Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-12-23 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 62-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 0 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Ohio State has put in a dreadful 3-10 SU and 2-11 ATS effort versus Big Ten foes. Yes, the Buckeyes ran out to a solid 10-3 start this campaign, but OSU enters Value City Arena today with a confusion-inducing 1-9 SUATS record in its last ten contests. As a result, Holtmann’s heroes are looking down with only one team – Minnesota – left between them and the bottom of the Big Ten cellar. Here comes more trouble, as the Spartans are 6-1 SUATS away in this series when looking to exact revenge from a loss the previous season, as well as 11-6 SU and 12-5 ATS when seeking anytime revenge and playing on four or more days of rest, including 7-1 SUATS versus sub .740 foes. And with the Buckeyes losing four of their previous five home games, we expect to see a fully energized Izzo today. Finally, playing on Michigan State and head coach Tom Izzo with 3 or more days of rest from Game 20 out if they are seeking same-season revenge against a .700 or fewer conference opponent is 20-4 ATS since 1998. |
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02-12-23 | Temple +9 v. Memphis | 77-86 | Push | 0 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Temple Owls are excelling in conference play where they are 8-4. Temple is one of the better road squads, winning four of their last five AAC road games including the upset win against Houston. The only AAC road loss was a narrow one-point decision. The Memphis Tigers continue to have larger spreads but have only covered in one of their last four home games. The Owls' defense will keep them in this game. They are only conceding 100.5 points per 100 possessions compared to 97.4 per 100 by the Tigers. The Tigers are squandering too many points recently, surrendering at least 80 points in three of their last four games. |
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02-11-23 | BYU +13 v. Gonzaga | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The boys from Provo darn near beat the Zags in their last meeting, falling by just a single point, 75-74, and that sets the table for this payback. BYU is 3-0 ATS when seeking same season revenge from a 1-point conference loss, and head coach Mark Pope owns a glittering 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS record when coming off a loss of more than 10 points (BYU was toppled, 92-80, at Pepperdine on Thursday as -7.5 chalk). The ATS pickings are a bit more slim for the Zags, who are a shocking 3-14 ATS as a favorite after having been a favorite the previous game, including 1-9 ATS when favored by a dozen or fewer points. They’re also just 7-13 ATS when coming off a SUATS win and facing a conference foe seeking same-season revenge. Yes, Gonzaga has already won 20 games this season, but a lackluster 9-15 point spread effort means Few and company are not to be trusted. Finally consider that the Zags are 0-6 ATS this season when coming off a SUATS win of 6 or more points. |
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02-11-23 | Texas A&M v. LSU +7 | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LSU, at 12-12 are still very much alive for a postseason tourney bid, and they’ve had good fortune in games where they own a .500 mark, going 7-2 SU and 5-2 ATS. Plus, there’s the small matter of revenge from Texas A&M’s 69-56 curtailing of the Tigers when they met just over a month ago in College Station. LSU is also catching the Aggies at just the right time in their schedule, with A&M just completing a season sweep over Auburn and owning a weak 2-4 SUATS record after facing Aubbie when taking on .600 or fewer foes during the regular season. Feeling better now? We also can’t ignore the possibility that the Aggies could be looking dead ahead to a same-season revenge affair with Arkansas, and they’re just 1-5 ATS as chalk before Hogs hookups. Enough with this bug business! Join us as LSU begins its road back from infamy tonight. |
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02-11-23 | Heat v. Magic +100 | 107-103 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami is desperately hoping to kickstart a strong finish to the regular season after several inconsistent months, but I am not sold on the Heat right now. Their tendency to play down to their opponents nearly cost them Friday night’s game against the worst team in the NBA, and they have now covered the spread just eight times in their 19 home games. This is not going to be an easy matchup away from home on the second leg of a back-to-back, as Orlando continues to compete. The Magic have gone 17-11 against the spread at home and are coming off a win over the top team in the Western Conference. |
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02-11-23 | Detroit -12 v. Green Bay | 76-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Titans are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. While the Phoenix are 9-27 ATS in their last 36 games overall, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. |
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02-11-23 | 76ers v. Nets +1.5 | 101-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Before putting Brooklyn on your fade list remember, they are still the No. 5 seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race and they’ve performed admirably in conference play this season, winning 23 of 34 games outright, while going 7-4 ATS as underdogs. Complicating matters for the invading Sixers’ team is their skinny 2-9 SUATS mark in games without rest after facing the Knicks in games in which Philly was looking to avenge a same-season loss. With another same-season revenger on tap at home against the Rockets for the Sixers, we’re first in line here with Brooklyn looking to brush aside its spring-cleaning image today. Finally the Sixers are 23-36 SU and 21-38 ATS in the middle of a same-season revenge sandwich when facing foes with same-season revenge, including 0-8 ATS the last eight games. |
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02-11-23 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -6 | 64-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma State took the first meeting between these teams by only two points, but nailed nine three-point shots compared to only two made threes by the Cyclones. Iowa State is a different animal offensively at home, and I see things going their way in this revenge game on their home floor. The Cyclones average 75.6 ppg at home this season, which are 10 points more per game than what they have put up on the road, but Oklahoma State is averaging 67.7 ppg on the road, which are three points less per game in their home production. Iowa State is also knocking down 7.5 threes per game at home, compared to 6.7 threes per road game for Oklahoma State. The favorite has covered the number in nine of the last 12 games played in this rivalry, and I see Iowa State out shooting Oklahoma State in this, and winning by at least seven. |
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02-11-23 | Duke v. Virginia -6 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Given the stakes and pressure, I like the Cavaliers here. Virginia has the experience advantage, and this will be a difficult matchup for the young Blue Devils, who have five freshmen in their eight-man rotation. Duke is only 1-7 against the spread in their last eight road games and just 1-9 against the spread when facing a winning team. Virginia is 4-1-1 in their previous six games against winning teams and has covered in four straight home games. |
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02-11-23 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +3.5 | 78-55 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma stands 6-2 SUATS at home with same-season revenge in this series, including 6-0 ATS when not laying points, plus the Sooners are 7-1 ATS overall the last eight games when they enter with a dead even .500 win percentage. More bad news for Kansas after their 8-point win over Texas on Monday, as the ‘Hawks are a mediocre 6-12 ATS post-Longhorns when favored against avenging foes, including 0-5 ATS during the regular season when coming off a SUATS win. It’s also a fact that KU doesn’t automatically cash a ticket with every SU win, as they’re just 9-9 ATS this season in games they win on the scoreboard. Tack on Moser’s 10-4 SUATS success at home when his troops are coming off three losses, including 6-1 ATS as a dog of fewer than 7 points, and we see Oklahoma assuming the role of ‘windshield’ here today. |
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02-10-23 | Bucks v. Clippers -130 | 119-106 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Giannis Antetokounmpo was listed as probable for Thursday’s clash against the Lakers. He’s dealing with right knee soreness, and the Bucks could decide to rest their best player on the second night of a back-to-back set. Keep tracking the injury report, and if Giannis hit the sidelines, take the Clippers to cover. With both Kawhi Leonard and Paul George healthy, the Clippers have enough firepower to compete against the in-form Bucks, who’ll eventually have to slow down a bit. Just a week ago, Milwaukee barely outlasted LA 106-105 as a 4.5-point home fave, and the Clippers blew a huge 21-point lead. |
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02-10-23 | Mavs v. Kings -125 | 122-114 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Luka Doncic’s status is key, and if he remains on the sidelines, I’m going with the Kings to cover. Both Dallas and Sacramento struggle to defend at a high level, especially in the paint, and the Kings look like a more balanced offensive unit than the Mavericks, who lean on 3-point shooting too much. I’m expecting Sacramento to attack the rim all night long and torture the Mavs in the paint. The Kings are 6-2 ATS in their last eight encounters with the Mavericks, though they haven’t met in 2022-23. Sacramento has only lost two of its previous 12 contests against the Western Conference. |
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02-10-23 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6.5 | 107-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When it comes to a ‘game set-up’ they don’t get much better than tonight’s clash between the Grizzlies and the Timberwolves. For openers, Memphis returns home with a case of double same-season loss revenge on its mind, while catching the Wolves off a same season revenger with yet another one on deck. The Grizzlies are 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS at home with a win percentage of .589 or better when seeking same-season double revenge, while the Timberwolves enter the den with a 9-19 SUATS record in this series, including 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS away. |
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02-10-23 | Hornets v. Celtics -10 | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even with a slightly depleted roster, including the loss of all-star Brown, the Celtics have a deeper and more talented team than the Hornets. Charlotte has struggled offensively this season and have lost five straight games, allowing an average of nearly 119 points per game. Boston will likely have both Williams and Horford back which will give the team a decided advantage on the glass against a Hornets team that just dealt away their leading rebounder. The Celtics are 3-0 against Charlotte this season and have defeated the Hornets by an average of 21 points per game. Look for that to continue in this spot. |
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02-10-23 | Xavier -6.5 v. Butler | 67-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Musketeers, who have won 14 of their last 16 games, stand 13-3 ATS away in this series, including 3-0 ATS with revenge. That’s because Butler made the mistake of knocking Xavier out in the donkey round, 89-82, of last year’s Big East tourney, and the Bulldogs are just 2-5 ATS at home against LTKO opponents. Their 3-40-1 ATS mark in SU conference home losses seals the deal. The Musketeers will skewer these guys. |
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02-09-23 | Bucks -8 v. Lakers | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I’ve already said this before Milwaukee’s comfortable victory at Portland – I’m not going to stand in front of the red-hot Bucks. Milwaukee’s defense has been outstanding over the last few weeks, Giannis Antetokounmpo has dominated his opponents, while Khris Middleton is slowly but surely building up his form following an injury. Antetokounmpo has averaged 37.5 points, 14.5 rebounds, and 5.4 assists during the Bucks’ winning streak. The Lakers hope Anthony Davis will be able to slow Giannis down, but I’m still relying on Milwaukee’s defense to make the difference. The Bucks have allowed 110 or fewer points in four of their last seven outings, whereas the Lakers have yielded 121 or more in five of their previous six games overall. Los Angeles outlasted Milwaukee 133-129 in their first meeting of the season, but it was way back on December 2. |
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02-09-23 | Nuggets -6 v. Magic | 104-115 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Denver presents a nightmarish matchup for most teams but definitely the Orlando Magic. Orlando is banged up down low and now goes against the best big man in the NBA and one that can beat you inside and outside. While Orlando has defended the 3-ball well this season, they haven't run into a big that can pass as deftly as Jokic can out of the post. Jokic's passing is the primary reason Denver is ranked first in the NBA in 3pt shooting; he demands double teams and Denver spaces the floor well. The Nuggets had a hiccup against Minnesota two games ago but that won't happen against this Orlando team that lacks the fire power to run away from the Nuggets. Denver will run through Jokic and get open looks and take the fight out of the Magic in this one. |
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02-09-23 | Iowa v. Purdue -8 | 73-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Purdue is the type of team that I want to back at home, as it features a pair of freshman guards as two of its key players. The Boilermakers are generally going to play better in a comfortable environment. They put together one of their worst halves of the season in the first half at Indiana on Saturday, but they gave themselves some momentum coming into this matchup with a strong second half. Iowa has struggled away from home due to its reliance on its offense as well, going 1-4 in its last five road games. The Hawkeyes have only recorded one win in their last 12 games at Purdue, and they are going to struggle against the motivated Boilermakers. |
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02-08-23 | San Diego State v. Utah State -1.5 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Aztecs have gone 10-2 in their last 12. However, USU looks to have an easier bout on the weekend’s undercard, taking on cellar-dweller Colorado State. The Aztecs face a much sterner test as Boise State comes to town in a race for the MWC lead. Utah State has fashioned a nice 11-1 SU and 7-4 ATS record at home this season, and the series host is riding a 6-0 ATS skein. The Aggies lost to SDSU by 10 points at home earlier this season and the Aztecs are guilty of a poor 4-19 SU and 7-15-1 ATS effort versus foes with same-season revenge. Bear in mind that San Diego State’s scrap with Boise last Friday was a triple-revenge game for the Aztecs, so they may not have much left in the tank tonight. Aggies throw another wrench in the race. |
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02-08-23 | St. Joe's +3 v. Loyola-Chicago | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Statistically, this is a fairly evenly matched game, although St. Joe’s seems like the team that is a little better offensively. The clubs are allowing about the same number of points per game, so the question becomes whether Loyola-Chicago has enough of an advantage by playing this contest at home. The Ramblers have won their last two games at home, but that came after three straight home losses and they are 2-8 in the conference while the Hawks are 5-6. When these clubs met earlier this season, St. Joseph’s absolutely blew out Loyola-Chicago, winning by 31. That was just three weeks ago, and not a lot has changed for either team since then. No one should expect a 31-point victory here for the Hawks, but do not be surprised if they win by at least 15. |
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02-08-23 | Wisconsin v. Penn State -4.5 | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Penn State is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games vs. a team with a losing road record and Wisconsin is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. The Badgers are also 1-9 ATS in their last ten games following an ATS loss and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall. These teams are in a similar position right now in terms of NCAA tourney seeding, as both are currently among the "Next Four Out" in ESPN's Bracketology prediction. That said, I view the Lions and Badgers as teams on different trajectories. |
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02-08-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -4 | 99-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Philadelphia 76ers are only 2-2 in their last four games after losing games to the Magic and Knicks within the last week. The Boston Celtics will be ready for this game as they look to build on their first-place lead against a 76ers squad that is only three games behind them. Boston has won three out of their last four games. 76ers are giving up an increase in points. They have squandered 119 or more points in five out of their last seven clashes. This is key as Boston is second in the NBA in adjusted offensive efficiency, averaging 115.3 points per 100 possessions compared to 113.8 per 100 by Philly. Boston won the first meeting by nine points and I expect another convincing win. Also, Joel Embiid is questionable with a foot injury. |
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02-08-23 | Pacers +7 v. Heat | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Neither team has been a good betting option over the past few weeks, but I feel much better about Indiana being undervalued coming into this game. The Pacers finally have a chance to be competitive again after getting their best player back on the court. He scored a career-high 43 points against Miami in December, and he has had time to rest coming into this matchup. The Pacers have covered the spread in eight of their last 12 games in Miami, and the Heat are dealing with multiple key injuries right now. I expect this game to be a toss-up down the stretch, which provides plenty of value on Indiana as a 7-point underdog. |
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02-08-23 | Spurs +11 v. Raptors | Top | 98-112 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units Greg Popovich takes on a Toronto team that handed him the WORST LOSS of his career in a 143-100 ass whooping in San Antonio on November 2 earlier this season. If that’s not enough of a hair-raising beat down, then it doesn’t exist in Pops’ world. Making matters even worse for the Raptors is that they enter this game off a double-revenge affair of their own at Memphis with another payback on deck here against Utah on Friday. With the Spurs 11-9 SU and 12-8 ATS overall in this series, including 4-1 ATS when Toronto is coming off two days of rest. Finally playing on San Antonio head coach Greg Popovich from Game 55 out when he is seeking revenge from a same-season loss of more than 25 points when the Spurs own a sub .690 win percentage 11-0 since 1998. |
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02-08-23 | Syracuse -160 v. Florida State | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even though they'll be taking to the road in this game, there's no doubt that the Orange will cover the spread in this one and come away with the win. Their 2-3 zone is bound to force Florida State into settling for three-point shots, which has been a massive issue for this group. Adding to that is a lack of depth for the Seminoles in the frontcourt, which is certain to haunt them. For Syracuse, their offense is one of the more efficient ones in the ACC, and considering their defense doesn't expect to be an issue in this one, their experience will be crucial. Additionally, according to covers.com, the road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between these two teams. |
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02-08-23 | Creighton v. Seton Hall +3.5 | Top | 75-62 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units Pirates have gone 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS, and should add to those figures with a game against pitiful DePaul last weekend. In yet another case of biting the hand that feeds us, we’ll fade Creighton off what we think will be a big win over Villanova. Yes, we know we talked up the Bluejays last Saturday but one of the deciding factors was the game location: Creighton is a great home team but a lousy road team. Not to mention the Jays are just 14-22-1 ATS against foes seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 20-plus points, including 3-8 ATS versus .550 or greater foes. Meanwhile, the Pirates can boast a 5-0 SUATS record at home this season with a sub .700 win percentage. Finally consider that Seton Hall is 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in this series when the Blue Jays fly in with a sub .700 record, including 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS when the Hall boasts a winning record. |
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02-07-23 | TCU v. Kansas State -4 | 61-82 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units I have to look at Kansas State in this spot. The Wildcats are undefeated this season when listed as favorites and will be highly motivated to get revenge for that 14-point defeat at TCU in January. Also, the Wildcats want to avoid a three-game losing streak, so I’m backing them to beat TCU by four or more points. Both teams defend the 3-point line very well, and the Wildcats are a more dangerous 3-point shooting team than the Horned Frogs. This could be a decisive factor, as K-State plays at home, and TCU has gone 1-3 SU and ATS in its previous four showings on the road. The Wildcats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played on Tuesday. |
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02-07-23 | Bulls +9.5 v. Grizzlies | 89-104 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Grizzlies have continued to slide in the wrong direction and they look like a completely different team without Morant or Adams on the floor. Morant is currently listed as questionable, but the Bulls are good enough defensively to keep this game within the spread. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Bulls have the 11th lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are (6-4) in their last 10 and they've won two straight. They are playing good basketball right now and I just can't say that about the Grizzlies. They are currently (2-8) in their last 10 games played and they've lost three in a row. They've struggled on the offensive end of the court and I see that trend continuing in this one. The Bulls are also a better overall shooting team, as I see them being able to maneuver around this Memphis defense. They are scoring the 15th most points per game and they have the fifth-highest team shooting percentage. They will take advantage of their open looks and keep this game close. |
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02-07-23 | Suns -5.5 v. Nets | 116-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This could be a very weird game. As you know, the trade deadliner is this week and the Nets have already seen their roster rocked with the trade of Kyrie Irving to Dallas. Now, we don't know if the haul they got back, Dinwiddie and Finney-Smith, will even be suited up for this game -- and even if they are, they probably won't play much or be effective given that they are joining a new team and had to travel. Plus, the Nets just played a game Monday night at home against the Clippers, so they could not only be short handed, but the players they have on the court will be running on fumes. This all points to a Phoenix win. Take the Suns here to cover. |
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02-07-23 | Knicks v. Magic +1.5 | 102-98 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Knicks have not been strong on the road where they have dropped three out of their last four games including losses to the Hawks and Raptors. The Magic have been tough to beat on their home floor. They have won three of their last four home clashes highlighted by a win against the Celtics. Orlando is flourishing in the offensive end. They have collected 119 or more points in three out of their last four games including 119 points against the 76ers in that span. Also, the Knicks like to attempt many threes, averaging 34.9 three-point attempts per game and it will be a challenge to have success when considering the Magic rank 6th in the NBA in three-point defense. |
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02-07-23 | Toledo +2.5 v. Akron | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toledo is 16-6, riding a 6-game win skein, while 16-6 Akron had ripped off 7 straight wins before a Friday game against Kent State, so something’s gotta give. The ATS archives suggest the Rockets are the right side. Not only do they own a 19-7 ATS edge in this series of late, but they’re also 5-2 ATS with LTKO revenge, including 3-0 ATS away. That’s a few light years better than the Zips’ 3-7-1 ATS mark versus foes seeking LTKO revenge, including 0-5-1 ATS when Akron sports a sub .777 win percentage. These two go at it again in two weeks, so pay close attention to this matchup. While grabbing the points, of course. |
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02-07-23 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest +1.5 | 85-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wake Forest narrowly covered as 11.0-point underdogs in the first game, and playing at home I think they cover again. UNC's last two trips to Winston-Salem were blowout losses, and this UNC team has been pretty inconsistent this season. Wake Forest has performed almost identically to UNC this season, albeit with a weaker out-of-conference schedule. Wake Forest hit 47.6% of their threes against them in January, and their three-point shooting will keep them alive all night this time around too. Wake Forest covers against the Tar Heels again. |
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02-06-23 | Mavs v. Jazz -8.5 | 124-111 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Mavericks could possibly be without Luka Doncic in this game, as I simply don't trust them when he isn't on the floor. He does everything for them on the offensive end of the court. Dallas has also struggled to consistently score, as they are only averaging the 24th most points per game. The Jazz will be able to get consistent stops throughout this one and slowly pull away. Dallas hasn't impressed me on the defensive end of the court either. They are surrendering the 24th-highest shooting percentage from the field, as the Jazz will find open looks throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. Utah is currently scoring the fourth most points per game and they have the fourth-highest adjusted offensive rating. They will efficiently score throughout this game and slowly pull away. Dallas isn't the same team without Doncic and I like this Jazz offense. |
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02-06-23 | Texas v. Kansas -185 | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jayhawks are rarely rattled, but that wasn't the case on Saturday. The loss was a tough pill to swallow for KU and one it can't afford to obsess over with Texas looming. There's enough talent on this squad to play with anyone on any given night, but they can't be overly reliant on Wilson to do his thing. Turnovers aside, that's the main focal point coaches will demonstrate to players on Sunday. The Longhorns covered up a poor first-half showing with a second-half rally versus Kansas State. That will not be enough at Allen Fieldhouse against an impassioned Jayhawks squad. If they want to win or cover, the Horns will have to take better care of the ball and shoot much better from three (4-of-16 vs. KSU). Texas has proven itself in conference play, but the Big 12 race is far from wrapped up. In this game, I expect the Jayhawks players to run like their hair is on fire and rebound like linebackers hitting the hole to stop a running back on third and goal. There's no saying how well they'll take care of the ball, but I would be shocked if they turn it over a lot early in the game, as they did versus the Cyclones. If it's going to take this type of effort, Jalen Wilson needs support. Bet on him getting plenty of it, resulting in a Kansas cover. |
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02-06-23 | Clippers v. Nets +7.5 | 124-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Los Angeles Clippers are at the end of a difficult five-game road trek. They lost to the Bucks on Thursday and needed overtime to beat the Knicks on Saturday. The Nets are winning games, logging the victory in three of their last four games. Durant and Simmons did not play in those games. Furthermore, the Nets are the better offensive squad here. They are averaging 114.2 points per 100 possessions compared to only 110.5 points from the Clippers while defensively they are even. The Clippers have only averaged 111 points in their last four games and that included an overtime game. The Nets were able to score 125 points without Durant, Simmons, and Irving on Saturday and I expect a victory in this one. |
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02-06-23 | Cavs v. Wizards +2.5 | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavs enter off a revenge affair of their own last night at Indiana and they stand 3-9 ATS in post-Pacer performances. Consider that Cleveland is 1-11-1 ATS as a road favorite without rest. |
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02-06-23 | Celtics -9.5 v. Pistons | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics are already 2-0 against the Pistons this season with an average margin of victory of 12.5 points. Boston's high-powered offense should get right back on track against the Pistons' porous defense that is near the bottom of almost all defensive categories. In addition, the Celtics' defense has made a major uptick since the return of Williams. They should have their way against a Detroit offense that has struggled to put up points at times this season and has limited weapons. The Celtics won't overlook this game as the Bucks and Sixers close in on the top of the Eastern Conference and will come in rested with a full roster. |
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02-05-23 | 76ers v. Knicks +4.5 | Top | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units Knicks look to even the score from a 119-112 Christmas Day home defeat to Philly. With it they bring along a strong 10-5-1 ATS record in games with a .444 or greater mark as a division home dog with revenge, including 5-1-1 ATS when coming off a home game. They also pile on with a 12-8 SUATS mark this season with same-season loss revenge of 7-plus points. The 76ers are coming off a same-season revenge contest with the Spurs, (3-7 ATS away after facing San Antonio) with another same season revenge affair up next against Miami (3-9-1 ATS before Miami, including 0-3 ATS away). Finally, consider that the Knicks are 15-8 SU and 14-7-1 ATS series with same-season loss revenge if .428 or greater, including 7-1 ATS as a dog. |
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02-05-23 | Houston -11.5 v. Temple | 81-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Temple is on a solid 4-0 SU run of late overall, but only 4-11 SU and 6-9 ATS in this series, including 3-8 ATS when Houston sports a sub .925- win percentage. In addition, head coach Aaron McKie owns a weak 5-10 ATS with a winning record with the Owls versus foes with revenge, and worse, Temple is 10-100-1 ATS in games they lose outright at home, including 0-38-1 ATS versus avenging foes. Remember, Sampson’s Cougars are a perfect 8-0 SUATS away this season, plus they get added backing from the fact that Houston head coach Kelvin Sampson is 36-17 SUATS with same season conference loss revenge, including 5-0 SUATS when coming off one win. |
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02-05-23 | Cavs v. Pacers +5 | 122-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers snapped a four-game losing streak with a 107-104 win over the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Buddy Hield made five 3-pointers and scored 21 points, Aaron Nesmith added 17 points, and Myles Turner had 14 points and 13 rebounds. Indiana coach Rick Carlisle was encouraged by his team's defensive effort after causing 19 turnovers and holding Sacramento to 43.0 percent shooting. Indiana split its first two games against Cleveland this season, including a 135-126 victory on Dec. 29. Tyrese Haliburton and Hield combined for 11 3-pointers and 54 points in the win. The Pacers' frontcourt received a boost earlier this week with the season debut of center Daniel Theis, who was out while recovering from right knee surgery. Consider that the Cavaliers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. |
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02-05-23 | Magic v. Hornets -120 | 119-113 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hornets guard Terry Rozier has scored 20 or more points in five consecutive games. In a late October game, Orlando picked up its first victory of the season after five losses by defeating the visiting Hornets 113-93. Charlotte won a rematch, 112-105 on Nov. 14 at Orlando. In those two matchups, the Hornets didn't have a player reach the 20-point mark. Gordon Hayward was the team's top scorer in the first game and Mason Plumlee led the scoring in the second meeting. In each case, those players scored 18 points. This marks the first visit of the season for the Magic to Charlotte. Clifford is a former Orlando head coach. For Charlotte, Sunday's game will be the only home appearance during a six-game stretch. Consider that the Hornets are 48-19-2 ATS in their last 69 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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02-05-23 | Ohio State v. Michigan -150 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last five and 2-8 ATS in their last ten. I don't want to trust them to cover in this spot after they played well below their talent level against Wisconsin, losing a winnable game at home as seven-point spread favorites. While the Wolverines haven't been trustworthy this season, at least they woke up against Northwestern, taking down an NCAA Tournament-bound Wildcats team by double digits after getting blown out at Penn State. Michigan might not have the star power college hoops fans are accustomed to seeing in the maize and blue, but they're talented enough to defend their home court against the underwhelming Buckeyes. This likely won't be the best edition of the rivalry game, but it should be competitive for at least 3/4 of the afternoon. That said, by the time the final whistle blows, Michigan will be the school with the bragging rights. |
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02-04-23 | Wyoming v. San Jose State -115 | 64-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When diving into KenPom’s adjusted efficiency margin, there is a large difference between these programs as San Jose State is 113th in the country with a +4.84 rating while Wyoming is 153rd in college basketball with a +1.11 rating thus far. A huge reason is the ability to grab rebounds as there is a massive difference with the Cowboys being 275th in the sport with 32.5 total rebounds per game while the Spartans are 116th in the nation with 35.7 total rebounds per game thus far. All in all, go with the better program that covers the spread more effectively to do just that. |
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02-04-23 | Rockets v. Thunder -9.5 | 121-153 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When one team dominates another as the Thunder do the Rockets, a pesky loss such as the one Oklahoma City suffered at Houston as 6-point road chalk on Wednesday only serves to bring them back around to full focus. That’s what we expect to find tonight, as the Thunder will look to improve on their 10-2 ATS mark in this series, taking the floor sporting a 5-0 ATS record in their last five games when coming off a SU favorite loss. Meanwhile, the Rockets arrive off a home revenger against Toronto last night while standing 0-5 SUATS after the Raptors, and 0-5 SUATS the last five without rest. Making matters worse, Houie has another home revenger waiting on tap Monday night against the Sacramento, owning a 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS log in post-Kings’ contests. |
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02-04-23 | Blazers v. Bulls -4 | 121-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago has covered the spread in 6 of its last nine at home. The Bulls will be well rested having played on Thursday while Portland will play its third straight road game and its second game in as many nights after facing Washington on Friday. The result is the Trail Blazers will be playing their third game in four nights, all of which were on the road. Portland has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games played on the road and the Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in eight of the last nine games played on the road against the team that has a winning record at home (Chicago 14-11 at home). Portland struggles against teams with a losing record, failing to cover the spread in five of seven in that situation. Jerami Grant, who averages 20.1 points per game for Portland, is out on Friday in the first half of the back to back and could miss Saturday against Chicago. |
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02-04-23 | Villanova v. Creighton -9.5 | 61-66 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units From a squad that was a permanent fixture in the Top 25 poll under Wright, this year’s Wildcats still haven’t found their footing, standing 10-12 overall after losing 7 of their last 10 contests. They also bring along an 8-16-2 ATS log in games when sporting a losing record, including 1-5-2 ATS in conference play. Look, we’ll be the first to admit it’s not often you’ll find the Bluejays dressing up as favorites against the Wildcats (just 3 times in 20 meetings since they joined the Big East) but when they do, there is certainly provocation. It starts with last year’s 54-48 loss to Villanova in the finals of the Big East tourney, and with that Creighton brings a 5-1 SUATS record into tonight’s affair when looking to exact LTKO revenge, including 5-0 SUATS when they face sub .900 opponents. Greg McDermott’s troops have been a tough out at home this season, going 10-1 SU and scoring an average of over 81 points per game, and we think they’ll heap a little more misery on Nova here. |
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02-04-23 | Suns v. Pistons +5 | 116-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This feels like a good spot to put some money on the Pistons. Both of these teams come into this game playing the second half of a back to back so I have to think that the Suns will be overlooking the lowly Pistons, thinking they could go through the motions and get a win before gearing up for tougher games ahead. And they may well escape with a win, but I think this is a game the Pistons could possibly steal and win outright, or at least play close enough to cover the spread. They are 3-7 in back to backs this season, which is better than their overall winning percentage. Take the Pistons here to cover the spread. |
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02-04-23 | Clippers -155 v. Knicks | 134-128 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I do not have any interest in backing New York right now, as the Knicks have been extremely inconsistent and overvalued in the betting market. They have only covered the spread three times in their last nine games, and they have gone 4-8 against the spread in their last 12 home games. Los Angeles is going to be undervalued after losing a game to Milwaukee that it clearly should have won. The Clippers have covered the spread in six of their last seven games, including five of their last six road games. They are a different team with George back on the court, but the market has not fully accounted for that, which has made them a profitable option. |
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02-04-23 | Lakers -113 v. Pelicans | 126-131 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I will be riding with the Los Angeles Lakers in this game. Los Angeles has been trending in the correct direction, as they are (6-4) in their last 10 and they've won two straight. They also have James and Davis back on the floor, as this has been a huge boost for their team. Now, the Pelicans have continued to slide. They are (0-10) in their last 10 and they don't seem to be warming up. The Lakers will dominate on the offensive end of the court, as they are scoring the sixth most points per game and they have the ninth-highest team shooting percentage. The Pelicans will allow them to find consistent open shots throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. New Orleans has also struggled on the offensive end of the court, as they won't score enough points to cover this spread. The Lakers have been great at defending the perimeter and the Pelicans just haven't looked good enough for me to trust them. |
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02-04-23 | Purdue v. Indiana +1 | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Hoosiers have won five of their last six games and four of their last five home games. They are very good offensively, especially at home where they are scoring more than 83 points per game while making over 53 percent of their shots. They do a good job finding the open man and they were very aggressive on the offensive glass in their last three games, grabbing more than 10 offensive rebounds per game in their last three games, which will give them more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Boilermakers a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Boilermakers have played well defensively, but they aren’t as efficient on the road and will have a hard time slowing down the Hoosiers in this game. The Boilermakers have won nine straight games. They have played well offensively, but they’re not as good on the road where they are scoring more than 72 points per game. They struggled at the free throw line in their last three games, making less than 68 percent of their shots. They also didn’t rebound the ball as well as the Hoosiers in recent games and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against the Hoosiers. The Hoosiers are very good defensively and do a better job at home where they are holding opponents under 65 points per game and will keep Purdue’s offense in check. Go with the Hoosiers to cover the spread. |
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02-04-23 | Texas v. Kansas State +1.5 | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This has the makings of a fantastic matchup, as Texas is atop the Big 12 (7-2) with Kansas State right behind (6-3). This means a lot is on the line, especially for the Wildcats, who want to keep their home winning streak alive while also ensuring that Kansas, TCU, and Iowa State, who are also 6-3, do not have a chance to jump over the Wildcats in the standings. So, look for Kansas State to play this game like it is a tournament game. They have been absolutely dominant at home while Texas is just 2-3 on the road. The Wildcats have covered the spread it in four of their last five games and eight of their last 10. |
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02-04-23 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -119 | 78-74 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Miami is 0-12 SU on this floor since entering the ACC. Folks, that’s some bad ju-ju, made even worse by the fact that when the Hurricanes lose a game under head coach Jim Larranaga, they usually don’t cash a ticket. The offi cial results are 84-724 ATS in outright conference losses with the Canes, including 7-41 ATS versus avenging foes. Did that shift your perspective? How about Clemson’s perfect 12-0 record this season at Littlejohn Coliseum, where the Tigers average a 12.7-point win? Brad Brownell’s boys have not lost back-to-back games this campaign and we don’t look for it to happen here. Finally, Clemmie stands 5-1-1 ATS in this series when coming off consecutive ATS losses – which blends in with the fact that Clemson is 16-5 SU and 14-7 ATS as single-digit home chalk off a SU favorite loss, including 6-0 SUATS when coming off consecutive point spread losses. |
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02-04-23 | Butler v. Marquette -15 | 52-60 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Butler is going the wrong direction with six losses in seven games and their offense has been stuck in neutral for the most part. The Bulldogs have scored more than 61 points just once in their last seven games and have hung 58 or less in five of those matchups. That doesn’t bode well against a Marquette team that is in the top 20 in the nation in scoring offense and who leads the nation in two-point shooting. Butler is a decent defensive team but their inability to scare anyone on the offensive end, coupled with their road woes, is too much to ask for in this one. Take Marquette at home as they prevail in this contest. |
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02-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State +1.5 | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units ISU looks to get even for their recent 2-point setback to KU. We like the Cyclones’ chances to do just that: they own a 5-0 ATS series record versus Kansas when playing with same season revenge from a loss of fewer than 20 points, plus the Jayhawks have cashed just a single ticket in their last six games after clashing with K-State. Keep a close eye on the line today, too, as Iowa State stands 5-0 ATS as home dogs of 7-plus points if .666 or greater. Also keep in mind that Iowa State has won the rebound battle in its last 8 straight contests and won’t be overpowered here. With Kansas possibly looking ahead to a bigger game at Texas on Monday, we expect the Cyclones to keep their fans satisfied in this high-noon showdown |
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02-03-23 | Boise State +6 v. San Diego State | 52-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between BSU and SDSU. Give me the Broncos at +7 following a solid road win over Air Force. Boise will have a shot to assume complete control of the Mountain West, especially with a home rematch versus San Diego State in a few weeks. These two teams should determine the conference champion in those games. With its stellar defense, Boise State will cover the spread and give itself a shot at an outright win. The stats don't paint the entire picture, but they give a glimpse into BSU's defensive dominance. Ranked 9th in the country in defensive efficiency with a top 5 three-point defense, the Broncos will make life difficult for the home squad on offense. |
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02-03-23 | Magic +5 v. Wolves | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota enters after looking to avenge a same season-defeat to Golden State (5-10 SUATS post Warrior workouts) with yet another same-season avenger on tap with Denver. After checking off all the boxes, consider that Orlando is 20-8 SUATS in this series, including 8-0 ATS when seeking same-season revenge. |
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02-03-23 | 76ers -9.5 v. Spurs | 137-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I know this spread is massive, but I am going to take the 76ers on the road. The Spurs are (1-9) in their last 10 games and they are one of the worst defensive teams in the league. They won't be able to stop the Sixers, as Philadelphia will slowly pull away throughout this game. The Spurs are currently allowing the most points per game and they have the highest adjusted defensive rating. Philadelphia will be able to score from anywhere on the floor, as they are averaging the 13th most points per game and they have the third-highest three-point shooting percentage. Philadelphia also has the 10th highest adjusted offensive rating and they are (8-2) in their last 10 games played. Now, the Spurs won't be able to consistently score either, as the 76ers have the seventh-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the fourth least amount of points per game. They will contest shots near the rim and on the outside, as the Spurs won't score enough points to cover this spread. |
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02-03-23 | Suns v. Celtics -9.5 | 106-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I might be interested in backing Phoenix once Booker returns next week, but I am going to stay away from the Suns on Friday night. They are coming off one of their worst performances of the season, getting blown out by Atlanta in a game where they never competed. Phoenix is now having to go on the road for just the second time in the last two weeks to face a Boston team that is coming off a spectacular showing. The Celtics had everything working in their win over the Nets, and they are 9-1 in their last 10 home games. Phoenix simply does not have the firepower necessary to hang with Boston right now. |
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02-03-23 | Hornets v. Pistons -110 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams have been turnstiles on the defensive end of the floor this season. The Hornets are playing the second game of a back-to-back set here. They’ve been brutal on the road this season and they haven’t had much in the way of success in back-to-backs this year. Detroit has their own issues as injuries have taken a toll on them this season, as will the stress of the travel issues that led to the postponement of Wednesday’s contest. With that said, the Pistons do have a rest advantage going for them and they are at home. Given how poor the Hornets have looked as the visiting team this season, you have to give the slight edge to Detroit in this contest. |
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02-01-23 | New Mexico +4.5 v. Utah State | 73-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Aggies are one of the most dangerous offensive teams in the country. They heavily lean on 3-point shooting and pace the nation in 3-point percentage, but the Aggies’ defense is far away from an elite level. That’s going to be an issue in this matchup, as New Mexico owns one of the best scoring trios in college basketball. Jamal Mashburn Jr, Jaelen House, and Morris Udeze will torture the Aggies’ D and help the Lobos to keep it close down the stretch. The Lobos defend the 3-point line well and love to get to the free-throw line. They are 17th in the country in free-throw rate. I’m backing the Lobos, who are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven outings on the road. The Aggies, on the other side, are 1-4 ATS in their previous five games overall. |
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02-01-23 | LSU v. Missouri -10 | 77-87 | Push | 0 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LSU’s 12-1 start to the season came to a grinding halt with seven straight losses for the Bengal Cats, and as a result they find themselves in a 3-way mess with both of the Mississippi’s at the bottom of the SEC totem pole. They also have to face off against a Missouri team tonight that remembers its season-ending loss to LSU in the Donkey Round of last year’s SEC tourney, and that sets the table here as they check in with a sparkling 3-0 SUATS log in home games when seeking LTKO revenge. The Tigers from COMO have lost just two games in Mizzou Arena this season, against Kansas and Alabama – two squads that are head-and-shoulders above the troubled Tigers from the bayou. With only one conference win in his pocket this season, we don’t see anything changing soon for first-year LSU head coach Matt McMahon. |
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02-01-23 | Thunder -5 v. Rockets | 106-112 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is the type of game that the Thunder have to win if they truly want to compete for a play-in spot -- or more. They are on the road facing a lesser team and that lesser team is banged up with some key players questionable. It helps that they have the two best players on the floor in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey, while Houston may be missing their two best players -- Green and Alperen. Also, the Thunder have been great against the spread, going 31-18-1 against the number this season. Houston, on the other hand, is just 20-29-1 against the spread. Take Oklahoma City here to cover. |
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02-01-23 | Indiana State -13.5 v. Evansville | 83-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana State won the first head-to-head meeting by 28 points, and I expect another dominating performance here. The Purple Aces' rank in the bottom 40 in the nation in field goal percentage, three-point percentage and scoring on both offense and defense. On the other end, Indiana State is 46th in field goal percentage, scoring and free-throw shooting on offense. The Sycamores are also much better defensively. There's always a chance that Indiana State overlooks Evansville here or falls victim to a late backdoor cover, but the Sycamores are the smart play here. |
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02-01-23 | Nets v. Celtics -9 | 96-139 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston is the better offensive team in this matchup and I don't think these two teams are even when Kevin Durant isn't on the floor. Boston is also (5-0) ATS in their last five meetings overall, as they will be looking to dominate again in this game. The Boston offense is also extremely tough to beat, as they have the third-highest adjusted offensive rating and they are scoring the third most points per game. Tatum and Jaylen Brown are tough to stop and they have multiple key players that can come off the bench and contribute as well. Brooklyn is still dealing with injuries and I don't see Irving carrying his team to victory in this one. Boston also has the fifth-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the 10th-lowest shooting percentage from the floor. They will pressure the Nets consistently throughout this game and keep them from scoring enough points to cover the spread. |
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02-01-23 | Tulsa v. Cincinnati -15.5 | 55-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tulsa has been one of the worst teams in college basketball to bet on this season as they have been awful against the spread. The Golden Hurricane is 3-15-2 against the spread this year. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been a solid bet, going 14-7 against the spread on the season. One concern here is that Landers Nolley is listed as questionable for this game with a banged-up knee. Cincinnati may try to rest him thinking they can beat Tulsa without him as they prepare for bigger games coming up. If this game was at Tulsa I might give the Golden Hurricane a shot to cover, but the Bearcats have been great at home and I like them to cover with or without Nolley. Take Cincinnati here. |
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02-01-23 | Tennessee -5 v. Florida | 54-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is too big of a game for the Volunteers to expect any sort of letdown. In essence, Tennessee is in a two-team race for the SEC regular season crown and that outcome could ultimately determine whether or not the Volunteers earn a coveted #1 seed in one of the four tournament regions. Tennessee just has too much talent for this Florida team. Florida was overwhelmed by K-State on Saturday, particularly the Wildcats' defense. Now they face arguably the best defense in the country in the Volunteers. Tennessee has the nation's #1 scoring defense and #1 3pt defense. The Volunteers also have more than enough scoring to get off and running and keep the Gators at bay. I expect the Volunteers to dominate the interior, double Castleton in the post, and force Florida to try to beat them with the Gators' subpar perimeter shooting. Tennessee will roll in this spot. |
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02-01-23 | Providence +4 v. Xavier | 83-85 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Xavier (17-5, 9-2 Big East) enters the game tied for first in the conference but is coming off an 84-67 loss at Creighton on Saturday. The Friars (17-5, 9-2) also sit atop the conference, alongside the Musketeers and Marquette. The Musketeers received untimely news on Tuesday with the revelation that big man Zach Freemantle will be sidelined at least four weeks with a left foot injury. Freemantle is averaging 15.2 points and a team-best 8.1 rebounds per game and is shooting 58.5 percent from the field. Consider that the Friars are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
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01-31-23 | Kansas State v. Kansas -6.5 | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The fact is Kansas stands only one game out of first place and we expect a strong surge down the stretch. It starts here with KU bringing a 3-0 SUATS mark in this contest in games in which they own the inferior record by an average win margin of 20 PPG. As for the over-achieving Wildcats, they’re just 1-5 ATS against foes they beat earlier in the season by one-point exact. And if that’s not bad enough, they crawl into this week’s contest with a gaudy 7-40 ATS mark in conference games they fail to win against avenging opponents. Let’s face it: Kansas is a ticking time bomb right now and we expect them to hit the 0:00 mark against hated Kansas State tonight. Finally, Kansas is 4-0 SUATS since 1990 when seeking same-season revenge against Kansas State, with every win by a double-digit margin. |
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01-31-23 | Heat +6 v. Cavs | 100-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The young guns from Cleveland host a team that has been a thorn in their side, only tonight they’ll be laying points to the angry visitors from Miami. It’s a sketchy setting for the Cavs who hosted the Clippers here on Sunday knowing they are just 3-13 SUATS in games after facing the Clips, including 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS in the last five such occurrences. The Heat take the floor sporting a 12-5 SUATS mark in this series, including 4-1 ATS when looking to avenge a same-season defeat (they lost 113-87 here in their last matchup in November). One thing for certain, though, Is points figure to be at a premium in this matchup of the Association’s two top-ranked teams in scoring defense. Consider that Miami is 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS as a road dog from Game 28 out with Eric Spoelstra when seeking revenge from a same-season loss of 25 or more points, including 6-1 ATS against winning foes. |
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01-31-23 | Nebraska v. Illinois -14 | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last four Tuesday games, 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games. The Huskers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games and 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. This game should be one-sided, as the Huskers are down a few bodies and the Illini have a significant talent advantage. Nebraska will be boxed out for rebounds all night, and if it can't handle the press, turnovers will lead to easy Illinois baskets. |
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01-30-23 | Baylor +5 v. Texas | 71-76 | Push | 0 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Neither team has been profitable ATS this season, and while I'm leaning towards the Longhorns winning straight-up, this should be a close game. With the Longhorns coming off a disheartening loss and the Bears riding a six-game winning streak, I'm siding with Baylor. Texas is 8-13 ATS this season, including 3-7 in its last ten overall. While Baylor is just 10-10-1 ATS overall, it has been the better side to back as of late, going 4-1-1 in its past six overall. History tells us the Bears are the profitable team to bet on Monday, as well. Baylor is 4-0 ATS in its last four Monday games and Texas is 0-4 in its last four Monday games. In what should turn out to be a one or two-possession game, I'll take the team that's getting points. |
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01-30-23 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech +1.5 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Raiders are still red-faced thinking about the last time these two met in Ames three weeks ago, where the Cyclones annihilated them, 80-54 – Texas Tech’s worst loss this season, and its worst overall since 2015. The Raiders had gone 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS in the series with ISU before the blowout, and just so happen to own a 7-1 ATS at home with revenge versus the Cyclones. Iowa State also has a revenge affair with Kansas on deck, and the Clones are just 3-22 SU away before facing the Jayhawks, including 6-10-1 ATS the last 17 games. Tech makes up for a season’s worth of hurt by bringing down the Cyclones. |
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01-30-23 | Pistons v. Mavs -8 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Detroit Pistons continue to struggle to win games as they are playing without their young star Cade Cunningham who is out for the remainder of the season. The Pistons have lost eight out of their last ten games including a home loss to Houston in their previous action. Many of these have been ugly losses. Six of the eight losses in that span were by double-digits. The Mavericks have enough depth even if Doncic and Wood don’t play. Detroit is one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA. They have squandered an average of 129 points in their last four games. This is not a good sign considering Dallas is averaging 113.3 points per 100 possessions, good for seventh in the NBA. |
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01-30-23 | Warriors v. Thunder +5.5 | 128-120 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Thunder have been great on the defensive end of the court as of late and they are (7-3) overall in their last 10 games played. The Warriors are also (6-18) on the road this season, as I don't see them staying hot in this game. According to dunksandthrees.com, they only have the 20th-highest adjusted offensive rating and the Thunder have the seventh-lowest adjusted defensive rating. They are also holding their opponents to the sixth-lowest shooting percentage from the field, as they will get just enough stops to cover this spread. OKC has also shown that they can consistently put the ball in the basket. The Warriors have not been good defensively this season, as they are allowing the 26th most points per game and the 18th lowest three-point shooting percentage. The Thunder will find open shots throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. They are scoring the sixth most points per game and they have been hot as of late. |
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01-30-23 | Kings v. Wolves +100 | 118-111 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Timberwolves have won three in a row and five of the last six. They handled the Memphis Grizzlies and Kings, two of the top teams in the West, to open a six-game homestand during which the reigning NBA champs (Golden State) and current No. 1 team in the West (Denver) also will be visiting. The Kings, whose current .563 winning percentage is nearly 200 points higher than last year's .366, have stumbled lately, losing three of four. Saturday's loss to the Timberwolves was the opener of their longest trip of the season -- a seven-game excursion that will take them to San Antonio, Indian, New Orleans and two in Houston. Sacramento had won its previous three road outings before arriving in Minneapolis. Consider that the Timberwolves are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record while the Kings are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. |
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01-30-23 | Lakers +9 v. Nets | 104-121 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles is going to be very motivated coming into this game following its emotional loss to Boston on Saturday night. The Lakers should have had a pair of free throws to win the game in the final seconds, and they were still able to cover the spread as 7.5-point underdogs. They are also underrated in the betting market right now due to Davis’s return, as he is clearly more impactful than the odds are accounting for. Los Angeles has covered the spread in four of its last five games, and it has gone 5-0-1 ATS in its last six road games. Brooklyn is relying almost completely on Irving to win games right now, which has led to the Nets going 3-6 in their nine games since Durant’s injury. |
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01-30-23 | Virginia -5 v. Syracuse | 67-62 | Push | 0 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers have won six straight games and three of their last four road games. They are playing well offensively, even on the road where they are averaging more than 71 points per game. They do a good job finding the open man and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball, turning it over less than 10 times per game, and won’t give the Orange a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Orange usually play well defensively, but they struggled in recent games, giving up more than 73 points per game in their last three games, and will have a hard time slowing down the Cavaliers in this game. The Orange have lost three of their last four games. They struggled offensively during the stretch, scoring a little more than 72 points per game in their last three games. Their rebounding also dropped off during the stretch, so don’t expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against the Cavaliers. They were also careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Cavaliers, who average seven steals per game on the road. The Cavaliers play well defensively and they’re just as good on the road where they are holding opponents to 65 points per game, so expect them to keep Syracuse’s offense in check. Go with Virginia to cover the spread. |
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01-29-23 | Clippers v. Cavs -6.5 | 99-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Clips enter off a same-season avenger of their own at Atlanta last night and given the fact that they are 5-15 SU and 6-14 ATS in games on the North coast, including 0-4 ATS when the Cavs are looking to settle up from an earlier season loss of fewer than 20 points in this series. With Los Angeles just 4-9-1 ATS in non-conference clashes on Sundays, and Cleveland 9-2 ATS on the first day of the week, look for a Cavs’ assault this evening. |
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01-29-23 | Heat v. Hornets +6.5 | 117-122 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If the Charlotte Hornets could just stay whole for an extended period, they might be onto something. The lineup could be close to that when the Miami Heat visit for Sunday afternoon's game in Charlotte, N.C. The Hornets had LaMelo Ball and Gordon Hayward back in action Thursday night in a 111-96 victory against the visiting Chicago Bulls. Both players missed the previous games -- Ball sitting out three and Hayward the past two. Consider that the Heat are 9-20-2 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up win. |
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01-29-23 | Michigan State +8 v. Purdue | 61-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Sparty suffered a 64-63 setback at home to Purdue just 13 days ago, stirring up bad memories of being booted from the Big Ten tourney in the semifinals by the Makers last season. The Wizard brings a lofty 18-10 SU and 17-11 ATS career record in conference games when seeking same-season revenge when his troops are coming off an ATS loss, including 5-2 SUATS versus .800 or greater opposition. State’s biggest concern will be putting the clamps on Purdue center Zach Edey, a 7-4, 305-pound monster from Toronto who averages 21 PPG and pulls down 13 rebounds. Still, the Boilermakers haven’t cashed a ticket in the last three meetings with MSU, which is a perfect setup for the fact that playing on the Michigan State Spartans when they are seeking revenge against a Big Ten opponent is 31-11-1 (75%) since 1975. |
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01-29-23 | Michigan v. Penn State -168 | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Michigan won the first meeting this season but the Wolverines continue to sputter in big games. The Wolverines simply don’t have a ton of scoring depth to rely on in clutch situations behind Dickinson, which makes things difficult. Jett Howard is questionable after missing the game against Purdue and logging only 15 minutes against Minnesota before leaving with an ankle injury. If he doesn’t go, that takes the team’s second-leading scorer out of the mix. Penn State is a terrific perimeter shooting team and they are eager to shake off their struggles against Rutgers. The Nittany Lions are 10-1 at home this season while Michigan is only 1-3 on the road with that win coming over a struggling Minnesota team back in December. That, coupled with the injury report, doesn’t help the Wolverines here: take Penn State in this contest. |
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01-28-23 | Kings v. Wolves +2.5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota is scoring an average of 115.2 points per game and shooting 49.2% overall despite not having their second leading scorer Karl-Anthony Towns, who scores an average of 20.8 points per game. Minnesota has covered the spread in four of its last five games overall and in eight of the last 11 games when playing against an opponent from the Western Conference. The Kings will be playing their first game of an eight-game road trip on Saturday. Although Sacramento is leading the NBA in scoring, the Kings are also giving up plenty of points allowing an average of 116.6 points per game and 48.8% field goal shooting, which plays do the strength of the Timberwolves, who have a field goal shooting percentage of 49.2% which is fourth best in the NBA. |
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01-28-23 | Suns v. Spurs +6 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Spurs are 6-1-1 ATS with same-season revenge from a loss of 20-plus points in this series. That fits like a glove next to the Suns’ spotty 2-8-2 ATS record when facing foes they beat by more than 36 points earlier in the season. A quick check of each team’s body of work this season shows Phoenix flattening out on a 10-19 run at press time, after beginning the season 15-6. On the flip side, San Antonio put a halt to a 6-18 SU and 9-15 ATS beginning to this campaign as they’ve improved since, going 8-16 SU and 15-10 ATS. Finally consider that San Antonio is 5-0 ATS with revenge from a same-season defeat of more than 30 points under Greg Popovich when coming off a win or a loss of 5 or fewer points in its last game. |
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01-28-23 | Georgia State v. Marshall -12 | 65-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Panthers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. While the Thundering Herd are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. |
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01-28-23 | Nebraska v. Maryland -11.5 | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Nebraska is struggling with injuries that minimize their rotation and hamper their ability to rebound. Reese should take advantage of Derrick Walker, who is not as big as some of the other centers in the league at 6-9. That doesn't sound small, but when you face the likes of 7-4 Zach Edey two games before and Reese had great success against him, that's an advantage. The Terps' pressure defense will also be crucial in this matchup Maryland needs to continue to win at home, where they have many students returning from winter break in what should be a raucous atmosphere in College Park. |
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01-28-23 | Richmond v. Dayton -8.5 | 60-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Flyers return to UD Arena, where they own a legitimate home court advantage. Dayton has gone 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home, including 10-1 SU this season where the Flyers have won by an average margin of just over 16 PPG. And when it comes to dueling with foes that own a sub .525 win percentage, Dayton has treated its backers to a 13-0 SU and 9-3 ATS effort. We can’t say the same for the 11-10 Spiders, who arrive on a 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS slide in their last four games. Even worse, Richmond has gone 0-6 ATS versus foes coming off consecutive losses, including 0-4 ATS this season. Yikes. The hosts are hanging tough in the Atlantic 10 race in 4th place and will be facing a bunch of Spiders that could be more concerned about an upcoming double-revenger against St. Bonaventure. Don't forget Dayton’s 68-64 loss to Richmond in the semifinals of the Atlantic-10 tourney last season snapped a 7-0 SUATS series win skein against the Spiders. |
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01-28-23 | Nuggets v. 76ers -160 | 119-126 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a great battle between two of the top three teams in the NBA. These are two solid offensive clubs, would Denver averaging nearly two points more per game, while Philadelphia is allowing nearly two points fewer per contest. Both are solid shooting clubs, but Philadelphia has a huge edge at the free-throw line. The 76ers are hitting 83.0% of their free-throw attempts while Denver is at 74.3%. In a game that is expected to be close, that will be a key factor in the contest. One also has to like how hot Philadelphia is. While they have not been great at home of late, they are still on fire. Denver has some key injuries and will not know exactly what to expect out of Jokic. |
