09-11-21 |
Iowa v. Iowa State -4 |
Top |
27-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 10 Unit NCAAF Game of the Year While the Cyclones are the choice of many to meet Oklahoma in a rematch of the Big 12 title game again his season, they are coming off another close-call with Northern Iowa (aren’t they all – last 9 games with the Panthers have resulted in 3 losses and 4 wins of six of fewer points). Still, they are 9-3 ATS in games after tackling Northern Iowa when facing foes coming off win, so look for more of the same today. In closing, if you want some numbers, be aware that Iowa is just 2-9 ATS as a nonconference dog of less than 13 points, while the Cyclones are 6-1 ATS as non-conference home favorites of less than 18 points. Additionally, the host team in this series has covered four straight contests.
|
09-11-21 |
Toledo +16.5 v. Notre Dame |
Top |
29-32 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 49 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Units ND HC Kelly is 0-4 ATS in his career versus .500 or greater MAC foes when his team is not coming off a double-digit win, and 4-8 ATS Game Two since 2008, and 5-9 ATS as a double-digit favorite when coming off a win-no-cover. Coach K must also take a closer look at an anemic Notre Dame ground game that averaged a feeble 1.9 yards per rush against FSU. Jason Candle’s Rockets just happen to be 10-4-1 ATS when undefeated and coming off a win of 28 or more points, including 5-0-1 ATS the last six away. And when the Irish find themselves favored by less than 20 points in Game Two of the season, they have no luck at all, currently standing 5-18 ATS in that role of late. And just when you thought we couldn’t heap any more abuse on Kelly? Also consider that the Irish head coach is 0-5 ATS as a favorite of more than 6 points when coming off a win before facing a Big Ten opponent.
|
09-04-21 |
UTSA +5.5 v. Illinois |
Top |
37-30 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Units Jeff Traylor came to San Antonio with strong credentials, but he blew the roof off the Alamodome in his first season with the Roadrunners in 2020 – leading them to seven wins and a bowl game. The former associate head coach at Texas, SMU and Arkansas was also a four-time Texas High School Coach of the Year, and led his squads to five state championship game appearances, three state titles and a dozen district crowns. Whew! Safe to say UTSA hit a home run with the hire of this legendary high school coach. It’s paid off at the recruiting window, too, where UTSA moved up 31 spots this season. Behind a team loaded to the gills with experience, it only looks to get better. Las Vegas oddsmaker and Power Rating guru Kenny White pegged the Roadrunners as the deepest team with the most returning experience in 2021. We’re all-in with Kenny. Since joining the FBS, UTSA is 18-12-1 ATS as a non-conference dog, including 6-0 ATS when taking fewer than 8 points, and 3-0 ATS versus foes coming off a SU underdog win.
|
09-02-21 |
Bowling Green v. Tennessee -35 |
Top |
6-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 20 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Will Josh Heupel be the answer for the Vols, who've not only hit the skids (245-118 point deficit 7-of-last-8, & must overcome transfer losses). But if there ever was a tonic, the Falcons provide it, with 0-9 ATS road record, ceding 43 point per game in their last 24 tilts
|
01-02-21 |
North Carolina +7.5 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
27-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
33 h 21 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Month What a way for the bowl season to wind up! Of course, the main sidebar to this one is the Texas A&M Aggies' snub from the playoff committee, denying them a shot at all the marbles. A&M not only has a superb QB/RB combo in Mond (2,050 yards, 19/3) & Spiller (986 yards & 7 TDs in just 8 games), but rank 14th & 3rd in total & rushing "D". However, that unit had better be at its best if it is to slow down the Tar Heels of North Carolina, who field RBs Carter & Williams (combined 2,385 yards & 28 TDs, & NCAA record 544 rushing yards in season-ending rout of Miami), as well as QB Howell: 6,993 passing yards, & 65 TDs with 13 INTs the last 2 years. Barnburner, despite Ag "D".
|
01-01-21 |
Ohio State v. Clemson -7 |
Top |
49-28 |
Loss |
-115 |
82 h 49 m |
Show
|
Rating: 8 Unit College Bowl Game of the Year They meet again. For the 3rd time in the last 4 years, the Tigers of Clemson take on the Buckeyes of Ohio State in a National Playoff game, with CU winning & covering the first 2 such encounters: 31-0 (+1½) in the '16 Fiesta, & 29-23 (-2) in last year's Fiesta. As a matter of fact they also met in the '13 Orange Bowl, also won by the Tigers (+2), 40-35. As can be seen above, the Buckeyes have played only six games, due to Covid, but have been rightly included in this powerhouse quartet. They are led, of course, by QB Fields, who is a superb 56 TDs with only 8 INTs the past 2 years, although that may be a bit misleading, as he was 41 TDs with 3 INTs last season (2 interceptions in loss to these Tigers). So 5 picks this year, compared to last year's 40 TD and 1 INT regular season log. The not so hidden gem on OSU's team has to be running back Sermon, who set a school record with 331 rushing yards (11.4 yards per rush) in their 22-10 Big Ten Title win over Northwestern. Shades of Ezekiel Elliott in Ohio State's '14 Championship run? Well, maybe, but note that the Bucks took Wisconsin, 59-0, in that Big Ten Title game. A quick peek at the above stats shows OSU with a +8 turn over edge in just its half-dozen contests. If there were any doubts as to this year's Tiger edition, they were erased with their complete throttling of Notre Dame in the ACC title match, with a 541-263 yard edge behind 322 passing yards from Lawrence, & 124 rushing yards from Etienne (12.4 yards per rush), who was held to 1.6 yards per rush in their first meeting. Lawrence is at his best in the big game, while Fields not necessarily so in such important contests: two 2nd half picks in last year's tilt with Clemson; three INTs in this year's 42-35 win over Indiana, & just 12-of-27 & 2 more picks in Big Ten title win over Northwestern. CU didn't have the answers to LSU last year (who did?), but have otherwise been simply superb plays. Again!
|
12-29-20 |
Oklahoma State -1 v. Miami-FL |
Top |
37-34 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Month No, not the 1st time that the Cowboys of Oklahoma State have faced off against the Hurricanes of Miami, but the 2nd, as UM (-36) nosed out Ohio State, 40-3, in 1991. By the way, UM went 12-0 that year (National Champion). From '86 thru '92, Miami finished 2nd, 1st, 1st, 1st, 3rd, 1st, & 3rd in the nation. Wow!! Fifteen straight bowls for Oklahoma State, under Gundy (9-5 SU & ATS). Have had to replace last year's top rusher (Hubbard, who opted out), although Jackson a decent 5.7 yards per rush, while QB Sanders an anemic 10 TDs with 8 INTs, but WR Wallace 16.5 yards per catch. 'Canes brought in QB King from Houston, & he delivered: 2,573 passing yards (22 TDs with only 5 INTs), with 520 rushing yards. But UM was mauled, 62-26, by North Carolina, in finale, allowing school-record 778 yards & 554 rushing yards!
|
12-19-20 |
Alabama -17 v. Florida |
Top |
52-46 |
Loss |
-109 |
104 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Championship Game of the Week No doubt, some of the glitter has come off this one, with last week's incredible Gator loss to Lsu (57-yard field goal off penalty in L0:23), but still another 609 yards. Trask now 3,717 yards & 40 TDs with only 5 INTs, but Florida 100th in rushing. 'Tide: 41+ points in L10 games. Jones 27 TDs with 3 INTs, 3,321 yards, 76%. We don't jump this ship.
|
12-19-20 |
Clemson v. Notre Dame +10.5 |
Top |
34-10 |
Loss |
-109 |
99 h 16 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Mismatch of the Day Rematch Tigers, losing in 2 OTs 6 weeks ago, with a 205-32 rushing yard deficit. No Lawrence, though Ugalaleilei threw for 439 yards (2 TDs with 0 INTs). Etienne: 1.6 yards per rush. Three Clemson turn overs were key. ND: 511-262 point edge L14 games, & a 254-125 point edge L6 outings. Tigers post-season kings, but tight.
|
12-19-20 |
Oklahoma v. Iowa State +5.5 |
Top |
27-21 |
Loss |
-108 |
96 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Championship Game of the Week What a thorn in the side of the Sooners, have these Cyclones been (5-0 ATS, +85 points). On a 7-1 ATS run, behind QB Purdy (5 TDs last year), & RB Hall (#1 in land). Sooners always get this one (8-0 SU in Big12 title games), & a 48-16 points per game edge in their L4 games. Could be an epic.
|
12-12-20 |
Virginia +2.5 v. Virginia Tech |
Top |
15-33 |
Loss |
-105 |
97 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit ACC Game of the Month We're well aware of the fact that the Hokies are 15-1 SU in this series. But 4 straight losses for Tech (-52 points ATS) who've allowed 30+ points in 16-of-21 games. Cavs are just the opposite: 4-0 lately, & at 39.3 points per game in L3 lined games. Armstrong: 287 passing yards & 130 rushing yards in last week's rout of BC.
|
12-12-20 |
Wake Forest +2 v. Louisville |
Top |
21-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
50 h 22 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Conference Play of the Day The respective records of these two, are hardly indicative as to their true worth. For the Deacons, only slips have come vs the likes of Clemson, North Carolina State, & North Carolina, the latter 2 by scores of 45-42 & 59-53, both on the road, with Wake posting 32 & 30 first downs vs those powers, who've accumulated a combined record of 15-6. Cardinals' 7 losses have also come vs upper tier squads, succeeding only vs the likes of Western Kentucky, 2-6 Florida State, 1-10 Syracuse. Revenge for last year's 62-59 wrenching loss.
|
12-05-20 |
Clemson -21.5 v. Virginia Tech |
Top |
45-10 |
Win
|
100 |
105 h 60 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week All is right in Tiger world with the return of Lawrence (403 passing yards, 2 TDs and 0 INTs), with 581-246 yard edge vs Pittsburgh, which had held 380-312 yards per game edge. Hokies fading fast: 3 straight losses (-52 points ATS), allowing 29, 26, & 30 first downs. And they've ceded 30+ points in 15 of their last 20 contests. No other way to go.
|
12-05-20 |
Iowa v. Illinois +13.5 |
Top |
35-21 |
Loss |
-103 |
101 h 37 m |
Show
|
Big-10 Game of the Week Illini overland game seems a hidden gem, as only Wisconsin has contained it: 472, 181, 338, & 285 in their 4 games since that opener (319 rushing yards per game). Four straight wins for Hawkeyes, but just 34 & 19 yard edges & a 16-yard deficit in their last 3 games. And a 192-79 Illini rushing yard edge last year.
|
12-05-20 |
Texas v. Kansas State +10 |
Top |
69-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
94 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day Dog continues to come through in Texas games, now standing at 29-12-1 ATS. Texas never trailed Iowa State until L1:24 in 23-20 loss. Ehlinger just 1 TD with 0 INTs, but he's 23 TDs with only 5 INTs for the season. Home team is 4-1 ATS in Wildcat games (+81 points). Kansas State needs it for .500 campaign, & is 12-5 ATS lately.
|
11-28-20 |
Auburn v. Alabama -24 |
Top |
13-42 |
Win
|
100 |
99 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week What an offense! 'Tide now at 49.5 points per game & Jones at 347 passing yard per game (18 TDs with only 3 INTs). So 35+ points in every game since start of '19, & that "D" is finally coming around. "Iron Bowl" has provided innumerable shockers thru the years, but can't see pedestrian Tiger "O" keeping this one close. Lay it.
|
11-28-20 |
Kentucky v. Florida -23 |
Top |
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day From the frying pan into the fire for Kentucky, who had held 8-of-13 foes under 18 points, before L2, in which they were stung for 49 points per game, including last week's 63 points by Alabama. Offensively, try 10, 3, & 3 points 3-of-last-4. Florida's Trask now 31 TDs with only 3 INTs, with Florida topping 35 points last 9 games. Gator call
|
11-21-20 |
Wisconsin -7.5 v. Northwestern |
Top |
7-17 |
Loss |
-104 |
21 h 43 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Wow! Check Badgers' 343-47 rushing yard edge at Michigan, so now a 94-18 point edge this year (+50½ points ATS), & 11-1 as road favorites (37-21, 38-17, 49-11 wins L3 road games). 'Cats 5-0 ATS lately, with 3½, 4½, & 4 point covers L3, & Ramsey just 6 TDs with 4 INTs for the season. When Wisky is cookin', jump in.
|
11-21-20 |
Cincinnati -5.5 v. Central Florida |
Top |
36-33 |
Loss |
-103 |
26 h 46 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit CFB Game of the Week What a match! Knights rank 17th, 1st, 10th, & 1st in run, pass, scoring, & total "O", behind Gabriel's 417.7 passing yard per game (21 TDs 2 INTs). Bearcats have been our "meal ticket", with 1,096-379 rushing yard edge in their L4 games: 31½, 32½, 15, 12½ point covers! Defensively, it's all Cincinnati, ranking 10th in total "D", compared to Central Florida's 110th spot. No, not off this horse.
|
11-21-20 |
UTSA -9.5 v. Southern Miss |
Top |
23-20 |
Loss |
-114 |
20 h 4 m |
Show
|
NCAAF Play of the Day Explosive 'Runners in sweet bounce back effort vs Utep: 600-246 yard edge in 24½ point cover. Ten points from 13-1 ATS run, while Eagles -136½ points ATS L10, allowing 35.2 points per game in L9 outings. Revenge!
|
11-13-20 |
East Carolina v. Cincinnati -27.5 |
Top |
17-55 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 26 m |
Show
|
CFB Game of the Week What? Get off this horse? Never. Check 897-173 Bearcat rushing yard edge L3 games: 31½, 32½, 15 point covers. Edging up the polls, & +224 points ATS since '18. Pirates out of Tulane tilt early (31-7 in 3rd), with a 277-35 rushing yard deficit. Sure, Central Florida looms for Cincinnati, but still the play.
|
11-07-20 |
Houston v. Cincinnati -13.5 |
Top |
10-38 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit CFB Game of the Week Bearcats were a pleasure, with their annihilation of Memphis last week, & with much to prove, following last season's late season collapse, they are hardly in a "letdown" state of mind for the rest of the year. Consecutive 31½ & 32½ covers, while climbing to the #6 spot in the polls, has their enthusiasm at an all-time high, with QB Ridder passing for 5 TDs LW, while Cincy's overland game has posted a 555-80 yard edge the past 2 weeks. Cougars have allowed 35 points per game over their last 22 lined affairs. Spot bit light.
|
11-07-20 |
West Virginia +6.5 v. Texas |
Top |
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Mismatch of the Week Dog continues to bark in Steer contests. Now 27-12-1. Took Oklahoma State in OT, despite negative stat dominance, with another 3 TDs with 0 INTs from Ehlinger (now 20 TDs with 5 INTs). Mounties have outgained all six foes, ranking 10th, 5th, 17th, & 4th in rushing, passing, scoring, & total "D". We take the TD.
|
10-31-20 |
San Diego State -7.5 v. Utah State |
Top |
38-7 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Mountain West Game of the Week That Aztec "D" was again front-&-center in its rout of Unlv (424-186 yard edge). Giving up just 11.2 points per game in 8 outings. Should continue vs Aggies, who are in off a 203-450 yard deficit (12 first downs), & have allowed 31+ points in 5 of last 8 outings. Aggies pay for last year.
|
10-31-20 |
North Carolina -6.5 v. Virginia |
Top |
41-44 |
Loss |
-130 |
51 h 58 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day The visitor has covered 7 straight games involving North Carolina, but can't see bucking this consistent outfit. Check out UNC's last 3 games: 31, 27, & 34 first downs; 656, 558, & 585 yards. Virginia got Armstrong back last week: 2 TDs with 0 INTs. North Carolina allowed zero TD passes from Miami's King, after he burned them for 43-yard TD pass in game's first 0:28. But Virginia giving up 927 yards last 2 weeks.
|
10-31-20 |
Texas +3.5 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
41-34 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 58 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week Extremely tight series, & obviously we expect more of same. The dog is now 26-12 ATS in Steer games. Texas held a 159-64 rushing yard edge over Baylor, & another 3 TDs from Ehlinger, now 17 TD with only 5 interceptions. Oklahoma State perfect balance (236 rushing yards, 235 passing yards) in win over Iowa State. Best game of the week?
|
10-31-20 |
Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 |
Top |
10-49 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 4 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit CFB Game of the Month The Bearcats have been as solid play for the past decade, with six double-digit win seasons since '07, & eight years with at least 9 wins, routing BC, 38-6, in last year's Birmingham Bowl. Returning 15 starters, including QB Ridder, who is in off a brilliant display in last week's rout of previously unbeaten SMU (4 TDs with 0 interceptions, & 179 rushing yards) has elevated them to the 7th spot in this week's polls. Memphis sure can score, but field the worst defense in the land. Cincinnati has been pointing to this one all year, since losing to the Tigers twice last year.
|
10-24-20 |
Air Force -7 v. San Jose State |
Top |
6-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
59 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit CFB Play of the Day The Falcons can run, & can stop the run, while the Spartans can't run, & can't stop the run. Thus, it's all up to whoever replaces the productive Love at QB for San Jose State (5,886 passing yards L2 years). A huge gap to fill. Air Force took Navy apart in its only other game. Again.
|
10-24-20 |
Virginia v. Miami-FL -12.5 |
Top |
14-19 |
Loss |
-109 |
56 h 11 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week The addition of QB King (transfer from Houston) has done wonders for the 'Cane offense, which ranked 98th in the country a year ago. He is in off tossing 4 TDs vs stellar Pitt defense, 3 of them of the long range variety: 35, 38, & 45 yards. That only opens it up for UM's overland game, which has come from #121 in '19, to #21 in '20. Eliminating its game with Clemson, the 'Canes have averaged 35.3 ppg. That goes nicely with the fact that the Cavs have allowed at least 27 points in 10 of their last 11 games (40 pts & 483 yards vs Wake.
|
10-24-20 |
Alabama -21 v. Tennessee |
Top |
48-17 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 54 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week What an "O". Alabama 2nd in passing & scoring "O", behind Jones' 379.5 passing yards per game (12 TDs with only 2 INTs). In off posting 567 yards vs Georgia's previous 236 yards per game "D", & turning 24-20 deficit, into 41-24 win. Tennessee 7 points from 10-2 ATS, but have been outscored, 61-7 since 0-27 windup at Georgia. Romp!!
|
10-24-20 |
Kansas v. Kansas State -19.5 |
Top |
14-55 |
Win
|
100 |
90 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week No Thompson at QB for Wildcats (209 passing yards per game & 4 TDs with 0 INTs), but with, or without him, this is one that Kansas State always gets, & gets impressively. Line moved more than a TD with Thompson's absence, but can't see KU competing, allowing 38, 47, 47, 38 points, & only Vanderbilt a worse "O".
|
10-17-20 |
Texas A&M -6.5 v. Mississippi State |
Top |
28-14 |
Win
|
100 |
101 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Texas A&M took Florida at the gun (10 points in L4:30), behind 338 Mond passing yards (656 L2 outings). And check 174 rushing yards from Spiller vs Gators. Mississippi State's Costello has come from 623 passing yards (Lsu), to 313 (Ark), to 232 with no TDs and 4 interceptions (Ky). From 44, to 14, to 2 points. Momentum squarely A&M's.
|
10-17-20 |
UMass v. Georgia Southern -29 |
Top |
0-41 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Blowout of the Week This is the only game scheduled by the Minutemen this season, as they were among the first schools to bow to the germ. Cannot imagine the lack of proper preparation they bring to the table. Even if everything was normal, the fact that they were bottom rung occupants in scoring defense in '19 (53 points per game), cannot be overstated. The Eagles of Georgia Southern are always an overland threat, and again this year, ranking 4th in the land, at 272 rushing yards per game.. UMass was also last in rushing containment last year. Eagles have a rare chance to explode, & despite the Minutemen hopes, we can't envision them staying in it
|
10-17-20 |
Army v. UTSA +7 |
Top |
28-16 |
Loss |
-104 |
92 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit CFB Upset of the Week Roadrunners are an "under-the radar" squad, despite their vast improvement under new head coach Traylor. They've been a spread dream, covering 8 of their last 10 games, & are just 8 pts from a 10-0 ATS run, with the latest coming in last week's narrow 27-20 to a BYU squad which entered with a 148-24 point edge for the year (+84 points ATS). The dog as covered all 4 of their games so far, by 54½ pts. The Cadets are overland giants again (#2), but are anything but a road play, as host in Army games 5-0 ATS lately (+87½ pts).
|
10-17-20 |
South Florida v. Temple -10 |
Top |
37-39 |
Loss |
-110 |
96 h 22 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week Bulls in off ultimate downer, being taken apart by East Carolina. Now a 124-31 point deficit in lined games, while rushing for 106, 83, & 92 yards. And QB McCloud is just 1 TD with 4 interceptions for the year. Owls 9-1 ATS as AAC chalks, & in off a 106-yard edge over Navy, losing on 50-yard FG & 2 missed PATs.
|
10-10-20 |
Temple -3 v. Navy |
Top |
29-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
99 h 8 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Mismatch of the Week First game for the always dangerous Owls, who are on a spectacular 34-15 ATS run, including 3 straight vs the Middies. Navy is always a standard as a rushing "O" elite (#1 last year). Not this year, with 301-119, 265-204, & 369-90 rushing yard deficits. And note visitor is 22-13 ATS in Navy games
|
10-10-20 |
Pittsburgh v. Boston College +6.5 |
Top |
30-31 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 4 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit CFB Play of the Day Third straight home game for Eagles, who still can't run (84, 87, 40 rushing yards), although Jurkovec in off 310-passing yard effort vs North Carolina. BC had tying 2-point try run back in L0:45. Solid dog play, & Pitt "D" allowed 29 first downs & 336 passing yards in L0:23 loss to NC State, offsetting Pickett's 411 passing yards. To wire
|
10-10-20 |
Florida -6.5 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
38-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
93 h 11 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week
|
10-03-20 |
Oklahoma v. Iowa State +7 |
Top |
30-37 |
Win
|
100 |
79 h 3 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day Call reversal of LY's 42-14 Sooner win. Oklahoma in off shocking 38-35 loss to Kansas State, after leading 28-7 (24-0 windup), as Frosh QB Rattler tossed 3 key picks, thereby offsetting 387 passing yards (4 TDs). Sooners are now on a 2-9 ATS run by 126½ points. All that despite a 900-683 point edge in their last 22 lined games. Cyclones in off wrenching win over Tcu, despite a sweetly balanced 212 rushing yards & 213 passing yards, with steady Purdy 18-of-23, & 154 rushing yards from Hall (3 TDs & 8.6 yards per rush). All the trends are in favor of the Cyclones..
|
10-03-20 |
Arkansas v. Mississippi State -17.5 |
Top |
21-14 |
Loss |
-120 |
79 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Mike Leach is an offensive god. His acquisition was a stroke of genius by the Bulldogs, who came in at #111 in passing "O" last year. Not only that, but ex-Stanford QB Costello has just the right tools to take full advantage. A spectacular 623 passing yards & 5 TDs (31, 43, 75, 9, & 24 yards) set new SEC records. And against LSU, no less. Arkansas is now 2-22 SU of late, allowing 45 points per game over their last 8 outings. Note an unanswered 32 points to wind up their 37-10 loss to Georgia. Won't slow this train down a bit...
|
10-03-20 |
Texas A&M v. Alabama -17 |
Top |
24-52 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 11 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Mismatch of the Week Well, the 'Tide let us down in 38-19 win over Mizzou, allowing the backdoor cover, after taking a 35-3 lead in the 3rd. Thus a 15-3 deficit over the final 16:09. A closer peek shows 'Bama with just a 92-yard edge. However, QB Jones, who filled in ably for the injured Tagovailoa, was an effective 18-of-24 ( TD's with 0 picks). Aggies aren't the best of plays in this situation (1-14 ATS as an SEC dog), & enter off a sloppy win over Vandy (25½ point ATS loss), with only 2 TDs vs last year's 92nd-rated "D". 'Tide covers every other week.
|
09-26-20 |
Kansas v. Baylor -17 |
Top |
14-47 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week This is one that the Bears always get, & get in style, covering the last 8 vs the always struggling Jayhawks, with last year's rout just the latest. No letup the rest of the year for BU, so the getting is good vs this vulnerable squad which has allowed 38+ points in 7 of its last 9 outings, with the only misses coming in 31 & 34 allowances. Only caveat is fact that the Jays did cover vs bowl-bound BC, Oklahoma, Texas, & Iowa State last year. History call.
|
09-26-20 |
Tennessee -3 v. South Carolina |
Top |
31-27 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week What a nice display that the Vols presented in last year's stretch, covering 6-of-8 (7-1 SU: Alabama), & only 7 points from an 8-0 spread run. They return 16 starters, including their top 3 QBs, & their entire "D" line. A year ago, they took the 'Cocks apart, with a 24-0 2nd half edge, & the series visitor is a profitable 18-5 ATS. Carolina is just 26-30 SU of late, ranking 104th in scoring & 97th in total "O" last year. Revenge won't work here
|
09-26-20 |
Kansas State v. Oklahoma -27.5 |
Top |
38-35 |
Loss |
-115 |
47 h 12 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day Okies' only road spread slip came at the hands of these Wildcats, featuring a 41-6 point run! 'Cats return only 3 offensive starters, which is crucial in staying with OU, which owns a mere 865-645 point edge in it last 21 games. Only 2-8 ATS (-96½ pts). The fact that the dog is 8-2 ATS in Kansas State games seems applicable, as well. However, we can't dismiss the history of this series, which shows home dominance. Okies
|
09-19-20 |
Appalachian State -4.5 v. Marshall |
Top |
7-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
66 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Mismatch of the Week We go to the well again, with the Mountaineers, who had trouble getting started in their eventual 35-20 win over Charlotte (1½ point spread setback), despite 29-16 first down & 512-286 yard advantages. Note holding the 49ers to just a pair of field goals & a 97-yard kick off return TD over the last 50 minutes. As per usual, the Mounties posted a nicely balanced attack (308 rushing yards, 204 passing yards), which meshed nicely with last year's 216 rushing yard & 213 passing yards per game. Nine returning offensive starters, with the 'Herd losing 7 defensive starters. Marshall isn't the best of homers, with current 1-6 ATS host run, coupled with Appalachian State's 13-7 ATS road favorite run.
|
09-19-20 |
Boston College +6 v. Duke |
Top |
26-6 |
Win
|
100 |
63 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Devils did themselves proud, in tight loss to Notre Dame, & despite managing just 75 rushing yards (QB Brice: 259 passing yards) trailed 17-13 in the 4th, before 27-13 final. That moved the dog to a super 16-7 ATS run in Duke tilts, but have allowed 38+ points in 4-of-last-7 contests. Eagles rarely non-competitive (current 19-9-1 ATS run), & have been a profitable road dog (covered their last road game by 34 points). New HC Hafley & QB Jurkovec rewarded
|
09-12-20 |
Clemson -32.5 v. Wake Forest |
Top |
37-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
73 h 49 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week The Tigers have had to live with that national title loss to LSU for 8 long months, and are chomping at the bit to get things going. An incredible SU record of 111-16 since '11, including 4 national title games. They couldn't contain the unstoppable, in last year's 42-25 loss to LSU & Joe Burrow, being outscored 35-8 to wind it up. This team has it all, & the fact the irrepressible Etienne has foregone the NFL to stay with this team speaks volumes. Clemson has outscored its last 25 lined opponents, 1,104-322, with a 353-61 point edge in its last 7 regular season tilts. Wake "D": 36.2 points per game in its last 5 games
|
09-12-20 |
Charlotte v. Appalachian State -17 |
Top |
20-35 |
Loss |
-101 |
65 h 46 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day They're off a running once again. ASt has to be one of the top "under-the-radar" squads in the land. Note 5 consecutive bowl seasons (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS in holiday contests), reaching 31 pts in all five, & ranking 9th in scoring for the '19 season. Returning 9 offensive starters, including duel-threat QB Thomas, ensures a continuance of this school's brilliance, despite the departure of first-year HC Drinkwitz (to Missouri). A year ago, the 49ers were stung for 47.3 points per game in their first 6 games. Lambs to slaughter
|
01-04-20 |
Tulane -7 v. Southern Miss |
Top |
30-13 |
Win
|
100 |
63 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Mismatch of the Month The Wave normally rests up during the bowl season, with last year's 41-24 Cure Bowl win (-3½) over La-Lafayette just its 3rd such game since 1998. Thus, this marks their 2nd straight bowl season, something which hasn't happened in Tulane link history since '79 & '80. And the Greenies have won 3 of their last 4 bowls ('98, '02, '18). 'Wave is 5-1 ATS as the chalk this year
|
01-02-20 |
Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 |
Top |
6-38 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game of the Day For the 'Cats, they've played in 17 bowls, with an 8-9 SU record, with this one making it 16 in the last 23 seasons. Hardly competitive in '13 Belk, '14 Military, & '15 Hawaii, before last year's thrilling 35-31 win over Virginia Tech, also in the Military, which featured 7 lead changes. Accolades to their defensive front 7, holding 6 opponents to 14 points, or less. Offensively balanced behind QB Ridder (25 touchdowns and 9 interceptions), with 545 rushing yards, & RB Warren (14 TDs), they should continue vs lacking Eagle defense.
|
01-01-20 |
Baylor v. Georgia -4 |
Top |
14-26 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 18 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Month From 1996-2009, BU suffered through 14 straight losing seasons. But the arrival of QB Robert Griffin, & head coach Art Briles did wonders, with seven straight winning seasons, including 4 double digit victory campaigns, ranking 1st in both scoring & total "O" in '13 & '14. But then a scandal resulting in a 1-11 record in '17. However a quick recovery, & a 45-38 win over Vandy in '18 Texas Bowl (30 first downs, 668 yards). This year, they've tasted defeat only twice, both to Oklahoma, in similarly tight 34-31 & 30-23 (OT) finals. But a closer look shows the Bears with 34-18, 21-8 first down & 228-113, 239-116 rushing yard deficits. And QB Brewer is still questionable (concussion). Can the Bulldogs learn from last year's Sugar Bowl loss, as well last month's embarrassing 37-10 rout vs LSU in the SEC title game? Note that Georgia has allowed just 1 rushing TD all year, ranking 3rd, 2nd, & 4th in rushing, scoring, & total defense. Stats favor the 'Dawgs.
|
01-01-20 |
Michigan v. Alabama -7 |
Top |
16-35 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 44 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Game of the Day Fifth straight bowl for Wolves, since the arrival of Harbaugh, 9th in the last 10 years, & 48th overall. The downside shows UM losing its last 3 bowls: 33-32 in '16 Orange (89 rushing yards vs Florida State), 26-19 in '17 Outback (led South Carolina, 19-3 in 3rd), & 41-25 in '18 Peach (257-77 rushing yard deficit vs Florida). Ranking 6th in total "D" this year didn't prevent their normal wipe out loss to Ohio State (56-27), with a 264-91 rushing yard deficit. Wolves 6-15 SU in bowls after ending the regular season with a loss.
|
12-31-19 |
Kansas State v. Navy -2.5 |
Top |
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 5 Unit Bowl Game of the Year For the Middies, it's the same old thing: rushing. They lead the nation in the run, after finishing at #5 in last year's embarrassing 10-loss campaign. QB Perry, of course, is the key, with 1,804 rushing yards, 6.8 yards per rush, & 21 TDs. In Mids' showdown games with Houston, & Army, he guided Navy to 447-134, 395-123 rushing yard edges in 56-41 & 31-7 wins, personally rushing for 304 yards vs the Cadets. Defensively, Navy has improved, dramatically, coming from 89th in rushing "D", to 17th this year, & from 111th in total defense, to 20th this time around. The spread on this game has moved about a FG, after Middies dominated Army. Tenth bowl for Niumatalolo, who has made drastic changes, paying off with this year's 21st-ranking in the polls. SU winner pays off
|
12-30-19 |
Virginia v. Florida -14 |
Top |
28-36 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Month This season, Gators only missteps came in 42-28 & 24-17 losses to top-ranked LSU, & 5th-ranked Georgia. Not bad company. In both games, Gators' top defensive performer (LB Greenard) was either out, or under the weather. In that loss to LSU, the Gators (+14) led 28-21 halfway thru the 3rd, (3 QB Trask TD passes), before an 0-21 windup, & eventual push. Loss to Georgia featured an anemic 119-21 rushing yard deficit, reflective of Gators' 121st ranking in overland production. However, QB Trask is at 67.8%, with a sweet 24/6 TD to INT ratio. Defensively? Try 14th, 17th, 7th, 10th, in run, pass, scoring, & total. Two months have passed since Florida's last loss, while the Cavs demoralized by 62-17 loss to Clemson in ACC title match, allowing 619 yards. Defensive comparisons, & history favor Gators.
|
12-07-19 |
Wisconsin v. Ohio State -15.5 |
Top |
21-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
117 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Championship Play of the Day Not too many could have envisioned such a heavy spot in this one, especially when the Badgers got off to such an awesome start, behind the rushing of Taylor, who has reached the 200 rushing yard mark 12 times in his career. But it all came crashing down for Wisconsin, vs the best defense in the nation, with Bucks coming in at 4th, 2nd, 4th, & 1st in run, pass, scoring, & total "D". And, offensively: 4th, 1st, & 5th in run, scoring, & total. Passing? Just 45th, although Fields ranks 4th, with amazing 37 touchdowns and 1 interception. And never forget the ever-present Dobbins, with his 19 TDs & 6.6 yards per rush. Last 2 weeks vs Penn State & Michigan? Try 229-99 & 264-91 rushing yard edges. Buckeyes have won & covered all 3 of their Big Ten title matches, including '14's 59-0 romper over the 10-2 Badgers. The best team in the land? Goes a long way in finding out. Only way to go here
|
12-07-19 |
Virginia v. Clemson -28.5 |
Top |
17-62 |
Win
|
100 |
116 h 26 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Championship Game of the Week Oh, how the Tigers can perform. Twenty-seven straight wins, while ranking among the leaders in all categories: 10th, 25th, 4th, 3rd, 11th, 1st, 1st, 2nd, & 1st, to be exact. They sputted a bit out of the gate, spread wise, including that narrow 21-20 escape at North Carolina, as 27-point chalks. But fully focused since, with a 358-61 point edge in their last 7 games (+66.5 points ATS). Lawrence has shaken his early season doldrums (compared to last year's exploits, of course), but now ranks 9th in passing efficiency (30 touchdowns and 8 interceptions), while the irrepressible Etienne is sputtering along at 8.25 yards per rush. Cavs seem lost in the shuffle, but trying to take down such a formidable foe isn't in the Cards. So, we are not about to disembark from this unstoppable train. Regardless the spot, it's Clemson.
|
11-30-19 |
Colorado v. Utah -28 |
Top |
15-45 |
Win
|
100 |
79 h 4 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Units NCAAF Game of the Week Buffs need this for bowl eligibility, so a decent play, right, especially when in off a 192-yard edge vs Washington? Hardly. The Utes are a marvel. Seven straight wins & covers, ranking 1st, 4th, 3rd in run, scoring, total "D". Huntley 5th in passing efficiency & host 6-0 ATS in CU games.
|
11-30-19 |
Vanderbilt v. Tennessee -21 |
Top |
10-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
75 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day There was a time in the not too distant past, when the outcome of this contest pretty much depended on the Vols' bowl status. If Tennessee was already bowl bound, then the money went with the Commodores, as UT's urgency was already satisfied. That being the case, this one should be a Vandy call. Hardly, as the Vols are among the hottest teams in the land, completely turning their season around, turning from a 1-4 SU start (0-4 ATS), by winning 5 of 6 SU, covering ALL SIX (+86 points), including a 91-38 point edge in their last 3 home games. 'Dores the pits with current 1-10 spread run, with a 118-21 point deficit in their last 3 games. Momentum!
|
11-30-19 |
Oregon State +20 v. Oregon |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day Beavers evolving into a legitimate force, especially in the guest role, covering L4 as visitors by 23, 15, 23, & 9½ points. OU got just 2/2 from Herbert in killer loss at Arizona State. Herbert (30 touchdowns with 5 interceptions) vs Luton (28 touchdowns with only 3 interceptions)
|
11-30-19 |
Clemson -27 v. South Carolina |
Top |
38-3 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 39 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week Obviously, we could fill this column with Tiger exploits, so why not. The Tigers are now on a 26-game winning streak (98-11 since '12), with a 950-237 point edge in their last 21 lined games, & 315-58 point advantage last 6 games. Lawrence, who wandered, unimpressively through the early part of the season, has moved up to 8th in the nation in passing efficiency (28 touchdowns with 7 interceptions) while Etienne is more than holding his own with amazing 8.7 yards per rush for the season. The 'Cocks rank 100th in scoring, & there is no loved lost in this instate rivalry..
|
11-23-19 |
Utah -22 v. Arizona |
Top |
35-7 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Conference Game of the Week Five straight losses for 'Cats, both SU & ATS, while allowing 44.6 points per game, & ranking 126th in total "D". However, they rank 17th in total "O". We've missed the Utes as a high choice for the last time. Stand at 9-1 SU & 6th in the polls, while ranking 1st, 4th, 3rd in run, scoring, & total "D"
|
11-23-19 |
Air Force -21.5 v. New Mexico |
Top |
44-22 |
Win
|
100 |
93 h 8 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Falcons smoking. Are +70½ points ATS 4-of-last-5, & at 313 rushing yards per game, with Hammond clicking on 31, 50, 28 yard TD passes vs Colorado State. Lobos are 2-13 ATS, with the worst passing "D" in the nation. Romper!
|
11-23-19 |
Penn State v. Ohio State -17.5 |
Top |
17-28 |
Loss |
-117 |
87 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Finally an ATS loss for the Bucks, in 56-21 romp over Rutgers (49-7 in 3rd). Fields a nice 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, & now 31 touchdowns with 1 interception for the season. So Ohio State has a 621-161 point edge in L11 regular season games. Nits in off 462-371 yard deficit vs Indy, with 2 of their 4 covers this year coming by 1 & 2 points. By the book
|
11-16-19 |
Louisville -3.5 v. NC State |
Top |
34-20 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 54 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day - A 3-0 turn over deficit did the Cards in at Miami, losing 52-27, despite a nicely balanced 496-449-yard edge. On 5-15 ATS run, while ranking 28th in total "O". Horrid 'Pack run continues: 1-6 ATS by 83 points, with a 144-44 pt deficit L3 games. Can't see a change
|
11-16-19 |
Stanford v. Washington State -10 |
Top |
22-49 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 54 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Coogs comfortable at home (58, 63, 41 points L3 hosters). In off embarrassing showing at Cal (despite yet another 402 passing yards from Gordon). Faltering Card being mauled for 39.3 points per game in its road games this season. Only TD vs defenseless Colorado last week: 79-yard Costello aerial.
|
11-16-19 |
Wyoming +6 v. Utah State |
Top |
21-26 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Ags in off snapping 2-game slide with L0:00 win over Fresno, behind 388 Love passing yards: 267 passing yards per game, but just 11 touchdowns with 12 interceptions. Ags rank 102nd & 103rd in total & passing "D". Wyoming has out rushed all 9 foes, & on 10-3 SU run (3, 4, 3 point losses), while ranking 15th & 10th in rushing "O" & "D".
|
11-09-19 |
Clemson -32 v. NC State |
Top |
55-10 |
Win
|
100 |
95 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day Sure, such as heavy spot has to be respected, & surely it is. However, the Tigers have shaken their so-so attitude (weekly spread sqeakers) following their near disaster at North Carolina, when they stopped the 'Heels from converting a 2-point try in the L1:17, for the 21-20 win. Since then, they've outscored their opponents, 149-31, in lined games (902-238 point edge in last 20 games). For the Wolfpack, it's been straight downhill, with a 1-5 spread streak, allowing 44+ points in 3 of last 6 games: 89-34 point deficit L2 (50½ points ATS L2).
|
11-09-19 |
Kansas State +7 v. Texas |
Top |
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 43 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week Wow! Wildcats sure have turned it all around past 3 weeks, with upsets of Tcu & Oklahoma, & romper over up-&-coming Kansas (342-61 rushing yards & 471-241 total yard edges). Steers' Ehlinger tossed for another 321 yards vs Tcu, but also threw 4 picks (now 23 touchdowns with 7 interceptions). Dog is 21-8 ATS in 'Horn tilts.
|
11-09-19 |
Maryland v. Ohio State -42 |
Top |
14-73 |
Win
|
100 |
87 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day Buckeye superlatives just continue to mount. A 492-126 point edge in L9 regular season games, with 386-63 point margin this year: 24-9 first down, 264-83 rushing yard, 431-191 total yard edges in rout of mighty Wisconsin. Dobbins: 139 rushing yards per game (7.2 yards per rush), Fields 69% (24 touchdowns with 1 interception), etc, with the top-ranked "D" in the nation. Quite a mountain for Terps to climb. Have already been stung for 59 & 52 points
|
11-02-19 |
Ole Miss v. Auburn -18.5 |
Top |
14-20 |
Loss |
-115 |
71 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Tigers stayed with LSU, despite 508-287 yard deficit. Still an overland force (#20 run "O", #16 run "D"), & taken likes of Mississippi State apart (ala Ole Miss?). Reb "D" stung for 28+ points 11-of-last-15, but note rushing for more than 220 yards 5 times, & covered L2 road games (barely). Whatever AU wants
|
11-02-19 |
Kansas State v. Kansas +6.5 |
Top |
38-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
67 h 59 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day We took the Wildcats to the bank just about every year in this one, but things change. Jays: 569 & 527 yards vs Texas & Texas Tech (lost in L0:00; won in L0:00). Stanley 19 touchdowns with 5 interceptions this year. 'Cats 90th in total "O", but took Oklahoma 48-41 (led 48-23 in 4th). Host is 13-7 ATS in Kansas State contests.
|
10-26-19 |
Washington State v. Oregon -14 |
Top |
35-37 |
Loss |
-109 |
99 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Yes, we know that this goes contrary to history, as Coogs have covered last 9 vs the 'Ducks, including last year, when Minshew outdueled Herbert. Washington State came in nicely last week vs Colorado, but OU not only has the firepower, but the 16th-ranked "D". Revenge in style.
|
10-26-19 |
Tulane v. Navy -3 |
Top |
38-41 |
Push |
0 |
92 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Is Navy smoking, or what? Try an 822-219 rushing yard edge L2 weeks (27 & 17 point covers), & 7-1-1 ATS run, with only miss by 1 point (Perry now over 3,000 rushing yards). Wheels came off 'Wave ride, from 288 rushing yards per game to 146 in last week's 47-17 loss to Memphis. Chalk is now 7-0 ATS in TU contests
|
10-24-19 |
SMU -14 v. Houston |
Top |
34-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
48 h 50 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Units They just keep on winning & covering, do these Mustangs. Now +79 points ATS, & Buechele in off 6-TD, 457 passing yard showing in destruction of a decent Temple squad (655 yards). Coogs never sniffed spread in narrow escape of 1-6 UConn (154-yard deficit). And UH ranks 120th in total "D
|
10-19-19 |
Michigan v. Penn State -8.5 |
Top |
21-28 |
Loss |
-112 |
49 h 35 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Payback time for Lions. A 177-70 rushing yard edge over Iowa, holding Hawkeyes without a TD 'til L2:31. And Clifford is 13 touchdowns with only 2 interceptions. Wolverine run "D": 46, 1, 64 yards L3 games. But just no overland reciprocating.
|
10-19-19 |
Colorado v. Washington State -12 |
Top |
10-41 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Pac-12 Game of the Week Bloom is off the rose, as far as Coogs are concerned, losing to Arizona State in L0:34, not having covered since August. However, Buff "D" a perfect remedy, allowing 30+ points in their last 11 games, entering off a 45-3 loss to Oregon (228-yard deficit, with Montez at 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions)
|
10-18-19 |
Ohio State -27.5 v. Northwestern |
Top |
52-3 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 59 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Sure, there are legions who won't hesitate in jumping on the Wildcats as such heavy dogs, as they've thrived in the pup role for many years, including current 16-5 spread run in that setup, much less as 4-TD dogs. Fact of the matter is that they not only lost their last home game by a 34-10 score (Wisconsin), but can't approach matching points with such a huge juggernaut, ranking 128th in scoring (14.4 ppg). Compare that to Bucks at 50.2 points per game, while playing their starters for little more than a half of every game. We gladly lay the huge spot..
|
10-12-19 |
Florida +13.5 v. LSU |
Top |
28-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
77 h 43 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Upset of the Week Tigers at 54.6 points per game, with Burrow first QB in Lsu history with 300 passing yards 4 straight games (78.3% & 22 touchdowns and 3 interceptions). And the Bayous on a 16-5 regular season ATS run. Gators a 231-87 point edge in L7 lined games, holding Auburn to 124 rushing yards (entered at 252). Typical classic SEC war. Lean to the points
|
10-12-19 |
USC v. Notre Dame -10.5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Loss |
-107 |
78 h 40 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Inter-Conference Play of the Day Host series: 6-0: 49, 41, 45, 49 points for winners, before last year's 24-17 Irish (-11) win, with Troy back dooring it on 20-yard pass in L0:48. Daniels & Book: 349 & 352 passing yards. USC 14-35 away, 7-18 as a dog, & 1-14 as a road dog.
|
10-12-19 |
Alabama -16.5 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
47-28 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 21 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week - Aggies have played mighty 'Tide better than anyone, save Clemson, of course. Simple math here, as L2 years, Alabama has beaten all regular season foes by 22 points, or more. A 259-74 point edge this year. Sure, 'Tide "D" is nowhere near recent editions, but Alabama "O" is seemingly unstoppable.
|
10-05-19 |
Michigan State v. Ohio State -20 |
Top |
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
76 h 26 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Check out the Buckeyes with a 369-106 point edge in their last 7 regular season games, with Fields now at 16 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Try scoring on their first 6 possessions in destruction of Nebraska, to push their run to +135½ points ATS in last 7 regular season games. Wisconsin & Penn State on deck for Spartans, who rank 7th in total "D", with Lewerke at 10 touchdowns and 1 interception. Still Bucks.
|
10-05-19 |
Iowa +3.5 v. Michigan |
Top |
3-10 |
Loss |
-108 |
69 h 0 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Mismatch of the Week No doubt the boys in Vegas leave no stone unturned in posting a number, & without a doubt, they are without peers in their knowledge. However, for the life of us, we simply cannot see the Hawkeyes as the underdog in this important match. The Wolverines finally got it together with last week's drubbing of a totally lacking Rutgers outfit, for their first cover of the year, which followed their embarrassing loss to Wisconsin (359-37 rushing yard deficit). Iowa has paid off with regularity (14-4-1 ATS), ranking 5th in total "D", with QB Stanley at 8 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. This is a take.
|
10-05-19 |
Oklahoma State -9.5 v. Texas Tech |
Top |
35-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
69 h 50 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week We've been on the 'Boys all season, & have reaped the rewards of their 4-0 spread opening, with their only SU miss by just 6 points at Texas. In Hubbard, they own the top rusher in the nation, 10 TDs & 187.6 yards per game. Check their 21-8 first down, 373-126 rushing yard, & 526-244 total yard edges in last week's 10½ cover over always dangerous Kansas State. The Raiders are always among the passing leaders, & at are again, but note in last week's loss to Oklahoma, their yardage was exactly doubled (642-321). Texas Tech in a revenge sandwich.
|
09-28-19 |
Ohio State -16.5 v. Nebraska |
Top |
48-7 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Katie, bar the door! Firepower galore! Year ago, nothing was left on the field in 36-31 Buckeye win, with a 485-456 yard edge. Ohio State is fully focused this season, with a 321-99 point edge in L6 lined games. Fields now 13 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. Nebraska may have been caught peeking in last quarter loss to Illini
|
09-28-19 |
NC State +7 v. Florida State |
Top |
13-31 |
Loss |
-104 |
78 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week Wolfpack not playing their best ball, barely getting by Ball State, with a 23-25 first down deficit, & a 417-389 yard deficit (McKay: no touchdowns and 1 interceptions). Florida State led Louisville 21-0, but trailed 24-21, before 35-24 win, covering in the L 1:37. We're always on the 'Pack when these 2 meet. Again.
|
09-28-19 |
Northwestern v. Wisconsin -24 |
Top |
15-24 |
Loss |
-107 |
70 h 27 m |
Show
|
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Badgers continue on impressive way, with a 141-10 point edge for the season (+80½ points ATS), & in off a 359-37 rushing yard edge over Michigan, with another 203 rushing yards from Taylor (147 per game). The Wildcats stand at 1-2 SU, & 0-3 vs the points, losing to the spot a by 15 points in last week's 34-10 home loss to Michigan State. Payback cements it.
|
09-21-19 |
UCLA v. Washington State -18.5 |
Top |
67-63 |
Loss |
-109 |
105 h 44 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Can this be anything but? Sure, the Cougars lost 8 starters, including QB Minshew, but are 11-2 ATS at home, & Gordon has picked up baton, by leading the nation, at 441.3 passing yards per game. Bruins continue along their feeble way: 17 points from a 7-34 line run, & can't run: 78 yards per game.
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09-21-19 |
Central Florida -11.5 v. Pittsburgh |
Top |
34-35 |
Loss |
-107 |
98 h 49 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week They keep on doing it. Knights now on 28-1 SU run, with accompanying 17-6-1 spread run, topping 37 points in 24 regular season games since '17. A 604-253 yards per game edge this year, with Gabriel at 9 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. Pitt at just 87.3 rushing yards per game, with a 117-70 point deficit in its last 6 lined games. Sure QB Pickett is at 293 passing yards per game, but Panthers just missed on the one that they truly wanted (Penn State)
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09-21-19 |
Michigan v. Wisconsin -3.5 |
Top |
14-35 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 13 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Payback for last year's Wolverine stomping of the Badgers, with a 320-187 rushing yard edge. Wisconsin hasn't exactly taken on the cream thus far, but cannot argue with 110-0 point edge, nor its balanced 217 rushing yards per game, 300 passing yards per game "O", as well as its 107.5 yards per game "D". First road game for Michigan, with the host on an 11-5 ATS run in UM contests. Tables turned from year ago
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09-14-19 |
Alabama -25 v. South Carolina |
Top |
47-23 |
Loss |
-102 |
98 h 15 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit SEC Smash of the Week Incredible 'Tide now has a 1,066-394 point edge in its last 25 lined games. As usual, Saban called off the dogs in last week's rout of New Mexico State. Tua now has 7 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. South Carolina lost QB Bentley, but check Hilnski's 24-of-30 (282 yards) last week. But don't forget that 483-270 yard deficit at North Carolina. Not going to be close.
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09-14-19 |
Stanford v. Central Florida -7 |
Top |
27-45 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 60 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Again & Again! Knights now on 27-1 SU run, topping 37 points 22 times since '17. A 665-146 rushing yard edge this year, with QB Gabriel has 5 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. And on 16-6-4 ATS run. Cards have rung up 3 "O" TDs so far, & going it without QB Costello. A 157-yard deficit at Southern Cal a precursor here?
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09-14-19 |
Oklahoma State -14 v. Tulsa |
Top |
40-21 |
Win
|
101 |
94 h 21 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit Mismatch of the Day Another win for the 'Cane, who are on a 4-18 SU run. Surely impressed vs San Jose State, with balanced 256 rushing yards, & 283 passing yards (Brooks: 140 rushing yards last week). However, 'Pokes are relentless (40.1 ppg in their last 48 lined games). Sanders: 59 & 75 yard TD passes last week, & 6 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. We don't buck 'em
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09-14-19 |
NC State -6.5 v. West Virginia |
Top |
27-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
94 h 24 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day McKay has replaced the brilliant Finley for the 'Pack (40-of-52: 77%) in cakers vs likes of East & West Carolina. Also check a 500-49 rushing yard edge. Mounties lost without Grier & 11 other starters: 13, 13 first downs, along with 34-30 rushing yards. Only way to go.
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09-07-19 |
Miami-FL v. North Carolina +5 |
Top |
25-28 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 47 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Extra week to prepare for 'Canes after loss (3-pt cover) to Florida (six lead changes), despite 94-50 rushing yard edge. Tars rode Brown's return to enviously balanced (238 rushing yards, 245 passing yards) win over South Caroline, with 213-yard edge. 'Heels just 8 points from 7-0 spread run. Again.
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09-07-19 |
South Florida v. Georgia Tech -6 |
Top |
10-14 |
Loss |
-109 |
40 h 25 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit CFB Play of the Day Tech missed cover at Clemson on late 51-yard FG. A 411-157 rushing yard deficit for 'Jackets' formerly overpowering run game (#1 last year). Now 131-45 point deficit in L3 tilts. Nine returning Bull "O" players made little difference in the horrendous 0-point, 9-first down, 157-yard effort vs Wisconsin.
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09-07-19 |
Northern Illinois v. Utah -21.5 |
Top |
17-35 |
Loss |
-106 |
40 h 31 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Mismatch of the Week Last week we described the Utes as "always there", & weren't they ever in 30-12 throttling of oncoming Byu, behind Huntley's 13-of-16, & 181 Moss rushing yards (35:58-24:02 time edge). Just 90 rushing yards, & 24 points for NIU vs Illinois State, including a 68-yard Bowers TD pass. Utes smother 'em.
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09-02-19 |
Notre Dame -20 v. Louisville |
Top |
35-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
148 h 31 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week We've never seen such a dramatic drop as these Cards are experiencing: -331½ points ATS in their last 27 outings (6-21). Another? Okay, Louisville allowing 57 ppg in its last 7 games. Irish got to Final Four, before being taken apart by Clemson. Return 7 offensive starters, including QB Book. A one-sided affair.
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08-31-19 |
Toledo +12 v. Kentucky |
Top |
24-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
92 h 49 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Kentucky is coming off 3 consecutive bowl campaigns, & rare 10-win season, but will be hard pressed to continue that performance, as they've lost a dozen starters, including record-setting RB Snell. Underdog is 18-6 ATS in UK games, & Rockets not only topped 50 points on 5 lined occasions in '18, but have been a staple for the last decade. All ingredients for a nail biter.
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08-31-19 |
Boise State +5 v. Florida State |
Top |
36-31 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 26 m |
Show
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Rating: 4 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week Florida State on a steady decline (12-13 SU L2 years), with unthinkable 210-87 point deficit in their last 5 outings. Hornibrook or Blackman at QB? Broncos have said goodbye to QB Rypien (13,587 passing yards on 1,035 completions for his career), but Boise has been a steady force forever. Note visitor is 29-12 ATS in Bronco games. Take the points.
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01-01-19 |
LSU v. Central Florida +7.5 |
Top |
40-32 |
Loss |
-105 |
167 h 8 m |
Show
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Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Upset of the Day For the 2nd straight year, the Knights of Central Florida have made it through the regular season unscathed. And for the second consecutive season have been rewarded with a New Year's Day bowl game against an SEC power. A year ago, it was the Peach Bowl, vs the 10-3 & #7 Tigers of Auburn, who were expected to put an end to this false challenger. But things don't always pan out, & didn't in that one, as UCF (+9½) turned a 20-13 deficit in the 3rd, into a 34-20 lead in the 4th, en route to the 34-27 upset. Knight QB Milton was just 16-of-35, but 242 passing yards (2/0), along with 116 rushing yards (8.9 ypr). Before entering that one, the Knights barely got by Memphis, 62-55, in their AAC title game. Ditto this year, as UM (+3) led 38-21 at intermission, with 336 rushing yards, only to go down 56-41, with 65 2nd half rushing yards. Check a 252-134 rushing yard edge over Cincinnati, which out rushed its other 11 opponents. The loss of Milton (knee) on Nov 23rd mattered little as backup QB Mack was 19-of-27 for 348 passing yards & 2/0, while rushing for 4 TDs, with Knights totaling 34 first downs, 350 rushing yards, & 348 passing yards. And they haven't missed a beat, with the replacement of HC Frost, for Heupel. Another "upset"?
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