The set-up: Fort Wayne enters the Horizon League Tournament with an 8-14 record. The Mastadons enter with momentum as well afte rwinning two of three, most recently a victory over Green Bay. The Vikings are 16-7 and they're won two of their last three as well. 

The pick: Cleveland State though has been off since February 20th, when it defeated this very Purdue Fort Wayne team by a score of 67-55. The longer two week lay off isn't going to help with chemistry and note that the Mastadons are 5-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS victory. I expect a battle until the final moments, so grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Purdue Fort Wayne.

The set-up: Clearly WKU is the better team. The Hilltoppers are 16-5, but I don't think they're going to be able to cover this large spread. The FIU Panthers are 9-15. FIU won't be lacking for motivation after losing six in a row. The Panthers average 74.9 PPG, and they allow 76. 

The pick: WKU comes in complacent here after winning seven of its last eight, including a 91-58 blowout victory over FIU in its last outing. Winning can lead to complacency (especially at the Collegiate level), and that's what I'm expecting here. With a final home series vs. fourth place ODU up next, this also sets up as a "look-ahead" spot for the home side. I like FIU to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread would suggest. 

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Florida International.

The set-up: The Aggies took the first game on Friday night by a score of 75-72. This is a battle between the third and fifth ranked teams. This game means much more to Utah State at this point though, because its still currently on the outside of the NCAA Tournament looking in. Utah State has already moved into third though after Boise State lost to SDSU. Utah State needs to win its last three games and it has a chance to run down Colorado State still. 

The pick: Nevada played well and covered two nights ago, but previous to that it hadn't played since early February due to COVID issues. I think the Wolfpack get caught flat-footed here now in this second contest and vs. this determined home side. Nevada gave its best shot and came up short last time out and with a chance to end their Tournament hopes, I like the Aggies to find a way to deliver the goods. 

This is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on Utah State.

The set-up: The 49ers are third in the Conference USA and 47th in the country in scoring defense, limiting their opposition to just 64.9 PPG. Charlotte is also proficient from the charity stripe, ranked third in the conference. Charlotte took both meetings last year, this is the first this season. However note that the 49ers lost to UTEP 57-53 the last time these teams played in El Paso back in 2019, so the visiting side won't be taking anything for granted.

The pick: The Miners are 10-10 overall and 6-8 in league play. UTEP averages 71 PPG, and it allows 69.6. Note though that Charlotte has done extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games as an underdog in the +4.5 to +6.5 points range. This one is going to come down to the final moments, so I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Charlotte.

The set-up: Miami Ohio has won two straight and I like the Red Hawks to continue to push hard with the end of the regular season just around the corner. WMU though enters having lost two in a row. WMU has had three of its last five games postponed due to COVID, and teams having to deal with these issues have almost always struggled in every circumstance. The Broncos only average 63.5 PPG. 

The pick: WMU lost to Miami Ohio a few weeks ago and only managed 56 points in that one. Miami Ohio comes to town off its best game of the entire seaosn as well, smoking Central Michigan 96-54. Finally note that WMU is just 1-5 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while Miami Ohio is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five vs. a team with a losing straight-up record. Lay the points, expect a comfortable cover.

This is a 10* MAC DESTRUCTION on Miami Ohio.

The set-up: I like betting on motivated teams. There's only a handful of games remaining in the regualr season and South Carolina will be eager to snap a five-game slide. Most recently the Gamecocks enter off a 93-78 home loss to Missouri as 3.5 point underdogs. This is also a revenge game for South Carolina, which lost 75-59 in Columbia as a 2.5 point underdog back on February 6th. Ovearll South Carolina averages 74.2 PPG, while allowing 78.4.

The pick: Mississippi State is going to get caught complacent here, as it just revenged an earlier loss to rival Ole Miss in its last outing. Teh Bulldogs average only 70.1 PPG, while allowing 66.4. I think the home side comes out flat here after its big win and I think the hungrier revenge minded visiting team will at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door. Grab the poins.

This is a 10* REVENGE ELITE OF THE ELITE on South Carolina.

The set-up: The Hokies are coming off an OT win at Miami, and after surviving that near disaster, I like them to come in focussed here vs. this dangerous Georgia Tech side. Virginia Tech hasn't playes since February 9th, but it's desperate for a win here. Georiga Tech has been playing well against some good teams, but it keeps coming up short. Overall the Jackets allow 67.2 PPG. 

The pick: Virginia Tech is dealing with a couple injuries, but with so much time off to prepare, I don't see this being an issue at all. I think Georgia Tech is primed for a letdown here vs. a desperate Hokies side. These teams haven't played this year, but VT does play with revenge as well after falling 76-57 to the Jackets last season. I'm laying the short points, but expecting a major blowout!

This is a 10* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Virginia Tech.

The set-up: They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Oklahoma State won this game by eight points on the road as an 8.5 point underdog in mid January. The Red Raiders are still ranked, but after back-to-back losses, this is now a "must win" game. The Red Raiders average 73.6 PPG, while allowing 62.9. The Cowboys are primed for a letdown here after winning five of their last six. Oklahoma State averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 70.6. 

The pick: Texas Tech is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge an in-season home loss of five or more points to an opponent as well. Texas Tech's defense, combined with the stellar play of Mac McClung is the difference-maker. Lay the points.

This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on Texas Tech.

The set-up: The Terrapins are on the road to face Rutgers, and they come to town on top form, having won three straight, most recently getting the better of Nebraska 79-71. The Scarlet Knights are ahead of the Terps in the standings, but they come in off a 71-64 road loss at Michigan. Maryland's defense has been great though this season, allowing just 65.6 PPG this year. Rutgers hasn't been quite as stout, allowing 68.1 PPG. 

The pick: Rutgers does have the rebounding advantage, and it produces more steals per game, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after scoring 65 points or less in a SU road loss in its last outing. In a contest which I see being decided by whichever of these team's has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on Maryland.

The set-up: Kansas is now 16-7 after its 59-41 win over K-State on Wednesday. Texas Tech returns to action after an 82-71 loss to WVU on February 9th to fall to 14-6 overall. It was a tough loss for the Red Raiders, who had two games postponed. Not due to COVID issues though, but rather weather related. Because of this, I think it in fact works in favor of Texas Tech. Overall Texas Tech averages 74.2 PPG, while allowing 62.7. 

The pick: The Jayhawks average 74 PPG, while allowing 66.2. Kansas is coming off the satisfying win over its rival and note that it's only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records. Also note that the road team is 5-2 ATS in its last seven head-to-head meetings. Four of the Jayhawks last five wins have come against bottom feeders. Expect the Red Raiders to pull off the minor upset here, but grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Texas Tech.

The set-up: Cleveland State is 15-6 and IPFW is 6-13. The Mastadons play their final two regular season games here and I like them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Mastadons had lost eight straight against the spread before their 72-70 loss to Youngstown State last time out, proving that they're still trying to post victories here at the end of the season and remain competitive.

The pick: These teams played twice at Cleveland State earlier in the year and the Vikings won both games. Both games were competitive though, 63-61 and 89-80. I expect another battle until the end, meaning I'll definitely be grabbing as many points as I can!

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Purdue Fort Wayne.

The set-up: Austin Peay is 13-8, while Southeast Missouri State is 7-14. These teams played at Austin Peay a few nights ago and the Governors hammered the Redhawks 78-63. But with a game at 17-5 Eastern Kentucky up next, I think the visiting side will have a much more difficult time duplicating its offensive performance against this revenge-minded SE Missouri State team on the road. After winning five of seven, and with the upcoming two-game series vs. Eastern Kentucky, this one sets up as a trap for the visitors. 

The pick: The Redhawks are the "hungrier" side here, as they look to snap a three-game losing streak. The Governors are the deeper, more experienced team, but this situation favors the home side. I'll stop short in predicting an outright upset, but everything points to this one coming right down to the wire.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on SE Missouri State.

The set-up: Virginia sits atop the conference after taking out UNC 60-48 at 11-1 thus far. Florida State enters of a momentum-building 92-85 OT win over Wake Forest and it's now 11-3 overall and 7-2 in ACC action. The Cavaliers of course get the job done with their smothering defensive play (58.8 per contest conceded), as they enter averaging 69.9 PPG. 

The pick: The Seminoles average 79.1 PPG, while conceding just 69.4. This is a team which likes to get down and dirty defensively as well, but it's their up-tempo pace on offense which I think UVA will have difficulties matching. Especially on the road. Yes, this is a much-improved UVA team, one of the best that FSU has seen all year. But the said can also be said for the Cavaliers, on the road facing an underrated and dangerous FSU side. I'm going with FSU to win at home in this one.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Florida State.

The set-up: This is a revenge game for ASU after it fell 80-79 at Oregon State in the final moments. Oregon State though is just 10-9 overall with a 6-7 league record, entering this one on a two-game slide, most recently falling 70-61 on the road to the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona State is only 6-9 overall and 3-6 in conference play. Most recently the Sun Devils lost 75-64 to Oregon on Thursday. 

The pick: Overall these teams numbers are very similar. ASU's offense is slightly better and Oregon State's defense is a little better. The back-to-back road games isn't doing Oregon State any favors though. Home floor, combined with the revenge factor (note that ASU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge an in-season road loss to an opponent in which it allowed 80 or more points in. Lay the points, expect a blowout.

This is a 10* PLAYBOOK on Arizona State.

The set-up: These are two poor teams, but I think this one will be decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last. Miami is 7-11 overall and 3-10 in league play. Most recently it lost 80-76 to Virginia Tech. However, a postponement in its game vs. UNC on Monday will be beneficial for sure in my opinion for the Hurricanes, who get an extra couple days off to focus and prepare to take advantage. 

The pick: The Irish are just 8-10 overall and 5-7 in conference action. Notre Dame looks primed for a letdown here as well after a 93-89 win over Duke on Tuesday. Neither team will qualify for the Big Dance, so motivation in that respect simply isn't there for either of these team's right now. Miami has had to deal with plenty of injury issues, but it plays with revenge here after falling 73-59 at home to the Irish earlier in the season. I think Notre Dame gets caught flat-footed after its big win from last time out and I like the hungrier Hurricanes to keep this one interesting down the stretch. Grab the points.

This is an 8* ACC DESTRUCTION on Miami.

The set-up: It's an immediate revenge scenario for lowly UNLV, which lost 78-66 to the Broncos on Thursday. I expect a tighter contest here and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this one coming right down to the wire in my opinion. Bryce Hamilton is a matchup issue for any team. If Hamilton can get any type of support, the Rebels have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright (he finished with 26 points on Thursday.) Overall UNLV allows just 68.1 PPG.

The pick: The Broconos average 78.4 PPG. They shot 50 percent in the win on Thursday. Boise State previous to this series lost two straight to Nevada, while splitting with Colorado. Consistency from game-to-game has been an issue of late for Boise State and I think that pattern continues here. Again, I don't think it'll have such a huge collapse here that it loses outright, but I do think the this line is inflated. Expect the hungrier team to keep this one interesting down the stretch and grab the points.

This is a 10* MOUNTAIN-WEST GAME OF THE MONTH on UNLV.

The set-up: While the outright victory is obviously not out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Northeastern comes to town on a seven-game win streak and in first place. Towson is on a seven-game losing streak. Northeastern is 10-4 ATS this year, but I think it's asking too much to cover his mid-sized spread on the road vs. this super hungry and motivated home side. The Huskies aren't great offensively, but they make up for it on the other end by conceding just 68.6 PPG. Towson allows 76.5. 

The pick: The Tigers are a really good rebounding team and they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Huskies are the better team this year, but I think they'll have their hands full until the final moments. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Towson.

The set-up: San Diego is 4-5 so far, while Cal State Bakersfield is 12-7. These teams offensive and defensive numbers aren't drastically different. I just think that it sets up well for San Diego, as it's 5-1 ATS in its last six after posting 100 or more points in a SU home victory in its last outing (won 101-64 over Bethesda.) 

The pick: The Roadrunners are going to be caught looking ahead to a two-game road set at Conference leading UC Santa Barbara and the hungry Tritons are going to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on San Diego.

The set-up: All six of Montana's Big Sky losses have been decided in the final seconds, with three by three points or fewer, and none being by more than six points (which was a double OT defeat). In short, the Grizzlies win/loss record could easily be a lot better if a couple lucky bounces went their way. It's very interesting to note as well, that over its last three series, Montana has won the first game, only to lose the second two days later. 

The pick: Weber State is primed for a letdown after four-straight victories. With a home and home set vs. Eastern Washington next week, the road ahead doesn't get any easier for the Grizzlies. This is a crucial contest for the season and I don't think that home court advantage can be looked past. Montana is the hungrier dog in this fight and I like it to deliver on home-court.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on Montana.

The set-up: A couple of bottom feeders going head-to-head here, but I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular case. Both teams come in off losses. Wake lost 79-58 to the Fighting Irish, while Boston College lost 81-65 to NC State. The Notre Dame loss snapped a five-game ATS win streak as well for the Demon Deacons and I think they'll take another step back here as well. Overall Wake averages 69.2 PPG, while allowing 68.7.

The pick: Boston College returned to action after missing three weeks in the loss to the Wolfpack, and it looked ugly early, as NC State went on a 37-3 run at one point, before the Eagles close the first half at 44-21. BC was without a couple of players as well in that one, but the team looked much stronger as the game went on and considering the circumstances and the way the contest opened, the Eagles definitley pulled it together quickly and finished that one strong. And I feel there's no reason not to believe they can't carry that momentum over here as well. With the rust of a few weeks off now gone, look for BC to come out much faster this time around. The Eagles average 72.1 PPG, while allowing 78.4, but note tha they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine home gaems after allowing 80 or more points in a SU/ATS loss in their last outing. I like BC to find a way to get the job done here.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on Boston College.

The set-up: Creighton has been struggling against the spread for bettors, losing three in a row. One of those losses was an outright loss at home to Georgetown just last week. The Blue Jays were favored by 14 points in that one. Georgetown has a losing record, but it's 8-6 ATS overall this season. The Hoyas have covered in five straight games, including in their last one when they lost 84-74 at Villanova as 13.5 point underdogs.

The pick: After that close call, I think the Hoyas definitely take a step back here. Creighton is ready to avenge last week's setback and the spread it has to cover here is almost cut in half of what it was in that contest. Much more manageable and realistic and I expect the Blue Jays to deliver in this fantastic situational opportunity. Lay the points.

This is a 10* BIG EAST GAME OF THE YEAR on Creighton.

The set-up: Northwestern won't be lacking for motivation here as it's just 3-8 in league play. Most recently the Wildcats fell to Rutgers. In fact, Northwestern enters having lost eight in a row. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as Purdue has lost two of three, including a 61-60 setback to Maryland in its most recent outing. Northwestern averages 74.7 PPG< and it allows 71.9.

The pick: Purdue only allows 66.3, but the Boilermakers offense isn't any better by averaging 73.9. Northwestern is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games after a five-games or longer SU losing streak. I think Purdue struggles with focus here after its latest road loss and I like the Wildcats to risk life and limb today as they try to get off the schneid. I'm grabbing the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Northwestern.

The set-up: Toledo is 16-4 and Ball State is just 6-9. Outright win? I'm not predicting that, but I do definitely think the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Toledo has won five straight, including a 15 point victory over Akron last time out. Winning, especially at the College level, can lead to complacency. 

The pick: Ball State won't be lacking for motivation here, as it's facing the top team in the league on its own floor, while it will also be trying to erase a four-game slide. Last time out the Cardinals fell by 20 points to the Bulls. Toledo has hit a very "vanilla" part of its schedule, with NIU up next and I think it finally comes out a bit flat here. I'll point out as well that Ball State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after scoring 60 or less points in a SU/ATS loss in its previous outing. Grab the points.

This is a 10* MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Ball State. 

The set-up: This is the first game of a two-game set between the teams and I expect it to be a lot more competitive than what this spread is leading us to believe. Cal Poly won't be lacking for motivation off a 64-51 loss to CSU Northridge on Saturday. Hawaii split its last series with UC Irvine, winning 62-61 in OT in the last one and I think it comes out a bit flat to start this one after that emotional revenge victory. Overall the Mustangs average 60 PPG, while allowing 69.9. Hawaii averages 71.1 and concedes 66.2. 

The pick: Cal Poly's offense has been an issue all year, but it comes in as the hungrier team here. These defenses are very similar and I think the visitors will keep it competitive until the final moments. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but as stated before, this one definitely looks like it'll come right down to the wire. Grab the points!

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Cal Poly Slo.

The set-up: Marshall's won two in a row, but I think it'll stumble here vs. a hungry ODU side which is rested, as it's had its last four games postponed due to COVID issues. Previous to winning two in a row, Marshall had dropped two in a row. Overall the Herd is 3-3 in Conference play. Previous to its break, ODU had won four of five. ODU enters are 4-2 in league play. 

The pick: The Monacrchs only allow 68.5 PPG this season, and despite being 5-2 on the road this year, I think that Marshall will have a difficult time replicating its last two offensive performances. Not only is ODU a perfect 5-0 SU at home this year, but it's also 5-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. I'm banking on ODU to quickly shake off any rust and while the outright win is clearly not out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA GAME OF THE MONTH on Old Dominion.

The set-up: Outright win? I'm not predicting that. But I do think the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Houston is 15-1 overall and 10-1 in AAC action. The Cougars have won eight in a row. Winning can lead to complacency, especially among college athletes. East Carolina enters under the radar and hungry to break out of a six-game slide, most recently falling to Tulsa 77-68. Houston's a good team, most recently beating SMU 70-48. With a week off before a contest at USF though, I think the Cougars will come out flat in the second half as they get caught looking ahead. They're in no fear of actually losing this game outright, but I also don't think they'll run up this score, instead leaving the back door open for a nice cover for the hungry home side.

The pick: ECU average 61 PPG and it concedes 69.3. Hence its poor overall record. The Pirates though are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games as an underdog in the +15.5 to +17.5 points range and as stated, they're clearlier the "hungrier" dog in this fight. I expect Houston to indeed get caught looking ahead here. No upset, but tighter than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on East Carolina.

The set-up: MTSU won't be lacking for motivation here as it tries to break a five-game losing streak. The Blue Raiders average 60.8 PPG, while allowing 67.5. Dontrell Shuler averages 12.6 points and 2.2 boards. The UAB Blazers have won six of their last seven and I think they're going to get caught "looking past" their lowly opponent here and I look for them to leave the back door open just enough for this hungry Blue Raiders team to comfortably sneak through down the stretch. UAB averages 75 PPG and it concedes 58.5. 

The pick: Betting on sports isn't about simply adding up offensive and defensive averages and then trying to find edges in posted lines, as there are a plethora of other factors to also consider. And that's the case here. Clearly UAB is the better team, but I don't think it'll run up the score here and we definitely don't have to question the Blue Raiders resolve after their extended losing streak now. UAB won this game 70-59 two nights ago as an 11-point favorite, pushing on the number. The Blue Raiders are getting a few more points here, but I expect an even more tightly contested affair this time around. Grab the points.

This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA GAME OF THE MONTH on MTSU.

The set-up: Am I suggesting that you should play the 0-12 Idaho Vandals on the moneyline here for their first victory of the season? Of course not. But I do now believe that the value has swung their way as far as the spread is concerned. This number is just too big. Weber State is 8-4, but after a 25 point victory in the first matchup with the Vandals on Thursday, I think the Wildcats get caught looking ahead to a few days off before a home game against No. 1 Montanta State on February 4th. 

The pick: The Vandals actually had some decent numbers in the Thursday loss, shooting 42.9 percent from the floor, with 33 total rebounds and 17 assists. Turnovers and extremely poor outside shooting did them in, but I expect a much cleaner game this time around. As I said up top, no outright, but more competitive than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points.

The is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Idaho.

The set-up: After six-straight victories, I think that UC Irvine takes a step back here. Hawaii had lost two in a row, before winning in a blowout in its last outing. The Warriors allow 68.5 PPG, while the Anteaters concede just 62.5. UC Irvine's strength of schedule can be question in my opinion, and note that it's just 1-3 on the road so far this season. 

The pick: Hawaii is 2-2 at home, but it's 7-2 ATS after a 15 points or greater SU/ATS victory in its last outing. Keep your eyes on Casdon Jardine, who leads the Warriors in points and rebounding. UC Irvine has been shaky on the road this year and it now faces a Anteaters team coming off its best performance of the season. Hawaii also plays with revenge here after losing both games in this series last season. While the outright is clearly not out of the question, all signs point to a solid cover at the least.

This is a 10* BIG-WEST GAME OF THE YEAR on Hawaii.

The set-up: Outright victory? Maybe. This is a contest which I envision coming right down to the wire, and because of that, I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. I think 16-1 Belmont is going to get caught looking past the 8-5 Austin Peay Governors. Belmont enters off a 114-62 win over SIU-Edwardsville. The Bruins average 83.2 PPG, while allowing 68.3. 

The pick: Austin Peay likely got caught looking ahead to this game in its last game, falling 76-70 to Jacksonville State. The Governors average 73.5 PPG while allowing 69.7. These teams are very similar on the defensive end, and as I pointed out, I do think this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for the Bruins, who are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after scoring 110 or more points in a SU/ATS road victory in their last outing. I smell an upset, but in the end let's grab up the points!

The is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH on Austin Peay.

The set-up: Western Carolina is 7-7 and the VMI Keydets are 8-8. Western Carolina is out to snap a five-game losing streak. The Catamounts average 79.6 PPG, and they concede 78.4. Mason Faulkner is averaging 16 points and 4.8 assists.

The pick: The VMI Keydets are averaging 81.4 PPG, while conceding 77.2. The Keydets have split their last six games, but note that they're just 2-6 ATS in their last eight conference home games as a favorite in the +1.5 to +4.5 points range. Finally note that the road team is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 in this series. These teams are evenly matched for sure, but WCU enters as the hungrier side. I look for the Catamounts to find a way to deliver on the road.

The is a 10* BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH on Western Carolina.

The set-up: SIU is 4-5 and Eastern Illinois is 5-10. THe Cougars are averaging 67.2 PPG, while allowing 74.4. The Panthers are averaging 71.1 PPG and conceding 75.8. Eastern Illinois has faced a more difficult schedule and has the advantage of playing at home here. 

The pick: Eastern Illinois has lost five straight. Losing isn't fun. Winning is. THe Panthers though have an unbelievable opportunity here, as not only are the Cougars a bad team, but they also haven't even played since December 10th. I look for the hungrier, more in "game shape" Panthers to finally figure it out and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.

The is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Eastern Illinois.

The set-up: Davidson comes in off a 73-58 win over Fordham on Wednesday. It was an 18.5 point favorite and while the Wildcats have been winning, they have failed to cover in three straight. UMass comes in off a 65-46 win at Fordham last week as a nine point favorite. The Wildcats last three wins have been by at least 14 points though and I think they'll pull away for a comfortable cover finally here. 

The pick: UMass has covered in three straight, and while it does average 82.8 PPG, the Minutemen also concede 75 per contest. Davidson is the more complete team here, definitely better on the defensive end and note that it's 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road. The Minutemen are vastly improved, but I think their record has taken advantage of a favorable schedule to this point. I'm laying the points, but expecting a decisive victory.

The is a 10* ANNIHILATION on Davidson.

The set-up: Valparaiso is 3-9, while Illinois State is 5-8. Valparaiso comes in hungry to snap a five-game losing streak. OVerall the Crusaders are averaging 71.5 PPG, while conceding 67.5.

The pick: The Redbirds have lost five of their last seven. Overall Illinois State is averaging 76 PPG, while allowing 76.8. Illinois State's issues on the defensive end are going to be the issue here for it. Look for Valparaiso to pull away for the comfortable cover in the second half.

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Valpo.

The set-up: I think Wichita State comes in complacent here after its 19 points win at home over Tulsa, moving it to 8-3. Memphis is 6-3, and it'll be eager to return to form here after losing by one point to Tulsa on the road. The Shockers have covered the spread in all four of their road games this year, but I think that now swings the value to the home side here, as oddsmakers over compenstate in my opinion. 

The pick: Both teams are decent defensively, and overall they're evenly matched. But the Tigers are the hungrier team here and note that they're 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games after scoring 60 or less points in a SU/ATS road loss in their previous outing. This one has "letdown" written all over it for the Shockers in my opinion. Lay the short points.

This is a 10* BLOWOUT ELITE OF THE ELITE on Memphis.

The set-up: Duquesne is the "hungrier" team in this matchup after back-to-back losses. The Rams have won two of their last three. The Rams are averaging 74.5 PPG this year, but note that they're a poor 1-4 on the road this season. Duquesne is only averaging 62.8 PPG this year, but note that Dukes are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games after back-to-back SU/ATS losses. 

The pick: This is also a revenge game for the Dukes after the Rams blew them out in this game last year. The Rams' terrible play on the road is a very real factor here and while I do think the outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Duquesne.

The set-up: Duke is off a 74-67 loss at Virginia Tech in its latest action. It was the Blue Devils first conference loss. A couple of bright spots in defeat were Jeremy Roach, who had 22 points, and Matthew Hurt, who added 20 points and 11 rebounds. That was only the Blue Devils second road game of the year, and they looked shaky, going just 8 of 29 from 3-point range. But now the Blue Devils come to Pittsburgh focussed and hungry to bounce back. 

The pick: The Panthers enter having won six of their last seven, including two straight, most recently the 96-76 home beating of Syracuse as a four-point dog. Pittsburgh's been playing well of late, but the Blue Devils have done well in this matchup for years, going 8-2 the last ten in the series straight up. That included a 79-67 home win last year. Duke isn't the same Duke team as in year's past, and Pittsburgh is playing really well at the moment, but I think that off the loss to the Hokies, that the correct call in this matchup is for Duke to bounce back. 

The is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Duke.

The set-up: UConn has only played eight games this year, while most other teams have played closer to 14. The Huskies are also without three of their guards due to injury issues. St. John's is averaging 79 PPG, while allowing 78.5. The Huskies have averages 73.13 PPG, while allowing 61.75. 

The pick: UConn's only loss this year was a 76-74 setback to Creighton. Are the Huskies the better team here? Yes. But the lack of overall play has hampered them overall this year. St. John's has the offense to compete with any team in the nation and I expect it to give the home side everything it can handle today. Probably no outright, but much closer than expected. Grab the points.

The is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on St. John's.

The set-up: Memphis hasn't played since December 29th, when it beat USF by a score of 58-57. Tulsa is the perfect opponent to get warmed up against, as it's now 7-4 after getting destroyed 72-53 to Wichita State as a 3.5 point dog on Wednesday. This is a revenge game for the Tigers as well after Tulsa scored the 56-49 upset road victory last year. Memphis averages 72.1 PPG, while allowing 64.1. 

The pick: Tulsa's offense is poor, averaging only 68.7 PPG, while it concedes 61.3. Look for the longer layoff to in fact help here in the final stages of the regular season and expect Memphis to exact its revenge from last year's upset at home.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Memphis.

The set-up: Green Bay started off the season 0-9, but it comes to town having won three straight. Suffice it to say, I expect the Phoenix to finally stumble here after three wins in a row. Most recently Green Bay posted an 87-78 victory over Oakland. Detroit's been off since December 27th, when it lost to Oakland 83-80 as a 1-point favorite to fall to 1-7 overall. The Phoenix have covered or pushed in six straight games, and I can't see that streak continuing here vs. this ultra hungry Mercy side. 

The pick: Detroit is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine after allowing 80 or more points in a SU/ATS loss in its last outing. The Titans have failed to cover in four straight, but the extra time off will be beneficial here in my opinion. This is the first of two games, and I like the "hungrier" home side to risk life and limb here to defend its turf and to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points.

This is a 10* HORIZON LEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR on Detroit.

The set-up: After winning three-straight, I think that App State finally stumbles here. South Alabama enters desperate to break a three-game slide. The Mountaineers most recently took two close games over Georiga Southern. South Alabama struggled to contain Coastal Carolina in its most recent back-to-back losses, but it catches a break today facing the Mountaineers. 

The pick: App State allows teams to shoot 61.1 percent from inside the arc, so I look for Michael Flowers and the home side to push the pace here as they look to get back into the winners circle. I'll point out as well that App State has struggled mightily in this spot for bettors, going just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 road games following a three or more straight home contests. I like South Alabama to bounce back here and take advantage of App State's porous interior defense. Lay the short points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on South Alabama.

The set-up: George Mason has lost three straight to fall to 5-5 on the year. La Salle had its game against Fordham cancelled, then it most recently lost to UMass. The Explorers are oly averaging 67.6 PPG this year, as La Salle does not have a single player averaging in double-figures this season. 

The pick: The Patriots have struggled with consistency as well, but they have two players averaging in double figures (keep your eyes on Jordan Miller, who is averaging 15.1 PPG for George Mason). Finally note that the Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a double-digit home loss. Home court advantage can't be overlooked either. I'm laying the points and expecting a decisive home side victory.

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on George Mason.

The set-up: I like Wisconsin the underdog here, I think it sets up well for it to keep this one close down the stretch. Michigan has won and covered in four straight. In fact it's 10-0 straight up and 8-2 against the spread. Most recently the Wolverines pulled away for an 82-57 win at home over Minnesota. After this game, Michigan has the rematch with the Gophers in Minnesota this weekend, so it does in a small way set up as a look ahead spot for the home side. Wisconsin has been playing well this year also, it's 10-2 straight-up, but so far it hasn't been as kind to bettors, going just 5-6-1 against the spread. It's actually been trading wins and losses against the spread over its last six games, and while it did win 80-73 in overtime against the Hoosiers in its last outing it didn't cover the nine-point spread. So this pattern continues here, I like the Badgers to bounce back and get a cover here now as well.

The pick: These teams last played just before the Pandemic hit in February 2020 and the Badgers managed the 81-74 outright upset in that one. I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset here , but in my opinion, I think everything points to a really tight game.

This is a 10* BLOWOUT ELITE OF THE ELITE on Wisconsin.

The set-up: I like the 3-6 Sycamores to fight hard and to comfortably sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch. Loyola is 7-2 and it's won four straight, but winning can breed complacency. Indiana State is for sure the "hungrier" dog in this fight, as it's lost four straight. Twice to Drake and twice to Missouri State. 

The pick: The Ramblers only scored 57 points in their last game against North Texas and I think they'll have their hands full here against a Sycamore's team that's 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. I think this one sets up great for Indiana State in a number of ways. I'm grabbing the points for sure.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Indiana State.

The set-up: The Sun Devils hadn't played in three weeks in their 81-75 loss to UCLA in their last game. I think they'll bounce back here though vs. the Trojans, who beat Arizona 87-73 in their latest action. 

The pick: ASU comes in fresh here, despite the loss last time out. It's the "hungrier" does in this fight as well. With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched, but I think from a situational stand point, it favors the home side. Additionally note that the Trojans are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after scoring 86 or more points in SU/ATS conference victory in their last outing. While I obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* PAC 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on ASU.

The set-up: After winning three of its last four to return to .500, I think that UNT has a letdown here. Both teams have plenty of issues on both sides of the court. UNT has a decent defense that's conceding 63.5 PPG. UTSA though enters as the hungrier dog in this fight after back-to-back losses to Rice dropped it to 4-5. 

The pick: The Roadrunners have struggled defensively, but that unit catches a big break today facing the poor offense of UNT. This is the first game of two straight here and I think the desperate home side is the correct call. I think the Roadrunners high-tempo offense keeps them competitive late and while I wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* CONF. USA GAME OF THE YEAR on UTSA.

The set-up: Obviously I think that the St. Francis Red Flash have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points. The Red Flash come in as the hungrier side here after a 1-4 start, most recently falling 75-57 to Mount St. Mary's. Overall St. Francis (PA) is averaging 63 points, while allowing 75.8. 

The pick: Long Island is averaging 73.5 PPG, while allowing 71. On paper, the Sharks are the better team here, but with both teams having missed over three weeks since their last action, "rust" is going to be a major factor for chemistry here. The Red Flash are 7-2 ATS in their last nine conference road games as an underdog in the +2 to +4.5 points range as well. I think the home side gets caught flat-footed here. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on St. Francis.

The set-up: I like betting on teams which are "hungry" or "desperate." Cincinnati fits that bill perfectly here. The Bearcats are 2-6 overall and 0-3 in conference play. Most recently the fell 70-63 to Tulsa. SMU is 6-1 overall and 2-1 in league play, but that one loss came in their last outing, falling 74-60 to Houston. Here's a great spot for Cincinnati to take advantage of, as I think playing against teams which have been on an extended win streak, and which are coming off their first loss in a long stretch, are at times perfectly primed for another letdown in their next game immediately after that scenario plays out. 

The pick: Note as well that the Mustangs are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after a SU/ATS loss of ten or more points, while the Bearcats are 7-3 ATS in their last ten conference road games after three or more SU losses in a row. Grab the points for sure, but don't be shocked for an outright!

This is a 10* AAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Cincinnati.

The set-up: Utah State is the better teams, but New Mexico is by far the "hungrier" team in this matchup after dropping each of its first four Mountain West contests. Utah State comes in complacent here vs. its lowly opponent after winning six in a row. This is the start of three straight games in a row vs. each other, which also puts added incentive onto the home side to try and avoid getting swept in this series. 

The pick: New Mexico won its first three games, then dropped four. But I'll point out that the Lobos four losses cam against Nevada and Boise State, two teams with a combined 16-4 record right now. Utah State on the other hand has played suspect competition to this point, so its numbers are skewed. The underdog is also 4-1 ATS the last five in this series, while the home side is 10-2 ATS the last 12 between these schools. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is a 10* MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF THE MONTH on the New Mexico Lobos.

The set-up: George Mason has lost two of three, making it the much hungrier dog in this fight in my estimation. VCU has won six in a row, but winning can lead to complacency. Especially among young athletes. VCU is only conceding 54.6 PPG, but it also only has two players averaging in double figures. 

The pick: George Mason lost 74-65 in Dayton last time out. Four Patriots average in double figures, and note that the Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home game after an eight-points or greater SU road loss. I expect VCU to get caught looking ahead and look for the desperate home side to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on George Mason.

The set-up: I just played against the Longhorns after their upset win over KU, and now I'm also going to suggest a play against the Jayhawks here in this contest, as I believe they'll still be mentally caught up on their last poor effort. TCU has been great, 9-2 overall and it plays with revenge at home. 

The pick: Note as well that the Horned Frogs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. These teams are moving in opposite directions and I expect those trends to continue here. While the outright is possible, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* play on TCU.

The set-up: I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger against Texas, after it made a historic win on the road at Allen Field House, completely blowing out the Jayhawks. Iowa State beat the Longhorns last year, but it'll be focussed tonight afte rfalling to Baylor 76-65 in its last outing. 

The pick: After four-straight victories, and with a game at West Virginia up next, I think the Longhorns suffer a predictable letdown here (note that they are in fact just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after a 30 points or greater SU/ATS road victory.) This is a few too many points to be giving up, the play is on the visiting side.

This is an 8* play on Iowa State.

The set-up: NIU comes in as the more desperate team after starting 1-7. The Huskies have moved on from their former head coach Mark Montgomery and I expect the unit to respond here under Lamar Chapman. 

The pick: Ohio broke a three-game slide with a 78-68 win over Ball State in its last outing, but with back-to-back games at league-leading Toledo up next, I think the Bobcats get caught looking ahead and take the foot off the gas in the second half. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is an 8* play on Northern Illinois.

The set-up: Wyoming won the first game of this two game set by a narrow margin and I like the home side to get immediate revenge. Wyoming has now won six in a row and I think it'll finally crack here and have a letdown. Wyoming averages 84.6 PPG, but it only managed 78 in the win over the Bulldogs. 

The pick: Fresno State had a couple games cancelled due to COVID issues early and since then it's gone 1-3. But now I expect the Bulldogs to finally get back on track here; one player to keep your eyes on is 7-0 Orlando Robinson, who averages 15.6 PPG. I look for Fresno State to bounce back here and be the much hungrier dog in this Mountain West battle. Lay the points.

This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on Fresno State.

The set-up: Winning can lead to complacency. Especially among young players. Winthrop has jumped out to a big 7-0 start, but I believe it'll finally get caught flat-footed here and leave the door open just wide enough for the hungry home side to sneak in through down the stretch. The Buccanneers are only 1-5. The Eagles are perfect so far, but there have been a few very close calls. 

The pick: Charleston Southern has been competitive in defeat and it won't be lacking for motivation today. This is a revenge game as well. One player to keep your eyes on tonight for Charleston Southern is Phlandrous Fleming, who managed 19 points with 10 rebounds and three assists in his team's most recent setack to Hampton on December 22nd. Winthrop is the better team, but the overall situation sets up well for the home side. I'm not predicting an outright, but I do think the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

This is a 10* BIG SOUTH GAME OF THE YEAR on Charleston Southern.

The set-up: Drake is 11-0, but it hasn't played since before the New Year and I think it'll come out a bit flat here and look past its lowly opponent. Drake beat Indiana State in back-to-back games most recently, while the Salukis enter off their first loss of the season 84-72 to Evansville. Southern Illinois has six players which average at least 7.9 PPG, led by Marcus Domask with 18.1 per contest. 

The pick: Drake was down at the half in each of its games vs. the Sycamores, only to come back and not only win, but also go on to cover. The Bulldogs perfect record to this point puts a big red target on their backs - look for this under the radar Salukis side to keep this one much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. 

This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on Southern Illinois.

The set-up: Jacksonville is 6-4 and Kennesaw State is 3-5. Jacksonville has played the stiffer competitoin to this point, most recently coming off a 70-46 loss to K-State. Corey Romich was a bright spot in defeat with ten points and five boards. 

The pick: Kennesaw State has lost three in a row, most recently an 81-71 setback to Mercer. These teams numbers are similar, but Jacksonville has faced the better competition and note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine road game after failing to score 50 points in a SU/ATS loss in its last outing. I'm laying the short points.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Jacksonville.

The set-up: Is Boise State the better team? It's 6-1, so of course it is. San Jose State is just 1-4. Am I suggesting that you play the Spartans on the moneyline? Of course I'm not, I'm suggesting that you grab all these points, because from a situational standpoint, this one sets up brilliantly for the underdog in my opinion. 

The pick: Boise State enters off an 89-52 win over New Mexico, and note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games after a 30 points or greater SU/ATS victory. San Jose State enters off an 85-52 loss at Utah State, and note that it's 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home games after a 30 points or greater SU/ATS road loss. This is the first game of a two-game set between the teams, with the other coming on January 3rd. Look for the Spartans to keep this one competitive until the end. Grab the points.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG ULTIMATE BLOWOUT on San Jose State.

The set-up: Murray State is 4-3 and 1-1 in the OVC, while Belmont is 8-1 and 2-0. These two teams dominate this conference. These teams have both won the conference championship over the last two years. The Racers have lost all three true road games they've played, and with six of their first seven OVC contests away from friendly confines, today's road game definitely takes on added importance for Murray State. 

The pick: Belmont comes in off a 72-63 win over Evansville, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU victories in a row. These teams are evenly matched for sure, but I like the "hungrier" dog in this fight. A great situational play on Murray State.

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Murray State.

The set-up: This is the second game of a back-to-back between the teams. Last night Drake won its ninth straight (both SU and ATS) vs. the Sycamores by a score of 81-63. The Bulldogs are the better team on paper here, averaging 86.4 PPG and allowing 60. Indiana State only trailed by one at half-time, but a slow start to the second-half doomed the Sycamores after that. I actually had a play on Indiana State yesterday afternoon, and while that big play failed to deliver, I'm back on the Sycamores here in this bounce-back position. 

The pick: Previous to the loss to the Bulldogs, Indiana State had won two in a row. It averages 69.4 PPG and it allows 69.2. All good things do come to an end though and with a few days off before a January 3rd home and home set vs. the lowly Southern Illinois Salukis, I think the stage is now set for Drake to finally have a mental lapse here. The Sycamores are definitely the more motivated side here and I think they can keep this one competitive not only for just the first half this time, but for the entire game. Grab the points, expect a "nail-biter!" 

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana State.

The set-up: Drake is 9-0 and 7-0 ATS. They say all good things have to come to an end, and I think that time is now for Drake. Overall it averages 86.4 PPG, while allowing 60.0. On paper, obviously Drake is the better team. Indiana State is 3-2, averaging 69.2 PPG and conceding 69.4. As I said, on paper, clearly Drake is the better team. 

The pick: Indiana State though won't be rolling over here. Note that it's 3-0 SU at home. Drake's early competition needs to be called into question here as well, as it enters off an 88-55 win over lowly North Dakota. Note that this is a back-to-back set as well, with each team playing here again tomorrow. I'll point out though that the Sycamores are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games as an underdog in the +2.5 to +5.5 points range. In a contest which I see coming right down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points in what I feel to be a prime situational spot wagering position for the home side.

This is a 10* MISSOURI VALLEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Indiana State.

The set-up: The Phoenix are winless on the year and they come in hungry after a 74-62 loss to Milwaukee in their last game. The Raiders on the other hand look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after beating Detroit 85-72 last time out. Losing isn't fun, and after starting the season 0-6, I don't think we have to question the visiting sides motivation levels this evening. Overall Wisconsin has averaged 66.2 PPG and conceded 83. 

The pick: THe Raiders have won four straight, as they average 79.6 PPG and allow 67.2. Clearly Wright State is the better team, but I think that it gets caught complacent and I believe it'll take the foot off the gas in the second half as it looks ahead to its game against this very same team tomorrow night. Finally note that the Phoenix are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference road games as an underdog in the +15.5 to +17.5 points range. A few too many points to be giving up to this hungry visiting side that's desperate to break into the win column. I'm grabbing the points. 

This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on Wisconsin Green Bay.

The set-up: The Hawkeyes are 7-1, including a 70-55 win over Purdue last time out. The GOlden Gophers are 7-1 overall (0-1 in conference play though) and most recently coming off a 90-82 win over Saint Louis. The Hawkeyes are led by Luka Garza, who averages 28.4 points and 9.1 boards per game. Both teams allow roughly the same amount of points (Iowa concedes 70.6, while Minnesota allows 73.5), so let's call that deparment a "wash." 

The pick: Marcus Carr leads the charge for the Golden Gophers, he had 32 points in the win over the Billikens. Garza's an amazing player, but note that Minnesota is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference home games as an underdog in the +5.5 to +8.5 points range. I like Carr and company to battle tough here as they look to pull off the upset at home on X-Mas Day, while avoiding the 0-2 conference hole to open the season. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Minnesota.

The set-up:

The pick:

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Butler.

The set-up: I'm looking at this game, looking at each teams' records, looking at what they did in their most recent matchup against each other, looking at what they did in their last games and leading up to this moment. I'm looking at each team's schedule to see who they play next. Wisconsin is great obviously, it's 6-1 overall and 6-0 at home. Nebraska is 4-3 overall and just 2-4 against the spread on the road, but I think there are some great situational and motivational factors working in favor of the Huskers here, and while I'm not going to call for an outright upset, I do think that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. First off, Nebraska does play with revenge here after it lost 81-64 to Wisconsin in their last matchup back on February 15th, just before the Pandemic hit. This sets up as a look-ahead spot for Wisconsin as well, with a big nationally televised Christmas Day matchup at Michigan State. Nebraska lost to Creighton 98-74, but then it bounced back with a confidence-building 110-64 win over Doane in its most recent action.

The pick: I'm primarily a situational or motivational handicapper, the actual players on the court or on the field usually don't even factor into my decision making process when handicapping, and for me, this particular contest definitely sets up well for Nebraska. I think Wisconsin comes in complacent, I think it gets caught looking ahead to its game vs. the Spartans, and I like Nebraska here in this revenge spot and getting the points. No outright, but closer than expected.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR on Nebraska.

The set-up: The Sacred Heart Pioneers are 1-2 and the Wagner Seahawks are 0-3. Sacred Heart bounced-back from a loss to LIU, to then beat LIU 87-72 in the rematch on Thursday. Wagner though has faced much stiffer competition in the early going, losing 78-45 to Seton Hall, and then falling twice to Bryant, 74-62 and 81-75. Wagner was led by 29 points and eight boards from Elijah Ford in the most recent setback and it's gotten progressively better with each outing this year, despite the win/loss record.

The pick: Note as well that Wagner is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after three or more SU losses in a row. Look for the Pioneers to once again struggle on the road here and look for the hungrier home side to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points and expect a blowout.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Wagner.

The set-up: Providence has won two straight. The Friars come in fresh as their last two games have been postponed due to COVID issues. In their last game they beat TCU 79-70 as one-point underdogs. Seton Hall comes in off a 70-63 win over Marquette. Providence is well-balanced, led by David Duke it averages 74.5 PPG and it concedes 70.3. 

The pick: The Pirates have won four in a row. Seton Hall is led by Sandro Mamukelasvhili, as the Pirates average 76.5 PPG and allow 70.3. These teams are very evenly matched, but I like the well-rested Friars to pull off the minor upset here (that said, grab as many points as you can!)

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Providence.

The set-up: Weber State is 3-1, coming off a 94-66 win over Portland State on Friday. With a road game at BYU on Thursday though, I expect Weber State to get caught complacent and looking ahead to that contest. Portland State is the hungrier revenge-minded team here. Previous to Friday's loss Portland State lost to Washington State.  

The pick: The Vikings are still 4-1 ATS in their last five at home despite the loss on Friday, so I'm confident that this hungrier home side can bounce back. Weber State gets caught looking ahead and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Portland State.

The set-up: At 3-1, I think that Marist is underrated in this matchup. Overall the Red Foxes are averaging 65 PPG and they're allowing 64.5. The Manhattan Jaspers are 2-2, averaging 75.5 PPG, but conceding a whopping 79.5. 

The pick: The Red Foxes have the much better defense and that's going to matter here, as the Jaspers depth has to be called into question here. Look for the Red Foxes to do just enough offensively here to secure a solid cover.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Marist.

The set-up: I like the 1-5 Fairleigh Dickinson Knights to pull off the minor upset in this one. Drexel comes in off a very satisfying 81-77 win over St. Joe's in its last outing and I think a predictable letdown is imminent here. Overall the Dragons average 68 PPG and they allow 63. 

The pick: The Knights come in with momentum, beting Central Connecticut State 79-71 for their first win of the year last time out. Fairleigh Dickinson is averaging 72 PPG and it's allowing 82.8. I'll point out though that Drexel is an extremely poor 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 on the road, while Fairleigh Dickinson is 6-2 ATS in its last eight against a team with a losing road record. The Knights have faced some stiff competition this yar (Rutgers, Providence) and they play better at home than on the road. And I think they're the much hungrier dog in this fight. Grab the points.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on Fairleigh Dickinson.

The set-up: I'm not predicting an outright upset, but I do think the conditions are right for Air Force to keep this one a lot closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Air Force is only averaging 55.8 PPG, but the Falcons only concede 62.3. Chris Joyce is averaging 15.8 points and 2.8 rebounds. Nevada is 5-2 and Air Force is 2-2. The Wolf Pack average 71.9 PPG and they allow 68.6. Grant Sherfield is averaging 17.6 points and 4.1 rebounds. 

The pick: These teams will play again on Sunday. Air Force is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a road dog in the +11.5 to +14.5 points range as well. I think the Falcons' tough defensive play keeps things close in the first game of this weekend series. Grab the points.

This is an 8* UNDERDOG DESTRUCTION on Air Force.

The set-up: The 6-0 Drake Bulldogs come in complacent and caught flat vs. this hungry 1-5 South Dakota team in my opinion. The Bulldogs early numbers are skewed due to the level of competition they've faced (averaging 84 and conceding 60.2.) The Coyotes are averaging 68.7 PPG and allowing 76. 

The pick: Drake smashed Air Force 81-53 at home in its last outing, but with two straight "cream puffs" at home before the X-Mas Break (Chicago State and North Dakota), I think the Bulldogs get caught looking ahead here. South Dakota lost to Drake 69-53 in late November, so the "revenge factor" comes into play here as well. I like the hungry underdog home side to at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. 

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on South Dakota.

The set-up: St. Joes lost to Auburn in OT to open the season, and then it lost by 22 to Kansas immediatley after. The Hawks have had to deal with some COVID issues over the last couple of weeks, so they come in rested/focused and prepared. Drexel is 3-2 so far, but it's competition is suspect for sure. Last year the Dragons were 14-19. The Hawks have plenty of veteran talent, led by Taylor Funk and Ryan Daly. 

The pick: Saint Joseph's is being undervalued in this spot. Yes, we have more to draw upon from Drexel, but as mentioned above, its competition to this point has been far from difficult. The trend in the early going for CBB teams dealing with COVID issues is that they've struggled a bit, but I'm bucking that trend here. The Hawks have a deep and talented group and this is the perfect opponent to get untracked against. While the outright win is obviously in play here, I'll still recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* SLAM-DUNK on St. Joseph's.

The set-up: North Dakota at 1-5 comes in under the radar here in my estimatoin vs. the 3-0 Southern Illinois Salukis. The Fighting Hawks are averaging 66 PPG and allowing 71.5. Southern Illinois has averaged 86.3 PPG and it's allowed 68.7. 

The pick: Yes, North Dakota is struggling in areas, but Southern Illinois' early numbers are skewed due to the level of the competition it's faced. North Dakota is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten road games as an underdog in the +7 to +10.5 points range. I think the Salukis come in complacent, get caught looking past their lowly opponent, and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to this one being decided in the closing moment. Therefore, I'm grabbing the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on North Dakota.

The set-up:

The pick:

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Montana.

The set-up: The Oral Roberts Golden Eagles are ranked #38th in offense and 276th in defense and the Oklahoma Sooners are ranked #30th in offense and 257th in defense. Oklahoma is coming off a 31-point win over Florida A&M on Saturday, but with the Big 12 schedule starting this weekend, with a game at home vs. Texas Tech, I think the stage is set for a minor letdown from the home side here. 

The pick: Oral Roberts comes in with momentum as well after beating sub-divison Bacone 96-65 in its latest action. Oral Roberts has been extremely competitive this year already, taking both Wichita State and Oklahoma State down to the wire in five-point losses. This is a few too many points for the Sooners to cover here, so make sure to grab as many as you can!

This is a 9* $UPER-$HOCKER on Oral Roberts.

The set-up: The 2-5 Mavericks are going to sneak in under the radar here in my opinion and easily get the job done by sneaking in through the back door down the stretch. In the early going the Mavericks are averaging 61.7 PPG and allowing 77.1. Only two players average in double figures for the Mavericks. I'm not going to try and convince you that Nebraska Omaha is a good team that's just run into some bad luck, as that's not the case. In every respect the Buffs are the better team. They're 3-1 and they average 72 points, while allowing 55. 

The pick: But with its Pac 12 schedule set to begin against Washington this weekend, I do think that Colorado takes the foot off the gas in the second half. Additionally note that Colorado has struggled mightily in this exact position for bettors by going just 2-5 ATS in its last seven at home and just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 overall. A great situational play here, as I look for the hungry Mavericks to comfortably cover with a solid push in the second half vs. this Colorado team which will cruise to victory and take the foot off the gas as it's winding down.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Nebraska Omaha.

The set-up: The Ramblers come in under the radar and post a solid cover here in my opinion. Loyola Chicago is 3-0 after a solid 77-66 win over UIC last time out. The Ramblers are averaging 80.3 points and allowing just 55. Loyola Chicago gets the job done with a combination of experience, depth and strong defensive play. 

The pick: Wisconsin comes in off a 73-62 win over URI. But with over a week off before a home game against Nebraska, followed by an X-Mas Day road matchup at Michigan State, this one sets up as a classic "trap" for the Badgers. Wisconsin averages 77.8 PPG, while allowing 59.2, but note that the Badgers just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after holding a team to 65 points or less in a victory in their last outing. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Loyola Chicago.

The set-up: Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I do expect this one to be a lot closer than what this spread would suggest. Charlotte is 1-3 and Davidson is 3-2. The 49ers loss to Appalachian State last time out. Davidson comes in off victories over UNLV and Georgia Southern. The Wildcats have been competitive this year, but consistency from game-to-game has been a concern in the early going. Davidson is also just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after an ATS victory. 

The pick: Charlotte's win/loss record is not indicative of how it's played. It's gotten progressively better and more competitive with each outing, losing 66-57 to East Carolina, 76-65 to Georgia State, before then beating SC State 78-40, before then falling 61-58 to the Mountaineers last time out. Note that the 49ers are also 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 following a straight-up loss. No outright, but look for the hungrier 49ers to cmofortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Charlotte.

The set-up: Coastal Carolina is 4-0 and I think it comes to play today. Most recently the Chanticleers smashed subdivision Greensboro 103-45. CC has played some terrible competition, but in the early going it's numbers are definitely impressive, averaging 102.8 PPG and conceding just 60. 

The pick: Wofford comes in reeling after back-to-back losses. Most recently the Terriers lost a heart-breaking 58-56 contest against USF. Wofford averages 81.8 PPG and it allows 55.3. When looking at these line-ups, the numbers are very evenly matched. This one comes down to motivation and momentum and while I do think the outright win is possible, let's grab the points as this one is destined to come right down to the wire.

This is an 8* COACH'S CORNER on Coastal Carolina.

The set-up: San Diego is 0-1, as it's had four of its games either canceled or postponed due to COVID. San Diego was supposed to open with Cal State Fullerton, but instead when it did finally get to play it had to face UCLA. Now the Toreros finally get to play at home and I think they'll rally and find a way to take care of the 4-2 Wolfpack, who enter off an 87-77 loss to Grand Canyon State. The Wolfpack are playing their seventh game, while San Diego is playing just its second. I think fatigue is a factor for Nevada tonight. 

The pick: The Torero's are a younger team, but with a spread like this, clearly the oddsmaker think these teams are very evenly matched. But the outside situational factors listed above working in favor of the home side makes it the correct call here in my opinion. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on San Diego.

The set-up: Mercer is 5-0 and Georgia Southern is 3-1. After three straight wins, the Eagles lost to a tough Davidson team last time out. The Bears have looked sharp in the early going, but I think these teams are very evenly matched. 

The pick: Mercer has also played four smaller schools during its 5-0 start, so its numbers are skewed. I think the Bears take a step back in this difficult road venue and I look for the Eagles to bounce back after falling to Davidson and improve to 7-2 ATS in their last nine following a SU/ATS loss. Grab the points.

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Georgia Southern.

The set-up: Am I predicting an outright upset? Of course not! In my opinion, this is a great "situational spot wager." The Cleveland State Vikings are 0-2 and they're completely outclassed here, but I think they'll catch Ohio State flat-footed and disinterested here and I expect them to have a golden opportunity to keep this one close enough in the second half with the large spread it's been afforded. The Buckeyes squeaked by Notre Dame 90-85 last time out, and with a game at Purdue up next, following by a neutral court affair vs. North Carolina, can anyone say "look ahead" spot as well?!

The pick: Cleveland State threw in the white flag early in its 55 point loss to Ohio, but with that awkward and humbling blowout out of the way I think the Vikings are in fact being undervalued here. This is a great situational spot bet. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Cleveland State.

The set-up: La Salle is the "hungrier" dog in this fight at 1-3. So far in the early going the Explorers are averaging 63.8 points and allowing 67.3. Drexel has won three in a row and enters at 4-1, averaging 69.8 PPG and conceding 60.8. On paper, clearly Drexel is the better team. 

The pick: But I'll caution on reading too much into any of these numbers at this point. In a normal season, it's difficult to properly assess a team until after a full month is played. These teams are just starting their seasons and clearly the oddsmakers also believe they're very evenly matched with a spread like this. La Salle though is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after scoring 80 or more points in a victory in its last outing. Grab the points.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on La Salle.

The set-up: Marist is 2-0, coming off two close victories and I expect another battle until the final horn tonight as well vs. the Golden Griffins. Last year the Red Foxes were just 7-23 and they lost to Canisius twice. This is Canisius's first game of the year and while it did beat Marist twice last season, it still only finished 12-20 overall. Marist returns key players from last year's team and a major improvement is expected. Keep your eyes on Michael Cubbage, who averaged 13.5 PPG last year. 

The pick: The Golden Griffins return key players as well, but I think that chemistry is going to be an issue. Marist has two games under its belt and I think that's crucial here. Marist is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine after two or more SU victories in a row. The outright is possible obviously, but grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Marist.

The set-up: The Gophers are 5-0 straight-up, but they're only 1-3-1 ATS, failing to cover in three straight. I think that trend ends here in blowout fashion. UMKC is 2-2 so far, dropping its last two, most recently 62-58 to K-State. Minnesota enters off an 85-80 win over Boston College, getting 22 points from Marcus Carr. These teams aren't even close to being on the same level and there's no risk of the Gophers losing this game outright. Minnesota will win this game easily and I think also cover the spread at the same time as it looks to take advantage of this matchup, before tough upcoming games at Illinois and versus Iowa, Michigan State and Wisconsin. 

The pick: Minnesota is also 4-1 ATS in its last five after three straight ATS losses, while UMKC is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after scoring 60 points or less in a SU loss in its previous outing. The Gophers have one last chance to pad their stats before the meat of their schedule and I look for them to do just that. Lay the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Minnesota.

The set-up: Cal is 2-3 and I think it's going to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire with the 2-2 Pepperdine Waves. Cal has lost to Oregon State, Arizona State and UCLA so far, while the Waves have lost to UCLA and SDSU. Both teams have struggled with stiffer competition and done well against the lower-tiered teams. 

The pick: The Waves were dominated in the second half in their loss to the Aztecs 45-26. Cal for the most part has been very competitive this year. The Golden Bears have responded well in this spot for bettors over the years though, as they're 12-4 ATS in their last 15 after scoring 58 points or less in a SU/ATS loss in their last outing. There's only a handful of games left for these teams in the regular season and I just don't see a very big talent gap whatsoever between these clubs. I think it'll come down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last and in a situation like that, I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Cal.

The set-up: Outright victory? Anything under 10 points and it's always a very real possibility in basketball. The Herd are 2-0 and COC is 1-2. Marshall enters off an 80-64 win over Wright State. So far the Herd are averaging 75 points and allowing 60. 

The pick: COC is coming off an 81-57 loss to Furman. Zep Jasper was a lone bright spot with 12 points. COC is averaging 72.3 PPG and it's allowing 73, but note that it's 7-1 ATS in its last eight after scoring 60 points or less in a SU/ATS loss in its previous outing. I think this one comes down to the wire, so grab as many points as you can.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on College Of Charleston.

The set-up: Rhode Island is 3-2 and Wisconsin is 3-1. After three straight victories, I think the Rams take a step back here. Rhode Island averages 79.2 PPG, while allowing 73. Fatts Russell is averaging 17.6 points and 3.6 assists to lead the team. 

The pick: The Badgers average 79 points, while conceding only 58.5. Leading the way is Nate Reuvers, who is averaging 14 points and 4.5 rebounds, along with Micah Potter, who is averaging 12.8 points and 6.5 rebounds. Both teams are strong. But a loss to Marquette aside, the Badgers have National Championship caliber and I expect them to pull away down the stretch, as I look for their elite level defense to be just too much for the Rams to handle. Lay the points.

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL MISMATCH on Wisconsin.

The set-up: USC is 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS. With Stanford coming to town this weekend, I think the Trojans take the foot off the gas in the second half and I like the 1-2 SU UC Irvine Anteaters to take advantage. USC comes in off its first loss of the year, a 61-58 setback to UConn, while UC Irvine enters off its first win of the year, a 104-54 win over La Sierra. 

The pick: USC is winning by an average margin of 11.2 PPG this year, but it's also just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after scoring 60 points or less in a SU/ATS loss in its previous outing. Look for the hungry Anteaters to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

This is a 10* $UPER-$HOCKER on UC Irvine.

The set-up: Outright victory? I'm not calling for one. That said, I do think this one will come right down to the wire and as such, I'm grabbing the ample points. Montana is 0-2. It won't be lacking for motivation today and that's what I like when I look at potential teams to wager on. Overall the Grizzlies are averaging 66.3 PPG and allowing 71.7. 

The pick: Georgia is off to a 3-0 start, but its competition has been suspect. The Bulldogs have over a week off after this game, and then conference play begins with Cincinnati coming to town. The Bulldogs are not a great team and I think they get caught looking ahead. Note as well that the Grizzlies are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses. As mentioned off the top, no outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Montana.

The set-up: Lipscomb is 1-3, while Southeast Missouri State is 1-1. The Bison beat Lamar in their opener, but it's faced three stiff opponents since and gone 0-3 (Tulane, Cininnati and Arkansas.) The Redhawks lost to Southern Illinois in their last outing. The Bison have performed well in this spot for bettors going, going 5-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS loss. 

The pick: The Redhawks on the other hand are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. teams with losing SU records. The Bison do indeed have a losing SU record, but that's due to the level of early competition. I look for Lipscomb's depth to prove to be too much for the Redhawks to handle. Lay the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Lipscomb.

The set-up: FAU is 2-2 and North Florida is 0-5. The Owls are coming off back-to-back victories, but I think they finally stumble here vs. this desperate Ospreys side. In the early going FAU is averaging 81.8 PPG and allowing 58.3. This is in large part due to the level of its early competition though obviously. 

The pick: The Ospreys average 61.8 PPG and they allow 82.8. UNF has faced some decent competition out of the gate, but after four-straight on the road and one neutral site game, a little home-cooking is just what the doctor ordered for the Ospreys. With a week off before another game at Stetson, I think FAU gets caught looking ahead and flat-footed here. I'm grabbing the points, but would not be shocked by the outright victory.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on North Florida.

The set-up: Kentucky is 1-2 and Georgia Tech is 0-2. Last year Kentucky won this game 67-53, setting this up as a revenge spot for the home side. The Wildcats have lost their last two games and after their disappointing setback to Kansas in their last outing, I believe they come out flat here. Richmond also upset Kentucky 76-64 as a 6.5 point dog this year. 

The picks: Georgia Tech is desperate as it looks to avoid the 0-3 hole. The Yellow Jackets can smell the blood in the water, as this Kentucky team is just not the same as in year's past after losing its top six scorers from a year ago. Additionally note that Kentucky is just 1-4-1 ATS in its last six road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Public perception has driven this road line larger than it should be. Outright is possible, but I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can in the end.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Georgia Tech.

The set-up:

The picks:

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on UCF.

The set-up: The Samford Bulldogs are 1-1 and the Belmont Bruins are 3-0. Am I predicting an outright upset here? I'm not. But I do think this one'll be a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Samford is averaging 87 PPG and it's allowing 75.5. Of course, the sample size is small, but the season is a short one. 

The picks: The Bruins are averaing 81.7 PPG and they're allowing 68.7. These teams numbers are similar in the early going. Belmont is absolutely the better team here, but I think it gets caught looking past its lowly opponent and takes the foot off the gas in the second half. Samford's offense has impressed early and I think it'll hang tight late. Grab the points!

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Samford.

The set-up: Both teams are winless. North Florida is 0-4 and High Point is 0-2. North Florida though has faced "murderers row" early thogh, with contests vs. Eastern Kentucky, NC State, Miami and Florida State. High Point has lost to Davidson and Elon. 

The pick: These teams are similar, but I've seen much more from the Ospreys and than the Panthers his season. Note as well that High Point is a poor 12-26 ATS in its last 38 home games, while North Florida is 21-6 ATS in it slast 27 road games. The Panthers are thin after their starters and that plays into this one as well. An outright is possible, but in the end grab as many points as you can.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on North Florida.

The set-up: Minnesota is 3-0, most recently coming off a 67-64 win over Loyola Marymount. The Gophers average 84.7 PPG, and they concede just 68.7. North Dakota is 0-2, averaging 70.2, but allowing 77.5. Clearly Minnesota is the better team, but I think it takes the foot off the gas in the second half as it gets ready for Boston College to come to town on Monday. 

The pick: The Fighting Hawks are bad, but they know how to score. This is a great situational play in my opinion and just too many points, as I think the Gophers shiny 3-0 start has the general betting public helping in pushing this line a little too high. Clearly I'm not calling for an outright, but definitely closer than expected!

This is a 10* $UPER-$HOCKER on North Dakota.

The set-up: In a game which I see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points. The Rockets are 2-2 after four games, while EMU is 0-1 after falling 83-67 at Michigan State to open up its campaign. The Rockets most recently beat Cleveland State 70-61 at home, but I think they'll struggle to find that same consistency on the road. EMU has four starters returning from a team that went 16-16 and I expect their determination after the setback to the Spartans to be a difference-maker here. 

The picks: EMU is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games following a ten points or greater SU road loss. Home court can't be overlooked as a very real advantage in this matchup. The outright is possible, but in the end let's grab the points!

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Eastern Michigan.

The set-up: Arizona State smashed Houston Baptist 100-77 last time out. Cal is riding a two-game winning streak, but I think it's completely outclassed here. Cal beat Nicholls 60-49 last time out. Arizona State averages 89.3 PPG, while Cal allows 60.3. 

The pick: This is the first true test for both teams this season. The season is still young. ASU has more depth and experience though and note that Cal is 0-5 the last five in this series. Arizona State on the other hand is 9-3 in its last 12 vs. unranked opponents. Cal doesn't have the scoring to keep pace, so lay the points!

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT on Arizona State.