04-23-24 |
Mavs v. Clippers -1 |
|
96-93 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
Mavs/Clippers 10:00: Game 1, Clippers' HC Lue put in a nice wrinkle to his offense that Kidd and company just couldn't iron out. Without Leonard, again, they ran their offense through Zubac, who had season highs of 20 points/12 rebounds. In the process, Harden got good looks and George did some quality work. Chance Leonard plays tonight. He was involved in the shootaround this morning. The line adjusted favoring his return and I'll take it. Clippers' defense was impressive whereas Dallas looked lost and out of rhythm. Clippers the call.
|
04-23-24 |
Suns +3.5 v. Wolves |
|
93-105 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
04-22-24 |
Lakers +7.5 v. Nuggets |
|
99-101 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Nuggets 10:00: Lakers need to get out of the gate strong, like Game 1, but this time hold on with a better finish. Lakers have trouble finishing against the Nuggets, which operate like machine-like precision down the stretch of games. If the Lakers can just get something out of D. Russell (1 of 9 from 3 pt./ 6 of 20 field) and increased bench production to help out A.D. and James, they have their best chance of covering tonight. We'll look for that scenario to play out tonight.
|
04-22-24 |
76ers +6 v. Knicks |
|
101-104 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
76ers/Knicks 7:30: In Game 1, Brunson didn't have his usual spectacular game, but he got help from teammates Hart and McBride who took advantage of open looks. Hart and McBride are normally single digit scorers. 76ers' HC Nurse should employ similar defensive strategy on Brunson to once again test the shooting ability of the other Knicks' role players. The 76ers' health is a concern. Maxey, who was virtually unstoppable slashing to the basket in Game 1, missed the morning shootaround with an illness. And Embiid still working through a painful knee that isn't totally healed. Nevertheless, we'll look for the two superstars to grit it out while others - Hield, Batum, Oubre, Lowry, Payne and C Reed continue to step up to make it competitive.
|
04-21-24 |
Pelicans v. Thunder -8.5 |
|
92-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
04-21-24 |
Pacers -1 v. Bucks |
Top |
94-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 2 m |
Show
|
Pacers/Bucks 7:00: Giannis is listed as "out" in this one and that goes without saying that it's a huge blow to the Bucks. Giannis had monster games vs Indiana earlier this year including dropping 64 on them December 13th in Milwaukee. Pacers did win the next two in this regular season series. None of that past is significant because their coach Griffin was fired and replaced by Rivers while Indiana acquired Siakam on January 23rd. Rivers is not great at shuttling in players while Siakam has been rock solid - 21.3 PPG/7.8 RPG in helping Haliburton and C Myles Turner light up the scoreboard. Can't count on Lillard here either. He's a hit and miss with injuries and personal problems. Pacers should deliver.
|
04-21-24 |
Mavs -2.5 v. Clippers |
|
97-109 |
Loss |
-109 |
14 h 27 m |
Show
|
Mavs/Clippers 3:30: Last few times the Mavericks faced the Clippers, in late November and late December, they were blown out. In both of those games, Mavericks got nothing out of their then Center - Holmes (now with Washington). As the Mavericks reloaded with new Center - Gafford, they're a much more dangerous team. Gafford adds to the transition game of Dallas, giving scoring support to Doncic and Irving. Also hits the boards hard. Clippers once again have the drama on whether or not Leonard (knee). We're betting he doesn't based on the line. And Dallas has been money this season when cast as a small road favorite (-1 to -3') at 14-3 ATS. Dallas the call.
|
04-21-24 |
Heat +14.5 v. Celtics |
|
94-114 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 1:00: Heat have proven to be a resilient team under Spoelstra regardless of injury. Butler out and still delivered as I anticipated. Tougher task on hand today but like their chances to be competitive here. Someone always stepping up for Miami. Herro, Jaquez, Love helped significantly Friday. And remember, Miami won the first 3 games of this series last year before Boston roared back to force Game 7. And Miami blew them out in Boston. Miami was a solid road team during the regular season and shouldn't fold here. Adebayo playing large and we'll look for continued good play from the supporting cast of Heat.
|
04-20-24 |
Lakers +7.5 v. Nuggets |
|
103-114 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 32 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Nuggets 8:30: Nuggets, who've recently dominated this series, may have to shake off a bit of rust before rebooting. Denver has been off since the 14th and may get out of the gate a bit slow here. Nuggets swept this playoff series last season and swept the regular season series. But let's not forget that the Lakers covered the first two games in Denver of that playoff series. Denver doesn't have Bruce Brown (Toronto) locking down Russell anymore. And Jeff Green (Houston) isn't around hitting clutch shots. Lakers added sharp shooting Gabe Vincent who overcame injuries this season to give them a boost since late March. And the Lakers did the right thing by beating New Orleans in the Play-In, getting the needed rest for veterans LeBron and A.D. Look for Los Angeles to show up competitive tonight.
|
04-20-24 |
76ers v. Knicks -2.5 |
|
104-111 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 37 m |
Show
|
76ers/Knicks 6:00: Knicks have finally assembled a playoff caliber team. They have championship experienced players in Divincenzo, Hart and All-Star Brunson. Throw in Anunoby, who was a huge pick up for them mid-season, and they're money. Knicks are 20-3 SU with him on the floor. Of course, 76ers have a huge advantage with Embiid patrolling the paint. Thibodeau will shuttle in Hartenstein and Robinson to contain him. Embiid did not look impressive vs Miami on Wednesday. Miami's Adebayo, who has been Embiid's kryptonite in recent years, kept him at bay. Embiid's conditioning looked questionable at best, walking up floor, waving off plays in post. His knee not fully recovered. The 76ers do have really good surrounding talent in Maxey, Harris and someone (Batum/Hield) seems to step up consistently. They're also well coached with Nurse. This will be a dog fight but going to give it to the gritty Knicks today. They're 3-1 ATS in this series this season and in good hands with Brunson running the show when the lights shine the brightest.
|
04-20-24 |
Suns +105 v. Wolves |
|
95-120 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 15 m |
Show
|
Suns/Wolves 3:30: Suns control a 13-2 SU record in the series including this season's 3-0 SU/ATS sweep. With Durant, Booker and Beal healthy, Minnesota should find more trouble in Game 1. T-Wolves haven't made it past the first round since 2004 and should get off to a rocky start here.
|
04-20-24 |
Magic v. Cavs OVER 207.5 |
|
83-97 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 52 m |
Show
|
Magic/Cavs 1:00: Defensive intensity picking up in playoffs. In addition, two defensive minded coaches who know each other well. Both teams are solid defensively. However, I'm not buying into the low total. Despite the defensive discipline, these teams managed to go "over" in 4 of the last 6 clashes, including 2-0 O/U in the last 2 in Cleveland. Based on the numbers, I was projecting a total of around 215 and this one comes in under 208. Both offenses are efficient and execute well. Orlando's Suggs, Banchero and Wagner can put up numbers. Cleveland's backcourt duo of Garland and Mitchell are very good at penetrating, scoring and kicking out to open perimeter shooters. "Over" the call.
|
04-19-24 |
Kings -1 v. Pelicans |
|
98-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 50 m |
Show
|
Kings/Pelicans 9:30: New Orleans has beaten Sacramento like a drum five consecutive times. Kings' HC Brown not the greatest basketball mind but should construct a game plan to deliver a win against a team without the services of Zion Williamson (hamstring) and a guy who is working his way back into condition Ingram (knee bruise). Kings, who spread the floor well and attacked Golden State Tuesday, despite the absence of Monk and Huerter, will need Barnes to show up big to aid Sabonis and Fox. And we'll look for someone else on the Kings to step up. Kings the call.
|
04-19-24 |
Bulls v. Heat -1.5 |
|
91-112 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 21 m |
Show
|
Bulls/Heat 7:00: With Butler out, Heat still a bargain here. Butler didn't have a great game Tuesday night and the Heat came within a bucket from upsetting the red hot 76ers. Adebayo, once again, did a bang-up job on Embiid and he should get the best of Vucevic. These teams split games during the regular season; however, Miami was without Herro for all of them and Adebayo sat out two. Herro is playing well and he's getting help from Jaquez Jr. The Bulls' defensive stopper and clutch shot maker - Caruso - is laboring with a sprained ankle sustained Tuesday night. He will have a hard time staying with Herro. And look for playoff savvy Spoelstra to employ a solid game plan on stopping Coby White from a big follow up from his 42-point Tuesday. Edge to Miami.
|
04-17-24 |
Heat v. 76ers -4.5 |
|
104-105 |
Loss |
-115 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
Miami/Philadelphia 7:00: Big difference in the way 76ers play under Nurse as opposed to Rivers last season. Nurse has turned Philadelphia into a legitimate contender in the East. Their success is contingent on Embiid staying healthy. He tweaked his knee Friday vs Orlando and sat out Sunday. The 76ers continued to roll (10 straight covers) as Maxey and Harris continue to shine while Hield, Reed and Payne added significant quality minutes. Miami is always dangerous this time of year under Spoelstra but with Rozier (neck) down, the shooting depth a shade down to take down the rolling 76ers. We'll look for Philadelphia to advance to play #2 seed NY while the Heat will have to take on Bulls or Hawks on Friday for that 8th seed.
|
04-16-24 |
Warriors v. Kings UNDER 223 |
|
94-118 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Kings 10:00: Both teams are well disciplined defensively. Both of these teams picked up defensive intensity down the stretch of the regular season. Both of these teams allowed approximately 115 PPG during the season. Over the last 10 games, Warriors allowed an average of 108 PPG while Kings yielded 104 PPG. This playoff series last year went "under" in 4 of 6. And both games in Sacramento combined to average 220. With a play on or go home mentality, "Under" is the smart call here.
|
04-16-24 |
Lakers +1.5 v. Pelicans |
|
110-106 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 18 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Pelicans 7:30: I had the Lakers (+2) on Sunday and I'm staying on them here. They've won 3 of 4 games in this series this season and New Orleans continues to struggle at home. The winner of this game gets #1 Denver. The loser gets a second chance with either Golden State or Sacramento. Look for the Lakers, again, to jump on them early and hold on.
|
04-14-24 |
Lakers +2.5 v. Pelicans |
|
124-108 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Pelicans 3:40: Pelicans went on an unusual ride down the stretch by dropping four straight at home before reversing course to win four straight on the road. Pelicans now back at home in the critical finale to determine play-in seeding for Los Angeles or help playoff seeding for New Orleans. Lakers have covered 4 of the last 5 in this series. With LeBron and AD good to go, we'll take the Lakers and the points with much on the line.
|
04-14-24 |
Raptors +15.5 v. Heat |
|
103-118 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
Raptors/Heat 1:10: Raptors got waxed by Miami Friday but still competing. Of course, Miami in need of a win and some help to avoid play-in. But don't expect the Raptors to roll over here. Miami will not yet be at full strength with Rozier and Robinson out. We'll look for Toronto to keep it tight.
|
04-12-24 |
Suns -4 v. Kings |
|
108-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
Phoenix/Sacramento 10:40: Both teams jockeying for position in the Western Pacific as we go down the stretch of the regular season. Kings, currently holding the #6 seed, want to avoid the play-in-tournament. Meanwhile, Suns want to clinch the #6 seed to avoid play-in. These teams split the season series thus far at 2 games to 2. Suns, however, were without Durant and Beal in the first loss, and without Beal in the second. Suns are fully loaded now and playing a pretty good stretch of basketball (4-2 SU/ATS). Kings haven't really been the same when they lost Huerter (out) 3-6 ATS. And not having Monk (out) hurts their depth, especially going unrested. I'm fading the Kings again tonight.
|
04-11-24 |
Pelicans +1.5 v. Kings |
|
135-123 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
Pelicans/Kings 10:00: Pelicans have been a thorn in the ass of Sacramento. They've beaten them four straight, including the last two in Sacramento. Pelicans won't have Ingram but Sacramento not quite the same without the significant minutes from Huerter (out) and Monk (out). Pelicans not ready to give up their seeding and it should show tonight.
|
04-11-24 |
Knicks +2 v. Celtics |
|
118-109 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
Knicks/Celtics 7:30: Knicks in more need of this win tonight. They're looking to secure the #3 seeding and avoid a second-round matchup with the very team they're playing tonight. Boston has dominated this series this season to the tune of 4-0. They have already secured the #1 seed. Boston's key defensive stopper - Holiday - is a game-time-decision. And Porzingis (hamstring) is day-to-day. Knicks playing a pretty good stretch of basketball in April with DiVincenzo hitting a blistering 45% of his perimeter shots. And as long as Brunson is on the floor, the Knicks have a fighting chance. Knicks the call.
|
04-10-24 |
Suns -10.5 v. Clippers |
|
124-108 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 17 m |
Show
|
Suns/Clippers 10:40: Clippers got off to a quick start last night and hung on for dear life as the Suns rallied to come back from a 37-point deficit to cut it to seven, before falling off. Paul George was part of the Clippers win, contributing 23 points, 5 assists, 7 rebounds and a steal. Tonight, George (knee) along with Harden (foot) and Leonard (knee) will sit. A major uphill climb for them without the Big 3 as they take on the vengeful and fully loaded Suns. Moreover, Suns need the win a lot more than the Clippers; after all, they're now currently sitting in Play-In territory. Lay the wood tonight with Phoenix.
|
04-07-24 |
Wolves -130 v. Lakers |
|
127-117 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 34 m |
Show
|
Wolves/Lakers 10:10: LeBron ruled out (illness). Lakers have played well without him the last few times he was out; however, Minnesota a tall task. They're healthy and still fighting for that #1 seeding. Minnesota the call.
|
04-07-24 |
Knicks +4 v. Bucks |
|
122-109 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
03-27-24 |
Pacers -2.5 v. Bulls |
|
99-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
Pacers/Bulls 8:10: Road team 4-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pacers traveling well (5-1 SU/ATS last 6 road tilts). Indiana getting great work out of Siakam lately. Meanwhile, Bulls have lost 3 straight including an inexcusable loss to a depleted cellar dweller - Washington on Monday. Grab the Pacers.
|
03-25-24 |
Suns v. Spurs +12.5 |
|
102-104 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 19 m |
Show
|
Suns/Spurs 8:10: On the surface, this looks to be another route. Suns are reasonably healthy this time of year with a fully loaded lineup while the Spurs will be without Wembanyama (ankle). Spurs got smoked in the front end of this series at Frost Bank Center. Suns, however, do have Denver on deck Wednesday and may rest some starters late. Spurs still have some fight, and pride, left in them and should put up a respectable revenge effort here. Backdoor cover a possibility. Spurs the call.
|
03-18-24 |
Knicks +6.5 v. Warriors |
|
119-112 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
Knicks/Warriors 10:10: Knicks' defense has been awesome lately. Over the last five games, they've held opponents to an average of 83.2 PPG. And they're coming off a strong performance against Sacramento. They won't have to travel far in a revenge matchup tonight. The Knicks looking to avenge the 110-99 loss at MSG on February 29th. With a healthy Brunson - who makes his teammates on the floor a bit better, we'll look for NY to be competitive here.
|
03-13-24 |
Lakers -2.5 v. Kings |
|
107-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Kings 10:10: Although the Kings have dominated this series (7-1 SU/ATS) in the last 8 matchups, this is a trouble spot for Sacramento. The Kings have not fared well in back-to-back games at 3-7 ATS; moreover, coming off a big win unrested just 1-4 ATS. Lakers' James (ankle) and Davis (Achilles) were in shoot around earlier so most likely a go. Lakers playing a decent stretch of basketball now and most likely will send a message to the young Kings. Look for Lakers to avoid the season sweep.
|
03-08-24 |
Bucks -1.5 v. Lakers |
|
122-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
03-07-24 |
Celtics v. Nuggets +1.5 |
|
109-115 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
03-07-24 |
Heat +4.5 v. Mavs |
|
108-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
03-04-24 |
Thunder -1 v. Lakers |
|
104-116 |
Loss |
-112 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
Thunder/Lakers 10:40: Thunder has had some trouble in Los Angeles losing 2 of their last 3 there. And they're coming off a grind out winning outing last night. Nevertheless, we'll side with the young guns of Oklahoma City that's 7-3 ATS in the second of back-to-back games this season. Lakers off another disappointing but predictable loss to Denver on Saturday. James got his 40,000 points record but logged plenty of minutes (37) in the process. And A.D. was near 39 minutes. Both are dealing with injuries - James (ankle) and A.D. (Achilles). OKC likes to run up and down the floor so it could be troublesome for the Lakers - especially with an uncertain Ham dishing out the minutes. OKC the call.
|
03-02-24 |
Nuggets +1.5 v. Lakers |
|
124-114 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 5 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/lakers 8:40: James should get his 40,000 tonight but Jokic and rolling Nuggets should get their 3rd win of the season against the Lakers. Murray (ankle) is questionable, and that's a concern; however, his backups - Jackson, Holiday, Braun shouldn't have trouble blending in with an uber talented Porter Jr., Caldwell Pope, Gordon and Jokic. Nuggets the call.
|
03-01-24 |
Cavs v. Pistons +8.5 |
|
110-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
02-29-24 |
Wizards +9.5 v. Lakers |
|
131-134 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 25 m |
Show
|
Wizards/Lakers 10:40: Lakers coming off a second half 21-point deficit comeback win over their court shared rival Clippers. Now, they go unrested at home against league bottom feeder Washington, that had a day off to mull stopping their 12-game losing streak. Consequently, that means James and Davis will either take the game off or check out mentally vs the punchless Wizards. Washington has actually been a decent spread winner on the road at 18-10-2. Former Laker Kuzma will surely be motivated to help ignite a fire in the belly of the Wizards. We'll take the points.
|
02-27-24 |
Mavs +4.5 v. Cavs |
|
119-121 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 51 m |
Show
|
Mavericks/Cavaliers 7:10: This series has gone to the visitor at 6-0 ATS. December 27th of this season, Cleveland went into Dallas to deliver a 113-110 win. Tonight, look for Dallas to return the favor. Irving and Doncic starting to play well together but will need not only Hardaway Jr. to step up his game but other supporting cast members against the #2 defensive team in the league. Dallas was riding a 7-game win streak until they stumbled at Indiana Sunday. Look for the Mavericks to bounce back vs a Cavaliers team on an 0-5 ATS slide. They're coming off a sluggish road win vs league bottom feeder Washington. Dallas the call.
|
02-26-24 |
Pistons +11.5 v. Knicks |
|
111-113 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
Pistons/Knicks 7:40: The Knicks have absolutely owned the Pistons the last few years - winning 13 straight. The last win in this series for the Pistons was November 6, 2019. Knicks have been vulnerable recently on a 1-7 ATS slide. Brunson is limited in his help with Randle, Robinson and Anunoby all sidelined with injuries. Detroit, the worst team in the league, has shown signs of competitiveness recently - on a 6-4 ATS run. They have a tendency to follow up an isolated cover with another cover at 8-3 ATS in that role. They were competitive at NY on November 30th this season with a 118-112 loss. We'll look for Detroit to keep this one competitive.
|
02-25-24 |
Mavs -1 v. Pacers |
|
111-133 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-24 |
Heat +3.5 v. Pelicans |
|
106-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
02-15-24 |
Warriors v. Jazz OVER 240 |
|
140-137 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Jazz 9:10: Both of these teams are coming off losses last night. Utah defense was torched from the perimeter as the LeBron-less Lakers sank 14 of 31 from the perimeter at a 45.2% clip. Now they face the NBA's all-time perimeter scorer who has sunk at least 6 trey bombs in 8 of his last 11 games. And usually before All-Star break teams will dismiss defensive prep - lots of them already checked out for break. Going unrested, I see that magnified tonight. We'll grab the "over"
|
02-14-24 |
Lakers +6 v. Jazz |
|
138-122 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
02-12-24 |
Wolves v. Clippers -4.5 |
|
121-100 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
Wolves/Clippers 10:40: Going to lay a little wood here based on how this series has unfolded. Wolves have captured 5 of the last 6 SU vs Los Angeles. Clippers realize they have to be able to beat one of the top teams in the Western Conference if they're going to get anywhere come playoff time. Clippers are healthy and playing a good stretch of ball. T-Wolves are playing well too but haven't played since the 8th and that could have stalled out momentum. Lue does a good job in matching personnel and can offset Gobert's height and strength by occasionally going small when they're hitting their perimeter shots. We'll look for the Clippers to make a statement here.
|
02-09-24 |
Pelicans -3 v. Lakers |
|
122-139 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
Pelicans/Lakers 10:40: Lakers off a losing effort last night at home vs Denver. Denver worked them late with a clinic-like performance in the final two minutes. Lakers' veterans James and Davis gassed while the supporting cast cooled off. I see more late collapse here in the second of back-to-backs; after all, they're 1-5 ATS in that role. Pelicans are starting to gel on both ends of the floor as Williamson taking over a strong defensive presence. Pelicans have the younger and fresher legs tonight after having day off yesterday. Pelicans won here vs the Clippers a few nights ago and should deliver again on this floor.
|
02-08-24 |
Nuggets -3 v. Lakers |
|
114-106 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
02-04-24 |
Clippers v. Heat +4.5 |
|
103-95 |
Loss |
-115 |
16 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
02-01-24 |
Pacers v. Knicks -2.5 |
|
105-109 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
Pacers/Knicks 7:40: Knicks on fire since acquiring Anunoby. They've gone 14-2 SU/13-3 ATS, including an 8-0 run since the trade. He has an elbow issue and is a game-time-decision but leaning on playing. I don't think he'll want to miss a crack at his former teammate Siakam (day to day). The Knicks are dinged up with Randle (shoulder) out but so are the Pacers. Knicks have been able to continue their run with the next man up mentality. They're well coached and ready. Brunson has been the catalyst of the team and makes everyone around him better. We'll look for NY to avenge their 140-126 December 30th loss.
|
01-31-24 |
Kings +1.5 v. Heat |
|
106-115 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
01-29-24 |
Bucks v. Nuggets -3.5 |
|
107-113 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-24 |
Thunder +110 v. Pelicans |
|
107-83 |
Win
|
110 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
01-25-24 |
Kings v. Warriors +2.5 |
|
134-133 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
Kings/Warriors 10:00: Golden State has won this series SU in 6 of the last 8 games. Sacramento won the most recent game 124-123 November 23rd in Sacramento. Revenge is a motivator here as well as heavy hearts (Milojevic death) in a carry-over from yesterday's big win over Atlanta following an extended layoff (1st game in 9 days). And now that Draymond Green is back in action and in the flow of things since January 15th, the Warriors should be able to step up their game a notch. Looney and Green usually out muscle Sabonis in this matchup. And the Warriors are catching Fox and company not at their shooting best - on a 1-4 SU slide. We'll back Golden State here.
|
01-23-24 |
Lakers v. Clippers -9.5 |
|
116-127 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Clippers 10:00: Both of these teams on an extended road trip after this game on account of the arena used for Grammy Awards. Clippers seem to have the greater urgency now. They're on an 8-2 ATS run as Harden has found his place in the Clippers loaded lineup. And now that Zubac is out, HC Lue is going with a smaller lineup and it should continue to produce the desired result. Revenge seeking Westbrook, who is now getting extended minutes, is using his athleticism to ignite more up-tempo full court ball; consequently, Lakers' AD will tire, especially with LeBron James (ankle) tonight. After a two-game slide in this series, we'll look for the Clippers to return to recent domination vs Lakers. Lay the points.
|
01-23-24 |
Knicks -3.5 v. Nets |
|
108-103 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 10 m |
Show
|
Knicks/Nets 7:30: Knicks have been rocking since acquiring Anunoby. They're 9-2 SU/8-3 ATS since acquiring him. And 7 of those 9 wins were by double digits. Meanwhile, Brooklyn on a 2-8 slide. Last time these teams met (December 20th), Knicks delivered a 121-102 beatdown. NY won the last 3 in this series by a combined 61 points. We'll stay on surging Knicks here.
|
01-22-24 |
Celtics v. Mavs +3.5 |
|
119-110 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
Boston/Dallas 8:40: Right now, Boston a better team but the scheduling inadvertent scheduling advantage to Dallas should cost them. Dallas has been off since they lost to the Lakers on the 17th. In that game, the 3-point shooting was atrocious as Doncic was trying to get his legs back after injury. Doncic, Irving and Hardaway Jr. were a combined 3 of 21 from behind the arc. Dallas has been solid off losses this year (9-5 ATS). They've alternated wins and losses since January 7th. On the flip side, Boston is playing in their 3rd game in 4 days, going into this one unrested. And depth should be an issue late with Horford and Holiday listed as day-to-day. We'll look for them to suck wind late as the Mavericks deliver.
|
01-18-24 |
Thunder v. Jazz +3.5 |
|
134-129 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
01-17-24 |
Mavs +4 v. Lakers |
|
110-127 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
01-16-24 |
Nuggets +1.5 v. 76ers |
|
121-126 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
Denver/Philadelphia 7:30: Embiid (swollen knee) came back strong yesterday after a three-game absence. He dropped 41 points with 10 rebounds on the Rockets. Tonight, he has to match vs Jokic and the defending champs. 76ers, however, a little thin in depth without Covington, De'Anthony and Bamba. Jokic, Murray and Porter Jr. in a nice rhythm. Nuggets 4-2 ATS in this series and 2-1 ATS at Philadelphia. Jokic got screwed out of the MVP last year to Embiid and may take this one personally. Nuggets the call.
|
01-12-24 |
Raptors v. Jazz -2.5 |
|
113-145 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
01-11-24 |
Suns -111 v. Lakers |
|
127-109 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
01-09-24 |
Raptors +4.5 v. Lakers |
|
131-132 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
12-12-23 |
Lakers v. Mavs +3.5 |
Top |
125-127 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Mavericks 7:40: This line moved from Dallas -1' at open to Dallas +4' at 2:00pm ET. Dallas has several contributors out, most likely Irving (heel bruise) and Grant Williams (knee). And I wouldn't count on Hardaway Jr. (back) playing. Nevertheless, we'll take the points with the shorthanded Mavericks. Doncic has a tendency to make his teammates better; for example, Lively II picked up his game substantially vs Memphis yesterday. Lakers are coming off winning the In-Season-Tournament. James and Davis expended their energy reserve on Saturday. Davis is notorious for his fall off following big games. Lakers just 5-7 in non-tournament games this season. And their 3-point shooting was atrocious vs Pacers hitting 2 of 13. They relied on energy and defensive intensity to win on Saturday; tonight, I see neither of those occurring. Dallas has covered 6 of the last 7 in this series and we'll take the points here.
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12-09-23 |
Pacers +4.5 v. Lakers |
|
109-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
12-06-23 |
Blazers v. Warriors -12.5 |
|
106-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
12-05-23 |
Suns +1.5 v. Lakers |
|
103-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
06-12-23 |
Heat +9 v. Nuggets |
|
89-94 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
06-12-23 |
Heat v. Nuggets OVER 208.5 |
|
89-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
06-09-23 |
Nuggets v. Heat +3 |
|
108-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
06-09-23 |
Nuggets v. Heat OVER 211.5 |
Top |
108-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
06-07-23 |
Nuggets -1.5 v. Heat |
|
109-94 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
06-07-23 |
Nuggets v. Heat OVER 214.5 |
|
109-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
06-04-23 |
Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 |
|
111-108 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
06-01-23 |
Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 |
|
93-104 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
05-29-23 |
Heat +7.5 v. Celtics |
|
103-84 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
05-27-23 |
Celtics v. Heat +3.5 |
|
104-103 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 17 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Heat 8:30: Pressure now back on Miami to close out the series; if not, back to Boston for Game 7. Gabe Vincent (ankle) was a huge part of their playoff run and his absence was notable for Game 5. He's listed as questionable and should be good to go. Need Butler to step up his usual strong playoff performance after back-to-back sluggish games. Celtics were sizzling from the perimeter in Game 5. Look for those percentages to flatten out as the Heat lock in and deliver here.
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05-25-23 |
Heat +8.5 v. Celtics |
|
97-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 40 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Heat have been a scrappy bunch throughout the playoffs. A rare sloppy performance on Tuesday should get their attention tonight. Heat realize they need to turn it up a few notches to take away confidence that was restored to Boston in Game 4. Heat 10-3 ATS on 1 day rest and covered 5 of their last 6 road tilts. They're also 4-1 ATS off a SU loss and covered 4 of their last 5 in Boston. Miami has the underdog mentality and, although not nearly as talented as their competitor, have the Pit Bull fight in them that should enable them to cover here. Shots that weren't falling in Game 4 should fall tonight. Miami the call.
|
05-25-23 |
Heat v. Celtics OVER 215 |
|
97-110 |
Loss |
-112 |
20 h 50 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Heavy "over" trends for both teams in their respective situations. Heat have gone 'over' in 10 of their last 11 road games. They're also 17-5 O/U on 1 day of rest. Celtics 11-4 O/U last 15 overall, 4-0 O/U after a 10+ point win, and 12-3 O/U on 1 day of rest. This series is 5-0 O/U in Boston. "Over" it is!
|
05-23-23 |
Celtics v. Heat -1.5 |
|
116-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
05-22-23 |
Nuggets v. Lakers -3 |
|
113-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 1 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Lakers 8:30: Lakers, despite down 3-0 SU in series, have been competitive in the process at 2-1 ATS. Lakers have a few veteran champions on the team in James and Davis along with some hungry up and comers in Reaves, Hachimura, Schroder and Walker IV who are playing well and looking for much bigger contracts next year; therefore, don't see them waving the white flag like the Celtics did yesterday. Lakers have been especially tough off a SU loss of 10+ at 7-0 ATS. We'll grab them here.
|
05-21-23 |
Celtics v. Heat UNDER 214 |
|
102-128 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
05-20-23 |
Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 221.5 |
|
119-108 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 18 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Lakers 8:30: Lakers should be a bit more comfortable back on their home court where they average 117 PPG. Anthony Davis roller coaster performance should continue after coming off a sluggish scoring game. And James most likely won't go 0 of 6 from downtown. Fortunately for the Lakers, Reeves and Hachimura have been fabulous in the playoffs. Walker IV, Schroder and Russell should play well. Denver's Jokic most likely won't be stopped and Murray is clearly back in top form. Lakers 15-5 O/U after scoring 100+ and 15-6 O/U after opponent scores 100+. Nuggets 5-1-1 O/U in last 7 road tilts. We'll look for a shootout here.
|
05-19-23 |
Heat v. Celtics OVER 215.5 |
|
111-105 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 29 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Good value with the "over" in what has been a 4-0 O/U series at TD Garden. Miami sports heavy "over" trends. They're 20-7 O/U in their last 27 games and 9-1 O/U in their last 10 road tilts and 17-4 O/U off a SU win. Boston, 9-3 O/U run, is 9-2 O/U after scoring 100+ and 7-2 O/U after allowing 100+. The Celtics have gone "over" in 9 of their last 12 Conference Finals games. Over the call.
|
05-18-23 |
Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 |
|
103-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Nuggets 8:30: Lakers feel good about themselves after 4th quarter comeback. Rui Hachimura was instrumental in helping to shut down Jokic. He was the primary defender on the two time MVP while A.D. roamed the paint only to chip off late to disrupt the big man going to the basket. It isn't the first time that the Nuggets have seen that look. It happened several times during the regular season and vs Minnesota. Denver will surely adjust when they see that look as the skilled big man will find roaming Gordon or kick it out to Porter, Brown or Murray. Denver has the ability to turn it up several notches with explosive play. Lakers had trouble with the pick and roll on Murray. And the Nuggets are getting good work out of supporting cast players. Nuggets deliver.
|
05-17-23 |
Heat +8 v. Celtics |
Top |
123-116 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 58 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Celtics' Tatum was unstoppable Sunday in Game 7; however, there has been a level of inconsistency from Tatum and Boston this year. With the Celtics coming off that emotional Game 7 win, look for well rested Miami to give the Celtics trouble in Boston. Heat are 13-5 ATS in Boston. And now that post-season superstar Butler had a few days extra to rest his injured ankle, look for him to shine. Miami the call.
|
05-16-23 |
Lakers v. Nuggets -6 |
|
126-132 |
Push |
0 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Nuggets 8:30: Home team has gotten the best of this season series - splitting 4 games. I do realize that the Lakers have been entirely reconfigured since that January 9th 122-109 win in Denver. Lakers have a strong bench which proved to be a big asset thus far in the playoffs. Interesting matchup with Anthony Davis vs Jokic. Jokic has yet to be stopped in postseason and this will be perhaps his most challenging adversary. Jokic has a solid supporting cast that is on the same page. Gordon, Porter Jr. and former Laker - Caldwell- Pope have been strong, and the X Factor this season is Murray. He's the missing piece which should carry Denver in Game 1. Both teams are strong on 3 days rest - a combined 8-1 ATS, but Denver is a sweet 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games. Edge to Denver tonight as they deliver.
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05-14-23 |
76ers +6.5 v. Celtics |
|
88-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
|
76ers/Celtics 3:30: Not a Doc Rivers' fan, for he's flopped in many a Game 7 including never winning one on the road; however, 76ers have a fighter's chance here. They had time to improve their spacing and get Harden to work more efficiently with Embiid. Supporting cast is there with Maxey and Tucker, but Harris needs to step up his game. Sixers have won a few at Boston and are respectable 7-3 ATS off a loss. Celtics have been inconsistent off wins (1-4 ATS). We'll look for Sixers to hang tight.
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05-12-23 |
Warriors +122 v. Lakers |
|
101-122 |
Loss |
-100 |
21 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
05-12-23 |
Knicks v. Heat -5.5 |
|
92-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
05-11-23 |
Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns |
|
125-100 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
05-11-23 |
Celtics -2.5 v. 76ers |
|
95-86 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
05-10-23 |
Lakers v. Warriors -7 |
|
106-121 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
05-10-23 |
Heat +4 v. Knicks |
|
103-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
05-09-23 |
Suns v. Nuggets -5 |
Top |
102-118 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
05-09-23 |
76ers v. Celtics -7.5 |
|
115-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
05-08-23 |
Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers |
|
101-104 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
05-08-23 |
Knicks +4.5 v. Heat |
|
101-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
05-07-23 |
Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns |
Top |
124-129 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 45 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Suns 8:00: Suns Booker shot the lights out Friday night and Durant practically lived at the free throw line. Ayton was a dud and the other surrounding cast was mediocre. Nuggets came back strong from a double-digit halftime deficit. They're getting consistent outstanding production from Jokic and his sidekick - Murray - finds ways to pick up his game. Porter Jr. playing well. Other supporting cast members Gordon and Caldwell-Pope, who had been playing well prior to Friday, should be the difference makers tonight. HC Malone should make the right defensive adjustment on Booker. Denver the call.
|
05-06-23 |
Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers |
|
97-127 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
05-06-23 |
Knicks v. Heat -3.5 |
|
86-105 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
05-05-23 |
Nuggets +4.5 v. Suns |
|
114-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Suns 10:00: Chris Paul (groin) was starting to find his shot around the foul line when he pulled up with the injury; consequently, Denver took over the game. Sure, Booker and Durant can take over a game, and Payne is a viable backup point guard. But Jokic is dominating Ayton, and Murray, who was out of rhythm a bit in Game 2, should turn it up a notch here. Denver has solid contributions from Gordon and Caldwell-Pope. Porter Jr. is overdue to step up his game here too. Denver has covered 5 straight in this series and I'll take the points here.
|
05-05-23 |
Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 |
|
114-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 60 m |
Show
|
Celtics/76ers 7:30: These teams are a combined 7-23 O/U in Conference Semifinals games. Both are defensively stout and create turnovers and disciplined in taking away strength of opposition. The "under" is 1-4 O/U in the last 5 meetings. Still value with the "under".
|