Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2 | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show | |
The Super Bowl LVIII is set to be a thrilling game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers on February 11, 2024. The Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes, are looking to become the first team to win back-to-back Lombardi trophies since the New England Patriots in 2003 and 2004. They finished the regular season 11-6, winning the AFC West title for the eighth consecutive season. Their journey to the Super Bowl included victories over the Dolphins, Bills, and Ravens, making them currently 14-6 S/U and 12-7-1 ATS. On the other hand, the 49ers, led by Brock Purdy, are seeking to avenge their Super Bowl 54 defeat and capture the organization's first Super Bowl win since Super Bowl 29 nearly 30 years ago. They finished the regular season with a 12-5 record and defeated the Packers and Lions in the playoffs to advance to the Super Bowl with a 14-5 record and 9-9-1 ATS mark. You can make an argument for either side here on Sunday. 49ers had some practice issues as they had to practice outdoors in rainy conditions at the old UNLV turf which isn't very good. Meanwhile, the Chiefs got the state-of-the-art facility that the Raiders use for their practice facility. This one looks to come down to which team makes the better adjustments at halftime and with that I have to go with the Chiefs and Andy Reid. This game is expected to be a clash of the Chiefs' experience and the 49ers' resilience. It's going to be an exciting match to watch! But for me, I'm on the Chiefs both with the 2-points and straight-up. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 149 h 41 m | Show |
There must be some kind of curse on Buffalo Bills kickers in the postseason. Those misses back in the Super Bowl days on Sunday Buffalo's Tyler Bass missed the game tying 44-yard field goal with 1:47 left in the 4th quarter. Once again we get the Kansas City Chiefs surviving and heading the the AFC Championship. Patrick Mahomes was 17 of 23 for 215 yards and two TD's for the Chiefs connecting on both TD's to his favorite target, Kelce. Kelce had five receptions for 75 yards and those two TD's. Josh Allen was 26 of 39 for just 186 yards and one TD. He also led the team in rushing with 12 rushes for 76 yards and two TD's. The Ravens had little trouble with the Houston Texans on Saturday, winning 34-10. The game was tied at half, 10-10, but the Ravens pulled way in the second half for a 24-0 run. QB Larmar Jackson had two passing and two rushing TD's in the win. He also led the team in rushing with 100 yards. Now we get two see two of the most dynamic QB's in the game matchup here on Sunday. KC proved that they can win a playoff game on the road with Mahomes, their first on the road with him. Now he has to do it again for the Chiefs to return to the Super Bowl. For me, this one is a no-brainer, I'm taking these points with the Chiefs as my NFL Game of the Year and expect a straight-up win. |
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01-21-24 | Bucs +6.5 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay pulled one of the big upsets last week by drubbing the Philadelphia Eagles in the Wildcard round, 32-9, as a 3-point dog. The Bucs have momentum, closing the regular season with five straight wins and then their playoff win last week. They had 426 yards vs the Eagles to just 276 yards. The Detroit Lions own their first playoff game in more than 30 years with their win over the Rams, 24-23. The Lions have the 2nd ranked passing offense in the league and 5th in rushing. One area they are lacking is scoring defense, where they rank 23rd with a 23.2 ppg allowance. These teams met back in October with Detroit taking that one in Tampa Bay, 20-6, as a 3-point favorite. The one issue when you lay this many points is when the team can't really stop anyone. And, teams have moved the ball against the Lions in the last eight or so games. The Lions have given up 300 or more yards passing in four straight games. I look for the Bucs to hang around in this one. Too many points to lay with a team that has the momentum that Tampa Bay has. Take the Bucs here on Sunday. |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers OVER 50.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers will host the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Divisional playoffs. The 49ers got the bye last week after finishing the season 12-5 S/U and 9-8 ATS. Green Bay pulled off one of the biggest upsets last week when they went to Dallas and beat the Cowboys handily. They jumped out to a 27-0 lead on the Cowboys. The Offense finished the year 12th in scoring with a 22.5 ppg average. They were much better down the stretch, scoring 33 or more points in three of their last four games. They also went over in four of their last five games and have a 11-7 O/U record on the season. The 49ers were 12-5 S/U and 9-7 ATS with an over/under of 9-7-1. They averaged 28.9 ppg while allowing 17.5 ppg. The 49ers lost their final game, 20-21 to the Rams and went over in three of their last four games. They were 5-3 O/U at home this year. The Packers offense has been outstanding of late and the 49ers we know can score. I'll take the OVER today. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 43 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Eagles limp into the playoffs. After what looked like a sure thing for them to win the NFC East, they lost it to the Dallas Cowboys because of a 1-5 s/u stretch to finish the season. That culminating in a loss at the NY Giants, 10-27, as a 5-point favorite in the final game. They are also 0-6 ATS to finish the season. The once very good defense allowed at least 20 points in each of those last six games and over 30 in three of those games. QB Jalen Hurts comes into this game banged up with a injured finger on his throwing hand and his top target, AJ Brown is questionable with a knee injury. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay comes into this Wildcard game with momentum. They Bucs have won five of their last six and covered four of the last five. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.1 ppg on the season. QB Baker Mayfield is also banged-up as he has a bad ankle. That's not good for an offense that ranked just 20th in scoring. They also finished last in rushing so Mayfield needs to be on his game today if they hope to win. Too many question marks on both these offenses today. I'm taking the under in this one. |
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01-15-24 | Steelers +10.5 v. Bills | 17-31 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
This game had to be moved from Sunday because of blizzard conditions in Buffalo with winds gusting to hurricane levels of 75 mph. The weather won't be great on Monday either. There will still be a chance of snow with temps in the teens. But the winds will be much calmer near 10 mpg. Buffalo had to beat Miami last week to get this home game and not go to frigid Kansas City as the Dolphins did. The Steelers finished the season with three straight wins and got in the playoffs by beating Baltimore to close out the regular season. They finished 10-7 overall and look for a road upset today. Buffalo had to win its final five regular season games to win the division and finished 11-6. The Bills offense struggled to finish drives vs Miami, but got enough done to get the win. The Bills are 8th in the league in passing and 7th in rushing. Buffalo has a number of players on the injury report including some key players on defense. Both teams come into this game with momentum. The weather conditions could play a part and this is a big line to fade for any NFL team, let alone a playoff game. I'm taking the points here today. Play Pittsburgh. |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
NFC Wild Card action continues here on Sunday evening in Primetime as the LA Rams take on the Detroit Lions. The Rams finished the regular season at 10-7 S/U and 10-6-1 ATS. The interesting thing is that QB's from both teams face their former team as Rams Matthew Stafford faces the Lions and Jared Goff of Detroit faces the Rams. The Rams had a successful season since they weren't expected to win more than 6 games or there about. The Rams are peaking now too, which is to their benefit as they bring lots of momentum into this playoff game. The Rams were 8th in the NFL in scoring with a 23.8 ppg average. The Lions were 12-5 S/U and ATS to finish the regular season. The last time the Lions won a division crowns was back in 1993 when the NFC North didn't even exist. Goff was 2nd in the NFL in total passing yards, 269.1 ypg and had 30 TD's with just 12 INT's. The Browns were 5th in scoring this year with a 27.1 ppg average. The Lions passing defense is their weak point as they ranked just 27th in the NFL compared to the Rams 10th ranked pass defense. The Rams also hold a coaching advantage with Sean McVay. Detroit HC Dan Campbell is a candidate for Coach of the Year, but McVay has been to the Super Bowl. The Rams momentum and experience could be the deciding factors in this game. I'll take the points with the Rams. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys OVER 50.5 | Top | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
The NFL Super Wildcard playoffs continue here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys welcome the Green Bay Packers to town. The Packers are the 7th seed in the NFC with a 9-8 record. The Cowboys finished with the #2 Seed in the NFC and won the NFC East. Jordan Love led the Packers with over 4,000 yards passing and 32 TD's. Love has lots of targets on the offense including a pair of tight ends. The Packers are young and inexperienced though with the youngest roster in the NFL. They are 12th ranked in the NFL in points scored and 9th in rushing offense. Aaron Jones return to the lineup has greatly improved the rushing attack. The Packers also have the top scoring offense in the third quarter of games this year. The defense will have its hands full on Sunday with the high flying Dallas offense. Dallas is 8-0 at home this year with a 21.5 point scoring differential. Dak Prescot leads the offense with over 4,500 passing yards and a league best 36 touchdowns. Ceedee Lamb set a Cowboys team record in receptions and yards. The Cowboys have the top ranked scoring offense in the NFL and at home average 37 points per game. Love should get his shots too and I expect this game to go OVER the total on Sunday. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs UNDER 43.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Miami had a chance to play at home in nice weather, but a loss to the Bills last week thrust them into this wild card slot and a trip to frigid Kansas City today. Preliminary weather has bitter cold at -10 degrees at kickoff and a potential wind chill around -30 degrees with winds 10-20 and gusting higher. Not a great door prize for Miami losing last week. That makes this game more about mental mindset then stats or physical. Chiefs HC Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are 4-2 vs the spread in playoff games since 2021. They also have the experience of two Super Bowls. Miami comes in with inexperience in postseason and a 1-3 ATS as road dogs this year. The weather will be the great neutralizer to the Dolphins speed and will keep the score from getting out of hand. With blustery snow, high winds and that freezing wind chill this all lends toward a lower scoring game. I'm taking the under as both teams should have issues moving the ball and scoring with further impacts on the field goal lengths also. Play UNDER. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Miami had a chance to play at home in nice weather, but a loss to the Bills last week thrust them into this wild card slot and a trip to frigid Kansas City today. Preliminary weather has bitter cold at -10 degrees at kickoff and a potential wind chill around -30 degrees with winds 10-20 and gusting higher. Not a great door prize for Miami losing last week. That makes this game more about mental mindset then stats or physical. Chiefs HC Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are 4-2 vs the spread in playoff games since 2021. They also have the experience of two Super Bowls. Miami comes in with inexperience in postseason and a 1-3 ATS as road dogs this year. The weather will be the great neutralizer to the Dolphins speed and will keep the score from getting out of hand. With blustery snow, high winds and that freezing wind chill this all plays into the Kansas City Chiefs hands. I'll take the Chiefs today. |
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01-13-24 | Browns -2 v. Texans | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
These teams met back on Christmas eve as the Browns defeated the Texans, 36-22 in Houston. WR Amari Cooper set a Browns record with 265 yards receiving. Cleveland comes in winners in four of the last five games. They lost in the last week of the regular season as they rested most of their starters. The Browns have QB Joe Flacco at QB who has Super Bowl experience with Baltimore. The Texans got to the playoffs behind exciting Rookie QB CJ Stroud. They had to beat the Colts in the final week of the season to get here and they did, 23-19. Though they had to hold the Colts on 4th down inside the redzone that could have been the difference in that game. Stroud plays in his first NFL playoff game. How will he do against veteran Flacco? He will face a very good Browns defense and will face a lot of pressure in this game. The Browns have done well as the favorite, going 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS on the season. I like the experience and defense of the Browns in this game. Play Cleveland. |
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01-07-24 | Eagles v. Giants +5 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
NFC East clash here on Sunday as the NY Giants welcome the Philadelphia Eagles to the Meadowlands. The Eagles have been terrible lately on the road and overall. They have lost two straight away from home and lost last week at home to the Cardinals, 31-35 as a 12.5-point favorite. The Giants gave the Rams all they could handle last week, but just came up short in a a 25-26 loss as a 6.5-point dog. The Eagles looked to have the NFC East won, but their poor play down the stretch has relegated them to a wild card now. Unless the improbable happens and the Cowboys lose at home to the Commander, which I don't see happening. The Giants have lost three straight and last week summed up their season, as they missed the winning field goal in the final seconds in that loss to the Rams. It looks like the Eagles will play Jalen Hurts here, I'm not sure why. If the Cowboys jump out to any big lead I'm sure we'll see the Eagles pulling starters left and right here. The Giants have played with some guts as they did vs the Rams last week. I'll take the points in this one as the Eagles lose interest in the 2nd half. |
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01-07-24 | Bucs -4 v. Panthers | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
The final week of the season sees the 8-8 Tampa Bay Bucs taking on the 2-14 Carolina Panthers in a NFC South clash. Tampa Bay is coming off a lackluster home loss to the Saints last week, 13-23. The Bucs had just 57 rushing yards though QB Baker Mayfield did get 309 yards passing and Two TD's. The fate is still in the Bucs hands though. A win here today and they claim the NFC South and that playoff spot. The Panthers have nothing but pride to play for here today. They have lost two straight since that win over the Falcons, 9-7. They were shut out last week by the Jaguars, 0-26. The Panthers had just 124 total yards in that loss. Rookie QB Bryce Young has been a major disappointment this year and last week was par for the course as he went 19-of-32 for 112 yards and an INT. This one is easy for me. The Bucs have it all to play for against a very bad Panthers team that has nothing to play for. The Bucs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. I look for an easy Tampa Bay win here on Sunday. |
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01-07-24 | Jets v. Patriots -1.5 | 17-3 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
The Ny Jets and the New England Patriots will finish their respective seasons here on Sunday. The Jets are 6-10 while the Pats are 4-12. The Jets lost last week to the Brownss while the Pats gave the Bills all they could handle. Seems like yesterday that QB Aaron Rodgers went down in the first 75 seconds of the season with that Achille's Heel injury. Since then the Jets have had all kinds of issues at QB and covered just one of their last five games. The Patriots look to finish this miserable season on a up note, winning their last game. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games. Is this the end of an era in New England as Bill Belichick is done in Foxboro? If so, then the Patriots will want to send him out on a winning note. Take New England. |
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01-07-24 | Browns v. Bengals -7 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
The final week of the regular season is here, boy how fast it goes. And today we have a battle of Ohio as the Browns take on the Bengals. Hard to believe these teams met way back in week one. Now Joe Flacco is the Browns QB, who would have thought that? Browning is the Bengals QB as Burrows was lost to a season ending injury. The Browns have clinched a playoff spot, so don't expect much from them here today. The Browns beat the Jets last week, 37-20 for their 11th win of the season and the Wild Card slot. The Bengals playoff hopes ended last week with their loss to the Chiefs, 17-25. Really it comes down to who wants to play today. I think the Bengals play for some Ohio pride today as the Browns just look to get out of this one healthy. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts OVER 47.5 | 23-19 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Last week of the NFL regular season begins here on Saturday. We have to be careful of which teams have nothing to play for and might sit players. This game today has Houston Texans playing at the Indianapolis Colts. While this is the last week of the regular season, this game on Saturday is like a playoff game. The winner is in, the loser is out. Houston lost to the Colts back in week 2 and looks to avenge that loss and propel themselves into the playoffs today. Rookie QB CJ Stroud has led the Texans to the brink of the playoffs. The Texans are fourth in passing and average 22.1 ppg this season. The defense, which gave up 31 points to the Colts in the first meeting, is ranked 13th in scoring with an average of 20.9 ppg allowed. The Texans main issue is passing defense where they rank 30th. Meanwhile, the Colts average 23.6 ppg which is good for 10th and at home they average 26.5 ppg. The Colts have scored at least 21 points in every home game. Like the Texans, the issue for this Colts team is on defense, where they are 27th in points allowed (24.5 ppg). At home that number goes up to 25.8 ppg allowed. This game looks to me to be a real shoot out. Both teams will pull out all the plays from the playbook for this one. I love the over here today. PLAY OVER. |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 46 | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 59 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers just got by the Carolina Panthers last week, winning 33-30 on the road as a 3.5-point favorite. That makes five straight games the Packers have gone OVER the total. The Packers average 22.2 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. They also average 331.4 ypg and allow 352.9 ypg. However, over the last five their low score was 20 points and they had 27 or more in three games. The defense also hasn't been good. In addition to the 30 points the lowly Panthers sored, that is 64 points allowed over the last two weeks. The Vikings lost a tough back and forth game last week at home to Detroit, 24-30, as a 2.5-point dog. The game went over for the second straight week. The Vikings and Packers are now both tied for 2nd place in the NFC North at 7-8. They average 20.9 ppg and allow 19.9 ppg. Both teams have been over achieving lately on offense while their defenses have not played well. I expect plenty of points in this one today. Take the OVER. |
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12-31-23 | Rams -6 v. Giants | 26-25 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are 8-7 and tied for 2nd place in the NFC West. The Rams are the No6 Seed right now in the NFC. The Rams greatly improve their playoff chances with a win here today at the NY Giants. They have won five of their last six games to breath life back into their playoff hopes. The Rams average 23.8 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. However, if you just look at their last five games, they have scored at least 28 points in every game. Their one loss that OT loss at Baltimore, 31-37. The Giants have nothing to play for as they sit 5-10 with the Rams today and the Eagles next week. The can play the role of spoiler though. They are coming off a loss at Philly last week, 25-33, covering the 14-point dog line. They have gone over inf three of their last five games. If the Rams continue their recent play then they should be able to score a lot of points here on Sunday. I'll take the OVER in this one. |
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12-31-23 | Rams v. Giants OVER 43.5 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are 8-7 and tied for 2nd place in the NFC West. The Rams are the No6 Seed right now in the NFC. The Rams greatly improve their playoff chances with a win here today at the NY Giants. They have won five of their last six games to breath life back into their playoff hopes. The Rams average 23.8 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. However, if you just look at their last five games, they have scored at least 28 points in every game. Their one loss that OT loss at Baltimore, 31-37. The Giants have nothing to play for as they sit 5-10 with the Rams today and the Eagles next week. The can play the role of spoiler though. They are coming off a loss at Philly last week, 25-33, covering the 14-point dog line. They have gone over inf three of their last five games. If the Rams continue their recent play then they should be able to score a lot of points here on Sunday. I'll take the OVER in this one. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions are 11-4 and have locked-up the NFC North, the first time this has happened in 30 years. The Lions visit Dallas in what might be a NFC Playoff matchup here in a few weeks. The Lions will get at least one home playoff game and maybe more depending on these last two weeks. They still can get the #1 seed. Detroit is fifth in the NFL in scoring offense and third in total offense. The defense isn't as good, ranked 24th in points allowed and 15th in total defense. The Cowboys road woes continued last week after losing two weeks at Buffalo, 10-31, they lost last week at Miami, 20-22. They return home today where they are 7-0 S/U and 6-1 ATS and outscoring their visitors by a staggering 24.4 point margin. The Cowboys have been dominating at home and I don't see any reason for that to change here today. They are one game back of the Eagles in the NFC East and have lowly Washington next week. Take Dallas here on Saturday. |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers OVER 46 | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
Late game of the three NFL games here on Christmas Day has the Baltimore Ravens taking on the San Francisco 49ers. Both teams come into this game 11-3 S/U while the Ravens are 9-5 ATS and the 49ers are 8-5-1 ATS. The Ravens are 2-games ahead of the Browns in the AFC North. They average 27.4 ppg and allow 16.1 ppg. They also average 374.1 ypg and allow just 287.9 ypg. After tonight's contest, the Ravens will return home to face the Dolphins and then finish up at home vs the Steelers. The Ravens have won four straight games and are 3-1 ATS. They are coming off a win at Jacksonville last week, 23-7, as a 4-point favorite. Meanwhile, the 49ers have won five straight games, going 3-2 vs the spread. They have been very good on offense, scoring at least 27 points in all five wins. They average 30.4 ppg overall and allow 16.7 ppg. The 49ers have the NFC West wrapped up as the Rams are a distant 2nd at 8-7. After today the 49ers will go to Washington to face the Commanders and then return home to face the Rams. Both these teams have excellent offenses that have been clicking of late. I'm going to take the OVER here on Christmas night. |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -1.5 | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys play Miami today in what becomes more serious times for the Cowboys. They are 10-4 and tied for first with the Eagles in the NFC East. However, they are coming off that big loss to the Bills last week, 10-31. Now they have to face another big offensive AFC team in Miami. The Cowboys average 30.8 ppg while allowing just 18.9 ppg. They also average 368.1 ypg while allowing 294.3 ypg. The Cowboys will play at home vs Detroit next week before finishing up at Washington. The Miami Dolphins are also 10-4 S/U and 9-5 ATS. They are in 1st place in the AFC East, 2-games ahead of the Bills. They don't have an easy road here at the end with Dallas today, at Baltimore next week and then home vs Buffalo in the final week. The Dolphins average 31.5 ppg and allowing 21 pg. They are coming off a shutout win last week over the Jets, 30-0, as a 7-point favorite. They held the Jets to just 23 yards rushing and 80 yards passing for 103 yards. Miami not in danger yet, but they don't have things wrapped-up either. I'll take Miami here at home on Sunday. |
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12-24-23 | Jaguars v. Bucs +1.5 | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are close to securing a playoff spot, something unheard of just a few weeks ago. Tampa Bay is 7-7, but that is after winning three straight games from being 4-7. They are now in first in the NFC South, a half game ahead of the 7-8 New Orleans Saints and one full game ahead of the Falcons. That makes today's game huge for the Bucs. Tampa Bay averages 21.1 ppg while allowing 20.7 ppg. They also average 314.9 ypg while allowing 359.9 ypg. After today's contest is the big one next week vs the Saints and then they finish up at Carolina. The Jaguars are 8-6 both S/U and ATS. They are in a 3-way tie for the AFC South division lead with Houston and the Colts. The Jags average 22.8 ppg while allowing 22.4 ppg. After today they finish against Carolina and then at Tennessee. The Jags have lost three straight games including last week vs the Ravens, 7-23. Both teams really need this game, but with the Bucs on a winning streak and the Jags on a losing streak, I'll stick with the home team here today. Play Tampa Bay. |
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12-24-23 | Lions v. Vikings +3 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 41 m | Show | |
A NFC North battle here on Sunday has the 10-4, first place, Detroit Lions taking on the 7-7, second place Minnesota Vikings. The Lions are coming off a big win over the Denver Broncos, 42-17. That rebounded from the loss the previous week at Chicago, 13-28. The Lions have alternated wins and losses the last four weeks, going 2-2, both S/U and ATS. The Lions have to face the Vikings twice in the last three weeks with Dallas sandwiched in between. The Vikings could tie the Lions if they win out and Detroit losses the last three games. Detroit averages 27.3 ppg while allowing 23.6 ppg. They also average 394.4 ypg and allow 320.9 ypg. The Vikings playoff chances to a hit last week when they lost in OT to the Bengals, 24-27. They led big in the 2nd half but the Bengals rallied to tie and force OT. The Vikings offense ranks 11th in the NFL while their defense ranks 13th. The Vikings have lost three of their last four games and are 2-1-2 vs the spread the last five. The Vikings need this game badly if they hope to have a chance at the postseason. Plus we get the Vikings at about a field goal home dog here. I'll take the Vikings plus the points. |
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12-24-23 | Browns v. Texans OVER 40 | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns are 9-5 S/U and 9-5 ATS with a 7-6-1 o/u mark. The Browns are in 2nd in the AFC North, 2-games back of the Baltimore Ravens. With the Bengals losing on Saturday, that gives them a bit of breathing room. The Browns finish up next week at home vs the jets and then at Cincinnati. They average 22.1 ppg and allow 20.6 ppg. The Browns will rotate QB's with Joe Flacco and Dorian Thompson-Robinson. They are coming off a win over the Bears last week as a 2.5-point favorite, 20-17. That's two wins in a row since they lost two in a row. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The strange this is that at home they are 1-6 Over/Under, allowing 13.1 ppg and on the road they are 6-0 Over/Under and allow 30.7 ppg. The Houston Texans are 8-6 S/U and 7-7 ATS. They are tied for first in the AFC South with the Colts and Jaguars. After today they finish up with divisional games vs the Titans and then a big game at the Colts to finish up. The Texans average 21.9 ppg and allow 21.1 ppg. They are coming off a win at Tennessee, 19-16, as a 3-point favorite. The Texans are 5-2 S/U and 3-4 ATS at home this year. Their home games have averaged 45.3 points. The total here today is right at 40 and I look for both teams to score points. The Browns play bad road defense so I look for the OVER here today. |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -1.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
The weather might be in the Bills advantage here on Sunday as Rain is expected with winds at least 15mpg and gusting higher. That could hurt the Cowboys potent pass attack. Dallas is 10-3 S/U and 9-4 ATS on the season. They are tied with the Eagles in the NFC East for first place but have a tough schedule the rest of the way. After today's game at Buffalo they go to Miami and then return home to face the Lions before a final road trip to Washington. With three of their last four on the road it could be a tough route for the Cowboys to the division title. Dallas is 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The offense has been great, scoring at least 33 points in each of those five wins. They are coming off a win over the Eagles, 33-13 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Bills are 7-6 S/U and 5-8 ATS and right now are on the bubble to make the playoffs. The Bills were one of the preseason favorites to make the Super Bowl. Now, they are fighting for a playoff spot. Five teams in the AFC were tied at 7-6 and the Bengals won on Saturday to go to 8-6 as did the Colts. They also trail 1st place Miami by two games in the AFC East. After today they face the Chargers and Patriots (both should be easy wins) and finish vs the Dolphins, which could be for the division with some luck. As for today, the Bills will hope for as bad as weather as they can get. I'll take the Bills here today who need a win badly. |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams -6.5 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
The Washington Commander won't make the postseason this year as they sit at just 4-9 overall and 5-7-1 vs the spread. The Commanders average just 20.1 ppg while allowing 30.4 ppg. They also average 336.1 ypg and allow 379.8 ypg. The Commanders will finish their season with a game at the Jets next week then home vs the 49ers and finish the season home vs the Cowboys. They have lost four straight games and are 1-3 ATS in those games. They are coming off a loss at home to Miami, 15-45, as a 8.5-point dog. The defense has not been good, allowing 90 points the last two games and at least 29 points in each of their last four games. The Rams had their three game win streak snapped last week at Baltimore. They fought the Ravens into OT and lost on special teams as Baltimore ran back a kick for a TD. The Rams offense has really been in high gear of late, scoring 31, 36 and 37 the last three weeks. At 6-7, the Rams chances of making the playoffs are not great, but they are around 40% at this point. A loss today almost assures them of not making the playoffs. The Way the Rams offense is playing and how bad the Commanders defense has been, I'll take the Rams here today. Play LA. |
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12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns UNDER 38 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears won their second straight game last week with a big home win over the Detroit Lions, 28-13, as a 3-point dog. The Bears were my NFC North Game of the Year Winner. The Bears are also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. The Bears average 20.8 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. They also average 324.2 ypg and allow 314.5 ypg. The Bears are 5-8 overall and in last in the NFC North. They will hit the road here today to face the Browns in Cleveland. Always have to look at the weather in Cleveland. It's going to be in the 40's with rain showers and winds from 15 Mph. The Cleveland Browns snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win over Jacksonville last week, 31-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That improved them to 8-5 both S/U and ATS. The Browns have been very good at home, 6-1 S/U and ATS and out score their visitors by a 20.6 to 12.6 margin. The Browns have the best defense in the NFL, allowing 263 yards per game. That combined with the weather will be the key to this game going UNDER the total. Play UNDER. |
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12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
The Chicago Bears won their second straight game last week with a big home win over the Detroit Lions, 28-13, as a 3-point dog. The Bears were my NFC North Game of the Year Winner. The Bears are also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. The Bears average 20.8 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. They also average 324.2 ypg and allow 314.5 ypg. The Bears are 5-8 overall and in last in the NFC North. They will hit the road here today to face the Browns in Cleveland. Always have to look at the weather in Cleveland. It's going to be in the 40's with rain showers and winds from 15 Mph. The Cleveland Browns snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win over Jacksonville last week, 31-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That improved them to 8-5 both S/U and ATS. The Browns have been very good at home, 6-1 S/U and ATS and out score their visitors by a 20.6 to 12.6 margin. The Browns have the best defense in the NFL, allowing 263 yards per game. That combined with the weather will be all the Browns need in this game. Play Cleveland. |
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12-16-23 | Vikings v. Bengals -3 | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings improved to 7-6 after a snooze-fest win last week over the Raiders, 3-0. After today's game at Cincinnati, the Vikings will finish against the Lions and Packers at home before their season finale at Detroit. Their win last week snapped a 2-game losing streak vs Chicago, 10-12, and at Denver, 20-21. The Vikings can still make the playoffs, but those odds will drop with a loss today vs the Bengals. This game will also be a battle of backup QB's, a theme we are seeing way too often in the NFL this year. Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is out for the rest of the year. Joshua Dobs has taken over and went 10 for 23 last week for just 63 yards. The Bengals are also 7-6 and on the playoff bubble wit Houston, Denver and Buffalo. A win today will help their chances. QB Jake Browning has stepped in for injured Joe Burrows. Browning went 18 for 24 last week for 275 yards and 2 TD's. After today, the Bengals will go to Pittsburgh, Kansas City and then finish up at home vs the Browns. I like the way Browning has been playing and I will take the Bengals here on Saturday. |
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12-11-23 | Titans v. Dolphins -13.5 | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
It's been one of those years for the Tennessee Titans. They are in last place in the NFC South with a 4-8 record and won't be going to the postseason this year. They average just 17.7 ppg and allow 21.2 ppg. They also average just 292.1 ypg while giving up 337.0 ypg. They have lost three of their last four games both S/U and ATS. That includes last week at home to Indianapolis, 28-31, as a 1-point dog. That was a high in points, in fact the 28 points last week was a season high for the team. Miami is 9-3 on the season and 8-4 vs the spread. The Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with the Bills on their heels. This team can score, with an average of 32 ppg on the season while they allow 22.2 ppg. They also average 428.4 ypg while allowing just 300.2 ypg. With the Jets next week the Dolphins have nothing to take their attention away from tonight's contest. I'm taking the Dolphins in a Monday night blowout. Play Miami. |
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12-10-23 | Broncos +2.5 v. Chargers | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
Denver's four game win streak came to an end last week at Houston as a last second touchdown attempt came up short in their 17-22 loss as 3-point dogs. The Broncos had a good shot at the win but couldn't get the ball in the endzone as time ran out. The loss also hurts their playoff chances as they dropped to 6-6 overall and 4-7-1 ATS. They had big wins in recent weeks too with wins over the Browns, Bills and Chiefs. Denver average 21.9 ppg and allows 25.2 ppg, though they did allow 70 points in that one game at Miami to skew the average. The Broncos finish up with games at Detroit, home vs the Pats and the Chargers and then at Las Vegas. Denver could easily go 4-1 down the stretch. The Chargers are also 6-6 on the season and 4-7-1 ATS. They snapped a three-game losing streak last week with a win at the Patriots, 6-0. They had just 241 total yards and held the Pats to 257. The offense has been a bit anemic the last few weeks with just 16 total points. The offense is missing their best WR in Mike Williams who is out. Plus WR Joshua Palmer is questionable with a knee injury. The loser of this one could easily see their playoff chances go way down. I'm taking the points with the Broncos today. |
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12-10-23 | Texans v. Jets UNDER 33 | 6-30 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
One good thing going for the Jets here on Sunday will be rain and wind. With rains expected in this game and the winds gusting to 27 mph, throwing the ball will be tough for both teams. This Jets offense scores only 14.2 ppg as it is under ideal conditions. The Jets have lost and failed to cover in five straight games, including last game vs the Falcons, 8-13, as a 2-point dog. They have also gone under in six of their last seven games. The Houston Texans improved to 7-5 with their win over the Broncos last week, 22-17, as a 3-point favorite. They look to make a playoff drive as they trail first place Jacksonville by just one game now. After today's game they will have a road game at Tennessee before returning home to face Cleveland and Tennessee and finishing at the Colts. The Texans could win the division with this schedule they have left. As for today, I'm taking the under with the conditions being blustery and the Jets already having issues scoring. Play UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Rams v. Ravens UNDER 39.5 | 31-37 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking a look at the Baltimore weather report sees a change of Thunderstorms and 62 degrees with winds around 7 mph. That being said, it could be a rough day for the Rams who have to make the long trek from the West Coast to the East Coast. The Rams have won three straight games to improve to 6-6 overall and 5-5-2 vs the spread. They are also 5-7 over/under on the season and average 22.3 ppg while allowing 21.1 ppg. Baltimore has won two straight and six of the last seven games. They are 9-3 S/U and 8-4 ATS with a 5-7 over/under mark. The Ravens have averaged 27 ppg while allowing just 15.6 ppg. They are coming off a win over the Chargers, 20-10 as 3-point favorites with the game going under. They held the Chargers to just 279 yards. I look for the Rams to find points tough in this contest. I'll stick to the UNDER today. |
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12-10-23 | Colts v. Bengals UNDER 44.5 | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This time of year have to take a look at the weather reports in these Midwest and Eastern games. Today's game between the Colts and Bengals will be around 37 degrees with winds about 9-10 mph. The Colts have won four straight games both S/U and ATS as they have improved to 7-5 overall and 8-4 ATS. They also have been good on the road with a 4-1 S/U and ATS record. They have gone under in two of their last three road games. The Colts average 25 ppg and allow 24.7 ppg this season. They finish up the season with Pittsburgh, at Atlanta then home to finish vs the Raiders and Texans. They could easily run the board the rest of the way. The Bengals shocked everyone last week with their win at Jacksonville, 34-31, as a 10-point dog. Jake Browning stepped in for the injured Joe Burrows and promptly went 32-of-37 for one TD and no INT with 354 yards. The Bengals average 20.5 ppg while allowing 22.7 ppg. They have seen four of their six home games go under the total this year. I don't expect to see that big score they had last week. I'm looking for a lower scoring game this time out. Play the UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 43 | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions jumped out to a huge lead last week at New Orleans, but had to hold on late to get the win, 33-28 as a 4-point favorite. The Lions rushing game continues to shine with 142 last week and at least 140 in four of their last five games. The Lions have now won four of their last five games and eight of the last 10 for their 9-3 record to go along with their 8-4 ats mark. Unless the Lions completely collapse in their last five games, they should cruise to the NFC North crown. They lead 2nd place Green Bay and Minnesota by 3-games with five to play. They do face Minnesota twice yet along with Denver and Dallas. The Bears won't be going to the postseason with their 4-8 record. They are coming off a big win at Minnesota last week, 12-10 as a 3-point dog. It was just on Nov 19th that they faced the Lions in Detroit and gave them all they could handle in their loss, 26-31, covering the 8-point line. In that game they rushed for 183 yards on the Lions defense while holding the Lions to just 115 yards rushing. It will be cool in Chicago with the temps in the 30's and winds around 12 mph. That might not seem like a lot but it can hinder passing. This game looks to be controlled more on the ground and with that I'm going to take the Under as both teams look to control the time of possession in this one. Play UNDER. |
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12-10-23 | Jaguars v. Browns UNDER 34 | 27-31 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
After leaving the last game, Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence, is questionable for today's game at Cleveland. Lawrence was limited in Friday's practice. The Jags ended up losing that game at home last week to the Bengals, 31-34, as a 10-point favorite. If Lawrence can't go then C.J. Beathard will have to start after going 9-of-10 last week for 63 yards. To make matters worse for Beathard could be the weather. It's supposed to be in the 30's in Cleveland Sunday with a chance of rain and winds that are at least 13 MPH. The Browns also have QB issues. Deshaun Watson is out for the rest of the year. Dorian Thompson-Robinson missed last week with a concussion. Thompson-Robinson could play today or it will then be veteran Joe Flacco. Either way the windy condition could make throwing a bit more difficult. The weather combined with QB issues on both sides should keep this game lower scoring. I'm taking the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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12-10-23 | Jaguars v. Browns -3 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
After leaving the last game, Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence, is questionable for today's game at Cleveland. Lawrence was limited in Friday's practice. The Jags ended up losing that game at home last week to the Bengals, 31-34, as a 10-point favorite. If Lawrence can't go then C.J. Beathard will have to start after going 9-of-10 last week for 63 yards. To make matters worse for Beathard could be the weather. It's supposed to be in the 30's in Cleveland Sunday with a chance of rain and winds that are at least 13 MPH. The Browns also have QB issues. Deshaun Watson is out for the rest of the year. Dorian Thompson-Robinson missed last week with a concussion. Thompson-Robinson could play today or it will then be veteran Joe Flacco. Either way the windy condition could make throwing a bit more difficult. I like the Browns quite a bit here at home with this excellent defense they have. Play Cleveland. |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears +3.5 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
The Detroit Lions jumped out to a huge lead last week at New Orleans, but had to hold on late to get the win, 33-28 as a 4-point favorite. The Lions rushing game continues to shine with 142 last week and at least 140 in four of their last five games. The Lions have now won four of their last five games and eight of the last 10 for their 9-3 record to go along with their 8-4 ats mark. Unless the Lions completely collapse in their last five games, they should cruise to the NFC North crown. They lead 2nd place Green Bay and Minnesota by 3-games with five to play. They do face Minnesota twice yet along with Denver and Dallas. The Bears won't be going to the postseason with their 4-8 record. They are coming off a big win at Minnesota last week, 12-10 as a 3-point dog. It was just on Nov 19th that they faced the Lions in Detroit and gave them all they could handle in their loss, 26-31, covering the 8-point line. In that game they rushed for 183 yards on the Lions defense while holding the Lions to just 115 yards rushing. It will be cool in Chicago with the temps in the 30's and winds around 12 mph. That might not seem like a lot but it can hinder passing. This game looks to be controlled more on the ground and with that I'm going to take the Bears who had run all over the Lions just a few games ago. Take Chicago. |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers UNDER 30 | 21-18 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Might be the worse game on national tv this year as the pathetic Patriots take on the struggling Steelers. The Steelers got shut out last week at home by the Chargers in a snoozefest, 0-6 game. That means over the last three games they have scored a total of 13 points. They average just 290.4 ypg on the season and have gone under in nine of their 12 games. The Steelers played an embarrassing game last week, losing at home to the Arizona Cardinals, 10-24, as a 6.5-point favorite. That makes three straight games with 16 or fewer points scored. They average 16 ppg this season and 294.9 ypg. They have gone under in 10 of their 12 games. The winner in this game might be the team that scores any points. I'll just take the UNDER. |
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12-04-23 | Bengals v. Jaguars UNDER 40 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals and Jacksonville Jaguars close out week 13 of the NFL. The Bengals are 5-6 S/U and 4-6-1 ATS with a 5-6 O/U record. The Bengals are in last in the AFC North, with Pittsburgh and Cleveland ahead of them and all three trailing 9-3 Baltimore. The Bengals average just 19.3 ppg and 291.7 ypg. They allow 22 ppg and 389.0 ypg on the season. The Bengals look to snap a three-game losing streak here today. They are coming off a loss to Pittsburgh last week, 10-16, as 2-point dogs. QB Joe Burrow is out for the rest of the season with a wrist injury. Jake Browning will have to be the QB the rest of the way. Browning came in at Baltimore and went 8 of 14 for 68 yards and a TD. Last week he was 19 of 26 for 227 yards with one INT and one TD. The Jags are sitting pretty good in the AFC South as they are 8-3 and in first place. The Texans and Colts both improved to 7-6 after Sunday wins. The Jags are 5-6 o/u and average 23.1 ppg with 344 ypg. The Jags have won two straight after last week's win over the Texans, 24-21, as a 1-point favorite. They have gone under in three of their last four games. With Burrow out, the Bengals can't get into a scoring match here today. I look for the Bengals to try and keep the Jags offense off the field as much as possible. I'll take the UNDER on Monday night. |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
Sunday Night football has the Kansas City Chiefs heading to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. The Chiefs spotted the LV Raiders to a 14-0 lead last week in Vegas before waking up and outscoring the Raiders 31-3 the rest of the way for the win and cover. They are just 2-2 their last four games both S/U and ATS with losses to Philadelphia, 17-21, and to Denver, 9-24. The 8-3 Chiefs are 3-2 on the road and 2-3 vs the spread. They also average just 21.4 ppg on the road while allowing 18 ppg. Compare that to their 25.6 ppg overall and 15.4 ppg allowed. The Packers are 5-6 S/U and 6-5 ATS on the season. They are in 3rd place in the NFC North, 3-games back of the Lions. They average 21 ppg overall and allow 20.4 ppg. The Packers have won two straight games with their last game coming on Thanksgiving day with a win at Detroit, 29-22. They had last week off to prepare for this game so they have had plenty of time to rest and prepare. They also beat the Chargers in the previous game, 23-20 as a 3-point dog. The Packers defense keeps the team in games, allowing 24 points or fewer in each of their last seven games. Looks to be a good game on Sunday night. I'll take the points though with the home team in this one. Play the Packers. |
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12-03-23 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 48 | 42-19 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
Rematch of the NFC Championship game from last year has San Francisco 49ers making the trek East to play the Philadelphia Eagles. The 49ers are 8-3 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS on the season. they average 28.2 ppg and give up just 15.5 ppg. They also average 386.1 ypg while allowing 295.3 ypg. The 49ers have a 2.5 game lead in the NFC West over Seattle who lost at Dallas on Thursday. The 49ers have won three straight games, covering two of those. They have scored at least 27 points in those game while allowing no more than 14 points. The Eagles are 10-1 S/U and 7-2-2 ATS on the season. They are 1.5-games ahead of Dallas which won on Thursday. A loss today would setup a showdown with the Cowboys next week for the division lead. Don't think Philly will be looking much past this game since this is the Niners. The Eagles average 28.2 ppg and 364.3 ypg. They allow 22.4 ppg and 341 ypg on the season. The defense is not as dominant as it was last year, but still good. Their only loss coming back on Oct 15 at the NY Jets, 14-20. Since that loss they have won five straight games and gone 4-0-1 ATS. This is the marquee game on Sunday. Both these teams have excellent defenses and the Niners defense playing particularly well of late. I'm taking UNDER here on Sunday in this matchup. |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams -4 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns head West to take on the LA Rams from Sofi Stadium. The Browns had to go out and sign a one-time Super Bowl as they brought in Joe Flacco. Flacco has been named the starter for today's contest. QB Deshaun Watson remains out with a shoulder injury as does RB Nick Chubb, both of whom will miss the remainder of the season. How much Flacco has left in the tank will remain to be seen, especially since he hasn't played this year. The Browns had their 3-game win streak snapped last week at Denver, 12-29. The offense scored just 12 last week and 13 the previous week vs Pittsburgh. The Browns are still in the playoff race as they are tied for 2nd place in the AFC North with Pittsburgh at 7-4, both 2.5-games back of Baltimore. The Browns average just 21.7 ppg while allowing 19 ppg. They also average 320.6 ypg while allowing 247.9 ypg. The LA Rams can climb back to the .500 mark with a win here today. They are 5-6 and in 3rd place in the NFC West. They average 21.1 ppg while allowing 21.3 ppg. They also average 340.6 ypg while allowing 331.2 ypg. The Rams have won two straight games over Seattle and last week at Arizona, 37-14, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Rams had one of their best offensive games with 228 yards rushing and 229 yards passing. I am not sold on Flacco taking over at QB here for the Browns. With no game experience this year and not exactly much results when he did last play, I can't imagine the Browns giving him a lot of the playbook here today. I'll take the Rams at home today. |
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12-03-23 | 49ers -160 v. Eagles | Top | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
Rematch of the NFC Championship game from last year has San Francisco 49ers making the trek East to play the Philadelphia Eagles. The 49ers are 8-3 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS on the season. they average 28.2 ppg and give up just 15.5 ppg. They also average 386.1 ypg while allowing 295.3 ypg. The 49ers have a 2.5 game lead in the NFC West over Seattle who lost at Dallas on Thursday. The 49ers have won three straight games, covering two of those. They have scored at least 27 points in those game while allowing no more than 14 points. The Eagles are 10-1 S/U and 7-2-2 ATS on the season. They are 1.5-games ahead of Dallas which won on Thursday. A loss today would setup a showdown with the Cowboys next week for the division lead. Don't think Philly will be looking much past this game since this is the Niners. The Eagles average 28.2 ppg and 364.3 ypg. They allow 22.4 ppg and 341 ypg on the season. The defense is not as dominant as it was last year, but still good. Their only loss coming back on Oct 15 at the NY Jets, 14-20. Since that loss they have won five straight games and gone 4-0-1 ATS. This is the marquee game on Sunday. I'm going to take the 49ers but lay just the money line as I look for a win out of San Francisco. |
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12-03-23 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 36.5 | 18-21 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are 1-10 S/U and 1-8-2 ATS on the season. They are also 3-8 O/U on the year. They won their lone game back on Oct 29 vs Houston, 15-13 as a 3.5-point dog. Since then they have gone 0-4 S/U, 0-3-1 ATS and 0-4 O/U. They have scored 13, 13, 10 and 10 their last four games. The defense still plays well at time, allowing 26.5 ppg overall on the season. But the offense averages just 15.7 ppg and 265.9 yards. Hard to win any games with that kind of offense. Bryce Young has been a bust this year at QB and a point of contention between the owner and head coach. The Panther did make sweeping changes last week as it looks to hire a head coach who can help bring the overall No 1 pick from last year, Young, along. Right now they have interim HC Chris Tabor taking over for the rest of the season. The Tampa Bay Bucs haven't exactly been an offensive juggernaut this year either. The Bucs average just 19.3 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg. They also average 304.1 ypg and allow 363.7 ypg. Tampa Bay is 4-7 S/U and 7-4 ATS overall with a 3-8 O/U record. The Bucs have lost four of their last five games including last game at the Colts, 20-27 as a 2.5-point dog. I don't expect many points being scored in this game. Take the UNDER. |
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12-03-23 | Broncos +3 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
Who would have guessed the Denver Broncos are one of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Broncos are 6-5 S/U and 4-6 ATS and 2-games back of the Chiefs in the AFC West. After starting the season 0-3 and 1-5, they have won five straight games, including last game over Cleveland, 29-12, as a 1-point home favorite. QB Russell Wilson looks more like his old self from Seattle then the version the Broncos have had to this point. The defense has also been very good of late, allowing 22 points or fewer in each of their last five games. The Broncos had that one horrible game at Miami earlier in the season where they gave up 70 points and that has skewed their averages. But consider that they allowed more points in that one game at Miami then they have their last four games combined (63). The Houston Texans, like the Broncos, both have a shot at the postseason. They are also 6-5 S/U and 5-6 ATS. The Texans are tied for 2nd place in the AFC South with the Colts, 2-games back of the Jaguars. The Texans average 23.5 ppg while allowing 21.1 ppg. They also average 374.9 ypg and allow 347.6 ppg. Houston is coming off a loss last week to the Jags, 21-24, failing to cover the 1-point dog line. That makes them 1-4 ATS their last five games. I have to take the Broncos here today as they have been playing with lots of confidence both on offense and defense. Take Denver. |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
Week 13 of the NFL kicks off here on Thursday Night with a NFC battle between the Seattle Seahawks and the Dallas Cowboys. The Seahawks have lost two straight games after their loss last week at home to the 49ers, 13-31, as a 7-point dog. The Hawks had just 220 total yards in the game. Seattle is 2nd in the NFC West with a 6-5 record, though two-games back now of the 8-3 49ers. A few weeks ago Seattle look like they would make the playoffs, now they are a underdog to get there. And, the teams they are battling for a Wildcard have some of the easiest schedules remaining. Seattle still can make the playoffs but they have a tough game tonight at Dallas. The Cowboys are 8-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They are in second place in the NFC East, two games back of the 10-1 Eagles. Philly plays the 49ers this week and that is going to be a touch game for the Eagles. Dallas could close to one game back after week 13. Then, next week it's one of the biggest impact games with Dallas hosting the Eagles. It could be these teams will be tied after that game. This is the biggest reason I'm taking Seattle tonight. I expect Dallas to have their eyes looking ahead to next week's Eagles game. And with this big spread and the Hawks needing to win, we could see Seattle stay very close in this game or even have a shot to win. I'm taking the Seahawks here on Thursday. |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are 3-8 S/U and 4-5-2 ATS on the season. They travel to play Minnesota tonight. The Vikings are 6-5 S/U and 7-3-1 ATS on the season. The Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record and -56 point differential. The good news is that they got back QB Justin Fields. The Bears average 20.9 ppg and allow 26.0 ppg. They also average 323.8 ypg and allow 325.5 ypg. The Bears are coming off a loss at Detroit, 26-31, but covered the eight point dog line. Minnesota has to play the rest of the season with QB Kirk Cousins, who went down with an injury. That gives QB Joshua Dobbs a chance to shine. The Vikings average 23.0 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. Minnesota coming off a loss last week at Denver, 20-21, covering the 2.5-point dog line. That loss snapped a five-game winning streak for the Vikings. The Vikings have been a good under team too, with six of their last eight games going under the total. I'll take a chance with the dog here on Monday Night. Play the Chicago Bears. |
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11-27-23 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 44 | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are 3-8 S/U and 4-5-2 ATS on the season. They travel to play Minnesota tonight. The Vikings are 6-5 S/U and 7-3-1 ATS on the season. The Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record and -56 point differential. The good news is that they got back QB Justin Fields. The Bears average 20.9 ppg and allow 26.0 ppg. They also average 323.8 ypg and allow 325.5 ypg. The Bears are coming off a loss at Detroit, 26-31, but covered the eight point dog line. Minnesota has to play the rest of the season with QB Kirk Cousins, who went down with an injury. That gives QB Joshua Dobbs a chance to shine. The Vikings average 23.0 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. Minnesota coming off a loss last week at Denver, 20-21, covering the 2.5-point dog line. That loss snapped a five-game winning streak for the Vikings. The Vikings have been a good under team too, with six of their last eight games going under the total. I look at this being a lower scoring game tonight. Take the UNDER. |
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11-26-23 | Ravens -2.5 v. Chargers | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
Sunday Night action here has the Baltimore Ravens traveling to LA to play the Chargers. The Ravens will be without a key offensive player in TE Mark Andrews, who is out with a leg injury. The Ravens are in first place in the AFC North with a 8-3 record. They also have a great point differential of +127. The Ravens average 27.6 ppg while allowing 16.1 ppg. Baltimore bounced back from their loss to Cleveland two weeks ago with a win last week over Cincinnati, 34-20, as a 4-point favorite. The Chargers are 4-6 S/U and 3-6 ATS on the season. If they hope to grab a wild card the Chargers will have to almost win out. They are in last in the AFC West, three games back of the Chiefs. The Chargers average 25.9 ppg and allow 23.8 ppg. They also average 354.3 ypg and allow 393.6 ypg. Even without Andrews the Ravens have enough offense to go with their excellent defense to get the cover today. Play Baltimore. |
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11-26-23 | Bills +3 v. Eagles | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
The marquee matchup on the schedule here today has the Buffalo Bills going to the city of Brotherly love to play the Philadelphia Eagles. Though I doubt there will be much love for the visiting Bills in this one. The Bills are 6-5 and 2nd in the AFC East behind the 8-3 Miami Dolphins. The Bills need to win games and not fall out of the Wild Card race. Dropping to 6-6 today could hurt their chances. The Bills average 26.7 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They also have a +104 point differential. The Bills snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a win over the Jets, 32-6, as a 8.5-point favorite. They held the Jets offense to just 155 total yards in that win. The Philadelphia Eagles are 9-1 and in 1st place in the NFC East ahead of the 8-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles average 27.3 ppg while allowing 21.2 ppg. The Eagles have won four straight since their first and only loss of the season to the Jets on Oct 15, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. Both teams have the offense and defense to win this game. I'll take the field goal here today with the underdog Bills. |
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11-26-23 | Bills v. Eagles OVER 48.5 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
The marquee matchup on the schedule here today has the Buffalo Bills going to the city of Brotherly love to play the Philadelphia Eagles. Though I doubt there will be much love for the visiting Bills in this one. The Bills are 6-5 and 2nd in the AFC East behind the 8-3 Miami Dolphins. The Bills need to win games and not fall out of the Wild Card race. Dropping to 6-6 today could hurt their chances. The Bills average 26.7 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They also have a +104 point differential. The Bills snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a win over the Jets, 32-6, as a 8.5-point favorite. They held the Jets offense to just 155 total yards in that win. The Philadelphia Eagles are 9-1 and in 1st place in the NFC East ahead of the 8-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles average 27.3 ppg while allowing 21.2 ppg. The Eagles have won four straight since their first and only loss of the season to the Jets on Oct 15, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. Both teams have the offense and defense to win this game. I expect these teams to put up plenty of points here today. Take the OVER. |
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11-26-23 | Browns v. Broncos UNDER 37 | 12-29 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
The best defense in the league is owned by the Cleveland Browns. The longest winning streak in the NFL is owned by the Denver Broncos. Something has to give today! The Browns allow just 18 ppg and 243.3 ypg this year. They are 2nd in the AFC North and a win coupled with a Ravens loss can put them into a tie in the division lead. The Browns have won three straight games and are coming off a win last week over the Steelers, 13-10. The Broncos started the season 1-5 and have since won four straight games after last weeks win over the Vikings, 21-20. The Broncos have also gone under in five straight games as their defense has played very well. The defense allows 26.8 ppg and 400.2 ypg, but those numbers have come way down during this winning streak. I'm taking the UNDER here today as both defenses have been excellent. |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans OVER 48 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
The top two teams in the AFC South meet here today as the 7-3 Jacksonville Jaguars meet the 6-4 Houston Texans. The Texans can get into a tie with the Jags with a win. The Jags are 7-3 ATS and average 23 ppg while allowing 20.4 ppg. The Jags coming off a win last week over Tennessee, 34-14, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Jags are on a 6-1 S/U and ATS run the last seven games. Houston is 6-4 S/U and 5-5 vs the spread. The Texans average 23.8 ppg while allowing 20.8 ppg. They also average 377.2 ypg and allow 337.9 ypg. The Texans have won three straight games, including last week at home over Arizona, 21-16, though they failed to cover the 5.5-point line. Should be an excellent game here today. Hard to pick a side in this one. However, I do look for both teams to get plenty of points. I'll take the OVER. |
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11-24-23 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 40.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins are 7-3 S/U and 6-4 ATS as they head to the Meadowlands to play the Jets here on Friday. The Dolphins are in 1st place in the AFC East, 1.5-games ahead of the Bills. They also have a +67 point differential and average 30.5 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. The offense averages 38.8 ppg at home but considerably less on the road with a 24.3 ppg average. They are coming off a home win over the Raiders, 20-13, failing to cover the 14-point line. They Dolphins have scored just 20 last game and 14 the week before. They have also gone under in three of their last four games. The Jets are 4-6 and 3-games back of the Dolphins in the division. The Jets average just 15 ppg on the season while allowing 20.4 ppg. The Jets have been a great under play, with their last five going under. They have also lost and failed to cover in each of their last three games. The Jets defense is good enough to keep them in this game, especially the way the Dolphins offense has played the last few weeks. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in this one. |
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11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
The late game on the Thursday NFL slate has the San Francisco 49ers traveling to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. San Francisco has gotten back to winning after three straight losses. They have since bounced back with wins over Jacksonville, 34-3, and last week at home over Tampa Bay, 27-14, though they failed to cover the 14-point home line. After starting the season 4-0-1 vs the spread, the Niners are now 1-4 ATS their last five games. The 49ers average 27.9 ppg while allowing 15.7 ppg and have a very nice +122 point differential. It initially looked like Seattle QB Geno Smith might miss time with an elbow injury he sustained last week. However, he's not been upgraded to probable for tonight's contest. Seattle lost last week at the Rams, 16-17, but covered the 2.5-point dog line. That makes them 1-2 the last three weeks. They average 21.6 ppg while allowing 21.8 ppg and have a -2 point differential. Big game here as the Seahawks can tie the 49ers in the NFC West at 7-4 with a win. I'll take the points at home with the Seahawks. |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions OVER 47 | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
The early game here on Thanksgiving day has the Detroit Lions hosting the Green Bay Packers. This year, the Lions have their best start and team in a long, long time. The Lions are running away with the NFC North with a 8-2 record with Minnesota in 2nd at 6-5 and the Packers in third with a 4-6 mark. The Lions are also the highest scoring team in the division as they tally 272 points this season, a +43 point differential. They average 27.2 ppg and allow 22.9 ppg. They also average 399.6 ypg and allow 313.0 ypg. The Lions have won three straight since that drubbing they took in Baltimore, 6-38. They have beat Las Vegas, 26-14, the Chargers, 41-38 and last week over Chicago, 31-26, though they failed to cover vs the Bears. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The Lions average 30.0 ppg at home this season and are 3-2 O/Un. The Packers are coming off a win at home over the Chargers, 23-20, covering the 3-point dog spread and going UNDER. The offense isn't very good as they average just over 20ppg this season and allow about the same. They also average 319.6 ypg and allow 327.9 ypg. Seems like the Lions always put together a good performance on Thanksgiving. I'm going to take the over here on Thursday. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
One of the better Matchups of the NFL season here tonight as the KC Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are 8-1 S/U and 5-2-2 ATS on the season with five of nine going over. The Chiefs are 7-2 S/U, 6-3 ATS and 2-7 O/U on the season and coming off a win over Miami, 21-14 in Frankfurt. The Eagles coming off a win over the Cowboys, 28-23, despite being outgained by Dallas, 292-406. The Eagles average 28 ppg (3rd in the NFL) and 376.8 ypg (5th in the NFL). They allow 21.7 ppg and 323.3 ypg. The Chiefs defense has been excellent, which takes a lot of pressure off the offense. They only average 23.1 ppg (13th) and 368.7 yards (8th). But they allow just 15.9 ppg (2nd in the NFL) and 288.2 yards (4th). This is a rematch of last year's Super Bowl that the Chiefs won. Can they get the rematch here today? I look to their defense to keep Jalen Hurts under control and that's the key. They held the best scoring offense in the NFL (Miami) to just 14 points. They can do it again here tonight. I'll take the UNDER with two of the best defenses in the NFL. Play UNDER. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs -2.5 | 21-17 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
One of the better Matchups of the NFL season here tonight as the KC Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are 8-1 S/U and 5-2-2 ATS on the season with five of nine going over. The Chiefs are 7-2 S/U, 6-3 ATS and 2-7 O/U on the season and coming off a win over Miami, 21-14 in Frankfurt. The Eagles coming off a win over the Cowboys, 28-23, despite being outgained by Dallas, 292-406. The Eagles average 28 ppg (3rd in the NFL) and 376.8 ypg (5th in the NFL). They allow 21.7 ppg and 323.3 ypg. The Chiefs defense has been excellent, which takes a lot of pressure off the offense. They only average 23.1 ppg (13th) and 368.7 yards (8th). But they allow just 15.9 ppg (2nd in the NFL) and 288.2 yards (4th). This is a rematch of last year's Super Bowl that the Chiefs won. Can they get the rematch here today? I look to their defense to keep Jalen Hurts under control and that's the key. They held the best scoring offense in the NFL (Miami) to just 14 points. They can do it again here tonight. Take Kansas City. |
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11-19-23 | Vikings v. Broncos UNDER 42 | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
The Vikings thought they might get start WR Justin Jefferson back for this game as he's been dealing with a hamstring issue that's had him out for some time. However, that's not the case, Jefferson has been ruled out for this game today. The Vikings lost Kirk Cousins at QB when he went down with a season ending injury. Josh Dobbs was acquired and will start for the Vikings again today. The Vikings are in the playoff race as they are 6-4 and in 2nd place in the NFC North, behind 7-2 Detroit. It will come down to one of these two teams to win the division as the Packers and Bears are both out of it with just three wins. The Vikings and Lions won't meet until Christmas eve, so still have a while before the showdown here. The Vikings average just 23.3 ppg and 358.1 ypg. They allow 20.9 ppg and 323.2 ypg. The Vikes have won and covered five straight and have gone under in five of their last seven games. The Broncos are like a cat with nine lives after pulling out the win last week in Buffalo, 24-22. They looked dead before a pass interference call moved them into field goal position. Then after missing the field goal to win it, the Bills were called for 12 men on the field and the Broncos got a second shot - which of course they didn't miss this time. That was their third win in a row with their last four games going UNDER the total. The weather won't be too bad in Denver, with around 50 degrees and a chance of showers. The winds will be light at 8mph. Still, I like these teams to go UNDER the total. |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills UNDER 39.5 | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
The Ny Jets fell to 4-5 after losing last week at Las Vegas Raiders, 12-16. The offense is pathetic, scoring 12 last week, six the week before that and 13 the week before that. They average just 16 ppg and 283.1 yards per game. The defense is very good but can only do so much. They allow 19.1 ppg and 307.8 ypg. Zack Wilson had to take over the team when Aaron Rodgers went down in game one of the season. They will face the inconsistent Bills here today. Somehow the Bills lost last week to the Broncos, 22-24, self imploding at the end. Between that pass interference and 12-men on the field during the Broncos first winning FG attempt, well conspiracy theorists had a field day with that ending. It was the Bills 2nd loss in a row and third in their last four games. The offense has been sputtering as they haven't scored more than 25 points in any of their last six game with five of those games going Under. The defense is still decent, allowing just 18.4 ppg and 330.5 yards per game. As for today, both defenses should keep this game close. Just depends on which offense doesn't keep making mistakes and give this one way. I'll take the under. |
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11-19-23 | Steelers +1.5 v. Browns | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
Bad news for the Cleveland Browns as QB Deshaun Watson is done for the year after needing shoulder surgery. The Browns were coming off a huge win over the Baltimore Ravens as they came from behind to get the AFC North victory, 33-31, as a 5.5-point dog. That win brought the Browns to 6-3, just one game back of the Ravens in the division. The Browns also had won two straight and four of their last five both S/U and ATS. Now the QB job goes back to P.J. Walker with rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson as the backup. This could be the end of the season for the Browns as they likely will regret not getting a better backup QB. This could open the door even more for the Steelers who are tied with the Browns at 6-3. Pittsburgh coming off a win last week over Green Bay, 23-19, as a 3-point favorite. That makes four wins in their last five games both S/U and ATS for the Steelers. Even though Pittsburgh goes to Cleveland, I have to take the Steelers here today now that Watson is gone. Get this one early as the line will move quickly as the game time approaches. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-19-23 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 33 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
Bad news for the Cleveland Browns as QB Deshaun Watson is done for the year after needing shoulder surgery. The Browns were coming off a huge win over the Baltimore Ravens as they came from behind to get the AFC North victory, 33-31, as a 5.5-point dog. That win brought the Browns to 6-3, just one game back of the Ravens in the division. The Browns also had won two straight and four of their last five both S/U and ATS. Now the QB job goes back to P.J. Walker with rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson as the backup. This could be the end of the season for the Browns as they likely will regret not getting a better backup QB. This could open the door even more for the Steelers who are tied with the Browns at 6-3. Pittsburgh coming off a win last week over Green Bay, 23-19, as a 3-point favorite. That makes four wins in their last five games both S/U and ATS for the Steelers. Now with Watson gone have to believe that the Browns will have a much more difficult time putting points on the board. I'll take this game UNDER here on Sunday. |
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11-19-23 | Raiders v. Dolphins -13.5 | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders look to go 3-0 under interim coach Antonio Pierce. Pierce was a Super Bowl Champion and Pro Bowler as a player and has been quite the showman taking over for the Raiders after they fired Josh McDaniels. Don't count too much into this though as their wins have come against both New York teams. They beat the Giants at home, 30-6 and then last week beat the Jets, 16-12, covering both games. They also removed Jimmy Garoppolo at QB and replaced him with Aidan O'Connell. But is the honeymoon period over? We'll see today as they have to face the high flying Miami Dolphins. The Raiders, 5-5, still have a shot at a Wildcard, but they need lots of wins down the stretch. They face the AFC East 1st place Miami Dolphins today. The Dolphins are 6-3 and one game ahead of the Bills. They average 31.7 ppg and 435.3 yards per game. Not the pathetic offenses they have faced the last two weeks. The Dolphins will look to rebound after losing at Kansas City last week, 14-21. For me, I believe the Dolphins offense will dominate this game and be way too much for the Raiders. The Raiders offense isn't built to come from behind and we'll see that here today. Play Miami. |
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11-19-23 | Cardinals v. Texans OVER 48 | 16-21 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
Kyle Murray returned from his ACL injury that sidelined him last year. It wasn't sure how he would do last week. The results? Pretty good. He rushed well, one for a TD. His passing was good too. The Cardinals won that game against Atlanta, 25-23, covering the 2-point dog line. They also went over. So going forward we will not look at the previous stats. Now that Murray is back he brings a whole new dynamic to this offense. The Houston Texans are 5-4 S/U and ATS. They average 24.1 ppg and 372.6 yards. They are allowing 21.3 ppg and 340.0 yards. They are coming off a win at Cincinnati last week, 30-27. It was their second in a row and third in the last four games. They have also gone over in two straight. I'm taking the over here today. I feel both teams will get plenty of points now that Murray is back at the helm. |
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11-16-23 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
AFC North clash here tonight has the 5-4 and last place Cincinnati Bengals looking to make ground on first place 7-3 Baltimore Ravens. The Bengals lost last week at home to Houston, 27-30, as a 5-point favorite. That snapped a nice 4 game win streak both S/U and ATS. The Bengals have average 20.2 ppg and 301.7 ypg this season. They have allowed 21.3 ppg and 383.7 ypg. The Ravens have to be kicking themselves after leading big last week at home against Cleveland, only to lose to the Browns, 31-33, as a 5.5-point favorite. That snapped a four game win streak for the Ravens. Baltimore averages 27 ppg and 362.7 ypg on the season. They have allowed 15.7 ppg and 273.6 ypg. Both teams looking to rebound from tough losses last week. The Bengals need this one more as a win puts them right into the thick of the AFC North race. I'll take the points with the Bengals tonight. |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills UNDER 47.5 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills conclude week 10 of the NFL tonight here on Monday Night Football. The Broncos horrible start to the season has seen a turnaround the last two weeks with a pair of wins and covers in a row. Denver beat Green Bay three weeks ago, 19-17, then two weeks ago beat Kansas City, 24-9 as a 7-point dog. Holding the KC Chiefs offense to 275 totals yards. Denver had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. Denver scores 21.5 ppg while allowing 28.2 ppg. The latter coming way down the last few weeks. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills have struggled, going 2-3 S/U and 0-5 ATS over the last five games. They are coming off a loss at Cincinnati last week, 18-24. The Bills average 26.7 ppg and allow 17.8 ppg. The Bills have gone under in six of their nine games this year, including four of their last five games. The Broncos have gone under in three straight games. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight. |
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11-12-23 | Giants v. Cowboys -16.5 | Top | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
NFC East matchup here on Sunday has the last place 2-7 NY Giants traveling to Texas to take on the 2nd place 5-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Giants have lost two straight games after losing last week in Las Vegas, 6-30, as a 1.5-point dog. The Giants offense has been horrible, scoring 14 points or fewer in each of their last four games. They had just 277 total yards last week. The Giants average 11.2 ppg and 268.9 ypg on the season. They allow 24.1 ppg and 338.3 ypg. Now they face a Dallas team that has averaged 27.5 ppg on the season and 346.5 yards. They are coming off a loss at Philadelphia last week, 23-28, as a 3-point dog. They will return home where they are 3-0 both S/U and ATS this season and average 37 ppg while allowing just 11 ppg. Bad spot for the Giants today. Not only do they not score but they face a Dallas team that will be looking to rebound from that loss last week. I'll lay the big points here today with Dallas as I believe the line should be at least a touchdown more than it is now. Play Dallas. |
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11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars UNDER 45 | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers look to snap out of a three game losing streak here today at Jacksonville. The once undefeated Niners are now 5-3 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS. They have dropped games at Cleveland, at Minnesota and last week at home to the Bengals, 17-31. They now find themselves tied for 1st in the NFC West with Seattle. They still have a very good +78 point differential. They allow just 17.5 ppg and 315 yards. The Jaguars lead the AFC South by two games over the Houston Texans. The Jags have won and covered five straight games. They are also 2-3 O/U during that stretch. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.5 ppg and 342.8 ypg. The offense has been decent but not great with 24.1 ppg. Both teams are led by their defenses first and I look for those units to shine here on Sunday. I'll be on the UNDER in this game. |
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11-12-23 | Packers v. Steelers -170 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers finally snapped a four game losing streak last week with a win over the LA Rams, 20-3. The Packers held the Rams to just 68 yards rushing and 119 yards passing in the win. The win improved the team to 3-5 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. They average 20 ppg while allowing 19.9 ppg. They only average 300 yards per game while allowing 320 ypg. They will face a 5-3 S/U and ATS Pittsburgh team here on Sunday that bounced back after their loss to Jacksonville two weeks ago, 10-20. The Steelers beat the Titans last week, 20-16, as a 3-point favorite. The Steelers have now won and covered three of their last four games including wins over the Ravens and Rams. I like the Steelers once again here today. Play Pittsburgh, but lets take the line out of this one and play them on the Money Line. |
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11-12-23 | Texans v. Bengals OVER 47 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans are 4-4 S/U and ATS on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC South, two games back of the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Texans coming off a win over Tampa Bay, 39-37, but just failed to cover the 2.5-point favorite line. They are just 1-3 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the road this season. The Texans average 23.4 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg and have a plus-22 point differential. They will take on the Cincinnati Bengals today. The Bengals are 5-3 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS. The Bengals have won four straight both S/U and ATS after last week's win vs Buffalo, 24-18, as a 1.5-point favorite. They have beat the Bills, 49ers and Seahawks the last three weeks. The Bengals held the Bills to 249 total yards and the 49ers to 347 yards, both below their 363.6 season average. After a slow start to the season the Bengals appear to be playing their best football of the season. The Bengals have scored 55 points the last two weeks against some of the elite defenses in the NFL. They should have little issue putting up points on this Houston team today. Take the OVER. |
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11-09-23 | Panthers v. Bears UNDER 38.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
The Bears look to be without their starting QB in Justin Fields who is expected to miss another game with a thumb injury. That means Tyson Bagent is likely to start for the Bears. This contest starts week 10 as the 1-7 Panthers take on the 2-7 Bears. Not exactly a game likely to garner a lot of attention. Expect for us betting enthusiasts. This game holds some cash for us here tonight. I'm going to be on the UNDER. Tha Panthers offense has been anemic, averaging just 17.5 ppg and 283.4 yards. They are coming off a loss to the Colts, 13-27, going under the 45 point total. The Bears have been without Fields the last two weeks and the offense has just 13 points vs the Chargers and last week lost at New Orleans, 17-24, but did cover the 9-point dog line. This team will continue to rely on the ground game, as they average 135.3 yards per game and had 156 last week at the Saints. The defense has been better then expected, holding the last six teams to under 100 yards rushing. While this won't be the most exciting game, I'll be on the under as I don't expect to see a lot of scoring. Play UNDER. |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +3.5 | 27-6 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers are trying to catch the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West but it's not going so well. The Chiefs won on Sunday in Frankfurt over Miami, improving to 7-2 on the season. Now the Chargers can just get back to the .500 mark at 4-4 with a win here on Monday Night in New York vs the Jets. The Chargers average 24.9 ppg while allowing 24.0 ppg. They also average 362.4 ypg while giving up 390.9 ypg. The Chargers snapped a two-game losing and spread streak last week with their win over the Bears, 30-13, as a 9.5-point favorite. The Jets are 4-3 S/U and 4-2-1 vs the spread this season. The Jets trail the Dolphins and Bills in the AFC East. However, both the Bills and Dolphins lost on Sunday, so this is a key spot for the Jets to improve to 5-3 and pick up a game on both the teams ahead of them. The Jets have a excellent defense, which allows 18.4 ppg and 329.3 ypg. The offense isn't so good, scoring just 18 ppg and 273.3 ypg on the season. The Jets have won three straight games though, going 2-0-1 ATS vs the spread. They are coming off a win over the Giants, 13-10. They also led the high flying Eagles offense to just 14 points in that win two weeks ago. Now the Jets find themselves a home dog to a team with a losing record. I'll take the points at home here on Monday. Play the NY Jets. |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals OVER 50.5 | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills hit the road on Sunday for their game at Cincinnati. The Bills are 5-3 on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC East, one game back of Miami. They have a +86 point differential. The Bills also average 27.7 ppg while allowing 17 ppg. They average 376.9 ypg while allowing 326.1 ppg. The Bills are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last week, 24-18, but failed to cover the 10-points spread. In fact, they are 0-4 against the number the last four games. The Cincinnati Bengals are in 3rd place in the AFC North, behind 5-3 Pittsburgh and 6-2 Baltimore. They average 18.7 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg on the season. The Bengals finally put together a complete game last week, beating San Francisco on the road, 31-17, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes three straight wins both S/U and ATS. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. The Bengals have also scored 31 points or more in two of the last three. The way the Bengals have finally been playing offensively and I will look to play the OVER here on Sunday evening. Play OVER. |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals -1 | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
The Buffalo Bills hit the road on Sunday for their game at Cincinnati. The Bills are 5-3 on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC East, one game back of Miami. They have a +86 point differential. The Bills also average 27.7 ppg while allowing 17 ppg. They average 376.9 ypg while allowing 326.1 ppg. The Bills are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last week, 24-18, but failed to cover the 10-points spread. In fact, they are 0-4 against the number the last four games. The Cincinnati Bengals are in 3rd place in the AFC North, behind 5-3 Pittsburgh and 6-2 Baltimore. They average 18.7 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg on the season. The Bengals finally put together a complete game last week, beating San Francisco on the road, 31-17, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes three straight wins both S/U and ATS. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. The Bengals have also scored 31 points or more in two of the last three. I like the Bengals at home here on Sunday night. Play Cincinnati. |
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11-05-23 | Colts v. Panthers +2.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
The AFC South is one of the worst divisions in football as three of the four teams have just three wins. That includes the Indianapolis Colts who are 3-5 and have a -24 point differential. The Colts are trailing 6-2 first place Jacksonville by three games. The Colts average 25.6 ppg while allowing 28.6 ppg. They average 362.4 ypg while allowing 371.3 ypg. QB Anthony Richardson is out for the rest of the season after sustaining a shoulder injury. That leaves Gardner Minshew as the starter. The Colts have lost three straight games, including last week at home to New Orleans, 27-38, as a 2-point dog. Now they hit the road to face the Panthers. Carolina won its first game of the season last week at home over Houston, 15-13, covering the 3.5-point dog line. The Panthers average just 18.1 ppg while allowing 28.4 ppg. They also average 284.6 ypg and allow 326 ypg. QB Bryce Young had one of his better starts, completing 22-of-31 passes for 235 yards, one TD and no INT's. With Richardson out, I like the Panthers to get win number two here on Sunday. Play Carolina. |
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11-05-23 | Cardinals v. Browns UNDER 38 | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals hoped to welcome back QB Kyler Murray who has been practicing with the team. But, he's still out for this week. That leaves the starting duties to Clayton Tune. Tune will be thrown to the dogpound of Cleveland here today and they will be chomping at the bit to get to the young QB. Arizona already scores just 18.9 ppg on the season with 318.6 ypg. I expect those number to be even less on Sunday against this Browns defense. Arizona is just 1-7 S/U and 4-4 vs the spread this year. They did break a four game spread losing streak last week vs the Ravens. They lost at home to Baltimore, 24-31, as a 9.5-point dog. That was more points then they had the prior two weeks combined (19). The Cleveland Browns defense allows just 19.9 ppg and 260 ypg on the season. They are 4-3 and tied with the Bengals for last in the AFC North. However, they trail Pittsburgh by just one game and first place Baltimore by two games. They are coming off a loss last week at Seattle, 20-24, covering the 4.5-point line. I look for the Browns to give the Cardinals all kinds of problems on offense. I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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11-02-23 | Titans v. Steelers -2.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans look to climb back to the .500 mark here on Thursday night as they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Titans have a -8 point differential this season. The Titans will also be without QB Ryan Tannehill who will miss this game with a ankle injury. In his place will be Will Levis. Levis will make his second NFL start here tonight. Levis made his debut last week at home vs the Atlanta Falcons and threw for FOUR touchdowns in the win, 28-23 as a 2.5-point dog. That win snapped a two-game losing streak for the Titans. It also eclipsed a 18.9 ppg average for this Titans team. Still, they are a good deal back of first place and 6-2 Jacksonville. The Steelers are tied with Cincinnati and Cleveland in the AFC North at 4-3. They all trail the 6-2 Baltimore Ravens. The Steelers also have a -34 point differential. They average just 16.1 ppg and allow 21.0 ppg. The Steelers offense manages just 271.7 ypg while allowing 382.6 ypg. The Steelers coming off a loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars, 10-20 last week. They managed just 261 total yards in the loss. That loss snapped a two-game winning streak by Pittsburgh. I'm taking the Steelers at home. The Steelers and J.J Watt have a better defense then the Falcons so we likely won't see Levis throw for another four TD's here tonight. Play Pittsburgh. |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions -7 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders couldn't have looked much worse then they did last week in their loss at Chicago, 12-30. They hade just 39 yards rushing and without their starting QB they had just 196 yards passing. They couldn't stop the Chicago rushing attack as the Bears piled-up 173 yards on the ground. Good news is that QB Jimmy Garoppolo (back) has been upgraded to probable after missing that game last week. How effective he will be will remain to be seen however. The 5-2 Detroit Lions having one of their best seasons in many years. They are in first place in the NFC North and can extend that tonight over the second place Vikings who just lost their QB Kirk Cousins for the season. The Packers and Bears look to be no show as both have just two wins. The Lions will look to rebound from their worst performance of the season last week at Baltimore, 6-38. It was their worst offensive output and they allowed over 500 yards to the Ravens. That loss snapped both a four game win streak S/U and against the number. I look for the Lions to rebound from that bad performance last week. The Raiders have no answer if they lose their QB again, which could happen with every play. I'll take Detroit. |
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10-29-23 | Browns v. Seahawks UNDER 37.5 | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns are 4-2 on the season and tied for 2nd in the AFC North with Pittsburgh, both trailing 1st place 5-2 Baltimore. The Browns have a +19 point differential this season. The Browns came off that huge win over San Francisco two weeks ago, 19-17, with a win at Indianapolis last week, 39-38. The Browns average 22.3 ppg while allowing 19.2 ppg. They also gain 319.2 ypg while allowing just 243 ypg. They face a 4-2 Seattle team that is back in the hunt for 1st place in the NFC West after the 49ers have dropped their last two games. Seattle has a +26 point differential. They are coming off a win last week vs the Cardinals, 20-10. They have also gone under in three straight games as the defense has been very good. They have been allowing just 19.7 ppg and scoring 24 ppg. Cleveland also a better under team this year with a 2-3-1 O/U record. I look for another lower scoring game here on Sunday. Take the UNDER. |
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10-29-23 | Falcons v. Titans UNDER 35.5 | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons find themselves alone in 1st place atop the NFC South with a 4-3 record. The South is one of the weakest divisions in football with the other three teams all below the .500 mark. The Falcons also have a -18 point differential. They will face the AFC South last place Tennessee Titans who are 2-4 on the season. The Titans have lost two straight games including last time out vs Baltimore, 16-24, as a 5.5-point dog. The Titans average just 17.3 ppg while allowing 19.5 ppg. They average 283.5 ypg and allow 339.0 ypg. Both teams don't score well as the Falcons average 16.4 ppg and allow 19.0 ppg. The Falcons are also 1-6 Over/under while the Titans are 1-5 over/under. Two offenses that don't generate a lot meet here on Sunday. I'll be on the UNDER in this one. |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers +3.5 | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans look to get above .500 with a win today at Carolina. The Texans are 3-3 and in 2nd place in the AFC South behind 5-2 Jacksonville. The Texans have a +22 point differential. Meanwhile, Carolina looking for its first win of the season at 0-6 and in last place in the NFC South. The Panthers have a -74 point differential this season. Houston is coming off a win at home over the Saints last week, 20-13 as a 2-point dog. They had just 297 yards compared to the Saints 430 yards. Carolina coming off a loss at Miami last week, 21-42, as a 14-point dog. The Panthers average 18.7 ppg while allowing 31 ppg. This will be a battle among the top two QB draft picks from last season with the Panthers Bryce Young against the Texans CJ Stroud. Everyone keeps waiting for Young to make an impact. Growing pains can be difficult for a rookie in the NFL. I'm going to take the home dog here with Carolina and see if Young can finally be a factor. Play Carolina. |
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10-29-23 | Jaguars v. Steelers +2.5 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
The Jacksonville Jaguars won their fourth straight game after last week's win at New Orleans, 31-24, as a 2.5-point dog. The Jags haven't been dominating, but good enough. They average 24.7 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. They also average 336.3 ypg while giving up 354.4 ppg. The rushing defense has been very good, allowing just 80.6 ypg on the season. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is 4-2 S/U and ATS despite averaging just 17.2 ppg while giving up 21.2 ppg. The Jags 5-2 record has them in first place in the AFC South, with Houston and Indy the next closest teams at 3-3 and 3-4. Pittsburgh is in a crowded AFC North where the Ravens lead with a 5-2 record. Pittsburgh and Cleveland are at 4-2 and Cincinnati at 3-3. The Steelers have a -24 point differential, but somehow keep winning. This is a strange one for me. Not sure why the Jags are favored. But, that's ok, I'll take it. Play Pittsburgh! |
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10-26-23 | Bucs v. Bills UNDER 43.5 | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
The Bills have struggled of late, losing in England to the Jaguars, 20-25, struggling against the Giants in a low scoring win, 14-9, and then losing last week at New England, 25-29. They have failed to cover the spread in three straight and have gone under in two of the last three games. QB Josh Allen has six TD passes the last three games but also has three INT's. The Bills had just 339 total yards last week, 81 on the ground. The defense is still good, but not as good as last year. Tampa Bay is 3-3 S/U and ATS and has gone under in five of their six games. They average just 17.2 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They are coming off a loss at home to Atlanta, 13-16. That makes just 19 total points scored the last two weeks. Could be even worse this week as QB Baker Mayfield landed on the injury report. Mayfield is questionable with a knee injury. Not sure the Bucs will get many points if Mayfield doesn't play. Even if he does, how mobile can he be against this Bills defense. I'll take the UNDER on Thursday. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
The 49ers look to rebound from that loss last week to the Cleveland Browns. The Niners led most of the way and then missed the game winning field goal late in the loss 17-19 as a 9.5-point favorite. For me I believe the Niners will rebound tonight. However, I have to side with the UNDER in this one as SF will be missing key offensive players. Their star running back Christian McCaffrey is questionable with a oblique injury. They could also miss some key offensive linemen. As for the Vikings, they will be without star WR Justin Jefferson who has a hamstring injury. And when we add that SF has one of the best defenses in the league. They allow just 14.5 ppg and 278 yards per game. For me, I'm just taking the UNDER in this one. |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -2.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
Sunday night football has the AFC vs the NFC as the Dolphins take on the Eagles. The Miami Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with a 5-1 record. They have a point differential of +67 and have won two straight after last week's win over Carolina, 42-21, as a 14-point favorite. Their lone loss coming in that AFC East showdown with the Bills a few weeks ago, 20-48. The Eagles are in first place in the NFC East with a 5-1 record. They lead the Dallas Cowboys by one game. They have a +31 run differential and are a perfect 2-0 at home. The Eagles lost their first game of the season last week at the NY Jets, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. They held the Jets to just 89 yards rushing and 155 yards passing. Should be an excellent game here on Sunday night. I'll take the Eagles at home. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
AFC West clash here on Sunday has the first place Kansas City Chiefs looking to take a commanding lead in the division. The Raiders are 3-3 while the Chargers are 2-3. The Chargers, despite having a losing record, have a +3 point differential. They rallied late last week, but Herbert's INT on the final drive locked the win for the visiting Cowboys, 17-20, as a 1.5-point dog. The loss snapped a 2-game win streak for the Chargers. The Kansas City offense hasn't been as explosive this year as in recent seasons. However, the defending champions defense hasn't allowed more than 20 points in any of their last five games. The Chiefs have a +59 point differential this season thanks in big part to the defense. Chargers already in a must win spot this early in the season. I'll take the points with LA here on Sunday. |
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10-22-23 | Raiders v. Bears UNDER 38 | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders knew when they got QB Jimmy Garappolo that his health was always a question. He's already been hurt twice this year and missed time. The first time with a concussion and last week he had to be taken to the hospital with a bank injury. Jimmy G is going to miss this game as we await which QB the Raiders will start. The Raiders are 3-3 on the season with a -31 point differential as they sit in 2nd in the AFC West. The Bears can sympathize with Vegas though as they also will be without their starting QB in Justin Fields. Fields has a hand injury and will miss today's contest. Tyson Bagent will start this one for the Bears. Vegas has been a good under team this year with five of their six going under. Opposite for the Bears as five of their six have gone over. Vegas can win its third straight with a win here on Sunday. They average just 16.7 ppg while allowing 21.8 ppg. The Bears coming off a loss last week to the Vikings, 13-19, as a 3-point dog. That was also their first under of the season. The Bears average 21.3 ppg and allow 29.3 ppg. Neither team will look to throw a lot in this game. Expect a lot of rushing and ball control. I'll take the under in what should be a snoozer. |
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10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 40.5 | 25-29 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Could the Bill Belichick era be coming to an end in New England? This is the worst start he's had and it won't get any easier here on Sunday as the Bills come into Foxboro. The Patriots are 1-5 on the season and have yet to win a home game in three chances. They have a -80 point differential, worst in the AFC. The Pats offense has scored 20 points or more just one time this season and that caem in their opening week loss to the Eagles, 20-25. Since then they have hit 17 points twice and held to three points vs the Cowboys and no points by the Saints. Last week they lost at Las Vegas, 17-21, as a 3-point dog. Their last five games have gone under the total. The Bills offense was jet lagged last week after returning from London, England the week before. The offense managed just 14 points in their win over the Giants, 14-9. That made two straight under plays and three of their last four going under. The weather will be fair with a chance of showers and winds around 13 mph. I don't expect the Pats to get much here and their defense will be on the field a lot in this game. I'll take the UNDER. |
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10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
NFC South meeting here between the top two teams in the division. The Bucs are 3-2 and in first place with a +2 point differential. The Falcons are 3-3 with a -21 point differential. The Falcons are just 1-5 vs the spread and average 331 yards per game while allowing 278.2 yards. They also average 16.5 ppg while giving up 20.0 ppg. The Falcons lost last week at home to Washington, 16-24, as a 1.5-point favorite. They held Washington to just 72 rushing yards and 121 passing yards despite losing. Tampa Bay also coming off a loss last week as the dropped their home game to the Detroit Lions, 6-20, as a 3-point dog. They had just 46 rushing yards and 205 passing yards. They average 18 ppg while allowing 17.6 ppg on the season. Weak division here so the winner could be .500 or even below. I'll take the Falcons plus the points in this one. |
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10-22-23 | Commanders v. Giants UNDER 37.5 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
The NY Giants come into this one dead last in the NFC East with a 1-5 record. The Giants have the worst point differential in the NFC by far with a -96. The Giants have lost four straight games including last week at Buffalo, 9-14, though they covered the 15.5-point dog line. That was the first cover of the season for the Giants. They are also 1-5 O/U with their last four games going Under the total. Washington is 3-3 S/U and has a -43 point differential. The Commanders snapped a three-game losing streak with a win last week at Atlanta, 24-16, as a 1.5-point dog. They are 3-3 O/under on the season. The Commanders average 22.2 ppg while allowing 29.3 ppg. Neither team's offense will set anyone on fire, that's for sure. I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -2 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Week 7 of the NFL begins tonight with the Jacksonville Jaguars traveling to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints are 3-3 S/U and 1-4-1 ATS on the season while the Jags are 4-2 S/U and ATS. The Jags are coming off a easy win over the Colts last week, 37-20. QB Trevor Lawrence was injured late in the game, but came back to finish up. There was some doubt on his status tonight, but he looks to play. The Jags defense has been very good vs the run (3rd in NFL) but bad vs the pass (31st). Meanwhile the Saints look to get some consistency after losing last week at Houston, 13-20. They were without star RB Alvin Kamara for the first suspended early on and then QB Derek Carr dealing with a shoulder injury. Despite just 13 points last week the team had 24 first downs and 430 total yards. How healthy will Lawrence be tonight could be the big question. The team has logged a bunch of miles traveling this year. With a poor rushing game a lot might be on a hobbling Lawrence. I'll take the Saints tonight in this one. |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +2 | 20-17 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys can cut the Philadelphia Eagles NFC East lead down to just one game with a win here on Monday night. The Eagles lost their first game of the season on Sunday opening the way for the Cowboys to close the gap. Dallas is 3-2 S/U and ATS after losing last week at the 49ers, 10-42. The Cowboys defense gave up more points to the 49ers then they did in the previous four games combined. They will face a Chargers team that started the season 0-2 but have since put together wins over the Vikings and then two weeks ago over the Raiders, 24-17. The Chargers had last week off to prepare for this game. The Chargers average 27.5 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have averaged 388.8 ypg while giving up 404 ypg. Dallas has lost its last two road games by a combined 26-70 score. Now they hit the road again. I'm taking the Chargers who had a week off to prepare for this game and are a small home dog. Play LA Chargers. |
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10-15-23 | Eagles v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
Interconference battle as the NFC Philadelphia Eagles take on the AFC NY Jets. The Eagles bring a top 10 total defense into today's contest. The Jets were great last year on defense but have slipped to 22nd this year. The Jets do have the 14th ranked pass defense while the Eagles are 25th. The Eagles shine on the rush defense, ranked tops in the NFL allowing just 61.2 ypg on the season. The Eagles put their 5-0 record on the line here today at the Jets. They are coming off a win at the LA Rams, 23-14, with the game going under. The Jets lost Aaron Rodgers in the first quarter of the first game of the season. Zach Wilson has been ok, but nothing great. He has four TD's and five INT's. He has also thrown for over 200 yards just one time. With the Eagles top ranked rush defense, that will put a lot of pressure on Wilson on Sunday. The weather won't be as bad here at the Meadowlands as it will be in other parts of the East, but still may play some factor. The winds will be from 12 mph and gusting above that on Sunday. I don't see Wilson doing much and they surely won't run much against this Eagles defense. I'll be on the UNDER today. |
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10-15-23 | Cardinals v. Rams OVER 47.5 | 9-26 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
NFC West clash here on Sunday has the Arizona Cardinals playing at the LA Rams. Both teams finding the going rough thus far with the Cardinals at 1-4 S/U and 3-2 ATS. The Rams are 2-3 S/U and 2-1-2 ATS. The Cardinals are 3-1-1 over/under while the Rams are 2-3 O/Un. Arizona coming off a loss last week at home to Cincinnati, 20-34 with the game going over. The previous week they gave up 35 points to the 49ers in another over. The defense has allowed 27.2 ppg and given up 375.6 ypg. They have average 21.6 ppg with 329 ypg. The Rams had a tough game vs the Eagles last week at home in a loss, 14-23. The Rams have averaged 22.4 ppg while giving up 21.6 ppg on the season. The Rams finally get a team they should be able to score against after some tough outings. The Cardinals seem to be able to put up points even without QB Kyler Murray who has missed all the games this year with an ACL injury. I'm taking the over here on Sunday. |
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10-15-23 | Panthers v. Dolphins UNDER 47.5 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a matchup of the haves and have nots. The Miami Dolphins have it all right now with a 4-1 record both S/U and ATS. The Carolina Panthers have nothing as in wins with a 0-5 S/U and 0-4-1 ATS record. The Panthers are 2-3 O/U while the Dolphins are 3-2 O/U. The Panthers offense is in trouble. The coach hates the QB while the owner wanted this QB. The QB in question is Bryce Young. Young has five TD's on the season and four INT's. He has yet to throw for more than 247 yards. With the team averaging just 18.2 ppg this year, even the Panthers will find scoring tough here on Sunday against a Miami team that has given up some points. One thing that catches my eye is that Miami has to play at Philadelphia next week. Difficult to get up for this Panthers team with a huge matchup on tap next weekend. I'll take the UNDER here as I look for Miami to be a bit distracted. Play UNDER. |
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10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns UNDER 36 | 17-19 | Push | 0 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Interconference game here on Sunday has the undefeated San Francisco 49ers taking on the Cleveland Browns. The Browns will be without starting QB Deshaun Watson who is nursing an injured shoulder. PJ Walker looks to get the start here on Sunday. The Browns offense managed just three points at home last week in their loss to the Ravens, 3-28. That makes three of four games going under this year. The defense is very good too, holding two of their four opponents to just a field goal. The 49ers look to be the team to beat this year with a perfect 5-0 record and 4-0-1 spread record. The defense has held opponents to just 13.6 ppg and 266.8 ypg. Once again, weather looks to play a part in this outcome. While the showers look to be light, the winds will be blowing 16 mph or gusting more than that for this one. The 49ers defense is tough enough without the wind helping them out. Can also say the same for the Browns with their excellent defense. Add to that Watson being out and the browns are going to find moving the ball through the air next to impossible. I'll take the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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10-15-23 | Vikings v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
The Vikings head to Soldier field for a NFC North battle with the Chicago Bears. Both these teams are 1-4 S/U and 1-3-1 ATS. The Vikings are 1-3-1 Over/under while the Bears have gone over in all five games. The Vikings coming off a loss at home to the Chiefs, 20-27 with the game going under the 52.5 point total. The Bears hadn't scored more than 20 points in any of their first three games. However, they have since scored 28 vs the Broncos and 40 vs the Commanders. The defense has been pretty bad with their best effort last week in their win at Washington, 40-20. Weather looks to play a part in this game with scattered rain showers. But more important to the total are the winds, which will be 20 MPH or more. Wind effects totals more than any other element in my experience and today's weather combined with these two teams has me playing the UNDER. |
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10-15-23 | Colts +4 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Jacksonville back on US soil after two straight weeks playing in London. The Jags might want to go there for a new home as they won both games in London. The Jags beat the Bills there last week, 25-20, and the Falcons the previous week, 23-7. That improved the team to 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Jags offense has averaged 21 ppg this season while allowing 20.4 ppg. They have also averaged 358.2 ypg and allowed 344 ypg. The Indianapolis Colts got good news last week with the return of Jonathon Taylor after missing the first four games with a contract dispute. The Colts went right out last week and beat the Titans, 23-16. That makes them 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They have scored 24 ppg while allowing 23 ppg. These teams are pretty evenly matched. However, have to think the Jags might be a bit Jet lagged from their trips to London. I'm going to take the points here with the Colts. |