Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-21-23 | Kent State v. Oregon -6.5 | Top | 70-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Kent St. The Ducks were blown out, 83-63, by Syracuse in its last game. It was the lowest amount of points Oregon has scored this season, and resulted primarily from a 4-for-27 performance from 3-point territory. Since 1990, Oregon has cashed 59.2% in non-conference games off an upset loss, including 7-0 ATS their last seven as a home favorite. Take the Ducks minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams OVER 45.5 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New Orleans/Los Angeles game. This game is a technical play, as it falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 65% over the last 44 seasons, as well as a 59% system. Additionally, the Saints have held their last two opponents to 6 points each. And NFL teams that have given up less than 13 points in their two previous games have gone 148-121-7 OVER. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-23 | Pelicans -2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 123-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Pels were upset, 115-113, at home by Memphis, on Tuesday, as an 8.5-point favorite. Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with New Orleans in Cleveland tonight, as rested road favorites off an upset loss at home as an 8.5-point (or greater) favorite, have cashed 61.2% since 1990 vs. foes off a win. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-23 | Florida A&M +25 v. UCF | Top | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida A&M Rattlers + the points over Central Florida. The Rattlers return home to the Sunshine State after getting blitzed in the state of Iowa last weekend. Florida A&M lost to both Iowa and Iowa State by 36 and 38 points, respectively. We'll take the Rattlers tonight, as they're 6-0 ATS their last six (and 11-1 ATS their last 12) as an underdog on a 2-game ATS losing streak. Even better, at Game 10 forward, teams with a negative scoring margin of -15.0 ppg have cashed 61.1% on the road if they were off a 30-point (or worse) SU/ATS loss. Take Florida A&M. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-23 | St. Joe's v. College of Charleston -2 | Top | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the College of Charleston Cougars minus the points over St. Joseph's. The Hawks have won their last six games, including a 25-point blowout of cross-town rival, Iona, last Saturday. The Hawks are now 9-2 on the season, but 10 of their 11 games were played in their home city of Philadelphia. They have won 9 of those 10 games played in Philly, but lost their only game outside the city. The Hawks are 9-17-1 ATS their last 26 road games off a point spread win, including 1-7 ATS vs. non-conference foes. Take Charleston minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-23 | TCU v. Old Dominion +14.5 | Top | 111-87 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over TCU. The Monarchs lost to conference rival, James Madison, 84-69, in their last game. We'll take ODU to bounce back, as it's 105-82 ATS in the regular season off a conference loss, including 9-0 ATS its last nine. Take the Monarchs + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-23 | Holy Cross +16.5 v. Harvard | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Harvard. The Crimson come into this game off four straight ATS losses. We'll look for that losing streak to stretch to five games this afternoon, as Harvard is 51-84-1 ATS as a favorite off an ATS loss. And it's also 14-38 ATS as a home favorite when it's been on a 2-game (or worse) losing streak. Grab the points with Holy Cross. |
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12-21-23 | Alcorn State +16 v. George Washington | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn St. Braves + the points over George Washington. The Revolutionaries will take the floor tonight for the first time in nine days, following their win over Bowie St, while the Braves played (and lost) just two days ago. There's always a 'rest vs. rust' debate, and I favor the rust side in the debate when it comes to NCAA basketball. Indeed, teams (like George Washington) that were off 3+ wins have gone 338-397 ATS at home in the regular season when they were playing with more than a week of rest, including 26.3% the last 7 years against foes that had no more than 1 day of rest. The Revolutionaries are also 64-83-4 ATS as a favorite in non-conference games, including 9-15-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses. Take Alcorn St. |
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12-20-23 | North Carolina -2.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Oklahoma. The Tar Heels were upset by Kentucky, 87-83, on Saturday. And that was North Carolina's 2nd straight loss. We'll take the Tar Heels to bounce back, as they've gone 29-15-2 ATS in non-conference games off an upset loss. Lay the points. |
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12-20-23 | Hawks +3.5 v. Rockets | Top | 134-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Houston Rockets. We played against the Hawks in their last game, and got the money with the Pistons as a 12-point road underdog. Atlanta won that game, 130-124, but failed to cover. Its ATS record is now 6-19 ATS, which is the worst in the league. But if one digs deeper into its numbers, one finds that it's only failed to cover the spread by an average of 0.55 ppg. And it's actually covered the spread on the road by +1.73 ppg; at home is where Atlanta has really underperformed. Tonight, the Hawks are on the road, and have been installed as a road underdog vs. Houston. We'll take the Hawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-23 | Lakers -4 v. Bulls | Top | 108-124 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. The Lakers will hit the road tonight after losing their 2nd straight game on Monday, at home, vs. New York. They've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 11-17 Bulls, who are coming in off an upset win over the 76ers, 108-104, in Philly. Los Angeles is a solid 47-27 ATS on the road vs. non-division foes with a losing record, off an upset win. Take the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-23 | Liberty v. Utah Valley +5.5 | Top | 79-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Utah Valley Wolverines + the points over Liberty. The Flames are outscoring their foes by 20.08 ppg this season. But we will go against Liberty tonight, as Utah Valley is 24-4 ATS its last 28 when playing an opponent with a scoring margin north of 2.6 points per game. Take the Wolverines. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-23 | UC San Diego v. California -9 | Top | 67-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over UC San Diego. After covering the spread in five straight games, the Cal Bears stumbled vs. Ole Miss, and lost by 10, as a 2.5-point underdog. We'll take California to get back into the win column this afternoon, as it's cashed 63% since 1990 as a home favorite vs. non-conference foes, if Cal was off a loss, and its opponent was off a SU/ATS win. Lay the points. |
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12-19-23 | Alcorn State +22.5 v. Drake | Top | 55-92 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn State Braves + the points over Drake. The Braves come into tonight's game off back to back losses to Maryland (105-65) and Northern Iowa (100-82). We'll take the points with Alcorn State, as underdogs of 6+ points, off back to back SU/ATS losses in which they gave up 100+ points, have cashed 68.4% since 1990. Take the Braves. |
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12-19-23 | North Florida v. Florida State -16.5 | Top | 75-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Florida St. Seminoles minus the points over North Florida. The Ospreys blew out Trinity Baptist, 113-72, on Saturday. We'll fade North Florida off that high-scoring win, as it is 10-23 ATS after scoring more than 78 points, including 0-7 ATS as an underdog of more than 12. Take the Seminoles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-23 | New Mexico State v. Stephen F Austin -10.5 | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the SF Austin Lumberjacks minus the points over New Mexico St. The Aggies come into this game off a heartbreaking 1-point loss to rival New Mexcio. The Aggies were a 14.5-point underdog, and lost 73-72, as the Lobos scored the game-winning lay-up with 23 seconds left in the game. I expect a letdown tonight, as road underdogs of +9 (or more) points off a 1-point loss in a game where they were 13-point (or greater) dogs, have gone 1-15 ATS in the regular season. Lay the points with Stephen F. Austin. |
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12-19-23 | Golden Knights v. Hurricanes -124 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Vegas Golden Knights. The Knights are looking like they mean business and want to defend their Stanley Cup title from less than 6 months ago. A big part of their success has been the play of Adin Hill, who sits atop the league's goaltending leaders with a 1.93 GAA and .933 saves percentage. Unfortunately for Vegas however, Hill was removed from the team's last game on Sunday with an unspecified injury and is unlikely to suit up tonight for this match-up in Raleigh against the 'Canes. With regular back-up Robin Lehner already on the long-term injury list (hip), Logan Thompson will likely be called upon for the net-minding duties this evening. The Knights come to Raleigh after one of the easiest four-game homestands on their schedule which saw them go 3-1. The four teams they played (Ottawa, Buffalo, Calgary, San Jose) have a combined record of 45-64-11 and the Knights needed OT for two of the wins. Carolina is 2-1 in the last three meetings here. Take the 'Canes. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-23 | Coppin State v. James Madison -27.5 | Top | 48-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Coppin St. The Dukes are undefeated, at 10-0, and ranked #20 in the Associated Press poll. Even better: they're 7-2 ATS this season, and were 18-12 ATS last year (25-14 ATS combined). One of the Dukes' losses last season was to Coppin St. The Eagles upset the Dukes, 107-100, in Baltimore. We'll take the revenge-minded Dukes to blow out the Eagles, as Coppin St is a woeful 1-6 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe. And the Eagles are 8-17-1 ATS their last 26 road games. Take the Dukes minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks UNDER 48 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 121 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks Under the total. The Eagles' defense has not played well the last three weeks, as it's given up 34, 42 and 33 points. Off those three dismal performance, we'll take the Eagles and Seahawks to go under the total, as NFL teams that gave up more than 30 points in each of their 3 previous games have gone Under the total 59.5% since 1980. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-23 | Pistons +11.5 v. Hawks | Top | 124-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Atlanta Hawks. The Pistons have the NBA's worst record, at 2-24. And they've lost 23 straight games, including a 146-114 blowout at Milwaukee on Saturday, which is 3 games shy of the all-time worst in-season losing streak. But Atlanta has also been horrible this season. Not straight-up, but against the spread. The Hawks are the league's worst point spread team, as they're 6-18-1 ATS. The Hawks are a horrid 13-29-1 ATS as a favorite their last 43, and they're 50-95-2 ATS vs. rested foes off a loss by 20+ points. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-23 | Maryland-Eastern Shore +11.5 v. Marist | Top | 52-76 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks + the points over Marist. The Hawks won last year's meeting, 70-59, as a 2.5-point home favorite. This season's game is in Poughkeepsie, and the Red Foxes come into this game off 5 straight covers. But they were never laying double-digits in those games. Indeed, this is the first time Marist has been favored by double-digits since 2021, a span of 60 games. Notwithstanding Marist's recent success ATS, I think the point spread adjustment has been too great. We'll take the Hawks, as they are 32-19-1 ATS on the road. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars +3.5 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -115 | 107 h 60 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Baltimore. The Jaguars come into this Sunday Night game off back to back losses to Cincinnati and Cleveland. They'll now play their 3rd straight game vs. an AFC North division foe, as Baltimore will come into Jacksonville. Since 1980, winning teams (like the Jaguars) have cashed 61 percent at home off back to back losses, if they weren't favored by more than 1 point. Take the Jaguars. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Rockets v. Bucks -7 | Top | 119-128 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Houston Rockets. The Bucks played last night (and won), and will be at home for the 2nd straight day on this Sunday. We'll lay the points, as Milwaukee is 38-17 ATS on the 2nd of back-to-back days, off an ATS win the previous day. And Houston is a poor 19-37-2 ATS as a road underdog. Lay the points with Milwaukee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -2 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 103 h 4 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Dallas. Both Dallas and Buffalo scored their biggest wins of the season last Sunday. The Bills moved to 7-6 with a 20-17 win at Kansas City, while Dallas won at home, 33-13, vs. rival Philadelphia. That was Dallas' 5th straight win, overall. And four of those five wins came at home, including their last three. Now, the Cowboys have to take to the road, and play a Bills team which needs to keep winning to get into the Playoffs. I'll fade Dallas, as road teams off a home win, and 3 home games, overall, have gone 98-133-3 ATS. And the Cowboys are an ugly 1-10 ATS on the road vs winning teams that were in the Playoffs the previous season. Take Buffalo. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams UNDER 50.5 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 96 h 11 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders and Los Angeles Rams Under the total. The Commanders had last week off to rest, and regroup after 4 straight losses where they gave up more than 28 points. They lost 29-26 at Seattle. Then the New York Giants upset them, 31-19. On Thanksgiving, Dallas blew them out, 45-10, while Miami put up 45 in a 30-point win two weeks ago. All four of those games went Over the total. I like the Under in this game, as teams off 3 straight Overs where they gave up more than 30 points in each of those three games, have then gone under the total 60% since 1980. Meanwhile, the Rams had a high-scoring game at Baltimore last Sunday. But Los Angeles is 14-3-1 Under following a game that went Over the total, including 11-0 Under if the O/U line was greater than 42 points. Take the Under. |
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12-17-23 | Commanders +7 v. Rams | Top | 20-28 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Los Angeles Rams. The Commanders had last week off to rest and prepare for this game, while the Rams lost an overtime affair at Baltimore (but covered the spread in defeat). The Rams are a poor 8-21 ATS off 3 ATS wins, including 0-8 ATS when priced from -4.5 to -11 points. And they're 1-12 ATS vs. rested foes when priced from -3 to -13 points. Admittedly, the Commanders were playing poorly going into their Bye Week, as they had dropped 4 straight games, including their last three ATS. The good news is that rested underdogs of more than 5 points have cashed 75% since 1990, if they had lost their three previous games SU/ATS. Take Washington + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | UL - Lafayette v. McNeese State -6.5 | 72-74 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the McNeese State Cowboys minus the points over Louisiana Lafayette. The Cowboys are off to a super 9-2 start this season, and they're 6-1 ATS in their seven lined games. McNeese lost here, at home, to the Cajuns last season, 78-70, so they'll be looking to avenge that defeat this afternoon. We'll lay the points, as the Rajin' Cajuns are a dreadful 13-28-3 ATS as an underdog away from home vs. a foe playing with revenge from a loss in the prior season. Take McNeese St minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Magic +8.5 v. Celtics | Top | 97-114 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Boston. This is the 2nd of back to back meetings. Boston won Round 1, 128-111, on Friday, as a 6-point home favorite. And that ATS win by Boston snapped a 5-game ATS losing streak in the series. The Celtics are also the home team for this re-match, but the point spread is higher. We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Magic, as they're 29-15-1 ATS as an underdog when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Alcorn State +17.5 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 82-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn State Braves + the points over Northern Iowa. The Braves come into this afternoon's game off their worst game of the season. They were blown out by 40 points, 105-65, by Maryland as a 23-point underdog. We'll take Alcorn State to bounce back as it's 13-5 ATS on the road off a 20-point (or worse) defeat. And Northern Iowa is 1-13 ATS as a favorite of more than 13 points vs. a non-conference foe with a negative scoring margin. Take Alcorn State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Chiefs v. Patriots +9.5 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 38 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over Kansas City. Defending Super Bowl champs have not done well as road favorites vs. foes off a straight-up win, and especially not in non-division games, as they've gone 22-41 ATS since 1981, including 0-11 ATS when laying more than 7 points. Take New England + the points. |
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12-17-23 | Giants v. Saints -6 | Top | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 100 h 38 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over the New York Giants. The Giants pulled off a big upset this past Monday at home vs. Green Bay, as they won 24-22 as a 6-point home underdog. But road teams have had letdowns off upset home wins, if they were an underdog of more than 5 points in that upset win. Since 1980, those teams have gone 88-126-6 ATS. Take the Saints. |
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12-17-23 | Falcons v. Panthers OVER 34.5 | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -112 | 100 h 37 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Carolina/Atlanta game. The first meeting between these NFC South division rivals was low-scoring, with just 34 point scored (Atlanta won, 24-10). Since 1980, subsequent meetings between division rivals have gone Over the total 55% if the prior meeting totaled less than 36 points. Take the Falcons and Panthers Over the total. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Chiefs v. Patriots OVER 37 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 6 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New England/Kansas City game. After scoring just 13 points over its three previous games, the New England offense broke out (for it, anyway) in a big way last Thursday. It scored 21 first-half points, and coasted to a 21-18 victory in a game which went "over' by halftime. We played on the Over in that Patriots/Steelers game, and will come right back with the Over in this Patriots/Chiefs game, as the number is still too low, by my math. The Chiefs are also 24-10 Over their last 34 as road favorites of more than 6 points. Take the Over. |
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12-17-23 | Giants v. Saints OVER 38 | Top | 6-24 | Loss | -109 | 93 h 5 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New York Giants/New Orleans Saints game. The Giants had their 2nd best offensive performance of the season, in terms of yards gained, this past Monday. New York rolled up 367 yards of offense, and tallied 24 points in an upset win of Green Bay. That game easily went over the posted total of 37.5, and that was the 3rd time in its last four games that New York went Over the total (after playing 7 unders in a row prior to that). New Orleans has had a similar arc. After starting the season with 6 straight unders, it has now played Overs in four of its last seven. We'll ride the current momentum, and look for another high-scoring game here. Take the Giants and Saints Over the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-23 | Falcons v. Panthers +3 | Top | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Atlanta. The Panthers have been installed as a home underdog in this NFC South division contest. We'll grab the points, as home dogs off 3+ losses have done well in the final 4 games of the regular season, with a 95-60-2 ATS record vs. sub-.666 opponents. That bodes well for Carolina. As does the fact that the Falcons have covered just 10 of 29 as road favorites. Take the Panthers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-23 | Knicks v. Clippers -5.5 | Top | 122-144 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the New York Knicks. The Knicks and Clippers met earlier this season in the Big Apple. Los Angeles was favored, but the Knicks blew out the Clippers by 14 points. We'll take the Clippers to avenge that defeat as they've gone 74-47 ATS in the regular season when favored by 3+ points, and playing with revenge from a loss by 6+ points. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-23 | Portland +10.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 63-91 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots + the points over Grand Canyon. The Antelopes upset Liberty, 69-64, as a 5-point road underdog last Saturday. We'll fade Grand Canyon off that upset win, as it is 0-6-2 ATS as a favorite of more than 2 points off an upset win. Take the Pilots + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-23 | California v. Texas Tech -3 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over California. The Red Raiders were annihilated in Austin, Texas, 57-7, at the end of their regular season. But off that 50-point blowout loss, I expect Tech to bounce back in this bowl game and crush California. Texas Tech is a super 11-0 ATS off a straight-up loss as a road underdog, if it wasn't favored by double digits. Lay the points with the Red Raiders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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12-16-23 | Alabama v. Creighton -7 | Top | 82-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Alabama. We played against Creighton its last time out, and easily got the $$$ when UNLV blew them out as a 13.5-point underdog. Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with the Blue Jays, as they're 31-13 ATS at home off a loss, including 9-1 ATS in non-conference games. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-23 | UCLA -5.5 v. Boise State | Top | 35-22 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Boise St. The Bruins were upset at home, 33-7, by California to end their regular season. And the Bruins were favored by 9.5 points in that game. Off that defeat, where they failed to cover the spread by 35.5 points, we'll take UCLA to rebound in this de facto home game (at SoFi Stadium), on Saturday. UCLA is a stellar 29-12-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread by more than 10 points in its previous game (including a perfect 4-0 ATS in the post-season). And it's 31-17 ATS when playing in Los Angeles vs. non-conference foes, and not favored by 14+ points. Meanwhile, Boise St. is a brutal 2-9-2 ATS away from home against foes not off a SU/ATS win, including 0-4-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes. Lay the points with Chip Kelly's Bruins. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-23 | Charleston Southern +22 v. South Carolina | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over South Carolina. The Gamecocks are 8-1 ATS this season. However, their one ATS loss was when they were favored by 22 points vs. VMI. They're a massive favorite in this game, and we will happily grab the points, as South Carolina is an awful 0-5 ATS their last five (and 11-21-1 ATS their last 33) when favored by more than 16 points vs. a non-conference foe. Take Charleston Southern. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-23 | New Mexico State v. Fresno State +3.5 | Top | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Fresno St Bulldogs + the points over New Mexico St. The Bulldogs fell flat in the season's final weeks, as they lost their last three games (both SU and ATS). We'll take Fresno to bounce back, as it's 9-0 ATS when it was off 3+ losses, and not getting more than 7 points from its opponent. Take the Bulldogs + the points. |
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12-16-23 | UC-Davis v. Pacific +7.5 | Top | 82-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Cal Davis. The Mustangs are favored on the road, even though they're 3-5 SU, and off an upset loss as a 9-point favorite vs. Wisconsin-Milwaukee. We'll fade Cal Davis, and take the points with Pacific. For technical support, consider that losing teams, off a SU/ATS loss, have covered just 107 of 255 as road favorites vs. non-conference foes. Take Pacific + the points. |
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12-16-23 | Steelers v. Colts -1 | Top | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts over the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Colts were blown out, 34-14, by Cincinnati last week, as a 3-point road underdog. So, Indianapolis failed to cover the spread by 17 points. But that bodes well for them here, at home, vs. Pittsburgh, as the Colts are 35-10 ATS off a straight-up loss, if they failed to cover the spread in that previous game by 8 or more points. Take Indianapolis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-23 | Southeastern Louisiana +11 v. Murray State | Top | 61-55 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the SE Louisiana Lions + the points over Murray State. The Lions were blown out, 89-60, by Louisiana Tech on Tuesday. But off that loss, we'll look for SE Louisiana to bounce back this afternoon. The Lions are a solid 24-10 ATS off a double-digit road loss, while Murray St is a miserable 74-100 when favored by more than 10 points. Take the Lions. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-23 | Fordham v. St. John's -13.5 | Top | 55-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over Fordham. The Rams upset North Texas, 60-59, as a 6-point underdog, and are now 5-5 on the season. Unfortunately, the Rams are a wallet-breaking 18-37-1 ATS as an underdog of 6+ points on the road off a straight-up win. Take St. John's. |
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12-16-23 | Clemson v. Memphis -2.5 | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Clemson. Memphis is 7-2 after winning back to back road games at VCU and Texas A&M. And last weekend's win over Texas A&M was quite impressive, as Memphis won 81-75 as an 8.5-point road underdog. We'll take the Tigers here, at home, on Saturday, as they're 19-8 ATS at home off back to back road wins, including 7-0 ATS off an upset win. Take Memphis. |
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12-16-23 | Jacksonville State -2.5 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette. The Ragin' Cajuns ended their regular season by thumping rival, Louisiana Monroe, 52-21. Unfortunately, the Cajuns are a horrid 0-10 ATS off a win by more than 17 points. Lay the points with Jacksonville St. |
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12-16-23 | Sacred Heart +22 v. Providence | Top | 64-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Sacred Heart Pioneers + the points over Providence. The Friars have been installed as a huge favorite this afternoon. Unfortunately, they've burned $$$ when laying big wood, as they're 9-29 ATS vs. non-conference foes when favored by 17 or more points. Take Sacred Heart + the points. |
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12-15-23 | Rockets v. Grizzlies +3.5 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 7 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Houston Rockets. The Rockets and Grizzlies met two nights ago, and the Rockets won, 117-104. That game was played in Texas; tonight's game is on Beale Street, in Memphis. We'll grab the points with the Grizzlies, as they're 35-6 ATS at home in the regular season when playing an opponent off a win, if the Grizzlies had revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and weren't getting more than 9 points. |
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12-15-23 | Hawks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Toronto Raptors. This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings in Toronto between these teams. The Raptors won, 135-128, on Tuesday, as a 2.5-point favorite. This game is also competitively-priced with a point spread of 3 points or less. And when NBA teams have played back to back games vs. the same opponent, each with a point spread of 3 or less, the straight-up loser of the prior meeting has covered 57% of the time. And this applies to both regular season, and playoff games. Take the Hawks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-23 | Pistons +16.5 v. 76ers | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Philadelphia. These two teams met two nights ago in the Motor City, and the Sixers were victorious, 129-111. We'll take the double-digits in the rematch, as road underdogs of more than 9 points have gone 39-20-2 ATS in the regular season, if they lost SU/ATS to their opponent in their previous game. Take Detroit. |
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12-15-23 | Pacers v. Wizards +9 | Top | 123-137 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Indiana Pacers. The Wizards have lost their last 5 game, straight-up, and their last 3 vs. the point spread. But we'll take the points with Washington, and go against an Indiana team which has covered just 27 of 77 as a winning team vs. foes off 3 ATS defeats. |
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12-14-23 | Nets v. Nuggets -9.5 | Top | 101-124 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Brooklyn. Last season, the Nuggets won 44 of 52 home games, and went 31-19-2 ATS in those games. This year, they got off to a 6-0 start, but lost their last home game, 114-106, to the Houston Rockets six days ago. They bounced back with 2 road wins, and return home tonight to get back into the win column at Pepsi Center. We'll lay the points, as Denver is 127-69 ATS at home when rested, and priced from +2.5 to -11, if it lost its previous home game straight-up. Take the Nuggets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-14-23 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 34 | Top | 21-63 | Win | 100 | 35 h 54 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders/Los Angeles Chargers game. The Chargers lost quarterback Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, so Easton Stick will get the start on Thursday night. Prior to last week's games, the Over/Under line on this game was projected to be 42.5, but the number has been significantly adjusted after the results of the Chargers' 24-7 loss to Denver, and the Raiders' 3-0 loss to the Vikings. I think the adjustment has been too severe. We will take the Over, as NFL games have gone Over the total 59% of the time, if each team's previous game went under, and each scored less than 10 points in its prior game. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-23 | Creighton v. UNLV +13.5 | Top | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Creighton. This game will be played at the Dollar Loan Center in Henderson, Nevada, so the Rebels will have a home-friendly crowd. The Rebels have been installed as a huge underdog tonight vs. Creighton. We'll grab the points as Mountain West Conference underdogs of > 13 points have gone 121-79 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. Take UNLV + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-23 | Pacers v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 126-140 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Indiana. The Bucks play tonight's game with revenge from a loss to the Pacers last week in the In-Season Tournament. And they're 0-2 this season vs. Indiana. We'll lay the points with Milwaukee, as .523 (or better) teams have covered 62.1% when favored by 6+ points, and playing with revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season. Milwaukee's also 12-6-1 ATS the previous 19 meetings with Indiana, and 8-2 ATS the previous 10 meetings at home. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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12-13-23 | Alabama State v. LSU -21 | Top | 56-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Alabama State. The Tigers have dropped their last four to the point spread, while Alabama State is on a 2-game ATS win streak. We'll lay the points with LSU, as SEC Conference teams have cashed 67.4% since 1995 at home off 4+ ATS losses, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU win. Lay the points with LSU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-23 | Bruins v. Devils -118 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Boston Bruins. The Devils return home from a successful four-game road trip that saw them pull out Western victories in Vancouver, Seattle, and Calgary before falling to the red-hot Oilers in Edmonton on Sunday. Still, it seems we're finally seeing the version of the Devils we thought we would see going into this season as they not only went 3-1 on that trip but are 6-2 in their last eight overall. That trip has finally pulled New Jersey above the .500 mark at 14-11-1 and don't be surprised if the Devils remain above .500 the rest of the way -- assuming they can stay reasonably healthy. The Bruins come in having won four of their last five, but three of those four victories were against the Sharks, Blue Jackets, and Coyotes -- and all three of those were at home. Rookie Luke Hughes is tearing it up for the Devils -- second in points to Connor Bedard among all league rookies with 16. And unlike Bedard, Hughes is a defenseman. Take the Devils. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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12-13-23 | 76ers v. Pistons +12 | Top | 129-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. The Pistons have lost 20 straight games, but they fought hard to the end on Monday vs. Indiana. I look for them to be competitive tonight vs. Philly. We'll take the points, as double-digit home underdogs off a SU loss have gone 240-201-8 ATS since 1990 vs. foes off a SU win. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis +22 v. Minnesota | Top | 65-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Minnesota. IUPUI was blown out, 75-58 at Eastern Illinois, last Thursday, as a 5-point road underdog. IUPUI has now lost its last 3 games straight-up, and is 3-7 on the season. Unfortunately for the Golden Gophers, they're a wallet-breaking 17-33-1 ATS vs. losing foes, including 0-11 ATS their last 11 vs. foes that failed to cover the spread by 7+ points in their previous game. Take IUPUI. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-23 | Green Bay +13.5 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 70-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Illinois-Chicago. Green Bay has lost all 3 meetings to the Flames over the previous 2 seasons. We'll take the revenge-minded Phoenix tonight, as they're 35-21 ATS when playing with revenge, including 17-9 ATS when it has lost at least the two previous meetings, and was now installed as an underdog. Take Green Bay. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-23 | Long Island +20 v. UMass Lowell | Top | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks + the points over UMass-Lowell. The River Hawks come into this game off a 91-77 loss at UMass-Amherst (and 3 ATS losses, overall). Yet UMass-Lowell has been installed as a huge, double-digit favorite (the most points they've been favored by in 9 seasons). We'll grab the points with Long Island, as the Sharks are 29-16 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss, when the Sharks weren't favored by 6+ points. |
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12-11-23 | Packers v. Giants +6.5 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 41 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Green Bay Packers. The Packers have won 3 straight games -- each as an underdog. They upset Kansas City last week, the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving, and the Los Angeles Chargers at Lambeau Field before that. But now the Packers are favored by the most points they've been all season. And NFL road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off back to back upset wins, have gone 4-17 ATS. Even worse for Green Bay: it's 2-10 ATS its last 12 as a favorite of -4 to -9.5 points, including 0-4 ATS on the road. Take the Giants as the home underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-23 | Spurs +8.5 v. Rockets | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Houston Rockets. The Spurs have lost 16 straight, and are 3-18 on the season. But one of their three wins was vs. this Houston club. The Rockets upset Denver, as an 8.5-point road underdog, in their previous game. Unfortunately, home teams have gone 20-39-2 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of more than 8 points over the defending NBA champs. Take San Antonio + the points. |
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12-11-23 | Wolves v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Pelicans were blown out, 133-89, on Thursday by the Lakers in the semi-finals of the In-Season Tournament. We'll lay the points with New Orleans, as rested teams favored by 1.5 (or more) points, off a loss by 40+ points, have gone 11-0 ATS if they had at least the two previous days off. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-23 | Nuggets -2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 129-122 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks. Atlanta is on a six-game ATS losing streak, and has dropped 13 of its last 15 to the point spread. At home, the Hawks are a miserable 1-7-1 ATS on the season. Admittedly, Denver is on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. But defending NBA champs have gone 25-13-1 ATS in the regular season on the road off 3 SU/ATS wins. Take the Nuggets. |
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12-11-23 | Stonehill +13.5 v. New Hampshire | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stonehill Skyhawks + the points over New Hampshire. The Wildcats come into this game off a double-digit loss at Dartmouth, and have been installed as a huge favorite tonight vs. Stonehill, which has lost 10 of 11. But UNH has burned money when laying 6 or more points, as it's 3-11 ATS its last 14. Meanwhile, Stonehill is 4-1 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, and 11-7 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss. Take the points with Stonehill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 52 | Top | 13-33 | Win | 100 | 86 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas/Philadelphia game. The Eagles were destroyed by the San Francisco 49ers last week, 42-19. We'll take the Philadelphia/Dallas game under the total, as the Eagles have gone 64-27 Under following a game which totaled 58 or more points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over the Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles are the league's best team ATS, as they're 8-3-1 ATS this season. They're also an awesome 21-8 ATS their last 29 vs. winning opponents off back to back wins. Dallas, meanwhile, is great this season against bad teams, but has not stepped up against the league's best. And the Cowboys are also a wallet-lightening 19-36-1 ATS vs. winning foes, including 2-14 ATS if Dallas was favored by less than 4 points, 11-26 ATS if Dallas was off a win, and 6-10 ATS if Dallas had revenge. Take Philadelphia + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-23 | Grambling State +22.5 v. Washington State | Top | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Grambling Tigers + the points over Washington St. The Cougars blew out Riverside, 86-49, in their previous game. But off that blowout win, we'll fade Wazzu tonight, as it is a wallet-breaking 12-28 ATS off a win by more than 15 points. And it's 2-15 ATS following a game where it scored more than 82. Take the Tigers + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-23 | Broncos v. Chargers OVER 44 | Top | 24-7 | Loss | -108 | 82 h 12 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Denver/Los Angeles game. The Chargers went into Foxborough last Sunday and shut out the New England Patriots, 6-0. That was the 3rd straight Under played by the Chargers, and those three games totaled 79 points combined. I like the Over in this game, as teams off 3 straight unders, in 3 games that combined for 79 or less points, have proceeded to go over the total 65.2% of the time. Take the Broncos and Chargers Over the total. |
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12-10-23 | Broncos v. Chargers -2.5 | Top | 24-7 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 11 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over Denver. The Broncos' 5-game win streak was snapped last Sunday by Houston, and I like the Chargers to hand Denver its 2nd straight loss this weekend. The Broncos are a wallet-busting 0-13 ATS in 'win-situation' games with point spread of 3 or less, if the Broncos were on the road, and owned a win percentage > .350. Meanwhile, the Chargers are 26-14 ATS in division games if they were off a straight-up win, and owned a losing record on the season. Take Los Angeles minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-23 | Bills +2 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 82 h 7 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Kansas City. The Bills suffered a horrible loss in overtime against the Philadelphia Eagles two weeks ago, and they will be hard-pressed to make the Playoffs this season should they lose this game to the Kansas City Chiefs. With their season likely on the line, we'll grab the points with Buffalo, which is 45-34-4 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 4-1 ATS with rest. And it's 7-1-1 ATS on the road off a straight-up loss, when matched up against an opponent with a better record. Grab the points with Buffalo. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-23 | Detroit +24.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 59-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans + the points over Northwestern. When we last saw the Wildcats, they were upsetting the #1 team in the country, Purdue, in overtime, 92-88. The Wildcats have had a long layoff following that upset win nine days ago, while Detroit played just three days ago at home, vs. Ball State. The Titans were upset, 68-65, by the Cardinals in that game. But they've cashed 60% since 1990 off an upset loss when playing a foe off an upset win. And the Wildcats are a woeful 6-21 ATS off an upset win, if they weren't getting more than a point in their current game. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-23 | Colts +1 v. Bengals | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 47 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts over the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals pulled off a huge upset last week on Monday Night Football when they won outright as a 10-point dog. Unfortunately, teams off upset wins as double-digit underdogs have not done well the following week, as they've gone 81-106 ATS. Take the Colts. |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 79 h 44 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions Under the total. These two teams played a couple of weeks ago, and the Lions won, 31-26. That game was played at Detroit's Ford Field, which is a covered stadium, so the teams were not impacted by weather. This Sunday, the weather outlook calls for 10 to 15 mile per hour winds, and 35 degree weather, which will contribute to a much lower-scoring game than the first meeting. The Bears have gone 28-12 Under at home in the final 5 games of the season (when Chicago weather is at its worst), when the O/U line ranged from 39 to 48. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-23 | Texans v. Jets +3.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 79 h 43 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Houston. The Jets lost to the Falcons, at home, last week, 13-8. New York is back home for this game, and will host the upstart Texans, who are 7-5 on the season. I like New York, as it's 23-4 ATS at home vs. winning teams if the Jets were at home in their previous game, but didn't win and cover the spread in that game. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears +3.5 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Detroit Lions. These two teams met three weeks ago in Ford Field, and the Lions came away with a comeback win, 31-26. We played on the Bears +7.5 in that game, and will take them as a home underdog today, on Sunday. Chicago had last week off to rest and prepare for this division revenge match, while Detroit had a home game vs. the Saints. The Lions are an atrocious 7-26-2 ATS as a road favorite vs. sub-.400 foes. Take Chicago + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-23 | Hurricanes -107 v. Canucks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Vancouver Canucks. After winning 10 of their first 13 games, the Canucks have fallen on some rough times, going 5-6 in their last 11. And it's been a roller coaster ride lately as Vancouver has gone win-loss-win-loss in the last 10 games going back to November 18. In the off-season, the Canucks showed they were serious about improving themselves, signing big names on both sides of the ice, including F Pius Suter and D Carson Soucy. Unfortunately, both of those hired guns are now on the injured list with lower body injuries and not expected back for some time. The offense has really been struggling lately and it's no surprise when you consider the Canucks have only managed a total of 121 shots in their last five games -- four of which were here at home. And in only one of those five did they manage more than 27 shots on the opposing goal. The 'Canes are 6-3 in the last nine meetings with the Canucks going back to February 2018. Take Carolina. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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12-09-23 | UCLA v. Villanova -3.5 | Top | 56-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over UCLA. The Bruins come into this road game off a narrow win over Cal Riverside, 66-65, as a 17.5-point favorite. We'll fade the Bruins, as Villanova is a solid 151-105-6 ATS vs. non-conference foes off a win. Take the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-23 | Pacific +15 v. Fresno State | Top | 56-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Fresno St. Pacific is 1-9 ATS on the season, and comes into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses. We'll grab the points, as Pacific falls into a 60% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses that have losing records ATS. And Fresno is a horrid 15-37-4 ATS as a favorite (or PK) vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take the Tigers + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-23 | Siena +22.5 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 56-89 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Siena Saints + the points over St Bonaventure. Siena has been installed as a huge underdog this afternoon, and it's 37-24 its last 61 as underdogs of more than 9 points. The Saints also fall into one of my favorite systems, which is 861-642-30 ATS since 1990. Take Siena + the points. good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-23 | Army -2.5 v. Navy | Top | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 106 h 4 m | Show |
At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over the Navy Midshipmen. Army defeated Air Force earlier this season, and will claim the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy with a victory against Navy. I like Army in this game, as it falls into a Military Series system of mine which is 33-10 ATS since 2006. The Black Knights ended their season strong with 3 straight wins coming into this final game, including a 28-21 upset win at Coastal Carolina in their previous game. Navy was blasted in its last game, 59-14, by SMU, and failed to cover the spread by 26 points. That doesn't bode well for the Midshipmen in this game vs. rival, Army, as Navy has gone 13-5-2 ATS vs. Army when Navy was off an ATS win, but just 7-10 ATS when Navy was off an ATS loss. And if Army was off a good game, where it covered the spread by 7+ points, then the Black Knights have gone 5-1 ATS vs. Navy. Finally, the Midshipmen have covered just 5 of 26 games when they weren't getting 10+ points vs. a non-conference foe off an upset win. Take Army minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-23 | Charlotte v. Duke -15.5 | Top | 56-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Charlotte. The Blue Devils have dropped 3 straight games to the spread. We'll lay the points, as Duke is 25-8 ATS as a favorite (or PK) in the regular season off 3 ATS losses. |
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12-09-23 | Illinois v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Illinois. The Illini are 7-1 and are outscoring their opposition by 17.75 ppg. But the Volunteers have dominated top-level foes, as they've gone 9-0 ATS their last nine at home (and 33-14-1 ATS their last 48 at home) vs. foes that own a scoring margin of 10.10 (or better). Lay the points. |
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12-08-23 | Raptors -4.5 v. Hornets | Top | 116-119 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Charlotte. The Raptors come into this game off back to back home losses to New York and Miami. And they failed to cover the spread in those two games by -14.5 and -13 points. We'll lay the points with Toronto, as it's gone 55-33 ATS following back to back point spread losses by 9 or more points, including 11-0-1 ATS on the road vs. sub-.450 opponents. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-23 | North Carolina A&T +22 v. High Point | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the NC A&T Aggies + the points over High Point. The Panthers are 7-3 SU and 8-0 ATS, which has triggered a negative 53-106 ATS system of mine. We'll grab the points with the underdog Aggies, as they are 6-1 ATS as an underdog of +12 (or more) points off a SU loss, and play this game with revenge from 2 losses to the Panthers in 2022. NC A&T is also 22-11 ATS off a loss by 5+ points, while High Point is 26-36 ATS its last 62 as a favorite. Take NC A&T + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-23 | Holy Cross +22 v. Boston College | Top | 64-95 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Boston College. The Crusaders will make the 35-mile trek to Chestnut Hill on Friday night to take on the Eagles in this non-conference game. The Eagles are 6-3 SU, but 4-5 ATS after failing to cover the spread in their 14-point win over Central Connecticut St., on Tuesday. That was B.C.'s fourth ATS loss in its last five games, and Boston College has under-performed out of conference, as it's 49-78-1 ATS, including 22-52 ATS vs. foes that have a .750 (or worse) win percentage. Even worse: the Eagles are an ugly 0-11 ATS when favored by 9 or more points off an ATS loss. Take Holy Cross plus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers OVER 30 | Top | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots Over the total. The Over/Under in this game has been installed around 30 points, which is the lowest over/under number this season. Historically, NFL games with over/under lines less than 31 have gone Over the total, as they've gone Over 82 percent since 1982. Usually, when the Over/Under lines get down this low, it's due to weather. Here, it's because of the Patriots' horrible offense. New England has scored just 13 points over its three previous games. But teams that have scored a combined 25 or less points over their previous 3 games, all of which have gone Under the total, have then proceeded to go over the total 76 of 128 games, or 59.3%. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-23 | Nuggets v. Clippers -1 | Top | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets won the two prior meetings this season, including a 113-104 victory here at Crypto.com Arena nine days ago. We'll take Los Angeles to get revenge tonight, as the Clippers are 25-12 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if they weren't an underdog of 3+ points in the current game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-23 | South Carolina +8.5 v. Clemson | Top | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Clemson. The Tigers come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins over Alabama and Pitt. Unfortunately, the Tigers have cashed just 33% since 1990 as a favorite off back to back upset wins. Even worse for Clemson: the Gamecocks are 21-12 ATS as an underdog away from home vs. a foe off an upset win. Take South Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-23 | Cleveland State v. St. Mary's -14.5 | Top | 57-70 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the St. Mary's Gaels minus the points over Cleveland St. We played against the Vikings on Saturday, and got the $$$ with Detroit Mercy. We'll fade the Vikings in this road game in Moraga, as St. Mary's is coming off back to back SU/ATS losses, including a 63-60 loss as a 3.5-point favorite vs. Boise St. last Friday. We'll lay the points, as St. Mary's is 81-54-2 ATS as a home favorite in non-conference games, including 35-16 ATS off a point spread defeat. Take the Gaels. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-23 | Pacific +3 v. Idaho | Top | 53-83 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Idaho. Pacific checks in off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. Northridge and Northern Arizona. We'll grab the points, as the Tigers are 24-13 ATS when priced from +4.5 to -6.5 points, and off back to back SU/ATS losses. And Pacific also falls onto a 205-117 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-23 | Buffalo +23 v. Butler | Top | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls + the points over Butler. We played on the Bulldogs in their last game, and had a nice overtime win and cover vs. Texas Tech. Unfortunately, the Bulldogs are a wallet-breaking 14-37-1 ATS as a home favorite, priced from -13 to -26 off an ATS win. Take Buffalo + the points. |
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12-05-23 | Mt. St. Mary's +15.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers + the points over Ole Miss. The Rebels are 7-0 straight-up this season, but they're not making many friends "in Vegas," as they're 2-5 ATS. And, dating back to 2021, they're an ugly 27-45-2 ATS their last 74, including 8-22-2 ATS as a favorite of more than 3 points. Even worse: the SEC Conference has covered just 1 of 9 vs. Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference foes the past 5 seasons. Grab the points with the Mountaineers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-23 | Cornell +5 v. Syracuse | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cornell Big Red + the points over Syracuse. These two New York rivals will meet at Syracuse tonight, and the Big Red will be looking to snap a 42-game losing streak in the series. The last Cornell victory occurred in 1968! It also hasn't helped the Big Red any that the previous 29 meetings dating back to 1982 have been played at Syracuse, rather than at Ithaca. This has been the most competitive the two teams have been in an awful long time, so it's a perfect time for the Big Red to snap the losing streak. Cornell is 19-8 in non-conference games the past 3 seasons including 10-1 ATS when priced from +3 to +15.5 points, while Syracuse is 18-34 ATS its last 52 non-conference games when favored by -3 to -15.5 points. Take the underdog Big Red. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-23 | George Mason v. Tennessee -15.5 | Top | 66-87 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over George Mason. The Patriots are 7-1, but this will be their toughest test of the season-to-date. And Tennessee has been dominant at home when playing .840 (or better) foes, when it hasn't been favored by 25+ points, as it's gone 38-13 ATS. Take the Volunteers minus the points. |
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12-04-23 | Maryland-Eastern Shore +16 v. East Carolina | Top | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks + the points over East Carolina. The Pirates come into this game off an upset win, 74-66, as a 2-point home underdog vs. NC Wilmington. We'll fade East Carolina tonight, as the Hawks are 8-1 ATS their last nine vs. foes off a win as an underdog (or PK). And Maryland-Eastern Shore is also 30-13 ATS on the road vs. foes that didn't own an undefeated record. Grab the points with the Hawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-23 | San Diego v. Stanford -12.5 | Top | 64-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal minus the points over San Diego. The Toreros have been one of the worst point spread teams in College Basketball, as they're 38-63-4 ATS their last 105. Today, the Toreros will be in Palo Alto to take on a Cardinal team which is on a 3-game losing streak. The good news for Stanford is that it's 29-14-1 ATS off 3+ losses, including 8-0-1 ATS at home vs. foes off an ATS loss. Take the Cardinal minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |