th-highest adjusted offensive rating and they are averaging the 20th most points per game. They will struggle to score against this Suns team and they will slowly fall behind. |
|||||||
03-03-23 | Nets v. Celtics OVER 227 | 115-105 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Over is 6-0 in Nets last 6 games following a ATS loss, 4-0 in Nets last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, and 5-1-1 in Nets last 7 road games. While the Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 home games, 4-1 in Celtics last 5 Friday games, and 6-2 in Celtics last 8 overall. |
|||||||
03-03-23 | Dayton v. St. Louis +105 | 61-65 | Win | 105 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a major contrast in styles as Dayton plays at one of the slowest paces in college basketball, ranking No. 345 in tempo. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the land, allowing just 60.7 points per game, which is 12th best in the country. St. Louis on the other hand averages close to 76 points per game and plays at the 71st fastest pace in the country, fueled by Collins, who leads the nation with 10.2 assists per game. When these two met a few weeks ago, Dayton controlled the tempo in an easy win. This time around, I like St. Louis to control the pace at home. Take St. Louis here to cover the spread. |
|||||||
03-02-23 | Washington State v. Washington +2 | 93-84 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are playing pretty well and neither is an offensive juggernaut. Washington has covered four straight in this series. Washington State barely won the first game at home as Brooks shot just 4-of-16 from the field. The Huskies shoot it much better at home, where they make 44.3% of their shots and allow just 40.5% from the field. On the other hand, Washington State is shooting under 40% (38.6%) from the field on the road. Take the points. |
|||||||
03-02-23 | Stanford v. Oregon State +5.5 | 83-60 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Two Pac-12 bottom feeders meet up Thursday night when Stanford battles Oregon State at Corvallis, Ore. The Cardinal (12-17, 6-12 Pac-12) are in 10th place in the 12-team conference while the Beavers (10-19, 4-14) are 11th. Stanford is hoping to build momentum after Sunday's solid 81-69 home victory over Washington. The victory was just the second in the past seven games for the Cardinal. |
|||||||
03-02-23 | Purdue -175 v. Wisconsin | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams come into this game with something to play for. The Boilermakers are still fighting for a top seed in the NCAA Tournament and would obviously like to enter the Big Ten Tournament with some momentum rather than a two-game losing streak. Wisconsin is clinging to tournament hopes and a loss here would be near fatal for those chances. In the last ten meetings between the two teams, Purdue has gone 6-4. Wisconsin has an overall record of 9-5 at home this season but the Badgers are just 4-10 ATS in that time. Purdue should dominate the paint in this matchup with the league's #1 rebounding team pitted against the 14th-ranked rebounding of Wisconsin. Wisconsin is a dismal 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games. Look for Purdue to exert its will over Wisconsin and get back on track. |
|||||||
03-02-23 | Pacers -6 v. Spurs | 99-110 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s very challenging to know what a win is going to do mentally and emotionally for a San Antonio team that had lost 16 straight games. I am not ready to take the leap on the Spurs just yet, though, and the betting market doesn’t appear to be either. This spread quickly moved one point towards Indiana after the opener was released, as the Spurs have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 16 games. They have also failed to cover in six straight home games against Indiana. The Pacers have also started to round into playoff form, covering the number in four of their last five contests. |
|||||||
03-02-23 | Raptors v. Wizards +2 | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This should be a pretty good game as Porzinigis is expected to return for this one. That helps even out the length advantage that Toronto normally has. Toronto is just 11-19 on the road and while Poetl was a nice pickup, Washington faced him on Jan. 30 when Porzingis put up 17 points, nine rebounds and seven assists with five blocks in a 127-106 win over the Spurs. Toronto is not the Spurs, but here we are, with the playoffs coming up and they are still under .500. They should have done more at the trade deadline because the chemistry is obviously not working. Neither is their defensive effort. |
|||||||
03-02-23 | Michigan +5 v. Illinois | 87-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units' Juan Howard’s Wolverine hoopsters are in need of every win they can muster if they wish to impress the selection committee. Fortunately for Howard, his team has responded with a 5-2 SUATS February compared to a middling 3-3 SUATS effort from the Illini. The Wolverines are 6-1-1 ATS with revenge in this series (Illini took them down twice last season) when Illinois enters with a sub. 700 win percentage, and the WOM reminds us the Wolves are 8-4 ATS as a dog during the regular season following a LHG, including 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS when facing sub .750 foes. As if that’s not enough to contend with, Illinois is staring down a double revenge affair of its own on tap with highly-ranked Purdue. Remember, Michigan was a preseason Top 20 pick in the polls, so the talent is still there. |
|||||||
02-27-23 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State +1.5 | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bears had dropped two straight games to Kansas and Kansas State prior to a same-season revenger against Texas at Waco over the weekend, and they’re just 4-20 SU and 8-16 ATS after the Longhorns, including 3-14 ATS when coming off a loss (check Saturday result). That doesn’t bode well considering the Pokes are 6-0-1 ATS in this series with same-season revenge from a loss of 7 or more points when Baylor takes the floor with a greater than .666 win percentage. Oklahoma State also performs well in Last Home Games, going 21-7 SU and 18-10 ATS the last this role, including 3-0 SUATS with same-season revenge of 15-plus points. Home teams in the Big 12 have fl exed their muscles this campaign, going 123-28 SU overall and 50-25 SU in conference clashes. Those stats look especially good when the visiting Bears bring a woeful 5-22 ATS record when coming off a home game and facing foes in LHGs. |
|||||||
02-27-23 | Magic +4 v. Pelicans | 101-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando pulled off a 13-point victory a month ago and now heads to New Orleans looking to try to sweep the season series. Prior to that victory, the road team had won the previous four games and the road team is 7-3 straight up in the last 10. Another thing you should like is that the Magic are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings, including going 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings in New Orleans. While the Pelicans may win this game, 5.0 points may be a little too much for them in this contest. They have dropped three in a row and four of the last five. This team has only beaten two of their last four opponents by more than five points, so take the Magic and the points. |
|||||||
02-27-23 | Celtics v. Knicks +3 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Red-hot Atlantic Division rivals collide when the Boston Celtics come to the Mecca of basketball to face the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden. Boston is on a three-game run with just a single loss in its previous eight games (7-1 ATS) while New York rides a five-game winning streak and has also only tasted defeat once in its past eight outings (6-1-1 ATS). Julius Randle has been at his best of late and while the Celtics have the NBA's best record, they'll be without Jaylen Brown. As a result, they'll be playing much smaller, leaving ample opportunity for Randle to shine down low. |
|||||||
02-27-23 | Pistons v. Hornets -6.5 | 106-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I like the Charlotte Hornets, as they have won four games in a row and they are the better defensive team in this matchup. The Pistons are also one of the worst teams in the NBA this season, as they continue to slide in the wrong direction. They are scoring the 27th most points per game and they are allowing the second-most points. They will continue to struggle on both ends of the court, as Charlotte will slowly pulls away. The Hornets are also scoring 112.6 points per game and they looked great against the Heat the last time they were on the floor. They will find consistent open shots throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. They will also sprint the ball up and down the court, as they will have plenty of scoring opportunities to cover this spread. Detroit only has the 28th-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are allowing their opponents to shoot 49% from the floor. They aren't applying enough pressure, as the Hornets will make them pay. Charlotte is playing solid basketball right now. |
|||||||
02-26-23 | Rockets v. Blazers -9.5 | 114-131 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I’m not going to overthink this matchup. The Trail Blazers will get both Damian Lillard and Jerami Grant back, so I’m expecting Portland to beat Houston with ease. The Blazers have covered the spread in each of their previous two meetings with the Rockets, winning by 12 and 14 points. Damian Lillard will dominate the Rockets’ defense. He’s been unstoppable all season, tallying 31.4 points and 7.3 assists per game. Lillard has scored 38 or more points in seven of his previous 11 appearances. |
|||||||
02-26-23 | Kings -160 v. Thunder | 124-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma City is playing their third game in four nights coming out of the All-Star break here after losing at Utah and Phoenix. The Thunder definitely will have their problems keeping up with Sacramento if Gilgeous-Alexander misses the game. Sacramento showed grit by rallying to take down the Clippers after trailing by 14 with under five minutes to play in regulation, then by six in both overtimes. The Kings have plenty of weapons to do damage offensively and they lead the league in scoring offense this season. Sacramento had Saturday off to rest and recover and they are deep. That proves critical as they earn a win on the road here. |
|||||||
02-26-23 | UCLA -6.5 v. Colorado | 60-56 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UCLA has not only won seven in a row but is 4-2-1 ATS in that span. Colorado is 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games. The Bruins beat a double-digit spread against the Buffaloes last time despite trailing for over half the game. Their defense absolutely shut down an inefficient Colorado offense and should be able to do it again. I wouldn't worry about UCLA playing on the road either, as they're 8-2 in away games this season and 6-3-1 ATS. I'm riding a team that's hot and has an elite defense against a team that's cold and has a lackluster offense. Take UCLA to cover. |
|||||||
02-26-23 | Wizards v. Bulls -180 | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I am going to roll with the Chicago Bulls at home. They are the better defensive team in this matchup, as I see them getting enough stops to cover this spread. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Bulls have the fourth-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the ninth-lowest shooting percentage from the field. They will continue to contest shots and make it very difficult for Washington to keep up. The Bulls are also scoring 113.4 points per game and they have the sixth-highest team shooting percentage. The Wizards will struggle on the defensive end of the court and quickly fall behind in this game. They are allowing the 15th most points per game and they only have the 18th lowest adjusted defensive rating. They will continue to struggle on the road and the Bulls will continue to roll after their dominating win against the Nets. |
|||||||
02-26-23 | Missouri State v. Indiana State -7.5 | 66-62 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Currently in a three-way tie for 3rd place in the MVC, the 5-returning starter Sycamores have been on a scorching 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS skein with the only loss coming by a single point at Belmont, 89-88. We expect them to return to their winning ways here, especially since they were nipped by Missouri State, 64-62, in Springfi eld in mid-January. In the 11 games since beating the Sycamores, the Bears are a money-burning 2-8-1 ATS. Yes, they arrive off a off same season revenge victory over Murray State, but they’re just 1-3 ATS after running with the Racers. The final coffin nail for Missouri State is its 0-5 ATS failure in the last five games when coming off a win. Additionally, Indiana State is 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in Last Home Games of the season, including 4-0-1 ATS when playing with revenge. |
|||||||
02-26-23 | Northwestern v. Maryland -6.5 | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Maryland is unbeaten in its nine conference home games this season, making the Terrapins a team that I am thrilled to back on Sunday afternoon, especially given the circumstances. Northwestern is coming off its most disappointing loss of the season, blowing a 16-point lead in the second half of its game against Illinois. The Wildcats have only won three of the last 14 head-to-head meetings between these teams, and they have a major emotional hurdle to overcome in this contest. Maryland has covered in eight of its last 11 games and should fare well against a Northwestern offense that has a tendency to go cold. |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Spurs v. Jazz -9.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs’ losing streak will eventually come to an end, but with all the injury problems among Gregg Popovich’s team, I can’t back San Antonio in a tough road matchup against Utah. The Jazz are struggling to defend at a high level, but they should be scoring at will against this Spurs team. San Antonio is 1-13 ATS in its last 14 games overall. The Spurs beat the Jazz 126-122 in December, and Utah will be highly motivated to get revenge. Lauri Markkanen is poised for another strong performance, and the Jazz should make a lot of threes in this matchup. Utah is fifth in the league in triples made per 100 possessions (14.0). |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 110-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units Philly is 24-6 SU and 22-10 ATS at home this season, and ranks No. 3 overall in the league in Team Scoring Defense. On the fl ip side, Boston’s Achilles Heel is its 28th ranked effort in Team Rebounds this season. In addition, the shamrocks were riding a 0-5 SUATS skein here in this series until the aforementioned win they scored late in the campaign last season. With the Celts coming off a same season revenge win at Indiana on Thursday, and staring dead ahead to same-season revenge rematches with the Knicks and the Cavs, we need to consider that the Sixers are 12-0 SUATS at home this season when seeking same-season loss revenge. |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Pelicans v. Knicks -148 | 106-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I am going to ride with the New York Knicks at home. They are the better defensive team in this matchup in my opinion, as I see them getting enough stops to cover the spread in this game. The Knicks are holding their opponents to the third-lowest shooting percentage and the fifth-lowest three-point shooting percentage. They will continue to contest shots consistently throughout this game, as the Pelicans won't score enough points to stay competitive. New York is also holding their opponents to the 10th least amount of points per game and they looked great in their last game against the Atlanta Hawks. They will stay hot in this one and consistently score throughout. The Pelicans are allowing the 16th most points per game and they did not impress me against the Raptors in their last game. |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Indiana v. Purdue -7.5 | 79-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana has dropped its last 2 games on the road against Northwestern (64-62, Feb. 15) and Michigan State (80-65, Tuesday), and the Hoosiers are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) across the past 3 games overall. It seems like forever since the Hoosiers picked up a 79-74 win over the rival Boilermakers, but it was just on Feb. 4. Purdue snapped a 2-game mini skid with an emphatic 82-55 win over disappointing Ohio State Sunday. While the Boilermakers have dropped 3 in a row on the road, they love a little home cooking, going 15-1 at home. |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Pacers v. Magic -135 | 121-108 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I am going to take the Magic at home, as I see them being the better defensive team in this matchup. They will be able to get consistent stops and slowly pull away throughout this game. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Magic have the 13th-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the seventh-lowest shooting percentage from behind the arc. The Pacers only have the 25th-highest team shooting percentage and the 17th-highest adjusted offensive rating. They will struggle to consistently put the ball in the basket, which will allow the Magic to cover this spread. The Indiana defense has also lacked, as I see the Magic efficiently scoring in this game. The Pacers are allowing the 24th most points per game and they have the 24th lowest adjusted defensive rating. They struggled on the defensive end of the court in their last game against the Celtics and I see that trend continuing in this one. |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Boise State v. San Jose State +3.5 | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boise State is currently breathing down the neck of MWC leader San Diego State, just one game back at press time. Then there’s the ugly fact that it’s been almost a month since BSU cashed a ticket, going 6-1 SU but only 1-6 ATS. Conference road favorites on a 5-game ATS losing skid like Boise are just 7-13 ATS against winning opposition, including 3-10 SUATS when favored by 4 or fewer points. And not only are the Spartans 3-0 ATS the last three games in this series, and 3-0 SUATS at home when coming off a previous home loss, they’ve logged a competitive 10-3 SU and 8-4 ATS home record at The Event Center this season. With the Broncos taking the court off a same-season revenge win against New Mexico and sporting just a 3-7 ATS effort against avenging foes in post-Lobo competitions, west coast Sparty gets the call. |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State -150 | 73-68 | Loss | -150 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Oklahoma State is in danger of sliding off the dreaded NCAA Tournament bubble completely. But while they return home off three straight double digit losses, the Pokes do own a 7-2 SUATS ledger at Gallagher-Iba Arena when playing off three losses exact. They’re also 4-0 SUATS at home off a loss this season, and 3-0 ATS home in this series when seeking revenge from a same-season defeat of 6-plus points. Kansas State, easily the surprise team in what has been a Big 12 meat-grinder of a campaign, may have 21 wins in the bank but the Wildcats aren’t exactly a fi ne-tuned machine of late, losing 4 of their last seven games. Even worse for first-year KSU head coach Jerome Tang, his squad’s home-road dichotomy sticks out like a sore thumb: 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS at Manhattan as opposed to 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS away. Toss in a triple revenger on deck with Oklahoma for the Purple Cats, and Kansas State looks to be in over its head here in Stillwater. |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Arkansas v. Alabama -8 | 83-86 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While the South Carolina game was nearly a disaster, being back home should bring Bama back to their usual dominance. At home, they are significantly better on both ends of the floor than their season averages, and their numbers this season are already elite. Along with that, they're 9-4-0 ATS at home while Arkansas is 2-6-0 ATS on the road. These teams play the same brand of basketball, Alabama just does everything better. The first game proved that, and now that this one is in Tuscaloosa, Alabama should roll into another resounding victory. Take the Crimson Tide to cover the spread against the Razorbacks again. |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Texas v. Baylor -165 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bears struggled in their losses to Kansas and Kansas State as they wilted in the second half of both games in hostile environments. On the plus side for the Bears, this game is at home, where they have had success, posting a 13-2 record. Their two losses came by a combined three points with one of those coming in overtime. Texas won the first meeting this season but that was before the return of Tchamwa Tchatchoua. The Longhorns are just 4-4 on the road this season with all four defeats coming by at least seven points. Baylor is out to avenge the loss in Austin and to get back on track heading into the final week of the regular season. George and Cryer feed off the crowd to help the Bears get back in the win column. |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Missouri v. Georgia +3.5 | 85-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units The Dawgs are 3-0 ATS home as a dog or a favorite of fewer than 3 points in this series, 3-0 SUATS as a conference home dog when coming off a loss of 30-plus points, and 5-1 ATS as conference home dogs over the past 12 months. Meanwhile, Missouri stands just 2-4 SUATS in games after battling MSU and the Tigers have struggled to cash tickets of late, going just 1-5 ATS in their six most recent outings. In this battle of cats and dogs, we’ll back the Dawgs with added support coming knowing that playing on any college hoops home dog with a winning record coming off consecutive losses of 28 or more points is 7-1 ATS since 1990. |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Michigan State v. Iowa -5.5 | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units I am not overly concerned about Iowa’s recent losses on the road, as the Hawkeyes have been much better at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. They rely almost entirely on their offense to win games, making them a team to back at home and fade on the road. In fact, they have won seven straight home games coming into this contest, and they should be in somewhat of a desperation mode to get back on track with NCAA Tournament seeding. Michigan State has only covered the spread once in the last five meetings between these teams and its dependence on 3-point shots makes is going to cost the Spartans on Saturday. |
