Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-13-21 | Iowa v. Illinois UNDER 155 | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-13-21 | LSU v. Arkansas UNDER 162.5 | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-13-21 | Cincinnati v. Wichita State UNDER 144 | 60-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-13-21 | Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 143.5 | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-13-21 | Tennessee v. Alabama UNDER 140 | 68-73 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-12-21 | Ole Miss v. LSU UNDER 144 | 73-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-12-21 | Ohio v. Toledo UNDER 157 | 87-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
03-11-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -121 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
The Dallas Stars are a defense first side, and today against a Blackhawks side that needs to clamp down on defense after getting blasted last time out , we now have a situation that bodes well for a defensive affair. CHICAGO is 8-0 OVER in road games after allowing 6 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 14-5 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 6-0 OVER off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival this season. Under is 7-3 in Blackhawks last 10 road games. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Dallas. Road teams where the total is 5.5 (CHICAGO) - after allowing 5 goals or more against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-11-21 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 234.5 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
Brooklyn really brought the hammer down on the Celtics in their first meeting winning by a 123-95 count, and now the well rested Celtics will be out ready to play a tough two way game to slow down their run and gun and opponent and this Im betting leads to a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. BOSTON is 19-8 UNDER in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 10-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211.3 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season are 51-19 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 72-27 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-11-21 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia UNDER 151.5 | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-10-21 | NC State v. Syracuse UNDER 145.5 | 68-89 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-09-21 | BYU v. Gonzaga UNDER 156 | 78-88 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-09-21 | Oral Roberts v. North Dakota State UNDER 146 | 75-72 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-09-21 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame UNDER 142 | 77-80 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-09-21 | Long Beach State v. CS-Northridge UNDER 155 | 85-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-09-21 | Boston College v. Duke UNDER 153 | 51-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-09-21 | Pepperdine v. BYU UNDER 149 | 77-82 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-08-21 | Northern Kentucky v. Oakland UNDER 148 | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-08-21 | Rider v. Canisius UNDER 145.5 | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-08-21 | Oral Roberts v. South Dakota State UNDER 162.5 | 90-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-07-21 | Sabres v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -129 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
The Isles have controlled this series winning 5 straight meetings this season, with Buffalo scoring a total of 7 goals in those tilts, and Im betting they will once again struggle to score , while they themselves will be forced to be extremely conservative in an attempt to steal a game from the Isles, which Im betting also results in a low scoring affair. BUFFALO is 12-0 UNDER in road games after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER in road games off 2 consecutive losses of 2 goals or more to division rivals over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 32-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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03-06-21 | Indiana State v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 122 | 49-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-04-21 | Austin Peay v. Eastern Kentucky UNDER 155.5 | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
03-04-21 | St. Joe's v. Massachusetts UNDER 152.5 | 66-100 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
03-03-21 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Belmont UNDER 147 | 61-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-03-21 | St. Joe's v. La Salle UNDER 151 | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-02-21 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 216.5 | 114-104 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Defence is ley to the Lakers success and failures and nothing will change tonight as Im betting they control the pace of this tilt. Note: The Lakers have gone under in 6 of their L/7 games. Meanwhile, the Suns are also playing a top tier brand of D, of late not allowing 3 of their L/5 opponents to breach the 99 point plateau. Lakers are 2nd in ppg allowed in the league and own the 17th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Suns, rank 4th in ppg allowed and 29th in pace. LA LAKERS are 11-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 13-2 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 209.8 ppg. LA LAKERS are 12-3 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-02-21 | Nuggets v. Bucks UNDER 235 | 128-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score of closer 231 which gives us a more than one possession edge. Note: The Nuggets in 10 of their L/13 road games have not eclipsed this total. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record.are 89-35 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 71-31 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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03-01-21 | Air Force v. Colorado State OVER 131.5 | 44-74 | Loss | -118 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-28-21 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 224 | 91-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The key to the Lakers successes and failures are based around their defence, which ranks 2nd in ppg in the league. Nothing will change today, vs a Golden State team that wants to run , as they control the speed here behind the 17th ranked pace, in a tilt I have projected to stay on the low side of the number. GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.2 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 24-7 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 14-5 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. LA LAKERS are 10-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 210.3 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 12-2 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 209.9 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 16-4 UNDER vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.7 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 42-15 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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02-28-21 | Hawks v. Heat OVER 220.5 | 99-109 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Atlanta enters this game having gone over in 10 of the L/11 tilts and Im betting they're usual run and gun speed will continue into this game behind the 9th ranked offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Miami after being dormant and unhealthy earlier in the season, have now seen 5 of their L/7 go over the total behind a offense that has generated 112 plus ppg, in their L/5 . In division games the Heat, have seen a combined average of 228.4 ppg scored. Everything points to this being a vulnerable total, for a over wager to cash.Over is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 games following a ATS loss.Over is 7-0 in Hawks last 7 games following a straight up loss. Over is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 games as a road underdog. Play OVER |
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02-28-21 | Clippers v. Bucks UNDER 237 | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Im betting on these two top tier teams taking part in a play off style game with alot of physicality. This will help keep this score on the low side of the number. Under is 15-7 in Bucks last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. LA CLIPPERS are 15-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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02-28-21 | Bruins v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 4-1 | Win | 103 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
Bruins usually show off solid goaltending and a top tier of defensive hockey, but their last two games have been down efforts, as they lost lost 7-2 to the Isles and than 6-2 to the Rangers. The Bruins know they have to get back to basics and thats what Im betting on them doing here today vs the Rangers in the rematch. NY RANGERS are 8-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NY RANGERS are 9-3 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season. Road teams where the total is 5.5 (BOSTON) - after allowing 5 goals or more against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 30-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-27-21 | Stars v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Dallas plays a very conservative style of hockey, that pays a great deal of attention to defense . The Stars are tough to play against in transition, and pose problems for most teams that depend on offensive flow for success like the defending champs. Add to that their goaltender Khudobin (4-4-1) has been red hot stopping 92 of 94 shots to bring his goals-against average down to 2.35 per game and increase his save percentage to .928 and you have an edge in a goal output projection. The Stars beat the Lightning 3-0 earlier this week, and Im betting they will strap themselves down again, and try to stay competitive with physical defensive brand of hockey which Im betting helps keep this game to a low scoring affair. Note: Bolts goalie Vasilevskiy (11-3-1, 1.87 goals against, .935 save percentage).
DALLAS is 41-14 UNDER in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (DALLAS) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors including 2-0 this season. Play UNDER |
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02-27-21 | Penguins v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Islanders scored 7 goals last time out, with 5 goals in the last period vs the Bruins, but that is no their usual MO and tonight Im betting they get back the business of playing their usual conservative defensive style of play vs a Pittsburgh side, that they have triple revenge against. NY ISLANDERS are 14-4 UNDER playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (PITTSBURGH) - after allowing 5 goals or more against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
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02-26-21 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Cal-Riverside OVER 131 | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-26-21 | Suns v. Bulls OVER 228.5 | 106-97 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Both these teams offences are clicking on all cylinders entering this tilt. The Suns have averaged 127.4 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court, while, the Bulls have scored 120, 122 and 133 in their L/3 overall and rank 5th in ppg on offence this season, and rank 5th in pace. When projecting a combined score my number is closer to 231 which gives us a full possession edge according to calculations to the over. The Suns have gone over in 8 of their L/9. PHOENIX is 11-1 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 235.3 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 41-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 31-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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02-26-21 | Kings v. Pistons OVER 224 | 110-107 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
The Kings were smashed by the Knicks 140-121 on Thursday in New York and now on tired legs I expect them to play very little defence again, and just try to keep pace here in what Im betting will resemble an all star game shootout. Im also predicting that the Kings put 111 to 116 points on the board. SACRAMENTO is 20-4 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 242.1 ppg scored. Tonight my projections estimate that the Pistons will score upward of 112 to 116 points,DETROIT is 33-1 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO in 24 games when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season have seen a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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02-26-21 | Rockets v. Raptors UNDER 221 | 111-122 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Houston is struggling mightily , as is evident by 9 straight losses, and the key to their lack of cohesive work is they're offensive weaknesses , which has seen them fail to break the century mark in 4 of those tilts. Here against a Raptors squad, that owns a 8th ranked ppg defense. HOUSTON is 12-2 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg. HOUSTON is 15-3 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 214.5 ppg. TORONTO is 11-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - after 8 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 31-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
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02-25-21 | Wizards v. Nuggets UNDER 237 | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
Washington has played a grueling schedule of late against top tier squads over a relatively short period of time, and will now be on tired legs here in the high altitudes of Denver, which is never a easy endeavor. Also when considering the Nuggets 28th ranked pace my projections looks for a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered total. WASHINGTON is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.7 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 37-11 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-24-21 | Lakers v. Jazz OVER 219 | 89-114 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Lakers had a couple of down games in a row and now will be motivated to get back on track here vs a top tier opponent in Utah that is ranked 3rd in ppg in the league. Note: LA LAKERS are 16-4 L/20 OVER off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite. Also LA LAKERS are 22-10 OVER against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 226 ppg going on the score board. UTAH is 41-28 OVER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 225.1 ppg. UTAH is 8-1 OVER in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season with a combined average of 233.6 ppg going on the board.
NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against a good shooting team (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 53-22 OVER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-24-21 | Hornets v. Suns OVER 226 | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that the Suns will score 112- 117 points here this evening vs the Charlotte Hornets. CHARLOTTE is 14-1 OVER when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235.5 ppg . PHOENIX is 11-2 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235,4 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 10-0 OVER when they score 117 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 240.3 ppg scored. I also project the Hornets to put at least 105 points on the board, which is also a good omen for a over wager to cash as CHARLOTTE is 16-3 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season.Over is 7-0 in Hornets last 7 games as a road underdog with a combined average of 232 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 overall. Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less ) are 67-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHOENIX) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 33-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 36-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-23-21 | Canadiens v. Senators UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Montreal has only scored more than 2 goals once in their L/8 games and Im betting on a similar output here . Meanwhile, despite of Ottawa finding the net more often than anticipated recently Im betting on them finding the sledding will get tough in this spot. These two teams have played very low scoring affairs in their L/7 meetings with no game seeing more than 5 combined goals go on the board. Under is 5-0 in Senators last 5 games as a home underdog.OTTAWA is 11-2 UNDER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season Under is 5-0 in Canadiens last 5 games as a favorite and 4-0-1 in Canadiens last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Ottawa.Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (MONTREAL) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 45-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-22-21 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Golden Knights goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury has looked sharp over the last five games, stopping 139 of 147 shots he has faced and Im betting on his top tier work to continue here tonight in a extension of a series vs the disciplined Colorado Avs that has seen all 3 meetings so far stay under the set total. VEGAS is 14-2 UNDER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (COLORADO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders against opponent after 5 or more consecutive unders are 60-24 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.
NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (VEGAS) - off a loss against a division rival, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 38-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. |
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02-22-21 | Grizzlies v. Mavs OVER 229.5 | 92-102 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Dallas has gone over in 7 straight times and 8 of their L/9 games overall, while their opponents tonight the Grizzlies have gone over the total 11 of their L/13 overall. Over is 8-0 in Grizzlies last 8 games as an underdog including 6 straight on the road.Over is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 games as a home favorite. Over is 11-1 in Mavericks last 12 games as a favorite. These teams are trending towards high scoring back and forth affairs and have gone over in 4 of their L/5 meetings and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight. |
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02-22-21 | Bulls v. Rockets OVER 227 | 120-100 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
Houston will play for the first time since Feb. 17 following consecutive postponements and Im betting will have plenty of energy after extended rest to turn this game into a fast paced affair that favors this tilt going over the set total according to my projections. Note: The Rockets rank 3rd in pace in the league. CHICAGO in 9 road games after a non-conference game this season have seen a combined average of 235.3 ppg scored.
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02-21-21 | Nets v. Clippers UNDER 239.5 | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Brooklyn loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon but the Clippers will do everything in their power to slow them down behind the 5th ranked ppg defense and 27th ranked pace. This Im betting will help keep this total combined score on the low side of the number.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-4 L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75% are 29-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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02-21-21 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 223.5 | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
These teams have been playing fairly low scoring efforts in recent meetings and Im betting on another one here. 6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons TORONTO is 23-10 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 1 or more consecutive unders, a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) are 59-26 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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02-21-21 | Celtics v. Pelicans UNDER 231.5 | 115-120 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Boston despite of a day off yesterday is on tired legs and Im betting will want to slow this game down behind the 23rd ranked pace in the NBA including 6th ranked ppg defence. This Celtics team has been inconsistent offensively ranking 22nd in ppg offence so it will be imperitive they control the pace. This will lead to combined score that remains on the low side of the total. Note: In the Celtics last six games, they own the league’s sixth-highest Defensive Rating at 107.5 ppg. |
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02-21-21 | Michigan v. Ohio State UNDER 146.5 | 92-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-20-21 | Wizards v. Blazers UNDER 242 | 118-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Washington enters this game on tired legs as this is their 8th game in a 2 week period and are jet lagged after traveling from east to west and still adapting to a new time zone, which Im betting effects their offensive flow. This will have a direct effect on the total combined score of this tilt vs their host the Portland Blazers. WASHINGTON is 9-0 UNDER in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - in non-conference games, off a road win are 35-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-20-21 | DePaul v. St. John's OVER 148.5 | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
St.John's plays a fast paced style of basketball which ranks 18th in the nation and they are currently hitting all cylinders scoring an average of 82 points per game in their L/7 trips to the court. Meanwhile, the Blue Demons play a slower style of basketball, but alot of that has to do with the type of teams they have faced ie ( Uconn , Butler , Seton Hall and Providence who run their systems at a very slow pace). Today the Blue Demons wont have to deal with a turtle like opponent, and Im betting they will be forced into a speed game , which they are capable of partaking in. ST JOHNS is 7-1 OVER as a home favorite or pick this season with a combined average of 158.5 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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02-19-21 | Thunder v. Bucks UNDER 232 | 85-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is in the midst of a five-game losing streak and now on tired legs after playing last night. HC Mike Budenholzer's now says the team has to get back to basics and pay attention to defense in transition , whichIm betting effects the combined score of this game. |
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02-19-21 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 226.5 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Atlanta continues to force teams into fast paced , all out run and gun affairs and nothing will change tonight vs the high powered Boston Celtics . Pierce is 13-2 OVER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days as the coach of ATLANTA with a combined average of 248.1 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 17-7 OVER against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.8 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 43-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 43-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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02-19-21 | Nuggets v. Cavs OVER 221 | 120-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Denver is off a down effort last time out, and a subsequent 129-98 loss . Note: DENVER is 10-2 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 230.3 ppg. With that said, I look for Denver to come out here with a big time run and gun start to finish effort and their hosts the Cleveland Cavs will have not choice but to keep up and to try to push forward with some offensive fireworks of their own which will push us towards a over wager. DENVER is 14-4 OVER versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 227.9 ppg and is is 10-2 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 230.9 ppg scored. DENVER is 14-4 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored. NBA team (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 38-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 31-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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02-18-21 | Heat v. Kings OVER 226.5 | 118-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
After blowing a big lead last night and losing in embarrassing fashion Im betting the Heat will come out here tonight and start firing on all cylinders and hold nothing back and take nothing for granted and keep pouring points down even if leading big late . Meanwhile the Kings will have no option but to fire back with some offensive fire works of their own or be blown off the court which Im betting results in a high scoring affair. The Kings are 19-0 OVER as a dog with rest coming off a home game that had 8+ lead changes with the average combined score of 242 ppg scored. |
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02-17-21 | Blackhawks v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
02-17-21 | Panthers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
02-15-21 | Heat v. Clippers UNDER 217 | 118-125 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Miami, ranks near the bottom of the NBA at 106.2 points scored per game. As a team, the Heat are shooting 35.7 percent from 3-point range to rank in the bottom third of the league. Their key to success thus will be based on defense, and nothing changes tonight here on the road. This will help lead to a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. Spoelstra is 70-46 UNDER ( revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the coach of MIAMI with a combined average of 195.8 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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02-15-21 | Virginia v. Florida State UNDER 128 | 60-81 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-14-21 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 217 | 105-122 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
The Lakers who rank 1st in defensive rating in the league especially pay strict attention to transition and are talented enough to control the flow of a game. They have become extremely disciplined and if down by substantial amount will not deter from their style of play. This Im betting will see this combined score stay on the low side of the total. LA LAKERS are 7-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 211.7 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 9-0 UNDER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 203.8 ppg. LA LAKERS are 11-0 UNDER in road games versus defenses - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 209.5 ppg scored.LA LAKERS are 14-4 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 214.5 ppg. Vogel is 14-2 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 204.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 33-10 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. play under |
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02-12-21 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 220 | 105-115 | Push | 0 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
The Lakers D, and not their star offensive power is what makes them as good as they are. The Lakers rank 2nd in the league in ppg allowed and and 17th in pace, and as per usual they dictate the tone of game and nothing will change tonight, which Im betting helps keep this combined score on the low side of the total. LA LAKERS are 8-1 UNDER against Southwest division opponents this season with a combined average 217.1 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 14-3 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 214.2 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 12-2 UNDER ) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207 ppg scored. These teams have gone under in 10 straight meetings in this series and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight.Play UNDER |
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02-12-21 | Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | 95-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
The Nuggets won the first meeting between themselves and the Thunder , 119-101, on Jan. 19 in Denver and now the lines-makers are estimating a similar total score. However my number is closer to 217 which gives us value to the under. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY in 8 road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season have seen a combined score of 217.4 ppg go on the score board. Also with Denver off a huge offensive shooting performance last time out, Im now expecting offensive regression which will also help this contest stay on the low side of the total. DENVER is 13-3 UNDER after a game where they made 60% of their shots with a combined average of 203.6 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 42-11 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 35-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.Play UNDER |
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02-12-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 232.5 | 130-143 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
After playing good D for an extended time the Dallas D, has looked a little tattered by has seen a regression to point allowed in their last 3 games, and according to my projections that positive defensive trajectory will continue in this spot vs the Pelicans tonight. Meanwhile, New Orleans has also been playing very good defense with an exception last time out vs Chicago. However, today Im betting on Van Gundy's squad getting back to business and makes sure their transition game and 3 point defense is focused on which will help keep this score on the low side of the total.Van Gundy is 22-9 UNDER after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher in all games he has coached with a combined score of 197 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-11-21 | 76ers v. Blazers UNDER 230.5 | 114-118 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is red hot, and Im betting on the Blazers trying to be more physical with their opponent in an effort to slow them down and take away from their flow. this Im betting results in a lower scoring tilt than the lines makers are expecting. Under is 5-2 in 76ers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Rivers is 37-20 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached in his career with a combined average of 197.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 30-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-11-21 | Pacers v. Pistons UNDER 219 | 111-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Detroit ranks 23rd in offence behind the 24th ranked pace, while Indiana is ranked middle of the road in all key categories. From a projections stand point my number is closer to 216 which gives us a one possession advantage to the under. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after a game where they covered the spread, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 36-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents are 216- 142 L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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02-11-21 | Purdue v. Minnesota OVER 139.5 | 68-71 | Loss | -117 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
02-10-21 | Cavs v. Nuggets UNDER 223 | 95-133 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Cleveland runs the 26th ranked pace 10th ranked ppg defence and 29th ranked ppg offence. Here against a side that ranks 28th in pace a much slower grinding game in the high altitudes of the Mile High City is to be expected.
CLEVELAND is 11-3 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 209.9 ppg scored. Bickerstaff is 10-1 UNDER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game as the coach of CLEVELAND with a combined average of 206.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 32-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 44-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.Play UNDER |
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02-08-21 | Bucks v. Nuggets UNDER 234 | 125-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Bucks are know for their offense but their defense is ranked 8th in defensive efficiency and will be key here tonight in the Mile High City vs the Nuggets. Meanwhile, Denver is ranked 28th in pace, and will be prepared to grind away here in an effort to slow down the Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 11-1 UNDER off a road blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out vs Cleveland in a 124-99 victory. The average combined score of those 12 games rings in at 219 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 38-11 UNDER 24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 77-37 L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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02-08-21 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 102 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
The Canucks have surrendered 23 goals during their current four-game losing skid.QUOTE: "We're a disconnected group right now and it's showing. It's frustrating," Vancouver goaltender Braden Holtby said. "If we want to be a good team, we've got to have everyone pulling the same rope. And that's what we work towards from now on." END QUOTE: Now I expect the Canucks to make a concerted effort to play a better brand of defensive hockey that will focus attention to transition, which Im betting will result in a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. TORONTO is 7-1 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 5-1 victory vs the Canucks on Saturday night. NHL Road teams against the total (VANCOUVER) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82%. conversion rate for bettors. Play on Under |
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02-07-21 | Iowa v. Indiana UNDER 152 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-06-21 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 227 | 109-118 | Push | 0 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies calling card and success and or failures are centered around a 7th ranked ppg defense. With the offense ranked just 22nd in the NBA its obvious Memphis will be out to center their attention on slowing this game down and Im betting that wont be a problem against a tired New Orleans side that played a hard fought game last night in a one point win. These projections on the style play and energy flow have me taking an under stance. MEMPHIS is 9-1 UNDER off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MEMPHIS) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 43-20 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 92-53 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-06-21 | Jackson State v. Alcorn State OVER 135 | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-05-21 | Celtics v. Clippers UNDER 219.5 | 119-115 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Im betting these two top tier teams take part in a post season style game that focuses on defence with special attention paid to the transition game. Boston ranks 9th in ppg allowed in the league and the Clippers ranks 4th.Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in Los Angeles. Play UNDER |
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02-05-21 | Wizards v. Heat UNDER 228.5 | 95-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Washingtons offense despite of their run and gun reputation have been quite inconsistent lately with their output numbers. In 5 of their L/7 games, they have scored 101,88, 106, 100, and 103 points. There were two offensive explosions, but those were against Brooklyn and Atlanta two teams that like to run and gun like them. Tonight Im betting their offensive output will once again be curtailed by a Heat side that ranks 23rd in pace and 26th in offensive production. This will contribute to this tilt staying on the low side of the number. Note. These teams played on Wednesday night with a 103-100 final score. Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MIAMI) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 23-3 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (WASHINGTON) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 45-15 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-05-21 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 242 | 123-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Since the Harden trade and his subsequent debut, the Nets are averaging 127 points on 51.8 percent shooting. They shot 57 percent Tuesday. However, as we all know those numbers are not sustainable, especially against a veteran team like Toronto that knows how to slow games down and turning them into grinding affairs. Thus Im betting that this combined score will remain on the low side of the total. TORONTO is 22-8 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Nurse in all 8 of his road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots as the coach of TORONTO has seen a combined score of 215.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more are 30-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 71-28 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (TORONTO) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 32-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-05-21 | Bucks v. Cavs UNDER 227 | 123-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that Cleveland will not score more than 105 points here tonight while the Bucks should score in the 116 range. Note:MILWAUKEE is 18-2 UNDER when they allow 100 to 105 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 215.4 ppg going on the board. The L/3 games in this series in Cleveland have gone under the set total and a rinse and repeat situation once again looks like a viable betting opportunity here based on my estimates and the fact that the Cavs own the 6th best ppg defense in the NBA and the 29th ranked pace. Play UNDER |
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02-04-21 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 216 | 93-114 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Denver offence is clicking and Im betting they push the Lakers into a uptempo game here and make the champs work extra hard in this tilt. DENVER is 20-6 OVER after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is is 12-3 OVER in road games after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons |
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02-04-21 | Rockets v. Grizzlies UNDER 224 | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Memphis had their 7 game win steak snapped last time out by Indiana in a high scoring 134-116 event . I blame that down effort by the Grizzlies on their defence, which might of suffered because of tired legs on a rigorous schedule. The win streak was complimented by top tier defence, and now Im betting the Grizzlies returning to what made them successful here and that Im also betting contributes to this tilt staying on the low side of the total. Play UNDER |
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02-03-21 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 226.5 | 111-116 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Sacramento has played well lately winning 3 of their L/5 with one loss by 1 point 96-95 , and Im attributing their recent success to playing good defense. Meanwhile, Boston is also playing top tier defensive hoops and ranking 8th in ppg defense. More of the same from both tonight. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - average free throw shooting team (72-76%) against a poor free throw shooting team (69-72%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 26-7 UNDER L/ 24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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02-03-21 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 223.5 | 101-123 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Phoenix ranks fifth in defensive efficiency and are good at cutting down on opponents downtown shooting, thus making them play inside the arc in the paint. Meanwhile, the Pelicans play a similar style of D, but are horrendous on offence and could easily be suffocated by a Suns side that is starting to get healthy. On the flip-side the Suns are inconsistent offensively, and dont get to the charity stripe often, ranking 2nd in FT attempts. These kinds of systems when I make a total projection shows value to the under. PHOENIX is 17-7 UNDER in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.PHOENIX is 20-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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02-03-21 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 233 | 110-130 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Indiana has been struggling to score and than suddenly last time out, they popped 134 points on 59.7% shooting against the Grizzlies, and now I expect a regression to the norm on tired legs in back to back games. This Im betting directly alters projections and gives us value on the under. INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER after a combined score of 245 points or more and s14-3 UNDER after scoring 130 points or more. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 29-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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02-02-21 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 227.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Boston ranks 8th in defense ppg against and is the cornerstone of their successes and failures and nothing with change tonight vs the explosive Curry and the Warriors. The Celtics defensive posture and ability to control flow will lead to this being a lower scoring game than the linesmakers estimates. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season against opponent after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 28-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 70-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-02-21 | Clippers v. Nets UNDER 242.5 | 120-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Clippers and Brooklyn Nets possess a great deal of offensive explosiveness . But one team the Clippers owns the better defence (4th in NBA ppg allowed), and has the abilities to slow down the other side behind the 27th ranked pace , and limit their potent attack. The Nets will want to run and gun, but Im betting the Clippers will not be dragged into that type of game and instead play stoppers here tonight against a undisciplined side, which according to my projections sets up for a combined score that does not eclipse this total. LA CLIPPERS are 22-9 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. |
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02-01-21 | Grizzlies v. Spurs UNDER 220.5 | 133-102 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Memphis thanks to some very strong defensive play have won 7 games in a row and now on tired legs as they play their 2nd game in 2 nights, Im betting them and their opponents the Spurs will take part in a more subdued less aggressive offensive affair. MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208.5 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 UNDER in home games off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.6 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MEMPHIS) - extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 70-39 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 30-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on the under |
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02-01-21 | Knicks v. Bulls UNDER 218 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
NYK in their 20 games this season have seen a combined average of 204.3 ppg scored behind a 30th ranked last place pace and the worst ppg offense in the NBA also ranked 30th. To me this tells me they have had more control of the speed of the game than their opponents, and Im betting despite of the Bulls wanting to run they wont have their way and we see a lower scoring tilt then the lines-makers might expect. NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 201.1 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 18-6 UNDER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.5 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW YORK) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 34-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-01-21 | Hornets v. Heat UNDER 217 | 129-121 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
Based on my projections this game has value on a under wager. (Late Steam) NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team aren30-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-31-21 | Nets v. Wizards UNDER 244.5 | 146-149 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Both these sides style of play obviously leans towards a high scoring affair, but the number according to my projections is just to high, and should be closer to 239 which gives us some obvious value to the under with an almost 2 possession divergence. The Nets have not gone over the total in 12 straight games with rest coming off a road win where they had 30+ assists.Under is 8-2 in Nets last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Washington. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or kore of their shots are 30-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-30-21 | Rockets v. Pelicans UNDER 223 | 126-112 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
My projections give us value with an under wager here in this matchup which says this Total should be closer to 219 which makes this a full ;possession divergence. HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER after playing a home game this season. HOUSTON is 11-3 UNDER versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 216.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW ORLEANS) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 38-14 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-29-21 | Nets v. Thunder UNDER 232.5 | 147-125 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
There is now way Oklahoma City can compete in a run and gun affair and that is why Im betting they do everything with their power to slow this game down, which Im betting results in a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-12 UNDER when the total is 220 to 232.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. |
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01-28-21 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 220.5 | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Both sides are unrested and Im expecting a slower more deliberate game than many might expect. The Warriors have seen the L/6 meetings vs the Suns stay under the set total and have gone under in 8 of their L/9 as division road dogs and have also seen 6 of their L/7 away games stay under vs unrested foes . Mean while, the Suns have gone under 9 straight times as division chalk including 5 straight vs unrested division opposition. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 220.5 (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 90-51 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-27-21 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 214 | 107-122 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
01-25-21 | Celtics v. Bulls UNDER 228 | 119-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Boston really shot the lights out last time out in a 141-103 win vs the Cleveland Cavaliers and now a natural offensive regression is in the cards. This in itself will help contribute to this tilts combined score staying on the low side of the total. Note: BOSTON is 29-11 UNDER after a huge blowout win by 30 or more since 1996 with a combined 191.3 ppg scored. |
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01-25-21 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State UNDER 145.5 | 81-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-25-21 | Hornets v. Magic UNDER 213.5 | 108-117 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
The pace and matchup comparisons suggest a score that stays on the low side of the number as was the case last night in a 107-104 Charlotte win. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival, with a losing record are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-24-21 | Hornets v. Magic UNDER 214.5 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. |
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01-24-21 | Thunder v. Clippers UNDER 222.5 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City is ranked 27th in ppg offense to this point in the season, and are now dealing with the fact they are not a offensive juggernaut and must learn to slow down teams in transition, which Im sure is the game plan tonight. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers have projected. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons OKLAHOMA CITY is 90-62 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%or better with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-16 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - a very good team (7 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential) are 45-19 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% for conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 36-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-23-21 | Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 227 | 101-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
After a hard fought win vs Milwaukee last time out by the Lakers, Im betting on a bit of an emotional letdown situation here vs Chicago tonight, which will see the Lakers start slower than usual, and that will in turn effect the early flow of this game and subsequently the combined score that will end up to be lower than the number expected by the linesmakers. LA LAKERS are 10-1 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 7-0 UNDER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. LA LAKERS are 7-0 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. Vogel is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 210.6 ppg scored. |
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01-23-21 | Heat v. Nets UNDER 232 | 124-128 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
The Nets are having some defensive issues and I expect them to ficus on correcting some of their issues Saturday night when they host the shorthanded Miami Heat. The Heat will be effected by a lack of cohesiveness because of their lack of a full compliment of players, This Im betting effect the score of this tilt to the low side of the number. Spoelstra is 135-103 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MIAMI with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 201.1 ppg . |
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01-22-21 | Mavs v. Spurs UNDER 222.5 | 122-117 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
The Mavs enter this game ranked 6th in ppg allowed defence, and 22nd in offensive output, behind the 22nd ranked pace. Needless to say they are playing a deliberate conservative style of hoops, that has coincidently resulted in unders cashing for bettors in 9 of their L/12 trips to the hardwood, including going Under is 10-4 in Mavericks last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Meanwhile, San Antonio is ranked. middle of the pack, ranking 17th in offensive output and 11th in defensive rating . Note:Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. The Spurs have also been in a under groove going 5-1 to the low side of the number L/6 trips to the court. Considering both teams current form, Ill bet and recommend we take a lower scoring stance here.Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |