Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-28-24 | Illinois +1.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
10* Illinois (SWEET 16 SIDE OF YEAR) It's the champs from the Big Ten and the Big 12 going head to head here and in this evenly matched contest, we're going to recommend that you grab as many points as you can. Illinois is back in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2005. On the year the Illini average 84.6 PPG, while conceding 73.4. Iowa State is back in the Sweet 16 for the second time in three years. It averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 61.2. Iowa State faces its stiffest test yet, and in our opinion, the Illini's efficient scoring will in the end prove to be too much for Iowa State to handle in this one; grab the points, the play is Illinois! AAA Sports |
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03-28-24 | Bucks v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) We think this is a great spot for the Pels to exact a little revenge vs. the Bucks. We're coming down the home stretch and teams are still jockeying for position. Milwuakee had its two-game win streak snapped in a 128-124 OT loss at home to the Lakers, and we think they'll have difficulty regrouping on the road here vs. this Western Conference opponent. Milwaukee returns home to face the Hawks after this, so we think the visitors get caught looking ahead. The Pels do indeed play with revenge after falling 141-117 at Milwaukee in January and note that New Orleans is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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03-28-24 | Cubs v. Rangers -113 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
8* play on the Rangers. We're basing our opening day picks on the pitching matchups and we feel this one definitely favors the home side. The Rangers are looking to defend their World Series title and they hand the ball to Nathan Eovaldi, who was 12-5 with a 3.63 ERA last year during the regular seqason and 5-0 with a 2.95 ERA in six outings in the playoffs. The Cubs turn to Justin Steele, who was 16-5 with a 3.05 ERA last year. We just like the champs to ride the wave of emotion here and think at this price, that it's simply TOO GOOD to turn down; lay the price, the play is indeed on Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-28-24 | Angels v. Orioles -176 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show | |
8* play on Baltimore. We're basing our opening day picks on the pitching matchups and we feel this one definitely favors the home side. The Angels have to move on from Shohei Ohtani, while the Orioles welcome a new ace in Corbin Burnes, who gets the Opening Day start. He allowed one unearned run over six innings in his final spring tune-up. Patrick Sandoval finished with a 7-13 mark with a 4.11 ERA last year. We think he'll struggle on the road, so lay the price with confidence on the Orioles! AAA Sports |
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03-27-24 | Lakers -4 v. Grizzlies | Top | 136-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) I like betting against teams that are playing the second game of a back-to-back when the situation makes sense, but this isn't one of those times. It's crunch time in the NBA right now and the Lakers are surging towards the finish line, as their big stars continue to light up the score board of late. LA is off a big 128-124 OT win at the Bucks last night. Previous to that they won 150-145 at home over the Pacers. AD had a big night last night, but expect The King to carry the load this evening. LA plays with revenge as well after an inexplicable 127-113 loss to the Grizz at home as four-point favs back in January, and note that the Lakers are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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03-27-24 | Senators v. Sabres -130 | 6-2 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
8* Sabres (DESTRUCTION) We think that Buffalo could/should in fact be a much larger favorite in this spot/matchup. True, the Sabres are just 17-17-0-1 at home this year, but the Senators are a poor 11-20-2-0 on the road. Ottawa has won two straight, but with a home game vs. Chicago tomorrow night, we're expecting it to get caught looking ahead here. The Sabres snapped a two-game slide with a 4-1 win over Calgary in their most recent matchup. The Sabres have a big advantage in net in this one and when you add up all of these situational factors working in favor of the home side, it does indeed make this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying; the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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03-27-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Norfolk State +1.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
10* Norfolk State (U OF THE U) This is the CIT Championship game and we like Norfolk State to figure out a way to come out on top. Purdue Fort Wayne averages 80.5 PPG this year, while allowing 71.5. The Mastadons though are ranked 408th in the country in rebounding. Norfolk State averages 74.5 PPG, but concedes just 67.6. They rebound a bit better at 315th in the country. They say "defense wins championships," and that saying could not be more apt in our opinion here in this Championship setting. While we clearly feel the outright win is possible, grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Norfolk State! AAA Sports |
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03-26-24 | Thunder v. Pelicans OVER 222 | Top | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Thunder/Pelicans (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to more of an offensive affair here in our opinion finally between the Thunder and Pelicans. Oklahoma City had its four-game win streak snapped in a listless 118-93 loss at Milwaukee last time out, but note that the Thunder have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. The Pels play with revenge after a 107-83 loss here to OKC back in January, and note that New Orleans has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 89 or fewer points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-26-24 | Bruins v. Panthers -120 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
10* Panthers (ATLANTIC DIV. GOM) We like Florida to build off its 4-1 win at Philadelphia, which saw it snap a four-game losing streak. It plays with revenge as well after falling 3-1 to the Bruins here at home in November. Boston has lost two straight and gets caught "looking ahead" to its game at Tampa tomorrow night; lay the price with confidence, the play is Florida! AAA Sports |
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03-26-24 | Georgia v. Ohio State -8.5 | Top | 79-77 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (NIT QUARTERFINAL GOY) We say that home field advantage will prove to be the difference-maker for Ohio State in hit matchup. The Buckeyes ae 13-3 at home all-time in the NIT. Ohio State is off the 81-73 victory over Virginia Tech. Georgia went to Wake Forest and hit 14 three-points in the upset 72-66 victory. Can anyone say "letdown spot" here? The Buckeyes guard the perimeter extremely well, especially at home. Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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03-25-24 | Suns v. Spurs +12.5 | Top | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
10* Spurs (DOG OF WEEK) This is a great "spot" bet on the Spurs. San Antonio will get a better chance at a better draft pick the more games it loses at this point, but there are still going to be some "spots" that it makes sense to wager on them, and this is one of those situations in our opinion. The Spurs just lost here 131-106 to the Suns, and note that SA is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 109 or fewer points in. The Suns have won three in a row, but with a game at Denver up next, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead," and add those two factors together and you invariably get "trap game!" This is a trap for the road favorite. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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03-25-24 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 225 | Top | 118-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Hawks. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive battle here on Monday night. The Celtics enter the final stretch of the regular season on top form, having won nine in a row. This is the opener of two straight here though, and we think Boston will control the pace of this one, and not allow the Hawks to play at an "up tempo." Boston has seen the total go "over" in three straight, but that's signficiant to note as the C's have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Atlanta is just 31-39, but it broke a two-game slide last time out with a convincing 132-91 win over Charlotte here. The Hawks have also seen the total soar "over" in three straight, but note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for the opening game of this mini two-game series to be a defensive one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-25-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne +5.5 v. Tarleton State | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
10* Purdue Fort Wayne (CIT GOY) Tarleton State is the favorite here, but note that it lost two of its last three games of the regular season. Purdue Fort Wayne won its CIT opener 77-75 on the road over Bowling Green, a 12-point half-time lead proving crucial in the end. The Mastodons average 80.8 PPG, while conceding 71.5. Jalen Jackson averages 16.2 PPG. Tarleton State cruised to an 86-59 win over Abiline Christian. The Mastodons are good on the road, 9-7 so far. Yes, Tarleton State is 13-3 at home, but we don't see the visitors going down without a fight, as this one is very evenly matched. Outright upset again for Purdue Fort Wayne?! Anything is possible, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Purdue Fort Wayne! AAA Sports |
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03-24-24 | Texas A&M v. Houston UNDER 134.5 | Top | 95-100 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Texas A&M/Houston (2ND RND. NCAA TOY) Both teams dominated in their opening round games behind tough defensive play, and we're expecting those trends to continue here. These two teams squared off on December 16h and Houston won 70-66. While we expect another competitive game here as well, we absolutely expect an even lower-scoring defensive "chess match" in this one. Texas A&M averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 71.2, while Houston averages 73.4 PPG, while allowing a nation-low 56.7. The first game in December went "over" the number, but this one has defensive battle written all over; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-24-24 | Jets v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jets/Capitals (ASSASSIN) Both sides have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring battle here in the Nation's capital finally on Sunday afternoon for a couple of different really good reasons. Winnipeg enters off B2B losses, including a 6-3 loss at the Isles just last night. They return home after this for a five-game homestand, so they'll have to be careful not to "look past" the Capitals today. Washington has won four of its last five, but off a 7-6 shootout win hee over Carolina last time out, we're expecting a much more defensive affair this time around. Washington has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after that high-scoring win, but note that the Capitals have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-24-24 | Colorado +4 v. Marquette | Top | 77-81 | Push | 0 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
10* Colorado (ASSASSIN) "Momentum" is a very real thing in sports, and the Buffs enter with a ton of it after winning the first two games of the tournament to reach the round of 32. Marquette got the better of Boise State 87-69, but the Broncos were one of the other teams that had to play in the FIRST FOUR and which were clearly much more tired. Fatigue is an issue for both sides now equally in our estimation. Colorado has the edge in the middle anchored by 6-11 265-pound senior center Eddie Lampkin Jr. We feel an outright win is possible, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Colorado! AAA Sports |
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03-23-24 | Oregon v. Creighton -5 | Top | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* Creighton (DESTRUCTION) Oregon got by SOuth Carolina, but we're expecting it to have its hands full here with Greg McDermott's Blue Jays. Creighton made the Elite Eight last year and its experiece at this time of year will prove invaluable. The Blue Jays are 8-2 ATS overall in their last ten and their "lights out" three-point shooting will be too much for the Ducks and Dana Altman to keep up to in the Round of 32; lay the points, the play is indeed on Creighton! AAA Sports |
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03-23-24 | Celtics v. Bulls UNDER 222 | Top | 124-113 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Bulls (ULTIMATE TOP) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with some strong supporting trends points to this one being a lot more of a defensive battle than what this O/U line is suggesting. The C's have won eight straight after their 129-102 win at Detroit just last night. They continue their road trip after this with back-to-back games at Atlanta. Overall its a favorable part of the schedule for the Celtics. But Chicago plays with revenge after a 129-112 loss to Boston back in February here, and note that the Bulls have seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-23-24 | Texas +6.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
10* Texas (2ND RND SIDE OF YEAR) Texas may not win this game, but it won't be going down without a fight and because of that, we're indeed expecting an all out battle until the final horn and we'll be grabbing the points. Texas went on to demolish Colorado State in its opening round by a score of 56-44 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Vols went to to demolish Saint Peter's, but we just don't see Rick Barnes team being able to cover this larger spread. The Vols are perennial underachiever, and all signs point to that continuing; grab the points, the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-23-24 | New York City FC v. FC Cincinnati -110 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
10* FC Cincinnati (MLS GOW) NYCFC is in 12th and ripe for the picking in our estimation. It managed a 2-1 win over Toronto FC last weekend, but we definitely feel that it's in over it's head here in this difficult away venue. FC Cincinnati is in third place and off a 2-1 win over a tough New England Revolution side. NYCFC has won only one away competition across all competitions over its last 22 tries and we absolutely don't expect that string of futility to end this weekend. Home field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in our opinion; the play is indeed on FC Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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03-23-24 | Bradley v. Cincinnati -5 | Top | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (ASSASSIN) We feel that Bradley will be overmatched here finally on the road here in this difficult road venue. The Braves are off the 74-62 win over Loyola Chicago to advanced, while the Bearcats held on for the 73-72 OT win over San Francisco. Off that "near disaster," expect the home side to come out razor sharp right from the "get go" this time around. Overall Bradley averages 74.6 PPG, while the Bearcats average 74.6. The NIT is unique in that the early rounds are played at the home teams home arena, and now at this point in the tournament, we say that really does matter. Look for Cincinnati's defense to step up here and to also help in delivering the goods for us ATS; lay the points, the play is Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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03-22-24 | Pelicans +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 111-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (SIDE $HOCKER) Here's a great spot for New Orleans to bounce back in in our opinion. The Pels are 22-14 on the road still despite last night's 121-106 loss at Orlando. New Orleans was never really in it. Perhaps it got caught looking ahead to this one?! Previous to that the Pelicans had won three straight. They play with the added incentive of revenge here though after falling 106-95 at home to the Heat, a result that's significant to note as New Orleans is in fact 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. Miami is 17-15 at home, and it returns to South Beach after a 3-1 road trip, ending with 107-104 upset win at Cleveland. With the Cavaliers coming to town on Sunday, not only does this set up as a potential "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a potential "look-ahead" position as well. Add those two factors together and you have a potential "trap" game here for Miami. While we clearly feel an outright victory is in the realm of possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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03-22-24 | College of Charleston v. Alabama UNDER 173.5 | Top | 96-109 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
10* Charleston/Alabama UNDER (NCAA FIRST RND TOY) The 27-7 Charleston Cougars are going for their 13th consecutive win, but to do that the 13th seed will have to get by the No. 4 sedd in 21-11 Alabama. The Cougars did win the CAA in beating Stony Brook 82-79, but they didn't cover the 10.5-point spread. The Tide finished fifth in the SEC and lost to the Gators by a score of 102-88 in the quarterfinals of the Conference Tournament. If we delve a little closer into Charleston's numbers though, we find that it finished 88th overall, with a strength of schedule that was ranked 226th in the country. The Tide's weakness this year was their play on the defensive end, but they catch a break here in our estimation. We're expecting a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-22-24 | Colgate +14 v. Baylor | Top | 67-92 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
10* Colgate (BLOCKBUSTER) Outright victory?! We're not calling for that, but we do expect the 25-9 Colgate Red Raiders to give the 23-10 Baylor Bears everything they can handle. The Red Raiders won the Patriot League, while Baylor came in third in the Big 12. Colgate makes its fourth straight NCAA appearance. The Red Raiders are tenth overall in scoring defense this year as well. The Bears are 28th in the country in scoring. So it's strength vs. strength. The problem is, Baylor doesn't play defense, ranked 134th in the nation. No outright here, but closer than expected: grab the points, the play is Colgate! AAA Sports |
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03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State OVER 137.5 | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -112 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER Drake/Washington State. We're expecting a wide-open shootout here between No. 10 seed Drake and No. 7 seed Washington State. These teams matchup well. It won't be a cake-walk for Washington State. Both have "played down" at times to the level of their competition, but they've also stepped up their against tougher opponents, as evidenced by their winning seasonal records in Quad 1 games. Washington State has a tough defense, but Drake will be pushing the pace. Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-21-24 | Bulls v. Rockets UNDER 219 | Top | 117-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bulls/Rockets (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting this non-conference game to be less-intense offensively. Chicago is 34-35 overall, but just 16-18 on the road, while Houston is 33-35 overall, but 23-11 at home. The Bulls are off two straight wins after holding on for the 110-107 victory over Portland. Chicago has seen the total go "over" in five straight, but that's significant to note here as the Bulls have in fact seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Houston plays with revenge here after falling 124-119 in OT at Chicago back in January, and note that the Rockets have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Rockets have won six straight. They've seen the total go "over" in three straight after beating Washington 137-114, but note that Houston has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for the rematch to be a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-21-24 | South Dakota State v. Iowa State -16 | Top | 65-82 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
10* Iowa State (NCAA FIRST RND. GOY) We have the No. 15 seed South Dakota State (22-12), facing off against the No. 2 seed Iowa State (27-7), and in our opinion, this large spread isn't NEARLY large enough! South Dakota State was the best team in the Summit League all year and it beat Denver in the Conference Championship game, while Iowa State finished second in the Big 12 regular season, but then shocked everyone with the outright win over Houston in the Big 12 Championship. The Jackrabbits are making their third consecutive NCAA trip, but this is still going to be a super difficult matchup problem for them in our estimation. Overall South Dakota State averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 71.6, while the Cyclones average 75.6 PPG, while conceding just 61.3 (second in the nation in steals!) The Cyclones have plenty of offensive depth as well with four players averaging double-figures in scoring. Look for the Cyclones to pull away for not only the win, but the comfortable ATS cover as well! AAA Sports |
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03-21-24 | Blues v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Blues/Senators (NON-CONF TOW) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair here between the Blues and Senators on Thursday night. Just a great overall "situational" play and as primarily situational cappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. St. Louis had its four-game win streak come to an end in a 4-3 loss at Colorado last time out. It has a difficult schedule ahead, with games at Minnesota, followed by a home contest vs. Vegas, so it'll have to be careful not to look past the Senators, who they beat 4-2 at home back in December. The Sens enter off B2B high-scoring losses, but are now slightly favored here in this position. Ottawa will be doubling-down defensively here after alling 13 goals over its last two losses and when taking into account the other situational information listed above, all signs do point to this being a defensive affair, not a high-scoring shootout in my opinion; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-21-24 | Michigan State -1 v. Mississippi State | Top | 69-51 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (BLOCKBUSTER) This should be a tight, lower-scoring game for most of the game, but then we're expecting Michigan State to pull away for the comfortable win and cover. The Spartans are ranked ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency, conceding just 93.7 points per 100 possessions. Mississippi State is ranked 18th. These teams both lost in their conference tournaments, but covered in their respective setbacks. The Bulldogs though are going to struggle to score here with their 62nd ranked offense in terms of effiency (113.6 points per 100 possessions.) The Spartans have the edge in several different categories (defense, guard play and coaching just to start!), and when you add it all up, I smell an ATS rout; lay the short points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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03-20-24 | Colorado v. Boise State +2.5 | Top | 60-53 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 8 m | Show |
10* Boise State (BLOCKBUSTER) Colorado's eight-game win streak came to an end in its 75-68 loss to Oregon in the Pac 12 Tournament Title game, and we think it'll have a hard time finding that wining momentum here in this "tricky" matchup with Boise State. Boise State lost in its opening game of its conference tournament, but the Broncos had several big wins that pushed their resume over the top, including a non-conference win over Saint Mary's, while also going 2-1 over their last three vs. teams that are now in the NCAA Tournament. The Mountain West was incredibly competitive this year, as evidenced by the six teams in the NCAA Tournament. The Buffs struggled away from friendly confines this year, and all signs point to that continuing here vs. this tough Broncos side; grab the points, the play is Boise State! AAA Sports |
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03-20-24 | San Francisco v. Cincinnati -5.5 | Top | 72-73 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (NIT OPENING RND GOY) The Dons have lost three straight on the road, and we think they'll struggle here in this difficult away venue as well on Wednesday night. The Dons average 77.9 PPG, while conceding 66.3, while Cincinnati averages 74.6, while allowing 67.9. San Francisco was 6-5 on the road, but the Bearcats were 14-5 at home. The Dons lost 89-77 to Gonzaga in the conference tournament, while the Bearcats lost 68-56 to Baylor. Regardless, the home floor advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one in our opinion; lay the points, the play is Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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03-20-24 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Leafs/Capitals (EASTERN CONFERENCE NON-DIVISIONAL TOY) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring affair here on Wednesday in our opinion finally. Toronto is 20-8 on the road, but it's off back-to-back losses, including a 4-3 setback at Philly just last night. Note that TO has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row though. Washington has been playing well of late, returning hoe from a five-game Western road-swing by going 3-2 overall, including winning the final three games. Note though that the Caps have interestingly seen the total dip below the posted number in three of their last four after three or more straight victories in a row. Expect these Eastern conference opponents to battle to a classic lower-scoring battle here; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-20-24 | Heat +2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10* Heat (EAST-CONF NON-DIV GOY) In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. That said, we do like Miami to win this one outright and to avenge an earlier 111-99 home loss to the Cavaliers back in early December (note that Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in as well.) Off a 98-91 loss at Philadelphia, look for the Heat to regroup here in Cleveland. The Cavs have been trading wins/losses over their last four games and off a 108-103 road win at Indiana, we're expecting this pattern to continue. These teams will play in Miami this weekend again, but we're expecting the revenge-minded Heat to be the ones to send the early message; grab the points, the play is indeed on Miami! AAA Sports |
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03-20-24 | Grambling State v. Montana State OVER 134.5 | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 52 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Grambling/Montanta State. Two teams looking to advance past the First Four collide on Wednesday night and in our opinion, everything points to a wide-open and much higher-scoring affair than what this O/U line is suggesting. Both 16 seeds. Grambling State finally got past Texas Southern in the SWAC, avenging two-straight losses in the Conference Tourney Championship Game, while Montana State rode some hot 3-point shooting to win its final four games to win the Big Sky Conference Tournament and earn a third-straight NCAA Tournament bid. Coming into the regular season finale they were just 13-17. Momentum is a very real thing and it's a factor in which the oddsmakers often have a difficult time properly quantifying into a line, and that's the case here. Look for each side to push the pace and then look for this total to fly "over" the number before the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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03-19-24 | Colorado State -2 v. Virginia | Top | 67-42 | Win | 100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
10* Colorado State (FIRST FOUR GOY) The Rams and Cavaliers both lost in their conference tournaments, but they enter the First Four as the No. 10 seeds, with a date vs. No. 7 Texas for the winner. Virginia has a fantastic defense, which is ranked seventh in overall adjusted defensive efficiency. But note that the Cavaliers have conceded 60 or more points in four out of their last five games. And Colorado State featured a top-50 offensive unit this year that has scored 60 or more in nine straight and in 32 of 34 overall this season. We think Colorado State matches up well here and will find a way to win and cover once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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03-19-24 | Minnesota +3.5 v. Butler | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* Gophers (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Minnesota averages 75.4 PPG, while allowing 71.8. Dawson Garcia is a matchup issue for most teams, as he averages 17.7 points per game. The Bulldogs have a great record against non-conference teams at Hinkle Fieldhouse, but the Gophers have won their last five NIT Tournament games. Butler averages 73.3 PPG, while allowing 73.7. The Bulldogs defense hasn't been up to par of late and the Gophers' superior offense gives them a legit shot at winning this one outright; that said, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-19-24 | Rockets v. Wizards UNDER 228.5 | Top | 137-114 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rockets/Wizards (ASSASSIN) The Rockets are playing their best basketball of the season right nbow. They've won five straight and seven of their last eight. Note though that Houston has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 11 after five or more SU victories in a row. The Wizards play with revenge after a 135-119 loss at Houston just last week, and note that Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Wizards have lost four straight SU/ATS, and they've seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that Washington has also seen the total go "under" in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. While their last matchup last week flew "over" the number, all signs point to more of a defensive affair this time around in the Nation's capital; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-19-24 | Blue Jackets v. Red Wings -163 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
10* Red Wings (DESTRUCTION) The overwhelming situational factors working in favor of a really desperate and hungry Detroit side makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying. Columbus is off a 6-1 home loss to Winnipeg and has a tough continuing road trip after this at Colorado, Vegas, Arizona and Pittsburgh. The Wings have lost eight of their last nine. One night after snapping their seven game skid with a 4-1 victory over Buffalo, they then lost 6-3 at Pittsburgh. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as the Jackets are just 10-16-5-1 away from home. Lay the price with confidence, the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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03-19-24 | Wagner v. Howard OVER 127.5 | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Wagner/Howard (TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER) The winner of this one will have the unenviable matchup of UNC right after, but regardless, these two hopeful 16 seeds have nothing to lose and we're definitely expecting a faster pace. Both teams managed to come together at the right time and win their conference tournaments. The Bisons though have one of the worst defenses in the nation and are notorious in turning the ball over (21.7% of possessions.) With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-18-24 | Sabres v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* OVER Sabres/Kraken (NON-CONF TOW) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting this non-conference affair to be much more wide open. Buffalo is 15-14-4-0 on the road, while Seattle is 14-14-5-1 at home. The Sabres are off the 4-1 loss at Detroit, snapping a three-game win streak. They lost 5-2 to Seattle at home back on January 9th, and note that Buffalo has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Seattle enters off four straight losses. It can't afford to look past anyone right now. Now sixth in the Pacific at 28-26, and with a tricky two-game road trip after this starting in Vegas, we're expecting the home side to put an emphasis on pushing the pace. Overall, this one sets up well from a variety of different angles to soar "over" this posted number! AAA Sports |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 149 | Top | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wisconsin/Illinois (BIG TEN TOURNEY CHAMPIONSHIP) These teams have played to some high-scoring games to reach the Championship game, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair with everything on the line here. Wisconsin managed to knock off No. 1 seed Purdue to reach this for this game for the first time since 2016/17, while Illinois beat Nebraska. These teams did have one game in the regular season, and it was a high-scoring one in the Illini's 91-83 victory, but note that Wisconsin has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. This number is now a little bit TOO high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-17-24 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 214.5 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Pistons (TOTAL ASSASSIN) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a shootout finally here in Detroit on Sunday afternoon in our opinion. Miami broke a four-game slide here at Detroit two days ago with a 108-95 win. We're expecting the Heat to keep the foot on the gas here to try and secure a second straight victory. The only difference we see this time around though is the Pistons being a lot more competitive until the end. Also not, Detroit has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace from start to finish like we suspect, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-17-24 | Islanders v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Isles/Rangers. These teams both played to high-scoring games just yesterday, so we don't need to overanlayze this pick on the second day of the back-to-back for each. Each will be tired and we're expecting these New York rivals to double down on the defensive end. The Isles fell 4-3 in OT to Ottawa, allowing three unanswered goals at the end. They've lost three in a row. Note that the Isles have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Rangers have won four of their last five after yesterday's big 7-4 win at the Penguins. Now back at home after a successful road trip, eveything points to a very defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-16-24 | San Jose v. Sporting KC -135 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 79 h 10 m | Show |
10* Sporting Kansas City (MLS GOW) Neither team have been great, but here's a great opportunity for Sporting KC. It's 0-0-3 so far, so it won't be lacking for motivation here as it goes for its first outright win, which we predict it will earn. San Jose has lost all three of its games so far. Despite only scoring two goals, Sporting KC has looked better defensively of these two clubs as well. This is essentially a "must win" game (despite it being just the fourth of the season!) for the home side and we're expecting it to play like it; lay the price for KC to get the job done in regulation! AAA Sports |
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03-16-24 | Tottenham Hotspur +107 v. Fulham | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 72 h 27 m | Show |
10* Tottenham (EPL GOW) Fulham is off a 2-1 loss to Wolverhampton and we think it'll stumble here on Saturday afternoon at home in the London derby. Tottenham is on top form, off a 3-1 win over Crystal Palace, followed by a 4-0 win over Aston Villa. This is just a bad matchup for Fulham, which fell 2-0 at Tottenham in the reverse-fixture in the summer. Lay the price for the Spurs to keep this momentum rolling! AAA Sports |
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03-16-24 | Senators v. Islanders -154 | 4-3 | Loss | -154 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
8* Islanders (SITUATIONAL ASSASSIN) We feel this is a great spot for the Islanders. Ottawa is off back-to-back extra period victories, but it's still just 9-19-2-0 on the road. The Islanders come in desperate now to snap a two-game slide, and they remain 15-8-6-3 at home. After back-to-back scoreless road losses, look for the Isles to risk life and limb to get back into the win column today and lay this price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | San Diego State v. Utah State UNDER 137 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER SDSU/Utah State. Quick turn-arounds in these tournaments means that finding edges and angles wherever you can to exploit is the key to success, and as primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. SDSU finished 23-9, while Utah State was 27-5. They're pretty evenly matched. They split their regular season series 1-1 this year. But after each played to overtime yesterday, to advance to this contest, we're absolutely expecting each team to be fatigued here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Look for each to double down defensively after their difficult high-scoring contest yesterday; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 216 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Pistons (EAST-CONF NON-DIV TOM) Here's a great "situational" play in our opinion. Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a wide-open offensive affair here. Miami will be super pumped here to stop a four-game slide, most recently a 100-88 loss at home to Denver. That result though is important for us betting the "over" here for TWO reasons, the first in that Miami has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last ten off a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 89 or fewer points in, and secondly the Heat have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four as well after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This is the start of two straight here and we're expecting each side to push the pace in this first one. Detroit is arguably playing its best basketball of the season right now by winning three of its last four. This number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina UNDER 147.5 | Top | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pitt/UNC (ACC TOURNEY TOY) Pitt beat Wake Forest 81-69 to advanced to the quarterfinal of the ACC, while UNC beat FSU 92-67. Both games went "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a much tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring battle here on Friday night. The strength of each side has been on the offensive end all season, and the oddsmakers know that. The public knows that. But now here at this point of the tournament, the value has swung the other way as far as the total is concerned in our opinion (and finally, note that UNC has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four off a SU/ATS win and playing with 0 days rest.) This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +3.5 | Top | 70-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
10* Northwestern (ASSASSIN) The Badgers are 20-12 after routing Maryland to advance to face the 21-10 Northwestern Wildcats, who are the fourth seed in the Tournament and who received a bye to this point. The Wildcats snapped a two-game slide at the end of the regular season to destroy Minnesota and we're expecting them to carry that momentum over here. The Wildcats also play with revenge after a 71-63 road loss at Wisconsin and note that Northwestern is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. While the outright is clearly possible, the official call will be to grab the points; the play is Northwestern! AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | Michigan State +8 v. Purdue | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (BLOWOUT WINNER) Let's GO Michigan State! These two teams faced off March 3rd and Purdue won 80-74. We can expect another competitive nail-biter here after the Spartans commanding 77-67 win over Minnesota. We say the quick turnaround here is just what the doctor ordered for Michigan State today. Zach Edey will get his points, but look for the revenge-minded and surging underdog side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door with all the points they've been afforded here; the play is indeed on Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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03-14-24 | Capitals v. Seattle Kraken -165 | 2-1 | Loss | -165 | 31 h 8 m | Show | |
8* Kraken (CHOKE-OUT) Here's a great situational play. Washington is in Edmonton on Wednesday night and it'll be "gassed" here in the second game of the back-to-back. The Capitals are just 13-14-3-1, while Seattle is 14-12-5-1 at home. The Kraken are coming off B2B losses, so will be extra motivated here, most recently a 5-4 OT setback to Vegas. Look for Seattle to risk life and limb to secure a victory here! AAA Sports |
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03-14-24 | St. Peter's +1.5 v. Rider | Top | 50-48 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
10* Saint Peter's (MAAC CONF. TOURNEY GOY) It's the opener of the MAAC Tourney and this is one that favors Saint Peter's in our opinion. The Peacocks finished 16-13, while Rider was 15-16. The Peacocks though lost both regular season games to the Broncs, both SU and ATS, and note that Saint Peter's is 7-3 (that's 70%!) ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a year, and we don't foresee that happening here; the play is indeed on Saint Peter's! AAA Sports |
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03-14-24 | Suns +6 v. Celtics | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
10* Suns (NON-CONF GOM) Phoenix is 37-27, including 17-13 on the road, while Boston is 51-14, including 29-3 at home. The Suns have been playing better of late as they've won three of their last four. They'll have had three whole nights off after beating Cleveland on the road 117-111 last time out. Phoenix has lost three straight ATS though, but that's significant for us to note, as the Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Phoenix also plays with revenge after falling 117-107 at home to Boston just last week. The Celtics have won three straight SU/ATS, but on this first game back home after their successful Western swing, everything finally points to a bit of a letdown here in this non-conference matchup in our opinion; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points, teh play is indeed on Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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03-14-24 | Ole Miss +4 v. Texas A&M | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
10* Ole Miss (SEC TOURNEY GOY) No need to overthink this one. We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is based upon the revenge factor. Ole Miss finished 20-11, while Texas A&M was 18-13. While these two teams did finish 1-1 against each other in the regular season, it was A&M that beat Ole Miss 86-60 on the road as a 1-point dog on the final regular season game of the year, and note that the Rebels are in fact 8-2 (that's 80% of the time they've cashed in this spot!), in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. And that's it, immediate revenge factor is the difference in this neutral site location for Ole Miss! AAA Sports |
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03-14-24 | Kent State v. Toledo UNDER 152 | Top | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kent State/Toledo (MAC TOTAL OF YEAR) This is just a great situational play. Kent finished 15-16, while Toledo was 20-11. Kent finished the season with two straight losses, including an 86-71 setback to Toledo in the finale. Note though that the Flashes have seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. Toledo finished with three straight wins and all three victories went "over" the number, but note that's also important as the Rockets have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. We're expecting a MUCH more defensive battle between these foes here in the rematch; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-24 | Michigan +4.5 v. Penn State | Top | 57-66 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
10* Michigan (BIG TEN TOURNEY SIDE OF YEAR) Michigan was terrible this year, but the Wolverines can, for at least one game, put a lot of this season's misery behind them with a victory here against the less-than-impressive 15-16 Nittany Lions. The Wolverines play with revenge as well after falling 79-73 at The Palestra in Philadelphia on January 7th (note that the Wolverines are in fact still 8-4 ATS as well in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.) Michigan was aggressive out of the gate vs. Penn State early, taking a 12-2 lead less than five minutes into the game, and The Wolverines led by as many as 14 points at 36-22 with 3:15 left in the first half, before then completely falling apart in the second. But, we ultimatley feel that these two poor teams are very evenly matched, especially in this neutral site affair. We're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a battle until the final moments; grab as many points as you can, the play is indeed on the Wolverines! AAA Sports |
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03-13-24 | Bulls v. Pacers OVER 231.5 | Top | 132-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Bulls/Pacers (CENTRAL DIV. TOY) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating this particular contest here tonight on Wednesday to finally be more of a wide-open offensive affair. Chicago is coming off B2B losses, most recently a 127-92 setback at home to Dallas. That result though is significant to note though as the Bulls have in fact seen the total soar "over" the number in seven of their last ten after a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. The Pacers have won three of their last four, including the last two on the road. Indiana has seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Pacers have seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each of these hungry division rivals pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-13-24 | Oklahoma +2.5 v. TCU | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
10* Oklahoma (BIG 12 TOURNEY SIDE OF YEAR) These two teams are similar in a lot of ways. Oklahoma finished 20-11. TCU finished 20-11. Both also closed out their seasons with losses. Both teams also spent time in the Associated Press Top 25 at different times during the season, but each was left off the final regular-season poll which was released on Monday. The Sooners though do play with the revenge factor after falling 80-71 at TCU as 5.5-point underdogs back in January, and note that Oklahoma is 7-3 against the spread in its last ten in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread conference road loss vs. an opponent. And now here we are at a neutral location in Kansas City Missouri in the second round of the Big 12 Confernece Tournament, and while we clearly believe an outright victory is possible, our official call will be to grab the points. To say this is a revenge game is a bit of an understatement as the Horned Frogs have won four of hte last five between the teams. The winner of this one gets the glorious prize of facing the No. 1 seed Houston Thursday in the quarterfinals, but taking a little closer look at these teams sees he Sooners average 75.5 PPG, while allowing 68.5, while the Horned Frogs average 80.4 PPG, while conceding 71.6. But for us, the revenge factor will prove to be the difference-maker in this game on Wednesday; grab the points, the play is Oklahoma! AAA Sports |
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03-12-24 | Bucks v. Kings +2.5 | Top | 94-129 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
10* Kings (REVENGE ASSASSIN) It's the end of a long road trip for the Bucks, who broke a two-game slide with a 124-117 road win ver the Clippers last time out. With a night off before a home game vs. the Bucks, not only is this a letdown spot, but also a look-ahead. The Kings play with revenge after a 143-142 OT loss at Milwaukee in January, and note that Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. Clearly we feel the outright is possible, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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03-12-24 | New Hampshire v. Vermont -13.5 | Top | 59-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
10* Vermont (AMERICA EAST CONF. TOURNEY GOY) We like Vermont (26-6 overall and 15-1 in the America East), to send a message here and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish vs. New Hampshire (16-14, 7-9.) The Catamounts are big favorites here, but not nearly big enough in our estimation. Vermont averages 101.1 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 87.8 points per 100 possessions. Both are in the Top 50 in the country. The Wildcats' margin of error is small, averaging 74.6 PPG, and allowing 74.2. Vermont held on for the tight 75-72 win over Albany to advance, not even coming close to covering the 16.5-point spread, but this matchup and spread is much more manageable; so much so, that Vermont does indeed become our America East Conference Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR! AAA Sports |
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03-12-24 | Davidson v. Fordham OVER 133.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
10* OVER Davidson/Fordham (A-10 TOURNEY TOY) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much more wide-open affair this time around finally between Davidson and Fordham. The A-10 Tourney gets going here with 15-16 Davidson facing off against 12-19 Fordham. The Wildcats finished the year by losing five straight. The beat Fordham 68-53 on February 20th, and note that the Rams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss in which they were held to 55 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-11-24 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 152.5 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER Milwaukee/UNK (Horizon League Tourney TOY) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive battle here between Milwaukee and Northern Kentucky on Monday night. Northern Kentucky enters averaging 74.8 PPG, while allowing 72.9, while Milwaukee averages 79.5 PPG, while conceding 78.6. Milwaukee finished 19-14 overall, while UNK was 18-14. The Panthers lost 90-72 at Northern Kentucky on January 18th, but then bounced back and won 73-72 at home on February 17th. These two evenly matched sides have played to a couple of high-scoring affairs to reach this point of the tournament, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive battle in our opinion this time around; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-11-24 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 227 | Top | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Spurs (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive battle in our opinion here. These teams just played and the Spurs managed the 126-113 road win as 12.5-point dogs, but note that GS has seen the total dip below the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for SA to come back down to Earth here and expect the Warriors to finally double down on the defensive end after that pathetic performance last time out; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-11-24 | Blues v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
10* OVER Blues/Bruins (NON-CONF TOW) The Bruins have either seen the total go "under" the number, or "push" on the total over their last five games, but we're finally anticipating much more of a wide-open offensive affair here. One of the strengths of Boston is its ability to play any type of game, whether it be a wide-open shootout, or a shutdown defensive one. The Blues have been terrible of late, especially offensively, but we're expecting the visitors to open up the playbook here and to push things from start to finish. This will of course leave the Blues open on the backend. St. Louis has lost three in a row, most recently a 4-0 loss at the Rangers, but note that the Blues have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten following a shutout road loss. A great spot to wager on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-10-24 | Idaho State v. Northern Colorado -3.5 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (BIG SKY TOUNEY GOY) Just a great situational play here. Idaho State is off the 68-60 win over Northern Arizona last night, but now here on the second game of the B2B, we're expecting fatigue to be a major issue. Northern Colorado has been off since March rth after beating NAU 82-74. The Bears have scored over 80 points in three straight games and we can't see the dead tired Bengals being able to keep pace; lay the points, the play is Northern Colorado! AAA Sports |
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03-10-24 | Wolves v. Lakers -113 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) Just a great situational play here. Ant is nursing an ankle injury and Kat is still sidelined. The Wolves are off a 113-104 OT loss at Cleveland and the Lakers play with revenge after a 108-106 loss in Minnesota back on December 30th. The Lakers are off the 123-122 win over the Bucks here at home and we're expecting them to build off that performance; the play is LA on the MONEYLINE option, as it's essentially a "pick em" anyways! AAA Sports |
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03-10-24 | Predators v. Wild -125 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
10* Wild (CENTRAL DIVISION GOM) Just a great situational play. Nashville has been hot, but it's off a tight 2-1 win at Columbus just last night, and fatigue will clearly now be a factor in the second game of the B2B scenario. The Wild play with revenge after a humbling 6-1 loss at Nashville at the end of February. The Wild have had a night off to absorb a tight 2-1 OT loss at Colorado, but all signs point to an immediate bounce-back here at home, where they're still 15-12-4-0 this season; lay the price, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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03-09-24 | Stars v. Kings -112 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* Kings (REVENGE ASSASSIN) No need to overthink this one, as this one sets up well for the revenge-minded home side. The Stars are off the 6-2 win at the Ducks just last night, but with three whole nights off after this followed by a home game vs. Floriday, not only does this set up as a letdown spot, but also a look-ahead (and when you add those two factors together you get "trap game.") LA does play with revenge here as well after the 5-1 loss at Dallas back in January, and after winning three of its last four, all signs point to LA taking advantage of this situation here at home. All things considered, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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03-09-24 | New England v. Atlanta United -134 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 76 h 18 m | Show |
10* Atlanta United FC (MLS GOM) Home-field advantage will prove to be the difference-maker in this one. New England is 0-2 to start the season and it clearly has several issues across the board. It fell 3-1 at DC to open the season and we're predicting a similar final outcome here in this difficult road venue. Atlanta fell 1-0 at Columbus, but it was a war until the end. Now back at home for two straight, we like Atlanta United FC to take advantage of this favorable matchup and to find a way to deliver the goods before the end of extra time in regulation; lay the price, the play is indeed on Atlanta United FC! AAA Sports |
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03-09-24 | Texas State v. Troy State -5.5 | Top | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
10* Troy (SUN BELT CONF. TOURNEY GOY) Texas State is 16-17, and Troy is 20-11. This is the quarterfinals of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament and we feel that the Trojans should for sure be larger favorites in this spot. Texas State beat Southern Miss 79-59 to advance, while Troy has received a bye into this spot. The Bobcats have won five straight, but note that Texas State is in fact just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU victories in a row. The Trojans now get to avenge an 82-79 loss to Texas State in the final regular season game for both teams, and note that Troy is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss vs. an opponent. Lay the points, as everything points to a lop-sided victory for Troy this time around! AAA Sports |
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03-09-24 | Gardner-Webb v. North Carolina-Asheville OVER 149.5 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
10* OVER Gardner Webb/UNC Asheville. This is a great situational play. Both teams ended the regular season with B2B UNDERS, and they both opened the Tournament with low-scoring victories as well. That's signficant for us to take note of though for two reason. Reason 1: Gardner Webb has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. Reason 2: UNC Asheville has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 11 in the same position. The last time these teams played, Gardner Webb managed the 78-77 victory in late February, and we're expecting an even higher-scoring "shootout" this time around; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-09-24 | Luton Town v. Crystal Palace -128 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -128 | 69 h 30 m | Show |
10* Crystal Palace (EPL GOW) In what we feel should be an even bigger line here for Crystal Palace here early on Saturday, we will indeed recommend to play the home side. Both teams are struggling, but this is a golden spot for CP, who comes in off a 3-1 loss to Tottenham. A date vs. 18th spot Luton Town is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track in our opinion though. The Hatters have lost four straight in the league and we just feel this is a really difficult spot once again vs. this super focused home side. Both teams are suffering major injuries, but Luton's list is much longer. The final thing though is the revenge factor, as Luton managed a 2-1 win in the final moments in the reverse fixture at the start of the year. We love Crystal Palace to step up and grab all three points in this one with a convincing win in regulation; lay the price, the play is indeed on CP! AAA Sports |
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03-08-24 | Bucks v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 122-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) Milwaukee is just 16-15 on the road, while the Lakers are 23-11 at home. The Bucks kicked off their road trip with an uninspiring 125-90 loss at Golden State, which snapped their win streak since the All Star game. With tougher games on the horizon as well here vs. the Clippers in two nights, this is for sure a letdown + look-ahead spot. Add those two factors together and you get "trap game!" LA is off a 130-120 home loss to the Kings as three-point favs, but note that the Lakers are 3-1 ATS in their last four off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. Grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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03-08-24 | South Dakota v. Oral Roberts -3.5 | Top | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
10* Oral Roberts(SUMMIT LEAGUE CONF. TOURNEY GOY) These are two bottom feeders in the Summit League. South Dakota is ninth, and Oral Roberts is 8th. Oral Roberts averages 73.6 PPG, while South Dakota averages 76.5. The bottom line here though is that the Golden Eagles play with revenge here after a tight 77-76 road loss to the Coyotes on February 24th. They won the other matchup, but note Oral Roberts is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss vs. an opponent. Look for the Golden Eagles' superior defense to be the difference in this one and lay the short points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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03-08-24 | Radford v. High Point OVER 150.5 | Top | 63-77 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Radford/High Point (BIG SOUTH TOURNEY TOY) We had a play on Radford in its 67-60 win over SCUS in its opening round of the Big South Conference Tournament. The Highlanders went on to cover the five points, but the total stayed well under the number of 139.5 in that one. Including its final two regular season losses, Radford has now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but that's significant to note as the Highlanders have in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. High Point finished 24-7 and No. 1 in the regular season in the Conference. It's three-game win streak to end the season was snapped in a 74-72 loss at Longwood, but note that High Point has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four when playing with five or more days of rest. Expect a much faster pace to this contest and then look for the total to sail well "over" the number before the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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03-07-24 | Senators v. Kings -188 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
8* Kings (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT) No need to overthink this one. The Senators were a favorite on the road last night, but they blew a big chance to get into the win column by falling 2-1 at Anaheim. I had a play on Ottawa in that one unfortunately and while we don't "flip flop" on teams from one night to the next, this is clearly just a horrible spot now for the Sens and we feel that LA should/could in fact be a much larger favorite here. So we're correcting a mistake from last night and are expecting the Kings, who are off a 2-1 OT loss here to the Canucks, to take advantage. LA is still 12-10-2-5 at home, while the Senators are 8-18-1-0 on the road. Lay the price with confidence, the play is the Kings! AAA Sports |
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03-07-24 | Celtics +1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
10* Celtics (ASSASSIN) Payback. Boston's big home win streak came to an end in mid January when the defending World Champs came to town and won 102-100. The Celtics are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Both teams are coming off losses, but Denver's 117-107 OT home loss to the Suns will still be fresh on the front of their minds. The Celtics fell 105-104 at Cleveland, but had won 11 straight previous to that. Look for the "revenge factor" to be the difference-maker tonight; the play is indeed on Boston! AAA Sports |
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03-07-24 | CS-Fullerton v. Cal-Riverside UNDER 136 | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cal State Fullerton/UC Riverside (BIG WEST TOY) As primarily situational handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheelhouse." These teams are needing a win here and we're expecting that to translate into a defensive battle. There are many reasons to believe it'll be a defensive war instead of a wide-open offensive shootout. UC Riverside averages 69.6 PPG, while CSU Fullerton averages just 67.6. Each team's defense catches a break this week. The Highlanders beat the Titans 81-73 as 1.5-point favorites on the road on February 15th, and note that Cal State Fullerton has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU and ATS conference home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. In our opinion, this one has defensive "war" written all over it; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-06-24 | Kings v. Lakers -3.5 | Top | 130-120 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) This one comes down to REVENGE Lenny. These team are pretty evenly matched on any given night, but the Lakers are at home an dthey're playing with revenge. We think those two factors added together will result in a solid win and cover for the Lake Show on Wednesday night. Sacramento is 34-26 overall, including 18-15 on the road, while LA is 35-29 overall, including 23-10 at home. The Kings come into this one off an awkward 113-109 home loss to Chicago, and with a MUCH EASIER game at home tomorrow night vs. the Spurs, we think the visitors will get caught "LOOKING AHEAD" here (especially with a couple days off after that followed by four more home games.) But for the Lakers, they've now won three of their last four and they didn't look past Oklahoma City last time out, winning 116-104. And they do play with revenge after the 125-110 loss here at home to the Kings at the start of the season, and note that LA is in fact 7-3 against the spread in its last ten in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss against an opponent. After this the Lakers have two tough games vs. the Bucks and Wolves, before a rematch on the road in Sacarmento, so this game here vs. the Kings on Wednesday night does indeed take on added importance for the home side. Look for LA to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the short points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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03-06-24 | Radford -5 v. USC Upstate | Top | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
10* Radford (BIG SOUTH TOURNEY GOY) The Radford Highlanders are 15-16, while the USC UpState Spartans are 10-19. These team are playing in Nido at the Mariana Qubein Arena. Overall the Highlanders average 72.5 PPG, while allowing 71.7. The Spartans are averaging 71.4 PPG, while conceding 73.1. These teams played twice. Radford won 64-61 at home as an 8-point favorite in the first one, and then lost 78-69 at SCUS on February 3rd as a 1.5-point favorite. Note that Radford is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Radford wasn't able to cover in either game vs. South Carolina Upstate this year, but in this neutral site affair, a "third times the charm" could not be a more apt phrase to describe this situation for us; the play is indeed on Radford! AAA Sports |
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03-06-24 | East Carolina +12.5 v. SMU | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
10* East Carolina (AAC GOY) While we're not calling for an outright victory here or anything, we do definitely expect a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. This one sets up well for the visitors. ECU is 14-15 overall, including 3-6 on the road, while SMU is 19-9 overall, including 13-3 at home. The Pirates don't come in with a lot of momentum. They've lost three straight, both SU and ATS in a row. They were dogs in each game. But that for sure is significant for us to take note of here, as the Pirates are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five (80% of the time!) after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. ECU also plays with revenge after the 75-64 home loss as a four-point dog, and note that the Pirates are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. SMU has also lost three straight, both SU and ATS. It's not playing well at all right now, losing 77-73 at home to UTSA as a 17-point favorite last time out. With a game at UAB to end the season, we also believe it'll get caught looking ahead. Grab the points, the play is indeed on East Carolina! AAA Sports |
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03-05-24 | Suns +8 v. Nuggets | Top | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
10* Suns (WESTERN-CONFERENCE NON-DIVISION GOM) We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is a great "situational" release. Phoenix will be desperate to snap a two-game slide following a humbling 118-110 loss to OKC as a 4.5-point favorite. That was the Suns third straight ATS loss. Note though that Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off an upset loss as a home favorite, and it's also 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. Additionally the Suns play with the added incentive of "revenge" here after a 119-111 home loss to the Nuggets back in early December, and note that they're 8-4 ATS in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Denver has yet to lose since the All Star break, and it's covered in every game but one of those. But with Boston coming to town on Thursday night, not only does this set up as a potential letdown spot, but also a potential look-ahead spot. Look for Phoenix to take advantage! AAA Sports |
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03-05-24 | Blues v. Islanders -167 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Islanders (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT) Just a really great spot for the Islanders in this one. We don't mind laying chalk when we feel that our "play on" side could/should in fact be a much larger one. St. Louis is just 14-15-1-1 on the road, while New York is 14-8-6-3 at home. But the Blues are off a 2-1 shootout win at Philly just last night. Off that rare road win, fatigue will clearly be a factor here in the second game of the B2B. The Isles have won three straight. They've had two nights off after hammering Boston here 5-1. They play with revenge after a humbling 4-0 loss at St. Louis last month. Add it all up, and the value here for sure is to lay the price and expect a blowout of epic proportions; the play is indeed on New York! AAA Sports |
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03-05-24 | Loyola Maryland +7.5 v. Navy | Top | 48-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* Loyola Maryland (PATRIOT LEAGUE TOURNEY SIDE OF YEAR). Conference Tournament time. While we're not calling for the outright victory here for the Greyhounds, we do think that revenge-minded Loyola Maryland can keep it close enough to earn the comfortable cover. Loyola ended a four-game slide at the end of the season with a 69-68 upset win over Army as a one-point dog. It does indeed play with revenge as well after a 69-62 home loss to Navy as a 1.5-point favorite back on February 21st, and note that the Greyhouds are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. a conference opponent. Navy closed the season on a roll, off four straight SU/ATS victories in a row, inclding a 71-65 over American as a seven-point dog in its regular season finale. That result is significant to note here though as the Midshipmen are just 1-3 ATS in their last four off an upset conference road win as an underdog. In what we anticipate will be a battle to the final moments, we're grabbing the points with Loyola Maryland! AAA Sports |
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03-04-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames -121 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
10* Flames (ASSASSIN) Calgary has won five straight and we're expecting that winning run to continue for at least one more game here in this favorable revenge spot. Seattle is off a 2-1 loss at Edmonton. It beat Calgary 2-1 on the road back in late December, but note that the Flames are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. With a game at Winnipeg tomorrow, we're expecting the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" as well. Lay the price with confidence, the play is indeed on Calgary! AAA Sports |
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03-04-24 | Wizards v. Jazz UNDER 240.5 | Top | 115-127 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wizards/Jazz (NON-CONF TOM) Looking at the sides here, not really attractive betting either team. Washington is just 9-51 overall this year, including 6-26 on the road, while Utah is only 23-34 overall, but a much more respectable 18-11 at home. But Utah returns home after going winless on its road trip, most recently falling 126-120 at Miami. Previous to that the Jazz had seen the total go "under" in four straight. As primarily situational cappers, these are the types of games that we're always on the look out for. The first game back after a road trip can be a difficult one. It can be a letdown spot if its been a successful road trip, or it can be the starting point of a new win streak if the team got destroyed away from friendly confines. And so that's the case here for Utah, as we think it'll for sure be looking to double down on the defensive end here to snap the three-game slide. The Jazz actually beat the Wizards 123-108 in the Nation's capital back on January 25th. But that's significant to note, because the Wizards have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 games when trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread loss against an opponent. After their most recent 140-115 loss at the Clippers, following a 134-131 OT loss at the Lakers, the Wizards have lost 14 straight. This is the end of a three-game trip. They'll have a night off before playing Orlando at home after this. But for us, we see this one playing out similar to the first matchup between these clubs. Utah averages 114.6 PPG, and the Jazz average 117.5. Add those two averages together and it comes to well "under" tonight's total on this contest. We don't think either team will even reach its average tonight though. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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03-04-24 | Duke v. NC State +6 | Top | 79-64 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
10* NC State (ACC GOY) Outright win?! We're not counting anything out here, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the home side. Duke is 23-6 overall, including 6-4 on the road, while NC State is 17-12 overall, including 12-4 at home. NC State has lost back-to-back games at FSU and UNC as a dog, but it's been trading ATS victories and losses over its last five games and after the solid 79-70 road loss but cover at UNC, we like the home side to now keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe as well. Duke has won two in a row, both SU and ATS, but with a game at home vs. UNC this coming weekend, not only do we feel this is a natural "letdown" spot, but also a "look-ahead." This is a trap-game for the visitors, and we're looking for the home side to step up and make the most of it; grab the points, the play is NC State! AAA Sports |
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03-03-24 | Penguins v. Oilers -180 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
8* DESTRUCTION Oilers. Just a great overall situational play here. We feel that the Oilers could/should in fact be much larger favs in this spot. No need to overthink this one. Pittsburgh plays in Calgary on Saturday night and despite the result of that one, we're predicting a complete blowout for the home side here. The Oilers are Seattle on Saturday, but the home ice advantage will only work in Edmonton's favor here as well. These teams haven't played yet this season, but look for the Oilers to take advantage of this situation and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night! AAA Sports |
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03-03-24 | Pistons v. Magic OVER 218 | Top | 91-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER Pistons/Magic (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more a high-scoring "shootout" here on Sunday in our opinion. Detroit has now seen the total go "under" in eight straight after its most recent 110-100 loss to Cleveland (note though that the Pistons have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 100 or fewer points in.) Orlando is off B2B wins. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight, but that's significant to note as the Magic have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-03-24 | Evansville +11 v. Belmont | Top | 66-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
10* Evansville (MISSOURI VALLEY GOM) While we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle here in our opinion than what this spread is suggesting. Evansville is only 4-10 SU away from friendly confines, but 8-6 ATS. The Purple Aces have lost five straight SU/ATS, but that's significant to note as Evansville is in fact 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Belmont is 11-2 SU at home, but a more modest 7-5 ATS. I believe the home side will be pushed to the brink here. In their final regular season game, look for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Evansville! AAA Sports |
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03-02-24 | Penguins v. Flames -120 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
10* Flames (NON-CONF GOM) We base our selections on many different things. This one is a great "value" play overall. With a tough game at Edmonton tomorrow night, we believe the Penguins will classically get caught "looking ahead" here. Calgary has been playing great, winner of four straight. It plays with revenge after a 5-2 loss at Pittsburgh in October. Great value play overall on Calgary! AAA Sports |
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03-02-24 | Jazz +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
10* Utah (DOG OF MONTH) We simply feel this is a great "spot" wager on Utah. Outright win?! Probably not. But we love betting on these types of situations. Yes, Miami is hot, but this is a natural "letdown" spot. The Heat went 5-6 on their road trip. They dropped the final game in Denver, but still covered the spread. They've covered in nine straight now. I think the home side is now overvalued though. Teams that return home after a long and successful road trip, often have a letdown in the first game back in front of the home town crowd. The Jazz will look to take advantage. They beat the Heat 117-109 at home back in late December, but off B2B losses to open this road trip, we're looking for the hungry visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Jazz! AAA Sports |
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03-02-24 | Orlando City SC v. Inter Miami OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 122 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER OCSC/Miami (TOM) As primarily situational cappers, we love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring affair. Both teams played to lower-scoring games to open the season, and because of that we absolutely believe there's an overreaction here and that this O/U line is in fact way too low now. OCSC went to a 0-0 draw tih Montreal, while Miami opened with a 2-0 win over Real Salt Lake, before the uninspiring 1-1 draw with LA to close out Week 1. With two games under their belts and now back at home, we're expecting Messi's side to push the pace from start to finish here. With this faster-paced affair like we're anticipating, all signs do indeed point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-02-24 | Oklahoma State v. Texas UNDER 144.5 | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER OKS/Texas (BIG 12 TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter, and lower-scoring battle finally here between these BIG 12 opponents on Saturday afternoon in our opinion. Oklahoma State is 12-16 overall, including just 1-7 on the road, while Texas is 18-10 overall, including 12-4 at home. The Cowboys are big underdogs after two straight home losses. OKS has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's significant for us to take note of as the Cowboys have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in nine of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Texas is off an upset 81-69 win at Texas Tech as a three-point dog, and note that the Longhorns have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four off an upset SU/ATS conference road win as a dog. Texas won't need to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, so expect this slower-paced affair to stay well "under" once the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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03-02-24 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Newcastle United -112 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 116 h 12 m | Show |
10* Newcastle (GOM) Newcastle is currently in ninth spot at 11-11, while Wolverhampton is eighth spot at 11-10. These two sides played to a 2-2 draw in the reverse-fixture back in late October, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, tips the scales in favor of the home side here. In fact, we feel that Newcastle should or could in fact be a much larger favorite. The Wolves managed an epic 2-1 win at Tottenham as large dogs, before then barely holding on for the 1-0 win at home vs. Sheffield. Newcaslte broke a two-game away slide with a 3-0 home win over lowly Fulham, but we're expecting the home side to build off that win and to make sure that they earn MORE than just the "draw" here vs. this team that struggles in EPL away contests. All things considered, we feel this to be the very defintion of "great line value;" the play is Newcastle! AAA Sports |
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03-01-24 | Wizards v. Clippers -15 | Top | 115-140 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* Clippers (NON-CONF GOW) Just a good old situational play here. No need to overthink this one. The Wizards are off a 134-131 OT loss here to the Lakers just last night, and clearly fatigue will be a major issue. With a couple nights off after this, we say the visitors just "go through the motions" in this one. As we said, a great "situational" play. The Clippers won't be lacking motivation either after B2B losses here at home. Lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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03-01-24 | Coyotes v. Senators -178 | 5-3 | Loss | -178 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
8* Senators (DESTROYER) A great "common sense" play here. We play totals, dogs, and we're also not afraid to lay chalk, especially when we feel that our "play on" side should/could in fact be a much larger one. And that's the case here. Arizona is off a 14th straight loss in last night's 4-2 setback at Toronto. Look for the rested and hungry Senators, who are 25-29-3-0 overall, but who are 17-13-2-0 at home, to take advantage; lay the price with confidence, the play is Ottawa! AAA Sports |
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03-01-24 | Old Dominion v. Georgia Southern UNDER 152 | Top | 75-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
10* UNDER ODU/Georgia Southern. Overall we love the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. This one is all about the overall "situation," combined with a couple of strong O/U ATS stat that fully support us here. ODU is 7-23 overall, including only 1-11 on the road. Georgia Southern is 7-23 overall as well, but 5-6 at home. This is a game that each club will feel it has an opportunity to actually win in. Expect this to tranlsate into a defensive affair. Georgia Southern has seen the total go "over" in six straight now, but despite its most recent 83-73 victory over Marshall, note that the Eagles have still seen the total go "under" the number eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-29-24 | St. Mary's v. Pepperdine UNDER 138 | Top | 83-57 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saint Mary's/Pepperdine (WEST COAST TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive affair in this contest finally here at Pepperdine on Thursday night. Just a great situational play overall for a few different reasons. Saint Mary's is 23-6, including a perfect 8-0 on the road. 6-2 ATS. Pepperdine is just 12-18 overall, but 9-7 SU and 8-6 ATS. The Waves play with revenge here after a humbling 103-59 loss at the Gaels in the middle of the month, and note that Pepperdine has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. Saint Mary's is off the 88-62 win over San Diego and it's now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is significant to note as the Gaels have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The overall situation that each team finds itself in points to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |