Detroit Lions.

NFC Best Bet.

Game 269.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

They say revenge is a dish best serve cold. Well, my friends, last year's dream season for Detroit ended abruptly at home at Ford Field, losing to Washington, 45-31. The Lions couldn't do anything right in that game, and their dream season was over. I also feel following last week’s lackluster performance in which they lost also at home, to the Vikings 27-24, will prompt them to bounce back here in a big way. As a matter of fact, they dropped two of their last three games, cand I'm sure head coach, Dan Campbell read them the riot act after the most recent. Meanwhile, the Washington Commanders are sliding badly, losing and failing to cover their last four outings, which does include both games played at home during that span. Their offense has stalled, and their defense is overworked, tired, and getting lit up. This is a lot of points, I admit. But getting Detroit off of an ugly loss in which they couldn't run the ball, I expect them to come out here with something to prove, and prove it especially against a Washington stop-unit, that can't stop anyone. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Seattle Seahawks.

NFC West Game of the Week.

Game 268.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

The Seahawks are currently tied with the Rams at 6-2 in the NFC West. Just behind them is the 49ers at 6-3, and bringing up the rear is the Cardinals at 3-5. Division wins are big right now, my friends. The Cardinals have had trouble with just about everybody this season, but specifically within the NFC West where they are winless at 0-2. Having said that, they do come off a little bit shorter of a week, and I feel are in a letdown situation following the November 3 road victory over the Cowboys, 27-17. It was their third straight cover but their first straight up victory since mid-September. It is true, the Seahawks have had their way with them, taking eight consecutive meetings and covering seven of the eight. This includes a September 25 matchup on the road, 23-20, as a small 1.5-point favorite. Obviously, the line is a little bit bigger here because they're playing in one of the most difficult places for a visitor to play, Lumen Field. This is interesting because Seattle, as you know has won six of their last seven games both SU/ATS. During their last three outings, all wins and covers, their defense has yielded an average as of 15.0 PPG. Overall, they rank fifth in the NFL in points allowed, second in rushing yards allowed, and fourth in takeaways. Arizona is having problems putting points on the board to begin with, and I think it's going to go from bad to worse for them here. On the offensive side of the ball, look for Seattle and their surging offense, which ranked fifth in scoring to absolutely pick apart their opponents 23rd-ranked pass defense. Sam Donald is one of the best gunslingers in the NFL. He heads up the fourth-ranked passing attack, and like I said, this will be probably his best performance statistically so far this season. Take the Seahawks. Thank you.

Chicago Bears.

High Roller release.

Game 266.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

My friends, maybe the Bears win ugly, but they are still winning. No, they don't do it pretty at all, they don't do it graceful at all, but they are finding new and improved ways to come out victorious. Over the last month and a half, they have won and covered five of their six outings. They have also won and covered both games played on their own field during that span. Meanwhile, the Giants which are just 2-7 overall, and are winless at 0-5 as a visitor this season, riding an overall three-game SU slide, in which they failed to cover the last two outings. They are just 2-3 ATS as a guest in 2025. I will admit, their last three opponents were all solid squads in the Broncos, Eagles, and 49ers. But this team just can't do anything right, and their defense is getting lit up like a Christmas tree. Don't ask me how, but the Chicago offense ranks sixth in the league in scoring, accounting for over 26.9 points per game, and have only turned the ball over six times. They rank in the top-10 both in passing and in rushing. That would be enough for me my friends. I am aware their defense is one of the most porous in the NFL, but they've also forced 13 turnovers, which tops the league. I feel you're going to see the Chicago team run the ball, run the ball, run the ball and tire out the New York already overworked 31st ranked run defense. They will control the clock and the tempo, move the chains, and win and cover this game. Take the Bears. Thank you.

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Indiana Hoosiers.

Game 145.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

This week's national rankings have the Ohio State Buckeyes as the #1 team in the nation, and the Indiana Hoosiers as a #2 team. Both teams are undefeated in both conference play, and overall. Without question, style-points count. Don't fool yourself, my friends, teams know they must run up scores to keep their status in these rankings. Put a pin in that, we will come back around to it. It wasn't that long ago, only two seasons ago, the Nittany Lions were 31-point favorites against the Indiana Hoosiers. They did win that contest at home, but only nine-points. As a matter of fact, this is a big revenge situation for the Hoosiers, who lost the last three meetings against the Nittany Lions. As you all know not only is Indiana a perfect 9-0 this season, they've also covered six of their nine contests, which does include their last two road games. They have already recovered numbers this season of 35.5, 47.5, 26.5, and 21-points. Let's not forget they've taken down such notables as Illinois, Iowa, and Oregon. They top the nation in scoring, while ranked third in points allowed. On both sides of the line of scrimmage, they do not possess a weakness. As far as Penn State goes, don't let the headlines for you. Last week’s game against Ohio State was not as close as a 38-14 final score. They were only trailing by three-points at the half, but yet Ohio State came out and shut them down while scoring 21 unanswered points in the last two quarters. They have covered just one game since December 31, riding a 1-9 ATS cold streak. They're passing attack is nonexistent, and they're rushing attack ranks 70th. Yes, they're pretty good at defending the pass, but cannot stop the run at all. I see the Hoosiers and their eighth-ranked rushing attack absolutely steamrolling the porous 84th-ranked run defense of the home team. They're going to wear down the Penn State defense so badly, it will open up their passing attack, and this game will get out of hand by the second half. With only a few games left in the regular season, Indiana must stay perfect, and must keep their foot on the gas to earn those style-points. Oh, and crush PSU to exact some revenge from recent meetings. Being favored by a little over two touchdowns, is a gift. Take the Hoosiers. Thank you.

Memphis Tigers.

Game 118.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

A season ago Tulane possessed one of the best defenses in all of college football. This season, they most certainly do not. Granted, they only allow 22.3 PPG, but they rank 126th against the pass, and 112th against the rush. Following a three-game straight up win streak, in which they covered two of the three games, they took an embarrassing road loss as a favorite at the hands of UTSA on October 30, 48-26. Their weaknesses on the defensive side of the ball were exposed. By the way, this team has only covered one of their last six games played as a visitor, going back to last December. They must go into Simmons Bank Stadium to face I nearly unbeatable foe. The Memphis Tigers are 8-1 overall this season straight up, and coincidentally left, 8-1 against the spread, as well. They are a perfect 4-0 at home, also both straight up and against the spread. Last year's matchup at Tulane, saw Memphis win outright, 34-24, as a 12.5-point underdog. This is a team that is one of six teams in the AAC sporting just one conference loss. They do have a matchup with ECU on the road up next before their season finale at home against Navy. I doubt very much they'll be in a “look-ahead” situation here, as they must keep their foot in the gas, and stay with just one loss going into that matchup with the Midshipmen at the end of November. Obviously, the Green Wave experienced a lot of problems last week against the Roadrunners. They also were outgained against the Blue Devils, and needed a last-minute touchdown to get past the Pirates of ECU. That were also trailing the Black Knights of Army for most of the second half. Now I do not want you to think I don't feel Tulane is a talented team, because they are. I just think they're falling short this season. Going back to Memphis, they possess one of the highest-scoring offenses in college football, averaging over 37.6 points per game, equally good in the air as they are on the ground. I will tell you their pass defense leaves a bit to be desired. But being that they are so strong against the run, I think that would be enough here. They've also snagged 12 takeaways, and only allow 19.9 points per game. On the legs of Branden Lewis, the dual-threat quarterback, and several other talented ball-carriers, this team owns the 13th-ranked rushing unit in college football. They are smart enough to keep the ball on the ground, and wear their opponents defense down, while keeping their opponents offense off the field. They have a stout defense that they will frustrate the Green Wave offense. If this team was going to fold, it would've been the game following their only loss of the season back on October 18, but they didn't fold. They took down South Florida with authority at home 34-31 as an underdog. Their last outing back on Halloween, they devoured the Rice Owls. This team will keep their foot on the gas, get another conference victory, and get one step closer to that big matchup at the end of the regular season against Navy. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

Play: Patriots

Very quietly, the New England Patriots have taken control of the AFC East, and overall, possess one of the conference's best records. At 6-2, the Patriots are becoming a force to be reckoned with. They are one of the hottest teams in the NFL as well, winning and covering five straight games, which does include both games played at home during that span. Meanwhile, a lot was expected of the Atlanta Falcons this season, and they are falling way short of expectations. They're just 3-4 overall, and come off back-to-back losses and no covers. Overall, their defense isn't too bad. But their offense is so horrible, they are getting off the field so quick, that their defense is overworked and fatigued. They account for a dismal, 17.1 points per game. You know what’s funny? Statistically speaking, they can pass the ball, and they can run the ball. But they just can't find a way to get it in the end zone. Meanwhile, Drake Maye very quietly leads the ninth-rank passing attack in the NFL. He does have a solid rushing attack, and let's not forget about the leagues fourth-ranked defense. They are allowing a mere 18.3 PPG. Ride a hot team, and fade a cold one. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

Game 331.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Sitting at five victories so far this season, the Demon Deacons are looking to become bowl-eligible. They have a couple tough opponents remaining on their regular season schedule, but this is an ideal spot for them to shock the world. Yes, they enter this matchup a double-digit underdog, but they also enter this matchup winning three in a row, and covering their last four outings. They catch a Seminoles opponent that is certainly sliding, riding a four-game straight up/against the spread losing streak. Do I think FSU might turn things around this week and play a little tougher? Yes, I think they're going to come out and compete because they know their season depends on this game. Prior to last year's Florida State 41-16 victory over Wake Forest, the Demon Deacons won and covered the three previous meetings. Wake Forest has seen their defense come alive, holding Virginia Tech to 23, Oregon State to 14, and SMU to 12 points. You may not realize this, but they're currently ranked 26th in the nation, yielding in just 18.9 points per game. They do face a well-balanced offense in this matchup. But let's face it, something just isn't right with FSU. This is just way too many points, my friends. Wake Forest is playing too well, and with their surging defense, trust me when I tell you this game will be a lot closer than the point spread. Take the Demon Deacon. Thank you.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.

Game 337.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The Yellow Jackets are finding new and improved ways not just to win, but to cover the point spread, as well. Very quietly, Georgia Tech is a perfect 8-0 straight up this season and has covered six of those eight outings. Meanwhile, the Wolfpack are struggling, dropping and failing to cover two in a row, and four of their last five contests. Yes, NC State returns back home following two away losses and no covers. Georgia Tech currently sits atop the ACC with a perfect 5-0 in conference play, and, can finish out the conference schedule that way, with a road meeting against BC in two weeks, and then a home matchup against Pitt. They do finish the regular season with a nonconference game against Georgia, but that would not affect their conference record. On both sides of the ball, their opponent is outclassed. The Yellow Jackets and their well-balanced offense will dominate the 107th-ranked defense of the Wolfpack, which allows 29.9 points per game. I don't see how a struggling team, despite playing at home, is going to even compete in a matchup against a surging squad which knows they must stay perfect in conference play. Take Georgia Tech. Thank you.

Mississippi.

Game 396.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

The sad sack Gamecocks, came as close as they could this season to getting a big game victory last week, in a losing effort. They were competing with the Crimson Tide until cream rose to the top and Alabama took them down. That was their third consecutive loss, and I believe this team comes back down to Earth to face a monstrous opponent playing on their own field this week. Mississippi, following their only loss of the season, bounce back last week and crushed Oklahoma on the road, 34-26. The Rebels can win out their final four games of the regular season. They face the Gamecocks this week before taking on the Bulldogs of Citadel, the Gators, and then the Bulldogs of Mississippi State on the road to finish the campaign. This is a team that has a monster offense. I know the South Carolina defense is allowing just 21.8 points per game. But their offense is so bad, ranking 117th, and posting a dismal 20.4 PPG. Mississippi will keep their defense on the field. They will wear them down and come the second half the game will get out of hand. I do not see the Gamecocks stop unit even slowing down the Rebels powerful explosive offense. On the flipside, many people forget how good the defense of ‘Ole Miss really is. They have contained some solid offenses this season, certainly a lot better than they're going to face this week. Take the Rebels. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

Big Ten Game of the Year.

Game 340.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

I posted this game early because early money is coming in on the ‘dog, and moved the line down. As usual, the general public is wrong, and together, we are going to prove them all wrong. Reports are Penn State finally covered a game, with their new coach and their new quarterback, who has had the luxury of an off week to get more in sync with his offense, will be a new team here, especially because even during their four-game straight up slide, they were one score away from covering and or winning each one of those games. Furthermore, despite the Buckeyes taking the last eight matchups with the Nittany Lions straight up, not one of those games had a pointspread this high. On paper, the visitor looks like the play here plus the points. But once again, my friends, college football isn't played on paper, it is played on the gridiron, and right now there is no team in the nation on the gridiron playing at the level of Ohio State. Yes, over those last eight wins for Ohio State in this rivalry the largest margin of victory came by 13-points. But the media is certainly forgetting a few things. For starters, the Buckeyes are 13-6 ATS at home since 2023. They too, we're off last week, and many people out there are might've forgotten that since losing to the Wolverines at the end of last season, they have gone 11-0 SU, 10-0-1 ATS, and have big victories over the likes of the Volunteers, Ducks, Fighting Irish, Huskies, Fighting Illini, and two over the Longhorns. This is an early game played Saturday morning. Ohio State currently ranks #1 in the nation, while the Indiana Hoosiers rank #2, as both are undefeated this season. The Hoosiers face off against the Terrapins at 12:30 PST/3:30 EST. They are a huge favorite, as well. Please take note that this game is being played first thing in the morning, 9:00 AM PST/12:00 EST. For the sake of argument, if OSU squeaks by PSU, and later on in the day Indiana crushes Maryland, style-points do count for something. The Buckeyes aren't going to take any chances here. Yes, excitement surrounds the new quarterback Grunkemeyer, and he did have an extra week to prepare here. But he's going up against the best team in college football, with the nastiest, most-ferocious defense we have seen on this level in quite a while. Ohio State has not allowed a single opponent to post better than 16-points this season, allowing a mere, 5.9-points per game. They rank in the top-10 in every major defensive category. The Nittany Lions possess the 110th-ranked passing unit in the nation. They're not all that great on the ground either, although they are decent…decent against the teams they have faced. This will change here against this opponent. I just don't see this young, green, quarterback having any success against the fourth-ranked pass defense in the nation. When he tries to keep the Buckeyes defense honest by handing the ball off, they are met with the sixth-ranked run defense in football, as well. Maybe PSU hung with Iowa, and kudos to them for doing so. But the Hawkeyes are not the Buckeyes. folks. OSU has the ball they are equally dangerous in the air as they are on the ground. They are led by the explosive quarterback, Sayin leading the nation in passing efficiency with 19 TD passes, and only three INT’s. Yes, he goes up against a very tough pass “D”. But he also has the luxury of very strong rushing attack, which will steamroll the 93rd-ranked run defense of their opponent here. Ohio State's remaining regular season schedule, in my opinion isn't very difficult. With Indiana over their shoulders in the polls, they must keep their foot on the gas here. They have Purdue up next on the road before taking on UCLA at home, then Rutgers, also at home, then finishing the regular season against their rival, Michigan on the road. There is no way they are going to take this game lightly, or ease up here at all. Style-points count, and besides, they know history shows this opponent plays them tough. They will flex their muscles and make a statement to the rest of college football. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you.

Central Florida Knights.

Game 359.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Central Florida has started to become healthy, and having a week off after routing West Virginia, is certainly going to help them even more. This team is sitting at 4-3, and he is looking to become bowl-eligible with a couple more victories. This is a matchup the Knights have had circled since the schedule came out as they are looking for revenge from last year's 36-35 heartbreaking loss against the Bears. I am aware Baylor is 4-4, and is also looking to become bowl-eligible. I am also aware they possess the fifth-ranked passing unit in the nation. But I like the matchup for the visitor here. UCF ranks sixth in college football at defending the past. They are also, offensively one of the most consistent rushing attacks in the nation. They face one of the most beatable run defenses out there. The Knights will run the ball, run the ball, run the ball wearing down the Bears defense. On the flipside, Central Florida only allows 17.1 points per game. If you look closely at the Bears, their two best wins came at SMU and Kansas State by combined four-points. Their other two wins were against Stanford and Oklahoma State (YUK). Their defense is struggling. I feel the wrong team is favored in this matchup. But I will take the points with Central Florida. Thank you.

Jacksonville State.

MW MM.

Game 305.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The Gamecocks are only one of two undefeated teams in C USA, and in two weeks have a showdown with the Owls of Kennesaw State, the other team undefeated in conference play. On the other side of the division, the Blue Raiders are only one of two teams that are winless in C USA action, and sport an overall record of 1-6. They have yet to be victorious at home this season, and enter this matchup riding a four-game straight up slide, and overall, have dropped nine of their last 10 outings, going back to last year. They are points spread poison, and really can't have any confidence coming into this game, knowing they lost and failed to cover both meetings over the last two years against tonight's visitor. That's right, Jacksonville State has taken the last two meetings in this rivalry, back in 2023 by 15-points, and 2024, by 22-points. There is no way the Gamecocks will take this contest lightly. They know they have to stay sharp. They average over 12.1 PPG more than the home team, and allow 3.1 PPG less than them, as well. I expect the nation’s fourth-ranked rushing attack of JSU, to absolutely steamroll the very lax run defense of MT State. They will have the luxury of moving the chains on the ground, controlling the tempo and the clock, and keeping their opponents defense on the field. This game will get out of hand, and I think the line is a little short. Oh, BTW, they also enter the game well-rested, coming off a bye week. Take the Gamecocks. Thank you.

James Madison Dukes.

SB GOM.

Game 303.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

James Madison has already earned bowl eligibility. They have four games remaining on their regular season schedule with one nonconference matchup with Washington State, and three divisional meetings. In 11 days from now they go on the road to face Marshall, before going back home to face Appalachian State, then they have that nonconference game also at home, before finishing up the regular season on the road at Coastal Carolina. Both Marshall and Coastal Carolina are solid SBC East representatives. I don't see this team in a look ahead mode or in a letdown situation. I mean, they ed-hot, winning six in a row SU, and covering five of their seven contests this season. They must keep their foot on the gas as they face a Texas State opponent which is winless in SBC play this season, and sports an overall 3-4 record, crushing bettors at 2-5 against the spread. The Bobcats were a good team. But this season they have fallen way short. They are currently riding a three-game straight up losing streak, and overall, have dropped four of their last five straight up, and a are on a five-game ATS no cover streak. They have lost and failed to cover each of their last two games played at home. These teams haven't met in over three years, but that matchup saw JMU prevail, 40-13. Both offenses can score points, my friends. However, you will see the Dukes, and the nation’s eighth-ranked rushing attack, absolutely steamroll the Bobcats 98th ranked run defense. That would be enough. But James Madison's defense is one of the best in the nation, ranking 11th in points allowed, yielding just 15.6 PPG. which is 15.7 PPG less than their opponents defense is allowing. That's right, Texas State’s defense ranks 116th, yielding over 31.3 PPG, equally horrible against the pass as they are against the rush, and have only tallied two takeaways this season. Watch as the Dukes running game controls the clock and the tempo, keeping their opponents defense on the field. When the Texas State offense has the ball, they are going to be contained, and contained well. Take James Madison. Thank you.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

NFC SOUTH GOM.

Game 275.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

With all respect to New Orleans Saints fans, this is one of the worst teams in football. Not much was expected of this team this season, and yet they are still under achieving. They rank 29th in scoring in 27th on defense. Sitting at 1-6 already, and only covering two of their seven outings, this team cannot wait for the end of the regular season LOL. Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are perched atop the competitive NFC South at 5-2. This is a team that's won three of their four road games this season, and look to get back on track following an embarrassing loss just six days ago on the road at the Lions. Prior to that they took down two solid opponents in the Seahawks and the 49ers.This is a team that has a lot of talent, they can pass the ball, make very few mistakes, and possess a solid defense. Coming off that loss last week, they know they need to get back on track with a big victory here, and what better team to face than the lowly Saints. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.

NFC EAST GOM.

Game 272.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Money is starting to come in on the New York Giants, and I understand why. They have split out their last four games, covering three of those four, and have a new attitude it seems. And yes, they did take down this very same Philadelphia Eagles opponent just 17 days ago at home, 34-17. But I'm here to tell you that revenge is a dish best served cold. The defending Super Bowl Champions are 5-2 this season, and began the campaign winning for their first four outings. They lost back-to-back games against the Denver Broncos and as I mentioned a moment ago, the New York Giants before last week’s road win and cover over the Vikings. This is a division game in which the Eagles definitely need. Currently the only team in the NFC East that possesses a winning record against the division opponents is the 2nd place, Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles know they must win this game this week, and even more furthermore, want this victory to exact revenge from the embarrassing loss a few weeks back. I think the Giants are a good story this season, generating some excitement in the New York area. But this is a team that posts just 21.9 PG, while allowing 25.3 PPG. The offense has committed nine turnovers, while their defense does not strike fear in any opponent. On the other hand, the Eagles numbers are slightly better. They're rushing game, there once explosive rushing game has sputtered. But this is a team with a lot of talent, a lot of pride, and a smart coaching staff. They will get their revenge, and get a well needed division victory. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

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New England Patriots.

BEST BET.

Game 274.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Cleveland Browns have dropped five of their seven outings this season, including all three games played on the road in which they have failed to cover all three of those games as well. Yes, they got a victory a week ago at home against the Miami Dolphins. But I think we can all agree, the Dolphins, who sit at just 1-6 this season, are not a very good team. I feel the Browns come back down to Earth this week as they go into Foxborough to face the surging Patriots, who are riding a four-game win and cover streak. Just going by the numbers, New England accounts for 9.8 points per game more on offense, while yielding 2.7 points per game less on defense. Offensively, the Browns pose very little threat. They rank at or near the bottom in every major offensive category. Yes, they do possess a decent defense. But I just don't see them slowing down a New England opponent playing at home, riding a hot streak, and accounting for 32.7 PPG during that span. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 187.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Many people out there didn't give Alabama a thought when it came to them competing for a CFP spot. After they lost their season-opener on the road at Florida State, almost no one thought they would come back an compete at all. However, here we are two months later and this team has rattled off six consecutive wins, and are just a half-point away from covering all six of those games as well. You can't say they didn't face some of the best teams in the country either with victories over such notables as Georgia and Missouri. They also took down the likes of Wisconsin, Vanderbilt, and Tennessee, all with authority. They are undefeated in SEC play this season. They are the only team outside of Texas A&M own a perfect record in conference play. Because of that season opening loss, they cannot afford another defeat at all. They also can't afford a loss in conference action. They face a South Carolina team that's been quite disappointing this year, donning a 3-4 overall record. The Gamecocks have dropped two in a row, and four of their last five outings, which does include two of three games played at home. They have only covered two of their last six contests. This is going to get ugly my friends. Last season's matchup was a little too close for comfort for the Crimson Tide as they won at home, 27-25. They won't take any chances this year. To be quite honest, the way Alabama is playing, they can very well run the rest of the season without a loss. They have LSU up next then Oklahoma then EIU, before they close the season off against Auburn. But they cannot be in a lookahead situation here. They must take this game seriously. There is no way the Gamecocks can possibly keep pace on the scoreboard with their lackluster 107th ranked scoring offense, which posts a mere 22.3 points per game. I don't see it at all. I especially feel this game will haunt them for the rest of the season. The Crimson Tide defense has been stellar, allowing only 17.7 points per game, and snagging seven takeaways already. ‘Bama currently ranks #4 in the nation and remember, style points do count these days. There is no way the gamecock can keep pace here. Take Alabama. Thank you.

California Golden Bears.

Game 115.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

This late in the season and the oddsmakers are still making mistakes. My friends, there is no way the Hokies should be this much of a favorite against the Golden Bears. Cal enters this matchup winning five of their seven outings this season, which does include two wins and covers in their three road games. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech has just two straight up wins this calendar year, and has only covered one game going back to last year. They have failed to cover five straight games plate at home. I look for the emerging star, Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele to absolutely light up the lax pass defense of the Hokies. Virginia Tech is getting plowed for over 29.3 PPG. On the flipside, the Golden Bears defense has gone up against and contained some very good opposition, yielding just 21.9 PPG. I feel the lackluster Hokies offense is going to have trouble putting points on the board in this matchup. By the way, one more victory gives Bowl-eligibility to the Golden bears. Take Cal plus the points. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

Game 471.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

There was a lot expected of the Green Bay Packers this season. With six games played in the regular season, they are living up to expectations. Meanwhile, the Arizona Cardinals are riding a four-game straight up losing streak and I've only covered two of their last five contests. It's true, the Packers have failed to cover their last three outings. But there's a few things that really make me feel strongly that they are going to crush the Arizona Cardinals tonight. First of all, Arizona has a laundry list of injuries. Even if some of their key names do start, they're not going to be 100%. In all sincerity, the Cardinals offense leaves a lot to be desired. They have problems rushing the ball, and their passing game is almost nonexistent. Their defense is mediocre, and they certainly don't strike fear in any opponent’s offenses. Speaking of which, in come the Packers, who rank in the top 10 in just about every major offensive category. But even more importantly, they rarely turn the ball over. That would be enough, but their defense has played extremely well this season, ranking number one against the rush, number 11 against the pass, number five in total yards allowed, and number 10 in points allowed. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

New England Patriots.

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Winners of a three in a row, the New England Patriots have now taken control of the AFC East. Things are starting to come together for the team. You really can't say too many good things about their opponent. Tennessee is just 1-5, and just can't seem to cross the goal line. They rank 31st in the league in scoring, averaging a dismal 13.8 PPG. They've committed 10 turnovers. To be quite honest, they either rank 31st or 32nd in just about every major offensive category. Quarterback, Drake Maye leads one of the top passing offenses in the NFL and is starting to really come into his own. Defensively, this team has tightened up quite a bit this season and are playing great football. They are one of the best in the league against the rush, and are only allowing 20.0 PPG. The Patriots keep winning. Take New England. Thank you.

Colts.

NL PLAY.

Game 468.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

With all respect to my hometown Raiders, they are a really bad football team. Listen folks, you could have a new coach, you could have a new quarterback, you could bring in a new running back, but if the system is flawed, don’t expect any improvements. The Colts are a very good team. They won and covered the first three games of the season prior to last week's heartbreaking tough late loss at the hands of the Rams. I think they bounce back here with something to prove. Raiders only account for a dismal 19.3 points per game, and have committed eight turnovers already on offense. Their defense is horrible, it's overworked… fatigued…. and beatable…very beatable. How are they going to deal with the well-balanced 1-2 punch of Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor? It is just not possible. They cannot keep pace on the scoreboard with Jones, Taylor, and the 4th ranked scoring offense in the NFL, accounting for over 30-8 PPG. This line should be closer to double-digits. Lay it, take the Colts, and take your bookmakers money folks. Thank you.

Iowa State.

TOP RATED.

Game 327.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

My friends, sports betting is all about the value the line gives you. And I'm here to tell you the line in the Iowa State/Cincinnati matchup Saturday morning, is wrong. The Cyclones should be a favorite. This is a team that is a perfect 5-0 straight up this season, and has covered four of their five outings so far. Going back a bit, this team has won six in a row, and nine of their last 10 games, this does include four of five victories played on the road. They possess a defense that's allowing a mere 14.2 points per game, equally strong against the pass as they are against the rush. They've already grabbed six takeaways as well. While I'm not looking to take anything away from the Cincinnati Bearcats, this is a good team. They bounced back from their season-opening home loss at the hands of Nebraska, to rattle of three consecutive wins. However, facing teams like Bowling Green and Northwestern State is a big step down in class, from what they will line up against this week. They did come up big last week on the road and take down Kansas as an underdog. But I think they're in a HUGE letdown situation here guys. Their offense is clicking on all cylinders, it’s true. But they’ve committed three turnovers already. They have a defense that's absolutely horrible against the pass and has yet to create a turnover. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with the Iowa State offense. I mean this is a team that has taken down Kansas State, Iowa and Arizona, with authority already. Their offense is explosive, and their defense is so well balanced, it's hard to find a flaw. Not only does Iowa State win this game outright, they win it with authority. But I will take the points as a gift. Take the Cyclones. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

LATE BAILOUT.

Game 275.

5:20 PM PST/820 PM EST.

Green Bay has dominated Dallas, winning and covering five consecutive meetings in this NFC rivalry. They also come off their first defeat of the season, a heartbreaking road loss at the hands of Cleveland, 13-10. They will come in here angry, and motivated. Did I forget to mention they are also 5-0 at AT&T Stadium? Hmm. The Cowboys have talent. It’s just that much of their talent are sidelined with injuries, and they don't have the depth to replenish those missing players. Speaking of missing players, Micah Parsons makes his return to Dallas. To say he is missed on the defensive side of the ball, would be an understatement. This team now ranks 32nd against the pass, and is getting plowed for over 30.7-points per game, and has only one takeaway. On the flipside, they do have some weapons on offense, and they can score points. But they've also stepped on their own toes quite a few times, committing six turnovers. Green Bay doesn't make too many mistakes, and owns a defense giving up just 14.7 PPG. Jordan Love shines, while Micah Parsons makes Dallas really regret his departure. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Los Angeles Chargers.

GOM.

Game 265.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The big news this week for the 0-3 New York Giants, they move on from Russell Wilson to Jaxson Dart. Without putting pressure on the rookie quarterback, the offense has nowhere to go but up. They rank ninth in passing, 22nd in rushing, 12th in total yards, 27th and points scored, and have already turned the ball over three times. The Giants have no running game to keep defenses honest, or even control the clock, resulting in an overworked, and beaten defense. The New York stop-unit (if you can call that), ranks among the worst in the league just about every major category. Now they have to go up against Justin Herbert and one of the best passing attacks in the NFL. Los Angeles did lose RB, Najee Harris. But backup, Omarion Hampton has what it takes to fill in quite nicely. That would be enough. But the Chargers defense is one of the best in football in every aspect. They are equally strong against the pass, and the rush, and only allow 16.7 PPG. Granted, Jim Harbaugh's team is dealing with some injuries themselves. But they have enough depth and talent to win big here. I am not worried about a West Coast team flying east and playing an early game either. I feel they are throwing the young, Dart to the wolves here. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Indianapolis Colts.

GOM.

Game 451.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Football fans, the Indianapolis Colts are for real. They are only one of four undefeated teams in the AFC, and have already separated themselves from the rest of their division. Sitting at 2-0, the Colts are the only team in the South that possess a winning record. The Jaguars are 1-1, while the Texans and Titans are both winless at 0-2. This is a perfect opportunity for them to further distance themselves from the rest of the division. They enter this matchup with decisive victories over the Dolphins, and the Broncos. They have not just won, but covered both games already thus far this season as well. They will be entering this division matchup with confidence, knowing they have taken the last four meetings with the Titans, both straight up, and against the spread. The last two seasons they swept both series, my friends. Speaking of the Titans, going back to last season they've now lost eight consecutive games, only covering one of those eight contests. They possess an offense that is non-existent, accounting for an average of a mere 15.5 points per game thus far. Their defense has been getting blown out. But this is nothing new for Tennessee. Going back to last season, they have possessed one of the worst defenses in the league. Many out there are may question a dome team (retractable roof) going outside for the first time. But you don't have to be. Indianapolis will continue to pound the ball on the ground, and then pass off the run. This does not bode well for a Tennessee defense that ranks 30th in yards per rush allowed on the ground. On the flipside, the Titans offense has sputtered badly, as I mentioned earlier. Cam Ward has not been sufficient at all, barely completing 50% of his passes. They really have no passing game, and can hardly move the ball on the ground, to make matters worse. Meanwhile, the Indianapolis defense is keeping opponents to under 100 yards per game rushing, and just under 170 yards per game in the air. They've also snagged three takeaways already, while not turning the ball over at all. That is huge in a matchup like this. Especially because their opponent has already turned the ball over three times. Look for Jonathan Taylor to absolutely run amok on the ground, and allow Daniel Jones to open up the passing game. This game gets ugly. Take the Indianapolis Colts. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

Touchdown play.

Game 258.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Whenever NFC East teams face one another, it usually makes for an interesting contest. The Dallas Cowboys played very well in their season-opener last week on the road at the Philadelphia Eagles. To be honest with you, they stepped on their own foot a few times which led to that loss. Had they not made the mistakes that they made, they would've probably won that game. But the Cowboys are the Cowboys (lol). Having said that, they still held their own against the well-balanced defending Super Bowl champions. They face a New York Giants opponent that fell short in their first game of the campaign on the road at the Washington Commanders. But when your quarterback, you're aging quarterback I should add, is your leading rusher, how much offense can you possibly produce? Maybe people bet the Giants last week because they won and covered all three of their preseason games. But that was preseason, and this is the regular season. Once again, they have an offense that just can't score points. Outside of a late season victory last year against an Indianapolis Colts team which happened to pull all their starters, this team had not topped 20 points going back until the first week of last October. The Dallas defense leaves a lot to be desired. Especially without Micah Parsons wreaking havoc. But the New York offense just isn't built to exploit their opponents defense here. How about a little history folks? Dallas has taken eight consecutive meetings in this rivalry, going 7-1 against the number during that span. Playing at home in front of their loyal fans following a season opening loss will further motivate the Cowboys to put a hurting on the Giants here. By the way, one more ATS trend for you stat freaks out there, Dallas is 30-12 against the spread facing NFC opponents with Dak Prescott under center. This line should be higher. Take the Cowboys and take your bookmaker's money.

Philadelphia Eagles.

Thursday Night Winner.

Game 452.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

This isn't just a big game for the Eagles as far as the division goes. Yes, they can jump ahead of a division rival here with a big victory. This is also the first game of the season for the defending Super Bowl Champions to make a statement to the rest of the NFC that they are once again a true force in the conference. This is one of the most complete teams in all the football, my friends. For the Cowboys, as usual, there is excitement coming out of their fan base. But this happens every year. A season ago they finished with just seven wins. They lost and failed to cover both matchups with Philadelphia, being outscored by a combined, 75-13. As a matter of fact, the Eagles have won and covered three of the last four meetings with the Cowboys, which does include both games played at Lincoln Financial Field. I expect Philly to do what they do, run the ball, run the ball, run the ball, and then pass off the run. With the news of Micah Parsons departure from Dallas, the line moved a bit here. Trust me when I tell you, the Cowboys defense is in real trouble tonight. You may remember a season ago Dak Prescott missed both matchups played in this rivalry, and Philadelphia did lose a couple of key starters on the defensive side of the ball in the off-season. But they have the offense, particularly the running game, to grind down their opponent’s defense here tonight, kill the clock, and control the tempo. It's a big number. But I still like the Eagles. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

TOP-RATED PLAY.

Game 178.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Despite a subpar season a year ago, the Michigan Wolverines still finished the regular season winning their final two games, and covering their final three. They then went into a December 31 Bowl game and beat a heavily-favored Alabama Crimson Tide opponent, 19-13. If you recall, this team came out winning their first five games last season. So, they like to start strong under their head coach. By the way, they're going to lose their head coach after next week for a couple of games due to a suspension. With Oklahoma on deck, this team must make sure they have all their ducks in a row here in this matchup this weekend before they go any further and go up against a high-profile opponent in their next game, and then lose their head coach for a few weeks. They must make sure their team is running like a Swiss clock. I know this is a lot of points. But their opponent, New Mexico doesn't have a defense at all. Last season they allowed 35, 61, 45, 38, 40, 37, 45, 17, 49, 16, 35, and 38-points to all their opponents. Meanwhile their offense was so erratic, it tired out their defense. I don't expect this seem to be too much better this season. This is a team that is expected to be the worst in the Mountain West Conference this season. The Wolverines must come out, and make a statement, and crush the Lobos here. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

NO LIMIT PLAY.

Game 211.

12:30 PM PST/3:”30 PM EST.

Last season saw the Alabama Crimson Tide have four defeats. I can't remember the last time ‘Bama dropped four games in combined years, let alone in one single season. They lost three games during the regular season, then as a 16.5-point favorite, they were embarrassed in a December 31 Bowl game against Michigan. That's the last time they took the field. Meanwhile, Florida State comes off a 2-10 season in which they only covered two games as well. Their defense got steamrolled, while their offense was nonexistent. I feel they are in real trouble here in their season-opener. For starters, they turned the ball over quite a bit last season. They must go up against a very highly-touted Crimson Tide stop-unit that was monsters at taking the ball away last year. They're supposed to be even better this year. As a matter of fact, their head coach has brought in a top-five class of recruits and transfers. It's true, the Seminoles are supposed to be better than last year with a good recruiting class of their own from new additions and from the transfer portal. But they can't cover, they have very little overall talent on offense, their defense is suspect, and they face an opponent that is stacked with talent, tradition, and pride. I feel the Tide will roll, no pun intended. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.

Game 102.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

Let's start with the NFC Title game. Early money is coming in on the Washington Commanders, and with good reason. These two teams know each other all too well, sharing the division, the NFC East. The Commanders are riding a seven-game straight up winning streak, in which they have gone 5-2 against the number, while the Eagles have won 14 of their last 15, covering 10 of their last 14 games. These teams have met twice this season, with each home team winning and covering those contests. Yes, Washington is 7-3 away from home this season. But Philly is an astounding, 10-1 at Lincoln Financial Field (talk about a home field advantage. Lol). Obviously, Philadelphia has more players with postseason experience. Let’s put a pin in that, folks. I think we can all agree quarterback, Jayden Daniels has had a storybook season. But the playoffs are a whole different monster. Yes, they beat the top NFC seed, in the Detroit Lions last week. Guys, I feel the Lions came in underprepared, and overconfident. I do feel Washington comes in here in a letdown situation. In their two playoff games thus far, Philadelphia’s, Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts have combined for over 430 yards rushing. Overall, on the season, this team possesses the second-ranked rushing attack in the NFL. This is where the game is going to get out of hand. The Commanders defense, overall although very good, still ranks 30th in the league against the rush. The Philadelphia coaching staff is smart and will have their squad prepared even further for this weeks matchup. On the flipside, the Eagle’s stop-unit has allowed a mere, 17.8 points per game this season. Sports fans, in today's day and age, that is just amazing. They top the league against the pass, and rank 10th against the run. For all the reasons I just laid out, I like Philadelphia here to win and cover, and go on to the Super Bowl. Thank you.

Ohio State.

Game 287.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There is no question the Notre Dame Fighting Irish is a very good team. I personally, have had them quite a few times this season, and have done very well with them. I'm going to take a different approach to this breakdown, my friends. Yes, overall, their regular-season schedule wasn't the toughest. For a team that averaged over 37.7 points per game in he regular-season, during the postseason, the Fighting Irish offense fell way short. Do you think it's a coincidence it's because they faced stronger opponents? I don't think so! They posted 27 against Indiana, 23 against Georgia, and 27 against Penn State. For a team, since there loss back on September 7, that posted 66, 28, 31, 49, 31, 51, 52, 35, 49, and 49, what was so different about their post season opponents? Because they we're all superior to their regular season adversaries. Next, let's talk about their passing attack, which ranks 92nd in college football. They have to go against the nation’s top-ranked pass defense here, which will make their offense very one-dimensional. Having said that, the Buckeyes stop-unit ranks third in college football against the rush. Speaking of Ohio State defense, outside of Oregon, who they played twice, no other opponent posted better than 17 points on them this season. And let's face it, they’ve played some good opponents. One more item I want to make you aware of; these two teams had two common opponents this season; they both played Indiana, in which Notre Dame was a favorite of 6.5-points. But Ohio State was a favorite of 10.5-points. They also both faced Purdue, which the Fighting Irish went off a 7.0-point favorite. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes closed a 37.0-point favorite in that matchup. Why is the line so short here? It's to make it attractive to both sides, folks. That's what the oddsmakers are looking to do, so they get wagers on both teams here, and make their juice. Don't fall for it. Take Ohio State. Thank you.

Eagles.

Game 392.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

Sunday's NFC divisional matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and Philadelphia Eagles.

A mistake most sportsbettor’s make is judging a team from their previous performance. Yes, Los Angeles took down one of the regular-season’s best teams in the Minnesota Vikings, with authority just a few days ago, 27-9. But let's face it, the Vikings might be one of the biggest posers this season. Case in point, how they played the previous week against the Detroit Lions when they needed the victory badly. Let's go back to the Rams. They have won six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. But (and yes there's always a but), but their three previous games were played in basically covered stadiums, not having to worry about weather. Not the case here as they have to travel cross country to Lincoln Financial Field where the weather is going to be cold, cold, cold. Not only that, but the Eagles are one of the best home teams in the NFL, going 9-1 when playing host this season. Let's go back to the Rams, folks. Yes, they have won and covered their four previous games played as a visitor. But those games were on the road at the lowly Jets, the hurting 49ers, the overrated Saints, and the dismal Patriots. Jalen Hurts his back, and the way he looked last week in his return, shows us this offense has returned to full strength. The Eagles are a monster team, folks. And yes, they have something to prove. They post over 27.2-points per game, and allow just 17.8-points per game. While the Rams are pretty darn good. They just don't compare statistically here. There's no way their 22nd ranked run defense can even slow down, let alone contain the machine that is Saquon Barkley. That would be tough enough. But when you throw in the mix the legs of Hurts, they are in downright dire straits here. Offensively, Los Angeles really does rely upon their passing attack. Well, well, well…they must line up across from the NFL's No. 1 ranked pass defense. Let's flip it and talk offense for Philly, my friends. We already talked about how dominating the rushing attack is. But I want touch on AJ Brown. He cannot be happy having just one reception last week in the teams victory over the Packers. I look for him to be a major factor in the air here to make the Eagles offense equally dominant up top as well as on the ground. This will be a double-digit win for Philadelphia at home. Take the Eagles and soar. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

COTTON BOWL WNNER.

Game 285.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Sometimes it is better to be lucky than good. And let's face it, the Texas Longhorns have gotten pretty lucky a few times this season. Case in point, in their last game against the Arizona State Sun Devils. That's not the first-time luck was on their side. However, when you get to this platform, luck runs out. The way the Ohio State Buckeyes are looking with their well coach, disciplined squad, particularly their stellar defense, they are seriously going to outclass their opponent in this matchup. Please understand I when it comes to big games, defense and mistakes play a big part. I think we can all agree that the Buckeyes defense, which tops the nation, yielding just 12.1-points per game is a true force to be reckoned with. With all respect to the Longhorns stop-unit, which does rank fourth in college football, they just aren't on the same level. I also mentioned mistakes. The Texas offense has committed 24 turnovers, and cannot rely upon a steady effort from their field goal unit. Under a touchdown as a gift. Take Ohio State. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

NFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 431.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

The road to the top-seed in the NFC has two possibilities for Detroit. If Minnesota defeats Green Bay on Sunday, the Lions will have to beat the Vikings in their regular-season finale to take the NFC North, and earn the No. 1 spot in the NFC playoffs. If the Packers win, Detroit can lock up the division, and the best record in the conference with a victory here this week. It's true, the Lions defense has surrendered quite a few points over their last several outings. But this team is in a must-win situation, and is a perfect, 7-0 SU as a visitor on the season, covering six of those seven road games. It's hard to believe San Francisco is eliminated from any postseason opportunities, as the 49ers are 6-9 this season. Losing several key players has been fatal to the team. Dropping five of their last six SU, and only covering two of their last nine, the writing is certainly on the wall for San Fran. Despite some solid statistics, the 49ers offense has only accounted for 22.1-points per game this season, and have coughed up the ball a whopping 22 times. I do expect quarterback, Brock Purdy to have some success in the air here. But his ground game will be absolutely shut down against the NFL's third-ranked rush defense. No matter how you cut it, the Lions offense ranks at or near the top in just about every category. I know their defense has given up some points in recent games. But their offense will keep the 49ers defense on the field, and more importantly San Francisco's offense off it. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Los Angeles Chargers.

AFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 407.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Chargers are playing for a higher seed here, while the Patriots are done for the season. Los Angeles enters this matchup having a few extra days to rest, coming off their December 19 road victory at Denver. That ATS cover was there seventh over their last nine outings. Meanwhile, New England is currently just 3-12 on the campaign, dropping five straight coming into this contest, losing by an average of 28.2-points per game during that span. The L.A. defense tops the league, yielding just 18.3-points per game, and snagging 14 takeaways. Things don't look too good for Drake Maye and the New England offense, which ranks 30th in the NFL, posting a dismal, 17.3-points for game, and committing 21 turnovers. Coach Harbaugh will have his team motivated, and certainly has an edge over his counterpart. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Minnesota Vikings.

MNF GOY.

Game 482.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Chicago started the season off 4-2. But are currently riding the third-worst losing streak in the NFL, thanks to our own Las Vegas Raiders, and the New York Giants. Now they have to take it on the road and go into US Bank Stadium to face the 11-2 Minnesota Vikings. A Vikings team that is red hot, riding a six-game win streak. By the way folks, Chicago is winless as a visitor this year at 0-6 on the road, while Minnesota is 6-1 on their own field. Having said that, there's a couple of teams in the NFC that are already set. But a couple more wins can certainly help, and the Vikings are one of those teams. To close out their season, they're at home this week against the Bears, then take it on the road to Seattle, come back to Minneapolis to play Green Bay, and then finish their regular season off, and this might be a big game that decides division, on the road against the Lions. So, a “gimme” win here is big for this team right now, especially against a division rival.  The once-feared Chicago “D” is no more. Their offense is so bad, their defense is overworked and tired. During their current losing streak, they have allowed an average of 25.2 points per game. Minnesota and their well-balanced offense are posting over 26.1 points per game. They have a phenomenal passing attack, and a pretty solid running game. But it is their defense that has been a big reason why they're so successful this season. They rank second against the rush, first in takeaways, and sixth in points allowed. Take the Vikings. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

Game 137.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

The Buffalo Bills wrapped up the AFC East already, and at 10-2, are just one-game behind the conference’s top team, the Kansas City Chiefs. This is not unfamiliar territory for Buffalo. However, as we all know over recent seasons, they have fallen short when it comes down to crunch time. They definitely want a different outcome this season. Many people out there might think that they're going to take their foot off the gas a little bit. But I am here to tell you they would be wrong. Buffalo is one of the hottest teams in football, winning seven in a row, and covering six of those seven. In consecutive games their offense scored 23, 34, 31, 30, 30, 30, and 35 points. Now they go into a domed stadium with perfect conditions. That to me spells doom for the host Los Angeles Rams. Speaking of the Rams, they have dropped their last two games played at home at the hands of the Miami Dolphins and the Philadelphia Eagles. Their defense has looked very vulnerable. They also have the San Francisco 49ers on deck, and can definitely be in a lookahead situation. I mentioned earlier the Los Angeles defense is beatable. They rank 21st in the league in points allowed, 15th against the pass, 28th against the rush, and 25th in total yards allowed. This does not bode well as they're going up against one of the most explosive, and well-balanced offenses in football. Not only that, but the Bills offense makes very few mistakes. On the flipside of the ball, the Buffalo stop unit is only allowing 18.7 points per game, and have snagged 13 takeaways already. Let's face it, we all know the Rams offense solely relies upon their passing game. Well, they're going up against the eighth ranked pass defense in the league. I mentioned earlier, many out there might think Buffalo might take their foot of the gas. But they cannot afford to do so. They want the top seed in the AFC, and they want what comes with it, home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Under a touchdown as a gift. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Notre Dame.

GAME OF THE MONTH TOP PLAY.

Game 437.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Since losing in their second outing of the campaign to Northern Illinois, Notre Dame has very quietly run off nine consecutive wins, going 8-1 against the spread. There is an argument that their schedule was a little less than difficult. So, they must continue to annihilate their last opponent of the regular season here. Let's make no mistake of it, they know USC, and they don't like USC at all. As a matter of fact, going back 10 years, they have taken seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering six of those meetings. This does include last October’s, 48-20 demolishing. Granted, the Trojans are pretty good at home. But they have lost to some less than stellar opponents. I feel they are very vulnerable, and will get a beat down right here today. The Trojans offense relies solely upon their passing game. Well, this does not bode well as the Irish defense ranks number one in the nation against the pass. Oh, by the way they also rank second in points allowed. Take Notre Dame. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

OM GOM.

Game 308.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

Getting off a five-game loss and no cover slide last week, taking down a division rival on the road, will take a lot of pressure off the Dallas Cowboys. Now they face another division rival, and this time they are at home, where they must desperately get a big win to excite their loyal fan base. The Giants are riding their own six-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. They are having quarterback issues to boot. This is an offense that is non-existent. Because of this, their defense is overworked and tired. I look for the Cowboys to make a statement here at home, and turn it up the stretch. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Tennessee.

SEC RS GOY.

Game 379.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Let's go to Saturday in a big SEC matchup between the seventh-ranked Tennessee Volunteers and the 12th-ranked Georgia Bulldogs. My friends, for the life of me, I don't understand why Georgia is laying 10 1/2 points in this matchup. At best, at home at Sanford Stadium I make them possibly a 6 1/2 to a seven-point favorite. The Volunteers sit atop the SEC at 5-1 in Conference play, and 8-1 overall. Yes, Georgia has taken the last seven meetings in this series, straight up covering six of those seven matchups. But this season, they are not the same team that they were over recent years. They have failed to cover all three games played at home in 2024 and, their once mighty defense has sprung a leak. They allowed Alabama to put up 41 on them, Mississippi State to post 31, Florida to put up 20, and Mississippi to put up 28. You guys know the Tennessee “D” has not allowed a single opponent to score better than 19-points this season.  The Bulldogs cannot run the ball, relying solely upon the pass. Well, they have to face the 15th-ranked “D” in the nation against the pass, and overall, they only allow 12.6-points per game. Meanwhile, their gonna’ be in trouble trying to contain the well-balanced offense of the Volunteers, which are averaging over 37.6-points per game. This is the last big test for UT. After this they have UTEP up next, and then they finish the regular season on the road at Vanderbilt. I just don't see them letting their foot off the gas, and getting double-digits is an early Christmas present. Take the Volunteers, my friends. Thank you.

Indiana.

Game 349.

12:30 pm pst/3:30 pm est.

Indiana has something to prove in this matchup. The Hoosiers are 8-0, are only one of two teams in the nation that haven't trailed in any game, and are ranked only 13th in the polls. The Hoosiers have the Wolverines up next at home before a showdown on the road at the Buckeyes. They must win big here and next week before the November 23 meeting with Ohio State. They've covered three of the last five meetings in this series, which does include all three matchups at Michigan State. No matter which quarterback is under center here, their offense has proven that they can move the chains, and score points on just about any opponent. Believe it or not, this team is averaging over 46.5 points per game, equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Furthermore, they've only turned the ball over six times, while their defense, which is seventh in the nation, allowing just 14.1 points per game, has snagged nine takeaways. Michigan State, usually falls flat following a meeting with Michigan. The team has dropped four of their last five, straight up, only accounting for 21.0 points per game, while committing 16 turnovers. Yes, their defense is pretty good, but have allowed six of their last seven opponents to put up a minimum of 20-points. The Hoosiers must keep their foot on the gas. Take Indiana. Thank you.

Oregon.

Game 383.

12:30 pm pst/3:30 pm est.

For Saturday, I'm looking at a high-profile game, between the No. 1 ranked Oregon Ducks and the Michigan Wolverines. Just like me folks, I'm going to’ keep this breakdown very short, and extremely sweet (lol). Yes, my friends, currently the line here is a little bit better than two touchdowns. But the top-ranked, Ducks need to keep their foot on the gas. As you know, they're undefeated at 8-0, and sports fans, they need to stay that way. Moreover, even though the Wolverines aren't what they were, they are still the defending National Champions, and this contest will be on national TV. Obviously, style points count these days. And with their remaining outings against the Terrapins, Badgers, and Huskies, I don’t see them falling short in a look-ahead, let-down situation. Behind Oregon are seven other undefeated squads, all ranked in the top-25. It is the 3rd ranked Penn State Nittany Lions that could certainly jump up in the polls with a victory over the Ohio State Buckeyes Saturday morning, further motivating the Ducks. I don't see Oregon easing up at all here. Please remember, Michigan was the team to beat for so long, and this would be big, big, win for the Oregon. Throw into the mix, with a huge performance here, quarterback, Dillon Gabriel could certainly up his stock in the Heisman voting. The Ducks will make a statement against the Wolverines, and let the rest of the top-10 know, they are the team to beat. Lay the wood with Oregon and take your bookmakers money…QUACK QUACK. Thank you.

Texans.

Game 311.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

The oddsmakers are looking to trap you here. But my friends, we are not going to fall for it. Just because the Texans are a little banged up, they are daring you to play the Jets. Well, New York is a two-point favorite as of posting this game, and are riding a five-game losing streak, both SU/ATS. As a matter fact, they haven't covered a game as a favorite since September 19. Meanwhile, Houston has won six of their eight outings this season, and have covered their last two games played as a visitor. They are also 3-1 ATS their last four overall outings. Looking at this matchup, it is expected that CJ Stroud will have a tough time against the second-ranked passing attack of New York. However, they do have a stronger rushing attack, much stronger. They average over 118.9 yards per game on the ground, as opposed to the paltry, 86.1 yards per game rushing the Jets account for. They will control the clock, and move the chains on the ground to keep the New York defense honest, allowing them to open up their passing game. Please understand, New York cannot score. They are averaging just 18.8 points per game, and have turned the ball over nine times. Now through this point in the season, many offenses have turned the ball over. But the Jets defense has accounted for just two takeaways. Compare that to the Texans stop-unit, which have snagged eight turnovers already. The difference in this game is evident. Take Houston. Thank you.

Washington Commanders.

Game 276.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

My Sunday play is a very interesting one because I feel it is a mistake made by the oddsmakers. Let's talk about the matchup between the Bears and Commanders. Yes, both teams are surprising everyone this season. Washington which is 5-2, which does include a perfect 3-0 straight up and against the spread record at home. is perched atop the competitive, NFC East. NO SMALL FEAT, my friends. Chicago, believe it or not, at 4-2 is in last place in the NFC North. They do own one of the top defenses in football, and are riding a three-game straight up and against the spread hot streak. But let's not get all crazy folks, those three victories were against the Rams, Panthers, and Jaguars, which are a combined 5-15 this season. The line is off here because there's a big question mark on Commanders quarterback, Jayden Daniels. As of Thursday morning, odds are against the standout quarterback to see any action this week. Whether he is or isn't under center on Sunday, only affects the line, and nothing else. His backup, Marcus Mariota… although going up against Carolina last week in Daniels’ absence, looked great, passing for 205 yards, two touchdowns, zero interceptions, and adding another 34 yards on the ground. He is a seasoned quarterback and fits in quite nicely with this offense, and will be a handful if he does play this week. By the way, the Bears are winless on the road this season, at 0-2. And while their own rookie quarterback, Caleb Williams has a lot of people in Chicago excited, he also makes a lot of mistakes. And the way the Commanders defense has been playing, I think he's in real trouble this weekend. The wrong team is favored here. Take the Commanders. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

Game 267.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Green Bay enters this week’s matchup with Jacksonville, one of the hottest teams in the NFC, winning three in a row, and sitting in second place, tied with Minnesota in the NFC North, at an overall 5-2. With the Vikings loss on Thursday night, the Packers have an opportunity to slip into sole possession of second place in the very competitive Division. I feel the Jaguars are in a huge letdown situation here, following their win at home last week against the lowly, Patriots. This is a team that is just 3-7 overall their last 10 outings straight up, and have only covered four of their last 10 outings. They are being outscored by 7.0-points per game this season. While their offense has decent numbers, they have still committed seven turnovers. Meanwhile, their defense is absolutely horrible, ranking 30th in the League, yielding over 27.7-points per game, ranking 31st against the pass, and have only snagged one takeaway. I feel the top-10 passing unit, led by Jordan Love, will absolutely shred the Jaguars secondary here. No matter how you cut it, the Green Bay offense ranks in the top-10 is just about every single category. This does not bode well for Jacksonville. The Packers have the Lions on deck, and I do not see them in a look ahead spot. They must fine-tune their team here so they are ready to take on their rival next week. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

LSU.

Game 165.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The only two undefeated SEC teams square off here, with serious implications down the road. Both Texas A&M and LSU are 6-1 overall, with the Aggies 4-0 in Conference play, and the Tigers 3-0 in SEC action this season. Both teams started the season off with a loss, as both have since run the gauntlet, winning six consecutive outings. LSU has certainly had their way with Texas A&M, taking seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, and nine of the last 10 against the spread. There was a time when the Tigers were a little shaky when they travel. But this season, they are 2-0 as a visitor. Granted, Texas A&M has played a very good football. But I believe they're a bit overvalued coming into this matchup, dropping eight of their last 10 outings against the spread, going back to last November. Meanwhile, LSU enters this matchup covering three straight, and matches up well here. They own the eighth-ranked passing attack in the nation, which will exploit the lax, Texas A&M pass defense. On the flipside, the Aggies are extremely successful on the ground offensively. But they must line up against the stout, 33rd ranked run defense in this matchup. I believe the wrong team is favored here folks. Normally, I would step away from the Tigers when they have the Crimson Tide on deck. But they have an off week next week, and let's face it, ‘Bama isn't a team they once were. Take LSU. Thank you.

Bills.

Bookie Buster.

Game 468.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

I feel this line is way off here, my friends. You've got an Arizona Cardinals team predicted to be one of the poorest in the NFC, opening their season up on the road against one of the best teams in the AFC. Once again last season Buffalo fell short of expectations. I expect them to come out here and prove a point. Let's not forget that last year's regular season opener, they fell on the road in New York, in overtime to a team without their best QB at the helm quarterback (Aaron Rodgers got injured in the first series of the game). They have to come out here and prove a point. Under a touchdown is a gift. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Crusher Play.

Game 384.

4:45 PM PST/7:45 PM EST.

With last week’s lackluster, 27-7 defeat at the hands of UNLV at home as a 3.5-point favorite, Houston has now dropped and failed to cover four straight going back to last season. With some of the top ranked teams in college football already going down or looking vulnerable, Oklahoma, which loves to open a season beating up on lesser opponents, will come out here with something to prove, and make a statement that they deserve to be in the top-10. To insult to injury, the Sooners, which left the Big 12 for the SEC this season, get to take down a representative from their old Conference. Take Oklahoma. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

Game 102.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

Hello friends, in all sincerity, I feel both of these teams deserve to be playing in the Super Bowl. As a matter fact, I predicted in the preseason, that these two teams would be playing for this season’s Lombardi Trophy (notice they named it after an Italian lol). Having said that, with all respect to the San Francisco 49ers and Brock Purdy, they just have proven that they could win at this level. I know Purdy was not there a few years back when the 49ers made it to the Super Bowl. But I still feel that they are a little bit short of what they need to do to win the Super Bowl. Whether you like it or not, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the new Tom Brady and the Patriots. Not only have they gotten here quite a few times over the last several seasons, but they have prevailed on this platform. I have said it before and I will say it again, whatever you did prior to the Super Bowl does not matter. It is a moot point. Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He comes up big in big game situations. If you are worried about the hype about this team not being what they were, or that their defense can't stop the rush, just look at the Conference title game against a Ravens opponent, which happened to be the NFL’s top-rushing offense. They possess a defensive unit that has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 27 points this season. My friends, after the Conference Title win, Patrick Mahomes was interviewed, and made it a point to say that the team was cognizant of being an underdog there. HMMM. How would you feel if you were the heavyweight champion of the world, and yet you faced the new kid on the block and were an underdog? Trust me when I tell you, Mahomes and the Chief will take care of business here and probably win this game outright. But I will take the points to err on the side of caution. Kansas City is the play plus the points. Thank you.

Props

As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value.

PROPS

These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes.

 Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 *

Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 *

 Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 *

Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money

Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110

Total receiving yards by Kittle 49.5. OVER -110 *

Will Kittle score a TD? Yes +170

Total TD passes by Mahomes 2. OVER +170

Will Pacheco score a TD? Yes +120

10)Total receiving yards by Kelce 72.5. OVER -110 *

11)Longest reception by Kelce 21.5 yards. OVER Even Money

12)Total receptions by Kelce 6.5. OVER -110 **

13) Will Kelce score a TD? YES +105 **

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC Championship Game Winner.

Game 319.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

There is no question these are the two best teams in the AFC. However, you cannot ignore the success of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the postseason. As far as Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are concerned, they are certainly a great squad. But let's be honest, when it comes down to the playoffs, Jackson and the team overall, falls a bit short. Trust me when I tell you, Kansas City did what they needed to do on the road in Buffalo last Sunday. Although Baltimore did the same at home against Houston, there is a big difference in the level of opponent from last week to this week for them. The Chiefs are clicking at the right time. They overcame injury issues mid-season. But finished strong, and won and covered both postseason contests. The Ravens have been solid all season long. But at times their defense has shown cracks. I know this somewhat contradicts their top-ranked scoring defense. But hear me out. At times, they showed vulnerability. You cannot say the same for the Kansas City stop-unit. Yes, I am aware that Baltimore's "D" allows just 16.5 points per game, while the KC "D" allows 17.3 points per game. But Kansas City has not allowed a single opponent this season to reach 30 points in scoring (27). Offensively, the Ravens put up more points statistically. They top the league on the ground. But leave a lot to be desired in the air. This is going to be an issue because they are facing one of the toughest pass defenses in football. Kansas City will completely shut down the passing game of Baltimore and allow their defense to key on the running game. The Chiefs have proven they could win a tough game on the road against a solid opponent in the playoffs. They showed us this last week. I also think they are better coached, more disciplined, and a lot more experienced in the postseason. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC JANUARY GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 317.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

Two of the most acclaimed quarterbacks in the NFL are going to be meeting one another for the seventh time. Kansas City and Buffalo have each won three of the previous matchups. However, Patrick Mahomes has bested Josh Allen when it counts, taking both playoff meetings. I don't want to upset any Bill fans. But I've been doing this for a long time, and I want you to know there are fun players, and there are money players. Josh Allen is the first. He puts up amazing numbers every year. But when it comes down to games he must win, let's be honest, the mistakes pile up and the Bills lose. On the other hand, Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He wins when games are on the line. He wins when crunch time is upon him. And he wins in the postseason. No matter what you do during the regular season, when it comes to the playoffs, it is a whole different monster.  I hear people talking about the weather up in Buffalo. But Kansas City is no stranger to cold weather. I know the Bills closed out the regular season one of the hottest teams in the league. And that did include a three-point outright win on the road at Arrowhead in early-December. But giving Mahomes and the experienced, Kansas City Chiefs points in January is a big mistake. Not only will Mahomes be a major difference in this contest. But the consistently solid defense of the Chiefs will be a major factor as well. This is a squad that has yielded a mere, 17.3 points per game, and ranks fourth against the pass. They are going to get a lot of pressure on Allen and force him to make mistakes. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

National Championship Game Winner.

Game 288.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Just like me, I'm going to keep this game analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol). There is no question that both Washington and Michigan deserve to be here. Both completed the entire campaign perfect, at 14-0. Both played and beat the best in their conference title games. I mean the Huskies took down the Longhorns, 37-31 as a 3.5-point underdog. The Wolverines came on strong at the end of the fourth quarter, and then won in overtime against, what many people thought was the best team in the College Football Playoff, the Crimson Tide. There are a few major disparities here. With all respect to Washington, and their top-ranked, passing offense, they have not faced a defense as complete as the one they are lining up against here. Not only is Michigan the most ferocious and well-balanced defense they will have faced this season, but they are equally strong in the air and on the ground. The Wolverines stop-unit leads the nation, allowing just 9.5 points per game, ranks second against the pass, six against the rush, second in total yards allowed, and sixth in takeaways. On the opposite side of the ball, let's face it, the Huskies give up a lot of points. That rank 50th nationally, allowing 23.6 points per game. That's bad enough. But the Wolverines offense is so well-balanced and so dangerous it is impossible to shut them down. They have a smart quarterback at the helm. And I believe that's where the big contrast will be. The Huskies rank 122nd, defensively against the pass. Quarterback, JJ McCarthy is smart, capable, and must be salivating, knowing he's going to pass the ball at will here. Remember, if the Huskies key on the pass attack of the Wolverines, Michigan could then fall back on the rushing attack of Blake Corum. A lot of talk is that head coach, Jim Harbaugh is going to be departing for the NFL after this game. Now these are just rumors. But there's a lot of talk surrounding his future just might just be in Las Vegas. And if that does happen, he also just might be taking his starting quarterback with him. He will want to leave Ann Arbor with a National Title. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

NFC North Game of the Month.

Game 478.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Detroit currently has the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoff picture. But does have an opportunity to step up to the No. 2 seed with a win here and some help. The Vikings playoffs chances are basically hanging on by a thread. Now normally I would be a little apprehensive about a game like this. But Detroit head coach, Dan Campbell announced he will be playing quarterback, Jared Goff, and his starters in this contest. For how long, who knows. But they want this win. They lost a heartbreaker last week on the road to Dallas by one-point. That ended a two game straight up win streak. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three consecutive games. They don't want to go into the postseason on a two-game slide. They need a big ego boost here. And what better team to face than their hated division rival, which happens to be on a three-game slide straight up themselves. As a matter fact, they've lost five of their last six straight up. failing to cover five straight. One thing for sure, with the announcement that Nick Mullins will start at quarterback for the Vikings, you can expect the Lions to throw a lot of different schemes at him with their very talented defense. On the flipside of the ball, Goff is going to have his best performance of the regular season because most of Minnesota secondary is either banged-up or out here. FYI, Detroit has taken three of the last four meetings in this series straight up and six in a row against the number. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

NFC South Game of the Month.

Game 479.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Tampa Bay controls their destiny here folks. In other words, they win and they are in the playoffs. Let's throw away the fact the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS as a visitor this season. Let's throw away the fact Carolina has been eliminated from any postseason chances quite a while back. Throw away the fact that this home team is just 2-14, which is the worst record in the NFL this season. And throw away the fact that Carolina is also just 1-4 SU against division opponents this season. The Buccaneers are a smart, well-coached, disciplined squad, certainly outclassing their opponent in this matchup. They were riding a four-game straight up win streak prior to last weeks, 23-13 loss on the road at the Saints. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three in a row. They have dominated this division rivalry, taking eight of the last 10 meetings, straight up, and covering seven of those 10 matchups. The Panthers aren't going to jeopardize any of their significant starters here. And let's face it, even if they were going to play all out, they just don't have the personnel to contend here. If they did, they wouldn't have finished this season with the worst record in football. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.