Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +1 | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 318 h 27 m | Show | |
Chiefs +1 The 49ers (14-5, 9-10 ATS) will clash with the Chiefs (14-6, 12-8 ATS) in Super Bowl LVIII on February 11th at Allegiant Stadium in LV, 6:30pmET on CBS start time. In terms of the opening Super Bowl odds, the 49ers are favored with a Moneyline (ML) of -120, while the Chiefs stand at +100. The spread favors the 49ers by 1.5 points (-110), and the Over/Under is set at 47.5 points. This Super Bowl matchup is a rematch of Super Bowl LIV in Miami, where the Chiefs won 31-20. The Chiefs have been dominant recently, winning 5 of 6 vs. SF and covering the spread in 5 of those. The 49ers making their 8th appearance and claiming SB wins in 5 (of course it's been a while). Meanwhile, the Chiefs are the reigning champions, having defeated the Eagles 38-35 in 2023. Last week, in the NFC Championship Game, the 49ers were trailing 24-7 at halftime against the Lions, they mounted an impressive comeback, scoring 17 in the 3rd and ultimately won 34-31 scoring 27 unanswered points. The Lions managed a late score for a backdoor cover. On the other side, in the AFC Championship, the Chiefs took control early with a 7-0 lead midway through the first quarter against the Ravens and never relinquished it, securing a 17-10 win. Both defenses in that one were great, but Mahomes outplayed Jackson, and the game didn't ever look to be in doubt. If you jump on this Super Bowl LVIII line quickly you may find +1.5 still but they 1.5's aren't easy to find anymore. (As of Monday 1/29 Noon ET). It's a Super Bowl matchup loaded with excitement potential, and should be an epic showdown. Locking this in early, more analysis to follow. Stats: PPG SF 29 PPG (3rd), KC 23.3 PPG (8th), PTS Allowed SF 26 PPG (7th), KC 13.6 PPG (2nd). Red Zone SF #2, KC #12. 3rd Down SF #2, KC #8. Trends, 49ers 0-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records, and 1-5 ATS L6 after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in prior matchup. Plus, SF 1-4 ATS L5, 1-6 ATS L7 vs. KC, 1-5 SU L6 vs. KC. On the other side, KC 5-0 ATS L5, 5-0 SU L5, 13-3 SU L16 vs. NFC teams, and 5-1 ATS L6 vs. NFC West teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* Super Bowl LVIII ATS Play BONUS PROP: George Kittle OVER 46.5 Total Receiving Yards -118 BONUS PROP: Patrick Mahomes OVER 36.5 Total Passing Attempts -128 |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers OVER 51 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 42 h 52 m | Show | |
OVER 51 The Detroit Lions (12-5, 6-3 AWAY, 13-6 ATS, 7-2 ATS AWAY) will play against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 9-9 ATS, 3-6 ATS HOME) in the 2024 NFC Championship Game on Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The game is set to start at 6:30pm ET. Opening betting lines have the total points expected set at over/under 51. We're on the Over here as the Lions look to continue their historic run against the top seeded 49ers. Injury update: Samuel will play Sunday. The Lions beat Tampa Bay 31-23 last week in the Divisional round, and now they're in their second-ever Conference Championship. The 49ers defeated the Packers 24-21. McCaffrey scored a 2nd TD to win the game with 1:07 left. The 49ers lead the historical series 39-28-1, vs. DTown, with a postseason record of 1-1. Recently, the 49ers have been stronger, winning 11 of their last 12 matchups since 1996. For starters here, the weather is supposed to be great. After dealing with rain in San Fran in the Divisional Round, weather projects show 70 degrees and clear on Sunday evening. The Lions are rolling right now, especially on the offensive end. Overall, this team has averaged 394.8 pass yards per game (3rd) and 2nd in pass yards (258.9 ppg). That has led them to 27.1 ppg this season as they continue to put up big numbers with Goff. He has leaned on his playoff experience, posting performances of 24 and 31 so far. He should find success against the 49ers defense that was picked apart by Jordan Love. The 49ers offense put up 24 against Green Bay and that number should go up with the weather being better and this Lions defense struggling. The Lions allowed Mayfield to throw for 349 yards and 3 touchdowns. Purdy will have a field day with this Detroit secondary. Expect scoring chances both ways here in a back and forth game. Trends, the total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's L11, and in 7 of their L9 played on Sunday's. For the 49ers, the total has gone OVER in 7 of their L10 played on a Sunday at home. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFC Championship O/U Play |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 35 m | Show |
49ers -7 The Detroit Lions (12-5, 6-3 AWAY, 13-6 ATS, 7-2 ATS AWAY) will play against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 9-9 ATS, 3-6 ATS HOME) in the 2024 NFC Championship Game on Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The game is set to start at 6:30pm ET. Opening betting lines have Detroit +6.5 and San Francisco -6.5. Moneyline odds of Detroit +245 and San Francisco -311. The total points expected in the game is set at over/under 51. We're on the 49ers in this one. They hold the value for me, and I think the 49ers can and will win this by 9+. Fact...teams with the #1 seed have won 34 out of 48 conference championship games since the NFL playoffs began in 1975. It's really hard to go on the road in this matchup, and the proof is in the puddin'. The Lions beat Tampa Bay 31-23 last week in the Divisional round, and now they're in their second-ever Conference Championship. The 49ers defeated the Packers 24-21. McCaffrey scored a 2nd TD to win the game with 1:07 left. The 49ers lead the historical series 39-28-1, vs. DTown, with a postseason record of 1-1. Recently, the 49ers have been stronger, winning 11 of their last 12 matchups since 1996. Last time these two played was 9/12/21. A 41-33 SF win in Detroit. (Lions covered the +9.5 in that one) Last season, the Lions and 49ers didn't play against each other. Weather looks to be typical for Santa Clara this time of year. Forecast says it might be 74F with some light winds. Regardless of whether Samuel plays or not on Sunday I have the Niners cruising to victory in this one. Goff will be throwing a ton, as he has in all of DET's losses this year, and that plays right into the strength of this Niners D. That Pass Rush and secondary are elite. It wouldn't surprise me if Goff throws 2+ INT's. If Samuel plays, the Lions will really have their hands full containing Purdy from being the elite game manager he is. Samuel, Aiyuk, Kittle (everyone knows DET isn't great vs. TE's), and oh ya, that CMC guy coming out of the backfield are weapons NO team in the NFL wants to have to contain (Jennings is no slouch either). The Lions have allowed 125+ yards to at least 1 WR in 6 straight games. Sure Lions are great vs. the Run, but the 49ers are so much more than just running the ball with CMC. Expect Purdy in shotgun a ton, gadget plays, play action, and lots of screen passes behind the line to get those 4-6 yard plays on 1st down. Shanahan is greater than Campbell in this one. PFF rated Purdy 95/100 on Play Action this year. Goff, Gibbs and Sun God are great, I'd LOVE them all on my fantasy team, but this isn't the Fantasy Final, this is the NFC championship, and I trust the Niners offense much more than DETROIT. Trends, Lions are 1-11 SU L12 vs. SF, 0-10 SU L10 on the road vs. SF, and 2-5 SU L7 vs. NFC West teams. The 49ers are 8-2 SU L10, 7-1 L8 SU vs. NFC teams, and 13-4 L17 games in JAN. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 10* *RARE* NFC Championship ATS Top Play |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens -3 | 17-10 | Loss | -120 | 148 h 12 m | Show | |
Ravens -3 Kansas City (13-6, 7-2 AWAY, 11-7-1 ATS) is set to face Baltimore (14-4, 7-3 HOME, 12-6 ATS) in the AFC Championship this Sunday. The game will take place at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD, kickoff 3 pm ET, TV on CBS. We’re on the Ravens, laying the points. This will be the Ravens first ever conference title game at home. Opening odds are Moneyline (ML) - Chiefs +140, Ravens -165, and the Ravens are favored by -3.5 ATS. The total Over/Under is set at 45. On one side, we have the Chiefs' formidable run defense contending with Jackson, Edwards, and Hill, while on the other, the Ravens' elite defense faces the challenge of containing Rice and Kelce. These two teams last squared off on September 19, 2021, when the Ravens secured a 36-35 home victory during SNF. Prior to that, Sept. 28, 2020, KC emerged with a win 34-20 as 3.5-point dogs in Baltimore. Baltimore is playing at such a high level right now. Lamar Jackson and company came out with a purpose in the 2nd half of their Divisional Round game and made a statement over the Texans. Jackson is so tough to stop as he can not only beat you with the passing game, but he’s really utilized his running attack. Against Houston, he rushed for 100 yards on 11 attempts. Kansas City’s defense has had issues with mobile QBs and that will be a huge factor in this game. The Ravens defensively are in another level as well. Overall this season they’ve proven to be just so stingy and they cause so many issues for opposing defenses. They’re going to force Mahomes into some tough passing windows and they won’t allow them to get any sort of push with their offensive line. Baltimore is a complete team and right now, they’re just playing at such a high level. This will be the kind of game where they sustain drives and will be the ones to make the bigger plays when needed. In their most recent games, the Chiefs edged out the Bills 27-24 on the road, covering as 2.5-point underdogs. Notably, this marks KC' 6th consecutive appearance in the AFC Championship. As for Baltimore, they defeated the Texans 34-10 at home Saturday, improving Jackson's playoff record to 2-3, and they successfully covered the 10-point home spread. In terms of the all-time series between these teams, KC holds a 7-5 lead. However, it's worth noting that Baltimore had a 30-7 Wild Card win in KC on January 9, 2011. The Ravens come into this one #2 on offense in the NFL (34 PPG), Chiefs #8 (26 PPG). On defense Ravens are #1 in the league (10 PPG allowed), Chiefs are #2 (15 PPG). In the Red Zone the Ravens are #4 80%, Chiefs are #12 40%. Trends, the Ravens are 11-5 ATS L16 on Sunday, and they're 4-1 ATS L5, 7-1 SU L8, 4-1 SU L5 at home, 5-1 ATS L6 vs. AFC teams, and 5-0 SU L5 vs. AFC West teams. Lastly, the Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their L5 games after going for more than 350 total yards in their previous matchup. This line is too nice to pass up. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* AFC Championship ATS Play |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs v. Bills -2.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 136 h 10 m | Show | |
Bills -2.5 The upcoming clash features the Kansas City Chiefs 12-6 (10-8 ATS), against the Buffalo Bills 12-6 (8-9-1 ATS), currently on a 6-game winning streak. Scheduled for this Sunday in Orchard Park, kickoff is set for 6:30pm ET, with TV (CBS). I can't wait for this NFL Playoffs Divisional Round matchup. Initial odds for this matchup the Moneyline (ML) Chiefs +122 and the Bills -144. The point spread (ATS) favors the Bills by -2.5 points (-115), and the total Over/Under (O/U) is set at 46.5 points. In recent performances, the Chiefs dominated the AFC Wild Card matchup, winning 26-7 against the Miami Dolphins as 4.5-point favorites. The Bills had a 31-17 win over the Steelers as 10-point home favorites. In Week 14 of the regular season the Bills narrowly got past the Chiefs 20-17, you'll remember the controversial ending with the Kadarius Toney offside incident. In a trip down memory lane, the last time the Bills hosted the Chiefs in the playoffs was in January 1994 during the AFC Championship, where Buffalo emerged with the win 30-13. This is such an intriguing matchup. The big narrative this week is of course Mahomes has never played a road playoff game, we don't know what to expect?! Of course we know what to expect. He's Mahomes. 2-time NFL Super Bowl winner. He'll be fine. The Bills have a strong playoff record at home since 1970, with a 14-2 record, the best among NFL teams with at least 5 home games. Allen is highly motivated for his second AFC Championship Game appearance. In my opinion, the key to the Bills covering is their run game. The Chiefs have struggled to defend the run since the middle of the season, while the Bills have consistently gained over 100 rushing yards since Week 10. The Bills have to control possession, limiting Mahomes' opportunities and allowing Allen to utilize play-action effectively, relying on Cook, Johnson, and Murray. Will it be loud in Buffalo? Yes. Will it be cold? Yes. Vegas is smart. If Mahomes sucked the Bills would be a 7pt favorite. They're not. But, having said all that, I still think the Bills cover this 2.5. Trends, Bills are 4-2 ATS L6, 6-0 SU L6, 6-1 SU L7 at home, and 5-0 SU L5 vs. AFC teams. Bills are also 4-0-1 ATS L5 vs. a team with a winning record. On the other side the Chiefs are 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU win of 14+ points. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions -6 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 121 h 34 m | Show | |
Lions -6 NFC divisional playoffs this week sees the Tampa Bay Bucs (10-8, 12-6 ATS, 8-1 ATS AWAY, 5-4 SU AWAY) taking on the Detroit Lions (13-5, 12-6 ATS, 5-4 ATS HOME, 7-2 SU HOME) in the Motor City. Ford Field will see a 3pm ET kick off time on January 21st. Since 2007, the Buccaneers and Lions have clashed 10x, with the Lions emerging victorious in 6x matchups. In point spread terms, the Lions boast a 6-4 ATS record when facing the Bucs. In their latest meeting this season, the Lions secured a comfortable 20-6 win in Week 6. Going back farther, in a total of 61 games, including 1 postseason game, between the Lions and Bucs, the Lions have emerged victorious in 32, while the Bucs have claimed 29 wins. Detroit is clicking on all cylinders and they have value here at this number. The Lions take on a Bucs team that really has taken down teams struggling or beaten up during their hot run. This Detroit team is just on a different level right now. The Lions offensively are moving the ball, sustaining drives, and coming up with some big plays. Goff threw for 277 yards and a touchdown in the Wild card win over the Rams, as he has been playing at just a high level right now. He’s taking care of the ball and not forcing anything, which has allowed this offense to sustain drives. Defensively, Detroit is going to pin their ears back and come after Mayfield. The Bucs offensive line is shaky and they have struggled dealing with blitzes. The Lions are only giving up 23.2 ppg and they force a lot of turnovers. Expect them to put together many different looks defensively with their blitz packages and force Mayfield into some tight passes. With the crowd energy and the Lions rolling right now, this is the kind of game they’re going to feed off the momentum. Look for a quick start and for them to ultimately be too much for this Bucs side. Trends, Bucs are 4-11 ATS L15 vs. Detroit. Lions are 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, 7-1 SU L8 at home, 15-5 SU L20 vs. NFC Conference teams, and 5-1 ATS L6 vs. NFC South. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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01-20-24 | Packers +10.5 v. 49ers | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 114 h 36 m | Show | |
Packers +10 The Packers (10-8, 9-9 ATS) are facing off against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 9-8 ATS). The game will be on Saturday evening at Levi's Stadium, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET and airing on FOX. The Packers are listed at +375 on the Moneyline (ML), while the 49ers are favored at -500. The 49ers are 10-point favorites with -110 odds. The Over/Under (O/U) for total points scored in the game is set at 50.5. On Wildcard Weekend the Packers played impressively, beating the Cowboys 48-32 as 7-point road underdogs. The 49ers, on the other hand, secured a first-round bye by being the top seed in the NFC, but they ended their regular season with a close 21-20 loss to the Rams at home. 10 matchups since 2013 between these two, the 49ers hold a slight edge in the series, with a 6-4 record both SU and ATS. In 3 games since 2020, the Packers have done well with a 2-1 record SU and ATS. The most recent was January 2022, with the 49ers winning 13-10. Green Bay has been no push over and we get a very nice number on them in this spot. The Packers came out with a purpose and a plan and they executed better than even they could have imagined it in the Wild Card Game. Green Bay put up 48 points in what was one of their most dominant wins in a big game in franchise history. Jordan Love is clicking on all cylinders right now. He threw for 272 yards and 3 touchdowns as he’s been taking care of the ball and making some big time passes. The Packers balanced attack also saw them rush for 143 yards as a team. They wear teams down and use their run game to open up passing lanes. They have been at their best when they can control the time of possession and that will be the biggest emphasis here. Keeping the ball away from the 49ers offense and sustaining drives offensively is the key for this team. Green Bay has proven they can play with the top contenders now. Their confidence is at an all time high and with the momentum they have, they have the ability to keep this game close. The Packers will have their chances throughout and even have the opportunity to steal this one outright if they can get the run game going early. Trends, GB 6-3 ATS L9, 4-1 SU L5, 6-2 SU L8 vs. NFC teams, and 8-1 ATS L9 vs. NFC West teams. 49ers are 0-5 ATS L5 games at home. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers OVER 50.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 37 m | Show | |
OVER 50.5 Saturday NFC Divisional game features the Packers (10-8, 9-9 ATS) facing off against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 9-8 ATS). Levi’s Stadium, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET and airing on FOX. Two healthy football teams, good weather, right off the hop I'm ruling out variables that I usually consider when looking at NFL totals. The 49ers are 10-point favorites, the Over/Under is set at 50.5. On Wildcard Weekend the Packers played impressively, beating the Cowboys 48-32 as 7-point road underdogs. The 49ers, on the other hand, secured a first-round bye by being the top seed in the NFC, but they ended their regular season with a close 21-20 loss to the Rams at home. The most recent matchup was January 2022, with the 49ers winning 13-10. That matchup was Garoppolo vs. Rodgers at Lambeau. Dan Quinn the Cowboys DC is up for several HC jobs this offseason. He's been touted as one of the best defensive minds in football. The Packers last week made his defense look pathetic. This week we get Jordan Love playing at the top of his game going up against the all-world 49ers defense, and I still think Love will get his this week. He had a near perfect passer rating last week, and and his offense put up 41 points. Aaron Jones looks amazing and healthy, and his WR's are all up and coming. Coach LaFleur put on a masterclass, and I believe in the Packers offense to put up points on the Niners. It won't be as easy of course, but they'll eat. As for the Niners, they're loaded with Pro Bowlers and All-Pro's. They come in off a bye week, and they're the #1 seed for a reason. They'll score on the Packers D. You've got two efficient QB's in this game, two QB's that don't turn the ball over "much", and I could see the Niners up 7-10 most of the game, and the Packers playing catch-up. AND they have the offense to do it. Packers ranks since Week 10. On Offense #3 DVOA, #4 EPA per play #4 Success Rate. On Defense #28 DVOA, #25 EPA Per Play #27 Success Rate. That Pack defense is the big X-factor in this one. Their D was #31 this season with only 7 INTs. 49ers have been dominant this season EVERY time they're favorites, it's going to be on GB to play catch up. If GB can't force Purdy into mistakes the 49ers offense has been too efficient in 23/24 so far for us to not see SF putting up points in bunches. Trends, TOTAL has gone OVER in 7 of GB's L8, 6 of their L6 on the road, and 6 of their L8 on the road vs. SF49. For SF, the OVER has hit in 5 of their L7, 10 of their L14 vs. GB, and the OVER has hit in 6 of SF's L9 vs. NFC North teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NFL O/U Play |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens -8.5 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 99 h 41 m | Show | |
Ravens -8.5 The AFC Divisional round matchup on January 20th features the Texans (10-7, 4-4 AWAY, 9-7-1 ATS, 1-0 ATS in playoffs) hitting the road to take on the Ravens (13-4 regular season, 6-3 HOME, 11-17 ATS) at M&T Bank Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm ET. The Ravens come into this game well-rested, having enjoyed a bye week during the wild card weekend, while the Texans are riding high from their recent surprise blowout Win over the Browns, 45-14. In terms of the opening odds, the Ravens are the clear favorites with a spread of -9.5 points in their favor. Additionally, the moneyline odds stand at -453 for the Ravens and +347 for the Texans. The over/under for the game is set at 45. The last time these two met was 9/10/23, a 25-9 Ravens win in Baltimore. Before that was before CJ Stroud came on board. 9/20/20 a 33-16 Ravens win in Houston. Baltimore is going to give this young Texans team quite the wake up call in this matchup. While Houston beat down the Browns in the Wild Card Game, this is just a lopsided matchup. Baltimore is fresh with the bye in the first round and given all the injuries this season to teams, that will be a huge boost. There won’t be any rust as Harbaugh has kept this team ready throughout the bye. His coaching is a huge edge no matter what coming into play. Baltimore dominated the matchup earlier this season and they have ran some teams over en route to this number 1 seed. They dominated good passing teams like the 49ers and Dolphins this season and they will have a good game plan ready for the Texans. Stroud is going to struggle with this defense that ranks near the top in many categories. Offensively, Baltimore is one of the best. Lamar Jackson is likely your MVP and he’s going to pick apart this defense once again. Baltimore has come up clutch in many big games this season and this one will be no different. Trends, Ravens are 6-0-1 L7 ATS after a SU loss, 5-2 ATS L7, 6-1 SU L7, 7-0 SU L7 vs. when playing Houston, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. AFC teams. On the other side, Houston are 2-4 ATS L6 vs. Baltimore, 2-11 SU L13 vs. BALT, and are 3-9 SU L12 vs. AFC North teams. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs OVER 44 | 9-32 | Loss | -110 | 190 h 43 m | Show | |
OVER 44 NFC Wild Card Weekend. The Buccaneers (9-8, 11-6 ATS, 4-4 HOME) vs. Eagles (11-6, 7-8-2 ATS, 5-4 AWAY) game is scheduled for Monday, January 15th, airing at 8pm on ESPN/ABC. For the fourth consecutive year, the Buccaneers will kick off their postseason campaign by facing a team from the NFC East in the opening round. The Eagles' aspirations for a second NFC East title were dashed when they lost out to the Giants. The Eagles visit Tampa for the second time this season, as they grabbed a 25-11 victory at Raymond James in Week 3. On Sunday, Tampa Bay clinched the NFC South title with a 9-0 victory over the Panthers, though it only brought their season record to 9-8. This season the Eagles averaged 25.88 PPG, and that includes the Week 18 game where they benched everyone and still put up 10 points. They put up over 25 PPG 10x. We're getting a battle tested playoff team, that is rested "enough" coming into the WC game vs. Tampa. The Bucs averaged 21 PPG, including that 9 point stinker in Week 18 vs. the Panthers. They scored over 25 6x. Nice weather, good conditions, I'm expecting points. The Bucs and Eagles provide such an entertaining matchup here on Monday night. The playmakers and explosiveness these two teams have are going to put together quite the game. Tampa Bay did just enough to win the division in Carolina and Baker Mayfield is going to get an extra day rest which will be a huge boost for the Bucs. Mayfield has been showing up in big games all season long and comes in after tossing for 4044 yards and 28 tds. He’s been able to find Mike Evans out wide and he’s been a huge engine for this offense. They’re running into the Eagles at the right time too. Things are dicey in Phili as they limp into the postseason defensively. They allowed 62 points combined over their final two games and the Bucs are going to pick apart this secondary. Philadelphia has a lot to prove themselves here. The offense did put up 31 in one of those losses and they’re going to come out and try to prove a point here. The Bucs are inconsistent defensively and the Eagles can expose that. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 9* NFC Wild Card O/U Play PS I have the ATS premium play up for this matchup up too! |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 173 h 57 m | Show | |
Buccaneers +3 NFC Wild Card Weekend. The Buccaneers (9-8, 11-6 ATS, 4-4 HOME) vs. Eagles (11-6, 7-8-2 ATS, 5-4 AWAY) game is scheduled for Monday, January 15th, airing at 8pm on ESPN/ABC. For the fourth consecutive year, the Buccaneers will kick off their postseason campaign by facing a team from the NFC East in the opening round. The Eagles visit Tampa for the second time this season, as they grabbed a 25-11 victory at Raymond James in Week 3. On Sunday, Tampa Bay clinched the NFC South title with a 9-0 victory over the Panthers, though it only brought their season record to 9-8. Phili is going to have a hard time containing the skill positions of the Bucs, plain and simple. Evans (1255 yards 79 rec 13 TD), Godwin (1024 yards 83 rec 2 TD) White (990 RUSH yards 549 REC yards, 64 rec 9 total TD), Otton (549 yards 47 rec 4 TD), Mayfield (4044 Yds, 237YPG, 28 TD only 10 INT 364/566 64.3 COMP%), plus a defense with just enough playmakers on it to make bigtime plays at big parts of a game. This will not be a cakewalk for favorites (Philly) on the road. The Eagles are limping into this matchup. They haven't looked right since they lost to Seattle, some will say it's even earlier than that. Hurts, Smith, Brown haven't looked like themselves of late, and where's the Philly run game? I don't trust them. I do trust the fact that weather won't be a problem, and Philly rested all their starters in Week 18 so they'll come into this one as healthy as possible, but I like the home team. Baker is due. Tampa will keep this one close. Philadelphia struggles: 0-6 ATS, 1-5 SU in their L6 games. They're 1-4 SU against Tampa Bay, 0-5 ATS vs. NFC teams, and 2-6 ATS in L8 January games. In contrast, Tampa Bay excels: 4-1 ATS in their L5 games, 5-1 SU in their L6, and 10-3 SU in L13 January games. Tampa Bay appears to hold the edge considering these trends. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 7* NFC Wild Card ATS Play PS I have an O/U total premium play up for this matchup too! |
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01-15-24 | Steelers +9.5 v. Bills | 17-31 | Loss | -100 | 52 h 56 m | Show | |
Steelers +9.5 (Love +10 if you see it!) This game now has been moved to Monday, but that doesn't change how we feel about it. The Steelers (10-7, 10-7 ATS) are set to face off against the Bills (11-6, 7-10 ATS) in the 2024 Super Wildcard Weekend. The game is scheduled for Monday, January 15th, at 4:30 ET, to be held at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY. The NFL Wild Card Round betting lines favor Buffalo at -9.5, with Moneyline odds of Pittsburgh +368 and Buffalo -492, and an over/under total of 39.5. Pittsburgh secured their spot with a 17-10 win as 3-point road favorites against the Ravens, aided by Tennessee's victory over Jacksonville, which clinched their final AFC wild card spot. The Bills, having clinched the AFC East title and the No. 2 seed in the postseason, come off a remarkable 21-14 road win over the Dolphins. Monitoring weather for its impact on the game. Forecasts indicate temperatures in the 20s, near 0 wind chills. Expected 24 degrees at 1 p.m. kickoff, with wind gusts possibly up to 50 mph. Weather will be the great equalizer in this matchup. We all know not having WATT this weekend will hurt the Steelers, but I'm banking on the weather and the rest of their defense stepping up, and not letting this game be controlled by Allen and the Bills. Pittsburgh's defense ranks 5th in the NFL with 27 takeaways this season. They are 6th in points allowed, averaging 19.1 PPG, and concede 342.1 YPG. I expect the Golden/Herbig combo to try to fill Watt's void. It won't be easy, but they'll give PIT above average production. Kazee & Fitzpatrick could be back too, it won't hurt having Peterson move back to CB. Another factor in keeping Pittsburgh competitive is their run game. Averaging 156.7 RYPG in their L3 games, I'm expecting them to heavily rely on it vs. BUF. Harris showcased his skills with 255 carries for 1,035 yards, averaging 4.1 YPC and scoring 8 TD's. Warren had 149 carries for 784 yards, averaging 5.3 YPC, and adding 4 TD's. Warren's versatility was evident with 61 receptions too. If they get their job done, this cover will hit. Trends, Pittsburgh has a 13-7 ATS record in their L20, including 13 SU wins. Against Buffalo, they excel at 11-4 ATS in L15, 11 outright victories. In contrast, Buffalo struggles with a 4-9 ATS record in their L13 & faces challenges when favored, posting a 3-7 ATS record in their last 10. No matter when or where we're on PIT ATS. You know what to do. Hop ON! Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3.5 v. Lions | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 149 h 23 m | Show | |
Rams +3.5 NFC Wild Card Weekend. In an electrifying showdown, the Rams (10-7, 5-4 AWAY, 10-6-1 ATS) and Lions (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 12-5 ATS) clash on NBC's Sunday Night Football in an NFC Wild Card Game. Ford Field serves as the battleground, with kickoff at 8 p.m. ET. The intrigue is palpable as Stafford squares off against the team that drafted him, swapping places with Jared Goff. In Week 18, the Rams secured a 21-20 victory over the 49ers, while the Lions bested the Vikings. Notably, this marks the Lions' first home playoff game since 1993. I'm fully expecting this line to reach +2 or +1.5 by kickoff. 85% to 90% of the public is on the Rams, and for good reason. We're getting down early to get the best line, and the possibility of back dooring ourselves into a win here. For the record, I'm not opposed to you sprinkling a little love on the Rams ML in this one, and I like their chances for an outright win here, it just depends how many weapons Goff has at his disposal come gametime. As of today (Monday) I'm not expecting we see LaPorta, or Raymond on the weekend (both injured vs. the Vikings), and trust me, they're big pieces of the Lions offense. Keep up with injury reports this week. Goff vs Stafford is going to be quite the spectacle. These two were flipped years back after spending years with who is now the opposing team in this wild card matchup. The Rams come in the hotter of the two teams and they’re playing at such a high level. They’ve rattled off wins in 7 of the last 8 games, with the lone loss being in Baltimore. In that game, they put up 31 points and covered in a close game. Los Angeles sees a Detroit team that ranks 24th defensively and the Rams are such a threatening offense to deal with. During their current 4 game winning streak, they’ve scored no less than 21 as they’re clicking on all cylinders. Kupp and Nacua are one of the best receiver duos in the NFL. Their ability to make plays and get deep downfield are as good as anyone in the league. With the playmakers the Rams have (don’t forget about Williams in the backfield!) and this team has the edge. We’re getting the better team with points in this spot. Trends, LAR 6-1 ATS L7, 7-1 SU L8, 6-0 SU L6 vs. NFC teams, and 9-4 SU L13 in JAN. Lions 1-5 SU L6 vs. NFC West teams. Rams have won 3 of the L4 vs. the Lions. 10/24/21 28-19, 12/2/18 30-16, 12/13/15 21-14, and the lone loss was 10/16/16 31-28 DET. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFC Wild Card ATS Play |
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01-14-24 | Packers +7.5 v. Cowboys | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 111 h 2 m | Show | |
Packers +7.5 Green Bay (9-8, 9-8 ATS) face Dallas (12-5, 10-7 ATS) in the NFL playoffs' opening round. This Sunday, they'll kick off at 4:30 p.m. ET in Arlington, TX's AT&T Stadium. Notably, the Cowboys were unbeaten at home, going 8-0 in 2023, while the Packers struggled on the road at 4-5. Tune in on FOX. Current odds: (ML) - Packers +275, Cowboys -350, Over/Under - 49.5, Cowboys -7.5 ATS. Last game out, the Packers earned a Wild Card spot, defeating the Bears 17-9 at home, covering the 3-point spread. They ended the regular season strong, winning 3 straight and 6 of their last 8. In contrast, the Cowboys secured the NFC East title with a 38-10 road win over the Commanders. These teams have history, with 38 matchups, Packers leading 21-17, including 8 playoff games. The last matchup was 2022, the Pack won 31-28 in OT. Green Bay has won their last 4 vs. BIGD, including the past three in Dallas. Their last playoff face-off was in the 2016 divisional round, won by the Packers 34-31. The Packers aren’t far off, if even far off from the Cowboys. Green Bay is 9-8 and rattled off 3 straight wins to cap their regular season off as Jordan Love deserves a ton of credit. The Utah State product finished the regular season throwing for 4159 yards and 32 tds. What’s most impressive about his breakout year has been only 11 interceptions. He’s taken care of the ball well and has this offense rolling right now. They come in with a ton of momentum and confidence after putting up performances of 33 points twice and 17 in a game where they dominated the possession against the Bears. Love and company can keep up with this Cowboys attack. Dallas has had their moments on the defensive end where they’ve struggled and Green Bay can frustrate teams with their ability to sustain drives. If the Packers can win the time of possession, they’re going to frustrate the Cowboys all night here. Look for this one to be a close game throughout with Green Bay having their chances to steal it. Trends, GB are 6-2 SU L8, 5-1 ATS L6 vs. DAL, 9-1 SU L10 vs. Dallas, and 5-2 SU L7 vs. NFC teams. Dallas are 1-6 ATS L7 vs. a team with a winning record, are 2-4 ATS L6, 4-14 ATS L18 in JAN, and lastly, they're 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff home games. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys OVER 50.5 | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 111 h 52 m | Show | |
OVER 50.5 This could very well be my favorite bet during Wildcard Weekend. Green Bay (9-8, 9-8 ATS) face Dallas (12-5, 10-7 ATS) in the NFL playoffs' opening round. This Sunday, they'll kick off at 4:30 p.m. ET in Arlington, TX's AT&T Stadium. Notably, the Cowboys were unbeaten at home, going 8-0 in 2023, while the Packers struggled on the road at 4-5. Tune in on FOX. Current odds: (ML) - Packers +275, Cowboys -350, Over/Under - 49.5, Cowboys -7.5 ATS. Last game out, the Packers earned a Wild Card spot, defeating the Bears 17-9 at home, covering the 3-point spread. They ended the regular season strong, winning 3 straight and 6 of their last 8. In contrast, the Cowboys secured the NFC East title with a 38-10 road win over the Commanders. The last matchup was 2022, the Pack won 31-28 in OT. Their last playoff face-off was in the 2016 divisional round, won by the Packers 34-31. Noticing a trend? These two score points vs. each other in the playoffs. 50 is TOO low for this one and I'm all over the OVER. The Pack average over 25PPG on the road (top 5 in the NFL) It seems DAL always has high scoring games when they're at home. I expect no different this week. A clear Packers trend favors high-scoring games, attributed to their low defensive ranking and an 11th-ranked offense. This trend results in a 10-7 OVER record, particularly strong at 7-2 in away games. Remarkably, the OVER prevailed in 6 consecutive Packers' games, starting back on Thanksgiving. Not total is safe with these Packers. Trends, OVER is 5-0 In GB's L5 road games, the total has gone OVER in 6 of GB's L7, and we've seen the OVER hit in GB's L5 road games vs. Dallas. The OVER has hit in 4 of DAL's L5 vs. GB, and in 11 of DAL's L15 vs. NFC North teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs UNDER 44.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 80 h 9 m | Show | |
UNDER 44.5 AFC Wildcard action Saturday at 8pm ET from Arrowhead! Dolphins (11-6, 10-7 ATS, 4-3 AWAY) vs. Chiefs (11-6, 9-8 ATS, 4-4 HOME). I'm jumping on the UNDER train here in this matchup on Saturday. It's the typical "Dolphins are a warm-weather team, how can they play in such cold weather scenario!" The Weather prediction for Saturday in KC anticipates a high of 16°F and a low of -2°F. The 7 p.m. kickoff, happening almost two hours after sunset, might see the temperature dip below zero, potentially creating one of the NFL's coldest games ever. I tend to agree that this will be a running game, especially with any kind of wind in KC. (I've lived in Kansas City - it's always windy there) I read somewhere that the Fins have never won a playoff game when temps are colder than 48 or something like that. Check the forecast. Chiefs are rested after giving starters a bye week in Week 18, most Fins played a ton in Week 18 vs. BUF and in high leverage situations, so the Chiefs D will be fresh. Kansas City holds the #2 position, allowing just 17.3 PPG and limiting opponents to an average of 289.9 YPG. I think Achane and Pacheco will both feature in this one as well which will help keep this clock movin'. Achane finished with 800 yards rushing this year (in limited action) a whopping 7.8 YPC average with 8TD's. Pacheco finished with 935 yards rushing this year, 4.6 YPC, with 7 TD's. He also had 44 receptions. Dolphins ended 6 games this year vs. playoff teams 1-5, they have to zig not zag at this time of year. Their strong suit lies in the running game, which they must emphasize for success. In GERMANY vs. KC, they achieved 5.6 YPC, and the Chiefs' defense ranks 27th in rushing DVOA. It's the only way MIA keeps this one close, and running helps us with the UNDER. To add salt to the Dolphins wounds they're going to miss Chubb, Phillips, Howard (likely), Baker, Van Ginkel, and Goode are all OUT too. Miami are signing guys off the street this week. Trends, Under is 5-0 in Chiefs L5 as a home favorite of 3.5-10, plus, UNDER 6-0 Chiefs L6 vs. teams with winning road records. Also, UNDER has hit in Chiefs L5 at home, and in 5 of their L6 JAN games. You know what to do here. Back the UNDER. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NFL O/U Play |
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01-13-24 | Browns -2.5 v. Texans | 14-45 | Loss | -120 | 125 h 47 m | Show | |
Browns -2.5 AFC Wild Card Weekend. This Saturday, it's a clash between Cleveland (11-6, 11-6 ATS, 3-5 AWAY) and Houston (10-7, 9-8 ATS, 6-3 HOME) in the AFC Wild Card Game at NRG Stadium, kicking off at 4:30 p.m. ET and airing on NBC. Cleveland, having already secured the AFC's #5 seed, rested players in Week 18 vs. Cinci, and they lost 31-14 as 7-point dogs. Before Week 18 the Browns had previously strung together 4 consecutive wins, including a 36-22 victory against the Texans in Week 16. On the flip side, the Texans punched their first playoff ticket since 2019 with a 23-19 win against the Colts. It's worth noting that Cleveland has dominated this series, winning the last 4 meetings since November 2020, and they've also emerged victorious in their past 2 at NRG. Cleveland heads into Houston as slim favorites and we’re backing the Browns here on the road. Cleveland dominated the Texans a few weeks back albeit was without CJ Stroud calling the plays under center. While that makes a difference, we still can takeaway a few things from that game. QB Joe Flacco still picked apart this Texans defense from the outset and that same defense will be up against him here. Flacco threw for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns as Amari Cooper turned in a career day out wide. Also, the Browns defense dominated the Texans offensive line for a majority of this game. These two things won’t change heading into Saturday. Cleveland’s defense is predominately a man to man defense as they aren’t shy about playing 1 on 1 outside. Stroud is one of the best QBs against the zone, but has had issues with man to man coverage. Cleveland will blitz and force him to make some uncomfortable throws in this one. Cleveland has the better team and they’re going to have a vet QB going against a rookie QB. That experience goes a long way in this matchup. From 2012 onwards, rookies have achieved a postseason record of 4 wins and 11 losses, with two of those wins occurring when 2 rooks faced each other in a game. This doesn't bode well for Houston. Trends, CLE 6-0 ATS L6 games as a FAVORITE, and 6-0 ATS L6 vs. a team with a winning record. CLE 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, 4-1 SU L5 vs. HOU, 10-0 SU L10 vs. AFC South. HOU is 2-9 SU L11 vs. AFC North, and 2-5 SU L7 in JAN, plus they're 0-4 ATS in their L4 playoff games as a dog. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* AFC Wild Card ATS Play |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan OVER 55 | 13-34 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 4 m | Show | |
OVER 55 #2 Washington (14-0) takes on #1 Michigan (14-0) in the 2024 CFB National Championship on Monday January 8th at 7:30pm ET from NRG Stadium, in Houston, TX. Watch this one on ESPN. This total opened at 54.5 and was up to 55.5 within minutes of me locking in this play. I expect it to go higher! Despite being considered underdogs, UW has an impressive 20-game winning streak. Michigan has a strong defense to slow down UW's running game, but they may struggle to contain Penix Jr. with their secondary. Both teams' offensive masterminds, Sherrone Moore and Ryan Moore, will use extensive game footage to come up with creative strategies. The game's final outcome is uncertain (at least to me), but it's clear that it will require a lot of points to win. I'm confident that both teams will do well in the red zone. This is going to be a matchup of contrasting styles. Michigan can run, and pound the rock all day long. They've run the ball 30+ times in every game this season. (That will keep the clock moving) Washington showed me in the CFP Semi vs. Texas that stopping the run isn't their forte. What Washington can do well is throw the ball. They might have to throw it 50x in the Final if their starting RB Johnson is out. (That will slow down the clock. LOL) Michigan hasn't faced a WR core that is even close to what Washington is going to throw at them on Monday night. Penix Jr. could be a top 5 pick in the NFL draft and UW in my opinion can score points against anybody. They just have to protect Penix. Michigan averaged 36.7 PPG, and Washington's 37-31 victory over the Longhorns showcased Penix Jr.'s 430-yard passing performance. The Huskies' offense totaled 532 yards, ranking #1 in the nation with 350 passing yards per game. Although Big Blue may have a better shot at winning, they'll face a formidable challenge containing McMillan, Polk, and Odunze, potentially leading to sleepless nights for their defense. This is going to be a heavyweight slug fest with a TON of points. Buckle up. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 9* CFP National Championship O/U Play |
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01-07-24 | Bills -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 103 h 35 m | Show |
Bills -3 I don't release many 10* NFL Plays, but I feel extra strong about this one. NFL Week 18 Sunday Night football on NBC play for the (10-6, 3-4 AWAY, 6-10 ATS) Bills taking on the (11-5, 7-1 HOME, 10-6 ATS) Dolphins, Sunday, at 8:20pm ET, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL. Opening odds have the ML: Bills -163, Dolphins +135. ATS Odds: Bills -3, Dolphins +3. Total: O/U 50. The Bills are in one of the oddest spots ever really. They have a chance at the #2 seed and a chance to miss out on the playoffs. Things are hectic in the AFC Playoff race, but we’re backing Buffalo here as this team has a huge edge on Sunday. Buffalo gets the Dolphins at the right time as injuries are the topic of conversation for Miami. The Dolphins Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips are both on the IR, while a compliment of others sit below 100% even if they take the field. Buffalo has won 4 in a row and they’re doing it with dominant performances on both sides of the ball. They’ve allowed 22 points or less in all 4 wins and are getting contributions from so many different players. Josh Allen has the offense rolling and sustaining drives too, which has kept the ball away from the opposition. That’s going to be a huge key here as the Bills should have success keeping the Dolphins offense off the field and will set themselves up for some short yardage situations on 3rd down. Miami comes in 1-4 ATS against opponents over .500 and their struggles against good teams will be showcased in this contest. Health, Desperation, Motivation, Roster Depth. Buffalo. Check, Check, Check, and CHECK. X-Factor. Bills defense. 4th in the NFL allowing only 18.6 PPG. 10th in YPG, and 7th in passing YPG. 2nd in NFL forcing turnovers. 3rd in sacks. Tua will be running for his life. No Mostert, No Chubb, No Howard, No Waddle more than likely. We saw Miami's offense without him, and a less than 100% Tyreek Hill vs. the Ravens. Tough stretch for Miami. This is a no-brainer for me on Sunday Night football. I have to back the Bills -3 to win another AFC East championship. Trends, Bills 5-1 SU L6, 10-1 SU L11 vs. MIA, 4-1 SU L5 vs. AFC teams, and 8-2 SU L10 vs. AFC East teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday Night RARE 10* NFL ATS Play |
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01-07-24 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Cardinals | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 11 m | Show | |
Seahawks -2.5 The Seahawks (8-8) face the struggling Cardinals (4-12) on Sunday at 4:25pm ET in Glendale, AZ at State Farm Stadium. The Hawks are favored at -163 on the ML with the Cardinals at +133. Against the Spread odds opened in favor the Seahawks -3, and the game's betting total is set at 47.5. We're now getting Seattle -2.5 and are jumping on it. The Cardinals are tough there's no denying that. Murray did great in a 35-31 win against the Eagles. But here me out, strange stuff happens when the Seahawks play in Arizona, and the Seahawks have a better team and stronger will. They have to win this. AZ doesn't. Metcalf, Lockett, and Smith-Njigba will lead the way for Seattle. If Geno Smith can find them, the Cardinals will have a hard time keeping up. In the last 5 H2H matchups, the Seahawks have dominated 4-1. Furthermore, the Seahawks have also excelled ATS, going 4-1. All time Seattle leads the series 26–22–1. The last time they played was a 20-10 Seahawks victory on 10/22/23 in Seattle. The value leans towards the Seahawks. Their recent home loss to the Steelers dealt a blow to their playoff hopes, needing a win and possible help from Green Bay. The Cardinals, led by J. Gannon, show promise, but this game could be a letdown spot despite their notable win in Phili. Trends, Seahawks are 5-1 ATS L6 vs. AZ, 5-1 SU L6, and 5-1 SU L6 IN ARIZONA, and 8-2 ATS L10 vs. NFC teams. AZ are 4-16 L20 SU, 0-7 L7 vs. NFC West teams, and 1-5 SU L6 in January. I think the Seahawks will win, even though they're not great at stopping the run, what they can do is put up points against this AZ defense. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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01-07-24 | Bears +3 v. Packers | 9-17 | Loss | -105 | 98 h 17 m | Show | |
Bears +3 There is no greater pressure in the NFL than a team knowing they have to win to get in the playoffs. It's all on the Packers shoulders this week when the (7-9, 2-6 AWAY, 8-7-1 ATS) Bears face the (8-8, 4-3 HOME, 8-8 ATS) Packers on Sunday at 4:25pm ET in Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI. Opening ML odds: Bears +140, Packers -172; ATS odds: Bears +3, Packers -3; Betting total: O/U 44. Chicago has won 4 of its last 5 games, SU and ATS. Green Bay, 8-8 SU and ATS, kept playoff hopes alive with a dominant Sunday win, as 1-point dogs, beating Minnesota 33-10. NFL prediction time! I'm on the Bears plus the points in this one. I'm just not sold on Jordan Love yet. I've watched him closely all year but I'm not fully convinced he "has it". This is a big game. Weather will be a factor. Yards will be at a premium and I just trust Fields more than Love in this spot. I do not trust the Packers run-D. Do you? Packers are 27th in the NFL against the RUN, and this has to favor the ground-n-pound mentality of the Bears. Fields/Herbert should see 30 running plays between them called in this one. Fields comes into this one with 630 rush yards, Herbert with 583. Foreman may even be active for this one (425 Yds on 3.9 YPC with 4 TD's). Credit the Bears for their growth potential. They've out-gained 4 of the last 5 opponents and out-rushed 13 consecutive foes. Recently, they ran for 250 yards in a 27-16 victory against Arizona but lost 20-17 in a game they led At Cleveland 3 weeks ago they led, and lost, same result. Chicago's last two losses occurred after leading by double digits in the fourth quarter, highlighting their potential for a 7-game streak. This is a good team. Trends, Bears 6-1-1 ATS L8, 5-1 ATS L6, 4-1 SU L5, 5-0 ATS L5 vs. NFC teams. GB are 2-4 SU L6 in JAN, and 1-4 ATS L5 playing as the FAVORITE. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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01-07-24 | Jets v. Patriots -2.5 | 17-3 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 2 m | Show | |
Patriots -2.5 In Week 18, the (6-10) New York Jets face the (4-12) New England Patriots on Sunday at 1:00pm ET in Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA. The Jets are +2.5 underdogs, with a Moneyline of +118, while the Patriots are -2.5 favorites with a Moneyline of -142. The game's total betting line is set at 30.5 points. These two have quite the history. The Patriots and Jets have battled 129 times, with the Patriots winning 74 games, the Jets securing 54 wins, and one tie. We’re on the Patriots here, at home, on Sunday. New England actually has played well as of late after what has been an abysmal season to say the least. They’ve beaten both the Steelers and Broncos on the road and played the Chiefs and Bills extremely tough. They’ve been able to find their offensive groove with Zappe and the defense has made some big plays. The Jets are a fade in this spot after getting beaten up by the Browns in their last game. New York has had a cycle of QBs here in the 2023-2024 season and they now land on Trevor Siemian, who has been very inconsistent. He’s turned the ball over and the Pats defense is going to be too much for him. New England gives up 21 ppg and they’re going to put together a lot of different blitz packages here. Expect the Jets offensive line to be overwhelmed and for the Pats defense to produce a couple of turnovers. Adding to this, all the speculating has surrounded this being Bill Belichick’s last game in New England. It would be appropriate for them to send him out a winner. Trends, the Jets have struggled recently, going 1-8 against the spread (ATS) and 2-7 in straight-up (SU) wins in their L9. Additionally, they are 0-6 ATS against New England and 2-10 SU in their L12 road games. New England has been dominant at home, winning all 10 of their L10 home games against the Jets. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions -3.5 | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Lions -3.5 The Vikings (7-9, 7-6-3 ATS, 5-3 AWAY) and Lions (11-5, 11-5 ATS, 5-2 HOME) will face off in Week 18 at Ford Field this Sunday, kicking off at 1 p.m. ET on FOX. The Vikings suffered a 33-10 loss to the Packers in Week 17, extending their three-game losing streak, while the Lions had a heartbreaking 20-19 defeat against the Cowboys on the road last Saturday, marked by that controversial finish. The Vikings' playoff hopes hinge on specific scenarios: a Packers loss (to the Bears) + Seahawks loss (to the Cardinals) + Buccaneers loss (to the Panthers), or a Packers loss + Seahawks loss + Saints loss (to the Falcons). If there’s ever a team that is going to come out with a ton of fire and looking to take out frustrations, it’s going to be this Lions team. Detroit isn’t going to be shy about what they’re trying to do and that starts from Head Coach Dan Campbell. He’s been very vocal throughout the week about how he intends to play all his guys and will look to make a statement. The Lions have been firing away offensively all season long. They aren’t shy about taking shots deep and it’s led them to averaging 27 ppg. They put nearly 400 yards per game and they can attack in so many different ways. They catch the Vikings who come in with very little confidence. Minnesota was throttled at home against the Packers, marking their third straight loss. They’re all but out of the playoffs unless they got a lot of help and the morale has to be down here. Detroit will look to get the ball to their playmakers and should pick apart this Minnesota defense that struggled with the Packers last week. Detroit’s offense is a few steps above the Packers on the offensive side, which bodes so well for the Lions. Trends, Vikings 1-5 SU L6, 0-6 ATS L6 vs. DET, and 3-7 ATS L10 vs. NFC North teams. On the other side, DET 4-1 ATS L5, 13-5 SU L18, 5-1 SU L6 at home, and 13-5 SU L18 vs. NFC teams. I just can't see a Nick Mullens quarterbacked team giving the Lions any problems in this one. I'm backing Detroit ATS. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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01-06-24 | Texans -120 v. Colts | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show | |
Texans -120 In Week 18, the (9-7) Texans take on the (9-7) Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN, on Saturday, at 8:15pm ET. Opening odds had the Colts favored by a slim -1 point spread, with ML odds of -116, while the Texans have odds of -105. The game's betting total is set at 47.5 points, promising an intriguing NFL showdown between these closely matched teams. The Colts have a chance to win their division if they beat the Texans and the Jaguars lose. The Texans, with a 9-7 record, got stronger with C.J. Stroud back, and they could win the division if they beat the Colts, and just in the nick of time their D is looking better too. (13th in NFL allowing 20 PPG) Whichever you find the cheaper juice is your play. Either Houston PK -120 odds, or just -120 on the ML. Your call. The line has moved in our favor and the value is on HOUSTON. Houston has just been a totally different team when he is out there. The Texans saw Stroud return last week and the team had far more energy than they did in the previous week against Cleveland when he was out. Stroud has thrown for 3,844 yards to go along with 21 touchdowns. Ball security has been a huge piece for him as well, as he’s only thrown 5 interceptions here in the campaign. The Texans have far more playmakers than the Colts. Indy is leaning on Minshew, who has been up and down all season long. He’s going up against a Texans defense that has allowed just 20.9 ppg. This defense will pin their ears back and look to put a ton of pressure in the backfield. They’re going to force the Colts to throw the ball and not allow Taylor to get anything going. Look for this defense to produce some turnovers, while Stroud sustain drives and has this offense rolling. Stroud and Collins (1,102 yards, 7 touchdowns) are one of the most dangerous combos in the league. We’re taking the team with better playmakers and more confidence coming into Saturday. Trends, HOU are 6-3 SU L9, 7-3 ATS L10 on the road, and 6-3 ATS L9 vs. AFC teams. Indy are 6-13 L19 vs. AFC south teams, and 0-5 in their L5 games in JAN. With everything on the line here Saturday, we’re backing CJ Stroud and the Texans. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* NFL ML Play |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4.5 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 703 h 56 m | Show | |
Washington +4.5 The #2 Washington Huskies (13-0, 7-6 ATS) take on the #3 Texas Longhorns (12-1, 6-6-1 ATS) in the CFB Playoff Semi Final on New Year's Day. This game will be played at 8:45 ET January 1st from the Caesar's Super Dome in New Orleans, LA. The game opened with UW a +4 underdog at UT (-4pt favorite) and the O/U is set at 64. Unfortunately for UW fans they'll have to travel to New Orleans instead of their preferred Rose Bowl closer to home in Pasadena CA. Not sure why the committee did that. But it is what it is. Last game for UT, they won 49-21 in the Big 12 Championship game vs. OKST. For Washington, last game out they won the Pac 12 Championship in Las Vegas, taking down Oregon 34-31. (Washington covered the +9.5, and the line went UNDER the 65). In case you forget, there's some intrigue with this matchup. Steve Sarkisian (current UT Coach) used to be the HC at Washington from 09-13. This game is also a rematch from the 2022 Alamo Bowl, where we saw UW defeat the Longhorns 27-20 in San Antonio. In that matchup UT scored 10 late points but behind Penix's arm (287 yards and 2 TD's) UW got the job done. UW also got the job done on the ground in that one. In this game though I think the Huskies will have their greatest chance to cover this spread vs. UT via the pass. UW is the best passing attack in the country. Can UT's frosh corner(s) play mistake free football? Sure, UT have some dudes on their DLine, but I like how the Dawgs match up in the trenches to give Penix time. UW have faced the Ducks twice. Those 2 games have prepared the Huskies for what UT will bring on defense. What did they do to them? They ran screens and routes going sideline to sideline, AND they mixed in an explosive run-game combined with play-action. Expect a game plan that keep's UT on their toes all game long. Penix will be relentless. OU beat Texas this year, and that's exactly what UW is going to do in this one. UW's plan will be to wear down the UT defense. I just don't see a scenario where Texas covers this spread (+4.5). Trends, UW are 10-0 SU L10, and 5-1 ATS L6 when playing as an underdog. You know what to do. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday New Year's Day 8* ATS Play |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -115 | 630 h 51 m | Show |
Alabama +2 We're going with the UNDERDOGS in the CFB Playoffs when the #4 Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1, 9-4 ATS) take on the #1 Michigan Wolverines (13-0, 7-5-1 ATS) in the 2024 Rose Bowl on New Year's Day. Bama jumped up to #4 from #8 after their takedown of the #1 ranked Georgia in the SEC title game. Michigan got here with pretty much a "practice" game against the Hawkeyes in the Big Ten Championship. These two last met up in the 2020 Citrus Bowl. Michigan lost 35-16, but most "experts" will say this isn't the same Alabama team, I'd argue it's not that much different. They're still coached by Saban, and they play his brand of ball. On the other side Michigan hasn't had much luck in the bowls the last couple years. 2022 they lost to TCU, and in 2021 it was a loss to Georgia. Here's the tale of the tape for this one. Scoring: Michigan (14th) 36.7PPG, Alabama (19th) 35.1PPG. Defense: Michigan (1st) 9.5PPG, Alabama (17th) 18.4PPG. Total offense: Michigan (68th) 380.5YPG, Alabama (54th) 401.2YPG. Total defense: Michigan (2nd) 239.2YPG, Alabama (18th) 313.3PPG. As you can see, not much separates these two. This is only the second time in the Saban era that Bama are dogs in B2B games, and now that they've had the dog feeling, they'll have that dog mentality for this matchup. Saban is a master at playing the "they're disrespecting us angle" and play it he will. The last 4 times Bama were dogs (vs. UG) the Tide are 3-1 ATS. These two teams are the top 2 teams to win the national title too, so remember the futures bets that play into this one. Bama is one of the nations most popular teams to bet on (we all know that) and their lines are routinely inflated but in this case its warranted. What has Harbaugh done lately in bowl games? He needs to show me more before I'll bet on him. Sorry Jim. Trends, Bama 5-1 L6, 10-0 SU L10, 8-1 ATS L9 vs. Big Ten teams, and 4-1 ATS L5 as an underdog. Flip it and Michigan is 1-4 L5 vs. SEC teams. You know what to do. Lock in Bama, grab some roses for your significant other and smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. New Year's Day 10* *RARE* CFB ATS TOP PLAY |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 46 | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 17 m | Show | |
OVER 46 Sunday night football this week features the Green Bay Packers (7-8, 7-8 ATS, 3-5 AWAY) travelling to Minnesota to take on the Vikings (7-8, 7-5-3 ATS, 2-5 HOME). Kick-off is 8:20pm ET on NBC. I'm backing points in this game. Last week, the Vikings suffered a 30-24 loss to the Lions as 2.5-point underdogs, while the Packers held off the Panthers with a 33-30 win. In their recent Minneapolis meeting, the Vikings won 23-7 on 9/11/22. Earlier this season, they secured a 24-10 victory at Lambeau on 10/29/23, with Cousins playing a key role. The Packers/Vikings have played 126x, with the Packers winning 65, the Vikings 58, and 3 ties. With Jefferson (141 YDS, 6 REC, 1 TD) back and looking as explosive as ever he's worth his weight in gold for OVER bettors this week. The Packers have seen Jordan Love become what should be their future QB for quite some time after his success in 2023. Love has tossed for 3587 yards and 27 touchdowns as he’s found his success with the ability to hit the long ball. That bodes well for this Over as we’ve seen Green Bay not shy about taking chances deep downfield. They come in off a 33 point performance and should find plenty of success against this Vikings secondary. However, the defense has let them down tremendously. They conceded 30 to a lowly Panthers offense and they’re going to have their hands full with Minnesota here. The Vikings have played QB roulette this season, but they’ve still been able to score over the last couple of weeks. They’ve put up 24 and 23 points in those games, but their defense has been atrocious. All the situational edges point here to a game with scoring chances both ways and a lot of offensive production. Trends, the total has gone OVER in all of GB's L5, and in 4 of GB's L5 vs. NFC teams. For MIN the total has gone OVER in 5 of their L7 vs. the Packers. The Packers and Vikings are both looking to stay alive in their playoff races. We should see some fireworks here between these two sides. I'm backing points in this matchup. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday Night 8* NFL O/U Play |
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12-31-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6.5 | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Kansas City -6.5 Sunday at 4:25pm from Arrowhead the Bengals (8-7, 6-7-2 ATS, 3-4 AWAY) visit the Chiefs (9-6, 7-7-1 ATS, 4-4 HOME). The Chiefs and Bengals are usually finding themselves in the midst of battling for a top spot into the AFC. When these two teams meet on Sunday, they’re battling to just get into the playoffs. The Chiefs were embarrassed on Christmas Day and they’re going to bounce back here in a big way. Kansas City fell to Oakland and the frustration was visible all around. This is a perfect spot for them to grab win number 10. They are still in need of a win and some help to clinch the AFC West and they get a good matchup here with a Bengals team that noticeably is starting to run out of steam after last week. Cinci fell 34-11 to the Steelers in a game where they were dominated from the outset. After having some magic with Browning, they had nothing going and now they’re going to get a fired up Chiefs team that is looking to take out some frustrations. Kansas City still has confidence as Mahomes even came out and said they’re still in the drivers seat. This team still has seen the defense step up, as they’ve given up just 17.7 points per game. That’s one of the best marks in the NFL and they should be able to see this offense produce much more on their end here in Week 16. Kansas City is the better team and has the better playmakers. Trends, Cinci are 3-8 L11 vs. AFC teams. KC are 14-6 SU L20, 13-3 SU L16 vs. AFC, and 11-4 L15 vs. AFC North teams. Look for them to bounce back. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-31-23 | Falcons v. Bears UNDER 39 | 17-37 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 33 m | Show | |
UNDER 39 The Bears (6-9, 5-10 ATS, 4-3 HOME) are set to host the Falcons (7-8, 7-6-2 ATS, 2-5 AWAY) at Soldier Field Sunday at 1pm ET, on CBS. Falcons come into this matchup 24th at PPG (19.13 PPG) in the NFL, and the Bears are 21st (20.9 PPG). Neither are Top 10 in the NFL in the red zone, and the Falcons have the 6th D in the NFL (19 PPG). Last week the Falcons pulled off a convincing 29-10 victory over the Colts, they were 3pt home favorites. Meanwhile, the Bears beat the Cardinals 27-16 covering as 4.5pt home favorites. Examining their H2H history, these teams have crossed paths 29 times since 1966, with the Bears holding a slight 15-14 edge. Each team has won 2 of the last 4. The Falcons secured the latest win, 27-24 in a home game on 11/20/22. Chicago, on the other hand, has grabbed wins in 6 of the last 10. Chicago comes into play on Sunday with only themselves to blame for not making the postseason. They’ve choked games away and their offensive production just hasn’t been there from the start. They are putting up just 20.9 points per game, which is one of the worst marks in the NFL. Their issues stem from their inability to finish in the red zone and turnovers have killed them this season. On the flip side, Atlanta’s hopes hang by a thread, but their inability to score has costed them as well. This team is putting up only 19.1 points per game. They’ve been able to stay in contention thanks in large part to them only allowing 19.2 on the defensive end. This is going to be a game where neither side is able to move the ball with the big play, forcing them to establish a run game and chew the clock. That will play into the favor of this Under in a game where scoring chances come at a premium. Look for a lot of short check downs and runs, which is what these two offenses really have done all season long. I just don't see either of these two teams having offenses that can roll up the other. I think as we get closer to the end of the season points will be at a premium in this one. Trends, for ATL, the UNDER is 6-0 in their L6 as a road dog, the UNDER has hit in 4 of ATL's L5, and in 8 of ATL's L9 in DEC. (dating back to 22 season) For CHI the UNDER has hit in 6 of the L8, and 9 of the L12 vs. Atlanta, plus the UNDER has hit for CHI 3-0-1 L4 overall. I'm on the UNDER. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play |
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12-31-23 | Titans v. Texans -3.5 | 3-26 | Win | 100 | 119 h 35 m | Show | |
Texans -3.5 Sunday in Houston, we have the Titans (5-10, 6-8-1 ATS, 1-6 AWAY) facing off against the Texans (8-7, 5-3 HOME, 7-8 ATS). Last week, the Titans stuck to their ground-and-pound philosophy against the Seahawks. IMO that approach plays right into the Texans' defensive strengths. Houston held the Browns to a mere 54 rushing yards and ranks 6th in the NFL in limiting opponents to just 90 RUSH YPG. To secure a win in this matchup, the Titans will need to rely more on their passing game. While they have talented receivers in Hopkins and Burks, Tannehill at the end of the day is still Tannehill. The Texans are anxiously awaiting the return of star rookie QB C.J. Stroud, who I believe will be back in action. Coach Ryans mentioned Stroud's improvement and his return to team meetings last week. He should be a "GO". If he's 100% healthy, the Texans would likely be favored by -7 points at home. I'm taking them at -3.5. Offensively, Houston averages 21.8 PPG (15th), while Tennessee struggles at 18 PPG (27th). Defensively, both teams are close, with TENN allowing 21.4 PPG and HOU allowing 22 PPG. Notably, the Titans, even with Henry, are 31st in the NFL in the red zone and 28th on 3rd down conversions. In their recent history, the Titans hold a slight lead in the series at 23-20. Their most recent clash was Week 15, a 19-16 Texans win in Nashville. Houston's comeback from a 13-0 deficit showcased their resilience and should boost their confidence for Week 17. To me, it looks like the Titans out of playoff contention are showing signs of fatigue. No gas left in the tank. Trends, Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC South teams (& 1-6 L7), 5-15 SU L20, 1-5 ATS L6 vs. HOU, and 1-9 SU L10 on the road. For Houston, they're 5-2 ATS L7 in DEC, and they're 8-2 ATS in their L10 following a straight up loss. I'm all over the Texans on Sunday as they put the boots to the Titans season. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys OVER 52 | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
OVER 52 (11-4, 6-2 AWAY, 10-5 ATS) Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys (10-5, 7-0 HOME, 9-6 ATS) on Saturday night. (MNF) 8:15 ET from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. This game opened at 53.5. So we're getting good value. Lions AVG. 27.5 PPG (5th), Cowboys 30.1 PPG (2nd). Lions allow 23.7 PPG (22nd) Cowboys allow 19.1 PPG (5th). Both are top 15 in the Red Zone, and Top 10 in TOT YDS PER GAME and TOT YDS Per play. Plus these are two of the top 3 passing offenses in the NFL, and both are Top 15 in RUSH yds per game too. It's offense all over the place. In 4 of the past 5 Dallas home games, there has been a total of 55+ games. The Lions have surpassed the total in 10 out of 15 games. I'm anticipating a high-scoring game with plenty of passing, and this is where the Lions have shown vulnerabilities in their defense. I just have to have action on this game. There's too many weapons. Goff vs. Dak, Gibbs vs. Pollard, CeeDee vs. Sun God, Ferguson vs. LaPorta. Cooks vs. Raymond/Williams. Weapons everywhere. Not to mention two good kickers who can put up points from 75 yards if needed! LOL. I put it off, and put it off, and I stared at it some more tonight and I'm going to hit the OVER 52. I'm expecting both teams to hit 28 midway thru the 3rd quarter. This is going to be a set it and forget it game. Trends, Over has hit in 6 of DTowns L7, and 4 of their L5 on the road, plus, the over is 6-0 in Lions L6 games on turf. Over is 4-0 in Cowboys L4 games on a Saturday, and 8 of their L10 vs. the Lions. Don't overthink it. We're cashing. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* NFL O/U Play |
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12-30-23 | Georgia v. Florida State +14 | 63-3 | Loss | -100 | 288 h 7 m | Show | |
Florida State +14 Get ready for the Orange Bowl showdown happening on Saturday, December 30, 2023, at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. It's the Georgia Bulldogs (12-1, 4-8-1 ATS) going head-to-head with the Florida State Seminoles (13-0, 8-4 ATS), and you can catch all the action on ESPN. The opening betting odds for the Orange Bowl put the Seminoles as two-touchdown underdogs, and the game's total points are set at 44.5. If you're into straight-up betting, the moneyline stands at Georgia (-651) and Florida State (+454). This will be matchup #12 in this long running rivalry. UG leads the series over FSU 6-4-1. They haven't met in 20 years. The last matchup was Bowden vs. Richt's 2022 Sugar Bowl. A 26-13 Georgia win. In their recent matchups, the Bulldogs faced a tough challenge against Alabama, falling short with a final score of 27-24 in the SEC Championship game. On the other hand, the Seminoles are coming off a solid win against Louisville, 16-6 in the ACC title matchup. Let's take a closer look at the stats. Georgia ranks 7th in scoring, with an average of 38.4 PPG. However, they are 97th in points allowed in the NCAA. On the other hand, Florida State's offense is performing well, averaging 37 PPG, which places them 9th in the NCAA. Defensively, Florida State is currently 54th in points allowed, giving up 15.9 PPG. Trends, FSU are 10-0 L10, 4-1 L5 vs. SEC teams, 6-1 SU L7 DEC games, 16-0 L16 Saturday games, and 7-1 ATS L8 games as a DOG. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* Orange Bowl ATS Play |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State OVER 48.5 | 14-3 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
OVER 48.5 (10-2, 8-4 ATS) Missouri takes on (11-1, 6-5-1 ATS) Ohio State in the 2023 Cotton Bowl on Friday. Kickoff is at 8pm ET from Jerry World (AT&T Stadium) in Arlington, TX. Regardless of whether Harrison Jr. plays or not I like the OVER to hit in this matchup. Ohio State enjoys a commanding 10-1-1 historical advantage in their longstanding rivalry with Mizzou. The only victory for Missouri in this series dates back to 1976 when they narrowly defeated OST 22-21. Missouri is currently riding high from a recent 48-14 victory over Arkansas, boasting an offense that averages 34 PPG, ranking them 27th in the NCAA. Defensively, they stand 73rd in points allowed. Meanwhile, Ohio State is fresh off a 30-24 loss to Michigan, failing to secure a 4th-quarter comeback as Michigan outscored them by one point in that final period. The Buckeyes have maintained an average of 32.8 PPG this season, positioning them 33rd in the national rankings. Ohio State is still motivated despite missing the College Football Playoff, and we know Missouri is determined, making them a tough out. We hope Ohio State is just as ready. Kyle McCord is out, but Devin Brown, a good highly touted QB recruit, has just been coached up by Ryan Day for three weeks. (Worth it's weight in gold) He's prepared for the upcoming challenges. Trends, The total has gone OVER in 7 of Missouri's L10. Over is 3-0-1 in Buckeyes L4 bowl games, and the Over is 3-0-1 in Buckeyes L4 neutral site games. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 9* CFB Cotton Bowl O/U Play |
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12-29-23 | Notre Dame -6 v. Oregon State | 40-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Notre Dame -6 #21 vs. #15. The games are getting better aren't they? Friday we get the (8-4, 6-6 ATS) Oregon State Beavers taking on the (9-3, 8-3-1 ATS) Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Kicking off at 2 pm ET on CBS. ND closed the regular season with impressive back-to-back wins, defeating Stanford 56-23 as 26-point favorites. Their offense has been prolific, scoring 45+ points in 4 of the last 5 games, while their defense allows just 16.6 PPG. Missing players or not, ND are the better all-around team here on Friday. Oregon State faces a challenging matchup after losing to top-10 ranked teams in their recent 2 games. The history, the Fighting Irish have a historical bowl game record of 20-21, which includes a perfect 1-0 record at the Sun Bowl. In contrast, Oregon State holds a solid 12-7 bowl game record, with an impressive 2-0 record specifically in games played in El Paso. The Fighting Irish boast superior overall team talent and a stronger presence at the line of scrimmage compared to what the Beavers will bring to the field on Friday. Notre Dame is battle-tested and highly motivated to make a statement in this game. It has the potential to turn into a lopsided contest of monumental proportions, and I doubt we'll be nervously watching as the clock ticks down in the fourth quarter. It's just a shame we don't get Hartman vs. Uiagalelei! Trends, OST are 1-4 ATS L5, and 1-4 L5 games in DEC. ND are 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, 9-2 SU L11 vs Pac 12 schools, and they're 5-2 SU L7 in DEC. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 8* NCAAF Sun Bowl ATS Play |
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12-29-23 | Clemson v. Kentucky OVER 44 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
OVER 44 The Clemson Tigers (8-4, 6-6 ATS) are set to face off against the Kentucky Wildcats (7-5, 6-6 ATS) in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Friday. The game will kick off from EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida, at Noon ET and will be televised on ESPN. Clemson, with a 26-23 record, heads to the Gator Bowl for the 10th time, where they're 4-5. Facing Kentucky in Jacksonville, they aim for a 5th consecutive win this season. Kentucky, initially 5-0 but later struggling with a 5-1 stretch, redeemed themselves with a notable win over #10 Louisville. They hold a 12-10 bowl game record. Although Kentucky leads the series 8-5, Clemson won their recent clash 21-13 in the 2009 Music City Bowl. Listen, I'm going to make this a quick write-up ok? BET THE OVER. For some reason this line has trickled down after the opening. The public thinks that because players are missing this game (it's a good list) that there won't be offense. Problem is bettors aren't realizing (for some reason) that the guys missing this game are on the defensive side of the ball. (8+ guys combined on D for both teams) I think we'll see 50+ points in this matchup. The teams are going to fling it around, and I think we're going to see a really entertaining game (if you like offense), and two teams that will be runnin' & gunnin' all day. Trends, Kentucky exceeded the Over in 7 of 9 recent games with an 8-4 season Over record. Clemson hit it in 3 of 6 games. The Over trend favors Kentucky with a 6-0 record against winning teams and 4-0 following wins. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 8* NCAAF Gator Bowl O/U Play |
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12-28-23 | Arizona -2.5 v. Oklahoma | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
Arizona -2.5 (Love -2 or -1.5 even more) Winning night on my Wednesday Bowl plays! Back for more Thursday. Time for the 2023 Valero Alamo Bowl featuring the (9-3) Arizona Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners (10-2). Kick off is at 9:15pm ET from Alamodome, in San Antonio, TX. These two have played each other 2x thru the years. They've split the series 1-1. The Sooners are playing in their 25th straight bowl matchup, while the Wildcats return after not playing in a bowl since 2017. Arizona's impressive journey, from 1-11 in 2021 to 8 wins, marks a historic turnaround. Fueled by a convincing 59-23 victory over ASU, the Wildcats aim to sustain their momentum. They come in red hot and they take on a new look Oklahoma side on Thursday night. The Sooners saw Dillion Gabriel walk out the door and head to Oregon and they’re going to turn to their future, true freshman Jackson Arnold. He’s up for a tall task against this Arizona team that is playoff at such a top level. The Wildcats finished the season winning 6 straight games and the most points allowed in one of those games was just 24. This Arizona defense is going to pin their ears back and fire away on this true freshman in the backfield. Expect this defense, that gives up just 20.8 PPG, to really mix in different blitz packages. Offensively, they have been on fire since Noah Fifta took over. He’s been able to lead this offense during their winning streak with his ability to beat teams through the air. He threw for over 500 yards in the win over ASU into the season finale and will have a field day with this Sooners defense that has opt outs. Momentum and motivation are on the Wildcats side. Arizona, are battle-tested, and grabbed W's in 4/6 games against AP Top 25 teams during a rigorous season. Trends to consider, Arizona shines with a remarkable 7-1 ATS streak in their L8 and a flawless 8-0 SU record when favored. OU is 1-6 SU record in their L7 games as a dog. Back the Cats in the Alamo Bowl. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 9* ALAMO Bowl ATS Play |
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12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns -7 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 56 h 53 m | Show | |
Browns -7 Week 17 is here, and on Thursday night we get the Cleveland Browns (10-5, 9-5-1 ATS) taking on the New York Jets (6-9, 5-9-1 ATS) in Amazon Prime's Thursday night football. Last game out Cleveland took down the Texans Sunday 36-22. For NYJ, they had a 27-7 halftime lead vs. the Commanders but couldn't hold the lead and only won on a late 54 yard Zuerlein FG for a 30-28 win. Cleveland has been one of the best stories in football this season. They’ve had injury after injury and now they’ve overcome just about everything. They have been playing with the next man up mentality and that’s the case here as they will enter Thursday with a chance to clinch a playoff spot. Home field advantage has been a huge part of their success and the place will be rocking Thursday. Cleveland has lost just one game at home in the 2023 season. They have won 3 straight overall and offensively this team is clicking on all cylinders. During this stretch, they’ve had performances of 31, 20, and 36 points. The 20 point game was a frantic 4th quarter comeback as well in a game where weather was a struggle. Joe Flacco has tossed for 1307 yards and 10 TD's since joining them and he’s made everyone around him better. Djoku and Cooper both are threats all over the place and they’re going to feast on this Jets defense. New York has plenty of question marks surrounding them on both sides of the ball, which should open the door for Cleveland here. The Browns will pin their ears back defensively and cause so many issues in this Jets backfield. I just don't see any way that NY stays with Cleveland in this one. I think Cleveland wins by 13-17, and with Siemian at QB I'm expecting a Browns DTS as well. Trends, Jets 1-7 ATS L8, 2-6 SU L8, and 2-9 SU L11 on the road. Browns are 6-2 ATS L8, 6-2 SU L8, 5-0 ATS L5 at home, and they're 5-1 SU L6 vs. AFC teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State +2.5 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 221 h 35 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State +2.5 On Wednesday evening Dec 27th the Texas A&M Aggies (7-5, 5-6-1 ATS) take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-4, 7-6 ATS) in the 2023 Texas Bowl from the Texans' NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. Kick off is at 9pm ET. A&M are 1-0 neutral site this season, while OKST are 0-1. Opening betting odds favored the Aggies -2 in this one, while the initial O/U total was set at 53. For straight up ML bettors you'll get Texas A&M (-136), Oklahoma State (+114). A&M owns a 18-9 series record vs. the Cowboys. The last time they played each other was 12/27/19, a 24-21 Aggies victory. Before that game, the Cowboys had won 4 straight. (2011, 2010, 2009, 2008 as Big 12 foes) In recent games, the Aggies lost 42-30 to LSU but surprisingly outgained the top-ranked offense 390-389, showcasing their impressive #8 ranked defense. The Cowboys, on the other hand, suffered a 49-21 defeat against Texas in the Big 12 championship game. Despite winning 7 of 8 leading up to the championship, Oklahoma State was dominated by Texas, with the Longhorns scoring on their first 4 possessions for a decisive W. They simply were too good for OKST. Stats: Oklahoma State is ranked 51st for rushing yards and 24th for passing yards, averaging 264.2 yards per game. They score 29.5 PPG (37th) and allow the 20th fewest points. Texas A&M averages 34.2 PPG (26th) on offense and concedes 21.3 PPG (74th) on defense. Trends, Oklahoma State boasts a 6-3 ATS record in their L9 games and a 7-2 SU record during that span. They've excelled as underdogs, going 4-1 ATS in their L5 such games. In contrast, Texas A&M has struggled, with a 1-5-1 ATS record in their L7 games and 0-5-1 ATS against Oklahoma State. Additionally, Texas A&M holds a 1-4 SU record in their L5 matchups with Oklahoma State and a 3-7 ATS record in their L10 games against Big 12 conference opponents. You know what to do. Hop ON! Razor Ray. Wednesday 9* Texas Bowl ATS Play |
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12-27-23 | Louisville v. USC +6.5 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
USC +6.5 (Love +7 if you can find it) In the 2023 Directv Holiday Bowl, the Cardinals (10-3, 2-1 Neutral Site, 6-6-1 ATS) will face USC (7-5, 3-9 ATS). USC has a 1-2 record in past Holiday Bowl appearances and has never met Louisville before. The San Diego weather for game time is expected to be in the 60s to low 70s and light 5mph winds. USC appears to have the edge in explosiveness, averaging 41.8 PPG, ranking 6th nationally, and 329.8 passing yards per game, also ranking 6th. We’re on the Trojans here in the Holiday Bowl. USC had probably the most disappointing season as Caleb Williams continued to put up impressive numbers but this USC defense failed him on many occasions. From National Championship aspirations to now the Holiday Bowl with all these opt outs, the line is what it is for a reason. However, motivation is still on the side of this USC team. They have a pool of talented young players who are eager to get their shot. Truthfully, it’s better having them play than the veterans who struggled all season. The Trojans will turn to Miller Moss at QB and he’s going to take on a dejected Louisville side themselves. The Cardinals overachieved without a doubt. They however, have to be disappointed as they wanted to be playing in a New Years Six Bowl, but failed to take down Florida State in the ACC Championship game. The Cardinals sputtered down the stretch with losses to Kentucky and FSU. It’s so tough to even look at trends here given the opt outs on both sides. One thing we know though is Lincoln Riley will have this young group ready to go. This is a lot of points for a Trojans team that still has a ton of talent to go around. Trends, USC holds a 5-2 SU record in their last 7 matchups against ACC teams. I'm backing the Men Of Troy tonight. You know what to do. Fight On & Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Wednesday 8* Holiday Bowl ATS Play |
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12-27-23 | North Carolina v. West Virginia -6 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
West Virginia -6 The 2023 Duke's Mayo Bowl will feature a showdown between the North Carolina Tar Heels (8-4, 1-0 Neutral Site, 6-6 ATS) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (8-4, 7-5 ATS). The game is scheduled for Wednesday at 5:30pm ET and will take place at the Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. We’re on the Mountaineers here, laying the points in this spot. North Carolina started off as one of the top teams in the NCAA, but finished with 4 losses and now have a date with the Mountaineer here in the Dukes Mayo Bowl. The key here is North Carolina will be without star QB Drake Maye and number 1 WR Devontez Walker. These two propelled the entire offense to their 8 wins and now they will have to turn to plenty of inexperienced players in this game. That doesn’t bode well against a WVU team that is extremely physical. The Mountaineers finished the season with two impressive wins over Cinci and Baylor and they won 4 of the last 5 overall. Momentum is on the side of this team that averaged 32 ppg. They will have a majority of their roster playing here and should be able to overpower this UNC side. West Virginia will lean on their rushing attack, that averages 234.3 ypg, which is one of the best marks in the NCAA. Trends, North Carolina has struggled recently, going 1-5 ATS in their L6 games and holding a 3-7 SU record in December. In contrast, West Virginia is thriving with a 4-1 SU record and a perfect 5-0 ATS record against ACC opponents. I'm backing the Mountain Men in this one. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Wednesday 9* Duke's Mayo Bowl ATS Play |
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12-26-23 | Kansas -12 v. UNLV | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 487 h 50 m | Show | |
Kansas -12 (Love -11.5 if you can find it) In Phoenix, AZ on December 26th from Chase Field it's the Guaranteed Rate Bowl featuring the Kansas Jayhawks (8-4, 5-4 Big 12, 7-5 ATS) vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (9-4, 6-2 MWC, 10-3 ATS). (Two basketball schools hammerin' it out on the gridiron! I can't wait!) The Jayhawks are the favorite by -12.5 (Open), and the total is set at 64.5. If you're a ML bettor (straight up, you'll see KU -466, and UNLV -347. Who's betting that? These two schools share a bit of history, although not extensive. Big 12 vs. MWC matchups are rare. Kansas and UNLV are set to meet for the third time. They previously faced off in a home-and-home series in 2002 and 2003. Kansas emerged victorious in the most recent encounter in 2003, with a score of 46-24. However, UNLV secured their inaugural matchup in Las Vegas in 2022, winning 31-20. One of my favorite teams to watch this year was the KU Jayhawks. They come into the Guaranteed Rate Bowl with some momentum too which is always a critical factor when I'm making bowl picks. I ask myself, do they have something to play for? In KU's case the answer is YES. They haven't won a bowl game in years and they have a good enough team this year to do it, and expectations are higher because of their 8 win season. They're tired of being KU basketball's little brother. They finished off their season with confidence after securing a 49-16 victory against the Cincinnati Bearcats on the road. A bowl win here would put a bow on an impressive season. They're building big things in the flatland. They're set at QB, and RB, and they have a handful of players who could even be playing on Sunday's in their future. This is a good looking football team. UNLV comes in off of a 10-win season sure, but they are limping into this one, and there's some obvious question marks for them in this game. The Rebels are coming off a defeat against the Boise State Broncos, with a final score of 44-20. They lost their last 2 in fact. It's their first bowl game in nearly 10 years too. To make matters worse, I'm reading QB Maiava is in the transfer portal, so that's another kick to the shins. Also, Barry Odom is aware there are a TON of NCAA coaching vacancies around the country, and his name is coming up for a lot of them. Money talks, and if it does he won't be around to coach this one more than likely. Trends: UNLV are 2-5 ATS in their L7 vs. B12 teams, and are 1-4 in their L5 December games. On the other side Kansas are 4-1 ATS L5, 8-4 SU L12, and 9-2 SU in their L11 playing as the FAV. I have KU as a 2-TD favorite. KU have the better QB, and they're the better team. You know what to do. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Tuesday 8* Guaranteed Rate Bowl ATS Play |
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12-25-23 | Ravens +6.5 v. 49ers | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Ravens +6.5 Nice 3-1-1 NFL day on Christmas Eve. XMAS DAY NFL action today. We have the (11-3, 9-5 ATS) Baltimore Ravens taking on the the (11-3, 8-6 ATS) San Francisco 49ers. Baltimore likes this matchup. The Ravens have won 5 of 7 meetings, including a 20-17 decision four years ago. Their most famous matchup: a 34-31 2012 Super Bowl win. We’re on Baltimore here, grabbing the points in what could be one of the best matchups we’ve seen all season. Two teams who are favorites in their respective conferences battle it out to cap off Christmas. Lamar Jackson is one of those QBs who thrives as an underdog. He comes in 11-2 ATS as an underdog in his career and has won 9 of those games straight up. Digging in deeper, the trends get better. He has gone 19-1 SU against NFC teams in his career. Jackson is experiencing a resurgence in his performance, reminiscent of his 2019 MVP season. With a career-high 66.3% completion rate, he's thrown 17 TD's, and aims for his third 1,000-yard rushing season. You don’t get these numbers and trends by accident. Jackson is a big time player who makes the big time plays when they’re needed. The Ravens are allowing just 16.1 PPG, which is one of the best marks in the NFL. Their ability to force the opposition into some tough third down situations and get off the field is why this team thrives. We’re facing the public here, who is backing San Fran at a huge rate on Monday. The Ravens are equally as good of a team and their ability to strike for the big play can match this 49ers side. Weather should be high 50's, low 60's at kickoff, light breeze. Trends, Baltimore boasts an impressive 11-5 ATS record in their L16 games and an 8-1 SU streak in their L9. They've dominated San Francisco with a 5-1 SU record in the L6, and on the road, they're 6-1 SU. Perfect 8-0 SU record against NFC conference L8. I'm on Lamar and the Ravens tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-25-23 | Raiders v. Chiefs OVER 40 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
OVER 40 XMAS DAY NFL! (6-8, 1-5 AWAY, 7-6-1 ATS) Raiders take on the (9-5, 3-3 HOME, 7-6-1 ATS) Chiefs at 1pm ET from GEHA Field at Arrowhead. Weather shouldn't be a "BIG" factor here. High 30's, 10-15mph winds, and 15% chance of precip. Late addition. Limited write-up considering it's XMAS DAY. Going to just make this a 6* play. 1-step above my free plays. Make it a small play for sure. The initial number started at 42.5 but has since dropped to 40. I'm taking this opportunity to bet on the OVER. Mahomes played well against the Raiders in Vegas, and the Chiefs need to build confidence in their passing game for the playoffs. I think Mahomes could have a game with two touchdowns and over 275 passing yards today. Pacheco is also back today for KC. Let's go with it. I'm banking on LV doing enough to help us get OVER here too. The Raiders, confident after a Thursday night victory over the Chargers, have extra rest, and should be riding high after a franchise-record 63-21 win against the Chargers on Dec. 14. Last time they met they put up 48. Trends. OVER has hit in 6 of L7 games between these two teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday XMAS DAY 6* NFL O/U Play |
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12-24-23 | Patriots +6.5 v. Broncos | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 101 h 57 m | Show | |
Patriots +6.5 On Sunday night, it's the Patriots (3-11, 3-10-1 ATS) squaring off against the Broncos (7-7, 5-8-1) at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO. NFL Moneyline Odds show the Patriots at +223 and the Broncos at -284. As for NFL ATS odds, the Broncos are the favored side at -6.5, a bump from the initial 5.5-point spread. The Over/Under stands at 34. The last meeting dates back to 10/18/2020, where Denver secured an 18-12 win in New England. While Newton and Lock were under center in that game, this time around promises a different matchup. Denver holds a series advantage, leading 27-22 and 4-1 in postseason matchups. Recent form has the Patriots coming off a loss to the Chiefs, while the Broncos stumbled against the Lions. Taking a closer look at this game, the low total caught my attention. I don't anticipate a one-sided affair with the Broncos racking up 28+ points. Instead, I believe the Patriots can make some headway, especially on the ground, against the struggling Broncos defense. Denver's defense ranks 30th in Yards Per Game Allowed (382.4) and 31st in Run Defense (146.9 YPG). They concede an average of 25.1 PPG, placing 28th in the NFL, which plays into the Patriots' strengths. Despite Zappe's tough day against the Chiefs, he managed 240 yards and three TDs against the Steelers, showing potential. Denver's inconsistency this year raises concerns, and the Patriots' sturdy defense, yielding only 4.8 yards per play (fifth in the NFL), adds another layer to consider. We simply need to stay within a TD, so I'm leaning towards the Patriots this Sunday night. Pats are #13 in the Red Zone surprisingly, so I'm happy about that. It's a low total as I said, points will be at a premium. Trends, Denver are 2-4 ATS L6 vs. AFC East teams, and strangely 1-8 ATS L9 Week 16 matchups. Pats ATS is the play. However, I'd approach the Patriots' ML bet cautiously. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-24-23 | Cardinals v. Bears -4 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 95 h 25 m | Show | |
Bears -4 (3-11, 1-6 AWAY, 7-7 ATS) Cardinals face the (5-9, 3-3 HOME, 6-7-1 ATS) Bears this Sunday at 4:25 PM ET in Soldier Field, Chicago, IL. Opening NFL lines show Moneyline Odds with Cardinals +179 and Bears -222. ATS, the Bears are favored by -4.5 points, with an NFL Betting Total set at O/U: 44. Their last matchup was 12/5/21, a 33-22 Cardinals win. Murray took on Dalton that day. Both teams suffered losses last week, with the Bears falling to the Browns 20-17 in a thrilling matchup, while the Cardinals faced a more significant defeat, losing 45-29 to the 49ers. In that game, the Cardinals' defense struggled to contain the 49ers' high-powered offense. The Cardinals currently rank 29th in PPG allowed 26.9 PPG and only manage to score an average of 18 PPG (#22). The Bears, on the other hand, allow an average of 23 PPG (20th). When it comes to offense, both teams have relatively similar passing and rushing statistics. However, the Bears boast a formidable defense. They hold the top spot in rush defense, allowing just 79.8 YPG, although they are ranked 26th against the pass, conceding 239 YPG. The Bears' defense is also third in the NFL in forcing turnovers, and they possess a decent pass rush (at home they're obviously even better). Despite the Bears' recent loss, there are positive signs in Chicago. The team played well against the Browns, nearly winning on that spectacular Mooney "hail Mary" play. Justin Fields remains a topic of discussion as a potential franchise QB. The Cardinals' game plan usually revolves around running the ball when playing outside of Arizona, where their games tend to end with totals in the 30s. However, this week, facing the Bears' top-notch run defense, their ability to run effectively is in question. With the Cardinals ranking last in DVOA and surrendering the second-most points 26.9 PPG, it's challenging to see how they can generate sufficient offense. While the Cardinals are no longer in playoff contention, the Bears maintain a slim chance of making the postseason, as no team in the NFC North has clinched. They have won two of their last three games, and the team appears to be buying into Eberflus' coaching. Hopefully, the Chicago weather adds an extra challenge, with current predictions indicating a mild 51 degrees but potentially dropping into the 40s with lakefront winds. The Bears are a team that refuses to give up on their season, and I'm leaning heavy toward the -4. Trends, AZ 3-17 SU L20, 2-11 SU vs. NFC teams, and 1-5 L6 vs. NFC North teams. Plus they're 2-6 ATS L8 DEC games. The Bears are 4-2 L6 ATS, 4-0-1 L5 vs. NFC teams, and 3-0-1 L4 after allowing 90 YDS rushing in prior game. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -1.5 | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
Dolphins -1.5 The Cowboys (10-4, 9-5 ATS) and Dolphins (10-4, 9-5 ATS) are set to clash in a Week 16 showdown on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Dallas lost to the Bills 31-10 on Sunday, while the Dolphins rebounded from a Week 14 setback with a 30-0 win over the New York Jets (covering a -7 spread). Over their last 4 games, Miami is 3-1 straight up and 3-1 against the spread (ATS). The Dolphins are looking to improve their home record to 7-1. In their series history, including 1 postseason game, the Cowboys and Dolphins have played 15 times with Dallas ahead 8-7. That includes 4 straight Dallas wins and 3 straight in Miami. On defense, the Cowboys are currently positioned 13th in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 18.9 PPG and gaining 294.3 YPG. The Cowboys are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog. In the Dolphins' win over the Jets, the Dolphins controlled the time of possession at 36:21 to 23:39 for the Jets. If they can replicate that, they'll come out on top in this one. Their defense is top flight as well. In terms of yards allowed, the Dolphins are 5th in the league while giving up 293.4 YPG. Miami's defense has allowed 21 PPG, placing them 13th. I think Dallas is going to have trouble containing the Miami run game. Mostert and Achane are going to have some big holes. Look at what Buffalo did to Dallas last week. The blueprint is now out there on how to beat this Cowboys team. The Cowboys were pushed all over the field in the loss to Buffalo and allowed 266 rushing yards. Hill leads the NFL with 1,542 yards and also has 97 catches and 12 TD receptions. He was limited in practice on Friday and listed as questionable. You know he's playing in this one! I like Miami to win without Hill, with Hill, I love this play. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-24-23 | Packers v. Panthers UNDER 36.5 | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 45 m | Show | |
UNDER 36.5 NFL Week 16 features a matchup between the (6-8, 2-5 AWAY, 7-7 ATS) Packers and the struggling (2-12, 2-4 HOME, 4-9-1 ATS) Panthers at the Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. The game will be televised on FOX, and the current betting odds have the Packers as -4.5 favorites with a ML of -231, while the Panthers stand at +184. The over/under for the game is set at 36. Last week was a tough one for the Packers as they faced disappointment at home, losing 34-20 to the Bucs. Love couldn't make 'that play' needed for a victory. The Packers, however, have a historical edge over the Panthers, winning 11 out of 17 matchups. In their last two meetings in 2019 and 2020, Green Bay emerged victorious. When it comes to scoring on the road, the Packers have been averaging 23.1 points per game. However, the Packers offense have struggled on the road compared to their home games. On the other side, the Panthers secured an unlikely win in front of an empty stadium and unfavorable weather conditions last week, ending a 6-game losing streak. The final score was 9-7, highlighting their offensive struggles. Carolina has not scored more than 18 in the last 5 games, averaging just 14.7 PPG, placing them 26th in the NFL. Bryce Young, the Panthers' rookie QB, has thrown 9 TD's and 9 INT's this season, reflecting his challenging debut. Expect a game where both teams feature their running backs, Hubbard and Jones, with moderate success. Neither team has been efficient in the red zone, with the Packers ranking 22nd and the Panthers at 29th in this aspect. Trends, the UNDER has hit in 7 of CAR's L8, and Under is 6-0 in Panthers L6 home games, 4-0 in CAR L4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and the UNDER is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.0. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play |
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12-24-23 | Seahawks -3 v. Titans | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Seahawks -3 The Seahawks (7-7, 7-6-1 ATS) are set to clash with the Titans (5-9, 6-8 ATS) this Sunday at Nissan Stadium, with kickoff at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). The Seahawks on MNF snapped a 4 -game losing streak with a comeback 20-17 win over the Eagles. This win holds significance for a Seattle team still aiming to secure a playoff spot. Now, they travel to Tennessee, where a win would push their record above .500 at 8-7, with 2 games left to play. In their 18 meetings, starting in 1977, Seattle holds a 10-8 edge in the series, but the Titans have won the last 2 (2017, 2021) and 3 of the last 4. Geno Smith has no injury designation and is set to return this week, providing stability for the Seahawks. On the flip side, the Titans enter the weekend with significant injuries. Titans' rookie quarterback Will Levis, the team's starter, is questionable for the game against the Seahawks. If he can't play, veteran Ryan Tannehill will step in. The key for the Seahawks is to stop the Titans' run game, especially Henry, who had a dismal performance last week with only 10 yards from scrimmage. Seattle has the blueprint to stifle the Titans' ground attack, relying on big defensive tackles like Leonard Williams and Jarren Reed. The Seahawks' season is on the line, and they are poised to step up BIGTIME. Additionally, the Seahawks boast a better turnover ratio and score more points per game (PPG) than the Titans. Tennessee's offensive struggles in the second half, averaging just 7.8 PPG, rank them 28th in the league. With weapons like Walker III, Charbonnet, Bobo, Metcalf, Lockett, Smith-Njigba, and a strong tight end package, the Seahawks have the advantage. Expect a Seahawks win on Sunday. Give the points. They'll cover the 3. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-23-23 | Utah -6 v. Northwestern | 7-14 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 45 m | Show | |
Utah -6 Utah (8-4, 6-5-1 ATS) take on the Northwestern Wildcats (7-5, 8-4 ATS) on Saturday at 7:30pm ET from Allegiant Stadium in LV. These two last played on 12/31/18. A 31-20 NW win that saw NW cover the +6.5 Saturday however, the Utes are the move here, laying the points in the SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl. Northwestern lacks the level of coaching expertise that Utah benefits from. Kyle Whittingham is widely regarded as one of the top head coaches in the nation. Prior to the 2023 season, he expressed confidence that the 2023 Utah team was the most talented they had ever assembled. Despite facing numerous injuries Utah has a clear cut advantage here on Saturday night. For starters, the Utes are going to have the advantage when it comes to the fan base in this stadium. Utah already travels well and with this being in Vegas, there should be plenty of red in the crowd. Northwestern just doesn't have any sort of fire power on their side. This team averages just 22.8 points per game, while putting up just over 300 yards per game. This offense has struggled to find any sort of consistency here in 2023 and they go up against one of the best defenses in the nation. Utah has allowed under 20 ppg and they love to put together a lot of different blitz packages. Utah's offense battled all year, they only really looked bad in 1 game (Oregon), but they continued to find consistency and put up good numbers. This is going to be a mismatch every which way you look at it. Utah is much better on both sides of the ball and they'll feed off this "home" crowd energy. NW are 3-6 L9 vs. PAC 12 teams, and 4-13 SU L17 as a DOG. The Utes are 14-6 SU L20, 5-0 SU L5 in DEC, 7-3 L10 SU vs B10 schools, and are 15-5 SU L20 playing on a Saturday. Backing the Utes -6. Enjoy the game! You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl ATS Play |
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12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +2.5 | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 71 h 40 m | Show | |
Steelers +2.5 This Saturday, AFC North rivals clash at Acrisure Stadium as the Bengals (8-6, 6-6-2 ATS, 3-3 AWAY) take on the Steelers (7-7, 7-7 ATS, 4-4 HOME) in a pivotal battle. Last week, PIT had a forgettable outing, suffering a 30-13 defeat at the hands of Indy. Meanwhile, the Bengals secured a hard-fought 27-24 victory over the Vikes, with Browning delivering a stellar performance in the 4th and OT (184 YDS, 2 TD’s). In PPG the Bengals rank 14th, averaging 21.93, while the Steelers are 28th with 15.9 PPG. Defensively, the Bengals allow 22.21 PPG (20th), while the Steelers, known for turnovers, rank 9th, conceding just 20 PPG. As for QBs, Browning starts for the Bengals despite a right forearm issue. For the Steelers, Mason Rudolph, 'battle-tested' and on a '1-year-playing-3rd-string-QB-for-another-contract' contract, makes his first start in nearly 2 Years. In their prior meeting this season, the Steelers won 16-10, covering the -2 point spread. Back in Week 12, the Steelers dominated, outgaining the Bengals by nearly 200 YDS. The Steelers' defense, allowing an average of 20 PPG, will aim to shut down key Bengals players like Mixon and Higgins. With Chase expected to miss the game this task is a little easier. Plus, Browning hasn't yet faced a robust defense led by TJ Watt in the midst of the fervent Pittsburgh crowd. PIT need to get their run-game involved again. Warren & Najee need more touches. This 62 and 72 Rush YPG nonsense needs to stop. It will this week! Play with the lead, run the ball, increase your RB's touches. It's easy math. If all else fails, the Steelers defense WILL win this game for Rudolph & Tomlin (there's all sorts of "feels" in this one. I'm backing the Steelers as home underdogs to secure the win. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-23-23 | James Madison v. Air Force +1.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 66 h 51 m | Show | |
Air Force +1.5 The Armed Forces Bowl on December 23, 2023, features a matchup between the (11-1, 8-4 ATS) James Madison Dukes and the (8-4, 4-7-1 ATS) Air Force Falcons. The game kicks off at 3:30 PM ET and will be broadcasted on ABC. In their last appearance, the Dukes secured a dominant 56-14 win against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers. On the other hand, the Falcons faced a 27-19 loss to the Boise State Broncos. Air Force has the value here, with the points. James Madison was the Cinderella story of the season. They went 11-1 and had the entire nation watching them as they even got College Gameday to come out their way. (Granted that was their lone loss of the year) However, despite a good season, the Dukes have been hit with a lot of departures prior to this game. For starters, head coach Curt Cignetti departed for Indiana and they’ll now have their offensive line coach calling the shots for this game. They’re going to get a look at this triple option from Air Force and it’ll be something they’ve not seen this season. That’ll cause a lot of issues for them, especially with the Falcons getting healthy. QB Zac Larrier will be back after missing the last two games. He’ll lead this attack that ranked second among FBS teams in total rushing yards (3,309) and rushing yards per game (275.8) during the regular season. The triple option will open a lot of gaps on this JMU defense that will get worn down. Plus, this is the 7th time Air Force will be playing in the Armed Forces bowl. The experience is there and on this side. Trends, AF are 5-1 ATS L6 in DEC, and are 4-0 ATS in their L4 bowl games. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* Armed Forces Bowl ATS Play |
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12-23-23 | Duke v. Troy OVER 44.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
OVER 44.5 Troy (11-2, ATS) takes on the Duke Blue Devils (7-5, ATS) in the 76 Birmingham Bowl Saturday. Kick-off at NOON ET from Protective Stadium in Birmingham, AL. Duke won the last meeting between these two in 2014 34-17, hardly relevant to this matchup, but felt like telling you! LOL These are two teams that tend to open the playbook during bowl season. Looking at historic trends of Troy in bowl games, they love to push the issue. The Overs have hit in 8 of the 9 Troy bowl games in their history of the program. The Trojans have also been on a tear lately with the over. Over their last 4 games of the year, they averaged 40 points per game themselves as this offense has been clicking on all cylinders. The Trojans averaged 32 points per game this year and their ability to strike for the big play will help this total out. On the other side of things, Duke has been equally as good on hitting overs in bowl games. The Blue Devils have hit the over in 5 of the last 6 bowl games and they went over this number in their final 4 games of the season. Duke averaged 28 points per game this season and they tend to really open the playbook and take their shots in games like this. Look for plenty of action and fireworks, with this low total going over. The total score has gone OVER in the L5 of Duke's most recent 6 matches, and the OVER has hit in 4 of Troy's L5. Plus, Over is 5-0 in Blue Devils L5 bowls as a dog, it's also 5-0 in Trojans last 5 neutral site games as a favorite, and it's 5-0 in Troy's L5 bowls as a FAV. Lastly the total has gone OVER in Troy's L4 following a SU win. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* 76 Birmingham Bowl CFB O/U Play |
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12-22-23 | Central Florida -6 v. Georgia Tech | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
UCF -6 Two 6-6 teams battle it out here on Friday. (GT 7-5 ATS) (UCF 5-7 ATS) We’re on UCF here, laying the points in the Gasparilla Bowl on Friday night. UCF has made a living on this field in bowl season over the recent seasons. They are in search of their third Gasparilla Bowl win over the last five seasons, as they’re extremely familiar with this bowl game and field. That does play into the advantage side of things as the experience of being in this environment does factor in. UCF comes in 6-6 after winning their final game of the season to clinch a spot in bowl season. They’ve had a few impressive wins down the stretch of the season that saw them go 3-1 over their last 4, including an absolute dominant performance over #15 Oklahoma State 45-3. QB John Rhys Plumlee has battled injuries, but over his last 6 starts he’s compiled 10 touchdowns through the air and rushed for 310 yards and another 4 touchdowns on the ground. The Knights will also lean on RJ Harvey, who compiled nearly 1300 yards on the ground and 16 touchdowns this year. Georgia Tech threw everything they had and then some in their finale against Georgia, only to fall short. The Yellow Jackets conceded over 30 points per game and this fast paced attack from UCF is going to cause a lot of issues for them. This will be the kind of game that Georgia Tech struggles to contain the speed and ultimately they falter because they’re not built to come from behind. GT are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. AAC teams, UCF 12-5 L17 playing at a FAV. You know what to do. UCF -6. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday Gasparilla Bowl 8* CFB ATS Play |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams -4 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 25 m | Show | |
Rams -4 (7-7, 4-9-1 ATS) Saints face the Rams (7-7, 8-5-1 ATS) in a Thursday Night Football clash on Amazon Prime. Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California. NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines favor the Rams by -4 points, with Moneyline Odds at New Orleans +170 and Los Angeles -207. The Over/Under stands at 44.5. Last season, the Saints triumphed over the Rams 27-20. The Rams have won 4 of their last 5, maintaining playoff hopes with a 28-20 victory over the Commanders. The Saints face a daunting task, contending with the Rams' formidable offense. Nacua and Kupp pose threats, while Williams, nearing 500 rushing yards post-IR return, exploits the Saints' weakness, allowing nearly 5.0 YPC (bottom 3). Attwell's potential return and Robinson's contributions strengthen the Rams further. The Saints struggle against tight ends, making Higbee a viable option. Stafford could surpass 250 passing yards by halftime. New Orleans ranks #21 in red zone offense, confronting a sturdy Rams defense. The Saints have scored 19 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 road games. If they settle for field goals while the Rams convert in the red zone we'll have an easy cover. The Rams' defense allows 226.1 passing yards and 110.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 14th in sacks. With all this in mind, I'm going with the Rams. The Saints travelling on a short week, and we're unsure about Olave, so trusting Carr on the road isn't the best call. Trends, NOS 4-10-1 ATS L15, 4-8 ATS L12 vs. LAR, and 0-6 ATS L6 on the road vs. LAR. On the other side, the Rams are 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, and are 9-3 L12 vs. NFC South teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday Night 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida +3 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 30 h 30 m | Show | |
USF +3 (6-6, 6-5 ATS) The USF Bulls take on the Syracuse Orange (6-6, 4-7 ATS) in the 2023 Roofclaim.com Boca Raton Bowl this Thursday at 8 PM ET. The game will be held at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, FL, and the ATS Betting Lines favor Syracuse at -3. For the Boca Raton Bowl Moneyline Odds, USF is at +132, and Syracuse is at -160. The College Football Betting Total is set at O/U 61. This year's bowl games have been full of uncertainties, but this matchup seems less affected. USF has only one player in the transfer portal, Summerall, who is ruled out for this game. USF has proven they can play good football, coming off a convincing 48-14 win over Charlotte. Their offense averages 185.2 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt, ranking 36th in rushing yards and 34th in passing yards nationally, with an average of 270.7 yards per matchup. They've been putting up 30.8 points per game, thanks to their QB, Byrum Brown, who boasts 3,078 passing yards, 23 TDs, 11 INTs, 745 rushing yards, and 11 TDs on the ground, placing them 44th in the nation. On the other side, Syracuse, who recently beat Wake Forest 35-31, will have an interim coach, Nunzio Campanile, leading them. Syracuse had a bit of some drama unfold prior to them being put into this spot. They decided to part ways with coach Dino Babers after a very inconsistent and sub par season. The Orange's starting QB, Garrett Shrader, is out for the Boca Raton Bowl due to shoulder surgery, and Braden Davis will start in his place. Boca Raton isn't that long of a trip so they'll have good support. (Compared to Cuse) I wouldn't even have a problem with you sprinkling a little on USF's moneyline odds here. USF needed a win over Charlotte in their last game and they got it in dominant fashion as they put them away 48-14. It was a complete win for them as they threw for 315 yards and ran for 188. This team runs a balanced attack and they use their run game to open up the pass game. USF is built with speed and they’ll try to get to the outside and make some big plays. USF has the better playmakers and getting points is a nice spot for this Bulls side. Trends, SYR 2-6 ATS L8, 2-6 SU L8, 2-8 ATS L10 vs. USF, and 5-11 ATS L16 vs. AAC Teams. Last time these two met was a 45-20 USF win on 9/17/2016. I'm expecting more of the same. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 8* CFB ATS Play |
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12-18-23 | Eagles -3 v. Seahawks | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 23 m | Show | |
Eagles -3 In Week 15 of Monday Night Football, it's a clash between the Eagles (10-3, 6-4-3 ATS) and the Seahawks (6-7, 6-6-1 ATS) at Lumen Field. The game is set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN. The opening odds for this showdown Moneyline (ML): Eagles -205, Seahawks +172, and Against the spread (ATS): Eagles -4.5 (-105). Worth noting, the initial spread has shifted, and we now have the Eagles at -3. In their recent outings, the Eagles suffered a tough loss to the Cowboys, falling 33-13, while the Seahawks, with Drew Lock at QB, covered the spread as 16.5-point road underdogs in a 28-16 loss to the 49ers. The Seahawks are hopeful for Geno Smith's return on MNF. Looking at the history between these two teams, this Monday's game marks their 20th meeting, with Seattle holding a 12-7 advantage. Week 12 of the 2020 season was their last matchup, Seattle won 23-17. The line has dropped due to the Eagles' recent struggles against the Cowboys and 49ers. However, they previously defeated challenging opponents like the Cowboys, Chiefs, and Bills. Facing Seattle's struggling defense, which ranks poorly against both the run and pass, presents a promising opportunity. Seattle, on a four-game losing streak, has also faced strong teams like the Niners, Cowboys, and Rams. This matchup offers potential for the Eagles' offense to shine. Listen you know I'm a Seahawks fan, and the Hawks haven't lost to the Eagles in the PC era but this is a strange year, and I just don't trust the Seahawks team any longer. I just can't for the life of me see them winning this game on Monday night. So...I'm playing the Eagles -3. Trends, Eagles are 10-3 SU L13 games, and are 9-2 SU L11 vs. NFC teams. Hawks are 1-5 SU L6, 1-4 SU L5 vs. NFC teams, and are 1-6 ATS L7 in December. This won't be a blowout by any means, but Lumen Field isn't as tough to win for road teams as it used to be and Phili is a much better team than Seattle is. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion UNDER 49.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
UNDER 49.5 WKU (7-5, 5-7 ATS) take on ODU (6-6, 7-5 ATS) at 2:30pm ET today in the Famous Toastery Bowl in Charlotte, North Carolina. In a game that nobody seems to want to watch or predict I'm going to weigh in with a play on the TOTAL. Backing the UNDER in this one. Reason #1. WK will have a frosh starting at QB who has thrown less than 5 career attempts in college football. The coaches kid. Turner Helton. Reason #2. WK's defense is actually pretty good. They've gotten the better of many a QB this season keeping completion rates down, and they cause turnovers (Top 20 in the nation in picks). They also get fumbles (Top 20 in the country). We're going to get a team that is well coached, but for this game they'll be undermanned due to all the player transfer portal and injury news coming from this team. I'm not overly impressed with ODU's defense to brag about it here, but what I do like is the fact their offense isn't good either. They scored 31 TD's all year. That's the 5th least of ALL bowl teams playing this bowl season. Weather high 50's 50% chance of rain, 10-15mph winds. Playing on a Monday afternoon is the most ideal situation for this teams. This has the makings of a sluggish game from the outset. Also, neither of these teams are going to light up the scoreboard. While the Hilltoppers averaged over 28 points per game this season, but now they have a backup qb going that has barely seen any sort of time under center. This offense is going to be slow and really try to work the run game in. That plays into our advantage as WKU will chew a lot of clock. On the other side, ODU is as slow as it gets offensively. They put up just 22 points per game and their defense only allows 26. This will be the kind of game runs dominate. Look for a slow tempo both ways and for these teams to put their main focus on sustaining drives. Trends, total has gone UNDER in 5 of ODU's L7, and in 4 of their L5 when they're the favorite. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 7* NCAAF O/U Play |
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12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars OVER 41.5 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
OVER 41.5 This is a RARE 10* top play! On Sunday night, the Ravens (10-3, 8-5 ATS, 6-7 O/U) will be facing the Jaguars (8-5, 8-5 ATS, 7-6 O/U), kick off at 8:20pm ET from EverBank Stadium, in JVille, FL, watch on NBC. Sunday Night Football and I'm expecting a gunfight at the O.K. Corral. Both of teams have what we call in the industry "high octane offenses". Both can score quick and if you look at what the did last year it tells me we can expect more of the same this year. (28-27 final score). This upcoming matchup could very well surpass that high-scoring affair. The Ravens look of late like they have shifted their offensive strategy towards a greater emphasis on passing. It's working. They're showing us explosive big-play potential. Lamar averaged 11+ air yards per attempt vs. the Rams. This transformation has resulted in them scoring 31 points or more in 6 out of their last 7. Flowers, OBJ, & Likely are all HR hitters, and Lamar...well. At this juncture of the season, Jackson stands out as one of the NFL's premier performers. His impressive record now sits at 14-3 for December, making him the 2nd-most successful QB in the NFL since 2018. They're on top of their game as evidenced by the fact that 3 out of their last 4 games they've scored more than 54, and in 5 of their last 7 they've managed to go over 44. The Jags are quite familiar with high-scoring games as well. In their recent 4, they have consistently reached a total of 45+, and this pattern has persisted in 7 of last 9. Their D isn't what everyone thinks it is either. Allowing 24+ in their last 4. The last prime-time Jags game vs. the Bengals is just a taste of what this game will offer. So buckle up. It's going to be fun! Trends, Over has hit in 5 of Ravens L7, and OVER has hit in 4 of Jags L6 at home. The OVER has also hit in 7 of the Jags L8 in December. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday *RARE* 10* NFL O/U Top Play |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -1.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
Bills -1.5 The Cowboys (10-3, 9-4 ATS, 3-3 AWAY) and Bills (7-6, 5-8 ATS, 5-2 HOME) will face off this Sunday afternoon at Highmark Stadium. The game is set to kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on FOX. Buffalo seems to have hit their stride lately, and their recent triumph against the Chiefs appears to have saved their season. With 2 wins in their last 3 games, they've joined a 6-team tie for the last 2 AFC Wild Card spots. Their 20-17 victory over the Chiefs provided a much-needed morale boost. Allen had an impressive performance, amassing 233 PAYDS & 1 TD, likely boosting his confidence. I also have confidence in the Bills' defense this week. While Dallas boasts a potent offense this season, Buffalo's defense has been stepping up, and I expect them to do so again on Sunday. When playing at home, the Bills are a formidable force, securing 3 wins in their last 4 home games and covering the spread in 5 of their last 7 December games. In their recent matchups against the Cowboys, they hold a 4-1-1 record in the last 6. I've watched almost every minute of every Cowboys game this season and I'm here to tell you the loss of Hankins is a big, big, big deal. It gives the Bills run game a sliver of hope, and that's all they need in this one with such a tight spread. We all know the Cowboys have had an easy schedule... right? The Dallas offense has boosted its statistics by facing weak opponents and favorable conditions, and you know it's true, but it has only managed to score more than 23 points in a single away game out of its last 5, with the exception being the Panthers. I'm a believer that Allen will scramble all night long, as the Cowboys have for the most part contained run-games, but they haven't contained running QB's. It'll be in the game plan. Diggs will get back on track, and Cook and Gabe Davis will have bigtime impact games. Hopefully the weather is terrible too! Predicted High 40's 25% chance of rain. Trends, DAL 1-4-1 ATS L6 vs. BUFF, Bills 13-7 SU L20, 5-1 SU L6 vs. NFC, and 5-2 ATS L7 in DEC. Bills have won 2 straight vs. Big D. It's going to be 3. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns UNDER 38 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 120 h 35 m | Show | |
UNDER 38 In Week 15, it's Chicago (5-8, 6-5-2 ATS, 2-5 AWAY) facing off against Cleveland (8-5, 8-5 ATS, 6-1 HOME) at Cleveland Browns Stadium, with kickoff set for 1 p.m. ET on FOX. The odds for this matchup are as follows: Moneyline (ML): Bears +148 | Browns -170, Against the spread (ATS): Browns -3, and the opening total, Over/Under (O/U): 37.5. The last time these teams met was on September 26, 2021, in Cleveland, where the Browns secured a 26-6 victory as a 7.5-point favorite. Over the years, they've clashed a total of 17 times since 2009, with the Browns claiming victory in 10 of those matchups and the Bears winning 7. Chicago has been on a roll lately, winning 3 out of their last 4 games. Their defense has been impressive, conceding 13 or fewer points in 3 of those 4 games. On the flip side, the Browns have been strong in both passing and rushing defense this season. However, they gave up 27 points and nearly 400 yards of offense in Week 14. This performance puts the responsibility squarely on the shoulders of Walker Jr, Harris, Smith, and Garrett. I anticipate a full turnaround from them this week against the Bears. Neither team is particularly good in the red zone (bottom 15 in the NFL), Neither average more than 22PPG, both are bottom 12 in the NFL in TOT Yds per game, and both are bottom 5 in TOT Yds per play. When it comes to passing stats, both are Bottom 8 in the NFL. Don't get me started on QB ratings. Trends, UNDER has hit in 5 of the L6 Bears' matchups, and we've seen the UNDER in 4 of the L5 Bears' games vs. AFC North teams. On the other side, the UNDER is 8-1-2 in the Browns' L11 home games, and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Browns' L5 vs. the Bears, 11 of their L16 vs. NFC Teams, and all 5 of the Browns' games vs. NFC North teams. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play |
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12-16-23 | California +2.5 v. Texas Tech | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 105 h 19 m | Show | |
California +2.5 The (6-6, 6-6 ATS) Cal Golden Bears take on the (6-6, 5-7 ATS) Texas Tech Red Raiders in the 2023 Independence Bowl from Independence Stadium, in Shreveport, LA this Saturday at 9:15pm ET. We’re backing Cal in the Independence Bowl as they take on Texas Tech. When looking at this, there’s a few factors to consider. Cal is excited to be here. This team was 3-6 heading into their matchup with Washington State. They needed a defensive stop in a shootout to hold off the Coogs in a 42-39 win. They then had to go on the road to beat Stanford and UCLA to become bowl eligible. Winning 3 in a row, they come in hot right now and are going to have all the motivation to be in this spot. On the flip side, Texas Tech comes in with no momentum. They limp in after getting throttled in what will be their final meeting with rival Texas for quite some time in a 50 point loss. Cal’s offense is going to be a problem in this one. They finished their season with performances for 42, 27, and 33 in their victories. They’re clicking on all cylinders right now and take on a Tech defense that has struggled at times this year. This is a matchup where they can open the playbook up and cause a lot of issues for this Red Raiders defense both on the ground and through the air. Some trends, Bears are 3-0-1 ATS in their L4 as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 pts. Plus, CAL are 4-1 ATS L5, and 4-2 ATS L6 games played on Saturday's! TT are 2-4 ATS L6, and are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Bowl games as a favorite. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* CFB Independence Bowl ATS Play |
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12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions UNDER 47.5 | 17-42 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 20 m | Show | |
UNDER 47.5 Denver (7-6, 5-7-1 ATS, 3-3 AWAY) and Detroit (9-4, 8-5 ATS, 4-2 HOME) will clash in a rare Saturday NFL matchup at Ford Field, going up against a slate of college football bowl games for ratings. Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm ET, with opening odds showing Moneyline (ML) Broncos +168 | Lions -200, Against the Spread (ATS) Lions -4 (-110), and Over/Under (O/U) total 40. Historically, Denver leads the series 9-5, winning their last 3 meetings, including a dominant 38-10 victory in 2021. The Lions come off a 28-13 loss to the Bears on Dec. 10, while the Broncos secured a 24-7 win over the Chargers. In last week's action, Goff threw for 161 YDS, 1 TD, and 2 INT's for the Lions, while Wilson passed for 224 YDS, 2 TD's and 1 INT for the Broncos. Not overly stellar numbers for either QB. The Broncos hold a 9-5 record in 14 regular-season games dating back to 1971. Denver faces a challenging week, playing their third consecutive road game on a short week, despite winning six of their last seven games. On the other side, the Lions are highly motivated, eyeing a playoff spot in the competitive NFC. Trends, the total has gone UNDER in 7 of the Broncos L8, and the UNDER is 5-0 in DEN's L5 as a DOG, and is 7-0-1 in the Broncos L8 following a win of +14, lastly we've seen the UNDER hit in 4 of DEN's L5 on the road. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NFL O/U Play |
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12-16-23 | UCLA -4 v. Boise State | 35-22 | Win | 100 | 103 h 55 m | Show | |
UCLA -4 The (7-5, 5-7 ATS) Cal Golden Bears take on the (8-5, 7-4-2 ATS) Boise State Broncos in the 2023 LA Bowl (hosted by Gronk) from SoFi Stadium, in Los Angeles, CA this Saturday at 7:30pm ET. The Bruins have value here on Saturday against Boise State. Some may think UCLA underachieved this year and while that’s true, this team is still going to be happy to be here. The Bruins did take down rival USC in dominant fashion here in 2023 and now a bowl win will be a bonus to end the season. Boise State is dealing with a lot of opt outs and injuries as well. The Broncos latest saw WR Eric McAlister transfer, leaving them another weapon down. This offense is going to struggle all night long here to move the ball as they simply do not have the weapons to keep up. The Bruins can lean on this defense too. They allowed just 18.1 points per game this season as they really fluster opposing defenses. They put together a lot of different blitz packages and force a lot of turnovers. They’re going to pin their ears back and come at this Boise State team, as they lack the weapons. Combine all this with this game being a home game for the Bruins with this played in California and they’ll have the crowd behind them. An added bonus is Gronk is expected to be in attendance. If that doesn’t get this team pumped, nothing will! Some trends BST 1-4 SU L5 vs. Pac 12 teams, 1-5 ATS L6 in DEC, and 1-5 SU L6 playing as a DOG. On the other side, UCLA 7-3 SU L10 vs. MWC teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* LA Bowl ATS Play |
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12-16-23 | Steelers v. Colts | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Colts PK (Or play the Colts on the ML, your call) The Steelers (7-6, 7-6 ATS, 3-2 AWAY) are set to face the Colts (7-6, 2-4 HOME, 8-5 ATS) on Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET (NFL Network). In terms of opening sportsbook odds, the Moneyline (ML) has the Steelers at +105 and the Colts at -125. The ATS line favors the Colts at -1.5 (-110), although there has been a shift towards Pittsburgh. The total Over/Under (O/U) is set at 42.5. In their recent games, the Colts suffered a 34-14 defeat against the Bengals on Sunday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point underdog. Meanwhile, the Steelers are currently on a two-game losing streak, having lost 21-18 to the Patriots on Thursday, failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. The Colts are the move here on Saturday. This is a fade of Pittsburgh for a lot of reasons. Even with Kenny Pickett, they were playing on borrowed time as they were constantly outgained yardage wise. This team has struggled all season long and now they have Mitch Trubisky running the show. That doesn’t bode well for a team that is averaging just 16 PPG. They have had zero consistency and their inability to sustain drives has been the biggest flaw. They also come in off back to back tough losses to two sub par teams. The Cardinals and Pats have put them in tough spots as now this schedule doesn’t get any easier. Indy is right there as well in the playoff race with an identical 7-6 record. Despite struggling in Cinci last week, they still have a lot to build off of lately. Prior to that, they won 4 in a row and they are relentless on both sides of the ball. The difference here will be their ability to score. Before that loss to Cinci, they put up performances of 28 and 31 in two wins. Fade Pittsburgh in this spot. I don't Pittsburgh will be playing with the lead, and because of this they'll be throwing which at least plays into the Colts defensive strength. Trends, the Steelers are 6-12 ATS in their L18 in DEC. Indy are 4-1 ATS in their L5, 4-1 SU in their L5, and 4-2 ATS in their L6 when playing as the favorite. Colts are 6-4 in their L10 home games. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH +6.5 v. Appalachian State | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 99 h 25 m | Show | |
Miami OH +6.5 (Circa) I've had some good luck backing the RedHawks this season, and expect that trend to continue on Saturday when the (11-2, 10-3 ATS) Miami-Ohio RedHawks on the (8-5, 6-6-1 ATS) Appalachian State Mountaineers in the 2023 Cure Bowl from FBC Mortgage Stadium, in Orlando, FL this Saturday at 3:30pm ET. Miami OH is getting points here and it’s just too many to pass up on. They're looking for their 12th win which be only the second time getting this done. (The first was Ben Roethlisberger's team in 2003 that went 13-1). The Redhawks continue to be doubted and undervalued and they keep ignoring all of that and just winning. That was the case in the MAC Championship as they entered as 7 point underdogs and came away winners 23-14 in a game where their defense dominated. That has been the theme all year long for this Miami OH side as they are allowing just 16.2 points per game this year. During this 5 game winning streak, the most points allowed has been 16 and they even have a shut out to add to their resume. App State comes in on a low after Troy throttled them in the Sun Belt Championship. App State’s defense has been far too inconsistent this year and the Redhawks can certainly win the battle of possession. Look for this game to be a grind, which favors Miami. The Redhawks can dictate the possession and sustain drives, frustrating this App State side all night long. MIA-OH lost 24-20 to UAB in the Bahamas Bowl last year, while App ST. didn't play in a bowl game last season. Trends, M-OH are 10-2 ATS in their L12 games, are 5-0 SU in their L5, and are 10-1 SU in their L11 played on a Saturday. Appalachian State are 1-6 ATS in their L7 in December, plus they're 3-10 ATS in their L13 when they're the favourite. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* CFB Cure Bowl ATS Play |
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12-16-23 | Jacksonville State -2.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State -2.5 The (8-4, 8-3-1 ATS) Jacksonville State Gamecocks take on the (6-6, 5-7 ATS) ULL Rajin' Cajuns on Saturday at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA in the 2023 New Orleans Bowl. Kick off is at 2:15pm ET. Watch this one on ESPN. Jacksonville State has a lot of value in this spot. In Bowl games, motivation is everything. If you want one team that has all the motivation in the world coming into this game, then look no further. Jacksonville State is new to the FBS and this will be the first bowl game in program history. They got in on a technicality about there not being enough bowl worthy teams, but they won't care. They have a huge edge coaching wise too. Rich Rodriguez has seen plenty of bowl games throughout his coaching career as this will be his 12th bowl appearance. That holds a huge factor for us here in this spot on Jacksonville State. This team has played hard all year to get to this spot, as they finished with 8 wins overall. They averaged just 20 points against while putting up 28 as a team, as they play with a ton of pace. On the flip side, Louisiana will be playing in this bowl game for the 7th time in 12 years. The repetitiveness is going to play a factor for sure as this is no longer a special treat for them. Jacksonville State will lean on their defense, while this offense will open things up and take plenty of shots. We’re getting the better team at a nice number here. Jax State lost their regular-season finale 20-17 to New Mexico State. Meanwhile, the Ragin' Cajuns are headed to their 11th bowl game, becoming bowl eligible with a 52-21 victory over Louisiana-Monroe. Trends, ULL are 2-4 SU in their L6, and are 0-8 ATS in their L8 following a straight up win. JVST are 4-1 ATS L5, and are 8-4 SU L12. Plus, they're 6-0 ATS in their L6 following an ATS loss. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 6* NCAAF ATS Play |
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12-16-23 | Vikings +3.5 v. Bengals | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 58 h 19 m | Show | |
Vikings +3.5 In Week 15, the (7-6, 7-4-2 ATS, 5-2 AWAY) Vikings face the Bengals (7-6, 4-3 HOME, 6-6-1 ATS) at Cincinnati's Paycor Stadium on Saturday at 1pm ET. Bengals -3.5 favorites, O/U 39. The Moneyline odds show the Bengals at -197 and the Vikings at +162. Nick Mullens vs. Jake Browning! Tell me that doesn't get you excited for some Saturday afternoon football. This feels like a last minute FG for the win type game doesn't it? The Vikings arrive after a 3-0 victory in the season's lowest-scoring NFL game against Las Vegas. Meanwhile, the 7-6 Bengals, led by backup QB Jake Browning, lost his debut but secured two wins against AFC South opponents, Jacksonville and Indianapolis. Head-to-head: The Vikings and Bengals have met 14 times, each team securing 7 victories. Stats, both teams boast middle-of-the-pack offensive stats, with MIN averaging 20.5 PPG and 341.5 YPG, while CIN scores 21.5 PPG and gains 314.2 YDS on average. On the defensive side, MIN has been more efficient, allowing just 18.6 PPG and 311.2 YPG, ranking fifth and tenth, respectively. In contrast, CIN's defense has struggled, conceding 22.1 points and 379.2 YPG, placing them 17th and 31st. That's where this game will be won by the Vikings. BLITZ BLITZ BLITZ, and Browning's head will be on a swivel the entire game. Minnesota's D is nasty when they want to be. NO TD's L2 games allowed. The fewest TD's in the NFL since week 6. Nick Mullens should do OK as well moving the chains here, just doing his job. The Bengals D scares noone. Trends, Minnesota are 6-1-1 ATS in their L8, are 6-2 SU in their L8 games, and are 5-0-1 ATS in their L6 on the road. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-16-23 | Georgia Southern -3.5 v. Ohio | 21-41 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 41 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern -3.5 Myrtle Beach Bowl time as the Georgia Southern Eagles (6-6, 4-8 ATS) face the Ohio Bobcats (9-3, 6-6 ATS) on Saturday from Brooks Stadium in Conway, SC. Kick off is at 11:00am ET. Betting lines favor Georgia Southern -3.5, with Ohio at +3.5, Moneyline odds Georgia Southern -169, Ohio +138, and an over/under of 49 points. In their latest matchup, the Eagles faced a tough defeat against the App State, falling 55-27. Meanwhile, the Bobcats secured a 25-14 victory against Akron. Sun Belt vs. MAC games are always exciting. Right? I'm on GASO in this one. When you see this list of names out for OHIO you'll realize why. Rourke, Harris, Bangura, Allison, Cross. All NOT playing in this one. Down to their 3rd string QB, and missing a couple 1000 yards of production from this past season. Georgia Southern boasts a potent offense, anchored by quarterback Davis Brin, who delivered an impressive regular season with 3,431 passing yards and 22 TD's. In the rushing department, Jalen White led the charge, accumulating 891 YDS & 9 TD's. They'll be in tough vs. an OHIO DEF. that was one of the better ones in college football, but bowl season brings us weird things on the field. Motivation is a massive x-factor for these games, and for my $, the motivation to win this matchup lies with GS. Their defense will do just enough to get them this cover. Trends, Bobcats are 2-4 ATS L6. GASO are 3-0-1 ATS in their L4 Non-conference games. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray Saturday 7* Myrtle Beach Bowl ATS Play |
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12-14-23 | Chargers v. Raiders UNDER 35 | 21-63 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
Under 35 In a Thursday Night Football showdown, the (5-8, 3-3 AWAY, 4-8-1 ATS) Chargers take on the (5-8, 6-5-2 ATS, 4-3 HOME) Raiders Thursday at Allegiant Stadium in LV, on Amazon Prime at 8:15pm ET. Las Vegas is favored by 3 points, with a Moneyline of -161, while the Chargers are at +134. The over/under for the game is 33.5 points I'm not a fan of the spread on this one, but I'll likely look more into it in the AM and put it out as a 5* free play. My big play on this game is on the TOTAL. Looking at the UNDER. We've had some success this season betting unders on prime time games. Tell me again why the Chargers are dogs? The Chargers have averaged 21.7 PPG, ranking 15th, whereas the Raiders have scored 15.5 PPG, placing them 25th. In yardage, the Chargers average 334.3 YPG (17th), while the Raiders trail with 277.7 YPG (29th). In their initial meeting this season, the Chargers secured a 24-17 victory against the Raiders. With the point spread favoring the Chargers by -6.5. Not on my life can I back the OVER in this game. Some guy named Easton Stick at QB for LAC, they have no Allen, No Herbert, and then couple that with a Raiders offense that is going backwards (Less than 17PPG L4 games) and I'd be crazy to bet the OVER here. Chargers ran the ball 35+ times in G1, and that was with NO Ekeler in the game. RUN RUN RUN, clock moves! Rinse Wash Repeat! (Even better both teams' rush offenses are bottom 6 in the NFL, so they run, but they don't go anywhere...perfect) Trends, Chargers, the total points scored have remained below the mark, with 10 of their L11 and all 5 of their recent road games falling short. LV has also witnessed a pattern of low-scoring contests, with 5 of their L6 finishing under, and 4 out of 5 games against the Chargers displaying a similar trend. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 9* NFL O/U Play |
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12-11-23 | Titans v. Dolphins -13 | 28-27 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 28 m | Show | |
Dolphins -13 In Week 14 on Monday Night Football, we've got Tennessee (4-8, 5-7 ATS) facing off against the Dolphins (9-3, 8-4 ATS) in one of 2x MNF matchups. The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, FL and will be broadcast nationally on ESPN. The early Moneyline odds show Titans at +550 and Dolphins at -800 (proceed with caution!). Looking at the spread, Dolphins are favored by -13 (-110), and the initial total (O/U) is set at 47. In their recent outings, the Titans came up short against the Colts, losing 31-28 as 1-point underdogs, while the Dolphins cruised to a 45-15 win over the Commanders, covering as 9-point road favorites. This marks the 40th meeting between these two, with Miami holding a 21-18 edge. Their most recent clash was Week 17 of 2021, Titans dominated 34-3 victory. It wasn't even a contest to be honest. Over their last 10 games, Miami holds a 6-4 record. Huge spread here in 1 of the 2 MNF games this week. But I'm never afraid of a huge line. Last time we played one like this we had the Cowboys a couple weeks ago, and it cleared easy. This is a fade on the Titans for a few reasons. For starters, this team has just battled so many key injuries, it’s been near impossible to overcome. The Titans have Levis running the show at QB, who just isn’t going to overpower anyone. Now, Henry may miss this contest and without him, this offense stands no chance to keep up with the Dolphins offense. Miami is averaging 32 PPG and they’re doing it with so many different weapons. They strike as quickly as anyone and they aren’t shy about throwing teams off with a little tempo. The Titans have been a disaster on the defensive side and they’re going to have their hands full with this Miami attack. This is just a lopsided game whichever way you look at it. Miami’s defense even is near the top in the league, allowing just 22 points per game. They’re going to have Tennessee on edge all night long. Plain and simple the Fins are the better team here, and I just don't see a path for a Titans cover. No way, no how! Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | 13-33 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 58 m | Show | |
Eagles +3.5 The Eagles (10-2, 6-3-3 ATS) and Cowboys (9-3, 8-4 ATS) are set to face off in a Week 14 divisional showdown this Sunday night, with kickoff at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX, scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Let's take a look at the opening odds for the Eagles vs. Cowboys matchup. For those who like to bet straight up, the moneyline shows the Eagles at +145 and the Cowboys at -175. On the spread (ATS), the Cowboys are favored by -3 points (-120), and the initial total Over/Under (O/U) stands at 51.5 points. Dallas is coming off a Thursday night win over the Seahawks, but they didn't cover the spread, winning 41-35 as -9.5 favorites. Meanwhile, the Eagles had a tough outing, losing 42-19 to the 49ers on Sunday. They seemed exhausted, having played three games in the last 10 days. They are a solid 5-1 on the road and being undervalued a bit after getting knocked around by the 49ers. Hopefully, they've had some much-needed rest before this Sunday night clash. The Eagles had their impressive 5-game winning streak snapped, and in the longstanding rivalry between the Eagles and Cowboys (played 129 times, with Dallas leading 73-56), the Cowboys have won the last 5 games at AT&T Stadium. Earlier this season in Dallas, the Eagles managed to defeat the Cowboys 28-23. The Eagles and Cowboys rivalries in the past have produced some fun games. This one, is going to be quite the show as they battle on SNF with a lot on the line here. The Eagles and Cowboys are in the midst of two amazing seasons as they prepare for battle in this one. Philadelphia has proven they can go on the road and win in hostile environments already as they came from behind against the Chiefs earlier this year. One thing for sure is that this Eagles team does not lose in bunches. They are going to lean on their ability to strike with the big play. Philadelphia ranks 9th in the NFL in total offense and 4th in total points scored. They have the most dangerous weapons and they should be able to pick apart this Dallas secondary. Philadelphia's defense ranks 4th in the NFL against the rush and they are going to be hungry to bounce back after last week's performance. Trends, Eagles are 4-1-1 ATS L6, 5-1 SU L6, 12-2 SU L14 on the road, and 9-1 SU L10 vs. NFC teams. Meet me at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-10-23 | Bills v. Chiefs -2.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 15 m | Show | |
Chiefs -2.5 In the NFL showdown happening this Sunday, it's Buffalo (6-6, 4-8 ATS) facing off against Kansas City (8-4, 7-5 ATS). The game kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET at GEHA Field in Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO, and you can catch it on CBS if you can't be there in person. When it comes to the moneyline (ML) wager, the Bills are sitting at +130, while the Chiefs are favored at -155. Looking at the spread (ATS), the Chiefs have a -3-point advantage, and the initial Over/Under total is set at 48. Buffalo has the historical edge, leading the all-time series 28-24-1. KC had a tough loss on Monday Night Football, falling 27-19 to Green Bay. Despite the shorter week, they're accustomed to the MNF road game, travel, and Sunday home match routine. On the other hand, Buffalo had a week off following their Week 12 overtime loss to the Eagles (37-34). The Bills have had a bit of a rough patch, losing three out of their last four games. We all know this line would be -7 if we knew Taylor Swift was attending...and you know it. I'm on the Chiefs at home on Sunday. There's been some good matchups between these two in past years, (BUF has won 2/3) but that's just it, it was in past years. The Chiefs while coming off a loss to GB (I think) are better than last year, they just don't show it every week. But this is a big game. At home, they'll have home cookin' here, and I don't think the Bills have the horses to keep up. Andy just has too many weapons. It's not like the Bills are overly healthy on defense either. Trends, Bills 1-7 ATS L8 games, 2-4 SU L6 games, 3-6 ATS L9 vs. KC. Bills are 1-7 ATS in their L8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in their L7 games following a ATS loss, plus, they're 16-4 SU in their L20, and are 9-2 L11 vs. AFC East teams. Back the Chiefs and lay the points. Smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-10-23 | Vikings v. Raiders +3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 116 h 15 m | Show |
Raiders +3 In this Week 14 matchup on Sunday, the Vikings (6-6) and the Raiders (5-7) are set to clash at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV, with a 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff (FOX broadcast). Let's break down the odds: The Moneyline shows the Vikings at -134 and the Raiders at +118. The ATS (Against the Spread) line favors the Vikings at -1.5 (-115), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at a total of 40.5 points for all the gamblers out there. In their previous game, the Vikings suffered a tough 12-10 loss to Chicago and failed to cover the 3-point spread. However, they maintain a decent 4-2 road record this season. On the other side, the Raiders last took the field on November 26, losing 31-17 to the Chiefs. Despite dropping 4 of their last 6, it's worth noting that they faced some formidable opponents. Furthermore, the team hasn't given up under interim coach Antonio Pierce. If you watched the last Vikings game you have to be wondering how they can lay 3 against any team in the NFL right now. I'm certainly scratching my head here. They do welcome back JJ this week. Raiders come in rested off of a bye, 2 weeks to gameplan, and the Vikings certainly don't present an offense like that of the Chiefs and Dolphins gauntlet the Raida's just went thru. This game should be the battle of the #1 WR's. Adams vs. Jefferson, and on the defensive side it will be Hunter vs. Crosby. My X-factor is going to be O'Connell. This game will be his 6th start. 4 TD's and 6 INT's so far. He has to stretch the field here to give Jacobs room to run. I think he will. Some trends, this matchup is even over the L10 games (5-5 ATS each), Raiders lead series all time 10-6. 5-2 at home. Minnesota are 2-5 SU in their L7 when playing on the road against LV. I'm on Vegas. Grab the points and smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. RARE 10* Sunday NFL TOP PLAY |
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12-10-23 | Rams v. Ravens -7 | 31-37 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 36 m | Show | |
Ravens -7 In Week 14, Baltimore (9-3) is set to take on the LAR (6-6), with both teams aiming to extend their recent winning streaks. Here are the key numbers to consider: The opening NFL betting odds show the Moneyline (ML) at Rams +240 and Ravens -300, while the Against the Spread (ATS) line has the Ravens at +7 (-110). The Over/Under (O/U) total is set at 43.5. Weather could be a factor today. High 50's, 88% chance of rain, and 6-8mph winds. The Rams are coming into this matchup on the back of a three-game winning streak, which has helped them secure the 8th spot in the NFC with a 6-6 record. Meanwhile, Baltimore had a bye week in Week 13 but had won two consecutive games leading up to it. They currently stand at 2nd place in the AFC. The Rams aren’t as good as their record may indicate. While they took care of business last week, it was against a Joe Flacco led Browns team that certainly isn’t going to overwhelm anyone. The Rams are running into a Ravens team who will be battling for the top spot in the AFC and that comes in off a bye. Harbaugh has been electric off bye weeks and this Baltimore team is well rested now. The extra week gave Lamar Jackson a chance to get himself to 100%, which will spell a lot of troubles for LA. The Rams are also battling injuries themselves. Nacua is listed as questionable and even if he goes, the Rams other top wide out isn’t going to be at 100% himself. Baltimore is going to overwhelm the Rams, who come across country for an early start time. The Ravens offense will have a field day and Jackson will be a problem with both his arm and legs on Sunday. Trends, Rams 2-4 ATS L6, 0-4-1 L5 vs. Ravens, 1-4 SU L5 vs. Ravens, and 3-10 SU L13 on the road. On the other side the Ravens are 6-1 SU L7, and 10-4 ATS L14 games. Lastly, Ravens are 7-0 SU L7 vs. the NFC. Meet me at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-10-23 | Lions v. Bears +3.5 | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 113 h 24 m | Show | |
Bears +3.5 These two met a couple weeks ago when the Lions were 7-2, and the Bears were 3-7 at Ford Field. Lions won by 5. For this one, I didn't quite get +4, but I'll take +3.5 with a little extra juice on Sunday for Chicago. IF you can get -110, GOOD for you! This number should only go the other way by Friday/Sat. In Week 14, the Lions (9-3) are facing off against the Bears (4-8) this Sunday. The game kicks off at 1 p.m. ET at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL, and you can catch it on FOX. For those looking to bet, the Moneyline (ML) odds are as follows: Lions -196 and Bears +164. When it comes to the point spread, it's Lions -4 (-110), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 45. Weather will be a factor today. Mid 30's, 93% cloudy, low chance of rain, but its going to be cold. 10-15mph winds. The Bears have been showing some signs of improvement, winning 2 of their last 3 games, and they're coming off a bye week in Week 13. In their last outing, they secured a narrow 12-10 victory against the Vikings in a rather gritty contest. But one that was REALLY REALLY BORING! Meanwhile, the Lions have been on a roll, winning 4 out of their last 5. They recently handled the Saints in New Orleans, coming out on top with a 33-28 W and covering the 3.5. Detroit is starting to see some regression and this is not a good spot for them. The Lions fast start to the season has started to come back a little bit as this team is struggling in a few areas. The main concern coming into Sunday is their red zone abilities. They rank 30th in the NFL inside the red zone and they’ve started to turn the ball over a lot lately. The Bears aren’t any kind of pushover either. They come in off a win over Minnesota as their defense has come up big in a few games this year. Off a bye week, this is a revenge spot for them against Detroit. The well rested Bears are going to put up points against this Lions defense, that has given up 28 and 29 point performances over the last two weeks. Chicago are 4-2 ATS in their L6. Bears have the #3 rush offense, if they can control the "TOP" they give themselves a great chance here. Bears haven't beat the Lions since 11/25/21 a 16-14 win. I expect the same type of score in this one, unsure if Bears win outright, but they'll keep it within the number. Meet me at the window. Hop On! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy OVER 28 | 17-11 | Push | 0 | 141 h 46 m | Show | |
OVER 28 It's the annual clash between the Army Black Knights (5-6, 3-6-1 ATS) and the Navy Midshipmen (5-6, 4-6 ATS, 5th in the AAC), set to take place on December 9, 2023, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. 3:00PM ET kickoff, on CBS. Army is coming in as a slight favorite with a -2 spread, the Moneyline odds show Army at -131 and Navy at +111, offering some enticing options. As for the Over/Under, the initial total is set at 28. Navy's recent performance wasn't exactly stellar, suffering a 59-14 loss to the SMU Mustangs. In contrast, Army heads into this showdown with a sense of momentum, having secured a 28-21 victory over the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Nov. 18th. I'm playing OVER the 28 just because the line is forcing me to play over the 28. I want action on this game, I hate the spread but the total is just begging me to play OVER. This Over is worthy of a move for a few reasons here on Saturday. It's obviously low for a reason, but these two offenses always tend to pull out the trick plays and open the playbooks when they meet. These two teams tallied 37 points last season and they come in with the ability to put up some numbers. Army games averaged 43 points per game, while Navy's sat at 41. These two teams had the ability to strike for some big runs, while allowing big plays on the defensive side of things. Navy's defense comes in after allowing 59 points in their final game against SMU, which will knock their confidence here. This is one of those games where patience will be key. Both teams will establish their run games, but look for more passing than you'd expect. We're going to see a wide open game, with both Army and Navy taking their chances. Navy has scored, 14, 10, 31, 18, 6, 14, 27, 30, 24, and 24 points in their L10. That's a 21.8PPG average for those not great at the Maths. Army has scored 28, 17, 23, 14, 0, 0, 24, 16, 37, and 57 in their L10. That's a 23.6PPG average for Army. On defense Army allows 22PPG, and Navy allows 23PPG. Last year in this matchup Army won 20-17 in OT. (O32) In 2021, we saw a Navy 17-13 scoreline (U35.5), and in 2020 the final score was 15-0 Army. (U36) Here's a brief history of the Army-Navy matchup: The series between these two teams has been continuous since 1930. As of their last meeting in 2022, Navy holds the lead in the series with a record of 62 wins, 54 losses, and 7 ties. Trends, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Army's L4 games. Plus, the Over is 6-1 in Black Knights L7 vs. a team with a losing record. The total has only gone OVER in 2 of Navy's L5. You know what to do! Hop On! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NCAAF O/U Play |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers OVER 29.5 | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
OVER 30 Thursday night we get another snoozefest of a football game in the NFL. (I'll be watching NBA tournament tonight in case you're wondering!) It's the (2-10, 2-10 ATS, 1-4 AWAY) New England Patriots taking on the (7-5, 7-5 ATS, 4-3 HOME) Pittsburgh Steelers. Odds opened with the Steelers at -6.5, it's now -5.5. The O/U opened at 32.5, it's now 30. I sat on this for the longest time, as you know I usually lock in plays for NFL early in the week. But I kept coming back to this one. 30 is an exceptionally LOW total for an NFL game. I'm of the opinion both teams will have more offensive success than expected. My fingers are also crossed for some quick scores or maybe some red zone turnovers. Hell even a defensive TD will help the cause here. I know the Patriots just got shutout, but how often does that happen in the NFL? The weather was the main reason there. Is the Steelers defense really that formidable? I don't think so, and therefore I'm expecting some offense tonight. We’re on this Over on TNF as the Pats and Steelers battle it out. We get a lower total here and the public continues to pound this under. Obviously we have two teams who aren’t known to light up the scoreboard, but there’s a couple situational angles here on this total. Pittsburgh is going with Mitchell Trubisky, who does have some success in his past. With Pickett down, this is his chance to lead a team to a potential playoff spot and prove his worth. He did toss a TD in the loss to Arizona, a game in which Pittsburgh allowed 24 points. The Steelers defense has regressed a bit from their start this season. They have struggled at times with allowing the big play and the Patriots are going to find some success here with throwing the ball. New England has been a mess defensively themselves. The rain aided them last week, but they won’t slow teams down. Pittsburgh will run all over them and set themselves up for many scoring chances. The Steelers / Patriots rivalry has been played 34x (5 playoff), Steelers have won 16, NE 18. Last 5 matchups. 9/18/22 NE 17 PIT 14 in PITT, 9/8/2019 PIT 3 NE 33 in NE. 12/16/18 NE 10 PIT 17 in PIT. 12/17/17 NE 27 PIT 24 in PIT. Last one, 1/22/2017 PIT 17 NE 36 in NE. Injuries of note: Pickett (PIT), N. Harris (?) (PIT), Stevenson (NE) Weather: Low 40's 5% Chance of Rain, 5-7 mph winds. Trends: You won't find any. If you want some action tonight play this one small. Enjoy the ride on our money train tonight. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 6* NFL O/U Play |
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12-04-23 | Bengals v. Jaguars -8 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 9 m | Show | |
Jaguars -8 Monday Night Football & the Joe Burrow (less) Cincinnati Bengals (5-6, 4-6-1 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) go down to Jacksonville to take on the AFC South leading Jaguars (8-3, 8-3 ATS, 3-3 HOME) on Sunday. Opening odds for this one have the ML Bengals +375 | Jaguars -500, and the spread is set at Jaguars -10 (-110), the O/U is set at 40. The last time these two met up was 9/30/21, a 24-21 Bengals win, JAX covered the 7.5 in that one. Bengals have lost 3 in a row. Jags have won 4 of their last 5. These are two teams going in complete opposite directions coming into play. Obviously things for the Bengals have taken a huge halt after Joe Burrow’s season came to an end. This Bengals side is no longer a threat on the offensive end and they’ve been abysmal since Burrow went down. Jake Browning fell to the Steelers last time out as Cincinnati has had zero success moving the ball. There is just no way this Bengals offense can keep up. Jacksonville is on another level right now as this offense is one of the best in the NFL. They come in putting up 58 points combined the last two games and the defense has even caused a lot of havoc. The Jags are giving up just 20.5 points per game this season and will cause so many issues for Browning. This is going to be a lopsided game from the start with the Jags simply overwhelming the Bengals. Some trends that make me think I'm on the right track here include: the Bengals are 2-8 SU in their L10 when playing on the road against the Jags, they're also 1-7 ATS in their L8 against an opponent in the AFC. On the other side, Jacksonville are 7-1 ATS in their L8, are 7-1 SU in their L8 games, plus the Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their L5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, and finally, the Jags are 8-3 SU in their L11 games at home. Don't overthink this one. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 68 h 36 m | Show | |
Packers +6 On Sunday night football on NBC we get the (8-3, ATS) KC Chiefs taking on the suddenly relevant Green Bay Packers (5-6). Chasing down a WC spot in the NFC. 8:20pm ET kickoff from Lambeau Field. Packers are +6pt dogs. The O/U total is set at 42.5. Straight up bettors will get the Chiefs at -245. The Packers are +205 on the ML. We're backing the home side in this one. No matter what, it's always going to be tough for visiting teams to come into Lambeau Field, let alone a night game. This place will be rocking. During the initial two months of the season, Jordan Love's trial appeared to be a big flop, and folks in Green Bay were in danger of losing their jobs. Luckily, things have turned around, and now Love is performing like one of the top NFL quarterbacks, saving everyone's employment. I'm on the Jordon Love train. The kid is starting to look much better and I think at home on Sunday Night Football it's going to be his coming out party. On the season now Love is 225/372 for a 60% completion %, He's chucked for 2599 yards, 19TD/10 INT's for an 87QBR. To the eye test he's improving nearly every game. Sure he has some hiccups in his game, but what young QB doesn't? On the whole the Packers looked like a different team on Thanksgiving, and with 10 days to rest and get ready for Coach Andy, I think they'll respond. The Packers offense has put up at least 375 yards in four straight games with back to back impressive wins over Detroit and the Chargers. This isn't the first time Love has played the Chiefs. His first start in 2021 he came in and started for Rogers when he was taken out by a positive Covid-19 test. Remember that? LOL. This marks the Chiefs’ first regular-season game in GB since 2015, and that means it will be Mahomes' first time in Wisconsin. Hopefully the winter is NASTY. KC is coming off a 31-17 triumph over the Raiders. Kansas City will have their hands full with this Packers offense. Combine that with the Packers holding the 8th best pass defense in the NFL and Mahomes will have some frustrations from the start. The Packers can keep this one close. With the energy from the crowd, they will have their chances to seize momentum throughout. Trends. Packers are 15-0 in December games during LaFleur’s tenure, and Green Bay are 8-4 ATS in their L12 played on a Sunday. KC are 1-4 ATS in their L5 games against Green Bay. I'm riding the Cheese here on Sunday night. Hop On! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play |
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12-03-23 | 49ers v. Eagles OVER 46.5 | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 134 h 3 m | Show | |
OVER 46.5 As prime-time a matchup as we will see this week when two teams that met in the NFC Championship last year lock horns this week. The San Francisco 49ers on 10 days rest (8-3, 6-5 ATS, 4-2 AWAY) take on the Philadelphia Eagles (10-1, 7-2-2 ATS, 5-0 HOME), and I'm expecting points. PHI 28PPG, SF 28PPG, 49ers D #1 15PPG, but Phili's D #20 22PPG, Both teams top 5 in the Red Zone, both teams top 10 in Total Yds per game, Total yards per play, Rush Yds per game, and both Top 15 in Passing yards per game. Eagles have put up 28+ in home games, Niners seem to be able to get 8 yards on EVERY play they run from scrimmage. This game should produce plenty of back and forth action. Philadelphia continues to be the team to beat in the NFL. They had another come from behind win as they took down the Bills in OT last week. However, their defense has far too many question marks. They were on the field for 92 plays last week and now they'll get a very physical and talented 49ers team that they have to deal with. Making this Over even more lucrative, both of these offenses sit tied for 3rd in points per game. They come in averaging 28.2 PPG each as the playmakers on each side are top tier. Philadelphia has scored over 28 points in every home game this season as well. Knowing this, the 49ers aren't going to be afraid to go for big plays themselves. Given the explosiveness of these two sides, we are going to get production and a lot of big plays. I even think it could go the same way the Cowboys / Seahawks game went on Thursday night. Let's have NO punts again. Punters are over-rated anyways. OR, I'm expecting a game like the Bills/Eagles game turned out, good weather or bad weather these offenses can move the ball. Some trends that make me like my pick even more. OVER is 5-1 in Eagles L6 home games, 4-1 in Eagles L5 games after allowing 150 yards rushing in their previous matchup, and the OVER is 4-1 in Niners L5 in Week 13. (Random I know) I'm forecasting points in this one. You know what to do. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams -3.5 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 118 h 27 m | Show | |
Rams -3.5 The Rams (5-6, 5-5-1 ATS, 2-3 HOME) are set to face the Cleveland Browns (7-4, 6-5 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) this Sunday at 4:25 PM ET at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. You can catch the action on FOX. The odds have the Rams favored by -3.5 ATS, with opening moneyline lines at Rams (-184) and Browns (+155). The over/under total is set at 39.5 points. H2H the Rams are 5-1 in their L6 matchups. Averaging 22PPG, to Cleveland's 13PPG. They last met 9/22/2019 a 20-13 LAR win. These two have played 24x thru the years, the Rams have a 13-11 advantage. In their recent matchup last week, the Browns had a tough outing, losing 29-12 to the Broncos, and it felt like they weren't really in the game, especially after Thompson-Robinson suffered a concussion. While the Browns boast a formidable defense, it's important to remember that having a top-notch defense doesn't guarantee victory every time. Without a noteable starting QB the NFL is seeing the Browns are just an ordinary team with no real playmakers to hit home. On the flip side, the Rams are coming off a convincing 37-14 victory over the Cardinals. Matthew Stafford was on fire, throwing for 229 yards, 4 TD's, and 1 INT, completing 25/33 passes. The Rams also welcomed back Kyren Williams, and if you, like me, had him on your fantasy bench, you missed out on his stellar performance. He rushed for 143 yards on 16 carries and added 6 receptions for 61 yards and 2 TD's. With Kupp and Atwell also contributing, the Rams are suddenly back in the playoff conversation. The big question for the Browns this Sunday is who will be their starting quarterback. It's an uncertainty that adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup. I'm also unsure of Garrett is going to be, he looked really banged up on Sunday. In any case, if we see Joe Flacco at QB on Sunday I'll be licking my chops. So will Aaron Donald. Some trends to see here, the Browns are 1-5 ATS vs. the Rams L6, and are 1-5 SU in their L6 vs. LAR, plus they're 3-12 SU in their L15 vs. the NFC west teams. Last one, Browns are 1-5 ATS in their L6 after allowing LESS than 150 yds passing in prior game. The Rams are glad December is here, they're 7-1 ATS in their L8 in December. Sunday I'm backing the Lambs. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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12-03-23 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 37 | 18-21 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 52 m | Show | |
UNDER 37 Sunday the Carolina Panthers (1-10, 1-8-2 ATS, 0-6 AWAY) visit the Tampa Bay Bucs (4-7, 7-4 ATS, 2-3 HOME) in NFC South action. I'm with the PUBLIC on this one. How does this game go OVER? Will a team with a rookie QB and an entirely new offensive coaching staff be able to put any pieces in place to suddenly resurrect this offense? Young has 1877 yards on the season, a 5.4 YPC, and averaging 187 YPG thru the air. He's been picked 8x, sacked 40x and has a 61% completion percentage. Hubbard is struggling to run behind an O-line that can't get anyone out of the way. He's got 450 yards, averages 3.8 YPC, and only has 2 TD's. Miles Sanders isn't any better (he fumbles too). Thielen started the season looking like a pro-bowler, but last week was brutal. 1 catch 2 yards. Hardly inspiring. He did have 8 for 74 vs. Dallas the week before, but this is painful. Now for the Bucs. The one bright spot with the Panthers is that it seems like their defense is still playing hard. That has to be a win. So I think the Panthers can actually keep the Bucs down in this one. We don't know if Mayfield is going to play at this point either. His ankle is hurting, but the MRI was negative. Last week he was 20/30 for 199 2 TD's and 1 INT. I'm secretly hoping we see Kyle Trask this week! White, Evans, Godwin present issues for any offense, but if the main man is hobbled I'm not sure how good they can be. The Bucs average 19PPG, the Panthers 15PPG. The Bucs D is pretty good too only allowing 20PPG. (Panthers 26PPG). Neither team is good in the red zone. (CAR 19th, TB 27th), and on 3rd down they both struggle too. CAR 20th, TB 15th. When they last played 1/1/23 we saw a 30-24 scoreline, but you know who the QB's were in that one, this is much different. On 10/23/22 the Panthers won 21-3, so there's that. Trends, Under is 5-0 in the Panthers L5, 4-1 L5 vs. NFC South teams, and 5-0 in Panthers L5 vs. a team with a losing record. While the UNDER is also 4-0 in the Bucs L4 home games, and 4-0 in their L4 games following an ATS loss, and lastly the UNDER has hit in 7 of the L9 TB matchups. I'm banking on the defenses on Sunday. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play |
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12-03-23 | Broncos +3.5 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -105 | 119 h 27 m | Show | |
Broncos +3.5 On Sunday, the Broncos (6-5, 2-2 AWAY, 4-6-1 ATS) are set to face off against the Texans (6-5, 4-2 HOME, 5-6 ATS) at NRG Stadium, with the game scheduled to kick off at 1pm ET CBS for TV. The initial odds for the Moneyline (ML) indicated the Broncos at +135 and the Texans at -160. The Texans were also initially favored by -3 points, and the Over/Under (O/U) for the game was set at 46.5 points. Nice matchup between two AFC contenders?! I didn't see that coming! Last game out the Broncos kept their hot streak alive with a conclusive 29-12 W over the Browns at home. Call me crazy but I'm actually buying what Russell Wilson is selling of late. (His stats while not AMAZING me are good enough to deliver wins, and that's all I can ask for right now) Maybe the Broncs have Sean Payton's magic touch to thank? He's clearly having an effect on the team, and isn't washed up yet as so many were saying after the way DVR started the year. Maybe it's the run game. The Perine/Williams combo seems like a match made in heaven as a 1-2 punch. More than likely though its the Broncos defense. The DVR pass rush is all world currently. These guys are really getting home. As a result the Broncs are a TURNOVER machine. 20 takeaways now (has them 4th in the NFL). Ball Hawk U! Stroud will have to have his head on a swivel in this one. On the other side the Texans are one of the surprise teams this year, but I'm not convinced yet. They were good, but not good enough to take out the Jags on Sunday and lost 24-21. The Jags got some revenge for the earlier loss to Houston (37-17 Week 3). The Broncos will have a gameplan ready for Dell and Stroud though, there's plenty of film on these guys now, and I don't foresee too many surprises. Past matchups: 9/18/22 Denver 16, Houston 9. 12/8/19 Denver 38, Houston 24. Since 2007 8 matchups, Denver leads 5-3. Some trends, Texans are 1-4 ATS in their L5 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Plus, the Texans are 1-4 ATS in their L5. On the visiting side, Denver are 4-1 ATS in their L5, lastly, they're 5-0 SU L5, 4-1 SU L5 vs. Texans. My money is on the Broncos coming thru and covering the 3.5 on Sunday. I trust Sean Payton in this spot to put just enough wrinkles in to keep the rookie QB on his toes all day long. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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12-02-23 | Michigan v. Iowa OVER 34 | 26-0 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 56 m | Show | |
Over 34 It's the Big Ten Championship Game. A neutral site game at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN at 8pm ET on Saturday. Iowa (10-2, 6-5-1 ATS) vs. Michigan (12-0, 6-5-1 ATS) for all the marbles. Oh, and Coach Jim is back on the sidelines for Michigan. UM is a 21.5pt favorite. The O/U is set at 34. Get your popcorn ready. Last game out Michigan took down Ohio State 30-24, before that they beat Maryland 31-24. On the other side Iowa got past Nebraska 13-10 last week, and before that a 15-13 win over Illinois. These two met up on 10/1/22, a 27-14 Michigan win. Before that on 12/4/21, a 42-3 Michigan win. This total is comically low for a Conference Title Game. But it does come with good reason. However, this game can feature more scoring than the oddsmakers think. The Wolverines come in off a 31 point performance against the Buckeyes as they are in such a nice groove right now. They also get a huge spark with Jim Harbaugh returning to the sidelines. This Wolverines offense has played much better with him on the sidelines and they can produce a lot of big plays against the Hawkeyes. Iowa is going to have to open things up themselves to have any chance here. They have prided themselves on the defensive end and here they're going to have to take chances. This is the kind of game where one big turnover or a broken play can open the game up. With a lower total like this, both teams have the chance to strike early and give us a good chance at this one going over. This isn't your typical matchup. Michigan can put up a bunch of points (13th in the Nation on offense 37PPG, Iowa can't (I don't think 18PPG), but they can run the ball and keep the score low and try to control the TOP. (4th in the Nation on D 12PPG) CAN THEY? is the $1000000 question. My money says NO. Two of the top defensive teams in the Nation and we're looking OVER. You have to love football! Trends, the total has gone OVER in 7 of the L8 for Michigan, and in 5 of Michigan's L6 in December. Plus the OVER has hit for 6-0-1 ATS in the Wolverines L7 following an ATS win. For Iowa, the total doesn't go over much, but it did go OVER in 6 of their L9 games vs. East Division teams in the Big Ten. Michigan has allowed 24, 24, 15, and 13 the L4 games. We're hoping Iowa can score a couple TD's here to help us out. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NCAAF O/U Play |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 54 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 60 m | Show | |
OVER 54 2023 SEC Championship game time! The Georgia Bulldogs (12-0, 4-7-1 ATS) take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1, 8-4 ATS) in a battle of conference heavy's. UG/Bama head-to-head stats, Bama has won 7 out of the last 8 since 2008. It might surprise you, but this Saturday marks the 4th SEC Championship clash between these teams since 2012, with Bama taking three of those. However, UG had their moment last year, securing a 33-18 win in the 2022 National Championship Game. When I see something continually happening I usually tend to bet on it. Case in point. The OVER in the SEC Championship game has cashed 12/14 times thru the years. UG's L5 games, 31, 38, 52, 30, 43. Average of 38.8PPG. For Bama 27, 66, 49, 42, 34. Average of 43.6PPG. Both teams have some nice OVER's on their 2023 resume's so I'm going back to the well here on Saturday. These two teams going back and forth have become the norm and we should see a lot of fireworks here. Looking at Alabama first, they clicked in the middle of the season and have taken off since then. However, it took a miracle for them to win in the Iron Bowl, but that is what this offense can do. They finished the season averaging over 35 points per game as the offense was able to strike for big plays constantly. Georgia isn't the same as they've been in the past seasons either. They have struggled at times on the defensive end, which bodes well for us here. They also have been a dominant team on the offensive end per usual. They are averaging 39.6 points themselves as they will come downhill at opposing defenses. This has the makings of a game that is wide open from start to finish. Neither team is shy about what they want to do and they aren't scared to take chances. Trends, Over has hit in 6 of UG's L9, and in 4 of their L5 in December. For Bama the OVER has hit in 5 of their L5, and in 9 of the L11 when they play UG. Bama's play OVERS on Saturday too. 7 of the L8 SAT games go high! Get my drift? Let's watch some offense. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* CFB O/U Play |
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12-02-23 | Miami-OH +7.5 v. Toledo | 23-14 | Win | 100 | 113 h 46 m | Show | |
Miami-OH +7.5 Get ready for the 2023 MAC Conference Championship showdown! It's the (10-2) Miami (OH) RedHawks facing off against the (11-1) Toledo Rockets. The game is set for Saturday, December 2nd, at 12:00 ET, happening at Ford Field in Detroit, MI. Let's talk numbers: The initial ATS Betting Line had Toledo favored by -8, but it's now adjusted to -7.5 as of Monday. On the Moneyline, Miami (OH) stands at +246, while Toledo is at -315. The Total is set at O/U 46.5. No matchup last year, but they did play each other earlier this season, and Toledo managed to secure a 21-17 victory. Miami owns a 28-23-1 series lead all time in this series. The first game played in 1936. The Redhawks are catching too many points in this spot. The MAC was as close as ever here in 2023 as it seemed like there were more teams than usual who were bunched together at times. However, Miami OH and Toledo were the two stand outs and the Red Hawks are right there with the Rockets. Miami OH comes in winners of 4 straight and their defense was easily one of the best in the conference. They rank 23rd in the entire nation in total defense giving up 322 yards per game. They come into this MAC Championship allowing 16.3 points per game. The Redhawks defense is going to be the difference maker here. They aren't going to allow anything easy and have a revenge factor after falling 21-17 to them earlier this season. That game was there for the taking and Miami wants this to be lower scoring. The RedHawks have been catching my eye lately. They'll have to prove to me that they CANNOT hang with Toledo, I think they can. Looking at the trends, it's clear Miami-OH have got some momentum. They've got a strong 9-2 ATS record in their L11 games and an impressive 10-1 SU record during that same stretch. So, my pick for this one is the underdog to cover the spread at +8. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 6* CFB ATS Play |
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12-01-23 | Oregon v. Washington +9.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 97 h 39 m | Show | |
UW +9.5 2023 Pac 12 Championship Game. Ducks are -9.5pt favorites, the O/U is set at 66.5. ML bettors can get UW +275, and UO at -353. Is this the last time we see this game? Who knows...but I'm going to enjoy this one as the (11-1, 8-2-1 ATS) Oregon Ducks take on the (12-0, 5-6-1 ATS) Washington Huskies on Friday night from Las Vegas. Series History: In Seattle, Huskies are 33-23 with 4 ties. In games played in Eugene, Ducks are 18-14. Recently, the Ducks have been dominant, winning 20 out of 28. In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Washington picked up the 37-34 win (last year). Earlier this year Oregon suffered their only Pac-12 loss in dramatic fashion as UW scored a go-ahead TD with just over a minute left to win at Husky Stadium, 36-33. The Ducks had a big win last week, beating the Oregon State Beavers with a score of 31-7 in the CIVIL WAR. Meanwhile, the Huskies are coming off a solid victory in the APPLE CUP, where they defeated the Washington State Cougars 24-21. Get ready for an epic showdown as the two leading Heisman hopefuls face off once more! Check out these stats: Penix has racked up 3,899 passing yards, averaging 324.9 yards per game with a completion rate of 65.4%. He's thrown 32 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. On the other side, Nix boasts 3,906 passing yards, averaging 325.5 yards per game, with an impressive 78.6% completion rate. He's thrown an incredible 37 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions. Plus, Nix has added 159 rushing yards and 6 rushing touchdowns to his name, carrying the ball 47 times. You know I'm locking in UW here. You're going to give me 9.5 points in a Championship game with a Heisman Trophy candidate leading the offense vs. a team they already beat 1x this year? I'm taking it. UO could win this straight up, but it's going to be close. There's nothing fishy in Seattle here with the spread, Vegas is trying to screw with you. Don't overthink this. Back the DAWGS! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 7* CFB ATS Play |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State +11.5 v. Liberty | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
New Mexico +11.5 The Aggies (10-3, 7-1 CUSA, 11-2 ATS, 5-2 AWAY) are coming in hot with 8 consecutive wins, facing off against the #22 Flames (12-0, 8-0 CUSA, 8-4 ATS, 7-0 HOME), who have had an even better season (undefeated) in the 2023 Conference USA Championship on Friday at Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA. The game kicks off at 7pm ET and can be watched on CBS Sports. Weather looks to be a non-factor (mid 50's 25% chance of rain, less than 5mph winds in the forecast). This is a Liberty home game (in case you were wondering with a lot of the other games this week being neutral site) When it comes to the Moneyline (ML), New Mexico State stands at +320, while Liberty holds -425. Unless you're betting on NMSU I'd strongly avoid the ML in this one. Looking at the ATS odds, Liberty is favored at -11.5 (-110), and the total (O/U) is set at 56.5. Both teams have a ton to play for. Liberty is playing to get into the Group of 5 upper rankings of bowl teams. NMSU wants a conference title. Liberty's undefeated record makes them a solid 2-score favorite, I get that, I even respect it, a little bit, but they're only 4-4 ATS in their last 8 games. Have there been better teams ATS this season than NMSU? If you backed the Aggies this year, you did quite well, as they boast a 9-0-1 ATS record in their last 10 games, including three consecutive underdog covers, and yes, outright wins. If you're a fan, you had to love that impressive 31-10 victory over Auburn, hey? For this bet to pay off, we need New Mexico State to stay competitive and believe they can go toe-to-toe with Liberty for the full 60 minutes. They have to flip the field this time, and chip into that "TOP" that Liberty owned in the last game. The last time these two teams met, Liberty secured a 33-17 win and covered a -9.5 spread on September 9th. NMSU is 9-1 since that game. Jerry Kill's kids are having a hell of a year, and with this being their first conference title game you know the entire state is going to watching this game. It's massive in New Mexico. So, it's an intriguing matchup for all the football enthusiasts out there. Trends, New Mex are 10-0 ATS L10, 8-0 SU L8, 6-0 ATS L6 on the road, 4-1 ATS L5 in December, NMSU are also 5-1 SU L6 playing as a dog. I'm banking on NMSU going all in on this matchup. I'm all in on them. They'll cover the +11.5. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 47.5 | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Over 47.5 Tonight, the Seahawks (6-5, 5-5-1 ATS) are playing against the Cowboys (8-3, 8-3 ATS). The game is set to start at 8:15pm ET and will be available on Prime Video. The Cowboys have been doing well lately, winning five out of their last six games after a tough 42-10 loss to the 49ers on October 8.The Seahawks have lost 2 in a row and 3 of 4, 49ers and Eagles up next. This is a tough stretch no doubt, but do we really know if the Cowboys are a good team? They've won games, sure, but they've beaten 7 teams that are under .500. I think Seattle can keep the score respectable here by also getting into the endzone and the red zone. When it's all said and done we're on the Over in TNF as the Cowboys and Seahawks battle it out on Thursday night. The Cowboys are red hot right now and this team is playing like a Super Bowl contender in 2023. They are getting so much production from Pollard on the ground and also they're putting together a good pass game with Prescott. Dak has been impressive, throwing 18 TD passes and only 2 INT's during this time. The Cowboys rank 5th in total offense and 1st in scoring in the NFL coming into play. Seattle has been up and down here in 2023 and they know this is the kind of game where they have to step up on the offensive side. Look for them to open things up a bit more as they will take plenty of shots down field. Washington moved the ball last week at times against Dallas and they're going to have success doing the same in this one. Both teams played last Thursday, so they are rested and playing on a normal 7 days rest. Dallas has scored at least 33 in 4 of 5, so I'm expecting points. The Hawks will have to score them to keep up with the high flying Cowboys. I think they can. They have the weapons too. Metcalf, Lockett, Smith-Njigba, and Charbonnet are all "ball-players!" Trends, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas' L5, plus the OVER has hit in 6 of the Cowboys L7 vs. NFC teams. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. Thursday 8* NFL O/U Play |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3.5 v. Vikings | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 169 h 20 m | Show | |
Bears +3.5 In the final showdown of Week 12's Monday Night Football, we've got the Chicago Bears (3-8, 4-5-2 ATS, 1-5 AWAY) hitting the road to take on the Minnesota Vikings (6-5, 7-3-1 ATS, 2-3 HOME). The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC). The initial MNF odds show the Moneyline (ML) with the Bears at +145 and the Vikings at -175. Additionally, ATS has the Vikings favored by -3.5 (-105), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 45 points. The Bears had a rough outing last Sunday, squandering a 26-14 lead against Detroit and ultimately losing 31-26 on the road. On the flip side, the Vikings had their five-game winning streak halted with a close 21-20 loss to the Broncos on Sunday night. In terms of their head-to-head history, the Bears and Vikings have crossed paths 124 times since 1961, with the Vikings holding the lead in the series at 66-56-2. Notably, the Vikings have won the last five, including a 19-13 victory earlier this season. The Bears are going to be eager to get back out there for this one. After blowing a lead in the 4th quarter against the Lions, Chicago will be looking to come out of the gates fast in this contest. The Bears still can use some of that loss to build off of, as Justin Fields showed a lot of positives in the game. After missing a month with a thumb injury, he was slinging it all over the field with very little issue. He will be able to find a lot of success with both his arm and legs. Fields has the ability to break containment and pick up big chunks with his running abilities. The Vikings defense will have a hard time slowing him down. Minnesota is also seeing teams being able to adjust to Joshua Dobbs now. The Broncos figured him out on the defensive side and the Bears will come in with a lot of different blitz packages. This is going to be a lower scoring game, which will favor the Bears who should win the time of possession. Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their L5 as a home favorite. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Monday 8* NFL ATS Play |
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11-26-23 | Bills v. Eagles OVER 48.5 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
OVER 48.5 Sunday the 6-5 (1-3 AWAY, 4-7 ATS) Buffalo Bills take on the 9-1 (4-0 HOME, 6-2-2 ATS) Philadelphia Eagles in what should be one of the top NFL matchups of the season. It is in terms of star power that's for sure. Hopefully the game lives up to the hype. The Eagles have a solid 8-6 record against the Bills over time. Their recent clash in 2019 saw Philadelphia triumph with a score of 31-13, proving their prowess on the road. Buffalo, on the other hand, hasn't had the best luck away from home, with just one win out of four, including a loss in London to Jacksonville. The Bills are showing strength against the NFC East, securing victories against Washington and the New York Giants. Last week, the Eagles, led by a strong defense in the second half and two touchdowns by Jalen Hurts, made a comeback to defeat the Chiefs 21-17 on MNF. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills comfortably sailed to a 32-6 win against the New York Jets, bringing their season record to 6-5. We’re on the Over on what should be the game of the week as the Eagles and Bills clash. These are two offenses that are clicking right now and have put up a lot of points this season. Looking at Phili first, they come in Ranking 5th in the league in offense. They’re averaging 27.3 points per game and come in with all the momentum after coming from behind to beat the Chiefs. Phili has scored 28 or more in 3 of their last 4. Buffalo ranks 6th in points per game and 4th in total offense. Josh Allen is finding his groove and racked up 32 points last week.These are two teams who can exchange punches and should produce a lot of fireworks. Per usual with me, you won't any any trends pointing to the OVER in this matchup, and it looks like the PUBLIC is on the UNDER in this one, so I'm zigging, while they zag, and I'm betting on points in this one. Bet the OVER 48.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play |
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11-26-23 | Browns v. Broncos -1 | 12-29 | Win | 100 | 72 h 14 m | Show | |
Broncos -1 On Sunday at 4:05 PM ET in Denver, CO at Empower Field at Mile High, catch the Broncos (5-5, 3-5-1 ATS) & the Browns (7-3, 7-3 ATS) on FOX. Denver is hosting Cleveland in this matchup. The initial betting odds show the Broncos as the Spread Favorite with a -1.5 advantage. If you prefer a straight up bet, the Moneyline odds stand at Broncos (-127) and Browns (+105), while the Over/Under Total is set at 36. Browns have won the last 2 of 3 vs. Denver, most recent was 10/21/21 a 17-14 Browns win. Sidenote: Neither of this Sunday's starting QB's were in that one. Bridgewater vs. Keenum headlined that clash! (zzz's) The Broncos won the most recent game in Denver in 2019. A 17-16 win. In their recent games, the Browns secured a 13-10 victory against PIT. Thompson-Robinson, the new QB for the Browns, completed 24/43 for 165 yards with 0TD's & 1 INT. Meanwhile, the Broncos grabbed a HUGE W over Minnesota with a final score of 21-20. Russell Wilson, was impressive. His performance included 259 PAYDS on 27/35 attempts (77%), he also threw 1 TD, 0 INT's. Clearly the better QB in this matchup. We now get Wilson's season stats at 2065 passing yards, averaging 206.5 yards per game, a 69% completion rate, 19 touchdowns, 4 interceptions, 42 carries, and 232 rushing yards. I was thinking about locking the Broncos in at -2.5, then it dropped to -2, -1.5, and now I'm going to pounce.The Broncos have won four games in a row, amazingly they're now 5-5. They're in the AFC playoff conversation. (I must admit, I didn't see this turnaround coming) But hat-tip to Sean Payton. The Browns should still be the more bet on team here, and I think the Public is on them. They still have the #1 defense in the NFL. Having said that, check out the Browns' home vs. road stats. This is a different team when they travel, and they're could get torched at the LOS if they don't improve their RUN-D on the road. Javonte Williams must be excited for Sunday's game. He's got some good stats going into it: 122 carries, 473 yards, 52.6 yards per game. He's also caught 23 for 125 yards, averaging 13.9 YPG with 2 TD receptions. Some trends, Cleveland are 2-11 SU in their L13 against Denver, and are 1-7 SU in their L8 when playing on the road against the Broncos. Flip it, and Denver are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games. I'll also have a FREE play on this game's total, so check that out on my sales page or on the sites NFL free picks page. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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11-26-23 | Bucs v. Colts -2.5 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 138 h 34 m | Show | |
Colts -2.5 The Buccaneers (4-6, 2-3 away, 6-4 against the spread) are heading to Lucas Oil Stadium to face the Colts (5-5, 1-4 at home, 7-3 against the spread) this Sunday. The game kicks off at 1 p.m. ET and you can catch it on CBS. Let's take a look at the latest betting odds. For those who like to bet on the team to win outright, the moneyline shows the Buccaneers at +110 and the Colts at -130. If you prefer to bet against the spread (ATS), the Colts are favored by -1.5 points with a price of -115. The over/under (total points expected in the game) is set at 42.5. The Colts are coming off a bye week and in their last game, they managed to beat the Patriots 10-6, covering the -2 spread. On the other hand, the Buccaneers had a tough time against the San Francisco 49ers, losing 27-14 but managing to cover as 13.5-point road underdogs. Some trends, The Bucs are 1-5 SU in their L6 games, and are 1-5-1 ATS in their L7 games against Indy. On the other side, the Colts are 6-3 ATS in their L9 games, and are 4-1 ATS in their L5 played in November. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play |
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11-26-23 | Saints v. Falcons OVER 41 | 15-24 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 38 m | Show | |
OVER 41 Sunday we get the (5-5, 3-3 AWAY, 2-7-1 ATS) Saints taking on the (4-6, 3-2 HOME, 2-8 ATS) Atlanta Falcons at 1pm ET from the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. It's the top 2 teams duking it out in the NFC South. While I'm not a fan of betting against either of these teams on the spread I'm interested in some action on the TOTAL in this one. O/U 41 currently if you can find it. I'm good with 41.5 too. Both teams come in off of bye weeks, so they're rested, and have had more time to game plan and draw up some big plays for the Red Zone, as well as on 3rd down. Saints average 21 PPG, the Falcons 18 PPG. Saints allow 19 PPG, the Falcons allow 21 PPG. Both are top 20 in the Red Zone. Both teams also have Top 21 rushing, and passing offenses. On 3rd down, they can both convert too to keep drives going. (top 20) I think we'll see some scoring in this game. Here's some quarterback updates for you. Ridder had a good start with a 4-4 record as the starter but had to check for a concussion in Week 8 when facing Tennessee. He's back in action this week. Heinicke got hurt with a hamstring issue in the Falcons' last game before their break. As for the Saints, Derek Carr is in concussion protocol, but he practiced fully on Wednesday, so he's all set to play this Sunday. In the past three games involving the Falcons, they've had more than 51 total points. New Orleans, on the flip side, has seen their last four games go OVER 42 points. Some other trends I've found. Over the Saints’ L3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1. The Falcons’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home. I think you'd agree both teams' offenses are clearly ahead of their defenses right now (looking at recent games) so I'm projecting 50+ points in this one. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play |
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11-26-23 | Patriots v. Giants OVER 33.5 | 7-10 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
OVER 33.5 The (2-8, 2-8 ATS) Patriots take on the (3-8, 3-7-1 ATS) Giants on Sunday. We know, we know, these are the two lowest scoring teams in the NFL. We know, we know, everyone including my cousin Vinny is on the UNDER in this matchup. The last 2 times these two have played they've put up 49 and 55 points...so, when the public zigs, I like to zag! I'm a bit of a Tommy DeVito fan. He did alright last week, and I was kinda impressed. He threw for 246 yards, no interceptions, and scored 3 TDs in the win against the Commanders. The Giants broke a three-game losing streak with a surprising 31-19 victory over Washington. However, they've had close losses in their last 3 home games against New England. The Patriots are well-rested coming off a bye week. I have just enough faith in Danny (errr) Tommy DeVito to be serviceable here on Sunday and move the ball. I also have the same amount of confidence in the Pats offense to get to 17-20 points as well. I'm avoiding the side in this one like I avoid my Mother-In-Law. You're guess is as good as mine as to who comes out on top. My best guess is its the team with BARKLEY on it. (I'm looking for his props) Playing OVER the total here on Sunday. No one can convince me that the Patriots are a good defense, the same goes for the Giants. You won't find any supporting trends for this one, this is purely a GUTSHOT! As long as one of these teams reaches 24 I think we'll be ok. I'm on the OVER 33.5 Sunday. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Sunday 6* NFL O/U Play |
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11-25-23 | Kansas -7 v. Cincinnati | 49-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Kansas -7 In this upcoming college football clash, Kansas (7-4, 6-5 ATS) is set to take on the Bearcats (3-8, 4-7 ATS) at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. The game is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET and will be broadcasted on ESPN2. The odds favor Kansas, with a moneyline of -270, while Cincinnati stands at +217. The point spread has the Bearcats as 1-touchdown underdogs, and the total points for the game is set at 58.5. We're backing Kansas here on Saturday as they take on Cincinnati. In their recent performances, the Jayhawks suffered a 31-27 defeat against Kansas State, with Ballard leading the charge with 162 passing yards, 1 TD, and 2 INTs. He also contributed on the ground with 10 rushes for 55 yards. Neal had a notable performance as well, rushing for 138 yards on 18 carries, including 3 touchdowns. The combination of these two players could pose a significant challenge for a Bearcats defense that has struggled this season. Both teams have been battling injury issues, especially at the QB position as they come into play on Saturday. Kansas however, is in good hands as they have depth at this spot and they've been rotating different packages for two different QBs. Jason Bean and Cole Ballard both have experience and they've been able to come in at some spots and make some plays for the Jayhawks. Cincinnati lost Emery Jones and now Brady Lichtenberg is banged up and questionable for this contest. If he does go, he still won't even be close to 100%. The Bearcats don't need those kinds of issues as they've dropped 8 of 9 overall too. They're struggling on the offensive end and this Jayhawks team can get out early on them. With these two teams heading in different directions, the Jayhawks are the valuable team on Saturday at this number. Looking at recent trends, Kansas has covered the spread in 4 of their L6. On the flip side, Cincinnati hasn't had a great run lately, going 2-7 ATS in their L9 games and suffering 8 straight losses in overall matchups. Their struggles extend to their home games, where they've lost their L5 straight. It's safe to say that the Bearcats are in a rough patch this season. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* CFB ATS Play |
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11-25-23 | Florida State v. Florida OVER 50 | 24-15 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 27 m | Show | |
OVER 50 On Saturday night in Gainesville, it's a clash between the #4 Florida State and Florida. The game is set to kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The initial odds are as follows: Florida State is favored at -250 on the Moneyline, while Florida stands at +202. Looking at the point spread (ATS), Florida State is giving away 6.5 points at odds of -110. As for the Over/Under (O/U), it's set at 51.5. Florida State remains undefeated with an 11-0 record, but they didn't quite cover the 48-point spread in their last game, winning 58-13 against FCS North Alabama. On the other side, Florida faced a tough loss to #10 Missouri, finishing 33-31. In their historical matchups dating back to 1958, the Seminoles and Gators have played 66 games, including 2 bowl games. Florida holds the edge with a 37-27-2 record. Things are going to be a lot more interesting as the Gators and Seminoles renew their rivalry on Saturday. Florida State remains unbeaten, but took a huge blow as Jordan Travis saw his college career come to an end with a leg injury. Despite that, they are still in good hands here, which is why we're on this Over. Tate Rodemaker took over and still threw for over 200 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the win last week against Northern Alabama. Florida State had the playbook still open for him and they weren't shy about throwing the ball. We're going to see even more aggression against this Florida Gators defense that is giving up nearly 400 yards per game (91st in the NCAA). Florida's offense has been able to keep them in games despite the lack of defense. They nearly took down Mizzou last week on the road as they are ranked 42nd in the nation in total offense. This is going to be a game filled with a lot of plays down field and both teams being creative. Given the struggles on the defensive sides as well, we should see back and forth action in this rivalry game. A couple trends of note, The total has gone OVER in 10 of FSU's L14, and the total has gone OVER in all of FLA's L7 games, and in 4 of their L5 games vs. FSU. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* CFB O/U Play |
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11-25-23 | Washington State +16.5 v. Washington | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 116 h 24 m | Show | |
WSU +16.5 The Washington State Cougars (5-6, 2-6 Pac-12, 5-6 ATS) face off against the Washington Huskies (11-0, 8-0 Pac-12, 5-5-1 ATS) this Saturday at Husky Stadium in Seattle, with kickoff at 4 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's check out the initial betting info. Moneyline shows Washington State at +580 and Washington at -880, while the spread is Washington -16.5 (-110), and the Over/Under is set at 67.5. The Cougars grabbed a victory over Colorado in the elimination bowl, staying in the hunt for a bowl game while ending Colorado's postseason hopes. Washington State broke a losing streak, while the Huskies barely escaped a close call with a 22-20 win against Oregon State. The Apple Cup could be an interesting matchup here as WSU and UW clash. Washington comes in off their big win as all the pressure mounts with them as they look to find themselves in a position to join the BCS Playoffs. Washington State is going to have a say here. The Cougars routed Colorado last week, giving them a lot of momentum coming into this one. They put up 56 points as they ran for 127 yards, while piling up 342 through the air. Cameron Ward had this Coogs offense ranking 4th through the air this year, putting up 338.6 yards per game. Here is the mismatch for us as Washington's defense ranks 119th in the nation in pass yards against, allowing 260.5. Washington State can get into rhythm early, it's going to open up a lot of things here for the Cougars. Washington is in a let down spot as well after the huge win on the road in a rainy Oregon State. Washington State certainly has the ability to keep this close and continue to put doubt in the back of the Huskies' minds as this game goes on. Washington State are 6-3 ATS in their L9 in November. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 7* NCAA ATS Play |
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11-25-23 | Colorado v. Utah -20.5 | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 1 m | Show | |
Utah -20.5 The 2023 Rumble in the Rockies isn't what we were hoping for at the beginning of the season. Colorado (4-7, 1-7 Pac-12, 6-4-1 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) comes into Utah (7-4, 6-4-1 ATS, 5-1 HOME) on Saturday looking to finish their season with any kind of a positive they can cling to. Kickoff at Rice-Eccles is at 3pm ET. The Buffaloes are on a tough losing streak, dropping their last five games. Their latest defeat came at the hands of WSU, where they were beaten 56-14 Friday. Meanwhile, the Utes had a tough road game against #16 Arizona and ended up losing 42-18 in Week 12. Now, let's talk odds. When it comes to the Moneyline (ML), Colorado is sitting at +920, while Utah has a commanding -1800. Looking at the Against the Spread (ATS), Utah is favored by -21.5 points (-115), and if you can find it at -20.5, you're in good shape. Lastly, the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 52.5. The last time these two met was 11/26/22, a 9-TD 63-21 Utah win. Utah leads the series 34-32-3. With the first game coming back in 1903. They've won 6 straight. Key point for this one. Shedeur Sanders is a GTD. It's unclear if he suits up for this one. But honestly, why would he? He left Friday's loss with hand soreness in the 56-14 blowout loss to WSU, and why would he take the field? To pad his getting sacked numbers? (Leads the Nation) The CU O-line has proven they couldn't protect an elephant so I don't see why he'd risk it. Give his backup some reps (whomever that is). CU can't make a bowl game, so I'm not sure how much pride there is to play for here. Colorado a 22-point underdog, needs a win to avoid finishing alone in last place in the Pac-12. Utes destroy unranked teams at Rice-Eccles and have taken down the Buffs in the L6 matchups by 20+. EVEN IF Sanders plays, I still like Utah to blow the doors off CU in this one. They're assured a bowl game, so this will be about ironing out the kinks before December. Some trends to note, CU are 0-5 SU in their L5, 1-6 ATS in their L7 vs. Utah, 0-6 SU in their L6 vs. the Utes, and are 2-14 SU in their L16 on the road. The Utes are 4-2 ATS in their L6, 13-6 SU in their L19, and are 19-1 SU in their L20 at home. (The lone loss coming vs. Oregon this year) Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play |
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11-25-23 | Ohio State +3.5 v. Michigan | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 46 m | Show | |
Ohio State +3.5 #3 Ohio State, with a perfect 11-0 record (8-0 Big Ten, 6-4-1 ATS), is set to face #2 Michigan, also 11-0 (8-0 Big 10, 5-5 ATS), at Michigan Stadium in the highly anticipated "The Game!" It's a noon ET kickoff (FOX). The odds for Ohio State are +146 on the Moneyline, while Michigan sits at -176. The ATS line favors Michigan at -3.5 (-115), and the Over/Under is set at 46.5 points. The Buckeyes recently dominated Minnesota, winning 37-3 on Senior Day, while the Wolverines secured a 31-24 victory over Maryland. Get ready for an exciting showdown! We're backing Ohio State here as one of the best rivalries all in sports once again has so much on the line. The winner will move on to the Big 10 Championship and likely find themselves in the BCS Playoff and this is just too many points in this spot.Ohio State's offense is on another level right now. They're doing it with their ground game, led by TreVeyon Henderson, who rumbled his way for 146 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the win over the Golden Gophers last week. His ability to pick up huge chunks of yardage is opening passing lanes as well for Kyle McCord. The Buckeyes have everything clicking right now on the offensive end and they should be able to wear down this Michigan defense as the game goes on. Combine that with how well this Ohio State defense is playing too. The Buckeyes are allowing just 9.3 points per game, which is 2nd in the entire nation. We're going to see Ohio State make things miserable for JJ McCarthy, who has significantly worse stats without Harbaugh on the sideline. Ohio State are 5-1-1 ATS in their L7, ane are 10-0 SU in their L10, plus, they're 15-3 SU in their L18 games against Michigan, and lastly, they're 9-0 SU in their L9 games on the road. Good Luck, Razor Ray. Saturday 9* CFB ATS Play |