Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma -23 | Top | 31-49 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
10-STAR ON THE OKLAHOMA SOONERS (216) AS THEY TAKE ON HOUSTON IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 7:30 PM EST. From the Machine Learning summary the Sooners are projected to gain, will score 41 or more points, will outgain Houston by 150 to 225 offensive yards or will gain 500 or more total offensive yards, and will average 10 or more yards per pass attempt. The Sooners are 8-3 ATS for 73% winning bets when they outgain their opponent by 150 to 200 yards in total offense and score 41 or more points; 7-2 ATS for 78% winning bets when scoring between 35 and 49 points and outgaining their opponent by 150 to 200 total yards; 31-11 ATS for 74% winning bets when they have gained a minimum of 10 passing yards-per-attempt and scored 41 or more points; 40-5 ATS for 89% winning bets when they have outgained their opponent by a minimum of 3.5 yards-per-Play. Houston is 0-9 ATS when allowing an opponent to outgain them by a minimum of 3.5 yards-per-play and allowing 41 or more points. |
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08-31-19 | Oregon +4 v. Auburn | Top | 21-27 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
7-STAR ON NO.-16 AUBURN (208) AS THEY TAKE ON NO.-11 OREGON IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 7:30 PM EST. From the Machine Learning summary the Tigers are projected to gain, will score 28 or more points, will gain a minimum of 450 total offense yards or will outgain Oregon by 100 to 150 offensive yards, in this game. The Tigers are 215-11 SU for 95% wins and winning the game by an average of 23 points and 149-56-4 ATS for 73% winning bets covering the spread by an average of 7.30 points when scoring 28 or more points since 1980 and 20-0 SU winning by 33.3 points and 15-4-1 ATS for 78% winning bets covering by an average of 12.8 points since 2016. The Ducks are 6-18 SU losing the games by an average of 10.3 point and 3-20-1 ATS for 13% failing to cover the spread by an average of 11.2 points when allowing 28 or more points in games played since 2016. When the Ducks defense has allowed 28 points and 450+ total yards they have gone 2-11 SUATS losing the games by an average of 16.7 points and failing to cover the spread by an average of 14.1 points since 2016. The Tigers are 16-0 winning by an average of 35 points and 13-3 ATS for 81.3% winning bets when they have scored 28 or more points and gained 450 or more total yards in games played since 2016. This situational query has earned a 25-15 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 2007. The query instructs us to play on favorites of at least 3.5 points and a total of at least 55 points in a game between two teams ranked between 10th and 20th in the AP-top-25 poll. |
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08-31-19 | Duke +33.5 v. Alabama | Top | 3-42 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
7-STAR WAGER ON DUKE (183) AS THEY TAKE ON NO.2 RANKED ALABAMA IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 3:30 PM EST. The machine learning summary projects that Duke will pass for a minimum of 250 passing yards and will be outgained by 200 or fewer yards in this matchup against the Tide. So, large dogs of 28 or more points that are able to gain 250 or more passing yards and not be outgained by the superior opponent by more than 200 yards are 8-125 SU, but 109-24 ATS covering the spread by an average of 13 points in these games and are 4-30 SU, but 28-6 ATS for 82.4% wins covering by an average of 14 points since the 2016 season. |
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08-30-19 | Wisconsin -10 v. South Florida | Top | 49-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
7-STAR ON WISCONSIN (149) AS THEY TAKE ON THE SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS IN WEEK-1 NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 7:00 PM EST. From the Machine Learning summary the Wisconsin Badgers are projected to gain at least 300 rushing yards and/or will gain at least 6.0 rushing yards-per-attempt, and will score 28 or more points in this game. Wisconsin is 28-7 ATS for 80% winning bets and covering the number by an average of 13.5 points when they have rushed for 300 or more yards in a game since 2006. The Badgers are 34-13 ATS for 72.3% winning bets when they have gained an average of at least 6.0 yards-per-carry in games played since 2006. When they have scored a minimum of 28 points the Badgers are 68-33 ATS for 67.3% covering by an average of 8 points in games played since 2006. When the Badgers have scored 28 or more points and have gained a minimum of 6.0 YPR they have earned a remarkable 41-1 SU record winning the games by an average of 30.4 points and 33-9 ATS for 79% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 10.6 points in games played since 2006. This situational query has earned a 26-6 ATS record for 81% winning bets and has made the Dime Player a profit of $19,400 over the last 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play on a road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that were an excellent rushing team averaging at least 5.25 yards-per rush last season. |
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08-29-19 | Georgia Tech +37 v. Clemson | Top | 14-52 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
10-STAR ON GEORGIA TECH (135) AS THEY TAKE ON THE REIGNING NATIONAL CHAMPIONS CLEMSON TIGERS IN WEEK-1 ACTION SET TO START AT 8:00 PM EST. From the Machine Learning summary G-Tech is projected to gain an average of at least 6.5 passing yards per attempt and will win the turnover battle or commit just one turnover in this game. So, in past games where any team has achieved or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 79-13 ATS record for 86% wins since 2006 and 25-5 ATS mark for 83.3% ATS wins since the start of the of the 2016 season when installed as 24 or more point underdos. This situational query has earned a 25-3 ATS record for 89% winning bets and has made the Dime Player a profit of $21,700 over the last 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play on a road team in the first four weeks of the season that played in a bowl game and lost their last two games of the previous season and is returning five or fewer starters on offense including an inexperienced quarterback. |
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08-24-19 | Arizona -10.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 33 m | Show |
7-STAR ON THE ARIZONA WILDCATS (293) AS THEY TAKE ON THE HAWAII WARRIORS IN NCAAF ACTION SET TO START AT 10:30 PM EST, SATURDAY AUGUST 24. The machine learning summary calls for the Wildcats to gain a minimum of 220 rushing yards, minimum of 280 passing yards, and will gain at least 7.0 yards-per-play and outgain the Warriors by at least 1.25 yards-per-play. IN oast games where Arizona gained 7.0 or more yards per play they have earned a 34-5 straight-up (SU) record and 25-12-2 against the spread (ATS) mark good for 68% winners. Slicing the data a bit deeper shows that Arizona is 10-3-1 ATS for 77% wins when gaining 6.5 or more yards per play and installed as a favorite between 10 and 27 points. Hawaii is 5-20 ATS for 20% when getting outgained by 1.0 to 1.5 yards-per-play. Arizona is 9-1 ATS when they have gained 6.5 or more yards per play over the last three seasons. This situational query has earned a 23-4 ATS record for 85% wins over the last 25 seasons. The query instructs us to play on road favorites installed as 10.5 to 21-point favorites that had a solid offensive gaining at least 5.8 yards-per-play and with seven or more defensive starters returning from last season. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup Clemson (151) CLEMSON (14 - 0) vs. ALABAMA (14 - 0) Week 17 Monday, 1/7/2019 8:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Clemson Tigers, who are currently installed as 5.5-point dogs for this NCAA Championship game. SIM Projections and Results By many measures, these two teams are significantly better than any other teams in the nation. My ‘power ratings’ are calculated using machine learning techniques and are far more dynamic and predictive than traditional forms you may see on other wen sites. These rating have Alabama installed as a 2.5 point favorite against Clemson. To show how these two teams have separated themselves from everyone else, Alabama would be favored by 9 over Georgia, by 13 over Ohio State, by 17 over Mississippi State, 18 over Notre Dame, and 20 over Penn State. Clemson would be favored by 6 over Georgia, 11 over Michigan, 12 over Ohio State, and 17 over Penn State. Weather could be an issue, but presently it looks like an precip will be minimal if at all and winds will be gentle and temps a bit on the cool side at 55 degrees for the fans, but football players will not notice the weather. Clemson is the top rushing and rush defending team in the country. They gain 6.7 YPR and allow just 2.9 YPR. Further, they rank 4th in points-per-play with a 0.596 ratio and allow just 0.186 points-per-play, which ranks best in the nation. Alabama is fantastic in their own right allowing 3.3 YPR good for 10th best and gain 5.2 YPR good for 21st. Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This DB Query has returned a 35-10 ATS mark good for 78% over the last five seasons. Play on neutral field underdogs outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards-per-game on the season. If the game is occurring after Week 11, which gathers up all bowl games and playoff games, the record is 25-12 ATS and has covered the spread by an average of 7 points. Yards per point margin is a great metric that reveals the efficiencies of any teams’ offense and defense together. The higher the ratio the stronger the team is on BOTH sides of the ball. Clemson comes in best with a 9.1 ratio and Alabama second at 8.2, then it drops to App State at 6.6 and Auburn at 5.1 and Notre Dame at 5.0. So, a fairly significant advantage for Clemson in this matchup against Alabama. Clemson's Trevor Lawrence would be the first starting freshman quarterback since Oklahoma's Jamelle Holieway in 1985 to lead his team to a national championship. Lawrence took over as the starter four games into the season and has thrown for 2,933 yards, 27 touchdowns and four interceptions. Fundamentally, it stands to reason that Clemson will have their freshman QB executing medium length pass plays ( 3 step drop and ball is out in less than 2 seconds) initially to stave off the Alabama pass rush. Even more important, is for him to resist to the temptation to leave the pocket. With Alabama LB Christian Miller not anywhere close to 100% due to a hamstring, the middle of the field (between the hashes) will be the open for Lawrence to pick apart. There is so much more I could write about this exciting matchup on both sides of the ball, but due to time, its’ not possible. Be sure to get on Twitter and follow my analytics, especially at half time where I will release betting opportunities based on the box scores of the first half. @JohnRyanSports1 Thank you for a great season - my 23rd – on the net and looking forward to a very profitable NFL post season and then March Madness. |
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01-01-19 | Kentucky v. Penn State -6.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup
Penn State (272) KENTUCKY (9 - 3) vs. PENN ST (9 - 3)Week 16 Tuesday, 1/1/2019 1:00 PMCITRUS BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL SIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the PSU Nittany Lions, who are currently priced as 6.5-point favorites. Also, a 5-Star play on the OVER. Consider making an “Action Reverse” Parlay using the Lions and the OVER, which will pay 4:1 and is a much better risk/reward opportunity than the tradityion 13:5 two-team parlay. SIM Projections and ResultsPSU is projected to score a minimum of 28 points, gain between 475 and 525 yards and or gain a minimum of 7.8 yards per play. PSU is 12-0 SU winning the game by an average of 25.5 points and 11-1 ATS for 92% and covering the spread by an average of 14.8 points when they score 28 or more points and gain between 475 and 525 yards. When Kentucky as allowed these measures, the OVER is 16-3 for 84% and covering the total by an average of 12.7 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. Kentucky is a money burning 45-103-4 ATS for 30% and failing to cover the spread by 6.3 points when they allow 28 or more points since 1992; 4-15 ATS for 21% since 2015. |
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01-01-19 | LSU -7 v. Central Florida | Top | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup LSU (273) LSU (9 - 3) vs. UCF (12 - 0) Week 16 Tuesday, 1/1/2019 1:00 PM FIESTA BOWL - State Farm Stadium - Phoenix, AZ 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. SIM Projections and Results |
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01-01-19 | Iowa +7.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Iowa (269) IOWA (8 - 4) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 4) Week 16 Tuesday, 1/1/2019 12:00 PM Outback Bowl - Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Hawkeyes, who are priced as 7-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results The Hawkeyes are projected to gain 350 to 400 total offensive yards. The Hawkeyes are 4-3 SU and 5-1 ATS for 83% when they have scored between 23 and 28 points and gained between 350 and 400 total yards. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 24-14 record for 63% averaging a +210 Dog wager since 2008. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. |
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12-31-18 | Missouri -8.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 33-38 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup
Missouri (263) MISSOURI (8 - 4) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 6)Week 16 Monday, 12/31/2018 3:45 PMLIBERTY BOWL - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TNSIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Tigers, who are currently priced as 9-point favorites. SIM Projections and ResultsMissouri is projected to score a minimum of 28 points, gain between 475 and 525 yards, and gain a minimum of 6.8 yards per play. The Tigers are 19-3 SU winning the game by an average of 16.7 points and 15-6-21 ATS covering the spread by an average of 7 points when they score 28 or more points and gain between 474 and 525 yards. When meeting or exceeding these performance measures and installed as a favorite of 3 to 13 points, they are a perfect 6-0 SUATS winning the game by an average of 23 points and covering the spread by an average of 15.9 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 36-14 record for 72% since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an incredible offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game and after being outgained by previous opponent by 125 or more total yards. Here is a second supporting query that has earned a solid 49-24 SATS mark good for 67% since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and now facing an opponent after having won 4 out of their last 5 games. |
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12-31-18 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Cincinnati | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Virginia Tech (253) VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 6) vs. CINCINNATI (10 - 2) Week 16 Monday, 12/31/2018 12:00 PM MILITARY BOWL - Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Hokies, who are priced as 6.5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results The Hokies are projected to gain 150 rushing yards and 400 total offensive yards. Cincinnati is just 13-28-2 ATS when allowing these performance measures since 2008 and 5-12-1 ATS for 29% failing to cover the spread by an average of 6 points since 2015. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 24-14 record for 63% averaging a +210 Dog wager since 2008. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. |
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12-29-18 | Oklahoma +14 v. Alabama | Top | 34-45 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup
Oklahoma (253) OKLAHOMA (12 - 1) vs. ALABAMA (13 - 0)Week 16 Saturday, 12/29/2018 4:00 PMORANGE BOWL - Hard Rock Stadium - Miami, FLSIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Oklahoma, who are priced as 14-point dogs. Also, consider playing an extra 2-Star amount on the money line, which is priced at a very juicy +600. SIM Projections and ResultsA bit of history here for you. It was January 2, 2014 and Oklahoma installed as a 16.5 point dog to Alabama and the Sooners won the game outright 45-31. It is a LOCK that the Sooner coaching staff brought up this epic Sooner win quite a bit over the last several weeks. The following precedents match the projections for this game. Oklahoma is 11-1 against the money line (+9.6 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 2 seasons; 25-7 against the money line (+13.5 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards; 11-2 against the money line (+8.6 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt; 34-6 against the money line (+23.9 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt; 22-3 against the money line (+21.3 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points; 23-2 against the money line (+22.1 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards; 11-1 against the money line (+10.0 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 total yards per play. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson -11.5 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Clemson (256) NOTRE DAME (12 - 0) vs. CLEMSON (13 - 0) Week 16 Saturday, 12/29/2018 4:00 PM GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Clemson Tigers, who are installed as 13-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Clemson is projected to contain the Irish passing attack to 6.3 or fewer yards per pass attempt and will gain over 200 rushing yards. When Clemson has been on the road or at a neutral field and has been able to meet or exceed these performance measures they are 12-1 SU winning the game by an average of 25 points and 10-3 ATS covering the spread by an average of 14.8 points. 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. When Clemson has scored a minimum of 24 points and has outrushed their opponent by more than 100 yards, they have earned a perfect 24-0 mark winning the game by an average of 24.8 points and 20-4 SATS for 83% and covering the spread by an average of 14.3 points. |
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12-29-18 | Florida +5.5 v. Michigan | Top | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Florida (249) Florida (9 - 3) vs. Michigan (10 - 2) Week 16 Saturday, 12/29/2018 12:00 PM PEACH BOWL - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Gators, who are installed as 6-point dogs. Also, consider the alternative wager consisting of a 5.5-Star play using the line and a 1.5-Star play using the Money Line, which is currently priced at +195. If you are wagering $100 per Star, the 1.5-Star Money line wager returns $292.50 ($150*1.95) should Florida win the game outright. SIM Projections and Results Florida is projected to contain the Michigan passing attack to 8 or fewer yards per pass attempt and will gain over 200 rushing yards. When Florida has been on the road or at a neutral field and has been able to meet or exceed these performance measures they are 18-2 SUATS winning the game by an average of 18.3 points and covering the spread by an average of 9.2 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 24-5 ATS mark for 83% since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a road loss against a conference rival and is a top-level team winning at least 80% of their games and playing a team having won 60% to 80% of their games. Here is the second DB system query that has produced a 22-12 record using the money line averaging a +213 DOG over the last 10 seasons. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. |
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12-28-18 | Syracuse -3 v. West Virginia | Top | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the MatchupSyracuse (243) SYRACUSE (9 - 3) vs. W VIRGINIA (8 - 3)Week 16 Friday, 12/28/2018 5:15 PMCAMPING WORLD BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FLSIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Syracuse, who are priced as 2.5-point favorites. SIM Projections and ResultsSyracuse has had a fantastic season and they almost knocked off Clemson in Death Valley earlier this season. They put up one bad game, which was at Notre Dame scoring 3 points, but overall they averaged more than 40 points per game and were getting better as the season evolved. WVU is a team in disarray led by the unbelievable decision of their QB Will Grier to sit out this bowl game and not risk injury. That’s one way to become a disconnected team member and it certainly bring sto light the lack of coaching leadership. They lost their last two games tro Oklahoma State and then in an epoch game against Oklahoma at home 59-56. So, the SIM summary projections call for Syracuse to score at least 30 points and that their stout defense will force a minimum of 2 turnovers with the potential to force 4 or more. In past games when the Orange have scored 30 or more points and forced 2 turnovers exact they have earned a 16-2 SU mark winning by an average of 14.3 points and a 14-4 ATS mark covering the spread by an average of 12.6 points; when the opponent has turned it over by 3 turnovers, the Orange are then 8-2 ATS covering by an average of 9.1 points; when the TO have been 4, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS covering by an average eof 16.7. Overall, when they score 30 or more points and force an opponent into 2 or more turnovers, the Orange are 31-3 SU winning by an average of 17.7 points and 28-6 ATS covering by an average of 12.3 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 40-14 ATS mark since 1992. Play against any team with an excellent offensive team scoring at least 34 PPG after a loss by 3 or less points and is now facing an average defensive team allowing an average of 21 to 28 PPG and with the current game taking place after Week 6. Here is a second DB query that has recorded a 26-9 ATS mark for 74% winners since 2014. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a double digit road win and is a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. |
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12-28-18 | Auburn -3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 63-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Auburn (241) AUBURN (7 - 5) vs. PURDUE (6 - 6) Week 16 Friday, 12/28/2018 1:30 PM MUSIC CITY BOWL - Nissan Stadium - Nashville, TN SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Tigers, who are installed as 3.5-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score 28 or more points, gain over 200 rushing yards and average at least 6.3 yards per play. When the Tigers have gained 200 or more RY and scored 28 or more points, they have had a near-perfect 61-1 SU mark winning the game by an average of 26 points and a 43-19 ATS mark good for 70% and covering the spread by an average of 7.7 points. When they have rushed for 250 yards and scored 28 or more points, they have gone 49-1 SU winning by 26 points and 35-12-1 ATS for 75% covering the spread by an average of 8 points. Purdue is just 3-28 SU losing by 22 points on average and 7-24 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 12 points when they have allowed 28 or more points and 250 or more rushing yards. When Auburn has been installed as a slight favorite between -1 and -4.5, scoring 28 and gaining at least 250 RY, they are a perfect 6-0 SUATS winning the game by an average of 13 points and covering the spread by an average of 10 points |
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12-27-18 | Vanderbilt -4 v. Baylor | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup
Vanderbilt (110) VANDERBILT (6 - 6) vs. BAYLOR (6 - 6)Thursday, 12/27/2018 9:00 PMTEXAS BOWL - NRG Stadium - Houston, TXSIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Vanderbilt, who are priced as 3.5-point favorites. SIM Projections and ResultsVanderbilt is projected to score a minimum of 28 points. When Vanderbilt has scored 28 or more points, they have earned an 13-4 ATS mark covering by an average of 8.7 points over the past three seasons and 81-28 ATS for 74% dating back to the start of the 1980 season. By contrast, Baylor is just 55-146-5 ATS for 27.4% failing to cover by an average of 8.7 points when allowing an opponent to score 28 or more points since 1980; 2-13 SU losing by an average of 16.5 points since last season. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 73-36 ATS mark since 2013. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and now facing an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. |
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12-27-18 | Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +2.5 | Top | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Wisconsin (238) MIAMI (7 - 5) vs. WISCONSIN (7 - 5) Week 16 Thursday, 12/27/2018 5:15 PM PINSTRIPE BOWL - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Badgers, who are installed as 2.5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Badgers to gain over 250 rushing yards and average ay least 8 yards per pass play. When the Badgers have gained 250 or more RY and averaged more than 8 YPPA, they have had a perfect 31-0 SU mark winning the game by an average of 31.5 points and a 23-7 ATS mark good for 77% and covering the spread by an average of 11.2 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 34-10 ATS mark since 2014. Play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards-per-game on the season. |
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12-26-18 | TCU v. California -1 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup California Golden Bears (234) TCU (6 - 6) vs. CALIFORNIA (7 - 5) Week 16 Wednesday, 12/26/2018 9:00 PM CHEEZ-IT BOWL - Chase Field - Phoenix, AZ
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results CAL Has earned a 28-1 SU and 25-3 ATS mark covering the spread by an average of 12 points when they have gained 50 or more RY than the opponent and averaged 8 or more yards-per-pass attempt. |
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12-26-18 | Minnesota +6 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Minnesota Gophers (231) MINNESOTA (6 - 6) vs. GEORGIA TECH (7 - 5) Week 16 Wednesday, 12/26/2018 5:15 PM QUICK LANE BOWL - Ford Field - Detroit, MI SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Gophers. who are installed as 6-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Gophers to gain over 200 rushing yards and average ay least 8 yards per pass play. When the Gophers have been installed as a dogs and then gained 200 or more RY and averaged more than 8 YPPA, they have had a perfect 5-0 SUATS mark winning the game by an Average of 12.6 points and covering the spread by 18.7 points. Our vast NCAAB and NBA databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 19-11 mark using the money line since 2009. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. This is essentially a Bowl Game with the exception of the Week 1 marquee matchups. |
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12-22-18 | Houston v. Army -6.5 | Top | 14-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup
Army (213) Houston (8 - 4) vs. Army (10 - 2) Week 16 Saturday, 12/22/2018 3:30 PM Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX. SIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Army, who are priced as 6-point favorites for this bowl game. SIM Projections and ResultsArmy has had a historic season winning 10 games and most of all defeating Navy in their last game. Army ranks first in time of possession (TOP) keeping the ball for an average of 39.15 minutes per game and Houston dead last of the 130 programs averaging just 24.80 minutes per game. Moreover, Houston ranks 128th with opponents averaging 48 rushing plays per game and 100th allowing 210 RYPG. Army ranks first averaging 65 rushes per game and second averaging 298.1 RYPG. Army is projected to gain 350 rushing yards on a minimum of 70 rushing plays. In past games where they have met this pair of standards they are 8-2 ATS covering by an average of 12.8 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 35-14 ATS mark since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an elite offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game (YPG), after being outgained by their previous opponent by 125 or more total yards. |
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12-15-18 | North Texas v. Utah State -7 | Top | 13-52 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the MatchupUtah State (202) NORTH TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. UTAH ST (10 - 2) Week 16 Saturday, 12/15/2018 2:00 PM New Mexico Bowl - Dreamstyle Stadium - Albuquerque, NM SIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Utah State, who are priced as 7.5-point home favorites for this Bowl game matchup. SIM Projections and ResultsUtah State is projected to score at least 28 points and gain an average of 6 yards-per-play. In past games, when they have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a solid 39-10-2 ATS mark for 80% and covering by an average of 10.9 points; 10-3 ATS for 77% covering by an average of 11.5 points since 2016; 5-0-1 ATS covering by 15.6 points this season. |
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12-08-18 | Navy v. Army -7.5 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup ARMY (104) NAVY (3 - 9) vs. ARMY (9 - 2) Week 15 Saturday, 12/8/2018 3:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Army, who are priced as 7-point favorites for this matchup. SIM Projections and Results Army is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when they gain 150 or less net passing yards over the last 2 seasons; 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) when they gain 10 or more net passing yards-per-attempt; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 100-150 yards Further, Army is a stout 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Here is a query result that has gone 57-8 for 88% using the money line and supports Army. Play against neutral field underdogs using the money line (NAVY) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread and when playing on a Saturday. We could do this query by identifying games in December and January since the large majority of neutral field venues are related to bowl and playoff games. |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern +15 v. Ohio State | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Northwestern (321) Northwestern (8 - 4) Vs. Ohio St (11 - 1) Week 14 Saturday, 12/1/2018 8:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Wildcats who are priced as 15-point neutral field dogs in this BIG-10 Championship game. SIM Projections and Results Playing on larger dogs in specific matchups has paid-off quite well over the years and the following DB query exhibits those results with a 37-88 record for JUST 30%, BUT has made 117.5 units or $11,750 per $100 wager averaging an incredible +555 dog wager. Play on underdogs of +315 or higher using the money line off 2 straight wins against conference rivals and is a solid team winning 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. In 2016, Ohio State went to Happy Valley installed as 18-point favorites in this situation and lost the game 24-21. In 2013, Texas was a 12.5-point dog facing the Sooners in the BIG-12 Championship and the Sooners lost 36-20. These are just 2 of many of these major upsets that have occurred 30% of the time under the DB query parameters and in 88% of these games, the betting consensus was largely betting the favorite and giving the DOG no chance to even cover the spread. This DB query has attained a 61-26 ATS record good for 70% playing on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games and has won 80% or more of their games and now facing a solid team winning 60% to 80% of their games. |
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12-01-18 | Texas +9 v. Oklahoma | Top | 27-39 | Loss | -114 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Texas (311) TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 1) Week 14 Saturday, 12/1/2018 12:30 PM BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Texas, who are priced as an 8-point neutral field dog. Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 8-star play on the line and a 2-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for SU upset win. The money line is currently at 300, which implies a 3:1 return for the 2-Star portion for a grand total of 6-Stars or $600 for a $200 wager. Plus, the 8-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $1,600. If they cover, but fail to win, then the total profit is $800, which is quite attractive given the ceiling at $1600 is 60% better than just the single $1000 10-Star line play. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: The SIM projections show that Texas will gain an average of 7.3 to 8.7 yards per pass play and hold Oklahoma to less than 9.5 yards per pass play. Texas is 6-1 ATS for 85% covering by an average of 9.4 points when gaining 7.3 to 8.2 YPP since start of 2016 season. Sooners are 4-7 ATS when not gaining more than 9.5 YPP since start of 2016 season. Texas is expected to gain 170 to 235 rushing yards and in past games when they did accomplish this range of RY they are a perfect 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS covering by an average of 10.1 points. Both teams are projected to score 31 or more points. Sooners are just 5-10 ATS in this situation. Texas will have fewer turnovers and in games where noth teams score 31 or more and the Sooners lose the turnover margin, they are just 1-5 ATS failing to cover by an average of 12.6 points. Then, if the Sooners are favored by 4 or more points in this situation, their results have been an imperfect 0-10 ATS losing to the number by an average of 16.7 points since the start of the 2011 season. |
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11-30-18 | Utah v. Washington -5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Washington Huskies (306) UTAH (9 - 3) vs. WASHINGTON (9 - 3) Week 14 Friday, 11/30/2018 8:00 PM PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Levis Stadium - Santa Clara, CA SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Huskies who are priced as 5-point favorites in this PAC-12 Championship game. SIM Projections and Results In the 8-year PAC-12 Championship history, the participants have been prolific offenses and the results have been track meet types of games. This one features the tow best defenses in the PAC-12 and two of the best defenses in the nation. Washington leads the PAC-12 in scoring defense at 16.6 PPG and ranks 10th nationally. Utah ranks second-best in the PAC-12 allowing 19.3 PPG and ranks 18th nationally in scoring defense. So, this will be a game of field position that Washington will gain the upper hand by dominating both sides of the line of scrimmage. For the season, the Utes have averaged a conference-leading 205 RYPG, but over their last 4 games they have averaged 192 RY. Washington has improved their ground attack over the last 4-weeks averaging 200 RY as compared to a season average of 189 RY. More important is how the Washington defense has significantly improved down the stretch of the L4 games limiting opponents to just 97 RYPG while Utah has allowed 139 RY compared with a season average of 100 RYPG. In games where Washington has had 50 or more rushing yards than the opponent and had a lower (better) rank than the opponent and both teams were ranked, they are a perfect 3-0 ATS covering by an average of 18 points and winning the game outright by an average of 29 points. |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois +4 v. Buffalo | Top | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Northern Illinois (303) Northern Illinois (7 - 5) vs. Buffalo (10 - 2) Week 14 Friday, 11/30/2018 7:00 PM MAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Ford Field - Detroit, MI SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Northern Illinois, who are priced as 3.5-point neutral field dog. Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 8-star play on the line and a 2-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for SU upset win. The money line is currently at 150, which implies a 3:2return for the 2-Star portion for a grand total of 3-Stars or $300 for a $200 wager. Plus, the 8-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $1,200. If they cover, but fails to win, then the total profit is $800, which is quite attractive given the ceiling at $1200 is 20% better than just the single $1000 10-Star line play. Not steering your thoughts in this combination direction as a straight 10-Star wager using the line is a smart play as well. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: The SIM projections show that Northern Illinois will have less than 150 net passing yards. This reflects their success running the ball and the lack of need to throw the ball to the move the chains or to mount a comeback from a 2 or more scoring deficit. Buffalo is just 6-15 SU for 29% winners when allowing an opponent 150 or less net passing yards. NI is a solid 8-3 SU when gaining 150 or fewer net passing yards over the L2 seasons. Interesting too is the fact that Buffalo is 0-10 SU and just 3-7 ATS losing to the number by an average of 8.2 points when facing NI. NI is 40-19 against the money line (+21.2 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. |
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11-24-18 | Auburn +25.5 v. Alabama | Top | 21-52 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report Auburn (7 - 4) at Alabama (11 - 0) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 3:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results Here is a strong database situational query that has produced a 24-5 ATS result for 83% winners since 2008. Play on road underdogs (AUBURN) after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins. A second query under scores the strength of this play even more producing a 25-3 ATS mark good for 89% winners since 2008. Play on a road team after game 7 that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 to 390 YPG and after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game And is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +5 | Top | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Ohio State (105) Michigan (10 - 1) at Ohio St (10 - 1) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Buckeyes, who are priced as 5-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +190. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Buckeyes pull off the upset returns ($380). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Michigan is 22-61 ATS (-45.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 7.5 to 8 net passing yards-per-attempt; 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 50 or fewer yards. OSU is a solid 142-54 ATS (+82.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points. OSU is 34-0 SU and 23-9-2 ATS, and 21-12 ‘OVER’ in home games scoring 28 ro more points and passing for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-attempt. Not since October 29, 2011 has OSU been installed as a home dog. On they date, they played Wisconsin installed as 7.5-point home dogs and won the game 33-29. Dating back to 1980, our DB shows that OSU has been a home dog on 16 occasions and have gone 7-8-1 SU and 10-5-1 ATS. The last time Michigan came to Columbus as a favorite was November 20, 2004 and they were throttled 37-21. Interesting that the line for this game showed Michigan priced as a 5-point favorite just as they are for today’s game. The following database query has produced a 37-12 ATS mark good for 76% over the past 5 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO ST) in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This DB query is based on the money line and is remarkable in its’ own right sporting a 28-19 SU record and making 42.6 stars per Star unit wager since 1992. Play on home underdogs using the money line (OHIO ST) in a game involving two explosive offensive teams scoring 34 or more PPG and after scoring 42 points or more last game. |
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11-24-18 | Florida v. Florida State +7.5 | Top | 41-14 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Florida State (200) Florida (8 - 3) at Florida St (5 - 6) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Seminoles, who are priced as 7-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +240. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Seminoles pull off the upset returns ($480). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Seminoles to score a minimum 24 points and gain at least 8.5 passing yards per attempt. In FSU home games where they have attained these performance measures, they have produced a 30-3 SU record and 22-11-1 ATS mark; since the start of the 2013 season, they are 17-2 SU and 13-5-1 ATS for 72% covering by 6.3 PPG. This database situation query that has produced a 25-6 ATS record good for 81% winners since the start of the 1992 season. Play against road favorites (FLORIDA) that are solid offensive teams gaining between 5.6 to 6.2 YPP after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games and are now facing an average defense allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 YPP and after 7 or more games. |
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11-24-18 | Syracuse v. Boston College -6.5 | Top | 42-21 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report Boston College (160) Syracuse (8 - 3) At Boston College (7 - 4) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results Syracuse is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons; 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games when they allow 29 to 35 points since 1992; 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992; 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points; 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) when they gain 4.5 to 5 total yards per play. BC is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 40-14 ATS (+24.6 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 35-13 ATS mark good for 73% winners over the past five seasons. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SYRACUSE) with an elite offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game and after being outgained by the previous opponent by 125 or more total yards. |
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11-23-18 | Central Florida v. South Florida +15 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup The South Florida Bulls (105) UCF (10 - 0) at South Florida (7 - 4) Week 13 Friday, 11/23/2018 4:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Bulls, who are priced as 14.5-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 8-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +500. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Bulls pull off the upset returns 10-Stars ($1,000). SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Both teams are projected to score 28 or more points. Home dogs of 10 to 17.5 points scoring 28 or more points and their guests matching that output have produced a 240-83-10 ATS mark good for 74% covering by an average of 6.3 points. Drilling the data set a bit further to include conference games returns a 198-61-8 ATS record good for 76.4% covering by an average of 6.7 points. Finally, if the visitor ranks in the Top-10, the home dog takes real meaning with a 25-4-1 SATS record and 86% covering by an average of 8.7 points. The following database query has produced a 31-10 ATS mark good for 76% since 1992. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UCF) off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a good team with a 60 to 80 win percentage. |
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11-17-18 | Ohio State v. Maryland +14.5 | Top | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report Ohio St (9 - 1) at Maryland (5 - 5) Week 12 Saturday, 11/17/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results |
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11-16-18 | Memphis v. SMU +7.5 | Top | 28-18 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup SMU 181) Memphis (6 - 4) at SMU (5 - 5) Week 12 Friday, 11/16/2018 9:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the SMU Mustangs, who are priced as 7.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Mustangs to attain a 12.5 yards-per-point ratio or lower and that their YPPT ratio will be less (more efficient offense) than the Memphis Tigers. When installed as home dogs, SMU is a perfect 8-0 ATS covering by an average of 20 PPG when meeting or exceeded these performance measures. This database situation query that has produced a 34-8 ATS record good for 81% winners spanning the last 25 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SMU) after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games. |
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11-14-18 | Buffalo v. Ohio -2.5 | Top | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report Ohio University (513) Buffalo (9 - 1) at Ohio U (6 - 4) Week 12 Wednesday, 11/14/2018 7:00 PM
SIM Projections and Results Projections call for Ohio to score at least 28 points, have at least 200 rushing yards, and gain a minimum of 6.5 YPPL. Since 2006, Ohio is a solid 47-6 SU winning by 18.7 PPG and 40-10-2 ATS covering the spread by 8.9 PPG when scoring 28 points and gaining 200 or more rushing yards. When attaining these performance measures in home games they are 21-4-2 ATS for 84% covering by 9 PPG. |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan v. Ball State +9 | Top | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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11-10-18 | Clemson v. Boston College +19 | Top | 27-7 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup |
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11-10-18 | Auburn +14 v. Georgia | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup |
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11-10-18 | Mississippi State +24.5 v. Alabama | Top | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
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11-10-18 | Wisconsin v. Penn State -8 | Top | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
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11-10-18 | TCU +12 v. West Virginia | Top | 10-47 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
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11-09-18 | Louisville +21 v. Syracuse | Top | 23-54 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
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11-08-18 | Wake Forest v. NC State -18 | Top | 27-23 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
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11-03-18 | Missouri +6.5 v. Florida | Top | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
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11-03-18 | Penn State +13.5 v. Michigan | Top | 7-42 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 30 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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11-03-18 | Georgia Southern -6.5 v. UL-Monroe | Top | 25-44 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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11-03-18 | Texas A&M v. Auburn -3 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 3 h 10 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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11-03-18 | Nebraska +19.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show |
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11-02-18 | Colorado +3 v. Arizona | Top | 34-42 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
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11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida -10 | Top | 40-52 | Win | 100 | 51 h 59 m | Show |
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10-30-18 | Miami-OH +7 v. Buffalo | Top | 42-51 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
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10-27-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma State +3.5 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
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10-27-18 | Iowa v. Penn State -5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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10-27-18 | Georgia -6.5 v. Florida | Top | 36-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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10-26-18 | Utah -10.5 v. UCLA | Top | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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10-25-18 | Baylor +14 v. West Virginia | Top | 14-58 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Baylor University Bears ( Baylor (4 - 3) at W Virginia (5 - 1) Week 9 Thursday, 10/25/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager on Baylor using the money line, which currently shows them installed as a 13.5-point road dog. SIM Matching Game Situations The summary projections call for both teams to score 18 or more points. In past Baylor road games where they were installed as dogs of 10 to 17 points and both teams did score 28 or more points, Baylor has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS covering by an average of 11 points per game. Looks like WVU will need a last minute FG to win this one – or maybe not. |
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10-23-18 | Troy -10.5 v. South Alabama | Top | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
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10-20-18 | Ohio State v. Purdue +13 | Top | 20-49 | Win | 100 | 2 h 39 m | Show |
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10-20-18 | NC State v. Clemson -17 | Top | 7-41 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
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10-19-18 | Colorado State v. Boise State -24 | Top | 28-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
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10-18-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
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10-13-18 | Michigan State v. Penn State -13.5 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 2 m | Show |
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10-13-18 | Georgia -8 v. LSU | Top | 16-36 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 44 m | Show |
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10-13-18 | Washington v. Oregon +3 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 52 h 26 m | Show |
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10-13-18 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +7.5 | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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10-06-18 | Notre Dame v. Virginia Tech +7 | Top | 45-23 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report NOTRE DAME (5 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 1) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 8:00 PM
SIM Projections and Results Here is a solid database system query that has produced a solid 44-14 record good for 76% winners over the past 25 seasons. Play against road favorites good offensive team averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 yards-per-play and after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing 4.8 to 5.6 YPP. |
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10-06-18 | Auburn -3.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 9-23 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report AUBURN (4 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 2) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 7:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results State is coming off back-to-back horrid offensive games losing at Kentucky 28-7 and losing at home to Florida 13-6. Traveling ranked teams in the top-25 playing a team that scored 10 or less points in two straight games are 26-8 ASYS for 77% winners and 33-1 SU. Here is a great database system query that has produced a 29-5 record good for 85% winners since 1992. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’, with a great scoring defense allowing 14 or less points/game. |
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10-06-18 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh +4 | Top | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
ohn Ryan Sports Research Report |
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10-06-18 | Kansas +28 v. West Virginia | Top | 22-38 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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10-06-18 | Northwestern v. Michigan State -10 | Top | 29-19 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
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10-05-18 | Utah State +3 v. BYU | Top | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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09-29-18 | Ohio State v. Penn State +4 | Top | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 105 h 45 m | Show |
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09-29-18 | Pittsburgh +13.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
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09-29-18 | Syracuse +25.5 v. Clemson | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup |
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09-29-18 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech +4 | Top | 42-34 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
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09-28-18 | Memphis v. Tulane +15 | Top | 24-40 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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09-22-18 | Kansas +7.5 v. Baylor | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
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09-22-18 | Texas A&M +26.5 v. Alabama | 23-45 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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09-22-18 | Georgia -14 v. Missouri | Top | 43-29 | Push | 0 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup |
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09-21-18 | Florida Atlantic +14 v. Central Florida | Top | 36-56 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
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09-20-18 | Tulsa +7 v. Temple | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
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09-15-18 | Ohio State v. TCU +13 | Top | 40-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 4 m | Show |
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09-15-18 | Rutgers v. Kansas -2.5 | Top | 14-55 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
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09-02-18 | Miami-FL v. LSU +3.5 | Top | 17-33 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
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09-01-18 | Washington v. Auburn -2 | Top | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
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09-01-18 | Ole Miss v. Texas Tech -2 | 47-27 | Loss | -102 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
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09-01-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Oklahoma -20 | Top | 14-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
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08-30-18 | New Mexico State +23 v. Minnesota | Top | 10-48 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report New Mexico State (137) NEW MEXICO ST (7 - 6) at MINNESOTA (5 - 7) Week 1 Thursday, 8/30/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Aggies using the line, which currently prices them as 20.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Aggies to allow less than 27 points and allow no more than 150 rushing yards. When the Aggies have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS and covering (ATS margin) by an average of 10 points. In road games installed as a minimum dog of 14.5 points and allowing 27 or fewer points, they are a perfect 9-0 ATS. NMST had one of the most improved defenses in the nation last year having been one of the worst in 2016 allowing 497 yards per game. In 2017, they improved to allowing 401 and allowed just 336 over their last three games in 2017. They also return 9 of the 11 defensive starters. Teams in this position entering the next season are almost always undervalued by the betting public and this is reflected in this game where the line opened at 17.5 and now is at 20.5. So, teams that improved their defenses by 90 or more yards per game and had more wins last season than the season prior are a solid 33-15 ATS for 69% ATS winners over the past 25 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports.
The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners. NCAA Tournament Plays went 13-6 ATS for 63%. NCAA Basketball record from March 1. 26-12 ATS for 68.4% 14-5 ATS mark for Top-Rated 10-Star College Hardwood Titans. NBA since March 1 33-18 ATS for 64.7%. NBA Playoffs 21-10 ATS 68%. NBA Season 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. MLB 10-Star plays 10-5 or $5,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 7-Star 69-68 and 6.33 units x $700 = $4,4310 MLB 2018 5-Star 13-11 and 4.61 units x $500 = $2,305 MLB Overall 2018 $12,486.00 CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800 NFLX 4-2 ATS 7-Stars and $1,260 2-0 ATS 10-Stars and $2,000 |
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01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia +4.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 154 h 56 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Georgia (152) The Matchup: ALABAMA (12 - 1) vs. GEORGIA (13 - 1) Start Time: Week 17 Monday, 1/8/2018 8:45 PM SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star wager on Georgia using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 7.5 star amount on the line and then add a 2.5 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 170 to 190.
There will be alternative lines for this Championship game. An optional wager strategy is to place an additional 3 star amount on the Georgia -3 ½ line, which we believe will be lined at +250 and perhaps even higher. Check our Twitter account for updates to this line as Monday approaches @JohnRyanSports1.
Game Intelligence Analytics Two great teams with great defenses featuring speed and power will be displayed in this All-SEC Championship game between Alabama and Georgia. The SIM Algorithms all reveal a line that is closer to pick-em than the current 4 ½ line. Alabama has the best scoring defense in the national allowing just 12.0 PPG. However, Georgia is not far behind them ranking 4th allowing 15.8 PPG. Alabama ranks 13th in offensive scoring at 36.4 PPG while Georgia ranks 15th scoring 35.8 PPG. Both teams lone loss was to Auburn, which also has a great defense and plays a similar type game plan that both of these teams play. This game well might come down to Georgia’s better efficiency at converting third-down situations than Alabama. Georgia holds the edge and they also have a stronger points-per-play ratio. Alabama does rank best in the nation with a 9.5 yards per point margin (YPPM) while Georgia ranks 8th best with a 6.2 ratio. However, over the last three games, Alabama has only a 0.8 ratio while Georgia sports a 4.6 ratio. This reflects that the elevation of opponent class has revealed potential weaknesses inherent in the Alabama game plans. As we had believed would happen in the semifinal game, Georgia will look to be very physical right from the start of this game and will look to wear down the Alabama defense, particularly the LB part. In time, this will open up the play action plays just as it did in the semifinal game leading to big plays down the middle of the field. The SIM projection calls for Georgia to win this game by 10 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Money Line Matches Alabama is 13-42 against the money line (-79.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Alabama is 4-18 against the money line (-35.8 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points. Georgia is 7-1 against the money line (+6.4 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards over the last 3 seasons. Georgia is 12-1 against the money line (+11.4 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Georgia is 42-14 against the money line (+22.0 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. Georgia is 22-4 against the money line (+23.5 Units) in road games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. ATS Matches Alabama is 13-40 ATS (-31.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Alabama is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points. Georgia is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Georgia is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when they gain 350 to 400 total yards. Georgia is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. DataBase Query Play on neutral field underdogs (GEORGIA). That are excellent rushing teams averaging 225 or more rushing yards per game. And after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games. 23-3 ATS since 1992 good for 88.5% and $1,970 per $100 wagered. Since 2014, it has gone 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS with an average ATS margin of 16.8 points.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to a solid and consistent 46-24 ATS 65.7% record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play. |
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01-01-18 | Georgia -2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 54-48 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Georgia (271) The Matchup: GEORGIA (12 - 1) vs. OKLAHOMA (12 - 1) Start Time: Week 16 Monday, 1/1/2018 5:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Georgia using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GEORGIA). Is an excellent offensive team scoring 34 or more PPG. And is now facing an average defensive team allowing between 21 to 28 PPG. And after a win by 21 or more points. 84-41 since 1992 for 67.2% and has made $3,890 per $100 wager. SIM Matching Game Situations Georgia is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Georgia is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Georgia is 27-8 ATS (+18.2 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points. Georgia is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they gain 450 to 500 total yards. Oklahoma is just 20-77 ATS (-64.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Oklahoma is 4-30 ATS (-29.0 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 points. Oklahoma is just 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards. Oklahoma is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. Oklahoma is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) when they allow 450 to 500 total yards. Oklahoma is 2-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-22 ATS record good for 68% winners in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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01-01-18 | Central Florida v. Auburn -9.5 | Top | 34-27 | Loss | -118 | 52 h 0 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Auburn (268) 10 star Bowl Game of the Year The Matchup: UCF (12 - 0) vs. AUBURN (10 - 3) Start Time: Week 16 Monday, 1/1/2018 12:30 PM SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.
Game Intelligence Analytics Extremely high probability that Auburn will score 28 or ore points and this simple fact leads to many more conclusions that Auburn will win this game by at least 20 points. Auburn has played a vastly more difficult schedule than UCF ad has one of the top defenses in the nation - if not the best based on SOS- that will cause massive problems for UCF. Auburn defeated TWO number-1 ranked teams this season and held both to season lows in offensive output. On November 11, the Tigers held Georgia to just 46 rushing yards on 32 attempts. Then on November 25, they held Alabama passing attack to just 103 yards on 13-23 passing.
Auburn ranks 9th in scoring defense allowing just 17.9 PPG. Auburn had the toughest schedule in the nation, followed by Oklahoma, Ohio State, Clemson, Penn State, Alabama, and Georgia. UCF ranked 54th in the nation.
Auburn ranks 26th averaging 449.3 YPG while UCF ranks 92nd allowing 435.5 YPG. Auburn will pound the ball between the tackles and wear down the UCF DL before the end of the half and we fully expect a big lead at the half that will then continue throughout the second half. SIM Matching Game Situations UCF is just 28-64 ATS (-42.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. UCF is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards per attempt. Auburn is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they gain 9 to 9.5 net passing yards per attempt. Auburn is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Auburn is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when they rush for 250 to 300 yards. Auburn is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.. Auburn is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. Auburn is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when they are outgain their opponents by 100 to 150 yards. UCF is just 6-21 ATS when opponent scores 35 or more points over the past 10 seasons. UCF is 0-5 ATS when playing a team ranked in the Top-25 since 2014. Aub is 28-0 SU and 20-6 ATS when out gaining opponent by more than 200 yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-30-17 | Iowa State +4 v. Memphis | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Iowa State (259) The Matchup: IOWA ST (7 - 5) at MEMPHIS (10 - 2) Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/30/2017 12:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Iowa State using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 180 to 200. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season. Despite the easier schedule, memphis ranks 101st in scoring defense allowing 33.6 PPG, 121st allowing 484 YPG, and 111th allowing opponents a 45% third-down conversion rate. Memphis is best in scoring offense at 48 PPG, but ISU ranks 24th in scoring defense allowing 20.7 PPG, and 27th allowing just 3.6 YPR.
Game Intelligence Analytics This is a home game for Memphis, but Iowa State has played a vastly more difficult schedule this season and that alone offsets the home field advantage. ISU is the ONLY team that defeated Oklahoma and TCU this season. SIM Matching Game Situations ISU is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when they gain 300 to 350 net passing yards. ISU is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. ISU is 38-11 ATS (+25.9 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points. ISU is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. ISU is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. Memphis is just 33-98 ATS (-74.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Memphis is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. Memphis is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) after scoring 42 points or more last game. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-29-17 | USC +9.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: USC (255) The Matchup: USC (11 - 2) vs. OHIO ST (11 - 2) Start Time: Week 16 Friday, 12/29/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Southern Cal using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 545 to 560 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics This game pivots around the number 28 and that is 28 points being scored for USC. They Trojans are a solid 166-77-4 ATS when scoring 28 or more points since 1980. Further, when they score 31 or more points and gain 175 or more rushing yards they are 50-3 SU. Ohio State is 3-10 SU and 4-8 ATS when playing against a ranked team in the top-10 and not scoring 28 or more points. They are 3-8 ATS when playing against an opponent ranked in the top-10 and scores 28 or more points against them. SIM Matching Game Situations USC is a solid 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. USC is 7-1 against the money line (+7.7 Units) when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. USC is 25-12 against the money line (+14.7 Units) in road games when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-28-17 | Michigan State v. Washington State +3 | Top | 42-17 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington State (278) The Matchup: MICHIGAN ST (9 - 3) vs. WASHINGTON ST (9 - 3) Start Time: Week 16 Thursday, 12/28/2017 9:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Washington State using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics WSU is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. Further, WSU is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
SIM Matching Game Situations MSU is just 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards. MSU is 4-22 ATS (-20.2 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 100-150 yards. WSU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. WSU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. WSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 100-150 yards over the last 3 seasons. WSU is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-28-17 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 21-30 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Virginia Tech (243) The Matchup: VIRGINIA TECH (9 - 3) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (9 - 3) Start Time: Week 16 Thursday, 12/28/2017 5:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Virginia Tech using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics The line opened at Ok State installed as a 6 ½ point favorite at the majority of the 50 books we look at for any given game. The line has drifted to minus-6 at most places. Despite the public betting on Ok State with more than 77% of the placed bets, the line has not changed or as mentioned drifted a half-point lower. This is because Va-Tech is getting 54% of the total money bet indicating that the ‘smart’ money or large bettors are on Va Tech. This analytic serves to support the SIM grading on Tech.
This is a matchup of one of the best offenses in the nation in the Cowboys going against one of the best defenses in the nation with the Hokies. The Cowboys rank 3rd scoring 46.2 PPG and Tech ranks 5th allowing 14.7 PPG. The single best way to contain an explosive offense is by playing great defense and then having an offense that can grind out long time consuming drives. This keeps the defense fresh and the opponents offense off the field and preventing them from having scoring opportunities. Tech ranks 12th in time of possession while Ok State ranks 96th.
Ok State is just 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when facing a dominant ball control team averaging 32 or more minutes TOP and 21 or more FD's per game. Moreover, Tech head coach Fuente is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in all games he has coached. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-27-17 | Missouri v. Texas +3 | Top | 16-33 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Texas (240) The Matchup: MISSOURI (7 - 5) vs. TEXAS (6 - 6) Start Time: Week 16 Wednesday, 12/27/2017 9:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. I do provide half-time and LIVE game betting from my Twitter feed which is @JohnRyanSports1.
Game Intelligence Analytics The dominant key to this game and winning the money is on Texas scoring 28 or more points in this matchup against former Big-12 member Missouri. Texas also has the much better defense that will force Missouri to throw the ball even more than they normally do. Texas is 49-18-1 ATS for 72.1% winners when holding an opponent to fewer than 175 rushing yards and scoring 28 or more points. Texas will control the clock and is projected to run at least 20 or more plays from scrimmage. When that projection is added, Texas has been 10-1 ATS since 2006 and a perfect 2-0 ATS in 2017. SIM Matching Game Situations Missouri is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Texas is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. Texas is 132-62 ATS (+63.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to a solid 42-24 ATS record in 2017. Plus, the Bowl Games are off to a 5-1 ATS start and have hit 64% ATS over the past three seasons. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-26-17 | Kansas State v. UCLA +7 | Top | 35-17 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UCLA (234) The Matchup: KANSAS ST (7 - 5) vs. UCLA (6 - 6) Start Time: Week 16 Tuesday, 12/26/2017 9:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on UCLA using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 210 to 235 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCLA). That are off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’. And with a horrible scoring defense allowing 35 or more points-per-game. This DB query has produced a 75-42 ATS record good for a solid 64% winners and has made $2,880 per $100 wager since 2007. Now, media talking heads are bring your attention to the fact that K-State is off two impressive wins against Oklahoma State and Iowa State and are coached by a legend in Bill Snyder. However, the following data set query shows you otherwise with these teams.
Play against neutral field favorites using the money line (KANSAS ST). After having won 2 out of their last 3 games. in non-conference games. 39-29 over the past 10 seasons for 57.4% winners and profits of $4,530 per $100 wager placed. SIM Matching Game Situations UCLA is 16-5 against the money line (+10.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards. UCLA is 32-6 against the money line (+25.8 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 41-22 ATS record in 2017. Plus, a 4-0 ATS start to the College Bowls. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-26-17 | Utah -7 v. West Virginia | Top | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Utah (229) The Matchup: UTAH (6 - 6) vs. W VIRGINIA (7 - 5) Start Time: Dec. 26, 1:30 p.m., ESPN, Cotton Bowl, Dallas SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics The biggest matchup advantage for Utah is that they have the superior defense. Utah has one of the best DL in the nation led by Lotulelei and Mokofisi. We expect that the Utah DL will control the LOS and the WVU ground attack. Moreover, WVU QB Will Grier has an injured finger on the throwing hand and may not even take a snap in this bowl game. Utah ranks 37th in the nation allowing 364 yards per game while WVU ranks a dismal 114th allowing 466 yards per game. WVU pass attack is quite good and ranks 11th in the nation averaging 329 yards per game. Here gain, we believe that the Utah DL will dominate as they rank 17th allowing 6.3 yards per pass and 49th allowing 216 passing yards.
So, here is a query from our vast database that has produced a 26-4 ATS result good for 87% winners since 2013. Play against any team (W VIRGINIA). That is a good rushing team gaining between 4.3 to 4.8 YPR. And is now facing an average rushing team gaining between 3.5 to 4.3 YPR. And after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games.
We added the filter to show just bowl and playoff games going back to the 2000 season and it returned a 1-5 ATS record. SIM Matching Game Situations Utah is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Utah is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games when they rush for 150 to 200 yards. Utah is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. WVU is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. WVU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. WVU is 6-28 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. Take Utah!
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12-23-17 | Appalachian State +7 v. Toledo | Top | 34-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Appalachian State (225) Bowl Game: Dollar General Bowl - Ladd Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama The Matchup: APPALACHIAN ST (8 - 4) vs. TOLEDO (11 - 2) Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/23/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Appalachian State using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 200 to 220 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics This database query has produced a 64-26 ATS record good for 71% winners and has made $3,540 wagering $100 per play since 2013. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TOLEDO). After a win by 17 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.
Now, if we add in the fact that the SIM projects that App State will score 28 or more points, the results are an astounding 6-42 ATS and 21-28 SU. So, that is playing against Toledo. SIM Matching Game Situations Appalachian State is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points. Toledo is 31-77 ATS (-53.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-20 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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