Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-10-23 | Boston College v. St. John's UNDER 151.5 | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Grant is 16-5 UNDER L/21 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game in all games he has coached with a combined average of 125.2 ppg scored.. CBB neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 33-12 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under Play under |
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12-10-23 | Colorado v. Miami-FL UNDER 153.5 | 90-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. COLORADO is 24-11 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. COLORADO is 15-3 UNDER L/18in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 139.8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-2 UNDER in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (MIAMI) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower are 42-14 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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12-10-23 | Prairie View A&M v. Iowa State OVER 141 | 56-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. IOWA ST is 8-1 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 145.6 ppg scored. PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 10-1 OVER after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157 ppg scored. PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 21-9 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997 with a combined average of 149.2 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PRAIRIE VIEW A&M) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 57-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play over |
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12-09-23 | Pacers v. Lakers UNDER 242.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Los Angeles after smothering the Pelicans last time out ( allowing them just 89 points in. a big time victory) will once again be ready to control an Indiana offense that has been the best in the NBA all season. Indiana leads the league with a 128.4 points-per-game average, but the senior laden Lakers Im betting have a plan to slow down the Pacers, and this will result in a much lower scoring tilt that the linesmakers are expecting. The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+15.40 Units / 29% ROI) NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for. a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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12-09-23 | Drake v. Nevada UNDER 147.5 | 72-53 | Win | 100 | 1 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under (Late Steam) |
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12-09-23 | Marshall v. Ohio UNDER 162 | 74-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (OHIO U) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a home loss are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with a combined average of 148.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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12-09-23 | Indiana v. Auburn UNDER 147 | 76-104 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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12-09-23 | Kentucky v. Pennsylvania UNDER 154.5 | 81-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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12-08-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Manhattan UNDER 151.5 | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections place the combined score to fall into the mid 140 range giving us a viable opportunity to cash a under ticket. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FARLEIGH DICKINSON) - an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential) against a terrible team (8 or less PPG differential), after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game are 39-12 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 145.1 . Play under |
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12-08-23 | Stonehill v. Rider UNDER 148.5 | 56-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. STONEHILL is 9-1 UNDER versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 126.8 ppg scored,STONEHILL is 16-5 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 free or less throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 131.6 ppg scored. RIDER is 12-3 UNDER after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 134.2 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RIDER STONEHILL) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two struggling teams (20% or less ) are 51-19 UNDER L/26 seasons with the combined average of 136.7 ppg scored. Play under |
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12-07-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. NC-Greensboro OVER 145.5 | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Hamilton is 30-18 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of E KENTUCKY.Hamilton is 14-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of E KENTUCKY. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UNC-GREENSBORO) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), after a blowout win by 30 points or more are 44-17 OVER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 153 ppg scored. Play over |
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12-07-23 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 256 | 128-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
No way do I see Milwaukee allowing the Pacers to run and gun here in comfortable fashion, and instead I expect the Bucks to become very physical in their attempt to slow down this free wheeling group.Yes, I know the numbers attached to this tilt, favor a very high scoring affair, but in my humble opinion the lines-makers have over adjusted towards a public enticing Total. This Im betting contributes to a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. MILWAUKEE is 29-16 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 44-19 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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12-06-23 | Rice v. Houston OVER 139.5 | 39-75 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score of between 142 to 147 combined points giving us great value with an over wager. RICE is 7-0 OVER vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 169 ppg scored.Pera is 10-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 as the coach of RICE with a combined average of 147.5 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 33-8 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 156.3 ppg. CBB Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (HOUSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 50-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score coming in at 142.9 ppg. _Play over |
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12-05-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Illinois UNDER 147.5 | 89-98 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two top tier teams go head to head here in what Im betting will be a physical affair thats see both sides pay special attention to defensive responsibilities in transition.. FLA ATLANTIC is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 137.2 ppg scored. ILLINOIS is 20-8 UNDER L/28 after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more with a combined average of 134.7 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (ILLINOIS) - off an upset win by 15 points or more as an underdog, on Tuesday nights are 32-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 130.7 ppg scored. Play on UNDER |
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12-03-23 | Creighton v. Nebraska OVER 149.5 | 89-60 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Both these teams can really shoot it. The Bluejays are a potent offensive club, averaging 83.3 points per game while shooting 50 percent from the field and 40 percent from 3-point range. Meanwhile, the Huskers are 13-3 over the last 16 games dating back to Feb. 1, 2023. A big reason for that is NU's offense, as NU has averaged 77.6 ppg on 48 percent shooting in that stretch.Nebraska is currently averaging 81.6 points per game, which is fourth in the Big Ten as of Dec. 1. The last time NU averaged more points per game in its first seven games was in 1995-96 (89.7 ppg).Hoiberg is 10-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of NEBRASKA.Hoiberg is 14-4 OVER in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 as the coach of NEBRASKA.NEBRASKA is 7-0 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Play over |
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12-03-23 | Fairfield v. Rider UNDER 142.5 | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Play under |
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12-03-23 | Auburn v. Appalachian State UNDER 142.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Play under |
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12-02-23 | Thunder v. Mavs UNDER 235.5 | 126-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Dallas looked exhausted last night in a 108-94 loss to Memphis and now in back to back games will be even more tired and less likely to be in the shape to run and gun with this sometimes explosive visiting Oklahoma City side. Recently the Mavs have been paying better attention to D, and as a result have not been as proficient offensively, but it was a problem they needed address. Because of thier better defensive efforts they have seen 4 of their L/5 fail to eclipse the total. Here tonight on tired legs and going against a Thunder side that can light the scoreboard up in a hurry another more disciplined D plan should be in place, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-3 UNDER in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.4 ppg scored. DALLAS is 41-26 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS/OKLAHOMA CITY ) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 218.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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12-02-23 | Washington v. Colorado State UNDER 156 | 81-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . COLORADO ST is 11-3 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.8 ppg.COLORADO ST is 9-2 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO ST is 20-9 UNDER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO ST is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 130 ppg scored. Hopkins is 21-11 UNDER in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (COLORADO ST) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a winning record.are 167-103 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 224 | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Both of these teams rank in the top five in offensive rating and should easily both top the 109-114 point plateau according to my projections. BOSTON is 12-1 OVER in home games when they allow 109 to 114 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 33-20 OVER after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 228.1 ppg. Play over |
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11-29-23 | Boston University v. Albany OVER 141 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ALBANY) - after beating the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game, on Wednesday games are 26-5 OVER L/26 seasons for. a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 152.2 ppg. Play over |
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11-28-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | 123-124 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an important tournament game between division rivals , and Im betting it will be a hard fought physical affair that keeps this combined score to the low side of the offered total. SACRAMENTO is 25-14 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE L/33 vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 229.8 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 41-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 63-30 L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 229.9 ppg. Play under |
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11-27-23 | Pelicans v. Jazz UNDER 231 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game having gone under in their L/4 trips to the hardwood while Utah has gone under 3 straight times. I know New Orleans has been explicit about picking up their defensive play and you can see it in their play, and here tonight in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City Im betting on an even more stringent defensive effort , as their 5th game in a week. Advantage under. NEW ORLEANS is 11-2 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 UNDER versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.4 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 33-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score of 215.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 48-21 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average score of 227 ppg going on the score board. Play under |
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11-27-23 | Houston Christian v. TCU UNDER 164 | 64-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. TCU can light up the board and name their score here but Houston Christian on flipside wont be able to penetrate a very TCU D, this Im betting will lead to combined score that does not eclipse this offered total. TCU is 11-3 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 135.9 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (TCU) - an explosive offensive team (78 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 39-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score clicking in at 156.9 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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11-26-23 | George Washington v. Delaware UNDER 151.5 | 81-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-26-23 | Canisius v. Bowling Green UNDER 145.5 | 73-77 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-26-23 | North Carolina Central v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 144.5 | 70-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-26-23 | Brown v. Ohio UNDER 147 | 77-82 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-25-23 | Alabama v. Oregon UNDER 160.5 | 99-91 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-25-23 | Canisius v. Western Kentucky UNDER 146.5 | 85-77 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | Santa Clara v. Oregon UNDER 146.5 | 88-82 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-24-23 | Seton Hall v. Iowa UNDER 155 | 72-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | Baylor v. Florida UNDER 158 | 95-91 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-24-23 | Toledo v. Indiana State UNDER 165.5 | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | Monmouth v. Belmont UNDER 155.5 | 93-84 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-23-23 | Michigan State v. Arizona UNDER 146.5 | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score in the high 130s to low 140s, giving us an significant possession edge to the under. Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ARIZONA) - after scoring 85 points or more, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 40-12 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 137.7 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points ( MICH ST) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 148-71 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with thre average ppg diff clicking in at 141.1 ppg. Play under |
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11-23-23 | Colorado State v. Creighton UNDER 154 | 69-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-23-23 | Villanova v. North Carolina UNDER 146.5 | 83-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | New Mexico v. Rice UNDER 166.5 | 90-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Florida v. Pittsburgh UNDER 157 | 86-71 | Push | 0 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Arkansas v. Stanford UNDER 154.5 | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Indiana State v. Pepperdine UNDER 159 | 90-82 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Michigan v. Memphis UNDER 157.5 | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Loyola-Chicago v. Creighton UNDER 145.5 | 65-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Colorado State v. Boston College UNDER 147.5 | 86-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Long Beach State v. UL - Lafayette UNDER 151.5 | 82-92 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Appalachian State v. Murray State UNDER 147 | 67-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Toledo v. New Mexico UNDER 162 | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Kansas v. Marquette UNDER 157.5 | 59-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Jazz v. Lakers OVER 235.5 | 99-131 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The last four meetings between the Lakers and Jazz have all eclipsed this total with a combined average of 253.25 oog going on the board. My own projections for this contest come in the high 230s to the low 240s giving us a significant edge to the over. Utah has consistently played run and gun ball with 7 of their L/9 going over the offered number and Im betting they drag the Lakers into a wide open tilt here today that goes over the digits.Hardy is 10-1 OVER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 239.3 ppg scored.Ham in 36 games when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of LA LAKERS has seen a. combined average of 237.1 ppg go on the board.UTAH in its L/57 as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored.UTAH L/22 against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 242 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-21-23 | Hofstra v. Wright State UNDER 160.5 | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Colorado v. Florida State UNDER 152 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Buffalo v. UL - Lafayette UNDER 153.5 | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Marshall v. Oakland UNDER 149.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Binghamton v. Sacred Heart UNDER 146.5 | 75-89 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-19-23 | Northern Iowa v. South Florida UNDER 145.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score to reach the high 130s which give us a solid 2 to 3 possession edge on this totals offering to the under. S FLORIDA is 14-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 119.2 ppg scored. Jacobson in 184 road games after 1 or more consecutive wins as the coach of N IOWA ihas seen a verage combined score of 127.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N IOWA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 40-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 135.6 ppg. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (S FLORIDA) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 182-95 for a 66% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 139 ppg going on the board. |
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11-18-23 | Mavs v. Bucks UNDER 243.5 | 125-132 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks ranked 4th in pace have for most of the season run and gun at a high octane rating and Im sure nothing will change here except their oppositions ability to slow them down and grind away with more physical type of game plan. Im looking for a much more grinding type of affair between two strong teams, and a score that remains on the low side of the offered total. My projections estimate a combined score in the high 230s giving a 2 possession plus edge on the number to the under. MILWAUKEE in their L/25 games home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in their L/33 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 233 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 29-8 UNDER L/37 in home games off a road blowout win by 20 points or more with a combined average score of 202.8 ppg scored.(Beat Charlotte last time out 130-99) DALLAS in their L/33 non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS/ MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 223.2 ppg. NBA eams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more 2 straight games are 39-13 L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score registering at 227.4 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score of 225.6 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 37-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 229.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 31-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 222.8 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Southern Indiana v. La Salle UNDER 144.5 | 78-79 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score ranging from the high 130s to a maximum of 141 which gives us at least a 1 to 2 possession edge on this number. LASALLE is 9-1 UNDER in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 130.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LASALLE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-17-23 | San Diego State v. St. Mary's UNDER 131 | 79-54 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-16-23 | College of Charleston v. Vermont UNDER 145.5 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Myrtle Beach Invitational - HTC Center - Conway, SC My totals projections for this game are in the low 140s giving us a one to two possession edge on this Totals offering. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 10-2 UNDER ) in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 128.8 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 62-27 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 138 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (VERMONT) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 13+ wins in last 15 games are 54-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 135.5 ppg going on the board. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Long Island v. UCLA UNDER 142 | 58-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. LONG ISLAND is 13-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 10-2 UNDER after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UCLA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 36-6 UNDER L/26 seasons with a combined average of 137.4 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Stony Brook v. Nebraska UNDER 141 | 63-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the range of 137. Value to the under by 2 possessions. NEBRASKA is 8-1 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 130.9 ppg scored. STONY BROOK is 9-2 UNDER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season with a combined average 131.9 ppg. CBB - Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEBRASKA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 29-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average score of 137 pp scored. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Richmond v. Boston College UNDER 142.5 | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. RICHMOND is 12-2 UNDER L/14 after a blowout win by 30 points or more. RICHMOND is 20-9 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 358-249 L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. CBB eams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RICHMOND) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 39-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-14-23 | Iowa v. Creighton UNDER 163.5 | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 156 to 159 giving us solid value by 2 plus possessions to the under on this offering. I know both these sides have shown huge offensive lower tier competition , but now when facing some decent defensive talent a quick regression must be expected. IOWA in their L/11 against Big East conference opponents have seen a combined average of 155.5 ppg scored. CREIGHTON is 16-3 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 132 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (IOWA) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a blowout win by 30 points or more are 41-18 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (CREIGHTON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 49-16 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! Play under |
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11-13-23 | Rider v. Nebraska UNDER 149.5 | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections have estimated a combined score in the low to mid 140s range giving us a 2 possession or more edge on this offered totals number. Baggett is 48-34 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of RIDER with a combined average of 144.6 ppg scored. NEBRASKA is 11-2 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134 ppg scored. NEBRASKA is 32-17 UNDER as a home favorite of 10 or more points with a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEBRASKA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 32-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 138 ppg. Play under |
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11-13-23 | Stephen F Austin v. Northwestern State UNDER 146.5 | 96-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the upper 130s to maximum 141 range giving us a 2 to 3 possession value to the under. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NORTHWESTERN ST) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games. are 35-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with as combined average of 135.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Home teams against the total (NORTHWESTERN ST) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from weak division 1-A conferences are 29-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-13-23 | East Tennessee State v. Butler UNDER 147 | 47-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BUTLER is 13-2 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 135 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (BUTLER) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 30-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average for a 79% conversion rate. Play under |
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11-12-23 | North Carolina Central v. Georgia UNDER 146 | 54-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score that hits in the low 140s, which gives us a 1 to 2 possession edge on this totals offering.
White is 20-8 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached with a combined average of 138.1 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games are 35-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-11-23 | Utah Tech v. Jacksonville State UNDER 144.5 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total out at 139 giving us a 2 to 3 possession value to the under. JACKSONVILLE ST is 21-8 UNDER after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average fo 130.1 ppg scored. Harper is 36-24 UNDER as a home favorite or pick as the coach of JACKSONVILLE ST with a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored.. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (JACKSONVILLE ST) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UTAH TECH) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 180-87 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the combined average of 138.5 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-10-23 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 222.5 | 122-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
The Lakers have lost two straight and have allowed 120 or more points in 3 of their L/4 and in 5 road games this season have allowed an average of 221.4 ppg. Meanwhile, the Suns have averaged 120.3 ppg at home this season while allowing 117 ppg. After the recent negative results from the Lakers Im betting on a very aggressive take no prisoners effort from them , and for the Suns to reciprocate with some offense fireworks themselves and for this offered total to be eclipsed. The suns have gone over in 5 of their L/6 overall NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 60-25 over L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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11-10-23 | Arizona v. Duke UNDER 154.5 | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . My projections for this tilt estimate a combined score that will plateau in the mid to high 140s giving us a two to 3 plus possession edge on this offered total to the under. ARIZONA in their L/152 road games in non-conference games have seen a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. DUKE in their L/6 home games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 144.7 ppg. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ARIZONA) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower are 41-14 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average combined ppg clicking in at 149.1 ppg. CBB Road teams against the total (ARIZONA) - team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a team that had a winning record, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 101-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 136.1 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (DUKE) - with four starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games are 30-10 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average of 146.6 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-09-23 | North Florida v. Charleston Southern UNDER 149.5 | 81-70 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the low to mid 140s giving us a 2 to 3 possession edge to the under. N FLORIDA is 14-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 season with a combined average of 140.9 ppg scored. N FLORIDA is 20-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 143.6 ppg scored. CHARLESTON SO is 22-10 UNDER L/32 after a win by 10 points or more with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (CHARLESTON SO) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from weak division 1-A conferences are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 132.3 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-08-23 | Western Illinois v. SMU OVER 144.5 | 53-90 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections for this tilt between W. Illinois and SMU are closer to the 150 plateau which gives us some very viable value here with an over wager. SMU is 11-3 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 season with a combined average of 152.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-07-23 | Albany v. Massachusetts UNDER 146.5 | 71-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the high 130s, plateauing in around 141 as a expected combined offensive output. CBB Home teams against the total (MASSACHUSETTS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) from last year are 93-49 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 136..6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MASSACHUSETTS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 354-222 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-06-23 | Central Arkansas v. Tulsa UNDER 148 | 53-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 144 points giving us great value on a score that fails ti eclipse this totals offering. Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)Central Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)TULSA is 19-6 UNDER L/25 in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 . CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TULSA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games are 34-9 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 135 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-06-23 | Niagara v. Notre Dame OVER 125.5 | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the low 130s which qualifies on this Totals offering to the over. I know Notre Dame is expected to play tough D, this season buy Im betting they do some damage offensively tonight against a under rated Niagara team that will also answer back with enough production to help us get this over bet to cash. NBA teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (NOTRE DAME) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 13+ losses in last 15 games, bad team from last season (20% to 40%) playing a team that had a winning record last year are 25-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-04-23 | Suns v. 76ers OVER 220.5 | 100-112 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Sometimes afternoon games have a tendency to see teams start slowly which effects offensive production . But according to my projections this line is still off and a tad to low. PHOENIX is 23-12 OVER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. Nurse is 57-34 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached in his career with a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 36-23 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 42-14 OVER L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots 52-15 OVER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the over |
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11-03-23 | Wizards v. Heat UNDER 226.5 | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a total combined score that will reach the low 220s which gives us at least a 1 /2 possession edge on this offered number to the under. MIAMI in their L/12 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving 2 struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 31-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 216 ppg going on the board. Play under |
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11-01-23 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 228 | 109-133 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are having problems scoring, thanks in part the absence of Morant, Steven Adams (knee), Brandon Clarke (Achilles), Luke Kennard (concussion) and Santi Aldama (ankle). The cohesiveness is just not there and that will once again hamper their point production here in Salt Lake City tonight . The Grizzlies is well aware of this and will be focused on good transitional D instead of trying to run and gun which will effect this total to the under. MEMPHIS is 15-4 UNDER against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored,
MEMPHIS in their L/12 games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 50% or worse, has seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored, MEMPHIS is 14-3 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving 2 struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 31-2 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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10-30-23 | Wolves v. Hawks UNDER 232.5 | 113-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Wolves have started out their campaign exhibiting very good defensive posture in transition, and Im betting they will continue that type of play here on the road vs a team that they know like to run and gun. Minnesota has allowed 97 and 90 points in their 2 games , and are more than capable of slowing down a Atlanta side, that Im betting is on tired legs playing their 3rd game in 4 night and that will be in regression mode after a big upset win on the road vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. It must also be noted that the Hawks HC coach Quinn Snyder, wants to see better defense from his team and has made that clear multiple times in press conferences . With that said, Im betting on a much more defensive affair here than the linesmkaers expect. MINNESOTA is 19-9 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.6 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 17-7 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 95 points or less against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 44-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with a combined 227.4 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ATLANTA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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10-29-23 | Spurs v. Clippers UNDER 228.5 | 83-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
I know both these sides have been involved in high scoring games in both times they have been on the court thus far this season, but my own projections based on coaching tendencies and the type of usual hoops implemented Im betting on a more conservative affair. Lue is 34-19 UNDER off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of LA CLIPPERS with a combined average of 217.6 ppg scored. (Clippers lost in Utah last time out as favs118-120 ) LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - off a home win, sub par team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 27-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-27-23 | Pistons v. Hornets UNDER 227 | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that the Pistons will score between 103 and 108 points. Note: CHARLOTTE is 13-0 UNDER when they allow 103 to 108 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.5 ppg scored. Im also projecting that Charlotte will score between 109 and 114 points. DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER when they allow 109 to 114 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 214.6 ppg scored. Advantage to the under based on my projections NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - off a home win, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 26-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored. Play under |
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10-24-23 | Suns v. Warriors OVER 232 | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 22 m | Show | |
I cannot see alot of defense being played by the Suns this season with Devin Booker, Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal running and gunning with all out wreck-less abandon. Im betting your going to need to score at a high rate to compete with the Suns, and tonight thats what Im betting the capable Golden state offense will be up to doing. My own projections estimate both these sides will score 214 or more points . Note:PHOENIX is 23-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 246.9 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 31-4 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 248.9 ppg scored. Golden State had an average implied point total of 120.1 last season, which is 3.1 points higher than its implied total in Tuesday’s game (117).Last season, Golden State scored more than 117 points in a game 50 times.The 116.1-point average implied total last season for Phoenix is 1.1 more points than the team’s 115-point implied total in this matchup. PHOENIX is 16-5 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241.3 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 208.5 | 89-94 | Loss | -114 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Im betting Miami comes out here ready to leave everything on the floor in last ditch effort to stave off elimination and that alone will elevate their expected point total. Meanwhile the capable Nuggets playing on their own home floor with championship aspirations just a victory away will reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game I have pegged to eclipse this total. MIAMI in their L/35 games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 223.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 26-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 37-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play over |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets v. Heat OVER 214.5 | 109-94 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
When these teams played here in Miami back in Feb the Nuggets won 112-108 and my current line and total projections estimate a number closer to 219/220 giving us 3 full possession value with an over wager. I know the Heat will continue to be physical and try disrupt the Nuggets flow . However, with time to adjust and shake off some rust Im betting the Nuggets come out here in very aggressive fashion and force the Heat to reciprocate with some fire works of their own or be blown off the court, which will translate into a higher score than the lines-makers anticipate. DENVER is 18-7 OVER off a home loss over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.9 ppg scored. Malone is 15-5 OVER off a close home loss by 3 points or less as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 224 ppg scored. Over is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. MIAMI is 20-11 OVER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 11-4 in Heat last 15 home games.Over is 19-7 in Heat last 26 games following a straight up win.Over is 13-5 in Heat last 18 games following a ATS win.Over is 20-8 in Heat last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 118-74 OVER L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 226-158 OVER L/27 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play over |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 219 | 93-104 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 19 m | Show | |
After a grueling 7 game series vs the Celtics the Heat will be on tired legs here and in an emotional letdown spot, that will have them unable to play a physical style of defensive ball. On the flip side the Nuggets are well rested and healthy and should come out here on fire ready to run and gun. This combination Im betting will see this Totals offering eclipsed in more wide open game than the lines-makers are expecting. Over is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Denver.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 38-14 OVER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 203.5 | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 34 h 2 m | Show | |
Im betting game 7 of this series will be a grueling take no prisoners physical type of event that will have both sides focused on precise mistake free hoops out of transition. That Im betting will make for a lower scoring event that does not eclipse this total.BOSTON is 10-0 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games following a straight up loss.NBA ( BOSTON/ MIAMI) - in a playoff game, in the 7th game of a playoff series is 60-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show | |
The Celtics in their last two games are playing their best defensive basketball of the season, and Im betting they keep the pressure on tonight against a Miami Heat side that has regressed since game three of this series. Im expecting a very physical game here, as the proverbial noose gets tighter around the neck of the Heat, and with elimination at hand for the Celtics for them to be even more attentive in transition, which will combine to keep this game on the lower side this offered totals number .BOSTON is 9-0 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 149-94 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Miami.Play under |
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05-25-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 215.5 | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The Celtics top tier D, was finally on display last time out holding the Heat to under triple digits and Im betting on more top tier defensive hoops from the Celtics in transition tonight and for the Heat to suffer further offensive regression after a top tier performance in game 3 of this series.BOSTON is 8-0 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 201.3 ppg scored.MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER in road games after scoring 100 points or less this season. with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 74-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 224.5 | 113-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lakers are now 1 loss away from losing this series and suffering a sweep at the hands of the Denver Nuggets. Now in desperation mode Im betting on a hugely aggressive effort from the senior laden Lakers, that will see them leave everything on the floor . As has been evident of late, the Nuggets just wont go away and give this game to the Lakers, but instead fire back with offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt that Im betting eclipses this total.
DENVER is 48-33 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.9 ppg scored. Over is 6-1-1 in Nuggets last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 6-1-1 in Nuggets last 8 road games.Over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 Conference Finals games. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 34-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 85-43 OVER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 33-16-2 in the last 51 meetings.Over is 15-7-2 in the last 24 meetings in Los Angeles. Play over |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 222.5 | 119-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Because the Lakers are backed into the proverbial corner after going down 2-0 in this series Im betting they come here in aggressive run and gun fashion and the Nuggets will have no choice but to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown of the court. Advantage to the over. Note: LA LAKERS in their L/36 games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 33-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
The Nuggets came out of gate in game 1 running and gunning , but looked a little weary in the 2nd half of that tilt with the pace dropping perceptively and the Lakers adjusting on defense. Under is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 11-4-1 in Lakers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 11-3-1 in Nuggets last 15 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 home games. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 43-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA play off Game 2’s after a Game 1 over result , have seen the under go 41-26 for a 70% conversion rate for bettors in the last five seasons. Play under |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets OVER 222.5 | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
The L/3 meetings in this series during the current campaign have all eclipsed this total and my projections once again anticipate a score in the mid 220s which gives is a full possession advantage to the over. Considering the Lakers are a top tier side in transition on offense while the Nuggets ae a weak transition defense you can bet the Lakers will press which will force the home side to be even more aggressive offensively and what could easily be a run and gun game 1. LA LAKERS are 17-6 OVER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg going on the scoreboard.LA LAKERS are 23-14 OVER as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored. DENVER is 42-23 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.7 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers OVER 227.5 | 97-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that Golden State will allow 115+ points here tonight. GOLDEN STATE is 25-6 OVER when they allow 115 to 120 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.6 ppg. Meanwhile, the LA LAKERS are 13-4 OVER when they score 115 to 120 points in a game this season with a combined average of 237 ppg going on the board. Advantage over. Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a straight up win.Over is 38-15 in Warriors last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 37-17-2 in Warriors last 56 road games. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 OVER in road games after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 241 ppg scored..GOLDEN STATE is 14-3 OVER )on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 17-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Ham is 41-26 OVER sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 236.5 ppg scored. Over is 11-2 in Lakers last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play over |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks OVER 207.5 | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
This matchup according to my projections estimate a combined score that eclipses this totals offering and should be closer to 211. Thanks to the Knicks top tier defensive play against another defensive minded team the Cleveland Cavs in their last series this total is now a little tainted in my opinion and offers value for over bettors even if key offensive cog- Randle misses this game for the Knicks.
NEW YORK is 17-7 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 238.3 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-2 OVER in April games this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - after allowing 100 points or less 3 straight games are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 235 | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
We are getting into clutch time in this series, and Im now betting we begin to see a more physical type of basketball that leans on the conservative side. My own projections make this game closer to a 231 which gives us almost two full possessions value on this line offering from the books to the under. Under is 20-8-1 in Kings last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 9-4-1 in Warriors last 14 home games.SACRAMENTO is 14-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combine average of 230.5 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 13-4 UNDER in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season with a combined average of 227.9 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 UNDER in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 22-9 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 41-19 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 71-28 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
I know these sides have eclipsed the total in 7 straight meetings and there are a ton of over trends. However, Im betting that the Heat will be in bubble mode tonight and will be conservative in transition knowing that the Bucks will come at them with everything they have. That in itself bodes well for a score that does not eclipse this total. The Heat are 2nd in ppg allowed and 29th in pace in the league and 30th in ppg production and we will see why these stats had been established this season, MIAMI is 14-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average 212.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI/MILWAUKEE ) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 5th game of a playoff series are 30-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average score of those 34 tilts clicking in at 202.4 ppg. Play under |
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04-23-23 | Cavs v. Knicks OVER 206.5 | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 Afternoon pro basketball can sometimes be a little bit slower and low scoring as it takes time for bodies that are used to playing most of their games in the evening to get acclimated to early starts . However, this total is just a little bit over done to the low side according to my estimates even though these two sides have taken part in 3 lower scoring affairs . ( My totals projection took into consideration that NEW YORK is 20-10 OVER as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored and that in Cleveland last 14 games as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. Also Bickerstaff in 8 road games after a combined score of 185 points or less as the coach of CLEVELAND has seen a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 36-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 25-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.2 ppg scored. Play over |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 240.5 | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 235 which gives us close to 2 full possession advantage to the under. SACRAMENTO is 13-3 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored . GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with combined average off 228 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER in home games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season with s combined 216 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 UNDER after 4 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 219 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 54-16 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion. Play on the under |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers OVER 213.5 | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia poured down 121 points in game 1 for the hefty DD win. The Nets will now have to become more aggressive offensively, while the Sixers will have not problem obliging them with a full blown offensive attack in response. BROOKLYN is 15-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 28-9 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 15-6 OVER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this seasons with combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 77-36 OVER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 56-25 OVER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |