01-28-24 |
Lions v. 49ers -7 |
Top |
31-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
01-21-24 |
Chiefs +3 v. Bills |
Top |
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
Chiefs +3 -120 5.5% NFL POD
|
01-14-24 |
Packers +7 v. Cowboys |
Top |
48-32 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
Packers +7.5 -115 3.5% play
|
01-07-24 |
Bears v. Packers -2.5 |
Top |
9-17 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
Packers -2.5 -123 5.5% NFL POD
|
12-24-23 |
Colts +3 v. Falcons |
Top |
10-29 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 5 m |
Show
|
Colts +3 -115 4.5% NFL POD
|
12-03-23 |
Lions v. Saints +4.5 |
Top |
33-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
11-26-23 |
Browns v. Broncos -1 |
Top |
12-29 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
Broncos -1 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
11-19-23 |
Chargers v. Packers +3.5 |
Top |
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
Packers +3.5 5.5% NFL POD
|
11-12-23 |
Jets v. Raiders |
Top |
12-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
50 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
11-05-23 |
Cowboys +3 v. Eagles |
Top |
23-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
cowboys+3.5 -120 5.5% max nfl pod
|
10-29-23 |
Texans v. Panthers +3.5 |
Top |
13-15 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
10-08-23 |
Cowboys +3.5 v. 49ers |
Top |
10-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
|
Cowboys +3.5 5.5% NFL POD
|
09-24-23 |
Broncos +6 v. Dolphins |
Top |
20-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
09-17-23 |
Dolphins v. Patriots +3 |
Top |
24-17 |
Loss |
-123 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
PATRIOTS +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
02-12-23 |
Chiefs +2.5 v. Eagles |
Top |
38-35 |
Win
|
100 |
323 h 36 m |
Show
|
Chiefs +3 -125 buy 1/2 point
|
01-29-23 |
Bengals v. Chiefs |
Top |
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
01-22-23 |
Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 46.5 |
Top |
12-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 2 m |
Show
|
Cowboys / 49ers Over 46 5.5% NFL POD
|
01-15-23 |
Giants +3 v. Vikings |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 38 m |
Show
|
Giants +3 -115 5.5% NFL POD
|
01-01-23 |
Panthers v. Bucs -3 |
Top |
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 12 m |
Show
|
Bucs -3 -125 5.5% NFL POD
|
12-24-22 |
Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 47 |
Top |
34-40 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
Eagles / Cowboys Over 47 5.5% NFL POD
|
12-18-22 |
Lions v. Jets -1 |
Top |
20-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
55 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
12-04-22 |
Steelers v. Falcons |
Top |
19-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
11-24-22 |
Patriots +2.5 v. Vikings |
Top |
26-33 |
Loss |
-105 |
29 h 16 m |
Show
|
Patriots +3 -120 buy 1/2 5.5% MAX NFL POD Short week definitely is an edge for the more experienced head coach, and Bill Bellechick already admitted that he was preparing for the Vikings during the bye before the Jets game, which I guess makes sense since he's very much familiar with my Jets. Vikings have some injury issues as they lose their LT to another concussion, the secondary is banged up and could be exposed here against the Patriots who rank #4 in explosive passing offense. Patriots have a big edge in special teams and have a top 5 pass defense. Vikings vs. top 10 pass defenses this season are 1-2 losing to Cowboys and Eagles, but their one win was against the Bills who they should have lost to last week. Kirk Cousins typically also struggles when he's out of his routine, and this is playing at night + on Thanksgiving.
|
11-20-22 |
Eagles v. Colts +7 |
Top |
17-16 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
11-06-22 |
Seahawks v. Cardinals -1.5 |
Top |
31-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
Cardinals -1.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
10-30-22 |
Giants v. Seahawks -3 |
Top |
13-27 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
10-23-22 |
Browns +7 v. Ravens |
Top |
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
10-16-22 |
Vikings v. Dolphins +3 |
Top |
24-16 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
10-09-22 |
Chargers v. Browns +2 |
Top |
30-28 |
Push |
0 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
Browns +1.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
10-02-22 |
Browns v. Falcons OVER 47.5 |
Top |
20-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
Browns/Falcons Over 47.5 5.5% MAX POD
|
09-25-22 |
Packers +1 v. Bucs |
Top |
14-12 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 56 m |
Show
|
Packers +1 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
09-18-22 |
Panthers +2.5 v. Giants |
Top |
16-19 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
Panthers +2.5 5.5% NFL POD
|
09-11-22 |
Saints v. Falcons +5.5 |
Top |
27-26 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 15 m |
Show
|
Falcons +5.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
01-30-22 |
49ers +3.5 v. Rams |
Top |
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
01-23-22 |
Rams v. Bucs -2.5 |
Top |
30-27 |
Loss |
-112 |
31 h 43 m |
Show
|
Tampa Bucs -2.5 -114 5.5% NFL POD Just who have the Rams beaten of late that is impressive? They played very poorly down the stretch and were fortunate and went 3-5 vs. playoff teams this year with 2 wins coming against a Cardinal team that was obviously having issues down the stretch. They also beat Tampa in LA, but Tampa out gained them, and had a monster game on deck as Brady was set to return to New England. Stafford played out of his mind on third down in that game, and I don’t know that I see him playing perfectly again. If he does we tip our hat, and take the loss. I think Tampa has some value here, because there is still this idea that the offense is going to struggle without Brown, and Godwin, but there are plenty of weapons left in Tampa. Rumors Lenoard Fournette will return, and it looks like both Wirfs/Jensen will play in this game along the offensive line. Brady at home won’t be phased by the Rams, while Stafford just won his first playoff game in his career. Stafford had issues with turnovers all year and they go against a Bucs team that ranked 7th in TO/drive while the Rams were 20th in offensive TO’s/drive. If there is going to be a turnover that impacts this game it’s going to be on the Rams side.
|
01-16-22 |
49ers +3 v. Cowboys |
Top |
23-17 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
49ers +3.5 -115 5.5% NFL POD E Right now you can get +102 for +3 on the 49ers, if you wait long enough I suspect a +3.5 may pop at your book. That's what I'm doing here, but righ tnow you can buy the half and grab the -115. First of all the 49ers come from the much tougher division with 3 of the 4 teams in the playoffs, and the worst team being Seattle. Each NFC West team played the AFC East 1x, all games were on the road, and the NFC West went 3-1 SU & ATS with margin of cover of 10.67 points. Both teams had some key injuries throughout the year that impacted their teams so I’m not going to harp on the Cowboys injuries or the 49ers as they both had to go through adversity to get here. Both teams went 4-4 vs. team’s with a +0.1 or more ypp differential, but it’s worth noting that all 4 of the 49ers losses came against top 10 run defenses in that cycle, and the Cowboys rank 20th in epa run defense, 16th in rushing defense dvoa. 49ers and Kyle Shanahan are built off their zone running scheme that operates on misdirection, speed, and RB with great natural ability to hit the correct hole. This is a bad match up against an aggressive defense with speed like the Cowboys. I think the Cowboys could have some stops for loss, but overall the 49ers are going to be able to move the ball here. The 49ers vs. bad run defenses (outside of the top 15) went 7-1 averaged 29.6 ppg, with a margin of victory of 12.42 points, and their only loss was by 2 against the top seeded Cowboys. Much can be said about the 49ers pass defense as well that ranks 23rd in epa, and 16th in dvoa. Cowboys when facing a bad pass defense went 8-2 this year, they averaged 36.8 ppg, with a margin of victory of 22.8 ppg, but in that sample is the horrible NFC East opponents including covid issues, and an Eagles team that rested all their players the last week of the season when the Cowboys put up 50+ points. I think the Cowboys will get some points here for sure, but that’s also why I played 49ers over. It’s also worth noting that 49ers pass defense has had issues, but their strength of opponent passing teams is very tough. On average they faced 15th ranked passing offense when we blend passing dvoa and epa. Compare that with the weakness of the Cowboys defense which faced an average run offense ranking 17.54.
|
01-09-22 |
49ers +3.5 v. Rams |
Top |
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-22 |
Chiefs v. Bengals +4 |
Top |
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
12-26-21 |
Rams v. Vikings +3.5 |
Top |
30-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 58 m |
Show
|
Vikings +3.5 4.5% / Vikings +155 1%
|
12-19-21 |
Titans v. Steelers -121 |
Top |
13-19 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
12-12-21 |
49ers v. Bengals +115 |
Top |
26-23 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
Bengals +115 5.5% MAX POD
|
12-05-21 |
Chargers +3 v. Bengals |
Top |
41-22 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
Chargers +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
11-28-21 |
Rams -1 v. Packers |
Top |
28-36 |
Loss |
-114 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
11-21-21 |
Saints +3 v. Eagles |
Top |
29-40 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
Saints +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
11-14-21 |
Saints +3 v. Titans |
Top |
21-23 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 7 m |
Show
|
Saints +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
11-07-21 |
Cardinals v. 49ers |
Top |
31-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
44 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
10-31-21 |
Bucs v. Saints +4.5 |
Top |
27-36 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
Saints +4.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
10-24-21 |
Colts +4 v. 49ers |
Top |
30-18 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
10-17-21 |
Raiders +4 v. Broncos |
Top |
34-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
10-10-21 |
49ers +5.5 v. Cardinals |
Top |
10-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
49ERS +6 BUY 1/2 5.5% NFL POD
|
10-03-21 |
Steelers +6 v. Packers |
Top |
17-27 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
09-26-21 |
Washington Football Team +7.5 v. Bills |
Top |
21-43 |
Loss |
-114 |
29 h 13 m |
Show
|
Washington +7.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
09-19-21 |
Vikings +3.5 v. Cardinals |
Top |
33-34 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
Vikings +3.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
09-12-21 |
Cardinals +3 v. Titans |
Top |
38-13 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
01-17-21 |
Bucs v. Saints -3 |
Top |
30-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
01-16-21 |
Ravens v. Bills -2.5 |
Top |
3-17 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
01-09-21 |
Colts +6.5 v. Bills |
Top |
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 58 m |
Show
|
COLTS +7 -120 BUY 1/2 5.5%
|
01-03-21 |
Cardinals v. Rams +121 |
Top |
7-18 |
Win
|
121 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
rams +121 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
12-27-20 |
Rams +1.5 v. Seahawks |
Top |
9-20 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
12-20-20 |
Eagles +7 v. Cardinals |
Top |
26-33 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
12-13-20 |
Chiefs v. Dolphins +7 |
Top |
33-27 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
Dolphins +7.5 5.5% NFL POD
|
12-06-20 |
Browns +5 v. Titans |
Top |
41-35 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
11-29-20 |
Chiefs v. Bucs +3.5 |
Top |
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-20 |
Seahawks v. Rams -130 |
Top |
16-23 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
RAMS -130 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
11-01-20 |
Vikings +7 v. Packers |
Top |
28-22 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
10-18-20 |
Texans +4 v. Titans |
Top |
36-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
10-11-20 |
Colts +1 v. Browns |
Top |
23-32 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
10-04-20 |
Colts -155 v. Bears |
Top |
19-11 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
09-27-20 |
Rams v. Bills -117 |
Top |
32-35 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
09-20-20 |
Vikings v. Colts -3 |
Top |
11-28 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
09-13-20 |
Seahawks v. Falcons +1.5 |
Top |
38-25 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
Falcons +1.5 4.4% NFL POD
|
01-19-20 |
Packers v. 49ers UNDER 47 |
Top |
20-37 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
12-29-19 |
Eagles v. Giants +4 |
Top |
34-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
12-22-19 |
Steelers v. Jets +3.5 |
Top |
10-16 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
12-15-19 |
Browns v. Cardinals +3 |
Top |
24-38 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 1 m |
Show
|
Cardinals +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
12-08-19 |
49ers v. Saints -2 |
Top |
48-46 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
Saints -2 5.5% MAX NFL POD
|
12-01-19 |
Browns v. Steelers +2.5 |
Top |
13-20 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
11-24-19 |
Seahawks v. Eagles -109 |
Top |
17-9 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
11-17-19 |
Jaguars v. Colts -135 |
Top |
13-33 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
11-10-19 |
Chiefs v. Titans +6 |
Top |
32-35 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
11-03-19 |
Patriots v. Ravens +3.5 |
Top |
20-37 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 5 m |
Show
|
Ravens +3 +100 5.5% NFL POD
|
10-27-19 |
Packers v. Chiefs +5.5 |
Top |
31-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-19 |
Texans v. Colts -1 |
Top |
23-30 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-19 |
Falcons v. Cardinals +2.5 |
Top |
33-34 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-19 |
Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 |
Top |
26-23 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
09-29-19 |
Chiefs v. Lions +7.5 |
Top |
34-30 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
09-22-19 |
Saints +4.5 v. Seahawks |
Top |
33-27 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
09-15-19 |
Chargers v. Lions +2 |
Top |
10-13 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
09-08-19 |
Rams v. Panthers +2 |
Top |
30-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
02-03-19 |
Patriots -132 v. Rams |
Top |
13-3 |
Win
|
100 |
268 h 28 m |
Show
|
Patriots -132 5.5% NFL POD
|
02-03-19 |
Patriots v. Rams UNDER 56.5 |
Top |
13-3 |
Win
|
100 |
151 h 28 m |
Show
|
Patriots/Rams Under 56.5 5.5% POD
|
01-20-19 |
Rams v. Saints -3 |
Top |
26-23 |
Loss |
-116 |
47 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
01-13-19 |
Chargers v. Patriots -4 |
Top |
28-41 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
01-12-19 |
Cowboys +7 v. Rams |
Top |
22-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
01-06-19 |
Chargers +3 v. Ravens |
Top |
23-17 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
01-05-19 |
Seahawks v. Cowboys -125 |
Top |
22-24 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 57 m |
Show
|
Cowboys -125 5.5% NFL POD
|
12-23-18 |
Packers -2.5 v. Jets |
Top |
44-38 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
Packers -2.5 -115 5.5% NFL POD
|
12-16-18 |
Seahawks v. 49ers +3.5 |
Top |
23-26 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
12-09-18 |
Colts +4.5 v. Texans |
Top |
24-21 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
12-02-18 |
Chargers v. Steelers -3 |
Top |
33-30 |
Loss |
-107 |
22 h 20 m |
Show
|
|