Miami enters this game 4th in points per game allowed and 25th in pace and  have not scored more than 99 points in 7 of their L/14 games, with 10 of those games staying under the total. The Heat ranked 26h in ppg offensive production . Meanwhile, Indiana enters this game ranked 23rd in pace and 2nd in ppg allowed in the league also struggling to score of late, ranking 22nd in scoring in a clash that has the makings of physical low scoring affair. 

 NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team ARE 43-18 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 67-37 UNDER  L/5 season for a 65% conversion rate on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

Both these teams enter this game knowing that they have to play again tomorrow. Thus I expect both will be out to make sure they don't take part in a run and gun hoops affair. This is Atlantas usually an all out take not prisoners team will now play theur fifth straight road game so their running on empty anyway. Meanwhile, Utah is one of the NBAs top defensive teams, that is off a a rare nasty Defensive performance last time out allowing 132 points to Portland in a DD loss, so they will want to settle things down in a hurry and get their defensive posture back in gear.This is the perfect type of team to get their mojo back against. The L/2 games these teams played last year resulted in low scoring affairs, (with 192 and 194 combined pointed scored an another lower scoring game Im betting will be on tonights agenda. The L/4 meetings here in Salt Lake City have gone under. Note: 

UTAH is 13-3 UNDER  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with he average combined score of those games clicking in at 199.1 ppg. Atlanta took park in a high scoring affair last time out, in a 113-135 loss to Sacramento, in their /15 games in  road games after a combined score of 245 points or more they have seen a their combined scores substantially curtailed as is evident by a 213 point combined output average. 

Play UNDER 

It's interesting to note that despite of how fast paced the Oklahoma City Thunder have played this season ( 4th in pace), they are a team that ranks 3rd overall in defensive efficiency, and must not be underestimated in their stopping abilities. Meanwhile, Miami is ranked 6th in defensive efficiency in the NBA, behind the 25th ranked pace and own the 26th ranked offensive output at 105.3 ppg and have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 of their L/8 games. The Heat compete because of their D, and Im betting they will be especially vigilante in this spot vs a side that comes at opponents behind the  top tier  guard play of Westbrook .  With that said, Im betting on Miamis scoring woes to continue, and for Oklahoma City to not be as fluent as usual vs a stingy side that has the ability to both slow the pace, and the Thunders aggressiveness in transition. this Im betting leads to a combined score that stays below this Total. 

Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 8-0 in Heat last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 214 ppg scored.    MIAMI is 11-2 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.4 ppg scored. 

Thunder have gone under 5 straight times as 10 point or less road favs with 2 days rest and  4-19 UNDER  2/1 rest situation vs non-conference opposition . The Heat have gone under in 5 straight games and are 0-9 UNDER L9 vs the Thunder  and 0-6 UNDER as non-conference Home dogs and  4-19 UNDER with a  conference game  on deck  if they prepare to play on back to back days. 

Play UNDER 

No body and I mean no body and can beat the Warriors on their own home floor in a run and gun duel and Im betting Philadelphia wont try that here. Yes, there will be plenty of points going on the board here , but the Sixers need their defence to stand tall to compete  and Im betting they get down and dirty  in attempt to somehow disrupt their opponents flow and downtown shooting circus. This will directly effect what the combined fine score will be. It must be noted that 76ers HC   Brown is 14-1 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 198.8 ppg scored and is 12-2 UNDER  12-2 UNDER  in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48%  or more of their shots with a combined average of 206.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 44-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

The Nets enter this tilt against San Antonio off a 122-117 home win over Chicago that allowed Brooklyn to improve to 11-3 in January,. This Nets team is playing never say die brand of basketball and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover and cash a ticket here for us in Texas tonight. Meanwhile, San Antonio is off a very hard fought 126-124 win over a bottom feeder in Phoenix on Tuesday and overall looked sloppy in that game. Im betting their lack of execution will effect their ability to manhandle or easily defeat the road dog in this spot.

BROOKLYN is 12-1 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are a perfect 9-0 100% this season. 

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

 The Milwaukee Bucks will be trying to win the season series with the Toronto Raptors on Thursday night when they visit Scotiabank Arena. Toronto is well rested with 3 days rest but in the past this has not seen them do well failing to cover 5 straight times. 

The Raptors lost the first two meetings before winning 123-116 in Milwaukee on Jan. 5, but Im betting the Bucks are are the slightly better  team and will get the cover here this evening. The series visitor is 5-1 ATS L/6. 

TORONTO is 9-23 ATS in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48%  or better of their shots.

Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.

MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.TORONTO is 13-24 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Dallas played last night in New York notching a win vs the hapless Knicks  and will now be on tired legs and susceptible to getting caught in a letdown spot vs a hungry Detroit team desperate for wins and in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Mavs 5 days ago in Dallas (106-101)

NBA Favorites (DETROIT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a road win are 197-133 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

DALLAS is 4-15 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two sub par defensive teams (102 or more  PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 7-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover

The Timberwolves  with revenge on board for a ugly 100-87 loss they suffered to the Grizzlies  back on Nov 18 at home, will  now be in a perfect spot for revenge as they face a  team that will be without three players: forward Omri Casspi (knee), guard Garrett Temple (shoulder) and guard Dillon Brooks (toe). Forward JaMychal Green (knee) is questionable and and if he plays will be less than 100%. Memphis is not only short handed , and beat up but exhausted as well as this will be their 8th game in 14 days , which is not a good omen for them covering here tonight. The Grizzlies showed how tired they were last time out vs Denver by blowing a historic 25 point lead and losing 98-95 to Denver.  Note: MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. \

The Grizzlies 0-10  SU/ATS L/10 as a dog with less than two days rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home and it is before the All-Star break with all the losses coming by 10 points or more. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 90-46 ATS L22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 36-4 SU L/22 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10.6 ppg.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 

The NY Knicks are currently employing a more conservative transition based style of D, which has resulted in 4 straight UNDERs, including 5 UNDERs in their L/6 trips to the hardwood and in their L/3 have not scored more than 99 points, while holding their L/3 opponents to 109, 106, 101 points in downward trajectory fashion.  NYK know they will face a revenge minded team tonight and  will continue Im betting play a conservative brand of basketball in order to take their opponents out of their flow. This Im betting will result in a much lower scoring tilt than the lines makers might expect. DALLAS is 31-19 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. (Dallas lost to the Knicks 118-106 back in Nov at home)

Dallas lost to Toronto 123-120  last time out, in a run and gun affair, and will now be on tired legs after that event. 

Under is 9-0 in Mavericks last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 8-1 in Mavericks last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

The Mavericks are 0-15 L/15 UNDER as a favorite off a home game with a combined average score of 203.5 ppg scored.The Knicks are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range and it is before the All-Star break with the combined average score of 204.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 791-615 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 56% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

No Anthony Davis in the lineup means there is little or no respect for the Pelicans . That is obvious by the line here in Houston against the Rockets with line being slightly bloated according to my own numbers. Needless to say these Pelicans have a chip on their shoulders, and will use that as a motivating factor here tonight. QUOTE:"We're still not giving up," New Orleans coach Alvin Gentry said. "We're not giving up on our season, if that's what everybody thinks. We've just got to keep plugging away, and some kind of way we're going to get this thing turned around. END QUOTE: 

New Orleans is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 as +8 or more underdog and are 9-0 ATS off a home loss which they suffered last time out to San Antonio. 

Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less.

NBA Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less are 34-9 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

The Magic slowed things down considerably in their two most recent games vs  Houston and Washington, scoring 91 and 98 points respectively, in low scoring affairs that saw them allow 103 and 95 points on defence. Today against an explosive Thunder side, I expect more of the same conservative hoops, and prolonged scoring droughts that has become synonymous with Magic basketball. 

The Magic are 0-19-1 UNDER with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.  None of the games eclipsed this Total.

The Thunder are 0-6-1 UNDER  with less than two days rest off a home game in which they shot under 60% from the free throw line with none of the games eclipsing this total. 

 Donovan L/20 games  after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 203.3 ppg being scored. 

Play UNDER

The Bucks, off a rare loss last time out,   and will be out looking for  redemption  and a season series sweep vs a Pistons that they matchup very well against as is evident by a  121-98 on New Year's Day  beat down. It must be noted that the   Bucks have not lost two in a row all season and are 11-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite off a loss with all the wins by 6 points or more. ( the books know this that's why the 6.5 point hook line).Note: DETROIT is 0-8 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with he average point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg. 

Milwaukee has dominated its Central Division opponents this season, posting an 8-1 record and tonight Im betting on another victory and more importantly a cover.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Atlanta is playing alot better and are a .500 team over their L/18 games and are 6-6 ATS in their L/12 road tilts. Meanwhile, the Clippers, despite of winning 3 of their L/4 games, have looked less then dominating, and have lost 9 of their L/14 home games straight up. From a historical perspective the Hawks have been a viable side to back here covering 16 of their L/25 visits to LALA land and get my support taking points tonight vs a Clippers side on tired legs after playing last night against run and gun Sacramento. Note: The Clippers are 0-10 ATS L/10 at home with no rest . 

The Hawks also have revenge on board for a 127-119 loss at home to the Clippers back in late November and lost in their L/visit here last season, by a 108-107 count. Note: The Clippers   are  0-11 ATS at home with no rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. Also Atlanta is 6-0 ATS away at Western Conference venues as a underdog vs  .550  or less opponents when playing with same-season home loss revenge. 

Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are good long term bets going 348-248 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Celtics played a hard fought game vs the Golden State Warriors last time out losing a 115-111 heart breaker. The young men from Boston played their hearts out and left everything on the floor and still fell short. Now in an emotional letdown situation this Beatdown hoops crew will now face the difficult task of going against a hard working Nets team on a 6 game win streak that plays basketball with a never say die attitude. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with the visitors. 

 The Nets are 22-0-1 ATS and have won 9 straight SU on the road with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range and it is before the All-Star break.The Celtics are 0-7 ATS/SU at home with rest off a game as a dog after a loss in which they made more field goals than their opponent.

BROOKLYN is 22-12 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. BROOKLYN is 35-22 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The defending champion Golden State Warriors are in a groove and currently hitting on all cylinders. Thanks to over powering 10 game  run and wining streak , they are being made 9 point favs here on the opening line, which is bloated in my humble opinion, giving us value on the disrespected  home underdog Indiana getting points. Note:Indiana is 18-6 SU at home this season , while Golden State is just 12-13 ATS on the road and are on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game and are off a hard-fought battle vs the Celtics last time out. 

GOLDEN STATE is 4-16 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.INDIANA is 17-5 ATS L/22 as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.

NBAHome underdogs (INDIANA) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-13 ATS L/22 season for a 75% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

My own  line of 227 on this tilt  is 6 points off of what is being offered thus using  my projections Im betting we have value with an under wager here today between two top tier teams. I see this line as pandering to public perceptions and what is  obvious high scoring offences. Note: MILWAUKEEs L/45 games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons has seen high scoring games, but the average combined score only clicks in at 226.2 ppg which is right about where a place that total.   it must be noted that the Bucks have gone under in 7 of their L/9 games, while playing a top tier brand of defence  behind the No1 ranked top rated D efficiency in the league. Yes, Oklahoma City has been shooting the lights out of late, but it must be noted that  HC Donovan is 21-8 UNDER  after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 207.1 ppg. Oklahoma City also owns the 4th ranked defensive efficiency in the NBA . 

.The L/5 meetings have gone under the total. 

The Bucks are 0-16-1  UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average score of 184.3 ppg scored with none of the games seeing more than 207 combined points scored. The Bucks are also 2-20-1 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with the average combined score of those games at 188.7 ppg with non going higher than 218 combined points. 

The Thunder are 3-26  UNDER as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average of 199 ppg scored and none of the game have seen more than 218 points go on the board.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average score of 218.1 ppg  scored and  is 8-1 UNDER after a game where they attempted 100 or more shots this season with a combined average of 212.9 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Denver will go against a 76ers team playing without key cogs Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler tonight. That puts the 76ers at a big disadvantage vs a side that has revenge on board for last seasons 123-104 loss at Philadelphia. I know Denver played last night, in a 132-95 win vs Phoenix but they did not over use any of their players with no one seeing more than 29 minutes of playing time. Their much fresher than the the back to back efforts might indicate and get the nod here as fairly hefty home  favs .DENVER is 13-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. 

The 76ers are 0-14 ATS/SU as a road dog off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 45 rebounds per game and HC Brown is 3-15 ATS  off a close home win by 3 points or less as the coach of PHILADELPHIA which was the case in a hard fought 122-120 win vs San Antonio last time out. 

Play on Denver to cover 

With Joel Embidd and Jimmy Butler expected not to play tonight for the 76ers Im betting  their flow and offensive output will be great curtailed. Instead I expect HC Brown to implement a game plan that focuses on good defensive hoops, and fundamental ball control tactics.  That expected strategy I expect will lead to a lower scoring game than the linesmakers might expect between two top tier teams. Note:Brown is 40-22 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored.

The Nuggets are 0-10 UNDER L/10 by more than 15 ppg  at home off a 10+ win in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent which was the case last night in their win vs Phoenix. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 41-18 L/22seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

Ill take -3 or less with the Spurs  on the road any time its available  vs a side like New Orleans that is expected to play without their  super star Anthony Davis, even though they themselves will play without DeRozan.  I know the Pelicans play a team orientated style  of hoops and move the rock around with consistency but the  Spurs do well against these types of teams and  are 10-0 ATS L/10 going against  an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.San Antonio owns a 44-18 all-time mark against the Pelicans and has won 18 of the 31 games between the teams in New Orleans and lost to NO the last time they played here, but it must be noted that SAN ANTONIO is 14-0 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 23-6 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Milwaukee is the NBAs  2nd most proficient offensive  team  averaging  117.6 points per game behind the 5th ranked pace. The Bucks do preach a defence first mentality, but tonight against a Charlotte team that has upped their offensive output of late, and looking fluid with their ball movement, Im expecting the Bucks to have to put points on the board in frequent fashion. This Im betting will lead to a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this number. 

CHARLOTTE is 15-6 OVER  when the total is 220 to 230 this season.The Bucks are 11-0-1 OVER  as a 8+ favorite off a home game with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg scored.The Bucks are 10-0 OVER L/10 as a home favorite off a home game when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average of 237.3 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Houston is a team that needs James Harden to play at an optimal level at all times. He is off a game vs NYK where he scored 61 points and barley got his team in the win column by a 114-110 count. Im now expecting a natural letdown situation to occur and for Harden to just be above average rather than play a super man role. To beat Toronto you have to have a complete team effort, and his supporting cast is not playing up to par, which makes them fade material in this spot, mostly because of their shaky defensive play that has seen them allow 112.2 ppg at home this season. Note: Chris Paul and Clint Capela are less than 100% and if they play may see very limited time. Meanwhile, the Raptors are expected to be a full strength. 

D'Antoni is 7-18 ATS ) against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of HOUSTON. HOUSTON overall  is 3-12 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

 The Rockets are 1-15 ATS/SU   as a dog with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. The Rockets are also  0-8 ATS/SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 27 points from 3s.The Raptors are 13-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. 

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

Washington foolishly  got  themselves involved into a run and gun affair with Golden State on Thursday night, and are now completely exhausted going into a back to back situation. The banged up Wizards exhausted three starters at least 39 minutes and come into this game with an empty tank, something that the inconsistent Magic should be able to take advantage of on their own home floor. 

The Magic are 20-0-2 ATS /22-0 SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.The Wizards are 0-11 ATS/SU as a road dog with no rest after they had 3+ players with 20+ points. 

WASHINGTON is 3-15 ATS  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season and 0-10 ATS  in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

Without the injured Anthony Davis in the Pelicans lineup its obvious they are far less prolific offensively and instead are relying on a more conservative brand of basketball, as has been evident  in their last two games, where they saw fairly low scoring games, beating Memphis by a 105-85 count and then losing to 94-98 to Detroit. Here tonight against a explosive Oklahoma City team, Im betting on them playing a physical methodical brand of hoops that will base itself on paying attention to ball control in transition.  This Im betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. 

The Pelicans are 0-12 UNDER as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored, with the games going under by an average of more than 18 ppg. The Thunder are 0-6  L/6 UNDER off a home game when they shot better than 50 percent from the field their last two with a combined average of 196.5 ppg. 

HC Donovan in his L/52  as a favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 211.2 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER 

Washington is coming off its best defensive effort of the season, a 101-87 win over the Detroit Pistons on Monday. The Wizards held the Pistons to just 34 points in the opening half . That type of basketball will serve them well vs the leagues most explosive team the Golden State Warriors. I know the  Warriors defeated the visiting Wizards 144-122 on Oct. 24 in a wide open affair, but Washington has transitioned into a different team since then thanks in part to losing John Wall, and the often injured Dwight Howard. With that said, Im betting on the Wizards doing everything they can to slow the champs down, in an effort to compete and have an opportunity to pull off a unlikely upset. This combination of projected events will Im betting keep this score on the low side  of the Total. 

The Warriors are 1-14-2 UNDER with more than one day of rest off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 206 ppg going on the board. None of the 17 tilts eclipsed this total. 

The Warriors are 0-10-1 UNDER  as a road favorite after their opponent shot under 60% from the free throw line with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. 

The Wizards are 0-15 UNDER by more than 17 ppg as a 8+ dog off a win as a favorite when the line is at least 12 points higher than their last game with the combined average score of 184.9 ppg scored.

GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.

 GOLDEN STATE L/46  road games where the total is greater than or equal to 230 since 1996 have seen a combined average of 232.6 ppg scored. Kerr is 23-11 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 43-10 UNDER  L/22  seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. None of the 53 games eclipsed this Total. 

Play on the UNDER 

 Denver has lost their L/7 trips to the Salt Lake  City to play the Jazz and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Look  for a very motivated effort from a revenge minded Jazz side that  lost an embarrassing  103-88  road battle in the Mile High City back in November. Note:  Home favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 78-16 L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. (Utah lost to Portland last time out, and were thumped  by DD vs the Nuggets the when they played earlier this season)

Home team is 9-0 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah.Favorite is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

Utah is 15-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.DENVER is 8-22 ATS  after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is 2-12 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons

Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.Jazz are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Jazz are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Jazz are 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.

 Home teams (UTAH) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

This will be the second of four meetings between the Hawks and Bulls. Chicago took the first game 97-85 in Atlanta on Oct. 27. The Bulls have now won the past five games against Atlanta and  the Hawks are one of the few teams that they matchup well against. Meanwhile, Atlanta despite of playing better of late, still have not found a consistent way to win on the road where they have lost 19 of 25 games and are once again fade material. 

ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS  versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5  or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are101-22 L/5 seasons and 7-0 100% perfect this season.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover 

he Indiana Pacers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Raptors earlier this month as road dogs it was their 2nd loss to the Raptors. The Pacers have been good bets in the past when they have same season double revenge on board in this series  cashing 3 of their L/4 . Tonight against a tired Raptors team that played last night against run and gun Sacramento Im betting the angry home team will avenge those earlier defeats. Note: Indiana is 6-0 SU/ ATS L/6 at home vs teams playing back to back nights like the Raptors.

After a 120-96 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday, Pacers forward Thaddeus Young had a message for his teammates.

QUOTE"If we want to consider ourselves an elite team or one of those top-tier teams, it starts with beating them," Young said Tuesday after practice. "I told them, 'We don't beat them, then everyone is going to continue to look at us the same way they do now: not in that class. In order to be in that class, we have to beat those teams. And we haven't done it yet. Not lately.' END QUOTE 
With that said, look for a Indian team with alot to prove to be in top form tonight looking for revenge and statatement win. 

NBA team vs the money line (INDIANA) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 29-7 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors 

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more. are 2-29 SU L/5 seasons 94% conversion rate with the average point diff clicking in at 12 ppg. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Toronto is on tired legs after playing last night, and the Pacers are defence first team.  This combination Im betting leads to a lower scoring game than the lines-makers are projecting. 

INDIANA is 12-1 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg scored.INDIANA is 12-1 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 196.9 ppg scored and s 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or kess turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 201.5 ppg scored.INDIANA is 12-2 UNDER  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.

The Pacers are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when the line is within three of pick off a win in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 198.9 ppg scored. None of the games went over this total. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 33-9 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Portland enters this game  on tired legs after a back and forth teeter totter affair last night in a game they won by a 109-104 score over the Utah Jazz  in Salt Lake City. Now exhausted they will be in the precarious position of having to deal with a explosive Oklahoma City squad. Needless to say I doubt the Blazers will want to run and gun here, and will be out looking to play a more conservative brand of transitional basketball instead which will see very few fast breaks which in turn will directly skew the total combined score to the low side. Note:  The Trailblazers are 0-9 L/9 UNDER off a game as a dog that had at least eight lead changes going under by more than 16 ppg with the average combined score clicking in at 202.3 ppg. Also PORTLAND is 10-1 UNDER off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208 ppg scored.

In Portlands L/32 games when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons a combined average of 219.1 ppg were scored.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-10 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. 

Under is 20-8 in Trail Blazers last 28 vs. Western Conference.Under is 20-8 in Trail Blazers last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 road games.

Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 38-16 in Thunder last 54 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 24-9-2 in the last 35 meetings in Oklahoma City.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY/PORTLAND) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 34-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

My projected Totals estimate for this game, is closer to 215 thus according to those projections we have value with an under wager here. 

Utah is well rested and will be ready to play a free flowing Portland team physically here today in an effort to slow their offensive efficiency. The Jazz have held 4 of their L/6 opponents to 99 points or under, and are currently playing the kind of D we have come to expect from this hardcore blue collar group behind the 3rd ranked ppg allowed and 3rd best defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Portland owns the 18th rank pace, and when they are not allowed to flow and connect are a team that can falter, as was the case here in Utah when they visited here back in December scoring just 96 points which followed up scoring just 90 points against the Jazz at home a couple days earlier. Im betting on a repeat type of combined score here tonight in Salt Lake City.

UTAH is 14-6 UNDER  after playing a home game this season with a combined average of 205.7 ppg scored.UTAH is 15-5 UNDER  in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 season

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH/PORTLAND) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 206.2 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER 

The struggling Orlando Magic, visit the up trending Atlanta Hawks in a holiday matinee Monday afternoon in a tilt that Im betting favors the home team.Atlanta is currently  in 12th place in the East, one spot behind Orlando, but has been the better of the two of late, going 8-8 SU in its last 16 games. 

ORLANDO is 18-31 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46%or less  on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or better of their shots are just 32-86 L5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 32-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Clippers are currently in disarray, and are having problems at both ends of the court,  as is evident by 5 straight losses, and are now going to play todays games without forward Danilo Gallinari (back) and  guard Lou Williams (Hamstring). With the Clippers offence not clicking on all cylinders of late, and injuries slowing them, Im betting a more concerted defensive effort will be on tonights agenda vs a San Antonio Spurs side, that has gone under in 7 of their L/9 at home as favorites with the combined average score of 209.4 ppg scored. 

Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under is 5-0 in Clippers last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Under is 7-1 in Clippers last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 road games.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play UNDER 

Oh boy how far the Cavs have fallen since the departure of their superstar LeBron James. Just take a look this line, and you will see their down quite a bit in the eyes of the public and lines makers. But pros don't like to be embarrassed, and now the NBA has embraced and accepted betting lines, you can bet that all the Cavs are aware of how thye are being perched tonight in the Mile High City and will be out to prove their detractors wrong and at least be competitive. I know the Cavs took it on the chin last night in Utah by a 115-99 count, but their well conditioned and young enough to push tonight and get us the cover on a slightly bloated line.

 Denver exploded on the ChicagoBulls last time out after being humbled by the Warriors in their previous game, but now after back to back all out efforts could be an a natural letdown spot here.The Nuggets are 0-12 ATS at home after they shot 50% or better from beyond the arc and are 6-6 SU in those games with non coming by more than 7 points.

DENVER is 0-7 ATS after scoring 120 points or more this season.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - excellent offensive team (102 PPG or better ) against a sub par defensive team (102 PPG or more) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 23-51 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

 Atlanta is up trending in my power rankings and are 7-7 SU in their L/14 games and deserve my respect here in this spot vs Boston on their own home court. The market thanks to the public money has pushed this line up  giving me an edge here with the home dog Hawks.  I know the Celtics have beat up on these kids in DD wins so far this season, but Atlanta as mentioned above is playing much better hoops of late and improving . Meanwhile, Boston is off playing last night vs Memphis  in a hard fought home win and on tired legs. This situation is a good omen for us here behind the young legs  of a Hawks group that is 4-0 ATS as dogs against unrested opposition this campaignvand that are  3-0-1 ATS at home when playing with 3 or more days of rest.  It must be noted that the Celtics are  just  0-6 ATS and 1-5 SU as road favs without rest.

Stevens is 2-15 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON.BOSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Oklahoma City played a hard fought tilt last time out, and than lost in OT by 10 points to the Lakers , which is a huge drain on a team both emotionally and physically. Now travelling from West to East going against a Philadelphia team that is starting to uptrend both from a talent and maturity level, and that plays their best hoops at home Im betting the Thunder will be on the wrong end of this score when the final buzzer goes off. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS  off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Even if J Embild does not play today for the 76ers Im betting they find a way to win. 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50%  or more of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 59-9 L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

Golden State is playing some top tier basketball at the moment , but their hosts the LAClippers have proven themselves to be very competitive group vs strong units,  and  are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 with the underdog recording a  4-0 ATS record  in the last 4 meetings. Earlier this season, the Warriors beat the Clippers by a 129-127 count at home, and now with revenge on board, are ready to spring an upset and be very competitive again. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 25-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 54-21 ATS L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Warriors are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. Western Conference.Warriors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

GOLDEN STATE has failed to cover 19 of their L/25  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 3-15 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

Portland comes in off an easy 129-112 home victory over Cleveland and I am betting they will be much fresher than a Pelicans team playing their  4th consecutive road game on what will be a 5 game west coast road trip and also  off a hard fought emotional back and forth loss to the Golden State Warriors last time out. With Portland playing at home where they have won 19 of 26 games this season, they have an edge. Note: New Orleans has lost 18 of 24 road games this season and are 4-13 ATS off a road loss this season and  2-11 ATS after playing two consecutive road game this season. 

PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.PORTLAND is 39-26 ATS  in home games over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 59-109 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

This is a very high total, but for good reason, as these teams have a history of run and gun affairs with their L/9 games going over the set total with the most recent meeting seeing 256 combined points going on the board. The Warriors   are currently on a 6 game win streak and have not scored less than 119 points in any of the six victories on their winning run and are averaging 133.8 points over that stretch with the three pointers reigning down by the bucket  converting 18.6 treys per game during their current  blitz .  Im betting they come out running and gunning again, and for the Clippers to have no choice but to open up as well, in what will be another big time scoring fest. 

Warriors have gone over in 6 of their L/7 Dickson games  . Clips: 4-0 O/U in their  4th straight home game / 9-1 OVER L10 as div dogs  and have gone 6 of 7 times at home vs .600 or better opposition. LA CLIPPERS are 11-1 OVER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 GOLDEN STATE/(LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 60-20 OVER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

These teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. With Brooklyn winning 15 of 20 while Orlando has lost 15 of their L/20. However, Orlando after losing a  120-115 overtime road loss against the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday a game that that were leading late, are in desperation mode, and feeling a little humiliated which Im betting makes them dangerous in this spot. Meanwhile, the Nets  exerted alot of energy last time out making big time comebacks in regulation and  then eventually in overtime Wednesday to record a surprising 145-142 road victory over a top tier  Houston Rocket side and could now easily be in an emotional letdown situation, making the home team a viable underdog here. 

The Magic have won 16 of their past 21 home games against the Nets.

Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.Magic are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Nets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

The Sixers are a upper echelon NBA team that still has some growing up to do, as their young roster still has not found a way to harness or sustain their energy levels.The Sixers despite of being ultra talented are inconsistent especially on the road where they find themselves tonight in Indiana to play the Pacers. Their futility when it comes to their betting backers bankrolls has been significantly effected as is evident by their sub .500 away record of 10-12 SU and 8-14 ATS. The Sixers also make a habit of following up explosive performances,  like the one they had last time out vs Minnesota ( 149-107)with average at best outputs as is evident by the following trends...PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more this season and is 2-10 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season and is 4-12 ATS after scoring 120 points or more this season. Tonight against a equally talented Pacers squad, Im betting their in trouble. Note: The 76ers are just 1-5 ATS vs .600 or better opposition on the road this season. With that said, Im recommending we take Indiana to cover as short home chalk. 

INDIANA is 33-16 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 39-26 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 8-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 6-28 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Golden State came out last night with something to prove and walloped the Denver Nuggets in a start to finish beatdown. Working that hard and exerting that much energy especially in the thin air of the Mile High City , and then hopping on a flight home, will Im betting see the champs exhausted and running on fumes as this game against the visiting Pelicans progresses .With that said, look for a offensively capable New Orleans squad to come out here and actually give the dubs a run for their money in Oakland tonight. 

The Warriors are 1-6 ATS L/7 at home with no rest and are 0-4 ATS when coming off a revenge tilt which they had last night vs the Nuggets for a previous loss.

NEW ORLEANS is 19-8 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 3-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a negative point diff of 0.7 ppg.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

 Boston and Toronto according to power rankings and  my head to head projections on a a neutral floor  are -2 chalk.  However, with Boston enjoying home court advantage here tonight, the line should be closer to Boston -3 at thus giving us value with this number. It must also be noted that the Raptors: 0-4 L4 in a division road game with the series host  going 7-0 ATS L/7. Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

The season series between the Raptors and Celtics is tied at 1, with each team winning at home. The Raptors won 113-101 on Oct. 19, and the Celtics won 123-116 in overtime Nov. 16

Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference. .Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Raptors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.Raptors are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

Celtics are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600..BOSTON is 14-3 ATS  in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.Stevens is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or more) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON.

NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Boston to cover 

The Magic are playing well as is evident by back to back wins vs top tier opponents the Boston Celtics and Houston Rockets. After those victories  Orlando is brimming with confidence, something the group from Motown is not exhibiting .  The Pistons have lost 15 of their L/19  overall and even when they work hard are losing, and now in a state of despair they are fade material.

Tonight despite of going against a lower tier Magic team their problems wont be easily taken care of, as the Magic sport a 7-1 ATS mark here on this floor while the Pistons, are 1-11 home vs .500 or less  non-div conference  opposition. 

DETROIT is 9-21 ATS in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA teams(DETROIT) - poor three point shooting team (33% or less) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 23-72 SU L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

Chicago under their new interim head coach Jim Boylen originally wanted to implement a defence first system, but that plan looks like it has gone out the window as the Bulls are taking part in run and gun games on a consistent basis of late, with their L/5 going over the total, with a combined average of 231 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, LAL since James went down with an injury has consistently struggled to score, and are averaging 99.2 ppg in tier L/5 to the hardwood. With the Lakers desperately trying to get their offence untracked, Im betting they will be more aggressive tonight vs a side that has allowed more than 123 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood.The combination of the Bulls lack of D, and the Lakers need to up the ante on offence Im expecting a fairly high scoring affair that goes over the set total. 

NBA road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a below average defensive team (102  or PPG), after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 30-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 225.2 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

 The Nuggets have been playing at a high level lately, especially at home, where they are 18-3 SU and have won their last 12, while the visiting defending champs Golden State have been playing very inconsistent  basketball despite of being healthy and from a betting perspective are just 4-11 ATS L/15 overall and not as ferocious as they once were. The last time these teams played here the Nuggets triumphed and Im betting they get the  cover here in this spot. 

 DENVER is 22-10 ATSwhen playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons

The Nuggets are 13-0 ATS/SU  at home with rest off a win in which there were eight-plus lead changes and it is before the All-Star break.DENVER is 12-1 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.DENVER is 17-5 ATS in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons

GOLDEN STATE is 2-14 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons . GOLDEN STATE is 8-18 ATS against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Hawks are starting to play much better basketball of late winning 7 of their L/14 SU and have  covered 10 of their L/18 overall  and despite of losing by DDs, to a top tier  Milwaukee side  in their last home game were competitive in that tilt for 3 quarters. Note: 

Hawks are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a double-digit loss at home.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.ATLANTA in their L/24 games  after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average point diff of 2.2 ppg.

In 18 home games this season this young Hawks side, has also not been an easy out with the average point differential clicking in at 6 ppg. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is only 12 -10 on the road this season, with the average point differential with coming by an average  roughy 3 ppg.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - poor three point shooting team (33% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are just 10-32 SU L/5 seasons  for a go against 76 % with the average point diff clicking in at 7.9 ppg.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Portland Blazers played a hard fought affair in the thin air of the Mile High City last night and lost to Denver. Now on tired legs they go go against the fastest pace team in the league the Sacramento Kings.  Thats not a good situation for them here and Im betting the Blazers are fade material in this spot as they are just 1-7 SU L/8 after playing in the Rocky Mountains against the Nuggets. Meanwhile, the Kings are 15-8 SU at home this season and 11-1 SU/ATS on a totals line of 229 or less.

PORTLAND is 38-61 ATS off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 12-43 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover 

The Blazers played last night in the Mile High City in a hard fought affair, and will now be on tired legs which will effect their ability to run and gun with the one of the quickest pace teams in the NBA the Sacramento Kings. This Im betting will directly effect the total combined score of this tilt here in California's State Capital tonight. Note: The Kings have gone UNDER 4 straight with a 1/0 rest situation. 

SACRAMENTO is 12-2 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207.8 ppg scored.  

PORTLAND is 43-29 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213 ppg scored.

PORTLAND in their L/46 games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored. PORTLAND in their L/31 games when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 219 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO in their L/80 ages when the total is 220 to 229.5 have seen a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January games are 28-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

The Spurs head home after a 122-112 loss to Oklahoma City on Saturday night in a rematch of the two teams' epic double-overtime game, won by San Antonio, 154-147, on Thursday. Im betting the Spurs are now on tired legs and in a natural deflated letdown situation which makes the susceptible to a down game. I know Charlottes struggling, but their also desperate and a league wide trend supports them here on this line as well. Note:NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. With that said, Im betting the Hornets get us a cover here on a value line as underdogs. 

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover

The Trail Blazers have despite of a couple of recent road wins  have overall not travelled well this season and own a  8-10  record on the road this season and  have struggled against the Nuggets of late and have lost four- straight to Denver dating back to last season. Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

Denver has won  17 of 20 home games this season and overall 7 of their L/8 H/A and covered 4 of their L/5 and own a 5-0 SU/ATS mark vs division opponents this season. 

DENVER is 12-3 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs SU  (PORTLAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more are just 159-518 L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking in at 7.7 ppg. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

The Hawks were annihilated by the Bucks when they met last week (144-112), and will now get a chance to avenge that defeat here at home . The Hawks deserve out respect here as they have proven their abilities recently against another top tier team by  positing a dramatic 123-121 win over Philadelphia and have confidence heading into this tilt. Meanwhile, Hawks are explosive enough offensively to offer us plenty of value on this line either by being competitive from start to finish or getting us a back door cover. It must also be noted that the Bucks super star Giannis Antekokounmpo, who is experiencing and dealing with  hip and quad injuries will Im betting also effect the flow of this Bucks team. 

MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS  versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a huge upset win as a road underdog of 10 points or more 22-7 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a huge upset win as a road underdog of 10 points or more are 22-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

 No John Wall in the lineup no problem  as  Otto Porter Jr. has upped his game and really looks like the real deal, making the Wizards a under rated team, especially with Bradley Beal playing lights out some of the best hoops of career . With that said, Im betting on the  Wizards  6-1 ATS L/7  to come out here looking to make a statement vs a talented Toronto team that they they have double revenge against vs two losses suffered earlier this season. With Toronto  looking ahead to  a matchup with  Boston up next and not fully focused on a team that they have owned ,  I expect the Wizards to surprise the visitors here and more importantly get us the cover.

Brooks is 44-26 ATS as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 55-101 L/5 seasons for go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington Wizards to cover 

Sacramento enters this game as one of the most explosive teams in the NBA and are   averaging 13.1 seconds per possession  - a pace that ranked second in the league after Thursday night's games. The Kings also were leading the NBA in fast-break points at 22.6 per game. That type of system matches up well visiting Charlotte a side that is struggling mightily having lost  four of five games and seven of 10 and were smashed by DDs in their last trip to the floor. Note:

CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 2-26 L/5 seasons for a 93% go against conversion rate with the average point diff  clicking in at 11.9 ppg.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The Bulls are exhausted as they play their 3rd road game in 4 days, and must now deal with the thin air and altitude in Salt Lake City . The Bulls have had to deal with some explosive offensive teams of late, and have gotten out of a defence first system that has been implemented since Hoiberg was fired, and today on tired legs will have to revert back to being more conservative, which I'm betting results in a fairly low scoring affair. Note: Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive overs against opponent after 1 or more consecutive unders  are 39-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Dallas and Minnesota have played their L/3 meetings very closely with average point differential of 3.3 ppg deciding these games. My projections once again estimate a closely contested affair with  road dog flashing a value on the line.

DALLAS is 33-20 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS is 32-16 ATS ( versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 3-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 

 The Houston Rockets had a huge 10 game winning streak snapped last time out vs the Milwaukee Bucks, but are still in top tier form, and hitting on all cylinders behind their star James Harden who is averaging 39.5 points per game, during a current 15-game span. Tonight I expect the Rockets to come out looking to bounce back and merciless fashion , and get revenge for a loss in their previous meeting with Cleveland  by a 117-108 on Nov. 24. There will be no mercy rule implemented by the Rockets vs a Cavs team that  ranks dead last in the league in efficiency, allowing 116.9 points per 100 possessions. The Cavs will have to muster up some offensive fireworks  of their own  vs the 26th ranked Defensive efficiency of the Rockets or be blown off the court in a game that I expect will surpass this number with ease. My projections estimate that the Rockets will score north of 116 here this evening, which  is a very good omen for our chances, as the Rockets are 18-0 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 239.1 ppg scored. 

The Cavaliers are 15-4 OVER on the road with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent taking more than 30 percent of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 226.4 ppg scored.The Rockets are 26-6 OVER as a favorite with less than two days rest after a loss in which they led by double digits with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

Detroit enters this game playing horrendous defence, allowing an average of 113 ppg in their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Tonight against a run and gun opponent in Sacramento Im betting their going to get torched again, and will have no choice but to offer up some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to a high scoring affair that eclipses this number. 

Note: The Kings have allowed an average of 116 ppg against this season ranking them 28th in the league, and scored an average of 115 ppg ranking 5th in the league with 13 of their 21 home games going over the set total. The Kings are also 2nd in pace in the league. 

The Pistons are 16-0-2 OVER L18 as a dog off a game as a dog facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game. The Kings are 19-4 OU L/23 facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average of 237.7 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half 31-8 OVER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 236.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play OVER 

The Celtics have won 4 straight games after pummelling the Indiana Pacers last night by a 135-108 count  and enter this game vs Miami in top form .  It must be noted that the Celtics are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Meanwhile, the  Heat have lost  back-to-back games after and are suddenly struggling on offence and have averaged 90.5 ppg in this tilts and should have problems scoring again vs a strong Celtics D.

BOSTON is 14-2 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Celtics are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami.

The Celtics are 14-0-1 ATS /15-0 SU L/15 as a favorite when they are off two games in which they had twice as many assists as turovers.The Heat are 0-11 ATS/SU L/11 when the line is within 3 of pick after playing as a home favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. 

Play on Boston to cover 

The Celtics exploded for 135 points last night in a win vs the Indiana Pacers, and no I expect a reversion to the norm from a scoring output perspective , as they will be on tired legs after running gunning last night. I expect the Celtics to revert back to their usual conservative transitory system which has resulted in the 3rd best points per game defence in the league .Im also betting they stand tall, behind a fairly methodical 19th ranked pace. Meanwhile, Miami a defence first team with aggressive physical traits, owns the 6th best defensive  points  per game ranking behind a 22nd ranked pace and 25th ranked offense and should easily help contribute to a methodical clock burning snooze fest.  

MIAMI is 13-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons has seen a combine average of 203.9 ppg scored.

The Heat are 0-11 UNDER L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers with a combined average of 178.2 ppg scored with no game exceeding 195 points. The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER  as a road favorite off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the combined average score clicking in at 185.4 ppg with no game exceeding 203 points. 

Play UNDER 

The Trailblazers have proven themselves to be highly inconsistent this season despite of some flashes of brilliance and are just are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win which was the case vs NYK last time out. With this being the Blazers 4th game in 6 days Im expecting a energy saving effort here tonight against a young Bulls side that Im sure their over looking. I know the Bulls have lost 4 straight but they have proven their competitive ability recently against top tier teams like Indiana and Toronto losing hard fought closely contested affairs by 3 and 6 points respectively, and have the ability to keep this game close as well and get us the cover via a physical defence that is improving significantly of late as is evident by holding 5 of their L/9 opponents under 96 points or less.

The Trailblazers are 0-12 ATS and 3-9 SU off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points  ad all 3 wins came by 4 points or less.The Bulls are 14-1-1 ATS L/16  off a 10+ loss in a home game when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent and they won 10 of those games SU with only 1 loss coming by more than 9 points. 

CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Jazz come home off a 4 game road trip on tired and legs and in an emotional letdown spot after playing the Milwaukee Bucks last time out and losing 114-102. That  after putting up a solid fight for the first 3 quarters before being out scored 30-16 in the final period. Meanwhile, Orlando will be ready to compete in desperation mode after 3 straight ugly road losses. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Magic are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400

The Magic are 15-0 ATS L/15 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog when they are off two games in which they allowed 100+ points and it is before the All-Star break. The Magic are 8-0 ATS as a road 8+ dog after playing as a road dog facing an opponent taking more than 30 percent of their shots from beyond the arc with non of the 6 SU losses coming by more than 7 points. 

The Jazz are 0-8-1 ATS at home with rest off a 10+ loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game and lost 7 of those games SU. 

 Play on Orlando to cover 

This line according to my numbers is bloated considering the Dallas Mavs current form that has seen them lose  three straight and 11 of 14 and are banged up with their star guard Luka Doncic dealing with a nagging back issue. That  is not a good  omen for the home team playing their 6th game in 10 nights and having struggled against  Phoenix  in the recent past going just  0-5 against Suns while  scoring an average of just 93 points a game .DALLAS is 7-17 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 8-18 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover ( LATE STEAM)

Brooklyn a team that ranks in the bottom half of the league in ppg scored and pace at 22nd,    enters this game on tired legs and will be in no shape to run and gun here tonight even though they go against a Atlanta team with the fastest pace and worst ppg allowed in the league. Note: BROOKLYN in 12 games  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season have seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored. Because of the Nets fatigue factor Im betting this total is a on the high side and we have value with an under wager here.

The Hawks are 0-17 UNDER L/17 as a road 8+ dog with no rest after they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 185.9 ppg with the highest scoring game seeing 217 points go on the board.

The Nets are 0-8 UNDER L/8 as a 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss when they won 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 174 ppg with all the games seeing at least one side stay under the 99 point output plateau. 

ATLANTA is 13-2 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored.

Under is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 10-2 in Hawks last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-3 in Hawks last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 36-16 in Hawks last 52 games following a ATS win.Under is 13-6 in Hawks last 19 Wednesday games.

Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Brooklyn.Under is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The 76ers smashed the visiting Wizards 132-115 on Tuesday night and now the Wizards  have revenge on board.Washington has won four of its past five at home and are playing their best ball there despite of being without star John Wall.Tonight Im betting they make life difficult for the 76ers and get us the cover. 

PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. 

The 76ers are 0-18 ATS and 1-17 SU L/18 when the line is within 3 of pick  on the opening line off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds. The one victory for the 76ers came by just 2 points. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 55-100 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Washington Wizards to cover 

The Thunder have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Wolves earlier this season just before Christmas here in Oklahoma City, and  are also off an embarrassing home loss to Washington last time out and will want to bounce back in a way to get back some lost respect. Note: NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite are 36-5 L/5 seasons and a perfect 4-0 this season.

The Thunder are 9-1 SU with same season revenge for a loss vs the Wolves and a perfect 6-0 SUATS when they have a win percentage of .450 or better. 

The Thunder are 18-0 ATS /SU as a home 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses and it is before the All-Star break with every win coming by DDs.

The Timberwolves are 0-12-1 ATS 0-13 SU as a 8+ dog off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds.

Play on Oklahoma  City to cover 

The Lakers like other teams Super Star LeBron James has been on in the recent past get used to him controlling their games, and when their super star quarter back is out, those teams tank. James has missed 21 games over the last few seasons , and when he's out they have proven to be bad bets going  3-18 SUATS . The Lakers proved this correct when they got completely steam rolled by Minnesota yesterday afternoon in a road game. Now on tired legs they go against a Dallas team that plays their best hoops at home, as is evident by a 15-3 record  as hosts that has seen them win 13 of their last 14  here at American Airlines Center. With the Cavs having revenge on board for a DD loss the last time these teams played back in LA 114-103  on Nov 30 they look like solid bets as single digit home favs. Note:DALLAS is 8-1 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and from a league wide trend NBA teams favs of  3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses , are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% Conversion rate for bettors.Dallas is also 9-1 SU /8-2 ATS L/10 as a host in this series.

The Lakers are 0-11-1 ATS/ 0-12 SU off a loss as a dog when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road and it is before the All-Star break with the average margin of fefeat coming by 16.3 ppg. 

LA LAKERS are 5-15 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season.DALLAS is 12-4 ATS in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Houston had a six-game winning streak come to an  abrupt end  this past Saturday as they  lost for just the second time in 11 tilts last time out vs Portland. Meanwhile, Denver is off a DD 123-110 victory at home at the Pepsi Center last time out,  vs Charlotte. Note: DENVER is 9-19 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons and is 2-10 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more this season and is 7-20 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is also 8-18 ATS  against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are at a disadvantage vs a Houston team that plays their best ball at home as is evident by a 13-5 and 12-6 record as hosts.

The Rockets took out the Nuggets with  a 109-99 win at Denver on Nov. 13 that extended Houston's winning streak in the series to eight straight. Im betting on it being 9 after tonight. 

The Rockets are 12-0 ATS SU/ATS as a favorite off a road game in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before and it is before the All-Star break and   are 12-0 SU/ATS  facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 44-216 L/22 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

 These teams are both trending upward on a points per game chart that I am currently using. Everything points to this being a higher scoring affairs than the lines makers  are anticipating.  Yes, they are lower paced teams, but their offensive efficiency and point conversion rates are above normal.  Im projecting Brooklyn scores 105 + points while Bostons score 114 + points. BROOKLYN is 19-3 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored. BOSTON is 16-0 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 231.6 ppg scored.

Brooklyns L/5 games has seen a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored and in division games has seem a combined average of 224.6 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Boston in their L/5 games has seen a combined average  222 ppg scored and on the season allowed an average of 105+ ppg at home and in division tits have seen a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 13-4 OVER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 20-7 OVER  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. 

BROOKLYN is 18-7 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.8 ppg scored in those tilts.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Raptors looked very good and worked very hard in a win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last night on the road and notched a impressive win. However, after playing that kind of gruelling physical affair  on the road  and now on tired legs Im betting they will have a problem performing at an optimal level against vs the most under rated team in the NBA ( Indiana Pacers) according to my power rankings assessment charts. It must also be noted that Raptors Kawhi Leonard played 38 minutes last night, and after suffering through numerous injuries, in his career Im sure the coaching staff will be careful with his minutes tonight, and that also gives us an edge with the Pacers. In the most recent meeting in this series here in Toronto back on Dec 19 the Raps were fortunate to get the victory in a 99-96 smash mouth affair, and tonight look for the fresher legs of the visitor and their scorching defence ranked No.1 in points allowed to be the difference maker here. Also from a SRS head to head matchup scenario that tells us the Raptors are ranked 5th with a 4.80 numerical rating, and the Pacers 6th ranking 4.60 , we have a pickem situation, even with home court advantage thrown in. Add to that a fatigue factor ratio , and we have a upset situation edge. Nothings a sure bet , but I like the edge we have here getting points with this live dog. Note: SRS Is a Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Raptors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Play on Indiana to cover .

Indiana to cover 

Washington is just 4-17 SU on the road this season, dropping eight consecutive games away from Capital One Arena and while I  rarely ever  lay DDs with any team, the odd circumstance offers up value. With that said, this  tilt here in Oklahoma City is one of them.  The Wizards  continued road futility, and a banged up lineup makes them fade material even on a DD line. Note: The visitors are  playing without key cog John Wall ( out for season) arguably the teams best player and are also saddled with the  absence of power forward Markieff Morris who is also out with an injury. Streaky super star Westbrook broke out with a 32 point performance last time out, and will be licking his chops with anticipation here . 

Oklahoma City matches up very well vs the Wizards as was evident in a 134-111 beatdown win by the Thunder as road 3.5 point road dogs on Dec 11 of this season.

Thunder are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.Wizards are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City.

WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season Opp. 123.2  Wizards 106.6  for a consistent DD trend presenting itself and is is 3-11 ATS overall as a road underdog this season with the average point differential margin clicking in at 13.5 ppg. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a road win are just 1-25 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average margin of defeat coming by 11.1 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma City  to cover 

The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings have in the recent past played closely contested affairs, with both meetings this season decided by scores of 130-125 and  117-116 home and away, and Im betting on another hard fought affair here with the getting points our very best option. 

GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.he Warriors are 0-9 L/9 ATS  on the road with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they had 3+ players with 20+ points . The Kings are 7-0 ATS  and 6-1 SU with less than two days rest off a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The lone loss came to Golden State by a 130-125 loss as 5 point dogs. 

NBA Home teams (SACRAMENTO) - after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 31-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.  

Play on Sacramento to cover 

Denver despite of slightly below average points output owns the 7th ranked offensive effecincy in the league, despite of being a slow paced squad and are capable of lighting opponents up in a hurry with shabby defences like the Hornets as is evident by a 112.3 ppg  offensive output at home. Meanwhile, the Hornets, are ranked in the bottom 15 teams in the NBA in defence, and allowing 115.1 ppg on the road this season, but ranked 9th overall in offensive output and  10th in efficiency and have scored 125 or more points in 3 of their L/5 games, and are 113.1 ppg on the road this season.

My projections estimate that Charlotte will put at least 106 points on the board, while Denver will score 114 points. Note: DENVER is 14-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 15-4 OVER  when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored.

DENVER is 27-10 OVER versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of  227.4 ppg scored.DENVER is 20-8 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.  

 Hornets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points and it is before the All-Star break with the average combined score clicking in at 236.3 ppg. The Nuggets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored.

NBA  Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 35-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER 

Oklahoma City (24-13) might have a better record than the Blazers,( 22-16)  but from a matchup perspective , the Blazers according to my head to head systems ratings offer up a huge amount of trouble for the Thunder. 

The Thunders top player Westbrook has has hands full going against Portland's Damian Lillard, who is having a career season offensively. He ranks eighth in the NBA in scoring at 26.7 points while shooting 45.2 percent from the field, 39.4 percent from 3-point range and 89.5 percent from the foul line, and Thunder also must contend with Portland center Jusuf Nurkic, who is coming off the best game of his career in a 113-108 overtime win over Sacramento on Tuesday.  Note:The Trailblazers are 17-3 ATS and 16-4 SU when the line is within 3 of pick after they had overtime which happened last time out. 

Thunder are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Trail Blazers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Trail Blazers are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 home games.PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS  in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

The Thunder are 0-10 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite after a win in which they trailed after the third which was the case last time out.The Trailblazers are 10-1 ATS/SU at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 

The Lakers are a banged up team, with their key super star LeBron James out with an injury, and will will also go without Kyle Kuzma ( back) and Rajon Rondo. I know the Knicks wont inspire bettors, but they actually have an opportunity to compete and pull off an upset here vs this short handed group tonight according to my current matchup projections based on both teams existing lineups. It must also be noted that the Lakers took part in a gruelling 107-100 loss last time out where numerous lead changes took place and will now be in an emotional letdown situation, and probably less than motivated taking on a lower tier team, that they could easily overlook. Note: The Lakers are 3-19 ATS L/21 and 2-20 SU with rest off a loss as a home dog after a game that was tied 5+ times and 0-8 ATS SU L/8  at home off a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times.

LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and are 2-10 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. The Knicks are 6-0 ATS L/6 with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and it is before the All-Star break.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Cleveland enters this game ranked 28thin in scoring in the NBA behind a slow down system that ranks 29th in pace  having scored 94 points or less in 6 of their L/8 games overall and Im betting will have problems breaching that plateau again vs a  physical Jazz defence that is ranked 7th in ppg allowed and 5th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, on the flip side, Utah has averaged only 105 ppg on the road this season and rank 21st in the league in points ouptut in the league, and 22nd in offensive efficiency behind a average pace ranked 14th overall. Also previous to going over in their L/2 trips to the hardwood they had gone under 8 straight times in grinding fashion. Note: The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a road game when the line is at least 10 points lower than their last game and it is before the All-Star break with no combined score clicking in above 201 ppg, with the average combined score registering at 185.1 ppg. Bottom line : The Jazz will happily grind away on a Cavs team with very little fire power, in a game that I expect will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. 

The Cavaliers are 0-13 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a home dog in which rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with the average combined score coming in at 198.4 ppg. The Cavaliers are 0-8 OU L/8 as a 8+ dog off a 10+ loss when they are off two games in which more than 65 percent of their field goals were assisted and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average of 201.1 ppg scored with non of the tilts exceeding this posted total. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - a offense that scores (+102 PPG) against a sub par defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 90-46 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play under 

Toronto has been erratic in their play of late,  especially as far as converting for their betting backers is concerned as they are just 5-14 ATS L/19 overall including  1-4 SU/ 0-5 ATS L/5 on the road.  Injuries have played a role in the Raptors current state, as key contributor Kyle Lowry remains sidelined and is not expect to play tonight, and also some bloated lines because of their obvious big time superiority on the east. Do not get me wrong, the Raptors are still a talented team with a lot of depth, but here tonight on the road, vs a up trending  San Antonio side that has cashed 11 of their L/13 overall Im betting the Dinos are in trouble. San Antonio is 17-4 L/21 here vs the Raptors and 2-0 SU/ATS here in Texas in their most recent meetings and get the nod again.

Im not going to delve into the Kawhi Leonard / DeMar DeRozen trade because these teams, because I don't believe it will be a deciding factor for which side wins here tonight. 

SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. ANTONIO is 12-1 ATS  in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons

SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots this season and  13-4 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. 

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 15-69 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate fro bettors. 

NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on San Antonio. to cover 

Chicago is playing some competitive basketball of late winning 3 of their L/5 straight up while covering 4 of those games. Now tonight vs a Orlando team expected to play without starting point guard D.J. Augustin and backup Jonathon Simmons after each sustained ankle injuries they are at a disadvantage here on the road. Ever since  Coach Jim Boylen,  took over the team from  the fired Fred Hoiberg, the Bulls are playing a physical grinding style of offense that is led by guard Zach LaVine, averaging 23.5 points per game  and must not be underestimated in their new system. HC Boylen was QUOTED:"We're playing the way I think we have to play for us to have a chance to win. We are going to get a defensive mentality in this program first, and then we're going to work on the rest of it. And as we grow together, we get healthy together, I'm confident the offense will come"END QUOTE:. With that said, I like the way the Bulls matchup here and Ill lay the short chalk in their support. 

Chicago is 6-0 SU L/6 at home in this series dating back to the 2015 season. 

ORLANDO is 15-28 ATS  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 19-5 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 16-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

 Minnesota is on a 8 game OVER  streak,  and  Boston has gone over 6 straight times and the linesmakers know this, so they have bumped this number up , and have not  based this Total on the current matchup but on the streak itself, which according to my projections gives us value with an under wager on this offered total. 

Teams that have gone over in at eight or more straight games are 75-91-1 UNDER since the 2013/14 season.

NBA team (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 224-142 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

The Mavericks despite of playing much improved hoops this season , are  a team currently struggling desperate for a win away from home . With that said, Im betting  they will be hell bent on trying to snap a nine-game road losing streak in a place Charlotte where they have covered their L/2 visits .  Note: The road team has snatched five of the last six in the series, with Dallas earning a 115-111 win at Charlotte last season. All good bad runs must come to an end, and Im betting the Mavs current run of road futility ends tonight. 

Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.( the Mavs lost vs Ok St last time out by DDs )Mavericks are 19-0 ATS/18-1 SU when the line is within three of pick off a loss as a underdog when they allowed 100+ points in each of their last two games and it is before the All-Star break with the only loss coming by just 1 point. DALLAS is 20-6 ATS  after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons

Hornets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The Sixers looked flat without Joel Embiid in the lineup last time out in at lopsided loss to Portland and will look to bounce back with him expected to play tonight despite of a questionable status. He is really a game changer and a difference maker for the Sixers. The 76ers are 9-0 ATS/SU in franchise history off a road loss in which Ben Simmons had a plus/minus at least ten points better than the team which happened in that game vs Portland last time out. Just like the Sixers, the Clippers will enter Tuesday's game coming off a loss losing 122-111 to the San Antonio Spurs, in a game when Williams was held to 16 points .  Their energy levels looked weak which is a troubling factor for them going forward and especially tonight. 

PHILADELPHIA is 25-8 ATS  after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 24-8 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the 76ers to cover 

Sacramento loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon, but Portland knowing this will not allow them to flow, and will look to slow this game down. Blazers road games have seen a combined average of 222.1 ppg scored, but have recently played much better defensively which has resulted in 4 straight unders overall. None of the 4 most recent meetings in this series dating back to last season have seen more than 218 combined points scored and Im betting on this this one staying under the total as well. 

The Trailblazers have gone under 12 straight times as a road favorite with rest after a game in which they shot 50% or better from beyond the arc with the average combined score clicking in at 185.5 ppg with non of the 12 games seeing more than 210 ppg.

PORTLAND is 18-8 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 201.1 ppg.PORTLAND is 27-12 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. PORTLAND in their L/26 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over dating back to last season have seen a combined average score of 219.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January games are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Detroit is desperate for a win, after a heart breaking loss to Orlando on a last second buzzer beater.  Following a previous loss to the Pacers -- a 125-88 beatdown -- the Pistons  had  a players-only meeting to clear the air and hopefully find a way to get on track. Now with them at their very lowest point, Im expecting an extremely motivated effort vs a strong Milwaukee side that wont be overly motivated to take them on. 

 DETROIT is 14-6 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.MILWAUKEE is 23-48 ATS   L/71 as a favorite of 10 or more points.

Bucks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Bucks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games.

The Bucks are 0-19 ATS as a 8-plus point favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss at home , they were 14-5 SU in those games but none  of the victories came by more than 8 points.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, on Tuesday nights are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with the Pistons 

The Magic wrapped are off a 109-107 win over the Detroit Pistons on Sunday afternoon, and will now be in a letdown spot here on the road vs a Charlotte team, that is averaging 113.4 points-per-game , the seventh-best output average in the NBA. Meanwhile, The Magic have scored more than 100 points just 19 times in their 35 games, which is not a good omen here as they  shot just 38.3 percent in the first meeting.vs the Hornets this season, and have now  lost six straight in Charlotte and been held under 100 points in four of those games. With that said,  Im betting the Hornets romping to a comfortable victory here tonight. 

Orlando F Jonathon Simmons left the win over Detroit with a sprained right ankle and is questionable for Monday.

ORLANDO is 19-32 ATS (versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

We are getting a cheap line here, because super star LeBron James is expected to remain sidelined with a groin injury and the Lakers are 0-2 without him and also because their playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. However, in contrarian fashion, Im going against the Kings, as Im not liking their current form, and their consistent slow starts despite of notching wins. Note: Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS)  tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, in December games are actually good long term bets going 66-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Los Angeles was also  without LeBron James when they lost 117-116 at Sacramento on the 27th of this Month, and competed fine without James, and actually had a DD lead, before getting lazy and falling apart. Now with a fire lit underneath their proverbial butts,Im betting they bounce back in the rematch here at home. Note:The Kings are 0-14 ATS/SU L/14 on the road off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game like the Lakers. 

LA LAKERS are 15-4 ATS in home games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The Sixers are an upward trajectory team, that seems to just keep getting better with experience and jell as a unit. I can see a dominant  type of confidence creeping over this side since the king of egos Jimmy Butler has arrived. making them extremely dangerous for all comers in this league.    Since Butler  has arrived  Philadelphia have been performing optimally especially against top tier opponents winning  7 of 10 against .500 or greater opposition.  With that said, Im betting on a the Sixers  continuing  their climb to elite status in the East with another win tonight vs a side they have revenge against for loss thye suffered here last season by a 114-110 count. With the Trail Blazers off  two consecutive hard fought  back to back tilts against defending champion Golden State, and on tired legs after playing last night  I expect the home team will be at a disadvantage vs a top tier side.  

76ers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

 Philadelphia is 76-43-1 ATS in its last 120 non-conference games under head coach Brett Brown.PHILADELPHIA is 32-17 ATS  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Trail Blazers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Trail Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest.76ers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 2 days rest.76ers are 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. Western Conference.

NBA  Underdogs vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are just are 37-152 for a go against 81% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

My head to head systems and performance charts are indicating a low scoring affair here this afternoon. When these teams met on Nov 7 they combined for 199 points in a 103-96 Pistons win. Im betting on a similar output here that remains on the low side of the number. 

 DETROIT is 33-16 L/49 UNDER  after allowing 120 points with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored.

Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DETROIT)  - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are124-76 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long term 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

New York has won just two games in December and carries a six-game losing streak into Salt Lake City after losing back-to-back games against Milwaukee on Tuesday and Thursday and because of that form we are getting decent value here on a slightly bloated line. vs an inconsistent Jazz side.  The Knicks swept the season series with the Jazz last season and have a recent history of playing well against Utah as is evident by going 23-3 ATS in this series, including 12-1 ATS at Salt Lake City. Its never easy backing a side like NYK, but I  have enough line value here to warrant a solid investment recommendation. 

Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Jazz are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

The Celtics have won the last five in this inter conference rivalry vs Memphis, limiting the Grizzlies to 93 and 98 points in last year's two-game season-series sweep and have the edge again here tonight as I expect the Celtics  behind their top tier D will be primed to rebound off a  127-113 loss in Houston on Thursday night. Yes, the Celtics have struggled of late, but they are a resilient bunch, as far as providing their betting backers with profits as the clovers, are 13-1 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. 

OSTON is 23-8 ATS  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

 Celtics are 15-0 SUATS as a road favorite with rest off a loss in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes which happened last time out vs Houston. 

Play on Boston to cover 

The Wizards enter this game on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights , which Im betting translates into them playing at a slightly less elevated tempo , which will effect the total projected score to be much lower than the linesmakers expect. With the Wizards John Wall still out the  flow of the home side  will also being effected, as has been the case of late  as the Wizards have been unable to produce more than 95 points 3 straight games. I know the Hornets will come at the wounded Wizards hard, but the visitors have not been very good on the road this season going just 4-10 overall away from home, and have proven they are less than capable of controlling pace in most of their games on the road. 

The Wizards are 0-16 UNDER  off a home game when they are off two games in which they held their opponent to 10+ less than they usually allow and it is before the All-Star break with no combined  score exceeding 219 point plateau with the average combined score clicking in at 192.6 ppg. 

Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.

WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.9 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

This will be the Spurs fourth game in a week, with their last game coming on Dec 26th in San Antonio when they beat this same Nuggets group 110-103. Now the Nuggets  wth revenge on board and on fresher legs playing only their second game in 6 days, and 3rd in 10 days, look to have an edge here in the thin air of the Mile High City especially as the game goes into the 2nd half. 

DENVER is 16-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.DENVER is 12-4 ATS in home games this season.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-24 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-13 ATS  in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. Popovich is 10-22 ATS in road games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less as the coach of SAN ANTONIO.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 4-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-2 SU L/3 seasons for a 92% conversion rate going back father these teams are 49-5 SU 91% going back 5 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 10.9 ppg. Also Home favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 47-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with a point differential of 12 ppg.

Play on Denver Nuggets to cover 

Im not a big fan of New Orleans HC Gentry and when he goes against a top tier coach like Randy Carlisle I look for variables that make fading Gentry a viable investment wagering opportunity. Currently the Pelicans are not performing well, as Super Star Anthony Davis is banged up and not operating at 100% efficiency. Anthony has also said, that hes not committed to the Pelicans in the longterm no matter how much money he gets, and trade is now on the table and also a distraction. That kind of thing in itself has a negative  energy sucking effect on a team. With that said, look for the Mavs to be competitive here tonight and get us the cover. 

DALLAS is 31-18 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS is 22-11 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

Carlisle is 106-82 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of DALLAS.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive road losses this season. NEW ORLEANS is 3-15 ATS after playing a road game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Minnesota is coming off a DD win last time out vs Chicago , and for whatever reason, its seems HC Thibodeau, cannot inspire his troops to fire on all cylinders in consecutive tilts as he is just 8-22 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996 and during that lifetime 30 game sample size the point differential click ins in at at just 2.1 ppg. Meanwhile, the young Atlanta Hawks desoite of still being inconsistent, are showing some flashes of brilliance, and have won 3 of heir L/4 SU and been mostly competitive on the road covering 3 of their L/5 as visitors.

Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 43-20 ATS L/5 seasons. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

The Charlotte Hornets  will be out looking for revenge vs the  Brooklyn Nets tonight on their own home court after the Nets shocked the Hornets 134-132 in two overtimes Wednesday night. When Hornets coach was asked about the loss he responded with this : QUOTE: We'll see this team again on Friday night," Hornets coach James Borrego vowed to reporters afterward. "We'll play hard on Friday night. I expect our guys to respond." END QUOTE

I like backing motivated teams and Charlotte is very motivated tonight. 

The Hornets are 11-0 ATS SU as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes with none of the wins coming by less than 5 points.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Indiana really gets physical against run and gun uptempo teams like the Detroit Pistons especially at home. Note:I NDIANA is 11-1 UNDER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average 199.9 ppg scored. 

INDIANA is 8-0 UNDER in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season which happened last time out with a combined average of 200.1 ppg scored.NDIANA is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.6 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 36-12 UNDER L/5 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

This is the second meeting between the teams this season. Philadelphia won 113-107 on November 16  and matchup well vs the defensive minded Jazz. Philadelphia  also swept the season series a year ago.

Utahs key defensive stalwart Gobert will have his hands full with Sixers center Joel Embiid. The Sixers top tier group of   Jimmy Butler and Ben Simmons play a style of  hoops that could easily exhaust the Jazz giving us an edge here taking points in what should be a closely contested affair. Getting points with a up trending team like Philadelphia is a good long term wager. 

Brown is 32-18 ATS against Northwest division opponents as the coach of PHILADELPHA and  is 42-17 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons which happened at Boston last time out in OT. UTAH is 8-18 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

Both these teams played back forth exhausting games on Christmas day and could easily feel the effects of that this Thursday in a tilt that I have pegged to stay under the set total. Houston ranks 28th in pace while Boston ranks 18th in pace and 3rd overall in defensive efficiency in the league. 

Under is 19-7 in Celtics last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Under is 40-19-1 in Rockets last 60 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

D'Antoni is 36-10 UNDER L/36  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 212.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Long term these two franchises have a history of playing low scoring games with 15 of the L/19 staying under the total. 

Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Houston.

HOUSTON is 19-6 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.8 ppg scored.HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 55-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207.2 ppg.

Play the UNDER

Sacramento has been flirting with disaster in their L/2 games before the Christmas break and came back from being down by DDs in those home tilts vs Memphis and New Orleans for wins.  I like Sacramento and their upward overall performance trajectory , but their recent issues with slow starts are an ominous sign in my opinion tonight against a run and gun opponent here in hostile territory. With that said,  Im betting the Kings are in trouble vs a Clippers team that is offensively explosive especially at home where they have averaged just under 117 ppg on the season. 

The Clippers have won 8 of the L/9 meetings in this series.

My projections estimate that LA will score 117 or more points here tonight, vs a side that allows an average of 117.2 ppg on the road this season. Note: SACRAMENTO is 13-33 ATS  when they allow 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 19.7 ppg. Also the  LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS when they score 117 or more points in a game this season with a point diff of 6.9 ppg. 

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 68-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

 Both visiting Denver  Nuggets and their hosts the San Antonio Spurs  return from a five-day Christmas break for a contest at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. Both are slower paced teams but both are obviously on fresh legs and Im betting they  will be energized and ready run and gun here tonight just like of it were the beginning of the season. 

Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 20-8 in Spurs last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 12-5-1 in Nuggets last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. These teams have gone over in their 2 most recent meetings last season, with a combined average of 231 ppg scored.

Note: Denver looked defensively deficient last time out ,  as they suffered a  132-111 setback at the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday. Note: DENVER is 21-7 OVER  in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.3 ppg scored and 15-5 OVER  in road games after allowing 120 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.4 ppg going on the board.

Spurs home games have seen a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, playing with 3 or more days rest are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Celtics opened the season with a 105-87 victory over the Sixers in Boston, but now the Sixers have Jimmy Butler in the lineup, and should be more competitive. However, Im still betting the Celtics have an edge here at home as short chalk vs a Sixers. side that is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
 I also know the Celtics have been inconsistent of late and the team has had some internal meetings, to try to right their ship, which will have positive effect going forward  . With the Celtics off a momentum building win vs Charlotte last time out, Im betting they are ready to show the pundits and their opponents that they are still a force to be reckoned with in the NBA east. 

BOSTON is 22-8 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.

 Sixers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Boston and have lost 7 of 8 SU. .76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games.

BOSTON is 12-3 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS  in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 season.

The Celtics are 16-0 SUATS L/16 as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than five blocks per game.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off a home win by 10 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

Houston has had some inconsistent stretches during this season, but right now they are in top form after having won 6 of their L/7 games overall SU/ATS. With that said, Im betting they continue their top tier play vs the Oklahoma City Thunder with a win here at home  where they are 10-5 SU this season .The Rockets have won 5 of the L/6  head to head battles vs the Thunder here deep in the heart of Texas are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 overall home games and get the nod again. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 63-105 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or more of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 16-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and 10-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover