01-07-17 |
Lions v. Seahawks OVER 43.5 |
Top |
6-26 |
Loss |
-108 |
22 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
01-07-17 |
Lions v. Seahawks -8 |
Top |
6-26 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Lions come into the playoffs off three straight losses, and they conceded a whopping 73 points in losses Dallas and Green Bay in the last two weeks. After failing three times to clinch the NFC North, their reward is a road game at Seattle on Wild Card Weekend. This Seahawks defense isn't as tough as it used to be, and they are really missing safety Earl Thomas. Seattle has a reputation for playing low scoring games, but the total has gone over in five of the last seven at home, and the Seahawks have gone over in five of their last six playoff games. Russell Wilson plays better at home, completing 67 percent of his passes for 2,181 yards, 13 TDs and just three INTs. He faces a Lions secondary that has been reeling in recent weeks, and even the return of top corner Darius Slay didn't slow down Aaron Rodgers. The Packers quarterback threw for 300 yards and four TDs in a 31-24 win over the Lions last week. Detroit didn't win a single game outdoors during the regular season, and they have lost eight straight playoff games dating back to 1992. Take Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-07-17 |
Manhattan v. Quinnipiac -2 |
Top |
72-81 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats. I had the Bobcats as a nine point dog in their last game at Canisius, and they covered the spread losing by a score of 83-77. They are back home hosting Manhattan Saturday, and the Jaspers are reeling after losing four straight to start conference play. Manhattan is coming off a blowout home loss to Fairfield, allowing the Stags to score a whopping 97 points on almost 60 percent shooting. The Jaspers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven road games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. The Bobcats played well in their loss to Canisius, leading at halftime and holding that lead until well past the midway point in the second half. If they play with the same passion today, at home against an inferior opponent, they should hang on for a win. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-06-17 |
Flames v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-135 |
33 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CAL@VAN to go UNDER the total. The Canucks have won five straight, and they've held opponents to just seven goals in those games. They haven't gone over five goals in any of their last eight games, and I expect a tight battle here in Vancouver with bitter rivals Calgary in town. The Flames are also playing great, coming in as winners of 10 of their last 14. Brian Elliot has won back the starting job, winning five straight starts, conceding just nine goals in those games. These teams have played twice already this season, and neither game went over five goals. They've scored five goals or less in 10 of the last 11 meetings at Rogers Arena. This game is going to be huge for both these clubs, as they are battling for one of the final playoff spots in the West. Vancouver currently sits on the outside looking in, two points behind LA and three points behind Calgary who currently occupy the wild card spots. The Canucks have failed to go over the total in nine straight games against Pacific Division rivals. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-04-17 |
Avalanche v. Flames -203 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on the Calgary Flames. The Flames are one of the hottest teams in the NHL, coming into tonight's home game versus Colorado as winners of 10 of their last 14 overall. The Avs on the other hand have dropped four straight and nine of their last 10. Semyon Varlamov has been sidelined by a groin injury, and backup Calvin Pickard has started the last five games. He's been lit up for 18 goals while losing his last four starts. One of those games was a 6-3 home loss to the Flames. Brian Elliot stopped 25-of-28 shots in the victory, and he appears to have won the starting job back from Chad Johnson. Elliot has won his last four starts, conceding just eight goals in those games. Michael Backlund scored twice in that game, and Calgary's leading scorer has five goals and three assists in his last four games. The Flames don't have a lot of room for error, as they are clinging to the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Take Calgary. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-04-17 |
Coyotes v. Canucks -152 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Vancouver Canucks.
The Canucks are now back at .500 after winning four straight games. They are back in the hunt for a playoff spot, trailing LA and Calgary by just three points in the Western Conference wild card race. Veteran goaltender Ryan Miller has started three of those games, and he's now 8-4-1 with a 2.35 GAA at home this season. Miller stopped 35-of-36 shots in a win over Arizona earlier this season, and he stopped 33-of-34 shots winning his only start versus the Coyotes last season. Arizona has lost seven straight, and both goaltenders are struggling. Mike Smith gave up five goals on 31 shots in a 6-3 loss to New York in his last start, and he's been torched for 17 goals in his last five outings, all losses. Backup Louis Domingue gave up four goals on 24 shots in a 4-2 loss to Calgary on Saturday, and he's lost five straight starts. The Canucks have owned Arizona in recent seasons, winning seven of the last eight meetings. The Coyotes are 8-21-1 in their las 30 trips to Rogers Arena.
Take VAN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-04-17 |
Virginia Tech +1 v. NC State |
Top |
78-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies.
The Hokies opened conference play with a dominant win over a shorthanded Duke team, and now they head out on the road to face N.C. State. The Wolfpack have an 11-3 record, but not one of their wins has come against a quality opponent. They have been an underdog just three times this season, losing all three of those games to Miami, Illinois and Creighton. Last year N.C. State finished with a losing record, and they were just 5-13 versus the ACC. The Hokies were 13-5 in conference play, and they won on the road at Wake Forest, Georgia Tech and Boston College. Virginia Tech comes in averaging over 90 points per game on 51 percent shooting in their last five games, and they have hit 42.9 percent from beyond the arc during that span. N.C. State has only covered the spread once in it's last six games versus ACC teams.
Take VT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-04-17 |
Bucks -120 v. Knicks |
Top |
105-104 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks have won three of their last four, and they've played some tough opponents during that span. They beat the Bulls in Chicago, the Pistons in Detroit, and the Thunder at home. They are in New York tonight, taking on a Knicks team that is stuck in downward spiral. The Knicks have lost five in a row, and they've allowed an average of 113.8 points in those games. Head coach Jeff Hornacek showed his frustration in Monday's loss to Orlando, turning his back and walking away when Carmelo Anthony called his own number on a crucial play late in the game. Kristaps Porzingis has missed the last two games with an Achilles injury, and is listed as doubtful. Milwaukee leads the NBA in points in the paint, and the Greek Freak has scored 20+ points in seven straight games. The Knicks are going to struggle to snap out of their losing streak tonight.
Take MIL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-04-17 |
Georgia Tech +19 v. Duke |
Top |
57-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Duke and Georgia Tech appear to be teams trending in opposite directions. The Blue Devils were upset by Virginia Tech in their opening game of conference play, while the Yellow Jackets upset the #9 ranked UNC Tar Heels. Duke has not looked sharp in it's last three games, beating Elon and Tennessee Tech by a combined 21 points. They were favored by more than 25 points in each of those games, but were fortunate enough just to get the outright victories. There could be tough times ahead for Duke, with Coach K scheduled to take time off after back surgery following this game, and Grayson Allen suspended indefinitely. This line appears to be extremely inflated, especially when you consider that over the last three years these teams have played three times, with Duke winning two of those three games by just a single digit margin. The Blue Devils have won nine straight in this series, but they are a bigger favorite tonight than they were in any of those previous nine games. The Yellow Jackets have been a solid bet when getting at least 13 points, covering in four straight such situations. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-03-17 |
Pacers v. Pistons -186 |
Top |
121-116 |
Loss |
-186 |
20 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-17 |
Auburn v. Oklahoma -190 |
Top |
19-35 |
Win
|
100 |
589 h 37 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners finished the season strong, winning nine straight games and clinching their second straight BIG12 Championship. They didn't just win, they absolutely manhandled opponents at the end of the season. Their final two games were both blowout wins over ranked opponents. They out-scored Oklahoma State and West Virginia by a combined score of 84-48. Baker Mayfield didn't win the Heisman, but in my mind he was the best quarterback in the country this year. The difference between he and Lamar Jackson was that Mayfield played well in the Sooners biggest games, even when they lost to the Cougars and the Buckeyes. Auburn had a flash of greatness in the middle of the season, but faded in the final weeks, losing two of their last three games. Quarterback Sean White didn't play in the final two games of the season, but he's expected to be back for the Sugar Bowl. He didn't have a great season, throwing for 1644 yards with nine TDs and three INTs in 10 starts. I think it's going to be tough for the Tigers to find enough offense to compete with Oklahoma here in the Sugar Bowl. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-02-17 |
Siena v. Canisius -2 |
Top |
79-82 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Canisius Golden Griffins.
The Golden Griffins have won five straight, and their last game was an outright road win at St. Bonaventure. They host Sienna this afternoon, and the Saints have lost four of their last five. Sienna is 0-8 on the road this season, and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight versus the Golden Griffins. Canisius has averaged over 90 points per game on 48.5 percent shooting during their recent winning streak, and they have been red hot from beyond the arc. They've hit 45.9 percent from three point range in their last five games, and have hit better than 40 percent for the season. The Saints were just 3-of-18 from beyond the arc in a home loss to Vermont in their last game. Leading scorer Nico Clareth had a horrible game, hitting just 1-of-6 from beyond the arc.
Take CAN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-01-17 |
Packers v. Lions OVER 49.5 |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on GB@DET to go OVER the total. The Lions went into Dallas last week, and got blown out by a team that didn't have anything to play for. They couldn't do anything right on defense, allowing Dak Prescott to throw for 212 yards and three TDs on 15-of-20 passing. The Cowboys also piled up 164 yards on the ground, and Ezekiel Elliot had a pair of rushing TDs. With Darius Slay sidelined by a hamstring injury last week, backup corner Johnson Bademosi wasn't able to do anything to stop Dez Bryant. Slay might be able to play this week, but he's unlikely to be at 100 percent. If he can't go, it's a nightmare matchup for Bademosi facing Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Green Bay has scored 30 or more points in three straight games, and comes into Detroit as winners of five straight. The Packers success on offense has made everybody forgot about how bad this team was in the first half of the season, and there are still plenty of reasons to be concerned about this defense. Last week they were lit up for 383 yards and three TDs by Sam Bradford. The week before that it was Chicago's backup Matt Barkley throwing for 362 yards and a pair of TDs. Both of these teams are banged up at the running back position, so it figures to be a game where we should see plenty of passing. Three of the last four games between these two teams have gone over the total, and Green Bay has gone over in five of it's last six versus NFC teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-01-17 |
Ravens +1 v. Bengals |
Top |
10-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
40 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens.
While neither of these two teams are going to the playoffs, I like the Ravens to end the season on a high not with a win in Cincinnati. The Bengals are going to rest some injured players, and will be without several key players including: Tyler Eifert, A.J. Green and Vontaze Burfict. The Ravens can finish with a winning record if they win today, and this could be a huge game for veteran receiver Steve Smith, who is expected to retire after this season. Flacco has played well down the stretch, throwing for over 1400 yards with 10 TDs and five INTs in his last five starts. The Ravens won three of those games, with losses at New England and Pittsburgh. The Ravens are 8-0 ATS in their last eight versus division rivals, and that trend should continue here today.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-31-16 |
Canucks v. Oilers -1.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Edmonton Oilers. The Canucks have won back to back home games, but they play their second game in as many nights on the road in Edmonton on New Years Eve. This is a tough spot for Vancouver, and they face an Oilers team that has won four of it's last five. Edmonton has struggled to find consistent goaltending in previous seasons, but Cam Talbot has been sensational in 2016. The former New York Ranger has been particularly good against the Canucks, going 3-0-2 in five starts against them over the last two seasons. He stopped all 26 shots he faced in a shutout win over Vancouver earlier this season. The Canucks have dropped five of their last seven when playing the second game of a back-to-back, and they have last four of their last five when playing a third game in four nights. Take EDM. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-31-16 |
Ohio State v. Clemson +3.5 |
Top |
0-31 |
Win
|
100 |
539 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers.
Both Clemson and Ohio State lost just one game this season, and the majority of the pundits agree that these two teams are pretty evenly matched. The Tigers though are getting a significant number of points here in the Fiesta Bowl, and I believe Clemson played better football down the stretch. J.T. Barrett threw for just 210 yards with one TD an an INT on 25-of-54 passing in the final two games, just barely beating Michigan State and Michigan. DeShaun Watson threw for 635 yards and nine TDs in his last two games, and he ran for over 100 yards and two TDs as well. The Buckeyes are a young team, with the majority of the players from their championship squad two years ago already moved on. The Tigers still have the same core group of stars from last year's team that pushed Alabama to the brink in the Championship Game. The Buckeyes failed to cover the spread in six of their last overall, while Clemson is 7-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games. I'll take the points.
Take CLEM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-31-16 |
Washington v. Alabama OVER 52.5 |
Top |
7-24 |
Loss |
-103 |
19 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WAS@BAMA to go OVER the total. The Crimson Tide will be a double digit favorite over Washington in the Peach Bowl, but the Huskies offense might give them some trouble. Alabama has only lost one game in the last two seasons, and that was a 43-37 home loss to Ole Miss last year. Chad Kelly lit them up for 341 passing yards and three TDs in the victory. The Rebels nearly did it again this season, as Kelly threw for a whopping 431 yards and three TDs in a 48-43 home loss. If there's a weakness in the Alabama defense, it's that they've failed to contain elite quarterbacks over the last two seasons. Kelly wasn't the only quarterback to have a big game against Alabama this season, Austin Allen threw for 400 yards and three TDs when Arkansas lost 49-30 at home to Alabama. Jake Browning was one of the nation's top quarterbacks this season, throwing for 3,280 yards with 42 TDs and just seven picks. Given almost a month to prepare for this game, these offensive coordinators should have plenty of tricks up their sleeves. Both these teams have trended toward high scoring games, with the Huskies going over in four of their last five non-conference games. The Tide have gone over nine of their last 11 bowl games, and the over is 19-6-1 in their last 26 neutral site games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-30-16 |
Florida State +7 v. Michigan |
Top |
33-32 |
Win
|
100 |
260 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles.
This looks like a classic let down spot for the Wolverines, and Harbaugh might struggle to get his team up for their bowl game. Michigan was ranked in the Top 5 all year, and didn't drop out of a playoff spot until losing to the Buckeyes in their final game of the regular season. Many of the stars on both sides of the ball for the Wolverines will already be looking ahead to the NFL, and might not be all that happy about putting their body on the line one more time ahead of the draft. Even at their best, the Wolverines might be hard pressed to cover such a big number against a Florida State team that went 9-3 this season, losing to Clemson by just three points, and suffering an upset loss to North Carolina by a score of 37-35. The only ugly mark on their season was a 63-20 loss to Louisville in Week 3, but I am not going to read too much into that result, as there were some key injuries on defense that factored into that loss. FSU running back Dalvin Cook was banged up in the first half of the season, but he ran for 720 yards and 11 TDs in his last five games. The Seminoles should give Harbaugh's boys a run for their money.
Take FSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-28-16 |
Kansas State v. Texas A&M -145 |
Top |
33-28 |
Loss |
-145 |
23 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Texas A&M Aggies. Both Kansas State and Texas A&M finished the season with 8-4 overall records, but the Wildcats didn't really have any quality wins. In fact none of their eight wins came against teams with a winning record (in the FBS). The Aggies on the other hand opened the season with six straight wins, beating Auburn, Arkansas and Tennessee. Even after they lost to Alabama in late October, they ranked #4 overall in the first edition of the College Football Playoff rankings. Things went downhill for the Aggies when Trevor Knight was injured two weeks later in a loss to Mississippi State. Knight is healthy and well rested, and all geared up for the final game of his college career. He delivered one of the most impressive performances in history when he threw for 348 yards and four TDs in the 2014 Sugar Bowl, helping Oklahoma upset Alabama by a score of 45-31. Bill Snyder knows just how dangerous Knight can be, he threw for 318 yards and three TDs in his last game against the Wildcats. Kansas State won that game 31-30 at Oklahoma, but that was a different team with Jake Waters and Tyler Lockett. Jesse Ertz struggled at quarterback for the Wildcats this season, throwing just four TD passes and three picks in eight games in conference play. He's up against the best pass rush in the country, and it could get ugly if he's forced to throw. The Wildcats are a woeful 1-7 ATS in their last eight bowl games. Take Aggies. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-27-16 |
Grizzlies v. Celtics OVER 198.5 |
Top |
103-113 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@BOS to go OVER the total. The Grizzlies are one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 2nd in points allowed. Opponents are averaging just 97.7 points per game this season, but Memphis has lost four of it's last six, surrendering well over 100 points in each of it's last two losses. One of those games was a 112-109 home loss to the Celtics just seven days ago. They come into Boston tonight off a 112-102 loss at Orlando last night. Playing their second game of a back to back, the Grizzlies defense might not be at it's best. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in five of the last six meetings. Going back even further, the over is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings, and eight of the last 11 at Boston have gone over the total. The Celtics are hot, winning five of their last six, scoring an average of 108.9 points in those games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-26-16 |
Lions +8 v. Cowboys |
Top |
21-42 |
Loss |
-125 |
95 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Lions. The Cowboys have won 11 of their last 12 games, and have clinched their division and home field advantage throughout the playoffs. They've failed to cover in four straight games though, and they are asked to cover a big spread here in a meaningless game versus Detroit. The Lions need a win here to clinch a playoff spot, and they have a history of playing close games against the Cowboys. These two teams have played three times since 2011, and all three of those games were decided by four points or less. The Lions run defense ranks among the best in the NFL, holding opponents to just 98.9 yards per game, only giving up six rushing TDs. Ezekiel Elliott has run for 266 yards on 47 carries in the Cowboys last two games, but I expect him to see limited action here against the Lions. Jason Garrett says he won't rest starters even though the Cowboy's have clinched, but that doesn't mean the backups won't get the majority of the snaps. It would be completely irresponsible to give Elliott and the rest of the starters a heavy workload tonight. Especially after seeing three teams lose key players to broken legs just 48 hours ago. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-25-16 |
Broncos v. Chiefs -200 |
Top |
10-33 |
Win
|
100 |
128 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Chiefs ran all over the Titans last week, running for 157 yards and two TDs. They led 17-7 at halftime, but ended up losing by a score of 19-17 to Tennessee. They host Denver tonight, needing a victory to clinch a spot in the playoffs. The Broncos are the defending Super Bowl champs, but they are not going to get a chance to defend their title. Denver has really struggled since C.J. Anderson went down with an injury, and they haven't been able to get anything going on the ground with Devontae Booker and Justin Forsett. The Broncos still rank #1 in the NFL against the pass, but they haven't been able to stop the run. Denver ranks 27th in the NFL allowing 117 yards per game. The Chiefs have covered the spread in five straight when coming off a loss.
Take KC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-25-16 |
Ravens +6 v. Steelers |
Top |
27-31 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens. This is a huge game for the Ravens, they need to win the AFC North to clinch a playoff spot, and that can only happen if they beat the Steelers here in Pittsburgh. The Ravens have won three of their last four, with the only loss during that span coming on the road at New England. Joe Flacco has been hot during that span, throwing nine TD passes and just four INTs, and going over 300 yards passing in two of those games. The defense has been a strength all year for the Ravens, but they've conceded 56 points in their last two games. Tom Brady threw for over 400 yards and three TDs against the Ravens secondary two weeks ago, and the Eagles ran wild, rushing for 169 yards and a pair of TDs in last week's 27-26 loss at Baltimore. The Steelers defense ranks in the Top 10 in the league against the pass, but they come into this game banged up on the defensive line, and that could mean more time in the pocket for Flacco. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against division rivals, and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games versus teams with a winning home record. Take BAL. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-24-16 |
Bucs +3.5 v. Saints |
Top |
24-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Tampa Bay Bucs. The Bucs have won five of their last six overall after coming up short in a 26-20 defeat at Dallas on Sunday night. They turned the ball over four times in that loss, putting their defense in a tough spot. Heading into last Sunday's game the Bucs had won five straight, limiting opponents to an average of less than 13 points per game during that span. One of those wins came against New Orleans, and they picked off Drew Brees three times in a 16-11 home win. Brees is coming off a big game on the road at Arizona, but the Cardinals look like a team that has already thrown in the towel. The Bucs are still fighting for a playoff spot, and they should go all out here at the Super Dome. These two teams have gone under the total in 13 of the last 16 meetings, and the Saints have failed to reach the total in seven straight versus teams with a winning record. The Bucs have covered the spread in five straight road games, and four of their last five meetings with the Saints.
