04-18-17 |
Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 197.5 |
Top |
91-99 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UTA@LAC to go UNDER the total.
The Jazz upset the Clippers in Game 1, holding LA to 95 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Utah led the NBA in opponent's scoring average during the regular season, allowing just 96.8 points per game. Game 1 of this series fell well short of the total, and it was the fourth time in Utah's last five games at LA that the total landed below the number. Utah has also gone under in four of it's last five road games. The Clippers are an above average defensive team, and here in a "must win", they should step up the intensity. DeAndre Jordan ranks third in the NBA averaging three blocks per game, and he blocked three shots in Game 1. Playoff basketball is often a lot more defensive than the style of play seen during the regular season. That is evidenced by the fact that the Jazz have gone under in five straight Conference Quarterfinals games, and LA has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven in the first round of the playoffs.
Take UNDER.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-17-17 |
Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 188.5 |
Top |
82-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@SA to go OVER the total. The Spurs put on a defensive clinic in Game 1 of this first round series versus Memphis, holding the Grizzlies to just 39.2 percent shooting in a 111-82 home win. That game still went over the total of 190, and the total for tonight's game is even lower than it was in Game 1. I expect Memphis to battle back here in Game 2, and they should be a little better offensively. The Grizzlies trailed by just three points at the half in Game 1 (52-49). They only managed to score 33 points in the second half, but the Spurs didn't slow down at all. San Antonio hit 10-of-19 three-point attempts, and shot 53.2 percent from the field. While these are two of the top defensive teams in the NBA, the bookmakers may be overcompensating for that with a total that is far lower than it was in any of the five meetings in this series this season. The Spurs have gone over in four of their last five overall, while the Grizzlies have gone under just once in their last five games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-16-17 |
Blazers v. Warriors OVER 219.5 |
Top |
109-121 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on POR@GS to go OVER the total.
The Warriors won 15 of their final 16 games this season, and during that span they scored at least 110 points 11 times. Golden State swept the season series, and they scored an average of 125 points in the four regular season meetings versus Portland. Both these teams love to shoot the ball from long range, and that normally translates into plenty of scoring. The Blazers have seen the total go over in nine of their last 12 visits to Golden State, and the over is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings overall in this series. The total for today's game is lower than it was in all four of the regular season games between the two teams. Kevin Durant sure looked healthy in the regular season finale, scoring 29 points, hitting 5-of-7 from beyond the arc. Both teams averaged over 12 made three-pointers per game in April, so expect to see a shooting clinic here in Game 1.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-15-17 |
Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 203.5 |
Top |
97-83 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIL@TOR to go UNDER the total. The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in he playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-15-17 |
Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 213 |
Top |
108-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
49 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND@CLE to go UNDER the total.
The Pacers will be a nine point underdog on the road in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series versus Cleveland tonight. Indiana finished the season with five straight wins, and they played some strong defense in those games. Both these teams did more than their fair share of scoring during the regular season, and because of that we see a high total in Game 1 here in the playoffs. History tells us that playoff basketball is a different animal, with more focus on defense. That is evidenced by the fact that Indiana has gone under in eight of it's last nine Conference Quarterfinals games, while the Cavs have gone under in five of their last seven first round games. Last year Cleveland swept the Pistons in the first round, and three of those four games saw fewer than 200 points.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-06-17 |
Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 205 |
Top |
89-104 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIL@IND to go UNDER the total.
It's common knowledge that scoring goes down in the NBA Playoffs, due to an increased emphasis on defense in meaningful games. We will see two teams battling to make the playoffs in Indiana tonight when the Pacers host the Bucks. Milwaukee is sitting in fifth place, but is just two games up on the ninth place Pacers. Indiana is tied with Miami for the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, and that makes this game a must win for the Pacers. They are coming off a huge win over Toronto on Tuesday, holding the Raptors to just 39 points in the second half of a 108-90 victory. I expect to see a similar effort here at home tonight. The Bucks have gone under in six of their last eight road games, and 15 of their last 22 overall. Indiana has failed to reach the total in 10 of it's last 14 when coming off a win.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
04-04-17 |
Bulls -155 v. Knicks |
Top |
91-100 |
Loss |
-155 |
15 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are one of the league's hottest teams, coming into New York as winners of four straight. Jimmy butler is the Player of the Week, scoring an average of over 30 points in his last five games. The Knicks have won just twice in their last nine games, and veteran stars Carmelo Anthony, Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah have all been sidelined by injuries. Anthony is hoping to play in the Knicks final five games, but has only played in two of New York's last five. Chicago has adjusted well without Dwyane Wade, winning six of nine since he last played. Rajon Rondo has stepped up, averaging 11.6 points, 8.4 assists and 6.1 rebounds in the last nine games. The Knicks have had Chicago's number in recent meetings, but the Knicks don't have a lot to play for here, and Chicago can still clinch a playoff spot. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-03-17 |
North Carolina -125 v. Gonzaga |
Top |
71-65 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UNC. It's hard to argue that the two best teams haven't made it to this year's NCAA Final. The Gonzaga Bulldogs were almost undefeated during the regular season, and were ranked #1 overall for several weeks. The Tar Heels come in as the ACC champs, and the team that lost in the Final to Villanova last year. They watched the Wildcats celebrate after winning with a buzzer beater as time expired, but here they have a chance to exercise those demons. I bet against Gonzaga in the Final Four, and said the following prior to their game against the Gamecocks: " The Bulldogs are the heavy favorite here, coming in as a #1 seed with a record of 36-1. It's important to consider that all their impressive stats are skewed due to the fact that they play in one of the country's weakest conferences, beating up on bottom feeders for most of the regular season. While they blew out Xavier in their Elite Eight matchup, they narrowly escaped with close wins in tight games against Northwestern and West Virginia before that." The Tar Heels had a far more impressive run to the Finals, and their overall resume is far more impressive. There's something to be said for "being here before", and that should prove to be advantage for the Tar Heels. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-01-17 |
Magic v. Nets -155 |
Top |
111-121 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Brooklyn Nets.
The Nets don't need to worry about tanking to improve their draft position, as they have the worst record all but locked up with just a few games left to play. They've actually been far more competitive recently, winning three of their last six overall, and two of their last three home games. They host Orlando tonight, and the Magic are playing on back to back nights coming off a heartbreaking one-point loss at Boston. Orlando has lost eight of it's last 10 overall, and has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games. Jeremy Lin has struggled with injuries this year, but he's looking pretty healthy in the month of March. He's played in 16 games, averaging 14.4 points and 4.5 assists per game. Despite the Nets poor overall record, they have performed well against the spread. They have covered the spread in six of their last eight games versus teams with a losing record. This looks like a good spot for Brooklyn to show off in front of the home crowd.
Take BKN. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-31-17 |
Rockets v. Warriors -8 |
Top |
98-107 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors will host Houston tonight, looking to make it 10 straight wins since they lost at San Antonio on March 11. Houston is playing on back to back nights, and their third game in four nights. The first of those four games was a 113-106 home loss to the Warriors. James Harden has struggled, playing through the pain of a lingering wrist injury. He had a season low four assists in last night's loss at Portland, and he could see limited minutes here tonight. "It will get better, but if I keep banging on it and keep falling on it, then it's going to keep going back to Square 1," Harden noted to reporters before Thursday's game. "I try to limit banging on it and keeping it away from contact, (but) it's kinda hard because it's my left hand. I do a lot with my left hand." Despite expectations of high scoring games, these two teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last six head to head meetings. The Warriors have gone under in 10 straight overall, and have held opponents to under 100 points in six of their last eight.
Take GS.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-30-17 |
Georgia Tech +3.5 v. TCU |
Top |
56-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech was one of the top defensive teams in the ACC this year, but during the regular season the offense often failed to click. That hasn't been the case here in the NIT Tournament, as the Yellow Jackets have averaged over 71 points per game on 44.8 percent shooting over their last five. Defense is still their strength though, holding opponents to just 61.6 points per game on 37 percent shooting during that span. They will play TCU in the NIT Final at Madison Square Garden, and they looked pretty comfortable in New York in their 76-61 win over Cal State Bakersfield in the Semi Final. For whatever reason, bettors aren't that fond of Georgia Tech. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall, but they are actually getting points here against a mediocre BIG12 team. Georgia Tech has covered the spread in six straight versus teams from the BIG12. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-28-17 |
Nuggets v. Blazers -140 |
Top |
113-122 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers.
The Blazers have won six of their last seven games, putting them in a tie with Denver for the eighth and final playoff spot in the West. It's Deja Vu All Over Again for Portland, as they won seven of their last nine games of the regular season last year, and went on to upset the LA Clippers in the first round of the playoffs. They will host Denver tonight, and the Nuggets are coming off a terrible home loss to New Orleans (115-90). The Nuggets beat the Blazers at home in the last meeting between the two teams, but Portland won the previous five in the series. Denver is 0-4 in four visits to Portland since 2014. The Blazers are not known for their defense, but they've held opponents to 100 points on less in five of their last six overall. Denver ranks 27th in the NBA allowing over 111 points per game, and has allowed over 110 points in four straight games.
Take POR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-26-17 |
Grizzlies +10 v. Warriors |
Top |
94-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
03-26-17 |
Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 208 |
Top |
94-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 37 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@GS to go Over the total. The Warriors have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game against the Grizzlies as winners of six straight. They've scored over 110 points in their last five games, but they haven't reached the total in any of their last nine games. Bookmakers have noticed, and the total for tonight's game is much lower than it was in any of the last five meetings in this series. Three of those games went over the total, but both these teams are riding under trends at the moment. Steph Curry has been heating up, hitting 53.2 percent from the field and 48.9 percent from beyond the arc over his last five games. These teams have met twice this season, and both of those games went way over. I expect both teams to go over 100 points here tonight, and it looks like the value lies with a play on over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-26-17 |
Kentucky v. North Carolina -140 |
Top |
73-75 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UNC.