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01-28-23 | Alabama -5 v. Oklahoma | 69-93 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Crimson Tide have won nine straight games and six straight road games. They are very good offensively, even on the road where they are scoring more than 80 points per game. They’ve taken advantage of their opportunities at the charity stripe, making over 81 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They are very aggressive on the offensive glass, grabbing more than 10 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also cut back on their turnovers in recent games and won’t give the Sooners a lot of easy scoring opportunities. The Sooners usually play well defensively, but they struggled in recent games, giving up more than 70 points per game in their last three games, and will have a hard time slowing down the Crimson Tide in this game. The Sooners have lost four of their last five games and three of their last four home games. They’re not very good offensively and they played worse in recent games, averaging less than 60 points per game in their last three games while making less than 40 percent of their shots. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Crimson Tide and won’t get a lot of extra scoring opportunities against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy scoring opportunities for the Crimson Tide, who average more than five steals per game on the road. The Crimson Tide are very good defensively and they have played better in recent games, holding their last three opponents under 65 points per game. They won’t have trouble keeping Oklahoma’s offense in check. Go with Alabama to cover the spread. |
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01-28-23 | Northern Iowa v. Indiana State -6 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When looking into the adjusted efficiency margin provided by KenPom, Northern Iowa is 170th in the sport with a -0.21 rating while Indiana State is 128th in the country with a +3.77 rating so far. Looking at the defenses throughout the last few games, there is a difference there as the Panthers are giving up 68.8 points in their last five games while the Sycamores are allowing 76.7 points in their previous three games. Go with the Indiana State Sycamores to cover the spread in their own building. |
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01-27-23 | Air Force +13 v. New Mexico | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Air Force is 12-9 SU overall this year while New Mexico comes in with an 18-3 SU overall record on the season. Air Force is 62-34 ATS their last 96 games as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more. Air Force is 5-1 ASTS their last 6 road games against a team with a winning record. Air Force is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a SU loss of more than 20 points. Additionally, the road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in this series. |
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01-27-23 | Cavs v. Thunder | 100-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oklahoma City Thunder are entering this game with a scoring advantage over the Cavaliers, considering Cleveland's top scorer is looking to be out in Friday's matchup. Mitchell did not play for the Cavs in Thursday's contest against the Rockets and looks to be out again on Friday. Without Mitchell on the court, the Thunder will have one less weapon to worry about. In addition, Oklahoma City has really heated things up offensively since facing Cleveland in early December, especially with how explosive Gilgeous-Alexander has been. The 6-foot-6-inch point guard is averaging 30.8 points per game ranking him 5th in the NBA. He has three consecutive games scoring 30 or more points, so look for him to earn his fourth straight 30+ point game. In his last game, he earned 36 points after shooting 59.1% from the floor and 100% from beyond the arc. With his offensive talent and the Cavs likely being without Mitchell, take the Thunder. |
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01-27-23 | Grizzlies -147 v. Wolves | 100-111 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Memphis has the look and feel of a genuine threat to win the West as they rank No. 2 in Points Differential, No. 4 in Overall Rebounding, and No. 5 in Overall Scoring. Meanwhile, Minnesota checks in off a double revenge rumble with New Orleans with a 13-point revenger on tap with Sacramento. That puts the Grizz in an ideal revenge sandwich. Perhaps the most mind boggling stat, though, is Minny’s not-so mighty 9-188 ATS mark – yes, you read that right – at home in games it loses outright to an avenging foe. And finally, if history is your thing then you’ll love that Memphis is 19-8 SUATS overall in this series, including 5-0 SUATS when seeking revenge from a same-season loss of 5 or more points. |
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01-27-23 | St. Louis -125 v. Davidson | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Billikens are the better team, prepared to win on the road. They're just a half-game out of first and facing a Wildcats team that's 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. I'll take the more consistent team to cover the spread with this game essentially a toss-up. Saint Louis is on a five-game win streak, boasts the 26th-best assist-per-turnover ratio, and better-rated offensive and defensive efficiency ratings. It's also 12th nationally in rebounds per game, facing a Wildcats team averaging 30.0 per game, 286th-most, and giving up 33.7 per game. The Billikens are the team to beat, and they'll prove it on the road Friday. |
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01-27-23 | UC-Santa Barbara +1.5 v. Hawaii | 65-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UC Santa Barbara has shown no signs of slowing down in conference play, covering the spread in 10 of its last 11 games. I am thrilled to back the Gauchos again on Thursday night against a Hawaii team that has been struggling to put up points. The Rainbow Warriors rank outside the top 200 nationally in multiple key offensive statistics, and they are going to have trouble turning things around against a taller UCSB defense. The Gauchos’ height advantage should allow them to control the paint proceedings on the other end of the court as well, and their experienced lineup makes them a strong team to back on the road. |
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01-26-23 | Arizona -4.5 v. Washington State | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cougars stunned the Wildcats in their first meeting of the season on the back of Mouhamed Gueye’s 24-point, 14-rebound double-double. Arizona had a horrible shooting night (31.7% from the field and 16.0% from downtown), and the Wildcats’ backcourt couldn’t make the basket to save its life. I think the Wildcats can only play better this time around. The Cougars struggle to defend the paint, so I’m backing Arizona to win and cover. Keep your eyes on Azuolas Tubelis (19.9 PPG, 9.5 RPG) and Oumar Ballo (16.1 PPG, 9.0 RPG). This duo will torture the Cougars all night long. Arizona is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games against Washington State. |
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01-26-23 | Utah v. Oregon State +7.5 | 63-44 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Beavers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Additionally, the underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. While the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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01-26-23 | Cavs -7.5 v. Rockets | 113-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers come into this matchup looking to improve their sub .500 road record. Cleveland should be able to take advantage of the sloppy Rockets offense and turn turnovers into points. While Mitchell could possibly miss this contest, Darius Garland should have his way with a Rockets team playing without their starting point guard. The Cavaliers #1 rated scoring defense will be able to hamper a Rockets team that is far from efficient on the offensive end and ranked last in field goal percentage overall. Cleveland will ride the the strength of Garland on the perimeter and Allen will hold his own on the interior against a young Rockets front line. In addition, the Rockets are just 1-6 this season in the second game of back-to-backs. |
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01-25-23 | Spurs v. Lakers -6.5 | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs’ defense has been a joke so far this season. San Antonio has allowed 131 or more points in five of its last six outings which tells you a lot about the Spurs’ current form. Hereof, I would take the Lakers to cover even if LeBron James hit the sidelines. Both Thomas Bryant and Dennis Schroder have played well of late, and the Lakers should have enough weapons to deal with the slumping Spurs who lack talent everywhere. The Lakers are 3-0 SU and ATS in their previous three encounters with the Spurs in 2022-23. |
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01-25-23 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -160 | 120-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Grizzlies could possibly be without Morant and Adams, as I see both of them being huge losses to this team. Golden State is also (17-6) at home this season, as they have been a completely different team inside the Chase Center. I also see them being able to consistently score against this tough Grizzlies defense. The Warriors are scoring the third most points per game and they have the fifth-highest team three-point shooting percentage. They will get hot from deep and slowly pull away throughout this game. The Grizzlies have also struggled to consistently knock down shots from the floor, as they only have the 19th-highest team shooting percentage and the 21st highest three-point shooting percentage. They will go cold at different points in this game and the Warriors will slowly pull away. These two teams do not like each other and I expect Steph and Klay to be hyped up for this one. |
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01-25-23 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -11.5 | 63-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Alabama Crimson Tide has a high-scoring, elite offense that will tear down one of the top defenses in college basketball. Their explosive, fast-paced play will allow them to grow a comfortable lead very quickly, causing Mississippi State to scramble to keep up. In their last meeting, Alabama had two players put out on offense with Sears scoring 20 points and Miller scoring 19 points while also bringing down 11 rebounds. These two have been the dynamic duo that has a huge impact offensively and defensively, so watch for them to carry their team to their second win against the Bulldogs. In addition, the Bulldogs have a low-scoring offense, so expect the Crimson Tide to punish their slow offensive style. Take Alabama winning by a decent margin. |