Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-08-20 | UNLV v. Boise State -5.5 | Top | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
50* NCAAB MWC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Boise St -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Boise State as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Rebels. Great spot here to back the Broncos and fade UNVL. Boise State is going to be 100% locked in for this one after an ugly showing at Nevada in their last game. It's not the first time they have struggled on the road, as Boise State is a mere 3-5 away from home and 7-1 on their home floor. Big key here is UNLV has played 5 straight at home and have not played a true road game since way back on Dec. 4th when they barely squeaked by against a sub-par Fresno State team. I also think we are getting a good price on Boise because of the fact that the Rebels have won and covered 4 straight. Expect a different looking UNLV team on the road tonight. Give me Boise State -5.5! |
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01-08-20 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -2.5 | 83-71 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Xavier -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Musketeers laying a mere 2.5-points at home against Seton Hall. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Xavier, as they are a perfect 8-0 at home. Not to mention a good time to fade the Pirates, who are getting a little too much love having won and covered their last 4. One thing to note here is Xavier's defense. Musketeers are only giving up 61.9 ppg and holding teams to 38% shooting at home. Seton Hall's offense has not been nearly as good away from home, as they are only shooting 41% from the field on the road. Xavier has covered 55 of their last 87 at home in the month of January, which comes out to 63% of the time. They are also 4-0-1 ATS last 5 times they have played at home against a team with a winning road record. Give me the Musketeers -2.5! |
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01-08-20 | Heat v. Pacers -1 | Top | 122-108 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -1) I'll gladly back the Pacers as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Heat. All you got to do is look at the home/away splits to see the value is with Indiana in this one. Pacers are 15-4 at home compared to just 8-10 on the road. Miami is just 9-9 on the road compared to 17-1 at home. I also we are getting some value here with the Pacers due to the fact that Sabonis and Brogdon are both listed as questionable. I think both play. Sabonis hurt his knee in their last game and had to leave but came back and finished the contest. As for Brogdon he's reportedly been full court scrimming in practice, which is a pretty good sign he's ready to play. Even if both sit out, I still like Indiana to win and cover. Give me the Pacers -1! |
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01-08-20 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -3 | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Alabama -3) I'll take my chances with the Crimson Tide laying a small number against Mississippi State. Alabama got off to a slow start, going just 2-4 in their first 4 games, but a lot of that can be attributed to a tough schedule, as the 4 losses were against Penn, Rhode Island, UNC (before they lost Anthony) and Iowa State. Since that slow start they have gone 5-2 SU with their only losses coming on the road against Penn State by 2 and most recently a double-overtime 98-104 loss at Florida. They had the lead at the half in both of those games and were up by as many as 20 in Gainesville on Saturday. They have been an absolute covering machine to say the least. Alabama has covered 7 straight and 9 of their last 10 overall. I think they are showing big time value here laying a small number at home against a Mississippi State team that has not lived up to the hype. Bulldogs just lost at home by 12 as a Pick’em to Auburn in their last game, falling to 1-3 ATS in their last 4. One thing I really like here is the fact that this is the first real true road test for Mississippi State, as their only other true road game this season was at Coastal Carolina. Note Alabama has played 22nd ranked toughest schedule according to KenPom, while Bulldogs have played the 114th toughest. Give me Alabama -3! |
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01-08-20 | Davidson v. Rhode Island -3.5 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
50* NCAAB A-10 PLAY OF THE MONTH (Rhode Island -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Rhode Island as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Wildcats. This is an ideal spot to back the Rams at home as we can bank on a max effort after a couple of upset losses in their last two games, including a 61-69 setback against Richmond at home to open up A-10 play. It was almost like the Rams didn't give the Spiders their full attention to start the game and by the time they woke up it was too late. Rhode Island scored just 19 first half points and then put up 42 in the 2nd half. I expect them to be locked in from the start against a struggling Davidson team that has lost their last two and playing their 4th straight on the road. Give me Rhode Island -3.5! |
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01-07-20 | TCU v. Kansas State -1 | Top | 59-57 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG 12 PLAY OF THE MONTH (K-State -1) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Wildcats as a mere 1-point home favorite against TCU. Kansas State is off to a disappointing 7-6 start, while the Horned Frogs come in at 10-3. What people will fail to realize is the Wildcats have played the tougher schedule and have been really unlucky in close games. Of their 6 losses, 5 have been by single digits and only one of them have come at home. As for the Horned Frogs, they have benefited from a schedule that has had them play 11 of their first 13 games at home and the two exceptions were both games played on a neutral site. It's crazy to believe that this will be their first true road game of the season. They also are in a tough spot coming off an overtime game against ISU just three days ago. Give me the Wildcats -1! |
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01-07-20 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -3 | 57-52 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS NO-BRAINER (Texas Tech -3) I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a mere 3-point home favorite against Baylor. The fact that Texas Tech is favored at all over the No. 4 team in the country is worth noting. I just think people are sleeping on this Red Raiders team. I was all over them in their last game as a mere 5.5-point favorite against Oklahoma State and they won 85-50. Baylor comes in having won 10 straight and are 11-1 overall, but a big reason for that is the schedule has been favorable with only two true road games and one of those was a cupcake against Coastal Carolina. The other was against a decent Washington team, which they lost and shot just 35.4% from the field in defeat. They are also off a game against Texas where they shot just 31.2%. With how well Tech defends, especially at home, I think they win this one rather easily. Give me the Red Raiders -3! |
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01-07-20 | Wolves +3.5 v. Grizzlies | 112-119 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Wolves +3.5) I'll take a shot here with the Timberwolves as a small road dog against the Grizzlies. Both of these teams come in playing well. Minnesota has won 4 of 6 and are 5-1 ATS in this stretch. Memphis has won and covered 3 of their last 4, including two straight outright wins as a dog at Clippers and Suns. Most are going to assume the value here is with the Grizzlies at home, but I don't know that's the case. Memphis just played 3 straight on the West Coast in a 4 day stretch and will have had just one day off after playing a back-to-back in LA and Phoenix. Jet lag could be a real problem here. Minnesota is playing their second straight on the road, but it's only their 2nd game in the last 5 days. Give me the Timberwolves +3.5! |
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01-06-20 | South Alabama v. Texas-Arlington -6 | Top | 66-54 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SUN BELT PLAY OF THE MONTH (UT-Arlington -6) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Mavericks winning by 7 or more at home against South Alabama. This might seem like a big number for UT-Arlington to be laying given that they come with a mere 5-10 record. Thing is the Mavericks have played the 12th toughest schedule in the country. They have already played 4 true road games against the likes of Nevada, Oregon, Gonzaga and Houston. Not to mention each of their first 4 conference games have all come on the road. UT-Arlington has also been a bit unlucky in close games. Each of their 3 conference losses have all come by 6 or fewer points. Their only loss all season by more than 11 points was at Oregon. They only lost by 6 as a 26-point dog at Gonzaga and by just 8 as a 14-point dog at Houston. South Alabama is 8-7, but have played the 223rd ranked schedule. They too are 1-3 in conference play, but note that all 3 of their losses have come by at least 10 points, including a 20-point setback in their last game at ULM. Give me the Mavericks -6! |
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01-06-20 | Nets v. Magic -5 | 89-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Magic -5) I'll take my chances here with Orlando cashing in a cover as a small 5-point home favorite against the Nets. Magic come in off a loss at home to the Jazz, but that was more a result of them being in a really tough scheduling spot playing their 3rd game in 4 nights on no rest. Look for a much more energized and focused Orlando team in this one. As for the Nets, they come in having lost and failed to cover each of their last 5 games. All 5 losses coming by at least 7 points and 4 of the 5 by double-digits. Brooklyn has played zero defense in their last 3 games, giving up 122 to the Timberwolves, 123 to the Mavs and 121 to the Raptors. Magic are only allowing 100.9 ppg at home, so another lackluster defensive showing and this could get real ugly. Give me Orlando -5! |
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01-06-20 | Thunder v. 76ers -6.5 | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (76ers -6.5) I'll take my chances here with the 76ers as a 6.5-point home favorite. Most will probably look to grab the points with OKC in this one, as the Thunder come in having won 5 straight and 9 of 10 overall, while the 76ers have lost 4 in a row. Not me. I think we are going to get a massive effort here from Philadelphia to make sure the losing streak ends tonight and let's not forget the 76ers are a dominant 16-2 at home where they are outscoring teams by an averaging of 10 ppg. As for the Thunder and their recent run, it's come against a very favorable schedule. While they do have wins over the Clippers Raptors and Mavs during this run, all 3 of those teams were missing key players when they faced them. I think they get a bit exposed tonight. Give me the 76ers -6.5! |
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01-05-20 | USC v. Washington -5 | 40-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Washington -5) I'll take my chances here with the Huskies as a 5-point favorite against the Trojans. Perfect spot to jump on Washington after losing their last two, most recently falling at home to UCLA as a big favorite. No doubt we are going to get a max effort here from Washington and I just don't think USC is as good as their 12-2 record would lead you to believe. This is their first true road game in a month and by far their toughest test away from home this season. Trojans are just 2-11 ATS last 13 as a road dog and the favorite is 19-9 ATS last 28 meetings in the series. Give me the Huskies -5! |
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01-05-20 | Grizzlies v. Suns -6 | 121-114 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Suns -6) I'll take my chances here with the Suns as a 6-point home favorite against the Grizzlies. Memphis comes in off a shocking 140-114 win at the Clippers on Saturday as a 10-point dog. Clearly LA was not motivated for that game giving up 140 points and I just think it has Memphis getting too much love here in a really bad spot. Grizzlies will be playing on no rest and their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Suns are also playing well they are 3-1 SU (only loss at LAL) and 4-0 ATS in their last 4. Give me Phoenix -6! |
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01-05-20 | Purdue v. Illinois -1.5 | 37-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Illinois -1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Illini as a small home favorite against the Boilermakers. Illinois is off an ugly 20-point loss at Michigan State, which I think is definitely playing into the number. Thing is the Illini are 8-1 at home and Purdue is 2-4 away from home and in their only true road game in Big Ten play they lost by 14 to a bad Nebraska team as a 13-point favorite. Give me Illinois -1.5! |
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01-05-20 | Davidson v. Duquesne -3.5 | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Duquesne -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Dukes as a small 3.5-point home favorite against Davidson. I played on won on Duquesne as similarly priced 3-point home favorite against St Louis last time out. Dukes won going away 73-59 and are now 6-0 at home. Wildcats are off a 76-71 loss at Vandy that was much worse than the final score. Davidson is just 3-6 away from home and their only win in a true road game came against Northeastern by just 7. Give me the Dukes -3.5! |
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01-04-20 | Pelicans v. Kings -2.5 | 117-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS ANNIHILATOR (Kings -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento covering as a small home favorite against the Pelicans. Kings finally snapped their losing streak with a 128-123 win over Memphis on Thursday and I look for them to build on that with a win here against what I feel will be a flat Pelicans team. New Orleans is on no rest and just gave all they had against LeBron, AD and the Lakers last night. Pelicans simply getting love here cause of their recent strong play, but it's not warranted in this spot. Give me the Kings -2.5! |
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01-04-20 | Jazz -3.5 v. Magic | 109-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Jazz -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Utah laying just 3.5-points on the road against the Magic. Orlando is off a big 20-point win over Miami, but that was more of Miami not showing up on no rest after a big win than it was Orlando playing well. Magic only shot 41% from the field in the win. Now it's Orlando in that spot, playing on no rest and I think they really struggle here against a red-hot Utah team that is 9-1 in their last 10 with 5 straight covers. Give me the Jazz -3.5! |
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01-04-20 | Notre Dame v. Syracuse -2.5 | 88-87 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB AFTERNOON ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Orange as a small home favorite against the Fighting Irish. Syracuse isn't as strong as what we are use to seeing, but this is just too good a price to pass up against what I feel is a very mediocre Notre Dame team. Syracuse has won 3 straight and outside of a home win against UCLA, the Irish haven't done much. ND has only played two true road games and lost both pretty bad and both games shot 35% or worse from the field. GIve me Syracuse -2.5! |
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01-04-20 | Providence v. DePaul -2.5 | Top | 66-65 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG EAST PLAY OF THE MONTH (DePaul -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with DePaul as a small home favorite against the Friars. I think we are getting an exceptional price on the Blue Demons because of how the last game went for both teams. Providence routed Georgetown at home 76-60 and DePaul lost at home to Seton Hall 66-74. Thing is the Friars win over the Hoyas isn't all that impressive, as Georgetown was down one of their top scorers and just don't have the depth to deal with an injury like that. As for the Blue Demons loss to the Pirates, I think they were caught a bit off guard with Seton Hall's start Powell playing when he was doubtful. I think DePaul bounces back in a big way here. Give me the Blue Demons -2.5! |
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01-04-20 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech -5.5 | 50-85 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS DESTROYER (Texas Tech -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders laying it on the Cowboys and covering as a 5.5-point home favorite. Texas Tech is 9-3 with their 3 losses coming in games where leading scorer Jahmi'us Ramsey either didn't play or left with an injury. We saw what this team was capable of when they had their way with then No. 1 Louisville in a 70-67 win. They won that game without Ramsey, but he's returned and I think this team is a lot better than people realize. As for Oklahoma State, they are also 9-3 and have actually played the tougher schedule, but I just haven't been all that impressed with them. They lost by 7 at home to Georgetown and just recently lost by 20 to Minnesota on a neutral court. They are not a great offensive team and Texas Tech's defense can be smothering, especially at home where they are 7-0 and giving up just 58.3 ppg on 39% shooting. Give me the Red Raiders -5.5! |
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01-03-20 | 76ers v. Rockets -4 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA 76ERS/ROCKETS ATS NO-BRAINER (Rockets -4) I'll take my chances here with Houston laying a short number at home against the Rockets. I know this is going to be a big public play, but no way I'm not taking a shot on Houston at this price. Rockets are 12-4 at home and it's no secret that the 76ers are not a good road team. Philadelphia is 16-2 at home compared to 7-11 on the road. I just don't think they got the fire-power offensively to keep this close and it's not like they are playing well or in a great spot. 76ers have lost 3 straight and are playing their 4th straight on the road. Give me the Rockets -4! |
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01-03-20 | Blazers -6.5 v. Wizards | 122-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers -6.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland laying what looks like a big number against the Wizards. I was on the Blazers as a 4-point favorite in their last game at New York and they wound up losing by 24. It was their 5th straight loss. I'm not letting that game deter me from taking advantage of Portland in this spot. Blazers are going to give a big effort here to snap the losing streak and this line tells me that Bradley Beal, who is questionable, likely isn't going to play. Even if he doesn, the Wizards are so decimated with injuries right now that they just don't have the talent to compete even at home. We just saw them lose to the Magic by 21 as a mere 3.5-point dog. GIve me the Blazers -6.5! |
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01-02-20 | Oregon State v. Utah -2 | 69-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Utah -2) I really like the value here with Utah as a small home favorite against the Beavers. I just think we are getting a great price on the Utes coming off that ugly 28-point loss to San Diego State. Sure the margin of defeat is a bit surprising, but the result was not. Utah had just laid everything on the line in their previous game, which they upset Kentucky as a 10-point dog. They only had 2 days between games and simply didn't have enough in the tank. Utah comes into this one having not played since that loss to the Aztecs on 12/21. Oregon State is 10-2, but have only played two true games and the only real test of those two was at Texas A&M and they lost that one 64-49 as a 6.5-point favorite. Give me the Utes -2! |
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01-02-20 | Raptors v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami covering the 5.5-point spread at home against the Raptors. This just feels like the perfect spot to not only fade Toronto but jump on the Heat. Raptors are still down 3 starters in Siakam, Gasol and Powell.While they have remained competitive without those 3, they are playing their 4th game in 6 days, which I think is only that much harder given it's been over the holidays. As for the Heat, Miami is poised for a breakout game after failing to cover their last 3 and fresh off an ugly ugly 123-105 loss at Washington. Heat have had a full 3 days to stew over that defeat and should win here going away. Give me Miami -5.5! |
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01-02-20 | St. Louis v. Duquesne -3 | Top | 59-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ATLANTIC 10 PLAY OF THE MONTH (Duquesne -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Dukes as a small home favorite against the Billikens. St Louis comes in at 11-2, which is why we are getting such great value with Duquesne here. Thing is the Billikens just recently lost one of their best players in freshman sharpshooter Gibson Jimmerson, who was third on the team in scoring at 10.8 ppg. He was without a doubt their best shooter from deep (43%). He had accounted for 29% (24) of their 82 made 3-pointers. Add in point guard Yuri Collins playing at less than 100%. The Dukes are also off to a strong 10-2 start and that's no surprise. Duquesne returned 4 of 5 starters from a 19-win team. They 5-0 at home this season where they are outscoring teams by 21.6 ppg. They are shooting 47% from the field at home while holding opponents to 37.6%. Give me the Dukes -3! |
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01-01-20 | Blazers -4 v. Knicks | 93-117 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -4) I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small road favorite against the Knicks. I just feel like this is the perfect spot to jump on the Blazers who are desperate for a win after losing 4 straight and are matched up against a bad Knicks team that I got hard time believing wasn't out celebrating New Year's with how big a deal it is in New York. Blazers have gone a perfect 5-0 against the Knicks in the last 3 seasons, winning both games in NY. They make it 6 in a row with an easy win and cover tonight. Give me Portland -4! |
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01-01-20 | Connecticut v. Cincinnati -1.5 | 51-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Cincinnati -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Cincinnati as a mere 1.5-point home favorite against the Huskies. I just think the fact that the Bearcats are a mere 3-9 ATS on the season and have lost 3 of their last 4, has them showing tremendous value here at basically a pick'em on their home floor. This the same team that just recently beat Tennessee on their home court by 12 as a 2-point dog. I get UConn has been playing well, but what a lot of people will overlook here is the fact that this is the Huskies first true road game of the season. Sure they have played some neutral site games, but it's a whole different beast playing on the road in college basketball and Cincinnati has a great home court advantage. Give me the Bearcats -1.5! |
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12-31-19 | 76ers v. Pacers +2 | 97-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers +2) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a home dog against the 76ers. Indiana is 14-3 at home this season, while the 76ers are a mere 7-10 on the road. It's also not like Philadelphia comes in playing well, as they have lost their last 2 and are just 3-5 in their last 8 games. I also think it's tough on the road team playing on New Year's Eve and we should get a max effort from the Pacers. Not only are they going to be out for revenge against Philadelphia, they will be highly motivated to avoid a 3rd straight loss after losing their last two on the road. Give me Indiana +2! |
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12-30-19 | Suns v. Blazers -4 | 122-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -4) I'll take my chances here with Portland cashing in an easy win at home against the Suns. I think this is the perfect spot to buy low on the Blazers. Portland has lost 3 straight and will be 100% locked in for this matchup. Phoenix is off a win, but are just 1-8 in their last 9. Suns don't play much defense and are allowing 118.6 ppg in their last 5. Don't expect that to change with the Suns playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights and facing a Blazers team that is averaging 115 ppg at home this season. Give me the Blazers -4! |
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12-30-19 | Massachusetts +9.5 v. Akron | 79-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (UMass +9.5) I'll take my chances here with the Minutemen covering as a big road dog against Akron. I just think we are getting too good a price to pass up with UMass. Minutemen are just 1-6 in their last 7, but did get back on track in their last game in a 74-53 win against Maine, which they covered easy as a 12.5-point favorite. The thing with their 6-game losing streak, is all 6 opponents during that stretch ranked inside the TOp 100 in KenPom. As for Akron, they come in at 9-3 with a 7-0 record at home, but a lot of that is a result of a soft schedule. The Zips best wins on the season are against the likes of Tulane and Marshall and they far from dominated either of those. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Minutemen won outright. Give me UMass +9.5! |
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12-28-19 | Pistons v. Spurs -4 | 109-136 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs -4) I'll take my chances here with the Spurs covering as a small home favorite against the Pistons. I San Antonio has been playing much better of late and I think we are getting a great price on the Spurs due to the fact that the Pistons are fresh off a 30-point win at home against the Wizards. I'm not buying into that result at all. Prior to that Detroit had lost 5 straight all by double-digits. Give me the Spurs -4! |
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12-28-19 | Niagara v. Syracuse -22 | 57-71 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -22) I'll take my chances here with Syracuse covering the massive spread at home against Niagara. Most will be hesitant to lay this kind of number with the Orange, especially given they are just 1-6 ATS last 7 games. Not me. I think Syracuse is going to have this thing covered early win by 30+. Note that we have already seen Niagara lose by 47 on the road to Rutgers and this team has been absolutely dreadful against the zone this season. Not to mention they are awful defensively. Niagara is giving up 80.3 ppg and have allowed 82 or more in 4 straight. Give me Syracuse -22! |
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12-27-19 | Pacers v. Heat -5 | 112-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Heat -5) I'll take my chances with Miami covering as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Pacers. As good as Indiana has been this season, I just feel there's to much value with the contrasting home/away splits for these two teams. Pacers are 14-3 at home compared to 7-7 on the road. Heat are 13-1 at home and just 9-7 on the road. Miami isn't just sneaking by at home. They are outscoring opponents at home by 13.5 ppg. Give me the Heat -5! |
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12-27-19 | 76ers v. Magic +3 | 97-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Magic +3) I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a small home dog against the 76ers. This is 100% a fade of Philadelphia off their biggest win of the season. 76ers put everything they had into their Christmas Day game against the Bucks and wound up rolling Milwaukee 121-109. No surprise to me, as this Philadelphia team has a tendency to play great in the big games, especially at home and then lay an egg against bad teams, especially on the road. 76ers are 16-2 at home compared to 7-8 on the road, where they are actually getting outscored on the season. Magic are a respectable 9-6 at home and Orlando is going to be the much fresher team playing at home on a full 3 days of rest. Give me the Magic +3! |
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12-25-19 | Clippers v. Lakers -2 | 111-106 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Lakers -2) I'll take my chances here with the Lakers getting their revenge from an earlier loss to the Clippers. I know LA comes in having lost 3 straight, but they have been short-handed in a couple of those. With LeBron and AD both expected to play the Lakers are as close to full strength as they have been all season. I just think that combined with the homecourt edge will be too much for the Clippers to overcome. LAC is 1-4 ATS last 5 as a road dog. Give me the Lakers -2! |
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12-23-19 | Raptors v. Pacers -6.5 | 115-120 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers -6.5) I'll take my chances here with Indiana covering here as a 6.5-point home favorite against the Raptors. Indiana has gone 13-3 at home this season and are going to be extremely motivated after getting annihilated 117-89 at Milwaukee yesterday. Toronto is also playing on no rest after a win at home against the Mavs, but this couldn't be a better time for the Pacerst to be catching a injury depleted Raptors team. Toronto will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and have a huge game looming at home against Boston on Christmas Day. Give me the Pacers -6.5! |
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12-21-19 | Cincinnati v. Iowa -2.5 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iowa -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hawkeyes laying a short number against the Bearcats. The game will be played at the United Center in Chicago, but it's going to feel like a home game with all the Iowa fans that will make the short trip. Hawkeyes did lose Bohanan to a red-shirt, but are capable of playing well without him. Garza is playing like an All-American and this team is outstanding offensively with their ability to shoot from deep and unselfish play. Cincinnati just doesn't have the fire power offensively, especially with Cumberland not at 100%. Bearcats also in a tough spot after laying it all on the line at home against Tennessee on Wednesday. Iowa is the much more rested team. This is their first game since Dec. 12. Give me the Hawkeyes -2.5! |
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12-21-19 | Bulls v. Pistons -3 | 119-107 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS ANNIHILATOR (Pistons -3) I'll take my chances here with Detroit laying just 3-points at home against the Bulls. While Pistons are playing on no rest after an ugly loss last night at Boston, they basically punted that game sitting both Blake Griffin and Luke Kennard. I don't think either injury is all that serious and it felt like more of them just resting those two in a back-to-back. Bulls are off a big come from behind win at Washington, but simply can't be trusted in this spot. Chicago is just 5-9 away from home and have only won back-to-back games once all season. Give me the Pistons -3! |
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12-21-19 | Purdue v. Butler -2 | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Butler -2) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs covering as a mere 2-point favorite against Purdue in Saturday's neutral site showdown at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Butler is not only the better team, but they will be facing a shorthanded Boilermakers team that won't have big man Matt Haarms. That's a big blow for Purdue, as Harrms is averaging 10.8 ppg and 6.2 rpg. He's also the glue to their defense with his ability to protect the rim (2.5 blocks/game). I just don't think the Boilermakers will have enough offense to keep this close. Give me Butler -2! |
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12-21-19 | Notre Dame v. Indiana -2 | 60-62 | Push | 0 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS SLAUGHTER (Indiana -2) I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers laying a small number against the Irish. I just think this is a complete mismatch in talent. Indiana looks to be back as a serious contender in the Big Ten. Hoosiers are 10-1 and come in off back-to-back solid wins over UConna and Nebraska. They also have a blowout win over FSU. Most of Notre Dame's success has come against bad teams. Their best win was their last game at home against UCLA, but even then they shot just 38% from the field. I think Indiana wins this going away. Give me the Hoosiers -2! |
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12-20-19 | Magic v. Blazers -3.5 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS DESTROYER (Blazers -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland laying 3.5 at home against the Magic. Portland comes in having won 3 of their last 4 and are 6-4 in their last 10 with the 4 losses coming against the Clippers, Lakers, Thunder and Nuggets. Blazers are really fighting right now to get back in the playoff race and this is the time to get on them with all their key guys playing well. As for Orlando, this is the perfect spot to fade. The Magic are coming off two crushing losses against Utah and Denver on Tuesday and Wednesday. Orlando is playing their 4th and final game of a 4-game road trip. Magic's defense has been slacking on this trip, as they have allowed 56%, 54%, 47% and 48% shooting in their last 4 games. Give me the Blazers -3.5! |
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12-20-19 | Wizards +6.5 v. Raptors | 118-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the WIzards as a decently priced road dog against the Raptors. I just don't get why Washington is this big of a dog, as Toronto has recently been decimated with injuries. Raptors' best player, Pascal Siakam is out with a groin injury. They also won't have Marc Gasol or Norman Powell and Fred VanVleet is questionable. I just think because the Wizards come in having gone just 3-10 SU and 4-9 ATS in their last 13, we are getting a good price on them in this spot. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Wizards won this game outright. Give me Washington +6.5! |
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12-20-19 | Furman -9.5 v. Mercer | 64-62 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Furman -9.5) I'll take my chances with the Paladins winning by double-digits on the road against Mercer. I've really liked what I've seen out of this Furman team. They are 10-3 and their 3 losses are all true road games against the likes of Alabama, USF and Auburn. They were competitive in all 3, including a mere 3-point loss to the Tigers. Furman is great on both sides of the ball, as they come in averaging 79.7 ppg on 48% shooting and are allowing just 64.2 ppg on 43% shooting. Mercer is off a win against UNC-Wilmington, but had lost 5 straight prior to that. They are scoring less and giving up more than their opponents allow/score on the season. Furman has also owned this series with a 10-1 record in the last 11 meetings, including 4 straight wins by double-digits. Give me Furman -9.5! |
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12-20-19 | SMU v. Georgia -4 | Top | 85-87 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Georgia -4) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulldogs laying a small number at home against the Mustangs. Perfect spot here to jump on Georgia after they were just embarrassed in a 79-59 loss at Arizona State. That was just a tough spot for the Bulldogs. It was clear across the country and their best player Anthony Edwards wasn't at full strength. Georgia also shot miserable, connecting on just 35.6% of their shots. I expect a big effort here at home and the Bulldogs should get a boost with senior guard Jordan Harris eligible to return from suspension. As for SMU, they are 8-1 and were 8-0 to start the year before losing by 17 at home to Georgetown in their last game. Mustangs record is fluky, as they have played the 352nd ranked schedule. Give me Georgia -4! |
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12-19-19 | Eastern Kentucky v. Marshall -10.5 | 72-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Marshall -10.5) I cashed in on Marshall in their last game, which saw them destroy Morehead State on the road 89-62 as a 2-point dog. One of the big reasons I liked the Herd in that game was they were adding in point guard Andrew Taylor for the first time this season. Taylor didn't disappoint with 13 points 3 board sand 3 assists. A lot of guys were playing out of position before he was inserted into the lineup. I just think his addition is going to really spark this team and there's value to be had on Marshall right now because of how poorly they had been playing. Eastern Kentucky is just 3-7 with their 3 wins over UT-Chatannooga, Chillicothe and Alice Lloyd. All 3 of those were at home. They come in having lost 5 straight, failing to cover in all 5 and all 5 losses came by at least 12 points. Give me the Thundering Herd -10.5! |
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12-19-19 | Coastal Carolina -3 v. Troy State | Top | 59-77 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SUN BELT PLAY OF THE MONTH (Coastal Carolina -3) I'll take my chances here with Coastal Carolina easily covering here as a small road favorite against Troy. The Chanticleers are 7-4 compared to the Trojans who come in at 4-7 and the big thing to note is that Coastal Carolina has played the tougher schedule. I just don't think people realize how good this Chanticleers team is. All you have to do is look at their resume, which includes a 22-point win over Utah and a mere 12-point loss to Baylor. They enter having won 4 straight and are absolutely lighting up the scoreboard at 84.2 ppg on 49% shooting. Coastal Carolina comes in 162nd in the latest NET ratings for college hoops and Troy is way back at 275th. The Trojans 4 wins have come against Carver Bible, Shorter, North Alabama and Jacksonville State, so there's no hidden value with them. I mention how well the Chanticleers have played against some Power 6 teams. Troy has faced one so far and they lost by 38 at Indiana, giving up 100 points to the Hoosiers. Give me Coastal Carolina -3! |
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12-18-19 | Hornets v. Cavs -3 | 98-100 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Cavs -3) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland laying a short number at home against the Hornets. Always tough to lay points with bad teams, but I just think there's too much value here with the Cavs to not take a shot. Charlotte is in a terrible scheduling spot playing on no rest and 3rd in 4 days. Cleveland has struggled of late, but the schedule has been brutal. They just got done playing 5 of 6 on the road and the lone home game was against the Rockets. I think we get a big effort here and wouldn't be shocked if this turned into a blowout. Give me the Cavs -3! |
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12-18-19 | Niagara v. St Bonaventure -15 | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (St Bonaventure -15) I'll gladly take the Bonnies to lay it on the Purple Eagles tonight. Since adding in juco transfer Jaren English in late November St. Bonaventure hasn't lost, going 5-0 and have covered each of their last 3. They did start out just 1-4 before English arrived, so it's why we are still getting value with them. Niagara is a team they should beat by 20+. I mean the Purple Eagles lost by 47 to Rutgers. In that game against Rutgers they let them shoot 59% from the field. Bonnies have shot 46% or better in 4 straight and should score at will here inside, as Niagara has no one to guard 6-10 Osun Osunniyi. Give me St Bonaventure -15! |
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12-17-19 | Seattle University v. Washington -16 | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Washington -16) I'll take my chances here with the Huskies cashing in a win by at least 20 points at home against the Redhawks. Washington is going to be licking their chops for this one, as they have had to sit around for 8 days following a loss at home to Gonzaga. Seattle simply has no shot here of keeping this close against a motivated Huskies team. Redhawks have already lost by 31 at Washington State and by 22 at Syracuse. It's also worth noting that Seattle is an awful 3-point shooting team and one of the worst in the country in assist rate. That's a big time problem, as those are arguably the two biggest keys to attacking Washington's 2-3 zone. Redhawks also like to foul a lot and the Huskies are 32nd in the country in free throw rate. All signs point to a blowout. Give me Washington -16! |
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12-17-19 | Kings -4.5 v. Hornets | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -4.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Sacramento covering the 4.5-point spread at Charlotte. I've really been impressed with the Kings start to this season, as they have had a couple key guys mis significant time and yet they sit 7th in the Western Conference standings. They just recently got back Marvin Bagley III and point guard De'Aaron Fox is expected to play for the first time since Nov. 8th. Charlotte has won 3 of their last 4, but are coming off a 107-85 loss at Indiana and have now scored fewer than 90-points in each of their last 2 games. Hornets are also 8-14 in their last 22 games and those 8 wins are against the likes of the Pistons (3x), Knicks, Warriors, Wizards, Nets and Bulls. Charlotte has also shot 41% or worse from the field in 3 straight and 5 of their last 6. You might think it's silly to lay points with the Kings on the road, but Sacramento is actually 10-1 ATS over the last 2 seasons when listed as a road favorite of 6 points or less. Hornets are also a team to fade off a bad loss, as they are 3-13 ATS last 16 off a blowout loss by 20 or more. Give me the Kings -4.5! |
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12-17-19 | North Texas +16 v. Dayton | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (North Texas +16) I'll take my chances here with the Mean Green covering this big spread on the road against the Flyers. Dayton comes in ranked No. 13 in the country, have won 3 straight and are off an absolute beating of Drake 78-47 at home as a 15.5-point favorite. I just think it has the Flyers getting a little too much love in this spot. This North Texas team is a lot better team than their 4-6 record would lead you to believe and the books have been consistent undervaluing them here of late. Mean Green are 4-0 ATS in their last 4, which includes a mere 2-point loss to Oklahoma as a 6.5-point dog. NT will be ready to roll for this one with a full 9 days to prepare. As for Dayton, they just played on Saturday and have a big lookahead game on deck against Colorado at the United Center in Chicago. Flyers are also just 9-19 ATS last 28 off a home win and a mere 1-8 ATS last 9 at home off a home win by 10 or more. North Texas is 9-1 ATS last 10 on the road vs a good team that's outscoring opponents by 8+ ppg and 9-2 ATS last 11 as a dog of 10 or more points. Give me North Texas +16! |
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12-16-19 | Blazers v. Suns | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers PK) I'll take my chances here with Portland as a pick'em on the road against the Suns. Good chance Phoenix is without their best player in Devin Booker, who is questionable after getting held out of their last game against the Spurs. I think they give Booker another day off and let him return on Tuesday at LAC, which is also the first game back for DeAndre Ayton after his 25-game suspension. Blazers are just 5-4 in their last 9, but note that their 4 losses have come against the likes of the Clippers, Lakers, Thunder and Nuggets. They most recently lost by 15 at Denver on Thursday. I think we get a big effort here off that ugly loss and I really like the rest angle for Portland, as they will be playing on 3 days of rest, while Phoenix is on just 1 day of rest after playing Saturday in Mexico City. Give me the Blazers PK! |
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12-16-19 | Northern Illinois v. Pittsburgh -11.5 | 50-59 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Pittsburgh -11.5) I'll take my chances here with Pitt covering the double-digit spread at home against the Huskies. Great spot to jump on the Panthers, as they are well rested and should be plenty motivated. Pitt hasn't played since a 18-point loss at Louisville on Dec. 6. Prior to that setback the Panthers had gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS. Northern Illinois has been on since Dec. 7, but had played back-to-back games in California before the break and are scoring just 62.4 ppg and shooting 38% from the field on the road this season. Hard to see Northern Illinois getting their offense going against a motivated Pitt team that is holding opponents to just 59.4 ppg and 39% shooting. Give me the Panthers -11.5! |
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12-14-19 | Heat v. Mavs -7.5 | 122-118 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Mavs -7.5) I'll take my chances here with the Mavs covering the 7.5-point spread at home against the Heat. This might seem like a big number for Dallas to be laying against a Miami team that has started strong, but this is simply the ideal spot to fade the Heat. Miami put everything they had on the line in last night's game against the Lakers and to make matters worse they blew a big lead and wound up losing a heartbreaker by 3. They are also playing shorthanded with several key guys out, which I believe makes it almost impossible for them to keep it close against the Mavs. We saw Miami in a similar spot earlier this month. They beat Toronto on the road as a dog and then the next night lost by 19 at Boston. Give me the Mavs -7.5! |
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12-14-19 | Georgia v. Arizona State -3.5 | 59-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Arizona State -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Sun Devils cashing in a win and cover at home against Georgia. I just think the books have completely missed the mark here with this line, as I got Arizona State winning this one by double-digits. This is really the first big true road test for the Bulldogs and it's a long long way from home. Arizona State is 7-2 with their only two losses coming to Colorado and Virginia. I just think an inexperienced Bulldogs team is going to struggle to keep this close. Give me the Sun Devils -3.5! |
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12-14-19 | Central Michigan v. Texas -14 | Top | 76-87 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Texas -14) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Longhorns covering the 14-point spread at home against Central Michigan. The Chippewas want to try to outscore their opponents and are doing a decent job of it against teams of their caliber. It hasn't quite worked against the big boys. They lost by 25 at Minnesota, by 13 at DePaul and by 22 at Valpo. Central Michigan allowed 82.3 ppg in those 3 losses, so look for Texas to score at will here. As for the Chippewas offense, they are averaging 90.0 ppg for the season, but just 62.3 ppg in those 3 road losses and Texas is giving up just 58.4 ppg. GIve me the Longhorns -14! |
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12-13-19 | Hornets v. Bulls -6 | 83-73 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Bulls -6) I'll take my chances here with Chicago laying it on the Hornets at home Friday night. Bulls were a team a lot of people were high on coming into the season, but they disappointed in a big way. A lot of people jumped off the bandwagon and the books made their adjustments on them. I believe it now has the Bulls flying under the radar and we see just that with their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games. Hornets are playing their second straight on the road and 3rd in the last 4 days. Last time out the Bulls won 136-102 as a similarly priced 6.5-point favorite at home against Atlanta and I really like them to win here by double-digits. Give me Chicago -6! |
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12-13-19 | Lakers v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat +5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami as a 5.5-point home dog against the Lakers. As good as LA has been to start out this season, the Heat come into this one with a perfect 11-0 record at home and you know they will lay it all on the line against one of the league's best. I just think this is a tough spot for the Lakers, who are a long way from home. LA just played at Orlando on Wednesday and this will be their 5th road game in their last 6 games overall. While they beat the Magic by 9, they only shot 43% from the field, which was their worst mark in almost a month. Miami is only giving up 103.1 ppg and hold teams to 43% shooting at home this season. Give me the Heat +5.5! |
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12-12-19 | Iowa +4 v. Iowa State | 84-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB IOWA/ISU IN-STATE ATS MASSACRE (Iowa +4) I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes getting points in this one. Iowa has one of the best players in the country that not many people are aware of in Garza. He's playing at an All-American level and it's why this Hawkeyes team is surprising a lot of people with how they have played against some good teams. ISU is off a big win at home against Seton Hall, but that was a rematch and the Pirates were down one of their better players. Iowa's defense isn't elite by any means, but they play a good zone defense and this Cyclones team doesn't exactly shoot it great from deep. I think Iowa wins here rather comfortably. Give me the Hawkeyes +4! |
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12-11-19 | Knicks v. Warriors -4.5 | 124-122 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS NO-BRAINER (Warriors -4.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Golden State laying what I feel is a really short number at home against a Knicks team that has been atrocious on the road and are unlikely to play well given they just played at Portland last night. Which they might as well just not have shown up for, as they got annihilated 115-87. New York is now getting outscored by more than 15 ppg on the road. Warriors should have no problem here winning by double-digits. Give me Golden State -4.5! |
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12-11-19 | Hawks v. Bulls -5 | Top | 102-136 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls -5) I'l gladly take my chances here with Chicago as a small home favorite against the Hawks. Bulls have lost 3 straight, but are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. This team is way better than their record and I think we are getting too good a price here with Chicago at home against a less talented Hawks team that doesn't play good on the road. Atlanta is just 3-10 away from home, where they are giving up 123.2 ppg and are being outscored by more than 13 ppg. Also worth noting these two teams played in Atlanta a little over a month ago and the Bulls won by 20. Give me Chicago -5! |
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12-11-19 | Wisconsin v. Rutgers -2 | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Rutgers -2) I'll take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights cashing in a win at home against Wisconsin. A lot of people will just take the Badgers here, as they are the more recognized program and are coming in off a 84-64 blowout win against a good Indiana team. However, that was at home, where Wisconsin is 5-0. The Badgers are 0-4 on the road with losses to the likes of St. Mary's, Richmond and New Mexico. Wisconsin also has been way overvalued by the books as whole. Prior to covering against Indiana they were just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Rutgers is a better team than a lot of people realize and they showed that in a mere 12-point loss at Michigan State. Give me the Scarlet Knights -2! |
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12-10-19 | Knicks v. Blazers -8.5 | 87-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -8.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland laying it on the Knicks tonight at home. Blazers have lost 3 of 4 and are off an ugly 12-point loss to OKC at home. The previous two defeats were to the Clippers and Lakers. Prior to that they had won 3 straight. The Knicks are the perfect team to get right against, especially on your home floor. New York is 1-9 away from home, where they are getting outscored by 13.8 ppg. Key here is Blazers won't be overlooking the Knicks at all as they desperately need a win here. Give me Portland -8.5! |
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12-10-19 | Indiana v. Connecticut +3 | 57-54 | Push | 0 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (UConn +3) I'll take my chances here with UConn as a dog against the Hoosiers in Tuesday's big showdown at Madison Square Garden. I had some big concerns with Indiana finally leaving home after looking so good to start the year at home and they absolutely laid an egg in a 84-64 loss to Wisconsin. Badgers abused them inside and I look for UConn's Josh Carlton to do the same in this one. I really think the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me the Huskies +3! |
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12-10-19 | Butler v. Baylor -5.5 | 52-53 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Baylor -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bears covering the 5.5-point spread at home against Butler. I just think this is the perfect spot to fade undefeated Butler. The Bulldogs are often a one-man show with Kamar Baldwin and that really makes this a tough matchup for Butler, as they got a guy in Davion Mitchell who is a lockdown defender. Mitchell was outstanding against Arizona's Nico Mannion last time out. Other big key here is I don't think Butlers defense is as good as the numbers. Give me Baylor -5.5! |
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12-10-19 | Nuggets v. 76ers -4 | Top | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -4) I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Nuggets. You got a 76ers team that is rolling right now, with a 10-2 record in their last 12 games. Not to mention Philadelphia is such a good team at home. They are 12-0 at home, outscoring teams by 13.2 ppg. Denver has lost 4 of 5 and are running on fumes playing their 4th straight road game in a span of just 6 days. Give me the 76ers -4! |
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12-10-19 | Louisville v. Texas Tech +7.5 | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
40* LOUISVILLE/TX TECH ATS NO-BRAINER (Texas Tech +7.5) I'll take my chances here with Texas Tech as a pretty big dog on a neutral site against Louisville. Red Raiders are being way undervalued here after losing their last 3. The last two have been without their best player in Jahmi'us Ramsey. He's a game-time decision tonight and I feel there's a good chance he plays. Even if he doesn't Chris Beard will have his team ready to put up a fight against the Cardinals. Louisville's only real impressive win is against Michigan and the Wolverines were in an awful scheduling spot. Upset is not out of the question. Give me Texas Tech +7.5! |
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12-09-19 | Wolves v. Suns -4 | 109-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Suns -4) I'll take my chances here with Phoenix laying a short number at home against the Timberwolves. I just think this is a great spot to back the Suns, as well as solid spot to fade Minnesota. Phoenix has been playing better of late, covering 3 of their last 4 and will be motivated here to take the floor at home after playing their previous 4 on the road. As for the Timberwolves, they are primed for a letdown playing in the 2nd leg of a back-to-back, especially given the first game was at LA against the Lakers. This is also Minnesota's 3rd game in 4 days and their 4th straight on the road. Give me the Suns -4! |
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12-09-19 | Kings +12.5 v. Rockets | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings +12.5) I'll take my chances with Sacramento covering the double-digit spread at Houston on Monday. I think this line has been inflated due to the Kings playing in the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. Kings have been a great bet just about every time they take the floor, as Sacramento is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games. Houston is great, but they are playing short-handed right now Tyson Chandler, Eric Gordon, Nene Hilario and Gerald Green all expected to be out for this one. Give me the Kings +12.5! |
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12-09-19 | Raptors -5 v. Bulls | Top | 93-92 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Toronto laying a short number on the road against the Bulls. Both teams are in the second leg of a back-to-back, but Chicago's game against Miami yesterday went to OT and I just think a far inferior Bulls team will have a tough time playing well here. Also, Raptors come in having lost 3 straight and are going to be extremely motivated to put that losing streak to rest. The big positive with the slide is it came against the likes of the Heat, Rockets and 76ers. These two also played once already in Chicago back on Oct. 26 and Toronto won going away 108-84. Toronto has also won 10 straight in the series with each of the last 7 coming by more than the number here. Give me the Raptors -5! |
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12-09-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa -6 | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Iowa -6) I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes laying 6 at home against the Gophers. Iowa continues to play better than expected and offensively this team is really good. Hawkeyes rank third in the country in offensive efficiency. Minnesota doesn't have a deep bench and the reserves they do have tend to get in foul trouble. I just don't think the Gophers will be able to keep pace offensively in this one. Iowa also needs to win here to avoid a 0-2 mark in Big Ten play. Expect a rowdy atmosphere in Iowa City tonight. Give me the Hawks -6! |
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12-08-19 | Thunder v. Blazers -3.5 | 108-96 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland laying a small number at home against the Thunder. I just think the Blazers are a good buy low option right now, as this team has come alive since adding Carmelo Anthony and are playing much better than their 9-14 record. They did lose last time out at home to the Lakers, but that should have them playing with that much more urgency here. As for the Thunder, they only had 1 day off after that grueling 139-127 OT win against the Timberwolves on Friday and are a mere 2-7 away from home, where they are getting outscored by 7 ppg. Give me the Blazers -3.5! |
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12-08-19 | Seton Hall +3 v. Iowa State | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Seton Hall +3) I'll take my chances here with the Pirates cashing in a cover as a road dog against a Iowa State team they just beat by 8 at home a little over a week ago. I just don't think the Cyclones are that great and they have played 3 teams in the KenPom Top 64 and lost all 3. The staggering stat in those losses is those 3 teams have posted a 59% effective field goal percentage. Playing at home might help the Clones keep it close early, but I'm backing on the Pirates talent to win out in this one. Give me Seton Hall +3! |
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12-08-19 | Gonzaga v. Washington +5 | 83-76 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Washington +5) I'll take my chances here with the Huskies cashing in a cover at home against Gonzaga. I'll gladly take the points as insurance, but I fully expect Washington to win this game outright. Washington has a huge home court edge and the atmosphere is going to be electric with a top 10 team coming to town. Gonzaga's big make them a matchup nightmare for a lot of team, but the Huskies are well equipped inside. Give me Washington +5! |
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12-08-19 | Wichita State v. Oklahoma State -4 | 80-61 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY AFTERNOON ATS ANNIHILATOR (Oklahoma St -4) I'll take my chances here with the Cowboys covering the 4 at home against the Shockers. Big bounce back spot for Oklahoma State after they laid an egg at home in Wednesday's 81-74 loss to Georgetown as a 11-point favorite. Prior to that the Cowboys had started out 7-0. Wichita State is a quality team, but have played a really soft schedule, lost by 14 to West Virginia and are playing their first true road game of the season. Give me Oklahoma State -4! |
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12-07-19 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -11.5 | 112-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Jazz -11.5) I'll take my chances here with Utah cashing in as a big home favorite against the Grizzlies. I just think now is the time to pounce on the Jazz. Utah has lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall, plus were embarrassed at home last time out by the Lakers. To say this team is going to be pissed off when they take the floor is an understatement. I just don't think the Grizzlies have the talent to make a game of this without star rookie Ja Morant running the point. Give me the Jazz -11.5! |
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12-07-19 | Indiana v. Wisconsin | 64-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BIG TEN PLAY OF THE WEEK (Wisconsin PK) I'll take my chances here with Wisconsin at a pick'em on their home floor against Indiana. I was on the Hoosiers in their blowout win over FSU last time out. I like the talent with Indiana, but I also think they got a huge homecourt edge, which is why I liked them in that spot. I don't think things are going to go as smoothly on the road and I think the methodical pace of the Badgers and their ability to spread the floor with all those 3-point shooters really make this a tough matchup for Indiana, especially given it's their first game away from home all season. Give me Wisconsin! |
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12-07-19 | NC State -5 v. Wake Forest | 91-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS DESTROYER (NC State -5) I'll take my chances here with the Wolfpack going on the road and covering the spread against the Demon Deacons. NC State has been rock solid to start the year. They come in having on 6 of 7 with the only loss by 5 to Memphis on a neutral court. Wake Forest just isn't very good. They have played 3 teams from a power six conference and lost all 3, including a recent 22-point setback at Penn State. In those 3 games the Demon Deacons have shot a miserable 35% from the field. Not a good sign when you are facing a NC State offense that is putting in 81.7 ppg on 47% shooting. Give me the Wolfpack -5! |
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12-07-19 | Florida v. Butler -4 | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS KNOCKOUT (Butler -4) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs covering the small number at home against Florida. I just haven't been impressed at all with the Gators early on. The offense has not produced anywhere close to expectations and now they have to face a really good Butler defense on the road. Gators only other true road game they lost at UConn. Look for the Bulldogs to make a statement on Saturday. Give me Butler -4! |
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12-07-19 | Arizona v. Baylor -4.5 | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD LINE MISTAKE (Baylor -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bears covering the small number at home against Arizona. I've really liked what I've seen out of Baylor and while I think the Wildcats are a really strong team, they are dealing with some injuries and have the difficult task here of playing their first true road game of the season against a really good opponent. Give me Baylor -4.5! |
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12-06-19 | Nuggets v. Celtics -3 | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Celtics -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Celtics laying just 3-points at home against the Nuggets. This is simply too good a price to pass up with Boston at home, where they are a perfect 8-0, outscoring teams by 8.4 ppg. Denver comes in off a blowout win at New York last night, but this is not an ideal team to be playing on 0 days rest. Jokic only had 10 points in the win and is in arguably the worst funk of his career right now. I just don't think the Nuggets have a shot here without a monster game from Jokic, as Celtics will be out for blood after how bad they played at Denver a couple weeks ago (had just 57 points going into the 4th quarter). Give me Boston -3! |
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12-06-19 | Wolves v. Thunder -2.5 | Top | 127-139 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
50* NBA SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Thunder -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Oklahoma City cashing in a win at home against the Timberwolves. I get Minnesota is 7-3 SU and 7-3 ATS on the road, but I think it has them overvalued here. They did just lose and fail to cover in a 121-114 loss at Dallas on Wednesday. They could also be playing this one without one of their best players in Andrew Wiggins. I know the Thunder are just 8-12, but they have played a really tough schedule. They are 7-3 ATS at home and I think they win this one going away. Give me OKC -2.5! |
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12-06-19 | Duke v. Virginia Tech +7 | 77-63 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Va Tech +7) I'll take my chances here with the Hokies covering the 7-point spread against the Blue Devils. Duke is coming off a big win at Michigan State, but we seen this team struggle to bring it on a consistent basis. I'm not saying they will lose here, but I think the Hokies will give them all they can handle. Va Tech is 4-0 at home, where they are outscoring teams by almost 30 ppg. Everyone knows about Duke's star freshmen, but the Hokies have a couple of legit freshmen studs. The most notable being Landers Nolley II, who is averaging 20 ppg and shooting 50% from deep. Give me Virginia Tech +7! |
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12-06-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -8 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan -8) I'll take my chances here with Michigan laying it on the Hawkeyes in their conference opener at home. I would have liked the Wolverines to win by double-digits regardless, but I like it that much more that we are getting Michigan off an ugly loss at Louisville. That poor showing was to be expected given the spot, as the Wolverines had just played 3 games in 3 days against Iowa State, North Carolina and Gonzaga. Iowa has played well in their last 3 games against some decent competition, but I think it has them getting a little too much love here. They were a 7.5-point dog to Texas Tech on a neutral site and now are basically the same price against a much better Michigan team. Give me the Wolverines -8! |
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12-04-19 | Kings v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland covering as a small home favorite against the Kings. Who would have thought that Carmelo Anthony would be this good. In his 7 games since joining Portland he's averaging 16.4 ppg 6.0 rpg and 2.0 apg. He's only getting better as he put up 22.3 ppg last week. The Blazers as a team have won 3 of 4 and I'm not concerned about them playing on no rest, especially given how they were able to limit minutes in a blowout loss to the Clippers with no starter playing more than 30 minutes. Give me Portland -3.5! |
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12-04-19 | Lakers v. Jazz -3 | 121-96 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Jazz -3) I'll take my chances with Utah covering as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Lakers. I played against LA and lost last night in Denver, but that won't keep me from fading them here. The only starter for the Lakers that didn't play more than 30 minutes was McGee. I just don't think they will have enough gas here going from the thin air of Denver to the thin air of Utah in back-to-back games, arguably the worst scheduling spot in the league when it comes to back-to-backs. Utah is also going to be extremely motivated here after losing 4 of 5 on their recent 5-game road trip. Give me the Jazz -3! |
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12-04-19 | Texas Tech v. DePaul +2 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
50* NCAAB NON-CONF PLAY OF THE MONTH (DePaul +2) I'll gladly take my chances here with DePaul as a home dog against the Red Raiders. I was actually shocked to see the Blue Demons listed as a dog here. DePaul has been sensational in route to a perfect 8-0 start, which includes road wins over two quality Big Ten teams in Iowa and Minnesota. The same Iowa team that just recently had their way with Texas Tech in Vegas. I just think the Red Raiders are still being overvalued from last year's run to the title game. This is not the same caliber a team. Give me DePaul +2! |
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12-04-19 | UMKC v. Iowa State -19.5 | 61-79 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa St -19.5) I'll take my chances here with the Cyclones winning by 20+ at home over UMKC. With ISU having lost 2 of 3 and fresh off a loss at Seton Hall, I think we are poised to get a big effort here against an inferior team. UMKC has no business being on the same floor as the Cyclones. The Kangaroos lost by 18 at Drake to give ya an idea of their talent level. UMKC also wants to play slow and that's a problem as ISU is going to push the pace. Cyclones are also great at forcing turnovers, while UMKC has turned it over a lot early on. All these thing should allow ISU to turn this into a blowout. Give me the Cyclones -19.5! |
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12-04-19 | Nets -3 v. Hawks | 130-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Nets -3) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering as a small road favorite against the Hawks. Atlanta was able to snap their 10-game losing streak with a 104-79 blowout win at home against the Warriors, but that's nothing to get excited about, as Golden State is one of the least talented teams in the league with all their injuries. Nets are still without Irving, but have really played well without him and should have their way here. Give me Brooklyn -3! |
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12-04-19 | Virginia +1 v. Purdue | 40-69 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Virginia +1) I'll take my chances here with Virginia winning on the road against the Boilermakers. I just think Purdue is destined for a down season, as they just don't have anyone on this year's team that can replace the production of Carson Edwards. They also lost a 3-point sharpshooter in Ryan Cline. They have played 3 legit opponents and lost all 3, including a 6-point loss at home to Texas. Virginia is not an ideal matchup for this team, as they built to grind out wins with their defense, which is how Purdue wants to play. I just don't see the Boilermakers being able to score enough to win. Give me Virginia +1! |
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12-04-19 | South Carolina v. Massachusetts +2 | 84-80 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (UMass +2) I'll take my chances here with UMass as a home dog against the Gamecocks. I just think South Carolina isn't very good. They are just 5-3 to start the season despite playing the 332nd ranked schedule. The books just keep overvaluing them too, as they come in having failed to cover in 5 straight games. Now they got to play their first true road of the season against a hungry and talented UMass team that will be looking to snap a 3-game skid. All 3 of those losses came on the road and the Minutemen figure to struggle away from home with all the freshmen they are playing. This is also a big time home game for UMass, as they don't get to host many Power 5 teams. Give me the Minutemen +2! |
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12-03-19 | Lakers v. Nuggets -2 | 105-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Nuggets -2) I'll take my chances here with the Nuggets covering the small spread at home against the Lakers. The public loves this LA team and the Lakers amazing 17-3 start to the season has only fueled their love. I think the Lakers are way overvalued because of it. What the public ignores with LA's incredible start is 14 of their 20 games are against teams with a sub .500 record. They are just 3-3 in games against teams with a winning record. Denver only has one more loss than LA at 13-4 and are 8-2 at home having recently knocked off both the Celtics and Rockets at home. Give me the Nuggets -2! |
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12-03-19 | Florida State v. Indiana -3 | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Indiana -3) I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers laying a short number at home against the Seminoles. I'm well aware that Indiana has played a soft schedule to start the year, but they pass the eye test for me and Assembly Hall is not an easy place to play. Not only that they have covered 4 of their last 5, so it's not like they are just squeaking by. I also like that Indiana hasn't left home all season. FSU on the other hand just played back-to-back games Friday/Saturday against two really tough teams in Tennessee and Purdue. They won both, but both were grueling 3-point wins. Only two days of rest before this one and I just think this is a big flat spot against a quality opponent. Give me the Hoosiers -3! |
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12-03-19 | Heat v. Raptors -4.5 | 121-110 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Toronto laying what I think is a short number at home against the Heat. Raptors have been one of the biggest surprises, as they have not missed a beat after losing Kahwi to the Clippers in free agency. Toronto is 15-4 and have gone a perfect 9-0 at home, covering the number in 8 of those games. Miami has a solid record at 14-5, but they are just 6-5 SU and 5-5-1 ATS on the road compared to 8-0 SU and 7-0 ATS at home. Heat will also be playing without one of their best players in Goran Dragic. Give me the Raptors -4.5! |
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12-03-19 | Michigan v. Louisville -4.5 | Top | 43-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Louisville. Michigan has went from a nobody to the No. 4 ranked team in the country after knocking off ISU, UNC and Gonzaga in 3 consecutive days. I just wonder how much the Wolverines have left in the tank. They Battle 4 Atlantis got over on Friday, so they will have just 3 days off before this one. Louisville has been every bit as impressive to start and are going to be playing just their 2nd game in the last 9 days. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Cardinals at home, especially given the tough scheduling spot for Michigan. Give me Louisville -4.5! |
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12-02-19 | Suns -4.5 v. Hornets | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Suns as a small road favorite against the Hornets. Phoenix has lost 3 straight and 6 of 7, but their struggles in this stretch have a lot to do with injuries. They got some key guys back here of late and should be 100% locked in for a win tonight. Charlotte is the ideal team to get right against, as the Hornets are one of the least talented teams in the league. If you take away their 3 wins against the Pistons, they are just 1-10 in their last 11. GIve me the Suns -4.5! |
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11-28-19 | Texas Tech -6.5 v. Iowa | 61-72 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Texas Tech -6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders cashing in an easy cover here as a 6.5-point favorite against the Hawks in Las Vegas. I just think the Hawkeyes got no business being on the same floor as the Red Raiders. Iowa is 4-1, but in their only game against a decent opponent they got absolutely annihilated at home by DePaul 93-78. I think this could be every bit as lopside as that one. Give me Texas Tech -6.5! |
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11-27-19 | Heat v. Rockets -5.5 | Top | 108-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Houston covering the spread at home against the Heat. THis might seem like a lot for Miami to be catching with how well they have been playing, but there's a chance they won't have Jimmy Butler for this one. This is also their 4th game in 6 days and 3 of those have come on the road. Rockets also going to give a max effort here coming off 3 straight losses and playing on a full 2 days of rest. Give me Houston -5.5! |
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11-27-19 | Oklahoma State v. Syracuse -3 | Top | 86-72 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Syracuse -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Syracuse laying a short number against the Cowboys. I just think Oklahoma State is getting a little too much love here against a really good Orange team. Cowboys are 5-0, but they haven't beat anyone. Their toughest opponent was Charleston. They are also just 2-3 ATS in those 5 games. Syracuse has been on a roll since losing their opener to Virginia and they look like an even better team since moving Joe Girard into the starting point guard spot in place of Jalen Carey. Offense has gotten better and better with each of his starts and the Orange aare elite an excellent defensive team. Take Syracuse! |
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11-27-19 | Nets v. Celtics -7 | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Celtics -7) I'lll take my chances here with Boston winning by double-digits at home against the Nets. I think we are actually getting a decent price here with the Celtics. Should be a rowdy home crowd with everyone having tomorrow off and Kemba Walker is expected to be back. Brooklyn has won 4 straight, but those 4 wins have come against the Hornets, Kings, Knicks and Cavs. Last time they played a good team was the Pacers on Nov. 18th and they got annihilated 115-86. I just don't think they have any shot of keeping it close without Kyrie on the floor. Give me the Celtics -7! |