Take TB,
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-24-16 |
Dolphins v. Bills -190 |
Top |
34-31 |
Loss |
-190 |
98 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bills 1/H. The Dolphins are looking to clinch a playoff spot here in Buffalo, but it isn't going to be easy. Miami has won eight of it's last nine games, and one of those was a 28-25 home win over the Bills. Jay Ajayi ran for a season high 214 yards with a TD on 28 carries in that win. His production has really dropped off in recent weeks though, failing to run for 100 yards in six straight starts. Injuries have taken their toll on Miami, and they will turn to backup quarterback Matt Moore here this Saturday. He looked good against the Jets, throwing for 236 yards with four TDs and one INT. The Jets turned the ball over four times in that game though, and still managed to out-gain Miami 360-303 total yards. Moore only completed 12 passes, and he's likely to have a tougher time against a Buffalo defense that ranks among the best in the NFL allowing just 225 passing yards per game. The Dolphins defense has been terrible against the run, ranking 30th allowing opponents to average 132.5 rushing yards per game. The Bills rank 1st overall in the NFL in rushing, averaging 163 yards per game. It could be a big day for Shady McCoy, and I expect him to find Pay Dirt. Take BUF. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-23-16 |
Wizards v. Bucks -150 |
Top |
96-123 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. After winning back to back games in a home and home series versus Chicago, The Bucks dropped both games in a two game series versus the Cavs. They were competitive in both those games against the defending champs, and on their home court they forced overtime before falling by a score of 114-108. They should get back on track against Washington here, a team that is just 3-9 on the road. The Wizards could be shorthanded, after Otto Porter sat out the second half of their 107-97 win over the Bulls due to back spasms. The Bucks are feeling good about themselves despite coming up short against Cleveland: "If we play like we've played the last week, regardless of our wins and losses, we'll be fine," forward John Henson said. "We're not beating ourselves. We're playing the right way for the most part." They've covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 games when playing on 1 day's rest. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-22-16 |
Spurs -120 v. Clippers |
Top |
101-106 |
Loss |
-120 |
16 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs.
The Clippers upset the Spurs in San Antonio earlier this season, and Blake Griffin scored a game high 28 points in the victory. The Spurs won't have to worry about Griffin when they attempt to avenge that loss at the Staples Center tonight. San Antonio has the best road record in the NBA at 15-1, and they've covered the spread in five straight overall. The Clippers haven't been making bettors any money at home, failing to cover in six of their last eight at Staples Center. They've also failed to cover in five of their last six versus teams with a winning record, and five in a row when coming off a win. I like the visitors to get revenge here against the undermanned Clippers.
Take SPURS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-22-16 |
LSU v. Wake Forest -8 |
Top |
76-110 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
12-22-16 |
Canisius +11.5 v. St Bonaventure |
Top |
106-101 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Canisius Golden Griffins.
The Bonnies have always been a strong home team, but perhaps they've lost a step this season. They have failed to cover in eight straight as a home favorite, and they are being asked to cover a double-digit spread here versus a strong team that has given them trouble in the past. Canisius has covered the spread in five straight road games, and three of the last four meetings between these two teams have been decided by six points or less. The Bonnies followed up a home loss to UNC Wilmington by beating Niagra and Army. Neither of those wins came by more than 10 points, and I don't think either of those teams are as competitive as Canisius. The underdog has covered the spread in five of the last seven in this series, and that's a trend that is likely to continue tonight.
Take CAN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-22-16 |
Central Arkansas v. Arizona State -18 |
Top |
62-98 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Sometimes wins and losses don't tell the real story, and I think that's the case with this 6-6 Arizona State team. The Sun Devils have lost to #1 Kentucky, #9 Creighton, #18 Purdue, Davidson, Northern Iowa and New Mexico State. Despite their .500 record, they've scored plenty of points. They are averaging a staggering 93.8 points per game on 48.5 percent shooting at home. They've covered the spread in seven of their last nine home games against teams with a losing record. They host the 1-11 Central Arkansas Bears in a matinee Thursday, and this really looks like it should be a massacre. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six non conference games, and they've only covered the spread once in their last seven road games. Three of their last four road losses came by 20+ points. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-21-16 |
Georgia State v. Middle Tennessee -12.5 |
Top |
64-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders. Georgia State is 0-4 on the road, and three of those four losses came by double digits (at Old Dominion, at Mississippi State, and at Auburn). The Blue Raiders at 10-2 have more wins than any of those teams, and they have beaten some good teams by a wide margin. They have double digit wins over Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, Evansville, Belmont, and Toldeo. They are coming off a 80-77 loss at VCU, covering the spread for the sixth straight game. It's only a matter of time before this team becomes overvalued, but I think we are still getting a reasonable price here on the home favorite, as this game should be a blowout. The Panthers have failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 road games, and they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. The Blue Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. Take MTU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-20-16 |
Sabres +1.5 v. Panthers |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on the Buffalo Sabres +1.5.
The Sabres are six points back of eighth place Boston, who occupy the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Buffalo though does have a couple of games in hand, with a record of 12-11-7 through 30 games. Florida sits to points ahead of the Sabres, but has played one more game. The Panthers have lost eight of their last 11 overall, and six of those games were decided by just one goal. The Sabres have played more than their fair share of one-goal games, with seven of their last nine being decided by a single score. Buffalo owns the league's 4th best power-play, converting on 22.9 percent of it's man-advantage opportunities. The Sabres should give Florida a run for it's money here at the BB&T Center.
Take BUF +1.5.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-20-16 |
Lakers v. Hornets UNDER 213 |
Top |
113-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. The Lakers are struggling after starting the season 10-10. They've lost nine of their last 10 overall, and PG DeAngelo Russell is still dealing with a knee injury that will keep him off the floor in Charlotte. The Hornets return home from a five game road trip, and they've won three of their last four at home. They held opponents under 100 points in all three of those wins, and they've held the opposition to an average of just 99 points in their last seven overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Hornets have gone under in five of their last seven overall, and 19 of their last 28 when playing on two days rest. The under is 6-2-1 in the Lakers last nine road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-18-16 |
Raiders -2.5 v. Chargers |
Top |
19-16 |
Win
|
100 |
162 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders. The Raiders six game win streak ended in Kansas City last week, and they will try to get back on track on the road at San Diego this Sunday. The Chargers are coming off back to back losses, and at 5-8 there isn't much for San Diego to play for. Phillip Rivers took a beating last week, getting sacked five times while throwing for 236 yards, two TDs and three INTs on 21-of-39 passing. He's now been picked off 10 times in his last four starts. Derek Carr has only thrown five picks all year, and he threw for 317 yards, 2 TDs and an INT in a 34-31 home win over the Chargers earlier this season. San Diego has battled injuries all year, and the Chargers come into this game missing a long list of key players, most notably RB Melvin Gordon. Raiders DE Khalil Mack ranks third in the NFL in sacks, and he has five forced fumbles this season. The Chargers rank dead last in the league with 30 turnovers. I like Oakland to clinch a playoff birth here with a win in San Diego. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-18-16 |
Saints v. Cardinals -2.5 |
Top |
48-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
161 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Cardinals.
The Cardinals came into this season expected to be a Super Bowl contender, but here in Week 15 they have just five wins. The Saints come into Arizona with a 5-8 record, but they've lost four of their last five games, and Drew Brees has struggled during that span. Brees is coming off back to back games without a TD pass, throwing a whopping six picks in those losses. He'll face an Arizona defense that ranks #1 overall, and second overall versus the pass. The Saints defense ranks near the bottom of the league, allowing opponents to average over 366 yards per game. While the Cardinals have struggled on the road, they've been pretty good at home, with a record of 4-2-1. Their last home game was a 31-23 win over Washington, and Carson Palmer threw for 300 yards and three TDs on 30-of-46 passing. I think this is a great spot for Palmer and Arizona to bounce back from a tough road loss in bad weather last week.
Take ZONA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-18-16 |
Eagles v. Ravens -5.5 |
Top |
26-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
158 h 56 m |
Show
|
After losing to the Patriots at Foxboro, the Ravens still control their own destiny. They are just one game back of the Steelers in the AFC North, and they play at Pittsburgh next week. They need to win here at home this Sunday against the Eagles, a team that has come crashing back down to earth after a hot start. Carson Wentz appeared to be wise beyond his years in the first half of the season, but he's thrown just four TD passes and nine INTs in his last six starts. He faces one of the NFL's toughest defenses this week, and the Ravens rank 2nd overall with 15 INTs this season. "This is at least where you want to be," Ravens coach John Harbaugh said. "The opportunity to control your own fate with victory is really what you hope for at this time of the season. Two teams in our division have that -- us and the Steelers. We'll both be fighting for that division championship." The Eagles have failed to cover the spread in four straight, while the Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
Take BAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule.
|
12-17-16 |
Lightning v. Oilers -145 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Edmonton Oilers. The Lightning are struggling, coming into Edmonton Saturday as losers of eight of their last 10. This is a particularly tough spot, as they play on back to back nights after losing last night in Vancouver. They haven't done well playing on no rest, losing five of their last six in the second game of a back to back. They've also lost four of their last five visits to Edmonton. Goaltending has been a big issue for the Bolts, with Ben Bishop posting a losing overall record, and backup Andrei Vasilevskiy getting lit up for 17 goals in his last five appearances. Whoever gets the start tonight (likely Bishop) will face the NHL's leading scorer Connor McDavid. Oilers coach Todd McLellan has said he will reunite McDavid with Milan Lucic and Jordan Eberle on the top line. He likes his chances here against the road weary Lightning: "We're fresh, we're energized and we got to polish some things up," said McLellan. Take EDM. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-17-16 |
Southern Miss -195 v. UL-Lafayette |
Top |
28-21 |
Win
|
100 |
80 h 23 m |
Show
|
10* analysis before game time
|
12-17-16 |
Butler v. Indiana -143 |
Top |
83-78 |
Loss |
-143 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Indiana Hoosiers. The Hoosiers are 8-1 with wins over #3 ranked Kansas and #3 ranked North Carolina. They play state rivals Butler in Indiana Saturday, and the Bulldogs are 9-1 so far. Both teams are shooting close to 50% from the field, but the Hoosiers have averaged 87.6 points per game, 10 more than Butler. Indiana's biggest advantage should be on the boards, averaging 42.9 rebounds per game (13 more than Butler). The last time these two teams met in the Crossroads Classic, the Hoosiers won 82-73, out-rebounding Butler 48-40. Sophomore forward OG Anunoby scored 16 points on 6-of-8 shooting in the Hoosiers win over the Tar Heels, but missed the last three games with an ankle injury. He's expected to be back for this game, and I like the Hoosiers to prove to be too much for Butler. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-16-16 |
Kings v. Penguins -185 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-185 |
22 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Penguins are the hottest team in the National Hockey League, coming into tonight's home game against LA as winners of seven straight overall. They are tied with the Rangers at the top of the Eastern Conference Standings, and trail Chicago by just one point for the league's overall best record. The Kings are playing the second game of a back to back, on the East Coast a long way from home. The Kings are 5-8-1 on the road, while the Penguins home record of 13-2-1 is the league's second best behind Montreal. Sidney Crosby has six goals and five assists in his last seven games, and he has an NHL best 21 goals this season. Matt Murray has picked up right where he left off when he led the Penguins to a Stanley Cup Championship in his rookie season. He's 12-2 with a 1.93 GAA, ranking among the league leaders in all major goaltending categories. This looks like a mismatch, and while the price is steep, it should probably be higher. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-15-16 |
Devils v. Blues -183 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the St. Louis Blues.
The New Jersey Devils have lost seven of their last nine overall, and they will have a tough matchup tonight on the road at St. Louis. The Blues are coming off consecutive road losses, but they are 7-0-1 in their last eight home games. Starting goaltender Jake Allen has yet to lose in regulation on home ice this season, boasting a record of 10-0-2 with a 1.79 GAA. Allen already has a win against the Devils this year, allowing one goal on 21 shots in the victory. It's tough to win games in the NHL if you can't take advantage of your power play chances, and the Devils have struggled in that department, ranking 22nd in the league with a 15.4 percent conversion rate. The Blues rank in the Top 10 both on the power play as well as killing penalties. St. Louis at home, with a huge advantage on special teams, a superior offense and more consistent goaltending looks solid at this price.
Take STL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-14-16 |
Cavs v. Grizzlies -4 |
Top |
85-93 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies and the Cavs will play the second leg of a home and home series on back to back nights in Memphis Wednesday. Tyron Lue has already announced that LeBron and the rest of the "Big Three" will be rested in this game. They aren't even expected to fly with the team to Memphis. The Grizzlies have dealt with adversity (nothing new for them), but have remained competitive. Their 10-4 home record is superior to the Cavs 6-3 road record, and I can't see the Cleveland B team competing on the road here tonight.
Take MEM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-13-16 |
Panthers v. Wild -140 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
12-12-16 |
South Carolina v. Seton Hall -145 |
Top |
64-67 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Seton Hall Pirates. The Gamecocks will be without leading scorer, and leading rebounder Sindarius Thornwell when they face Seton Hall on Monday night at Madison Square Garden. South Carolina is undefeated, but seven of their eight wins came at home. They really missed Thornwell in their last game, shooting just 41 percent from the field and getting outrebounded by an inferior Florida International team. The Pirates come in averaging 78.3 points per game on 49.9 percent shooting, and they should feel at home at Madison Square Garden. Not only has Seton Hall won seven of nine games to start the season, their last three games of last season were wins over Creighton, Xavier and Villanova in New York. They have four of five starters from the team that won the Big East Tournament last year. Take HALL. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-12-16 |
Ravens +7.5 v. Patriots |
Top |
23-30 |
Win
|
100 |
174 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens.
The Ravens have won four of their last five games, and their only loss during that span came by a score of 27-17 at Dallas. The Patriots are 10-2, but both of those losses came at home in Foxboro. Brady's favorite target Rob Gronkowski is done for the year with a back injury, and I think the Pats are a little overrated here as they get set to host the league's #1 ranked defense. Joe Flacco threw for a season high 381 yards and four TDs on 36-of-47 passing in a blowout win over Miami last Sunday, and he had a big game the last time he faced the Patriots. Baltimore lost 35-31 at New England in the 2014 playoffs, and Flacco threw for 292 yards and four TDs in a losing effort. The Ravens actually held a 14 point lead in that game, but couldn't hang on. Dennis Pitta looked like a man among boys last week, catching nine passes for 90 yards and two TDs. The Ravens defense held Jay Ajayi to just 61 yards on 12 carries, and they picked off Ryan Tannehill three times. This looks like a great spot to take the Ravens getting a bunch of points.
Take BAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-11-16 |
Cowboys -185 v. Giants |
Top |
7-10 |
Loss |
-185 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys 1st Half.
The Giants are the only team in the NFL that has beat the Cowboys, but I don't like their chances of doing it twice. The Giants actually rank 5th in the NFL in rushing defense, holding opponents under 100 yards per game. They got shredded for well over 100 yards in Pittsburgh last week though, and when I look at their schedule I can see those numbers may be skewed. Their six game win streak ended in Steel Town last week, but check out the six teams they beat during that run. The Browns, Rams, Bears, Eagles, and both the Ravens and Bengals who were really banged up. With a schedule like that, it's not surprising they put up some nice numbers. The Cowboys will be looking to avenge this season's only loss, and I expect Zeke to run all over these Giants.
Take DAL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-11-16 |
Saints v. Bucs -150 |
Top |
11-16 |
Win
|
100 |
149 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Tampa Bay. The Saints will be on the road at Tampa this Sunday, and the bookmakers are expecting plenty of scoring in this one. The total is over 50, which is much higher than it was in the previous six meetings between the two teams. They failed to reach the total in four of those six games, and two games that went over were played at the Super Dome in New Orleans. Drew Brees leads the NFL in passing, but he's coming off his worst game of the season, throwing for 326 yards and three INTs in a home loss to Detroit. The Saints have lost three of their last four games, going under the total in all three of those losses. The Bucs on the other hand have won four in a row, and have allowed opponents to average just 13 points during that span. The Saints seem to score most of their points against the league's weaker teams, which is part of the reason they've failed to reach the total in six straight against teams with a winning record. Drew Brees has never played as well on the road as he does at home, and he's in a tough spot this week facing a surging Bucs defense. Take TB. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-11-16 |
Cardinals +2.5 v. Dolphins |
Top |
23-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
155 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Cardinals. After winning five straight games, the Dolphins were masquerading as a contender. I wasn't fooled, betting against them last week in a 38-6 loss to Baltimore. Joe Flacco picked apart their defense, throwing for 381 yards with four TDs on 36-of-47 passing. The are back home to host the Cardinals, a talented team that has underachieved all year. The Cards are coming off a 31-23 win over Washington, and Carson Palmer threw for 300 yards and three TDs on 30-of-46 passing in the victory. David Johnson continued to put up incredible numbers, running for 84 yards and a TD on 18 carries, and catching nine passes for 91 yards and a TD. Arizona ranks 2nd in the NFL in total defense, just behind Baltimore. We saw what the Dolphins looked like against the Ravens, and I don't expect them to have much more success here against Arizona. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-11-16 |
Redskins v. Eagles |
Top |
27-22 |
Win
|
100 |
154 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins.
Washington was riding a 6-1-1 run heading into Thanksgiving, but they lost to the NFL's best team in Dallas by a score of 31-26. They followed that up with another tough loss on the road at Arizona, and now they face a must win game at Philly if they want to keep any playoff hopes alive. The Eagles have lost five of their last six, and they can't blame the schedule for their struggles. They are coming off a 32-14 loss to the Bengals, and Carson Wentz threw three INTs in that game. The rookie quarterback looked like a seasoned veteran in his first four games, but he's since thrown twice as many picks (10) as TDs (5). The Redskins expect to get Jordan Reed back this week, and he didn't play when the Eagles lost at Washington earlier in the year. Wentz was sacked five times, and only completed 11 passes in the first meeting, and I don't see things changing much this time around. Washington has won four of the last five in this series, and they are 5-0 ATS in those games.
Take WAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-10-16 |
Jets v. Flames -125 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Calgary Flames. The Flames come into tonight's home game versus Winnipeg as winners of five straight. The biggest difference for Calgary has been a change between the pipes. Brian Elliot came into the season as the starter, but after struggling mightily he's given way to veteran Chad Johnson. The 30 year old was born in Calgary, and he's been standing on his head so far this season, with a record of 12-4-1 with a 1.98 GAA. Goaltending has not been a strength for the Jets, and their #1 netminder Connor Hellebuyck is 3-5 with a 3.18 GAA on the road this year. The Jets have just four wins in their last 12 games, and they've lost their last three visits to the Saddledome. Going back even further, they've lost nine of their last 11 in Calgary. Johnny Hockey returned from injury last week, and he's scored a pair of goals and added four assists in three games since. Things have really come together nicely for the Flames, and we get a great price to back them at home against an inferior opponent. Take CAL. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-10-16 |
Penguins -126 v. Lightning |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Penguins are flying, coming into Saturday's game at Tampa as winners of four in a row. They sit two points behind the 1st place Rangers in the Metropolitan Division, with two games in hand. The Lightning are struggling, they've lost six of their last seven overall. Goaltending has been an issue, and their #1 goaltender Ben Bishop has a losing record (8-10-1, 2.86 GAA). Backup netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy has better numbers (6-2-1, 2.27 GAA), but he's conceded nine goals on 54 shots in his last two starts. Pittsburgh ranks 2nd in the NHL averaging 3.4 goals per game. Matt Murray has been stellar between the pipes, with a record of 9-2-0 with a 1.91 GAA. He doesn't mind playing on the road, he's 5-2 with a 1.74 GAA in seven road starts this season. The Penguins have won 15 of the last 22 meetings between these two teams, and with Ryan Callahan and Steven Stamkos both sidelined by injury, I don't like their chances here tonight. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-10-16 |
NC-Wilmington v. St Bonaventure -4 |
Top |
81-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies come into Saturday's home game against UNC Wilmington as winners of five straight. They are undefeated at home, and they scored a whopping 90 points in a win over Buffalo in their last home game. The Seahawks are in first place in the CAA, and they were the top team in their conference last year. They didn't fare all that well in non conference road games though, dropping four of their first five. The Bonnies are always tough at home, and they were 14-2 on their home floor last season. They shoot the ball particularly well at home, and have a significant edge when it comes to free throw percentage and three-point field goal percentage. Over their last five games, the Bonnies have shot 43.3 percent from beyond the arc, while the Seahawks have hit just 32.1 percent of their three-point attempts during that span. Given how well the Bonnies have played at home in recent seasons, it seems a little odd that they are asked to cover such a low number here. We can see that they've failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games, but they won those six games by an average margin of more than six points. I think the bookmakers have perhaps overcompensated based on that trend, giving us great value betting the home team as such a short favorite. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-10-16 |
Mercer v. Clemson -13 |
Top |
47-90 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Clemson Tigers.
The Mercer Bears have been struggling this season, and playing on the road at Clemson is going to be tough. The Tigers are 4-0 at home, and three of those four wins came by double digits. Their defense has been spectacular in those games, holding opponents to an average of 59.8 points on 39.8 percent shooting. The Bears haven't been competitive when facing top tier teams, losing by 20+ points to Florida and Davidson. They are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 overall, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. Mercer sits in the bottom half of the Southern Conference standings, and Clemson has covered in five straight versus teams from the Southern. This looks like a complete mismatch, and I like Clemson to win big here at home.
Take CLEM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-10-16 |
Wisconsin v. Marquette UNDER 147.5 |
Top |
93-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WISC@MARQ to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers will play at Marquette Saturday, in the latest edition of this in-state rivalry. Marquette won last year by a score of 57-55 at Madison, while the Badgers won at Milwaukee by a score of 49-38 the previous year. Those are some pretty low scores for college basketball, which makes it surprising that the total for this game is more than 10 points higher than it was in any of the last 10 meetings in this series. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams, and the Badgers have failed to reach the total in 16 of their last 21 overall. Marquette comes in averaging a whopping 86.7 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting, but they have yet to face a ranked opponent. They scored in average of just 68 points in their two losses (vs Pittsburgh and Michigan). Wisconsin will be by far the best defensive team they've seen this season, as the Badgers are allowing just 59.1 points per game. The Badgers have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven road games versus Marquette.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-09-16 |
Oilers v. Wild -154 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Wild.
The Oilers jumped out to an early lead last night in Philly, but the Flyers came back with three goals in the third period to win by a score of 6-5. It's going to be tough to get up for tonight's game, playing on the road in the final game of this road trip on back to back nights. It's also Edmonton's third game in four nights, and the Oilers have just two wins in their last eight overall. The Wild are 7-3 at home this season, and goaltender Devan Dubnyk has been dominant on home ice. He's 6-3 with a 1.57 GAA in nine starts in Minnesota this year, and he's won seven of eight starts against his former team. The Oilers have lost 21 of their last 26 visits to Minnesota, and they have dropped a woeful 60 of their last 77 when playing on back to back nights.
Take MIN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-08-16 |
Raiders v. Chiefs OVER 45.5 |
Top |
13-21 |
Loss |
-107 |
22 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OAK@KC to go OVER the total. The Raiders and the Chiefs will play at Arrowhead on Thursday, and the winner will be in the driver's seat in the AFC West. The Chiefs won 26-10 at Oakland earlier this season, but Oakland has since won six straight. The Raiders have scored 30 or more points in five of those six games, and Derek Carr has thrown 12 TD passes and just two picks during that span. The Chiefs have won six of seven since their win at Oakland, but it's worth having a closer look at their recent results. Their home victory over the Jaguars on November 7 was hardly impressive, as they were out-gained 449-231 in total yards, and just barely beat one of the league's worst teams. They followed that up with 20-17 win at Carolina, and they were also out-gained in that game (341-256), and the Panthers somehow managed to blow a 14 point lead in the fourth quarter. After losing at home to the Bucs, they got lucky in another miraculous comeback win at Denver. Then last week they won on a failed two-point conversion attempt returned for two points (29-28) at Atlanta. Their defense has been impressive at times, but the Chiefs rank 29th overall in total defense, and they have been burned for a total of 665 yards passing the last two weeks. The Raiders defense actually ranks worse, and Oakland has gone over the total in six straight, and four of their last five road games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-07-16 |
Blazers v. Bucks -130 |
Top |
107-115 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks had a four game winning streak snapped when they lost 97-96 to the Spurs on Monday. They host Portland tonight, and the Blazers have lost four of their last six on the road. The home team has won five straight in this series, and Milwaukee has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 meetings. The Blazers have covered the spread just twice in their last seven road games, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight versus teams with a winning record. The Greek Freak scored a career high 34 points on 13-of-19 shooting in a home win over Cleveland last Tuesday, and he should put up big numbers against a Portland team that ranks near the bottom of the NBA in points allowed.
Take MIL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-07-16 |
Harvard v. Boston College |
Top |
74-66 |
Loss |
-130 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Boston College Eagles. After suffering consecutive double digit losses to Richmond and Kansas State, the Eagles won big at home by a score of 88-70 over Dartmouth. They host another Ivy League team tonight, and While Harvard should prove to be a tougher opponent than Dartmouth, the Crimson are no longer the class of their conference. These teams played last November, and the Eagles won by double digits on their home court. Boston College has won four of it's five home games so far, scoring an average of 79.2 points on 50.2 percent shooting. The Crimson have played just one true road game, losing 70-66 at Massachusetts. They committed 19 turnovers in that game, and shot just 36.8 percent from the field. The Eagles leading scorer Jerome Robinson has been feeling the hot hand, totaling 27 points in each of his last two games. He was 10-of-16 from beyond the arc in those two games. This looks like a tough spot for a struggling Harvard team playing on back to back nights. Take B.C. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-06-16 |
Knicks v. Heat UNDER 204 |
Top |
114-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYK@MIA to go UNDER the total. The New York Knicks are just 2-6 on the road this season, and they have failed to cover in nine of the last 10 in this series with the Heat. New York's 15th ranked offense is averaging 5.5 points fewer on the road than it does at home. The Heat are one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, ranking 28th overall, averaging just 97.1 points per game. Miami's defense though is ranked 6th in the NBA, holding the opposition to an average of 98.8 points per game. The Heat are coming off a 99-92 loss at Portland, failing to reach the total for the fifth time in their last 10 games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Putting it in perspective, neither team has scored 100 points in the last four meetings, and the Knicks haven't reached the century mark in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-05-16 |
Celtics v. Rockets -4.5 |
Top |
106-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Houston Rockets.
Houston returns home from a recent road trip with four wins in five games, including a 132-127 win at Golden State. The offense is really clicking under new head coach Mike D'Antoni, ranking 2nd in the NBA averaging 111.3 points per game. They will host Boston tonight, and the Celtics are coming off a couple close wins over sub .500 teams. They beat the Sixers by just a single point in Philly on Saturday, and they failed to cover as a six point favorite in a home win over the Kings. Houston has won five of the last six meetings in this series, and the Rockets covered the spread in four of those five wins. While it looks like the Celtics have been good on the road, a closer look reveals that they've benefited from a very soft schedule. They've won five straight road games, but those five teams have a combined winning percentage of .333.
Take HOU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-04-16 |
Panthers v. Seahawks OVER 44 |
Top |
7-40 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CAR@SEA to go OVER the total.
The Panthers are in dead last in the NFC South, and they come into Seattle with one of the league's worst defenses. They are particularly vulnerable against the pass, ranking 27th in the NFL, allowing opponents to average 275 yards per game. Russell Wilson really struggled in Tampa last week, but he had had thrown for over 900 yards with six TDs and no INTs in his previous three games. He threw for 348 yards and three TDs in a win over the Patriots at New England just two weeks ago. These two teams played twice last year, and both those games went over the total. Wilson threw for 366 yards and three TDs on 31-of-48 passing in a 31-24 loss at Carolina in the playoffs. The Panthers have gone over in four of their last five road games, and five straight at Seattle. I think the Seahawks will be forced to throw the ball here in order to take advantage of the Panthers poor secondary, which should result in another high scoring game between these two teams.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-04-16 |
Bills v. Raiders -164 |
Top |
24-38 |
Win
|
100 |
89 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders.
The Raiders have won five straight, and eight of their last nine overall. Derek Carr threw for 315 yards and two TDs on 26-of-38 passing in a 35-32 win over Carolina last week. The Raiders will host the Buffalo Bills, who just barely beat Jacksonville last week. Buffalo leads the NFL in rushing, averaging 157 yards per game. Buffalo is 3-3 on the road this year, but those wins came against the Patriots without Brady, the Bengals without A.J. Green, and against the 4-7 Rams. The Raiders do not look all that impressive defensively, but they have the talent to come up with key plays. DE Khalil Mack has nine sacks, 10 tackles for a loss, three forced fumbles and two fumble recoveries in his last eight games. The Bills have failed to cover in four straight versus Oakland, and four of their last five overall. The Raiders have covered the spread in four of their last five games.
Take OAK.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-03-16 |
Heat v. Blazers OVER 214 |
Top |
92-99 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go OVER the total. Portland is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 110 points per game. They've scored an average of more than 121 points while winning two of three during this current home stand. They give up an awful lot of points as well, ranking 29th in the NBA allowing opponents to average more than 113 points. The Miami Heat are not known for their offense, but they come into Portland off back to back road wins at Denver and Utah. The Heat shot 51.2 percent in a 111-110 win at Utah on Thursday. These two teams have gone over the total in nine of the last 13 meetings, and the over is 12-1 in Portland's last 13 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-03-16 |
Penn State v. Wisconsin -140 |
Top |
38-31 |
Loss |
-140 |
17 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers.
The Wisconsin Badgers boast the #3 ranked defense in the country, allowing opponents to average just 13.7 points per game. This is even more impressive when you consider their strength of schedule. The list of teams they've held under 20 points this year includes: Michigan, LSU, Nebraska, Michigan State and Iowa. Penn State's defense held up in a 24-21 win over Ohio State, but against Michigan, it was a different story. The Nittany Lions were crushed by a score of 49-10 at Michigan, turning the ball over twice and gaining a total of just 191 yards. The Badgers also lost at Michigan, but it was a close game that was tied in the fourth quarter, with Wisconsin ultimately falling 14-7. Badgers running back Corey Clement has gone over 100 yards in four straight games, totaling seven TDs during that span. Penn State's star running back is expected to play despite suffering a foot injury versus Michigan State last week. If Saquon Barkley is anything less than 100 percent, it could be a long day for the Nittany Lions offense.
Take WISC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-03-16 |
Lakers v. Grizzlies UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
100-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAL@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Lakers are coming off a 113-80 loss to Toronto last night, shooting just 34.4 percent from the field. Playing on the road on back to back nights against one of the league's best defenses in Memphis tonight, I expect another poor showing offensively for LA. The Grizzlies are coming off a 95-94 win over Orlando, and they've failed to reach 200 points in four straight home games. Injuries to DeAngelo Russell and Nick Young haven't helped the Lakers, and LA has failed to reach the total in five straight. Memphis has it's own injury concerns, as they've been without Mike Conley, Zack Randolph and Vince Carter. The Grizz have gone under in four straight at home versus teams with a losing record, and that's a trend I expect to continue tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-03-16 |
Virginia Tech +11 v. Clemson |
Top |
35-42 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies.
Clemson will be a big favorite against Virginia Tech in the ACC Championship game, but I think the Hokies can keep this game close. Jerod Evans has quietly had a big year for the Hokies, throwing for over 3000 yards with 26 TDs and just five INTs. He's also run for over 700 yards and eight TDs. Deshaun Watson had a big game against South Carolina last week, but he's been wildly inconsistent all year long. Clemson has failed to cover in four of it's last five games against teams with a winning record, and the underdog has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings between these two teams. The Hokies have quietly been one of the better defensive teams in the country, ranking 20th nationally allowing just 21 points per game. Virginia Tech has all the tools to give Clemson a run for it's money here, and maybe even pull off an upset.
Take VT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-03-16 |
Jets v. Blues -183 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-183 |
19 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the St. Louis Blues.
The Blues are hot, coming into tonight's home game versus Winnipeg as winners of seven of their last eight overall. They are 8-0-1 in their last nine home games, and Jake Allen is 9-0-2 with a 1.78 GAA at home so far. The Jets have lost six straight road games, and their starting goaltender has really been struggling. Connor Hellebuyck allowed six goals on 29 shots in a home loss to Edmonton on Thursday, and he's 2-5 with a 3.51 GAA on the road this year. The Jets are at a serious disadvantage on special teams, ranking 25th on the penalty kill and 19th on the power play. The Blues scored three power play goals in a 5-4 win over Tampa on Thursday, and they rank 6th overall converting on 23.3 percent of their chances this season. The Jets are just 3-10 in the last 13 meetings in this series.
Take STL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-03-16 |
Gonzaga -4.5 v. Arizona |
Top |
69-62 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs.
Gonzaga comes into LA undefeated, winning seven straight games to start the season. This game against Arizona is a revenge spot for the Bulldogs, who have lost three straight, and six of the last seven in this series. Things could be different this time around, as Gonzaga is averaging 85.6 points per game on 48.9 percent shooting. They have shot slightly better than Arizona from beyond the arc (38.7 percent), but their biggest advantage may be on the boards. The Bulldogs are averaging 39.1 rebounds per game, and they pulled in a whopping 45 boards in their last game, a 97-63 win over MVSU. Arizona has a win over #12 ranked Michigan State, which doesn't look quite as impressive after the Spartans dropped out of the Top 25 with four losses. They also lost to unranked Butler by a score of 69-65. Arizona will be shorthanded here, without starting PG Peter Jackson-Cartwright, and G Allonzo Trier. The Bulldogs can smell blood: "We feel like we owe them some payback. It's been some years building up. Saturday's a time for us to get back at them."
Take GONZ.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-03-16 |
Oklahoma State +11 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
20-38 |
Loss |
-106 |
12 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. The Sooners will be a double digit favorite at home against Oklahoma State, but it wouldn't be "Bedlam" unless this game was close. The Sooners have won three of the last four in this series, but the last two games in Norman were each decided by just three points. The road team covered in all four meetings, and the underdog has covered in three of the last four. Oklahoma won big last year, but Mason Rudolph was unable to start that game due to injury. Rudolph has quietly thrown for more yards than Oklahoma's Baker Mayfield, and while he has 10 fewer TD passes, he's also thrown half as many INTs. The Cowboys have been far better on defense than Oklahoma this year, and they will need to be at their best to slow down the Sooners high flying offense. They are coming off a dominant road win at TCU, limiting Kenny Hill to 166 passing yards with 1 TD and a pair of INTs. Hill lit up the Sooners for 449 yards and five TDs in a 52-46 home loss earlier in the season. I expect the Cowboys to hang in there in a thriller in Norman. Take OKST. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-02-16 |
Canadiens v. Sharks UNDER 5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MTL@SJS to go UNDER the total.
The Montreal Canadiens have seen the exact same final score in four of their last five games (2-1). They might be expected to play another low scoring game here at the Shark Tank, as San Jose ranks first in the NHL in goals against, allowing opponents to average just 2.1 goals per game. The Sharks starting goaltender Martin Jones has held opponents to one goal or less in four of his last five starts, and he's been spectacular at home, going 7-3 with a 1.61 GAA. Carey Price is widely considered to be the best goaltender in the world, and he's looked the part lately, leading the NHL with a .947 save percentage. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last six meetings, and eight of the last 10. The under is 14-4-6 in the Sharks last 24 home games, and they've gone under in 10 of their last 12 when playing on one day's rest.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-01-16 |
Cowboys v. Vikings OVER 44 |
Top |
17-15 |
Loss |
-102 |
22 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DAL@MIN to go OVER the total. The Cowboys have won 10 in a row, but that streak can't last forever. Dallas will lose, it's just a matter of when. There will be plenty of situational handicappers picking Minnesota to record the upset here at home, but I just don't think the Vikes match up well versus Dallas. The Cowboys weakness is that they are vulnerable against the pass, but the Vikings rank 25th in the league in passing. Their running game is even worse, ranking dead last in the NFL rushing. They won't have any choice but to pass, and that could result short possessions, taking little time off the clock and handing the ball right back to the mighty Cowboy's offense. As good as the Vikings defense is, the Vikes have given up 20+ points in five of their last six games. During that span they've only held one team under 100 rushing yards, and that was Detroit. They'll have their hands full tonight against the best offensive line in football, and I can't see them stopping Dallas from piling up the yards and scoring plenty of points. The Cowboys have scored at least 27 points in seven straight games, and not even the Baltimore Ravens #1 ranked defense was able to stop them. I am expecting a shootout in Minny.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-01-16 |
Cowboys -165 v. Vikings |
Top |
17-15 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys.
The Cowboys have won 10 in a row, but that streak can't last forever. Dallas will lose, it's just a matter of when. There will be plenty of situational handicappers picking Minnesota to record the upset here at home, but I just don't think the Vikes match up well versus Dallas. The Cowboys weakness is that they are vulnerable against the pass, but the Vikings rank 25th in the league in passing. Their running game is even worse, ranking dead last in the NFL rushing. They won't have any choice but to pass, and that could result short possessions, taking little time off the clock and handing the ball right back to the mighty Cowboy's offense. As good as the Vikings defense is, the Vikes have given up 20+ points in five of their last six games. During that span they've only held one team under 100 rushing yards, and that was Detroit. They'll have their hands full tonight against the best offensive line in football, and I can't see them stopping Dallas from piling up the yards and scoring plenty of points. The Cowboys have scored at least 27 points in seven straight games, and not even the Baltimore Ravens #1 ranked defense was able to stop them. I am expecting the Cowboys to win in a shootout in Minny.
Take Dallas.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-01-16 |
Lightning v. Blues -142 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the St. Louis Blues.
The Blues have won six of their last seven overall, and they are 7-0-1 in their last eight home games. They host the Tampa Bay lightning tonight, and the Bolts have lost three straight. Tampa is really missing Steven Stamkos, who suffered a serious knee injury two weeks ago. He had scored nine goals and totaled 20 points in 17 games prior to the injury. The Lightning haven't had much success against the Blues, losing five straight in this series, and four straight at St. Louis. The Blues starting goaltender Jake Allen is riding an impressive hot streak, he's 11-3-3 with a 2.39 GAA this season, and he's won six straight starts at home. Goaltending has been a sore spot for the Lightning, as starter Ben Bishop owns a losing record (7-8) with a 3.04 GAA. He's lost his last three starts, surrendering 12 goals in those losses. Backup netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy was lit up for five goals on 38 shots in a loss to Columbus on Tuesday.
Take STL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
12-01-16 |
Bucks -4.5 v. Nets |
Top |
111-93 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.
Milwaukee has won three of it's last four, including a home win over the defending champs. They will play on the road tonight in Brooklyn, and head coach Jason Kidd will have a chance to stick it to his former team. The Nets could suffer a let down coming off an upset win over the Clippers Tuesday. That win ended a seven game losing skid, and it was just the second time in 10 games that Brooklyn covered the spread. The Nets have lost six straight to Milwaukee, and they've covered the spread just once in the last eight meetings in this series. Giannis Antetokounmpo is on fire for the Bucks, he recorded a career high 34 points in the win over the Cavs, and he's averaged 26.4 points on 57.8 percent shooting over the last five games. He recorded a triple-double the last time the Bucks played in Brooklyn, and the Bucks won 109-100. I expect a similar result here tonight.
Take MIL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
St. Mary's -2.5 v. Stanford |
Top |
66-51 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels.
The Gaels look to remain undefeated when they face Stanford in a tough road game tonight. Stanford will be looking to avenge a 78-61 loss at St. Mary's last season. The Gaels led the nation in field goal percentage last year, and they come into tonight's game averaging 81.8 points per game on 52.8 percent shooting. Stanford will need to play it's best defense, because there is no way the Cardinal can match the Gaels in a shootout. St. Mary's has covered the spread in seven of their last eight versus PAC12 teams, while the Cardinal have covered the spread just once in their last six versus teams from the WCC. Stanford has also failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
Take SMC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Pacers v. Blazers -7.5 |
Top |
109-131 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers.
The Blazers won nine of their final 10 home games at the end of last season, and went on to upset the Clippers in the first round of the playoffs. They haven't lived up to expectations so far this season, sitting eighth in the West with a 9-10 record. They are just 5-4 at home, and are coming off a 130-114 home loss to Houston. They host the Indian Pacers tonight, and Indiana has lost five of six on the road. Portland has won six of the last seven meetings with the Pacers, and the Blazers have won four straight home games versus Indiana. Paul George has miss four of the last five games with a sore back, and his status for tonight's game remains uncertain. The won game he did play was a 96-85 loss to Atlanta, and he shot just 6-of-22 from the field, and 2-of-11 from beyond the arc in the loss. Damian Lillard has averaged over 30 points per game at home this season, and he scored 33 points the last time he faced the Pacers.
Take POR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Hawks v. Suns UNDER 209.5 |
Top |
107-109 |
Loss |
-119 |
16 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@PHX to go UNDER the total.
The Atlanta Hawks have lost three straight, scoring an average of just 87 points in those losses. They will be a favorite in Phoenix tonight, facing a Suns team that has won just once in it's last five games overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings dating back to 2014, and tonight's total is significantly higher than it was in any of the last four meetings. The Hawks are one of the league's top defensive teams, holding opponents under 100 points per game on average. The under is 19-7 in their last 26 road games, and they've failed to reach the total in 21 of their last 29 versus Western Conference teams. The Suns have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 versus Eastern Conference teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 210 |
Top |
96-90 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAL@CHI to go UNDER the total.
The Lakers will be shorthanded when they face the Bulls in Chicago tonight, already missing starting PG DeAngelo Russell, they could be without Nick Young who suffered a strained Achilles in the loss to New Orleans last night. These teams have gone over the total in each of the last four meetings, but we see a higher total in tonight's game than in any of those previous contests. The Bulls are one of the league's top defensive teams, holding opponents to an average of just 99 points per game. These teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 12 meetings at the United Center, and Chicago has held opponents to an average of 95.8 points while winning four of five home games this season.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Grizzlies v. Raptors OVER 195 |
Top |
105-120 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@TOR to go OVER the total.
The Raptors have scored over 110 points in nine of their last 11 games overall. They scored a whopping 122 points in a blowout win over Philly last night, and they host a banged up Memphis team here tonight. Memphis is already missing Zack Randolph, Mike Conley and Chandler Parsons, and could be without Vince Carter here in Toronto. The Grizzlies have a reputation for being one of the league's toughest defensive teams, but I don't like their chances of slowing down the Raptors with a depleted lineup. The over is 9-2 in Toronto's last 11 overall, and they've gone over in seven of their last 10 home games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings, but two of the last three times they met, the total was over 200.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-30-16 |
Pistons v. Celtics OVER 197.5 |
Top |
121-114 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@BOS to go OVER the total.
The Pistons will play their second game in as many nights on the road at Boston tonight. They 112 points in an upset win over the Hornets in Charlotte last night, and they were 12-of-28 from three point range in the victory. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four meetings, but the listed total was over 200 in all four of those games. Tonight's number looks a little too low, and I am expecting the Pistons to be competitive, with a little momentum coming off an impressive performance. The Celtics are also coming off an impressive showing, scoring 112 points and hitting 11-of-27 from three-point range at Miami on Monday.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-29-16 |
Rhode Island v. Valparaiso OVER 134 |
Top |
62-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on URI@VALPO to go OVER the total.
History tells us to expect a low scoring game when Rhode Island faces the Crusaders in Indiana tonight, but this year's Rams team is nothing like the mediocre squads in past seasons. Last year the Crusaders won at home by a score of 58-55. The Rams are 5-1, with their only loss coming in a close game against Duke. They have scored an average of 82.2 points per game, shooting better than 50 percent from the field, and 38.4 percent from beyond the arc. Both teams are hitting better than 70 percent from the charity stripe, but Valparaiso ranks second nationally with an 83.6 free throw percentage. The Rams have gone over in six of their last eight non-conference games, and all but one of their games this season has seen more points than the listed total for tonight's game.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-29-16 |
Sabres v. Senators UNDER 5 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BUF@OTT to go UNDER the total.
The Sabres rank dead last in the NHL in scoring averaging just 1.8 goals per game. The Sens aren't much better, ranking 28th in the league in scoring. Both teams though have managed to stay reasonably competitive by playing strong defense. They rank 7th and 8th respectively in goals against. The Sens are coming off an impressive 2-0 shutout win over the Rangers, and Craig Anderson has allowed just two goals in his last three starts. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in eight straight meetings dating back to 2014. The under is 12-2-2 in the Sabres last 16 overall, and 10-0-1 in their last 11 versus a team with a winning record.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-29-16 |
Pistons v. Hornets -3 |
Top |
112-89 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Charlotte Hornets.
The Hornets will play their second game in as many nights at home versus Detroit. Charlotte is coming off back to back wins, putting them half a game up on Atlanta for the lead in the Southeast Division. I don't think they'll let up here in a home game against a struggling Pistons team. Detroit has lost eight of nine games on the road this season, and their last game was a 106-88 loss at Oklahoma City. They have really missed starting PG Reggie Jackson, who has returned to practice but isn't expected to play until this weekend at the earliest. The Hornets have covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and four of five home meetings during that span. The Pistons are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games versus a team with a winning record.
Take CHA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-28-16 |
Boise State v. Oregon OVER 136.5 |
Top |
63-68 |
Loss |
-106 |
14 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BSU@ORE to go OVER the total.
The Ducks are coming off a 79-69 win over the Connecticut Huskies, and they shot 54.7 percent from the field, and 42.9 percent from beyond the arc in the victory. They host the Boise State Broncos tonight, and I expect to see both teams score their share of points. The Broncos are coming off back to back blowout wins, scoring 90 against Western Michigan, and dropping 82 on Presbyterian. These teams have met twice since 2011, and the home team won each meeting. Last year the Broncos won 74-72 at home, and the Ducks won the previous meeting 79-71 at Eugene. The total for tonight's game looks a little low, especially when you consider that both teams scored over 70 points in each of the previous two meetings. The Ducks have averaged 83.5 point on 46.6 percent shooting at home so far, and they have hit 81.1 percent of their free throws at home.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-28-16 |
Butler v. Utah OVER 142 |
Top |
68-59 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on BUT@UTAH to go OVER the total.
The Butler Bulldogs are 6-0, coming off an impressive win over #8 ranked Arizona. They face another tough test tonight, taking on the Utes in Utah. Both teams have been scoring a ton of points, and I expect to see a high scoring game here in this one. Utah is averaging 89.5 points per game on 49.6 percent shooting. The Utes have gone over the total in six of their last seven overall, and the over is 10-2 in Utah's last 12 non conference games. The Bulldogs have gone over in five of their last six versus PAC12 teams. Both these teams are shooting a high percentage from beyond the arc, and both teams are hitting better than 70 percent from the charity stripe. Last year Utah scored at least 80 points in each of it's first eight home games. That includes wins over San Diego State and BYU. They over is 5-1 in Utah's last six home games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-28-16 |
Jazz v. Wolves UNDER 196 |
Top |
112-103 |
Loss |
-117 |
15 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UTAH@MIN to go UNDER the total.
The Jazz are the top defensive team in the NBA, holding opponents to an average of just 92.8 points per game. They are coming off their most impressive victory of the season, holding the Hawks to just 68 points in a 95-68 home win on Friday. They are in Minnesota tonight, and the T-Wolves have lost four of their last five. Minnesota ranks 19th in the NBA scoring an average of 103.1 points per game, but has been held to less than 100 points in four of it's last five games. These two teams have gone under in three of the last four meetings, and the one game that went over saw just 193 total points. This is a big game for the Jazz, who sit just a half game back of Oklahoma City in the Northwest Division standings. Minnesota sits dead last in the division, and the T-Wolves have gone under in seven straight versus Northwest Division teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-28-16 |
Minnesota v. Florida State UNDER 155.5 |
Top |
67-75 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MINN@FSU to go UNDER the total.
The Gophers are 6-0, and they come into Tallahassee averaging over 80 points per game so far. This will be their first game against a ranked opponent, and I don't like their chances of scoring 80 here against the Seminoles. Florida State is 5-1 overall, and 4-0 at home. These two teams have met four times since 2007, and they failed to reach the total in three of those four contests. Tonight's total is 10 points higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Minnesota has failed to reach the total in five of it's last seven non conference games, while Florida State has gone under in four of it's last five versus BIG10 teams. After suffering their first loss of the season to Temple on Thanksgiving, the Seminoles tightened things up in a 72-61 win over Illinois Friday. I expect to see a similar score here against the Gophers tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-27-16 |
Chiefs v. Broncos -170 |
Top |
30-27 |
Loss |
-170 |
16 h 32 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos.
I am not going to mince words, I think the Chiefs are a FRAUD! They aren't anywhere near as good as their 7-3 record would indicate. They trailed by double digits in wins over San Diego and Carolina, but rallied to win those games. Falling behind here in Denver could prove to be fatal, as this defense doesn't often blow leads. The Broncos are coming off a bye week, and that extra time to rest an prepare for the Chiefs should give them a huge advantage. Derek Wolfe and Aqib Talib are back for the Broncos, while Tamba Hali, Marcus Peters, Dee Ford and Jeremy Maclin are all banged up for Kansas City. Alex Smith has not played well at all, and playing on the road against the Super Bowl champs isn't going to be easy for the struggling quarterback. The Broncos are 6-1-1 in their last eight home games, while the Chiefs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
Take DEN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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11-27-16 |
Panthers v. Raiders -4 |
Top |
32-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
125 h 27 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Oakland Raiders.
The Raiders are 8-2, and quarterback Derek Carr is making a case for NFL MVP. He threw for 295 yards, three TDs and just one INT in last week's win over the Texans in Mexico City. I expect Carr to put up big numbers here at home today against a Carolina defense that is reeling after losing Luke Keuchly. Carolina has really missed Josh Norman, and the Panthers come into this game at Oakland ranked 21st in the league versus the pass. They've lost three of four road games so far this season, and haven't covered the spread on the road in eight straight dating back to last season. The reigning MVP has really struggled all year, and last week against the Saints he completed just 42 percent of his passes for 192 yards and a TD. That's not likely going to be good enough to keep up with Carr and the Raiders high powered passing game.
Take OAK.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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11-27-16 |
Seahawks -5.5 v. Bucs |
Top |
5-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
137 h 21 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks.
Seattle has won three straight, and Russell Wilson has thrown for 902 yards with six TDs and no INTs during this winning streak. Wilson had been limited by a knee injury earlier this season, but since he regained his mobility, he's been a handful for opposing defenses. The Bucs have lost two of their last three home games, and they gave up at total of 73 points in those losses. Tampa's defense ranks 24th in the NFL allowing 26 points per game. I don't like the Bucs chances of stopping Seattle, and it's going to be tough for Tampa to score enough point to keep this game close. Jameis Winston hasn't seen a defense like Seattle's since he played at home versus Denver in the first week of October. He threw for 179 yards on 17-of-35 passing, with two picks and no TDs in a 27-7 loss in that game. He was even worse against Arizona, throwing four picks in a 40-7 loss in Week 2. Seattle has covered the spread in five straight games in November, and the Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five at Tampa.
Take SEA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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11-26-16 |
Denver v. Eastern Washington OVER 152.5 |
Top |
80-85 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 22 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on DEN@EWU to go OVER the total.
The Denver Pioneers come into Saturday's game at Eastern Washington as one of the top shooting teams in the country, hitting 53.8 percent from the field in three games this season. That hasn't translated into wins though, because the Pioneers are brutal on defense, allowing opponents to average 83 points per game. The Eagles aren't much better, with an opponent's scoring average of over 81 points per game. Both these teams like to shoot a lot of three pointers, and neither team has been particularly effective defending the perimeter. The Eagles are hitting 83.1 percent from the charity stripe, and that could be huge here against a Denver team that has seen opponents take an average of 30 free throws per game. Denver has seen the total go over in six of it's last seven against teams from the Big Sky Conference, and this has all the signs of another barn burner.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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11-26-16 |
CS Sacramento v. San Francisco -4 |
Top |
59-77 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Dons.
The Dons are off to a 3-0 start, and they won their last game at home by a score of 79-67 over Troy. Senior guard Ronnie Boyce scored 25 points on 8-of-14 shooting in the victory, and he's averaging 28 points per game so far. The Dons play the Sacramento State Hornets tonight, and the Hornets are 1-3 with their only win coming against the Antelope Valley Pioneers. This looks like a tough spot for Sacramento State, as they are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games versus teams from the WCC. Despite a soft schedule, the Hornets have only managed to hit 35.6 percent from the field, and 21.2 percent from beyond the arc. They've been clobbered on the boards, and have allowed opponents to average 84.7 points per game. Sacramento State has failed to cover in four of it's last five non-conference contests, and I don't like the Hornet's chances of hanging with the Dons.
Take SF.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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11-26-16 |
Michigan State v. Penn State UNDER 54.5 |
Top |
12-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
107 h 49 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on MSU@PSU to go UNDER the total.
The Spartans are a lot better than their 3-8 record, and they proved that by nearly upsetting the Buckeyes at home last week. Four of their eight losses have come by four points or less, and they've played far better defensively in recent weeks. Running back L.J. Scott has carried the offense, running for 282 yards and two TDs on 39 carries the last two weeks. We could see both teams lean on the run this week when they play at Penn State. The weather forecast is calling for wind and freezing cold temperatures, similar to last week's game versus the Buckeyes. The Stakes couldn't be any higher for the Nittany Lions, who can clinch a spot in the BIG10 Championship game with a win, and a Michigan loss to Ohio State. Penn State's defense has surrendered just 14 points in it's last two home games, and they've held the Spartans to less than 20 points in three of the last five head to head meetings. Previous meetings have gone over the total at a rate of 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings between these two teams, but the number in this game is far higher than it was in any of the last seven meetings. I expect a close, low scoring game in bad weather this weekend.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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11-26-16 |
Michigan v. Ohio State UNDER 48.5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
103 h 23 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on MICH@OSU to go UNDER the total.
The Buckeyes just narrowly escaped with a 17-16 win on the road at East Lansing last week, and they will face another tough test at home versus Michigan in Week 13. There's a lot on the line here, as the loser is likely going to be eliminated from the playoffs. Michigan bounced back from a 14-13 loss at Iowa to beat Indiana by a score of 20-10 last week. The Wolverines offense is still sputtering though, and backup quarterback John O'korn three for just 59 yards on 7-of-16 passing in his first start since Wilton Speight went down with a broken collar bone. J.T. Barrett didn't have a great day either, throwing for just 86 yards and a TD on 10-of-22 passing. Both coaches will say that the weather was to blame for last week's poor performance on offense, but in a high stakes game in Columbus in late November, defense should reign supreme. These two teams rank 1st and 3rd respectively in total defense, and the weather man is calling for another cold and windy day in Ohio.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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11-25-16 |
TCU v. Texas -165 |
Top |
31-9 |
Loss |
-165 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns.
With all the negativity surrounding this Texas Team, it's important to remember that only one of their six losses this season have come by more than a touchdown. In fact they've lost four games by five points or less, two of those against Top 25 ranked teams. That's still not good enough to save Charlie Strong's job, and he's expected to be fired following Friday's game against TCU. The Longhorn's players should be highly motivated to give Strong a positive sendoff, as he's well respected in the locker room. The nation's leading rusher D'Onta Foreman will likely see plenty of touches, and he should put up huge numbers against this TCU defense that was shredded for 334 rushing yards in a home loss to Oklahoma State last week. TCU quarterback Kenny Hill was brutal in that game, throwing for just 166 yards with a TD and two INTs on 18-of-27 passing. Hill isn't playing well, but his receivers haven't been doing him any favors, dropping a lot of balls that should have been caught. The Horned Frogs really miss Josh Doctson. The Horned Frogs have failed to cover in six of their last seven conference games, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five versus teams with a losing record. Texas has covered in four of their last five home games.
Take TEX.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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11-24-16 |
Hurricanes v. Canadiens -168 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
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This is an 8* play on Montreal.
The Habs sit at the top of the NHL standings with a record of 14-3-2. Montreal's hot start comes as no surprise to me, as this is the team I picked to win it all before the season started. Here is what I said just a few weeks ago:
"The Montreal Canadiens have won the Stanley Cup a record 24 times. Last year they started off well, winning their first nine games, and going into November with the league's best record. An injury to starting goaltender Carey Price derailed their season, and it was all downhill from there. Price was 10-2 with a 2.06 GAA and a .934 save percentage prior to the injury, and those stats would have led the league if he played enough games to qualify.
If you're thinking to yourself: "that's a small sample size", keep in mind that he led the NHL in GAA, wins and save percentage the previous season (2014-15). Price is clearly the best goalie in the world, and he proved that once again while winning gold with Canada in the World Cup of Hockey in September.
Shea Weber was the anchor on defense for team Canada in the tournament, and he replaces P.K. Subban on the Habs blue line. What Weber might lack in terms of raw talent (compared to Subban), he makes up for it with maturity and leadership.
And what might prove to be the biggest off-season pick up by any team, they added 2015 KHL scoring leader Alexander Radulov. He returns to the NHL at the age of 30, and he looks like he's grown up a lot since he was benched in the playoffs when he played for Nashville in 2012. He's looked great in the pre-season so far, and he has the potential to be the team's leading scorer.
Given that the Habs went to the Conference Finals two seasons ago, and they have the NHL's best goaltender, I think it's fair to call them a contender. I like their chances a lot better than teams like St. Louis, Dallas, Nashville, LA, or San Jose, and the payout is much higher on Montreal."
They host the Carolina Hurricanes tonight, and this is a game that Montreal needs to get back on track. The Canes might be a little complacent after winning five straight. One of those five wins came here at Montreal, adding a revenge angle here for the Habs. Take MTL. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-24-16 |
LSU v. Texas A&M +7.5 |
Top |
54-39 |
Loss |
-118 |
16 h 21 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Texas A&M Aggies. The Tigers are coming off an ugly 16-10 home loss to Florida, and they come into College Station asked to cover a big spread as a road favorite. That's going to be challenging without leading rusher Leonard Fournette, and I expect the Aggies to keep this game close. Texas A&M has lost two of four since Trevor Knight went down with a season ending injury, but those losses came in games decided by a combined total of eight points. Backup quarterback Jake Hunenak has thrown for 811 yards with six TDs and just two INTs on 59.8 percent passing so far, but he has his work cut out for him against this tough LSU secondary. The Tigers have won four straight in this series dating back to 2012, and all four of those games went under the total. Their two wins at College Station each came by less than seven points. LSU has played three games away from home, losing two of those three and scoring less than 20 points in each of those losses. Last week's home loss to Florida was particularly deflating, getting stuffed on the goal line twice at the end of the game.
Take AGGIES.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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11-24-16 |
LSU v. Texas A&M UNDER 48 |
Top |
54-39 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 0 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on LSU@TAM to go UNDER the total.
The Tigers are coming off an ugly 16-10 home loss to Florida, and they come into College Station asked to cover a big spread as a road favorite. That's going to be challenging without leading rusher Leonard Fournette, and I expect the Aggies to keep this game close. Texas A&M has lost two of four since Trevor Knight went down with a season ending injury, but those losses came in games decided by a combined total of eight points. Backup quarterback Jake Hunenak has thrown for 811 yards with six TDs and just two INTs on 59.8 percent passing so far, but he has his work cut out for him against this tough LSU secondary. The Tigers have won four straight in this series dating back to 2012, and all four of those games went under the total. Their two wins at College Station each came by less than seven points. LSU has played three games away from home, losing two of those three and scoring less than 20 points in each of those losses. Last week's home loss to Florida was particularly deflating, getting stuffed on the goal line twice at the end of the game. LSU has gone under in nine of it's last 10 games in the month of November.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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11-24-16 |
Redskins v. Cowboys OVER 51 |
Top |
26-31 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on WAS@DAL to go OVER the total.
The Cowboys have now won nine straight, and they've been unstoppable on offense during that span. They rank 3rd in the league in scoring, averaging over 28 points per game. They've scored at least 27 points in six straight games, and that trend should continue here at home against the Redskins #22 ranked defense. They'll likely need to score plenty to beat the Redskins, who are one of the leagues highest scoring teams. Kirk Cousins ranks 3rd in the league in passing, and he should be primed to put up big numbers against an injury depleted Dallas secondary. Jordan Reed is a matchup nightmare, and the Washington TE caught five passes for 70 yards in a 27-23 home loss to Dallas earlier in the year. Cousins has been playing far better since that game, and he's got plenty of weapons with DeSean Jackson back and healthy, Jamison Crowder and Pierre Garcon. These two teams have gone over the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and Washington has gone over in eight of it's last 10 overall.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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11-24-16 |
Oakland v. Nevada -5 |
Top |
78-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 23 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack.
This Wolfpack team looks like a true contender in the Mountain West. Nevada absolutely crushed Oregon State on Friday, winning by a score of 83-58. The Wolfpack are 3-0 at home so far, with both of those wins coming by double digits. They were 11-3 at home last season, and won the CBI Tournament. Nevada returns four of five starters, including D.J Fenner and Cameron Oliver who each averaged over 13 points per game last year. Oliver scored a team high 24 against Oregon State, and he scored 22 points in a win over Iona on Sunday. They travel to Alaska to play the Oakland Grizzlies, who have failed to cover in eight of their last 11 neutral site games. Nevada is 8-1-1 ATS in it's last 10 non conference games, and they've dominated teams from smaller conferences the last two years. Oakland lost last year's leading scorer Kay Felder to the NBA draft, and it will be difficult to replace that productions as he average over 24 points per game last year.
Take NEV.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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