| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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| 08-08-25 | Edmonton Elks +2 v. Montreal | Top | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
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ASAwins CFL Edmonton Elks +2 vs. Montreal Alouettes (August 8, 2025) 7:30pm ET - Despite their 1-6 record, the Elks are getting less than a field goal on the road in Montreal? That doesn’t add up. Edmonton is coming off a near upset of the Hamilton Tiger-Cats last week in a close 28-24 loss. With Cody Fajardo at quarterback, Edmonton’s offense has been revitalized, as he completed 79.3% of his passes for 603 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception over his last two starts. This is particularly relevant as Fajardo faces his former team, Montreal, in a revenge game, adding extra motivation. Edmonton has covered the spread in two straight visits to Montreal and has a money-making 8-4 ATS record in their last 12 road games. QB Fajardo’s 79.3% completion rate and 8.6 yards per attempt in recent games should exploit Montreal’s secondary, which ranks third in passing yards allowed (251.2 per game) but is depleted by injuries. The Alouettes are missing key players, including starting QB Davis Alexander and top receivers Austin Mack and Tyson Philpot, weakening their offense. Backup QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson struggled last week, managing only 126 passing yards with an interception in a 34-6 loss to Saskatchewan. Montreal is 2-2 SU at home this season but one of those wins was by just 1-point. Edmonton’s last three losses have been by a combined 11 points and is an indicator this team is better than their 1-6 SU record this season. The Elks should keep this game within a field goal, if not pull off the upset. |
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| 08-02-25 | Saskatchewan -2.5 v. Montreal | Top | 34-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
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ASAwins CFL play on Saskatchewan Roughriders -2.5 @ Montreal Alouettes - Saturday, August 2, 7:00 p.m. ET - Saskatchewan sits atop the CFL with a 6-1 record and have proven to be one of the best teams in the league. The Roughriders’ elite defense and efficient offense, led by quarterback Trevor Harris, are playing at a very high level. Montreal’s injury concerns at key offensive positions will be tough to overcome, even with this being a home game for the Als. Saskatchewan leads the CFL with 20 sacks, including eight in their Week 8 win over Edmonton. Their run defense is the league’s best, allowing just 66.9 rushing yards per game at 4.6 yards per attempt. Trevor Harris ranks fifth in passing yards with 11 touchdowns and only four interceptions. Saskatchewan averages 395.9 total yards per game (2nd in CFL) and 106.7 rushing yards per game. Montreal is without starting quarterback Davis Alexander (hamstring) and top receivers Tyson Philpot and Austin Mack, both questionable after missing practice. Saskatchewan’s defensive pressure could force errors from backup QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson as Montreal lacks a reliable rushing attack to take the pressure off him. The Alouettes rank 6th in total rushing yards per game, 7th in yards per rush at 4.9. We like the Rough Riders to keep their perfect road record intact with a 7-point win in Montreal. |
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| 07-27-25 | Hamilton v. BC -2.5 | Top | 37-33 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
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ASA CFL play on British Columbia -2.5 vs. Hamilton – 7pm ET Sunday - Let me get this straight, the 4-2 Eastern Division leader Tiger-Cats are an underdog at 3-4 and 4th place in the Western Division British Columbia? You bet we are going contrarian here and taking the home favorite while the public supports Hamilton. Hamilton’s 4 wins this season have come against Ottawa, Toronto and Montreal (at home). Ottawa and Toronto along with Edmonton are looking like the three worst teams in the CFL with 1 win each. The Tiger’s have great offensive numbers, leading the league in scoring, but they are one of the worst rushing teams and average in terms of Yards Per Play. Defensively the Tigers have some misleading statistics from playing some of the worst offenses. BC is at home here and desperate to stay in contention in the West, trailing Winnipeg, Saskatchewan and Calgary in the standings. The Lions have faced the much tougher schedule with two games against 6-1 Saskatchewan, two versus 3-2 Winnipeg and one against 5-2 Montreal. BC can run it effectively at 5.4 yards per rush and 100 yards per game. The home team has won 4 straight in this series and we expect BC to win this game by more than a FG. |
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| 07-19-25 | Saskatchewan v. BC -2.5 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
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ASA CFL play on BC Lions -2.5 vs. Saskatchewan Rough Riders, 7pm ET Saturday July 19, 2025 - We like the BC Lions versus the Saskatchewan Roughriders today, partly fueled by revenge from their 37-18 loss on June 28, 2025. BC’s league-leading passing offense (295.6 yards per game) and top-ranked pass defense (6.2 yards per attempt allowed) give them an edge against Saskatchewan’s 8th-ranked opponent net offense (356.1 yards). Despite Saskatchewan’s elite run defense, BC’s balanced rushing attack (105.4 yards per game) and passing attack with Nathan Rourke have the overall edge in this matchup. The Lions have faced a daunting schedule and yet their defense is 1st in opponent net offense. Saskatchewan lost last week to Calgary and was exposed in the process. The Lions have gained some momentum with two straight wins over Edmonton and Montreal and should be highly motivated for some payback against the Rough Riders today. Lay the short number. |
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| 07-18-25 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -3 | Top | 41-20 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
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ASA CFL Winnipeg Blue Bombers -3 vs Calgary Stampeders 8:30 pm ET (July 18, 2025) - The Calgary Stampeders (4-1) take on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-1) in a Week 7 CFL showdown at Princess Auto Stadium. Calgary dominated their last meeting, winning 37-16 in Week 5, with Vernon Adams Jr. outshining Zach Collaros, who threw two costly interceptions, both returned for TD's. The Stampeders’ offense ranks 2nd in the CFL (410.0 yards/game), and their defense leads the league, allowing just 18.2 points per game. Winnipeg, coming off a bye, looks to leverage their home-field advantage and running back Brady Oliveira to rebound. The Bombers’ offense (4th, 382.2 yards/game) is more than capable of keeping pace. The Blue Bombers are motivated to avenge their earlier loss, and their bye week allowed strategic adjustments to counter Calgary’s aggressive defense. Collaros should exploit Calgary’s 6th-ranked pass defense (279.4 yards/game), while Oliveira establishes the run. Winnipeg has won 8 of the last ten meetings with Calgary and the home team has won 3 straight in the series. THe Bombers have a pair of double-digit home wins this season and should get another one here. |
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| 07-12-25 | Ottawa v. Hamilton -5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
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ASA CFL play on Hamilton -5 vs Ottawa – 7pm ET - The Tiger-Cats are coming off a strong 35-17 victory over the Montreal Alouettes, led by quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell and receiver Kenny Lawler. Ottawa, meanwhile, suffered a 39-33 loss to the Edmonton Elks, struggling defensively and missing key players. Hamilton's offense has been clicking, averaging 30.4 points per game in their last three outings. In their Week 5 win over Toronto, Mitchell threw five touchdown passes, three to Lawler, who has 15 receptions for 215 yards and four touchdowns this season. The Tiger-Cats' defense stepped up against Montreal, holding them to 17 points and scoring two touchdowns (one via rookie linebacker Devin Veresuk and another by veteran Julian Howsare). They forced multiple turnovers, which could exploit Ottawa’s struggling offense. The Redblacks’ defense is allowing a league-worst 30.0 points per game and has failed to cover the spread in all four losses this season (1-4 ATS). Their secondary is particularly vulnerable, which plays into Hamilton’s passing attack strengths. In their last meeting (Week 21, 2024), Ottawa edged Hamilton 37-31, but Hamilton’s running back Greg Bell ran for 151 yards in two games against Ottawa last season, indicating they can exploit Ottawa’s run defense. Hamilton benefits from two additional days of rest and preparation, having played on July 4, while Ottawa played on July 6. We like the Tiger-Cats by more than a TD. |
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| 07-11-25 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan -5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
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ASA CFL play on Saskatchewan -5 vs Calgary, Friday 9pm ET - The Saskatchewan Roughriders (4-0) face the Calgary Stampeders (3-1) on July 11, 2025, at Mosaic Stadium in a pivotal CFL Week 6 clash. Both teams boast elite rushing attacks, led by Saskatchewan’s AJ Ouellette (CFL’s top rusher) and Calgary’s Dedrick Mills (second in rushing). However, Saskatchewan’s rush defense is a major advantage, allowing a league-best 66.5 yards per game compared to Calgary’s porous 111.3 yards allowed. The Roughriders give up just 4.6 yards per rush while the Stampeders allow a league worst 5.9 yards per carry. Saskatchewan’s offense averages 33.8 points per game (1st in CFL), powered by Trevor Harris’s 72.5% completion rate and 10.1 yards per pass attempt. Calgary’s recent 37-16 win over Winnipeg was a bit deceiving as they benefited from two pick-sixes, an unlikely repeat against Saskatchewan’s disciplined offense. The Roughriders’ undefeated record, home-field advantage, and superior run defense have us making a wager on Saskatchewan minus the points. |
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| 07-06-25 | Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks +2 | Top | 33-39 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
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ASA CFL play on Edmonton +2 vs. Ottawa, 7pm ET - Despite their 0-3 record, Edmonton’s offense, led by the promising Tre Ford, showed efficiency in a near-upset against Winnipeg, and they face an Ottawa defense allowing 365.5 yards and 27.8 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the league. Ottawa’s offense, averaging just 20.0 points (9th in CFL), struggles on the road (2-8 in their last 10), and their inconsistent quarterback play may not capitalize on Edmonton’s 9th-ranked pass defense (215.0 yards per game). Historical this has been a low-scoring series, with the Under hitting in 11 of their last 14 meetings, which favors Edmonton and the points in a gritty, competitive game. |
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| 07-05-25 | BC v. Montreal -2.5 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
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ASA play on Montreal Alouettes -2.5 vs. BC Lions (July 5, 2025) 7pm ET - Montreal’s elite defense, allowing a league-low 308.0 yards per game and forcing 12 turnovers (tops in the CFL), should exploit BC’s turnover-prone offense (seven interceptions this season) and struggling defense, which surrenders 32.7 points per game over their last three losses. Montreal’s stout run defense (70.5 yards allowed per game) will likely neutralize BC’s James Butler (262 rushing yards), forcing quarterback Nathan Rourke into a high-pressure passing game against a secondary allowing just 193.3 yards per game. Offensively, McLeod Bethel-Thompson should rebound at home, where Montreal boasts an 11-4 straight-up record in their last 15 games. With a 3-1 record against the spread and 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 against BC, the Alouettes are primed for a bounce back win after their first loss of the season last week to Hamilton. |
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| 07-03-25 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +4.5 | Top | 16-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
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ASA CFL play on Calgary Stampeders +4.5 vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 9pm ET - This number is clearly inflated due to the BB’s 3-0 record and their +13ppg scoring differential. Calgary has had a few extra days off and is coming off an embarrassing home loss to the Roughriders 12-20 as a 3-point favorite. We expect the Stampeders to bounce back at home in this situation. Calgary actually has the better Yards Per Play differential than Winnipeg with the Stampeders owning the best Net Yards offense in the CFL. Last season, these two teams met twice in what resulted in very close games with the home team winning both. Calgary beat Winnipeg last season (+3.5) at home 22-19 in OT and we expect similar results this season in a slightly higher scoring game. Graby the points! |
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| 06-29-25 | Toronto +2 v. Ottawa | Top | 29-16 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
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ASA CFL play on: Toronto Argonauts +2 vs. Ottawa Redblacks, 7pm ET - The Toronto Argonauts (0-3) are poised to upset the Ottawa Redblack (1-2) outright in their Week 4 CFL matchup on June 29, 2025, at TD Place Stadium. Toronto is a desperate team at 0-3 and should be highly motivated after losing late last week on a 99-TD on a kickoff return. Toronto’s historically has dominated Ottawa—winning 7 of their last 8 meetings going back to 2022. The Argo’s have won 4 of the last five meetings in this stadium. The Argonauts’ offense, led by QB Nick Arbuckle, averages just 20.3 points per game, but should bust-out facing a Redblacks D that allows 390YPG, 2nd most in the league. Ottawa’s league-leading penalty count (25 for 231 yards through three games) will disrupt their rhythm, while Toronto’s defense, anchored by LB Wynton McManis, could capitalize on QB Dustin Crum’s inexperience in his second start since 2023. The Argo’s defensive numbers aren’t great but they have faced 2 of the league’s top three offenses this season. We like Toronto to get their first win of the season. |
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| 06-27-25 | Montreal v. Hamilton +2 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
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ASA CFL play on Hamilton Tiger Cats +2 vs. Montreal Alouettes, 7:30 pm ET - Hamilton’s league-leading passing attack (6.65 offensive yards per play, 311.5 passing yards per game) led by Bo Levi Mitchell and Kenny Lawler should exploit Montreal’s secondary (6.7 yards per pass allowed), while their bye-week rest and home-field advantage certainly factor in. Montreal is playing their 4th straight game overall and 3rd straight on the road. Montreal’s defense (5.28 yards per play allowed) has been solid, but it’s also aided by the league’s best turnover margin (+14 historically). Hamilton’s ability to generate big plays and keep the game close makes the +2 spread a value bet, with an outright win likely. |
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| 06-26-25 | Edmonton Elks v. Winnipeg -10.5 | Top | 23-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
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ASA CFL play of Winnipeg Blue Bombers -10.5 vs. Edmonton Elks 8:30pm ET - The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are 2-0 on the season and looking like a strong contender for the Grey Cup. We like them to cover the -10.5 spread against the Edmonton Elks tonight at Princess Auto Stadium. Winnipeg’s fast start features a league-best defense allowing just 17.0 points per game, contrasting with Edmonton’s 34.5 points allowed, the worst in the CFL. The Bombers’ offense averages 30.5 points, outpacing Edmonton’s 21.0, while their 6.5 yards per play dwarfs Edmonton’s 5.2. Winnipeg’s 12-game winning streak against Edmonton, including a 55-14 rout last year on this field, has us on the Bombers laying the points. Edmonton’s struggling defense is unlikely to contain Winnipeg’s offense here with QB Zach Collaros coming off a 298-yard passing day with 2 TD’s versus BC last week. Lay it with Winnipeg. |
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| 06-21-25 | Winnipeg -4.5 v. BC | Top | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
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ASA Play on: Winnipeg Blue Bombers -4.5 vs BC Lions - 7pm June 21, 2025 - Winnipeg’s strong start to the 2025 season, bolstered by a 34-20 Week 2 win over BC, provides a solid foundation. Statistically, the Blue Bombers’ offense averages 6.5 yards per play, compared to BC’s 5.8, indicating a more efficient attack. Defensively, Winnipeg allowed just 20 points in their last meeting, while BC’s defense has struggled, conceding 28.5 points per game this season. In 2024, Winnipeg ranked third in the CFL with 24.6 points allowed per game, contrasting with BC’s 26.8. Additionally, quarterback Zach Collaros, returning from suspension, threw for 298 yards and two touchdowns in the previous matchup, outpacing BC’s Nathan Rourke, who is dealing with an upper-body injury. Winnipeg’s 11-7 record against the spread last season indicates they were undervalued in 2024 and leading into 2025. Expect a 27-20 win, covering the spread as their defense exploits BC’s injury concerns. |
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| 06-20-25 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto +3.5 | Top | 39-32 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
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ASA CFL play on Toronto Argonauts +3.5 vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders, 7:30pm ET - Toronto boasts a strong home record, winning 16 of their last 18 regular-season home games. Their championship experience and desperation after an 0-2 start should propel them to a win here. Despite their early struggles, the Argos’ 2024 stats—averaging 26.2 points and 367.8 yards offensively while allowing 22.4 points and 353.2 yards defensively—suggest they have the firepower to compete with Saskatchewan’s 2024 numbers of 24.8 points and 354.5 yards offensively, and 21.6 points and 339.8 yards defensively. The Roughriders’ 2-0 start in 2025 has been buoyed by luck in the turnover department, forcing five turnovers in two games. However, regression is likely, as their defense has allowed 6.3 yards per play, a vulnerability that could be exploited by Toronto’s offense and quarterback Dustin Crum and Ka’Deem Carey. Saskatchewan’s offensive efficiency (6.2 yards per play) is solid, but facing a Toronto defense that held opponents to 6.0 yards per play last year, the game could tighten up. Expect the Argos to leverage home-field advantage and cover the +3.5 spread in a close contest. |
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| 06-19-25 | Montreal -6 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
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ASA CFL play on Montreal -6 at Edmonton, 9pm ET - Montreal enters with a 2-0 record, with a dominant offense averaging 33.5 points per game and a defense allowing just 14.0 points per game, the best in the CFL. In contrast, Edmonton is 0-1 after a 31-14 loss to BC, where their defense surrendered 31-points and 448 total yards. The Elks managed only 248 total yards of offense, 87 rushing an 161 passing. The Alouettes have covered the spread in both games this season, while Edmonton has failed to cover in their lone outing. A key stat supporting this prediction is yards per play differential. Montreal boasts a +1.9 yards per play advantage (6.5 offensive vs. 4.6 defensive), reflecting their efficiency on both sides of the ball. Edmonton, however, struggles with a -2.1 differential (5.2 offensive vs. 7.3 defensive). Montreal’s balanced attack, led by Davis Alexander’s 9.5 yards per completion, should exploit Edmonton’s shaky secondary, while their top-ranked defense is likely to stifle Tre Ford’s passing game. Back the Alouettes to win and cover. |
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| 08-03-16 | Hamilton -4.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 11-37 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
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We love the spot to play on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats minus the 4-points @ the Winnipeg Blue Bombers tonight. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats look to remain unbeaten on the road this season and we feel they'll do so over a mediocre Winnipeg team that has been decimated by injuries. Hamilton comes into this game off a bye and they are playing with same season revenge as they lost to Winnipeg on July 7th 24-28, despite outgaining the Blue Bombers by 70-yards. Winnipeg starting QB at the time Drew Willy had a great game by going 32 of 42 for 279 yards and a TD. The problem for the Blue Bombers is that Willy will not be the pivot in this game as he's out with an injury which means Matt Nichols gets the start. Nichols had a decent start against Edmonton in his last game but now he faces a Ticats defense that is playing lights out right now with 8 forced fumbles (second in CFL) and a league-high 20 sacks. Hamilton’s front seven, meanwhile, has been the best in the league through the first part of the season with all four of the starters on the defensive line having registered at least two sacks. Another negative for the Blue Bombers offense is that they are playing without their top two receivers in Darvin Adams and Weston Dressler making it that much more difficult for their offense. Hamilton's offense is in good hands with QB Jeremiah Masoli who is coming off a record breaking performance against Edmonton where he threw for 391 yards on 31 of 38 passing with 3 TD's and 0 INT's. Masoli will look to make amends against the Blue Bombers after a 29 of 39 for 367 yards but 2 crucial INT's in the first meeting. Hamilton is 23-9 ATS their last 32 road games and they've won 8 of the last 10 meetings with the Blue Bombers. Lay the points with Hamilton tonight. |
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| 07-29-16 | BC v. Calgary -4 | Top | 41-44 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
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Our CFL best bet of the night is taking the Calgary Stampeders minus the points over the visiting British Columbia Lions. This is a quick rematch for these two division foes after BC beat the Stampeders earlier this season 20-18 as a +2.5-point underdog. Consider that number for a moment before we go any further. Calgary was laying -2.5-points on the ROAD in the first meeting and are now laying just -4.5-points at HOME in a REVENGE or MUST WIN situation if they want to win the division. Statistically the Stampeders have edges offensively as they rank 3rd overall in the league in points scored per game at 28.3PPG, they are 1st in sacks allowed, 2nd in rushing yards per attempt and 1st in turnovers which is especially key against this BC defense. Calgary QB Bo Levi Mitchell is completing 72% of his attempts and has 8 TD's to just 2 INT's on the season. As far as BC's offense goes they are below average in the league in most categories ranking 6th in PPG at 25.5PPG, 7th in yards per game and 8th in passing yards per game. Defensively Calgary is 2nd in the league overall in points allowed per game at 21.5PPG which is slightly behind the #1 ranked D of BC who allows just 18.3PPG. Sure the Lions defense allows the fewest yards per game at 339.2YPG but Calgary allows the 3rd fewest yards per game in the league at 403YPG. Calgary has dominated this series prior to the early season loss as they had won 5 straight in this rivalry by an average of 17PPG. We predict a 2 TD win by Calgary tonight. |
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| 07-25-16 | Montreal v. Toronto -4 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
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PLAY ON: TORONTO -4 over Montreal - 7:30PM ET - The Argos have a new stadium (BMO Field) and are eager to get a home win (0-2) this season for their home faithful. Toronto has a great opportunity on Monday night with a struggling Montreal Alouettes coming to town. Montreal has some internal issues going on within the club right now that stem from Nik Lewis, quarterback issues and several key injuries. The Alouettes are last in the CFL in scoring averaging just 14PPG and their starting QB's are throwing for less than 275 yards per game and 2 total passing TD's. Defensively they are allowing over 24PPG and were beaten twice this season by more than 14 points. Toronto has had problems closing out games as they are a negative -30 points to opponents in the 4th quarters of games this season. But expect them to find a way to get this one at home where they are desperate for a win. The Argos average 24PPG on the season with QB Ricky Ray completing over 70% of his attempts with 6 TD's to just 1 INT. Earlier this season the Argos hosted Hamilton and were 5-point favorites. Last week Montreal hosted that same Hamilton team and was a 2-point home dog. Now Toronto is laying the same number they were against Hamilton who is a far superior team. Lay the points with the Toronto Argonauts on Monday night. |
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| 07-15-16 | Hamilton v. Montreal | 31-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
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On Friday night we will play on the Hamilton Tiger Cats even or pick'em over the Montreal Alouettes. Road teams continue to win in the CFL (over 73%) and even though we went against that abnormal trend last night and lost we will side with it here. The deciding factors for this wager are health, turnovers and overall team strength with clearly favor the Ti-Cats in this match up. Montreal is beat up at this time as they are without their starting QB Kevin Glenn and will start 2nd year player Rakeem Cato, missing two of their top three wideouts (Stafford and Green) along with running back Tyrell Sutton. Montreal comes into this game 1-1 SU with a win over a bad Winnipeg team and 15-point loss to Ottawa which was much more worse than the final score as they got outgained by over 200 yards in that game. Hamilton is 1-2 SU with a win over Toronto and a pair of losses to BC and Winnipeg. The Ti-Cats actually outgained the Blue Bombers last week but they turned the ball over 7 times. Montreal's defensive statistics are misleading and they are not as good as the numbers would indicate while Hamilton is better statistically than they have shown if it weren't for an abnormal amount of turnovers. Hamilton has covered the spread in 12 of their last fourteen on the road while Montreal is just 2-7 ATS their last nine games overall. Take Hamilton as a pick'em Friday. |
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| 07-08-16 | Saskatchewan +11 v. Edmonton | Top | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
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Grab the points with the Saskatchewan Roughriders over the Edmonton Eskimos on Friday evening. This is a BIG game for both teams as the current Saskatchewan (SSK from here on out...) head coach Chris Jones, and his entire staff, lead the Eskimos to a Grey Cup Championship last season but bolted to SSK this year. Just weeks after winning the Grey Cup last year, Jones asked for more power in Edmonton and they wouldn't give it to him so he left for SSK. This staff knows the Edmonton roster better than anyone and Jones is a mastermind coach that will know exactly how to exploit the Eskimos weaknesses. Ironically, Edmonton had one of, if not the best defenses in the CFL last year but in their opener they gave up 45 points to Ottawa and were outgained by 148 yards. More support in our theory is the turnaround of the Roughriders defense (under Jones staff) that allowed just 252 total yards in their opener after allowing more points than any other team in the league last season. Offensively, the Roughriders were very good last year ranking 1st overall in passing yards, 2nd in TD passes, 2nd in average time of possession per game and 1st in rushing yards. SSK lost their opener against Toronto by 13-points but the final score is not a good indication of the actual game as the Roughriders had 13 more first downs, +13 minute TOP and were +137 total yards. The difference in that game was two critical fumbles, one of which was returned for a TD. Last season Edmonton was 9 and 10-point favorites over Saskatchewan and won both games by 11 and 25 points but the coaching change is a dramatic one and the line has clearly not been adjusted. Value lies with the Roughriders and the points!!! |
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| 07-07-16 | Toronto v. BC -7 | Top | 25-14 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
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Play on: BC Lions (-7) over Toronto Argonauts - 6PM CT Thursday - One of the big stories in the CFL thus far is the emergence of the BC Lions and their 2-0 start after a 7-11 record last season. BC has been outstanding on the defensive side of the football by allowing just 10.5PPG to start the season and less than 291 total yards per game of offense to opponents. To give you a better understanding of how good those numbers are, the next best points allowed per game in the CFL is 21PPG. Offensively the Lions are 1st in the league in time of possession (of the teams that have played 2 games - Saskatchewan has played one) and 2nd overall in rushing yards per game. BC will go up against a Toronto defense that is 3rd worst at stopping the run and is allowing 29.5PPG. We have one common foe between these two teams this season and that's Hamilton who Toronto lost to 20-42 and was outgained by 83 yards, while the Lions beat Hamilton 28-3, outgaining them by 58 yards. BC has won 9 of the last eleven meetings between these two clubs on this field and considering how well they are playing right now we expect a double-digit victory here. Lay the points with the BC Lions. |
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| 07-01-16 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -10.5 | Top | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
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ASA PLAY ON: CALGARY STAMPEDERS (-10.5) over Winnipeg Blue Bombers - 10PM ET Friday night - Our CFL pick on Friday is with the Calgary Stampeders minus the double-digits over Winnipeg Blue Bombers. We have the opportunity here to play a very good team, maybe the best in the league, against one of the worst with the better team coming off an upset loss in Week 1. Calgary lost their opener to B.C. 18-20 and didn't really do anything well on either sides of the football. We expect a MUCH better showing at home this week from the team we feel is the 2nd best in the league. Calgary was 14-4 last year in the regular season and put up the second most points in the league at 27PPG . Defensively they allowed just 346 total points in the regular season (2nd in CFL) or 19PPG. You can see their average overall differential during the regular season was 8PPG but that number improved to +14PPG at home where they were 9-1 SU on the season. Winnipeg is also off a loss in Week 1 but we don't expect a bounce back here by one of the worst teams in the league. The Blue Bombers were 5-13 SU last year and have a current 4 game losing streak dating back to last season and are just 1-7 SU their last eight games. Winnipeg lost in the opener to Montreal who was just beaten badly last night by an Ottawa team that we rate slightly lower than Calgary. The Stampeders have beaten this Blue Bomber team 13 of the last fourteen meetings and with a tough game on deck against Ottawa they can't afford an 0-2 start to the season. Expect a 14+ point win by Calgary here. |
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| 06-30-16 | Ottawa v. Montreal | Top | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
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ASA CFL PICK THURSDAY, JUNE 30TH - PLAY ON: OTTAWA REDBLACKS (-1) over @ Montreal Alouettes, 6PM CT - We are going to follow the smart money today and side with the Ottawa Redblacks as our 'play on' team Thursday in the CFL. There are a couple negatives that go against Ottawa but overall there aren't enough to negate a bet on them here. Scheduling is a concern as they have the shorter turnaround than Montreal for this game and they are coming off a big win over Edmonton who they lost to in the Championship game a year ago. BUT they are a far superior team than the Alouettes and they still warrant a wager tonight. Ottawa put up a whopping 590 yards of offense last week and 45-points against an Edmonton team that allowed the least amount of points last year (18.1PPG) and were one of the best in the CFL overall defensively. The Redblacks were 4th in total points scored a year ago and 1st overall in total passing yards. Montreal was average or below in most defensive categories but benefitted from turnovers which improved their overall numbers. If they don't force turnovers here, they don't have an offense (last in passing yards in 2015 and 2nd to last in points scored) capable of trading points with Ottawa. Montreal (6-12 SU last year) beat Winnipeg (5-13 SU LY) last week 22-14 and barely outgained them which isn't saying much. Ottawa was 12-6 SU last year and lost in the Championship game and are favored by just a point in this matchup. In comparison, Calgary (14-4 SU LY) who is similar to Ottawa is a 10-point favorite at home over Winnipeg (same caliber team as Montreal) this week. We are getting a ton of value with a Redblacks team that finished last season 4-1 SU and ATS on the road. Not to mention this Montreal team was just 3-6 SU at home last year. Take the visitor and much better team in this game. OTTAWA! |
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| 06-23-16 | Hamilton +5 v. Toronto | 42-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
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We will side with Hamilton plus the points over the Toronto Argonauts. Yes, this is a revenge game for the Argos as the Tiger Cats beat them last year in the playoffs but we're confident they won that game for a reason and will win this one too. Statistically speaking the Tiger Cats were much better offensively and defensively, tied for the least amount of yards per play defense at 6.15 yards while ranking 2nd overall in yards per play offense at 7.03. Hamilton had the highest scoring 'O' in the CFL last season at 29PPG. Toronto on the other hand was below average in yards allowed per play and points allowed defensively and yards per play offensively and points scored per game. Last year when these two teams squared off in the post season the Cats won 25-22 as a 2-point favorite and most key stats were near identical. Not too mention the Tiger Cats beat the Argo's two other times during the regular season 34-18 (favored by -3.5 points) and 42-12 (-7.5 points). Although QB Zach Collaros is out for the Ti-Cats, Jeremiah Masoli will be under center this evening and he was the starter for Hamilton in the playoffs last season. Masoli also looked sharp in their preseason blowout last week over Ottawa (9 of 15 for 136 yards and a TD). The value here is clearly on Hamilton plus the points. Good luck! |
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