Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-12-11 | San Jose St v. Cal Poly SLO UNDER 130.5 | Top | 52-79 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Total* Cal Poly slows the pace down against everyone, and San Jose State is without its top two scorers from last year. Expect a defensive battle here. Take the under big.
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11-12-11 | Buffalo v. Eastern Michigan OVER 48 | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Totals Winner* Buffalo's offense is slowly improving as the season moves along. Buffalo's strength is the passing game, and Eastern Michigan's secondary struggles. On the other side, Eastern Michigan is a team that runs almost all the time. Buffalo's front seven has been terrible against the run this year. Both offenses should be able to move the ball here. The over is 7-1 in Eastern Michigan's last 8 games against teams with a losing record. The over is 5-1 in the Eagles last 6 conference games. Take the over.
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11-12-11 | West Virginia v. Cincinnati OVER 65.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* West Virginia's Dan Holsgorsen has changed the way the Mountaineers play. West Virginia's offense is much much better than they have been in recent years, but their defense is also much worse. The Mountaineers last three games have had a total final score of 72, 72, and 73 points. Cincinnati's weakness on defense is their pass defense. On the other hand, Cincinnati averages 39 points per game on offense. Zach Collaros leads an offense that can put points on the board in a hurry either by running or throwing it. The over is 8-0 in West Virginia's last 8 games. Take the over.
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11-12-11 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 43 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Nebraska/Penn State Totals CASH* The Penn State defense is the best in the Big Ten, but the Nittany Lions offense simply isn't very good. The Cornhuskers defense has underachieved this year, but they have been a bit better the last few weeks. Both teams will be looking to run the ball consistently in this one. There will be extra emotions from Penn State in this one, and I think that will show up on the defensive side of the ball. Look for Nebraska's option offense to be slowed down. Taylor Martinez isn't a very adept passer, which means the Nittany Lions should hold down the Huskers offense. Seven of Penn State's last eight games have stayed under this posted total. I like the under here.
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11-11-11 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 126 | 71-87 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star Armed Forces Total* It's only fitting that Army and Air Force square off on this Veteran's Day holiday. Air Force is the team that can control the tempo as well as anyone. The Falcons go as slowly as anyone in college basketball on the offensive end, and I don't think that will change this year. Army plays in a weak conference, and the Cadets aren't very good. The Cadets don't seem like a team that can speed up Air Force. The Falcons should control the tempo here, and that means we'll see a low scoring game. Take the under.
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11-11-11 | Troy v. Texas Tech UNDER 160 | 85-90 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Both of these teams like to push the pace, so an 'under' play is certainly a bit dangerous. The reason I took the under in this one is simply because of the line placed on this game. Troy is a team that pushes the pace, but they aren't efficient offensively. Texas Tech will likley play a little slower now that Pat Knight is gone. The Red Raiders will have a brand new starting five this year. All the new faces will likely need some time getting used to the offense. Look for the shooting percentages to be quite low here. Take the under.
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11-11-11 | Elon v. Massachusetts UNDER 152 | 67-85 | Push | 0 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* I'm really not sure where the linesmakers came up with this many points in this matchup. Elon wasn't a good offensive team last year, and they graduated several of their top scorers. UMass returns only two of five starters from a year ago. I had this one pegged at about 140-142 points, so when I saw this number I jumped on the under quickly. This time of the year the offenses usually need a little bit of time to get in sync, while the defenses are typically ready to go. Take the under in a big way here.
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11-11-11 | Dartmouth v. Rutgers UNDER 131 | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Hoops Total* The Dartmouth Big Green are an Ivy League team that simply doesn't know how to score efficiently. Rutgers has a long athletic team full of potential shot blockers. The Knights don't really have an offensive force that will be the leader on the offensive end. I think this game has all the makings of a sloppy game where both teams shoot it poorly from the floor. Look for poor shooting percentages from three-point range to be a big problem for both teams. The under is 8-0 in Rutgers last 8 games against Ivy League opponents. Take the under.
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11-11-11 | Marist v. Kentucky OVER 136.5 | 58-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Track Meet Total* The Kentucky Wildcats lost a lot of talent at the end of last season, but this year's squad is full of athleticism at every spot. Josh Harrellson was a good center for last year's team, but he couldn't run the floor too much. Without him, I expect the Wildcats to run the floor even more this year. Marist was one of the worst defensive teams in the nation last year. The Red Foxes won't want to run with Kentucky, but once they get way behind they won't have much of a choice. Take the over.
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11-10-11 | Oakland Raiders v. San Diego Chargers OVER 47.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thurdsay Night Total Domination* Carson Palmer is still learning the Oakland Raiders offense. Palmer started to show some flashes of brilliance last weekend, but he once again threw three interceptions. The Chargers secondary takes chances, and I suspect they'll probably pick off a couple passes in this one. Don't be surprised if there is a defensive score here. The Raiders defense has been shredded of late. Denver put up 38 points on them last week, and Kansas City scored 28 the week before. The Chargers passing game got going last week against the Packers, but Rivers is still throwing lots of interceptions as well. Expect both teams to move the ball a lot here. I think there is a good amount of value on the 'over' in this one. Take the over.
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11-09-11 | Duquesne v. Arizona OVER 147.5 | 59-67 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Tipoff Total* Arizona opened up with a win over Valparaiso two nights ago. The Wildcats will certainly miss Derrick Williams in a big way this year, but they still have some weapons on offense. Kyle Fogg, Solomon Hill, and others will need to step up. Duquesne is playing its season opener here. The Dukes are one of the fastest paced teams in the country. Based on Duquesne's roster this year, the Dukes are expected to be pushing the ball even more. Duquesne has a lack of post players, and they simply cannot afford to play a halfcourt game. Expect a lot of turnovers and easy baskets for both teams. The over is 13-3 in the Wildcats last 16 as a home favorite. Take the over.
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11-08-11 | Northern Illinois v. Bowling Green OVER 65 | 45-14 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Day* The Northern Illinois Huskies are a terrific running team. They rank ninth in the nation in rushing yards. Bowling Green's rushing defense ranks 93rd in the nation. Northern Illinois averages 41 points per game. The Huskies have also been horrific on the defensive side of the ball, especially on the road. In their five road games they have allowed 45, 49. 48, 30, and 60 points. That is hardly a strong defense, and Bowling Green's offense is pretty good. Expect Matt Schilz and the Falcons to move the ball through the air nicely in this one. The over is 10-4 in Northern Illinois' last 14 games. The over is 6-2 in Bowling Green's last 8 games. Take the over.
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11-08-11 | Western Michigan v. Toledo OVER 68 | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Western Michigan and Toledo both have powerful offenses. The Broncos have Alex Carder, one of the MAC's best quarterbacks. Jordan White is one of the best receivers in the nation, and he and Carder have built up trust in each other. Toledo's secondary is the team's biggest weakness, and that should be exposed in a big way by Western Michigan. On the other side, Western Michigan has given up more than 30 points in three of their last five games. The over is 6-1 in Toledo's last 7 home games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the over.
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11-06-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 42.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Total Knockout* The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers are both very tough teams. When these two get together you can always expect nothing short of a hard nosed football game where plenty of guys get dinged up. James Harrison is expected to be back in the Steelers lineup for this one, and that should be a big boost for the defense. The total for this game is set quite a bit higher than we are used to seeing for a Ravens/Steelers game. Earlier this year when the teams met the total was 36. The game did go 'over' but it finished at 42 points (and that was with 7 Steelers turnovers). Just two of the last eight games between these two went over this posted total. I expect both defenses to play well Sunday night. Take the under.
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11-06-11 | Green Bay Packers v. San Diego Chargers OVER 50.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 54 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Packers/Chargers Total Domination* The Green Bay Packers offense has been virtually unstoppable this year. Aaron Rodgers is showing that he is the best quarterback in the NFL right now. Rodgers has 20 touchdowns and just three interceptions this year. The Packers are averaging 33 points per game. San Diego's offense has struggled with turnovers this year. Phillip Rivers has been extremely disappointing, but this is still a Chargers team that can move the ball through the air. Green Bay is giving up 289 yards through the air each game. San Diego has the offensive weapons to rack up a lot of yards through the air. Look for both quarterbacks to have a lot of success here. This should be a shootout. Take the over.
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11-06-11 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Tennessee Titans UNDER 42 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 53 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Bengals have the fourth ranked defense in the NFL. The Titans are dead last in the NFL in rushing so far this year. Andy Dalton and the Bengals offense have been solid, but they aren't a high scoring offense. This is the type of game that I expect to be won on the ground. Look for the Bengals to get Cedric Benson the ball quite a bit. At the same time, the Titans will be eager to try to get Chris Johnson going. Both defenses should have the upper hand on the offenses in this one. Take the under here.
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11-05-11 | Oregon v. Washington OVER 70.5 | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon Ducks expect to have LaMichael James for this game, and that is huge for this offense. Washington's defense is allowing almost 300 yards per game through the air, and the Huskies allow 33 points per game. Oregon put up 53 points on Washington last year. The Huskies lost Jake Locker, but their offense is actually better this year. Keith Price has been fantastic at the quarterback position, and Chris Polk is one of the best runners in the country. This Oregon offense is just as good as last year, but the Oregon defense is definitely weaker than last season. I expect both teams to move the ball at will in this one. The total is set very high, but I think this has a good chance of topping 80 points. The over is 19-9 in Oregon's last 28. The over is 5-2-1 in the Huskies last 8. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | UTEP v. Rice OVER 58.5 | 37-41 | Win | 100 | 134 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Rice Owls gave up 73 points to Houston last week. UTEP certainly doesn't have the same offense Houston does, but this Rice defense has a way of making the opposing offense look good. The Owls are giving up 495 yards and 38 points per contest. On the other side, UTEP is giving up 427 yards and 27 points per contest as well. The Rice offense has been improving in the last few weeks, and they should be able to run the ball against the Miners front seven. The books have had a lot of trouble trying to catch up to the Owls in the last few years. The over is 60-24 in the Owls last 84 games overall. Take the over here.
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11-05-11 | Troy v. Navy OVER 58.5 | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* Navy has one of the best running games in the country, and they also have a very poor defense. I have played successfully on the 'over' in Navy games several times this year. I think this is another good spot. Troy can move the football quite well through the air. I expect Corey Robinson to have a big game against the Navy secondary. On the other side, Troy's defense simply isn't any good. I don't expect them to be able to slow down the option much at all. Navy averages 36 points per game at home, and Troy gives up 34 per game on the road. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | North Carolina v. North Carolina State OVER 55 | 0-13 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The NC State defense has struggled mightily all year. The Wolfpack are giving up almost 400 yards of offense each game, and that has been to mostly mediocre offenses. Bryn Renner and this North Carolina offense is pretty good. Renner can make all the tough throws, and Giovani Bernard already has 965 yards rushing this year. The Tar Heels should roll up quite a few points here. NC State gets most of their yards through the air, and that just happens to be the Tar Heels defense weakness. North Carolina is 98th in the nation against the pass. The over is 13-4 in NC State's last 17 home games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | Louisville v. West Virginia OVER 49 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 131 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The West Virginia Mountaineers are a different team now that Dana Holgorsen is at the helm instead of Bill Stewart. The Mountaineers are much better offensively, and they are much weaker on defense. In their last seven games, the lowest total is 59 points. Louisville is certainly a team that has a pretty good defense, but they haven't faced offenses as good as West Virginia's. The Mountaineers defense has allowed 49 and 31 points to mediocre offenses in their last two games. The under is 7-0-1 in the Cardinals last 8. The over is 7-0 in West Virginia's last 7. I think the Mountaineers will dictate the style of play here. Take the over.
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11-01-11 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo OVER 67 | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 42 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star Tuesday Night Total Domination* The Northern Illinois Huskies hung 65 points on the Toledo Rockets last year. Don't think for a minute that Toledo has forgotten that game. Toledo may have the most talented team in the MAC this year, but they are still weak defensively. They have yet to face a team that can run the ball the way Northern Illinois can, and I think the Huskies will roll up a lot of yards again this year. On the other side, Toledo's offense is full of play makers, and they average 36.5 points per contest. Northern Illinois is much worse defensively this year. The Huskies allowed Kansas to score 45 points and Central Michigan to score 48 points. Those two offenses aren't good at all, and Toledo should be able to move the ball at will agaisnt Northern Illinois. The over is 9-4 in Northern Illinois' last 13 games. The over is 5-1 in Toledo's last 6 home games. Take the over.
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10-30-11 | Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 51 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 91 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Total Knockout* The Dallas Cowboys defense has really gotten a nice boost from Rob Ryan taking over as their coordinator. Ryan has this team showing their opponents a lot of new formations. Dallas even held New England to just 20 points. Philadelphia's offense is not firing on all cylinders right now. Mike Vick is making too many mistakes with the football. On the other side, the Eagles secondary seems to be coming together over the last couple games. The Eagles are a stunning 13-3 to the under coming off a bye week. Look for this to be a lower scoring game than most expect. Take the under.
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10-30-11 | Minnesota Vikings v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -107 | 107 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Minnesota Vikings got a much needed offensive boost last week when Christian Ponder took over the starting quarterback job. Ponder completed some deep balls to stretch the defense and give Adrian Peterson more room to run. Carolina's defense is terrible against the run, and Peterson may well be the best running back in the NFL. On the other side, Carolina's offense is fifth in the NFL in total offense. Cam Newton and this offense have been good against everyone they have played this year. Minnesota is allowing 25.4 points per game this year. Expect both teams to move the ball quite a bit in this one. I like the value on the over.
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10-29-11 | Arizona v. Washington Huskies OVER 69.5 | 31-42 | Win | 100 | 51 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* Arizona's Nick Foles is one of the better quarterbacks in the nation. Foles is completing 71% of his passes and he has 18 touchdowns and just 5 interceptions this year. Keith Price has come in and lit it up as Washington's new quarterback. Price has an amazing 22 touchdowns and just 5 picks. Washington is averaging 35 points per game. Arizona is averaging 30 points per game. Arizona's defense is 114th out of 120 teams in pass defense. Washington is 110th out of 120 in pass defense. This game has shootout written all over it. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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10-29-11 | Nevada v. New Mexico State OVER 59 | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 68 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* Nevada runs the Pistol offense, and they generally do it very well. The team had some trouble getting going early this year, but Chris Ault has this offense rolling at this point. They have scored 37. 49, and 45 in the last three games. New Mexico State is giving up 30.3 points per game, and Nevada will be one of the best offenses they have faced this year. New Mexico State's offense is much improved this year, and I expect them to be able to score several times as well. The over is 4-0 in New Mexico State's last 4 games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 games between these teams. Take the over.
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10-29-11 | South Carolina v. Tennessee UNDER 44 | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 67 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star SEC Total Takedown* South Carolina is a much different team without Marcus Lattimore. Tennessee isn't even close to the same team without Tyler Bray. Both of these teams are missing their most important offensive player. South Carolina's defense has given up 3, 16, 3, and 12 points in their last four games. Tennessee's defense is good against the pass, and South Carolina will likely struggle to run without Lattimore. I expect both offenses to look lost without their key players in this one. This one will likely be an ugly contest. Expect a low scoring affair. Take the under.
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10-29-11 | Hawaii v. Idaho OVER 57 | 16-14 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* The Idaho Vandals secondary is horrible, and Hawaii is the perfect team to expose that weakness. Moniz and the Warriors offense should carve up the Idaho secondary all day long. It wouldn't surprise me to see Hawaii put up 40 points in this one. Idaho's offense has been improving a bit of late, and I expect them to be able to move it through the air against a mediocre Hawaii defense. Expect both teams to air it out early and often, which should help give both teams chances to put points up in bunches. I expected this total to be set in the low 60's, so I like the value here. Take the over.
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10-29-11 | Buffalo v. Miami (OH) OVER 48 | 13-41 | Win | 100 | 86 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Buffalo Bulls offense has improved as the season has moved along. Anderson gives the Bulls a solid quarterback that can throw it around. In fact, last week he threw for more than 400 yards against Northern Illinois. Miami (OH) and Buffalo both have poor defenses that give up the big play quite often. A total set this low is generally indicative of two good defenses, but that just isn't the case here. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams at Miami (OH). I expect both teams to get into the mid 20's here. Take the over.
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10-27-11 | Rice v. Houston OVER 70.5 | 34-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star Thursday Night Total Domination* The Rice Owls defense has been among the worst in the nation in each of the last three years. Rice is allowing 33 points per game this year. Houston has the number one offense in all of college football. The Cougars are first in yards per game and points per game. Houston averages 49 points per game. This is the type of game where I truly expect Houston to score at least 50 points. Case Keenum and his receivers should carve up this Rice secondary. At the same time, Rice has some play makers on offense and the Houston defense simply isn't very good. The over is 38-14 in Rice's last 52 road games. The over is 19-7 in Houston's last 26 games. This combined 57-21 angle strongly supports an over play. Take the over.
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10-24-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 40 | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Bookie SMASHER* The Baltimore Ravens defense is built to stop the run. Haloti Ngata and Terrance Cody are terrific at clogging up the running lanes. Jacksonville is a team that can't do much passing at all right now. The Ravens should load up the box and stuff Jones-Drew and the Jags running attack tonight. On the other side, I expect the Jaguars defense to play some inspired football under the Monday Night Football lights. The under is 5-0 in the Jaguars last 5 Monday night games. Expect both defenses to play well. Take the under in this one.
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10-23-11 | Atlanta Falcons v. Detroit Lions OVER 47 | 23-16 | Loss | -105 | 116 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Atlanta Falcons have started running the football better of late, and that should help them a lot in this game. Atlanta's balance on offense should keep the Lions defense on their heels. At the same time, Matt Stafford and this Lions passing attack should fare well against a secondary that is struggling right now. I don't see anyone on the Falcons roster that can slow down Calvin Johnson. This one should stay close throughout, and both offenses should move the chains consistently. The over is 13-5-1 in the Lions last 19 games. The over is 6-1-1 in the Falcons last 8 road games. Take the over.
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10-23-11 | San Diego Chargers v. NY Jets UNDER 44.5 | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The New York Jets defense played well Monday, albeit against a poor Miami Dolphins offense. The Jets secondary is the best in the NFL though, and I think they'll make life tough on Phillip Rivers and the Chargers passing attack here. The Chargers really don't have a dominating running game to pound down the throats of the Jets. San Diego's defense is pretty good, and at this point I consider the Jets offense below average. I expect the defenses to get the best of the offenses in this one. I think the value is on the under in this one.
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10-22-11 | Tulsa v. Rice OVER 59 | 38-20 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Rice Owls have had a bad defense for several straight years now. Tulsa actually scored 64 points on Rice last season. The Rice Owls defense is 115th out of 120 teams in college football in total defense. Tulsa has a solid balanced offense led by quarterback G.J. Kinne. On the other side of the ball, Tulsa's defense is giving up 32 points per game, and they are awful against the pass. Taylor McHargue is improving as the season moves along, and Rice does have some play makers on the offensive side of the ball. The over is 59-23 in Rice's last 82 games overall. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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10-22-11 | Army v. Vanderbilt UNDER 45 | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 12 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Total Knockout* Army runs the ball more than any other team in the nation. They are dead last in passing offense in the nation, and that will hurt them against this Vanderbilt defense. The Commodores have a strong front seven with a great group of linebackers that should do well against the triple option. Army won't abandon the run, but I don't think they'll be as successful as usual with the run either. Vanderbilt's offense averages just 21.7 points per game, and they really don't have much firepower. The Commodores will try to run the ball as much as possible in this one as well. The clock should be ticking a lot in this one, and both defenses will stack the box and dare the other team to throw. Two years ago these teams played to 16-13 overtime game. The under is 21-9-1 in Vanderbilt's last 31 home games. Take the under.
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10-22-11 | East Carolina v. Navy OVER 64.5 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 118 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play of the Month* East Carolina's run defense is absolutely terrible. They were dead last in the nation in rushing defense last year, and I expect them to finish near the bottom again this year. Navy ran for 521 yards against East Carolina last year on their way to a 76-35 win. Navy's triple option is tough for everyone to stop, and I simply don't think the Pirates have the personnel to stop it at all. On the other side, Navy doesn't typically play teams with a strong passing attack. East Carolina's Dominique Davis is a good passer who should put up big numbers against the Navy secondary. Last year he threw for 5 touchdowns and 413 yards against Navy. I don't see many punts at all in this game. The over is 9-3 in East Carolina's last 12 road games. The over is 6-1 in Navy's last 7 home games. Expect the points to pile up quickly in this one. 5 Star Play Of the Month on the over!
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10-22-11 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 56 | 10-14 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Western Michigan has the MAC's best quarterback in Alex Carder. Carder shredded up this Eastern Michigan defense last year by passing for 349 yards and 4 touchdowns while throwing no interceptions. Eastern Michigan has yet to face a team with a good passing game this year, and I expect their secondary to be picked apart once again. On the other side of the ball, Western Michigan is allowing 217 rushing yards per game. Eastern Michigan runs the ball well (10th in the nation in rushing yards) and I expect them to exploit this weakness in the Broncos defense. The over is 4-0 in Eastern Michigan's last 4 conference games. The over is 4-1 in Western Michigan's last 5 games. Take the over.
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10-22-11 | Wake Forest v. Duke OVER 59 | Top | 24-23 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Early Bird Special* Wake Forest is a team that has surprised quite a few people this year. The Deamon Deacons have done it largely because of the impressive play of quarterback Tanner Price. Price has thrown 12 touchdowns and just three picks this season. Three of his receivers already have at least 25 catches. Duke's defense allows 272 yards per game through the air, and I expect Price to find plenty of open receivers. Duke's Sean Renfree is a solid quarterback as well. Duke can move the ball in the air against weak secondaries, and I think Wake Forest fits in that category. Last year when these teams met the final was 54-48. Two years ago the final was 45-34. The last four meetings have all gone safely over the posted total. I expect both teams to air it out early and often in this one. Expect a high scoring affair. 5 Star Top Play on the over in this one.
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10-16-11 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* This is a must win game for the Milwaukee Brewers. Milwaukee is much better at home, but Shaun Marcum has been bad of late and his splits are much better on the road than they are at home. Marcum simply hasn't been locating his pitches of late, and I expect the Cardinals to make him pay if that continues on Sunday. Edwin Jackson has been good in the postseason, but he is much better at home as well. The trends point strongly toward the over in this one. The over is 8-2 in Milwaukee's last 10 home games. The over is 7-1 in the Cardinals last 8 road games. Take the over!
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10-16-11 | Houston Texans v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 45 | 14-29 | Win | 100 | 124 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Houston Texans have a pretty good offense, but without Andre Johnson stretching the defense, the offense is not nearly as dynamic. The Baltimore defense is first in the NFL in points allowed per game this year at just 14.2 ppg. Houston is one of the most improved defenses in the NFL this year thanks to a much better secondary. The Texans linebackers are all over the field. Baltimore has a great front seven as well with Cody, Ngata, Lewis, Suggs, etc. I think this line is inflated a bit because of Houston's results from last year. This is a much better Houston defense this year. Expect a grind it out type of game here. Take the under.
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10-16-11 | Buffalo Bills v. NY Giants OVER 50 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Knockout* The Buffalo Bills have been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL this year. The Bills offense is successful because they are so balanced. Jackson is dangerous at the running back spot, and Fitzpatrick can throw it around quite well. The Giants defense has some key injuries right now, and I think Buffalo should score quite a few here. At the same time, the Buffalo defense isn't very good. Shawne Merriman will miss this game, and New York should have a good chance at establishing a running game. Eli Manning has some weapons at wide receiver, and I expect them to get open against a poor secondary. The over is 6-0 in Buffalo's last 6 games. The over is 5-1-1 in the Giants last 7 home games. Take the over.
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10-15-11 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 41.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -112 | 65 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Total Value* The Georgia Bulldogs have really turned it on since their 0-2 start. Georgia has been doing it with some superb defense. The Bulldogs are allowing just 8.75 points per game in their last four contests. Vanderbilt has a terrible offense that just can't seem to find its way. The Commodores put up 3 points against South Carolina and they were blanked by Alabama. On the other side, Vanderbilt actually has a very good defense. The Commodores are ranked in the top 30 in the nation in every major defensive category. Expect both defenses to flex their muscles here. Take the under.
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10-15-11 | East Carolina v. Memphis OVER 56 | 35-17 | Loss | -106 | 48 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* East Carolina's offense was one of the most dynamic in all of college football last year. This year they are averaging just 20 points per game. Dominique Davis and this East Carolina offense might not be quite as good this year, but they are due for a breakout game. What better team to breakout against than a terrible Memphis Tigers team? The Memphis defense is allowing 495 yards and 37 points per game. East Carolina's defense is terrible as well, and even a weak Memphis offense should put up several points on them. The Pirates are allowing 37 points per game as well. I expect this one to get safely over the posted total.
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10-15-11 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest OVER 49 | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* Wake Forest has really put themselves on the map with their win over Florida State last week. This is a Wake Forest team that can really move the football through the air. Virginia Tech has a great run defense, but the secondary is a bit vulnerable. On the other side, Wake Forest's defense isn't ready for the bigtime yet. Logan Thomas is coming off an unreal 23/25 performance against a good Miami defense. Both offenses should have success in this one. The over is 10-3 in Wake Forest's last 13 home games. Take the over in this matchup.
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10-15-11 | UTEP v. Tulane OVER 57 | 44-7 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* The UTEP Miners picked up a very good quarterback in Nick Lamaison. The Miners passing game has gotten better each game this year. Tulane's secondary simply isn't very good and I expect UTEP to take advantage of that. At the same time, UTEP's defense is very poor. Tulane's Ryan Griffin has improved quite a bit this year, and I expect the Green Wave to put up quite a few points this weekend. UTEP allows 33 points per contest. Tulane's defense allows 34 points per contest. I expect the defenses to make the offenses look good in this one. The over is 5-1 in Tulane's last 6 home games. Take the over.
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10-13-11 | San Diego State v. Air Force OVER 58.5 | 41-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star Thursday Night Total DOMINATION* The San Diego State Aztecs had a good run defense last year, but the same cannot be said this season. San Diego State is allowing 229 rushing yards per contest this year. Air Force has the #2 rushing attack in the nation, and I expect the Falcons to find lots of room to run in this one. Air Force has a severely undersized defensive front, which makes them extremely vulnerable against the run as well. Ronnie Hillman is a very talented future NFL running back for San Diego State. Hillman and the Aztecs should be able to run all over the Air Force defense. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 games overall. Expect both offenses to move the ball quite easily in this game. Take the over.
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10-09-11 | Green Bay Packers v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 53.5 | 25-14 | Loss | -109 | 151 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Football Total Domination* The Green Bay Packers and Atlanta Falcons meet in a rematch of their playoff game last year in Atlanta. Green Bay won that game 48-21 as Aaron Rodgers carved up the Falcons secondary. The Packers offense is arguably better than it was last year at this point. Green Bay is averaging 37 points per game. At the same time, Atlanta's defense has struggled mightily this year. The Falcons are giving up 27 points per contest. I expect Green Bay to put up 30 or more points here. Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense is much better at home, and they should be able to throw the ball some on a Packers secondary that has struggled in 2011. The over is 5-2-1 in the Falcons last 8 home games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
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10-09-11 | San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos OVER 45.5 | 29-24 | Win | 100 | 87 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The San Diego Chargers offense hasn't really broken out the way you might expect them to, but I think they could do that this weekend against Denver. The Broncos secondary is dinged up quite a bit right now, and Phillip Rivers should be able to pick them apart. The Chargers secondary isn't fully healthy either, and Kyle Orton should be able to find some open receivers. The over is 7-1 in Denver's last 8 home games. The over is 27-11-4 in the Chargers last 42 road games. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two. Take the over.
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10-09-11 | New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers OVER 51 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 84 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Knockout* The Carolina Panthers are a much better football team than they were last year, but the defense still needs a lot of work. Carolina is allowing 25.5 points per game this year, and the Saints have one of the best offenses in the NFL. Cam Newton and the Panthers passing attack is ranked third in the NFL, and the Saints have struggled against the pass this year. This should be a game where both quarterbacks have a lot of success. Carolina is out to prove that they can play with the best teams in the NFL, but they'll have to score points to stick around in this one. I like the over here.
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10-08-11 | Georgia v. Tennessee OVER 57 | 20-12 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* This will be a battle of the SEC's best two quarterbacks in my opinion. Tyler Bray has helped turn this Tennessee offense into a dangerous one, and Aaron Murray continues to develop in his second year under center. Bray is completing 69% of his passes, and he has thrown 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions this year. Isiah Crowell gives the Bulldogs an impressive runner that takes pressure off Murray and the passing game for Georgia. The over is 8-3 in Georgia's last 11 games. The over is 9-2 in Tennessee's last 11 games. I expect both offenses to put up quite a few points here. Take the over.
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10-08-11 | Louisiana Tech v. Idaho OVER 55 | 24-11 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Both of these defenses are terrible against the pass. Idaho is allowing 115th out of 120 teams in the nation against the pass, and Louisiana Tech is 114th against the pass. Expect both teams to be airing it out and putting up some big numbers here. Both teams have been prone to turnovers, which could lead to some defensive touchdowns in this one as well. In the last three meetings between these teams, the final scores have been 46-14, 35-34, and 48-35. I don't see either defense faring well at all in this one. I think this one clears the total quite easily. Take the over.
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10-08-11 | Arizona v. Oregon State OVER 59 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 44 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Totals Takedown* Arizona's defense is extremely young, and they just aren't very good right now. Arizona has given up 38 points per game so far this year. Oregon State isn't very good offensively, but I do think they'll put up some points thanks to an improving passing game. On the other side, Arizona's pass offense is one of the best in the nation. Nick Foles should shred this Oregon State secondary that has been prone to giving up the big play. Both defenses are worse than last season, and I think the offenses will move the ball a lot in this one. Take the over.
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10-08-11 | Boston College v. Clemson UNDER 53 | 14-36 | Win | 100 | 43 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Boston College is a team that just doesn't have much of an offense at all this year. The star of their offense is running back Montel Harris, and he is expected to miss this game with an injury. Boston College generally stays in the game because of a defense that bends but doesn't break. Clemson is a much improved team this year. The defense showed how great it can be by holding Virginia Tech to just three point in Blacksburg last week. Look for Clemson to shutdown Boston College here. The under is 6-0 in the Eagles last 6 conference games. The under is 8-1 in Clemson's last 9 conference games. Take the under.
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10-08-11 | Illinois v. Indiana UNDER 53.5 | 41-20 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* Illinois has started the season 5-0. The Fighting Illini have done it largely because of a very underrated defense. The defense is allowing just 79 rushing yards per game and 17 points per game. Indiana's defense isn't very good, but they tend to play much better at home. Illinois doesn't have a great passing attack, and the Fighting Illini generally don't blow too many teams out on the road. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. I expect an ugly game that stays under the posted total. Take the under.
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10-07-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star DBacks/Brewers Total DOMINATION* It's a matchup of two aces in the deciding Game Five Friday night in Milwaukee. Gallardo pitched brilliantly in Game One, while Kennedy didn't have his best stuff. Kennedy was 21-5 this year, and I expect him to put forth a good effort here. Both pitchers should be able to make it deep into the game. Gallardo has an impressive 2.87 ERA at home this year. The under is 8-3 in Kennedy's last 11 starts. The under is 6-2 in Gallardo's last 8 home starts. Expect a close hard fought game here. Take the under.
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10-06-11 | California v. Oregon OVER 62.5 | 15-43 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star Cal/Oregon Total DOMINATION* The Cal Golden Bears are averaging 39.5 points per game this year. Oregon is averaging 52 points per game this year (best in the nation). Both defenses are quite vulnerable. Oregon's defense isn't nearly as good as last year, and Cal should be able to score some points here. At the same time, Oregon's offense is as good as ever. The Ducks absolutely have the ability to put up 50 points or more in this game. Oregon will push the tempo in a big way and get out to a big lead here. I think Cal will find some success through the air in this game, and I expect a very high scoring game. The over is 16-4-1 in Oregon's last 21 home games. Take the over.
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10-04-11 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 1-8 | Push | 0 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Milwaukee Brewers will look to sweep the Arizona Diamondbacks, while Arizona will look to stay alive. Shaun Marcum has been good most of the year, but he struggled down the stretch. He has a 6.62 ERA in his last three starts. Josh Collmenter has also struggled of late. Collmenter has a 5.50 ERA in his last three starts. Both of these teams have plenty of power hitters, and the roof is expected to be open in this one. Chase Field is a hitter's paradise when the roof is open, and I expect the ball to be flying well here. Take the over.
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10-02-11 | New England Patriots v. Oakland Raiders OVER 54.5 | 31-19 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The New England Patriots have scored 38, 35, and 31 points in their three games this year. I see no reason to think their productivity will drop against a weak Oakland secondary. On the other hand, Oakland has the best rushing attack in the NFL. I expect Darren McFadden to have a very big day against New England. Oakland scored 35 points against Buffalo and then lit up a very good New York Jets defense for 34 points. It wouldn't surprise me to see both teams at 30 points or more in this one. Expect a lot of big plays from both offenses. The over is 19-7 in the Patriots last 26. The over is 5-0 in the Raiders last 5 home games. Take the over.
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10-02-11 | Tennessee Titans v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 39.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -107 | 95 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* Which defense is currently ranked first in the NFL in total defense? Not many people would know it, but it is the Tennessee Titans. Cleveland's offense has struggled to get going all year, and I think Tennessee will load up the box and force the Browns to try to beat them through the air. On the other side, despite having Chris Johnson, the Titans are dead last in rushing yards per game with a paltry 51 yards per contest. The Browns secondary is very good, so I don't expect Hasselbeck to find too many open receivers. Remember, Kenny Britt is injured, and he was Tennessee's best wideout. I like the under in this one.
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10-01-11 | Hawaii v. Louisiana Tech OVER 58 | 44-26 | Win | 100 | 120 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Hawaii's Bryant Moniz is back for another year. Moniz is a terric quarterback for this pass happy system. He is completing 66% of his passes this year. He also has 11 TD's and just one pick. Louisiana Tech's pass defense isn't very impressive. They allowed 372 yards through the air at home against Central Arkansas earlier this year. The Louisiana Tech offense is averaging 30 points per game, and Hawaii's defense is notoriously bad away from home. The over is 5-2 in Hawaii's last 7 games. The over is 4-1 in La. Tech's last 5 home games. Expect a high scoring game here. Take the over.
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10-01-11 | Duke v. Florida International OVER 57 | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 47 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value Play* Duke has a solid quarterback in Sean Renfree. Renfree knows the system well and he can pick apart a defense if he is given time to throw. Florida International's defense is no better than average, and their secondary is quite inexperienced. Duke averages 306 passing yards per game, and they should be able to air it out here. Duke's pass defense is poor as well, and TY Hilton and the Florida International offense should find lots of room to operate. The over is 6-1 in Duke's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in FIU's last 5 games following a loss. Take the over.
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10-01-11 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 51 | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 46 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star Clemson/Va. Tech Total Domination* Frank Beamer and his Virginia Tech team have proven they know how to win football games at home. What is the secret? They run the football and control time of possession. They also play solid defense and make it a sloppy and low scoring game. Clemson's totals have gone over in all four of their games, which gives us a solid value here. I don't think the Tigers will find the offense nearly as easy to come by in this one. Expect Virginia Tech to keep it on the ground often here, which should help keep the clock ticking most of the game. The under is 9-2 in the Hokies last 11 games. Take the under.
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10-01-11 | Baylor v. Kansas State OVER 63.5 | 35-36 | Win | 100 | 112 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* It's hard to overstate just how amazing this Baylor offense has been this year. Baylor ranks second in all of college football in total offense. Robert Griffin III is completing a ridiculous 85 percent of his passes. Griffin is hands down the best dual-threat quarterback in college football. What about his decision making? Griffin has thrown 13 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Kansas State simply won't be able to stop Baylor. At the same time, Baylor's defense is not good at all. Kansas State's Bill Snyder should have Collin Klein and the offense ready with a good game plan for this game. The over is 9-3 in Kansas State's last 12 games. The over is 5-1 in Baylor's last 6. Take the over.
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10-01-11 | Arizona v. USC OVER 57 | 41-48 | Win | 100 | 46 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total Domination* The Arizona Wildcats defense is very young and inexperienced this year. It has definitely shown in the first few games. Arizona has given up at least 37 points in each of their last three contests. The Wildcats secondary will likely be picked apart by Matt Barkley and Robert Woods of USC. Arizona's Nick Foles is a very good quarterback, and I expect Arizona to be able to move the ball well also. USC's secondary has been pretty poor in coverage this year. The over/under was posted at 61 in last year's game, and with a much worse Arizona defense this year, we also get a lower number. Take the over.
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10-01-11 | Kent State v. Ohio UNDER 47 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Kent State ranks 119th out of 120 teams in college football in total offense. The Golden Flashes best offensive output was 281 total yards against South Alabama. In their other three contests, they have yet to top 200 yards of total offense. Ohio's defense is near the top of the MAC in most categories, and I don't think Kent State scores much at all here. On the other side, Kent State actually has a decent defense. I expect an ugly game with neither offense getting in a real rhythm. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.
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09-29-11 | Houston v. UTEP OVER 64.5 | 49-42 | Win | 100 | 73 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Thursday Night Total DOMINATION* The Houston Cougars may have the best passing attack in the country. Case Keenum is back healthy and this offense is firing on all cylinders. Houston has scored at least 35 points in every game this year, and they are averaging 44 points per game on the season. This is a passing attack that averages 446 yards per game through the air. UTEP has yet to face a great offense this year, but they gave up 575 yards last week against South Florida. UTEP has a solid passing attack that is generally more productive at home, and Houston's defense is pretty weak. The over is 17-6 in Houston's last 23 games. In the last 4 meetings between these teams the total has finished at 65, 79, 99, and 78 points. I like the over in this one.
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09-27-11 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* The Kansas City Royals offense has really heated up in the last couple weeks. The over is 10-1 in the Royals last 11 games overall. Anthony Swarzak will pitch for the Twins here, and he has a poor 7.24 ERA in his last three starts. Sean O'Sullivan is on the hill for the Royals, and he has been terrible this year. Both of these teams have a poor bullpen and both offenses have been hot of late. The over is 11-1-1 in the Twins last 13 as well. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
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09-27-11 | Washington Nationals v. Florida Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* After the start he had to the season, I honestly started wondering if Javier Vazquez's career was over, but he is absolutely dealing right now. He has an ERA of 0.00 in his last three starts. Three straight shutouts against quality teams, and now he'll face a weak Nationals lineup. John Lannan is a solid left-handed starter. The under is 11-4 in the Nationals last 15 road games. The under is 10-4 in the Marlins last 14 games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the under here.
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09-27-11 | Cincinnati Reds v. New York Mets OVER 8 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* Bronson Arroyo has pitched terribly all year. He pitched a complete game shutout last game, but I don't think he'll be great two games in a row. Marvin Hudson is behind the dish here, and he is a solid over umpire. Chris Capuano is a hittable lefty, and the Reds punish left-handed pitching. The over is 7-1 in the Mets last 8. The over is 4-0 in Capuano's last 4 starts. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. I like this one to be high scoring. Take the over.
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09-25-11 | NY Jets v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 41.5 | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Oakland Raiders are a very good running team, but the Jets front seven is extremely talented. The Jets are a great running team as well, but Oakland has an extremely strong defensive line. Both of these teams will likely be attempting to establish the run, but I don't see either team running as well as normal in this one. Mark Sanchez and Jason Campbell have both shown they aren't generally able to air it out and pick up huge yardage through the air. This has the makings of a defensive struggle. I like the under here.
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09-25-11 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers UNDER 10 | 5-12 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Texas Rangers have clinched the American League West. If yesterday's lineup is any indication, we should expect lots of days off for the team's best players in days to come. Hamilton, Cruz, Kinsler, and Andrus were all out of the lineup yesterday. I wouldn't be surprised if guys like Moreland, Young, and Andrus get the day off Sunday. Derek Holland has been absolutely dealing of late. He is 15-5, and he has an ERA of 2 in his last three starts. The Mariners lineup is extremely weak. Doug Eddings is the umpire here, and he is probably the biggest 'under' umpire in the majors. How about these trends? The under is 6-1 in Furbush's (Seattle's starter in this one) last 7 starts. The under is 40-17-5 in Eddings last 62 Sunday games behind the plate. Take the under.
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09-25-11 | Houston Texans v. New Orleans Saints OVER 53 | 33-40 | Win | 100 | 108 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals Takedown* The Houston Texans have a very capable offense. Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson is one of the best quarteback/wide receiver combos in the league. Arian Foster is dinged up, but Ben Tate is a solid backup. Houston's defense is very weak against the pass, and the Saints can definitely air it out. Drew Brees has 6 TD's and 0 interceptions this year, and I expect them to move the ball quite easily against the Texans secondary. The over is 6-0 in Houston's last 6 games as an underdog. The over is 8-3-1 in the Saints last 12 games during September. Take the over.
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09-24-11 | Oregon v. Arizona OVER 64 | 56-31 | Win | 100 | 96 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oregon/Arizona Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks were beaten soundly by LSU in week one, but don't let that fool you into thinking this team isn't dangerous. Oregon's offense is definitely one of the top five in the nation, and they have shown that the last couple weeks. The Ducks put up 69 points against Nevada. They then had 56 points before the end of the third last week against Missouri State before calling off the dogs. Arizona's defense was riddled by Stanford last weekend, and I think Oregon's offense is better. Both Oklahoma State and Stanford scored 37 on Arizona. I expect Oregon to top 40 points here. Oregon's defense is definitely down from a year ago, and Arizona put up 23 on them last year. This has all the makings of a shootout. The over is 16-7 in Oregon's last 23 games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 matchups between these two. Take the over.
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09-24-11 | Connecticut v. Buffalo OVER 46 | 17-3 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star Ugly Football Totals Winner* I certainly won't be watching this game on Saturday, and I don't think you should either. Both of these teams aren't very good at all, but I think there is a good value on the total here. Chazz Anderson has helped the Buffalo offense become formidable this year. The Buffalo defense is very bad. The Bulls have been getting gashed on the ground by teams who aren't very good. UConn has a solid ground game and I expect them to use it effectively this week. These teams have played the last two years and the score has been 45-21 and 38-20. The total is set so low here that I like the over.
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09-24-11 | Tulane v. Duke OVER 54.5 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 110 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Tulane Green Wave are short-handed in the secondary right now. Southeastern Louisiana threw for 295 yards and Tulsa threw for 246 yards against them. Duke's Sean Renfree has a good understanding of the Blue Devils offense, and he should be able to move this team up and down the field against a weak secondary. Duke's defense is giving up 29 points per game this year. Tulane has a solid quarterback in Ryan Griffin. Griffin should find plenty of open receivers against Duke. The over is 6-1 in Tulane's last 7. The over is 5-1 in Duke's last 6 non-confernce games. Take the over.
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09-24-11 | Georgia v. Ole Miss UNDER 54.5 | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 85 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Total* The Ole Miss offense is a complete mess right now. The offensive coordinator admitted earlier this week that he decided to reduce the playbook by 25 or 30% this week because the offense just can't get the plays right. The running game has been pretty good the last couple years, but team's are now stacking the box since the Rebels can't throw it much at all. The Rebels defense is only allowing 22.7 points per game, and they should play inspired at home this week against an SEC foe. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. TAke the under.
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09-24-11 | North Carolina v. Georgia Tech OVER 58 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 106 h 16 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play of the Week* Georgia Tech always has one of the best running games in the country since Paul Johnson is their coach. This year Tevin Washington is giving them an extra dimension with his ability to throw the ball. Washington has thrown for more than 600 yards in just three games. He has 7 touchdowns and zero interceptions. How good is the Yellow Jackets rushing attack? The team has three players with at least ten carries this year that are averaging 10 yards or more per carry. On the other side, North Carolina has a budding star in quarterback Bryn Renning. Renning has completed 81% of his passes this year, and he has made this offense much more dynamic. Georgia Tech has scored at least 49 points in each of their 3 games this year. I think both offenses will have a leg up on the defenses here. The over is 7-0 in Georgia Tech's last 7 September games. This is my biggest play of the week. Take the over.
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09-24-11 | San Diego State v. Michigan OVER 60 | 7-28 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Michigan Wolverines haven't been quite as dynamic on offense this year, but I think they still can be when they need to be. San Diego State's offense is led by Ryan Lindley, a talented four year starter at quarterback. Ronnie Hillmann is a great sophomore running back for the Aztecs. I expect the Aztecs to be able to move the ball a lot in this one against a subpar Michigan defense. San Diego State has allowed 199 yards per game on the ground, and Denard Robinson should take advantage of that. It is Brady Hoke's new team against his old team this Saturday. I expect a high scoring game. Take the over.
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09-23-11 | Colorado Rockies v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 | 2-11 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Drew Pomeranz is one of the highest rated prospects in baseball. He has had two great starts to begin his career despite pitching at Coors Field. He'll get to take on a weak Houston Astros lineup now in a little more pitcher-friendly ballpark. Brett Myers has thrown three straight quality starts and he has an ERA under 2 in those starts. The majority of the Rockies lineup is backups since they have so many injuries. Expect both pitchers to take advantage of weak lineups here. Take the under.
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09-23-11 | Baltimore Orioles v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Detroit Tigers have clinched the AL Central, but Jim Leyland has been continuing to play Victor Martinez, Miguel Cabrera, and most of the starters on a daily basis. Alfredo Simon will pitch for the Orioles in this one. Simon has an ERA of 6.75 in his last three starts. Rick Porcello has been pretty good of late for the Tigers, but he has struggled at home all year. He has a 5.91 ERA at home this year. The Orioles offense has been putting up runs in bunches. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games. Take the over.
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09-22-11 | San Francisco Giants v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Madison Bumgarner has been terrific of late. Bumgarner has allowed two runs or less in eight of his last nine starts. The lefty will face a short-handed Dodgers lineup on Thursday night. Hiroki Kuroda has been very solid this year. He has a 3.21 ERA on the season. The Giants offense is very short-handed right now as well. I think both pitchers will find Jim Wolf's strike zone beneficial. Expect both pitchers to last quite a while in this one. I expect a close and low scoring game. Take the under.
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09-22-11 | Los Angeles Angels v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Ervin Santana has been great this year, but he hasn't been nearly as dominant of late. In 6 of his last 8 starts Santana has allowed at least 4 runs. The Blue Jays have a solid offense, and they can generally score some runs at home. Henderson Alvarez is a pretty good young pitcher, but the Angels are locked in on offense right now. Alvarez has a 4.40 ERA at home this year. Tim McClelland is the umpire in this one, and he is one of the best over umpires in the game because of his very small strike zone. The over is 15-6 in the Angels last 21 road games. The over is 15-6-2 in the Jays last 23. Take the over.
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09-22-11 | New York Mets v. St.Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The New York Mets don't have much to play for at this point, and it seems that it making their games higher scoring. The over is 21-7-1 in their last 29 road games. The Cardinals have plenty to play for, and I think they'll be able to get to Chris Capuano. Capuano has a 5.29 ERA on the road this year. Jake Westbrook pitches for the Cardinals. He has a 5.59 ERA at home and a 5.15 ERA during the day. Jim Reynolds is a huge over umpire, and he is behind the dish for this one. Take the over.
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09-20-11 | San Francisco Giants v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Could there be a better pitching matchup in the National League? Clayton Kershaw would have my vote as this year's CY Young winner in the National League, and Tim Lincecum has already won it twice. Lincecum and Kershaw have squared off three times already this year. The final scores were 2-1, 2-1, and 1-0. Quite honestly, I could easily see this one staying at 3 runs or below once again. I expect both of these pitchers to be in the game a long time. Both offenses are very weak. This is a very low number, but I really like the under.
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09-20-11 | Baltimore Orioles v. Boston Red Sox OVER 10 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Rick VandenHurk has pitched just six innings in the majors so far this season. He has looked very shaky. His minor league numbers really aren't very good. The Red Sox aren't the type of lineup you want to put a guy like VandenHurk up against. Erik Bedard hasn't pitched in quite a while, and he has struggled to find the zone all year long when he has been on the mound. The Orioles pounded out hits all day yesterday, and they should put up several runs here. I expect this one to easily surpass the posted total.
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09-20-11 | 1DH Chicago W/Sox v. 1DH Cleveland Indians OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Fausto Carmona has been crushed by the Chicago White Sox throughout his career. Carmona has a 5.54 ERA against the White Sox. The Indians have really started hitting the ball much better themselves of late. The over is a stunning 14-2-1 in Cleveland's last 17 games. The middle of the order is much more formidable with Hafner and Sizemore back. Gavin Floyd has a 5.06 ERA in his last three starts. Carmona has an ERA of 10.66 in his last three starts. I expect some runs to be scored here. Take the over.
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09-18-11 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* The Minnesota Twins are extremely short-handed offensively right now. There is no Mauer, Morneau, Kubel, or Valencia in the lineup. The Indians are without Michael Brantley and Shin Soo-Choo. Justin Masterson has been solid all year, but he has been shaky in his last three starts. I think he'll pitch better again Sunday against this weak Twins lineup. Carl Pavano has a solid 3.42 ERA at home this season. The under is 4-0 in Pavano's last 4 starts against the Indians. The under is 7-0 in Masterson's last 7 against the Twins. The wind is expected to be blowing in as well. I like the under in this one.
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09-18-11 | New York Mets v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Tim McClelland is one of baseball's biggest 'over' umpires. He has a very small strike zone, which will likely frustrate Dillon Gee and Brandon Beachy Sunday afternoon. Gee has an ERA over 5.5 on the road this year. The over is 5-1 in his last 6 road starts. Beachy has been pretty good this year, but the over is 5-1 in his last 6 starts overall as well. The over is 19-7-1 in the Mets last 27 road games. With the total sitting at just 8 for this one, I like the value on the over.
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09-18-11 | New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Freddy Garcia will start for the Yankees, and he is definitely off schedule right now. The Blue Jays have a pretty good lineup, and I expect them to score some runs here. Brandon Morrow has been horrible at home and during the day this year. Morrow has a 6.91 ERA at home and a 6.5 ERA during the day. The Yankees lineup is arguably the best in baseball right now, and I think they'll make it very tough on him. The ball really flies in Toronto during the daytime when the roof is open, and I expect it to be open on Sunday. I think this one will be high scoring. Take the over.
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09-18-11 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Detroit Lions OVER 44 | 3-48 | Win | 100 | 141 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Kansas City Chiefs defense was lit up like a Christmas tree by Buffalo last weekend. Detroit's offense will be much better this year with a healthy Matt Stafford under center. Calvin Johnson is a beast on the outside, and the Lions have a solid offensive nucleus. Kansas City lost Eric Berry, their most talented player in the secondary, and he will miss the rest of the year. On the other side, I do expect Jamaal Charles and the Chiefs to be able to move the ball on the ground some in this one. The over is 8-2 in the Lions last 10 home games, and with Stafford healthy I think this Lions offense is very good. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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09-17-11 | Utah v. BYU UNDER 47 | 54-10 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Total Domination* The BYU Cougars have played to a 14-13 and 17-16 final in their first two games. At this point, it is pretty clear that the BYU defense is ahead of the offense. The same thing happened last year with this team at the beginning of the season. Utah held a pretty good USC offense in check last weekend. The Utes have a fairly pedestrian offense. The under is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in this in-state rivalry. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at BYU. I expect both defenses to flex their muscles in this one. Take the under.
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09-17-11 | Oklahoma v. Florida State OVER 55 | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oklahoma/FSU Total Domination* Oklahoma's high octane offense will be difficult for anyone to stop this year. The Sooners defense isn't bad, but they certainly aren't one of the best in the land. If Florida State is going to keep up with Oklahoma, they'll have to put up quite a few points in this one. I think the Seminoles are equipped to put together long drives and score some points here. At the same time, I think Oklahoma will wear down the Florida State defense with their fast paced offense. Last year's game saw Oklahoma roll to a 47-17 win. Florida State should be highly motivated in this one, and I expect a high scoring close game here. Take the over.
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09-17-11 | Los Angeles Angels v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 9 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* Zach Britton has been very good most of the year. He has a stellar 2.84 ERA at home this year. The Angels have never seen him, which should give him a leg up on the Angels hitters. Ervin Santana has been solid all year long. Santana has a 3.30 ERA this season. The under is 19-9 in Santana's 28 starts this year. The under is 4-0 in Britton's last 4 home starts. The wind will be blowing in from center at about 10 mph here, and that should help both pitchers quite a bit. Expect both pitchers to pitch well in this one. Take the under here.
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09-17-11 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan UNDER 56 | 14-44 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM* It's a battle of two directional Michigan schools in the MAC this Saturday. Central Michigan has a solid secondary led by Jahleel Addae. Western Michigan counts on throwing the football all the time, and if forced to run it, they will have some trouble offensively. Western Michigan probably has the best front four in the MAC, and that should give Ryan Radcliffe and the Central Michigan offense quite a bit of trouble. Central Michigan only put up 21 points against South Carolina State, so their offense isn't too strong. The under is 6-2 in Central Michigan's last 8. The under is 4-1 in the Broncos last 5 home games. Take the under.
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09-17-11 | West Virginia v. Maryland OVER 55 | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 68 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Totals Takedown* Dana Holgorsen is an offensive minded coach, and everywhere he has been the team's offense has put up points. Geno Smith is a good quarterback for the system and Tavon Austin is a real threat at the wide receiver spot. Maryland's Danny O'Brien is a much better quarterback than most people realize, and the West Virginia defense lot a ton of talent from last year. Maryland rolled up 499 total yards against Miami, and I expect Randy Edsall's team to be a solid balanced offense this year. I like this one to go over the total.
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09-17-11 | Wyoming v. Bowling Green OVER 52 | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 68 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Wyoming Cowboys don't have much of a passing attack, but the running game is pretty good. Bowling Green's weakness defensively is stopping the run, so I expect Wyoming to be able to move the ball in this one. Bowling Green runs a west coast offense. Matt Schilz is a solid quarterback and I think the Falcons will score quite a few points this season. The Wyoming secondary is extremely inexperienced, and that should show quite frequently this weekend. Schilz was injured quite a bit last year, but he is healthy this year. I expect Bowling Green totals to move higher as the year goes along. I like the value on the over.
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09-15-11 | Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* Alexi Ogando was great through the first 2/3 of the season, but he has struggled mightily for the last month or so. Ogando has a 9.26 ERA in his last three starts. He has given up 5 runs or more in 3 of his last 4 home starts. Fausto Carmona has a career 5.16 ERA against the Texas Rangers. Texas has a lot on the line right now, and I expect their offense to continue to pound out hits. The Indians offense is a little better now that Sizemore and Hafner are back. Shin Soo-Choo is expected back in this one as well. The over is 4-0-1 in the Rangers last 5 home games. The over is 7-0 in the Indians last 7 games. Take the over.
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09-14-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* Clayton Kershaw has been absolutely dominating this year. He proably won't win it because the Dodgers are bad, but he should win the NL CY Young award this year if he finishes well. How good has he been? Kershaw has a 2.36 ERA and an 18-5 record for a team that sits below .500 on the season. At home, he is even better. Kershaw has a 1.80 ERA at home this year. Daniel Hudson has been spectacular of late. Hudson has an ERA of 0.78 in his last three starts. The Dodgers offense isn't very good to start with, and they are without Ethier and Blake now. The under is 5-0 in Hudson's last 5 starts. The under is 6-1 in Kershaw's last 7 home starts. Take the under.
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09-13-11 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox OVER 10 | 6-18 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Tim Wakefield just can't seem to get that 200th win. The Red Sox have blown some leads for him, but he also hasn't been pitching very well. He has given up at least 4 runs in seven of his last ten starts overall. Toronto has a solid offense and they should be able to score. Brandon Morrow has an ERA of 9.70 in more than 34 career innings against the Red Sox. Boston realizes they need to win now that the Rays are closing in on the Wild Card spot. I expect both offenses to put up several runs here. Take the over.
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09-12-11 | Oakland Raiders v. Denver Broncos OVER 40.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Bookie CRUSHER* The Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos both have a new coach this year. The Raiders team lost quite a bit of talent, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Oakland lost the best corner in football, and now their secondary is banged up. While Denver wasn't very good last year, the passing game was very effective. On the other side, Denver was one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Broncos simply couldn't stop the run, and that is exactly what the Raiders do very well. With McFadden and Bush running hard behind a talented run blocking offensive line, I expect the Raiders to run the ball well on Monday night. The over is 16-5 in Denver's last 21 games overall. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
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