| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11-25 | Kentucky +5.5 v. Louisville | 88-96 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
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Kentucky Wildcats. Game 543. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Kentucky has dominated Louisville, taking three in a row, and eight of the last 10 overall meeting straight up, while covering eight of those 10 matchups, as well. Yes they've dominated them, folks. They also enter this matchup ranked ninth in the nation, while the home team here ranks 12th, and yet the Cardinals are favored. That cannot sit well with the Wildcats. While I think this is going to be a very competitive matchup, I really do feel it will be a lot closer than this pointspread. Both teams have easy nonconference opponents up next before taking on some solid opposition. I do feel both will come out here and play hard, but giving Kentucky points, especially when they've dominated this rivalry, I feel as a gift. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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| 11-10-25 | Bucks -125 v. Mavs | 116-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
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Milwaukee Bucks. Fast Break play. Game 525. 5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST. This season is still very young, my friends, but I think we can already see the Milwaukee Bucks and Dallas Mavericks starting in different directions. Milwaukee is 6-4 overall, and also 6-4 ATS this season. Dallas is 3-7 SU, and just 4-6 ATS. There is no love lost between these two teams. But to say the Bucks have had their way with the Mavericks would be an understatement, as they have taken six in a row in this rivalry, both SU and ATS. They do enter this matchup off of a loss last night at home at the hands of the Houston Rockets, 122-115. Playing back-to-back is not easy. However, tonight's matchup is a special one. Put a pin in that will come back around to it. For the home team, they come off their first win following a four-game straight up slide, in which they went 1-3 against the number. I expect them to be in a letdown situation. I mean they did win a road game two nights ago, but it was against the 1-9 Wizards. So that negates all of that (lol). This is the first opportunity for the NBA's leading scorer, Giannis Antetokounmpo to go up against the number one pick, Cooper Flagg. One thing Giannis doesn't like to do is share the spotlight. While, I think Flagg has a very bright future, his team is just not where they should be to give him the support, and he does not have the pro basketball experience to compete against the “Greek Freak”. Take Milwaukee. Thank you. |
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| 11-08-25 | San Francisco v. Memphis -130 | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
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Memphis Tigers. VI MOVE. Game 622. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. The San Francisco Dons are a good team. They opened up this season with a 45-point blowout win over UC Santa Cruz. I think we can all agree that today’s opponent is a big step up in class (lol). The Dons opened up last year's campaign playing some good basketball. They even surprised the Broncos of Boise State in their second game of the regular season. However, their first loss was against Memphis on a neutral court, 68-64, as a small favorite. It seems that when they were really asked to step up in class outside of their conference, they fell a little short. Speaking of the Tigers, this will be their first outing of the 2025/2026 season. This is a team that came very close a season ago, my friends. They began last year's regular season red-hot, rattling off six consecutive wins and covers against some very good opponents; Missouri Tigers, UNLV Rebels, Connecticut Huskies, Michigan State Spartans, and yes, even the San Francisco Dons. This is a team that fell short last year towards the end of March, and wants to start this season off with a bang. While they do face strong competition in the AAC, I do believe this is a much more physical conference, and this will benefit the team. They do have the confidence of knowing they took last year's matchup with San Francisco. I feel Memphis will come out here with something to prove and prove it. This is a team that finished last year's regular season and going into the postseason, winning eight consecutive contests against some stiff competition. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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| 11-08-25 | Lafayette v. Texas -23 | 60-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
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Texas Longhorns. SURE SHOT play. Game 306566. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. The Lafayette Leopards have already played two games thus far this early in the regular season. They opened up the campaign on the road covering a 13.5-point spread as an underdog, losing to Saint Joe's, 85-76. Then two days later, devoured Dickinson College, by 35-points. I think we can all agree this is a big step up in class today for the team. Having said that, Texas began this season getting blown out by Duke back on November 4, 75-60. If you recall they finished last season with back-to-back losses and no covers, losing by 11 to Tennessee, and then by six to Xavier. It’s time for them to get some self-esteem, folks. This team is starting this year's campaign just outside the top 25 rankings. They have something desperately to prove. If you recall last season, they opened up with an ugly eight-point loss on a neutral court as a 1.5-point favorite against the Ohio State Buckeyes. They then rattled off seven consecutive victories over some solid competition, and covered some big numbers against some nonconference lesser opposition. Does this sound familiar, my friends? They beat Houston Christian by 31, Chicago State by 47, Mississippi Valley State by 46, Delaware State by 22, Arkansas Pine Bluff by 44, New Orleans by 26, and Northwestern State by 24. They don't have a serious opponent until the 24th when they face Arizona State. Between now and then they have Lafayette, FDU, UMKC, and Rider. So, I don't think they're going to be caught in a look ahead situation, or sandwiched between anyone, because they have four easy opponents over the next several weeks, and they really do want to prove something being not ranked in the top 25 in the preseason polls. Lay the wood with the Longhorns. Thank you. |
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| 11-07-25 | Rice v. Oregon -15 | Top | 63-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
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Oregon Ducks. BEST BET play. Game 740. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Starting this season off just outside the top-25 bubble, cannot sit well with the Oregon Ducks. This is a very talented basketball team. They opened up this campaign, beating Hawaii at home, 60-59. My friends, they were a 12-point favorite in that game. 21 turnovers, and shooting an atrocious 2-of-16 from downtown, in their season opener, the Ducks must, I repeat, they must come out here and play superb basketball. Rice is coming off a 71-point home win over the College of Biblical Studies on Tuesday in their season-opener. They were just 13-19 last season, and trust me when I tell you, are in for a rude awakening here tonight. This is a team that closed last season going 2-15 straight up. They really didn't even go up against any solid superior opposition a seasonal ago outside of perhaps maybe a November 9 matchup with Florida State on a neutral court in which they did cover the 10-point spread, 73-65. The Ducks have a game in five days against the Jackrabbits of South Dakota State before a November 17 matchup against their in-state rival, the Beavers of Oregon State. After that they start facing some very tough opponents. This is their last opportunity to really get in rhythm, and bounce back from that horrible first game performance. A season ago, they began the campaign winning their first nine contests, and 12 of their first 13 games, and they are not afraid to run up scores against lesser opposition. As I mentioned earlier, they must improve on their statistics from their last game. This game gets ugly. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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| 11-07-25 | Kansas v. North Carolina -125 | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
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North Carolina Tar Heels on the ML. KU/UNC WINNER. Game 714. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, I'm going to keep this analysis just like me, very short, and extremely sweet (lol). Without question, these are two of the most successful college basketball teams in the history of the NCAA. Number 19, Kansas travels to Chapel Hill, to face number 25 North Carolina. I doubt it's a surprise to anyone that both teams are ranked in the preseason AP top 25 poll. It seems like it's been that way for decades. Yes, the Jayhawks received its lowest preseason ranking in almost 20 years. The same can be said for the Tar Heels. The two most recent matchups, in 2022 in 2024 both were won by Kansas, but both were covered by North Carolina. Their most recent matchup a season ago on November 8, saw the Jayhawks at home, squeak out a three-point victory, 92-89. I feel that you're going to see a revenge factor motivating the home team in this matchup. Speaking of which, we can be quite honest, Kansas loses a little luster when they travel, failing to cover five of their last eight regular season games played a season ago on the road. Playing in Chapel Hill is no small task for any road team, that's for sure. North Carolina and their loyal fan base, which in my opinion is the sixth man for them, have covered four of their last five games played on their own court. One more item, my friends, with all respect to the Jayhawks, they are a very good team and very well-coached, but the Tar Heels frontcourt might be one of the best in the nation. I feel they will have an edge down low in the paint, and on the glass here giving themselves second-chance opportunities on offense, and taking away second-chance opportunities on defense. This game will come down to the final possession or two. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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| 11-07-25 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Ohio State -23.5 | 68-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
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Ohio State Buckeyes. No Limit Play. Game 684. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Purdue Fort Wayne opened up their 2025/2026 regular season on the road at Grand Canyon and took a beating, 90-71. As a matter of fact, going back to the first week of week of February, this team has only sported one straight up victory and one ATS victory. They have lost and failed to cover their last five games played on the road, and now must face an Ohio State opponent, looking to prove something as they start this season just outside the top 25 bubble. A season ago, the Buckeyes beat up all their lower-tear opponents at the start of the campaign, winning and covering a 19-pointspread over Youngstown State, 24.5 pointspread over Evansville, a 25-pointspread over Campbell, and also a 25-pointspread over Green Bay. They don't have a tough matchup until the 16th when they face the Irish of Notre Dame. So, this is one of their final opportunities to get in sync, and impress the pollsters. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you. |
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| 11-06-25 | Robert Morris v. Drake -7.5 | 81-79 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
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Drake Bulldogs. Game 660. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Drake opened up their regular season with a narrow, six-point victory over Northern Arizona as an eight-point favorite. If you recall this team was a force to be reckoned with a season ago, losing on March 22 to Texas Tech after four straight postseason victories. As a matter of fact, that was only their second loss since the first week of the New Year. They began last season's campaign rattling off 12 consecutive victories. They enjoy beating down lesser opponents. While Robert Moris also was a good team a season ago. They may not recover from the 32-point blowout beating they took at the hands of Iowa just two days ago. I just don't see this team competing with the superior level of talent they're facing once again here tonight. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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| 11-06-25 | Campbell v. West Virginia -15 | 65-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
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West Virginia Mountaineers. Game 658. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. How about an early regular season matchup between Campbell and West Virginia? Wow, what can you say. You've got a pair of first-year head coaches here, both looking to make a name for themselves. John Andrzejek and Ross Hodge are running the show. You may remember the Campbell head coach as he served as an assistant on Florida 2025 National Championship team. The Fighting Camels lost their season opener on the road at Wisconsin, 96-64. Going back to last season that was their sixth consecutive loss and no cover, my friends. Meanwhile West Virginia took down Mount St. Mary's at home, 70-54, but failed to cover. They were also outrebounded in that contest. I expect the Mountaineers to come out with something to prove here against a lesser opponent, flex their muscles, and give the team and their fans something to get excited about. West Virginia takes no prisoners here tonight. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you. |
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| 11-06-25 | Le Moyne v. Xavier -24.5 | 69-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
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Xavier Musketeers. Game 306646. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Well folks, the first game of Richard Pitino's start at Xavier was nothing to write home about. The Musketeers had their hands full the other night against Marist. They squandered a 20-point second half lead only to win by the slim margin of four-points. This is a team that enjoys beating up on early season nonconference opponents. They started last year's campaign off at 6-0 with victories over such notables as Wake Forest and South Carolina. Playing a team like Le Moyne, before they have to play at home against Santa Clara and then on the road against Iowa, tells me this team must get their ducks in a row. The Dolphins opened up their campaign with a lopsided 94-50 victory over SUNY Cobleskill. My friends, I'm from New York, and I know college basketball, and I had to think back to recall that team (LOL). Prior to that closing last season out, they lost five in a row, and only covered two of their last 10 contests. And let's face it, they don't face the toughest opposition. I feel the Musketeers must come out here getting in sync before their schedule toughens, and give themselves some confidence. Take Xavier. Thank you. |
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| 11-05-25 | Thunder -4 v. Blazers | Top | 119-121 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
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OKC Thunder. OM play. Game 529. 7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST. My friends, I've been doing this for a very long time, and I don't understand why the line is so short in this matchup. The Thunder have dominated the Blazers, taking 16 consecutive games in this series straight up. They have swept the four-game season series from Portland each of the past four campaigns. I mean they really crush this team. The Thunder are the only remaining on beaten team in the NBA, and trust me when I tell you, they want to stay that way. As we all know, going back to last season they have now prevailed in nine consecutive games. Entering tonight's matchup they have gotten us paid, covering their last three outings, all as favorites of 15.5, 13.0, and 8.5-points. This is a team as a perfect 4-0 on the road this season. Meanwhile Portland comes off their first loss following a three-game straight up win streak, but are just 2-2 straight up at home this season. I don't see any reason why this matchup will not see history repeating itself. Portland possesses a solid offense and a solid offensive rebounding core. However, their defense is getting steamrolled. They have to face a team with one of the nastiest, and most frustrating defenses in the NBA, ranking second in points allowed. They will get frustrated here tonight on the offensive side of the court. Meanwhile, OKC also possess the fifth-ranked scoring offense in basketball. They're the best free-throw shooting team in the league as well, and rank in the top-10 on the offensive glass, which tells me they're going to get a lot of second shift opportunities. This line is short. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you. |
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| 11-05-25 | Rockets -7.5 v. Grizzlies | 124-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
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Houston Rockets. Fast Break play. Game 523. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The Houston Rockets are starting to find their rhythm, winning four in a row straight up, and covering three of those four outings. This does include wins and covers in both away games during that span. Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies are struggling. We all know about the headlines their star player, Ja Morant is making. Well, the other night after their home loss at the hands of the Detroit Pistons, 114-106, which was their third consecutive loss, and their fifth consecutive no cover, he certainly seemed to be out of sorts. He's not happy, which means you're going to see his performance dip a bit. And obviously, being that he is the face of the team, the rest of the team is going to feel the effects of that. Houston has dominated Memphis, taking six of the last eight overall matchups straight up, covering six of those eight meetings as well. However, they did lose the most recent meeting with the Grizzlies, back at the end of January last season, 120-119. One thing the Rockets do like, is revenge. I believe they'll get it here. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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| 11-03-25 | Oakland v. Michigan -23.5 | 78-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
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Michigan Wolverines. CTB PLAY. Game 862. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Going back to 2007, these two teams has faced one another five times with the Wolverines prevailing in all five straight up, and covering four of the five. The most recent matchup back in 2020, saw Michigan eke out an overtime victory by only 10-points, as a 31.5-point favorite. The seventh-ranked Michigan team will begin their campaign off in Ann Arbor in front of their loyal fan base. They have great expectations this season following a Big Ten tournament title and a Sweet 16 appearance last season. Arguably, they possess the best front court in the country with potential NBA lottery pick Lendeborg, Mara, and Johnson. While Oakland has some strong players, they just don't possess the level of talent needed to compete in a matchup like this. A season ago this team started off 4-11 and lost every game they should've lost against superior opposition. It doesn't matter how big of a number, their opponent will win and cover this contest. Please remember the Golden Grizzlies are located in Auburn Hills, Michigan. It's not too far from Ann Arbor, and this is a rivalry. One thing the Wolverines do not like, is to share the spotlight in the state of Michigan. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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| 11-03-25 | Florida -150 v. Arizona | 87-93 | Loss | -150 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
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Florida Gators. Tip Off winner. Game 803. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Both, Florida and Arizona start the campaign ranked in the top-25. The defending champion Gators are a preseason third in the rankings, while the Wildcats are ranked 13th. Having said that, both squads lost some big names from last season's rosters. However, reports are Florida will be just as strong as they were a season ago. The buzz around the water cooler is Arizona has put together one of the top recruiting classes in the country. But the one big concern pertaining to this team is they are very young recruiting class. I feel the Gators enter this matchup with a lot more to prove, and a lot more momentum carried over from last season. Take Florida. Thank you. |
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| 11-03-25 | Colgate v. Michigan State -21.5 | 69-80 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
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Michigan State Spartans. SLAM DUNK play. Game 306516. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Tom Izzo and the Michigan State Spartans enter the season ranked 22nd in the nation. This is a team that won 30 games last season, and the conference title, but did lose in the Elite Eight to the Auburn Tigers. It is true several of their top scorers from a season ago are gone, but reports are this team is as loaded as they've ever been. After four consecutive Patriot League championships, Colgate finish last season without the conference crown. They have some good players returning, but this is a team not near the same level of talent as their opponent here tonight. I mean they started last season off at 3-10 straight up, and fell way short against some teams they should've beaten. The Spartans are known to beat up lesser opponents earlier on in the campaign. Just last season their first two games were against Monmouth and Niagara, they won and covered both as 20 and a 30-point favorites. They usually schedule very beatable foes in the first game of the season to give the team some momentum, some confidence, and their loyal fans something to be excited about. I feel they will come out here with something to prove, and prove it. Take Michigan State. Thank you. |
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| 11-01-25 | Kings v. Bucks -5 | Top | 135-133 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
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Milwaukee Bucks. Game 526. 2:10 PM PST/5:10 PM EST. To say Milwaukee has had their way with Sacramento would be an understatement. The Bucks have taken nine of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry, straight up, covering six of those 10, which does include wins and covers in the two most recent matchups, last January and last March. The Kings enter this contest struggling, losing three in a row, and four of their five overall games this season, which does include a winless mark as a visitor, going 0-3 on the road in 2025. Meanwhile Milwaukee is playing some great basketball, winning four of the five outings thus far in this regular season, which does include all three games played on their own court, and going back to last season they have covered six straight games. Giannis sat out their last game and is listed as questionable here tonight (as of posting this play). Always do your due diligence and check status especially in the NBA. But this team has taken down some solid opposition already with him not on the floor, beating the Warriors a few nights ago at home, 120-110 as a 7.5-point underdog. Sacramento seems to be having trouble finding their rhythm. They're having trouble scoring, ranking 26th, and averaging just 111.0 PPG, and are going up against a very frustrating defense here. That would be enough for me, but Milwaukee is lighting up the scoreboard, accounting for over 121.8 PPG (ranking 6th) and also ranking 3rd overall in field goal percentage, and eighth in three-point percentage. I also see them dominating at both ends of the court on the board. I think the line is short here. Take the Bucks. Thank you. |
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| 10-29-25 | Kings v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
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Chicago Bulls. Fast Break play. Game 560. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. These two teams look to be heading in opposite directions already this early in the regular season. Sacramento is just 1-3 straight up, only covering one of those outings as well, winless on the road at 0-2 SU, and going back a bit, has only covered one of their last six games going back to last season. As a matter of fact, the last three meetings in this rivalry have all been covered by Chicago, who has also taken two of the last three SU. Speaking of the Bulls, they are a perfect 3-0 so far, both SU/ATS, winning and covering both games played at home already. As a matter of fact, this is the first time this season they are made of favorite. They took down Detroit at home before taking it on the road and taking down Orlando, and then their last outing, prevailing over Atlanta. At least six members of the team have scored in double-digits in each game this season. A bit uncanny because it has been their defense that has been absolutely astounding. Offensively, they average over 118.0 PPG, and are solid on the boards. But defensively, they're in the top-10 and just about every major category. This is going to be a big problem for the visitor here as the Kings rank 26th in scoring, accounting for just 110.5 PPG. They rank the middle of the road in field goal percentage, but are one of the worst in the NBA from the free-throw, line hitting just 71.4%. This is another issue for the team as I feel this will be a very physical game. That would be enough for me, my friends. But they're one of the worst in the league on the offensive glass, and not very much better other defensive glass. Overall, their "D" has been decent, but a game like this between two physical teams will be won in the paint and on the boards. Both of those areas they are at a disadvantage. Take the Chicago Bulls. Thank you. |
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| 10-29-25 | Cavs -165 v. Celtics | 105-125 | Loss | -165 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
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*Joe D is 100% in the NBA this season* Today we continue to STAY PERFECT in pro hoops with my BIG GAME WINNER in the CAVS/CELTICS matchup. Cleveland Cavaliers. Game 553. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. Last year's top two Eastern Conference regular season representatives square off tonight in Boston, Massachusetts at the TD Garden. Going back to March 2024, Boston has taken six of the last 10 meetings with Cleveland straight up, however the Cavaliers have covered seven of those 10 matchups. This includes covers over the last three games played at the TD Garden. The Cavaliers enter this matchup riding a three-game SU win streak, following their season opening loss on the road at New York. they have since one both games played as a visitor. Yes, they have only covered one outing thus far this season, and going back to last season were point spread poison. But this is a whole different situation here, folks. They dislike the Celtics, for sure. Boston enters this matchup getting their first victory of the 2025/2026 campaign, following three consecutive losses. They too, are point spread poison, failing to cover four the last five outings, going back to last season, and overall, seven of their last 10 contests. They are winless at home this season, losing a tough outing against the 76ers back on October 22, 117-116, as a six-point favorite. I think we can all agree this team is starting off sluggish. As many of you know, one of their best contributors, Jayson Tatum is sidelined indefinitely with an achilles issue. They're just not in sync so far, desperately missing their star player. Don't get me wrong, they currently possess one of the best defenses in the NBA, ranking in the top-10 in points allowed, field goal percentage allowed, and three-point percentage allowed. To be very honest, they have really only faced one opponent that currently possesses a winning record. Their offense has been downright atrocious, ranking in the bottom third in points scored, field goal percentage, and three-point percentage. They're not dominating on either of the offensive or the defensive glass. I think this is going to be an issue facing a very well-balanced, and hungry Cleveland Cavaliers visitor here. Offensively, Cleveland is averaging over 7.5 PPG more, and are significantly more accurate from downtown, and overall, from the floor. Their defense ranks in the top 10 points allowed, and field goal percentage. They are also absolutely owning the boards on the defensive side of the court, as well. There is no doubt in my mind that down the road Boston will get their act together. Cleveland knows this, and also knows an early victory over their Eastern Conference rival, will give them a psychological edge, and momentum for the next time they meet. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you. |
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| 10-27-25 | Hawks v. Bulls +2 | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
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Chicago Bulls. Gsme 524. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. These two teams certainly play each other very competitively. Atlanta has taken the two most recent matchups. However, Chicago has won six of the last 10 overall meetings. Having said that, the Hawks are just 1-2, both straight up and against the spread this season. They started out the campaign with an ugly home loss at the hands of the Raptors, 138-118 when they were basically at full strength. They came back on the road to take down the Magic with authority, only to get embarrassed at home in their last outing by the Thunder. They were without three major players in that game, who are all listed as questionable tonight. As of posting this play, Johnson, Porziņgis, and Risacher are all still listed as questionable. Playing devil’s advocate, they all play, and come in here rusty. Porziņgis, may be a little depleted as he did miss the last game due to flu-like symptoms. It is the first game of the season that concerns me about this team. They were really crushed by Toronto. Meanwhile, Chicago is 2-0 both SU and ATS, and currently possesses the top defense in the NBA, yielding just 104.5 PPG. I know it's early in the season, and they really haven't played the best opposition yet, but they rank in the top-three also in field goal percentage allowed, and three-point percentage allowed. Atlanta is having trouble on the offensive side of the court, which does not vote well against this defense tonight. Take the Bulls as a home underdog. Thank you. |
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| 10-27-25 | Raptors v. Spurs -5.5 | Top | 103-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
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San Antonio Spurs. Game 530. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. San Antonio has taken the last three meetings against Toronto, both straight up against the spread, and enter tonight's matchup a perfect 3-0 SU on the season. They are also either 3-0 or 2-0-1 ATS depending on the line you played them at. Let's face it, Victor Wembanyama is a force to be reckoned with. The star center is averaging 33.3 PPG and 13.3 RPG. Toronto is just 1-2 both SU and ATS, dropping back-to-back games. While both teams played last night, the Raptors should come in here fatigued, following their 139-129 road loss and no cover at the Mavericks, while the Spurs had an easier time at home last night taking down the Nets, 118-107. While Toronto possesses one of the most explosive scoring offenses in the league, they also possess one of the worst scoring defenses in the NBA. San Antonio is accounting for over 121.0 PPG, and our monsters on the offensive glass, and possess the number two scoring defense in basketball. They're also one of the best on the defensive boards as well. This is a true test for the Spurs, and I think they come through for all of us. Take San Antonio. Thank you. |
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| 10-27-25 | Magic v. 76ers +6 | 124-136 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
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Philadelphia 76ers. Game 522. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The NBA, no matter how early in the season, always has a laundry list of injuries. Both of these teams are going to be without some players. However I think we can all agree after watching Orlando and Philadelphia play several games, the oddsmakers are overvaluing the Magic here. Orlando has yet to cover a game. As a matter of fact, going back to the last season they are on a 0-5 ATS cold streak. They opened up this season, with a slight win over Miami before dropping games to both Atlanta and Chicago. This will be their first road game of the campaign. They have taken three of the last four meetings in this rivalry, but going back a bit, Philadelphia has dominated, taking six of the last 10 matchups. Speaking of which, the 76ers are 2-0 this season, covering their first game on the road at the Celtics before missing a cover at home against the Hornets by just one-point. While Charlotte's defense is slightly better, the Philly offense is exploding. They are also hitting over 43% from downtown, which tops the NBA right now, and are very good on the defensive glass. This will be a tough matchup, but giving the 76ers points at home is a gift. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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| 06-16-25 | Pacers +9.5 v. Thunder | 109-120 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
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Indiana Pacers. Game 5 Winner. Game 509. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Oklahoma City certainly deserves to be in the NBA Finals. For most of this season, the Thunder proved to be a true force to be reckoned with. No one gave the Indiana Pacers too much thought coming into this series. But here we are in Game 5, as the series is all tied up, 2-2. The Pacer style of play seems to be frustrating their opponent here. They match up very well. Giving them nearly double-digits, in my opinion, is a big mistake made by the oddsmakers. I know OKC is playing at home at the Paycom Center, where they are 44-8 SU this season. Even if Oklahoma City comes in here and plays their best game and wins, I still feel this is way too many points to give Indiana. I don't see the Pacers letting their foot off the gas at all, and once again being extremely competitive in Game 5. By the way, this playoff campaign, after each loss, they came back to win and cover (5-0 ATS in that situation). Taking Indiana plus the points. Thank you. |
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| 06-11-25 | Thunder -5 v. Pacers | 107-116 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
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Oklahoma City Thunder. BEST BET. Game 505. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Dropping the first game of the Finals brought the Thunder back down to Earth. They got back to business in Game 2, and proved that they are the best team in the NBA. Playing on the road at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse doesn't change a thing as far as the outcome. But the oddsmakers put a short line out to try to trap you. We will not fall for it. OKC took care of business in the last matchup, and will do the same here tonight. They will take no chances, especially being on the road. They will once again prove why they are the best team in basketball. Take the Thunder. Thank you. |
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| 05-26-25 | Thunder -145 v. Wolves | 128-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
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Oklahoma City Thunder on the ML. Slam Dunk. Game 5456. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. The Oklahoma City Thunder haven't lost too many games overall this season. But losing by 42 points in Game 3 was a real embarrassment. It was the worst beating they took all season long. As a matter of fact, they have not dropped back-to-back games this postseason, and only dropped back-to-back games twice during the regular season. With all respect to the Minnesota Timberwolves, I think they poked the bear in the last game. I feel the Thunder will come out here and prove a point, and take Game 4 of this series. OKC is a very well coached, smart team, and they know if they allow Minny to even up this series, it changes things significantly. Take the Thunder on the money line. Thank you. |
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| 05-24-25 | Thunder -140 v. Wolves | 101-143 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
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NBA BEST BET PLAY. Be on it & be a WINNER. Oklahoma City Thunder on the Moneyline. Game 541. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. With all respect to the Minnesota Timberwolves, they are just simply outclassed in this matchup. It doesn't matter that they are now playing at home at the Target Center. They lost Games 1 and 2 by 26 and 15 points. People forget how good the Thunder are on the road as they are 35-10 as a visitor this season. I feel the oddsmakers are aware Oklahoma City has yet to cover an away game this postseason. They are also aware the Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in this playoff campaign at home. There is no way OKC will allow Minny back in this series. Take the Thunder on the Moneyline tonight. Thank you. |
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| 05-23-25 | Pacers v. Knicks -6 | 114-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
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***61.1% NBA RUN (22-16-1). Today, we CRUSH THE BOOKS on the hardwood with my PACERS/KNICKS GAME 2 WINNER. New York Knicks. Game 2 Winner. Game 540. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. As of posting this play very early in the a.m., most of the money has come on the Indiana Pacers. But I am here to tell you once again, the general public is wrong. Yes, New York held a 14-point lead within three minutes left in regulation in the series opener. And yes, they let the game slip away. But head coach Tom Thibodeau and his team know that they cannot fall behind 2-0, and then take this series on the road. New York is a very good team, loaded with playmakers. It is true Indiana has played them tough over recent seasons. But something further motivates them here, and that is Tyrese Haliburton's actions in Wednesday’s contest. Halliburton made a choke sign towards the Knicks bench, and their crowd. Trust me when I tell you this did not sit well with anyone in the building. New York still built up that tremendous lead before they let it slip away. They have the ability to do so again here, and will not fall back in the series. They will tie the series up, and make a statement for Halliburton and Indiana team that they are a superior squad. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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| 05-20-25 | Wolves +7.5 v. Thunder | 88-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
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Minnesota Timberwolves. GAME 1 WINNER. Game 527. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Sports betting isn't about who wins. Sports betting is about who covers. The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered three of four meetings with the Oklahoma City Thunder this season. Going back a little further, they have covered seven of the last 10 matchups. They also enter this round, a little hotter, and certainly better-rested. They have won and covered eighth of 10 playoff games this season. They also dispatched of the Golden State Warriors four days before the Thunder needed seven games to send the Denver Nuggets home. They are better rested, have more momentum, and have their opponents number. Speaking of their opponent, Oklahoma City is a darn good team. But I don't feel they warrant being this high of a favorite in Game 1 of this round. They are dangerous at both ends of the court. But I think we can all agree, their defense has shown signs of cracking, while they're offense can be stalled. This is way too many points. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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| 05-13-25 | Nuggets +10.5 v. Thunder | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
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Denver Nuggets. MONEYMAKER PLAY. Game 581. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. As good as the Oklahoma City Thunder are, the Denver Nuggets cover against them. Remember my friends, sports betting isn't about who wins, it’s about who covers. The Nuggets have covered five of seven meetings with the Thunder this season. Folks, this is a lot of points. I am aware the Thunder possesses the fourth-ranked scoring offense, and the second-ranked scoring defense in the NBA. But they are just not crushing it like they were in the regular season. A lot of people forget the Nuggets own the second-ranked scoring conference, top the league in field-goal percentage, rank fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive glass. Denver’s regular season and postseason leading scorer, Nikola Jokic has struggled the last three games. He is just 21-of-63 from the field, which is just 33.3%, and just 18.2% from downtown, shooting 4-of-22. Moreover, he has average only 5.0 assists per contest over the last three games. This is a superstar that shot less than 40% just once in the regular season, but hasn't reached that percentage since the series-opener. I feel he will step up here, and have his best numbers this series. Obviously both teams want this win. No matter what the final score, I do believe it will be a lot closer than this point spread. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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| 05-13-25 | Pacers +8 v. Cavs | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
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Denver Nuggets. MONEYMAKER PLAY. Game 581. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. As good as the Oklahoma City Thunder are, the Denver Nuggets cover against them. Remember my friends, sports betting isn't about who wins, it’s about who covers. The Nuggets have covered five of seven meetings with the Thunder this season. Folks, this is a lot of points. I am aware the Thunder possesses the fourth-ranked scoring offense, and the second-ranked scoring defense in the NBA. But they are just not crushing it like they were in the regular season. A lot of people forget the Nuggets own the second-ranked scoring conference, top the league in field-goal percentage, rank fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive glass. Denver’s regular season and postseason leading scorer, Nikola Jokic has struggled the last three games. He is just 21-of-63 from the field, which is just 33.3%, and just 18.2% from downtown, shooting 4-of-22. Moreover, he has average only 5.0 assists per contest over the last three games. This is a superstar that shot less than 40% just once in the regular season, but hasn't reached that percentage since the series-opener. I feel he will step up here, and have his best numbers this series. Obviously both teams want this win. No matter what the final score, I do believe it will be a lot closer than this point spread. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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| 05-11-25 | Cavs -5 v. Pacers | 109-129 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
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Cleveland Cavaliers. BEST BET. Game 573. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. The Cavaliers, the #1 team in the East ran through the Miami Heat in the first round of the playoffs sweeping them, 4-0. They then entered round two, the conference semifinals, and took losses in the first two games at home. They certainly remedied their situation by shredding the Indiana Pacers in Game 3 on the road, 126-104. People forget how good the Cavaliers really are. This is a team that has won and covered all three road games this postseason. Going back a little further, Cleveland has won and covered five consecutive games played as a visitor. This team is money on the road. Their defense stifled the Pacers in the last matchup, and will give them another heavy dose of defense here. No matter how you slice it, the Indiana defense ranked 20th during the regular season, yielding a whopping 116.6 points per game. This does not bode well when you're facing the NBA’s top-scoring offense. Cleveland is also better at both ends of the court overall on the boards. They will even the series here, and get another win and cover. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you. |
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| 05-10-25 | Wolves -5 v. Warriors | 102-97 | Push | 0 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
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Minnesota Timberwolves. SLAM DUNK. Game 569. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. This series is now tied 1-1. Minnesota took Game 2 with authority, 117-93, in the absence of Steph Curry. Golden State is a very good team. But without one of the most seasoned and savvy players in the NBA, it looks like they are just sitting ducks. Curry is their leading scorer, and one of the best three-point shooters in the history of the NBA. We know the Warriors heavily rely upon their outside shooting. In the last outing, without the guard, they shot just 28% from beyond the arc, a dismal 9-for-32. Not only does the absence of their leader affect their shooting, it also affects their defense, and whatever they do in transition. The Timberwolves are a darn good team. They enter this matchup winning eight of their last 10, and covering seven of those 10, which does include ATS covers in three of four on the road. They possess one of the best outside shooting teams in the NBA, and a truly frustrating defense. While I'm never crazy about laying points on the road in pro hoops, this game is a winner. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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| 05-09-25 | Thunder -5.5 v. Nuggets | 104-113 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
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Oklahoma City Thunder. FAST BREAK PLAY. Game 565. 7:00 PM PST/10;00 PM EST. After losing the series-opener at home, a heartbreaking two-point loss, the Oklahoma City Thunder came out in Game 2 to rout the Denver Nuggets, 149-106. I feel they ride that momentum here into Game 3 on the road, where they are a very small favorite. This is one of the best overall teams in the NBA, and one of the best road teams in the NBA as well. The Thunder are 34-8 away from home this season, and have also covered 11 of their last 14 games played as a visitor. They know they cannot allow the Nuggets to go up 2-1 in this series. They will come out here riding the momentum from the last matchup, and devour the home team in this matchup. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you. |
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| 05-09-25 | Cavs -170 v. Pacers | 126-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
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Cleveland Cavaliers on the ML. SLAM DUNK PLAY. Game 563. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The Cleveland Cavaliers were heavily favored in this series with the Indiana Pacers. But here we are playing at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Game 3, and the Cavs are down 2-0. They must come back to win today if they have any chance in this series. Please remember, this is one of the best teams in the NBA this season, amassing an overall record of 68-20, which does include a 32-11 road record. This is a team that has won and covered four consecutive games played as a visitor, including both road contests this postseason. They have some injury issues. However, this is a very smart, very talented, very well coached squad. They know they must take Game 3. I think they cover the spread. But just to err on the side of caution, take Cleveland on the Moneyline. Thank you. |
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| 05-07-25 | Nuggets +11 v. Thunder | 106-149 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
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Denver Nuggets. SLAM DUNK PLAY. Game 557. 6:30 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Traditionally, when a heavy favorite in a series opener at home loses Game 1, you would look to side with them in Game 2. But that's not the case here as the Nuggets face the Thunder at the Paycom Center in the second game of this round. Denver has been a thorn in Oklahoma City’s side, winning three of the last four meetings, both straight up and against the spread. Going back a little further, they have also covered four of the last five matchups played at the Paycom Center. Obviously OKC cannot afford to lose another game at home. After this the next few games are played in Denver. I am aware the Thunder have only lost back-to-back games twice during the regular season, and are of the best home teams in the NBA. But the Nuggets match up well with them. People forget Denver possesses one of the best offenses in the league, ranking second in scoring, first in field goal percentage, fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive boards. To make matters worse for opponents, they're also a top-10 team on the defensive side of the court on the boards as well. It's true, the Oklahoma City Thunder defense ranks second in basketball. But they're outclassed on the boards here. That is a big factor, and a huge edge for the visiting team in this matchup. I think this is way too many points. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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| 05-06-25 | Warriors +6.5 v. Wolves | 99-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
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Golden State Warriors. SLAM DUNK PLAY. Game 587. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. A lot of people like the Minnesota Timberwolves in this series because they have younger legs. With all respect to them, they are a very good team. However, experience plays a huge part, come the postseason. One thing the Golden State Warriors have, is a seasoned squad come playoff time. They showed what they are made of in Game 7 in the first round series with the Houston Rockets. This is a team that doesn't get rattled, and knows how and when to turn it up. Giving them this many points is a huge mistake. Especially because they won and covered the last three meetings in this rivalry, going back to December 2024. My friends, that includes both meetings played on the road. This is a team that has had success away from home this season, going 26-19 as a visitor. Yes, Minnesota has had four extra days to rest and prepare for this series. But I do feel with their lack of playoff experience, they are going to come in here rusty. I am aware they have won and covered their last three games. But this is a whole different monster here. Golden State possesses very similar numbers on offense, and their defense can be very frustrating. They are also a little stronger on the offensive boards, which will give them a lot of second-chance opportunities. I mentioned earlier this is way too many points. I feel the Warriors can win this game outright. But I'll take the points. By the way, if you're worried about being in a big underdog here, don't be. I think we learned a lesson from the Pacers, Knicks, and Nuggets already. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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| 05-01-25 | Nuggets +6.5 v. Clippers | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
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Denver Nuggets. FAST BREAK PLAY. Game 521. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. The Nuggets can close out the series tonight. They certainly don't want the Clippers to even it up here, at all. This is a team that was very successful when they traveled this season, going 25-18 away from home. While Los Angeles has struggled over the last two games, I am well aware they ran hot for a bit prior to that. However, I feel the oddsmakers are giving them way too much credit in this situation because they are faced with elimination, and are playing at home. Those two reasons do not justify this high of a number. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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| 05-01-25 | Knicks +1.5 v. Pistons | 116-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
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New York Knicks. SLAM DUNK PLAY. Game 519. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. After taking back-to-back contests in this series in Games 3 and 4, New York lost a heartbreaker the other night at home, 106-103. Outside of the series opener in which the Knicks prevailed, 123-112, every matchup since has been a close one. New York must not allow Detroit to even up this series. They must win tonight, or at the very least, keep this game extremely competitive. Please understand Detroit enters this matchup losing and failing to cover seven of their last 10 games, which does include five of their last six played on their own home court. I feel, on both sides of the court, NY has a little too much, and they're certainly better coached. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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| 04-30-25 | Warriors +4 v. Rockets | 116-131 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
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Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk. Game 430. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The Golden State Warriors, and their extensive playoff experience is showing what it takes to win this time of year. They have the opportunity to finish out this series, and get some well-needed rest before the next round. This is a good road team, possessing an overall away record of 25-18 this season. They have covered six of their last seven games played as a visitor as well. With all respect to the Houston Rockets, they have now dropped six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. They have a ton of talent, folks. But they don't have the playoff experience to contend with their counterpart here. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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| 04-26-25 | Cavs -5 v. Heat | 124-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
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Cleveland Cavaliers. SLAM DUNK. Game 561. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Game 3's can sometimes be tricky in the NBA. Especially when a team goes on the road after winning the first two of the series. But I don't see anything tricky about the Cavaliers/Heat matchup. Cleveland has dominated Miami, taking four in a row, all in 2025. There are an excellent road team, sporting a 30-11 away record this season. They enter this matchup winning seven of their last 10 straight, up and four of the last six against the spread. This does include ATS covers in the last two games played on the road at the Knicks, and the Pacers. Meanwhile, the Heat are struggling, dropping six of their last 10 straight up, which does include three of their last four played at home. I just don't see them deep enough, or talented enough to compete in this matchup. I also don't see the Cavaliers letting their foot off the gas here. There is no way they're gonna’ allow Miami to get back in this series. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
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| 04-24-25 | Thunder -8.5 v. Grizzlies | 114-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
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OKC THUNDER. FAST BREAK PLAY. Game 545. 6:30 M ST930 PM EST.
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| 04-24-25 | Knicks -110 v. Pistons | 118-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
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New York Knicks MONEYLINE. SLAM DUNK PLAY. Game 547. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Early money on this contest is coming in on the home team, and I understand why. Detroit took four of the most recent five meetings with New York, which includes Game 2 of of this series at Madison Square Garden. But I doubt very much Karl-Anthony Towns has another bad game. They standout center had just 10 points in the last meeting, which is 14.4 points less than he averaged during the regular season. I see him bouncing back here with a good performance, while NY does what they do, play physical basketball. Please understand Detroit enters this matchup losing and failing to cover seven of their last 10 games, which does include three or four played at home. I just feel the Knicks bounce back. Take NY. Thank You. |
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| 04-23-25 | Warriors +4 v. Rockets | 94-109 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
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Golden State Warriors. FAST BREAK PLAY. Game 541. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. With the Golden State Warriors at full strength, this is a time of year this team specifically, will shine. They have several players with a ton of playoff experience. While the Houston Rockets are a good team, they lack postseason seasoning. That was evident in Game 1 of this series in which the Warriors, on the road took down the Rockets, 95-85. Houston pulled down 22 offensive rebounds to just six offensive boards for Golden State. But yet their advantage in second-chance opportunities was absolutely horrible Steph Curry took the game on his shoulders. The one-two punch of him and Jimmy Butler, is phenomenal. Yes, the Warriors let a very large lead dwindle. But they still took the game at the end, and did what they had to do. That is because of the experience they possess in playoff games. Making them this much of an underdog is a mistake. They know they must not allow their opponent to even up this series before going home for the next two matchups. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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| 04-20-25 | Warriors +1.5 v. Rockets | 95-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
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GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS. LATE BAILOUT. Game 515. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. Sports fans, I understand why the line is what it is. But I do feel the oddsmakers are looking to put you in a bear trap here. Golden State is a deep team, a talented team, and is a very good road team. They face a Houston opponent that is a very good team, too. However, they did lose and fail to cover their final three regular season games. They face a very frustrating defense here. They did take the most recent meeting about two weeks ago at Golden State, as the team limited Steph Curry to just three-points. As one of the best players in the history of this league, and one of the most experience players as well, I see Curry coming back here with a vengeance, making a statement, and bringing a victory to his team. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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| 04-20-25 | Grizzlies v. Thunder -13 | 80-131 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
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OKC THUNDER. FAST BREAK. Game 514. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Don't think for a single second that this is a lot of points. Oklahoma City is one of the best home teams in the NBA, at 35-6 at the Paycom Center. They are also 55-24-4 ATS this season. They have dominated Memphis, taking nine consecutive games straight up, covering eight of the nine. They have won and covered all four a matchups this season by 24 points, 13 points, 17 points, and 21 points. I just don't see the Grizzlies competing defensively against a top-five offense in every major category. Let's not forget the Thunder also possess the league’s second-best defense as well. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you. |
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| 04-19-25 | Wolves +4.5 v. Lakers | 117-95 | Win | 100 | 34 h 27 m | Show | |
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Minnesota Timberwolves. FAST BREAK PLAY. Game 507. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. I know this game is being played in L.A. But Minnesota has given Los Angeles some headaches over recent seasons. I feel the Lakers are being overvalued here, for sure. The Timberwolves enter this matchup winning eight of their last nine games straight up, and covering six of those nine, which does include three or five on the road. Let's face it, the Lakers have some high-profile players. But their numbers are middle of the road. Minnesota scores more on offense, allows less on defense, is better from downtown, both offensively and defensively, is better from the free-throw line, is better at both of the court on the boards, and owns better numbers defensively. For the life of me, I feel the oddsmakers are putting this number out so high because they know LeBron James and company is going to get money wagered on them. In all sincerity, I think this game should be closer to a Pick ‘em. So. I'll take the points and take the Timberwolves. Thank you. |
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| 04-19-25 | Pistons +7 v. Knicks | 112-123 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 58 m | Show | |
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Detroit Pistons. LVSM. Game 501. 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. I don't know if you're aware of this, but I am a born and raised New York Knicks fan. And yet, I think they're significantly overvalued in this matchup. Yes, they are playing at home where they're 27-14 straight up this season. But this team struggled a bit down the stretch, dropping four of their last seven games straight up. They also had a lot of problems with the Detroit Pistons, losing and failing to cover the three most recent matchups in December, January, and April. By the way, two of those three matchups were played at Madison Square Garden. Speaking of the Pistons, Cade Cunningham is going to be back on the court (check status). They were very successful on the road this season, possessing a 22-19 away record. New York puts up solid statistics at both ends of the court. But I just don't think they should be this high of a favorite in this matchup, particularly against a Detroit defense that is top-five on the defensive glass. They will take away a lot of second-chance opportunities for the Knicks, and give themselves more opportunities in transition. Take the points with the Pistons. Thank you. |
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| 04-19-25 | Bucks +6 v. Pacers | 98-117 | Loss | -113 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
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Milwaukee Bucks. Slam Dunk. Game 503. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Bucks really have something to prove in this matchup. They come into the Gainbridge Fieldhouse to face a Pacers team they have dominated of late, taking four of the last six meetings straight up, covering five of those six games, which does include four consecutive ATS covers, and yet, they are heavy underdog. They also enter this game one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning eight in a row straight up, and covering seven of those eight outings. This does include ATS covers in three of their last four on the road. This team certainly is more successful when Damian Lillard is on the floor. Latest news (check status) is he will be missing Game 1, for sure. I feel Milwaukee still has a lot of fire power. If you have kept up with Lillard’s injury, he hasn't taken the court since March 18. This is a team that puts up some solid numbers at both ends of the court, tops the NBA in three-point shooting, and it's definitely frustrating on defense, where they rank in the top-10 in most categories. Indiana can score. But their defense is deplorable. They themselves, have some players that are either out, questionable, or not back at full strength. I feel that you'll see Giannis Antetokounmpo light up the scoreboard, and put up some of his best postseason numbers ever. This is way too many points to give the Bucks. Take Milwaukee. Thank you. |
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| 04-16-25 | Heat v. Bulls -112 | 109-90 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
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Chicago Bulls. LVSM. Game 926. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The line in this game has gone down due to the Chicago Bulls being hit with some injuries. The big news is the fact they might be without several point guards. However, two of the three PG’s that are probably not going to play aren't that much of a factor this season at all. Josh Giddey (check status) has been upgraded to probable here, and that's the one player the Bulls need in this matchup. He has averaged a triple double against the Heat this season: 26.0 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 10.0 assists. All this while shooting 58.3% overall from the field, and 53.3% from downtown. Chicago comes into this matchup hotter, winning and covering their last three outings. Overall, they have won six of their last seven straight up, covering five of those seven. They have had their way with Miami, winning and covering all three meetings this season. The Heat have their own issues. They dropped five of their last seven straight up to finish the regular season. They also failed to cover three of their last five, and have their own injury concerns. They also have a lack luster offense, and are in trouble in this matchup on the boards. Their only bright spot offensively, is their outside shooting, and they must face the NBA’s second-best three-point shooting defense here. I feel the Bulls come in here with more momentum, more confidence, and better talent. Take Chicago at home. Thank you. |
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| 04-05-25 | Houston v. Duke -5 | 70-67 | Loss | -108 | 56 h 58 m | Show | |
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Duke Blue Devil's. Game 680. 545 PM PST/8:45 PM EST. There is no question both Houston and Duke have earned the right to be in the Final Four. They sported two of the best records in college basketball this season, and from their season-openers straight on through to the postseason, and into this Tournament they have dominated just about all comers. I think the big difference here would be depth and coaching. I give an edge in both of those categories to the Blue Devils. Yes, they also score a few more points on offense, are more accurate overall from the floor, and are better from the free-throw line as well. They're also a little bit stronger on the offensive glass, folks. I feel second-chance opportunities is going to be huge in this specific matchup. We all know how good the Cougars defense is, ranking No. 1 in the nation. But the Blue Devils “D” is just as frustrating. They're also just as tough on the defensive glass. Please understand, while I think Houston is one of the best teams in the nation, they've only been made an underdog once this entire season. That's got a weigh on them psychologically here. Oh, by the way, not only has Duke only lost one game since the end of November, they've also been covering quite a bit as well, as they finished their regular season covering seven straight games, and have covered four of their last five in the playoffs/postseason. Take Duke. Thank You. |
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| 04-05-25 | Florida -150 v. Auburn | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 53 h 35 m | Show | |
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Florida Gators on the moneyline. Game 681. 3:05 PM PST/6:05 PM EST. Playing in the SEC, both Florida and Auburn not only know each other well, but they have several common opponents this season. But if you think you can gage a matchup because of two teams’ previous common opponents, you are crazy. Neither one of these squads have dropped too many games this season, and both have covered a lot of spreads as well. The Gators are slightly better, going 27-11 ATS this season, while the Tigers are 21-16 against the number. Florida did take the only matchup this season, back at the beginning of February on the road, 90-81. That marked the Gators fifth straight up victory over the last eight meetings, and their sixth ATS cover during that span. Auburn dropped their final two regular season games, and one of their postseason games. But they have been overvalued for sure, only covering 11 of their last 26 overall contests. Since their February 1st defeat at the hands of the Tennessee, Florida only dropped one remaining regular season game, and has been perfect during their postseason. Meanwhile, they've covered 25 of their last 33 outings. Statistically, I think the matchups are pretty even. Both teams score about the same and both teams allow about the same. But there is a big advantage for the Gators on the offensive boards, with their ranking third and the nation, pulling down over 39.1 rebounds per game. This team gives themselves a lot of second-chance opportunities which is huge here, folks. Both defenses are two of the best in college basketball defending the arc. Once again, I give an edge to Florida because Auburn relies more on their outside shooting. This is going to be a dogfight. But I will take the Gators on the moneyline, and take my bookmakers money. Thank you. |
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| 04-05-25 | Nebraska v. Boise State -145 | 79-69 | Loss | -145 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
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Boise State Broncos on the MONEYLINE. Game 684. 10:30 AM PST/1:30 PM EST. You can talk about the differences all you want between the Big Ten and the Mountain West Conference’s. But being the 16th-best team in the Big Ten, in my opinion does not equal being the fifth-best team in the Mountain West. Nebraska is a decent team. But when asked to step up this season, they fall way short. I know they have beaten Arizona State and Georgetown in the postseason. But they were heavy favorites in both games. They come to this match up an underdog, and for good reason. Boise State is a very good team. When asked to step up this season, they took down the likes of Clemson, Saint Mary's, Utah State, and Nevada during their regular season, and in the postseason, they have taken down San Diego State and New Mexico. Granted they were heavy fav’s in their last few outings against George Washington and Butler. But their offense exploded for a combined 189 points in those two contests. Their defense is very frustrating, and they are much better at both end of the court on the boards. Let's not forget, if this game gets physical, they are significantly better from the free-throw line as well. Take the Broncos on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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| 04-02-25 | Butler v. Boise State -6.5 | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
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Boise State Broncos. Game 670. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Sports fans, the seat CBC is proving to be an exciting Tournament, and today in the Butler/Boise State matchup, I think we're gonna’ see another good game. Butler just took down Utah on Monday, 86-84, as a 3.5-point underdog. That was only their second win and cover over their last seven games. Boise State took down George Washington on Monday with authority, crushing them by 30, 89-59 as an 8.5-point favorite. That was their eighth straight up victory over their last 10 outings, and their seventh cover during that span. I know the Bulldogs play in a more physical conference, and have three very strong forwards upfront. But the Broncos defense is stifling, yielding just 66.3-points per game, and when they have stepped out of their conference, they’ve held nonconference opponents scores very low. By the way, they also have a very strong front court of three starting forwards, and rotate in a few others. Believe it or not, they are also better on the offensive side in the scoring, shoot better from the free-throw line, are better from the three-point line, and superior at both ends of the court on the boards. Take Boise State here. Thank you. |
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| 04-01-25 | Colorado v. Villanova -155 | 64-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
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Villanova Wildcats on the moneyline. Game 666. 530 P.M. PST/830 P.M. EST. I think this is a very good situation for Villanova. As many out there know, they fired coach Kyle Neptune a few weeks back. In his three seasons at the helm, the team missed the Big Dance all three times. Prior to him, Jay Wright had a lot of success, leading the program to two National Titles. They have an interim coach on the bench here in assistant coach, Mike Nardi. Maryland’s coach, Kevin Willard will take over the program once this tournament ends. I feel the team is going to go all out here. They have one of the best players in the country in forward, Eric Dixon, who averages over 23.0 points per game and 5.2 rebounds per game. He leads an experienced, and disciplined squad. This season they've notched notable victories over the likes of Maryland, Cincinnati, Butler, Connecticut, Xavier, St. John's, and Marquette. They face a Colorado Buffaloes opponent that finished 16th in the Big 12, with an overall record of 14-20. There is some talent on this team. But overall, they possess just two double-digit scorers, and account for just 69.9 points per game. Their defense has gotten steamrolled, and on both sides of the court, they are overmatched on the boards. If this game gets physical, and I believe it will, they are at a big disadvantage as they only shoot 75.4% from the line, while the Wildcats hit a whopping 80.0% of their free throws. Another disadvantage would be their 223rd ranked three-point shooting defense going up against the nation’s third-best three-point shooting offense here. I see Villanova crushing it. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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| 03-30-25 | Michigan State v. Auburn -5 | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show | |
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Auburn Tigers. Crusher Play. Game 646. 2:05 PM PM PST/5:05 PM EST. While Michigan State has played some very solid basketball recently, yesterday’s matchup against Mississippi blue-printed a way to actually beat them. And that way is tailor-made for Auburn to take advantage. It is by no accident the Tigers are the No. 1 seed in the south. This is a team that owns an overall record of 31-5, and has covered 20 of their 36 lined games this season. Both defenses can be frustrating. But the Auburn offense is more explosive, far superior, far more accurate, and better from downtown. They have a little bit more muscle upfront as well. I think that'll be a big difference here in this matchup take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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| 03-30-25 | Tennessee +3.5 v. Houston | 50-69 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
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Tennessee Volunteers. Hight Roller. Game 647. 11:20 AM PST/2:20 PM EST. Odds makers don't have to make a line sharp. They just have to make it enticing to take wagers on both sides of the game. That is the case in this matchup. While Houston deserves to be a small favorite here, Tennessee matches up with them very well. There is no question the Cougars are a fan favorite, thus compelling odds makers to inflate their numbers. They had some problems against Gonzaga and Purdue in this tournament. Meanwhile Tennessee absolutely devoured both UCLA and Kentucky in the Big Dance. Both teams score about the same. And yes, the Houston defense tops the nation. However, the Volunteers "D" isn't far behind them. They are just as frustrating, and just as good on the glass. This game is gonna’ come down to the final possessions. I think the line is a little bit off. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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| 03-29-25 | Alabama +7.5 v. Duke | 65-85 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
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Alabama Crimson Tide. Slam Dunk Play. Game 641. 5:45 PM PST/8:45 PM EST. Without question, Duke is a very talented basketball team, and are playing incredibly right now. But very simply, this is way too many points to give a very talented Alabama opponent. For starters, if they win here, this will be the first Final Four appearance for the Blue Devils since Coach K was at the helm. However, the Crimson Tide made it to the Final Four last season. At both ends of the court Duke possesses great numbers, particularly on the defensive side. However, they match up here against the No. 1 scoring offense in the nation, averaging over 91.1 points per game, along with the second-best college basketball offensive rebounding group out there. They are extremely accurate, and possess the big men upfront to give them the added muscle they need to content here. Both teams have talented back courts. But I really feel giving the Crimson Tide, and they're explosive offense this many points is a mistake. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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| 03-28-25 | Ole Miss v. Michigan State -165 | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 55 h 36 m | Show | |
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Michigan State Spartans on the MONEYLINE. SWEET 16 SMASH PLAY. Game 636. Friday, March 28, 2025. 4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST. My friends, there is no debating Mississippi has played very well during this postseason. They have won three of four in the playoffs/postseason, and have covered their last three games overall. However, Michigan State has played solid basketball since the season opener back at the beginning of November. This is a team that has amassed an overall record of 29-6, covering 25 of their 35 games. Whether they are at home or on the road, they have won with authority. They enter this match up rolling, winning 10 of their last 11, both straight up and against the spread. I will admit the Rebels surprised a few, taking down the Tar Heels and the Cyclones. But you can’t blame the Spartans for being the No. 2 seed in the south, and only having to face two bottom tier opponents. Yes, ‘Ole Miss certainly has some scorers. But MSU has the defense. They are right there with scoring as well. As a matter fact, they average 1.0 more points per game than their opponent on offense. But they give up a lot less defensively. They're also far superior from the free-throw line, and far better on the offensive and defensive glass. They will give themselves significantly more second-chance opportunities on “O”, and takeaway their opponents second-chance opportunities on “D”. I think this game will get out of hand. Take the Spartans. Thank you. |
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| 03-27-25 | Maryland v. Florida -6 | 71-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
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Florida Gator. Bookie Buster Play Game 632. 4:35 PM PST/7:35 PM EST. I wanna’ give a big shout out to the Maryland terrapins as they finished the regular season in second-place in the very competitive Big Ten Conference, and they’ve played very well in this tournament. Tallying a record of 27-8, we have watched them place in amazing basketball at times this season. But at times we have also watched them play some less than stellar basketball as well. I wouldn’t exactly classify them as inconsistent. But I really don't feel they’re in the class of their opponent they face here today. During the regular season there were an underdog against Purdue in early-December, losing and failing to cover. They were a ‘dog against Oregon at the beginning January, covering the number but losing outright. They did win and cover as a doggie at Illinois towards the end of January. But once again, the beginning of February as a ‘dog, they lost and failed to cover at Ohio State. I think we all watched back at the beginning of this month when they took down Michigan on the road as they're biggest victory this season. But they have not gone up against a team this postseason that they were not favored over. Yes, they beat Illinois in their conference tournament opener. But then lost to Michigan. In this tournament, they played Grand Canyon and Colorado State, teams they were favored by 9.5 and 8.5-points. I just don't see this team facing the level of competition and stepping up that they're going to face and need to step up to today. By the way they're also just 19-16 against the spread this season. The Florida Gators are the No. 1 seed in the West regional. They are 32-4 overall, and have covered 26 of their 36 outings. They enter this matchup taking no prisoners. This is a monster team, folks. They've only dropped four games this season, as I mentioned a moment ago. They've also covered 20 of their final 25 regular season games. Then they went through the postseason, crushing everybody in their way. The Terrapins can score, and have a good defense. But they're going up against a team with a better offense, a deeper team, a superior rebounding core, and a more frustrating defense as well. I just don't see them competing in the matchup at all. I think this line should be at least 8 to 10-points. So, I will take Florida. Thank you. |
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| 03-25-25 | Magic -5 v. Hornets | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
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Orlando Magic. LVSM PLAY. Game 565. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. The Orlando Magic are currently sitting in the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference. They certainly can use some victories right now. They enter tonight’s contest winning two in a row, and five of their last eight straight up, covering six of those eight outings. During that span, they have covered five of six games played on the road. They have dominated the Charlotte Hornets, taking eight of the last nine matchups, both straight up and against the spread. This does include wins and covers in all three meetings this season. Speaking of the Hornets, they are really struggling, and my opinion, they're not playing for anything, and they've thrown in the towel on the season already. They have dropped six of their last 10 straight up, and have failed to cover five of their last seven against the spread. I just don't see them putting up too much of a fight here, at all. This is one of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference, let alone the entire NBA. The Magic needs a game, and will get it. Take Orlando. Thank you. |
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| 03-24-25 | Celtics -4 v. Kings | 113-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
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Boston Celtics. Fast Break Winner. Game 561. 7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST. Boston is a phenomenal squad, and they are heading back to the playoffs once again this season. The Celtics are currently surging, winning nine of their last 10 straight up, and covering six of those 10 outings. Meanwhile, Sacramento is struggling, dropping seven of the last nine SU, and five of their last seven ATS. The reason why I like the Celtics so much here is because in the only matchup with the Kings this season, back in the second week of January at home, they were embarrassed, 114-97. They have an opportunity to give a little payback, and exact some revenge in this contest. I just see this game getting truly out of hand. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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| 03-24-25 | Bulls +3.5 v. Nuggets | 129-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
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Chicago Bulls. LVSM. Game 557. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. Currently, Chicago is sitting in the ninth spot in the Eastern Conference, at 31-40. They need to put some victories on their record. They enter this matchup striding, winning seven of their last nine straight up, and eight of those nine against the spread. They face a Denver opponent tonight they have taken down in the only meeting this season, back at the January at home, 129-121. The Nuggets are a good team, no doubt about that. They are also a very good team when playing at the Ball Arena. But they have been overvalued, only covering three of their last nine overall. Going back a bit, they have failed to cover seven consecutive contests played on their own court. Take the Bulls. Thank you. |
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| 03-24-25 | Raptors +2 v. Wizards | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
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Well folks, the janitor of the Sportsbetting industry, yours truly, swept the board again last night in college basketball, going 3-0 in tournament play: UConn, Duke, and Alabama all got us paid. Overall, I am riding a 25-10 college basketball run. But the winning just doesn't stop there. I've won seven of my last 10 in NBA, and I am on a 62.5% NHL hot streak. No matter how you slice it, if you follow me, you will get you paid. I've got three big premium releases in the NBA going off tonight: my Slam Dunk, which are on a 5-1 run, my Las Vegas Strip Move, and my Fast Break Winner. Get all three and go 3-0. For Todays Free Play winner: Toronto Raptors. Game 547. 4:10 PM PST/ 7:10 PM EST. Normally my friends, I don't come in with teams that aren’t playing for anything this late in the season. And it's true, both the Wizards and the Raptors are going to be two lottery-bound teams. But I think the situation here heavily favors the visitor. Giving them points I feel as a mistake. To say the Toronto has dominated the Washington would be an understatement. They have taken seven of the last nine meetings in this rivalry, both straight up and against the spread. This does include two of three this season. They enter this matchup ice-cold, dropping four in a row. But don't be concerned about that as the home team has also dropped four in a row coming into tonight. The big difference for us, Toronto has been covering. They have covered seven of their last 10, which does include four of their last five as a visitor. Washington has dropped three straight on their own home court. I just feel the Raptors have a little more pride, are a little deeper with talent, and have the Wizards number. I feel the visitor should be a favorite. So, I will take advantage of the odds makers mistake here. I will take the Raptors. Thank you. |
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| 03-24-25 | Lakers -3.5 v. Magic | 106-118 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
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Los Angeles Lakers. Slam Dunk. Game 549. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. Going to keep this break down very short and very sweet, just like me LOL. Los Angeles took their worst defensive beating this season in their last outing, allowing Chicago to decimate them for 146-points, in a 31-point loss. I look for the Lakers to come back tonight, and make a statement here. Yes, Orlando is a good team, and yes, they have been covering. But the Lakers are prideful team, and let's face it, they are full of ego. After their last outing, getting shredded, looking bad, and being embarrassed, they will come out here with something to prove. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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| 03-23-25 | St. Mary's v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
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Alabama Crimson Tide. No Limit. Game 862. 3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST. Playing in the SEC, and averaging over 91.1-points per game offensively, in my opinion trumps playing in the WCC, and allowing just 60.8-points per game. Here we see the nations top-scoring offense go up against a top-five defense. But on a regular basis the Crimson Tide certainly face better opponents than the Gaels. They're also the second-best team in college basketball on the offensive glass, giving them a lot of second-chance opportunities. They shoot better from the free-throw line, and hit over 48.3% overall from the floor. This is an accurate team. I think this game might be competitive for a little bit. But Alabama has way too much talent. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you. |
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| 03-23-25 | Baylor v. Duke -12 | 66-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
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Duke Blue Devils. Slam Dunk Play. Game 858. 11:40 AM PST/2:40 PM EST. Duke is taking no prisoners this season, accumulating an overall record of 35-3 and covering 21 of the 31 lined games, and playing in their own backyard here, will give the team a boost. They have laid double-digits 27 times this season, covering 19 of the 27. On both sides of the court, they are spectacular. They are significantly better from beyond the arc as well as a free-throw lines, and I just don't see Baylor competing on the boards here. If you're concerned about the number, don't be. The Bears have lost by double-digits six times this season: Gonzaga crushed by 38, Tennessee wins by 15, Iowa State routed by 19, Arizona wins by 11, Texas Tech dumped them by 14, and Houston dumped them by 11 as well. I also expect the Blue Devils to come in here with fresher legs as they had a much easier time in their last outing, decimating the Mountaineers by 44, while the Bears had a tough outing, squeaking by the Bulldogs by three. By the way, Duke has covered nine of their last 11, while Baylor has failed to cover 13 of their last 16. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you. |
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| 03-23-25 | Connecticut +10 v. Florida | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
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UConn Huskies. Crusher Play. Game 859. 9:10 PM PST/12:10 PM EST. This is way too many points to give a Huskies squad with a stifling defense, and a monster core of rebounders. They also hit almost 80% from the line. Big edge there. Tale Connecticut. Thank you |
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| 03-22-25 | UCLA v. Tennessee -5 | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
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Tennessee Volunteers. Game 822. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. I'm going to keep this breakdown just like me, short and sweet LOL. UCLA is a good team. But they struggled this season in Big Ten play when facing top conference opponents, and physical opponents as well. I just don't see them matching up in anyway with Tennessee. The Volunteers are a monster team That have no problem beating down opponents. It's true, once December arrived, they were erratic against the spread, and towards the end of the regular season, they were just downright crushing anybody who bet on them. But the odds makers were inflating their lines, my friends. Don't fall for that trap here. Their defense is stifling. That rank 11th on the defensive side in points allowed, third in field goal percentage allowed, first in three-point percentage allowed, and 18th on the defensive boards, and they went up against some very tough offenses this season. The Bruins just don't have the offense to measure up here. Yes, they have a pretty good defense themselves. But not enough to contain the Volunteers for double-digit scorers. This is a team that's just as talented upfront as they are in the backcourt. I think this game gets ugly. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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| 03-22-25 | Creighton +9 v. Auburn | 70-82 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
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Creighton Blue Jays. Game 819. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Sportsbetting isn't about who wins. It is about who covers. Let's face it, we're not in this for fun. We're in this to make money. And I'm here to tell you Auburn is giving way too many points to Creighton in this matchup. While the Tigers are a very good team, I feel the odds makers are overvaluing them as they have failed to cover five straight, and seven of the last nine outings. Creighton enters this matchup covering five of their last seven, and playing some very competitive basketball. Ryan Kalkbrenner is going to be a major factor here. The 7’1”, 270-lb, center is a force to be reckoned with in the paint. Auburn relies heavily on their team playing physical basketball down low. Let's face it, both defenses allow about the same. Yes, the Tigers do score more. But the Blue Jays are just as accurate, and just about as good from both the free-throw, and three-point areas. Both teams are solid on the boards. I think this game is a lot more evenly matched up than what the line is reflecting. This is way too many points. Take Creighton. Thank you. |
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| 03-22-25 | Drake +7.5 v. Texas Tech | 64-77 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
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Drake Bulldogs. Game 825. 3:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. This matchup is being played in Wichita, Kansas. The Drake Bulldogs didn't just take the regular season and tournament crowns in the Missouri Valley, they also amassed a record of 31-3 overall this season. As a road team, they were excellent, winning nine of their 10 as a visitor. This is a team that took down Miami, Florida Atlantic, Vanderbilt, and Kansas State during the regular season. And you saw what they did to Missouri just two days ago. By the way, they are red-hot, winning 19 of their last 20 games played straight up. They've also covered three of four matchups in the playoffs/ postseason. They have a great back court, and an offense overall that ranks 20th, hitting over 48.6% from the floor. That would be enough for me to raise an eyebrow here. But they rank second nationally on defense, yielding just 59.2-points per game, and they are the top defensive rebounding core in the nation. Yes, Texas Tech deserves to be here. But I feel because they are mediocre on the boards at both ends of the court, they're going get a lot of second-chance opportunities taken away from them. They will also give their opponent a lot of second-chance opportunities as well. They do shoot pretty well from outside. But they face a very frustrating “D” from downtown. This is way too many points. Take Drake. Thank you. |
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| 03-22-25 | Dayton -135 v. Chattanooga | 72-87 | Loss | -135 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
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Dayton Flyers on the moneyline. Game 831. 8:30 AM PST/11:30 AM EST. To put it very simply, Dayton has faced and beaten better opponents on their resume this season. This is a team that's already taken down such notables as Northwestern, Connecticut, Marquette, and UNLV. They have also hung with such other notables as North Carolina and Iowa State, covering both of those matchups. While Chattanooga is a great story, they just don't measure up when facing superior opponents. They got crushed by USC by 26, Saint Mary's by 12, and Indiana by nine. Those are the only times this season they had to step up in class, and they failed in all three contests. They do possess four double-digit scorers. But so does their opponent here. I see a big mismatch defensively, as well as on the boards. Take the Flyers on the Moneyline. Thank you. |
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| 03-21-25 | Bryant v. Michigan State -16.5 | 62-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
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Michigan State. Game 788. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. After seeing a couple of very close games in yesterday’s Rd. 1 matchups, and of course McNeese State besting Clemson, I doubt very much Michigan State will take this game lightly. I am aware most of the money is coming in on Bryant. But this team has only stepped up in class twice this season, and got crushed in both outings. They faced Saint John's in mid-December, and lost by 22, and two weeks later faced Grand Canyon, and lost by 46. Those are the only two teams they had to worry about, and they lost badly in both contests. The Spartans crushed everybody in their way this season, particularly in their own conference against some very, very strong teams. Bryant is all about the offense, averaging over 82.1-points per game. They're also pretty good on the offensive glass as well. But that's where their strengths end. They go up against one of the most frustrating defenses in the country, that also ranks as one of the best on the defensive boards. That would be enough for me to raise an eyebrow here. However, the Spartans put up almost 80 PPG themselves, hit over 78% from the free-throw line, and are one of the best in the nation, ranking 11th on the offensive glass. Right now, neither of these teams know who they will play in the next round as the winner will go up against the Marquette/New Mexico winner. So, I don't see MSU looking ahead here either. I think they come out, take no prisoners, and send Bryant home very early. Take the Spartans. Thank you. |
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| 03-21-25 | Oklahoma v. Connecticut -5.5 | 59-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
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Connecticut Huskies. Game 784. 6:25 PM PST/9:25 PM EST. Both Connecticut and Oklahoma will have their hands full in this matchup, and I doubt very much either will be in a look ahead mode with a probable matchup in the next round vs. Florida. The Huskies are 14-4 in Big Dance games under Dan Hurley. The coach brought them two National Titles over the last two seasons. This is familiar territory for the team. While Oklahoma is a formidable foe, they really hit a snag in the second half of their season. They began the regular season winning their first 13 contests. However, they finished the regular season dropping 12 of their final 18 outings. While they played well in the playoffs taking down Georgia and losing a one-point heartbreaker at the hands of Kentucky, this team just doesn't measure up here. Yes, they have covered their last seven outings. But this is a whole different monster facing the very physical UConn squad. The Huskies played well out of the conference, taking down such notables as the Baylor Bears, Texas Longhorns, and Gonzaga Bulldogs. They also held their own finishing third in the very competitive, Big East conference. They finished their regular season winning four in a row straight up, and covering their final three games. They devoured Villanova in the postseason, only to be embarrassed taking a nine-point loss as a four-point favorite in their last game against Creighton. I feel they bounce back here strong, and get back on track to compete for another National Title. Both teams have been running with three big men, and two guards as a starting lineup in the playoffs. This will be a big advantage for the Huskies. While both teams average about the same and scoring offensively, Oklahoma has a slight edge, both from downtown, and from the free-throw line. However, Connecticut possesses a swarming, and frustrating defense that allows a mere, 68.0-points per game, and rank second nationally on the defensive boards. They will take away a lot of their opponents second-chance opportunities here. They're also monsters on the offensive glass as well, giving themselves more second-chance opportunities. They’re are way too big, and way too strong in this matchup. BTW, this game is being played in Raleigh, North Carolina, you will see quite a few more Connecticut fans. BTW, they are also a better road team going 7-4 away from home compared to Okie, who went 2-7 on the road. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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| 03-21-25 | North Carolina -120 v. Ole Miss | Top | 64-71 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
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North Carolina on the MONEYLINE. Game 793. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Momentum from the regular season, and playoffs carry over into the Big Dance, for sure. The Tar Heels finished their regular season winning six of their final seven, and covering five of their final six. Then they went 3-1 straight up in the playoffs, and covered all four of those outings as well. Not only have they stepped up recently, they're also covering the number. Mississippi has been point spread poison, failing to cover 12 of their last 15 outings. By the way, they finished their regular season losing four of their final six games, then split out dropping their last game in the playoffs. While they do have six double-digit scorers, they can't rebound aren’t very accurate, and are atrocious from the line. As good as their “O” is, the Tar Heels account for more points per game, ranking 25th in scoring, averaging over 81.7-points per game and hit 48% overall from the floor. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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| 03-21-25 | Vanderbilt v. St. Mary's -4.5 | Top | 56-59 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
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Saint Mary’s. Game 790. 12:15 PM PST/3:15 PM EST. They say offense gets the glory, but defense gets the win. St. Mary's possesses one of the best defenses in college basketball today, ranking fifth in the nation, yielding just 60.8-points per game. They allow just 40.8% overall from the floor, 31.6% from downtown, and rank fourth in the nation on the defensive boards. When it comes to defense, Vanderbilt has none. They're absolutely deplorable at the stop end of the court. They rely solely upon their offense, which does account for over 79.7-points per game. However, they are not very good overall in shooting percentage from the floor, three-point percentage, or even from the free-throw line. They're also atrocious on the offensive boards. They do have three double-digits scorers. But so does the Gaels. This is also a team that disposed of opponents like Nebraska, USC, and Utah in nonconference competition this regular season. Remarkably, they haven't allowed a single opponent in their 33 games played, to post better than 75 points. They have too much defensively. Not to forget, a very experienced team, and a very experienced coach. Take Saint Mary's. Thank you. |
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| 03-21-25 | Colorado State v. Memphis +1.5 | 78-70 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
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Memphis Tigers. Game 806. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. How about the No. 5 seed getting points against the No. 12 seed? It puzzles me as well, my friends. While Colorado State is getting most of the money from the general public, and does come in here red-hot, winning and covering 10 straight games, Memphis has been playing well themselves. They have won 16 of their last 17 straight up. Granted, they are not very good against the number. But this team has a lot of talent. Maybe many out there have forgotten that during the regular season they took down Missouri, UNLV, San Francisco, Connecticut, Michigan State, Clemson, Virginia, and Mississippi. They are no strangers to stepping up in big game situations. By the way, Colorado state got embarrassed by Mississippi in a mid-November matchup. Not only that, but they also lost to some other teams they should've played well against. Both teams play in competitive conferences, and both finished pretty well in their perspective conferences. While the Rams account for 75.3-points per game, and only allow 67.1-points per game, the Tigers post over 80.0-points per game, and allow just 73.0-points per game. They are much better at both ends of the court on the boards as well, with a bigger, and stronger front court. Oh, by the way, they're also monsters from downtown. I think the wrong team is favored here. They are also 10-2 as a visitor this season. Take Memphis. Thank you. |
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| 03-20-25 | Nebraska-Omaha v. St. John's -18.5 | 53-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
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St. John's Red Storm. Game 752. 6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST. The Red Storm is in the Big Dance for the first time since 2019. They have a coach who has been to the Final Four seven times, and has walked away with two National Titles. They play in one of the most competitive, and most physical conferences in college basketball, and they finished with both, the regular season, and Conference Tournament Crowns. This is a team that has won nine straight games, covering all three in the postseason. They are no strangers to laying big numbers. I mean, they've covered double-digits against Fordham, Quinnipiac, Virginia, Kansas State, Bryant, DePaul, Seton Hall twice, and Butler. They have no problems crushing lesser opponents. Meanwhile, with all respect to the Summit League’s top-team, the Omaha Mavericks have failed miserably when they step up in class. Yes, they covered against Minnesota and UNLV early on this season. But they got crushed by Northern Iowa and Iowa State. Let's face it, they also took a bad beating by Abilene Christian as well. They have won and covered all three of their playoff matchups, too. But playing an opponent like they're going to see in the opening round, who has lost just one game in 2025, is going to be fatal for this team. The Red Storm will have to play either the Razorbacks or the Jayhawks in the next round. I believe they'll come out here to make a statement, not just to their next opponent, but to the entire West Regional. I feel coach Rick Pitino is going to take no prisoners here. Take St. John's. Thank you. |
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| 03-20-25 | Drake +6.5 v. Missouri | 67-57 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
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Drake Bulldogs. Game 765. 4:35 PM PST/7:35 PM EST. Of all the Thursday games, I feel this just might be the one in which the line is most off. Yes, I am aware Missouri plays in the SEC, and owns an overall record of 22-11. But they really struggled down the road. They dropped their final three regular season games, and got humiliated by Florida in their last outing. They have failed to cover four of their last five overall matchups. Yes, they started the campaign off on fire. But then the end of December came, and they started struggling. Granted, the Missouri Valley isn't the SEC. But the Drake Bulldogs took the regular season crown, and the Conference Tournament Title as well. They finished with an overall record of 30-3. Something that I checked, and rechecked was Drake stepping up in class four times this regular season. All four times they won outright. They took down Miami by 11, FAU by 12, Vanderbilt by 11, and Kansas State by three. By the way, they kept all four of those opponents to 70-points or less. You may not realize this, but this team possesses the No. 2 overall defense in the nation, allowing just 59.2-points per game. They are also monsters at defending the arc, and own the No. 1 defensive rebounding core in college basketball. Yes, Missouri possesses as a top-10 offense, accounting for over 84.5-points per game. But their defense leaves a lot to be desired, and they really do rely upon their outside shooting. Not only that, but the Tigers are absolutely horrible on the offensive boards. That is where this game will be won, as their opponent will take away a lot of second-chance opportunities. I think this line should be a lot lower. Take Drake. Thank you. |
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| 03-20-25 | Wofford v. Tennessee -18.5 | 62-77 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
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Tennessee Volunteers. Game 760. 3:50 PM PST/6:50 PM EST. Wofford and Tennessee met in November of 2023, as the Volunteers prevailed 82-61. The Terriers are a good team. Let's face it, they have won and covered all three of their postseason games thus far. But looking at their regular season schedule, they've only stepped up in class twice. They got decimated in mid-November by the Duke Blue Devils, 86-35. They did get an outright three-point victory over the St. Louis Billikens a month later. But I think we can all agree, the Billikens not really a formidable foe. I think we can also all agree the Southern Conference cannot compare in any way to the Southeastern Conference. Wofford finished 10-8 in conference play this season, and sported an overall record of 19-15. Tennessee finished fourth in the SEC, going 12-6 in league play, enroute to an overall record of 27-7. When this team played lesser opponents earlier on in the schedule, they devoured them. They took down Webber by 16, Montana by 35, Austin Peay by 35, Tennessee Martin by 43, Western Carolina by 48, Middle Tennessee by 18, and Norfolk by 15. They are not afraid to run up the score. They are also no strangers to covering double-digits point spreads. Please remember they took down some great teams this season with authority as well. The list is so long, I'll save you the death toll. Losing to the Gators in their last outing is going to further motivate this team. They will send a message to the rest of the Midwest representatives here. They possess one of the most frustrating defenses in the nation, allowing just 63.1-points per game, on 38.2% shooting overall from the floor, and just 27.8% from beyond the arc. They will also dominate the boards as well. They will crush it. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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| 03-19-25 | Loyola-Chicago -155 v. San Jose State | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
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Loyola Chicago on money line. Game 727. 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. My friends, I've been doing this a long time, and I just don't understand how the No. 4 team in the Atlantic 10 is laying such a short price against the No. 8 team in the Mountain West. Loyola Chicago faces better competition, for sure. Not only that, but they enter this matchup winning eight of their last 10 straight up, and nine of those last 10 against the spread. Yes, I am aware San Jose State has been one of the best ATS cover teams in college basketball, covering 22 of their 32 games this season. But I just don't see them competing in this matchup. The Ramblers trio of starting guards are amazing. Yes, the Spartans have their own talented back court as well. But their numbers are padded as they don't face the same level of competition. Speaking of Loyola, they have a monster defense, yielding a mere, 69.0-points per game. They are also pretty darn accurate from downtown, and are much better on the boards at both ends of the court. Granted, they leave a lot to be desired from the free-throw line. But these are not the most physical teams, and I don't think that's going to be a factor in this matchup. BTW, SJ State is only 7-8 at home this season. I look for the Ramblers to crush here. But just to err on the side of caution, play them on the money line. Thank you. |
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| 03-19-25 | Xavier -155 v. Texas | 86-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
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Xavier Musketeers on the moneyline. Game 709. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. Today in the NCAA First Four situation, we see Xavier face Texas. Both teams had to wait to find out if they received an invite to this situation. These two don't see each other very often. However, in March 2019 and March 2023 Texas took both meetings straight up, covering the most recent. Having said that, the Musketeers and Longhorns had very different regular seasons. Xavier started the campaign slowly only to finish strong, while the Longhorns started strong, and struggled towards the end. As a matter of fact, Xavier finished the regular season winning seven in a row, and covering five of those seven. They also covered a heartbreaking two-point postseason loss against Marquette six days ago. Texas finished their regular season dropping eight of their last 10 straight up, and only covering one of those 10. They did win and cover their first two in the postseason only to lose and fail to cover to Tennessee five days ago. Funny thing, this is going to be basically a home game for the Musketeers, whose campus is less than 50 miles away from the University of Dayton Arena where they are playing this matchup today. You're going see a lot of friendly faces, and Xavier colors in the crowd in this matchup. BTW, they were 15-2 at home this season SU. While not technically a home game, for our purposes, still not a true away game either. Both teams have strong front courts, and talented back courts. But there is no denying Xavier and their frustrating defense. Yes, they also score just about as much as Texas. But their defense gives up less, and they are much better on the defensive glass. Not only that, but they are deadly from downtown, hitting over 38.5% from beyond the arc, and are far better from the free-throw line, hitting just about 80%. I believe this game will get physical, and being they are so good from the line will make a big difference here. Just to err on the side of caution take the Musketeers on the money line. Thank you. |
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| 03-19-25 | Dayton +1.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 86-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
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Dayton Flyers. Game 717. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Sports fans, there is no way the Flyers should be underdog here or even a Pickem. They should definitely be at least a basket or two favorite. This is a very good basketball team. They enter this matchup winning seven of their last 10 straight up, and two of their last three against the spread. Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic comes in here dropping five of their last eight straight up, and only covering two of their last 10 overall. Dayton has taken down such notables this season as Northwestern, Connecticut, Marquette, UNLV, Saint Louis, and Virginia Commonwealth. They also hung in tight dropping a late-November matchup on a neutral site against North Carolina, covering but losing 92-90. Not to mention they lost by five getting double-digits against Iowa State the next day. When this team steps up, they play very strong. Meanwhile, FAU lost early to Central Florida, College of Charleston, Drake, Seton Hall, and even Florida Gulf Coast. They took beatings from Michigan State, Memphis twice, North Texas twice Wichita, and UAB. They have been point spread poison this season, covering just 12 of 32 overall contests. Their defense has been getting steamrolled. I just don't see them competing on the boards in this match up either. The Flyers have kept some solid opponents at bay on the scoreboard. I feel they'll do the same here. This line is off. Take Dayton. Thank you. |
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| 03-15-25 | Tennessee +5.5 v. Auburn | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
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Tennessee Volunteers. Game 613. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I feel the line here should be at most a basket or so. Especially because it is being played in Nashville. These two SEC powerhouses are both monster teams. As you know, Auburn took the regular season crown, going 15-3 in conference play, while Tennessee was a very respectable, 12-6 against SEC opponents this season. Yes, the Tigers took the only meeting this season over the Volunteers, 53-51 at home back at the end of January. But Tennessee has won three of the last five meetings SU and covered three of the last five ATS, which includes ATS covers in the last two most recent matchups. They also enter this game a lot hotter, winning nine of their last 11 SU, while Auburn dropped two of their last three SU. Yes, it's true, neither team has been consistent against the number recently. However, the Tigers have failed to cover three in a row, and five of their last seven games. Overall, we have got one of the best offenses in the country going against one of the best defenses. The Tigers account for over 85.2-points per game. But defensively they give up a lot of points. Meanwhile, the Volunteers have a solid offense, for sure. But it is their defense which has brought them success this season ranking seventh in the nation, and allowing a mere 62.0-points per game, also ranking first in field goal percentage allowed, and second in three-point percentage allowed. By the way, they're also better on the defensive boards, which will give their opponent less second-chance opportunities. One more item folks: Tennessee had a much easier time yesterday taking down Texas, 83-72. A game in which they had in hand from the opening tip off. Meanwhile, Auburn had a very tough time with the pesky Mississippi opponent, eking out of five-point victory. But once again failing to cover. Take the points with the Volunteers. Thank you. |
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| 03-14-25 | Missouri v. Florida -9.5 | 81-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
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Florida Gators. Game 838. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. I'm not a big fan of laying big numbers, especially in these conference tournaments. But Florida comes in here well rested, winning and covering, and looking for a little revenge. The Gators have not taken the court since March 8. They are also on a great run, going 9-1 both straight up and against the spread their last 10 games. Not only that, but this is a team that hasn't suffered too many losses this season. One of those losses was against the Tigers at home in their only matchup this season back in mid-January. It was a heartbreaker in which they lost 83-82 late in the game. Florida has been money to sports bettor’s most of the season, covering 23 of their 31 outings. Not only that, but this is a team that covers big numbers. They have covered 12 of their last 14 games played being favored of 8.5 for more points. Don't get me wrong, Missouri can play. But playing back-to-back days against a team like they're going to face today is going to be tough for them. Remember, this is a team that lost four of their last six, both straight up and against the number. While they do have a strong, deep team, they just don't have the defense. Both teams rank in the top-10 in scoring, and both are pretty good from downtown. But Florida’s defense allows a mere 68.2 points per game on 39.5% shooting, and ranks in the top-10 at defending the three. I'll take the Gators here. Thank you. |
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| 03-14-25 | Illinois v. Maryland -115 | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
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Maryland Terrapins on the money line. Game 818. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Yes, I am aware Illinois enters this matchup winning and covering four straight over the likes of Iowa, Michigan, Purdue, and yesterday's game again over Iowa. But Maryland is a whole different monster. The Terrapins, which rank 11th in the nation, are 14-6 in conference play this season, enter this matchup winning three in a row, and seven of their last eight straight up, and covering seven of their last 10. They also have the confidence of knowing they shredded the Fighting Illini on their own home court in the third week of January, 91-70 in the only meeting between these two conference rivals this season. As a matter of fact, the Terrapins have dominated this rivalry, taking seven of the last nine straight up, and six of the last eight against the spread. Illinois has a strong front court, and five double-digit scorers. But so does Maryland. They also enter this contest with fresher legs, having not played a game in six days. I think that's going be a big factor here. They are more accurate overall from the floor, which does include a much higher percentage from downtown, and possess a monster defense that frustrates opponents, yielding 66.6 points per game. Take the Terrapins on the moneyline just an error on the side of caution. |
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| 03-14-25 | Marquette v. St. John's -3.5 | 63-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
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St. John's Red Storm. Game 850. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, St. John's took both meetings against Marquette this season, straight up and against the spread. Granted, the early-February matchup they took by four-points, and the early-March matchup they took in overtime by two-points. However, the Golden Eagles have been point spread poison, failing to cover three in a row, and seven of their last 10, while the Red Storm have covered five of their last six. Both teams played yesterday as Marquette went to the mat in a tough, physical two-point victory over Xavier. Meanwhile, St. John's had a much easier time crushing Butler by 21-points. In both meetings this season the Red Storm outrebounded the Golden Eagles. They are much stronger on the offensive boards, giving them more second-chance opportunities, and their defense is certainly more frustrating. One more item folks: St. John’s is perfect at home this season at 18-0, and playing at home this season at Carnesecca Arena. Playing in Madison Square Garden is their second-home. Take SJU. Thank you. |
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| 03-13-25 | Nevada v. Colorado State -5 | 59-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
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Colorado State Rams. Game 782. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. I think the line is way off in this matchup. I understand Nevada is playing in their home state. But here in Las Vegas, they despise the Wolfpack. They enter this matchup losing three in a row, and seven of the last 10 matchups with the Rams. They have lost and failed to cover the last three, including both this season. This is a team that does not travel well, and has not played well at all against conference opponents. Meanwhile CSU is on fire, winning and covering seven straight, and eight of their last nine overall games. I must tell you, this line is way short. The Rams account for more points on offense, give up less points on defense, are much better on the boards, and significantly stronger from the line. I see them winning by about double-digits. Take CSU. Thank you. |
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| 03-13-25 | Marquette v. Xavier +2 | 89-87 | Push | 0 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
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Xavier Musketeers. Game 740. 11:30 AM PST/2:30 PM EST. Both Marquette and Xavier last played on March 8, and should come in here with fresh legs. The Musketeers took the most recent meeting between these two conference rivals back in mid-January on the road, 59-57. As a matter of fact, both matchups this season were settled by two-points. The Golden Eagles haven't been so golden, losing and failing to cover their last two outings. Meanwhile, Xavier is red-hot, winning seven in a row, and covering five of those seven contests. The difference here is the stellar outside, and far better free-throw shooting by the Musketeers. Thanks Xavier plus the points. Thank you. |
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| 03-13-25 | Arkansas +4.5 v. Ole Miss | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
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Arkansas Razorbacks. Game 769. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Arkansas enters this matchup coming off a big, 72-68 win against South Carolina yesterday, while Mississippi hasn't stepped on the court since March 8, a road defeat at the hands of Florida, 90-71. That loss was their fourth over their last six games straight up, and there seventh over their last eight games against the spread. They did take down the Razorbacks in the only matchup this season back at the beginning of January on the road, 73-66. But Arkansas enters this match up hotter, winning five of their last six straight up, and five of their last seven against the number. Yes, the Rebels possess six double-digit scorers. But only account for 1.0 more PPG than their opponent. I do see a mismatch on the boards here. The Razorbacks come in here hotter, and ride momentum from yesterday's win. By the way, the game wasn't as close as the score against the Gamecocks. They had a 20-point lead at one point, and just started pulling their starters to keep them fresh for today's contest. Take the points with the Razorbacks. Thank you. |
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