|||||||
02-24-23 | Hornets v. Wolves -6.5 | 121-113 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wolves are a sharp 3-1 SUATS at home in games when coming off three-plus days of rest, while the Stingers are just 2-12 SU and 5-9 ATS in non-division games when coming off a win. However, Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last five games this season when coming off one loss |
|||||||
02-24-23 | Nets v. Bulls -125 | 87-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls have lost six straight games, but they’ve played better at home where they have won three of their last five games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring more than 114 points per game. They’ve taken advantage of their opportunities at the charity stripe, making over 83 percent of their free throws at home. They rebound the ball well and they were very aggressive on the offensive glass in their last three games, grabbing more than 10 offensive rebounds per game in their last three games, which will lead to more scoring chances. They also cut back on their turnovers in recent games, and won’t give the Nets a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Nets aren’t very good defensively and they play worse on the road, where they are giving up more than 113 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Bulls in this game. The Nets have lost four of their last six games and three straight road games. They usually play well offensively, but they struggled before the break, scoring less than 108 points per game in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Bulls and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Bulls, who average more than seven steals per game at home. The Bulls aren’t great defensively, but they play better at home and held their last three opponents under 110 points per game, so don’t expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Nets in this game. |
|||||||
02-24-23 | Heat +1.5 v. Bucks | Top | 99-128 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units The majority of games on tonight’s NBA game are laced with teams each playing with 8 days of rest on this post All-Star Friday. And 8 is a magic number for Heat head coach Erik Spoelstra who brings a career log of 7-1 ATS when his troops are playing with eight or more days of rest during the regular season (read: post All-Star game), including 6-0 ATS when facing .400 or greater opponents. Foremost on their minds tonight, though, will be exacting revenge from a 123-115 loss here three weeks ago. And with it the stars should be lined in their favor. On the other side of the court Milwaukee is 1-6 ATS in this series when operating on three or more days of rest. Finally, Miami is 10-1 ATS when seeking revenge from a same season defeat of fewer than 20 points when coming off a double-digit defeat and facing a foe that is coming off a double-digit win. |
|||||||
02-24-23 | Xavier v. Seton Hall +1.5 | 82-60 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Xavier was one of just three teams with a chance to catch conference-leading Marquette before the league tournament. However, with a 20-win season in check (see Saturday result vs DePaul) and coming off a tussle at home against Villanova, this looks to be a natural let down spot for the X-Men. That notion is supported by the Musketeers’ 4-9 ATS effort versus .600 or fewer opponents this season, including 0-5 ATS the last five. The revenge angle is more than a notion, however, as the Pirates lost at the Cintas Center back in December, 73-70, and just so happen to own a 4-0 SUATS mark with revenge in this series of late. Most importantly for the kids in the Hall are squarely on the ever-shifting NCAA bubble. But we’ve got no time for bubble talk, not when we can tell you the Pirates own a rock-solid 20-10 ATS ledger as dogs versus .750 or greater foes. Grab the points. |
|||||||
02-23-23 | UCLA -7 v. Utah | 78-71 | Push | 0 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins took the first matchup between these two teams by 19 points while holding the Utes to just 49 points overall. UCLA has won seven of the last ten meetings between the two schools. They have the best road mark in the Pac-12 at 7-2 and are 22-2 this season as a favorite. UCLA is 5-3-1 ATS on the road this year as well. They have won six straight against Utah and are 4-2 ATS in that time. Additionally, Utah is just 1-5 ATS in its last six games. |
|||||||
02-23-23 | Grizzlies v. 76ers -160 | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The 76ers have won four straight games and six of their last seven home games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring more than 115 points per game. They’ve also done a good job at the charity stripe, making over 94 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They rebound the ball well and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Grizzlies a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Grizzlies have struggled defensively this season and they play worse on the road, giving up more than 116 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the 76ers in this game. The Grizzlies have won three of their last four games, but they’ve lost seven straight road games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 113 points per game on the road. But they’ve struggled at the free throw line, making less than 70 percent of their free throws in their last three games. Their rebounding has been very good and will keep them in this game, but they’re very careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the 76ers, who average more than eight steals per game at home. The 76ers play well defensively at home and they dominated opposing offenses in recent games, giving up less than 105 points per game in their last three games, and won’t have trouble keeping Memphis’ offense in check. Go with Philadelphia to cover the spread. |
|||||||
02-23-23 | Nuggets v. Cavs -132 | 115-109 | Loss | -132 | 34 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Cavs fell 118-112 at Philadelphia while the Nuggets beat Dallas, 118-109, in the Mile High City. The loss snapped a 6-game Cleveland win skein and sets the table for this fray with Cleveland intent on evening the score from a 13-point loss they suffered in Denver with the Cavs 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS this season in games when coming off one-loss, as well as 8-4 SUATS this campaign when looking to avenge a same-season defeat of 8 or more points. Enter the gold diggers, just 2-6 ATS overall in games when playing with seven or more days of rest, as well as 3-9 ATS away when coming off consecutive wins this season. Finally, consider that Cleveland is 26-11 SUATS at home the past two seasons against foes coming off a win, including 8-0 ATS the last eight versus .640 or greater opposition. |
|||||||
02-23-23 | Celtics -8 v. Pacers | 142-138 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics fell to Indiana back in December by seven points at the TD Garden in the only matchup between these two teams. Since then, however, the Celtics' defense has improved significantly, and they are as healthy as they've been all season heading out of the All-Star break. Indiana's poor perimeter defense will not play well to a Celtics team that is sixth in the NBA in 3pt shooting. The Celtics also have a significant advantage on the wings with the Pacers not having the types of defenders to match up with Brown or Tatum. The Celtics will also enjoy a rare, significant advantage on the glass against a Pacers team that is ranked just 21st in the NBA in total rebounding. Look for Boston's defense to stifle the Pacers and the team's perimeter shooting to bury Indiana. |
|||||||
02-22-23 | New Mexico v. Boise State -6 | 77-82 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Mexico went on a 0-4 SUATS losing skid when the Valentine month rolled around and took a 0-3 ATS record against avenging foes this season into San Jose State at press time. No such misery has befallen the Broncos, currently one loss back of San Diego State for the top spot in the MWC. Boise State has a huge advantage in momentum, winning 10 of its last 12 contests before hosting UNLV on Sunday. And guess what? One of those two defeats came in an 81-79 close-call OT loss to the Lobos in Albuquerque a month ago. Big Blue is 9-5 SU and 9-4-1 ATS versus .600 or greater foes this season, including 2-0 SUATS when playing the revenge card. Best of all, the Broncos have dictated the point spread outcomes in this series of late, going 8-1 ATS. Simply put, we’re seeing signs of the Lobos packing their bags early this season. |
|||||||
02-22-23 | South Alabama -145 v. Texas State | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Texas State is 217th in the nation with a -3.30 rating while South Alabama is 110th in the sport with a +5.88 rating so far. These teams have been in two opposite directions in terms of defense as the Jaguars are allowing 54 points in their last five games while the Bobcats are giving up 75.7 points in their previous three games. Looking at the ATS record in the last 10 games, South Alabama is 7-3 ATS while Texas State is a brutal 3-7 ATS in that span. All in all, go with the South Alabama Jaguars to cover the spread on the road in this game. |
|||||||
02-22-23 | South Florida v. UCF -8.5 | 82-75 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fortunately for UCF fans, the series host is on a money-making 14-3 ATS run. That sets the table for big-time revenge, as the Bulls tripped up the Knights, 85-72, as 4.5-point home dogs a month ago. In addition to being 26-1-1 ATS in outright conference wins when seeking revenge, the formerly golden Knights stand 3-0 SUATS in this series when seeking same-season loss revenge. Considering South Florida is 1-10 SU versus .570 or great foes this season – with the lone win versus UCF – Finally, USF is 0-18 ATS in its last 18 outright conference losses versus avenging foes. |
|||||||
02-22-23 | Bradley -8 v. Valparaiso | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I can't find a reason not to bet on Bradley in this one. They're better than Valpo on a per-possession basis in nearly every statistic. They've won eight straight and are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games. They won four of those six games by double digits. Meanwhile, Valpo is 1-3-0 ATS in their last four. The Beacons' only edge in the first game was with fouls. They committed 10 fewer than Valpo did and finished with 17 more free throw attempts. Despite that, Valpo never had a lead in the game and trailed by as much as 33. That game was never close, and this game shouldn't be either. |
|||||||
02-21-23 | Indiana v. Michigan State -152 | Top | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Tom Izzo and his troops as they’re a glittery 13-1 SU and 11-3 ATS mark in home games when seeking revenge after meetings with the Wolverines, including 8-0 SUATS the last eight games. Thus, it’s no surprise that we’re backing Sparty once again this week, especially when MSU has racked up a 20-2 SU and 16-6 ATS record at home in this series, including 4-0 SUATS when seeking same-season revenge from a double-digit loss (fell 82-69 in Bloomington a month ago). The Hoosiers are playing well, riding an 8-2 SU win skein before hosting Illinois last Saturday, and are currently locked in third place in the Big Ten chase. But they’re facing a double whammy here: besides owning a dreadful 2-7-1 ATS record on the road this season, they’ve also got a date with in-state rival Purdue up next, and Indiana is 0-4 ATS before Boiler bouts. Toss in the fact that the Hoosiers are 19-89-3 ATS in Big Ten games they lose outright against avenging opponents. Despite what could be a somber atmosphere to begin tonight’s clash, we declare it’s “Iz Time” again in the Breslin Center, and we seal the deal with the fact that playing on Michigan State and head coach Tom Izzo at home from Game 20 out in a conference game when seeking revenge from a same-season loss is 24-7 ATS since 2002. |
|||||||
02-21-23 | Baylor -125 v. Kansas State | 65-75 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Baylor Bears are looking good, winning four of their last five games with the only loss in that span occurring against Kansas. Baylor is strong on the road where they have won four of their last six bouts including a win against TCU earlier this month. The Kansas State Wildcats have dropped two out of their last three games. Baylor is the superior offensive team by a huge margin. They are averaging 122 points per 100 possessions, good for 2nd in the country while Kansas State is only averaging 111.8 points per 100. Kansas State has not been producing, averaging only 63 points in their last three games including only 65 in a 79-65 loss to a poor Oklahoma team last week. |
|||||||
02-21-23 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan -160 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Broncos are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, and 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. While the Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. |
|||||||
02-20-23 | Louisville +19 v. Duke | 62-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals rode the moment of the 10-year anniversary of a championship team and a packed house on Saturday to pull off their biggest upset of the season. Looking a little deeper, however, the Cardinals have played significantly better over the latter part of this season. The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last six games. They are also a respectable 4-4 ATS on the road this season. Meanwhile, Duke comes in just 6-7 ATS at home this season despite being 13-0. Additionally, the Blue Devils are 3-10 in their last 13 games ATS. Duke will win this game but the Cardinals will continue their recent momentum and cover this line. |
|||||||
02-20-23 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia -5 | 67-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I do not trust Oklahoma State’s offense to come up with enough buckets to keep pace with West Virginia on Monday night. I am also extremely concerned about the defensive effort that they showed on Saturday, as they have been one of the top defensive teams in college basketball this season. This is a rough spot to try to turn things around, as West Virginia is in a revenge spot at home and tends to play better at its home arena due to the offensive-minded nature of its lineup. Oklahoma State’s bad offense tends to be the deciding factor away from home, as it is 4-12 in its last 16 road games. |
|||||||
02-19-23 | Maryland v. Nebraska +5.5 | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Huskers will win straight-up at home vs. Maryland. They'll have another hot shooting night, especially from three, which will be tough for the Terps (335th in 3PT%) to duplicate. When Maryland gets on a roll, it reminds us why the Big Ten was siked to add the program to its collection of hoops powerhouses. It's too soon, though, to expect Maryland to rise to the top of the conference under a new head coach. Winning six of seven is great for the direction of the program, but UM's luck will run out on the road against a Nebraska team that's better than it has played this season. |
|||||||
02-19-23 | Memphis +14 v. Houston | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The fact is the Tigers were whipped by the Cougars, 71-53, in the finals of the AAC title game last season – causing today’s ‘Revenge’ domino to set things in motion. First, Memphis is 12-3 ATS in this series, including 5-0 ATS when seeking revenge, and 6-0 ATS when coming off a win. Next, the guys from Graceland are 8-3 SU and 6-4-1 ATS when seeking LTKO (League Tourney Knock Out) revenge, including 5-0 ATS when coming off a win. And like OJ’s hand struggling to fi t in the famous glove, Houston can offer up only a 1-5 ATS failure at home versus LTKO seeking foes in its defense, including 0-4 ATS versus .500 or greater foes. Look, the Cougars have made all their money on the road this season, going 7-1 ATS as a visitor as opposed to just 8-8 ATS as a host, including a gaudy 0-7 ATS against .430 or greater opposition. |
|||||||
02-19-23 | Wright State -130 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | 75-77 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wright State (16-12 SU, 15-11 ATS) defeated Cleveland State on Friday. The Raiders are 3-2 straight-up in their past five and 9-8 in Horizon League competition. Purdue Fort Wayne (15-13 SU, 9-17 ATS) lost to Northern Kentucky on Friday. The Mastodons are 1-4 straight-up in their past five and 7-10 in conference play this season. |
|||||||
02-19-23 | Ohio State v. Purdue -11 | 55-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ohio State continues to be an unbackable team right now, as it is winless straight up and against the spread in seven straight games. The Buckeyes are running into a Purdue team that is returning home angry after suffering its first losing streak of the campaign. The Boilermakers have won four of their last five games against Ohio State and are riding a five-game home winning streak. They already went on the road and beat the Buckeyes once this season, as the Buckeyes do not have enough length to deal with Edey. I expect Purdue to get back on track with an emphatic win against a disastrous Ohio State squad. |
|||||||
02-18-23 | Colorado +13 v. Arizona | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Arizona bested the Buffs, 82-72, in the semifinals of the P-12 tourney last season – as they bring a sterling 16-2 ATS ledger into this affair when they sport a sub .570 win percentage on the season. Meanwhile, the Wildcats are coming off a decisive 88-62 revenge win over Utah on Thursday with archrival ASU up next, and Zona is just 6-16 ATS at home before facing the Sun Devils. Consider that Colorado is 9-1 ATS when seeking revenge from a conference tourney loss the previous season, including 7-0 ATS when the Buffaloes sport a sub .769 win percentage, as well as 6-0 ATS when facing .700 or greater opponents. |
|||||||
02-18-23 | Georgia v. Alabama -18.5 | 59-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dawgs are just 1-7 SU away under first-year coach Mike White, including 0-4 SUATS the last four by an average losing margin of more than 22 PPG. Uh oh. Then there’s how Bama responded after a previous loss to Oklahoma, absolutely destroying a decent Vanderbilt squad in a 101-44 rout. The fact of the matter is Alabama is loaded, currently the No. 3 team in the land in Defensive Field Goal Percentage – the stat every college head coach would give his eye teeth for – and will be looking to get even for losing to Georgia in Athens last year as 14.5-point chalk. The Bulldogs enter off a revenge win over LSU, going 0-3 SUATS after taking on the Tigers by an average losing score of 96-69. We don’t want any of that and neither should you, especially when the Crimson Tide stands 3-0 SUATS at home off a SU favorite loss with a win percentage of .830 or greater, by an average wipeout of 91-58. |
|||||||
02-18-23 | Pittsburgh +5.5 v. Virginia Tech | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Virginia Tech is another team that started the season strong only to see things come apart as the calendar flipped to 2023. The Hokies have gone just 4-10 in their last 14 games after opening the year 11-1, putting their chances at earning an at-large bid in March Madness in serious jeopardy. Pitt has defied expectations all season long, which is how they find themselves holding a share of the ACC lead this late in the season. The Panthers have played solid team basketball and they are above average on both ends of the floor. Pitt has an array of offensive weapons to rely on and a deep rotation. The Panthers aren’t intimidated playing in Blacksburg after already winning in Chapel Hill and battling Duke to the wire at Cameron Indoor. In addition, they are 7-2 as the visiting team straight up and 9-0 ATS this season. Pitt makes it seven straight wins as they earn a tough road win here. |
|||||||
02-18-23 | Old Dominion +4 v. Appalachian State | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Appalachian State’s basketball team has finally found some traction, winning two of its last three to improve to 8-7 in conference play. That’s good enough for a tie with ODU in the league race, as the Monarchs dropped a 76-67 decision at James Madison on Thursday to slip to 8-7. Old Dominion also suffered a 14-point home loss to these Mountaineers a month ago, and we love winning teams taking points in payback roles, especially those who are 11-1 SUATS in games when coming off a loss, including 9-1 SUATS this season. Even better, the hill-dwellers are just 6-13 ATS as home chalk against avenging foes under head coach Dustin Kerns, including 1-8 ATS in games in which the Apps own a sub .570 win percentage. ASU is also coming off a revenge victory on Thursday against Texas State, and the Mountaineers are 1-5 ATS the last six at home after facing the Bobcats. |
|||||||
02-18-23 | Iowa State v. Kansas State -165 | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Wildcats are my bet to cover the spread in Saturday's matchup with Iowa State. KSU is better than it has played recently and will make a statement against a ranked ISU team at a decisive point of the season. The Wildcats didn't win straight-up but did cover in the first matchup with the Cyclones. At home, they will turn the tide with a solid offensive performance, delivering the knockout blow to Iowa State's conference championship aspirations. The Wildcats are 10-4 ATS at home and 6-1 ATS versus ranked opponents this season, while the Cyclones are just 3-5 ATS on the road. KSU is not an elite offensive team, but when you factor in their top 25 defense and home-court advantage, they're the team to side with on Saturday. |
|||||||
02-17-23 | New Mexico v. San Jose State -1 | 96-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It's a tight spread, so I'm taking San José State to win and cover. For starters, a home team hasn't lost in this series since February 2018. Second, New Mexico is in a tailspin right now, as their four-game losing streak has been a product of shoddy defense. Since beating San José State, New Mexico is allowing 81.3 points per game and is 1-6-0 ATS. In their last seven, the Spartans are 5-2-0 ATS, with all five wins ATS coming by at least 10.5 points. New Mexico's defense can't stop anyone right now, and on the road against a team playing well, that should cost them dearly. I like San José State in this one. |
|||||||
02-17-23 | Dayton -6.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 65-49 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Flyers have won four of their last five games. They don’t have a high-scoring offense, but they shoot the ball well, making 47 percent of their shots. They rebound the ball well and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Ramblers a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Ramblers aren’t very good defensively and they don’t play much better at home, giving up more than 71 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Flyers in this game. The Ramblers have lost four of their last six games and five of their last seven home games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring more than 72 points per game. They’ve struggled at the charity stripe, making less than 70 percent of their free throws. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Flyers and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Flyers, who averaged more than six steals per game in their last three games. The Flyers have played well defensively and they’re just as good on the road, holding opponents under 65 points per game, and will keep Loyola-Chicago’s offense in check. Go with Dayton to cover the spread. |
|||||||
02-17-23 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State -17 | 54-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I think I would be backing Kent State in this matchup regardless of the way these teams played earlier this week, but those outcomes only make me feel even better about the Golden Flashes in this contest. They are coming off one of the best offensive showings of the season, while Eastern Michigan looked lifeless in its blowout loss. The Eagles are one of the worst defensive teams in college basketball, so I am not worried about Kent State’s offense scoring enough points to cover this number. The Golden Flashes have one of the longest active home winning streaks in college basketball (19) and are 15-1 in their last 16 home games against Eastern Michigan. |
|||||||
02-15-23 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M -165 | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Aggies are 7-1 ATS the last 8 games in this series, and 8-2 ATS versus Arky when A&M sports a .656 or fewer win percentage. They’re also 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS this campaign when playing with three-plus days of rest, including 5-0 ATS versus .600 or greater opposition. We’re not going to buck that when the ‘Backs are just 1-5 ATS away in SEC contests this season. Consider the Hogs are a mighty lean 7-47-5 ATS in outright conference losses as an underdog against avenging foes. |
|||||||
02-15-23 | Knicks +3.5 v. Hawks | 122-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks have had this game circled ever since taking it on the chops in a 15-point loss to the Hawks earlier this season. With both teams in a virtual tie for the 7th seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race, this contest is paramount for New York as far as tiebreakers go concerning playoff positioning. With it, the Knickerbockers bring a studly 24-14 SU and 28-10 ATS road record into the fray since March of last season. They are also 19-11-1 ATS of late in this series, while the Hawks tend to fl y low in games against foes seeking same-season revenge of more than 10 points, going 6-8 SU and 5-9 ATS this campaign. The numbers all point to the points, and we’ll take whatever the books are offering up tonight. |
|||||||
02-15-23 | Cavs v. 76ers -105 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is the final game for both of these teams before the all-star break, so it's a great matchup. I expect both teams to go all out to win this one to get some momentum going into the break. These are two teams that could very well meet deep in the playoffs later this season, so they will both be looking to send a message. Both teams matchup well, as they both are among the best defensive teams in the league. I have to go with the home team here as Cleveland has struggled on the road. Also, the Sixers are the second-best free throw-shooting team in the league while Cleveland is 19th and that could decide it. Take the Sixers here to cover. |
|||||||
02-15-23 | Pistons +12.5 v. Celtics | 109-127 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I will be picking the Detroit Pistons on the road and I am going to take the points. The Boston Celtics could be without Jayson Tatum in this game and Brown and Smart are already listed as out. I just don't believe the Celtics are healthy enough to cover this spread. If they had their original starting five playing, I would hammer them. But, that isn't the case. Detroit also battled with the Raptors in their last game, as they came up just short. They will come into this game motivated and do everything they can to keep this game within the spread. These two teams also played a week back, as the Celtics won 111-99. They covered the spread, but it was extremely close. Now, they don't have three of their best players on the floor, as this will hurt Boston in this game. If Tatum ends up playing, I like the Celtics. But, he is currently listed as doubtful, so I am going to ride with the Detroit Pistons. They will show up on the road and keep this game within the spread. |
|||||||
02-15-23 | Spurs v. Hornets -4.5 | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s tough to back the Spurs even though their losing streak will eventually come to an end. The Hornets just broke out of their slump and should win this game, too. With healthy LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier, and Gordon Hayward in the lineup, the Hornets have an excellent chance of exploiting the Spurs’ horrible defense. San Antonio is dead last in the league in opposing 3-point percentage (39.4%) and 29th in opposing 2-point percentage (57.2%). The Hornets are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven outings, but they’ve gone 4-0 SU and ATS in their previous four encounters with San Antonio. On the other side, the Spurs are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall. |
|||||||
02-15-23 | Alabama +3.5 v. Tennessee | 59-68 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Alabama Crimson Tide have climbed to #1 in the AP Top 25 and remain undefeated in SEC play. The Tennessee Volunteers are stumbling, losing three out of their last four games and the previous two losses were especially weak, losing to Vanderbilt and Missouri. Alabama is the superior team in the offensive end. They are averaging 117.4 points per 100 possessions, marking them 13th in all of DI while Tennessee is posting 112.3 points per 100. The Crimson Tide has an elite defense similar to the Volunteers, but recently it has been the Crimson Tide defense that has looked better. Tennessee allowed Vanderbilt to shoot 40% from deep two games ago and Missouri was able to sink 52% of their field goals against the Vols on Saturday. |
|||||||
02-14-23 | Warriors v. Clippers -8.5 | 124-134 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Warriors have been awful on the road this season and they are logging their second game of a back-to-back, not to mention their third game in four nights, in this one. Meanwhile, LA has been off since Friday, giving them three days of rest and a prime opportunity to get their trade acquisitions familiarized with the system. Hyland, Plumlee and Gordon are plugging in, adding some depth at key positions in an effort to bolster the second unit for LA. The Clippers are rested and you never know what Steve Kerr will do in relation to resting guys in a back-to-back situation. With Leonard likely to be on the floor for LA, give the edge to the hosts in this contest. |
|||||||
02-14-23 | Wyoming v. New Mexico -10 | 70-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Mexico pulled off a one-point victory the last time these teams met as Mashburn had 20 points. Wyoming matched New Mexico in almost every area during that game, but the Lobos hit one more free throw than the Cowboys, making that the margin of victory. Wyoming has been in a terrible funk, dropping 14 of 16 games since winning two in a row (December 6-10). They have lost each of their last three games by at least 10 points and have lost seven in a row by at least eight. |
|||||||
02-14-23 | Kansas v. Oklahoma State +2.5 | 87-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Oklahoma State (16-9, 7-5 Big 12) gets a second chance at beating No. 5 Kansas (20-5, 8-4) on Tuesday night in Stillwater, Okla., after letting a 15-point halftime road lead get away on Dec. 31 and succumbing 69-67 to the then-No. 4 Jayhawks. A chance to force overtime came up short in the final seconds when Kansas' Kevin McCullar Jr. blocked a shot by Oklahoma State's Bryce Thompson. Speaking after Oklahoma State's 64-56 upset win at No. 11 Iowa State on Saturday, Cowboys guard Caleb Asberry reflected on the loss to Kansas. "We lost that game, a close one. We're ready to get that one back, too. Now we're in good contention to win this whole thing," Asberry said. Consider that the home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. |
|||||||
02-14-23 | Creighton v. Providence +1.5 | 86-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Revenge will be on the minds of the Friars in this matchup as well as a chance to climb into the thick of the Big East regular season title race. In the first matchup, Providence shot just above 30% in the first half and fell behind by 14 points before rallying in the second half and falling short. At home this season, Providence is a perfect 13-0 on the season while Creighton is a game under .500 on the road. Providence will come into this game looking to bounce back from a poor shooting performance against St. John's on the road. In the Friars' last three home wins, they have held the opposition to 64 points or younger in each of the outings. Providence will dominate the glass and slow down the red hot Bluejays. |
|||||||
02-14-23 | Buffalo v. Ohio -190 | Top | 61-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Bobcats are an intimidating 18-4 ATS in this series when both teams sport a .450 or greater win percentage. We also like the fact that Buffi e is staring dead ahead to same season revengers with Akron and Central Michigan, and the Bulls are just 3-8 ATS versus avenging foes before facing the Zips, including 0-3 SUATS away. Yes, Ohio head coach Jeff Boals knows his team has a ways to go if they want to match last year’s 25-win performance, but we love this play so much that we’ve declared it our Valentine’s Day Special! Putting the finishing touch on tonight’s box of chocolates is the Bobcats’ 18-6 SU and 16-8 ATS home in conference contests when looking to settle a score. Additionally, Ohio U is 13-2 SU and 14-1 ATS at home in MAC games when seeking same-season loss revenge. |
|||||||
02-13-23 | West Virginia +7 v. Baylor | 67-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bet on West Virginia to cover the spread Monday at Baylor. The Mountaineers, 20th overall in KenPom's rating database, are 18th in offensive efficiency and 40th in defensive efficiency this season. They're a solid team fighting to make the NCAA Tournament against a Baylor squad that's been tested a lot recently. The Bears will be in another closer game than they hoped to be in on Monday. With consecutive games against Kansas, Kansas State, and Texas looming, it's hard to blame Baylor for overlooking West Virginia. The Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight-up loss and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these programs. Bet on WVU to at least cover in this Big 12 clash. |
|||||||
02-13-23 | Magic +5.5 v. Bulls | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units At first glance Chicago finds itself in the middle of a live division avenger sandwich, coming off a same season revenge contest with Cleveland with the same on deck against Indiana. That’s never good news when you’re hosting an avenging mad-as-hell non-division foe. Enter the sizzling hot Disney dolls who, after opening the season 5-19, were 18-14 SU and 23-9 ATS at press time. Finally, Chicago is 3-12 ATS at home in the middle of a division sandwich against non-division foes seeking same-season revenge or 6 or more points, including 1-10 ATS from game 32 out. |
|||||||
02-13-23 | Nets v. Knicks -135 | 106-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nets just traded away Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant, as I don't see this new team having much success this regular season. Yes, the Nets have some great numbers, but they are now missing their two biggest contributors. The Knicks have also been great on the offensive end of the court, as I see them consistently scoring throughout this game. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Knicks have the sixth-highest adjusted offensive rating and they are scoring the 15th most points per game. They will be able to attack the paint and score consistently throughout. Now, I also see the Nets struggling on the offensive end, as the Knicks are holding their opponents to the 12th least amount of points per game and the third-lowest shooting percentage from the floor. They will smother the Nets and keep them from scoring enough points to cover this spread. |
|||||||
02-13-23 | Jazz v. Pacers +1.5 | 123-117 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The early betting action has been on Indiana, which is a movement that I agree with. The Pacers might be struggling right now, but they have only had Haliburton back for a few games. He completely changes the outlook of this team, which has created value on Indiana against a bad Utah team. The Jazz have not been good on the defensive end of the court, and they are facing a strong offense on Monday. They have only covered the spread once in their last five games, and they are 4-8 against the spread in their last 12 games against Indiana. |