Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-15-22 | Cavs -1 v. Hawks | 116-124 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Cavs -1) I'll take my chances with the Cavs as a slim 1-point road favorite against the Hawks on Tuesday. Cleveland comes into this game having gone 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games. The only loss coming at Philly where Embiid was simply too much to overcome. Atlanta is 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS over their last 5 and just aren't playing well going into the All-Star break. Cavs are 13-3 ATS when they come into a game having covered 4 of their last 5. Hawks are 9-19 ATS last 28 after failing to cover 4/5 of their last 6 and are 2-12 ATS last 14 after a loss by 10 or more. Atlanta is also a mere 8-20 ATS this season when playing a team with a winning record and just 1-8 ATS when playing a team that has won 60%-70% of their games. They are also 8-23 ATS last 31 vs strong defensive teams, who give up 108 or fewer ppg. Give me the Cavs -1! |
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02-14-22 | Oklahoma State +10.5 v. Kansas | 62-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Oklahoma State +10.5) I'll take my chances with the Cowboys catching 10.5 against the Jayhawks. I just think the number here is too high, which has been a common them for KU here of late. The Jayhawks are just 3-8 ATS over their last 11 games. One of the biggest things that stand out to me is we have Kansas laying 10.5 when they have just 1 conference win by more than 11 points this season. Oklahoma State is just 5-7 in Big 12 play, but have shown up in some big games. Most notably beating Baylor 61-54 on the road. They have just one conference loss by more than 11 points. It's also worth noting that these two teams played once already. KU won that game 74-63 at Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are 11-3 ATS last 3 seasons when revenging a same season loss and are outscoring opponents in this spot 73.5 to 70.0. Give me Oklahoma State +10.5! |
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02-14-22 | Raptors -4 v. Pelicans | 90-120 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -4) I got no problem laying the 4-points with the Raptors, as they go to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans. The Pelicans were able to acquire C.J. Mccollum at the trade deadline. A nice piece, but I don't think it really changes much overall for New Orleans. One thing that really concerns me is that McCollum has come in and tried to put this team on his back. He attempted 21 shots (6 more than the next most) in his debut, a 97-112 loss at home to the Heat. He then took 24 in a 114-124 loss at home to the Spurs. I wonder how that's being accepted in the locker room. Keep in mind they had won 4 in a row before he got there. Raptors don't have any chemistry problems. While they did lose at home to the Nuggets in their last game, it's a mere blemish on the schedule of late. Toronto had won and covered each of their previous 8 games. I like their chances of bouncing back with an easy win. Give me the Raptors -4! |
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02-14-22 | Kings -3 v. Nets | Top | 85-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Kings -3) I'll take my chances with Sacramento laying just 3-points on the road against a depleted Brooklyn team. Durant won't be back until after the All-Star break, Irving can't play in home games and Simmons isn't ready from a conditioning standpoint to make his debut with his new team. That leaves the Nets with a bunch of role players and I just don't think they have enough to really compete. I also like what I've seen out of this Kings team since they added in Sabonis in that trade with the Pacers. He makes quite a trio with Barnes and Fox. All 5 starters scored 12 or more in their 123-110 win at Washington last time out. That's after they beat the Timberwolves 132-119 in Sabonis' debut with the team. Give me the Kings -3! |
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02-12-22 | Clippers +7.5 v. Mavs | 99-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Public Money ATS MASSACRE (Clippers +7.5) I'll take my chances with the Clippers as a 7.5-point dog against the Mavs. These two teams just played on Thursday and Dallas won that game 112-105. Mavs covered in that game as a 6.5-point favorite, which is why we are seeing a bigger line here. Thing is, they got a career-high 51 points from Doncic in that game. Not impossible, but highly unlikely they get another game like that from him. It's just really tough to beat the same team in back-to-back games in this league. Give me the Clippers +7.5! |
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02-12-22 | Kings -2.5 v. Wizards | 123-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Big Money ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings -2.5) I will gladly lay the short number with Sacramento on the road against the Wizards. A lot of people questioned the moves the Kings made at the deadline, but I think they clearly got better with the addition of big man Domantas Sabonis. He was outstanding in his debut with the Kings, scoring 22 points with 14 rebounds and 5 assists. Sacramento beat a Minnesota team 132-119 that they had just lost to the previous night 114-134. I think this team all of the sudden has some life. The same can't be said for Washington. They too made a lot of trades and were able to acquire a talented big man, as they got Porzingis from the Mavs. Thing is, he's questionable to play with a knee injury. They also are going to be without Daniel Gafford, who has been one of their best players this season.. Give me the Kings -2.5! |
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02-12-22 | Ohio State v. Michigan -2 | Top | 68-57 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 55 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Michigan -2) Love the Wolverines as a mere 2-point home favorite against the Buckeyes. Michigan was one of the bigger disappointments early on this season. A lot of people thought this team was Final 4 caliber and yet they started the season 7-7 and just 1-3 in Big Ten play. They have started to turn it around, winning 6 of their last 8, with the only two losses coming on the road to Michigan State and Purdue. Last time out they didn't just beat Purdue, they annihilated the Boilermakers 82-58 at home. Ohio State is a good team, but I think they are not quite as good as what people think. I definitely don't trust this team on the road. They are just 3-4 away from home in Big Ten play with their 3 wins coming against 3 of the bottom half teams in Penn St, Nebraska and Minnesota. I also think it could be tough here playing their second road game in 4 days after Wednesday's hard fought 64-66 loss at Rutgers. Give me the Wolverines -2! |
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02-12-22 | Vanderbilt +11.5 v. Tennessee | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Vanderbilt +11.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Commodores catching double-digits on the road against in-state rival Tennessee. Vandy isn't going to be scared of the Vols. While Tennessee did win on the road at Nashville earlier this season, they only did so by 8 and the Commodores had a lead in the 2nd half of the game. Not saying the Vols will win, but the number here is just too high given the matchup. The line inflation comes from Tennessee being viewed as an elite team and they coming in having won 3 in a row and 6 of their last 7 with the only loss being by 1-point at Texas. Having already beat the Vols this season and a monster home game on deck against Kentucky Tuesday, I think this could be a bit of a flatspot for Tennessee. Give me Vanderbilt +11.5! |
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02-12-22 | Knicks -4.5 v. Blazers | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR (Knicks -4.5) I will gladly lay the 4.5 with the Knicks on the road against the Blazers. While New York will be without R.J. Barrett, they didn't need him in Thursday's 116-114 win at Golden State. That's the win this Knicks team has been dying for and I think it's going to serve as a spark for them in these last few games before the All-Star break. The other big thing is this is not the same Blazers team as a couple weeks ago. Portland unloaded their assets at the trade deadline. This is a MUCH worse team than it was and it wasn't great to start with, especially without Lillard. I know they just beat the Lakers at home in their last game as a 8-point dog, but I think that's more of how much LA is struggling. I also think that's the kind of win for a bad team that can be tough to play well the next time out. Give me the Knicks -4.5! |
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02-12-22 | Florida +10 v. Kentucky | 57-78 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Florida +10) I just don't feel like the Gators should be a double-digit dog in this fight. Kentucky's a really good team and just keep stacking up the wins, but they are overvalued because of just how big a name they are. Everyone just assumes the Wildcats are going to play their best every time out and that's tough to do when you are getting the best shot from every team you play. I just wonder if Kentucky won't struggle to lock in for this game with Tuesday's big showdown at Tennessee looming in just a couple days. This is also a Florida team that has been playing better of late. The Gators have won 4 straight and are 7-2 in their last 9 with one of those two losses being a mere 7-point setback at the Vols. Give me the Gators +10! |
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02-12-22 | Indiana v. Michigan State -4.5 | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Michigan St -4.5) I will gladly lay the 4.5-points at home with the Spartans against Indiana. Love this spot for Michigan State, who is going to be extremely motivated after dropping their last two games at Rutgers by 21 and then at home by 8 to Wisconsin. I also don't think the home court edge for the Spartans is getting near enough respect with this line. Indiana doesn't pack the same punch the same punch on the road as they do at home, largely due to the fact that they rely so much on their defense, which just isn't as strong without the home crowd to feed off of. Give me Michigan State -4.5! |
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02-11-22 | Nuggets v. Celtics -5 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Celtics -5) I'll take my chances with Boston cashing in as a 5-point home favorite against the Nuggets on Friday. The Celtics have been playing some of their best basketball since the calendar shifted to 2022. Boston is 13-4 over their last 17 games and come into this one having won 6 straight. They have really dominated during this recent 6-game run, winning 5 of the 6 by 9 or more points. While the Nuggets are far from a pushover, I don't think it's asking a lot for them to win here by 6 or more. The biggest deter for me when it comes to Denver in this game, is starting point guard Monte Morris has been ruled out with a concussion. I see that as a big time loss, especially with how well the Celtics are playing on the defensive side of the ball. Give me Boston -5! |
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02-10-22 | Arizona -5.5 v. Washington State | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Arizona -5.5) I got no problem laying the 5.5-points on the road with Arizona at Washington State. I don't think this is near enough points for the Cougars to be catching. The Wildcats are 20-2 with a 10-1 record in the Pac-12. Their only two losses have come in road games against the likes of Tennessee and UCLA, who are two of the 15 best teams in the country. It just feels like we are seeing Washington State get a little too much respect here due to the fact that they come in having won 5 straight. Thing is, they have put together this winning streak against some pretty mediocre teams in Cal (twice), Utah, Colorado and Stanford. It's also worth noting that in Arizona's 10 win in Pac-12 play, the smallest margin of victory has been by 9 points. Give me the Wildcats -5.5! |
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02-10-22 | Iowa v. Maryland +4.5 | 110-87 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Maryland +4.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the Terps as a 4.5-point home dog against the Hawkeyes. I'm not so sure Iowa should be favored. While Maryland has lost 3 in a row and are just 3-9 in Big Ten play, it's not like the Hawkeyes have been dominating the opposition. Iowa has a losing record of their own in conference play at 5-6. I also don't trust this Iowa team away from home. The Hawkeyes are just 1-4 in Big Ten road games with losses to the likes of Rutgers and Penn State away from home. You also have to look at the previous meeting between these two teams. Iowa won at home in a very closely contested game 80-75. Terps are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when playing after 3 straight conference losses. Iowa is just 2-9 ATS last 11 on the road after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Give me Maryland +4.5! |
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02-09-22 | Alabama -5.5 v. Ole Miss | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Alabama -5.5) I'll take my chances with the Crimson Tide as a 5.5-point road favorite against the Rebels. This feels like the perfect get right spot for Alabama, who is coming off a couple of ugly losses to Auburn (81-100) and Kentucky (55-66) in their last two games. Ole Miss should be a team they can make easy work of. The Rebels were able to cover as 10.5-point dogs in a 57-62 OT loss at Florida last time out, but were very lucky to do so. Ole Miss scored just 46 points in regulation and shot 32.8% from the field for the game. Their first since losing star freshman point guard Daeshun Ruffin to a season-ending knee injury. Rebels aren't going to get away with that kind of offensive production against a team like the Crimson Tide, who are averaging 80.2 ppg for the season and 76.3 ppg in SEC play. Give me Alabama -5.5! |
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02-09-22 | Spurs +6.5 v. Cavs | 92-105 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Spurs +6.5) I'll take my chances with the Spurs as a 6.5-point road dog against the Cavaliers on Wednesday. Cleveland recently made a big splash by acquiring Caris LeVert in a trade with the Pacers. While it's a move that I believe makes the Cavs an even stronger team going forward, I think it has them a bit overvalued in this game. It's likely going to take some time for LeVert to adjust to his new role with an established team. Cleveland is also still dealing with some injuries. Most notably Darius Garland, who has missed the last 4 games with a back injury and is listed as questionable. Spurs on the other hand have to be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor, as San Antonio hasn't played since beating the Rockets 131-106 last Friday. San Antonio recently saw Zach Collins play for the first time in almost 2 years and he provided quite the spark of the bench with 10 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 steals in just 13 minutes. Give me the Spurs +6.5! |
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02-09-22 | Ohio State v. Rutgers +3.5 | Top | 64-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
50* (CBB) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Rutgers +3.5) I love Rutgers as a 3.5-point home dog against the Buckeyes. I don't think the Scarlet Knights should be catching points at home. Rutgers is 11-2 on their home floor this season and in their last game they just annihilated Michigan State 84-63 at home. They also have wins over Purdue, Iowa and Michigan at home in Big Ten play. Ohio State is 14-5 SU and 7-3 in Big Ten play, but they are just 4-5 away from home this season with a 3-3 mark in Big Ten road games. The 3 wins coming against 3 of the worst teams in the league in Penn State, Nebraska and Minnesota. Rutgers is 6-0 ATS under Pikiell in home games off an upset win as a conference dog. Give me the Scarlet Knights +3.5! |
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02-08-22 | Indiana +1 v. Northwestern | 51-59 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Indiana +1) I'll take my chances with the Hoosiers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Wildcats. I think this is a good time to sell high on Northwestern after back-to-back wins and buy low on Indiana after an ugly 57-74 home loss to Illinois last time out. The Hoosiers haven't lost back-to-back games all season and not that long ago we watched them lose 80-62 at home to Michigan and then turn around and beat Penn State 74-57 at home and Maryland 68-55 on the road in their next two games. Prior to Northwestern scraping by Rutgers 79-78 in OT at home and beating Nebraska on the road, the Wildcats had lost 8 of 10 in Big Ten play. Give me the Hoosiers +1! |
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02-08-22 | Illinois +6 v. Purdue | Top | 68-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Illinois +6) I love the value we are getting with Illinois as a 6-point road dog against the Boilermakers. Purdue comes into this game having won 5 straight, but in their last two home games they have beat Ohio St by just 3 and Michigan by 6. I not only think the Illini will keep this one close, but I give them a realistic shot of winning this game outright. There's no doubt Illinois will be highly motivated for this game, as these two teams played back on Jan. 17 and the Boilermakers won that game on the road 96-88 in double-overtime. You also got to look at the fact that Illinois has lost just 5 games all season and have lost by more than 6 points just one time in Big Ten play. That being a 65-81 loss at Maryland, which was sandwiched between that game with Purdue and a home game with Michigan State. They also didn't have Kofi Cockburn for that game against the Terps. Give me the Fighting Illini +6! |
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02-08-22 | Celtics -6 v. Nets | 126-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Celtics -6) I'll take my chances with Boston covering as a 6-point road favorite against the Nets on Tuesday. Celtics come into this game having won 5 straight and are now 12-4 over their last 16 games. They have been absolutely dominating teams during their 5-game winning streak, as they are scoring 112.0 ppg on 49.3% shooting, while giving up 94.4 ppg on 38.5% shooting. I don't see Brooklyn being able to keep this one close. The Nets are still without Kevin Durant and won't have Kyrie Irving with it being a home game. There's also no guarantee James Harden suits up, as he's dealing with a hamstring injury. LaMarcus Aldridge, Paul Millsap and Joe Harris are also unavailable. Brooklyn has lost 8 in a row and that's with 6 of the 8 coming on the road, where they get the benefit of having Irving. In their last 5 games they are scoring just 104.8 ppg on 43.9% shooting, while allowing 118.4 ppg on 49.3% shooting. Give me the Celtics -6! |
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02-07-22 | Knicks +7.5 v. Jazz | Top | 104-113 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH (Knicks +7.5) I really like the value we are getting with the Knicks as a 7.5-point road dog against the Jazz on Monday. This just feels like a few to many for Utah to be laying. The Jazz have won two straight and are fresh off a 125-102 win at home against the Nets. Thing is, that win came against a depleted Brooklyn team. Utah is still without their anchor inside in Rudy Gobert, they recently lost key reserve Joe Ingles to a season-ending injury and both Jordan Clarkson and Rudy Gay are questionable to play. I know the Knicks have lost 8 of their last 10, but it almost makes me like them more. It's getting to the point where it's becoming a bit do or die for New York. They did have a 21-point lead against the Lakers in their last game and that was with LeBron, AD and Westbrook all in the lineup for LA. Not saying they win this game, but I would be shocked if the Knicks didn't put up a fight in this one. Give me New York +7.5! |
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02-06-22 | Pacers v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 85-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Cavs -5.5) I will lay the 5.5 with the Cavs at home against the short-handed Pacers on Sunday. While Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis are both showing up as questionable, both figure to be on a minutes restriction if they do get cleared to play. They will still be without Myles Turner and Isaiah Jackson and likely Goga Bitadze. The Pacers are really short-handed in the frontcourt and this Cavs team is probably the last team you want to face without any big men. Look for Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley to have a field day. There's also a chance that Cleveland gets back star point guard Darius Garland after he's sat out the last 3 games with back soreness. I just don't see the Pacers being all that competitive in this one. Indiana is just 6-20 on the season in road games. Give me the Cavs -5.5! |
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02-06-22 | Minnesota +12 v. Iowa | 59-71 | Push | 0 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Minnesota +12) I'll take my chances with the Gophers as a 12-point road dog against the Hawkeyes. These two teams played at Minnesota back on Jan. 16. While Iowa won and covered in a 81-71 win as a 7-point road favorite, the Gophers held their own and were without a couple key rotation players in Eric Curry and Sean Sutherlin. Both will be available for the rematch. You also got an Iowa team that hasn't been playing that great. Hawkeyes have lost 3 of their last 4 and are just 4-6 in Big Ten play with just one of those wins coming by more than the number here. Hawkeyes should win this thing on their home floor, but I don't see it being as lopsided a matchup as this number would suggest. Give me the Gophers +12! |
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02-05-22 | Thunder +6.5 v. Kings | 103-113 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Thunder +6.5) I'll take my chances here with OKC catching 6.5 against the Kings. While the Thunder will be on the 2nd of a back-to-back, they are playing with a ton of confidence right now. OKC has won 3 straight, beating the Blazers twice and winning 120-114 at Dallas as a 12-point dog. Sacramento is just 1-8 SU over their last 9 games and this is a bad spot for the Kings, who have really been through the gauntlet of late. After a 5-game road trip against the Bucks, Celtics, Hawks, 76ers and Knicks, Sacramento hosted the Nets and then went to the Warriors in a Wednesday/Thursday back-to-back. I think the Kings will have a hard time finding a reason to get up for this one. Give me the Thunder +6.5! |
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02-05-22 | Knicks +2 v. Lakers | 115-122 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Knicks +2) I'll take my chances with New York as a road dog against the Lakers. I just don't think LA can be trusted without LeBron James. I know AD is back and playing well, but he's playing great and they are still not winning. Davis had 30 points, 17 rebounds, 2 steals and 2 blocks in their loss to the Clippers last time out. The even bigger factor here is the scheduling spot for these two teams. New York just had 3 days off, which has to feel like 2 weeks at this point in the season. The Lakers on the other hand are playing their 3rd game in 4 days and 6th in the last 10 days. Everyone is going to be on the Lakers as a short home favorite. Give me the Knicks +2! |
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02-05-22 | Ole Miss v. Florida -8.5 | 57-62 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Florida -8.5) I think there's plenty of reason to believe the Gators will win by double-digits at home against Ole Miss. The Rebels just suffered some devastating news, as they learned that the knee injury that forced freshman Daeshun Ruffin to leave their last game against LSU is going to require season-ending surgery. It's heartbreaking for this team to lose arguably their best player when it felt like they were just hitting their stride. Ruffin ranks 29th in the country with a 32.0 %Poss (# of possessions used). I think we saw the problems of him not being on the floor in that LSU game. The Tigers only field goal in the last 9:50 of that game was a breakaway layup with 10 seconds to go. Florida isn't going to feel sorry for them, as they lost 54-70 at Ole Miss a couple weeks ago. Gators also need this win, as they are just 4-5 in SEC play right now. I just don't think Ole Miss will have the offense to make a game of it on the road. Give me Florida -8.5! |
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02-05-22 | St. John's v. Butler +1.5 | 75-72 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Butler +1.5) Butler should not be a home dog in this one. The Bulldogs have been playing much better of late. It started with a mere 7-point loss on the road to Providence. They then won back-to-back games at home against Creighton and Georgetown before losing by just 2 on the road at Xavier. While an 8-4 home record doesn't look all that great. It does when those 4 losses are to Michigan St, Seton Hall, Xavier and UConn. St. John's just won 90-77 on the road against Georgetown, but had started out 0-4 on the road in Big East play before that. This is also a bit of a lookahead for the Red Storm with a home game against Villanova on deck Tuesday. Give me Butler +1.5! |
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02-04-22 | Thunder v. Blazers -8 | 96-93 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Late Night ATS BAILOUT BLOWOUT (Blazers -8) I'll gladly take my chances with the Blazers as a 8-point home favorite against the Thunder. This line will probably look a bit off to some, as Portland doesn't look like a team that should be laying this kind of number. Blazers have lost 5 of 6 and failed to cover 3 straight. They have scored just 81 and 94 points in their last two games and just last week lost 81-98 at OKC. I think it's more than a fair price given the spot. Portland is not going to let this awful Thunder team embarrass them in two games over a 5-day stretch. Not when OKC is in as bad a shape as they are. Portland couldn't have shot any worse in the previous meeting. I could see them going for 130+ in this one. Give me the Blazers -8! |
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02-04-22 | Hawks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH (Hawks +2.5) I really like the Hawks to go into Toronto and get a win Friday night. Atlanta knocked off the Suns 124-115 last night and are now 8-1 in their last 9 games. Their work isn't done, as the Hawks still sit just 10th in the Eastern Conference at 25-26. This to me feels like a team that is really motivated to go into the All-Star break on a roll. I also love backing the Hawks at this price with Trae Young ballin. Young has scored 36 and 43 in his last two games against the Lakers and Suns. While both teams are in a bad scheduling spot, playing on no rest, I think it's a lot worse for the Raptors. Toronto has had quite the 5-game stretch. They played at Chicago, at Miami and at Atlanta before returning home to face the Heat and Bulls in rematches. They went 4-1, but I think they are going to be out of gas after last night's OT game against the Bulls. All 5 starters played 37+ minutes with 4 of the 5 playing 40+ mins. Give me the Hawks +2.5! |
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02-04-22 | Cavs v. Hornets -4.5 | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets -4.5) I will gladly lay the 4.5-points at home with the Hornets. Cleveland was one of the most undervalued teams for the first couple months of the season, but as they always do, the books have caught up. Cavs are 5-13-1 ATS over their last 19 games. I just don't understand the respect they are getting right now with one of their best players in Darius Garland out. Keep in mind Charlotte was a 5-point home favorite when these two teams played back on Nov. 1 and the Cavs are down 3 starters from that game in Garland, Sexton and Markkanen. I also like the spot for the Hornets, who I think will be motivated coming off 2 straight losses. Charlotte has really been playing well in 2022. They are 10-5 SU and 10-5 ATS over their last 15 games. Give me the Hornets -4.5! |
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02-03-22 | Lakers v. Clippers -2.5 | 110-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Clippers -2.5) I will gladly lay the 2.5-points with the Clippers, as they take on their cross town rivals in the Lakers on Thursday. While the Clippers are no where close to the team they would be if they had Paul George and Kawhi Leonard, they are far from a pushover. Clippers come in having gone 6-2-1 ATS over their last 9 games and you know they are going to be up for this one. As for the Lakers, they are in a bad spot here. Lakers still without LeBron James and will be playing on no rest after a game against the Blazers last night. Anthony Davis as of right now is expected to play, but he's not played a back-to-back since returning from injury and played 37 minutes last night. Lakers also had to play from behind late in that game, which is only going to make it harder for them to bounce back with a good effort here. Give me the Clippers -2.5! |
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02-03-22 | Bulls v. Raptors -3 | Top | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Raptors -3) I really like the value with the Raptors as a mere 3-point home favorite against the Bulls on Thursday. Toronto has won 3 straight and it just so happens their last loss was to Chicago back on Jan. 26. Love the revenge angle for the Raptors against a depleted Bulls team that is still without both Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso. Toronto is 9-2 ATS last 11 after covering 3 of their last 4. They are 26-10 ATS off a win by 6 or less and 6-0 ATS last 3 seasons when off 2 straight wins by 6 or fewer. Give me the Raptors -3! |
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02-02-22 | Wisconsin +7 v. Illinois | 67-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Wisconsin +7) I'll take my chances with the Badgers as a 7-point road dog against Illinois. I'm not sure why the books are giving the Illini this much love against Wisconsin, but I'll gladly take advantage of it. Illinois is a great team, but no way should they be laying more than 5-points against this Badgers team. Some of Wisconsin's best work has come away from home this season, as the Badgers are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS. The most notable of those being a 74-69 win at Purdue as a 12.5-point dog. Win or lose, I expect this to be a closely contested game the entire way. Give me Wisconsin +7! |
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02-02-22 | Magic v. Pacers -4 | 119-118 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -4) I'll take my chances with the Pacers as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Magic. It's been a rough go for Indiana this season, as they are just 19-33 when they were expected to at the very least be a team fighting for a playoff spot. Add in all the guys they got out right now because of injury and I just feel it has them undervalued against a bad Magic team in a bad spot. Orlando is just 6-23 away from home this season, where they are losing by more than 7 ppg. Magic are also playing on no rest in this game, as they were at Chicago last night. Give me the Pacers -4! |
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02-02-22 | Notre Dame v. Miami-FL -4 | 68-64 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Miami -4) I will gladly lay the 4-points at home with Miami against the Fighting Irish. I think we are seeing Notre Dame getting way too much respect on the road. Irish have gone an impressive 10-2 over their last 12 games, but it's come against a pretty favorable schedule. Notre Dame's onlywins away from home in ACC play are against Pitt, Georgia Tech and Louisville. Miami has been every bit as good as Notre Dame of late, as the Hurricanes are 12-2 over their last 14 games and are sitting at 8-2 in ACC play. Miami's only home loss in conference play is a 1-point setback to FSU when they were rolling. Give me the Hurricanes -4! |
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02-02-22 | Florida State v. Clemson -3 | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Clemson -3) I will gladly take my chances with Clemson as a short 3-point home favorite against a short-handed Florida State team. While the Tigers are a disappointing 3-6 in ACC play, they have shown some signs of life here of late. Clemson followed up an impressive 75-48 win at home over Pitt with a near upset win at Duke, as they fell 69-71 to the Blue Devils. Tigers should be highly motivated for this one and will definitely be the fresher of the two teams, as they have had the last 8 days off. FSU is a team I was high on not that long ago, but injuries have really derailed things. Malik Osborne has been lost for the season, Caleb Mills is battling an illness and Rayquan Evans is likely out due to the loss of a loved one. Give me Clemson -3! |
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02-01-22 | Texas v. Texas Tech -4 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas Tech -4) I'll take my chances with the Red Raiders laying just 4-points at home against the Longhorns. Texas Tech has been a money maker in Big 12 play so far with a 7-1 ATS record in 8 games. It's also really hard to not lay a mere 4-points with how good they have been at home. Red Raiders are a perfect 13-0 at home with a 9-3 ATS mark. It's the opposite for Texas, who is 13-1 at home compared to just 3-4 on the road. The only top tier team they have played on the road in Big 12 play is ISU and they lost 70-79. This one also has a little extra meaning as it's the first time these two teams will have faced since Chris Beard left the Red Raiders to take over at Texas. Give me Texas Tech -4! |
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02-01-22 | Nuggets v. Wolves -4 | 115-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Wolves -4) I'll take my chances with Minnesota as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Nuggets on Tuesday. While the Nuggets come into this game having won 5 in a row, there's a good chance they won't have Jokic, who is being listed as questionable with a toe injury. Backup big man DeMarcus Cousins is also questionable, which means the Nuggets could have to play this one without a true big man. The Timberwolves may look like they are treading water with a 9-8 record in their last 17 games, but its actually been a pretty impressive run, as 12 of the 17 games have come on the road. Minnesota has actually not lost on their home floor since late December. Their last 3 home games have seen them beat the Jazz 126-106, Nets 136-125 and the Warriors 119-99. Give me the Timberwolves -4! |
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02-01-22 | Davidson v. St Bonaventure -2.5 | Top | 81-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (St Bonaventure -2.5) I will gladly lay the 2.5-points at home with the Bonnies as they host Davidson on Tuesday. The Wildcats have an impressive 17-3 record, but a lot of that is the schedule they have played. While they have only loss 1 game in their last 17, they have been very fortunate in a number of games here of late. In their last 6 wins, all 6 have come by 10 or fewer with 4 of those by 4 points or less. You also have a St Bonaventure team that is extremely tough to beat on their home floor. The Bonnies are 7-1 at home this season. This to me feels like a statement game for St Bonaventure and I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game going away. Give me the Bonnies -2.5! |
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01-31-22 | Warriors v. Rockets +11 | 122-108 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Rockets +11) I'll take my chances with the Rockets as a double-digit home dog against the Warriors. This just feels like a few too many for Golden State to be laying on the road in what feels like a bit of a letdown spot after their big home win against the Nets on Saturday, which was the primetime game on ABC. While the Warriors could have a tough time getting up for this game, you got to believe we are going to get a big effort here from Houston. Everyone gets up to play Golden State and the Rockets have to believe they got a fighters chance after only losing 103-105 at Golden State just 11 days ago. Give me the Rockets +11! |
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01-31-22 | Clippers v. Pacers -1.5 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers -1.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Pacers as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Clippers. This is more a play against LA in a bad scheduling spot than anything, but I do think we are going to get a big effort here from the short-handed Pacers at home. The Clippers will be playing the final game of a lengthy 8-game road trip that started back on Jan. 19. LA is also going to be playing on no rest after a game at Charlotte last night. On top of that, it's their 5th game in 7 days. Not only will the Clippers be excited to get on a plane back home, they got a showdown with the Lakers on deck Wednesday. Give me the Pacers -1.5! |
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01-31-22 | Iowa -4.5 v. Penn State | Top | 86-90 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Iowa -4.5) I really like the Hawkeyes as a slim 4.5-point road favorite against the Nittany Lions. These two teams just played 10 days ago and Iowa won that matchup handedly 68-51 at home. Penn State had just 1 guy finish that game in double-figures, where the Hawkeyes had 4. Iowa also won that game without a big game from their star player Keegan Murray, as he had just 15 points on 4 of 12 shooting. I just don't think it's enough to be playing at home for Penn State to see a different result, especially with Iowa motivated to play well after a loss at home to Purdue last Thursday. Nittany Lions just don't have the offense to keep it close. They have eclipsed the 70-point mark just once in 9 Big Ten games and that was back on Jan. 5 against Northwestern. Iowa is averaging 73.6 ppg in conference play. Give me the Hawkeyes -4.5! |
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01-30-22 | Marquette v. Providence -2 | 63-65 | Push | 0 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Providence -2) I'll gladly take my chances with the Friars at basically a pick'em at home against the Golden Eagles. I just think Marquette is getting a little too much respect here coming into this game on a 7-game win streak. Providence is 17-2 on the season and the only loss they have suffered in the last two months is a 56-88 blowout loss at Marquette back on Jan. 4. There's no doubt that embarrassment is still fresh in the minds of these Friars' players. Providence has not lost a game on their home floor all season and they keep that perfect record at the Dunkin' Donuts Center. Give me the Friars -2! |
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01-29-22 | Nets +7 v. Warriors | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Nets +7) I'll take my chances with Brooklyn as a 7-point road dog against the Warriors in Saturday's big prime time game on ABC. I faded the Nets in each of their last two games at home against the Lakers and Nuggets. Cashing both tickets. Both were easy plays. Brooklyn was getting way too much respect at home with Kyrie Irving not being able to play and Durant out with an injury. James Harden also sat out the game against the Nuggets. Now the Nets are being way undervalued on the road. Irving is going to play with it not being in Brooklyn and Harden is expected back in the lineup. I think it's enough for them to at the very least make a game of it. Give me the Nets +7! |
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01-29-22 | Kings +10.5 v. 76ers | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Kings +10.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Kings as a 10.5-point road dog against the 76ers on Saturday. This for me is all about the price and the spot. I think we are seeing Philly way overvalued in a big letdown spot. 76ers just beat a healthy Lakers team on Thursday and have a big game on deck with Memphis coming to down on Monday. We have seen Philadelphia play down their competition a lot this year and the Kings are definitely a team right now that isn't getting much respect. Sacramento has lost 5 in a row and 10 of their last 12. They had that 50+ point loss at Boston on Tuesday and followed that up with a 17-point loss at Atlanta on Wednesday. Hard to see a lot of positives for the Kings, but I think we are going to see them come out and give a big effort against a top tier team like the 76ers. I just don't think Philly will be motivated enough to pull away and cover this big number. Give me Sacramento +10.5! |
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01-29-22 | Rutgers -2 v. Nebraska | 63-61 | Push | 0 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Prime Time ATS MASSACRE (Rutgers -2) I will take my chances with the Scarlet Knights as a mere 2-point road favorite against the Cornhuskers. We backed Nebraska in their last game at home against Wisconsin and took it on the chin, as they lost by 8 as a 7.5-point dog. I know the Cornhuskers play better at home, but there's just too much value at this price with Rutgers. There will be no overlooking Nebraska for the Scarlet Knights, as they just lost at home to Maryland after losing at Minnesota a few days earlier. This will be an extremely motivated Rutgers team and they are the more talented team in this matchup. It's going to take a really bad showing by the Knights and a great showing by Nebraska, just for this game to be close. Give me Rutgers -2! |
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01-29-22 | Kansas State v. Ole Miss | 56-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Kansas State PK) I will gladly take my chances with Kansas State as a mere pick'em on the road against the Rebels. While the Wildcats come in off back-to-back losses, those came at home to Kansas and on the road to Baylor. The two best teams in the Big 12. Prior to that they had won at home over Texas Tech and at Texas. They also lost by just 3 to the Jayhawks. I think they are without a doubt the better team. Ole Miss is just 10-10 and are a mere 2-6 in the SEC. Losses at home to the likes of Samford and Missouri really speak to the talent level on this team. Give me Kansas State PK! |
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01-29-22 | Missouri v. Iowa State -9 | 50-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa State -9) I will lay the 9-points with the Cyclones at home against Missouri. I think anything in the single-digits is a great price on Iowa State. I think the Big 12 is head and shoulders ahead of the SEC and you have one of the Big 12's better teams against one of the worst. I also like the fact that while the Cyclones come in off a big 84-81 OT win at OKlahoma State, they are just 3-5 SU over their last 8 games. I see a very motivated ISU team taking the floor, especially at home. The other big thing here is the awful spot for Missouri, who just suffered a heartbreaking 54-55 loss at home to No. 1 ranked Auburn on Tuesday. For a team like the Tigers, who aren't sniffing an at-large bid, this could be a really tough game for them to get up for. It's also a bad matchup. Iowa State is really good defensively and this Missouri team has been one of the worst offensive groups in the SEC this year. Tigers are 10th in the SEC in offensive efficiency and 10th in effective FG%. They are bad in the turnover department and struggle big time on the offensive glass, both getting them and giving up second chance opportunities. Give me the Cyclones -9! |
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01-29-22 | Oklahoma +10 v. Auburn | Top | 68-86 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
50* (CBB) -Big 12/SEC Max Unit PLAY OF THE DAY (Oklahoma +10) I love the value we are getting with the Sooners as a 10-point road dog against the Tigers. I just think the Big 12 is a lot better than the SEC and there's some value on the Big 12 in this midseason cross-conference showdown. I'm not saying a team like Oklahoma is going to go on the road and upset a team like Auburn, but there's no reason for Auburn to be laying double-digits here. Not in this spot. The Tigers are off a thrilling 55-54 win at Missouri and have a MASSIVE lookahead with rival Alabama coming to Auburn on Tuesday. Oklahoma is just 3-5 in Big 12 play, but are ranked No. 27 in the country at KenPom, which just goes to show you how good that conference is. This is a huge game for the Sooners, as this would be quite the resume builder when selection Sunday comes around. I think they make a game of it. Give me Oklahoma +10! |
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01-28-22 | Bulls -1 v. Spurs | Top | 122-131 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
50* (NBA) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Bulls -1) The Bulls are far from full strength right now, with Alex Caruso and Lonzo Ball both out of the lineup, but I still think they got enough to go into San Antonio and get a win Friday night. Chicago still has 3 All-Star caliber players on the floor in LaVine, DeRozan and Vucevic. They also got an emerging rookie in Ayo Dosunmu. As for the Spurs, this is a team that just isn't that good and the books have been slow to adjust. San Antonio is a mere 4-13 SU over their last 17 games and are just 6-11 ATS during this run. While it's not the same as when DeRozan played his first game against the Raptors after spending all those years in Toronto, this one definitely has a little more meaning to it. It's DeRozan's first game against the Spurs since leaving San Antonio for Chicago in the offseason. I also think this is a hungry Bulls team. While they have won 2 straight, they had lost 6 of their previous 7 and are no longer the top dog in the Eastern Conference. Give me Chicago -1! |
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01-28-22 | Jazz v. Grizzlies -3.5 | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Grizzlies -3.5) I will gladly take my chances with Memphis as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against a struggling Jazz team. This is just too short a price for the Grizzlies to be laying at home. Ja Morant is playing like a legit MVP candidate this season and just tied his season-high with 41 points in Wednesday's win at the Spurs. Memphis is 12-3 ATS over their last 15 games. Utah has lost 3 in a row and are just 2-9 over their last 11. Jazz are without Rudy Gobert and are just not the same team when he's not on the floor. There's also a chance Donovan Mitchell won't play. He's questionable after missing the last 5 games with a concussion. Either way, I like the Grizzlies to get the win and cover here. Give me Memphis -3.5! |
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01-27-22 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +7 | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Minnesota +7) This is a few too many for the Gophers to be catching at home against the Buckeyes. Minnesota had lost 4 straight prior to pulling out a 68-65 win at home against Rutgers last Saturday. Even though this team is 11-5 and have played the No. 48 toughest schedule, it doesn't feel like people are buying into this team being all that good. Part of that is their 2-5 record in Big Ten play, but that's a big reason why I feel we are getting such a great price with the Gophers in this spot. Ohio State is 12-4 and ranked No. 16 in the country, but I'm not convinced they are as good as they look. Yes, they beat Duke at home, but you have to remember that came just a few days after the Blue Devils pulled out that massive win against Gonzaga. The Buckeyes do have an impressive 73-55 win at home against Wisconsin, but their other 4 wins in Big Ten play are against Nebraska, Northwestern and Penn State (2x). They lost by 16 at Indiana and by 10 in the rematch at Wisconsin. They also needed OT to win at Nebraska, who doesn't have a conference win. Give me Minnesota +7! |
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01-27-22 | Lakers v. 76ers -1.5 | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (76ers -1.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the 76ers laying just 1.5 at home against the Lakers. I know Anthony Davis is back for LA and they just won 106-96 at Brooklyn in his first game back, but I'm sorry, the Lakers should be a bigger dog here. Davis is still on a minutes restriction and likely won't be anywhere close to his old self for a couple weeks. The win over the Nets also came with Brooklyn playing without both Durant and Irving. Philly will be missing Seth Curry and it's unsure if Danny Green will play, but as long as Embiid is on the floor, it doesn't matter. Embiid is playing out of his mind right now. He's averaging 35.2 ppg over his last 5 and has hit 40+ in 3 of his last 4. LA has no answer for him. This is also a Philly team that I think is playing with a bit of a chip on their shoulder. It's like no matter how good they play, no one takes them seriously because of the Ben Simmons drama. They don't need him and they prove it once again with an easy win at home in prime time. Give me the 76 -1.5! |
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01-27-22 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +7.5 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Max Unit Big Ten PLAY OF THE MONTH (Nebraska +7.5) I will gladly take the 7.5-points at home with Nebraska, as they get ready to host No. 11 Wisconsin. No doubt this line is inflated on the Badgers with the Cornhuskers coming in having lost 6 straight, 11 of their last 13 and owning a 0-8 record in Big Ten play. While Nebraska is clearly a bottom feeder in the Big Ten, they are a much more competitive team at home. Despite their ugly record, they are 7-6 ATS at home this year and 4-4 ATS in Big Ten play. Three of those covers coming at home. They lost by 7 at home to Indiana, by 10 to Illinois and by 8 in OT to Ohio State. Nebraska is also well rested, as they last played on Jan. 17. This should be a very hungry and motivated team, as they fight for that first conference win. Wisconsin is 15-3, but did just lost 74-86 at home to Michigan State and have not been nearly as sharp on the road. They only won by 6 at Northwestern, by 1 at Maryland, lost by 18 at Ohio State and in non-conference only won by 4 at Georgia Tech. Give me the Cornhuskers +7.5! |
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01-26-22 | Mavs v. Blazers +4.5 | 132-112 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT (Blazers +4.5) The Blazers are the gift that keeps giving. We have made a killing over the last month backing Portland. The biggest reason for this, the books have over adjusted their lines because Lillard is out. As I keep saying, Anfernee Simons is playing out of his mind. He's averaging 24.3 ppg and 7.2 apg in the month of January. Portland has also got a lot of the other guys who were out back. This team is simply way better than what people think. While both teams are going to be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, Dallas is in the much tougher spot having played at Golden State last night and the Blazers playing at home. Mavs also are dealing with a big blow to their rotation with Tim Hardaway Jr. suffering an injury that figures to have him out for a while last night against the Warriors. Give me the Blazers +4.5! |
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01-26-22 | Penn State +8.5 v. Indiana | 57-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Penn State +8.5) I'll take my chances with the Nittany Lions as a 8.5-point road dog against the Hoosiers. I know it's been a struggle for Penn State here of late, but I don't think Indiana should be laying this kind of number. Hoosiers are a solid team, but I definitely think they are a step below the top teams in the Big Ten. I also don't love the spot for the Hoosiers, who just two days ago got steamrolled at home 80-62 by Michigan. That's after they played Thursday at home against Purdue, so this is now their 3rd game in 7 days. In comparison, Penn State has had 3 days off and are playing just their 2nd game in the last 10 days. Give me the Nittany Lions +8.5! |
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01-26-22 | Nuggets -2 v. Nets | Top | 124-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
50* (NBA) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Nuggets -2) This is basically the same line we cashed with the Lakers on the road at Brooklyn last night. I just don't understand why the Nets are getting so much respect when they don't have Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving can't play at home. Nets have really been one of the best teams to fade for a while now. Brooklyn is just 4-11 ATS over their last 15 games. They just don't have enough offensive fire-power. Harden had a triple-double last night with 33 points, 12 rebound and 11 assists and they still lost by double-digits. Give me the Nuggets -2! |
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01-26-22 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia -2 | 72-62 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (W Virginia -2) I got no problem laying a mere 2-points at home with the Mountaineers, as they get ready to take on Oklahoma. Both teams come in on losing streaks, which is why I feel we are getting some value with the home team. West Virginia has lost 3 straight, but two of those were on the road against Kansas and Texas Tech. The other was at home against arguably the best team in the league in Baylor. Prior to this stretch, the Mountaineers had started out the season 13-2. Factor in their massive home court edge and this is just too good a price to pass up. Give me West Virginia -2! |
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01-26-22 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | 84-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa St +3.5) I'll take my chances with the Cyclones as a 3.5-point road dog against the Cowboys. I really like this spot for Iowa State. Cyclones look like they are in trouble, as they have lost 4 of 5 and just got completely embarrassed at home by TCU in their last game 44-59. This is a team that has got to where they are based on their effort and I feel pretty good about the energy level in this one coming off that ugly showing. I also think Oklahoma STate is a great matchup for them. Cowboys are one of the worst offensive teams in the Big 12 and figure to be without one of their best players in Bryce Williams, who leads the team in scoring at just 10.6 ppg. Spreading the wealth is great, but when your top scorer is at 10.6 ppg, you got problems and this ISU defense is the real deal. Give me the Cyclones +3.5! |
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01-25-22 | Wolves v. Blazers +3 | Top | 109-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Western Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH (Blazers +3) I love the Blazers as a 3-point home dog against the Timberwolves. Portland should not be a dog in this matchup. The books just keep undervaluing the Blazers with Lillard out of the lineup. As great as Lillard is, his absence has really been negated by the outstanding play of Anfernee Simmons and this offense has gotten even better here recently with the return of CJ McCollum. Portland has gone 6-2 ATS over their last 8 games and 5 of those covers have come in games where they won outright as a dog. As for the Timberwolves, I love going against them on the road after a massive home win over the Nets. Minnesota has to be sick of traveling. This will be there 10th road game in their last 13 games. It's also a huge lookahead/sandwich spot, as they got a road game at Golden State on Thursday. Give me the Blazers +3! |
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01-25-22 | Kansas State +14 v. Baylor | 49-74 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (K-State +14) I will gladly take my chances with K-State as a 14-point dog against Baylor. The big question here is how will the Wildcats come out after a crushing 75-78 home loss to Kansas, where they had a massive 2nd half collapse. I think the opponent being the Bears and this being their first crack at the defending champs, will keep them from coming out flat off that loss. They could also use that loss as motivation, as that's just another sign that this team is for real. K-State might be just 10-8, but they have played like an NCAA Tournament team. Prior to letting one slip against the Jayhawks, they had knocked off Texas Tech at home and Texas on the road. They also have losses by 3 or fewer points (all 7 of 8 losses by 8 or fewer). Give me the Wildcats +14! |
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01-25-22 | Maryland v. Rutgers -3.5 | 68-60 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Smart Money ATS MASSACRE (Rutgers -3.5) I got no problem laying the 3.5 points at home with Rutgers against the Terrapins. I just feel like there's a lot of value with the Scarlet Knights right now. KenPom has them ranked as the 94th best team in the country. The numbers may support that, but if you have watched this team play the last couple of months, you know they are MUCH better than that ranking. Maryland is ranked No. 83 and I don't think they are a better team than the Scarlet Knights. The Terps did just pull off a huge 81-65 home win over Illinois in their last game, but they are just 2-6 in Big Ten play and their only true road win was a double-overtime victory against a Northwestern team that has way underperformed in Big Ten play. Just not enough respect here for Rutgers, especially at home. Give me the Scarlet Knights -3.5! |
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01-25-22 | Lakers -2.5 v. Nets | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - TNT Tuesday VEGAS INSIDER (Lakers -2.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Lakers laying a short number on the road against the Nets. I'm shocked LA is this low of a favorite in this spot and even more shocked the betting public isn't on them more than they are. I get the Lakers haven't been as good as what we thought, but that should change here over the next month. LA is expected to have Anthony Davis back in the lineup tonight and are as healthy as they have been all season. Brooklyn is also down to just one of their Big 3 for this game. Durant is still out with an injury and Irving can't play at home. Nets also still missing a key piece to the rotation in Joe Harris. I just don't think the Nets have enough offensive fire-power to pull out a victory. Give me the Lakers -2.5! |
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01-25-22 | Clippers v. Wizards -4 | 116-115 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards -4) It might seem a little foolish to lay 4-points with a Wizards team that has lost 3 straight and are just 1-9 ATS over their last 10 games, but I actually think there's value here with Washington at this price. This is an awful spot for the Clippers. LA is playing their 4th straight on the road and are primed for a letdown after 3 really tough games. Clippers lost 128-130 at Denver, won 102-101 at Philly and then lost 102-110 at New York. I just don't think there's enough gas in the tank for LA, who hasn't exactly been a great road team (8-13). As for the Wizards, they have been playing better than the numbers would suggest and are as healthy as they have been since they had that great start to the season. This also has to feel like a must win for Washington, who has to go on the road to face the Grizzlies, Bucks and 76ers before returning home to face the Suns, Heat and Nets after this game. GIve me the Wizards -4! |
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01-24-22 | Texas Tech +7 v. Kansas | 91-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Texas Tech +7) I will gladly take my chances with the Red Raiders catching 7 on the road against the Jayhawks. These two teams played earlier this month in Lubbock and Texas Tech won that contest 75-67 and were up by as many as 14 in the 2nd half. Red Raiders won that game without two starters in Terrence Shannon and Kevin McCullar. Shannon is arguably Tech's best player. It will definitely will be a lot harder on the road against the Jayhawks, but the Red Raiders are built to win on the road with their defense. Not saying they will win the game, but 7 feels like way too many. Give me Texas Tech +7! |
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01-24-22 | Pacers v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pelicans -2.5) Love the Pelicans as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Pacers. New Orleans won't have Brandon Ingram and Devonte Graham is questionable, but that's nothing in comparison to the injury report for Indiana. The Pacers will for sure be without Malcolm Brogdon, Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner. Caris LeVert is also questionable to play. While Indiana's backups have performed well in the last few games, they did so against some of the best teams. Their last 3 games were at Lakers, at Warriors and at Suns. This is going to be Indiana's 5th and final game of a 5-game road trip and it's their 4th road game in the last 6 days. I just don't think the Pacers are going to have enough gas to make a game of this. Note that Graham was questionable with the same injury in the Pelicans last game and he ended up playing, so there's a good chance he suits up. New Orleans is also playing here on a full 3 days of rest. Give me the Pelicans -2.5! |
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01-23-22 | Nets v. Wolves -2.5 | 125-136 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Timberwolves -2.5) I just feel that you have to play the Timberwolves out of principle. I know Durant is out for Brooklyn, but the betting public doesn't see Minnesota as the better team with Kyrie Irving and James Harden in the lineup for the Nets. For the books to make Minnesota the favorite here, they got to feel pretty good about Minnesota winning this game, as the public is going to load up on Brooklyn. I can definitely see what the books see in Minnesota. Timberwolves are healthy and while the recent results aren't great, this team has looked much better as a whole over the last few weeks. You know they are going to be fired up fo this one and they will have some fresh legs having not played since Wednesday. Brooklyn on the other hand is playing their 4th straight on the road and are one just 1 day of rest. Give me the Timberwolves -2.5! |
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01-23-22 | Blazers +8.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
50* (NBA) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Blazers +8.5) I will gladly take the 8.5-points with the Blazers. I feel like a broken record, but until the books make the proper adjustments on Portland I'm going to keep backing them. The loss of Lillard hasn't been an issue for the Blazers, as Anfernee Simmons continues to shine in his absence. Simmons is averaging 25.7 ppg, and 7.4 apg in the month of January and is shooting lights out from 3. Not only is he hitting 43.3% from deep, he's averaging 4.7 made 3-pointers a game. Toronto is a good team, but are not good enough that they should be close to a double-digit favorite against a team with this much talent. Especially in this spot. Raptors could be light on fuel for this one, as they just finished up a 5-game road trip on Friday at Washington. Give me the Blazers +8.5! |
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01-22-22 | Pittsburgh +9 v. Clemson | 48-75 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Pitt +9) I know the Panthers come in having failed to cover 3 of their last 4, but there's just no way I'm passing up on Pitt as a 9-point dog against Clemson. The Panthers are just 7-11 overall and 2-5 in ACC play, but if you have watched this team you know their record is misleading. Pitt has had some horrible luck in close games this season. This isn't just a game they can cover, they are more than capable of winning outright. I'm also not so sure what Clemson has down to warrant being this big of a home favorite. The Tigers are just 10-8 overall and 2-5 in ACC play. They have lost their last 3 and it's not been pretty. They lost 56-72 at Notre Dame, 68-70 at home to a bad BC team and 78-91 in their most recent game at Syracuse. I just don't know that they can flip a switch here and give the kind of effort and performance to win by double-digits. It's also a bit of a lookahead spot with a game at Duke on deck Tuesday. Give me Pittsburgh +9! |
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01-22-22 | LSU v. Tennessee -5.5 | Top | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
50* (CBB) Smart Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Tennessee -5.5) I'll lay the 5.5-points with the Vols in Saturday's home game against LSU. This might seem like a few too many for Tennessee to be playing as they are the No. 24 ranked team and the Tigers are No. 13. It tells me the books aren't overly optimistic about LSU's injury concerns. We know Xavier Pinson won't play, but Darius Days is also questionable with an ankle injury. Days hurt the ankle in Wednesday's loss at Alabama and played just 12 minutes in that game. That's a lot of outside shooting that could be sidelined. Days leads LSU with 39 made 3-pointers and the next best is Pinson who has made 20 (missed 3 games). While Tari Eason was the star in LSU's 79-67 home win over the Vols earlier this year, Days and Pinson each played 32 minutes in that win, combining for 24 points, 4 made 3's (rest of team made 4), 8 rebounds and 9 assists. Even if Days were to play, I still think there's value at 5.5 with the Vols on their home floor playing with revenge. Tennessee is a perfect 9-0 at home this season, where they are averaging 81.2 ppg and giving up 56.0 ppg. Give me the Vols -5.5! |
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01-22-22 | Florida State v. Miami-FL -2 | 61-60 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Miami -2) I will gladly lay the 2-points at home with Miami against Florida State. I think the Hurricanes are one of the more underrated teams not just in the ACC but the country. Miami's 14-4 with their worst loss being against UCF, who ranks No. 79 at KenPom. They are 6-1 in ACC play with wins over NC State, WF, Syracuse, Duke (on the road) and UNC. Interesting to note that their only loss came in a crushing 64-65 loss at Florida State a couple weeks ago. You got to believe that the Hurricanes will be up for this one and they will have fresh legs. Miami's hasn't played since Tuesday and they had a week off before that game. It's a much different story for the Seminoles. Florida State is in a major letdown spot. FSU won 76-71 at Syracuse last Saturday, then won a thriller at home vs Duke 79-78 in OT on Tuesday, before beating North Florida 86-73 on Thursday. A game they only led 56-53 with 14 minutes to play. Give me the Hurricanes -2! |
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01-21-22 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -4 | 86-74 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Wisconsin -4) I'll take my chances with the Badgers as a 4-point home favorite against the Spartans in Friday's Big Ten matchup. I just don't think the Spartans have what it takes to go into Madison and get a win. Michigan State just lost at home to Northwestern and their 5-1 record in Big Ten play is a bit misleading. The Spartans have not played any of the top teams in the conference. They have played Minnesota twice, Northwestern twice, Nebraska and Minnesota. This is by far their toughest true road game of the season, as their 3 true road games so far have come against Butler, Northwestern and Minnesota. Badgers are 6-1 in Big Ten Play and riding a 7-game win streak. Unlike the Spartans, they haven't had a cupcake conference schedule. Wisconsin has wins over Purdue, Iowa and Ohio State. Give me the Badgers -4! |
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01-21-22 | Blazers +7.5 v. Celtics | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers +7.5) I will gladly take the 7.5-points with the Blazers as they go to Boston on Friday. I've been on Portland quite a bit here of late, as I think they have been vastly underrated since Lillard went down. Backup point guard Anfernee Simons has been playing like an All-Star in Lillard's absence and they just recently got back C.J. McCollum. Blazers had won and covered 4 of their previous 5 before losing 92-104 as a 9-point dog at Miami on Wednesday and they should of at the worst covered that game. Portland had a 4th quarter to forget, scoring just 12-points and giving up 26 to lose by 12. Boston just hasn't been able to put it together this season and they simply should not be laying this kind of number against a team like the Blazers. Give me Portland +7.5! |
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01-21-22 | Heat +1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Smart Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Heat +1.5) I don't think the Heat should be a dog in Friday's division game at Atlanta. The Hawks come in off a a couple of nice wins, beating the Bucks 121-114 at home on Monday and the Timberwolves 134-122 on Wednesday. The problem for Atlanta is health. They basically used an 8-man rotation (all 5 starters played 33+ mins last game) and could be losing their best bench player in Danilo Gallinari, who is questionable with an ankle injury. Miami won't have Kyle Lowry or Tyler Herro, but this a very deep Heat team that just recently got back their two big guns in Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. Miami has also been playing some great basketball for a long stretch here. They are 13-4 over their last 17 and have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8. Miami has also been at their best in division games. They are 8-1 vs division opponents, outscoring the opposition by 11.2 ppg. Atlanta just doesn't play good enough defense for them to be favored against a team like the Heat. Give me Miami +1.5! |
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01-20-22 | USC -2 v. Colorado | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (USC -2) I'm going to lay the 2-points on the road with USC as they will be at Colorado on Thursday. The Trojans are 14-2, but come in having lost 2 of their last 3 and most recently just lost at home to Oregon. I not only think it's a good buy-low spot on USC, but we should also be getting a big effort here from the Trojans in this one. As for Colorado, I just don't think the Buffalo are that good. They certainly aren't as good as expectations. The Buffaloes started the year ranked No. 35 at KenPom and are now No. 78. They have won 6 of 7, but the only win against a Top 60 team was a 83-78 win over No. 54 Washington State. The only other team they played that was any good was No. 9 Arizona and they lost that game by 21 (76-55). Whenever the Buffs have stepped up in competition they have struggled to keep it close. Their home court edge is great, but I don't think it's enough for them to flirt with a win here. Give me USC -2! |
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01-19-22 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +3.5 | 66-61 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Big Money PUBLIC FADE (Pitt +3.5) I'll take my chances here with Pitt as a home dog against a struggling Virginia team. This is as down as I can remember Virginia being under Tony Bennett. They are 13th out of 15 in the ACC in offensive efficiency and a shocking 10th in defensive efficiency. What made this team so special was they were playing elite defense. Without that, they are going to be widely inconsistent and struggle to win games. They have already lost 4 times at home this year (only lost 3 homes games the previous 3 seasons). The Panthers are just 7-10, but have played a tough schedule and have suffered a lot of close losses. One of those being a 56-57 loss at Virginia. A game they have to feel like they should have won. They lost 56-52 with 25 seconds to play. I love that revenge angle here, especially at this price. Give me Pittsburgh +3.5 |
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01-19-22 | Iowa v. Rutgers +2.5 | Top | 46-48 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Rutgers +2.5) I love the Scarlets Knights catching points at home against the Hawkeyes in Wednesday's Big Ten action. I grew up in Iowa and the Hawkeyes were my team as a kid. I follow them pretty closely. This year's team is way better than expected after losing two guys to the NBA (Garza & Weiskamp). Largely due to the emergence of Keegan Murray, another future NBA guy. I still don't think there as good as what the numbers suggest. There's some other guys who can score, but Murray is their only reliable option. Iowa is also a very bad defensive team. They rank 12th in the Big 10 in defensive efficiency and 13th in effective FG% defense. They also get killed on the offensive glass and send teams to the line a ton. Rutgers is a team that started slow, but is really starting to play up to their potential. Scarlet Knights have won 5 of their last 6 and when this team has momentum behind them, Piscataway can be a nightmare for opposing teams. Give me Rutgers +2.5 |
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01-19-22 | Wolves v. Hawks -2 | 122-134 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Hawks -2) I just can't help myself here with the Hawks as a mere 2-point home favorite against the Wolves. This line seems to good to be true, but I feel the low number has a lot to do with the overall stock of the Hawks here over the last few weeks and not just their 121-114 upset win over the Bucks last time out. Simply put the books aren't going to overreact to one game. However, I think they are going to wish they did. That was a huge win for Atlanta, who it felt like was just digging a deeper and deeper hole. They rallied from double-digit down to upset Milwaukee and have to believe they are going to be eager to use that as a stepping stone to get their season back on track. The other big thing here is the spot is horrible for the Timberwolves. Minnesota will be on no rest after playing at New York against the Knicks on Tuesday. Two days before that game they hosted the Warriors, so this is their 3rd game in 4 days. It's also Minnesota's 9th road game out of their last 11 games and it's a big lookahead spot with a home game against the Nets on deck. Give me Atlanta -2! |
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01-19-22 | St. John's +4.5 v. Creighton | 64-87 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (St. John's +4.5) I will take my chances with the Red Storm catching 4.5 on the road against the Blue Jays. I think St. John's is vastly underrated. While they don't have a single win over a team ranked in the Top 100 at KenPom, their 5 losses have come against Indiana, Kansas, Pitt, Providence and UConn. They only lost by 2 at Indiana and took the Huskies to OT on the road. This is no where close to the level of talent that Creighton has had in previous years. The Huskies in the past have been offensive juggernauts. This year's team is 9th in the Big East in offensive efficiency. Their biggest weakness has also been turnovers. They rank dead last in the Big East in offensive turnovers and forcing the other team into mistakes. They are ranked outside the Top 315 in both categories nationally. St. John's is No. 1 in the Big East in forcing turnovers and No. 2 in protecting the basketball. I think the chaos and pace of the Red Storm will be too much for a young Bluejays team. Give me St. John's +4.5! |
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01-19-22 | Wake Forest v. Georgia Tech +2.5 | 80-64 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Georgia Tech +2.5) I'll take my chances with Georgia Tech as a 2.5-point home dog against the Demon Deacons. Based on the records this is going to seem like to low a number for Wake Forest to be laying. I'm not so sure the Yellow Jackets shouldn't be favored. Georgia Tech's 5-1 start seems like forever ago, as they have gone just 2-8 over their last 10. Neither win being all that impressive, as they needed OT to be Georgia State at home and beat BC on the road. What gets overlooked is the schedule and the margin of some of those defeats. There's really not a bad loss in the 8, outside of maybe a home defeat to Louisville. How they have competed in some of the other games is what I like. They lost by just 4 at home to Wisconsin, took ND to OT at home and only lost by 12 at Duke. Wake Forest is 14-4, but their best wins are against the likes of Va Tech, FSU, Syracuse and Virginia. They are just 2-2 in true road games with a loss at Louisville, who is very comparable in terms of talent. Demon Deacons are also off a huge road win at Virginia, which came just a few days after hosting Duke. This has flat spot written all over it. Give me the Yellow Jackets +2.5! |
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01-18-22 | Duke v. Florida State +5 | 78-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Sharp Money ATS MASSACRE (Florida St +5) I'll gladly roll the dice with Florida State catching 5-points at home against the Blue Devils. The Seminoles came into this season with some pretty decent hype, but a lot of that was lost after a disappointing 5-4 start that saw them lose 3-straight to Purdue, Syracuse and South Carolina. It wasn't a matter of talent and we have seen that talent start to show itself for Leonard Hamilton's team. FSU is 5-1 over their last 6 and are 4-2 in ACC play. Hamilton routinely has this team near the top of the ACC standings. The other big thing here is Duke is overvalued because of how big a public play they are. Seminoles are also not afraid of this team whatsoever. I think they got a really good shot here of winning this game outright. Give me FSU +5! |
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01-18-22 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL +2.5 | Top | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH (Miami +2.5) I really like the value here with Miami as a 2.5-point home dog against the Tar Heels. I don't think the Hurricanes should be a dog at all in this matchup. Miami is 9-1 in their last 10 games. The lone lost being a mere 1-point loss on the road to a fast improving Seminoles team. The game before that they went on the road and beat Duke. I just don't understand the lack of respect for this Hurricanes team. UNC is 12-4, but I've not been that impressed. Their two best wins are against Michigan and Virginia. The Wolverines are nowhere close to as good as what we expected and the same can be said for the Cavaliers. In their big step up games, UNC lost by 9 to Purdue, by 17 to Tennessee and by 19 to Kentucky. Give me the Hurricanes +2.5! |
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01-18-22 | Baylor v. West Virginia +6.5 | 77-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (W Virginia +6.5) I've made some good money here of late fading Baylor and I'm not going to stop with West Virginia catching this kind of price at home against the Bears on Tuesday, especially with their figuing to be a good chance that Baylor won't have guard James Akinjo (listed as questionable). Either way I like the number here with West Virginia, who is going to be a pissed off bunch after the beatdown they just took on Saturday at Kansas (lost 59-85) The Mountaineers are a different animal at home, where they have one of the biggest home court advantages in the country. WV has not lost at home this year (10-0) and I wouldn't be surprised at all if they kept that streak alive. Give me the Mountaineers +6.5! |
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01-17-22 | Suns v. Spurs +5 | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Spurs +5) I'm going to roll the dice with the Spurs as a 5-point home dog against the Suns. San Antonio was really starting to play well before Covid depleted their roster at the end of 2021. Spurs are just 2-9 SU in their last 11. They did win their last one, beating the Clippers 101-94 at home and it was as close to full strength that SA has been in almost a month. I think we are going to get a really big effort here from the Spurs. I can't say the same for Phoenix. The Suns are going to be on no rest after playing at Detroit on Sunday. They were also at Indiana on Friday, so this will be their 3rd road game in 4 days and 4th straight on the road overall. There's also a decent chance the Suns won't have big man DeAndre Ayton, as he had to leave yesterday's game with an ankle injury. Feels like a big flat spot. Give me the Spurs +5! |
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01-17-22 | Indiana v. Nebraska +8.5 | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Nebraska +8.5) This just feels like a few too many for the Cornhuskers to be catching at home against the Hoosiers. Nebraska comes into this game at 6-12 with a 0-7 record in Big Ten play. It's just not as bad as it looks. The Cornhuskers are 1-10 in their last 11 games. Out of those 10 losses, 7 have come against teams ranked in the Top 35 and the three others are against NC State, Kansas State and Rutgers. Indiana only won by 13 over Nebraska earlier this season and the Cornhuskers are a much better team at home, while the Hoosiers have looked way worse on the road. Last two home games for Nebraska they lost by just 10 at home to Illinois and by 8 in OT to Ohio State. Indiana has played 4 true road games and lost all 4. They just lost at Iowa on Thursday and could have a tough time not looking ahead to Thursday's big home game against Purdue. Give me the Cornhuskers +8.5! |
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01-16-22 | Jazz -4.5 v. Nuggets | 125-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Late Night ATS SLAUGHTER (Jazz -4.5) I will gladly take my chances with Utah as a slim 4.5-point road favorite against the Nuggets. This feels like the time to buy low on the Jazz. Utah has lost 4 straight all as a favorite, twice as a double-digit favorite. Key is that bad stretch came with big man Rudy Gobert sidelined. Gobert is expected to be back in action tonight and Utah should be 100% locked in as a team for this game playing on a full 3 days of rest. Nuggets on the other hand will be playing in the second of a back-to-back after hosting the Lakers on Saturday. It's also their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the Jazz -4.5! |
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01-15-22 | Knicks +2.5 v. Hawks | 117-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Knicks +2.5) I will take my chances with the Knicks as a slim road dog against the Hawks. Atlanta is in a bad place right now. They just traded away Reddish and sounds like more guys are on the move. They come in having lost 4 straight and will be on no rest after last night's 118-124 loss to Miami, where they got outscored 30-19 in the 4th quarter. Big rest advantage for the Knicks, who have been off since Wednesday. New York has also been on the upswing here of late, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Knicks have already won the two previous meetings with the Hawks and I don't see them showing any remorse for the team that knocked them out of the playoffs last year. Give me the Knicks +2.5! |
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01-15-22 | Blazers +7.5 v. Wizards | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers +7.5) I will gladly take my chances with Portland catching 7.5 on the road against a Wizards team that is without Beal. Blazers come in off an ugly 108-140 loss at the Nuggets on Thursday, but that was to be expected. Portland who is already without Lillard and McCollum, had to play without Anfernee Simons, who has been putting up All-Star caliber numbers since Lillard went down. He's back from his personal matter and I not only think the Blazers have enough here to keep it within the number, I like them to win this game outright. Wizards have won 3 straight, but it's come against the Magic, Thunder and Magic and they failed to cover all 3. Give me the Blazers +7.5! |
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01-15-22 | Oklahoma State +14.5 v. Baylor | 61-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Undervalued Underdog ATS SHOCKER (Oklahoma St +14.5) I got to roll the dice with Oklahoma State catching 14.5-points on the road against Baylor. The Bears are a really good team, but I think having that target on their back and getting the best shot from every team they play is really starting to wear on this team. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and the one game they covered they needed to outscore TCU by 18 in the 2nd half to win by 12 as a 10-point favorite. As bad as the Cowboys looked last time out against Texas Tech, I just think you got to take your chances playing against Baylor right now. Bears are going to cover these big numbers every once in awhile, but I think in the long run the money will clearly be on fading the defending champs. Give me Oklahoma State +14.5! |
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01-15-22 | Oklahoma v. TCU +1.5 | Top | 58-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (TCU +1.5) I love TCU as a 1.5-point home dog against the Sooners. The Horned Frogs are off to a 11-2 start but aren't getting a ton of press because of the schedule not being all that challenging. I think it has people sleeping on Jamie Dixon's team. They have an impressive win over Texas A&M on a neutral and really played Baylor well for a half. I also think it says a lot for them to respond to that loss against Bears by going on the road and beating K-State. TCU is no easy place to play and this feels like a tough spot for Oklahoma, who just played 3 games against Baylor, ISU and Texas and have Kansas on deck Tuesday and a rematch with Baylor next Saturday. I just don't think the Sooners have done enough to be road dogs here. Give me TCU +1.5! |
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01-15-22 | Florida State +2.5 v. Syracuse | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Smart Money ATS ANNIHILATOR (Florida St +2.5) I will take the 2.5-points with Florida State at Syracuse. The Seminoles have looked a lot more like the team we expected to see from the start of the season. They got a chance to prove it in this game, as they take on a Orange team that beat them on their home floor 63-60 back in early Dec. Since Hamilton took over at FSU, the Seminoles are 42-27 (61%) ATS when revenging a same season loss. Syracuse is definitely a team they should be able to beat if they are a real contender in the ACC. Syracuse has lost 5 of their last 8 with their only wins coming against Brown, Cornell and Pitt. Give me the Seminoles +2.5! |
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01-15-22 | Texas v. Iowa State +2.5 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) Blockbuster Bookie DESTROYER (Iowa St +2.5) I will gladly take the Cyclones as a home dog against the Longhorns on Saturday. Really big game here for Iowa State, who after back-to-back road losses to Oklahoma and Kansas, are now 1-3 in Big 12 play. I've actually been impressed with the Cyclones. They only lost by 5 to Baylor at home and by just 1 at Kansas. The lone win coming against a Texas Tech team that has looked like the best team in the league since that loss with wins over KU, Baylor and Oklahoma St. Texas is 13-3 and fresh off a blowout win at home over Oklahoma. I just don't trust this team on the road. The previous game they lost 51-64 at Oklahoma State. Their only true road win all season is against K-State. I just think with how tough it is to win on the road in the Big 12 and how desperate ISU going to be, the wrong team is favored. Give me the Cyclones +2.5! |
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01-14-22 | Celtics v. 76ers -3.5 | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (76ers -3.5) I will gladly like the 3.5-points with the 76ers at home against the Celtics. Philly suffered a 98-109 loss at home to the Hornets last time out, but I still think this is a team you want to be on, especially laying such a short number at home. Embiid is playing out of his mind right now. He scored 31 in the loss to the Hornets and that game potentially goes differently if he's not in foul trouble. Embiid has scored 30+ points in 8 straight and 10 of his last 11. Philly had won each of the previous 8 games he scored 30 or more before the loss to Charlotte. Boston comes in having won 3 straight, but I'm still not sold on this team being as good as what people think. Celtics are a .500 team (21-21) that is a middle of the pack offensive team. They rank 16th in offensive efficiency and 24th in effective FG%. It's no surprise they are just 8-13 on the road this year. Not saying they can't win this game, but it's just too good a price to pass up with Philly. Give me the 76ers -3.5! |
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01-14-22 | Nebraska +20.5 v. Purdue | Top | 65-92 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Nebraska +20.5) I really thinking we are getting some big time value with Nebraska catching 20.5 on the road against the Boilermakers. No denying that the Cornhuskers are one of the worst teams in the Big Ten and Purdue is one of the best, but this is way too many points given the spot. It's hard for teams like Boilermakers to get up for inferior opponents and it's not like they have been cashing these inflated lines the books keep setting on them. Purdue is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games. I got a hard time seeing the Boilermakers taking Nebraska seriously, especially with a massive game on deck at Illinois on Monday. Fighting Illini are sitting tied on top the Big Ten standings with Michigan State at 5-0. Give me the Cornhuskers +20.5! |
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01-13-22 | Thunder +7.5 v. Nets | 130-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Thunder +7.5) I will take the 7.5 with OKC, as they go on the road to take on the Nets. This is just a bad spot for the Nets, who just played last night in Chicago in a game that was televised as part of a double-header on ESPN. Keep in mind that's a Bulls team that has the best record in the Eastern Conference. That was a big time game for Brooklyn. I just have a hard time seeing them being all that interested for this game against the Thunder, especially at home where Kyrie isn't allowed to play. Always tough backing a bottom-feeder like OKC, but they have been playing better of late despite coming in on a 5-game losing streak. A lot of those games were at least competitive. More than anything, I think it means a lot to these younger teams when they get to face a team like the Nets that has two of the best players in the game in Durant and Harden. Give me the Thunder +7.5! |
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01-13-22 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin -3.5 | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Wisconsin -3.5) I got no problem laying the 3.5-points at home with Wisconsin. The Badgers are 13-2 with wins over Texas A&M, Houston, St Mary's, Marquette, Indiana, Purdue and Iowa. The key here is that one of those 2 losses was a early Big Ten matchup at Ohio State, where the Buckeyes won easily 73-55. I love the revenge spot for the Badgers at home, especially with how much better this team has been playing since Big Ten play restarted. The other big thing is I don't think the Buckeyes are the same team on the road and the results speak to that. Ohio State lost by 16 in their last road game at Indiana and the game before needed OT to win on the road against a bad Nebraska team. I wouldn't be shocked at all if this game got a away from the Buckeyes. Give me Wisconsin -3.5! |
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01-13-22 | Seton Hall -5.5 v. DePaul | 92-96 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Seton Hall -5.5) This just doesn't feel like near enough for the Pirates to be laying at DePaul. Seton Hall has really been a big surprise this year. They went just 14-13 last year. They have started out this season 11-3 with their 3 losses coming against Ohio State by 3, to Providence by 5 and to Villanova by 6. They just beat UConn at home without a key contributor in Alexis Yetna. They also have a 15-point win over Butler, win at Michigan and wins at home over Texas and Rutgers. On the flip side, the Blue Demons have completely fallen flat on their faces after an impressive 9-1 start. DePaul has lost 5 straight since that hot start and that includes a 17-point home loss to Providence and a 15-point loss at home to Villanova. I just don't think it's asking a lot for Seton Hall to win this game by 6 or more. Give me the Pirates -5.5! |
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01-12-22 | Mavs v. Knicks +2.5 | 85-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Knicks +2.5) I will take my chances with the Knicks as a 2.5-point home dog against the Mavs. I just think the perception with New York is down so much right now that there's value with them. I also think it's a good spot to sell-high on the Mavs, who are off a big home win over the Bulls. Dallas is still playing without one of their best players in Kristaps Porzingis. This to me just feels like a big effort game for the Knicks in a prime time game at home that is part of the double-header on ESPN tonight. I really think the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me New York +2.5! |
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01-12-22 | Celtics v. Pacers +2.5 | 119-100 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers +2.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Pacers as a slim home dog against the Celtics. Love this revenge spot for Indiana, who just lost 98-101 in OT at Boston on Monday. Indiana could be getting back a number of key guys for this game, but more than anything, I think they will be the more motivated team. I also feel that the loss of Marcus Smart for the Celtics is a bigger deal than what people realize. Tatum and Brown may be their best scorers. Smart is the heart and soul of that team. Also worth noting that while the Pacers are just 1-7 SU in their last 8 games, they are 5-1 ATS over their last 6, so there's some real positive signs with this team. Give me Indiana +2.5! |
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01-12-22 | Duke v. Wake Forest +6 | 76-64 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
40* (CBB) - Public Money ATS MASSACRE (Wake Forest +6) I will gladly take my chances with the Demon Deacons as a 6-point home dog against Duke. You know going into just about every game that Duke plays they are going to be overvalued with how big a public team they are. I think it's even more so when the Blue Devils are coming off a loss like they are here. The public perception is they are going to bounce back, but they got to do a lot more than just win the game to cash a ticket here. Wake Forest is also one of the most improved teams in the country. The Demon Deacons were ranked 105th at KenPom coming into the season and are now 53rd after starting the year 13-3. They are a perfect 10-0 at home and have one of the better home court advantages in the country. Give me Wake Forest +6! |