Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-19-19 | Nets v. Spurs -2.5 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. It's been a rough start to the season for the Spurs, but there is no denying that they are playing better basketball of late. They come into tonight's game off a 109-107 loss to Houston, in a game that they blew a 25-point lead. You could say the glass is half full, but the Spurs have won four of their last five home games, and that includes outright wins over the Clippers and the Rockets. History favors the home team here as the Nets are just 9-25-1 ATS in the last 35 head to head meetings. They have failed to cover in six of their last seven in San Antonio. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-19 | Maryland v. Seton Hall UNDER 141 | 48-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MD@HALL to go Under the total. The Seton Hall Pirates have lost back to back games, but they have even bigger problems. Leading scorer Myles Powell suffered a concussion, and he won't play tonight at home versus Maryland. Powell is averaging 21.2 points per game this season, one of just two players averaging in double figures. The other is junior forward Sandro Mamukelashvili, who is averaging just 10.9 points per game. Neither of the two will be available for tonight's game, and perhaps for the remainder of 2019. The Pirates struggled without them, scoring just 48 points in a loss to Rutgers. The under is 8-1 in the Pirates last nine games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. You really have to wonder where the points are going to come from here against a Top 10 ranked Maryland team. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -9.5 | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Portland. The Blazers are rolling, and they will be a heavy favorite at home against a Warriors team that is just 3-13 on the road, and owns the NBA's worst overall record. The Warriors are coming off a particularly disturbing loss, forcing 29 turnovers in a 21-point home loss to Sacramento. The Warriors are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. We have every reason to expect the Warriors struggles to continue in Portland. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-19 | Magic v. Jazz -5.5 | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Orlando Magic don't win a lot of road games, and perhaps they shouldn't get too jacked up coming a double digit win in New Orleans, versus a Pelicans team that has lost 12 in a row. They face a far tougher task tonight in Utah, where the Jazz are 10-3 on the season. Utah has won three of four, and all three of those wins have come by 7+ points. The Magic get a boost with the return of Nikola Vucevi, cbut keep in mind they lost six of 10 before his injury. Last year he averaged 17.5 points in two games versus the Jazz, well below his season average of 20.8 points per game. Only three teams in the NBA held him to a lower average than Utah. The Jazz lost by a score of 106-93 in last year's visit to Utah. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-19 | Spurs +10.5 v. Rockets | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on San Antonio. The Spurs have played a record four straight overtime games, and the good news is that they have won three of those four games. They are 4-2 in their last six overall, and during that span they have wins over the Rockets and Clippers. The Rockets are coming off a home loss to the Detroit Pistons, and they have not been a good bet to cover a point spread. Houston have failed to cover in five of it's last six as a favorite, and the Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a losing straight up record. Four of the last five head to head meetings between these teams have been decided by fewer than 10 points. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-19 | Mercer v. NC-Wilmington OVER 144 | 72-63 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MER@UNCW to go Over the total. The Seahawks come into tonight's home game versus Mercer as losers of three straight, and they gave up an average of 76 points per game during that span. They might have more success against a Mercer team that has lost three of four on the road. Mercer is allowing opponents to average 77 points per game this season. The over is 7-2 in the Bears last nine road games versus a team with a winning home record. The over is 10-3 in the Seahawks last 13 home games. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-19 | South Carolina v. Clemson -5.5 | 67-54 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Clemson Tigers. |
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12-14-19 | Gonzaga v. Arizona OVER 152 | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
10* |
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12-14-19 | Memphis +6.5 v. Tennessee | 51-47 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-14-19 | Duquesne +0.5 v. Radford | 71-49 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The Dukes are 8-0 to start the season, and they come into their first true road game as a favorite over Radford. What looks like a tough matchup for the Dukes might not be as tough as it would have been a year ago. The Highlanders finished first in the Big South last year, and were a Cinderella team in the NCAA Tournament. They have started this season off by losing five of their first eight games. Free throw shooting could be a huge advantage for the Dukes, who are hitting just shy of 80 percent from the charity stripe. Radford is shooting just over 60 percent from the free throw line. The Highlanders are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 Saturday games. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-19 | Grizzlies v. Suns -7 | 115-108 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns. I had the Suns in their last game, a 125-109 home win over Minnesota. Here is what I said before the game: "The Suns return home after earning a 2-2 split during a four game road trip, and they will be just a small favorite tonight versus Minnesota. The T-Wolves have lost four straight, and they were hammered by a score of 142-125 at LA last night. This is a tough spot for the visitors, playing on back to back nights in a third game in four nights. They have not fared well in recent meetings versus Phoenix." Memphis comes to town off a win at Golden State, and the Grizzlies are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Take PHX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-19 | Boise State v. Tulsa OVER 131 | 56-69 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BSU@TULSA to go Over the total. The Boise State Broncos come into Tulsa as winners of four of their last five. They have scored an average of more than 77 points per game during that span. The Broncos have given up their fair share of points as well, with opponents averaging almost 70 points per game in their last five overall. Tonight's total of 131 will be the lowest that the Broncos have seen all year, and they have gone over in four straight road games. The Hurricanes are coming off a home loss to Arkansas State, and the over is 15-7-1 in their last 23 games following a ATS loss. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-19 | Clippers v. Raptors UNDER 220 | 112-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC@TOR to go Under the total. |
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12-10-19 | Nuggets v. 76ers -169 | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Sixers and the Nuggets have a lot of similarities. Both these teams play strong defensively, ranking 1st and 3rd respectively in opponent's scoring average. Both teams are also far better at home than they are on the road. The Nuggets had the best home record in the league last year, and the Sixers are 12-0 at home so far this year. Denver has struggled to score lately, losing four of their last five and failing to score 100 points in three of those four losses. The Nuggets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus the Sixers. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-19 | Wolves v. Suns -170 | 109-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns return home after earning a 2-2 split during a four game road trip, and they will be just a small favorite tonight versus Minnesota. The T-Wolves have lost four straight, and they were hammered by a score of 142-125 at LA last night. This is a tough spot for the visitors, playing on back to back nights in a third game in four nights. They have not fared well in recent meetings versus Phoenix. The Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. The Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a losing straight up record. Take PHX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-19 | Kings +12 v. Rockets | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have lost six of their last 10 games overall, but only one of those six losses came by more than 11 points. The Rockets have won just four of their last eight overall, and only one of those four wins came by more than 11 points. The Kings appear to be a strong play getting a 12 point cushion here in Houston coming off an upset win over the Mavericks in Dallas. The Kings are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Thunder v. Blazers -160 | 108-96 | Loss | -160 | 22 h 10 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-07-19 | Charlotte v. NC-Wilmington +4 | 76-57 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNCW. The Seahawks are a tough nut to crack when they play at home. They have won four of five at home so far this year, and the one loss came against the mighty UNC Tar Heels. They host the Charlotte 49ers this afternoon, and Charlotte is 0-3 on the road so far. A look a little further back reveals that the 49ers are 15-36 ATS in their last 51 road games. They haven't been a strong play in the role of favorite, they 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five when asked to cover points on the road. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +4.5 | 136-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Portland. The public is in love with the Lakers, and it's hard to blame them. They just keep winning (12 of their last 13) and they are coming off consecutive big wins at Denver and at Utah. Not all those games were blowouts though, recent wins over Memphis, New Orleans and Oklahoma City came by fewer than 4.5 points. They have had trouble in Portland over the years. The Lakers are 10-23 ATS in the last 33 meetings in Portland, and they are 20-45 ATS in the last 65 meetings. I'll take the home dog getting a handful of points. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-19 | Kings v. Spurs -183 | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs have been pretty bad this season overall, but they have been pretty good lately. Home wins over the Rockets and the Clippers might just be a sign that Pop has his house in order. The Sacramento Kings are in town tonight, and Sacramento is just 3-8 on the road. The Kings have lost four of five and they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. "A lot of what we built we built around having certain guys, and they haven't been with us," Kings coach Luke Walton said. "That's why I go back to giving our guys credit. They've adjusted, they've adapted, continued to work." The Kings are still a little banged up and I don't expect them to have much success against the Spurs in San Antonio. Take SPURS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -125 | 119-109 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-19 | Ohio State v. North Carolina -4 | 74-49 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the UNC Tar Heels. |
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12-04-19 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 210 | 121-96 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@UTAH to go Under the total. The Lakers are coming off a 105-96 win over the Nuggets last night, winning for the 11th time in their last 12 games. The Lakers are ranked as one of the top teams in the NBA in scoring defense, allowing an average of 103 points per game so far this season. They might have a tough time on the road on back to back nights against the Utah Jazz, who are another one of the league's top defensive teams. The Lakers have gone under in six straight, and the under is 5-1 in their last six games in Utah. The Jazz are coming off a 103-94 loss at Philly, and the under is 9-2 in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-19 | Texas Tech v. DePaul OVER 139.5 | 60-65 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TTU@DePaul to go Over the total. The Red Raiders are coming off back to back road losses, and they face a 8-0 DePaul team in Chicago tonight. DePaul won the last meeting back in 2011, and the final score was 76-70. That fell short of the listed total of 150, but tonight's total is 10 points lower. Both these teams are scoring their fair share of points, and shooting the ball relatively well. The point spread suggests this game is expected to be close, so we might expect a wild finish. DePaul has scored 70+ points in all eight of it's games so far, and that includes road wins over Minnesota and Boston College. I like both teams to get 70+ tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-19 | Magic v. Wizards -120 | 127-120 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. The Wizards poor defense has prevented them from winning more than a handful of games, and they are just 3-4 at home this season. That's still three times as many wins as the Orlando Magic have on the road. The Magic have really missed big man Nikola Vucevic, and they come into tonight's game averaging just 101 points per game (29th in the NBA). The Magic are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win. The Magic are 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Washington. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-19 | Old Dominion v. William & Mary -123 | 46-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the College of William and Mary. |
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12-02-19 | Bulls v. Kings UNDER 211 | 113-106 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHI@SAC to go Under the total.
The Kings out-scored the Denver Nuggets 60-40 after halftime on Saturday, winning in overtime by a score of 100-97. They look to bring that momentum into tonight's home game against the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are 3-7 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four straight against the Kings. The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Sacramento. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Kings rank 28th in the NBA in scoring, while the Bulls rank 25th. Chicago has failed to score 100 points in two of their last three overall, and they face a Kings defense that is playing fantastic defense of late. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-19 | Bulls v. Kings -5 | 113-106 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings out-scored the Denver Nuggets 60-40 after halftime on Saturday, winning in overtime by a score of 100-97. They look to bring that momentum into tonight's home game against the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are 3-7 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four straight against the Kings. The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Sacramento. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-19 | Suns -170 v. Hornets | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Phoenix Suns. |
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11-30-19 | Tulsa v. Vanderbilt OVER 137.5 | Top | 67-58 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TULSA@VAN to go Over the total. The Vanderbilt Comodores come into tonight's home game against Tulsa averaging over 85 points per game on better than 51 percent shooting. They have gone over the total in all six games so far this season, and tonight's total seems a little low (on the wrong side of 140). Vandy isn't quite as impressive on defense, allowing opponents to average over 70 points per game. The Comodores have gone over in nine straight non-conference games, and the over is 5-0 in their last five home games. Tulsa has scored 72 or more in five of their six games so far. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-19 | San Francisco v. Hawaii OVER 147 | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SF@HAW to go Over the total. The San Francisco Dons are off to an impressive start to the season, winning seven straight games. Their 7-0 start has been helped by their potent offense, coming into Friday's game in Hawaii averaging over 86 points per game on better than 47 percent of shooting. The result has been a streak of overs in non conference games, and the Don's have now gone over in 8-STRAIGHT outside the WCC. They have also gone over the total in four straight versus Hawaii, and the over is 9-1-1 in Hawaii's last 11 versus teams from the WCC. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-19 | Mavs -120 v. Suns | Top | 120-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
10* |
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11-28-19 | Davidson v. Marquette -159 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Marquette. The Golden Eagles are off to a solid start, winning three of four games with a loss on the road at Wisconsin. They host the Davidson Wildcats in Orlando on Thanksgiving, and Davidson hasn't looked good at all so far. The Wildcats have lost three of five overall, and they have been just getting killed on the boards. They lost their last game to unranked Wake Forest, and they were out-rebounded 43-29 in the game. The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight non-conference games, and they just don't look like they currently have what it takes to compete with the bigger teams from the bigger conferences. Take MARQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-19 | Nets v. Celtics UNDER 225.5 | 110-121 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on BKN@BOS to go Under the total.
I had the under in the Celtics last game, and here is what I said prior to their 103-102 win over Sacramento: "The Celtics and the Kings are two teams that have been hit hard by injuries, and we should expect them to play a low scoring game here in Boston tonight. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in five straight, holding opponents to fewer than 98 points per game during that span. They have only won two of their last five games though, failing to average 100 points per game during that span. They will be playing a rematch in a home and home versus the Kings, after losing 100-99 in Sacramento last week. These two teams have gone under in five of the last seven head to head meetings, and the under is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings in Boston." Kemba might return tonight, but the number is a whopping 20 points higher than the closing total for the Sacramento game. I'll fade this inflated total. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-19 | St. Louis v. Boston College UNDER 132 | 64-54 | Win | 103 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on SLU@BC to go UNDER the total. Both the Saint Louis Bilikens and the Boston College Eagles are teams that focus on playing strong defense. That has been the theme in recent head to head meetings, failing to score a combined 115 points in any of the last three meetings. Saint Louis has failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 versus ACC teams, and they have gone under in five straight road games. The under is 8-3 in the Eagles last 11 home games. The Eagles have failed to reach the total in five of their last six versus teams from the A-10. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-19 | Clippers -135 v. Mavs | 114-99 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LAC. At first glance, you look at the Mavericks at 11-5 getting points at home against the 12-5 Clippers and you might be tempted to take the points. As Lee Corso would say: "not so fast". The more significant numbers are perhaps that the Clippers are 10-2 when Kawhi Leonard plays, and 5-1 when Paul George plays. When both play, they are still undefeated. The Clippers duo is still figuring things out, but they need to keep winning if they want to keep up with the Lakers. This young Dallas team has won five straight, and their last game was an upset win over the Rockets in Houston. These are the spots where we often see young teams suffer a let down. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-19 | Morehead State v. William & Mary OVER 139.5 | 84-95 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-23-19 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 223.5 | 119-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@ATL to go Over the total. The Atlanta Hawks have gone over (223.5) in eight straight games overall, and they allowed 76 points in the first half of a 128-103 loss at Detroit in their last game. The Raptors come into tonight's game as winners of six of their last eight overall, and they will be a seven point favorite here tonight. Toronto has scored an average of 120 points in thier last six wins. The over is 6-0 in the Hawks last six games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. I think Toronto will be content to play a wide open game, as long as they know they will get the better of it. We should see plenty of scoring here. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-19 | Rockets v. Clippers UNDER 227 | 119-122 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@LAC to go Under the total. The Rockets are coming off a 105-95 loss at Denver, and they have another tough game tonight in LA. They beat the Clippers 102-93 at home just last week, and LA will be looking for revenge. The Clippers rank among the top defensive teams in the NBA, while Houston has allowed opponents to average over 113 points per game (20th in the NBA). The Rockets defense has been much better lately though, allowing just over 103 points per game in their last nine overall. The lowest score during that span was their game against the Clippers. LA has gone under in eight of their last 10 home games and nine of their last 13 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-19 | Pelicans +6 v. Suns | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on New Orleans. |
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11-20-19 | Magic v. Raptors -175 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-19 | Suns v. Kings -123 | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings. The Phoenix Suns really missed PG Ricky Rubio, scoring just 85 points on 40.2 percent shooting in a home loss to the Celtics last night. They play their second game of a back to back on the road at Sacramento tonight, and the Kings have won five of their last seven. Sacramento has really turned up the heat on defense, holding four of their last six opponents to fewer than 100 points. The home team has won eight of the last 10 head to head meetings, and the Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-19 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 219.5 | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@UTAH to go Under the total. The Jazz rank 1st overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing just over 100 points per game. They have been even better at home, holding the Clippers, Bucks, Kings and Thunder to 100 points or less. Utah needs to play well defensively, because the Jazz only average 104.7 points per game (26th overall). The under is 8-1 in the Timberwolves last nine road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Jazz have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 15 overall, and the under is 6-2 in their last eight home games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Seton Hall v. St. Louis +7 | 83-66 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Saint Louis Bilikens. I bet on the Bilikens early this week, and here is what I said prior to their win over Eastern Washington: "The Bilikens have won 17 of their last 19 home games, and they are coming off double digit wins over Valparaiso and FGSU. They have gotten off to good starts in both those games, leading by 22 at halftime against FGSU and leading by 11 at halftime in their win over the Crusaders." They are getting points here at home versus Seton Hall, and I wouldn't be surprised if they win this game outright. Take SLU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Marquette +1 v. Wisconsin | 61-77 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-16-19 | USC v. Nevada +2.5 | 76-66 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. Nevada lost it's home opener to Utah, but has since won back to back games. They are hosting another PAC12 team tonight, and this time they will be an underdog versus USC. The Wolpack have four seniors in their starting lineup, and they should have an edge here at home against a USC team that is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Wolf Pack are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven versus PAC12 teams, and they are 40-19-3 ATS in their last 62 games following an ATS win. Take NEV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | Pelicans v. Heat -7 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. |
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11-16-19 | NC-Wilmington +17.5 v. Davidson | 49-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNCW. The Seahawks are 2-1, and they lost by 16-points to #9 ranked North Carolina. They will be a huge underdog here at Davidson, and I don't see any reason why the Wildcats should lay a bigger beating on them than the Tar Heels did. The Wildcats beat the Seahawks 91-85 last year, and they have won all five meetings since 2011. They are a bigger favorite in this game than they were in any of those previous five games. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | Tennessee v. Washington +1.5 | 75-62 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Huskies. The Huskies opened the season with an impressive win over #16 ranked Baylor in Alaska. They will be in Toronto on Saturday, taking on unranked Tennessee. Both teams are a little younger this year, but Vols coach Rick Barnes seems to think his team has a long way to go: "We felt going into this year, knowing we had these younger guys, that we had to challenge them as much as we could with this schedule," said Barnes. "Even if you get burnt somewhere along the way, you have to know that it will help us in the long run." The Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games, and they have failed to cover in four straight non-conference games. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-19 | Jazz v. Grizzlies OVER 214.5 | 106-107 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@MEM to go Over the total. The Jazz are the top defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 99.5 points per game this season. They have not been as sharp on the road, allowing over 100 points in each of their last three road games. The Grizzlies are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, allowing over 118 points per game. They come into tonight's game as a home underdog looking for a third straight win. The over is 7-3 in Grizzlies last 10 home games, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 227 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@PHX to go Over the total. The Atlanta Hawks are feeling good about themselves coming into tonight's game at Phoenix, coming off a 125-121 win over the Nuggets in Denver. Tre Young scored 42 points on 13-of-21 shooting in the victory. It was however the third consecutive game that the Hawks allowed their opponent to score 120+ points. Tonight they face a Suns team that ranks among the top teams in the league in scoring, but the Suns are also allowing opponents to average more than 110 points per game this season. The history tells us that these two teams have gone under in five straight meetings, and nine of the last 10 meetings. That history might be keeping tonight's number artificially low, as the last two time these two teams played they score at least 230 combined points, but failed to reach a much higher total. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-19 | Clippers -1 v. Pelicans | 127-132 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a Free NBA play on the LAC. |
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11-14-19 | Penn State v. Georgetown OVER 148.5 | 81-66 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PSU@GTWN to go Over the total. Georgetown is 2-0, and they come into tonight's home games Penn State averaging 85 points per game on 48.8 percent shooting. The Nittany Lions have scored their fair share as well, averaging 87.5 points on 48 percent shooting. Both teams are hitting better than 37 percent from beyond the arc, and that should lead to a high scorer here tonight. The Hoyas have seen the total at 150 or higher in each of their last nine games, and the over is 20-6 in the Hoyas last 26 games following an ATS loss. Their last game was an 88-79 win over Central Arkansas as a 22-point favorite. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-19 | Eastern Washington v. St. Louis -7.5 | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Saint Louis Bilikens. The Bilikens have won 17 of their last 19 home games, and they are coming off double digit wins over Valparaiso and FGSU. They have gotten off to good starts in both those games, leading by 22 at halftime against FGSU and leading by 11 at halftime in their win over the Crusaders. They host the Eastern Washington Eagles tonight, and the Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. The Eagles are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Billikens are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. This Saint Louis team is excellent defensively, and a home game against a team from an inferior conference should be an easy double digit win. Take SLU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-19 | Clippers v. Rockets | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Clippers. Both the Clippers and the Rockets are 7-3 overall, and the two team meet in Houston tonight. While these teams have the same record, the number that really matters is the number of games that the Clippers have won when Kawhi Leonard has played. They are 7-0 when he plays, and 0-3 when he doesn't. You better believe he's playing tonight, and that's bad news for James Harden and the Rockets. Houston is the highest scoring team in the NBA averaging over 120 points per game. What has been problematic for the Rockets is that they have allowed opponents to average over 118 points per game. The Clippers have owned the Rockets, covering the spread in six of the last eight meetings. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five in Houston. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-19 | Memphis v. Oregon OVER 145 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ORE@MEM to go Over the total. The Ducks are coming off a 106-75 win over Boise State, and they shot 70% from the field in that victory. The Tigers are coming off a pair of wins, scoring 90+ points in both games. The Ducks have scored an average of 88.5 points per game in their last five overall, while the Tigers have scored an average of 94.5 points per game during that span. I expect both these teams to score their fair share in a neutral site game this early in the season. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-19 | Raptors -130 v. Pelicans | 122-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 7* play on the Toronto Raptors.
I took Toronto in their home opener versus New Orleans, and this is what I said prior to tip off: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in a home opener against the short-handed Pelicans." The Raptors are 15-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings in New Orleans, and I have to like them to win this game outright. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-19 | Thunder v. Spurs -180 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Oklahoma City Thunder are 3-4, which is pretty solid for a team going through a rebuild. All three of those wins have come at home, and they are 0-2 on the road. The Spurs are 3-1 at home, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games versus the Thunder. The Thunder are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the home team has covered in each of the last five meetings. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Pop isn't happy with the way the Spurs have played on defense, and he should have his troops well prepared for this game against an inferior opponent. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 211.5 | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on PHI@UTAH to go Under the total. The Sixers are coming off their first loss of the season, and they might have trouble scoring here in Utah tonight. The Jazz are undefeated at home this season, and they rank first overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. They have allowed just 95.6 points per game this season, and they have been even tougher at home. Opponents have averaged just 90.6 points in Utah. The under is 5-0 in Utah's last five home games, and the under is 5-0 the Jazz last five games coming off a loss. These two teams have gone under in five straight meetings in Salt Lake City. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-19 | Heat v. Nuggets -4.5 | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Miami Heat come into Denver with a 5-1 record, sitting first in the Eastern Conference. They might be playing a little over their heads though, and it's important to point out that two of their five wins have come against the Atlanta Hawks. This is a tough spot for an Eastern Conference team, playing on the road at altitude in Denver. A lot of people might not realize that Denver had the best home record in the NBA last season, going 34-7 at the Pepsi Center. Denver has won four of the last five head to head meetings, and the Heat are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Denver. The Heat are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine versus the NBA Northwest. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-04-19 | Blazers -9.5 v. Warriors | 118-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
10* |
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11-02-19 | 76ers v. Blazers -119 | 129-128 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers. Philly comes into Portland with a perfect 4-0 record, thanks to what Brett Bown calls "bully ball defense" and "smashmouth offense". it's real," he said. "Every time we can, we like to point to an example, 'Yup, this is Philly hard. Yup, that thing had an edge.' This is real. There's a spirit amongst our team that's authentic. It is Philadelphia and life moves on. That's part of it." Joel Embiid has been a big part of Philly's success, averaging over 23 points and 10 rebounds per game. He's serving the first game of a two game suspension tonight, and his production will be missed. Portland has won six of the last nine meetings, and five straight at home during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-19 | Nuggets -175 v. Magic | 91-87 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. After losing at home to Dallas and then on the road at New Orleans, the Nuggets coach Mike Malone ripped his team. "We're a great talk team. We can talk before the season starts about all the things we want to accomplish, and we want to be a contending team," Malone said. "It's all bulls---. Don't tell me about it, show me. And right now we've got a lot of guys that aren't showing me much." This should be a focused team tonight in Orlando, and while the the Magic are able to compete with the majority of teams in the East, I don't fancy their chances against one of the best teams from the Western Conference. Denver is 6-0 straight up and 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings versus Orlando. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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10-28-19 | Magic v. Raptors -4.5 | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in tonight's game in Chicago with both teams playing the second game of a back to back. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-19 | Pelicans +11.5 v. Rockets | 123-126 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-26-19 | Raptors -142 v. Bulls | 108-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in tonight's game in Chicago with both teams playing the second game of a back to back. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-19 | Wizards v. Mavs -8.5 | 100-108 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers +3.5 | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Clippers. The Clippers were a playoff team last year and the Lakers were not. The Lakers are expected to be dramatically better with Anthony Davis, and so are the Clippers with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Lakers though are old, I don't like their depth, and I think it's inevitable that LeBron loses a step. The Clippers are shorthanded without Paul George, but the Lakers won't have Kyle Kuzma. Anthony Davis isn't 100 percent either, and I think this Lakers team is going to really struggle to live up to all the hype. My money is on Kawhi to become the NEW .. King of LA. Take KAWHI over LEBRON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-19 | Pelicans v. Raptors -6.5 | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in a home opener against the short-handed Pelicans. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-19 | Raptors +127 v. Warriors | Top | 114-110 | Win | 127 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. I have been riding Toronto the whole way, with pending bets on the Raptors to win the series and Kawhi to win MVP. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series." Now KD is gone and isn't coming back. Cousins and Klay Thompson are banged up, and Looney is hurt. Toronto is the better team at this point. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors -118 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -118 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Toronto. For all but the first 5-6 minutes of the third quarter in Game 2, the Raptors have completely dominated this series versus the Warriors. They appear to be younger, healthier, and depth has been a huge advantage. The Warriors are hoping to get KD back in Game 5, but I am not sure that it will be enough. Surely if KD isn't 100 percent healthy he could actually be a defensive liability. I have been riding Toronto the whole way, with pending bets on the Raptors to win the series and Kawhi to win MVP. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series." Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-07-19 | Raptors +170 v. Warriors | 105-92 | Win | 170 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Toronto Raptors. For all but the first 5-6 minutes of the third quarter in Game 2, the Raptors have completely dominated this series versus the Warriors. They appear to be younger, healthier, and depth has been a huge advantage. The Warriors are hoping to get Klay Thompson back in Game 4, but I am not sure that it will be enough. Surely if Klay isn't 100 percent healthy he could actually be a defensive liability. I have been riding Toronto the whole way, with pending bets on the Raptors to win the series and Kawhi to win MVP. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series." Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-05-19 | Raptors +5.5 v. Warriors | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 59 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Toronto heads to Oakland with the series tied 1-1, and they will be getting a handful of points as the underdog here in Game 3. The Raptors have been the better team, in all but six of minutes in the 3rd quarter of Game 2. They have dominated the first half of both the first two games so far, and I expect them to do it again in Oakland. The Warriors aren't a first half team, as they often wait until the third quarter before they really get going. They might struggle to do that tonight if Clay Thompson can't Play. Looney is out, and Cousins isn't 100 percent. Andre Iguodala has to he held together by duct tape. The 35 year old has battled injuries for the entire post-season, and he suffered an upper body injury in Game 2. Pascal Siakam should be better in Game 2, and as long as the Raptors stay out of foul trouble they should have a chance to win this game. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors -130 | 109-104 | Loss | -130 | 46 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the Raptors. I had Toronto in Game 1, and I have pending futures on Toronto to win the series, lead after three games, and Kawhi to win MVP. After Game 1 I was tempted to come back with Golden State and hedge my bets in Game 2, but I am sticking with the Raptors. Here is what I said before the series started: "There is a good reason why the Golden State Warriors are a 3-1 favorite to win the series, but a slight underdog in Game 1 in Toronto. The Warriors have had nine days off, and they could be caught a little flat footed here in Game 1. The Raptors are an excellent home team, with a record of 40-11. The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series." Even after losing Gake 1, I still don't think Steve Kerr and the Warriors are taking Toronto seriously. I expect to see a confident Toronto team come out hard in Game 2. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors +1 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 78 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is a good reason why the Golden State Warriors are a 3-1 favorite to win the series, but a slight underdog in Game 1 in Toronto. The Warriors have had nine days off, and they could be caught a little flat footed here in Game 1. The Raptors are an excellent home team, with a record of 40-11. The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 41 h 8 m | Show | |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -135 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 41 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6.5 | 105-99 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Give the Raptors a ton of credit for grinding out back to back wins at home to tie this series heading back to Milwaukee for Game 5. Those wins came at a cost though, as Kawhi Leonard and Kyle Lowry are banged up. Lowry has a hand injury that has really been bothering him, and Kawhi was visibly limping in Game 4. The Bucks are back home with their backs against the wall, and they will be desperate to get off to a good start in Game 5. The books blew the doors off in the first half of Game 3, leading by a score of 64-39. I expect a similar result here in Game 5. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors +2.5 | 102-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
I had the Raptors in the first half of Game 3, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Raptors got off to a good start in Game 1, leading 59-51 at halftime. They fell apart in the fourth quarter, losing by a final score of 108-100. They return home down 0-2, and they face a must win game as they try to get back into this series. The Bucks come into Game 3 in complete control, and it's tough to see them matching Toronto's intensity here in the first half of this game. The game plan for Milwaukee is likely to weather the storm early, try to keep the game close and steal one late (similar to Game 1)." I expect Toronto to build on their momentum coming off a double-OT win. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-20-19 | Warriors -146 v. Blazers | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. So the Blazers are coming off a heartbreaking loss in Game 3, and now they could get swept here tonight in Game 4. The only thing you can tell me they are playing for at this point is their pride. So while they might earn a bit of respect by avoiding a sweep, the reward for a victory tonight would be to get on a plane and go to Oakland, where they will surely be blown out in Game 5. Damian Lillard would be forced to play another elimination game with a sore hamstring and separated ribs. No NBA team has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit, and I can't see the Blazers having a lot left in the tank here tonight. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors -7.5 | 111-114 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Warriors. The Blazers had no answer for the Warriors in Game 1, especially Steph Curry. The two time MVP scored 36 points and hit nine three-pointers. Portland looked lost, and it appears the seven game series versus Denver took it's toll. Damian Lillard scored just 19 points on 4-of-12 shooting in Game 1, and he's now scored 22 or less in three of his last four games overall. He averaged less than 26 points per game during the regular season, but after a few heroic efforts in the first round versus Oklahoma City the bookmakers have set his points total at 26.5. The Blazers aren't saying anything about an apparent hamstring injury (he was seen grabbing the back of his leg and wincing in pain in Game 1) and I am sure he will continue to play through the pain. Kevin Durant might well be the most dominant scorer in the game, but the Warriors aren't bad without him. In fact in their last 29 games when Curry plays and Durant sits, the Warriors are a staggering 28-1. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 55 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Toronto Raptors are coming off a huge win in Game 7 on a buzzer beater by Kawhi Leonard. Raptors fans are in good spirits heading into the Eastern Conference Finals, but they could be in for a huge let down in Game 1. When you look at the fact that Toronto shot just 38.2 percent in Game 7, you have to think they are lucky to have advanced to the Conference Finals. The Bucks won three of four in the season series, and they have covered the spread in four of the last five meetings. Aside from Kawhi Leonard, the rest of Toronto's starters have really struggled offensively. Khris Middleton, Eric Bledsoe and the Bucks starters have all played well, especially at home. "They've got a lot of weapons," Lowry said. "They're pretty deep and they shoot the ball as well as anybody, and they've got the one-man fast break in Giannis and then they've got a point guard (Bledsoe) who's really, really good and physical. They've got George Hill coming off the bench and playing well." The Raptors won't compete in this series unless they play a lot better than they did against Philly. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-14-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | 94-116 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Blazers. The Bookmakers obviously aren't giving Portland much credit for winning a Game 7 at Denver where the Nuggets had the best home record in the league this season. They don't seem to mind that Kevin Durant won't play, DeMarcus Cousins is still out, and Steph Curry might not be at 100 percent (remember he dislocated his finger in Game 2 versus the Rockets). The Blazers earned a split in the season series, winning in overtime at Oracle Arena in December. The Warriors have failed to cover in four of their last five home games, and they didn't beat Houston by more than seven points in any of the six games in their previous series. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on POR@DEN to go Under. Winning a Game 7 on the road isn't easy, and for Portland they will be playing at altitude in Denver where the Nuggets owned the best home record in the NBA this season. Denver has won just two of their three home games in this series, suffering a let down in Game 2. They won by a whopping 26 points (124-98) in the last game at the Pepsi Center. The Trail Blazers are 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Denver, and they are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Conference Semifinals games. The Nuggets were up by 14 points at halftime in Game 7 versus the Spurs, and they held San Antonio to just 34 first half points. Both teams will likely be fighting extra hard on defense tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-09-19 | Raptors -125 v. 76ers | 101-112 | Loss | -125 | 31 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Raptors. I bet on Toronto to win this series, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Raptors were 3-1 against the Sixers during the regular season, but perhaps the most significant thing about the regular season series was that Kawhi Leonard didn't play in the one game that Philly won. The Sixers were 31-10 at home this season, but they had a losing record on the road. I am not convinced that this team is all that different that the team that lost in five games to Boston in last year's East Seminfinal. They lost all three games at Boston, and they lost Game 1 by 16 points. While they have since added Jimmy Butler, the health of Joel Embiid is in question. The Raptors on the other hand look a lot better with Kahwi Leonard and Marc Gasol than they did a year ago." The Rapors won Game 4 in Philly, and when their supporting cast shows up, they are by far the better team. With an ailing Embiid, the Sixers might be done. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -5.5 | 99-104 | Loss | -113 | 33 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Warriors. The Warriors couldn't make a shot to save their lives in either of the two games in Houston. Steph Curry was 6-of-23 from beyond the arc in Games 3-4, and Klay Thompson was 3-for-12. Still Game 3 was decided in overtime and Game 4 was decided by just four points. Surely the Rockets hopes are slim if they are relying on the Warriors poor shooting to continue. Kevin Durant leads all scorers in the plaoffs averaging over 35 points per game, and he's likely due for another epic performance. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -185 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 46 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Denver. The Nuggets seized all the momentum in this series with a gutsy win in Game 4. What was most impressive is how they responded to losing a 4 overtime thriller in Game 3. Watching the game it looked like Denver's depth was the difference. It doesn't have to be Nikola Jokic carrying the load when they can get 20+ points from the likes of Jamaal Murray, Paul Millsap or Will Barton. Here is what I said about Denver prior to Game 1: "Portland is coming off a shocking first round series win over Oklahoma State, but I think they are vulnerable to a let down here in Game 1 at Denver. The Blazers took full advantage of home court in round 1, winning all three of their home games. They will have to win on the road here if they want to get past Denver, and that's not going to be easy. The Nuggets had the best home record in the NBA in the regular season (34-7). Denver doesn't have the same problems that Oklahoma City has. Poor decision making by Russell Westbrook really cost the Thunder, and the Blazers can't count on the Nuggets beating themselves. The Blazers have lost six of the last seven head to head meetings versus Denver, and they have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five at the Pepsi Center." Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GSW@HOU to go Under the total. I had the under in Game 3, and after a low scoring first half it was bitter disappointment as they piled on the points in the third quarter and then eventually went to overtime. I don't think the Warriors have any interest in allowing the Rockets to tie this series, and they should step up the defensive intensity in the first half of Game 4. Here is what I said prior to Game 3: "Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -114 | 113-101 | Loss | -114 | 32 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston. After earning a split in the first two games in Milwaukee, everything seemed to go wrong for Boston in Game 3 of this series at home. They got in foul trouble, they couldn't stop Giannis. Antetokounmpo scored 16 of his 32 points on his 22 free throw attempts. As bad as it was for the Celtics, they still had a lead at halftime in Game 3. I expect a better game out of Boston here in Game 4. Here is what I said before this series started: "So the Bucks were the better team in the regular season, and because of that they are a significant favorite in this second round series versus Boston. Granted they have home court advantage, so laying a few points would make plenty of sense. Giving Boston 8+ points though seems absolutely illogical to me. The last time these teams played each other, Boston won by a score of 117-113. The last time Boston played at Milwaukee they lost by a score of 98-97. Kyrie Irving is a proven playoff performer with a championship ring, and this Celtics team has proven itself in the post-season. Milwaukee is coming off a four game sweep of Detroit, a subpar team who's best player (Blake Griffin) was injured. I don't think that helps them prepare for the challenge they will face here versus the Celtics." Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-05-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers -148 | 116-112 | Loss | -148 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Blazers. Playing four overtime periods in Game 3 is going to take it's toll on both teams, but coming out on the wrong end of such a game is likely to be devastating. I had Portland in Game 3, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Nuggets looked pretty good in Game 1 of this series (I had Denver). I changed it up in Game 2 and took the under, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Nuggets won Game 1 in a high scoring affair, with both teams shooting over 50 percent from the field. I expect them to see plenty of push back from the Blazers in Game 2, and I expect those numbers to go down. In four home games against the Spurs, Denver allowed an average of 95 points per game. The under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six Conference Semifinals games." The Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games versus teams with a winning home record." Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 215 | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 45 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@PHI to go Under the total. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 220 | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GSW@HOU to go Under the total. Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-03-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers -180 | 137-140 | Win | 100 | 46 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland. |
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05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 220 | 123-116 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIL@BOS to go Under the total. I bet on the Celtics to win this series, so I am happy with Boston coming home with a split. While the Bucks ran away with Game 2, it was actually a close game early. Boston had a five point lead after the first quarter, and they trailed by just four points at halftime. Expect Boston to bounce back, they have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games versus Milwaukee. The last two times Milwaukee played in a playoff game in Boston, they failed to score 100 points in each of those games. Here is what I said before Game 1: "So the Bucks were the better team in the regular season, and because of that they are a significant favorite in this second round series versus Boston. Granted they have home court advantage, so laying a few points would make plenty of sense. Giving Boston 8+ points though seems absolutely illogical to me. The last time these teams played each other, Boston won by a score of 117-113. The last time Boston played at Milwaukee they lost by a score of 98-97. Kyrie Irving is a proven playoff performer with a championship ring, and this Celtics team has proven itself in the post-season. Milwaukee is coming off a four game sweep of Detroit, a subpar team who's best player (Blake Griffin) was injured. I don't think that helps them prepare for the challenge they will face here versus the Celtics." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -128 | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -128 | 53 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Boston. I bet on the Celtics to win this series, so I am happy with Boston coming home with a split. While the Bucks ran away with Game 2, it was actually a close game early. Boston had a five point lead after the first quarter, and they trailed by just four points at halftime. Expect Boston to bounce back, they have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games versus Milwaukee. The last two times Milwaukee played in a playoff game in Boston, they failed to score 100 points in each of those games. Here is what I said before Game 1: "So the Bucks were the better team in the regular season, and because of that they are a significant favorite in this second round series versus Boston. Granted they have home court advantage, so laying a few points would make plenty of sense. Giving Boston 8+ points though seems absolutely illogical to me. The last time these teams played each other, Boston won by a score of 117-113. The last time Boston played at Milwaukee they lost by a score of 98-97. Kyrie Irving is a proven playoff performer with a championship ring, and this Celtics team has proven itself in the post-season. Milwaukee is coming off a four game sweep of Detroit, a subpar team who's best player (Blake Griffin) was injured. I don't think that helps them prepare for the challenge they will face here versus the Celtics." Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 217 | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@PHI to go Under the total. |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 220 | Top | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@DEN to go Under the total. The Nuggets won Game 1 in a high scoring affair, with both teams shooting over 50 percent from the field. I expect them to see plenty of push back from the Blazers in Game 2, and I expect those numbers to go down. In four home games against the Spurs, Denver allowed an average of 95 points per game. The under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six Conference Semifinals games. We've seen a lot of talk about the officiating in these playoffs, but the consensus from the league seems to be to let them play. I think the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated, and I'll fade the big number. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | Top | 109-115 | Push | 0 | 49 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. The Rockets delivered a detailed report on last year's WC Final, suggesting that the officials were biased in favor of Golden State. Most people see this for what it is, a rather classless position for a franchise who's star player has earned a living on cheap foul calls. Still the squeaky wheel often gets the grease, and Harden will likely get a call or two in his favor tonight. If there's one thing that conspiracy theorists know about NBA officiating, it's that the league loves to extend a series. The Rockets lost Game 1 last year and responded with a huge win in Game 2. The Warriors have been rather sloppy of late, losing two of their last three at home and failing to cover in four of their last five home games against the Rockets. I'll take the points. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | 102-123 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston. You don't want to overreact to the results of just one game, and just because Milwaukee lost Game 1 at home as the biggest favorite in the second round doesn't mean they can't win in Game 2. That being said, there is a difference between overreacting and failing to react at all. The results of Game 1 are not meaningless. Boston didn't just win, they didn't get lucky and steal the game. No sir, they dominated the game from start to finish, winning by a whopping 22 points. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "So the Bucks were the better team in the regular season, and because of that they are a significant favorite in this second round series versus Boston. Granted they have home court advantage, so laying a few points would make plenty of sense. Giving Boston 8+ points though seems absolutely illogical to me. The last time these teams played each other, Boston won by a score of 117-113. The last time Boston played at Milwaukee they lost by a score of 98-97. Kyrie Irving is a proven playoff performer with a championship ring, and this Celtics team has proven itself in the post-season. Milwaukee is coming off a four game sweep of Detroit, a subpar team who's best player (Blake Griffin) was injured. I don't think that helps them prepare for the challenge they will face here versus the Celtics." The bookmakers giving Boston +7.5 points in Game 2 tells me that they think the results of Game 1 are meaningless, and I disagree. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |