I am taking the points with Pepperdine here against Portland in the WCC Tourney. Portland enters this one off a win on senior night, however they were a dreadful 0-4 and 2-7 leading up to that victory. Pepperdine, also enters off a win and are 3-2 their L5, playing with some momentum. Offensively, Pepperdine has been averaging a 55.5% eFG across the L5 games and they are dragging 40%+ of offensive rebounds in 3 of those 5 showing their ability to create second chances. Portland defense has been all over the place posting a 110+ rating in 3 of their L5 games and foes have shot over 60% from the field in all 3 of those games. Their midrange presence is bleak on both sides of the court and Pepperdine can make them pay here with their more efficient front court. Similar to their defense, Portland has shown little to no consistency, shooting below a 50% eFG in 4 of 6 and don’t make nearly enough of 3s to climb out of a hole if they get in one early. Take the points with Pepperdine here. —Joey Tron

I am taking Crystal Palace PK (DNB) in this match up against Tottenham. Tottenham has struggled immensely on their home pitch, and I do not see those struggles magically going away here. Tottenham has just one win in eleven home fixtures, with losses in 3 of the L4, conceding a staggering 8 goals in the losses. Crystal Palace has been very modest on the road, going 4-1-4 in their L9, with at least a goal in 4 straight and on the defensive side they are conceding no more than 2 goals in each of the L5 road fixtures. Tottenham’s -5 GD is driven by their high goal concede rate with 43 thus far, making this a bright spot for Crystal Palace to net a few. The Palace defense has been strong all season allowing just 1.14 goals on the road and 67% of their points this season have come on the road. Play it safe and take Crystal Palace PK/DNB. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Nevada on the road here against Wyoming in this Mountain West clash. Nevada comes into this off a tough OT loss to UNLV, as they 6-3 their L9, and Wyoming enters this one 3-1 their L4, however are 3-4 the L7 showing a small uptick. They Wyoming offense has regressed progressively since their win against Fresno St with an offensive rating between 97 and 140, while they have now shot a sub 50% eFG in 3 straight. The Nevada offense has had tough competition as of late and have posted a 110+ offensive rating in 2 of the L3 games and are strong from beyond the perimeter, hitting 38% from 3PT against Conference opponents. This has the making to be a back and forth game and Nevada’s low FTR and defense will help us pull away late. Lay it with Nevada here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Duke here on the road against NC State. Some may say this a look ahead spot for the Blue Devils with UNC looming on Saturday, but I see this as their warm up for whats to come. NC State defense has been horrid with a 118+ rating in 4 of 5 games while foes are averaging a 57.2% eFG. Duke offense has been lighting it up with a 110+ rating in 4 straight games, with 3 of them over 125. Not only that, they are sensational on the floor hitting a 59.8% eFG which is bad news for the Wolf Pack. The Duke defense has been just as lethal as their offense, with a sub 100 rating in 5 of 6 games and foes shot below a 50% eFG in all of ‘em. This might get ugly before it gets good - Lay the points with the Duke Blue Devils here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Saint Mary’s here at home in this WCC match up against Gonzaga. Saint Mary’s enters this with 7 straight wins and the Zags enter this one with 6 straight. The Gaels are in revenge mode after losing to Gonzaga 73-65 and have not lost since that game. In that span, they’ve posted a 110+ offensive rating in 6 of 7 games and are lighting it up on the floor, with back-to-back games, over a 57% eFG. Their defense is just as lethal posting a sub 100 rating in 5 of 7 and have a strong perimeter defense. Gonzaga defense has been like a rollercoaster going all over the place with a 100+ rating in 4 of 7 games and foes have been hitting 49% from the mid range, and the Gaels have had plenty of success hitting 54% from here setting this up for a great battle. Take the points with Saint Mary’s here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Harvard here on the road against Princeton. Harvard enters this game off a win and are a strong 5-1 their L6 games, while Princeton enters this one with 4 straight losses and are 2-7 their L9 games. Defense has been a big problem for the Tigers with 3 straight games over a 120 rating, and extends further with 4 of their L6. Opponents are crushing them on the floor hitting over a 65% eFG in 3 straight games and a staggering 69%. Harvard is playing great offense, averaging 56% from the mid range and will no doubt be a force down low. The Harvard defense has been just as strong as their offense, posting a sub 100rating in 3 of 4 and foes have not hit higher than a 50% eFG in 6 straight. The Crimson are the more efficient side on both ends of the ball and their high FT conversion rate, will help significantly. Lay it with Harvard here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Utah State here on the road against SDSU in this Mountain West showdown. Utah State enters this one off 3 pt loss to Nevada and were a a strong 8-0 in their previous 8, while SDSU enters this on back-to-back losses and just 3-3 their L6. The SDSU defense has been troublesome with two games in a row over 100 rating and are getting crushed beyond the perimeter, with foes averaging 40% from 3 PT in those games. Utah State has posted a 120+ offensive rating in 4 of 5 and have hit at least a 52% eFG in 6 straight games. Not only that but their 3PT presence has been a factor in these games as well, hitting 41% over the L5 games. Their defense has been potent as well with a sub 46% eFG in 3 of 4 and are forcing more TO’s at a progressive rate over the L3 games. SDSU offense has been inconsistent now posting a sub 50% eFG in 4 of 6 and have averaged just 40% from the floor in back-to-back. This should be a back and forth game with the Aggies getting to the line plenty for us to keep it within this number. Take the points with Utah State here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Santa Clara here in this WCC showdown against Saint Mary’s. Santa Clara is entering this off a win and are thunderous 10-1in their L11 games while Saint Mary’s enters this going 6-1 pitting this for a great match up. Santa Clara offense will give the Gaels a run for their money here, with a 50% or higher eFG in 8 straight with 110+ rating in 4 straight. Not only that, they are strong around the 3PT line, hitting 39% over the L4 games. The Saint Mary’s defense has progressively decreased as games have gone on, with teams hitting at least a 49% eFG in 3 straight and are modest from the perimeter, with foes hitting 33% over the 4 games and this number will be elevated with Clara coming to town. The Gales offense has had some hiccups hitting below 50% eFG in 2 of 3 and are not getting to the line nearly enough. Santa Clara has WCC’s most efficient offense and will be a force from the midrange in this one. Take the points with Santa Clara here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with New Mexico here on the road against Nevada in this Mountain West Conference showdown. New Mexico enters this one with 3 straight wins falling a small 2 game skid, while Nevada although coming off a win, are 2-3 their L5 with glaring inconsistencies on both ends. The Nevada offense has posted a sub 100 rating in 2 of 3 and are averaging just a 46.5% eFG over the L4. The New Mexico defense has been fierce with a sub 100 rating in 2 of 3 and are lights out on the perimeter, with foes hitting just 23% in that span. The Nevada defense has seen a rating over 113+ in 3 straight and opponents hitting a 50% eFG in each of those and this is bad news for them as New Mexico offense is averaging a 60.2% eFG the L4 games with 102+ rating in each of them. This is going to be back and forth game and having points in our back pocket with the better defense is massive. Take the pants with the Lobos here. —Joey Tron

I am laying this small spread with Auburn on the road against Oklahoma in this SEC clash. Auburn stopped a 5 skid with a 1 pt win over Kentucky last time out, while the Sooners have back to back losses and are a horrid 2-11 their L13. The Auburn offense has faced some of the toughest defenses the last few games and have posted a 105+ rating in 5 straight showing how much depth this offense has. Not only that, but they have minimal turnovers and are ranked 3rd in the SEC in OR%. The Oklahoma defense is worse than Auburn’s, now posting 120+ rating in 5 straight with foes hitting over a 50% eFG in 7 straight. The Auburn defense has struggled - but against Q-1/1-A foes and their offense can carry a lot of weight in this match up. Lay it with Auburn here. —Joey Tron 

I am laying this spread with Miami on the road here against Eastern Michigan in this MAC battle. Miami remains the only undefeated team in the nation at 27-0, while E. Michigan is a horrid 1-9 their L10. The Eastern Michigan defense is in for trouble here as they’ve posted a 117+ rating in 3 of 4 and are not forcing anywhere near enough turnovers, averaging just 13.6% over the L5. The Miami offense has been crushing it with 4 straight games posting a 121+ rating and at least a 59% eFG in 5 straight. Their defense has been just as potent and will   not take this game lightly, allowing 77 or less points in 6 straight. Lay it with Miami OH here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Nicholls St here on the road against Lamar in this Southland Conference match up. Nicholls St enters this one with back to back losses but are a modest 3-4 their L7 while, Lamar enters this one with 5 straight losses. Lamar offense has been struggling from the field shooting below a 50% eFG in 3 of 4 and just 32% from 3PT. Nicholls St, despite their losses are playing strong offensively with a 104+ offensive rating in 4 of 5 and are averaging a 57.5% eFG in that span. Their defense has been worrisome but are ranked 2nd in the Southland in TO% which should take away plenty of FG attempts. Take the points with Nicholls St here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with UNC here at home against Louisville in this ACC show down. North Carolina enters this one off a win and a strong 7-2 their L9, while Louisville enters this one 6-2 their L8 pitting this for a great match up. The Louisville defense has had its shortcomings in recent games with a 104+ defensive rating in 3 of 5 and they are