03-21-13 |
South Dakota St v. Michigan OVER 138.5 |
|
56-71 |
Loss |
-108 |
28 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie BEATDOWN* The South Dakota State Jackrabbits are in the NCAA Tournament for a second straight year. They gave Baylor a scare in the first game last year, and they should be competitive here. South Dakota State shoots 40% from beyond the arc, and Michigan often leaves guys open outside. The Wolverines are an extremely efficient offensive team, and South Dakota State's defense has struggled all year. The Jackrabbits gave up more than 80 points in a game numerous times this year. They allowed more than 85 points in five games. Michigan will put up the points with their well balanced attack. Look for good shooting from both teams. The over is 10-2-1 in Michigan's last 13 neutral site games. The over is 12-3 in South Dakota State's last 15 non-conference games. Take the over.
|
03-21-13 |
Wichita State v. Pittsburgh UNDER 124.5 |
|
73-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
88 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Pittsburgh Panthers are usually known as a defensive minded team, and they are even more that way this season. Jamie Dixon's team plays great defense and slows the game down on the offensive end. Wichita State's defense is very good, and the Shockers should be able to hang with Pitt in this one. This has the feel of a game that stays close all the way, and the winner of this game probably won't get out of the 50's. I made this total 116. *Note- This line has dropped quickly since I released the play on Sunday night- I would play the total down to 118.5 but no lower*
|
03-20-13 |
High Point v. Cal Irvine OVER 129.5 |
|
71-80 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UC Irvine Anteaters have a lot of veterans on their team this year, and they almost made the NCAA Tournament. In the end, they fell in the title game to Pacific. I think Irvine will be fighting hard to keep winning in this small postseason tournament. The Anteaters offense is much better at home, and High Point's defense isn't particularly impressive. Both of these teams are comfortable playing a quick pace. I made this line 136. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up here since I released this play on Monday afternoon. I would play this one up to 134.*
|
03-20-13 |
Oral Roberts v. UT Arlington OVER 127.5 |
|
84-76 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The smaller postseason tournaments often have a lot of games that go over the posted total. Teams decide to pick up the tempo since there isn't as much left to play for. UT Arlington has been playing pretty fast of late anyways, so I was surprised to see a number this low thrown out on this game. I made this one 135 points. Take the over. *Note- This line has quickly moved up since I released the play on Monday afternoon. I would suggest playing this one up to 133, but not any higher.*
|
03-19-13 |
Louisiana Tech v. Florida State OVER 136 |
|
71-66 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs use full court pressure to force the tempo, and Florida State should be glad to run in this one as well. These NIT games often go higher scoring than a regular scoring game, and I think this one could go well over this total. *Note- This line has moved quickly since I selected it at the open. I would play this total up to 143.* Take the over.
|
03-19-13 |
Eastern Kentucky v. Gardner-Webb UNDER 132 |
|
69-62 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NIT Total Domination* The Eastern Kentucky Colonels and Gardner Webb Runnin' Bulldogs are both very comfortable playing at a slow tempo. These NIT games are typically higher scoring than a regular season game, so we get a nice value on the under. Since both teams have played so slow during the year, I don't see these teams drastically speeding up here. Gardner Webb is a particularly low scoring team, and they will be the home team here. The under is 6-0-1 in Gardner's last 7 non-conference games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. Take the under.
|
03-18-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. New Orleans Hornets OVER 196.5 |
|
93-72 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Golden State Warriors had been struggling in a big way of late, but last night's 108-78 win in Houston was just what the doctor ordered for this team. Golden State shoots the three-ball better than anyone in the NBA, and the Hornets don't guard the perimeter well. New Orleans' offense has been much better in the last few weeks, and they have been a very solid over team of late. The first two meetings between these two this year have finished at 199 and 228 points. The over is 7-1 in the Hornets last 8 home games. The over is 9-1 in the Warriors last 10 against a team with a winning percentage below 40%. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in New Orleans. Take the over.
|
03-17-13 |
Miami Heat v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 196 |
|
108-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Early Bird Special* The Miami Heat's huge winning streak is well documented, but most people don't realize that it is their improved defense that is leading their team to victory. Miami is capable of playing the best defense in the NBA when they are extremely motivated. There is no doubt that this team wants to keep the winning streak alive so I expect to see a strong defensive performance in this one. Toronto is better on the defensive end since they picked up Rudy Gay. The Raptors shouldn't want to get into an up and down game with the Heat. The under is 4-0 in the Heat's last 4 road games. The under is 6-0 in Toronto's last 6 against the Southeast Division. The under is 4-0 in Toronto's last 4 home games. Take the under.
|
03-16-13 |
Phoenix Suns v. Washington Wizards UNDER 189.5 |
|
105-127 |
Loss |
-108 |
17 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Phoenix Suns have started playing a little bit more defense for new coach Lindsay Hunter. The Suns aren't playing particularly fast, and their offense is one of the least efficient in the NBA. Washington continues to baffle the oddsmakers by playing so many games that finish under the total this year. The under is 38-23-3 in the Wizards games this year. Washington actually ranks third in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. Their new high intensity defense should keep this one low scoring as well. Look for a lot of missed shots from both teams. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. The under is 6-1 in the Suns last 7 against a team with a losing record. Take the under.
|
03-16-13 |
Massachusetts v. Virginia Commonwealth OVER 150 |
|
62-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The VCU Rams use their "havoc" defense to force the pace and force more turnovers than any other team in the nation. UMass plays even faster than VCU, and the Minutemen aren't about to slow this game down. Their first meeting this year played to a total of 154 points, and the shooting numbers weren't particularly good. With two full court pressure teams, this will be an all out track meet. Barring some really bad shooting percentages, this should go over. The over is 4-0 in UMass' last 4 neutral site games. The over is 7-1 in VCU's last 8 games. The over is 8-2 in UMass' last 10 games. Take the over. *This is a play for me up to 153 points*
|
03-15-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 190 |
|
113-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star TGIF NBA Total Domination* The Chicago Bulls were absolutely throttled 121-79 in Sacramento two nights ago. The Bulls might not be a great team without Derrick Rose, Taj Gibson, and Richard Hamilton; but I do believe this team will come motivated after a clunker like that game against the Kings was. Tom Thibodeau's team is one of the best defensive teams in the league, and they will be slowing this game down in a big way to try to keep it close. The Bulls don't have the offensive weapons that the Warriors have, and they know that. Golden State hasn't been shooting it quite as well of late, and I think they'll struggle to find open looks against a Bulls team that guards well on a normal night. Interestingly, the under is 7-1 in the Bulls last 8 following a loss by 10 points or more. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.
|
03-15-13 |
Arizona v. UCLA OVER 142 |
|
64-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Arizona/UCLA Totals Takedown* The Arizona Wildcats and UCLA Bruins are both very comfortable playing a fast paced game. Their last meeting finished at 143 points, and the shooting numbers weren't particularly great. There were only 26 free throws between the two teams all game, and I would expect more trips to the charity stripe in this game. UCLA has Shabazz Muhammad and Jordan Adams while Arizona has Mark Lyons and Solomon Hill. All of these guys are capable of putting up a ton of points in a short period of time. The posted total was 148 in their last meeting, and I think this has been adjusted down too far. Take the over.
|
03-15-13 |
Iowa State v. Kansas OVER 144 |
|
73-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Iowa State Cyclones are sure to be fired up for this opportunity. Iowa State lost to Kansas in overtime twice during the regular season, and the Cyclones could have easily won both of those games. Iowa State pushes the tempo more than any other team in the Big 12, and they can light it up from long range. Kansas isn't going to slow the game down, and they have the ability to score inside against Iowa State. Both regular season games were well over this posted total before they ever got to overtime. The over is 23-5 in Iowa State's last 28 games overall, so the oddsmakers haven't caught up to this team all year. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the over. *Note- This total has moved up- I would play this as high as over 146*
|
03-12-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Miami Heat UNDER 197.5 |
|
81-98 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Miami Heat are clearly the best team in the NBA right now. They have won 18 straight games and they'll try to make it 19 in this one. When this team is next to unbeatable is when they are playing terrific half court defense. In six straight games, their opponent has scored 96 points or less. Atlanta has been slowing down the pace and playing better defense since the trade deadline. The last five meetings between these teams have all stayed under this posted total. The under is 4-1 in Atlanta's last 5 road games. The under is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings between these two in Miami. I projected this one at 192 points. Take the under here.
|
03-10-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 195 |
|
81-90 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bulls/Lakers Total Domination* The Los Angeles Lakers have been playing quite a bit better of late, but they still have plenty of room for improvement. Chicago is extremely short-handed right now, and the Bulls will absolutely have to slow the game down here to have a chance to hang around. Without any real scoring threats in the backcourt, Chicago is awfully limited on the offensive end. Dwight Howard's defense has been much better of late, and he should slow down Noah and Boozer. On the other side, Chicago's gritty defense generally makes open shots difficult to come by for their opponent. The Lakers only put up 83 points against Chicago in January. This is a 12:30 pm local time start and that could easily mean some tired legs and poor shooting numbers. The under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams. The under is 4-0 in the Lakers last 4 against a team with a winning record. Take the under.
|
03-09-13 |
Cal St-Fullerton v. Cal Poly Slo UNDER 142 |
|
60-62 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Cal State Fullerton Titans have been one of the highest scoring teams in the nation this year, but two of their top three scorers are doubtful for this game. Without Seeley and Yeager in the lineup, this is a totally different offense. Fullerton has been held in the 50's twice in their last three games. Cal Poly has the best defense in the Big West and they slow the game down in a big way. Even with everyone healthy earlier this year these two played to a 137 final. The under is 5-0 in Fullerton's last 5. The under is 6-0 in Cal Poly's last 6 Saturday games. Take the under.
|
03-09-13 |
South Dakota v. Western Illinois UNDER 127 |
|
53-54 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Western Illinois Leathernecks are the single slowest team in the nation in terms of possessions per game. South Dakota is fairly quick, but I don't think they'll be able to speed up this game. It's win or go home for both of these teams and that generally means better defense and a slower pace to the game. I had this one projected at 120 points. The under is 39-19-2 in Western Illinois' last 60 games. Look for a slow paced game that stays well under the total. Take the under here.
|
03-09-13 |
William Mary v. James Madison UNDER 137 |
Top |
67-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* The William & Mary Tribe and James Madison Dukes meet at Richmond Coliseum to fight for a spot in the CAA semifinals. The CAA Tournament is wide open this year, so both of these teams have a real shot at getting to the finals. This gym is noted for being tough on shooters with its tough rims and spacious interior. The under is 4-0 in James Madison's last 4 neutral site games. The under is 5-0 in William & Mary's last 5 neutral site games. Look for the defenses to win out in a tough battle here. Take the under big! *Note- I would play this one all the way down to 132*
|
03-09-13 |
Hofstra v. Delaware UNDER 130 |
Top |
57-62 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play CRUSHER* The Hofstra Pride are so awful on the offensive end. A total this high in a Hofstra game is almost unheard of. In fact, in Hofstra's last 19 games only two of them have gone above this total and both of them finished at 131 (a single point above this). Delaware does like to run, but the Blue Hens also play very good defense. The first two meetings between these teams this year finished at 123 and 113 points. On a neutral floor I don't expect this one to be any higher. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take the under big!
|
03-09-13 |
Drexel v. George Mason UNDER 128.5 |
|
54-60 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Drexel Dragons are one of the best in the CAA at slowing the game down and winning with ball control. George Mason will try to push the pace some, but in a game that means so much to both teams look for the offenses to be tight. This is being played at a neutral court with tough shooting backdrops. I projected this one at 124. Take the under.
|
03-08-13 |
Troy v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 124 |
|
81-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Sun Belt Conference Tournament is played at a neutral site in Hot Springs. This venue has been noted for its tight rims and tough shooting backdrops for many years. Here we have two teams who are better on defense than they are on offense. They are both also much more comfortable playing at a slow tempo than they are pushing the pace. One regular season meeting went under while another went over, but the one that went over saw amazing 3 point shooting numbers from Fla. Atlantic. I had this one projected at 120. The under is 5-1 in Troy's last 6. Take the under.
|
03-08-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Boston Celtics UNDER 193 |
|
102-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 14 m |
Show
|
*3 Star TGIF NBA Total Domination* The Atlanta Hawks went through a brief period around the trade deadline where they were playing some miserable basketball. During that period they played virtually no defense. The oddsmakers have moved their totals up a lot because of that, but Atlanta is once again playing better over the past week or so, and they have been on a nice under run. Boston is playing much better halfcourt defense of late. Paul Pierce is dinged up right now and him being less than 100 percent definitely hurts the Celtics offense. I had this one projected at 185 points. The under is 4-0 in the Hawks last 4 road games. The under is 5-1 in the Celtics last 6 following a win. Take the under. *Note- I played this game at the open and it has since dropped, but I would play this down to 187 points.*
|
03-07-13 |
Southern Illinois v. Missouri State UNDER 122 |
|
53-61 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Southern Illinois Salukis and Missouri State Bears are both poor offensive teams. At a neutral site in St. Louis, I expect the shooting percentages to be especially low in this one. Arch Madness in the MVC has seen 15 of the past 18 games go under the total in the past two years. I had this one projected at 114 points. I would play this one down to 117. Look for an ugly low scoring game here. Take the under.
|
03-07-13 |
Wisconsin v. Michigan State UNDER 122 |
|
43-58 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Wisconsin/Michigan State Total* The Wisconsin Badgers have been one of my favorite 'under' teams for the past few years. Bo Ryan's teams are terrific at slowing the game down and taking care of the ball. Michigan State has lost three straight going into this one and Tom Izzo's team should be focused on the defensive end today. The stakes are high here since both teams still have a chance at the Big Ten title. Look for both defenses to bring their "A Game" and keep this one low scoring. The under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings at Michigan State. Take the under.
|
03-07-13 |
Liberty Flames v. High Point UNDER 143 |
|
61-60 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Going under the radar for this play. The Liberty Flames and High Point Panthers met twice in the regular season. The first meeting finished at 149 points in OT (it was 116 before OT). The second finished at 141 points. This game will be played on a neutral site, which generally leads to lower scoring. In addition, this is an elimination game where the pace tends to slow down. I projected this one at 137 points. Both of these teams are solid on the defensive end. Look for the defenses to control this game. Take the under.
|
03-07-13 |
SC Upstate v. Jacksonville UNDER 145 |
|
76-62 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* I had this one projected at 139 points. This is one of those neutral site games that tend to be much lower scoring than regular season meetings where the teams are accustomed to the gyms. Take the under here.
|
03-07-13 |
Drake v. Bradley UNDER 145 |
|
81-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Drake Bulldogs and Bradley Braves play in the first round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament tonight. "Arch Madness" is the name of this terrific conference tourney. History tells us that the under is the way to go in this tournament. In the past two years, the under is 15-3 in the Arch Madness tournament in St. Louis. The rims are tough here and it is a tough neutral site. Drake and Bradley played two games under the total in regulation this year, and I think this has value written all over it. The under is 7-0 in Drake's last 7 Thursday games. The under is 6-0 in Bradley's last 6 neutral site games. I'd play this one down to 138. Take the under.
|
03-07-13 |
Morehead State v. Tennessee State OVER 142 |
|
75-88 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB OVC Total* The Morehead State Eagles and Tennessee State Tigers just played to a 101-100 final score last week. I certainly don't expect that again, but I also don't think the game will be 60 points lower this time around. I had this one projected at 148 points. Look for a close game here, which should mean a lot of free throws for both teams. The over is 7-0 in Tennessee State's last 7. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the over in this one.
|
03-06-13 |
Eastern Illinois v. SE Missouri State UNDER 138 |
|
68-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Eastern Illinois Panthers and Southeast Missouri State Redhawks kick off the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament tonight in Nashville. This conference tournament is played at Municipal Auditorium, where the shooting backdrops are noted to be very difficult. Neutral site games like this usually are lined two or three points lower than a regular season game. Eastern Illinois is terrific at forcing the opponent to play to their slow style. The under is 5-1 in Eastern Illinois' last 6 neutral site games. Take the under.
|
03-06-13 |
Lipscomb v. Mercer UNDER 139.5 |
|
48-82 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Mercer Bears have been an absolute under machine at home. They are playing this tournament game on their home floor. Lipscomb likes to push the tempo, but Mercer has been able to slow everyone down this year with their stall ball. Tournament basketball tends to slow down a bit to start with, and this number was 6.5 points higher than I projected it. The under is 11-0-1 in Mercer's last 12 home games. The under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 home games against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Lipscomb's last 4 road games. Take the under.
|
03-06-13 |
Quinnipiac v. Long Island OVER 152 |
|
83-91 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
03-06-13 |
Colgate v. Lehigh Mountain UNDER 142 |
|
64-71 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
03-05-13 |
Boston College v. Clemson UNDER 122.5 |
|
68-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Clemson likes to slow the game down and rely on ball control and their defense to win games. Boston College isn't the type of team to speed the game up, and their offense isn't good at all. Clemson will be without K.J. McDaniels here, and he averages 11 points per game. That makes it even more likely that the Tigers will struggle to put up points in this one. The pace here should be very slow, so it will take some high shooting percentages to push this over. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two at Clemson. Take the under.
|
03-04-13 |
Orlando Magic v. New Orleans Hornets OVER 188.5 |
Top |
105-102 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 55 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NBA TOP Total Play* The Orlando Magic aren't any good now, but they are still running and gunning. This team is going to give up points about as much as anyone in the NBA over the course of the rest of the season. Orlando has allowed 108 points or more in four of their last five games. Eric Gordon is back in the lineup and that means the Hornets should push the tempo more and be more dynamic offensively. New Orleans has been shooting the ball much better of late. The over is 4-0 in Orlando's last 4 on zero days of rest. The over is 12-2 in their last 14 against the Western Conference. The over is 5-0 in the Hornets last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Eastern Conference. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 games. Take the over! *Note: I played this game when the line was first released on Sunday afternoon. I made this total 198 points, so I would play it all the way up to 195 points for a 5 Star Play and up to 196 as a 3 star Play*
|
03-03-13 |
Virginia Cavaliers v. Boston College UNDER 124.5 |
|
52-53 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Virginia Cavaliers still play at one of the slowest paces in all of basketball. Tony Bennett's team is very good defensively, but they also shoot three-ball very well. Boston College isn't very good this year, but they have given a lot of top teams (Duke, Miami, etc) a very tough time at home. The Eagles defense should hold their own at home and keep this competitive. Boston College isn't comfortable pushing the tempo, so this one should stay slow. The under is 14-6 in Boston College's last 20 home games. Take the under.
|
03-02-13 |
Cal Santa Barbara v. Cal St-Northridge OVER 137 |
|
83-74 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
03-02-13 |
Montana v. Montana State UNDER 140 |
|
71-68 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
03-02-13 |
Arizona v. UCLA OVER 147.5 |
|
69-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Arizona/UCLA Total* The first meeting between these two was an up and down affair, and I don't see anything that would make this game any different. These teams are more comfortable out in the open floor. Both of these offenses are quite a bit better than the defenses. Shabazz Muhammad and the UCLA Bruins offense have gotten much better over the past month or so. UCLA put up 84 on Arizona on the road, and they should get near that number again. Arizona should be able to win the battle on the boards and get second chance points. Take the over.
|
03-02-13 |
San Jose St v. Louisiana Tech OVER 129.5 |
|
61-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
03-02-13 |
Florida International v. Florida Atlantic OVER 135.5 |
|
60-77 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Florida Atlantic Owls have been a much better team at home all year. Greg Gantt is one of the best three-point shooters in the country, and he'll be going against an FIU team that plays a zone defense. Look for Florida Atlantic to knock down a lot of long range jumpers here. FIU presses and that will bother Florida Atlantic. I expect plenty of easy opportunities in transition for the Golden Panthers. The over is 10-3 in the Owls last 13 home games. The over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings at Florida Atlantic. Take the over.
|
03-02-13 |
South Carolina v. Texas A&M UNDER 124.5 |
|
56-74 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Here is a matchup between two teams that are more comfortable slowing the game down. South Carolina tried to run earlier this year, but they changed their style midseason after they realized their offense wasn't capable of keeping up with most in the SEC. Texas A&M is one of the slowest paced teams in the league, and they'll definitely want a half court game on their home floor. Look for the slow tempo and poor shooting numbers to turn this into an ugly game. Take the under.
|
03-02-13 |
James Madison v. William Mary UNDER 132 |
|
69-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
03-02-13 |
IUPU Ft Wayne v. Oakland OVER 146 |
|
74-72 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies are one of my favorite 'over' teams. Oakland loves to push the tempo of the game, and their defense is horrendous. The team struggled a bit offensively earlier this year, but they have been firing on all cylinders again recently. Fort Wayne is a team that plays to the style of the opponent, so we should see a high scoring game. The over is 6-0 in Oakland's last 6 Saturday games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
|
03-02-13 |
UL - Lafayette v. UL - Monroe OVER 142 |
|
71-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
03-02-13 |
SIU Edwardsville v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 124 |
|
46-61 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
03-02-13 |
Colorado v. California UNDER 130 |
|
46-62 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Colorado Buffaloes are heating up just as they did last year when they won the PAC 12 Conference Tournament. Colorado is doing it with tremendous defense this year. Cal has usually been an offensive-minded team, but the Golden Bears are also one of the top defensive teams in the PAC 12 this year. Both teams have been playing a lot of very low scoring games of late. Look for this one to be a defensive battle. The under is 7-0 in Colorado's last 7 road games. The under is 4-0 in Cal's last 4 Saturday games. The under is 5-0 in Colorado's last 5 following a win. The under is 7-1 in Cal's last 8 home games. The under is 21-5 in Colorado's last 26 against the PAC 12. Take the under.
|
03-02-13 |
Idaho v. Texas State OVER 146 |
|
90-81 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
03-02-13 |
Youngstown State v. Wright State UNDER 128 |
|
45-72 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
03-02-13 |
Tenn Chattanooga v. Appalachian State OVER 143 |
|
60-86 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
03-02-13 |
Connecticut v. Cincinnati UNDER 127 |
|
56-61 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
03-02-13 |
Alabama v. Florida UNDER 118 |
|
52-64 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
03-01-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Orlando Magic OVER 213 |
|
118-110 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star TGIF Total Domination* This one is a dangerous combination of a horrible defense (Orlando) against a terrific offense (Houston) that loves to push the pace. Orlando routinely gives up 110 or 120 points, and the Rockets could certainly get 120 here. Orlando is trying to run and push the tempo as well, and I don't think that will work well for them, but they'll get plenty of shot opportunities. The over is 10-2 in the Magic's last 12 games against the Western Conference. The over is 6-1 in Orlando's last 7 when their opponent scores 100 or more in the previous game. The over is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 on a single day of rest. Take the over.
|
02-28-13 |
Cal Santa Barbara v. Hawaii OVER 134 |
|
66-70 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Hawaii Warriors are a fast paced team that is efficient on the offensive end. UCSB will try to slow the game down a bit, but if they want to hang around they'll have to score a decent amount of points in this one. I think this gets to 140. Take the over.
|
02-28-13 |
UC Davis v. UC Riverside OVER 125 |
|
59-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
02-28-13 |
Cal Poly Slo v. Cal St-Northridge OVER 128.5 |
Top |
81-61 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 54 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Cal Poly Mustangs do like to play the game at a slow pace. In fact, I won with the 'under' on my college basketball Play of the Year in Cal Poly's last game. The Mustangs will have to score a few more tonight though, because Cal State Northridge isn't going to let this turn into a half court game. The first meeting between these two finished at 137, and I expect a similar final here. I would play this all the way up to 136. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings at Northridge. Look for Northridge to control the tempo. Take the over big.
|
02-28-13 |
Montana State v. Southern Utah OVER 144.5 |
|
62-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie CRUSHER Total* The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are the fastest team in the Big Sky Conference in terms of pace. Montana State likes to run as well, and the Bobcats play some terrible defense. The first meeting between these two finished at 144 with some below average shooting numbers for both teams. Look for those to tick up a little here. I had this one set at 149 points. The over is 6-0 in Southern Utah's last 6 Thursday games. The over is 5-1 in Southern Utah's last 6 against the Big Sky. The over is 4-1 in Montana State's last 5. Take the over.
|
02-28-13 |
Florida International v. UL - Monroe OVER 140.5 |
|
67-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Lousiana Monroe Warhawks have completely changed their style of play in the middle of the season this year. This is quite rare, but when it does happen it is a great chance to make some money. Monroe used to stall, but now they are looking to run at every chance. FIU presses and forces the tempo under new coach Richard Pitino. FIU will want a track meet and Monroe should oblige in this one. The over is 5-0 in Monroe's last 5 against a team with a losing road record. The over is 4-0 in FIU's last 4 against a team with a losing home record. The over is 17-5 in Monroe's last 22 following a loss. Take the over.
|
02-28-13 |
UL - Lafayette v. Arkansas-Little Rock OVER 142 |
|
68-77 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
02-28-13 |
Seattle v. Texas State OVER 148 |
|
65-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* The Texas State Bobcats and Seattle Redhawks both love to run and gun. The first meeting between these two finished at 169 points. I expected a total set at around 153. I like the line value here. Take the over.
|
02-28-13 |
SE Missouri State v. Austin Peay St OVER 150 |
|
108-81 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
02-28-13 |
Arkansas State v. North Texas UNDER 128 |
|
50-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
02-28-13 |
South Alabama v. Western Kentucky OVER 136 |
|
73-79 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
02-28-13 |
St. Peters v. Canisius UNDER 132.5 |
|
65-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The St. Peter's Peacocks simply can't stay in this game unless they slow it down and try to make it a very low scoring game. St. Peter's doesn't have the talent to keep up with Canisius. The Golden Griffins were great early in the year, but they have been hit or miss lately. The first meeting between these two finished at 127, and I expect very close to the same here. The under is 12-2 in Canisius' last 14 games against the MAAC. The under is 10-2 in St. Peter's last 12 following a win. Take the under.
|
02-28-13 |
Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 125 |
|
63-53 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big 10 Battle* The Ohio State Buckeyes have been playing at a much slower pace of late, and Northwestern's offense is absolutely horrendous right now. The first meeting between these two went to 128, and Northwestern shot the best they have in weeks. I don't expect a repeat of that. Take the under.
|
02-27-13 |
Louisville v. DePaul OVER 144 |
|
79-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big East Total* The DePaul Blue Demons have a way of turning a game into a high scoring affair. They play faster than any other team in the nation thanks to their full court pressure. Louisville isn't afraid to use pressure either, and the Cardinals should be able to get some easy layups against DePaul's pressure. I had this one at 148. Take the over.
|
02-27-13 |
UAB v. Tulane UNDER 141 |
|
76-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The UAB Blazers started the season pushing the pace as much as possible. For the past few years this team has been slowing the game down as much as possible. Earlier this year, things were different for the Blazers. Now, it seems the team has decided to slow things down again like they did in previous years. Tulane is a solid defensive team that likes to slow the game down. I had this one at 136 points. Take the under in what should be a slower game than the oddsmakers expect.
|
02-27-13 |
Arkansas v. LSU OVER 147.5 |
|
60-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* The Arkansas Razorbacks and LSU Tigers both like to push the tempo. Arkansas' Mike Anderson has been using the "40 Minutes of Hell" program from Nolan Richardson for many years, and the Razorbacks are getting very good at it. LSU has a new coach this year, and the Tigers are running and pushing the pace at every chance. In the past few years this matchup wouldn't have had the tempo it will this year, and that is getting us a nice value on the number here. I had this one at 152. Take the over.
|
02-27-13 |
Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois UNDER 108 |
|
53-41 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* These two teams met earlier this year and the final was 42-25. Northern Illinois scored 4 points (an all-time low) in the first half of that game. Both of these teams are very bad, and they both struggle in a big way on the offensive end. Every time they meet you have to expect very low shooting percentages. Eastern Michigan plays a zone and Northern Illinois doesn't have shooters that can consistently hit the three. This game will likely stay under 100. The under is 5-0 in the Eagles last 5 against a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in the Huskies last 5 against a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.
|
02-27-13 |
Northern Iowa v. Southern Illinois UNDER 118.5 |
|
57-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Northern Iowa Panthers and Southern Illinois Salukis are two of the slowest paced teams in the Missouri Valley Conference. The first meeting between these two this year finished at 58-43. The shooting numbers weren't even that bad in that game, and I think that this game could be very similar. The under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings between these two at Southern Illinois. The under is 8-1 in Southern Illinois' last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the under.
|
02-27-13 |
Buffalo v. Kent State OVER 137 |
|
81-83 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Buffalo Bulls and Kent State Golden Flashes are two of the faster paced teams in the MAC. Most of this conference likes to slow the game down and win with defense, but these two teams are better offensively than they are defensively. The first meeting between these two saw 148 points scored. Both teams get to the line a lot, and both of these teams foul a lot. The over is 5-0 in Kent's last 5 Wednesday games. The over is 6-0 in Kent's last 6 vs. the MAC. The over is 4-0-1 in Kent's last 5 following a win. Take the over.
|
02-24-13 |
Long Island v. Wagner OVER 145.5 |
|
92-94 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Sunday Night SMASHER* The Long Island Blackbirds and Wagner Seahawks get a rare chance to play on national television tonight as ESPNU covers this game. Both of these teams like to push the pace and win by scoring in transition. In the first meeting between these two this year, Wagner won 86-75. Long Island has improved offensively since then, and they are pushing the tempo even more than they did at that point in the year. Both of these teams are far better on the offensive end than they are defensively. Open looks should come often in this matchup. The over is 7-2 in Wagner's last 9. The over is 4-0 in Long Island's last 4 road games. Take the over.
|
02-24-13 |
Michigan State v. Ohio State UNDER 129 |
|
60-68 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big Ten Battle Total* The Michigan State Spartans and Ohio State Buckeyes have a history of playing close and low scoring games against each other. Earlier this year they played to a 59-56 final in East Lansing. Last year in Columbus the Spartans won 58-48. Ohio State's offense is too one-dimensional this year, and both of these defenses are very good in the halfcourt. Both teams have been slowing the pace down in conference battles, so I expect this to be a grind it out type of game. The under is 6-1 in Ohio State's last 7 following an ATS win. The under is 6-2 in the Buckeyes last 8 home games. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under.
|
02-24-13 |
Cincinnati v. Notre Dame UNDER 124 |
|
41-62 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Bearcats and Notre Dame Fighting Irish are both stalling and trying to win with their defense and ball control in Big East play. A game between these two won't have very many possessions at all. Cincinnati's athleticism should make it tough on Notre Dame to get off open looks, and Notre Dame won't be taken out of their game plan. The under is 6-0 in Cincinnati's last 6 Sunday games. The under is 5-1 in Cincy's last 6 road games. The under is 4-1 in Notre Dame's last 5 after giving up less than 50 points in their last game. Take the under.
|
02-23-13 |
Ohio v. Belmont OVER 146 |
|
62-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Loyola Marymount v. Cal Poly Slo UNDER 145 |
Top |
60-63 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
*5 Star College Basketball PLAY of the YEAR* The Cal Poly Mustangs have been one of the best at slowing the game down for several years. The Mustangs slow down teams in the Big West that are much faster than Loyola Marymount. In fact, Loyola Marymount is playing much slower this year than they have in the past. Both of these teams are solid on the defensive end. I was stunned when this total was released in the 140's. My numbers had this game at 121 points. A total off more than 20 points from my projections is almost unheard of. The under is 4-0 in the Mustangs last 4 Saturday games. The under is 4-0 in Loyola's last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in Loyola's last 4 following a loss. Take the under very big here!
|
02-23-13 |
Cal St-Northridge v. Southern Utah OVER 151 |
|
72-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Cal State Northridge Matadors love to run and gun, and they can do it better than almost any other team in the west. Southern Utah is the fastest paced team in their conference, and they should welcome the chance to play another team that wants to push the tempo. Both teams foul a lot and both shoot it well from the charity stripe. I think this has a chance to get to 160 points. The over is 5-0 in Southern Utah's last 5 following a loss. Take the over.
|
02-23-13 |
North Texas v. South Alabama OVER 136 |
|
57-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Connecticut v. DePaul OVER 149 |
|
81-69 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* DePaul's pressing defense leads to a high scoring game in several ways. The Blue Demons give up a lot of easy layups when the opponent gets through the press, but they also force a lot of turnovers and get easy looks themselves. UConn has the guards to shred up this press, and the Huskies put up 99 points on DePaul earlier this year. UConn's weakness in the post should be exploited by Melvin from DePaul. The over is 12-2 in UConn's last 14 road games. The over is 6-0 in DePaul's last 6 against a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. Take the over.
|
02-23-13 |
Cleveland State v. Western Illinois UNDER 120 |
|
60-54 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
UMKC v. Tennessee Tech OVER 130 |
|
62-68 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Virginia Military Inst v. Marist OVER 150 |
|
74-112 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB BracketBuster Bookie BEATDOWN* The VMI Keydets have been the most consistent fast paced team in the country over the last few years. We don't get many chances to play a total on them, but when we do I like to look at the over right away. Marist is one of the fastest paced teams in the MAAC, and they should be happy to run and gun with the Keydets. VMI's running style with virtually no defense should mean easy buckets on both ends of the floor. I had this one set at 157 points. Take the over here.
|
02-23-13 |
UAB v. Marshall OVER 148 |
|
52-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
UL - Monroe v. Middle Tennessee St OVER 130 |
|
46-87 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
SIU Edwardsville v. Central Arkansas OVER 150 |
|
78-80 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Morehead State v. Oakland OVER 154 |
|
79-82 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Charleston Southern v. Rider OVER 136 |
|
54-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Georgetown v. Syracuse UNDER 124 |
|
57-46 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Eastern Illinois v. Northern Illinois UNDER 116 |
|
59-47 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Gardner-Webb v. Coll Of Charleston UNDER 129 |
|
55-52 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-13 |
Clemson v. Maryland Terrapins UNDER 126 |
|
59-72 |
Loss |
-108 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
02-22-13 |
Stephen F. Austin v. Long Beach State UNDER 124 |
|
68-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
02-22-13 |
Sacramento Kings v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 200.5 |
|
108-122 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA UNBEATEN Angle Total* Here we have a pair of teams that just aren't playing any defense right now. Atlanta has allowed more than 100 points in 4 of their last 6 games. Sacramento has allowed at least 108 points in their last five contests. Getting these teams to play quick enough shouldn't be an issue. As long as the two teams don't have terrible shooting numbers here, I think this sails over the total. The over is 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 against the Western Conference. The over is 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 following a loss of 10 points or more. The over is 4-0-1 in the Kings last 5. The over is 3-0-1 in the Kings last 4 after giving up more than 100 points in their previous game. Take the over.
|
02-22-13 |
Detroit Pistons v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 189.5 |
|
82-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
02-22-13 |
North Dakota State v. Akron UNDER 124.5 |
Top |
53-68 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* BracketBuster weekend starts off tonight with North Dakota State and Akron squaring off. North Dakota State is without its best scorer, Taylor Braun, right now. Without Braun, the team is relying heavily on slowing the game down and winning with defense. They have been playing a lot of very low scoring games of late. Akron is also without Brian Walsh (8 points per game) tonight, and the Zips are excellent defensively. Easy shots will be hard to find in this one. The under is 9-0 in North Dakota State's last 9 following an ATS win. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following a game where they allowed 50 points or less. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a straight up victory. Take the under big!
|
02-21-13 |
Utah v. Colorado UNDER 123.5 |
|
50-60 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Colorado Buffaloes are playing much better defense this year. Their offense has been extremely inconsistent of late, but they are contenders for the PAC 12 crown because of their consistent strong defense. Utah's offense struggles against almost everyone, and I don't see them scoring many at all against Colorado. Both teams are more comfortable playing at a slow tempo. The under is 5-0 in Colorado's last 5 against a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0 in Utah's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Colorado's last 4 Thursday games. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two. A 22-0 angle backs this. Take the under.
|
02-21-13 |
San Diego v. Portland UNDER 123 |
|
67-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Portland Pilots and San Diego Toreros have both slowed their games down a lot this year. These teams have improved on the defensive end, but they struggle offensively. The first meeting between these two finished at 111 points. I had this one projected at 119. Take the under.
|
02-21-13 |
Duke v. Virginia Tech OVER 146 |
|
88-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Duke/Virginia Tech Total* The Duke Blue Devils are playing faster and faster as the season moves along. Not many teams can boast the type of outside shooters that Duke has. Seth Curry has the best release in the nation, and he has been heating up of late. Virginia Tech isn't good on the defensive end, but they like to play at a quick tempo. That won't be a good recipe against Duke's offense. Duke should put up a big number in Blacksburg tonight. I had this one at 152 points. Take the over.
|
02-21-13 |
UL - Monroe v. Western Kentucky OVER 132 |
|
57-75 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Louisiana Monroe has completely changed the way they play of late, and that has led to a big string of overs. The oddsmakers still can't quite catch up with the fact that this team that used to stall all the time is now pushing the pace. Take the over.
|
02-21-13 |
Arkansas-Little Rock v. Florida International OVER 143 |
|
52-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The Florida International Golden Panthers have a new coach this year, and it is Rick Pitino's son. Pitino has the Golden Panthers using full court pressure to push the pace, and they are getting better at utilizing this as the year moves along. Little Rock is one of the fastest paced teams in the Sun Belt as well. The first time these two played the final was 88-76. Expect lots of quick shots again here. The over is 5-0 in Little Rock's last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
|
02-20-13 |
Houston v. Memphis OVER 149.5 |
|
74-81 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* Houston and Memphis are the two fastest paced teams in Conference USA. They are also the most efficient offenses in the league. I don't see anything slowing the pace down in this game. Memphis is too good for Houston, and the Tigers could probably score 90 points in this one. Houston isn't the type of team to quit though, and I see them putting up a lot of second half points. The over is 5-0 in Houston's last 5. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 Wednesday games. It is 5-0 in their last 5 against Conference USA. The over is 4-0 in Memphis' last 4 home games. In all, a 24-0 angle backs this. Take the over.
|