Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-23-19 | Blazers v. Cavs +5 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Cavaliers coach John Beilein noted Friday he's hoping a return from the club's just-completed, 0-3 trip will help turn things around. Beilein is having a hard time getting this team to perform optimally, but he is a top tier coach and will have his team ready to compete. NBA Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 29-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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11-23-19 | Spurs v. Knicks +2 | 111-104 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Nothing has been coming easily for the San Antonio Spurs as they have now lost 8 straight games. So suddenly expecting them to win tonight on the road as short favorites is far from a sure thing like some pundits might expect. The Spurs have been cash burners in this situation as favorites this season failing to cover 8 of their L/10 and are just 3-13 ATS L/16times to the hardwood. We all know how futile the Knicks can be, but they have been competitive recently winning 2 of their L/4 SU while covering 3 of those games, and 3-4 SU at home and in their L/5 games overall the ppg diff clicks in at -0.6 ppg. Advantage Knicks. |
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11-23-19 | Bulls -1.5 v. Hornets | 116-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Bulls matchup well vs the Hornets and will be primed for revenge in a 126-125 loss they suffered to the Hornets earlier this season.The Hornets return home after losing the final three games of a four-game road trip, the latest a 125-118 defeat at the hands of the Washington Wizards on Friday night and continue to be fade material according to my projections in this matchup. CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 28-14 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 3 season CHARLOTTE is 9-23 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.CHARLOTTE is 5-24 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 season. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-22-19 | Rockets v. Clippers -5 | 119-122 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
The Clippers super star duo George and Leonard made their anticipated debut together Wednesday in a 107-104 overtime victory over the Boston Celtics and get another chance to play together tonight vs the Houston Rockets. This matchup between the Clippers and Rockets has featured some bad blood in the past as was defintely the case in their last meeting when Harden smashed the Clippers for 47 points. That caused Westbrook to benevolently mock Beverley, with whom he has a long-running feud, since the Clippers guard was one of the primary defenders attempting to contain Harden. Revenge is on board here tonight and what Im betting will be spirited effort from the home side. |
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11-22-19 | Celtics v. Nuggets -4.5 | 92-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Denver is looking for its eighth win in nine games behind a top tier defence. Im betting the Mile High City is not a good place to play this type of stingy physical team especially for a suddenly struggling Celtics team that has lost two of their last three games following a 10-game winning streak.In addition to the defensive prowess, Denver has scored 100 or more points in 12 of its 13 games and must be respected as one of the key teams in the West.The last time these teams met in Denver, Jamlal Murray exploded for a career-best 48 points in a 115-107 victory on Nov. 5, 2018. The Nuggets won both of last season's meetings and Im betting on a rinse and repeat performance here tonight. |
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11-22-19 | Hawks v. Pistons -6 | 103-128 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
Detroit has lost 5 straight games and are desperate for a win and will be primed to perform here tonight against a Atlanta team my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Casey is 15-4 ATS L/19 in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached, with the average ppg diff clicking in at 7.2 ppg. NBA Home teams (DETROIT) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 42-8 SU L5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4. NBA team (DETROIT) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days ARE 34-7 L/23 SEASONS for a 82% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6.4 ppg. Play on Detroit Pistons to cover |
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11-21-19 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Suns | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Suns are off a loss last time and expected to be without [C] 11/20/2019 - Aron Baynes is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs New Orleans ( Hip )[PG] 11/20/2019 - Ricky Rubio is doubtful Thursday vs New Orleans ( Back )[C] 10/25/2019 - DeAndre Ayton is out 25 games ( Suspension ). If Rubio plays he will be less than 100%. The Suns are off a close loss last time out vs Sacramento, and are starting to look exhausted of late. Note: PHOENIX is 2-12 ATS off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons ad fade material in their current form vs a team that can run and gun with them. Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Pelicans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 Thursday games. Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Phoenix. The Suns are 0-9 ATS /SU as a favorite when they won at least 2 straight vs current opponent. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-20-19 | Pistons v. Bulls -1 | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
These two teams are both struggling, but I personally see more promise with the Bulls at the moment because of their attention to better defensive play. The Detroit Pistons, are currently on a four game losing streak while allowing opponents an average of 112.2 points. Earlier this season the Bulls wont a 112 -106 matchup as hosts and Im betting they repeat that trick again. Note: The Pistons are 0-12-1 ATS /0-13 SU L/13 as a road dog with rest off a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. NBA Teams like Detroit are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss as a road favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses. Pistons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Pistons are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.Pistons are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Pistons are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall.Pistons are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Pistons are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Pistons are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Central.Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pistons are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Pistons are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Home team is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, playing with 3 or more days rest are 6-30 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DETROIT) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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11-20-19 | Jazz -3 v. Wolves | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Minnesota handed Utah its first home loss of the season on Monday. The Jazz now have a quick pay back on their agenda vs the Timberwolves again Wednesday in Minneapolis. With Andrew Wiggins downgraded to OUT Wednesday vs Utah ( Illness ) the advantage rests with the visitors in revenge mode. The Jazz are 13-0 ATS L/13 covering by almost 12 ppg on average on the road off a loss in a home game when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-20-19 | Magic +4.5 v. Raptors | 97-113 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
The Raptors despite of being shorthanded pounded Charlotte by a 132 -96 count last time out, and now Im betting on a regression to the mean for them here tonight against a up trending Orlando Magic team that has won 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 overall SU. Raptors are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA Teams like the Raptors are 0-15 ATS as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent like the Magic with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 10-0-1 ATS /10-1 SU L/11 on the road off a win as a home favorite when the total is at least 15 points less than their last game. Magic are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Atlantic.Magic are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 110 points or more are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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11-20-19 | Spurs v. Wizards UNDER 237 | 132-138 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Both these teams have shown to have some very porous defences, and both sides know they need to fix that situation, and are working hard to get stops . Wizards star guard Bradley Beal told reporters. QUOTE:We compete hard enough to win every game. We are top five in offense. We know that is not the problem. We just have to get stops." END QUOTE: Im betting tonight San Antonio trys to reverse a ugly 6 game win streak, by paying more attention to defence vs an explosive offensive side, which in turn will see a slighter slower pace than the Wizards would like to see. NBA Teams like the Spurs are 1-17 UNDER as a road favorite when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points with the combined average score of 216.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 18-8 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.4 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 26-4 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 60-26 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-19-19 | Suns v. Kings -1.5 | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Sacramento continues to uptrend in my power rankings and showed their toughness when they ended the 10-game winning streak of the Boston Celtics via a 100-99 victory on Sunday. Now with plenty of momentum on their sides, I like their chances of the Kings winning tonight on home court vs a Suns team that could be without key component the injured Ricky Rubio .If the two way star does play he will be less than 100% which will effect his teams cohesiveness. SACRAMENTO is 7-0 ATS in November games this season.SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and is is 12-3 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the Kings have won 3 of the L/4 meetings here at home SU in this series. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are just 3-26 SU L/23 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 4-23 ATS L/23 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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11-19-19 | Suns v. Kings UNDER 217.5 | 116-120 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Sacramento has gone under in 3 straight games and have not allowed more than 99 points in any of those tilts . The Kings own the 29th ranked pace, and 28th ranked offensive output. Look for more methodical action tonight, as they look to slow down the high flying Phoenix Suns! Walton is 21-8 UNDER in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. The Suns are 0-14 UNDER L/14 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio less than 1.5 with the verage combined score clicking in at 193.8 ppg. The Suns are 0-13 UNDER off a loss as a favorite when they are off two games in which their opponent had double-digit steals with a combined average of 193.1 ppg scored. NBA Teams are 8-40-2 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a home dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average score of 207 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 31-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-18-19 | Thunder v. Clippers -9.5 | 88-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The key super star duo of George and Leonard are both supposed to be on the floor tonight against the Thunder, which makes for a over powering situation that favors the Clippers to come out of this with a convincing victory. LA CLIPPERS are 21-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons Donovan is 1-10 ATS (in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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11-18-19 | Blazers v. Rockets -7 | 108-132 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Houston owns a run and gun offence that averages more than 118.5 ppg ranking 2nd in the NBA in output. The Rockets recently have also picked up their defensive play which makes them dangerous, as is evident by their current 7 game win streak. Meanwhile, Portland their opponents tonight have been highly inconsistent and has lost 6 of their L/8 overall and fade material in their current form. |
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11-18-19 | Bucks v. Bulls +8.5 | 115-101 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks will go for their fourth win in a row when they visit the Chicago Bulls on Monday night but Im betting that will not come that easily. The early market looks inefficient despite of the discrepancies in both teams current performance levels. However recency bias, is at play here giving us value on as slightly bloated line. The Bucks are 0-12 ATS /SU on the road off a game as a favorite in which they held their opponent to fewer than 85 points. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 32-67 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.MILWAUKEE is 70-115 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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11-18-19 | Hornets v. Raptors UNDER 214.5 | 96-132 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
The Raptors were showing signs of fatigue Saturday and Pascal Siakam had an off night with 15 points on 6-for-24 shooting with five turnovers and with only one day rest in between games, I sure their still a bit exhausted. Also being without injured Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka. defence and a slower pace has been key for the Raptors and that will once again be the case tonight here on home court as they get reacclimatized to being on home court after an extensive 5 game road trip. Tonight Im betting the Raps will hold the Hornets to under their season ppg offensive average of 106 ppg, and for they themselves to have a limited out put because of being short handed. Under is 3-1-1 in Hornets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. NBA Southeast.Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 Monday games.Under is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (TORONTO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season are 475-337 UNDER L/23 seasons for a long term 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-18-19 | Hornets +9 v. Raptors | 96-132 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
Toronto is short handed with injured Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka on the sidelines. Im betting the Raptors offensive flow will be curtailed as well as they ability to cover in a game that I also have pegged at being fairly low scoring. The Hornets are 9-1 ATS L/10 on the road. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 28-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover |
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11-18-19 | Cavs v. Knicks OVER 209.5 | 105-123 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Both the Cleveland Cavaliers and the NY Knicks are struggling, and both are looking at this like a winnable game, and both Im betting will be primed to be aggressive here in transition which Im betting helps this combined score get over this total. Yes, I know both sides have been creating unders of late, but that wont be the case here tonight. Note: NYK L/47 home games have seen a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.CLEVELAND in their L/44 games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 218.1 ppg scored. Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Play OVER |
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11-17-19 | Wizards v. Magic OVER 223 | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Washington has the 3rd best offence in the league the 28th worst D ppg allowed, and 8th fastest pace. This is almost always recipe for a high scoring back and forth tilt. Meanwhile, Orlanso has seen an uptick in their offensive outputs of late, and Im betting they will need that extra offence against a team that plays wide open run and gun ball. The Wizards are 19-0 OVER with less than two days rest off a road game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 232.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER off a road win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 83-49 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-17-19 | Celtics v. Kings +3.5 | 99-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
The Kings are a team that must not to be overlooked, having won four of six since an 0-5 start. I know the Celtics are a public favorite but because of this we have value line with the home underdog to bet into. Meanwhile, the Celtics narrowly closed out a 105-100 win over the Western Conference's worst team, the Golden State Warriors, on Friday night, and looked less offensively cohesive without Gordon Hayward who is out indefinitely. Boston has won seven of its past eight meetings with Sacramento, but the three most recent victories have been by single digits. The Kings are 6-0 ATS L/6 covering more than 7 ppg. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 7-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play Sacramento to cover |
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11-16-19 | Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 223 | 101-150 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Kawhi Leonard and Amir Coffey are expected to miss tonight for the Clippers which will effect their flow. Meanwhile, Atlanta is also short handed with a boat load full of injuries, something that will also effect their flow, especially since they will be on tired legs playing their their 4th straight road game in west coast road trip in less than a week. The Clippers are 0-5 UNDER L/5 as a home favorite with a combined average of 199 ppg going on the board. Under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 home games.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-16-19 | Bucks v. Pacers +7 | 102-83 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Indiana played last night in Houston so they should be on tired legs, but what impresses me about this team is their never say die attitude. I mean these guys are like energizer bunnies and must never be underestimated , even against a top tier team like Milwaukee. Last night the Pacers limited the sharp shooting Rockets to 14 of 46 (30.4 percent) from long distance and just 40.4 percent shooting overall and Im betting that can replicate those numbers again here on their own home floor in a key divisional matchup vs another strong downtown shooting team. Indiana is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series at home. Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Pacers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Pacers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, on Saturday games are just 30-77 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-16-19 | Nets v. Bulls -2 | 117-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Brooklyn is 1-3 on the trip and is coming off three straight losses to the Phoenix Suns, Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets and in their current form fade material vs the Chicago Bulls. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Nets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Saturday games.Nets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Nets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Nets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall.Nets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Nets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. The Nets are 77-238 ATS since 1995 as a road dog after playing as a road dog. Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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11-15-19 | Celtics v. Warriors +7.5 | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Im betting the flow of the Celtics will be tested here tonight in Golden State as they play with out .high-scoring guard Gordon Hayward who has a broken left hand. I know the Golden State Warriors look to be a shambles right now, but Im betting they gather up some pride and make a game of this here tonight on their own home floor. GOLDEN STATE is 23-7 ATS L/30 in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game. NBA Road teams (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% . or less) are 6-25 ATS L/23 seasons for go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors |
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11-15-19 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 222.5 | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Celtics won't be at full strength for the trip out west, and for at least a month after that, with the loss of high-scoring guard Gordon Hayward to a broken left hand earlier in the week. Im betting this will hamper the offensive flow of the Celtics and they will take a more defensive, stance for a while to compensate for their offensive loss. Tonight because of this Im betting this Total is slightly bloated with the value towards the under. BOSTON i in 13 road games after 6 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined score of 216.1 ppg. These teams have gone under in the L/4 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7 or better PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 33-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7 or better PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-15-19 | Wizards v. Wolves OVER 237.5 | 137-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Washington enters this game ranked 8th in pace in the league 8th in ppg(115.6) , and 28th in ppg allowed(120). Meanwhile, Minnesota is ranked 5th in pace, 4th in offensive output (117.2), and 25th in ppg allowed(116.2). Its obvious both sides run and gun with reckless abandon, while exhibiting an inability or disinterest in playing D. It is what it is. A far is this total is concerned, and how high it might seem, you have to remember this is the new NBA , and totals like this will show up more and more often as the league continues its quest to entertain the public. There can be under value with bloated totals, but this one not one of them. WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 244.6 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Wolves average 119.2 ppg and opposition average 114.7 ppg. Based on a aggregate output system I use, 3-6 . points per team is projected above these numbers making this a viable over situation based on past performance trends and current form. Play OVER |
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11-15-19 | Pacers v. Rockets -5.5 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
After an impressive win by 102-93 win against the Los Angeles Clippers , Im now sold on the Rockets as a two team. My power rankings make the Rockets a 7 point fav here so we have value on this line. HOUSTON is 14-2 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (INDIANA) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 19-79 L/ 5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in -9.2 ppg. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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11-15-19 | Pistons v. Hornets +3.5 | 106-109 | Win | 103 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Charlotte is on a four-game losing streak, while the Pistons have dropped three games in a row. Both are obviously not performing optimally and both are desperate for wins. With that said, Im betting on a hard fought game here tonight thus getting points with the home dog is viable wagering opportunity.CHARLOTTE is 17-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Charlotte has won 6 of the L/7 meetings in this series SU. NBA team (DETROIT) - after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are just 32-73 U L/23 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-15-19 | Spurs v. Magic UNDER 211 | 109-111 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Orlando are No.1 in ppg allowed in the NBA behind the 30th ranked pace. San Antonio is currently struggling and Im sure the Magic game plan will be to further take them out of their game with a suffocating physical effort which Im betting will contribute to a lower scoring affair. ORLANDO is 27-15 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season ARE 39-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 227 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Phoenix is 8th in pace in the NBA and 6th in offensive output,(116.6) and will push all comers into speeding up their game, and opening up or be blown off the court. That is exactly the situation we have here tonight as Atlanta visits in their 3rd western road game in 5 nights. Run and gun until the clock tips in at zero. The two most recent meetings between these teams last season saw 230 and 232 combined points cored. Atlanta has gone over in 3 straight games with the combined score of 237.7 ppg scored. Suns have gone over in 4 straight with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 12-2 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 249.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 15-4 OVER after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 25-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-14-19 | Mavs -7 v. Knicks | 103-106 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Dallas has revenge on board for a 106-102 loss at home back in November, and Im betting we see them at their best here in the rematch vs a NYK side that ha lost 6 of their L/7 SU overall and 9 of their L/11. NEW YORK is 9-23 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.9 ppg. Carlisle is 21-9 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of DALLAS with the average ppg diff registering at +11.9 ppg.The Mavericks are 12-2 ATS L/14 on the road. NBA Road teams (DALLAS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG or less differential), after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games are 39-9 ATS L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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11-14-19 | Heat v. Cavs +5 | 108-97 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Cleveland after a slow start to their season have won 2 of their L/3 with the one loss coming to the 76ers by just 1 points. In their current form they are viable underdogs on their own floor here against a Miami team that maybe flashing slightly bloated recency bias favorite status. Cavs are 7-2-1 ATS L/10 overall. NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 10-41 SU L/5 seasons for a less than 20% win ratio. NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 30-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover |
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11-13-19 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | 94-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Lakers played a aggressive game vs the Suns last night in a big win, that saw the team spread the ball around . Note: The Lakers are 0-14 L/14 UNDER at home after a game as a road favorite in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with a combined average of 193.3 ppg going on the board. Now on tired legs I look for a regression tonight, and for this contest vs the Golden State Warriors to end up on the lower side of the total. LA LAKERS are 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored and are are 11-2 UNDER in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% or worse ) are 24-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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11-13-19 | Spurs +2 v. Wolves | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
San Antonio looked asleep at the wheel last time out vs Memphis and lost as DD chalk. Now after that embarrassing effort Im betting on this talented but inconsistent team to step up their game against a Minnesota team that is playing at a high level, but due for regression after some hard fought affairs over a short period of time. SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more San Antonio owns an 89-30 all-time series lead on the Timberwolves. The Spurs have won the season series against Minnesota 22 times in 30 seasons, including the last six. SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 49-20 ATS L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-13-19 | 76ers v. Magic -1 | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
This will be a back to back for the Sixers and their 3rd game and 4 nights and they will now be on tired legs vs a up trending Orlando team that is slowly getting back into a culture of winning. Advantage Orlando. PHILADELPHIA is 11-25 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are just 7-24 L/23 seasons for a 75% SU conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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11-12-19 | Blazers v. Kings +2 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Sacramento is playing pretty good ball of late, and are well rested, but an injury to starting point guard, De'Aaron Fox has caused what Im betting is an over reaction on the line giving us value with the home dog. Im betting veteran backup Cory Joseph will do just fine filling in tonight and give the Kings an opportunity for a win and more importantly cover for the 4th time in their L/5 games. SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Note: NBA Teams are 0-12 ATS /SU as a road dog off a win as a favorite in which they had overtime (Portland ended a 4 game losing streak with a OT win vs Atlanta last time out) The Kings are 18-1 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. Play on the Sacramento Kings |
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11-12-19 | Nets +7 v. Jazz | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Nets enter this road game against the Jazz having covered at a 15-6 ATS rate in their last 21 vs. Western Conference and are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Jazz on tired legs after playing last night and are vulnerable here vs this type of uptempo side. BROOKLYN is 27-12 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons The Nets are 23-3-1 ATS L/27 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. NBA Teams like the Jazz are 0-14 ATS L/14 with less than two days rest off a win in which they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - in non-conference games, off a road win by 10 points or more are 44-85 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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11-12-19 | Thunder v. Pacers OVER 213.5 | 85-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City is thundering into top form offensively of late, and as result of their decent Fg conversion rate and uptick in pace have scored 112, 1114, and 119 respectively, with all three going over as their D gets looser allowing 121, 108 , and 121 points. Tonight Im betting on that current form to continue which will force a capable Indiana side that is in top form to push forward offensively and upping their pace and gaining on a recent output of 120, 121, 112, 109 points in their L/4 with 3 of those 4 games eclipsing the total. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-12-19 | Thunder +2 v. Pacers | 85-111 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Indiana has been playing some very good basketball of late, winning, 6 of their L/7 games, but are now on tired legs and prepare to play their 5th game in 8 days. With Oklahoma City beginning to score on a more consistent rate of late, are viable opponents here on this line. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Teams like the Pacers are 1-18-1 ATS L/20 (2-18 SU) with less than two days rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. NBA Teams are 1-14 ATS /SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a win in a road game in which they had 30+ assists. Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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11-11-19 | Jazz v. Warriors UNDER 213 | 122-108 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
The Jazz are off a hard fought battle vs Milwaukee last time out(103-100), and subsequent win, and will be in a bit of an emotional letdown state here in Golden State , which Im betting sees them set an even slower pace than usual ( Utah ranks 1st in pace in the NBA). The Jazz are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 since Apr 20, 2019 going under by more than 17 ppg, with the average combined score clicking in at 198.1 ppg, with none of the games, eclipsing this current listed total. Also The Jazz are 0-5 L/5 UNDER on the road with a combined average of 193.4 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile Golden State prepares to play their 4th game in 6 nights, which includes 3 straight road games, and will now also be on tired legs and happy to also set a slower pace. UTAH is 16-4 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 209.4 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, struggling team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 45-19 UNDER L/5seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games are 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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11-11-19 | Jazz v. Warriors +9 | 122-108 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz enter this game off a big home win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out, and Im betting they will now be in a letdown situation. I know Golden State is also in a funk, and on tired legs , but in a game that will be fairly slow paced and quite probably lower scoring, a 9 point spread for advantage players looks like a viable investment option.The Jazz are 0-4 ATS /1-3 SU L/4 on the road.the lone win came by a 1 point margin vs the Suns. NBA Road teams (UTAH) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 41% or less on the season, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 38-83 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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11-11-19 | Mavs v. Celtics -3.5 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
Boston enters this game of an upset underdog win on the road vs the San Antonio Spurs last time out by a 135-115 count for their 7th straight win. They are currently in top form and a tough opponent for any team whether it is at home or on the road . Note: BOSTON is 13-2 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites (BOSTON) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 31-1 SU L/23 seasons with a + 13.7 ppg diff. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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11-11-19 | Wolves v. Pistons -2.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Minnesota lost in a hard fought OT game last night to Denver and will now be on tired legs and a letdown spot. Advantage Detroit Pistons with two days rest. Pistons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.Pistons are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference.Pistons are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 2 days rest.Favorite is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.Timberwolves are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Detroit. The Pistons are 11-0 ATS /SU when they won 4+ straight meetings vs current opponent. The Timberwolves are 0-10 ATS SU as a dog after they scored fewer than 10 fast break points last game. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-10-19 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215.5 | 113-104 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
The defending champion Toronto Raptors take on the Lakers in Los Angeles on Sunday short handed with injuries. Two of their top performers went down with injuries in the club's win over the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday.Guard Kyle Lowry, the Raptors' second-leading scorer at 21.8 points per game, sustained a fracture in his left thumb in the first quarter, and forward Serge Ibaka went down with a severe right ankle sprain in the second quarter. Considering this , Im betting their flow will be disrupted, and knowing that they cant run and gun with the explosive Lakers tonight, a more defensive physical posture will be implemented by the coaching staff which will help keep this tilt on the lower side of this total. NBA team (LA LAKERS/TORONTO) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better), on Sunday games are 40-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-10-19 | Nuggets -2.5 v. Wolves | 100-98 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
The Nuggets' looked impressive last time out vs a top tier Philadelphia 76ers club. They came back in spectacular fashion as they erased a 21-point fourth-quarter deficit to take a 100-97 victory and improve to 6-2 for the season.This is a top quality team that matches up very well vs a up trending but not quite ready prime time Minnesota side. Nuggets are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 vs. NBA Northwest. Nuggets are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 vs. NBA Northwest. Nuggets are 21-5-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Minnesota. Timberwolves are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Timberwolves are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Timberwolves are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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11-09-19 | Pelicans v. Hornets OVER 228 | 115-110 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
New Orleans is off a loss last night against the Toronto Raptors and will not be in any shape to play defence, tonight against the Hornets something thats been an issue for them all season long, as they allow the worst ppf average in the league ( 124 ppg) behind the 5th best offence ( 117.4 ppg) and 3rd ranked pace. Meanwhile, Charlotte ranks 23rd in ppg, allowed and 24th in defensive rating and will have to open here tonight against this type of wide open team if they hope to notch a win. Note: The Pelicans are 16-0-1 OVER L/17 with less than two days rest coming off a loss with the average combined score clicking in at 250.1 ppg. Every game during this extensive trend run have all eclipsed the current high total. NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 OVER in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 240 ppg scored. Over is 11-5 in Pelicans last 16 games playing on 0 days rest.ver is 4-0 in Hornets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings. Play OVER |
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11-08-19 | Bucks v. Jazz +3 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Reigning NBA Most Valuable Player Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks visit Salt Lake City to take on Utah tonight. The public is loving the Bucks, but are greatly underestimating the tenacity of the Jazz, against a team on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights on the road and in the high altitude of Salt Lake city. Advantage Utah. Take the points. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 26-5 SU L/23 seasons for a 84% conversion rate . NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 4-22 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-08-19 | Raptors v. Pelicans UNDER 234 | 122-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors and the New Orleans Pelicans opened the season against each other nearly three weeks ago.with the Raptors taking a 130-122 victory in overtime . Since than both have taken part in some high scoring games which in some ways is skewing this total to the high side, which offers value for under bettors such as ourselves. ( It it was not for OT the above mentioned tilt would have stayed under the total) Gentry is 36-19 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of NEW ORLEANs with a combined average of 219.1 ppg scored. The Raptors have not eclipsed the total in their L/7 as a road favorite with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 50-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-08-19 | Grizzlies v. Magic -7 | 86-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
The desperate Orlando Magic return home to Amway Center on Friday looking to end a four-game losing streak vs a Memphis side that they matchup well against.ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.8 ppg. The Magic are 9-0 SU/ 7-2 ATS L/9 as a home favorite. Play on the Magic to cover |
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11-07-19 | Thunder v. Spurs -4.5 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The Spurs have dropped three of their past four, including Tuesday's 108-100 setback in Atlanta and because of this we have a decent recency bias to bet into here with the desperate home chalk. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City have won two in a row and getting some media accolades on a small sample size. Truth is at least from my perspective , is that despite of the Thunders hard work and recent positive results, thye are still over matched here according to my power rankings which take into account variables media polling numbers don't such as matchup discrepancies based on systems. With that said, Im betting on the Spurs to come out here with a top tier effort on their way to a win and cover for the 5th straight time at home in this series.Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. SAN ANTONIO is 17-5 ATS in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Donovan is 8-22 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread are 48-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets +7.5 | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Boston is off a 119-113 win vs Cleveland last time out, in a high shooting percentage tilt for the Celtics. Note: BOSTON is 12-23 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Stevens is 5-16 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better as the coach of BOSTON. Meanwhile, Charlotte has won 3 straight , and are more than capable of hanging tough against a Celtics side playing their 3rd straight road game in 5 nights and on tired legs. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 78-125 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover (LATE STEAM) |
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11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz -2 | 104-106 | Push | 0 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
The Jazz have lost two straight both on the road, but still look lie a formidable NBA team, and now on two days rest will be prepared to bounce back here on home court vs a Philadelphia 76ers group playing their 3rd road game in 5 nights , Note: Jazz are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. The Jazz are also 12-0 ATS/SU at home off a road game in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field and are 7-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing with 2 days rest are 48-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-06-19 | Kings v. Raptors -7.5 | 120-124 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings the Toronto Raptors matchup well vs the Sacramento Kings , and with the added home court advantage look like very viable favorites here tonight. Torontos SRS: ranks 9th in the NBA ( 4.98) vs Sacramento's 27th ranking ( -7.52). SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Advantage Raptors NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - excellent free throw shooting team (79%or better) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 25-2 SU 23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 ppg which makes this a via-able ATS situation. Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-06-19 | Wizards v. Pacers OVER 224 | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Indiana is exhausted as they prepare to play their 3rd game in 4 nights, and are off a 122-120 OT loss in Memphis last night. Tonight playing defence could easily become an issue on tired legs in a game I have pegged to be a wide open affair vs a Washington side, that is ranked 26th in ppg allowed on D, and 5th in ppg on offence and 8th in pace. Over is 6-0 in Wizards last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-1 in Wizards last 9 vs. NBA Central. Over is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 vs. NBA Southeast. WASHINGTON is 30-16 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls OVER 215.5 | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Los Angeles has reeled off five straight victories since dropping the season opener against their intra-city rival Los Angeles Clippers behind super stars LeBron James and Anthony Davis and Im betting will have an above average output offensively today vs a struggling Chicago Bulls team allowing an average of 110.3 ppg. Meanwhile, LAL has been allowing 108 ppg on the road this season, and tonight I look for the chasing Bulls to aggressively open up to keep track on the scoreboard, which will result in combined score that eclipses this total. Play OVER |
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11-04-19 | Bucks v. Wolves +6.5 | 134-106 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
Milwaukee might be the public darling here but from a matchup perspective Minnesota is being highly under rated.(The Timberwolves will once again be without their star center Towns when they host Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday) But this is a team that plays deeper and more systematically than past versions of the Wolves and can withstand his absence as was evident when they took out the Washington Wizards last time out. With Milwaukee off a hard fought emotional win vs the Raptors last time out, Im betting they are more vulnerable here than the linesmakers and public might anticipate. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Timberwolves are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 71-118 L/23 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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11-04-19 | Pistons v. Wizards OVER 224 | 99-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Wizards enter this game against the Pistons having lost three straight while giving up an average of 138 points. Washington is ranked 28th in ppg allowed, and 3rd and pace and 7th in offence. The Wizards come at you in run and gun fashion, and essentially force you into opening up. Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons are currently ranked 21st in ppg allowed, and 24th in defensive efficiency, and if they are going to win they have to up their17th ranked pace here tonight in a game I have pegged to fly over the total. Over is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 road games.Over is 7-1 in Pistons last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 7-3 in Pistons last 10 overall. Over is 6-0 in Wizards last 6 home games.Over is 8-0 in Wizards last 8 vs. NBA Central.Over is 8-1 in Wizards last 9 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-2 in Wizards last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 21-7 in Wizards last 28 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 17-6 in Wizards last 23 games following a straight up loss. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (WASHINGTON) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 25-2 OVER L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 213 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Utah has the best D in the league so far this season ranking No.1 in ppg allowed at 94 ppg, and rank 28th in pace and 27th in ppg scored at 101. Its obvious what their formula for success is and Im betting on nothing changing tonight . Meanwhile, we all know about the Clippers and super star Kawhi Leonard, but Utah can slow down the most potent of teams , and isolate them in transition , which Im betting will be the case again tonight. With that said, Im betting a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. Utahs L/9 games dating back to last season, have gone under the total with the combined average score of 196.2 ppg going on the board. NBA team (UTAH/LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), first half of the season are 102-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 84-44 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-03-19 | Jazz +4.5 v. Clippers | 94-105 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
The Jazz are a team that matches up well against a side like the Clippers and already proved it once this season, in a 110-96 victory vs the Clippers on Oct. 30 in Utah. I know Kawhi Leonard was out that night because of load management , but despite of the super stars huge efforts this season, could find the going tough vs a team that knows how to control pace and muck things up which effects opposition flow. According to SRS equations, the Jazz are the superior team at this point on the season. Utah 6:25 SRS ranked 7th in the league vs Clippers 5.21 SRS, ranked 9th in the league. ( SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.) Jazz are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in L.A..Jazz are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. UTAH is 23-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.( Utah lost a 102-101 decision to the Sacramento Kings on Nov.1 and now with some rest should be ready to rebound) NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-03-19 | Kings v. Knicks UNDER 215.5 | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Two teams that are struggling to start their season go head to head tonight .Both entered Saturday tied for 27th in the NBA in assists per game (19.3). The Sacramento Kings issues have predicated on their lack of scoring consistency from downtown and at the charity stripe. Meanwhile, the Knicks the Kings hosts tonight, are ranked 28th in ppg on offence, and 27th slowest in pace, and depend on a hardcore work ethic to try to stay competitive. Both teams current structural inconsistencies make for a rocky flow, and Im betting tonight that will translate into a lower scoring affair that will not eclipse this total. The Knicks have gone under in 8 of their L/9 dating back to last season, with a combined average score of 206.9 ppg scored, and have gone under 4 straight times at home, with the with a combined average of 210.7 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 15-4 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.5 ppg going on the board.NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - pathetic team - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or better on the season, poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game are 28-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-02-19 | 76ers v. Blazers OVER 221.5 | 129-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Joel Embiid is expected to miss tonight game for Philadelphia because of suspension, but the way the Sixers are built that wont slow down their offense or pace here this evening. Note: The Sixers are ranked 3rd in PACE this season (107.0). Also PORTLAND in their L/41 games when the total is 210 to 222 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 233 ppg go on the board. Full steam ahead here in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 OVER after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. NBA team (PORTLAND) - good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 43%or less on the season, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 113-62 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-02-19 | Nets v. Pistons +1.5 | 109-113 | Win | 102 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Nets enter this game against the Pistons off a hard fought win vs the Houston Rockets last night. The Nets hosts tonight the Pistons also played last night in a loss, but the difference maker for this matchup comes via home court advantage and slightly fresher legs of the Pistons, vs a Nets team playing their 3rd game in 3 nights.Note: Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are just 66-131 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Dating back 5 seasons, teams like the Brooklyn Nets with a line between 3 to -3 off no rest & won their previous game as a dog by a margin less then 30 pts against an opponent who had 50 or more points in the paint are 0-23 ATS/ SU. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
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11-02-19 | Pelicans v. Thunder -3 | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
The Pelicans are off an upset win last time out vs Denver by a 122-107 count as 4 point home dogs. Note: NEW ORLEANS is 2-15 ATS L/17 off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog . The Pelicans have been running a full throttle take no prisoners game plan so far this season, and after that draining effort last time out Im looking for a regressionary effort today in Oklahoma City. Pelicans are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, the well rested Thunder are off a 102-99 loss last time out to Portland, but have bounced back well in the recent past positing a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. We also have a interesting NBA trend anomaly attached to this tilt that favors the Thunder: NBA Home favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - poor ball handling team - committing 16 or more turnovers/game, on Saturday games are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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11-01-19 | Lakers v. Mavs +2 | 119-110 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
The Lakers are full of veteran talent, but they are a little banged up right now with key cog Anthony Davis at less than 100% with a nagging shoulder injury. Dallas meanwhile, despite of being young is healthy right now and deserve respect on their own home court. The Lakers dating back to last season are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas. Play on Dallas to cover |
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11-01-19 | Rockets v. Nets +4.5 | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Houston and the Washington Wizards set a record with 317 combined points in a tilt that was decided by one point as the Rockets snatched a 159-158 win in that game. Im now expecting some regression on the part of the Rockets, after that energy draining effort. There are also some troubling numbers attached to the Rockets last effort most notably being that they allowed Washington to shoot 62.6 percent from the floor. Look for Kyrie Irving and company to thrive in this spot play. HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Brooklyn has win and covered 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series. Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Rockets are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.Nets are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Western Conference. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 7-23 L/23 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (HOUSTON) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 66-111 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Brooklyn to cover |
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11-01-19 | Bucks v. Magic +5 | 123-91 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee matchup is the middle game of a set of three in four nights at Orlando. Im betting the Bucks tired legs play an integral part in us getting a cover here tonight with the home dog. Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Magic are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Bucks are 4-9-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Orlando NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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11-01-19 | Cavs v. Pacers OVER 214.5 | 95-102 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Cleveland took out the Chicago Bulls 117-111 this past Wednesday. The win marked Cleveland's third consecutive game with an uptick in its scoring, from 85 in the opener to 110 vs. Indiana then 112 in a loss at the Milwaukee Bucks. There is upward offensive momentum at play here tonight in my over call on this tilt. Meanwhile, Indiana (1-3) concluded a three-game road swing on Wednesday, scoring its first win of the 2019-20 season, 118-108 at the Brooklyn Nets. Both sides have shown slower paces so far this season, but their defensive weaknesses , and current uptrends offensively make this a solid over wager. The Cavaliers are 7-2 OVER as a road dog with a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. Anomaly or not its interesting to note that CLEVELAND is 9-1 OVER in road games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 17-4 in Cavaliers last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 home games.Play OVER |
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10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers OVER 227.5 | 97-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
San Antonio has been off since beating the visiting Portland Trail Blazers on Monday to improve to 3-0 and are very fresh for this tilt vs the Clippers and should be very ready to press the action vs a LA Clippers side they matchup well against. With a rested Kawhi Leonard in the Clippers lineup they will also be ready to reciprocate in a what Im betting will be a run and gun affair. The L/3 meetings here in LA have all eclipsed the total. LA CLIPPERS are 19-6 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of those 25 games clicking in at 236.6 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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10-30-19 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The Jazz according to my own ratings should be -5 favs here against the public leaning Clippers. Hey I know the Clippers have the best player in the league Kawhi Leonard in their their lineup and their currently playing very good hoops, but Utah is no pushover. Utah has the second-lowest opponent expected eFG% in the league and their defense is tops in the league allowing just 92 points per 100 possessions. The Clippers are 24th on D under the same parameters. With that said, Im going directly against the public and the Clippers and agreeing with the market forces that suggest Utah has an edge. Utah is 3-0 SU L/3 at home in this series. NBA Favorites (UTAH) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 106-61 ATS L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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10-30-19 | Pacers +3.5 v. Nets | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Kyrie Irving is playing at an extremely high level right of the game this season for his new team the Brooklyn Nets. However, I am expecting a natural letdown regression offensively , and for the Nets nasty defensive play to burden them against a Indiana side that are capable of busting out of an early season scoring slump. It must be noted that despite of Kyrie Irving circus the Nets needed a late Irving's 3-pointer Friday after blowing a 19-point lead. Two days later, the Nets held an eight-point lead with three minutes remaining and gave up a 10-2 run that forced overtime. The 1-2 Nets are down trending and may not be the solid bet the public thinks they are tonight. BROOKLYN is 4-14 ATS in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is 3-0 SU l/3 visits to Brooklyn. NBA team (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 6 or more of their last 8 games are 41-16 ATS L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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10-29-19 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 219.5 | 91-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
We have a huge talent disparity here in this game featuring Memphis and the LA Lakers and Im betting the rebuilding Grizzlies output will be muted, and their over all game plan will be a more conservative one , than they have shown so far this season, knowing what they are up against. With that said, Im betting we have a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Note : It must also be noted that there seems to be a concerted effort from the Lakers to be a all around team this season. LAL are ranked 3rd in ppg allowed this season, and 20th in offence, behind the 28th ranked pace. The Lakers are 2-7 L/9 as a home favorite with the average combined score clicking in at 214.2 ppg. LA LAKERS are 21-7 UNDER as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 29-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-28-19 | Jazz v. Suns UNDER 216.5 | 96-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
Utah is a defence first team with a blue collar attitude, and Im betting that will be on full display here this evening in Phoenix. Its early in the season but the Jazz are ranked first in defence allowing 90.3 ppg and are ranked 27th on offence, but the tell tale tape shows them methodically operating with a 28th ranked pace, which is in part indicative of their on court conservative philosophical mindset. Meanwhile, the Suns are ranked 12th in ppg allowed and 14th in pace and should be on tired legs and in a regressionary offensive mode, after taking part in consecutive hard fought back forth affairs vs Denver and the LA Clippers.Add to that both teams are playing their 4th game in 6 nights and are certainly on tired legs which in turn will also effect the pace and output of this tilt to the low side of the totals number. Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 overall.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Jazz last 10 Monday games.Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-3 in Jazz last 12 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 games following a straight up win. Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games following a straight up win. .Under is 16-5 in Suns last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-2 in Suns last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Phoenix. PHOENIX is 9-1 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.3 ppg. UTAH is 31-13 UNDER after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.5 ppg going on the score board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 27-4 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 36-12 UNDER 23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-28-19 | Jazz -4.5 v. Suns | 96-95 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
The Jazz made a season-high 18 3-pointers and tied a franchise record with 13 threes in the first half while routing Sacramento 113-81 on Saturday, in a top tier two way game. Defence remains the mainstay of the Jazz success behind two-time reigning NBA Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert and here tonight Im betting their top tier D will be the difference maker as they march to a conclusive win vs a exhausted Suns team that will play their 3rd game in 4 nights and that they matchup well against .Utah has taken the last seven meetings by an average of 24.1 points and one more conclusive win is on tonights agenda. Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 10-34 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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10-28-19 | Warriors v. Pelicans -3 | 134-123 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
After the five-time defending Western Conference champion Warriors were hammered at home by the Clippers 141-122 in the season opener, Golden State coach Steve Kerr said the performance was not "a one-off." Quote:"This is the reality," Kerr said. "There's going to be nights like this this year."End Quote: And the next night like that came at Oklahoma City on Sunday as the Thunder led by as many as 41 points in rolling to a 120-92 victory. With the league now wanting to take advantage of a great franchise that took great joy and pounding opponents mercilessly over the last few years payback by their opponents is now at hand. Both these teams are still without a win this season, but New Orleans according to my projections has an edge here at home laying the short lumber. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 34-3 SU L/23 seasons with the combined average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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10-27-19 | Nets -4.5 v. Grizzlies | 133-134 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Kyrie Irving is fitting in well to his new home in Brooklyn and followed up a top tier 50-point performance in his season debut by highlighting a late surge in the fourth quarter of Brooklyn's 113-109 win versus the New York Knicks on Friday night. According to my early season projections, Irving and the Nets matchup well here vs Memphis and are viable road favorites of 5 points or less. MEMPHIS is 21-39 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 53-32 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons . Nets are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Memphis. Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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10-27-19 | Warriors v. Thunder +1.5 | 92-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
The Warriors (0-1) and Thunder (0-2) are both still looking for their first wins. Golden State lost a 141-122 confrontation to the Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma took season-opening losses at Utah and at home against Washington . Both rosters are vastly different from last season, but after watching some of key action from these games, I like the Thunder a little more at this point of the season, and believe they have an edge here on on home court this afternoon. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS L/5 as a favorite. Warriors are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 28-4 SU L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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10-26-19 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 228 | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The Suns will play host to the Clippers on Saturday in their second game without key starter Ayton, and will miss his point production, but overall, this Im betting helps their defence. Ayton has never been known for his defensive play and is also known as a defensive liability. Add to that the Suns, played last night and will be on tired legs after they lost l in OT by a 108-107 count in the high altitude of Denver which in itself is exhausting . So here in LA this evening, Im looking for a tempered effort from the Suns, against what is an explosive Clippers team. This Im betting leads to a much lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers expect. Note: HC Williams in 213 career games when playing against a team with a winning record in all games he has coached has seen a combined average of 192.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-26-19 | 76ers v. Pistons UNDER 216.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Last time out Philadelphia showed their defensive abilities when they limited Boston to 36.7 percent shooting overall and 26.9 percent from 3-point range, and are more than capable of a shut down performance here vs Detroit on the road . Meanwhile the Motown Pistons, are off dropping their home opener to Atlanta 117-100 as chalk. There was a lack of good defence, and offence in that tilt, and HC Casey was particularly unhappy with the Pistons D, and tonight Im betting he sets out to correct that. QUOTE:"Our defense (Thursday) was porous and you put that along with bad shooting in the second half, that's a bad recipe," coach Dwane Casey said. END QUOTE. DETROIT is 17-6 UNDER off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons are with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. 76ers- Joel Embiid is "?" Saturday vs Detroit ( Ankle ) Pistons -Blake Griffin is out indefinitely ( Hamstring ) Play on the UNDER |
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10-26-19 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 | 131-126 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Butler, Miami's biggest offseason acquisition, missed Wednesday's season-opening win for the birth of his daughter and will miss Saturday's game against the Bucks and as a result will effectively curtail the Heats offensive output. The Heats L/7 road games dating back to last season have seen a combined average of 216 ppg go on the board. The Heats usual motus operandi is based on playing staunch D which will be in effect here, vs the explosive Milwaukee Bucks. Long term historical trend: MIAMI is 563-469 L/1031 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 189.1 ppg scored over a very extensive period of time.MIAMI is 103-74 UNDER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points with a combined average of 186.8 ppg going on the board. Play on the UNDER |
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10-25-19 | Knicks +8.5 v. Nets | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
This is the NBAs version of the battle of NY, and it should be a good one, between the revamped NY Knicks and the up trending Brooklyn Nets. With Brooklyn off a heart breaking 127-126 OT loss last time out, Im betting they will be less energetic than the Knicks and easily suffering an emotional letdown. What Im betting here is the Knicks will play with passion and will not go down without a fight and advantageous line. Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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10-25-19 | Wolves v. Hornets +5.5 | 121-99 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Both Minnesota and Charlotte are coming off one point victories in their first games of the season.Minnesota won 127-126 in overtime against the Brooklyn Nets in New York while, the Hornets overcame a 10-point, fourth-quarter deficit Wednesday in a 126-125 victory against the visiting Chicago Bulls. Im betting the Wolves game was more strenuous than the Hornets game, and they will be fresher and ready to compete here on their own home floor as underdogs. Note:MINNESOTA is 3-14 ATS in road games after a combined score of 235 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Charlotte is 2-0 in the 2 most recent games here and 12-3 SU L/15 as a host in this series and get my support to cover in this spot play. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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10-24-19 | Clippers v. Warriors OVER 226.5 | 141-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Both teams will take the court with revenge motivation: the Clippers on an opponent that ended their season last April; the Warriors on Leonard, who denied Golden State a three-peat while leading the Toronto Raptors to the championship in June. With that said,Im expecting a spirited back and forth game with a boatload full of points going on the board. Over is 7-2 L/9 meetings at Golden State. Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games following a ATS win.Over is 10-1 in Clippers last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 6-2 in Clippers last 8 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 road games.Over is 12-5 in Clippers last 17 Thursday games.Over is 14-6 in Clippers last 20 overall.Over is 13-6 in Clippers last 19 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 overall.Over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 /WARRIORS (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, vs. division opponents are 28-13 OVER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-23-19 | Kings v. Suns +2 | 95-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
The Suns HC Williams has implemented a "no-stick" offensive philosophy that asks players to pass, dribble or shoot in five-tenths of a second. Rubio, Booker, Saric, re-signed free agent Kelly Oubre Jr. and Ayton are the expected starters , as he has the type of lineup that can implement his philosophy fully. I know how bad the Suns have been over the last few seasons, but Im betting on them to up trend. Tonight against a Sacramento Kings side, that is just 1-3 in their L/4 visits here Im siding with the Suns to get us the cover. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Play on the Phoenix suns to cover |
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10-23-19 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 211 | 93-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Im projecting that this big man crew of Philadelphia to really push forward here this Wednesday night in attempt to assert their standing in the East. I also expect a take no prisoners type of affair with alot more points going on the board than the linesmakers and public might expect. In the past Boston has been able to slow down Joel Embiid, thanks to the work of Al Horford and Aron Baynes’ , and now that both are gone, Im expecting Embiid to explode offensively and carry his team forward with maximum momentum The revamped Celtics will have to follow suit and open up, with some offense of their own, or be blown off the court, which Im betting helps us get over the Number. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA/BOSTON) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, vs. division opponents are 28-7 OVER L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 226.5 | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
The public right out of the gate loves the over here in this Battle of LA game based in part to the concept that LAL super stars Davis and James will almost single hand-idly eclipse this total all by themselves.(Tongue in cheek) But Im betting the chemistry between these guys is over blown just like this total based on perceptions. Instead Im betting on Lakers sturdy D, to be key. I know the Clippers can also run and gun, but Im betting that wont be the case here tonight as they devise a game plan to slow down Davis and James and the fast break explosiveness of Alex Caruso and Kuzma, resulting in a more tempered effort by the Clippers in transition. Under is 8-3 in Lakers last 11 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Lakers's last 19 games when playing LA Clippers. Play on the UNDER |
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10-22-19 | Pelicans +7 v. Raptors | 122-130 | Loss | -107 | 36 h 42 m | Show | |
There will be no Zion Williamson (knee injury) in the New Orleans lineup this Tuesday night in Toronto on opening night as the Raptors begin the defense of their NBA championship. Because of this this we are getting a generous line to bet into with the visiting Pelicans. Despite of New Orleans not having Williamson in the lineup on opening night the proverbial cupboard is still not empty as top tier veterans like Holiday and Favors, Redick still make this team a fairly formidable opponent, and with the key additions of up trending young talent like Ingram, Ball and Hart must not be discounted to be competitive vs a side that lost their key starter Kawhi Leonard to free agency in the off season and have no real individual big stars in their lineup. This Pelicans group has alot to prove after their super star Davis left town via trade, and especially now with Williamson down, and Im expecting them to play a big game tonight vs a side that could easily experience a championship hangover. Toronto is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans.Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest. New Orleans is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road. Road team is 23-6-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings.Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. NBA Home teams (TORONTO) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, in non-conference games are just 49-61 SU L/5 seasons for a 44.5% win conversion rate. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 211.5 | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 2 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 The Raptors have played a physical gritty style of basketball these entire play offs that keys its offence in transition and here in the NBA finals have really pressured the Golden State Warriors, much like they did vs Sixers and the Bucks . The success of the Raptors flow busting modus operandi Im betting will not change here today in a game that promises to be intense. One team looking for their first ever championship and the other a defending champion on their last legs scratching and clawing to survive. There will be fireworks, but not of the offensive kind, in a game the linesmakers are estimating to be close. The Raptors are 2-9-2 UNDER L/11 on the road with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored. Under is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 Thursday games.Under is 9-3-1 in Raptors last 13 road games.Under is 9-3-1 in Raptors last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-3 in Raptors last 10 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 7-3-1 in Raptors last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less ARE 78-41 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 212 | 106-105 | Win | 100 | 59 h 21 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - TOR Leads 3-1 The Raptors have played a physical gritty style of basketball these entire play offs that keys its offence in transition and here in the NBA finals have really pressured the Golden State Warriors, much like they did vs Sixers and the Bucks . The success of the Raptors flow busting modus operandi Im betting will not change here today in a game that promises to be a up North rumble. One team looking for their first ever championship and the other a defending champion on their last legs scratching and clawing to survive. There will be fireworks, but not of the offensive kind, in a game the lines-makers are estimating to be close . NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (TORONTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, with a winning record on the seasons are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 216 | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - TOR Leads 2-1 The Warriors uncharacteristically allowed 123 points in Game 3 of this series vs the Raptors which was just the fourth time they have allowed 120 points or more in the 2019 playoffs. In the two previous play off campaigns the Warriors allowed more than 120 points just 3 times in total, so Im betting the game 3 anomaly will not be repeated as will as a mean to the regression to the norm for the Raptors offence after shooting the lights out in game 3 ( 40% from 3 point land, 30+ assists ). With Klay Thompson returning to the floor for game 4, the dynamic of the Dubs defence will return which HC Kerr will key on in a very important game . Also Durant will be out tonight as well, for the Warriors which has diminished their offensive firepower as compared to when he plays, so D will be very important element for Golden State to even this series. When Durant plays the Dubs average 116.5 ppg on offence and when he sits they average 6.1 ppg less at 110.4 ppg. In the 48 times Durant as not played because of injury or personal issues , the Total is 30-18 UNDER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors with the staying under the total by 5.6 ppg.When Durant is not playing and Curry is in the lineup, the under is 26-15 fora 64% conversion rate for bettors staying under the total by 5.3 ppg. Note:The Raptors previous to game 3 were 1-8-2 UNDER on the road in the post season with a combined average score of 209.8 ppg scored. I keep hammering the under in this series, and I could drastically change my mind based on todays results. However, keep in mind Im not being swayed by a small game 3 sample size. So lets attack the under again. Play UNDER |
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06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 213 | 123-109 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 8 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Toronto Im betting will continue to play scrappy physical ball here on the road, against the run and gun Dubs. They practiced this in both series against the Bucks and the Sixers and nothing will change tonight in Oakland.The Raptors are 1-8-2 UNDER since Apr 03, 2019 on the road with a combined average score of 209.8 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, Golden State's D is very under rated and recently in these play offs held two explosive offences Portland and Houston to 99 and 94 points respectively here at home. More strong stopping capabilities Im betting will be on full display here in game 3. .Under is 8-2-1 in Raptors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 13-6 in Warriors last 19 home games. Play UNDER |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 215 | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Game 2 - NBA Finals The Raptors who have owned the best half court D in the postseason did well in game 1 by focusing their attention on Curry and Thompson and with no Durant on the floor the Raptors should continue to be effective slowing down the splash brothers again. Right now the Warriors just don't have enough outlets, and the Dubs HC Kerr know s this , and being the top tier director and game facilitator he is Im betting the ball coach will have his D prepared to play a more guarded transitional game that will help this score stay on the low side of the total. Also it is highly unlikely key Raptors players like Pascal Siakam will score anywhere near what they did in game one, and that the Dinos offensive output is also curtailed in a game that Im betting stays on the low side of the number. Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 Sunday games.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 6-0 in Raptors last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. Play UNDER |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 214 | 109-118 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Raptors enter this game ranked 8th in points per game allowed in the league and 15th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors rank 13th in defensive efficiency and 10th in pace. Both teams have a great deal of offensive talent, but both also have some gritty defensive players. During these play offs the Raptors have made teams like Milwaukee and Philadelphia look less than fluid thanks to their ability to break the flow of their opponents, and Im sure that same formula will be in place Thursday night.It must also be noted that Golden State despite of their reputation as gunslingers also have the ability to play a top tier brand of D, and that Im betting will also be on display. With that said, Im expecting a chippy physical affair here in Toronto and a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 25-10 in Warriors last 35 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 12-5-1 in Warriors last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off a home win are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 212 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 The Raptors have made the Bucks look bad in the last two meetings on this series. It must be noted that Milwaukee has stayed UNDER 10 straight times with rest when they are off two double-digit ATS losses and the line is -3 to a pick. Overall in this series the Bucks and the Raptors have struggled offensively .In game 5 the ugliness of this series was highlighted as Toronto went 31-of-84 from the field while the Bucks were 38-of-84. The Raptors actually made seven fewer FGs, but they came out on top because they made twelve more charity stripe conversions than the Bucks. Tonight with so much on the line, I expect this to be a very physical game that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 14-6 in Bucks last 20 games following a straight up loss.Under is 9-4-1 in Raptors last 14 games following a straight up win.NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 36-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6.5 | 105-99 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Wrong or right my perception of the Raptors last win in this series vs the Bucks was an albatross event, and that the Bucks are the superior team in a bounce back situation after an embarrassing 18 point loss. It must be noted that the Bucks lost just 7 games this season by 10 or more points . In the last six losses, the Bucks went 6-0 ATS, covering by 12.8 points per game. Also from a league wide perspective teams like Milwaukee coming off a 10 point plus post season loss are 25-11 ATS in the followup game in the Conference Finals. In the last 14 seasons teams that have won at least two straight games entering a playoff game and are in the underdog role in their next game and it is between game 5 and 7 in a playoff series, the team on the two-game-plus winning streak is just 31-48-1 ATS. MILWAUKEE is 16-3 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite this season. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 37-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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05-21-19 | Bucks -2 v. Raptors | 102-120 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 2-1 The Raptors came out in game 3 of this series in desperation mode, and played like their play off lives depended on it, and still needed double OT to get barely get by the Bucks. After playing an exhausting 7 game series with the Sixers Im betting fatigue will now be in a factor for the Raptors and that they are at a disadvantage in game 4 here in Toronto because of that. Meanwhile, the Bucks are much fresher, and very ready to take advantage of the Dinos . It must be noted that no team in the NBA was better at rebounding of a loss this season than Milwaukee as is evident by going 22-1 SU with a +15 ppg diff and 19-4 ATS after a loss this season covering by an average of 7.6 ppg. Milwaukee is 20-6 ATS after allowing 115 points or more in their last game with the average ppg cover diff coming by 6 ppg. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 216.5 | 102-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 The Raptors looked clumsy and less than fluent offensively in their last game vs the Bucks a OT win , and have actually been less than effective offensively for large portions of these play offs. Im betting that trend will continue tonight. The Raptors over all flow has also effected their opponents like a virus, as has been evident in this series vs the Milwaukee Bucks and the previous series vs the Philadelphia 76ers . Both the Toronto and Milwaukee converted at less than 40% from the filed in game 3. Note: The Bucks have gone under 10 straight times when coming off a road loss in where they shot less than 40% from the field while the Raptors have gone under 7 straight times in post season play after a game as chalk in which they held their opponent to under 40% shooting from the field. The Raptors are also 0-7 UNDER L/7 in the playoffs with less than two days rest off a home tilt that was tied five-plus times. Im expecting a fairly low scoring game here, based on the factors I have pointed out above and on my score projection of this tilt. Play UNDER |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 218.5 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0 In my betting opinion there is only one way that Portland can possibly steal at least one game in this series, and that is going balls to the walls with all out offensive attack. They have shown their ability to run and gun with the Warriors in the first half of the last two games, before looking fatigued late and eventually capitulating . Now down 3-0 in this series and in desperation mode, Im expecting the Blazers to leave everything on the floor, and to squeeze every last bit of energy they have into this game. This projected scenario Im betting leads to a high scoring game, that eclipses this total. PORTLAND is 8-0 OVER off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 237.3 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 I have not been impressed by the way the Raptors have played in the play offs overall especially the Philadelphia series, and the 2nd game of this series when they lost by 22 points. However, there is enough talent and pride with guys like Kawhi Leonard, and hardcore work ethic from key character players like Siakam to produce a top tier effort in desperation mode here at home today. Note: The L/14 seasons home favorites like the Raptors that were defeated their previous game by double digits have gone 117-79-5 ATS in the playoffs. MILWAUKEE is 7-21 ATS L/28 off 3 or more consecutive home wins . Milwaukee is 0-23 ATS as a rested dog when they are off a win as a home favorite in which they shot better than 25% from the arc and are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio of better than 1.50. NBA Home favorites (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 53-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 219.5 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 The Bucks, in game 1 of this series showed their rust after a week off, while the Raps showed their fatigue in a 108-100 final on Wednesday. In Game 2 on Friday, the Bucks reved things up and took a 125-103 victory to take a 2-0 series lead. Now Im betting on the Raptors and the Bucks coming out here with all guns blazing in a game that Im betting eclipses the total. The Bucks are 11-4 OVER L/15 on the road with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored in those 15 tilts. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 41-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |