Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-02-24 | Raptors v. Rockets UNDER 227.5 | 106-135 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So immediately following the trade that sent RJ Barrett and Emanuel Quickly to Toronto in exchange for OJ Anunoby, we saw the Knicks games trend under and the Raptors games go over. Toronto is coming off a 118-107 win at Chicago, falling short of 227 despite shooting 52 percent from the field and 48 percent from beyond the arc. Barrett and Quickly didn't play, and they both remain questionable for Friday's game at Houston. I don't like the Raptors chances of shooting as hot as they did in Chicago. The under is 7-1 in the Raptors last eight overall, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in five of the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
02-02-24 | Ohio State v. Iowa -5 | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IOWA. These teams both rank near the bottom of the BIG10, but Iowa is still a tough nut to crack when they play at home. They are 9-3 at home, losing to Purdue, Maryland and Michigan. Their wins have all come by five or more points, beating Rutgers by nine and Nebraska by 18. Ohio State is 0-5 on the road, and they are coming off three straight double digit losses. They lost by 25 at Northwestern and by 14 at Nebraska in their last two road games. The Buckeyes are 1-6 straight up in their last seven, and all six losses came by 5+ points. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
02-01-24 | 76ers v. Jazz -175 | 127-124 | Loss | -175 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTAH. The Sixers come limping into Utah with a decimated lineup, and four of five starters are likely to miss this game. Joel Embiid appeared to aggravate his injured knee in a loss to the Warriors on Tuesday, and he didn't travel with the team after the game. The Jazz are 15-6 at home, and they are 9-1 in their last 10 at home. The Sixers have failed to cover in five of their last six overall, and they are 0-3 ATS in their last three at Utah. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
02-01-24 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska OVER 144.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OVER. The Badgers beat Nebraska at home by a score of 88-72 earlier this season, going way over the total of 144. The bookmakers haven't adjusted for this game at Nebraska, despite the fact that the Cornhuskers are one of the better offensive teams in the BIG10, and they have scored over 81 points per game at home in conference play. The Badgers have averaged just over 71 points per game on the road in conference play. Wisconsin ranks 1st in the BIG 10 in free throw percentage hitting over 77 percent of their attempts, while Nebraska ranks 3rd hitting better than 75 percent. This number looks like it should be a few points higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Florida v. Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 94-91 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on UK. The Gators lost at home to Kentucky earlier this season, so is this a revenge spot? I don't like the revenge angle here, as Kentucky is the far better team and Florida struggles on the road. The Gators have lost three of four road games this season, and they were 4-7 on the road last year. Kentucky is 9-1 SU in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they have covered in five straight and eight of the last 10 versus Florida. The Gators rank dead last in the SEC in opponent's scoring, and Kentucky ranks second in the conference in scoring averaging over 88 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Baylor v. UCF UNDER 140 | 77-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. While this might look like an easy game for a ranked Baylor team, let's dig a little deeper. The Central Florida Knights have held five of their last six opponents under 70 points. That includes a 65-60 home win over Kansas. They held BYU to just 63 in a home loss, and held West Virginia to 59 in a win in their most recent home game. Baylor on the other hand scored just 64 in an outright loss at Kansas State last week. Baylor has gone under in six of their last nine road games, and UCF has gone under in six of their last seven overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-30-24 | 76ers v. Warriors -185 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. So I had the Warriors at home versus LA on Saturday, and it was a soul crushing defeat. Watching the Lakers come back in the fourth quarter, aided by an enormous disparity in free throws (43-16). Golden State hit what appeared to be the game winning three-point shot in the final seconds, but perhaps fitting that the officials sent LeBron to the line to win the game as time expired. The Warriors have to be pissed, and we can expect them to come out like gang busters here against a thin Sixers lineup. Melton, Maxey and Embiid all sat out last night in Portland, and likely won't play tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-30-24 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -115 | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISS. So the Bulldogs have dominated this rivalry in recent seasons, but perhaps that just pours fuel on the fire adding motivation for the Rebels to win here as a home favorite in a rivarly game. The Rebels are 12-0 at home, and those wins include convincing victories over quality opponents like Florida and Arkansas. The Bulldogs are 0-4 on the road with losses to the likes of Florida and Georgia Tech. The Bulldogs rank dead last in the SEC in three-point shooting hitting just 27 percent of their attempts. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-30-24 | Lakers v. Hawks -185 | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ATL. I faded the Lakers last night, and here is what I said before the game: "So I had the Warriors at home versus LA on Saturday, and it was a soul crushing defeat. Watching the Lakers come back in the fourth quarter, aided by an enormous disparity in free throws (43-16). Golden State hit what appeared to be the game winning three-point shot in the final seconds, but perhaps fitting that the officials sent LeBron to the line to win the game as time expired. As much as it puts a bad taste in my mouth for betting on any future games involving LeBron and the Lakers, this just looks like a classic let down spot for LA. Not only did LeBron and AD each log 45+ minutes at Golden State, but tonight's game is the first leg of a back to back with a game at Atlanta tomorrow." I was surprised AD and LeBron played heavy minutes last night, and I wouldn't be surprised if LeBron sits out tonight. Either way, there are a lot of miles on those old legs, and this makes this game a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-29-24 | Lakers v. Rockets +1.5 | 119-135 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. So I had the Warriors at home versus LA on Saturday, and it was a soul crushing defeat. Watching the Lakers come back in the fourth quarter, aided by an enormous disparity in free throws (43-16). Golden State hit what appeared to be the game winning three-point shot in the final seconds, but perhaps fitting that the officials sent LeBron to the line to win the game as time expired. As much as it puts a bad taste in my mouth for betting on any future games involving LeBron and the Lakers, this just looks like a classic let down spot for LA. Not only did LeBron and AD each log 45+ minutes at Golden State, but tonight's game is the first leg of a back to back with a game at Atlanta tomorrow. The Rockets are healthy, and they have won three of their last four home meetings versus LA. I'll take the home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Ohio State v. Northwestern -140 | 58-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NW. The Buckeyes are winless on the road, while Northwestern is 10-1 at home. The Wildcats have beaten Purdue and Illinois on their home floor. Ohio State are 0-13 SU in their last 13 games on the road. While Northwestern is in a bit of a sandwich spot between Illinois and Purdue, they should do enough to rack up another win at home against a below average opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Lakers v. Warriors -130 | 145-144 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. The Warriors host the Lakers tonight, in a battle between perhaps the two most disappointing teams in the Western Conference. The Dubs are at least healthy, and well rested. History favors the home team as the visitors are 0-5 SU in the last five meetings. LA Lakers are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Golden State. This looks like a good spot to back the Dubs at home against an inferior opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-27-24 | NC State v. Syracuse -130 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CUSE. The Orange are 9-1 at home this season, and they have won five straight against NC State. They have covered the spread in four of those five games. The Wolfpack are coming off a 59-53 loss at Virginia, and their road wins have come against conference bottom feeders Louisville and Notre Dame. History favors the home team here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Minnesota v. Penn State -140 | 83-74 | Loss | -140 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PSU. The Gophers have lost three of four on the road, and they are at Penn State and the Nittany Lions are 8-2 at home. History favors the home team, as Penn State is 5-1 in the last six head to head meeting and 4-0 at home during that span. Their last home game was an 87-83 win over 1st place Wisconsin. Minnesota are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-26-24 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -140 | Top | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wisconsin. The Badgers as just a slight home favorite has me scratching my head here, but after digging a little deeper I think I can see why that is. Historically the home favorite has not been a good play in this series, as the road team is 6-0 straight up in the last six meetings. This is just one indicator, and the majority of the rest of the data still points me toward Whisky. The Badgers are 10-1 at home, while Sparty has lost three of four on the road. The Badgers are 7-1 in the BIG10, while Sparty is 4-4 with all four wins coming against teams with a losing record. Wisconsin ranks 1st in the BIG10 in free throw percentage (77%) while Sparty ranks 11th (70%). That right there could prove to be the difference in a close game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-26-24 | Suns -175 v. Pacers | 131-133 | Loss | -175 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHO. I had the Suns in their last game, and here is what I said prior to their win over Dallas: "The Suns got off to a slow start, but now that the BIG3 have had a chance to play together for some time, this team is surging. They come into Dallas as winners of six straight. This line looks about right if everyone is healthy, but with both Kyrie and Luka carrying a questionable tag as of Tuesday night, we could see money come in late on the Suns." Now they catch the Pacers in a let down spot after upsetting Philly last night. Haliburton is still sidelined by injury, and this will be the Pacers 4th game of the season playing on back to back nights. They lost two of the previous three, and both losses were blowouts. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Nuggets v. Knicks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 84-122 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Nuggets have failed to reach the total in three straight, and they rank dead last in the NBA in pace of play. The Knicks are right behind them, with both teams averaging roughly 100 possessions per game. The Knicks have been a different team since the trade with Toronto, and they have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games. These teams have gone under in four of the last six head to head meetings, and it doesn't look like the bookmakers have adjusted here with what looks like an inflated number. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Elon v. Campbell UNDER 142.5 | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Campbell Camels have played two home games in conference play, and neither team scored 70 points in either of those contests. Campbell is one of the slowest teams in country, ranking 339th out of 362 teams in pace of play. They average just 66 possessions per game, and Elon is also fairly slow averaging just 70 possessions per game. These teams have only met twice in the last five years, but both of those games went under the number and nobody reach the 70 point mark in either game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Colorado v. Washington +3.5 | Top | 98-81 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WASH. So Colorado might well be the better team here, but they have no business coming in to Seattle as a road favorite. The Huskies only home loss in conference play came by just two points versus Oregon. They beat Gonzaga in a home game outside of the PAC12. Colorado has lost all four road games so far this season, and has dropped four of their last five at Washington. This appears to be a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Suns -120 v. Mavs | 132-109 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHO. The Suns got off to a slow start, but now that the BIG3 have had a chance to play together for some time, this team is surging. They come into Dallas as winners of six straight. This line looks about right if everyone is healthy, but with both Kyrie and Luka carrying a questionable tag as of Tuesday night, we could see money come in late on the Suns. The Mavs have lost back to back games despite Luka scoring 33 in each loss. This looks like a tough spot for Dallas against a hot team. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Knicks v. Nets UNDER 225 | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Knicks are a completely different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from Toronto. They have won nine of 11 and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 10 overall. They have held opponents to roughly 100 points per game during that span. The Brooklyn Nets are trending in the opposite direction, losing 10 of 12. Brooklyn are 3-15-1 ATS in their last 19 games. I expect the Knicks to shut down the Nets, resulting in another low scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Florida State v. Syracuse -150 | 85-69 | Loss | -150 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CUSE. The Seminoles flipped a switch at the start of conference play, winning five straight games. They have since lost at home to Clemson, and they face another tough test here on the road at Syracuse. The Orange are 9-0 at home this season, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus FSU. The Orange are 12-1 SU in their last 13 versus teams not ranked in the Top 25. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Ohio State v. Nebraska -150 | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NEB. The Cornuskers are 12-1 at home, hosting an Ohio State squad that is 0-3 on the road. The Buckeyes lost 63-60 at Nebraska last year, and these two teams have since trended in opposite directions. This is a Nebraska team that has beaten #1 ranked Purdue at home, and followed up with a home win over Northwestern in their last game. Ohio State are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Nebraska, and has lost 12 straight on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-22-24 | Grizzlies v. Raptors -6.5 | 108-100 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Memphis Grizzlies are in rough shape since losing Ja Morant for the rest of the season. They come to Toronto as losers of six of their last seven, and it looks like Marcus Smart and Desmond Bane won't be traveling north of the border. It's possible that only one of the starting five will dress for tonight's game in Toronto. The Raptors are rebuilding, but they have done very well in the trade market getting several solid players in return for Pascal Siakam and OJ Anunoby. This is a game that should be tilted in favor of the home team. The Raptors have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, including the last two in Memphis. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-21-24 | Pacers v. Suns -5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHO. The Pacers have lost three of four, and they are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Portland Blazers. They could be down a few key players here in Phoenix tonight, and Pascal Siakam is still trying to figure out where he fits in. It takes time to gel, and that is evidenced by the fact that the Big Three in Phoenix is just starting to show what they can do. The Suns have won four straight, and Devin Booker dropped 52 on the Pelicans on Friday. This looks like a tough spot for a Pacers team that has lost six of nine versus the Western Conference this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Raptors v. Knicks UNDER 228 | 100-126 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I said this about the Knicks prior to their recent game: "The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span." They come off a 98-94 home loss to Orlando, and they followed that up with a 109-94 win over Houston. Now they play the Raptors who just dealt Pascal Siakam to Indiana. This should be another low scoring battle at MSG. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Richmond v. Davidson UNDER 137 | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Of the 362 Division 1 teams in the country, Davidson ranks 360th in pace of play averaging just 63.8 possessions per game. The Wildcats host Richmond Saturday, and these teams have failed to reach the total in back to back games the last two seasons. Richmond also plays at a slow pace, ranking 282nd nationally averaging 68.8 possessions per game. The Spiders are coming off a 63-61 win at Duquesne, and their previous road game was 58-56 win at Loyala Chicago. I expect both teams to score fewer than 70 points here GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Virginia Tech v. NC State -150 | 84-78 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NCST. The Wolfpack are 9-1 at home, coming off an 83-76 win over Wake Forest. They are 5-1 in the ACC, and they host the Virginia Tech Hokies Saturday. Virginia Tech comes in winless on the road with an 0-4 record, and they are 2-4 in the ACC. The Wolfpack have won and covered in three of the last four head to head meetings. Virginia Tech are 0-5 ATS in their last five games on the road, while North Carolina State are 18-2 SU in their last 20 games at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-19-24 | Hawks v. Heat -6 | 109-108 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on MIA. So this is the first game of a back to back for Atlanta, and Trey Young is questionable with an illness. That makes me think that this should be a throw away game, and rather than rush their star back before he's 100 percent, they should concentrate of tomorrow's home game against the Cavs. The last time Atlanta played back to back games they lost both by 20+ points. Miami has won and covered in both meetings this season, and they have won seven of the last nine, covering in five of those seven wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-18-24 | Western Kentucky v. New Mexico State -125 | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NMSU. While Western Kentucky comes into this game with a record of 13-4, their strength of schedule is questionable. According to TeamRank.com they rank 215th nationally in strength of schedule. New Mexico State on the hand has played New Mexico twice, losing by a bucket at home. They lost to Kentucky, Fresno State, Tulsa and Louisville. The Aggies are 7-1 at home, and they have covered the spread in five straight home games. Western Kentucky is 4-2 on the road so far, but they were 4-9 on the road last year. Give me the home team at a pickem! GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Maryland v. Northwestern -168 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NW. The Wildcats are 8-1 at home and one of those wins came in overtime against Purdue. They host Maryland tonight, and the Terps are struggling to score. Maryland ranks 13th in the BIG10 scoring just 71 points per game on 41 percent shooting. Maryland are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Rockets v. Knicks UNDER 220 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I said this about the Knicks prior to their last game: "The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span." They come off a 98-94 home loss to Orlando, and they now face a Houston team that they have owned in recent seasons. The Knicks have won seven straight in this series, and Houston has averaged just 100 points per game in the last six meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia -168 | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UVA. The Cavs are undefeated at home with a 9-0 record, and they have owned rivals Virginia Tech at home winning four straight home games in the series. Virginia Tech are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games on the road, and their last road game was a 77-74 loss at Florida State. They are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games against Virginia, and the Cavs have won 19 straight home games dating back to last season. Virginia are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Nebraska v. Rutgers -140 | 82-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on RUTG. Nebraska suffered a let down after upsetting Purdue at home, losing on the road at Iowa 94-76 in their last game. They have lost three of four on the road, and they face a tough test at Rutgers tonight. The Scarlett Knights are just 1-4 in the BIG10, but three of those four losses came on the road. They are 8-1 at home, with their only loss coming versus #24 ranked Illinois. Nebraska are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-16-24 | Iowa State v. BYU UNDER 142 | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Iowa State Cyclones are scoring just 62 points per game in the BIG12 so far, but they have held opponents to just 55 points per game. The BYU Cougars are scoring just 65 points per game in conference play, and they are allowing 70 points per game. We should see a defensive battle here in Provo and I wouldn't expect both these teams to reach 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-15-24 | Iowa v. Minnesota -130 | Top | 86-77 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MINN. The Gophers finished dead last in the BIG10 last year, but they are a far better team this season. Iowa on the other hand appears to be trending in the opposite direction. Coming off a big home win over Nebraska, this looks like a let down spot for a Hawkeyes team that is 0-4 on the road. The Gophers are 11-1 at home, and they are looking to bounce back from a road loss at Indiana. Minnesota are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games, and they have covered in nine straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-15-24 | Magic v. Knicks UNDER 222 | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span. The Magic rank 24th in the NBA in scoring, and they are 7th in opponent's scoring average. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in six straight meetings and eight of the last 10. The Magic are coming in off four consecutive unders. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-14-24 | Clippers -130 v. Wolves | 105-109 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. This is a huge game between the first place Minnesota Timberwolves and the 4th place Clippers. Whoever wins this game will be touted by the media as the best team in the NBA (in a snapshot of time). The Clippers come in as winners of eight of nine, and they have won 15 of their last 16 when Kawhi Leonard plays. I don't normally like backing road favorites, but I think this is such a high profile game and I truly believe that the Clippers may well be the creme of the crop in today's NBA when they have a healthy Kawhi Leonard. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-14-24 | Washington -1 v. UCLA | 61-73 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WASH. The UCLA Bruins have lost four straight, and eight of their last nine overall. During that span they scored an average of 52 points per game. They haven't given us any indication that they can turn things around, as it's tough to win games when you can't score. Washington comes in off a home win over Arizona State. Washington comes in scoring over 81 points per game on 47 percent shooting, while the Bruins rank dead last in the PAC12 shooting just 41 percent from the field and averaging 64 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-14-24 | Liberty v. Louisiana Tech -163 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LA-Tech. The Flames haven't received a warm welcome to Conference USA, losing their first two games in conference play to Jacksonville State and Western Kentucky. A road game at LA-Tech isn't a great spot to get back on track. The Bulldogs are 8-0 at home, and the Flames have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. The Bulldogs have an impressive resume, and what stands out perhaps more than their wins is that their losses in tough road games were all close games against mostly tough opponents. New Mexico State, Colorado State and Grand Canyon for example. Their only conference loss came by four points at first place Sam Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-13-24 | Alabama v. Mississippi State -125 | 82-74 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISST. The Crimson Tide are undefeated in conference play, but after a win over South Carolina at home, and a win at Vanderbilt, this will be their toughest test so far. Mississippi State is 6-1 at home, and the Bulldogs are coming off a home win over #5 ranked Tennessee. Alabama has failed to cover in four of their last five on the road and they are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine versus Mississippi State. The Bulldogs have covered in four of their last five home games against Alabama. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-13-24 | Knicks -7 v. Grizzlies | 106-94 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYK. The Grizzlies are coming off a nine point home loss to the Clippers last night, and they are just 3-14 at home this season. Playing the second game of a back to back with a thin lineup tonight, they might be looking at a double digit loss to the Knicks. New York has won five of six since acquiring OJ Anunoby, and they have been dominant defensively during that span. The Grizz have failed to cover in seven of their last eight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-13-24 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -140 | 75-71 | Loss | -140 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 3* on VT. The Hokies are undefeated at home, and they will be a small favorite here against Miami. Both teams are 2-2 in the ACC, and both these teams are winless on the road. Virginia Tech was just 2-10 on the road last year, but they were also 13-4 at home. The Canes have lost back to back games since beating Clemson at home, and they are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games in conference play. The Hokies are gunning for 10 straight home wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-12-24 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -5.5 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. The Nuggets are 15-4 at home, and they are 7-3 in the last 10 versus the Pelicans. Call this a revenge game after New Orleans won at home 115-110 in the last meeting in November. The Pelicans come in with three of their starters listed as questionable (Zion, CJ & Brandon Ingram). The Pelicans lost 134-116 in their last game at Denver, and we might be expecting another blowout here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-12-24 | Raptors v. Jazz -140 | 113-145 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTAH. The Raptors are coming off back to back losses in LA, and this looks like a tough spot for them on the road at Utah. The trade with the Knicks provided a spark, but that won't be the last deal before the deadline. We expect Pascal Siakam to be on his way out, and he likely won't play tonight. The Jazz have won six of their last seven versus Toronto, and they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. The Jazz will look for a seventh straight home win. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-11-24 | Knicks v. Mavs UNDER 234 | 124-128 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Knicks are a different team since the trade with the Raptors. New York is 5-0 since the trade, allowing opponents to average much less than 100 points per game during that span. The Raptors are also doing well since the trade, but they have gone over in all their games. It makes sense that after trading a pair of offensive minded players for an elite defender, this would be the result. These teams have gone under in seven of the last 10 meetings, and they haven't scored 234 points in regulation in any of the last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-11-24 | Stony Brook v. Towson UNDER 130.5 | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Towson Tigers rank 335th nationally in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. This is even slower than they played last season, and they host the Stonybrook Seawolves, who also play at a below average pace. When these two teams played last year the Tigers won 67-55, going under the total of 127. The total for tonight's game sits several points higher... and that's hard for me to justify. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-10-24 | Arkansas v. Georgia -150 | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UGA. |
|||||||
01-10-24 | Wizards v. Pacers -7.5 | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IND. How will the Pacers get on without Tyrese Haliburton? Well they should do just fine against a Wizards team that is 3-17 on the road. They came storming back to beat the Celtics at home in the second half without their leading scorer in their last game. Washington are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road, while the Pacers have won seven of their last eight. I expect Indiana to rally for another double digit win here at home against a bottom feeder. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-10-24 | East Carolina v. Temple UNDER 143 | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The East Carolina Pirates rank 301st nationally in pace of play, averaging just 68 possessions per game game. They are on the road tonight at Temple, and the Owls are coming off a 68-61 win over Wichita State. These teams have gone under in four of the last five meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-10-24 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 145 | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Clemson Tigers rank 233rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just over 70 possessions per game. They are coming off a 65-55 loss to North Carolina, and we might expect another low scoring game at Virginia Tech. The Tigers won the last meeting by a score of 51-50, and they have gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings. The total for tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-09-24 | Indiana v. Rutgers UNDER 140 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Rutgers is 8-2 SU in the last 10 head to head meetings versus Indiana, and they are 5-0 at home in those games. Neither team has scored 70 points in each of the last four meetings, and they have failed to reach 140 combined points in five straight meetings. Rutgers has failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Rutgers ranks 349th in scoring averaging just 68 points per game, but they are great defensively allowing just 64 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-09-24 | Rhode Island v. Davidson UNDER 140 | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 Div 1 teams, and none of them play slower than the Davidson Wildcats. Their average of 62 possessions per game ranks 362nd in the country. The Wildcats host Rhode Island, and these teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last 10 meetings. Only two of those games went over a combined 140 points, and one of those went to overtime. Davidson won the last meeting by a score 68-54, and we could see a similar score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-07-24 | Wolves -140 v. Mavs | 108-115 | Loss | -140 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The T-Wolves sit in first place in the Western Conference, and they come into Dallas with an 11-7 road record. The Mavs are banged up, and Luka Doncic did not play in a win over Portland on Friday. His status is still uncertain for tonight's game, but it appears unlikely he will be 100 percent. The Wolves have won five of the last six head to head, including both meetings at Dallas during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-07-24 | Maryland v. Minnesota -125 | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MINN. The Maryland Terrapins were just 2-9 on the road last year. One of those wins came at Minnesota though, and they have owned the Gophers. Maryland is 10-0 SU and 9-0-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Minnesota appears to have vastly improved, and they should have no trouble getting up for this game. The Gophers are 10-1 at home so far, and their win over Nebraska looks more impressive by the day. They come off a road win at Ann Arbor, and while Michigan doesn't look great that's still an impressive result for a team that finished last in the BIG10 a year ago. Maryland has lost two of three on the road, and they have scored an average of just 54 points in those games. Their road win at UCLA is looking less impressive by the day. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Knicks v. Wizards UNDER 239 | 121-105 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Throw out the previous numbers for the Knicks, since the trade this team is trending in a different direction. They gave up a couple of offensive players to acquire an elite defender, and in the three games Anunoby has played the Knicks have held opponents under 100 points per game. Washington has lost six of their last seven at home, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven versus the Knicks. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Boston College v. Georgia Tech -130 | Top | 95-87 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GT. The Yellow Jackets might not be the best team in the ACC, but they are one of the best teams when they play on their home court. This is evidenced by wins over Mississippi State and Duke, both ranked in the Top 25. Boston College has road wins over The Citadel and Vanderbilt, but this is a huge step up in class. History favors the home team, as Georgia Tech has won five straight versus the Eagles, covering the spread in all five of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Auburn v. Arkansas +3 | 83-51 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARK. Auburn comes into Arkansas as a favorite asked to cover points despite losing four of the last five meetings, and having not won at Arkansas in the last three seasons. The Razorbacks are 7-1 at home, including a win over Duke without their leading scorer. Even though they finished in the bottom half of the standings in the SEC last year, their home record of 14-3 was right up there with the top teams. Auburn has lost seven straight road games, and this looks like a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-06-24 | West Virginia v. Houston UNDER 135 | 55-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The West Virginia Mountaineers rank 268th nationally in pace of play, averaging 69 possessions per game. Houston ranks 342nd nationally, averaging just 66 possessions per game. The Mountaineers rank 353rd in scoring, averaging 68 points per game, and they face a Houston team that is allowing just 49 points per game. With both these teams playing so slow, it's hard to imagine that the Mountaineers can score 50 here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-05-24 | Heat v. Suns -165 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHX. The Heat have played well despite a the absence of Jimmy Buckets and Caleb Martin, but tonight's game in Phoenix looks like a tough spot. They've been in LA since New Years, and lord knows what a bunch of millionaires in their 20s get up to in LA. This is a final game of a West Coast road trip, and they are back home to host Houston on Monday. The Suns have struggled, but Bradley Beal has scored 20+ points in three straight games. Prior to KD sitting out the last two games, the Suns had won back to back games with their BIG3 intact. KD was able to practice on Thursday, and he should have an opportunity to play here on Friday. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-04-24 | North Texas v. Wichita State UNDER 132.5 | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The North Texas Mean Green are a defensive powerhouse, allowing 58.9 points per game on the season. They rank 354th nationally in pace of play averaging 66 possessions per game. They held St. Johns to 53 points, LSU to 66 points, and the last time they faced Wichita State they won 62-52. The Shockers are averaging over 75 points per game this season, but have failed to score 70 in four straight games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-04-24 | Campbell v. North Carolina A&T UNDER 142.5 | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Campbell Camels ranks 344th nationally in scoring, averaging just 68 points per game. They are strong defensively though, allowing opponents to average just 64 points per game. Campbell ranks 350th in pace of play, averaging fewer than 68 possessions per game. The last time these teams played, Campbell won by a score of 64-63 at home. The total in both games last year was listed 10+ points lower than the listed number for tonight's game. Tonight's total is higher than in any of Campbell's last 10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-03-24 | Clippers -140 v. Suns | 131-122 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Clippers are 12-2 in their last 14 overall, and they are 10-0 in their last 10 when Kawhi Leonard starts. Kawhi is healthy, but KD is not. Durant is expected to miss this game with a sore hamstring. The Clippers were 3-1 at Phoenix last season before Kawhi was injured, and he averaged averaged 34.5 points in the series versus Phoenix last year. The Suns are reeling, and Durant is rumored to be looking to leave. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-03-24 | Stanford v. UCLA UNDER 139 | 59-53 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The UCLA Bruins have struggled to score this season, ranking 368th in scoring averaging 67 points per game. Putting that in perspective there are only 362 Division 1 teams. UCLA has been pretty solid defensively though, allowing opponents to average just 62 points per game. Gonzaga, Ohio State, Villanova, Oregon, Oregon State and Maryland all failed to score 70 against UCLA. Stanford is coming off an upset win over Arizona, scoring 100 points in the victory. They only score 60 in a loss at San Diego State in their last road game. GL, Jesse Schule. |
|||||||
01-03-24 | Dayton v. Davidson UNDER 137.5 | 72-59 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 Division 1 teams, and 361 of them play at a faster pace than the Davidson Wildcats, who rank dead last in possessions per game. The Dayton Flyers are only slightly faster, ranking 355th in possessions per game. History tells us that these teams play low scoring games, with both meetings going under last season. The total for this game is seven points higher than it was in those two games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-02-24 | New Mexico v. Colorado State -165 | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on CSU. The Rams and the Lobos are 12-1, and both teams only loss came against St. Mary's. The Rams lost by three while the Lobos lost to the Gaels by double digits. Colorado State has a far better strength of schedule, with wins over #8 ranked Creighton, Colorado and Washington. The Rams are 6-2 in the last eight meetings versus New Mexico, and they are 5-0 in their last five home games versus the Lobos. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-02-24 | Magic v. Warriors -155 | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. The Warriors are a desperate team in need of a win, coming into this home game off three straight losses to Dallas, Miami and Denver. They had previously won five straight, and four of those wins came at home. The Magic actually won at Golden State last January, but the previous nine head to head meetings were all won by the home team. The Magic have lost nine of their last 10 at Golden State. The Warriors are 8-2 straight up in their last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-02-24 | Northwestern v. Illinois UNDER 143 | Top | 66-96 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Illinois comes in averaging over 82 points per game, but those numbers came in non-conference play. It's time to buckle up for the BIG10, and their one conference game came against Rutgers, winning by a score of 76-58. Terrance Shannon Jr. scored 23 points in that game, and he leads the team in scoring averaging almost 22 points per game. Nobody else averages 12 points per game, and Shannon is their best three-point shooter hitting better than 40 percent from beyond the arc. The kid is a great player, but he's got himself in some trouble with the law and he will be away from the team for the foreseeable future. The Wildcats lost by a score of 66-62 at Illinois in the most recent meeting between the two teams. The under is 6-0 in the last six meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in the last four meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-01-24 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 260 | 122-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. How high can an NBA total go? The Bucks and the Pacers are high flying offensive powerhouses, so it comes as no shocker that they have gone over in seven of the last eight meetings. We have yet to see a total as high as 260 though. Only four of the last seven meetings have gone over 260 combined points. These teams rank 1st and 2nd in the NBA in scoring, but both average well below 130 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Kings v. Grizzlies -114 | 123-92 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MEM. The Grizz have a terrible home record, just 2-11 on the season. They host the Sacramento Kings who are a pedestrian 7-7 on the road. When it comes to Memphis, you have to throw out all the numbers prior to the return of Ja Morant. The Grizz are 4-1 in the five games he's played, with the only loss coming on the road at the Clippers on Friday. The Grizzlies are 8-2 straight up in their last 10 versus the Kings, and they have won four of five home games during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Oakland v. Youngstown State -163 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -163 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on YSU. The Oakland Grizzlies travel to Youngstown coming off three straight losses on the road. They lost both meetings versus the Penguins last year, and they also lost at Youngstown in the 2022 season. The Penguins are 7-0 at home, and they are 2-0 in the Horizon. They crushed the Cleveland State Vikings by 25 points, and the Grizzlies last game was a loss at Cleveland State. This could be a blowout win for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Knicks v. Pacers -155 | 126-140 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IND. After winning back to back games on the road, the Pacers are back in Indy hosting the New York Knicks Saturday night. The Knicks are playing the second game of a back to back, coming off a loss to Orlando. Playing on back to back nights is always tough, but against the league leader in pace of play perhaps even tougher? The Pacers are 15-5 straight up in their last 20 home games versus the Knicks. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Raptors v. Pistons +4.5 | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. Have you heard of the Casey Curse? For those who don't know, the Raptors fired coach Casey after finishing first in the East, but losing to LeBron and the Cavs in the playoffs several years ago. The Raptors went on to win a championship with Nick Nurse, and Detroit hired coach Casey. The Pistons have long been the laughing stock of the league, but the one team that they could beat was Toronto. While Casey is no longer the Pistons coach, and the Raptors have won five straight meetings versus Detroit, the Pistons are still 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head to head. Both these teams look like they are tanking, but the Pistons are desperate to snap their historic losing streak. This looks like as good a spot as any for the Pistons to get a W. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-30-23 | UL - Lafayette v. Marshall -155 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MARSH. The Thundering Herd finished 2nd in the Sun Belt last season, tied with the Ragin Cajuns. They were 15-2 at home, and they have a pair of senior starters back from that team. The Ragin Cajuns have lost four of five one the road so far this season, and they were just 7-7 in road games last year. Louisiana-Lafayette are 1-7 SU in their last eight games on the road, while Marshall has won 12 of their last 16 in the Sun Belt. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-29-23 | Washington State v. Utah -6.5 | Top | 58-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Utah. Both these teams are 9-2, but Utah has more impressive wins. They won at St. Mary's and they beat #14 ranked BYU. The Utes are 6-0 at home, and they won by 14 in the most recent meeting versus WSU last January. Utah is 8-2 straight up, and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 versus the Cougars. This will be the first true road game for Washington State, and they were 4-8 on the road last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-28-23 | Heat v. Warriors -140 | 114-102 | Loss | -140 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Warriors. So the Heat got a home win over a shorthanded Philly team on Christmas Day, while the Warriors lost at Denver in a game that was highly controversial. The Dubs should bring it here at home after Steve Kerr railing against the officials after the loss to Denver. The Dubs have won eight in a row at home, and they are 4-1 in their last five home games against Miami. They have actually been a better team since the suspension of Draymond Green. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-28-23 | Portland State v. Eastern Washington -140 | Top | 57-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on EWU. So the 4-7 Eagles are a home favorite here against the 9-3 Vikings. I think this line is a product of these teams overall records, despite the fact that strength of schedule tells us that Eastern Washington is much better than their record would indicate. The Eagles losses came against five teams from the PAC12, and road games versus teams from the BIG12 and SEC. They have won 13 of their last 14 home games, and they have won seven straight head to head versus the Vikings. They are 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-27-23 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 226 | 129-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. You gotta have a big set to be betting unders in the NBA these days, but the Iceman has a pair, don't you worry about that. Houston ranks 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing 108 points per game. They lost at home last night to Indiana, in a game that they let get away from them. The Suns are also coming in off an ugly loss, and I am expecting both these teams to reign it in here as they look to bounce back. The last time Phoenix played at Houston they scored just 97 points. We might see both these teams bring it on defense tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-26-23 | Pacers v. Rockets -135 | 123-117 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Rockets are 12-2 at home, and nobody in the Western Conference has more wins. They rank 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. They host a Pacers team that is allergic to defense, ranking 29th in the NBA allowing 126 points per game. The Pacers have failed to cover in six of their last seven overall, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five versus teams from the Western Conference. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-25-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 334 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DENVER. The defending champs are 11-2 at home, and the Joker is still in a class of his own. While the mainstream media refuses to five Nikola Jokic the credit he is due, he continues to dominate everything in his path. The Warriors five game winning streak only puts them a game above .500, and four of those five wins came at home. Now they are on the road, and Steph Curry averages over 30 points per game at home, and just over 26 points per game on the road. The Warriors have lost four straight in this series, and they are 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-25-23 | Bucks v. Knicks UNDER 224.5 | 122-129 | Loss | -110 | 1341 h 56 m | Show | |
4* |
|||||||
12-24-23 | Nevada v. Georgia Tech OVER 139.5 | Top | 72-64 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. This number looks a little too low. Perhaps the bookmakers haven't fully adjusted for the fact that Georgia Tech is playing at a far faster pace than they did last year. Their average of over 72 possessions per game ranks among the faster teams in the country. Nevada is right behind them averaging just short of 72 points per game. Nevada comes in averaging over 79 points per game. The Yellow Jackets have averaged over 72 points per game, and they have allowed 71 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Grizzlies -115 v. Hawks | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MEM. The Grizzlies are a different team with Ja Morant in the lineup, and since he's back they have won back to back games. Morant scored 34 in his return to the lineup in a win at New Orleans, and then followed up with 20 points in a home win over the Pacers. The Hawks have a far better record on the road than they do at home, and they are playing the second game of a back to back after a loss at Miami last night. The Grizz have won three of their last four at Atlanta. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Texas-Arlington v. North Texas UNDER 131.5 | 52-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Mean Green rank 353rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just 65 possessions per game. They rank 360th in the nation in scoring, but they are holding opponents to an average of just 59.8 points per game. They are 4-0 in their last four versus Texas Arlington, and the Mavericks have averaged just 55 points per game during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-22-23 | Maryland v. UCLA UNDER 129.5 | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Bruins are slumping, losing four of their last five overall and scoring just 63.8 points per game during that span. UCLA ranks 309th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They host Maryland, and the Terps last road game was a 65-53 loss at Indiana. We should expect this game to be played at a snail's pace, and the score should reflect that. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-22-23 | Mavs v. Rockets -7.5 | 96-122 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Rockets are coming off a brutal home loss to the Hawks, but this looks like a nice bounce back spot against an undermanned Dallas team. The Mavs entire starting lineup is expected to be out due to injuries, and that includes leading scorer Luka Doncic. The Rockets are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and they rank 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-21-23 | Pacers v. Grizzlies -175 | 103-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MEM. Not going to deep into this one. Ja Morant just set the record for most points in a return to the lineup, and the Pacers are playing the second game of a back to back on the road off a big win. Bad spot for Pacers, good spot for Grizz. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-21-23 | USC Upstate v. Davidson UNDER 139 | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 251st in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They will be a heavy favorite versus USC Upstate, who only scored 53 points in their last game. Davidson is 6-0 at home, holding opponents to an average of 55 points in those games. Expect the Wildcats to shut down USC Upstate here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-20-23 | Celtics v. Kings -105 | 144-119 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. This looks like a huge let down spot for the Celtics, losing in overtime in a late game at Golden State last night. Now they play the second game of a back to back on the West Coast in a different time zone. Tatum and Brown each played 40+ minutes in the loss to the Warriors, and I would be shocked if they didn't get a lighter workload here in this spot. The Celtics have lost four of their last five versus teams from the Western Conference, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-20-23 | North Carolina -145 v. Oklahoma | Top | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. I will stop short of calling the Oklahoma Sooners a fraud, but I will caution not to read too much into a perfect 10-0 record. Keep in mind strength of schedule, and while they have beaten four Power Five teams, but Iowa, USC, Providence and Arkansas have all underachieved so far. The Tar Heels come off back to back losses to Kentucky and Connecticut, both of those teams look like legit contenders. I think Oklahoma gets exposed here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-20-23 | Clippers -155 v. Mavs | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. So the Clippers lost six in a row after the James Harden trade, but after Russell Westbrook offered to come off the bench, things started clicking. A few days before Christmas and the Clippers look like the best team in the NBA. They have won eight in a row, and they take on a Dallas team tonight that could be without three starters. The Clippers have won five of their last six on the road and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight versus Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-20-23 | Northwestern v. Arizona State UNDER 138.5 | 65-46 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Northwestern Wildcats will play Arizona State at a neutral site Wednesday, and we are expecting a low score here. The Wildcats rank 340th in pace of play, averaging just 66.8 possessions per game. The Sun Devils actually play at above average pace, yet rank 323rd in scoring, averaging less than 70 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-20-23 | Hawks v. Rockets -155 | 134-127 | Loss | -155 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Rockets are a Jeckyll and Hyde team at home and on the road. They are 11-1 at home, and just a short favorite against the Atlanta Hawks, who have a losing record on the road. The Hawks are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 overall, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight on the road. They are 4-8 straight up in their last 12 versus Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-19-23 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -6.5 | 115-113 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on N.O. The Grizzlies will get Ja Morant back tonight, and there is no doubt that Memphis will be a better team with his return. Don't expect that impact to be significant here in the second game of a back to back on the road at New Orleans. He hasn't played since the first round of last year's playoffs. Normally in a situation like this you expect to see a limited number of minutes in the first game back. The Pelicans are winners of four straight, and three of those four wins were blowouts. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-18-23 | Wolves v. Heat UNDER 219 | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So we go inside the numbers here and we find that both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. Minnesota ranks 2nd allowing less than 106 points per game. Both teams also rank in the bottom 10 in the NBA in pace of play, and Miami ranks 28th averaging just 100 possessions per game. These teams have gone under in three of four head to head meetings dating back to 2021. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Washington -175 v. Seattle University | 100-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WASH. The rivalry between these two Pacific Northwest schools has been very one-sided. The Huskies have won 10 straight head to head, covering the spread in four straight. Perhaps it could be considered a let down spot for the Huskies coming off a home win over Gonzaga. The Red Hawks play a couple of PAC12 teams in non-conference play every year. They are 0-9 straight up versus PAC12 teams since 2019. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Seton Hall v. Missouri -125 | 93-87 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIZZ. The Pirates are 6-4 overall, but 0-4 versus teams from teams from Power 5 conferences. They lost at home to Rutgers, at Baylor and at neutral sites versus USC and Iowa. The Missouri Tigers are coming off a 73-64 loss at Kansas, but they had previously won eight of 10. While it's not a home game for Missouri, playing in Kansas City should favor the Tigers. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Florida Atlantic -9 v. St Bonaventure | 64-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FAU. The Owls are off to an impressive 8-2 start to the season, and six of those eight wins came by double digits. Their last loss came at a neutral site versus Illinois, and the Illini shot over 63 percent from the field. Despite that the final score was relatively close (98-89). They are simply in a different class than this St. Bonnies squad, that faces a ranked team for the first time. The Bonnies lost by 17 to unranked Auburn. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-15-23 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State +15.5 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NMSU. The Lobos come into this rivalry game with a 9-1 record, and one of those wins was a 44-point blowout at home versus New Mexico State. They could be primed for a bit of a let down here in just their second road game of the season. We don't normally see blowouts in this rivalry, prior to this season the average margin of victory in the previous four head to head meetings was just four points. The Lobos have failed to cover in six of their last seven as a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-15-23 | Magic +6 v. Celtics | 111-128 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORL. The Celtics are undefeated at home this season, but this appears to be a tough spot for the home team. Boston is playing the second game of a back to back after winning back to back home games in a two game set versus Cleveland. History favors the visitors here, as the Magic are 6-0 ATS in the last six head to head meetings. What is really shocking, is that Orlando has won four straight outright in this series. GL, Jesse Schule |