Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-16-24 | Paris Saint-Germain v. Barcelona FC OVER 3 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #224217: UEFA Champions League Tuesday OVER 3 -135 in Barcelona vs Paris Saint-Germain @ 3 PM ET - In the first leg, Barcelona held Mbappe in check and yet PSG still scored two goals. I expect some adjustments from the PSG side to free up Mbappe a little more in the second leg. Down 3-2 on the aggregate, Paris Saint-Germain must be aggressive on the attack here but Barcelona also certainly has the firepower on the counter-attack to make them pay for an aggressive style. We have to lay a little extra juice to have this total at over 3 goals but I can't see this match ending with anything less than that! Barcelona has scored an average of 2.4 goals in their last 24 matches on their home pitch. The Barcelona manager said that this one is about two clubs that both like to play on the front foot. The PSG manager is saying they must attack and be aggressive here in the rematch and he felt they deserved at least a draw in the first match. Actually, a 2-2 draw is the type of battle I am expecting here in the second leg. With PSG down a goal and on the road, they will be aggressive from the outset in this one. PSG has scored 7 goals in its last 3 meetings with Barcelona. In terms of current form, PSG has scored in 8 consecutive matches across all competitions and has averaged scoring 2.4 goals per match during this stretch. Another 3-2 battle or 2-2 at least should be expected here. Mbappe will be stronger in the rematch and the visitors will be on the attack which forces the tempo of this match and the hosts match them goal for goal. OVER 3 -135 in Barcelona |
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04-15-24 | Everton v. Chelsea OVER 3 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #200109: English Premier League: Monday OVER 3 -130 in Chelsea vs Everton @ 3 ET - Chelsea's last 7 matches across all competitions have ALL gone over the total! Not only that, those matches have averaged 5 goals apiece! Solid line value here with this total being held down to a 3 in some books. Note that this is because Everton is known for lower-scoring battles but I do believe that Chelsea is going to dictate the flow of this match. Also note that Chelsea has been giving up plenty of goals no matter who they have faced. Chelsea has allowed 2 or more goals in 7 straight matches across all competitions. Everton has scored 2 goals in each of last 2 meetings with Chelsea. Also, Everton has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches overall. Chelsea is a sizable favorite here with good reason and you can see why I am anticipating at least a 2-1 final here given all of the above but, truly, a 3-2 type match is even more likely! Look for plenty of scoring in this one. OVER 3 -120 in Chelsea |
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04-15-24 | Sepsi v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #206909: Romania Liga 1 Play-off: Monday OVER 2.5 -110 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Sepsi @ 1:30 ET - This total is 2.5 with good reason. The last 3 meetings between these clubs, amazingly, have all been 0-0 draws! However, you are going to see nothing like that today. Rapid has had 4 straight matches go over the total. This one will make it 5 in a row as they continue to struggle to stop opponents but also continue getting on the scoreboard. They will fight hard on their home pitch to finally get into the win column here in the play-off round but they have allowed 8 goals last 3 matches. Rapid has scored an average of 2.5 goals in last 14 home matches! Sepsi has gone over the total in 3 straight road matches! That means we are testing double perfect over angles here. OVER 2.5 -110 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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04-14-24 | Philadelphia v. Atlanta United OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #209841: Major League Soccer: OVER 2.75 -125 in Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union @ 2:30 ET - Atlanta is off a 1-1 draw on the road but they are a different club when they have been at home this season. Atlanta is 3-0 as a host and has scored an average of 3 goals per match in these 3 matches on their home pitch! Atlanta has scored 2 goals in each of last two meetings with Philly but also lost the most recent meeting by a count of 3-2. The goal should fly again in this one as Philadelphia is scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season and you can see why I am anticipating a 2-2 type match here. 3-2 (again) between these clubs seems even more likely but getting this one to at least 2-1, if not 2-2 or more, certainly seems likely given the above. OVER 2.75 -125 in Atlanta United |
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04-14-24 | Aston Villa v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3 -130 in Arsenal vs Aston Villa @ 11:30 AM ET - These are two of the highest scoring clubs in the league. Arsenal is averaging 2.5 goals per match this season and Aston Villa scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season. Considering that, even though this is a high-stakes match, I just can not see a situation where offensive attacking is NOT ruling the day in this one. These clubs can, and will, be on the attack! The fact the total is available at a 3 in the marketplace makes the value in getting involved with this one even stronger. Arsenal, since the turn of he year, has scored 38 goals in 11 EPL matches! Aston Villa, across all competitions, has scored an average of 2 goals per match last 6 matches! This is also a revenge match for the Gunners as they lost at Aston Villa 1-0 earlier this season. Arsenal had scored 2.5 goals per match in last 4 meetings with Aston Villa prior to that. All signs point to a strong effort for the hosts here as a result but Villa has the attacking ability to turn this into a helluva back-and-forth match. 2-2 or 3-2 is what I am projecting here. OVER 3 -130 in Arsenal |
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04-13-24 | Petrolul 52 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #206921: Romania Liga 1 Play-out: Saturday OVER 2 -118 in Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 2:30 ET - Universitatea Cluj off a 1-1 draw on the road preceded by a scoreless draw at home. Prior to that one however, they had won 3 straight matches on their home pitch and scored an average of 1.7 goals per match. Petro will be ready to go here after an ugly 4-0 loss to Voluntari and this was a home match for Petro! They are fired up to respond and had scored an average of 1 goal per match in last 7 matches overall prior to that disaster. Though I do expect a strong effort to net at least 1 goal for Petro here, I also do not see them stopping the hosts in this one either. Universitatea Cluj, just like Petro, have extras motivation to be aggressive on the attack in this one. OVER 2 -118 in Universitatea Cluj |
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04-13-24 | Manchester United v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 110 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #200125: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3.5+110 in Bournemouth vs Manchester United @ 12:30 ET - Manchester United is going to bring a strong effort here as Ten Hag is under pressure and this club needs to respond. They also have revenge on their minds for a crazy 3-0 home loss to Bournemouth earlier this season. However, though I do expect them to respond and though I do respect their capabilities on the attack, Man U can not be trusted defensively. Also, the Cherries are sure to bring a strong effort on their home pitch here. That said, this match should be filled with goals galore. Bournemouth has the added boost of confidence of the 3-0 victory over Man U earlier this season. However, Man U had won 3 straight meetings by a combined score of 9 to 2. Entering this match, Bournemouth has scored in 6 straight matches and averaged 2 goals per match! Man U has scored in 17 straight matches across all competitions and has averaged 2.2 goals scored per match! Man U also has the fewest draws (4) in the league and that means they are a club known for throwing caution to the wind in going for the wins in addition to also proving very susceptible to blown leads as well. This one I am anticipating a 3-2 type match here as a result but certainly 3-1 does the trick just as well. High-scoring battle on tap here. OVER 3.5 +110 in Bournemouth |
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04-13-24 | Luton Town v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #200117: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3.5 -135 in Manchester City vs Luton Town @ 10 AM ET - 3 straight City matches across all competitions have totaled 5 or more goals. Luton Town is off a rare win and did score 2 goals in that victory. Luton Town has now scored 28 goals in last 16 matches across all competitions. In other words, the goals should fly in this one! There is no way Luton Town is going to shut down this powerhouse club on their own turf. But, even on the road, these visitors have shown they can at least get on the board. At the same time, City is a very heavy favorite here with good reason. Look for at least a 3-1 type final here. City has won the last two meetings by a combined score of 8 to 3. This one has 4-1 written all over it. City is rolling strong again with 11 goals scored in last 3 matches across all competitions. They have conceded an average of 2 goals per match last 3 as well. Luton Town throws caution to the wind here because they really have no choice. As a result, the goals fly here! OVER 3.5 -135 in Manchester City |
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04-12-24 | Celta de Vigo v. Betis OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #201805: Spanish La Liga: Friday OVER 2.5 +100 in Real Betis vs Celta de Vigo @ 3 ET - Celta de Vigo is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league in road matches. When away from home, they are averaging 1.5 goals scored per match! As for Real Betis, they are going to battle strong on their home pitch and take advantage of a visitor that is allowing 1.8 goals per match when on the road. You can see why goals can be expected to fly here. Helping the cause is the fact that Real Betis has been scoring well but also conceding at a high rate as their current run of form has resulted in 4 of last 5 matches totaling at least 3 goals and these matches averaged 4 goals apiece. This one also is testing a 6-0 run as Celta de Vigo has had 6 straight road matches total at least 3 goals and those matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Look for the over run to reach a perfect 7-0 with another high-scoring battle here. OVER 2.5 +105 in Real Betis |
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04-12-24 | Salernitana v. Lazio OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #201281: Italian Serie A: Friday OVER 2.5 -145 in Lazio vs Salernitana @ 2:45 ET - 4 of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 3 goals apiece! Salernitana has allowed 2 goals per match this season and I see at least a 2-1 final here as Lazio has not exactly been a clean sheet machine of late! Lazio is allowing only 1 goal per match this season but also, after recent struggles, they are looking for a breakout game on the attack and I expect an aggressive approach and plenty of goal-scoring as a result. 3-0, 2-1 or 3-1 all seem like perfectly logical finals here and we take advantage of this total being available at 2.5 goals. OVER 2.5 -145 in Lazio |
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04-11-24 | Atalanta v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Rotation #224401: Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg: Thursday OVER 3 -145 in Liverpool vs Atalanta @ 3 ET - The last time these clubs met was 4 years ago and it was after COVID had begun so the matches took place in empty stadiums. Liverpool still scored a total of 7 goals in those 2 matches and the 2nd meeting was after they already had a 5-0 lead plus Anfield was empty! Now imagine the charged atmosphere in the stadium for this one and you know where I am going here! The Reds are going to bring a super strong effort on their home pitch to look to get an advantage in the first leg of this one. However, Atalanta has solid attacking talent and the Reds have been nowhere close to flawless in front of their own goal. In other words, look for the visitors to score here. Also, Liverpool is certainly favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line with good reason. In other words, look for a 3-1 type final here...maybe 3-2. The goals should fly and the value of the over 3 in this one (even at higher juice) is certainly a nice perk as well in terms of mitigating risk if this one lands on 3 goals. Liverpool has had 5 straight matches overall total at least 3 goals and 4 of those totaled at least 4 goals so this spot is testing a 100% run L4. Also, L6 in Europa League action all totaled at least 3 goals and 5 of the 6 totaled 4 or more so this one also is testing a 5-0 100% run to the over. Atlanta has scored in all 8 Europa League matches during this campaign and averaged 2 goals scored per match! Look for the goals to fly in this one. OVER 3 -145 in Liverpool |
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04-11-24 | Fiorentina v. FC Viktoria Plzen OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #215205: Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 +105 in Viktoria Plzen vs Fiorentina @ 12:45 ET - If you look at recent results for these clubs you will be looking under. However, the fact is Fiorentina likes to attack and they will want to be aggressive here on the road to establish the upper hand in the first leg of this match-up. This is going to force the tempo of the match and certainly Viktoria Plzen is going to put up at a fight here on their home pitch. They had B2B scoreless draws with Servette in the most recent match-ups in this competition but this followed Plzen rattling off 6 straight victories and scoring an average of 1.5 goals in those 6 wins in the Europa Conference League matches. Now they host a tough Fiorentina club that is undefeated in the 8 matches in this competition thus far and has scored an average of 2.5 goals in those matches. Given all of the above, I am envisioning a 2-1 type match here. Fiorentina has only 2 clean sheets in the 8 matches and they allowed an average of 1.7 goals in the other 6 matches. OVER 2.5 +105 in Viktoria Plzen |
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04-10-24 | Barcelona FC v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #224213: Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg Wednesday OVER 2.5 -145 in PSG vs Barcelona @ 3 ET - The last time these clubs met it was a 1-1 draw. However, this followed 3 straight overs and those matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Barcelona enters this one having averaged 2 goals scored in their last 4 matches. Also, Paris Saint-Germain has averaged 2.4 goals scored in their last 7 matches. I like the fact that Barcelona is the more rested club but PSG is hosting this one in Paris. This should bring out the best from both clubs and I look for plenty of attacking from Barcelona. Yes, they are capable of strong defensive play but they would love nothing more than to get the upper hand on the road in this one and take care of some possibly weary legs for PSG. This will be the hosts 3rd match in about a week while the visitors have not played yet in the month of April. 3 of the last 4 Barcelona matches in Champions League action have totaled at least 4 goals and this one will too! OVER 2.5 -145 in PSG |
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04-09-24 | Bayern Munich v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #224205: Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -145 in Arsenal vs Bayern Munich @ 3 ET - Quite a history here with 4 of last 5 meetings totaling at least 3 goals and also the fact that Bayern Munich has scored 5 goals in EACH of the last 3 meetings in Champions League action. Overall, 10 of last 12 Bayern Munich matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. Those 10 matches have averaged 4.7 goals apiece! Arsenal has been on a great run defensively but I don't trust them to shut down a Bayern Munich team that always gives them trouble. At the same time, Bayern Munich has been far from water-tight defensively and this Arsenal club has scored average of 3 goals in last 13 matches across all competitions. OVER 2.5 -145 in Arsenal |
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04-09-24 | Manchester City v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #224201: Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -118 in Real Madrid vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - 6 of the last 7 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and these 7 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Real Madrid enters this one having scored an average of 2.6 goals last 27 matches across all competitions. Manchester City scoring an average of 2.4 goals last 25 matches across all competitions. Each club has some injury concerns defensively as well. Yes Real Madrid will try to slow things down some on their home pitch but City is too strong and will break through. That will open things up to a match featuring plenty of attacking and counter-attacking and, just like the average scored in the last 7 meetings this one is likely to reach the 4-goal mark. That said, we only need 3 to be a winner here and I like our chances. OVER 2.5 -118 in Real Madrid |
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04-08-24 | Inter Milan v. Udinese OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #201277: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2.5 -135 in Udinese vs Inter Milan @ 2:45 ET - Inter Milan is very comfortable at the top of the table. They are scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match this season and should cruise again here at Udinese. With practically no pressure at all on Inter Milan, I could see them relaxing a bit defensively and Udinese should get at least 1 goal here. Of course Inter Milan is a heavy favorite with good reason and I am projecting a 3-1 type match here. However, even if it only gets to 2-1 or perhaps 3-0 that still cashes this ticket for us. Udinese does average one goal scored per match when at home. 4 straight meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and that includes the last 3 totaling 4 goals apiece! Look for this over trend to make it 5 in a row on Monday. OVER 2.5 -135 in Udinese |
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04-08-24 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. Otelul OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206873: Romania Liga 1 Play-out: Monday OVER 2 +110 in Otelul Galati vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 1:30 ET - Galati has been playing very well in the play-out stage and also is on their home pitch for this one. Dinamo is desperate to avoid relegation and got a point in their last match with a 1-1 draw but they allowed 3 goals in their most recent road match. They will struggle, as per usual, on the road here but I do look for Dinamo to also make the net ripple in this one. Note that Dinamo won the most recent meeting between these clubs 3-1. Note that 12 of Dinamo's 16 road matches this season have totaled at least 2 goals and those dozen matches averaged 3 goals apiece. Considering the trending as well as the situational aspects of this one, we have excellent value on this total. OVER 2 +110 in Otelul Galati |
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04-08-24 | U Craiova 1948 v. CSMS Iasi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -123 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #206893: Romania Liga 1 Play-out: Monday OVER 2.5 +110 in Poli Iasi vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 10:30 AM ET - Iasi has been waiting for this one. Their last home match was a scoreless draw and they make up for that here. This is just their 2nd home match since late February. Other than that scoreless draw, the other 6 matches for Iasi since mid-February have averaged 2.5 goals apiece. Both Iasi and FCU 1948 Craiova have lost their first two matches in the play-out phase and they are desperate for the full 3 points in the table. They each have allowed 1.5 goals in their 2 matches in play-out so far and I expect each club to concede here and then an aggressive push for the 3rd and decisive goal in the battle. So take advantage of the plus money on the over 2.5 in this one. 3 of the 4 FCU 1948 Craiova matches last month totaled at least 3 goals and this one will too. This match will be played with a sense of urgency as both teams have concerns about relegation and must be more aggressive on the attack here. OVER 2.5 +110 in Poli Iasi |
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04-07-24 | Portland v. Sporting KC OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Rotation #209989: Major League Soccer: Sunday OVER 2.5 -135 in Sporting KC vs Portland @ 1:45 ET - 3 straight Sporting KC matches have gone over the total and the 3 of them averaged 4 goals apiece! 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 5 goals and these 4 matches have averaged 5 goals apiece! Portland enters this match with 5 of their last 6 matches this season totaling at least 3 goals! You can see why I like the over here and a 2-2 match would not surprise me in the least. Those 5 Portland matches that went over have averaged 4 goals apiece. More of the same expected in this one. OVER 2.5 -135 in Sporting KC |
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04-07-24 | CS U Craiova v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #206881: Romania Liga 1 Play-off: Sunday OVER 2.5 -115 in FCSB vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - The over is a perfect 8-0 in Universitatea Craiova road matches as they each totaled at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4 goals! In other words, goals will fly here in this one! Both clubs entering with 2-0 records so far in the play-off stage as well! Universitatea Craiova lost the most recent meeting with FCSB 3-0 but has since scored in 9 straight matches and averaged scoring 2 goals during this stretch! Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and FCSB has scored 8 goals in these 3 matches! Look for a wild one here as FCSB is so strong but Universitatea Craiova has been playing well and scoring well. FCSB has scored well at home and is averaging 2 goals per match in the last 7 on their home pitch! Look for that run noted above to reach 9 in a row here! OVER 2.5 -115 in FCSB |
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04-07-24 | Nottingham Forest v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 110 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #200053: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3.5 +110 in Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest @ 1 ET - Tottenham is averaging 2 goals scored per match this season plus they are at home here plus they are facing one of the weaker clubs in the league. The Hotspur are hosting a Nottingham club that has allowed 2 goals per match when on the road this season. Given these numbers and the match-up edges for the hosts, you can see why I am expecting Tottenham to score at least 3 goals here. The Hotspur are also motivated because of coming off a 1-1 draw. They are directly behind Aston Villa in the table so they would like to make a push for the #4 spot in the table! That said, 1-1 draws do not help much in that regard! Look for them to blowout Nottingham Forest there. The visitors should also get on the board however. They are off a 3-1 win and have scored at least 1 goal in 3 straight matches. Plus Tottenham has allowed at least 1 goal in 11 straight home matches! That is an amazing stat and when you also consider that the Hotspur are favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line here, you can see why a 3-1 or 3-2 type match is highly probable in this one. Take advantage of the plus money at over 3.5 goals in this one! OVER 3.5 +110 in Tottenham |
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04-07-24 | Liverpool v. Manchester United OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
Rotation #200077: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3.5 -125 in Manchester United vs Liverpool @ 10:30 AM ET - Some concerns for each club defensively entering this one. In terms of offensive production, the Reds are averaging 2.3 goals scored per match this season and Man U is averaging 1.4 goals scored per match on the campaign. Also, 2 of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled 7 goals! Liverpool enters this match having averaged 3.5 goals scored per match last 4 matches. Man U has scored an average of 2.5 goals scored last 4 matches. Even though some personnel could be back for each club here, there are still health concerns and depth concerns with each club defensively. That coupled with each clubs attacking strengths means we should see plenty of goals in this one! OVER 3.5 -125 in Manchester United |
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04-07-24 | Universitatea Cluj v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Rotation #206877: Romania Liga 1 Play-out: Sunday OVER 2 +105 in Hermannstadt vs Universitatea Cluj @ 7:30 AM ET - Hermannstadt is tough on their home pitch and is actually undefeated there ever since losing their home opener. Yes, undefeated last 15 matches and having scored an average of 2 goals per match during this stretch! Their last two home matches were both wins and they scored at least 3 goals in each of them. Universitatea Cluj has not been allowing goals of late but, per the above, I don't see them shutting down Hermannstadt on their own turf. As for Universitatea Cluj entering this one off a scoreless draw, they had won 3 of 4 matches prior to that and had scored 1.7 goals per victory. The low total of 2 on this one adds to the appeal and we will gladly invest here. OVER 2 +105 in Universitatea Cluj |
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04-06-24 | CFR Cluj v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #206885: Romania Liga 1 Play-off: Saturday OVER 2.5 +105 in Rapid Bucuresti vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - The over is a perfect 3-0 the L3 times Rapid has hosted CFR Cluj and, prior to a 1-0 win for Rapid at CFR Cluj, the last 4 meetings overall had all gone over and they averaged 4 goals apiece. Also, Rapid is off a 2-1 road win and their last 3 matches at home have all gone over the total and have averaged 4 goals apiece. As you can see, there are multiple perfect angles here. As for CFR Cluj, they have scored an average of 2 goals in their last dozen matches! Also, they have both scored and conceded in 5 straight road matches. Those have averaged 3 goals apiece. You can see, given the above, why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 +105 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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04-06-24 | Arsenal v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #200049: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 2.5 -140 in Brighton & Hove vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Brighton & Hove was shutout at Arsenal earlier this season but they scored 2.5 goals per match in 4 meetings prior to that. They will be out for revenge on their home pitch but Arsenal is battling for the top spot in the table with good reason. Also, this club rested some guys in their mid-week match so fresh legs will make them even more dangerous in this battle. Arsenal is off some lower-scoring wins of late but it is sounding like the shackles will be off in this one and I expect them to play an aggressive attacking style on the road here. Arsenal has averaged scoring 2.4 goals per match on the road this season. Brighton, despite some recent low-scoring battles, does still have attacking talent that can make a little noise on their home pitch here. I can't see this one ending with anything less than a 2-1 final. OVER 2.5 -140 in Brighton |
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04-06-24 | Voluntari v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #206889: Romania Liga 1 Play-out: Saturday OVER 2 -115 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs FC Voluntari @ 10:30 AM ET - Petro off a 1-0 win in most recent home match but this was preceded by 4 straight overs at home and those 4 matches as a host averaged 3.5 goals apiece. FC Voluntari has had 3 straight overs in road matches in league action so we are testing a 100% perfect trend here with this picks and have great value with the low total in this one. OVER 2 -115 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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04-06-24 | Burnley v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #200085: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 2.5 -130 in Everton vs Burnley @ 10 AM ET - Everton has both scored and conceded in 4 straight matches at home. Burnley has both scored and conceded in 4 straight matches overall. Also, there have been 0 draws in the last 5 meetings between these teams. In other words, the handwriting is on the wall that this match should get to at least a 2-1 final. Also, Everton has scored 5 goals in the two meetings (one in Carabao Cup) between these clubs this season but Burnley enters this one having scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches and they've scored an average of 1.7 goals during this stretch. Take advantage of the line value with the low total on this one. Also, the over is a perfect 6-0 in Burnley's last 6 road matches in league action and those matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Look for that streak to reach 7 in a row in this one. OVER 2.5 -130 in Everton |
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04-06-24 | West Ham United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #200073: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 2.5 -135 in Wolverhampton vs West Ham United @ 10 AM ET - The last 13 meetings have each had a victor. No draws. That said, can you expect either team to fail to score here? Not in my estimation and the data supports this as well which is why I am projecting at least a 2-1 final here. West Ham is known for struggling defensively on the road while Wolverhampton is thrilled to be back home after a lot of away matches of late. So look for an emphasis on attack from the Wolves in this one but also note that they have allowed multiple goals to the Hammers in 2 of the last 3 meetings. Wolverhampton and West Ham both off 1-1 draws but, again, there has not been a draw in any of the last 13 matches. With West Ham allowing 2 goals per match on the road this season and the Wolves allowing 1.5 goals per match on the season, look for at least 2-1 in this one! OVER 2.5 -135 in Wolverhampton |
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04-05-24 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -62.5 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #206869: Romania Liga 1: Friday OVER 2.5 +110 in Sepsi vs Farul @ 1:30 ET - Sepsi off a 1-1 draw with CFR Cluj but this followed 4 straight matches totaling at least 3 goals. Sepsi has scored an average of 2 goals in last 5 matches! Farul is off a 1-0 loss versus FCSB but this followed a 2-1 win over Rapid. Now Farul takes a step down in class to face a Sepsi club they have scored an average of 1.6 goals against in last 5 meetings. However, even though Sepsi is not quite on the level of FCSB or Rapid, they are still a solid club on the attack and will be aggressive on their home pitch after settling for a 1-1 draw with CFR Cluj last time out. OVER 2.5 +110 in Sepsi |
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04-05-24 | Botosani v. UTA Arad OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Rotation #206865: Romania Liga 1: Friday OVER 2.5 +115 in UTA vs Botosani @ 10:30 AM ET - UTA off a scoreless draw on the road. However, they have been a different club at home in Arad. UTA is on a long 8-match unbeaten run on their home pitch. Also, UTA has seen 5 of last 6 matches at home total at least 3 goals! Those 6 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Their last 11 matches at home have averaged 3.5 goals apiece. Botosani enters this match off a 2-1 win over Iasi and 7 of their last 9 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. We get to at least 3 in this one! OVER 2.5 +115 in UTA |
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04-04-24 | Manchester United v. Chelsea OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #200037: English Premier League Thursday OVER 3.5 +105 in Chelsea vs Manchester United @ 3:15 ET - Chelsea is on a long streak of high-scoring matches. Each of their last 5 matches across all competitions have gone over the total and all of them totaled at least 4 goals and averaged 5 goals apiece. With the defensive struggles the Blues have been having I look for Manchester United to get on the board multiple times in this match. Note also that Man U has had its own share of defensive struggles as well! Manchester United just allowed an insane 31 shot attempts in their match with Brentford and it was incredible that only 5 of them were shots on goal for the Bees and only 1 found the back of the net. In any event, Man U was outplayed in the 1-1 draw and more of the same likely on tap here in terms of conceding shots. Not only is Man U on the road, they also had allowed 2 goals per match in their 3 most recent matches prior to the 1-1 draw with the Bees. Chelsea twice blew a 1-goal lead to 10-man Burnley in a ugly display and I expect the Blues to respond with a strong emphasis on the attack here after not putting the hammer down against Burnley. The result will be plenty of goals here as Man U has plenty of attacking weapons as well but continues to have defensive liabilities of their own. OVER 3.5 +105 in Chelsea |
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04-04-24 | Sheffield United v. Liverpool OVER 4 | Top | 1-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #200041: English Premier League Thursday OVER 4 -120 in Liverpool vs Sheffield United @ 2:30 ET - Big total but Liverpool is going to open up the floodgates of a porous Blades defense in this one. The other noteworthy fact however is that Sheffield United is continuing to score goals quite well and the Reds have consistently been allowing goals in their matches. Clean sheets for Liverpool have been ultra rare and they are favored on the goal line at -3 goals in this one! That said, I am forecasting a 4-1 type final here and we cash in even on the bigger number of 4 in the marketplace on this one. 10 of Sheffield's last 11 matches have totaled at least 4 goals and those 10 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Don't let the big number on this total scare you away. Liverpool is on their home pitch and ready for a breakout performance after a low-scoring 2-1 win featured a lot of missed opportunities and followed a 4 match stretch in which the Reds scored an average of 4 goals per match. They get at least 4 here again and I projected at least a 4-1 final in this one. OVER 4 -120 in Liverpool |
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04-03-24 | Aston Villa v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #200045: English Premier League: Wednesday OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester City vs Aston Villa @ 3:15 ET - I am aware of the injury issues here that relate to each club but I am looking for City to be very aggressive on the attack after the cagey 0-0 draw in the big showdown with Arsenal this past weekend. It is not often that City gets shutout at home and I expect a very aggressive attack from the hosts in this one. That will force Aston Villa to be aggressive if they have any hopes of staying close to City throughout this match so, despite some injury issues, do not be surprised if Villa score well in this one too as Man City does have some injury issues impacting their defense as well. City was scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match this season prior to the scoreless draw with the Gunners. Aston Villa is averaging 2 goals scored per match this season. I am expecting a 3-2 or at least 3-1 type match here as City responds big but will also not deliver a clean sheet either. OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester City |
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04-03-24 | Luton Town v. Arsenal OVER 4 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Rotation #200009: English Premier League: Wednesday OVER 3.5 -135 in Arsenal vs Luton Town @ 2:30 ET - Luton Town lost 4-3 versus Arsenal when they hosted them earlier this season. They also, despite injury issues, enter this match on a solid scoring run. Luton Town continues to give up goals in bunches but they also have scored in 18 straight matches! For a club that is threatened by relegation, that is an impressive result for sure. The problem for Luton Town is, even though they are averaging 1.4 goals scored per match this season, they have allowed 2.5 goals per match when away from home. Arsenal comes into this one off a frustrating scoreless draw with Manchester City so they will be in full-on attack mode here on their home pitch I am sure. Note that Arsenal has scored 2.4 goals per match this season and Luton has allowed 3 goals per match in last 5 EPL matches away from home. Arsenal is a heavy favorite in the goal line range of -3 and that makes sense to me as a 4-1 final would not surprise me in the least. Luton Town scores for the 19th EPL match in a row but they will not be able to stop the Gunners as the hosts will be on the attack throughout after a scoreless draw in the tough showdown with Manchester City. OVER 3.5 -135 in Arsenal |
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04-02-24 | Tottenham Hotspur v. West Ham United OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Rotation #200025: English Premier League: Tuesday OVER 3.5 +100 in West Ham United vs Tottenham @ 3:15 ET - Tottenham has scored an average of 2 goals in last 6 meetings between these clubs. I know this is a big total at 3.5 but last week the Hotspur match with Luton Town had a total of 4 goals posted and it should have got there. It was crazy that the match ended 2-1. Look for Tottenham to cash in more of their opportunities here but the Hammers will be tough also. Looks like West Ham will not have their #1 goalkeeper so that helps the over here. What also helps is that West Ham is on their home pitch and the Hammers have scored an average of 3 goals in their last 4 matches across all competitions. This looks like a match set up well to get to at least 2-2 and a 3-2 final is the type of match I am expecting here. Tottenham L9 road matches have averaged 4 goals and this one should get to at least that as well. OVER 3.5 +100 in West Ham United |
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04-02-24 | Crystal Palace v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #200013: English Premier League: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -130 in Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace @ 2:45 ET - Crystal Palace has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches in EPL action. They have averaged 1.5 goals during this stretch. Also, Crystal Palace is off B2B draws but this followed 10 of 12 EPL matches totaling at least 3 goals! Take advantage of the low total of 2.5 goals here as Bournemouth scored at least 2 goals in all 4 matches last month. The over is a perfect 3-0 last 3 Bournemouth matches. OVER 2.5 -130 in Bournemouth |
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04-02-24 | Fulham v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #200021: English Premier League: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -115 in Nottingham Forest vs Fulham @ 2:30 ET - Due to the long-term low-scoring results in Nottingham Forest matches, we get line value here. The fact is that the aggressiveness of Fulham is not going to allow a low-scoring result here and we take advantage of the line value of this total at just 2.5 goals. Not only did the first meeting between these clubs end 5-0 Fulham, the last two meetings at Nottingham Forest have each totaled at least 4 goals. Also, each of the last 8 Fulham matches - all of them in February and March - have all totaled at least 3 goals! A perfect 8-0 run to the over that reaches 9 in a row once this match goes into the books! OVER 2.5 -115 in Nottingham Forest |
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04-01-24 | Petrolul 52 v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #206833: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2 +100 in Dinamo Bucuresti vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1:30 ET - Petro has scored an average of 1 goal last 4 matches but also, prior to a 1-0 win in most recent action, Petro had allowed an average of 2 goals per match in last 3 matches. Dinamo has scored an average of 1.4 goals in last 5 home matches and scored at least 1 goal in all 5 of those matches. However, they continue to have struggles defensively and in goal. Dinamo has conceded 1.3 goals per match in last 10 matches. Points are critical in the table for each club and particularly for Dinamo because they need to defend their home pitch and are currently in a relegation spot. They can jump up to a much better position with securing the full 3 points here. Trouble is they can not stop Petro either. As a result, this one gets to at least a 2-1 final. OVER 2 +100 in Dinamo Bucuresti |
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04-01-24 | Roma v. Lecce OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #201233: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2.5 +110 in Lecce vs Roma @ Noon ET - Both clubs have scored in each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs so look for the goals to fly here. Overall, 7 of the last 9 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals! Lecce has struggled of late but they do average 1 goal scored per match when at home. That said, they are also a dog here for good reason and Roma is likely to get multiple goals in this one. Lecce got a boost with the managerial change which was very recent. However, Roma also made a managerial change at the start of the year and they have been flying high ever since. Roma is 7-2-2 in last 11 matches. Also, the 1-0 win in their last match ended a streak of 9 straight matches totaling at least 3 goals! Those matches averaged 4 goals apiece so you can see why I like the value with this total here. Lecce will put up a fight on their home pitch but they will not be able to slow Roma down and the goals fly here. OVER 2.5 +110 in Lecce |
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04-01-24 | Udinese v. Sassuolo Calcio OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #201229: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2.5 +110 in Sassuolo vs Udinese @ 9 AM ET - Sassuolo is allowing an average of 2 goals per match this season and Udinese is allowing 1.5 goals per match this season. Also, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 4 goals and the 5 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Each of the last two meetings have been 2-2 draws and another result like that here would not surprise me in the least. Only 4 points in the table separate these two clubs with Sassuolo just below the relegation line and Udinese just above it. Both clubs pushing hard to earn the full 3 points in the table here and I can not foresee anything less than a 2-1 final here given all of the above. Take advantage of the plus money being offered here on the over at 2.5 goals in the market. OVER 2.5 +110 in Sassuolo |
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03-31-24 | Chicago Fire v. Atlanta United OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #209933: Major League Soccer: Sunday OVER 3 in Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire @ 3:45 ET - Each of last 3 times Atlanta has hosted Chicago the match has totaled at least 3 goals all 3 times. Also, those matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Additionally, Atlanta is off a 2-0 road loss but they have scored an average of 3 goals in their 2 home matches this season. Chicago has both scored and conceded in all 5 of their matches this season and each of their first 4 matches totaled at least 3 goals prior to last week's 1-1 draw. Even with that, Chicago has seen their matches average 4 goals apiece so far this MLS season and that is what I am expecting here. Look for a 2-2 type match in this one. OVER 3 in Atlanta United |
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03-31-24 | Arsenal v. Manchester City OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #200005: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 2.5 in Manchester City vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - This is a low total because it is a clash of titans at the top so many are expecting a tight defensive-minded struggle. In typical contrarian style, I am on the other side of what most are thinking about this match-up. As solid as these clubs can be defensively and in goal lets not forget that Manchester City scores an average of 2.5 goals per match at home this season AND Arsenal is the highest scoring road club in the league as they score an average of 2.5 goals away from home. That puts this match at a 3-2 type of match. I am not saying we get that here but I am saying that getting to 2-1 is certainly not asking too much! City is in a battle with Liverpool and Arsenal at the top of the table and the only way to surpass the Gunners is to win this outright and get the full 3 points. Each team is too potent in the offensive end of the pitch to be shutout in this one the way they are going of late. Couple that with City fighting hard for the full 3 points in the table - in particular because they are at home where they are so strong - and I just don't see this one ending with less than 3 goals! Yes I know these clubs had a 1-0 battle earlier this season. However, that was then and this is now and Arsenal has had 9 STRAIGHT matches in EPL action total at least 3 goals! OVER 2.5 in Manchester City |
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03-31-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #200001: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3.5 in Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove @ 9 AM ET - Do not let the big total keep you away from this one. No team is higher-scoring on their home pitch than Liverpool this season. The Reds are averaging 2.7 goals scored per match as a host this season! As for Brighton, their road matches have averaged totaling 3.6 goals this season. Overall, on the season in all matches, Brighton has scored an average of 1.8 goals per game. Given these numbers, don't be surprised if we see a 3-2 type match in this one and we only need 4 goals to be a winner! Look for a shootout in this one with plenty of end to end action. OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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03-31-24 | Otelul v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 104 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #206837: Romania Liga 1 Play-out Sunday OVER 2 -125 in FCU 1948 Craiova vs Otelul Galati @ 7 AM ET - Galati will respond off a 1-0 loss. This followed Galati both scoring and conceding in 5 straight matches. Those 5 matches averaged 3.4 goals apiece. Also, in terms of road matches for Galati, we are testing an UNBEATEN RUN of 5 straight matches totaling at least 2 goals. Those 5 matches averaged 3.6 goals apiece and 3 of the 5 totaled at least 3 goals so here we are testing a 3-0 run to the over going for 4 in a row in Galati road matches. As for FCU 1948 Craiova, they are also off a 1-0 loss but they have an incredible streak in home matches this season. All 15 of their home matches have totaled at least 2 goals and and averaged 4 goals apiece! So this streak is UNBEATEN in all 16 home matches this season and plus 10 of the 15 did total at least 3 goals so this one is testing 10-0 run. Excellent value with this total available at 2 goals. OVER 2 -125 in FCU 1948 Craiova |
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03-30-24 | Manchester United v. Brentford OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #200197: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -115 in Brentford vs Manchester United @ 4 ET - Both teams have issues impacting their defense and both clubs have the attacking ability capable to take advantage. Brentford's last two matches hosting Manchester United each totaled 4 goals. Also, the Bees last 5 home matches in EPL action have gone 5-0 to the over and these matches averaged 4.6 goals apiece. Manchester United has averaged 2.2 goals scored in last 4 road matches in EPL action. Man U is set to respond here after losing their last away match in EPL action by a 3-1 count and I expect them to take advantage of a Bees club known for struggling in front of their own net. However, the Brentford trio of Mbeumo, Toney and Wissa should enjoy success on the attack as well and I look for an entertaining affair here that could be a 2-2 type match ending with a sharing of the spoils. Look for the over to improve to 6-0 in the Bees last 6 home matches in EPL action. OVER 3 -115 in Brentford |
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03-30-24 | Rapid Bucuresti v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #206853: Romania Liga 1 Play-out Saturday: OVER 2.5 -114 in Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 3 ET - Universitatea Craiova has gone over the total in 12 of 13 matches! The only one that did not, ironically, was a 1-1 draw hosting this same Rapid club earlier this month. That said, take advantage of the line value here with this total available at 2.5 goals. Rapid has also been trending over with 7 of their last 10 matches totaling at least 3 goals. In fact, Rapid has scored an average of 2.2 goals last 10 matches. Universitatea Craiova has scored an average of 1.8 goals last 15 matches. These averages combine for an expected final totaling 4 goals here. That is what I am projecting as well yet we only need 3 to be a winner here. I like those odds! OVER 2.5 -114 in Universitatea Craiova |
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03-30-24 | Minnesota United v. Philadelphia OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #209881: Major League Soccer Saturday OVER 3 in Philadelphia Union vs Minnesota United @ 2 ET - Philadelphia's last 3 matches across all competitions have all totaled at least 4 goals. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 5 goals! Minnesota is currently leading the West and is playing very well but you can expect Philly to be strong on their home pitch as well. As a result, look for plenty of goals in this one! Minnesota scoring an average of 2 goals this season. Philly also scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season. The over, including 2 road matches this season and their final 3 road matches last season is on a PERFECT 5-0 RUN when Minnesota is away from home. That high-scoring trend, per all of the above, certainly appears destined to make it 6 in a row! OVER 3 in Philadelphia |
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03-30-24 | UTA Arad v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -134 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #206857: Romania Liga 1 Play-out Saturday: OVER 2 -135 in Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad @ Noon ET - Universitatea Cluj is undefeated last 4 matches and scored a total of 5 goals in the 3 victories. They also are seeking revenge for a 3-1 loss at Arad the last time these clubs met. UTA enters this one off another wild, high-scoring match! Not only was it the 3rd over in last 4 matches, all 3 of the overs have totaled at least 5 goals! More of the same expected here. Excellent value here with the low total as well. OVER 2 -135 in Universitatea Cluj |
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03-30-24 | Burnley v. Chelsea OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #200173: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -135 in Chelsea vs Burnley @ 11 AM ET - The over is 4-0 last 4 Chelsea matches across all competitions and those 4 matches have averaged 5 goals apiece. The over is a perfect 5-0 L5 road matches for Burnley in EPL action and those 5 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Don't overthink it. The goals should fly in this one. Chelsea has truly been rejuvenated and is scoring very well over a long-term extended stretch now. Even Burnley is off B2B matches in which they scored multiple goals but their problem remains conceding too many goals and that continues here. Look for a 3-1 type match in this one. OVER 3 -135 in Chelsea |
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03-30-24 | CSMS Iasi v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #206861: Romania Liga 1 Play-out Saturday: OVER 2 -118 in Botosani vs Iasi @ 9:45 AM ET - Both clubs off shutout losses so a perfect spot for a bounce back. Speaking of perfect, the over is a perfect 6-0 the last 6 times Botosani has hosted Iasi. Generally speaking, Botosani tends to score better on their home pitch. Note also that Iasi had scored a goal in 4 straight road matches prior to last week's shutout defeat. Excellent value here with the low total as well. OVER 2 -118 in Botosani |
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03-29-24 | CFR Cluj v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -59.5 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #206845: Romania Liga 1 Play-off Friday OVER in Sepsi vs CFR Cluj @ 2:30 ET - Sepsi matches have totaled at least 3 goals in 4 straight. So here were are testing a 4-0 run to the over that appears to be set up perfectly for a 5th straight winner. Sepsi has scored an average of 2 goals last 4 matches and CFR Cluj has scored an average of 2 goals last 11 matches. Also, the last 6 meetings between these clubs have all gone over the total as all 6 totaled at least 3 goals. This one will too and we take advantage of the +110 money line range on this over at 2.5 goals on a beautiful spring weather day in Romania. OVER in Sepsi |
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03-29-24 | Hermannstadt v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #206841: Romania Liga 1 Play-out Friday OVER in Voluntari vs Hermannstadt @ 11:30 AM ET - With this total available at just 2 goals, we have solid value on the over here. Not only is Voluntari off a 4-3 loss in most recent match, that was the 4th time in 5 matches that their match has totaled at least 3 goals. It was also the 2nd time in 3 matches that they have allowed 4 goals! As for Hermannstadt, they are off a 3-0 victory and it was the 2nd time in 3 matches that they have scored at least 3 goals. Also, both teams have scored in each of the last 3 meetings and also each of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 2 goals and that includes 3 of them totaling at least 3 goals. So this is testing an unbeaten over run last 5 including 3 winners for a 3-0 mark. Look for tis one to make it 4 in a row. OVER in Voluntari |
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03-26-24 | Poland v. Wales OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #225609: Euro Champ Qualifying | Final Tuesday OVER 2 in Wales vs Poland @ 3:45 ET - Poland has some injury issues and that could open things up for Wales to attack the right-hand side. Also I like the fact that Wales is on their home pitch for this one. However, Poland comes in off off a huge high-scoring win - just like Wales - and I expect the boosted confidence to lead to plenty of attacking in this one. Poland has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and averaged 2 goals apiece during this unbeaten run. Wales has both scored and conceded in 4 straight matches and they have had 6 straight matches total at least 2 goals. We have excellent line value here with this total available at 2 goals. Wales has scored 2.3 goals per match last 6 matches but also allowed a goal in 4 straight matches. Poland has some issues at right-back so I can not anticipate them delivering a clean sheet here either. In fact, in Euro Champ Qualifying action, Poland has allowed a goal in 3 straight matches. Look for at least a 2-1 final in this one given all of the above. OVER 2 in Wales |
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03-26-24 | Greece v. Georgia OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #225601: Euro Champ Qualifying | Final Tuesday OVER 2 in Georgia vs Greece @ 1 ET - Georgia will get a boost with the return of Kvaratskhelia for this one plus they are on their home pitch. However, as hot as Georgia has been in terms of scoring goals on their home pitch, Greece comes into this one rolling large after a 5-0 win over Kazakhstan! Georgia has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches. Even though that included some weaker foes too, it bears mentioning that Georgia has scored multiple goals in 4 straight matches on their home pitch! This is a confident group here hosting but the confidence level of Greece in this key final qualifying match is also sky high! Greece has scored at least 1 goal in 5 of 6 matches and has averaged 3 goals scored per match in those 5 matches in which they have made the net ripple. Like Georgia, it is has included some weaker competition but also Kazakhstan had truly been playing well before Greece shredded them. Also, this was on the heels of an impressive 2-2 draw with France. The value of an over 2 here is certainly huge and I just can not see this one ending with anything less than a 2-1 final given the current level of play of both of these clubs. OVER 2 in Georgia |
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03-25-24 | Racing Ferrol v. Albacete OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #202089: Spanish La Liga 2: Monday OVER 2 -125 in Albacete vs Racing Ferrol @ 3:30 ET - Each of last 4 meetings have totaled at least 2 goals and have averaged 4 goals apiece. When these clubs met earlier this season it was a wild 5-4 win for Racing Ferrol. They are now the visitors in the rematch and they have had 4 straight matches total at least 2 goals and these 4 have averaged 3 goals apiece. As for Albacete, they are out for revenge here and they also have been trending to the over. Albacete has had 5 straight matches total at least 2 goals and these have averaged 3 goals apiece. The over is a perfect 3-0 for each club in their matches this month so we are testing trending that is 100% x 2 in the month of March. Grab the value of the low total here with this one available at 2 goals making it a solid investment opportunity. OVER 2 -125 in Albacete |
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03-25-24 | Gimnasia Mendoza v. Almirante Brown OVER 1.75 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -137 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #210601: Argentine Nacional B: Monday OVER 1.75 -135 in Almirante Brown vs Gimnasia Mendoza @ 3 ET - 4 of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 2 goals and these 5 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. Almirante Brown has seen each of last two home matches total at least 2 goals and they have scored 3 goals in those matches. They should get on the scoreboard again here at home but Gimnasia Mendoza has been trending over this season with each of last 6 matches totaling at least 2 goals. Those 6 matches have averaged 3 goals and each of last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals so this one testing an over run that is a perfect 4-0. Grab the value of the low total here. OVER 1.75 -135 in Almirante Brown |
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03-24-24 | Elche v. Levante OVER 2 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #202081: Spanish La Liga 2: Sunday OVER 2 -120 in Levante vs Eiche @ 1:30 ET - I like the odds of this match getting to 2-1 at least. Note that the last 3 times Levante has hosted Eiche each match totaled at least 2 goals and 2 of the 3 reached the 3 goal mark. Excellent line value here with this total available at 2 goals. Eiche is running hot right now and has won 4 straight matches and scored an average of 2 goals per match during this heater. They will not slow down here on the road but you also know that Levante is going to put up a fight on their home pitch. Note that Levante has scored 4 goals last 4 matches and they are at a critical position in the table so they really could do well to earn the full 3 points here. Entering Sunday's action, Levante is one of 7 clubs with between 44 and 49 points in the table. Knowing that Levante is going to struggle to stop a red hot Eiche side yet at home and at a critical stage the season, I see quite an attack from both clubs materializing in this one and an eventual 2-1 type match. OVER 2 -120 in Levante |
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03-24-24 | SD Eibar v. Real Valladolid OVER 2 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #202069: Spanish La Liga 2: Sunday OVER 2 -120 in Real Valladolid vs Eibar @ 11:15 AM ET - I like the odds of this match getting to 2-1 at least. Note that these two clubs have the fewest draws in the league this season with 6 and 7, respectively. Their blended draw rate, as a result, is only 21% as a result and that is very low for this league. Can we expect each club to score though? Absolutely! Real Valladolid is averaging 1.13 goals scored per match and Eibar is averaging 1.55 goals scored per match this season. Eibar is one of the top scoring clubs in the league plus each club is allowing 1 goal per match this season. This one has 2-1 written all over it. Real Valladolid has had 5 straight matches total at least 2 goals. Eibar has had their last 4 matches average 2.5 goals apiece. Also, the last 8 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 2 goals and the matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and 4 of them did reach at least the 3-goal mark. So this play, with the total at 2 goals, is testing a match-up run that is UNBEATEN last 8 and also PERFECT 4 in terms of winning overs! That run reaches 5 in a row here! OVER 2 -120 in Real Valladolid |
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03-24-24 | Gijon v. Amorebieta OVER 2 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #202065: Spanish La Liga 2: Sunday OVER 2 in Amorebieta vs Gijon @ 9 AM ET - Both clubs have scored in each of the last 3 meetings so we should get this match to 1-1. But what about the odds of a draw? Well, this clubs have a blended draw rate of only 30% this season. The odds favor at least a 2-1 final given the above plus the fact Gijon has gone 4 straight matches without a draw and Amorebieta has gone 3 straight matches without a draw. OVER 2 in Amorebieta |
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03-23-24 | Germany v. France OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
Rotation #222681: International Friendly: Saturday OVER 2.5 -135 in France vs Germany @ 4 ET - Germany has work to do. They have struggled but they did beat France the last time these clubs met. That is added incentive for the hosts to put on quite the show here on their home pitch and Germany has been a bit out of sorts and with a number of lineup changes, could again have trouble protecting in front of their own goal. France will show them no mercy but the visitors are also hungry to get past their recent struggles and attack with proficiency in this one. They still have plenty of dangerous attacking talent but also are without their top goalie for this match. France will take advantage. Look for a 2-1 type battle in this one. OVER 2.5 -135 in France |
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03-23-24 | Brazil v. England OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #222677: International Friendly: Saturday OVER 2.5 +100 in England vs Brazil @ 3 ET - Brazil is a team in transition in terms of leadership on the pitch as well as a backline featuring a new look. That is bad news against an England team always loaded with attacking talent. England will be able to take advantage of the new-look backline of Brazil but I also do expect the visitors to get on the board as well. They are hungry for turning things around after a rare poor run of form. That said, they will be willing to take some chances here as they look to get their attack going again. The result should be at least a 2-1 final here given the situation with the Brazil and the fact England is so tough on their home pitch and should score multiple goals here. OVER 2.5 +100 in England |
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03-23-24 | Inter Miami v. New York Red Bulls OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #209829: Major League Soccer: Saturday OVER 2.5 -115 in New York vs Inter Miami @ 2 ET - We are getting some line value here because of Messi being out. Inter Miami has proven they can score plenty and have plenty of scoring options outside of just Messi. At the same time, New York also continues to get involved in high-scoring matches! The Red Bulls have had all 3 matches this month go over the total as each one totaled 3 goals. Inter Miami has had all 5 matches across all competitions this month total go over the total as all 5 totaled at least 4 goals! That means you have double perfect trends we can test here. 3-0 and 5-0 and plus there is even more value here because Inter Miami is without #1 goalie Drake Callender and that means little-used Carlos Dos Santos is getting the call here! Lets take advantage because the visitors are still ultra dangerous on the attack but will be more susceptible in goal now too! OVER 2.5 -115 in New York |
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03-23-24 | Belgium v. Rep. of Ireland OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #222665: International Friendly: Saturday OVER 2.5 +110 in Ireland vs Belgium @ 1 ET - Even with Belgium down a few of their top players including Kevin DeBruyne, this club still is loaded with young attacking talent. Ireland has an interim manager and they are looking for a turnaround so I expect them to be quite aggressive here even though this is just a friendly. That said, look for them to get on the board but their a team in a bit of disarray and will have some defensive shortcomings and are outclassed here. Belgium should pull away as this match goes on as they have young guns continuing to look to prove themselves. This has the makings of a 2-1 final and I will grab the plus money on the over in this one. The hosts should make the net ripple once on their home pitch but they are outclassed here. OVER 2.5 +110 in Ireland |
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03-22-24 | Northern Ireland v. Romania OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #222629: International Friendly: Friday OVER 2 -145 in Romania vs Northern Ireland @ 3:45 ET - The ability to have a 2 here, even at extra juice, is a huge value as 2 is such a key number in soccer totals. Romania is a solid money line favorite here at home but I also foresee an aggressive Northern Ireland side making the net ripple in this one. Hence, I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. Note that Northern Ireland shutout Romania once in the last 5 meetings but in the other 4 meetings Romania scored an average of 1.5 goals. Also, Northern Ireland has scored a goal in each of the two most recent meetings. 4 of last 6 Northern Ireland matches have totaled at least 2 goals and the 4 that did actually averaged 4 goals apiece! Romania has scored at least one goal in 12 of last 14 matches across all competitions and averaged scoring 2.3 goals per match in those dozen matches. Given the above, you can see why I am looking for a 2-1 type match here and we have the added value of this total at 2 goals readily available in the marketplace. OVER 2 -145 in Romania |
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03-22-24 | Scotland v. Netherlands OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #222645: International Friendly: Friday OVER 2.5 -120 in Netherlands vs Scotland @ 3:45 ET - The last meeting was also a friendly and was a 2-2 draw. I expect a similar result here. 10 of last 12 Netherlands matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. In just looking at their last 25 matches, Netherlands has scored in all but ONE of the 25 and averaged 2.2 goals scored per match. Scotland has seen 14 of last 19 matches total at least 3 goals. Scotland has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 25 matches. Given all of the above, you can see why I expect to see the goals to fly here in an international friendly that may not feature intense defense. Another 2-2 entertaining draw would not surprise me in the least. OVER 2.5 -120 in Netherlands |
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03-22-24 | Czech Republic v. Norway OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #222633: International Friendly: Friday OVER 2.5 in Norway vs Czech Republic @ 1 ET - Historically there has been scoring from each club in each of the last 3 meetings and 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals. Norway has scored an average of 3 goals in their last 7 matches across all competitions and they are on their home pitch here. Czech Republic has one embarrassing shutout loss in last 8 matches across all competitions but scored an average of 2 goals in the other 7 matches. It does look like Norway should have both Haaland and Odegaard available for this one which further boosts their attacking power on their home pitch. Even without them I would still like the over here given the above scoring numbers for each of these clubs and the fact that this match is a friendly and could be lacking in defensive intensity. OVER 2.5 in Norway |
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03-21-24 | Estonia v. Poland OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #225417: Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals: Thursday OVER 2.75 -115 in Poland vs Estonia @ 3:45 ET - This total holding at 2.75 in some spots is leading to solid line value here as there are multiple indicators here for 3 or more goals in this one. Poland is so strong on their home pitch and are a heavy favorite here with good reason. They also have played much better since Probierz took the managerial reins from Santos. Poland fully capable of getting this one over the total all by themselves but I do expect Estonia to take advantage of a very aggressive Poland attack and so the big underdogs should make the net ripple once on the counterattack. Estonia is heavily outclassed here so they have no choice but to take some chances but this will leave them vulnerable in front of their own net as well! Poland is a 2-goal favorite on the goal line with good reason and will be relentless on the attack as they have been reminded of their most recent match-up with Estonia being a 1-0 loss back in 2018. This is payback and look for at least a 3-1 final. OVER 2.75 -115 in Poland |
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03-21-24 | Kazakhstan v. Greece OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 110 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #225409: Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals: Thursday OVER 2.5 +110 in Greece vs Kazakhstan @ 3:45 ET - This is a great spot or an over. Kazakhstan has played well and is playing with a lot of confidence right now. That makes for a dangerous dog. However, Greece is a heavy 3 to 1 money line favorite for a reason here. Speaking of 3 to 1, that is the type of match I expect here and 2-1 would get the job done just as well. Take advantage of the plus money available on the over 2.5 here as Greece has scored an average of 2.2 goals in last 5 matches. Also, Kazakhstan has both scored and conceded in 4 straight matches and all 4 totaled at least 3 goals. Look for this run of overs to reach 5 in a row here! OVER 2.5 +110 in Greece |
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03-21-24 | Luxembourg v. Georgia OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #225401: Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals: Thursday OVER 2 -125 in Georgia vs Luxembourg @ 1 ET - This total has dropped from 2.25 to 2 because each club is without one attacker. However, there is still enough attacking talent on each side and so this is a value spot for a play on the over with this total held down at 2 goals. Luxembourg has a knack for lower-scoring matches but Georgia will dictate the flow of this match on their home pitch. That said, note that Georgia has seen each of last 6 matches total at least 3 goals and these 6 have averaged 5 goals apiece! Look for this run of overs to reach 7 in a row here! OVER 2 -125 in Georgia |
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03-20-24 | Chesterfield v. Halifax Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #226001: English National League: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -115 in Halifax Town vs Chesterfield @ 3:45 ET - Great match-up for goals here. Chesterfield is on the road and looking to wrap up the league title here. They are the leading scorer in the league and are averaging 2.5 goals scored per match. However, on the road they are allowing 1.5 goals per match this season and have been far from water-tight defensively. That spells at least some trouble here as Halifax has turned their season around and moved up the table thanks to wins in 6 of their last 7. In those 6 victories, Halifax has averaged 2 goals scored per win! Overall, Halifax Town is on a run in which 5 straight matches at home have totaled at least 3 goals! Look for this over run to make it 6 in a row here! The last time these clubs met the match totaled 5 goals and a similar result would not surprise me in the least! Chesterfield has had 6 of last 7 road matches total at least 3 goals and those 7 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! OVER 2.5 -115 in Halifax Town |
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03-19-24 | Notts County v. Bradford City OVER 2.75 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 50 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #201189: English League Two: Tuesday OVER 2.75 -119 in Bradford City vs Notts County @ 3:45 ET - Notts County won the first meeting this season 4-2 which sets this up as a solid revenge spot for Bradford City. While I certainly do expect the hosts to respond here, they also have allowed 7 goals in their last 2 matches so they will again struggle to slow down Notts County in this one. Notts County consistently gets involved in high-scoring matches and so we have excellent line value here with this total available at less than 3 goals. Note that 6 of last 8 Notts County matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those 6 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Going further back it is an incredible 17 of 21 run in terms of Notts County matches totaling at least 3 goals and I am happy to put this 81% run to the test here! OVER 2.75 -119 in Bradford City |
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03-19-24 | Almirante Brown v. Gimnasia y Tiro OVER 1.75 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #210705: Argentine Nacional B: Tuesday 10* OVER 1.75 -116 in Gimnasia y Tiro vs Almirante Brown @ 3 ET - Gimnasia y Tiro has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches and averaged 1 goal scored per match during this stretch. Almirante Brown has seen 3 of last 4 matches total at least 2 goals and 2 of those 3 reached the 3 goal mark. We got solid line value with the low total posted on this match and we will not hesitate to get involved here. 10* OVER 1.75 -116 in Gimnasia y Tiro |
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03-18-24 | Stockport County v. Crawley Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #201085: English League Two: Monday OVER 2.5 -114 in Crawley Town vs Stockport County @ 3:45 ET - I like match-ups like this for goals when you have two solid clubs and the stronger club is on the road. That's because the hosts are going to put up a valiant effort hosting a top of the table type of club but, at the same time, the visitors are a powerhouse for a reason. In this case, Stockport County and Crawley Town have met 3 times in the past 18 months and the matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 5 goals apiece! Look for the over run to reach a perfect 4-0 with another high-scoring battle here. Crawley is off B2B wins by a 2-1 count entering this one. Stockport County is struggling a bit of a late and is off a 2-2 draw and hungry to get back on track. Though they have struggled a bit of late, the visitors are still a club that is scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season but also allowing about 1.5 goals per match when traveling. Crawley Town is also allowing about 1.5 goals per match this season but also scoring 1.7 goals per match when at home and they are in solid form right now. The goals should again fly between these clubs as their match-up run to the over reaches 4 in a row! OVER 2.5 -114 in Crawley Town |
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03-18-24 | Amorebieta v. FC Andorra OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #202045: Spanish La Liga 2: Monday OVER 2 -113 in Andorra vs Amorebieta @ 3:30 ET - These are the bottom two clubs in the league but Andorra is a different club when at home. Note that 7 of their last 9 home matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 7 matches averaged 3 goals apiece! As for Amorebieta, they won the first meeting between these clubs by a count of 3-0. That means that Andorra is out for revenge here but it also means that Amorebieta has some added confidence as well. Note that they are off a 1-0 loss but, prior to this, had scored a goal in 3 of last 4 matches prior to this. Their problem tends to be in the defensive zone where they have allowed 16 goals in their last 13 matches. Could we see a 1-1 draw here? Yes but both clubs are desperate for the full 3 points in the table and I feel we will see a strong push here and a 2-1 final as a result. OVER 2 -113 in Andorra |
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03-17-24 | FC Cincinnati v. New England OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #209821: Major League Soccer: Sunday OVER 2.5 -135 in New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati @ 2 ET - Look for the goals to fly here. There has not been a clean sheet from either club in any of the last 6 meetings. Those matches averaged 4 goals apiece and all but one of the six matches totaled at least 4 goals so this one testing an 83% RUN to the over! All the stats here included the Concacaf Champions Cup action going as well and note that New England had scored an average of 2 goals per match last 4 matches prior to resting guys in their 1-1 draw earlier this week (they already had a big lead on the aggregate). Cincinnati is the defending champ but struggling to score goals in MLS so far but have scored well in Concacaf action. They will take advantage here of a NE club allowing goals at an alarming rate thus far. New England has allowed 11 goals in their last 4 matches against MLS clubs (one was a friendly). But they are on their home pitch and I am expected them to get their attacking going as Cincy has not been perfectly tight defensively thus far. At the same time, NE focus on attacking to finally get a win after an 0-3 start this season means Cincy can make them pay on the counterattack! OVER 2.5 -135 in New England |
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03-17-24 | Liverpool v. Manchester United OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 115 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #200413: English FA Cup | Quarter-Finals: Sunday OVER 3.5 +115 in Manchester United vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - The last meeting was a scoreless draw but this followed the 7 most recent meetings averaging 5 goals apiece! We'll see goals here as Man U has scored at least 1 goal in 13 straight matches (averaging 2 goals scored per match) while Liverpool is certainly favored for a reason here! I am looking for a match finishing in the 3-2 range! 8 of last 12 Liverpool matches - as they continue prolific scoring run - have totaled at least 4 goals. The Reds have conceded at least one goal in 10 of last 14 matches. More of the same here! OVER 3.5 +115 in Manchester United |
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03-17-24 | Aston Villa v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #200157: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3 in West Ham United vs Aston Villa @ 10 AM ET - Aston Villa has had 7 straight EPL matches total at least 3 goals and 5 of the 7 totaled 4 or more so, with this pick, we are testing a 5-0 run going for 6 in a row. Aston Villa has scored 3.3 goals per match in their last 3 EPL matches away from home. However, they have also allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 5 matches overall in EPL action. West Ham has seen each of last 4 home matches across all competitions total 4 or more goals and these matches averaged 5 goals apiece. So this pick is testing double perfect angles with a 4-0 home angle involving West Ham and a 5-0 EPL angle involving Aston Villa. With the way both these clubs have been attacking of late plus the fact Ollie Watkins should play here, look for the goals to fly in this one! OVER 3 in West Ham United |
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03-17-24 | Leicester v. Chelsea OVER 3 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200409: English FA Cup | Quarter-Finals: Sunday OVER 3 -125 in Chelsea vs Leicester @ 8:45 AM ET - Leicester has scored in 13 straight road matches across all competitions. Chelsea is a heavy favorite, including by 1.5 goals on the goal line, with good reason of course. Look for this to get to the 3-1 range as a result. 7 of last 9 matches across all competitions for Chelsea have totaled at least 4 goals. This one will too! OVER 3 -125 in Chelsea |
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03-16-24 | CF Montreal v. Chicago Fire OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #209973: Major League Soccer: Saturday OVER 2.5 -130 in Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal @ 2 ET - Love the fact that Montreal has both scored and conceded each of the last two weeks and both matches totaled at least 3 goals AND Chicago has both scored and conceded in each of its 3 matches this season and all 3 totaled at least 3 goals! In other words, this play at over 2.5 is testing a trend that is 100% PERFECT on the season and all set for 4 in a row. The important thing about each of these 2 clubs over trending is there are no clean sheets involved! The trends involves both scoring and conceding and that is why I am anticipating a 2-2 type match in this one! OVER 2.5 -130 in Chicago |
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03-16-24 | Newcastle United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #200405: English FA Cup: Saturday OVER 3.5 +100 in Manchester City vs Newcastle United @ 1:30 ET - Kevin DeBruyne is out for City but Jack Grealish is back. Also helping the odds on a high-scoring match here is that City #1 goalie Ederson is out for this match. I do look for Newcastle to get on the board here at least once, if not twice, but of course City is a heavy favorite with good reason. That is why I am calling for at least a 3-1 final here. Note that Manchester City will be chomping at the bit to get to back to their aggressive ways after a bit of a disappointing 1-1 result with Liverpool in league action last week. Prior to that, City was averaging 2.6 goals scored per match last 30 matches across all competitions. They tend to be a scoring machine when on their home pitch as well! The last meeting between these clubs totaled 5 goals. Also, Newcastle enters this one with their last 13 matches having averaged 4.3 goals per match! 9 of the 13 totaled at least 4 goals and I look for the high-scoring trend to continue here. Newcastle United has been known for a leaky backline but also their attackers will take advantage of City having to go with #2 goalie option here. OVER 3.5 +100 in Manchester City |
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03-16-24 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Fulham OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200153: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3 -135 in Fulham vs Tottenham @ 1:30 ET - These clubs have a history of lower-scoring matches but Tottenham is on a tear in the attacking zone since they got Son Heung-min back from his time with South Korea. Tottenham has now scored 7 goals in last two matches and also this total is available at 3 goals and a -135 price. Yes, we have to lay some juice to have the total of 3 goals but that is a key number in soccer betting! Note that Tottenham has had 17 of last 20 matches across all competitions - including a current run of 6 in a row - all total at least 3 goals. Also, in EPL matches, Tottenham has had 10 in a row total at least 3 goals and 7 of those totaled 4 or more so this is a 100% streak going for 8 in a row here! As for Fulham, they have had 6 straight EPL matches total at least 3 goals and they have both scored and conceded in all but one of those. That said, and with Tottenham a heavy goal line favorite for a reason, look for at least a 3-1 final in this one! OVER 3 -135 in Fulham |
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03-16-24 | Nottingham Forest v. Luton Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #200145: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 -145 in Luton Town vs Nottingham Forest @ 11 AM ET - Luton Town just played on Wednesday and there could be some weary legs on defense! Why? Because they just blew a 3-0 lead (incredibly) and lost 4-3 at Bournemouth in most recent match! Luton Town allowing 2.1 goals per match this season but they do also score about 1.5 goals per match and have a long 16-match run (in EPL matches) of scoring at least 1 goal! Yes, 16 in a row and yet they just can not seem to stop anyone which is why I like the over so much in this match-up. Note that 13 of those 16 matches totaled at least 3 goals so we are testing an 81% EPL run with this play. Also, Nottingham Forest is allowing 2 goals per match when on the road this season. Nottingham knotted up Luton at 2-2 in the first meeting and I anticipate a similar result here. Nottingham on a stretch of low-scoring results but they will open things up here against a weak Luton Town backline. Also, Nottingham has not had a stretch of 4 straight matches failing to reach 3 goals since the mid-Sept to early-Oct timeframe more than 5 months ago. The high-scoring ways resume here given a favorable match-up after some tougher opposition. OVER 2.5 -145 in Luton Town |
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03-15-24 | Cadiz CF v. Real Sociedad OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #201801: Spanish La Liga: Friday OVER 2 -120 in Real Sociedad vs Cadiz @ 4 ET - Cadiz has been scoring better of late as they continue to push hard in hopes of avoiding relegation. Cadiz has scored 5 goals in last 3 matches and now they visit Real Sociedad. The hosts have had 4 straight La Liga matches total at least 3 goals and I don't see things slowing down here. They have had 7 straight matches across all competitions total at least 2 goals and these 7 matches have averaged 3.4 goals apiece. In other words, goals should fly in this one. Cadiz gets on the board but struggles to stop their superior foe in this one and I look for a final of at least 2-1 as a result. Cadiz, prior to their 2-0 upset of Atletico Madrid, had allowed 1.8 goals per match last 4 matches. OVER 2 -120 in Real Sociedad |
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03-15-24 | RB Leipzig v. FC Koln OVER 2.75 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #202577: German Bundesliga: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 -125 in FC Koln vs RB Leipzig @ 3:30 ET - I known Koln has struggled but they are off a 3-3 draw plus they are on their home pitch. So they should have their shooting boots on here and be able to get on the scoreboard. At the same time of course, RB Leipzig is a solid favorite here with good reason. Believe it or not Leipzig is averaging both allowing AND conceding nearly 2 goals per match when traveling in Bundesliga action this season. Could see a 2-2 or 3-2 type battle here. 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals. RB Leipzig is off a 2-0 win but had allowed 4 goals in 3 matches prior to that and allowed at least 1 goal in all 3. I envision at least a 2-1 type final here as RB Leipzig also has scored an average of 2 goals in last 5 matches across all competitions as well. OVER 2.75 -125 in FC Koln |
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03-14-24 | Sporting Lisbon v. Atalanta OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #224453: Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 -135 in Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon @ 4 ET - The first meeting finished in a 1-1 draw but Atalanta' other 3 recent matches have all totaled 3 or more goals. Sporting Lisbon's other 4 recent matches have all totaled 3 or more goals. The point is that the first meeting was a bit of an outlier and I am looking for at least a 2-1 result in this match-up that is currently tied on the aggregate. Note that Atalanta had numerous shots off the bar in their first meeting - tight misses. Sporting Lisbon averaging scoring 3 goals per match in Portugese Primeira Liga action. Atalanta averaging 2.2 goals scored per match when at home this season in Italian Serie A action. Two confident clubs that score well and you'll see much more scoring in the rematch. OVER 2.5 -135 in Atalanta |
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03-14-24 | Ajax Amsterdam v. Aston Villa OVER 3.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 103 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #219925: Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 3 -125 in Aston Villa vs Ajax Amsterdam @ 4 ET - The first meeting finished scoreless yet this total opened up at a 3 and even moving toward 3.5 in some books. You know what this generally means, right? A 0-0 1st leg and then a total of 3 goals getting action on the over in the 2nd leg? Exactly! This one should fly over the total after the very surprising 1st leg result! Aston Villa's other 8 recent matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. Ajax Amsterdam, other than that scoreless draw, has scored at least 2 goals in 22 of last 26 matches! You can see, given the above, why it would not be surprising at all to see both clubs reach the 2-goal mark in the rematch. Ajax known for scoring well and they are one of the top scoring teams in the Dutch Eredivisie. At the same time, Villa at home will be relentless on the attack here after the disappointing first leg result and now back on their home pitch! OVER 3 -125 in Aston Villa |
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03-14-24 | SC Freiburg v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #224443: Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 -115 in West Ham United vs SC Freiburg @ 1:45 ET - West Ham is on their home pitch and down 1-0 in this one because of losing the 1st Leg. That sets this up well for plenty of goals because Freiburg has a talented attack but West Ham is going to respond on their home pitch. The Hammers are favored here with good reason but I also can not anticipate them delivering a clean sheet. In other words, this situation translates to at least a 2-1 final. West Ham had scored a pair of goals in the last two meetings before the shutout loss at Freiburg. Also, the Hammers come into this one having allowed at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches and have conceded an average of 2 goals per match during this stretch. Freiburg has allowed 2 goals per match in their last 11 matches as well. OVER 2.5 -115 in West Ham |
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03-14-24 | Maccabi Haifa v. Fiorentina OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #219905: Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 3 -110 in Fiorentina vs Maccabi Haifa @ 1:45 ET - The first meeting finished in a 4-3 thriller in favor of Fiorentina. That means Maccabi Haifa has to be aggressive here on the road and will be on the attack as they look to make up for the 1-goal deficit. However, Fiorentina has the firepower - particularly on their home pitch - to make them pay in this one! In Italian Serie A action, Fiorentina has averaged 2 goals scored per match this season when at home. As for Maccabi Haifa, the Israeli Premier League club has scored 2.2 goals per match this season and they are the highest scoring club in the league. Look for the goals to fly again in this one as 4-3 aggregate thus far in favor of the hosts sets this up for another exciting match which the visitors pushing hard on the attack and the hosts taking advantage on the counterattack. Plenty of scoring opportunities in this one. OVER 3 -110 in Fiorentina |
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03-13-24 | OGC Nice v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Rotation #203613: Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -135 in Paris Saint-German vs Nice @ 4:10 ET - PSG just too much for Nice and they have scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches with them. However, Nice has averaged 2 goals in last two meetings in Paris. Nice does enter this match in poor current form and are conceding too many goals which has led to 4 of last 6 totaling at least 3 goals. PSG also has revenge on their mind from a home loss to Nice back in September so they will be relentless on the attack here. PSG has scored at least 2 goals in 13 of last 15 matches. They have also conceded in 8 of last 11 matches. You can see, given all of the above, we should be looking at a 2-1 match here at the very least. OVER 2.5 -135 in Paris Saint-Germain |
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03-13-24 | Inter Milan v. Atletico Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #224229: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Wednesday OVER 2.5 +110 in Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan @ 4 ET - Atletico Madrid has struggled recently including losing the first leg of this battle with Inter Milan by a count of 1-0. However, they are a different club when on their home pitch and this will be just their 2nd home match in the past 4 weeks! Their last two home matches have seen them win by an aggregate score of 7 to 1. Also, Atletico Madrid is 13-1 at home this season in Spanish La Liga matches and has averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match! Inter Milan has won 13 straight matches and averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match during this winning streak. The point is both clubs are certainly solid defensively but you can also see their goal scoring prowess in these numbers. That said, I see at least a 2-1 final resulting here as the hosts must push hard here as they are down 1-0 already via that 1st leg result so they must be aggressive on the attack here but Inter Milan has been red hot as well so the goals should fly in this one. OVER 2.5 +110 in Atletico Madrid |
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03-13-24 | Luton Town v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #200125: English Premier League: Wednesday OVER 3 -145 in Bournemouth vs Luton Town @ 3:30 ET - These clubs had a match abandoned at the 60' mark earlier this season and it was 1-1 at that point. They appeared on target for at least 3 goals given the way that one was playing out. In terms of their most recently completed matches, those were in League Championship action and the last two of those each totaled at least 3 goals. Luton Town enters this match off a 1-1 draw but this followed 9 straight matches each totaling at least 3 goals. Those 9 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Each one of these clubs allowing an average of about 2 goals per match in EPL action this season. Also, Bournemouth has seen 10 of last 15 matches overall total at least 3 goals. They have also scored an average of 2 goals per match last 19 matches overall. Given all of the above we should see an entertaining battle here in which it would not surprise to see each club reach the 2-goal mark! OVER 3 -145 in Bournemouth |
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03-12-24 | FC Porto v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #224221: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday OVER 3 in Arsenal vs FC Porto @ 4 ET - Down 1-0 in this one, Arsenal need to not only respond at home but respond in a big way. Look for them to do just that as Arsenal has averaged scoring 4 GOALS per match in their last 8 matches in English Premier League action. In other words, the 1-0 loss to FC Porto in the reverse fixture is certainly an outlier! Also, Arsenal has allowed an average of 1 goal in their last 18 matches across all competitions and they are favored by 1.5 on the goal line here with good reason! In other words, look for a 3-1 type final here. Porto has scored at least 1 goal in 11 of last 12 matches and has averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match during this stretch. Many times these 1st and 2nd leg matches are polar opposites. The first one a 1-0 battle, don't be surprised if this one is a high-scoring thriller. Porto also still dealing with injuries to defensive personnel which also helps the cause. OVER 3 in Arsenal |
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03-12-24 | Middlesbrough v. Birmingham City OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200209: English League Championship | Gameweek 29: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -135 in Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough @ 3:45 ET - Both clubs will push hard for the full 3 points here as Birmingham City is perilously close to the relegation zone and Middlesbrough still has hopes of a top six finish in the league. Birmingham City is a different club when they are at home and 4 of their last 5 matches on their home pitch have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Middlesbrough has scored in 5 of last 6 road matches in English League Championship action and they averaged scoring 2 goals in those 5 matches! They are favored here on the road for a reason and I can't see this one ending with anything less than a 2-1 final. Middlesbrough averaging 1.8 goals scored per road match and Birmingham City averaging 1.5 goals scored per home match. This one gets to at least 3 goals. OVER 2.5 -135 in Birmingham City |
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03-12-24 | Borussia Monchengladbach v. Saarbrucken OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #203001: German DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -140 in Saarbrucken vs Borussia Monchengladbach @ 3:30 ET - Saarbrucken are a 3rd tier club in Germany but enjoying an impressive run in the DFB-Pokal competition. They are also the host in this match-up and they have scored 2 goals in each of their 3 matches in this competition thus far. At home, I do expect them to put on another strong showing here but Borussia Monchengladbach is in the top flight Bundesliga in Germany. The visitors in this match are having a rather "middling" season in Bundesliga so this competition has become even more important to them in terms of a chance to win some hardware! They are well aware that there is only one other Bundesliga competitor remaining and so they have a solid shot at winning it all. They too will bring a strong effort here as a result and they have allowed an average of 2 goals last 4 matches but also scored an average of 3 goals last 3 matches and those were against top flight competition. You can see why one can anticipate at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -140 in Saarbrucken |
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03-11-24 | Newcastle United v. Chelsea OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #200121: English Premier League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +115 in Chelsea vs Newcastle United @ 4 ET - These clubs have met 4 times in less than a year across all competitions and there has not been a clean sheet yet. I feel we have strong odds on much more scoring here after many of those matches ended in 1-1 draws. Newcastle is allowing 2.3 goals per match when on the road this season. Chelsea has significant injuries impacting their defensive players. This one should be a high-scoring battle that would not surprise me if we saw each club get to the 2-goal mark. Newcastle is off a 3-0 victory at home and in EPL action this followed 8 straight matches all totaling at least 4 goals! That said, the over is now 8-0 and one push in Newcastle's last 9 EPL matches. The over is also 4-1 in Chelsea's last 5 EPL matches and those 4 overs all totaled at least 4 goals. This one will too as we test that 100% trend involving Newcastle Premier League matches and look for the 100% run to make it 9 in a row! OVER 3.5 +115 in Chelsea |
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03-11-24 | Udinese v. Lazio OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 128 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #201237: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2.5 +120 in Lazio vs Udinese @ 3:45 ET - Lazio has only a 15% draw rate, 2nd lowest among the 20 clubs in Serie A, so if you like both clubs to score it stands to reason you like at least a 2-1 final. That is the case for me in this one too as Lazio is not in a good mood and will respond big at home but I also don't see Udinese being held off the scoresheet here. Both clubs are dealing with injury and/or suspension issues effecting the rearguard. The defensive stability of each club could be impacted here as a result. The first meeting this season was a 2-1 final two months ago and I expect a similar result here. Udinese is scoring an average of 1 goal per match this season. Lazio will be ready to respond after a 3-0 loss in Champions League followed a 1-0 home loss in Serie A action! Lazio had scored 9 goals and scored at least once in all 6 matches leading into this rare tough stretch of futility in front of the goalmouth. They now will take advantage of facing a lower-tier club that has allowed 1.5 goals per match this season. Look for at least a 2-1 final in this one given all of the above as you will see a spirited effort from the home side forcing a faster tempo filled with attacking in this match. Both clubs look to take advantage of the defensive absences as well. OVER 2.5 +120 in Lazio |
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03-11-24 | CSMS Iasi v. Otelul OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206953: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2 -125 in Otelul Galati vs Poli Iasi @ 2 ET - The value of this over available at 2 goals is a big one. 4 straight Galati matches have totaled at least 2 goals and these 4 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! Poli Iasi is off a scoreless draw at home but 5 straight matches for Poli Iasi away from home have totaled at least 2 goals! These 5 matches averaged 3.6 goals apiece. So both these teams have UNBEATEN trends going here and, within those trends, there are 100% PERFECT records. 4-0 on the road for Poli Iasi to the over 2 goals and 3-0 to the over 2 goals overall matches for Galati. Take advantage of the solid line value here as both teams preparing for the playout phase of the season and 3 points is a critical step in the right direction as they are right next to each other in the table right now. So look for a big push for the victory here rather than a sharing of the spoils so we should see at least a 2-1 final as a result. OVER 2 -125 in Otelul Galati |
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03-10-24 | CS U Craiova v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #206973: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 -120 in FCU 1948 Craiova vs Universitatea Craiova @ 2:45 ET - FCU 1948 Craiova has played 8 matches in the new calendar year and these have averaged 8 goals apiece Universitatea Craiova has played 11 matches since early December and 10 in a row had totaled at least 3 goals before last week's 1-1 draw. That was the 6th straight match that Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded. Considering that, plus the fact that FCU 1948 Craiova has only a 14% draw rate this season - lowest in the league - look for at least a 2-1 final here. Note that we are testing the 10-1 run to the over involving Universitatea Craiova in this one. That's a 91% run. 10* OVER 2.5 -120 in FCU 1948 Craiova |
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03-10-24 | Manchester City v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #200117: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3 -120 in Liverpool vs Manchester City @ 11:45 AM ET - The last meeting was a 1-1 draw but this followed 7 of last 8 meetings having totaled at least 4 goals and this one should get there as well considering the way these two clubs are rolling right now! Manchester City has scored an average of 2.7 goals over last 20 matches across all competitions. City has also conceded at least 1 goal in 7 of last 10 matches across all competitions. Liverpool has scored an average of 3 goals per match last 7 matches overall and they have Mohamed Salah now back as well. The over is a perfect 4-0 L4 Liverpool matches on their home pitch and these have averaged 5 goals apiece. Look for a 3-2 type final here in what is the final time that Jurgen Klopp will meet Pep Guardiola in a Premier League battle with the former moving on after this season. That said, no holding back here and plenty of fireworks expected. OVER 3 -120 in Liverpool |
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03-10-24 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Aston Villa OVER 3.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3.5 -117 in Aston Villa vs Tottenham @ 9 AM ET - In EPL action, Aston Villa's last 6 matches have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. 6 of their last 9 matches overall have totaled at least 4 goals so don't let this big total scare you away from backing the over in this one. Tottenham has seen it's last 8 EPL matches average 4.1 goals apiece and 6 of the 8 totaled at least 4 goals. Don't be surprised if each club gets to the 2-goal mark in this one and I anticipate a 3-2 or 2-2 type match in this one given the recent trending of both clubs in English Premier League matches. OVER 3.5 -117 in Aston Villa |