Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-17-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Tampa Bay Rays have hit left handed pitching extremely well all season. Lefty J.A. Happ will start in this one for the Blue Jays. Happ hasn't been consistent this year, and he has an 8.3 ERA in his career against Tampa Bay. He already had one terrible start earlier this year against the Rays. Roberto Hernandez starts for the Rays. Hernandez is just a mediocre pitcher who generally gives up 3 or 4 runs. Toronto's lineup has been better of late. Jose Reyes being healthy makes this Blue Jays offense much better. I like the value here. Take the over.
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08-17-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 7 | 8-5 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Andrew Albers has burst on the scene for the Minnesota Twins. He was absolutely dominating in AAA, and he has come up to the big leagues and pitched two shutouts in his first two major league starts. He will be up against a White Sox lineup that has been terrible against left handed pitchers all year. The White Sox have one of the worst lineups in baseball at this point. Chris Sale starts for the White Sox. He has been great this year, but his win loss record isn't good, because he rarely gets much run support. The under is 4-0 in the White Sox's last 4 road games. The under is 3-0-1 in the White Sox's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0 in the Twins last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The under is 3-0-1 in the Twins last 4 as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. The under is 2-0 in Albers' first two starts in his major league career. In all a 22-0 winning angle. Take the under.
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08-15-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds swept the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field thanks to some tremendous pitching. The Milwaukee Brewers had a late game in Texas last night, and they are liable to be a little worn out for this one. Kyle Lohse has been amazing all year for the Brewers though, and the Reds have struggled to hit him in the past. Cincinnati's offense has been rather cold of late, and I don't see them coming out of it here. Tony Cingrani is one of baseball's best young pitchers, and he has been rolling of late. The under is 6-0 in Lohse's last 6 home games against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. The under is 12-1 in Lohse's last 13 starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Brewers last 5 as a home underdog. The under is 7-1-1 in the Reds last 9 road games. In all, a 35-2 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-15-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Los Angeles Angels have essentially packed it up for the season. The Angels still have some very talented hitters, so I expect them to put runs on the board against subpar pitchers such as Phil Hughes, but they will give up a lot of runs as well. Hughes has a horrible 8.38 ERA in his career against the Angels. Wilson has struggled on the road this year, and the Yankees offense is much better now with Granderson back and Soriano killing it in the middle of the order. The over is 20-5-1 in Wilson's last 26 road starts. Take the over here.
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08-14-13 | Miami Marlins v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball. The under is a staggering 20-5-2 in their last 27 games overall. Kansas City has climbed back into contention, and they have done it with terrific pitching from both their starting rotation and their bullpen. Erbin Santana has had a couple terrible starts, but overall he has piled up a ton of quality starts in 2013. Jacob Turner is one of the Marlins young talented pitchers. Turner has an ERA of 2.95 on the year. The under is 7-0 in Turner's last 7 road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in the Marlins last 6 interleague games as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Turner's last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 overall. The under is 5-0-1 in the Royals last 6 interleague games versus a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Turner's last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. In all a 28-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-13-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 | 1-3 | Loss | -113 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Philadelphia Phillies haven't been any good lately, but they have hit Kris Medlen very well in the past. Medlen has a career ERA of 5.66 against the Phillies. This year alone, he has an ERA above 6 against Philadelphia. Ethan Martin has two big league starts and he was lit up for 6 runs by the Braves in one of them. A total set this low is usually reserved for two very good pitchers and bad offenses, but that isn't the case at all in this one. I made this total at 9, so I definitely like the value here. Take the over.
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08-13-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays have two of the best offenses in baseball. Toronto's offense is much better now with Brett Lawrie and Jose Reyes healthy. The Red Sox are averaging 5.04 runs per game this year. Redmond doesn't go deep in a game, and I doubt his ability to shut down the Red Sox lineup. Ryan Dempster has been bad of late with an ERA over 7 in his last 3 starts. The over is 6-0 in Dempster's last 6 starts overall. These two offenses should put up some fireworks in this one. Take the over.
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08-13-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Madison Bumgarner has been the Giants best pitcher all season. Despite the fact that San Francisco has had a disappointing season, Bumgarner has been consistently great in 2013. He has a 2.75 ERA this year. Gio Gonzalez has had a few very bad starts, but for the majority of the season, he has been excellent. He has a 2.67 ERA when pitching in Washington in his career. Both these teams struggle against lefties, and these are two very good left handed starters. The under is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 road games. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 road starts. The under is 5-0 in Washington's last 5 Tuesday games. The under is 5-0 in Gonzalez's last 5 on 6 days of rest. The under is 5-0-1 in the Giant's last 6 games as an underdog. In all a 34-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-12-13 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | 0-3 | Win | 106 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Danny Salazar and Andrew Albers will start in this game for Cleveland and Minnesota respectfully. They have a total of 3 career major league starts between the two of them. Salazar was great in his first outing, and he pitched well late time until allowing a late home run to Miguel Cabrera. Albers shutout Kansas City on the road in his first big league start last week. Albers is 27 years old and had a long track to the majors due to injuries, but he has been great in the minor leagues. These are two guys that I expect will become big names in the next couple years. The under is 7-0 in Cleveland's last 7 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The under is 5-0 in the Twins last 5 when scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. In all a 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-11-13 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball Total* The Dodgers have taken the first 2 in this series of two red hot teams. They'll have a good chance of finishing the sweep with star Clayton Kershaw on the mound here. Still I don't see any value on the Dodgers when they are such a big favorite here. Kershaw has a good chance of allowing a single run or less as he often does at home. Jeremy Hellickson started the year poorly, but he has been much better of late. Doug Eddings is the umpire here, and he has the biggest strike zone in all of baseball. The under is 7-0-1 in the Dodgers last 8 home games versus a right handed pitcher. The under is 5-0 in Kershaw's last 5 when starting after 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 home starts. The under is 5-0 in the Dodgers last 5 interleague home games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. In all a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-09-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 8.5 | 1-10 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Colorado Rockies aren't the same team without Carlos Gonzalez in the lineup. Gonzalez is on the disabled list, and the Rockies' offense has slowed down of late. Francisco Liriano has a 2.02 ERA this season, and he has been the Pirates most consistent pitcher. The Rockies don't hit left handed pitching well, and they should struggled against Liriano. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starter for Colorado, and he has been great at Coors Field. The Pirates offense isn't particularly good, and I expect a low scoring game. The under is 5-0-1 in the Rockies last 6 games overall. The under is 4-0 in De La Rosa's last 4 road starts. The under is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5 games following a loss. The under is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5 home games versus a team with a winning road record. A 19-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-09-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Washington Nationals OVER 8.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* John Lannon has struggled all season on the road. He has an ERA slightly above 6 away from home in 2013. The Phillies haven't been winning a lot of games lately, but their offense is improved. Dan Haren has struggled all season, and he has a career ERA above 5 against the Phillies. With two bad pitchers on the mound I expected a total of 9 or even 9.5, but we got a low total of 8.5 instead. Neither of these team have anything to play for the rest of the season. Typically disappointing teams that have nothing to play for have a lot of high scoring games near the end of the season. Expect a high scoring game. Take the over.
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08-08-13 | Miami Marlins v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 6.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Jose Fernandez and Gerrit Cole are two of the most talented young pitching prospects in baseball. Fernandez is only 21 years old and Cole is 22 years old. Both of them have been pitching like seasoned veterans so far in their rookie seasons. Fernandez has been particularly dominant of late. He has struck out 35 batters in his last 23 innings pitched. While Pittsburgh is a very good team, they generally win with their pitching rather than their offense. Gerrit Cole has been consistently very good, and he will go up against a Marlins offense that is the worst in baseball. Expect a lot of quick innings in this one. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins last 6 road games against a right handed starter. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 Thursday games. The under is 4-0 in Fernandez
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08-07-13 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | Top | 8-9 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of the Month* Chris Archer and Randall Delgado will start in this one. Both of these guys are young starters who have done a great job early in their career. Archer has been great even in very difficult conditions on the road. Delgado struggled a bit last season, but he has hit his stride in 2013. Both of these teams have been winning with pitching, while their offenses have been slumping of late. The under is 8-0 in the Rays' last 8 interleague games. The under is 5-0 in the Rays' last 5 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in the Rays' last 7 against the AL West. The under is 4-0 in Archer's last 4 starts with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The under is 9-0 in Archer's last 9 starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Archer's last 5 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games versus a right handed pitcher. The under is 6-0 in the Diamondbacks' last 6 with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. In all a huge 55-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big!
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08-07-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Seattle Mariners OVER 8.5 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* J.A. Happ will make his first start since being hit in the head 3 months ago by a line drive. Happ wasn't a very effective starter before the injury, and those types of injuries are very tough to get over. I expect him to struggle for awhile as he tries to get his confidence back. Aaron Harang pitches for the Mariners and Harang has an ERA well over 5 this season. He has allowed 6 or more runs on more than 5 occasions already this year. Toronto has a solid offense that has been hot of late. I like the value here. Take the over.
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08-07-13 | Oakland A's v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB Top Play Early Bird* Oakland and Cincinnati will play the second of a rare two game series in Cincinnati. Bartolo Colon and Homer Bailey have both been very good this season, and they'll square off against each other in this contest. Colon may be 40 years old, but he is pitching as well as ever this season. He has been a quality start machine. Homer Bailey has been excellent at home with a 2.98 ERA on the year. The under is 5-0 in Oakland's last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the A's last 6 interleague games. The under is 9-1 in the A's last 10 road games. The under is 5-0 in Colon's last 5 interleague starts. The under is 7-0-2 in Bailey's last 9 starts overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Bailey's last 4 starts as a home favorite. In all a 35-1 angle backs this play. Take the under big!
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08-06-13 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Wade Miley struggled earlier in the season, but he has been pitching great over the past few weeks. Miley hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 8 starts. Tampa Bay's offense was on fire a few weeks ago, but they have largely been winning with pitching of late. Jeremy Hellickson is a much better pitcher than his 2013 numbers would suggest. Arizona's offense is very inconsistent, and I don't expect them to do well against Hellickson. The under is 3-0-1 in Miley's last 4 starts overall. The under is 5-0 in Miley's last 5 interleague starts. The under is 7-0 in Tampa Bay's last 7 interleague games as a favorite. The under is 10-1 in Arizona's last 11 against the AL East. The under is 5-0 their last 5 meetings. In all a 30-1 backs this play. Take the under.
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08-06-13 | New York Yankees v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* This game features two underrated starting pitchers. Hiroki Kuroda and Chris Sale have both been excellent this year. These guys very rarely have a bad start. Sale is coming off one of those rare bad starts, but he pitches much better at home. Kuroda hasn't allowed a run in his last 2 starts. The White Sox offense is terrible, and the Yankees' offense isn't much better. Expect a lot of quick innings here. The under is 9-0 in Kuroda's last 9 starts as an underdog. The under is 8-0 in Kuroda's last 8 starts as a road underdog. The under is 4-0-1 in Sale's last 5 home starts as a -110 to -150 favorite. The under is 4-0 in home plate umpire Al Porter's last 4 games behind the dish. In all a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-05-13 | Atlanta Braves v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Mike Minor and Stephen Strasburg will be on the hill tonight for the Braves and the Nationals. Minor has quickly turned into a very good pitcher for the Braves, and Strasburg has some of the best stuff in the majors. Strasburg has a 1.6 ERA at home this year. Minor has a 2.3 ERA on the road this season. The Braves strike out a lot, and Strasburg is great at missing bats. Minor has pitched well in his career against the Nationals. Washington has struggled against left-handed pitching all year. The under is 8-2 in Strasburg's last 10 home starts. The under is 4-0 in Strasburg's last 4 starts against Atlanta. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Take the under.
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08-04-13 | Texas Rangers v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 | 4-0 | Win | 105 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Derek Holland and A.J. Griffin have both been consistently good this season. Holland has a 2.97 ERA in his career against Oakland. Griffin has a 3.00 ERA in his career against Texas. Bill Miller will be the home plate umpire in this game. Miler is my single favorite under umpire because of the consistency of his large strike zone. Expect both pitchers to get some beneficial calls from Miller. The under is 7-0 in the Rangers last 7 Sunday games. The under is 6-0 in Oakland's last 6 during game 3 of a series. The under is 8-0 in Griffin's last 8 against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Griffin's last 4 starts against the AL West. In all, a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-04-13 | Washington Nationals v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers' offense is a shadow of its former self right now. Without Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez this lineup isn't very dangerous. Quality pitchers have been shutting them down on a nightly basis. Taylor Jordan is a good prospect for the Nationals, and he has pitched well so far in his young career. Kyle Lohse has been dominating of late. His ERA is less than 1 in his last three outings. Lohse has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the National League this year. Washington will likely be without Jayson Werth in this game. The under is 12-1 in the Brewers last 13 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 versus a right handed starter. Take the under big!
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08-04-13 | KAN ROYALS v. New York Mets UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Erban Santana was a terrific pickup for the Royals this past off season. Other than a couple rare bad starts, Santana has been extremely good this year. He will face a Mets lineup without David Wright. The Mets have really been struggling to score of late, and without Wright I expect it to be even tougher for them. Zach Wheeler is a top prospect for the Mets, and he has pitched very well in his last couple starts. Look for Wheeler to keep it going against an inconsistent Royals offense. The under is 5-0 in the Mets last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the Mets last 4 as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Santana's lats 4 starts during game 3 of a series. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The under is 7-1 in Wolf's last 8 games behind home plate. Take the under. The under is 4-0 in the Mets last 4 games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. Take the under.
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08-04-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Detroit Tigers are averaging 5.13 runs per game this season which is the best mark in all of baseball. Chicago will start a rookie pitcher making only has second career start in the big leagues. Detroit should tee off on him early and often here. Rick Porcello pitches for the Tigers, and he is very inconsistent. Tim McClelland is the home plate umpire in this game, and he has a tiny strike zone. Don't be surprised if both pitchers get mad at McClelland at some point in this game. I like the value here. Take the over.
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08-02-13 | Texas Rangers v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Texas Rangers offense has been terrible of late. The only reason the Rangers are still in the AL West race at all is their pitching staff. Alexi Ogando has been injured most of the year, but when he has pitched, he has done well. Oakland's offense isn't very good, and they have cooled off a lot of late. The Athletics are winning games because their pitchers have been dominating. Tommy Milone has always been great at home, and he should be able to quiet a scuffling Rangers lineup. The under is 10-1-2 in Ogando's last 13 starts. The under is 3-0-1 in Milone's last 4 starts. The under is 6-0 in the Athletics last 6 versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the Athletics last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 7-0 in Ogando's last 7 starts following a team loss in the previous game. In all a 32-1 winning angle backs this one. Take the under.
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08-02-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* San Francisco has been struggling in a big way lately due to their anemic offense. Tampa Bay has one of the best starting rotations in baseball, and Chris Archer has been awesome in his last few outings. Archer has an ERA under 2 at home this year. On the other side, Madison Bumgarner has been as steady as anyone in baseball over the last month. The Giants haven't been giving him any run support but Bumgarner keeps racking up quality starts. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts following a loss by his team in their previous game. The under is 4-0 in Bumgarner's last 4 road starts. The under is 6-0 in Archer's last 6 home starts. The under is 6-0 in the Rays last 6 home games against a team with a losing record. In all a 21-0 winning angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-02-13 | Colorado Rockies v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Two underrated starting pitchers will be on the mound for this contest. Chacin will start for the Rockies. He struggled a bit at home in Coors Field, but he has a 1.9 ERA on the road in 2013. PNC Park is a pitcher's park and the Pirates offense doesn't put up many runs very often. Cole is a very talented rookie for the Pirates. He has looked even better in his last couple starts. Colorado generally has a very good lineup, but Carlos Gonzalez and Michael Cuddyer may miss this game. The Pirates have gotten very good at winning close games thanks to their pitching staff. Pittsburgh has the best team ERA in all of baseball. The under is 8-1-2 in Chacin's last 11 road starts versus a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Cole's last 4 starts. Take the under.
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08-01-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Josh Johnson used to be one of the best pitchers in baseball, but now he is struggling to keep a starting spot in this Toronto rotation. Johnson has a 6.1 ERA on the season which is among the worst in all of baseball. His ERA is 7.4 on the road this year. Garrett Richards starts for the Angels, and he has been very inconsistent in his young career. Both Toronto and Los Angeles have good offenses, and with two subpar starting pitchers I would have expected a total of 9 or even 9.5. Expect a high scoring game. Take the over.
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08-01-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | 7-2 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* James Shields has pitched great this year, but the Royals haven't supported him much this year with many runs. Shields has a 2.5 ERA on the road in 2013. The Twins offense isn't nearly as strong now with Josh Willingham out of the lineup. Scott Diamond has been up and down this year for the Twins, but he has looked better in his last few starts. Doug Eddings will be behind the plate in this one, and there isn't a better under umpire in all of baseball. Eddings has consistently called a higher percentage of strikes than any other umpire in the league. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 road games versus a left handed pitcher. The under is 6-1-1 in the Royals last 8 overall. The under is 7-1 in Diamond's last 8 starts following a quality start in his previous outing. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 against a team with a winning record. Take the under.
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08-01-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7 | Top | 1-6 | Push | 0 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* Justin Masterson has turned into a legitimate number one starter this year. Masterson has dominated the Chicago White Sox more than any other team during his career. This White Sox offense has been bad of late to start with, and I don't expect them to heat up against a guy with a career ERA of 2 against them. Chris Sale is a very good pitcher on a bad team. Sale pitches well on the road, and I expect a good outing from him. Home plate umpire John Hirschbeck is one of the best under umpires in the league. The under is 4-0 in Masterson's last 4 following a quality start in his last appearance. The under is 4-0 in Masterson's last 4 against the White Sox. The under is 5-0 in the Indians' last 5 versus a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The under is 7-1 in Sale's last 8 starts as a road underdog. Take the under big!
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07-31-13 | New York Mets v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball. Jenrry Mejia has been a top prospect in the Mets organization for quite some time. The Mets are easing him into the rotation. He shut out the Nationals five days ago. The Marlins are the perfect opponent for Mejia to continue to build up his confidence. Henderson Alvarez has pitched a shut out in his last two outings, and the Mets offense is inconsistent at best. I expect this to be a game where runs are at a premium. Take the under.
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07-31-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Homer Bailey has been up and down this year, but he has tremendous stuff, and he has pitched really well in San Diego in his career. The Padres offense is one of the weakest in all of baseball. The Reds have a good lineup on paper, but their offense has been anemic of late. Eric Stults will pitch for the Padres, and he has been superb at home. Stults has a 2.5 ERA at home in 2013. The under is 6-0-2 in Bailey's last 8 starts overall. The under is 4-0-1 in Bailey's last 5 starts as a favorite. The under is 5-0-1 in the Reds last 6 games overall. The under is 9-0 in Stults' last 9 starts during game 3 of a series. In all, a 24-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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07-30-13 | New York Yankees v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The New York Yankees lineup is slowly getting better, but they have a very long way to go. Derek Jeter still isn't completely healthy, and the majority of this offense's stars are still sidelined with injuries. The Dodgers' offense has actually gone cold of late, but they have been winning games thanks to a much improved pitching staff. It took the Dodgers until the 11th inning to score a run in their 1-0 win over the Reds on Sunday. Zack Greinke has a 2.53 ERA at home this year. The under is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 interleague road games. The under is 3-0-1 in the Yankees last 4 road games as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Pettitte's last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 8-0-1 in the Dodgers' last 9 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Dodgers' last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0-1 in the Dodgers last 8 games as a home favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in Greinke's last 4 starts overall. Take the under.
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07-30-13 | Colorado Rockies v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 | 3-11 | Win | 102 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Tim McClelland has been the most consistent over umpire in baseball for the past decade. McClelland routinely squeezes the strike zone and makes life miserable for pitchers. Alex Wood is a huge prospect for the Braves, but he hasn't proved himself in the majors yet. Juan Nicasio has an ERA of 4.4 this year, and this Braves lineup should put up several runs against him. The posted total here is set at a very reasonable number here, and we aren't even having to lay any juice. Look for a relatively high scoring game. Take the under.
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07-30-13 | Washington Nationals v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Stephen Strasburg and Anibal Sanchez will square off in what I expect to be a pitchers duel Tuesday night in Detroit. Strasburg struggled a bit early this year, but he has been great in his last few outings. Sanchez is a very underrated starter for the Tigers. Washington's offense has been bad of late, and I don't see them getting it going against a guy like Sanchez. While the Tigers offense is very good, Strasburg definitely has the stuff to slow them down. The weather conditions here should help. Take the under.
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07-28-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Bruce Chen has allowed just one run in 12 innings in his only two starts of the season. The White Sox are awful against left handed pitchers. Chicago averages just 3.16 runs per game against lefties. On the other side, Hector Santiago has allowed only one run in 19 career innings against the Kansas City Royals. Both of these offenses have been struggling of late, and with the abnormally cool weather in Chicago, the ball should fly as well as normal. The under is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 games overall. The under is 4-0-1 in Chen's last 5 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 Sunday games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Chicago. The under is 4-0 in home plate umpire Tony Randazzo's last 4 games behind the dish. In all, a 20-0 winning angle. Take the under.
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07-28-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Both of these teams struggle offensively, and this contest will feature two of the best young pitchers in baseball. Gerrit Cole was really sharp in his last outing at Washington, and he has yet to pitch poorly in his young major league career. Jose Fernandez is a guy who could easily be one of the top pitchers in the league in the next couple years. Fernandez has pitched well everywhere including Coors Field where he allowed only two runs in seven innings in his last start. The Marlins have the worst offense in baseball, and the Pirates have the best pitching staff in baseball. The under is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 Sunday games. The under is 5-0 in the Pirates last 5 during game 3 of a series. The under is 6-0 in Fernandez's last 6 starts. The under is 10-1 in the Marlins last 11 games overall. Take the under.
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07-27-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates have the best team ERA in all of baseball. The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball. It's a nice combination for a low scoring game. Pittsburgh's offense isn't very good, and the Marlins have actually been pitching well as of late. Tom Koehler had one terrible start at home earlier this year against the Cardinals, but other than that game, he has been very solid. The Pirates lineup certainly doesn't have the same pop that the Cardinals do, and I expect Koehler to pitch well. The under is 10-0 in Miami's last 10 games overall. The under is 9-0 in the Marlins' last 9 as an underdog. The under is 7-0 in the Marlins' last 7 games against a righty. The under is 5-0 in Morton's last 5 starts as a favorite. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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07-27-13 | Houston Astros v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 8-6 | Win | 106 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Josh Johnson was a dominate starter a couple of years ago, but something just isn't right with him this season. He has an ERA of 5.50, and he has had multiple games where he can't make it past the third inning. Houston will start Dallas Keuchel. Keuchel was never very good in the minors, and he has really struggled on the road in his major league career. Toronto hits left-handed pitchers well, and I fully expect them to put up a lot of runs against Keuchel. Houston's bullpen is the worst in baseball so there will be no relief in sight if Keuchel is knocked out of the game early. Toronto scored 8 runs in a single inning last night against Houston's bullpen. Take the over.
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07-26-13 | San Diego Padres v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 0-10 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks have two of the weakest offenses in the National League. Arizona has been winning solely because of their pitching. Arizona has been particularly bad against lefties, and Eric Stults is an underrated left-handed starter. Randall Delgado is a talented young pitcher for Arizona, and he has pitched well so far this year. The under is 5-0 in Arizona's last 5 during game 1 of a series. The under is 7-0 in Stults' last 7 starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Stults' last 6 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Stults' last 5 starts versus the Diamondbacks. Take the under.
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07-26-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Miami Marlins definitely have the worst offense in baseball. They recently went 37 straight innings without scoring a single run. How can we expect them to score more in this one when they are facing a pitcher as good as Jeff Locke? Locke has been as good as any rookie starting pitcher in baseball this year. He has a 2.11 ERA, and I expect him to dominate this Marlins lineup. Pittsburgh's offense isn't very good, but the Pirates have the best pitching staff in baseball. Enderson Alvarez has lots of potential, and he has pitched well lately. The under is 9-0 in Miami's last 9 games. The under is 4-0 in the Marlins' last 4 following a win. The under is 8-0 in the Marlins' last 8 games as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. Take the under.
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07-25-13 | Miami Marlins v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 10 | 5-3 | Win | 109 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The oddsmakers continue to put high totals on this series so I'll take this last opportunity to take advantage of a line that is set too high. Miami didn't score a run for 37 straight innings, and even at Coors Field, the Marlins offense hasn't been productive at all. Nathan Eovaldi has pitched very well in his two previous starts at Coors Field. With this being get away day, the Rockies may as well sit one or two of their best players. The under is 8-0 in the Marlins last 8 games. The under is 7-0 in the Marlins last 7 road games. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins last 6 against a right handed starter. Take the under.
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07-25-13 | New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 2-0 | Win | 103 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Hiroki Kuroda and Derek Holland will be on the mound for the finale of this series. Holland has struggled in the past against the Yankees but that was a completely different Yankees lineup than he will face Thursday afternoon. Holland pitched a complete game shutout a few weeks ago against this Yankees lineup. Kuroda has an ERA of less than 3 against the Rangers. Vick Carapazza is the home plate umpire here, and he has a very large strike zone which will help both pitchers. The under is 5-0 in Holland's last 5 home starts. The under is 8-1-2 in the Rangers' last 11 overall. The under is 7-0 in Kuroda's last 7 as an underdog. The under is 14-2-1 in the Yankees last 17 road games versus a left handed starter. Take the under.
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07-25-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 7-9 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals are two of the best pitching staffs in all of baseball. The Pirates actually have the single best team ERA in baseball. Washington has a very good rotation, and Gio Gonzalez has been lights out of late. A.J. Burnett has had a couple bad starts here and there, but he has been very good for the Pirates this season. Both of these offenses really struggle to put together a big inning. Look for a pitchers duel as both pitchers pitch deep into the game. Take the under.
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07-24-13 | Miami Marlins v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Miami Marlins went 37 straight innings without scoring a single run. They did manage to score four last night, and that was enough for the win. Don't expect this Marlins offense to start putting up big run totals any time soon. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starter for the Rockies. Despite pitching in a very difficult ballpark, he has had an ERA of right around 3 all season. The Marlins have been terrible against lefties all year, and I don't expect that to change here. Jacob Turner is an extremely talented youngster for the Marlins, and he seems to be taking the next step this year. The under is 7-0 in the Marlins last 7 games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 road games. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins 6 against a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in Turner's last 5 road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in home plate umpire Dan Iassogna's last 6 games behind the plate. Take the under.
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07-24-13 | Baltimore Orioles v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Bill Miller is probably my single favorite under umpire. Miller has consistently been an under umpire because of his massive strike zone for many years in a row. Erbin Santana has been great at home this year, and he is a strikeout pitcher who will benefit from Miller's large strike zone. Chen has pitched well since coming off the disabled list for Baltimore. The Royals offense has been struggling mightily of late. Two solid pitchers teamed up with a top strike caller behind the dish makes the under a good value. Take the under here.
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07-23-13 | Miami Marlins v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Day* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball right now. In their series with Milwaukee this past weekend, Miami failed to score a run in 31 straight innings. Chacin has pitched well for the Rockies this year, and I can't imagine the Marlins getting many runs off of him. On the other side, Jose Fernandez will start for the Marlins. Fernandez is one of the best young pitchers in baseball. Bettors have made a lot of money backing Fernandez this year despite that fact that he plays for a terrible team. His stuff is absolutely electric, and I expect him to be a star for a long time. I won't back the Marlins because of their hitting woes, but I do really like the under. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins last 6 overall. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 road games. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 versus a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 games versus a right handed starter. The under is 5-0 in Fernandez's last 5 starts overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Chacin's last 4 Tuesday starts. The under is 7-0 in the Rockies last 7 when facing a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15. In all a 36-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big.
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07-23-13 | Pittsburgh: G Cole v. Washington: T Jordan UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Here we have a pitching matchup of Cole versus Jordan. Both of these guys are highly touted young pitching prospects. Though the Pirates have a very good record this year, they don't have a good offense. Washington has been very disappointing this season, but they still have a quality pitching staff. Pittsburgh is first in the majors in overall team ERA. Both of these teams have been on nice under runs of late, and I don't see that changing on Tuesday. I expected a total of 8 or even 7.5, so being able to grab the under at 8.5 seems like a great value to me. Look for a pitchers duel in this one. Take the under.
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07-22-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Arizona Diamondbacks have a lot of good young pitchers, and Tyler Skaggs will likely be the next big name for this rotation. While the Diamondbacks have pitched very well this year, their offense isn't good. Matt Garza will pitch for the Cubs here, and Garza is throwing the baseball extremely well right now. Every time he take the mound, there are tons of teams watching, and that seems to be pushing him to be even better. The under is 3-0-1 in Arizona's last 4 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Garza's last 4 starts against Arizona. The under is 6-1 in the Cubs last 7 road games versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-1-1 in the Diamondbacks last 8 against a right handed pitcher. The under is 4-0 in Garza's last 4 against the NL West. Take the under.
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07-21-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* A total of 10.5 isn't seen very often, but there are some great reasons for this total being set so high. Day games at Coors Field are notoriously high scoring. The weather should help as it is expected to be 90 degrees for this contest. Edwin Jackson starts for the Cubs, and to say that he has been horrible at Coors Field is a major understatement. In four career starts in Denver he has a 17.4 ERA. Tyler Chatwood allows a lot of base runners and I think this is the type of game where he'll pay for that. This one has the makings of a very high scoring game. Take the over.
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07-21-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* Clayton Kershaw and Jordan Zimmerman are two pitchers that I love playing the under with. Those two will square off against each other in this one and I love the value on the under here. Kershaw and Zimmerman are both extremely consistent, and the are among the most dominating pitchers in baseball. Yesterday's game between these two teams was a pitchers dual, and I expect another one on Sunday afternoon. The under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 games versus a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0 in the Dodgers last 7 against a right handed starter. The under is 5-0 in the Dodgers last 5 games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 starts. The under is 5-0 in Kershaw's last 5 Sunday starts. The under is 4-0 in Washington's last 4 games overall. The under is 4-0 in their last four meetings. In all a 35-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big!
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07-21-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 106 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds are playing a very important 3 game series in Cincinnati this weekend. The Reds have taken the first 2 games in this series, but the Pirates will start lefty Jeff Locke in this game. Locke may be a rookie, but has been the Pirates best pitcher over the past couple months. His ERA is just a shade above 2. Homer Bailey will start for the Reds, and he has had a ton of success against the Pirates this year including a no hitter last season. The under is 8-1 in the Pirates last 9 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts against the NL Central. The under is 8-0-1 in the Reds' last 9 during game 3 of a series. The under is 3-0-1 in Bailey's last 4 starts as a favorite. The under is 4-0-2 in Bailey's last 6 starts overall. The under is 2-0-2 in Bailey's last 4 starts against Pittsburgh. Take the under.
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07-21-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. New York Mets UNDER 6.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* A total of 6.5 is always scary when betting the under, but this low number is definitely justified with Cliff Lee and Matt Harvey on the mound. Lee has been as solid as ever so far this year. He has a 2.09 ERA on the road. Harvey has been spectacular in 2013, and he has an ERA of just 1.37 against the Phillies in his young career. Mike Winters is a good umpire to have for the under because of his large strike zone. This should be a game where both starters shut down the opposition. Expect a very low scoring game. Take the under.
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07-20-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Verlander has absolutely owned the Kansas City Royals in his career. He has a career 2.5 ERA against the Royals. He has actually been even better with a 2.3 ERA when starting in Kansas City. Jeremy Guthrie will start for the Royals, and he has a solid 3.8 ERA in his career against the Tigers. Guthrie is a much better pitcher at home as well. While Verlander struggled earlier this year, I expect him to be dialed in for the second half of the season. Lance Barksdale is behind the plate for this one, and he is a solid under umpire because of his generous strike zone. A strong wind blowing in from right field should also help the under. I like the value here. Take the under.
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07-20-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates play a very important 3 game series this weekend in Cincinnati. The Reds took the first game of this series last night. Both teams will start one of their best pitchers in Saturday's matchup. A.J. Burnett will start for the Pirates, and he's been their most consistent pitcher this year. Matt Latos starts for the Reds. He's coming off his worst start of the year, and I expect him to bounce right back into form. These two teams have a history of playing some very low scoring games against each other. The under is 7-1-3 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. The under is 8-0 in the Pirates last 8 games. The under is 6-0-1 in the Pirates last 7 against a right-handed starter. Take the under.
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07-14-13 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Ron Kulpa is one of my favorite under umpires, and he'll be behind the plate for this game. Kulpa has one of the biggest strike zones in all of baseball and both of these pitchers should benefit from that expanded zone. The under is 22-6-1 in Kulpa's last 29 Sunday games behind home plate. Wily Peralta is a young prospect for the Brewers who has improved a lot in his last few starts. Milwaukee's lineup is very short handed without Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez. The total is posted a little too high here. Take the under.
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07-13-13 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play 100% Angle* The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game with a very short-handed lineup. Ryan Braun will miss the game as will Aramis Ramirez. Those two guys are their best run producers and this lineup is much weaker without them. The Diamondbacks have been a surprise this year, but it isn't because of their offense. Arizona's lineup isn't very good from top to bottom. Randall Delgado is a good young starter for the Diamondbacks and I think he has a bright future. Kyle Lohse has a solid 3.36 ERA on the road this year.
The under is 12-0 in Lohse's last 12 starts versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Lohse's last 6 road games versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Lohse's last 6 starts as a road underdog. The under is 8-0 in Lohse's last 8 games as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in the Brewer's last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the Diamondback's last 4 versus a righty. The under is 6-0 in the Diamondback's last 6 versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than 40%. The under is 4-0 in Lohse's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers' last 4 as an underdog. In all a massive 55-0 angle backs this play. Take the under BIG! |
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07-13-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Here we get a nice value on the over with two pitchers who I believe are capable of giving up a very big number. Jason Hammel has an ERA above 6 at home this year. Todd Redmond has made only 2 career major league starts and his ERA was nearly 4 in triple A. Toronto's offense is much more dangerous in Jose Reyes in the lead off spot. Baltimore's lineup doesn't get the credit it deserves. The Orioles have one baseball's best offenses from top to bottom. Look for a high scoring affair. Take the over.
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07-12-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 | 4-2 | Win | 112 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Value* John Lackey has been pitching extremely well of late. Lackey is arguably throwing the ball better than he has at any time in his career. Jarrod Parker started the year slowly, but he hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of this last 7 starts. Boston has struggled badly in Oakland for several years. The Red Sox are 8-24 in their last 32 games in Oakland. Boston's offense is very good, but I have a feeling Parker and the strong Athletics bullpen will slow them down. This one has pitchers' dual written all over it. Take the under.
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07-12-13 | New York Mets v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 8 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jeremy Hefner has really come into his own over his last few starts. Hefner was on the verge of losing his starting spot in the rotation, but he has solidified his spot with five very good starts in a row. Charlie Morton hasn't been able to prove himself yet this year, but he has a good history at home. Neither of these teams have a strong lineup. This is the type of game that I think both pitchers will have several easy innings. Because the Mets bats have been hot of late, the value is with the under. Take the under.
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07-12-13 | Texas Rangers v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Grimm started the year well for the Rangers, but things have really fallen apart for him of late. Grimm never pitched very well in the minors so I'm not surprised he is struggling in the majors. Detroit isn't the type of team you want to face when you are struggling. Look for the Tigers to put up a big number here. On the other side Doug Fister has allowed 6 runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. The Rangers offense is pretty strong as well. The over is 4-0 in Grimm's last 4 starts as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in Grimm's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. The over is 8-1 in the Tigers last 9 home games. The over is 7-0 in the Tigers last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Take the over.
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07-11-13 | Colorado Rockies v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 8 | 1-6 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Two left-handed pitchers who have really struggled of late will start in this matchup. Drew Pomeranz will start for the Rockies. He has lasted only 4 innings in his first two starts back from an injury. The Dodgers' lineup is hitting extremely well right now, and I think they are a really tough matchup for him. Chris Capuano has been awful at home this year. He has an ERA above 7 at Dodgers Stadium. Several guys in this Rockies lineup have great numbers against Capuano. For two struggling pitchers, I believe this total is just too low. Take the over.
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07-11-13 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Arizona Diamondbacks have won games this year because of their pitching, not their hitting. Arizona's lineup is one of the worst in the National League. Milwaukee has a decent lineup when everyone is healthy, but the Brewers are severely shorthanded right now. Wade Miley pitched great last year, and after a slow start he has looked good in his last 3 outings. Yobani Gallardo is auditioning for a spot on someone else's roster right now, and I think he'll pitch well. The under is 10-1 in the Dbacks last 11 against a right handed pitcher. Take the under.
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07-10-13 | Colorado: De La Rosa v. San Diego: A Cashner UNDER 7 | 5-4 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* The Colorado Rockies are without their 3 best hitters right now. Without Gonzalez, Tulowitzki, and Fowler the Rockies lineup isn't very dangerous. The Padres are without both Grandal and Alonso and their lineup was very weak to start with. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starter for the Rockies. In his career he has an ERA of less than 2 when pitching in San Diego. Andrew Cashner has the stuff to be an elite pitcher, and this is a great chance for him to show that against a very short-handed Rockies lineup. Ron Kulpa is one of my favorite under umpires and he will be behind the plate here. Take the under.
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07-10-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. Chicago Cubs OVER 8 | 13-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total Domination* C.J. Wilson and Jeff Samardzija will be on the mound tonight. Wilson has struggled on the road and Samardzija has struggled at home. A big factor in this game will be the home plate umpire, Sam Holbrook. Holbrook is one of my favorite 'over' umpires because of his tiny strike zone. He'll make both pitchers work very hard in this game. The Angels lineup has come to life of late, and the Cubs have been hitting it surprisingly well of late. The over is 7-0 in Samardzija's last 7 home starts. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts after allowing just 2 runs or less in his previous start. The over is 8-0-1 in the Cubs last 9 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams at Wrigley. The over is 4-0 in the Angels last 4 following a loss. The over is 6-0 in Wilson's last 6 as a road favorite. In all, a 32-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
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07-10-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 9 | 6-2 | Win | 101 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds offense has been in a terrible slump on the road of late. This lineup should produce more than they have been, but now seems to be the perfect time for Brewers pitcher Johnny Hellweg to go against Cincinnati. Hellweg has had a very rocky start to his major league career, but his minor league numbers tell me that he should improve drastically. Mike Leake has been tremendous so far this year for the Reds. He pitches much better away from home. The under is 6-0 in the Reds last 7 games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Leake's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. Take the under.
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07-09-13 | Oakland A's v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Both Daniel Straily and Gerrit Cole are top pitching prospects. These guys don't have a lot of experience in the majors, but their history in the minors tells me they'll be dominating in the majors sooner rather than later. Oakland's offense started off red hot this year, but they have cooled off of late. Pittsburgh's offense is inconsistent and hasn't been good the last few days. Both of these teams have a great bullpen. Wally Bell will be behind home plate here and he has a huge strike zone that should help these two young pitchers. Take the under.
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07-09-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Cleveland Indians OVER 9 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Here we have a matchup of two pitchers who have been struggling all season. Both Josh Johnson and Ubaldo Jimenez have had great seasons in the past, but 2013 hasn't been impressive for either of these guys. Johnson has an ERA above 7 on the road while Jimenez has an ERA above 6 at home. Toronto's offense is much better with Jose Reyes in the leadoff spot. Cleveland's offense is better than most realize, especially with Jason Kipnis and Michael Brandley hitting the ball as well as they are right now. The wind is expected to be blowing out center field which will help as well. Take the over.
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07-08-13 | New York Mets v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Matt Harvey has been outstanding for the Mets this season. Harvey's ERA is barely above 2. The problem for Harvey has been that the Mets' offense doesn't give him much run support. Tim Lincecum has been up and down this season, but he is better at home and he'll be facing a weak Mets lineup. The Giants have won only 5 of their last 21 games, and that is primarily due to horrific production from their offense. Marco Scutaro is one of their most consistent hitters, but he is dinged up right now. It's hard to see either of these teams putting up many runs here. Take the under.
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07-08-13 | Oakland A's v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Gem* Bartolo Colon and Jeff Locke are both pitchers I've fared well backing so far this year. Against each other, I struggle to see an edge for either team, but I do expect a low scoring game. Locke has a spectacular 2.12 ERA on the year. Colon has a 2.78 ERA this year, and his consistency has been tremendous. Both of these teams have a good bullpen, and I don't think either lineup is particularly strong. These aren't the kind of teams that usually give away free runs with defensive miscues either. The under is 4-0 in Colon's last 4 interleague starts. The under is 7-1 in Locke's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 3-0-1 in the Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the under big!
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07-08-13 | Washington Nationals v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -114 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Week* The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies offenses have both been heating up in a big way of late. Chase Utley is healthy and Domonic Brown is hitting the cover off the ball too. Washington has gotten a major boost from Bryce Harper coming back. Dan Haren has an ERA above 6 this year, and in his career he has an 8.18 ERA at Philadelphia. John Lannan has been up and down all year and the Phillies have been locked in against lefties of late. The over is 4-0 in the Nationals last 4. The over is 6-0-1 in Haren's last 7 starts as a favorite. The over is 7-0 in the Phillies last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games. The over is 5-0 in Lannan's last 5 starts. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!
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07-07-13 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The weather is an important factor at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. The high temperature is expected to be 95 degrees around the start of this game, which should help the ball fly very well. Justin Grimm pitched well in his first few starts for the Rangers, but he has been torched of late. The Astros put up 9 runs against Yu Darvish, and I expect them to put up several here. The Rangers have a strong lineup, and they matchup well against Houston pitcher Erik Bedard. The over is 7-1 in Grimm's last 8 starts overall. The over is 3-1-1 in the Astros last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in the Rangers' last 4 against a left-handed pitcher. Take the over.
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07-03-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Matt Garza and Bartolo Colon have both been pitching brilliantly of late. Garza has a 0.61 ERA in his last 3 starts. Colon has an ERA well under 3 so far this year. Neither of these offenses are particularly strong. Recent overs by both of these teams have bumped the total up here which gives us more value on the under. Both of these pitchers could pitch deep into the game and save up the bullpen. I have this one pegged at 6.5 runs, so I'll gladly take the under when given an extra run. Take the under.
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07-03-13 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers UNDER 8 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Felix Hernandez is clearly one of baseball's best pitchers, and Derek Holland is quickly becoming an elite pitcher. Hernandez tends to pitch his best against high quality competition. The Mariners scored 9 runs last night, but they have struggled all year against left-handed pitching. Look for the Rangers to bounce back behind a great effort from Holland. The under is 5-0-1 in Hernandez's last 6 Wednesday starts. The under is 3-0-1 in Hernadez's last 4 as an underdog. The under is 7-0 in Holland's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Rangers last 4 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Holland's last 4 starts as a favorite. Take the under.
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06-30-13 | New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -119 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
*5 Star Sunday Night Baseball TOP Play* The Baltimore Orioles still aren't getting the respect they deserve from the oddsmakers. Baltimore won with their pitching staff last year, but it is their amazing offense that has them winning games this season. Opposing pitchers really don't get a break at any point in the Orioles lineup. Hiroki Kuroda has been good this year, but he allowed five runs in just two innings at Baltimore a few weeks ago. Paul Schreiber will be the home plate umpire, and he is arguably the best over umpire in the business because of his tiny strike zone. Kuroda has a career ERA of 7.6 when Schreiber is behind home plate. On the other side, Chris Tillman has an ERA above 8 in his career against the Yankees. The over is 3-1-1 in the Orioles last 5 Sunday games. The over is 4-1 in Tillman's last 5 games with 4 days of rest. The over is 4-1 in Tillman's last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. The over is 4-0 in Tillman's last 4 starts verses the Yankees. Take the over Big!
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06-30-13 | Washington Nationals v. New York Mets UNDER 7.5 | 13-2 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Zach Wheeler is one of the top pitching prospects in all of baseball. He pitched a shut out in his first start, but gave up 4 runs in his second league start. The Mets organization realized that Wheeler was tipping his breaking pitches in his last start, and look for Wheeler to have adjusted in time for this start. Gio Gonzalez started the year a little slowly, but he is a very good left-handed pitcher. The Mets lineup has been struggling of late, and I don't expect them to get it going against Gonzalez. Look for a good outing from both pitchers. Take the under.
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06-29-13 | San Diego Padres v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Jacob Turner was rushed to the majors by Detroit, and he struggled early in his career, but he his starting to look like the same dominant pitcher he was expected to be when he was brought up. Turner has a 1.97 ERA so far this season, and the Padres offense isn't very strong. Eric Stults will start for the Padres. Stults has been quietly raking in the money for under bettors so far this season. He is a quality left-handed pitcher who does a good job controlling all of his pitches. The Marlins arguably have the worst offense in baseball, and they have been particularly bad against left-handed pitching. The under is 7-0 in the Padres last 7 against a team with a winning percentage of less than 40%. The under is 7-0 in Stults' last 7 road starts. The under is 4-0 in Stults' last 4 road starts against a team with a losing record. Take the under.
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06-29-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 | 1-2 | Win | 106 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Matt Cain started the season pitching terribly, but he is beginning to look a lot more like the Matt Cain of old in his last 4 starts. While he hasn't been terrific at Coors Field, he doesn't have a bad history in this hitter-friendly ballpark either. The Rockies are without Troy Tulowitzki, and they may be without Dexter Fowler. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starting pitcher for the Rockies. He has an ERA of less than 3.5 at Coors Field this year. Matt Cain has an ERA of less than 2 in his career with Bob Davidson behind home plate. I like the value on the under. Take the under.
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06-28-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | 4-5 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Chicago Cubs and Seattle Mariners both have terrible offenses. In this game, they both have very good pitchers going as well. Travis Woos is 5-6 on the season, but it isn't because he hasn't pitched well. In fact, Wood has a sparkling 2.85 ERA. The Cubs just haven't been hitting for him at all. Hisashi Iwakuma has been the Mariners best pitcher this year. Iwakuma has an ERA of 2.26 on the year, and his ERA is 1.46 at home. These two guys have been great game in and game out and I expect no different here. Take the under.
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06-28-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Shelby Miller and Bartolo Colon have both been awesome this season. Both of these guys have an ERA of less than 3 on the season. Colon has been even more dominant at home and in his career he has pitched better during night games. The Cardinals lineup is very good, but they are in a bit of a slump right now. Colon seems like the type of guy that could keep the Cardinals hitters guessing. Miller has been amazing in his rookie season, and the Athletics' offense has come back down to earth after their red hot start to the season. Expect both of these pitchers to go deep into the game. The under is 7-2 in the Cardinals last 9 games. The under is 5-1 in Miller's last 6 road starts. The under is 10-2 in the A's last 12 home games verses a right handed starter. Take the under.
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06-28-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Kansas City Royals offense hasn't been particularly strong so far, but I expect them to get better as the season progresses. At the same time, the Royals bullpen has been over achieving this season. James Shields is a solid pitcher, but he has struggled against Willingham, Mauer, and Morneau. The heart of this Twins order is still pretty good. The weather conditions should help the ball fly out here as the wind is expected to be out at about 15 mph. P.J. Walters hasn't proven himself as a big league pitcher. He is the type of guy who can give up 5 or 6 runs in an inning. The over is 5-2 in Walters' last 7 home starts. I like the value here. Take the over.
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06-28-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox have two of the best offenses in baseball. Toronto just got back Jose Reyes and I would argue he is the key to their offense. He gets on base and gives Bautista and Encarnacion more RBI opportunities. Webster has struggled a lot early in his career, and shutting down Toronto is a tough task right now. Josh Johnson isn't the same pitcher he was a couple years ago. The Red Sox lead the majors in runs scored, and I expect them to score several here. Take the over in this one.
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06-27-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Week* The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers are both very short-handed on offense right now. Chicago has a poor lineup to start with and DeJesus was doing a nice job as their leadoff man. Milwaukee is without star Ryan Braun as well as Corey Hart. Carlos Gomez may miss the game as well. Matt Garza had one bad outing this year, but he has been dominant in most of his starts. He has a 2.90 ERA in his career against the Brewers. Wily Peralta took some time to get accustomed to the majors, but he has looked much better of late. He has been great in two starts against the Cubs this year already. The under is 5-1-1 in the Cubs last 7 road games. The under is 4-1 in Peralta's last 5 starts. The under is 7-2-1 in the Cubs last 10. Take the under big!
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06-26-13 | Cleveland Indians v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Value* Jason Hammel started the season well, but he has been struggling in a big way of late. He'll be pitching at home in this one, but that's certainly not an advantage for him. He has an ERA above 7 at home this year. Scott Kazmir is extremely inconsistent at this stage of his career, and the Orioles have one of baseball's best offenses. Ted Barrett will be the home plate umpire here. Kazmir has a 10.06 ERA with Barrett as home plate umpire in his career. Hammel has a 8.53 ERA with Barrett behind the plate. This has all the makings of a high-scoring contest. Take the over.
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06-26-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Houston Astros OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Tim McClelland is the best over umpire in all of baseball. So far this season McClelland has called only 61.7% of pitches a strike, which is easily the lowest of any major league umpire. The conditions in this game will be favorable for the over as well with the temperature near 90 and win blowing straight out to center field. Erik Bedard has struggled with McClelland behind the plate because he likes to nibble at the corners, and McClelland doesn't give him those pitches. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage under 40%. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 road games. The over is 4-0-1 in Lance Lynn's last 5 following a quality start. The over is 4-1 in McClelland's last 5 behind the plate. Take the over.
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06-26-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 6.5 | 4-2 | Win | 102 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Bill Miller will be the home plate umpire for this game. Miller is probably my single favorite under umpire in all of baseball. Unlike many umpires, Miller has an extremely consistent large strike zone year in and year out. Felix Hernandez is one of baseball's most dominating pitcher and he has been awesome with Miller is behind the dish. Hernandez has a 1.86 ERA with Miller as the home plate umpire. He also has a 0.56 ERA in his career against the Pirates. The Mariners have one of the worst offenses in baseball, and Gomez has been a solid pitcher for the Pirates this year. Look for a low scoring contest. Take the under.
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06-26-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Miami Marlins UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Minnesota Twins and Miami Marlins played to a 4-2 final last night as I cashed in on the under. I'm going back to the well in this one. Minnesota is notorious for resting key starters in get away day situations like this so don't be surprised if Mauer, Morneau, or Willingham aren't in the lineup. Scott Diamond is a talented young lefty for the Twins and the Marlins are brutally bad (.211 average) against lefties. Koehler had one terrible start for the Marlins, but that was against St. Louis and he should calm a short-handed Twins offense. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 interleague games. The under is 4-0 in Diamond's last 4 Wednesday starts. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 against the AL East. The under is 3-0-1 in the Marlins last 4 against the AL Central. Take the under.
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06-25-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -118 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Seattle Mariners both struggle against left-handed pitching. Jeff Locke is a very good young lefty for the Pirates and Joe Saunders is tough at Safeco Field. Pittsburgh hits .220 and Seattle .229 against lefties. Locke has been absolutely amazing of late. He has thrown a shutout in 5 of his last 7 starts. He has a 2.01 ERA on the year overall. Saunders has a 2.53 ERA at home this year. The under is 6-0 in Locke's last 6 road starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts as a favorite. The under is 5-0 in Saunders' last 5 starts. The under is 5-0-1 in the Pirates last 6 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two. In all, a 27-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big.
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06-25-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in all of baseball. In fact, there have been very few bright spots for Miami this season. One of those rare bright spots has been youngster Jose Fernandez. Fernandez has been brilliant at home with an ERA of less than 2 so far in 2013. Kevin Correia isn't a dominating pitcher, but he consistently gives the Twins a quality start. This is one of those games where I expect a lot of quick innings and the starters working deep into the game. Look for a pitchers duel. Take the under.
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06-25-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8 | 1-5 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Matt Moore was amazing at the start of 2013, but things have turned quickly for the worse in his last 4 starts. Moore has an ERA above ten in those last four outings. Toronto's bats have been heating up in a big way of late. On the other side, Mark Buehrle starts for the Blue Jays. Tampa Bay has been great all season against left handed pitching. Both of these offenses are capable of putting up a big inning at any time during this contests. The over is 5-0 in Moore's last 5 starts overall. The over is 4-0 in Moore's last 4 starts at home verses Toronto. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Tampa. The over is 4-1 in Tampa's last 5 games verses a lefty. Take the over.
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06-23-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians OVER 9 | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Mike Pelfrey has an ERA over 6 so far this year. Pelfrey is one of those guys that regularly allows 4 or 5 runs and doesn't get out of the 6th inning. Carlos Carrasco has never been consistent in his big league pitching career, and the Twins have hit the ball well against him in the past. The over is 12-5 in the last 17 games between these two teams at Cleveland. The over is 19-8-2 in the last 29 meetings between these teams overall. Look for both pitchers to give up several here. Take the over.
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06-20-13 | Boston: J Lackey v. Detroit: J Alvarez OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Boston Red Sox and the Detroit Tigers arguably have the two best offenses in the majors. Detroit is averaging 4.94 runs and I expect them to have success against John Lackey. Lackey struggles on the road and I don't consider him a dominating pitcher at this stage in his career. Jose Alvarez will make his second career start for Detroit. Alvarez is a nice prospect, but it is a lot to ask of him to shut down this Red Sox lineup. Boston is averaging 5.08 runs per game this year, which is first in the majors. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Look for a high scoring contest. Take the over.
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06-19-13 | Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8 | 1-4 | Loss | -111 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals have a history of playing some high scoring games against each other. Jake Westbrook just came back from an injury and he didn't look sharp in his first start back. Edwin Jackson has a 4.58 ERA in his career against the Cardinals, and most of the guys in this St. Louis lineup have great numbers against him. This number isn't set very high, so I like the value. The over is 6-0 in Westbrook's last 6. The over is 6-0-1 in Westbrook's last 7 as a -151 to -200 favorite. The over is 4-0 in Westbrook's last 4 against the Cubs. Take the over.
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06-19-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 109 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Bronson Arroyo has a nice history against his old team (the Pittsburgh Pirates) and he also has pitched great with Jerry Meals as the home plate umpire. Meals will be behind the plate here. Arroyo has a 1.73 ERA in 7 starts with Meals as the home plate umpire. Jeff Locke has been a great young lefty for the Pirates. In two starts against the Reds, he has a 1.86 ERA. Neither of these offenses are hitting it well right now. The under is 5-0 in the Reds last 5 games. The under is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati. The under is 7-1 in Locke's last 8 starts. Take the under.
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06-18-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates have a history of playing some very low scoring games against each other. In Mat Latos' career against the Pirates he has a 2.3 ERA. Pittsburgh's lineup isn't very strong from top to bottom this year. Charlie Morton has been very good against the Reds in the past. No one in the Reds lineup sees the ball well against him. The breeze will be blowing in slightly which should help keep it in the yard more than normal. These are two of the best bullpens in baseball. The under is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 as a home favorite. The under is 4-0 in Morton's last 4 starts following a loss for his team. The under is 7-1 in Latos' last 8 as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The under is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati. Take the under.
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06-16-13 | Seattle Mariners v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 | 2-10 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Oakland and Seattle both have a weak lineup from top to bottom. Hisashi Iwakuma has been one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball all year. Dating back to last season he has allowed more than three runs only once in last 16 starts. Bartolo Colon has been dominant of late, and he has great career numbers against Seattle. This is a pitcher's ballpark, and both of these pitchers are good at staying out of the big inning. This is the type of game where I expect to see both starters pitching very deep into the contest. This should be a very low scoring game. Take the under.
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06-15-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The single best 'under' umpire in baseball is Doug Eddings. He'll be behind the dish in this one. Eddings has the biggest strike zone in the league and he loves ringing up batters. Both of these pitchers should benefit from an expanded strike zone, because they are nibblers to start with. These offenses have been in a real funk of late. The under is 5-0 in Houston's last 5. The under is 6-0 in Danks' last 6 starts on 6 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts against the AL West. The under is 6-1 in the Astros last 7 home games. Take the under.
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06-15-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has shocked a lot of people this year (myself included). The Royals rank first in the American League in team ERA. Kansas City has gotten great work from Jeremy Guthrie all year, and he has been great in Tampa Bay in the past. Alex Cobb is one of the most underrated young pitchers in the league. The under is 5-0 in Guthrie's last 5 on 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Guthrie's last 4 starts. The under is 4-0 in Cobb's last 4 starts when his team scored 2 runs or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Take the under.
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06-14-13 | Washington Nationals v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Masterson has had a couple hiccups this year, but for the most part, he has pitched like an Ace. Masterson has been brilliant at home this season, and the Nationals lineup isn't the same without Bryce Harper. Gio Gonzalez has been rounding into form of late, and he has been spectacular in his career when pitching in Cleveland. In four career starts at Cleveland, Gonzalez has an amazing 0.68 ERA. Neither of these offenses are terrific right now, and I expect a great game from both starting pitchers. Take the under.
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06-13-13 | San Francisco: M Cain v. Pittsburgh: C Morton OVER 7.5 | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The San Francisco Giants have a much better offense than they did a year ago. Charlie Morton hasn't pitched in more than a year and he'll make his return in this one after Tommy John surgery. Matt Cain hasn't been himself this year. He has an ERA above 6 on the road this year. Tim McClelland may well be the best 'over' umpire in the business, and he'll be behind the dish in this one. He has had one of the smallest strike zones for many years, and he'll squeeze both pitchers in this one. I like the value here. Take the over.
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06-13-13 | New York Yankees v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The New York Yankees and Oakland Athletics offenses have both been struggling of late. Hiroki Kuroda has been the Yankees best pitcher all year. Jarrod Parker started the year slowly, but he has six straight quality starts. The A's offense was on fire earlier this year, which made oddsmakers overadjust their totals for this team. Now, the under is a nice value with Oakland playing more like the team from last year. The under is 6-0-1 in the Yankees last 7 Thursday games. The under is 4-0-1 in Kuroda's last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Oakland's last 6 home games against a righty. Take the under.
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