The Tar Heels finished first in the ACC with a record of 14-4 in conference. That's particularly impressive when consider the caliber in the ACC compared to a much weaker SEC. As good as Kentucky looked against UCLA, I don't like the Wildcats chances of shutting down North Carolina. The story in Kentucky's last game was De'Aaron Fox outplaying Lonzo Ball. Unlike UCLA, the Tar Heels don't rely on any one player to carry the load. They have four players averaging over 12 points per game, and they have plenty of depth coming off the bench. The Tar Heels are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 neutral site games, and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 versus the SEC. Kentucky has had trouble with the Tar Heels over the years, going 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
Take UNC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-25-17 |
Wolves v. Blazers -7 |
Top |
100-112 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. Portland is one of the hottest teams in the league right now, and this is starting to look like another late season push for the playoffs like we saw last year. The Blazers have won nine of their last 12, and their last three wins have been in games decided by double-digits. The Minnesota Timberwolves are in town tonight, playing their second game of a back to back and coming in as losers of five straight. Four of those five losses were by 10 or more points, and that includes last night's 130-119 loss at the Lakers. That loss was particularly disturbing, blowing an eight point lead in the final 2 and a half minutes. The Wolves are likely to lay down here in a tough spot against a hungry Blazers team, and I expect a blowout. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-24-17 |
Wisconsin v. Florida -135 |
Top |
83-84 |
Win
|
100 |
81 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Florida Gators.
The Gators finished second in the SEC with 26 wins. They played 12 games at Neutral sites, winning nine of them. Florida's win over Virginia in the last round was historic, holding the Cavs to a record low 39 points. That's worrisome for a Wisconsin team that has struggled on offense at times this year. The Badgers have averaged just 68.3 points per game at neutral sites this season, and they haven't been great from the free throw line, hitting just 64.3 percent overall. Wisconsin lost six of it's final 10 games prior to the NCAA Tournament, failing to score 60 points in four of those six losses. Wisconsin has shot for an uncharacteristically high percentage in the tournament so far, and this is a team that only averages 44.2 percent at neutral sites. I expect the Badgers shooters to cool off here against a top tier defense like Florida. The Gators should have a huge edge in scoring, rebounding and free throw shooting.
Take FLA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-24-17 |
Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 203.5 |
Top |
97-100 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@MIL to go UNDER the total.
The surging Milwaukee Bucks have won 10 of their last 12 overall, climbing all the way to sixth in the Eastern Conference standings. They have been playing great defense during that stretch, holding opponents under 100 points in eight of those 10 wins. They host the 5th place Atlanta Hawks tonight, and they only trail the Hawks by one game. This game is key for both teams, and with massive playoff implications, expect both teams to bring it on defense. The Hawks have lost five straight, and haven't scored more than 100 points in any of those games. Leading scorer Paul Millsap has missed the last three games with a knee injury, and will not play in Milwaukee. Atlanta has failed to reach the total in seven of it's last eight road games, while the Bucks have gone under in four straight at home.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-24-17 |
Nuggets v. Pacers UNDER 220.5 |
Top |
125-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DEN@IND to go UNDER the total.
The Denver Nuggets are one of the league's highest scoring teams, ranking 3rd in the NBA in scoring. Their scoring average is significantly higher at home though, and they face a tough road game tonight in Indiana. The Pacers are a solid 25-10 at home, and they haven't allowed an opponent to score more than 100 points in five straight home games. They sit seventh in the Eastern Conference Standings, and with only 2.5 games separating them from the 8th, 9th and 10th place teams, they need to keep winning games. The Pacers improved defense has caused them to cash in lately for under bettors. They've failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 overall, and the under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-24-17 |
Pistons v. Magic UNDER 207 |
Top |
87-115 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DET@ORL to go UNDER the total.
The Pistons are tied with Chicago, and both teams trail the eighth place Heat for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They play on the road at Orlando tonight, and we should see a hard fought battle. Detroit lost to the Bulls by a score of 117-95 on Wednesday, but they had held opponents under 100 points in four straight games prior to that. The Magic really struggle offensively, ranking 29th in the NBA in scoring. The Pistons are one of the league's top defensive teams, and given the high stakes here I expect them to make life very difficult for the home team. The Magic rank dead last in the NBA in three-point shooting, and the Pistons are just slightly better ranking 27th. Only the Miami Heat shoot the ball for a lower percentage from the free throw line than the Pistons, and the Magic aren't much better ranking 27th.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-23-17 |
Grizzlies v. Spurs UNDER 199 |
Top |
90-97 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM@SA to go UNDER the total.
The Spurs host the Grizzlies in a "Grudge Match" in San Antonio tonight, looking to avenge a pair of losses in this series earlier this season. Memphis won at home by a score of 104-96 on Saturday, and the Grizzlies held the Spurs to a season low points total in an 89-74 win at San Antonio in February. These two teams rank 2nd and 3rd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and only one of the last seven meetings in this series has seen more than 200 points combined. The total for this game is far higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. This game has massive playoff implications, with a possible first round playoff matchup looking likely. The total has gone under in four of the Grizzlies last five visits to San Antonio, and history should repeat itself here tonight.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-23-17 |
Suns v. Nets -4 |
Top |
98-126 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets have been quite competitive lately, coming into tonight's home game against Phoenix as winners of three of their last six. The Suns have lost five straight and seven of their last eight overall. Injuries have taken their toll on Phoenix, with Eric Bledsoe, Tyson Chandler and Brandon Knight done for the remainder of the season. Jeremy Lin has been in and out of the lineup for the Nets, but he's expected to play in tonight's game. The Suns have not performed well in previous meetings with Brooklyn, failing to cover in eight of the last 11 meetings, and losing four of their last five at Brooklyn. The Nets won the last meeting by a score of 122-104 in Phoenix back in November. Nets center Brook Lopez is lighting it up lately, averaging 26 points per game over his last five. He scored 29 points in Tuesday's win over the Pistons, and he should fill the stat sheet here against a defensively challenged Phoenix team. Take BKN. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-23-17 |
Michigan v. Oregon +1.5 |
Top |
68-69 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks.
The Michigan Wolverines are a team that has gotten hot at the right time. After winning six of their final eight regular season games, they won four games in four days, clinching the BIG10 Tournament Final with a 71-56 win over Wisconsin. They shot 56.3 percent from the field in that game, and hit 10-of-23 three-point attempts. They shot the ball just as well in their first round win over Oklahoma State, but won that game by just a single point. The Wolverines hot shooting has masked some of their glaring weaknesses. They were out-rebounded 40-21 versus Oklahoma State, and 37-30 versus Louisville. The Ducks come in averaging 34.8 rebounds per game in their last five. That's more than 10 rebounds more than the Wolverines have averaged during the same span. Oregon has scored over 80 points per game over their last five, and the Ducks have the firepower to match Michigan shot for shot. Oregon didn't have a great game against Rhode Island, but still managed to do enough to win. Michigan has failed to cover in four of it's last five versus teams from the PAC12, and I think the Cinderella run could end here in the Sweet 16.
Take ORE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-22-17 |
Pistons -125 v. Bulls |
Top |
95-117 |
Loss |
-125 |
20 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Pistons. Both the Bulls and the Pistons are coming off tough losses last night, and the two teams will play the second game of a back to back in Chicago tonight. The Bulls loss in Toronto was particularly tough, blowing a big lead and losing in overtime. They are also likely to lose big man Robin Lopez, after he was ejected for exchanging punches with Serge Ibaka. The league is likely to issue a suspension of some sort prior to tonight's game. Losing their leading rebounder is likely to hurt the Bulls against a Detroit team that is among the leagues best when it comes to rebounding. The Pistons are just one game back of Miami for the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, and I believe they are far more motivated to make the playoffs than are the Bulls. Chicago has already lost veteran Dywane Wade for the season, and there is a toxic atmosphere in the locker room. The issues are often magnified when coming off a tough loss, blowing a late lead. Everybody is going to be pointing fingers. The Pistons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 versus Chicago, and they've won and covered in three of the last four meetings in this series. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-21-17 |
Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss -5 |
Top |
74-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 60 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Ole Miss Rebels. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are coming off back to back impressive wins in the NIT Tournament. Both of those were home games though, and they have really struggled on the road. Their most recent road game was a blowout loss (90-61) at Syracuse, where the Rebels just beat the Orange by a score of 85-80. The Yellow Jackets come into Mississippi as losers of seven straight road games. While they do play strong defense, they simply can't seem to score enough points on the road. Georgia Tech has averaged just 63.3 points per game on 42.1 percent shooting in road games, which is roughly 17 points fewer than the Rebels average at home. The Yellow Jackets are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games following three or more consecutive home games. The Rebels have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and six of their last seven home games. Take MISS. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-19-17 |
Kings v. Spurs UNDER 202.5 |
Top |
102-118 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SAC@SA to go UNDER the total.
The Spurs are coming off back to back losses, and they return home to play bottom feeders Sacramento tonight. The Kings have been a good bet when visiting San Antonio in recent seasons, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven. They are going to have their work cut out for them tonight though, with an injury depleted lineup facing the NBA's #2 ranked defense. The Spurs are normally very stingy when coming off a loss, and they've gone under in seven of their last 10 versus losing teams. These teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings in this series, and the Kings have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The under is 11-4 in Sacramento's last 15 overall. I expect this game to be a blowout, with the reserves coming off the bench in the fourth quarter. It's going to be difficult for the Kings to contribute enough points to push the total over.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-19-17 |
Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 201.5 |
Top |
91-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND@TOR to go UNDER the total.
It's difficult not to notice that teams heading toward the post-season are starting to tighten up defensively. Both the Raptors are the Pacers are jockeying for playoff position in the Eastern Conference, and tonight's game will be meaningful for both teams. Indiana has failed to reach the total in nine of it's last 10 overall. During that span the Pacers have held opponents under 100 points eight times. The Raptors have gone under in seven of their last 10, and their offense has suffered with PG Kyle Lowry out of the lineup. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. They've gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous eight meetings between the two teams. The Pacers have gone under in 13 of their last 16 road games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-18-17 |
Iowa State +1 v. Purdue |
Top |
76-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Iowa State Cyclones.
The Cyclones are peaking at the right time, and they come into this second round matchup versus Purdue as winners of 10 of their last 11. They defeated West Virginia in the BIG12 Tournament Final, scoring 80 points on 51.8 percent shooting. Purdue stumbled at the end of the year, losing twice to Michigan. The Wolverines were a hot team hitting their shots, and right now that's exactly how you would have to describe the Cyclones. Iowa State has averaged 83.2 points on 5.14 percent shooting over their last five. They won 15 games in the BIG12, while Purdue won 14 games in a much weaker BIG10. The Cyclones have won seven of eight games at neutral sites this season, and they even pulled off an upset road win at Kansas. I think they'll prove to be too much for a Purdue team that doesn't have enough fire power to keep up.
Take ISU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-18-17 |
Wisconsin v. Villanova OVER 128 |
Top |
65-62 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WISC@VILL to go OVER the total. The Badgers are known for playing lock down defense, but they've given up over 70 points in each of their last two games. They lost to Michigan in the Final of the BIG10 Tournament, and the Wolverines shot out the lights in that game. They hit 56.3 percent from the field and went 10-of-23 from beyond the arc. It was Wisconsin that put on a three-point shooting clinic in their win over Virginia Tech. They made 13 of 31 attempts, and Bronson Koenig led the way with 28 points, and eight made three-pointers. Villanova has also been doing it's fair share of scoring, averaging 78.8 points on 50.2 percent shooting over it's last five games. Both teams have shot the ball extremely well in their previous games at this venue (KeyBank Center) in Buffalo, and I expect to see a fair bit of scoring in Saturday's game. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-17-17 |
Michigan State v. Miami (FL) -1 |
Top |
78-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
120 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes.
Miami comes into the tournament as losers of three of it's last four games. During that span the Hurricanes have scored an average of just 58 points, and two of the three losses came against ranked teams. While those numbers are far from impressive, it's important to remember that Miami plays in the toughest conference in the country, and still managed to win 21 games. They beat the likes of Duke, North Carolina and Virginia. Michigan State has also lost three of it's last four, despite all those games coming against unranked teams (Illinois, Maryland and Minnesota). The Spartans have failed to cover in eight of their last 11 non conference games, and seven of their last nine as an underdog. They shot just 38.2 percent from the field and 6-of-30 from beyond the arc in a loss to Minnesota in their last game, and they are likely to struggle against one of the top defensive teams in the ACC.
Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-17-17 |
Raptors v. Pistons UNDER 200.5 |
Top |
87-75 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@DET to go UNDER the total. The Raptors offense has struggled in the absence of starting PG Kyle Lowry, and they've averaged just 96 points per game over their last six. Four of those games were losses, including a 104-89 loss at Miami on Saturday. That was the last time they played on back to back nights, a situation that has seen them fail to reach the total in four straight. They've also gone under in eight of their last nine when coming off a loss. They will visit Detroit, a team that is battling for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons are level on points with ninth place Miami, and only occupy the eighth spot by virtue of the tie breaker. Chicago is only a game back in 10th place, meaning that this is very much a must win for Detroit. The Pistons have gone under in four straight home games, and they are one of the top defensive teams in the Eastern Conference. I expect a defensive battle here at the Palace tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-17-17 |
Rhode Island v. Creighton -102 |
Top |
84-72 |
Loss |
-102 |
14 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Creighton. On day 1 of the tournament, we saw two of the nation's longest winning streaks snapped when Princeton and Vermont lost in the first round. The public has been heavily invested in teams coming in riding hot streaks, and we can see that 60 percent of bettors are backing the Rams. Rhode Island comes off eight straight wins, but all against unranked teams from the A-10 Conference. The Blue Jays battle it out with the nation's Big Boys in the BIG East. Two of their last three losses came against defending champions Villanova. They scored an average of 84.3 points on 51.8 percent shooting at neutral sites this season. The Rams success in a lesser conference shouldn't be considered evidence that they can compete with the top teams in the country. They are 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, and have failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams from the BIG East. Take CRE. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-17-17 |
Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Michigan |
Top |
91-92 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. On day 1 of the tournament, we saw two of the nation's longest winning streaks snapped when Princeton and Vermont lost in the first round. The public has been heavily invested in teams coming in riding hot streaks, and we can see that 70 percent of bettors are backing the Wolverines here in their first round matchup versus Oklahoma State. Michigan won the BIG10 Tournament, and has won seven of it's last eight overall. They might have lost whatever momentum they might of had though, as they played five games in seven days, then had the entire week off. The Cowboys won 20 games in the regular season (the same as Michigan) in a much tougher BIG12 Conference. Most of Michigan's wins came at home, winning just three of 11 on the road. The Cowboys were 7-5 on the road, and they are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. Michigan didn't fare well outside the BIG10, failing to cover in five of it's last seven non-conference games. Take OKST. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-16-17 |
VCU v. St. Mary's -4 |
Top |
77-85 |
Win
|
100 |
93 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a play on the St. Mary's Gaels. St. Mary's only lost four games this season, and three of those losses came against the #4 ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs. Admittedly the West Coast Conference is one of the weaker leagues in the country, but the Gaels had an impressive non-conference schedule. They beat Nevada by 18 points, won at Dayton, and won by 15 points at Stanford. They rank among the nations best defensively, allowing just 56.5 points per game on 40.9 percent shooting. They will face VCU in the first round of the NCAA Tournament, and the Rams didn't look sharp in their most recent games. They needed overtime to beat a pretty mediocre Richmond team, and then got blown out by Rhode Island in the A-10 Final. St. Mary's lost badly to Gonzaga in the WCC Final, but they beat BYU by a whopping 30 points in their previous game. The Gaels won 28 games this year, 26 of those were decided by double digits. Take SMC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-16-17 |
Princeton v. Notre Dame -6.5 |
Top |
58-60 |
Loss |
-105 |
86 h 0 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Notre Dame Irish. Notre Dame finished the season strong, and pushed Duke to the limit in the ACC Championship Game Saturday. They came into that contest as winners of seven of their previous eight, beating #21 ranked Virginia and winning twice against #16 Florida State during that span. Princeton won plenty of games in the Ivy League, but they don't have any wins against ranked opponents. In fact, they haven't even played a Top 25 team this season. The Tigers non-conference schedule includes double digits losses to BYU, VCU and CAL. They even lost by eight points against A-10 bottom feeders St. Joseph's. Despite playing a far tougher schedule, the Irish scored more points, shot for a higher percentage, and were far better at the free throw line. This looks like quite a mismatch, and I don't think the Irish will have any trouble getting past the Ivy League champs. Take ND. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-15-17 |
USC v. Providence +1 |
Top |
75-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
68 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Providence Friars.
The USC Trojans lost four of their final six games of the regular season. They just barely beat Washington in the first round of the PAC12 Tournament before losing to UCLA. Providence played it's best basketball down the stretch, closing the season with six straight wins. During that span they beat Butler, Xavier, Creighton and Marquette. These teams last faced each other last March, and Providence won that game 70-69. The Friars are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games as an underdog, and the Trojans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. USC may have won 24 games this year, but many of those wins came in a top heavy PAC12 Conference. Their last five wins have come against the bottom three teams in the conference (they beat WASH and WSU twice). They have failed to cover in four straight non conference games.
Take PROV.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-15-17 |
Wolves v. Celtics UNDER 211 |
Top |
104-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIN@BOS to go UNDER the total.
As the playoffs get closer, competitive teams tend to step it up defensively. That's been the case for both the Celtics and the Timberwolves of late. Boston is trying to catch the Cavs for first place in the East, while the Wolves are still 3.5 games back of the eighth place Nuggets in the West. Boston has not gone over the total for 10 straight games, while Minnesota has failed to reach the total in eight of it's last 10. This will be the second meeting between these teams this season. Boston won the first meeting 99-93 at Minnesota. The Celtics last home game was a 100-80 win over the Bulls, holding Chicago to 37.9 percent shooting. The Bulls scored just 26 points in the first half (not quarter) of that game. The under is 13-3-3 in Celtics last 19 overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-14-17 |
Indiana v. Georgia Tech +3 |
Top |
63-75 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on GT.
The Yellow Jackets won 15 of 19 home games during the regular season, but they still don't get any respect from the bookmakers. They will be an underdog at home in the first round of the NIT Tournament versus Indiana. The Hoosiers are the sexy pick, despite losing seven of their last 10 overall. Indiana lost eight of 10 road games during the regular season, and the Hoosiers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven versus ACC teams. The Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and they have allowed just 61 points on 38.9 percent shooting at neutral sites this season. I'll take the home team plus the points here.
Take GT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-13-17 |
Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 204 |
Top |
93-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIL@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Bucks come into Memphis riding a six game winning streak, and they now occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. During this win streak, they've played phenomenal defense, holding opponents under 100 points in five straight games. They don't have much margin for error, with Miami sitting just a game back in the standings. The Grizzlies are likely to play with a ton of desperation here as they look to end a five game losing streak. Even though they've been brutal defensively during their losing streak, Memphis is still the 4th best defensive team in the NBA allowing just over 100 points per game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in nine of the last 10. The one game that went over, was a 99-90 home win for Memphis. The under is 22-8-1 in Grizzlies last 31 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-12-17 |
Cavs v. Rockets -5 |
Top |
112-117 |
Push |
0 |
14 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Houston Rockets. The Cavs ended a three game losing streak with a 116-104 win over the Magic in Orlando Saturday, and they will travel West to play the Rockets in Houston Sunday. The Cavs have been careful with LeBron James in these back to back situations this season, and that's one reason why they are 1-5 ATS in their last six in the second game in as many nights. While LeBron is likely to play tonight, his minutes could be limited, and if the game gets out of hand the starters could get yanked early. Kyle Korver is out with a foot injury, and Kevin Love is still recovering from surgery. Cleveland hasn't had a lot of success in previous trips to Houston, failing to cover in 10 of their last 11. The Rockets have 45 wins this season, two more than the Cavs. This looks like a tough spot for a Cleveland team with not a lot to prove at this point. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-12-17 |
Michigan v. Wisconsin -1 |
Top |
71-56 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers.
The Badgers went through a rough patch at the end of the regular season, losing five of six games before they beat Minnesota 66-49 in their final home game. They've since turned things around, coming off back to back wins by a combined 38 points over Indiana and Northwestern. Both these teams will be feeling the effects of fatigue, but while Wisconsin is playing it's third game in three days, it will be four straight days for the Wolverines. Michigan also survived a plane crash, which delayed their arrive in the Nation's Capital. The lack of rest is likely to hurt the Wolverines more than the Badgers, who are stronger fundamentally. They average 34.5 rebounds per game, 5.3 more than Michigan. Wisconsin has allowed opponents to average just 58.7 points on 39.9 percent shooting while winning five of six neutral site games this season. Michigan will probably need to shoot for a high percentage to win this game, which is going to be difficult in these conditions. Since 2012, the Badgers have won seven of the last 10 meetings between the two teams.
Take WISC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-11-17 |
Duke -3 v. Notre Dame |
Top |
75-69 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is 10* play on Duke.
The Blue Devils faced more than their share of adversity this season, but they are starting to look like a real threat to win it all. They come into the ACC Final off back to back impressive wins against Louisville and North Carolina. The Irish have also been hot, winning eight of their last 10 overall. Their two losses came against Louisville and North Carolina, and seven of their eight wins came against teams that trail them in the standings. They lost at home to Duke by a score of 84-74 in January. Duke shot 50 percent from the field and went 10-of-17 from beyond the arc in yesterday's win over the Tar Heels. Duke has been hitting just shy of 80 percent from the charity stripe over it's last five games, almost 10 percent more than the Irish during the same span. This Blue Devils team appears to have hit it's stride, and that's a scary thought for the Irish.
Take DUKE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-11-17 |
Wolves v. Bucks UNDER 202.5 |
Top |
95-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIN@MIL to go UNDER the total. Both the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Milwaukee Bucks are making a push for the post-season. The Bucks have won five straight, and they've held the opposition to an average of 94 points in those games. Minnesota has won four of five, and has held opponents to an average of 91.6 points during that span. They come off a 103-102 home win over the Warriors last night, but they are still 2.5 games back of Denver for the final playoff spot in the West. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in nine of the last 12. The stakes are higher here than they were in any of those previous meetings, and I expect to see both teams play solid defense. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and four of their last five at home. They trailed Indiana by five points at halftime last night, but only gave up 35 points to the Pacers in the second half. I expect a similar result here in tonight's game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-09-17 |
San Diego State v. Boise State -102 |
Top |
87-68 |
Loss |
-102 |
13 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Boise State Broncos.
San Diego State needed overtime to beat bottom feeders UNLV in the first round of the Mountain West Tournament Wednesday, and they are actually a favorite in tonight's game against Boise State. The Broncos finished two games out of first place in the Mountain West this season, while the Aztecs were stuck in the middle of the pack. I bet against San Diego State when they played New Mexico in their final game of the regular season, and here is what I said prior to that game: "the Aztecs have really dropped off this year. They are just 3-8 on he road, and two of those wins came against bottom feeders UNLV and Utah State. They are coming off a 51-38 win over Air Force in their final home game, bu they were brutal offensively in that win. They shot just 28.8 percent from the field, and went 4-for-27 from three-point range. The Aztecs have averaged just 60.8 points on 38.2 percent shooting over their last five games. San Diego State has only covered the spread twice in 11 road games this season." The Aztecs offensive futility was on full display again last night, and I don't think they'll be able to hold off the Broncos here tonight.
Take BSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-09-17 |
Spurs v. Thunder UNDER 213.5 |
Top |
92-102 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SA@OKC to go UNDER the total.
We all know that scoring drops dramatically in the NBA Playoffs in comparison to the regular season. When two post-season contenders meet late in the season, these games have major playoff implications. That will be the case when the Thunder host the Spurs on Thursday, looking to snap a four game losing streak. The Spurs are certainly taking this game seriously, as evidenced by the fact that they sat their starters in last night's win over Sacramento. That game went over the total, but the Spurs had gone under in seven of their previous eight games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and of the three games that went over, two of those saw less than 213 points. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. Oklahoma City lost at San Antonio by a score of 108-94 earlier this season, and the Thunder shot just 35.3 percent from the field in that game.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-09-17 |
CS-Northridge v. CS-Fullerton -140 |
Top |
68-81 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Cal State Fullerton.
The Titans finished the season strong, winning seven of their last eight games. Their final game of the regular season was an 86-78 win at CS Northridge. The Matadors on the other hand lost their final five games of the season, and their last win came against bottom feeders UC Santa Barbara. They haven't had much success against teams with a winning record, failing to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11. The Titans have covered in five straight versus teams with a losing record. The last time these two teams played, the game was not as close as the final score would indicate. The Titans led by nine at halftime, and he lead grew to 15 midway throw the second half. After failing to beat the Titans in their final home game, I don't like the Matadors chances here in a neutral site game.
Take CSF.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-09-17 |
Davidson -4 v. La Salle |
Top |
82-73 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats. The Wildcats come into this A-10 Tournament matchup versus La Salle as winners of three of their last six. Two of those three losses came on the road, and all three of those games were against teams ranked near the top in the A-10 standings. The Explorers have lost five of their last seven overall, and their wins during that span came against bottom feeders Fordham and St. Joe's. All five of those losses came by a double digit margin, and La Salle has failed to cover in four straight as an underdog. Davidson has improved since losing at La Salle in January, while the Explorers have really dropped off after a solid start to the season. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, and I'll take Davidson as the small favorite. Take DAV. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-08-17 |
Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 211.5 |
Top |
91-107 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAC@MIN to go UNDER the total.
The Clippers are in Minnesota tonight, and this is a big game for two teams that are trying to improve their playoff position. The Wolves are trying to catch Denver, sitting three and a half games back of the eighth place Nuggets. The Clippers are a game and a half back of the Jazz for fourth place in the West. This is the time of year when we see an increased emphasis on defense, and teams still in the hunt should be battling hard for ever single possession all night. That's resulted in a trend of low scoring games for Minnesota, who have gone under in five of their last six overall. During that span they allowed 100 points only once, in a 142-130 loss at Houston. Previous meetings in this series have trended over, but tonight's total is higher than it was in seven of the last eight. The Clippers lost at home to Minnesota by a score of 104-101 in the last meeting.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-08-17 |
Oklahoma v. TCU UNDER 141.5 |
Top |
63-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKLA@TCU to go UNDER the total.
The Sooners defeated TCU in their final home game by a score of 73-68 on Saturday. The two teams will meet for the third time this season in the BIG12 Tournament on Wednesday. Both previous meetings went under the total, and I expect another defensive battle here in Kansas tonight. The Sooners have made adjustments since losing their leading scorer Jordan Woodard to a season ending injury in early February. In the six games he missed, Oklahoma covered the spread in all of those games. They failed to reach the total in five of the six games, and the under is 5-1 in their last six versus TCU. The Horned Frogs come in as losers of seven straight, and they've failed to cover in seven of their last eight. TCU has averaged just 68.2 points per game on 45 percent shooting over it's last five, and it's going to be tough to create offense against an Oklahoma team that has held opponents to 69.6 points on 41.1 percent shooting over it's last five games. The under is 20-8 in OKLA last 28 neutral site games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-08-17 |
Clemson v. Duke UNDER 147.5 |
Top |
72-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLEM@DUKE to go UNDER the total. Clemson will play Duke in the second round of the ACC Tournament this afternoon, and these two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Duke beat the Tigers at home by a score of 64-62 earlier this season, and seven of the last 10 meetings have failed to reach the total. Of the three games that went over, none of those games more than 145 combined points. Clemson played at the Barclay Center yesterday, beating NC State 75-61. Neither team shot the ball particularly well, and of the six ACC teams that played at the Barclay Center yesterday, five of those teams shot below 43 percent. Duke has gone under in five of it's last six games at a neutral site, while Clemson have failed to reach the total in five straight overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-05-17 |
Celtics -6 v. Suns |
Top |
106-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics.
The Phoenix Suns have won back to back games, and that has them climbing in the standings. They are no longer the worst team in the Western Conference, but all that means is that the Lakers are getting the better position in the upcoming draft. Of course nobody will admit to tanking games, but let's just say that motivation is dubious at the moment for the league's bottom feeders. The Celtics on the other hand are coming off back to back wins over Cleveland and the Lakers, and they are just 2.5 games out of first place in the East. Isaiah Thomas scored 31 points on 10-of-20 shooting in the win over the Cavs, and he might have a little added motivation facing his former team. He should put up big numbers against this Suns defense, Phoenix ranks 29th in the league allowing over 112 points per game. I think this looks like a let down spot for the rebuilding Suns who have failed to cover in five of their last six versus teams with a winning record.
Take BOS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-05-17 |
Penn State v. Iowa -5.5 |
Top |
79-90 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes.
Iowa is coming off a huge upset win at Wisconsin, and some might say that sets them up for a let down here at home versus Penn State. I expect the Hawkeyes to bring it here in their final home game though, sending off their seniors with a blowout win. The Nittany Lions have lost four straight, and their last two road games were both double digit losses. They've lost three of their last four games at Iowa, and the average margin of victory in those games was far greater than 10 points. The Hawkeyes beat PSU at home last year by a score of 73-49. Iowa averages 85.9 points per game on 47 percent shooting at home, and the Hawkeyes are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. The Nittany Lions are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Iowa.
Take IOWA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-04-17 |
San Diego State v. New Mexico |
Top |
59-64 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the New Mexico Lobos. It's Senior's Night for New Mexico, and one senior in particular could have a major impact on this game. Forward Tim Williams hasn't played since the end of January, but he's expected to start in the Lobos final home game. Williams is the team's leading rebounder, and he led them in scoring prior to his injury. In his absence Elijah Brown has stepped up, and the junior guard has totaled 47 points in his last two home games. The Lobos host rivals San Diego State, and the Aztecs have really dropped off this year. They are just 3-8 on he road, and two of those wins came against bottom feeders UNLV and Utah State. They are coming off a 51-38 win over Air Force in their final home game, bu they were brutal offensively in that win. They shot just 28.8 percent from the field, and went 4-for-27 from three-point range. The Aztecs have averaged just 60.8 points on 38.2 percent shooting over their last five games. San Diego State has only covered the spread twice in 11 road games this season. The Lobos won 68-62 at San Diego State earlier this year, and they dominated the boards in that game, out-rebounding SDSU 38-27. Take UNM. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-04-17 |
TCU v. Oklahoma -150 |
Top |
68-73 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Oklahoma.
It's been a difficult season for the Sooners, and they sit tied with Texas at the bottom of the BIG12 standings. They come into their final home game against TCU playing their best basketball of the season though, and I expect them to end the season on a high note on Senior's Night. Oklahoma's leading scorer Jordan Woodard battled injury all year, but since they shut him down they've been a better team. The Sooners have covered the spread in all five games since, and their last home game was an impressive 81-51 win over Kansas State. TCU has lost seven of 10 road games, and the Frogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They only average 67.8 points per game on the road, and they might struggle to reach that number against a strong Sooners defense. The Sooners jumped all over BIG12 champs Kansas in their last game, leading by double digits halfway through the second half. They should have their way with a mediocre TCU team today.
Take OKLA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-03-17 |
Clippers -3.5 v. Bucks |
Top |
101-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the LA Clippers. The Clippers have lost three of four since the All Star break, but those losses came against three of the league's best teams (Warriors, Rockets and Spurs). The head out East to play their next two games on the road, and they really need to pick up some points. LA is in a dogfight for the fourth spot in the Western Conference. Only two points separate the 4th and 7th spot (Utah, OKC, The Clippers and Memphis). They will be in Milwaukee tonight, and the Bucks are a team with a promising future. They are not ready to compete right now though, as evidenced by the fact that they have lost two of three home games coming out of the All Star break. The Clippers have won eight of the last nine meetings in this series, and they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. They are also 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight following a double digit home loss. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-03-17 |
Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 214 |
Top |
135-130 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@ATL to go UNDER the total. It's that time of year again... the stretch run in the NBA regular season. Teams are jockeying for playoff position, and preparing for the post-season. That means more attention to detail, and a lot more effort on the defensive side of the ball. Historically we know that playoff basketball tends to be significantly lower scoring than the regular season, but I believe that trend starts right now. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in six straight, and eight of their last 10. They host the Cavs, who have gone under in four of their last five. These two teams have trended over in recent meetings (7 of the last 10), but tonight's total is far higher than it was in an of those previous games. In fact, the listed total was under 200 in six of those games, and never higher than 208. The Hawks have more to play for, at home and sitting just 2.5 games out of first in their division. Atlanta ranks in the Top 10 in the league in points allowed, and the bottom 10 in points scored. They've gone under in four of their last five home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-02-17 |
Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 143.5 |
Top |
59-57 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IOWA@WISC to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers have suffered a late season collapse, losing four of their last five games. Three of those four losses came on the road though, and their last home game was a 71-60 win over Maryland. That game landed right on the total of 131, and they've gone under the total at a rate of 12-4-2 in their last 18 home games. Despite their struggles, the bookmakers have Wisconsin listed as a double digit favorite here at home versus Iowa. I think the only way they can win this game in a blowout is to get back to playing their game, which is slow and ultra defensive. The total for tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series, and significantly higher than in any of the Badgers last 10 games. Scoring has been an issue for Wisconsin, averaging just 67 points per game on 41 percent shooting over their last five. This is all the more reason why they need to go all out defensively, as they can't rely on out-scoring opponents. The under is 11-4 in Hawkeyes last 15 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-01-17 |
Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 222 |
Top |
99-103 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Celtics host the Cavs Wednesday, and both teams are gearing up for a playoff run. This time of year we see teams step up the intensity on defense, especially in games like this. Boston has lost two of three games since the break, and the Celtics scored an average of less than 100 points in those games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially at The Garden where they've failed to reach the total in the last four meetings. Cleveland won nine of 11 games in February, and they've gone over in five straight road games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all five of those games though, and it's far higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. Boston's leading scorer Isaiah Thomas is ice cold since the All Star break, shooting just 31.4 percent from the field in three games. He's not the only one struggling, Al Horford has totaled 10 points on 5-of-20 shooting the last two games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-28-17 |
Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -135 |
Top |
52-61 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Georgia Tech is coming off back to back losses, but those games were decided by a total of just six points. They are still one of the best home teams in the ACC, with a record of 10-4, and marquee wins over Syracuse, FSU, Notre Dame and North Carolina. They play their final home game against the Pitt Panthers, who are coming off a blowout loss at home in their final home game of the season. Pittsburgh is just 2-6 on the road, and one of those wins was out of conference. The other was an 83-72 win at Boston College, the last place team in the ACC. Georgia Tech is dominant defensively at home, holding opponents to just 62.1 points per game on 36.4 percent shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in five of their last six home games, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Take GT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-28-17 |
Indiana v. Purdue UNDER 152 |
Top |
75-86 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND/PUR to go UNDER the total. // */to go UNDER the total. // ]]> The Boilermakers are hosting BIG10 rivals Indiana Tuesday, with a chance to clinch first place in the conference. The Hoosiers are coming off a one-point home win over Northwestern, but had lost five straight before that. One of those losses was a 69-64 home loss to Purdue. The Boilermakers have a history for punishing Indiana at home, winning by double digits in 2015 and 2014. Purdue has been beating up on the opposition at home this season, with a 14-2 home record. They have held visiting teams to an average of just 61.4 points on 37.7 percent shooting in those games. Indiana has struggled on the road, scoring an average of less than 70 points while losing seven of eight. Indiana only scored 63 points in their final home game against Northwestern, and they were outscored (36-27) in the second half of that game. They ended up winning by one-point with a free throw in the final seconds, and I think that sets them up for a let down here against the mighty Purdue Boilermakers. The under is 5-1 in Boilermakers last six games as a favorite, and Indiana has gone under in five of their last six versus ranked teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-28-17 |
Indiana v. Purdue -10.5 |
Top |
75-86 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Purdue Boilermakers. The Boilermakers are hosting BIG10 rivals Indiana Tuesday, with a chance to clinch first place in the conference. The Hoosiers are coming off a one-point home win over Northwestern, but had lost five straight before that. One of those losses was a 69-64 home loss to Purdue. The Boilermakers have a history for punishing Indiana at home, winning by double digits in 2015 and 2014. Purdue has been beating up on the opposition at home this season, with a 14-2 home record. They have held visiting teams to an average of just 61.4 points on 37.7 percent shooting in those games. Indiana has struggled on the road, scoring an average of less than 70 points while losing seven of eight. Indiana only scored 63 points in their final home game against Northwestern, and they were outscored (36-27) in the second half of that game. They ended up winning by one-point with a free throw in the final seconds, and I think that sets them up for a let down here against the mighty Purdue Boilermakers. Take PUR. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-28-17 |
St Bonaventure v. Davidson -155 |
Top |
63-68 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats.
The Wildcats are coming off a particularly disturbing loss. They led by 11 with five minutes to play in the second half on Friday versus Dayton. The Flyers battled back to force overtime, and Davidson went on to lose by a score of 89-82. Normally I don't like to bet on teams coming off these type of games, but I'll make an exception here. It's the Wildcats final home game, and they host St. Bonaventure, and I think the Bonnies might be looking ahead to their own final home game against Massachusetts this weekend. At first glance, it looks like the Bonnies aren't bad on the road, with a winning record of 5-4. A closer look reveals that those wins came against Saint Louis, St. Joes, Duquense, UMASS and an out of conference win versus Hofstra. Beating the bottom four teams in the conference doesn't offer any evidence that the Bonnies can upset the Wildcats on Senior's Night. If Davidson plays the way it did against Dayton, this game won't be close. The Wildcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Take DAV.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
Heat v. Mavs UNDER 200 |
Top |
89-96 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MIA@DAL to go UNDER the total. The Heat have won 16 of their last 18 overall, but they face a tough test on the road in Dallas tonight. Both these teams are battling for a playoff spot, and Dallas has won three of their last four home games. The Mavs rank 4th overall in the NBA allowing just 100 points per game, and they rank 30th in scoring, averaging just 97.8 points per game. Dallas is coming off a 96-83 home win over New Orleans, and they held DeMarcus Cousins to just 12 points in that game. History favors the Heat, who have won four of the last five in this series. All five of those games saw fewer than 200 points scored, and I expect another defensive battle tonight. The under is 7-1-1 in the Mavs last nine games against Eastern Conference teams. Miami has gone under in five of it's last seven against Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 213 |
Top |
114-98 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Atlanta Hawks have come out of the All Star break in a slump. They lost their last game 108-86 at Orlando, and they've scored an average of 86.6 points per game while losing three straight. It won't get any easier tonight, playing on the road at Boston. The Celtics are 20-8 at home, and the have covered the spread in three straight home meetings with Atlanta. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in four straight meetings. The Celtics have gone under in nine of their last 10 home games when returning from a road trip. The total for tonight's game is higher that it was in each of the last 10 meetings. This time of year, when you have two teams jockeying for playoff position, you expect more emphasis on defense. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games, and I expect another low scoring game here at the Garden. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 139 |
Top |
62-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WVU@BAY to go UNDER the total.
The Mountaineers will visit Baylor on Monday, and these two teams rank among the nation's best on defense. West Virginia allowed just 60 points in a road win at TCU in it's last game, while the Bears held Oklahoma to just 54 points while winning their last home game. Baylor is holding the opposition to an average of just 58.9 points on 38 percent shooting this season, and that's a big reason why they've failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall. This is the time of year when every basket counts, and teams crank it up on defense. The Mountaineers won their last game at Baylor by a score of 69-58 last March, but I expect a better effort from the home team this time around. The under is 5-0 in Baylor's last five home games, and West Virginia has gone under in two of it's last three road games. The exception being an overtime loss at Kansas.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
North Carolina v. Virginia UNDER 132 |
Top |
43-53 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UNC@UVA to go UNDER the total.
The Virginia Cavs had lost four straight before busting loose and scoring 70 points in a win at North Carolina State Saturday. They return home to host the red hot UNC Tar Heels, in this season's second meeting between the two teams. North Carolina won at home in the previous meeting, despite scoring a season low 65 points. The Tar Heels might be hard pressed to score that many here in the rematch, as the Cavs have held opponents to just 51.1 points on 36.7 percent shooting at home. The Cavs lost 54-48 in overtime at home to Miami, and lost 65-55 to Duke. They crushed Louisville by a score of 71-55, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Tar Heels have already clinched at least a share of the ACC Title, and even if they lose tonight's game, they can clinch with a win at home versus Duke on Saturday. This looks like a bit of a let down spot for the Tar Heels, and they could also get caught looking ahead to that game against Duke.The under is 20-6 in Cavaliers last 26 games as a home underdog, and 7-1 in Tar Heels last 8 games as a favorite.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-26-17 |
Suns v. Bucks -6.5 |
Top |
96-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Phoenix Suns are sitting at the bottom of the Western Conference Standings, with nothing left to play for. The Bucks are just two games out of a playoff spot in the East, and they went into the All Star break as winners of three straight. Both teams lost their first game following the break, but the Suns lost in particularly disturbing fashion. They blew a double digit fourth quarter lead, and Devin Booker missed a potential game winning free throw in the final second of regulation, before losing 128-121 at Chicago. The Bucks have won four of the last five meetings between the two teams, covering the spread in all four of those games. The Greek Freak has score 30 or more in three straight games, and he should have another monster game against a Suns team that allows 112.7 points per game (29th in the NBA). The Bucks last home game was a 137-101 win over the Lakers, and a similar result is expected today.
Take MIL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
San Diego State v. Colorado State |
Top |
55-56 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Colorado State.
"Colorado State comes in tied for first place in the conference (with Nevada and BSU), and the Rams are one of the hottest teams in the country right now. They've won seven of their last eight, with four of those wins coming on the road (at SDSU, at USU, at UNLV and at WYO). Senior forward Emmanuel Omogbo has really elevated his game, averaging 16.8 points and 11.4 rebounds per game in his last five. He scored 19 points and pulled in 16 rebounds in a win at Wyoming last Tuesday."
That's what I said about the Rams before they beat the Lobos by double digits at New Mexico Tuesday. They return home tonight to host San Diego State, a team that has struggled on the road. The Aztecs have lost seven of 10 road games, scoring an average of just 64.2 points on 38.8 percent shooting in those games. San Diego State is 2-7-1 ATS in it's last 10 road games.
Take CSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
76ers +5 v. Knicks |
Top |
109-110 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Sixers have now won four of their last five overall, and they have covered the spread in six straight. They will play on the road in New York tonight, and the Knicks have lost six of their last seven, and have only covered the spread in three of their last 10 overall. The news gets bad to worse for the Knicks, as Kristaps Porzingis is out indefinitely with an ankle injury. Carmelo Anthony isn't pleased that he's still in New York after the deadline, and he is coming off an uninspiring performance against the Cavs. He scored 20 points on 9-of-25 shooting in a 119-104 loss. Playing on back to back night's is usually considered to be a disadvantage, but a young team like the Sixers coming off a long layoff, and then upsetting the hottest team in the NBA (Washington), should be up for this game. They've covered the spread in five straight when coming off a victory.
Take PHI.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
Hawks -140 v. Magic |
Top |
86-105 |
Loss |
-140 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks are in position to battle for one of the top four spots in the Eastern Conference standings, but they dropped their first game back from the All Star break at home to Miami last night. It's understandable that they came out flat after a week long layoff, and it made matters worse that starting PG Dennis Schroeder was suspended for returning late from Germany and missing practice. They will play their second game in as many nights on the road at Orlando tonight, but I don't expect fatigue to be a factor. The Magic have lost five of their last six overall, and four of their last five at home. Serge Ibaka was second on the team in scoring, and their second best rebounder, but he's moved on to Toronto. The Magic got Terrence Ross in return, and he failed to impress in his debut. Ross scored 13 points on 4-of-17 shooting in a 112-103 loss to Portland on Thursday. The Hawks are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Orlando.
Take ATL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
Florida v. Kentucky UNDER 156.5 |
Top |
66-76 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on FLA@UK to go UNDER the total.
The Florida Gators have won nine in a row, and they are tied at the top of the SEC standings with Kentucky. They beat the Wildcats 88-66 at home earlier this month, and I expect a competitive game here in the rematch in Kentucky this afternoon. Both these team are capable of playing shut down defense, and both teams have held the opposition to an average of less than 70 points over their last five games. There two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings, and five straight at Kentucky. In a game of this magnitude, I expect to see hard fought battles for every possession. There won't be many easy buckets to be had here, and I expect to see another relatively low scoring battle. The under is 20-7 in Kentucky's last 27 home games versus ranked teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-24-17 |
Dayton -130 v. Davidson |
Top |
89-82 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Dayton Flyers. The Davidson Wildcats aren't as competitive this season as they have been in years past. They come into tonight's home game with a losing record in conference play, and they lost their last game by a score of 84-76 at Richmond. They have seven wins versus A-10 teams, and all but one of those came against teams that are below them in the standings. They did beat VCU at home back in January, but the Rams simply couldn't make a shot to save their lives in that game. Dayton comes to town as winners of seven straight, and 10 of their last 11. The Flyers have scored an average of 79.2 points on 45.7 percent shooting over their last five games. Davidson has twice as many losses at home as the Flyers do on the road this season, and the Flyers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games. Take DAY. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-23-17 |
Hofstra v. William & Mary -7 |
Top |
96-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the William and Mary Tribe.
The Tribe are coming off a rare road win at Deleware, and they return home to face Hofstra. William and Mary might be the nation's best bet at home, with a perfect 12-0 record this season. They don't just win their home games, for the most part, they blow out their opponents. Their last five home wins have all come by a double digit margin, even against some of the top teams in the CAA. They beat the first place Seahawks by a whopping 18 points at home last month. William and Mary are averaging 91 points on an unbelievable 55.1 percent shooting at home. Hofstra comes in struggling, failing to cover in eight of their last 10 overall, and they are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings at William & Mary.
Take CWM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-22-17 |
Utah State v. San Jose State |
Top |
81-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans.
The Spartans have had a stranglehold on last place in the Mountain West for most of the last decade. That is not the case this seasons. San Jose State comes into tonight's home game as winners of five of their last six overall. They are a solid 9-5 overall at home, and they host a struggling Utah State Aggies team. The Aggies are just 2-7 on the road, and they come in as losers of five straight road games. The Spartans have been rather efficient offensively, scoring 74.4 points on 48.7 percent shooting over their last five games. Utah State has scored just 66.2 points on 35.6 percent shooting during that same span. The Spartans have covered in five of their last six, while Utah State is just 1-7 ATS in it's last eight road games.
Take SJSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-21-17 |
NC State v. Georgia Tech -4.5 |
Top |
71-69 |
Loss |
-115 |
32 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Georgia Tech. The Wolfpack have lost seven of eight on the road, and their last two road games were losses by 20+ points. With nothing left to play for, they aren't likely to pose a threat to a Georgia Tech team that is very strong at home. The Yellow Jackets play a strong defense on their home floor, allowing opponents to average just 61.3 points per game on 36 percent shooting. That's even more impressive when you consider that they've played teams like Louisville and North Carolina. Georgia Tech beat Syracuse on Sunday, and I like them here on Tuesday night against a much weaker opponent. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-21-17 |
Clemson v. Virginia Tech -140 |
Top |
70-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies 1st Half.
The Hokies have been playing as well as anybody in the ACC recently. They have been very strong at home, boasting a 13-1 record. Those wins include upsets over Duke and Virginia. The Hokies already beat Clemson on their home floor earlier in the season, and they've won four of their last five home meetings with Clemson. Virginia Tech has scored over 84 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting at home, while the Tigers have averaged just 64.8 points per game on the road. This is the final road game for Clemson, before finishing the season with three straight home games. At this point it's easy to imagine the Tigers getting caught looking ahead to their upcoming home stand. The Hokies led at halftime the last time these two teams played (at Clemson), and they should get off to a good start here at home.
Take VT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-19-17 |
Syracuse v. Georgia Tech +2.5 |
Top |
65-71 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Syracuse is coming off back to back losses, but the Orange will come into Georgia Tech as the favorite. It seems strange that the bookmakers are asking bettors to lay points with a Syracuse team that has only won two road games all year. They beat Clemson by just one point, and needed overtime in their win at N.C. State. The Yellow Jackets are a stronger home team than the Tigers or the Wolfpack. They are 13-3 at home this year, with wins over North Carolina, Florida State and Notre Dame. The Orange have failed to cover the spread in each of the last four meetings in this series, and their last win at Georgia Tech came by a score of 46-45. The Yellow Jackets play a strong defense on their home floor, allowing opponents to average just 61.3 points per game on 36 percent shooting. That's even more impressive when you consider that they've played teams like Louisville and North Carolina. The Orange are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games, while the Yellow Jackets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 overall.
Take GT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-19-17 |
Maryland +7 v. Wisconsin |
Top |
60-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Maryland Terrapins. The Badgers host Maryland Sunday, and the winner of this game will move into a first place tie with Purdue at the top of the BIG10. Wisconsin has only lost one game at home this season, while the Terps have only lost once on the road. The Badgers are coming off back to back losses, and they've failed to cover in four straight. They've been brutal offensively, averaging just 61.8 points on 38.6 percent shooting over their last five games. One reason for their struggles has been an injury to senior guard Bronson Koenig, who didn't play in a 64-58 loss at Michigan Thursday. He was just 1-of-8 from the field, scoring two points in 30 minutes in last Sunday's home loss to Northwestern. Koenig is officially listed as day to day, and might be able to play today. Maryland has won 10 of 13 games in conference play, and their three losses came by an average margin of just three points. They beat the Badgers at Madison last season by a score of 63-60, and they are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. Melo Trimble comes in feeling the hot hand, he scored 32 points on 12-of-17 shooting in a 74-64 win at Northwestern on Wednesday. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-18-17 |
Oklahoma +12 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
92-96 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
Oklahoma finally snapped it's seven game losing streak with a win over Texas at home on Tuesday. It was the Sooners first game since they announced that leading scorer Jordan Woodard would miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. Woodard wasn't playing well, failing to score in double figures in three of his last four games. One of those games was a 68-66 home loss to the Cowboys, and Woodard scored just seven points on 3-of-11 shooting. Oklahoma State won that game with a buzzer beater, and here we are just over two weeks later and they are asked to cover a double digit spread in the rematch. While the Sooners will miss Woodard, I believe they will be better off giving his minutes to a healthy role player, rather than a struggling star who's unable to contribute due to injury. That was certainly the case against Texas, as backup center Jamuni McNease scored 14 points and pulled in 14 rebounds in 26 minutes. The Sooners have played close games in each of their last four visits to Stillwater, with only one loss, which came in overtime. The average margin of victory in those four games was just four points. This line appears to be a little inflated.
Take OKLA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-18-17 |
Illinois v. Iowa -4.5 |
Top |
70-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Iowa (1st Half)
Illinois has been brutal on the road, losing five of six games, and scoring an average of just 66.5 points on 41.9 percent shooting. They did beat Iowa at home earlier this year, but I expect the Hawkeyes to execute revenge for that loss here on Saturday. Iowa is a much stronger team at home, where they average 80.8 points per game, and shoot over 40 percent from beyond the arc. I don't think Illinois can score enough points to keep those one close. The Illini have averaged just 61.4 points, shooting just 39.8 percent from the field in their last five games overall. Iowa's last two home games were double digit wins over Ohio State and Nebraska, and I think they can handle bottom feeders Illinois with relative ease.
Take Iowa.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-17-17 |
Idaho v. Eastern Washington -5 |
Top |
67-77 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. The Idaho Vandals are coming off a blowout loss (88-65) at North Dakota, falling to 4-8 on the road this season. They face another tough road game tonight, playing at Eastern Washington. They already lost to the Eagles at home earlier this season by a score of 69-62. The Eagles are a dominant team on their home court, with a record of 12-1 this season, and a record of 34-4 over the last three seasons. They score an average of 85.9 points on 49 percent shooting at home, and that's roughly 15 points per game more than the Vandals have averaged on the road. The Eagles won last year's home game against Idaho by a score of 74-60, and they've won their last four home games by an average margin of 12 points. Eastern Washington is coming off it's best defensive showing of the season, holding Northern Colorado to just 44 points on 28.3 percent shooting. I don't expect this game to be close, Eastern Washington should run away with it. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-16-17 |
Wizards -130 v. Pacers |
Top |
111-98 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Washington Wizards.
Washington might be the hottest team in the NBA, coming into tonight's game at Indiana as winners of 10 of their last 11. The only loss during that span came to the defending champion Cavaliers, in a game decided in overtime. The Pacers on the other hand have struggled, losing five straight, with four of those losses coming by a double digit margin. Paul George scored just 13 points on 4-of-19 shooting in a loss at Cleveland last night, and he only managed 13 points on 4-of-11 shooting the last time he played on back to back nights (a home loss to Milwaukee). The Wizards come in well rested, having had two days off since their win over Oklahoma City on Monday. They have a history of playing well in Indiana, covering the spread in seven straight visits. John Wall has averaged 27 points per game on 49 percent shooting in three games against the Pacers this season, helping the Wizards take two of the three. The Pacers will be without starting PF Thadeus Young, who has missed the last seven games due to a wrist injury. Backup PF Lavoy Allen has also missed the last two games, and is listed as questionable to play tonight.
Take WAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
Hawks v. Clippers -140 |
Top |
84-99 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the LAC. The Clippers appear to have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of three straight on the road. They put on a defensive clinic in an 88-72 win at Utah on Monday. Blake Griffin scored 26 points, pulled in 10 rebounds and dished out six assists, and the Clippers held the Jazz to just 32.2 percent shooting. Both the Clippers and the Hawks rank in the top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring, and both teams are coming off impressive defensive performances. Atlanta allowed Portland to score just 97 points in regulation in an overtime win at the Moda Center Monday. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, and the under is 16-7-1 in Hawks last 24 versus Western Conference teams. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, and I expect the Clippers to grind out a win at home against Hawks team that is 1-5 ATS in it's last six versus the Pacific Division. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 213 |
Top |
84-99 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Clippers appear to have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of three straight on the road. They put on a defensive clinic in an 88-72 win at Utah on Monday. Blake Griffin scored 26 points, pulled in 10 rebounds and dished out six assists, and the Clippers held the Jazz to just 32.2 percent shooting. Both the Clippers and the Hawks rank in the top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring, and both teams are coming off impressive defensive performances. Atlanta allowed Portland to score just 97 points in regulation in an overtime win at the Moda Center Monday. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, and the under is 16-7-1 in Hawks last 24 versus Western Conference teams. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, and I expect the Clippers to grind out a win at home against Hawks team that is 1-5 ATS in it's last six versus the Pacific Division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
San Jose State +7.5 v. Fresno State |
Top |
59-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans.
San Jose State has been the worst team in the Mountain West for a long time, but apparently not this season. The Spartans have won four straight, including an upset win over the Lobos in New Mexico. They were an underdog in their last three games, and they are getting a bunch of points on the road at Fresno State tonight. They already beat the Bulldogs at home in January, and they have covered the spread in each of the last three meetings over the last three seasons. The Bulldogs are struggling, they've lost three straight, and they have a few key players sidelined with injuries. The Bulldogs last home game was a 67-70 loss to San Diego State, the same Aztecs team that the Spartans beat in San Jose just over a week ago. Fresno State is 5-11 ATS in it's last 16 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5, and the Bulldogs have failed to cover in five straight overall.
Take SJSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 205 |
Top |
88-111 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Utah Jazz are coming off an embarrassing 88-72 home loss to the Clippers. The Portland Trailblazers are coming off a home loss to Atlanta, shooing just 35.9 percent from the field and scoring just 97 points in regulation. The two teams will meet in Utah tonight, and we should expect to see a defensive battle. Utah is a heavy favorite, and the Jazz have a history of locking in defensively off a big home loss. They've gone under in nine of their last 10 following a double digit home loss. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it has been in recent meetings. In fact each of the last 10 meetings in this series saw a number below 200, dating back to 2014. The Jazz will be desperate to end a three game losing streak, and that should mean a heavy emphasis on defense. Two of Portland's last three visits to Utah have failed to go over 200 points, and none of the three went over the total listed for tonight's contest.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
La Salle v. St Bonaventure -4.5 |
Top |
65-83 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies.
The La Salle Explorers had been enjoying their best season in the A-10 Conference in years, but have started to struggle in recent weeks. La Salle has lost five of it's last seven, with wins against bottom feeders Fordam and Massachusetts. The Bonnies have long been one of the toughest teams in his conference on their home court, and they've won four of their last five home games. The one loss came in overtime to powerhouse VCU. St. Bonaventure has averaged over 81 points per game at home, shooting 47 percent from the field. The Explorers are 4-5 on the road, and they've lost three of their last four road games by 10 or more points. It's no coincidence that La Salle has struggled over it's last seven games, as they have been without starting guard Pookie Powell for six of those seven contests. Powell averaged 13.4 points per game, logging an average of 31 minutes prior to suffering a knee injury in a loss to VCU in January. The Explorers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and they've failed to cover in four of their last five as an underdog.
Take SBON.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-14-17 |
Iona -110 v. Canisius |
Top |
83-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Iona Gaels. Iona has won seven of it's last eight overall, with the only loss during that span coming by just two points versus Siena. Canisius is just 3-3 over it's last six games, suffering home losses to Niagara and Rider during that span. For whatever reason, the Golden Griffins have struggled at home, failing to cover in eight of their last 11 at the Koessler Athletic Center. Iona has no trouble scoring on the road, averaging 81.1 points per game on 44.5 percent shooting. Rebounding has been a huge issue for Canisius, and they were out-rebounded 44-31 by Niagara in their last game. They are averaging fewer than 25 rebounds per game over their last five, and it's tough to win games with those kind of numbers. The Gaels have won seven of the last eight meetings in this series, and two of those win came on the road. I expect that trend to continue here in Buffalo tonight. Take IONA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-14-17 |
Tennessee +14 v. Kentucky |
Top |
58-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Volunteers.
The Wildcats are just 3-3 in their last six games, and one of those was an 82-80 loss at Tennessee. Kentucky is favored to win the rematch at home, and many bettors will be playing the revenge angle here. I think this line is just far too inflated, especially considering how the Wildcats have struggled in recent weeks. They failed to cover in home games against LSU and Georgia, lost at home to Kansas, and got absolutely crushed at Florida. They have won their last three home games versus the Vols, but not one of those wins came by more than 10 points. Seven of the last 10 meetings between the two teams have been relatively close (10 points or less). Kentucky has struggled defensively over it's last five games, giving up 78.2 points per game on 48.7 percent shooting. The Vols have allowed opponents to average 10 points fewer, with a field goal percentage of just 38.4 percent during that same span. Tennessee has been a good bet on the road, covering the spread in eight of their last 11. I'll take the points.
Take TEN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-13-17 |
Warriors v. Nuggets +12 |
Top |
110-132 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Golden State Warriors are coming off a 130-114 win over the Thunder in Oklahoma City. That game was the second of a back to back, coming off a 122-107 win in Memphis the night before. They will play their third game in four nights on the road in Denver (at altitude) and this game couldn't be any more meaningless for the visitors. This is the ultimate let down spot for Golden State. This team has nothing left to prove to anybody. Kevin Durant scored 34 points in his first game back in Oklahoma City, despite dealing with hostile fans all night long. We don't have to speculate about what the Warriors did after the game, as their party plans are well documented. Durant wanted to rent out the Mahogany Prime Steak House, but was refused. He and his teammates ended up dining with the rest of the restaurant's regular clientele, which includes Russell Westbrook. It could be hard to get up for this game in Denver coming off such a marquee win. The Nuggets have won seven of their last eight home games, and they are battling for the eighth and final playoff spot in the West. Denver has covered the spread in six of their last eight versus Golden State, and they look good getting a double digit spread here tonight. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-12-17 |
Pelicans v. Kings OVER 210 |
Top |
99-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NO@SAC to go OVER the total.
The Pelicans are coming off a 122-106 win at Minnesota, and they shot 60 percent from the field in the victory. They play Sunday in Sacramento, and the Kings aren't the best defensive team in the NBA. Sacramento scored 65 points in the second half to come from behind and beat the Hawks 108-107 in overtime on Friday. They've scored an average of 107 points while wining three of five games during their current home stand. These two teams have gone over in three of the last four meetings, and the Kings have gone over in seven straight games coming off a win. The Pelicans have gone over in nine of their last 12 overall, mostly due to the fact that they give up an awful lot of points. Opponents have averaged over 112 points over their last five games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-12-17 |
Nevada +3 v. San Diego State |
Top |
56-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack.
The Wolfpack sit a half a game back of Boise State in the Mountain West, and they will play on the road at San Diego State Sunday. The Aztecs have dominated this conference for more than a decade, but they currently sit in the bottom half of the standings with a losing record in conference play. Nevada beat the Aztecs at home by a score of 72-69 earlier this year, ending a seven game losing streak in the series. The Wolfpack haven't had any trouble winning on the road this season, winning five of eight games and averaging a whopping 80.5 points. San Diego State has been beaten at home by Colorado State and New Mexico, two teams that trail Nevada in the standings. Scoring has been an issue for the Aztecs, averaging just 70.4 points per game on 40.5 percent shooting in their last five games. The Wolfpack are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, while the Aztecs have failed to cover in four straight games as a favorite.
Take NEVADA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-11-17 |
Warriors v. Thunder +7.5 |
Top |
130-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKC. The Golden State Warriors visit the Thunder Saturday, in Kevin Durant's first game back at Oklahoma City. This will be the third meeting this season, and the Warriors won the previous two at home. Both of those games were high scoring, but neither game reached the inflated total. Once again the bookmakers are calling for a shootout, with another inflated number. These teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and the under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. This is a huge game for both teams, and we should see both sides giving 100 percent on both offense and defense. The Warriors have gone under in 19 of their last 26 road games, while the Thunder have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games versus a team with a winning record. The Warriors dominated the first two meetings, and Kevin Durant went off for 39 and 40 points (his two highest totals of the season). Playing on back to back nights, and dealing with all the emotions, I could see Durant struggling in tonight's game. He's hired additional security for this game, and that in itself may suggest his mind is on more than just basketball. The Warriors are just 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City. Take OKC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-11-17 |
Oklahoma +9.5 v. Iowa State |
Top |
64-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The Oklahoma Sooners have lost six straight, and they are at the bottom of the BIG12 standings with a record of 2-9 within conference. With all the losses piling up, it's easy to forget just how competitive this team has actually been. Their last win came on the road at West Virginia by a score of 89-87. Since then, they've lost by just one point at Texas, and by two points at home versus Oklahoma State. Both of those games were decided by buzzer beaters. A home loss to Iowa State came by a score of 92-87 in double overtime. The Sooners were actually a two point favorite in that game, which means we see a 11.5 point swing in the rematch just three weeks later. These two teams have a history of playing close games, as each of the last five meetings have been decided by five points or less. Nine of the last 10 meetings have been decided by seven points or less, and neither team has been favored by more than 7.5 points in each of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2013. The Sooners are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, and the line in this revenge game appears to be grossly inflated. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-11-17 |
Fresno State v. Colorado State -3 |
Top |
62-78 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Colorado State Rams.
The Rams have really played well in recent weeks, winning five of their last six games. The only loss during that span came in a close game versus Mountain West powerhouse Boise State. They sit just a half a game out of first place in the conference, and they host a struggling Fresno State team this afternoon. The Bulldogs have lost three of their last four, and they are just 4-8 on the road. They have missed a couple of key players, leaving them shorthanded and undersized. Karachi Edo leads the Bulldogs in rebounds averaging 6.8 per game, and Cullen Russo is second on the team averaging 5.9 RPG. Edo is questionable with an ankle injury, and Russo is suspended indefinitely. The Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games versus a team with a losing road record, and the Bulldogs have failed to cover in four of their last five road games.
Take CSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-11-17 |
College of Charleston v. William & Mary |
Top |
79-89 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the William and Mary Tribe.
The Charleston Cougars are one of the top dogs in the CAA, sitting just one game back of UNC Wilmington with a 10-3 record. They are coming off a brutal loss at home to Northeastern, and now they head out on the road to face a William and Mary team that is 11-0 at home this season. The Tribe don't just win at home, they dominate the opposition. Their last home game was a 94-69 win over Northeastern, the same team that upset the Cougars. William and Mary averages a staggering 92.1 points on 55.4 percent shooting at home this season. The Cougars average just 66.5 points per game on the road. The home team has won seven of the last eight in this series, and the one exception was a 63-61 win for William and Mary at Charleston.
Take CWM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-10-17 |
Lakers v. Bucks -160 |
Top |
122-114 |
Loss |
-160 |
21 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Lakers come into Milwaukee as losers of six of their last seven road games, and they've lost five straight at the Bradley Center. The Bucks are coming off a blowout loss to Miami, but the Heat have been beating everybody. Miami has won 12 straight, and during that span they beat both Golden State and Houston. The Bucks are just two games back of the Pistons who occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, while the Lakers are in the middle of a rebuild, looking toward the future. This is a big game for Milwaukee, not so much for the visitors. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games versus LA, and they have a .500 record at home. The Lakers are just 6-24 on the road, and they've failed to cover in six of their last seven when playing on one day's rest. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-09-17 |
Cavs v. Thunder -3.5 |
Top |
109-118 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the OKC Thunder.
After going through a rough patch, the Cleveland Cavaliers are officially "back in business". The defending champs have won four straight, scoring an average of 127 points in those games. They face a huge let down spot tonight though, playing on the road in the second game of a back to back, coming off last night's blowout win at Indiana. Don't be surprised to see the Cavs big three play limited minutes (if at all). Oklahoma City has improved it's home record to 18-7 after beating Portland and Memphis in it's last two home games. The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games, while Cleveland is just 2-8 ATS in it's last 10 when playing on no rest.
Take OKC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-09-17 |
North Carolina v. Duke -135 |
Top |
78-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils.
Duke has faced plenty of adversity this year, but has survived and appears to be peaking at the right time. The Blue Devils have won four of their last five, and they are 11-1 at home. They host rivals North Carolina tonight, and this is a revenge spot for Duke. The Tar Heels won 76-72 at Cameron Indoor last March. The Blue Devils had won the previous four meetings, and they are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. North Carolina hasn't looked all that sharp on the road this season. They lost their last road game by a whopping 15 points at Miami, and they failed to cover in wins at Boston College and Wake Forest. They have allowed opponents to average 78.7 points per game on the road, while Duke is giving up just 63.2 points per game at home. Coach K is back on the bench after taking time off to have surgery. Things look like they are coming together for Duke, and this is a good spot to back the Blue Devils as a small favorite.
Take DUKE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-09-17 |
Purdue -125 v. Indiana |
Top |
69-64 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Purdue Boilermakers.
Indiana has lost three of it's last four overall, with the one win coming in triple overtime by a score of 110-102 at home versus Penn State. The Hoosiers have also lost four straight versus Top 25 teams, and they host the #16 ranked Purdue Boilermakers tonight. Purdue has won five of their last six overall, and two of those win came on the road. They beat Michigan State by 11 points in East Lansing, and upset Maryland at College Park on Saturday. The Hoosiers have been banged up, but they hope to get leading scorer James Blackmon back tonight. If in fact he plays, there's no guarantee that he'll be as effective as he was prior to missing the last three games. Even with Blackmon in the lineup, the Hoosiers suffered home losses to Wisconsin, Louisville and Nebraska. Indiana has given up over 80 points per game, allowing opponents to shoot 46.7 percent from the field in their last five games. Purdue has allowed just 67.8 points per game on 39.8 percent shooting during that same span. This is a huge game for Purdue who are just 1.5 games behind first place Wisconsin in the BIG10.
Take PUR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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