02-28-24 |
Auburn +7.5 v. Tennessee |
|
84-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
Auburn/Tennessee 7:00: Bruce Pearl goes back to his old stomping grounds to challenge the team he once coached. He's had a great deal of success vs the Volunteers at 8-1 ATS. Possibility that F Jaylin Williams (knee) might sit out again; however, Baker Mazara picked filled the void well last Saturday with 25 points in a blowout of Georgia. Auburn (11) looking to strengthen their seeding for the tournaments and should be quite competitive here. Auburn the call.
|
02-27-24 |
Mavs +4.5 v. Cavs |
|
119-121 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 51 m |
Show
|
Mavericks/Cavaliers 7:10: This series has gone to the visitor at 6-0 ATS. December 27th of this season, Cleveland went into Dallas to deliver a 113-110 win. Tonight, look for Dallas to return the favor. Irving and Doncic starting to play well together but will need not only Hardaway Jr. to step up his game but other supporting cast members against the #2 defensive team in the league. Dallas was riding a 7-game win streak until they stumbled at Indiana Sunday. Look for the Mavericks to bounce back vs a Cavaliers team on an 0-5 ATS slide. They're coming off a sluggish road win vs league bottom feeder Washington. Dallas the call.
|
02-27-24 |
Davidson +11 v. Dayton |
|
66-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
Davidson/Dayton 7:00: Davidson playing a good stretch of basketball on a 4-0 ATS run despite losing 2 of those SU. They're coming off a tough loss at Richmond in the closing seconds. HC Matt McKillop has some veteran guys who can step up on the road. Bailey, Kochera and Huffman each are double-digit scorers. And Durkin, who's getting more minutes because of Skogman's season ending injury, is developing well. The Wildcats got worked at home in the first matchup but now face a Dayton team that's fallen off their hot earlier season play. They've failed to cover in 3 of their last 4 games. We'll look for Davidson to be competitive tonight.
|
02-26-24 |
Baylor +2.5 v. TCU |
|
62-54 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 22 m |
Show
|
Baylor/TCU 9:00: Baylor coming off a disappointing loss at home on Saturday vs Houston. They got stomped in the first half with a 16-point deficit but amazingly worked their way back to force OT and actually take the lead before losing down the stretch. Nevertheless, they showed a lot of grit in that comeback attempt. Bears go into TCU with revenge from their 105-102 OT loss back on January 27th. TCU has been playing a good stretch of basketball, but we won't count out the Bears here. This has been an extremely tight series with Baylor controlling a 4-2 SU edge only to lose by 1 point at TCU January 24th, 2023, and, of course, this season's OT loss at home. TCU's perimeter defense suspect, and Bridges, Nunn, and even Walter could go off tonight. Baylor the call.
|
02-26-24 |
Pistons +11.5 v. Knicks |
|
111-113 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
Pistons/Knicks 7:40: The Knicks have absolutely owned the Pistons the last few years - winning 13 straight. The last win in this series for the Pistons was November 6, 2019. Knicks have been vulnerable recently on a 1-7 ATS slide. Brunson is limited in his help with Randle, Robinson and Anunoby all sidelined with injuries. Detroit, the worst team in the league, has shown signs of competitiveness recently - on a 6-4 ATS run. They have a tendency to follow up an isolated cover with another cover at 8-3 ATS in that role. They were competitive at NY on November 30th this season with a 118-112 loss. We'll look for Detroit to keep this one competitive.
|
02-26-24 |
West Virginia +9.5 v. Kansas State |
|
90-94 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
West Virginia/Kansas State 7:00: West Virginia, winless on the Big 12 road, went into a strong Iowa State venue Saturday and easily covered. Had it not been for a silly 23 turnovers - many self-induced, the Mounties could have won that game. Kansas State presents a pretty strong home court too, but not the caliber of defense the Mounties faced at Iowa State Saturday. Mounties moved the ball pretty well and had 4 double digit scorers. Kriisa, Edwards and Slazinski average double digits on the season. And I was impressed on Saturday by the defensive discipline of WV under Josh Eilert. K State is coming off a win over BYU and now playing into revenge from when they went to WV on January 9th in an 81-67 win. Look for WV to be competitive here for their 3rd straight cover.
|
02-25-24 |
Minnesota +7.5 v. Nebraska |
|
55-73 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 10 m |
Show
|
Minnesota/Nebraska 6:30: Hard to go against a team 23-3 ATS for the season. They've covered 6 of 7 conference road games. Nebraska a formidable foe, especially at home this season. In the first game in this series December 6th in Minnesota, the Golden Gophers overcame a 15-point halftime deficit to win by double digits. In that game, they got no points out of leading scorer Garcia in 7 minutes. Minnesota has multiple scorers who step up repeatedly. Look for Minnesota to do what they do best on the road - stick around.
|
02-25-24 |
Mavs -1 v. Pacers |
|
111-133 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
02-25-24 |
Maryland +2.5 v. Rutgers |
|
63-46 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
Maryland has covered 2 of the last 3 visits to Rutgers. They're looking for same season revenge after getting up on Feb 6th on their home floor. Maryland sticks around on the road with a hustling and physical defense. Rutgers, like Maryland, is offensively challenged and should allow Maryland to eke this one out. Maryland the call.
|
02-24-24 |
Alabama v. Kentucky -2.5 |
|
95-117 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 41 m |
Show
|
Alabama/Kentucky 4:00: Alabama blasted the Wildcats last season at Alabama 78-52. Calipari sports a strong conference revenge mark off double digit defeats to the tune of 7-3 ATS. And throw in the fact they let one slip away at LSU on Wednesday, Wildcats should be fired up here. Meanwhile, Crimson Tide, at home, barely got by Florida. The #1 Alabama offense seems like a lock to outgun a Kentucky defense that's allowed a generous 73 PPG. On the other hand, Kentucky can light it up too at nearly 88 PPG and faces a defense that allows 77 PPG. Reeves and Dillingham can match buckets with the best of them. And the Wildcats should have board crashing Tre Mitchell back today to add to a deep bench of shooters. Grab the Wildcats here.
|
02-24-24 |
West Virginia v. Iowa State -17.5 |
|
64-71 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 42 m |
Show
|
West Virginia/Iowa State 2:00: Iowa State in an ornery mood after dropping a 73-65 decision to #2 Houston on Monday. WV, in comparison, will be like facing a JV team. Mounties used to own this series when Bob Huggins was patrolling the bench. Now, they're substantially lacking defensive discipline under their new leader. And they've been blown out on the Big 12 road to the tune of 19.5 PPG. ISU, which is undefeated at home, sports one of the best defenses in the NCAA. And they've got shooters! We'll lay the wood.
|
02-23-24 |
Heat +3.5 v. Pelicans |
|
106-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
02-22-24 |
Washington State +13 v. Arizona |
|
77-74 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
Washington State/Arizona 11:00: Washington State already has notched a win over Arizona (Jan 13th). And they're currently playing their best stretch of basketball. The Cougars have showed road savviness and have the veteran leadership and moxie to fight on enemy ground. They share the ball well and play better defense than Arizona. We'll take the generous number of points.
|
02-22-24 |
Michigan v. Northwestern -11.5 |
|
62-76 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
Michigan/Northwestern 9:00: Northwestern has been the punching bag for Michigan for years. This season, Michigan is limping along on a 1-8 SU/ATS slide while Northwestern has thrived with upsets of conference heavyweights Illionois and Purdue. Northwestern can light it up from 3pt land at a 43% clip (best in conference). The Wolverines 3 point defense allows 36% (314th), and their defense has been pathetic - allowing 79 PPG (339th). If that's not enough, leading scorer McDaniel is on the hot seat for academic probation while 2nd leading scorer Nkamhoua is out with a wrist injury. We'll look for Boo Buie and the Wildcats to keep their foot on the gas tonight.
|
02-21-24 |
Illinois v. Penn State +8 |
|
89-90 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
Illinois/Penn State 6:30: Penn State on an 0-3 SU slide in desperation of notching a conference win, will play at the 6502-seating capacity Rec Hall for the first time since December 2015. They'll do so without their leading scorer - Clary - who was dismissed earlier this week. Baldwin, Hicks and Kern will have to share a majority of the scoring duties for the offensively challenged Nittany Lions. Fortunately, offensively proficient Illinois is giving up lots of points nowadays. Penn State controls a 3-0 SU/ATS run in this series, and we'll look for them to hang around here.
|
02-20-24 |
Maryland +7.5 v. Wisconsin |
|
70-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
Maryland/Wisconsin 9:00: This series has been tightly contested with a margin of 6 points or less in 5 of 6 games. Both teams struggling a bit. MD 4-6 SU/5-5 ATS in their last 10 while the Badgers are on a 1-8-1 ATS slide. MD's defense, in the top tier of the Big Ten, keeps them in games and gives them a chance. Unfortunately, their offense lacks at 66.6 PPG; however, Jahmir Young has fueled the Terps to 75 or more points in their last 3 games. We'll look for MD to keep it competitive here.
|
02-20-24 |
Tennessee -11.5 v. Missouri |
|
72-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
Tennessee/Missouri 7:00: Barnes is utilizing his bench more to keep his team healthy as tournament time remains around the corner. The bench, however, has been very productive. Vol's have blown out 3 of their last 4 opponents and, in addition, whipped Kentucky at Rupp Arena. Missouri has been injury ravaged, struggling to be competitive in SEC with 12 straight losses. Tennessee has covered in 4 of the last 5 at Missouri. We'll lay the wood here with a team that controls a major talent disparity.
|
02-19-24 |
Iowa State v. Houston UNDER 132 |
|
65-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
02-19-24 |
Iowa State +8.5 v. Houston |
|
65-73 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
02-18-24 |
Utah v. UCLA -2 |
|
70-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
02-17-24 |
Colorado -1.5 v. USC |
|
92-89 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
02-17-24 |
Michigan State -6 v. Michigan |
|
73-63 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
02-17-24 |
Akron -13 v. Buffalo |
|
73-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
02-17-24 |
Texas Tech v. Iowa State -7.5 |
|
74-82 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
Texas Tech/Iowa State Noon:
|
02-15-24 |
Warriors v. Jazz OVER 240 |
|
140-137 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Jazz 9:10: Both of these teams are coming off losses last night. Utah defense was torched from the perimeter as the LeBron-less Lakers sank 14 of 31 from the perimeter at a 45.2% clip. Now they face the NBA's all-time perimeter scorer who has sunk at least 6 trey bombs in 8 of his last 11 games. And usually before All-Star break teams will dismiss defensive prep - lots of them already checked out for break. Going unrested, I see that magnified tonight. We'll grab the "over"
|
02-15-24 |
Colorado v. UCLA +1.5 |
|
60-64 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 56 m |
Show
|
Colorado/UCLA 9:00: UCLA finding its rhythm at the right time. They're on a 7-1 SU/ATS run as Cronin instituted a nice balance of offense and defense to deliver. The #1 PAC 12 defense will now face a sliding Colorado team that's having a tough time finding its footing. They're on an 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS fall. Colorado has had its problems on the road virtually all season and traveling to UCLA at the wrong time. Take UCLA
|
02-14-24 |
Lakers +6 v. Jazz |
|
138-122 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-24 |
Miami-FL +7.5 v. Clemson |
|
60-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
02-13-24 |
Ole Miss +8.5 v. Kentucky |
|
63-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
02-12-24 |
Wolves v. Clippers -4.5 |
|
121-100 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
Wolves/Clippers 10:40: Going to lay a little wood here based on how this series has unfolded. Wolves have captured 5 of the last 6 SU vs Los Angeles. Clippers realize they have to be able to beat one of the top teams in the Western Conference if they're going to get anywhere come playoff time. Clippers are healthy and playing a good stretch of ball. T-Wolves are playing well too but haven't played since the 8th and that could have stalled out momentum. Lue does a good job in matching personnel and can offset Gobert's height and strength by occasionally going small when they're hitting their perimeter shots. We'll look for the Clippers to make a statement here.
|
02-10-24 |
St. John's +8 v. Marquette |
|
75-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 9 m |
Show
|
St. John's/Marquette 6:00: Red Storm hit a rough patch for a few weeks with a 1-4 ATS slide before turning up the heat against Big East bottom feeder DePaul. It was a good tune up for this revenge game. Marquette stole a win at St. John's January 20th - 73-72. Look for Pitino's bunch to return the favor. Red Storm playing well on road (4-2 ATS) and have the veteran leadership with Soriano and Penn transfer Dingle. We'll take the points with St. John's.
|
02-10-24 |
TCU +8 v. Iowa State |
|
59-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 24 m |
Show
|
TCU/Iowa State 2:00: Iowa State controls a 13-game win streak in Ames, including impressive wins over Houston and Kansas earlier this season. Their defense has been fabulous. But don't count TCU out. The Horned frogs have dangerous 3-point shooter Tennyson along with Miller who are part of an offense that can light it up. Dixon is emphasizing better rebounding and look for the Horned Frogs to make a game of this one. TCU lost the first matchup 73-72 at home earlier this season. Dixon is a strong 13-7 ATS in same season revenge as a coach. We'll grab the points here.
|
02-10-24 |
Providence v. Butler -4 |
|
72-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 35 m |
Show
|
Providence/Butler 2:00: Butler has lost 7 straight in this series. Overdue for a win in this series for the Bulldogs are playing a good stretch of ball. They're 4-1 SU/ATS in their last 5 games, including a solid cover (+14) at U Conn Tuesday. The Bulldogs went 4 of 18 from 3-point land vs the #1 Huskies but managed to keep it competitive down the stretch. They're catching Providence off a huge OT win at home vs Creighton. Friars' Hopkins (knee) was a big part of their defense and board work. Friars 4-5 SU without him. We'll look for savvy coach Matta to institute a strong game plan vs big-time player Oduro. Hinkle Fieldhouse a strong venue and Bulldogs should deliver sweet revenge.
|
02-09-24 |
Pelicans -3 v. Lakers |
|
122-139 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
Pelicans/Lakers 10:40: Lakers off a losing effort last night at home vs Denver. Denver worked them late with a clinic-like performance in the final two minutes. Lakers' veterans James and Davis gassed while the supporting cast cooled off. I see more late collapse here in the second of back-to-backs; after all, they're 1-5 ATS in that role. Pelicans are starting to gel on both ends of the floor as Williamson taking over a strong defensive presence. Pelicans have the younger and fresher legs tonight after having day off yesterday. Pelicans won here vs the Clippers a few nights ago and should deliver again on this floor.
|
02-08-24 |
Nuggets -3 v. Lakers |
|
114-106 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
02-08-24 |
Arizona v. Utah +6 |
|
105-99 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 7 m |
Show
|
Arizona/Utah 8:00: Revenge game for the Utes, after their 92-73 loss at Arizona January 6th. Now, Utah has them on their home floor where they are 12-0 this season. 'Cats just 2-3 SU on the PAC 12 road. And having 7'1" Lovering back in the fray gives that extra depth behind Carlson. Moreover, Devion Smith, who averages 11.3 PPG, has given Utah a boost since inserted in the starting lineup following Arizona. We'll take the points.
|
02-07-24 |
UCLA +3.5 v. Stanford |
|
82-74 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-24 |
Creighton -2 v. Providence |
|
87-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
02-05-24 |
Kansas -5 v. Kansas State |
|
70-75 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 1 m |
Show
|
Kansas/Kansas State 9:00: These local rivals going in the opposite direction. Kansas State on a four-game losing skid while the Jayhawks are heating up off two impressive wins and three straight covers. Jayhawks were quite impressive against top tier Houston. They dominated that game from wire-to-wire by working Houston's normal lock down defense. Kansas State is ranked 99th in the nation defensively in terms of points allowed. The efficient well-oiled machine-like Jayhawks should continue their offensive surge tonight.
|
02-05-24 |
Miami-FL +5.5 v. Virginia |
|
38-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 59 m |
Show
|
Miami Fla/Virginia 7:00: Miami Fla is on the bubble and needs a signature win to impress the NCAA Committee. The 'Canes have had injury issues almost all season but now starting to get healthy. They have their work cut out for them against the always defensive dominant Cavaliers; however, look for a competitive fight tonight!
|
02-04-24 |
Clippers v. Heat +4.5 |
|
103-95 |
Loss |
-115 |
16 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
02-03-24 |
Florida State -5 v. Louisville |
|
92-101 |
Loss |
-114 |
18 h 7 m |
Show
|
Florida State/Louisville 8:00: Louisville's HC Payne has brought lots of namesake "pain" to the program since he became coach. Cards mired at the bottom of the ACC once again and should yield to a stewing Florida State team that lost January 27th to UNC. Fla State is 6-1 ATS in this series and play well on the road (4-1 ATS). Seminoles deliver.
|
02-03-24 |
Auburn v. Ole Miss +3.5 |
|
91-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
|
Auburn/Ole Miss 6:00: Chris Beard, who guided Texas Tech to the National Championship in 2019, is now turning around Ole Miss after a dismal era under Kermit Davis. The Rebels are 13-0 at home under Beard and looking to avenge the 82-59 blowout loss to Bruce Pearl's Auburn Tigers a few weeks back. Rebels have cleaned up their game since winning three straight since that blowout. We'll ride the Rebels in this revenge affair.
|
02-03-24 |
Houston v. Kansas +1.5 |
|
65-78 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 23 m |
Show
|
Houston/Kansas 4:00: Kelvin Sampson is one of the great coaches in college basketball and he's continuing to keep Houston at an elite level; however, Allen Fieldhouse has been one of the strongest venues in college basketball. Bill Self is an elite coach himself, and he has another dominant Jayhawks' team. If Houston has a weakness, they've shown a bit of vulnerability on the road this season at Iowa State and UCF. Offense can sometimes get stagnant. Kansas' McCullar (knee bruise) should be good to go along with his mates. Kansas the call.
|
02-03-24 |
Connecticut v. St. John's +3.5 |
|
77-64 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 35 m |
Show
|
U Conn/St. John's Noon: Pitino and Hurley rivalry percolating after U Conn edged St. John's 59-65 December 3rd at U Conn. This one will be played at MSG and Pitino is not happy about it since U Conn has plenty of traveling fans. The incumbent champ is gritting out games on a nine-game win streak while the Red Storm has lost 4 of their last 5 SU. But don't count out Pitino's bunch. The legendary coach will have his men prepared for battle here. Pitino is a dangerous 14-5 ATS in his last 19 same season revenge games throughout his illustrious career. This series has been closely contested and should be another tight finish.
|
02-01-24 |
Wisconsin v. Nebraska |
|
72-80 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
02-01-24 |
Pacers v. Knicks -2.5 |
|
105-109 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
Pacers/Knicks 7:40: Knicks on fire since acquiring Anunoby. They've gone 14-2 SU/13-3 ATS, including an 8-0 run since the trade. He has an elbow issue and is a game-time-decision but leaning on playing. I don't think he'll want to miss a crack at his former teammate Siakam (day to day). The Knicks are dinged up with Randle (shoulder) out but so are the Pacers. Knicks have been able to continue their run with the next man up mentality. They're well coached and ready. Brunson has been the catalyst of the team and makes everyone around him better. We'll look for NY to avenge their 140-126 December 30th loss.
|
01-31-24 |
Kings +1.5 v. Heat |
|
106-115 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
01-31-24 |
Alabama v. Georgia +6.5 |
|
85-76 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
01-29-24 |
Bucks v. Nuggets -3.5 |
|
107-113 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
01-29-24 |
Duke v. Virginia Tech +3.5 |
|
77-67 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 46 m |
Show
|
Duke/Virginia Tech 7:00: Duke's had a nice run (9-1 SU) but slugged by wins in 3 of last 4 going 3-1 SU/0-4 ATS. VT is no easy out. Hokies have beaten them in Blacksburg 5 of the last 6 times. And VT is playing a good stretch of ball here (3-0 SU/2-0-1 ATS). The Hokies have a bit more on floor experience than the Blue Devils; after all, only Filipowski and freshman McCain have started every game. With North Carolina on deck for Duke, this could be a Duke trap. VT still controls a strong home floor where they've won 10 of 11 SU. Only loss was a hard-fought loss to Miami Florida. Take the points with Virginia Tech.
|
01-27-24 |
Auburn -2.5 v. Mississippi State |
|
58-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 23 m |
Show
|
Auburn/Mississippi State 3:30: Bruce Pearl's bunch had Alabama on the ropes on Wednesday but couldn't close it out. Look for the #8 Tigers to bounce back strong here. They've played well on the SEC road with easy wins at Arkansas and Vanderbilt. Talent level well beyond what Mississippi State brings to the floor. Auburn has won 4 straight in this series, including 3-1 ATS. We'll back Auburn here.
|
01-27-24 |
Villanova v. Butler -1 |
|
81-88 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 46 m |
Show
|
Villanova/Butler 3:00: Hinkle Fieldhouse a strong home venue for the Bulldogs and Thad Matta continues the tradition in his second stint with Butler. Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win at Georgetown Wednesday night. Matta has his guys playing well on both ends of the floor. Meanwhile, Villanova is coming off getting swept by St. John's in the season series. The Wildcats haven't been the same since Jay Wright left. Neptune's bunch on a 1-4 slide. Butler delivers.
|
01-27-24 |
Pittsburgh +4.5 v. Miami-FL |
|
68-72 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh/Miami Florida 2:15: I don't like going against Larranaga, but he's got multiple guys banged up or can't stay on the floor. Meanwhile, Panthers have won 3 straight on the road. They're getting great work from freshmen backcourt of Carrington and Lowe. And leading scorer Hinson is lighting it up from the perimeter. We'll grab the points with the road strong Panthers.
|
01-27-24 |
Georgia +7.5 v. Florida |
|
98-102 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
Georgia/Florida Noon: Bulldogs playing well on the road and we're getting good value with them here. Georgia's HC Mike White, who left unceremoniously Florida in 2022, will have his boys well prepared to stick it to his old team. He's got his guys playing hard. Gators' defense suspect and should leave the door open for a Bulldogs cover here. Georgia's covered 5 straight at Florida and we'll look for the 6th to be a charm here.
|
01-26-24 |
Thunder +110 v. Pelicans |
|
107-83 |
Win
|
110 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
01-25-24 |
Kings v. Warriors +2.5 |
|
134-133 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
Kings/Warriors 10:00: Golden State has won this series SU in 6 of the last 8 games. Sacramento won the most recent game 124-123 November 23rd in Sacramento. Revenge is a motivator here as well as heavy hearts (Milojevic death) in a carry-over from yesterday's big win over Atlanta following an extended layoff (1st game in 9 days). And now that Draymond Green is back in action and in the flow of things since January 15th, the Warriors should be able to step up their game a notch. Looney and Green usually out muscle Sabonis in this matchup. And the Warriors are catching Fox and company not at their shooting best - on a 1-4 SU slide. We'll back Golden State here.
|
01-25-24 |
SMU -1 v. North Texas |
|
66-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
01-23-24 |
Lakers v. Clippers -9.5 |
|
116-127 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Clippers 10:00: Both of these teams on an extended road trip after this game on account of the arena used for Grammy Awards. Clippers seem to have the greater urgency now. They're on an 8-2 ATS run as Harden has found his place in the Clippers loaded lineup. And now that Zubac is out, HC Lue is going with a smaller lineup and it should continue to produce the desired result. Revenge seeking Westbrook, who is now getting extended minutes, is using his athleticism to ignite more up-tempo full court ball; consequently, Lakers' AD will tire, especially with LeBron James (ankle) tonight. After a two-game slide in this series, we'll look for the Clippers to return to recent domination vs Lakers. Lay the points.
|
01-23-24 |
Knicks -3.5 v. Nets |
|
108-103 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 10 m |
Show
|
Knicks/Nets 7:30: Knicks have been rocking since acquiring Anunoby. They're 9-2 SU/8-3 ATS since acquiring him. And 7 of those 9 wins were by double digits. Meanwhile, Brooklyn on a 2-8 slide. Last time these teams met (December 20th), Knicks delivered a 121-102 beatdown. NY won the last 3 in this series by a combined 61 points. We'll stay on surging Knicks here.
|
01-22-24 |
Celtics v. Mavs +3.5 |
|
119-110 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
Boston/Dallas 8:40: Right now, Boston a better team but the scheduling inadvertent scheduling advantage to Dallas should cost them. Dallas has been off since they lost to the Lakers on the 17th. In that game, the 3-point shooting was atrocious as Doncic was trying to get his legs back after injury. Doncic, Irving and Hardaway Jr. were a combined 3 of 21 from behind the arc. Dallas has been solid off losses this year (9-5 ATS). They've alternated wins and losses since January 7th. On the flip side, Boston is playing in their 3rd game in 4 days, going into this one unrested. And depth should be an issue late with Horford and Holiday listed as day-to-day. We'll look for them to suck wind late as the Mavericks deliver.
|
01-18-24 |
Thunder v. Jazz +3.5 |
|
134-129 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
01-17-24 |
Mavs +4 v. Lakers |
|
110-127 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
01-16-24 |
Nuggets +1.5 v. 76ers |
|
121-126 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
Denver/Philadelphia 7:30: Embiid (swollen knee) came back strong yesterday after a three-game absence. He dropped 41 points with 10 rebounds on the Rockets. Tonight, he has to match vs Jokic and the defending champs. 76ers, however, a little thin in depth without Covington, De'Anthony and Bamba. Jokic, Murray and Porter Jr. in a nice rhythm. Nuggets 4-2 ATS in this series and 2-1 ATS at Philadelphia. Jokic got screwed out of the MVP last year to Embiid and may take this one personally. Nuggets the call.
|
01-12-24 |
Raptors v. Jazz -2.5 |
|
113-145 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
01-11-24 |
Suns -111 v. Lakers |
|
127-109 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
01-09-24 |
Raptors +4.5 v. Lakers |
|
131-132 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
12-12-23 |
Lakers v. Mavs +3.5 |
Top |
125-127 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Mavericks 7:40: This line moved from Dallas -1' at open to Dallas +4' at 2:00pm ET. Dallas has several contributors out, most likely Irving (heel bruise) and Grant Williams (knee). And I wouldn't count on Hardaway Jr. (back) playing. Nevertheless, we'll take the points with the shorthanded Mavericks. Doncic has a tendency to make his teammates better; for example, Lively II picked up his game substantially vs Memphis yesterday. Lakers are coming off winning the In-Season-Tournament. James and Davis expended their energy reserve on Saturday. Davis is notorious for his fall off following big games. Lakers just 5-7 in non-tournament games this season. And their 3-point shooting was atrocious vs Pacers hitting 2 of 13. They relied on energy and defensive intensity to win on Saturday; tonight, I see neither of those occurring. Dallas has covered 6 of the last 7 in this series and we'll take the points here.
|
12-09-23 |
Pacers +4.5 v. Lakers |
|
109-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
12-06-23 |
Blazers v. Warriors -12.5 |
|
106-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
12-05-23 |
Suns +1.5 v. Lakers |
|
103-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
06-12-23 |
Heat +9 v. Nuggets |
|
89-94 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
06-12-23 |
Heat v. Nuggets OVER 208.5 |
|
89-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
06-09-23 |
Nuggets v. Heat +3 |
|
108-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
06-09-23 |
Nuggets v. Heat OVER 211.5 |
Top |
108-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
06-07-23 |
Nuggets -1.5 v. Heat |
|
109-94 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
06-07-23 |
Nuggets v. Heat OVER 214.5 |
|
109-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
06-04-23 |
Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 |
|
111-108 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
06-01-23 |
Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 |
|
93-104 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
05-29-23 |
Heat +7.5 v. Celtics |
|
103-84 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
05-27-23 |
Celtics v. Heat +3.5 |
|
104-103 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 17 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Heat 8:30: Pressure now back on Miami to close out the series; if not, back to Boston for Game 7. Gabe Vincent (ankle) was a huge part of their playoff run and his absence was notable for Game 5. He's listed as questionable and should be good to go. Need Butler to step up his usual strong playoff performance after back-to-back sluggish games. Celtics were sizzling from the perimeter in Game 5. Look for those percentages to flatten out as the Heat lock in and deliver here.
|
05-25-23 |
Heat +8.5 v. Celtics |
|
97-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 40 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Heat have been a scrappy bunch throughout the playoffs. A rare sloppy performance on Tuesday should get their attention tonight. Heat realize they need to turn it up a few notches to take away confidence that was restored to Boston in Game 4. Heat 10-3 ATS on 1 day rest and covered 5 of their last 6 road tilts. They're also 4-1 ATS off a SU loss and covered 4 of their last 5 in Boston. Miami has the underdog mentality and, although not nearly as talented as their competitor, have the Pit Bull fight in them that should enable them to cover here. Shots that weren't falling in Game 4 should fall tonight. Miami the call.
|
05-25-23 |
Heat v. Celtics OVER 215 |
|
97-110 |
Loss |
-112 |
20 h 50 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Heavy "over" trends for both teams in their respective situations. Heat have gone 'over' in 10 of their last 11 road games. They're also 17-5 O/U on 1 day of rest. Celtics 11-4 O/U last 15 overall, 4-0 O/U after a 10+ point win, and 12-3 O/U on 1 day of rest. This series is 5-0 O/U in Boston. "Over" it is!
|
05-23-23 |
Celtics v. Heat -1.5 |
|
116-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
05-22-23 |
Nuggets v. Lakers -3 |
|
113-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 1 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Lakers 8:30: Lakers, despite down 3-0 SU in series, have been competitive in the process at 2-1 ATS. Lakers have a few veteran champions on the team in James and Davis along with some hungry up and comers in Reaves, Hachimura, Schroder and Walker IV who are playing well and looking for much bigger contracts next year; therefore, don't see them waving the white flag like the Celtics did yesterday. Lakers have been especially tough off a SU loss of 10+ at 7-0 ATS. We'll grab them here.
|
05-21-23 |
Celtics v. Heat UNDER 214 |
|
102-128 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
05-20-23 |
Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 221.5 |
|
119-108 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 18 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Lakers 8:30: Lakers should be a bit more comfortable back on their home court where they average 117 PPG. Anthony Davis roller coaster performance should continue after coming off a sluggish scoring game. And James most likely won't go 0 of 6 from downtown. Fortunately for the Lakers, Reeves and Hachimura have been fabulous in the playoffs. Walker IV, Schroder and Russell should play well. Denver's Jokic most likely won't be stopped and Murray is clearly back in top form. Lakers 15-5 O/U after scoring 100+ and 15-6 O/U after opponent scores 100+. Nuggets 5-1-1 O/U in last 7 road tilts. We'll look for a shootout here.
|
05-19-23 |
Heat v. Celtics OVER 215.5 |
|
111-105 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 29 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Good value with the "over" in what has been a 4-0 O/U series at TD Garden. Miami sports heavy "over" trends. They're 20-7 O/U in their last 27 games and 9-1 O/U in their last 10 road tilts and 17-4 O/U off a SU win. Boston, 9-3 O/U run, is 9-2 O/U after scoring 100+ and 7-2 O/U after allowing 100+. The Celtics have gone "over" in 9 of their last 12 Conference Finals games. Over the call.
|
05-18-23 |
Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 |
|
103-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Nuggets 8:30: Lakers feel good about themselves after 4th quarter comeback. Rui Hachimura was instrumental in helping to shut down Jokic. He was the primary defender on the two time MVP while A.D. roamed the paint only to chip off late to disrupt the big man going to the basket. It isn't the first time that the Nuggets have seen that look. It happened several times during the regular season and vs Minnesota. Denver will surely adjust when they see that look as the skilled big man will find roaming Gordon or kick it out to Porter, Brown or Murray. Denver has the ability to turn it up several notches with explosive play. Lakers had trouble with the pick and roll on Murray. And the Nuggets are getting good work out of supporting cast players. Nuggets deliver.
|
05-17-23 |
Heat +8 v. Celtics |
Top |
123-116 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 58 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Celtics' Tatum was unstoppable Sunday in Game 7; however, there has been a level of inconsistency from Tatum and Boston this year. With the Celtics coming off that emotional Game 7 win, look for well rested Miami to give the Celtics trouble in Boston. Heat are 13-5 ATS in Boston. And now that post-season superstar Butler had a few days extra to rest his injured ankle, look for him to shine. Miami the call.
|
05-16-23 |
Lakers v. Nuggets -6 |
|
126-132 |
Push |
0 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Nuggets 8:30: Home team has gotten the best of this season series - splitting 4 games. I do realize that the Lakers have been entirely reconfigured since that January 9th 122-109 win in Denver. Lakers have a strong bench which proved to be a big asset thus far in the playoffs. Interesting matchup with Anthony Davis vs Jokic. Jokic has yet to be stopped in postseason and this will be perhaps his most challenging adversary. Jokic has a solid supporting cast that is on the same page. Gordon, Porter Jr. and former Laker - Caldwell- Pope have been strong, and the X Factor this season is Murray. He's the missing piece which should carry Denver in Game 1. Both teams are strong on 3 days rest - a combined 8-1 ATS, but Denver is a sweet 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games. Edge to Denver tonight as they deliver.
|
05-14-23 |
76ers +6.5 v. Celtics |
|
88-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
|
76ers/Celtics 3:30: Not a Doc Rivers' fan, for he's flopped in many a Game 7 including never winning one on the road; however, 76ers have a fighter's chance here. They had time to improve their spacing and get Harden to work more efficiently with Embiid. Supporting cast is there with Maxey and Tucker, but Harris needs to step up his game. Sixers have won a few at Boston and are respectable 7-3 ATS off a loss. Celtics have been inconsistent off wins (1-4 ATS). We'll look for Sixers to hang tight.
|
05-12-23 |
Warriors +122 v. Lakers |
|
101-122 |
Loss |
-100 |
21 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
05-12-23 |
Knicks v. Heat -5.5 |
|
92-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
05-11-23 |
Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns |
|
125-100 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
05-11-23 |
Celtics -2.5 v. 76ers |
|
95-86 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
05-10-23 |
Lakers v. Warriors -7 |
|
106-121 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
05-10-23 |
Heat +4 v. Knicks |
|
103-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
05-09-23 |
Suns v. Nuggets -5 |
Top |
102-118 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
05-09-23 |
76ers v. Celtics -7.5 |
|
115-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
|