not forcing many turnovers, averaging just 14% the L5. The UNC offense has been performing exceptionally well with a 111+ rating in 7 of those 9 games and are hitting 57% from the mid range season to date, which is going to punish Louisville, as they’ve conceded 61% from here the L2 games. UNC defense has posted a sub 108 rating in 5 of 7 and will have the added bonus of a rowdy Tar Heels crowd. Take the points with UNC here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Drexel here at home against Towson. Drexel snapped a 2 game skid with a commanding 9pt road win last time out and are a modest 5-3 their L8, while Towson has been trading wins and losses their last few, going 2-4 their L6. The Towson defense has been rather inconsistent, posting a 110+ defensive rating in 4 of the L6 games played and allowed over a 50% eFG in half of them. The Drexel offense has been playing well with 100+ offensive rating in 4 straight and have shot at least a 50% eFG in 6 straight and are averaging 57.3% the L3. The Drexel defense is Top 50 in both 2PT%/3PT% and will give Towson trouble here. Towson is averaging just 62 PPG over the L3 and if Drexel offense gets going, this won’t be anywhere near enough. Play it safe, and take the points with Drexel here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with American on the road against Lafayette. American stopped a 5 game skid and now have back to back double digit victories, while Lafayette comes in off a win, they are still 2-3 their L5. For Lafayette, their offense has been struggling with a sub 100 rating in 3 of 5, shooting a sub 50% eFG in all 3 of them. The American defense has been very strong with back to back games with a sub 100 defensive rating and foes shot a 47% eFG in both of them. Not only that, American has a decent perimeter offense with a 34% 3PT conversion rate the L5 and Lafayette has arguably one of the worst perimeter defenses, with foes hitting 38% over the L3. American is hitting 76% at the FT line and will be able to pull away late for us. Lay it with American here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with the Aztecs here on the road against Colorado State. San Diego State enters this off a loss and are a strong 5-2 in their L7, while CSU has reeled four straight wins, but had loss 3 in a row prior making this a big let down spot. Colorado State has posted a 110+ defensive rating in 5 of their L6 with foes averaging 55.4% from the floor. Their offense has seen a small uptick but I see regression against a much superior defense. SDSU has posted a sub 100 rating in 5 of 6 games with opponents shooting below 50% in all of them and are ranked 4th in defensive efficiency over the L10. The Aztecs offense has been far from STRONG but they are hitting 56% from the mid range and that strength will throw off the Rams here. This is going to be a back and forth battle with the Aztecs defense pulling the load. Lay it with SDSU here. —Joey Tron

I am laying with UConn here on the road against Villanova. UConn is coming off a devastating loss to Creighton and are 2-2 their L4 games while Villanova enters this one with 6 straight wins, their last loss being to this UConn squad. UConn has has played well offensive with a 120+ rating in 4 of their L6 games and have shot over a 60% eFG in those 4. The Villanova defense has been treading on thin ice as of late with foes hitting a 57%+ eFG in 2 of 3 and are getting crushed from the mid range - and this is where the Huskies thrive here averaging 61% over the L5 games. UConn defense has been streaky themselves however they rank 41st in adjust defense over the L10 games and need a big showing after last game. Lay it with UConn here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Notre Dame here in this ACC clash against Pitt. Notre Dame enters this one with a win, snapping their 5 game skid, while Pittsburgh has been playing poor themselves, with 5 straight losses. The Pitt offense has been brutal with a sub 100 rating in 4 of their L5 games and have shot a sub 50% eFG in 8 of 9. The Notre Damę has had shortcomings to date but all those loses except one come against Q1/1-A foes showing the SOS they’ve had. Offensively, they are playing great with a 58% eFG over the L3 games with a 109+ rating in each of them. The Fighting Irish offense should overpower this Pitt defense and in a battle of two offense minded programs - we are backing the more efficient one. Take the points with Notre Dame here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Princeton here on the road against Brown. Neither of these teams have been anything to brag home about as Princeton has lost 3 straight and are 2-4 their L6 while Brown has been playing to a similar tune, going 1-6 their L7, entering this off a win. The Brown offense has been their weakest link with a sub 100 rating in 5 of the L7 games played, shooting a 50% eFG or worse in each of those 5. The Princeton defense has been struggling against much better Q3 foes which should give them confidence against a weak offense like brown. The bright spot for Princeton - they are strong in the paint on both ends of the floor which will create chances for their offense, whose playing well right now. Princeton has posted a 100+ offensive rating in 5 straight games and have been shooting it at a 35% rate from 3PT, which should catch this Brown defense off guard. Take the points with Princeton here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Montana State here in this Big Sky Conference showdown against Weber State. Montana State enters this one with wins in 2 of 3 and are a solid 6-3 their L9, while Weber state enters this one off a loss and are 3-6 in their L9. Defense has been a hurdle for this Weber State team with a 120+ rating in 5 of their L8 and foes are crushing them, with an eFG go 62%+ in those 5 games. The Montana State offense has posted over a 100 rating 3 straight and have been committing very few turnovers, showing they make the most opportunities. Montana State will find success from the mid range where they are hitting 52% to date and Weber State has been getting destroyed here. Take the points with Montana State here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with Charleston on the road against North Carolina A&T in this CAA match up. Charleston snapped a 2 game skid with a win in their last game and are now 6-2 in their L8 games while NC A&T may be entering this off a win, it halted their 4 game skid and they are 3-10 their L13 games. The A&T offense has been the biggest struggle as of late with a sub 102 rating in 3 of their L4 and have show below a 50% eFG in 4 straight. Charleston defense will undoubtedly keep them in check here as they’ve had a sub 100 rating in 3 of 4 and  5 of the L7. THeir offense has struggled but against much stronger opposition and will find success here. NC A&T defense has allowed over a 50% eFG in 4 straight games and have been getting crushed down low where Charleston is averaging 54% from here over the L5. Lay it with Charleston here to pull away late. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with American here on the road against Bucknell in this Patriot League showdown. American snapped 5 game skid with a strong win last time out, while Bucknell has definitely seen better days with 3 straight losses and are a horrid 2-7 their L9. Despite their shortcoming, the American offense has been playing solid with a 110+ offensive rating in 3 straight games an are making their shots hitting over a 50% eFG in each of those, including 60% last game. The Bucknell offense has been abysmal as of late hitting below a 42% eFG in 2 of their L3 and a sub 100 offensive rating in both of those games. The American defense should find plenty of confidence here against a much inferior opposition and their offense is way more efficient, with minimal turnovers and taken advantage of every possession. Lay it with American here. —Joey Tron

I am taking Baylor on the road here against Kansas State and laying the points. Baylor enters this one with 3 straight losses, all against Q1 / Q1-A foes while Kansas State enters this with 6 straight losses and they have not been pretty. The Wildcats defense has posted over a 115 rating in 4 of their L6 games overall and have been getting crushed on the floor, with foes hitting over a 50% eFG in 5 of 6 and two with 60%+. The Baylor offense has been strong with a 110+ rating in 3 of 5 even against the strong opposition and have hit at least  53% eFG in 4 of 5. Their defense has no doubt been struggling but I expect a big come back spot here against a much inferior opposition that has done just as poor offensively. Kansas State has posted a sub 100 offensive rating in 5 of 6 and that will not be anywhere near enough against a strong caliber team like this. Lay it with Baylor here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Miami OH on the road here against Mass. Miami is the last undefeated team remaining and despite a few close finishes, they are chugging along. Mass enters this one with back to back losses and are 2-3 their L5. Defensively Mass has really struggled with over a 120 defensive rating in 3 of their L5 and foes have hit over a 50% eFG in 7 straight with one game even hitting 74%. The Miami offense has posted back to back games with over a 125 offensive rating and extends further with 6 of the L8. Their defense has had a 105 rating or better in 5 straight and will keep the Mass offense in check, as they’ve found success against much inferior opposition. Miami OH is the more efficient team on both ends of the floor and should pull ahead and not turn back. Lay it with Miami here. —Joey Tron 

I am taking the points with Houston here on the road in his Big 12 match up against Iowa State. Houston enters this one with 6 straight wins following their 4pt loss to Texas Tech, while Iowa State picked up a win in their last game after falling to TCU. The Iowa State offense has been the weakest link as of late posting below a 120 rating in 3 straight games and their eFG% has been way down from the norm, averaging just 51% in that span. The Houston defense has been lights out with below a 100 rating in 5 of their L6 games with foes shooting a sub 50% eFG in 5 straight now. Houston’s offense is playing excellent around the perimeter right now averaging 49% over the L3 games and Cyclones perimeter attack is far from what it was at the beginning of the season, allowing 33% from beyond the 3PT line. This will be a back and forth game and having points with the more efficient defense on the road, is going to be crucial late. Take the points with Houston here. —Joey Tron

I am laying it with Purdue here on the road in this match up against Iowa. Purdue has won 3 straight since losing 3 in a row and have been very strong on both ends of the ball while, Iowa enters this of a loss, halting their 6 game win streak. The Hawkeyes defense has been really troubling with over a 120 rating in 2 of their L3 games and goes are crushing them on the floor, hitting at least a 55% eFG in 4 of the L5 with two of those over 60%. The Purdue offense is getting back into gear hitting over a 50% eFG in 4 of 5 and posted at least a 102 rating in 5 straight. Defensively, the Boilermakers are playing great right now with foes hitting below a 50% eFG in 2 of 3 and have been guarding the perimeter great. The Hawkeyes will not be able to rely on their offense to bail them out like they’ve been against much weaker opposition. Lay it with Purdue. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Hofstra here on the road against UNCW in this CAA match up. Hofstra enters this one with 4 straight wins and UNCW is doing well themselves, going 4-1 their L5 with back to back wins. The Hofstra defense has been playing excellent with under a 100 rating in 5 straight games and foes have shot a sub 42% eFG in 4 of those. UNCW offense has slightly regressed with a 115 or worse rating in 3 straight games and will be met with a stark challenge by this Hofstra defense. UNCW’s defense has been a little worrisome especially from the mid range. This is going to be a back and forth game and having points in our back pocket down the stretch with the better defense is a premium. Take the points with Hofstra here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Cornell here on the road against Princeton in this Ivy League clash. After a rough stretch of play, the Big Red are playing excellent basketball going 4-1 in their L5, entering this one off a win while Princeton has been alternating wins/losses the last few, but are 2-4 their L6. Princeton’s defense has been the weakest wink with an average rating of 130.5 and not forcing nearly enough turnovers. Cornell offense has posted a 126+ rating in 4 of 5 and are hitting plenty of shots, with over a 56% eFG in each of those 5 games. Cornell defense is far from good however the Princeton offense has shot below a 50% eF in 3 of 4 and will be presented plenty of issues against a stronger opposition. Lay it with Cornell here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points here with Northern Iowa on the road in this MVC match up against Belmont. Northern Iowa enters this off 3 straight wins and are 4-1 in their L5 and Belmont enters this off an 11 pt OT loss, snapping their 9 game winning streak. The Belmont fence has by far been their weakest link as of late posting a 120+ defensive rating in 3 of their L4 games and foes have been crushing them from beyond the 3PT line, averaging 38% over the L3. The Northern Iowa offense has seen a strong offensive uptick with a 102+ rating in three straight games, averaging an eFG of 59%. Their defense has been just as potent which will keep Belmont in check, with a sub 100 defensive rating in 4 straight games and foes have shot below 50% in 3/4 of them. This should be a competitive game with the Northern Iowa defense keeping them close and a strong offensive presence to not allow Belmont to get carried away. Take the points with Northern Iowa here. —Joey Tron 

I am taking the points with Hofstra here on the road against Charleston. Hofstra has reeled off 3 straight wins winning all by double digits, and Charleston halted their winning 5 game winning streak with a 12 pt loss to UNCW last time out. Hofstra defense has been sensational posting under a 100 rating in four straight games and foes shot 40% or less in 3/4 of them. The Charleston offense has been very inconsistent with below a 100 rating in 2 of their L4 games and have not been shooting it well, especially from 3PT going 11-40 the the L2 games combined. The Hofstra offense has excelled with perimeter shooting at least 34% in 3 straight games and should get momentum against an inferior defense. Take the points with Hofstra here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Appalachian State here against Georgia Southern in this SunBelt Conference showdown. App State is playing solid basketball with 6 straight wins to date, and Georgia Southern has seen better days with back to back losses and are a staggering 1-5 in their L6 overall. Defense has been the biggest issue for them with foes hitting over a 50% eFG in 4 of their L5 games and they have been allowing too many points from the mid range - where App State will be able to find plenty of success. Not only that, App State lives and dies by the three ball, however they did go 50% or better from 2PT in 3 straight which is going to be daunting for Georgia Southern when App State starts getting hot. Lay the points with App State here as their offense is way more efficient and should not look back. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Oklahoma State here on the road Arizona State. Ok State enters this one of a brutal loss to Arizona and are 2-1 in their L3 while Arizona State enters off a loss to Colorado and are 1-3 in their L4. The Arizona State defense has been all over the place with foes hitting over a 50% eFG in each of those losses and are not grabbing nearly enough of boards, which takes away their 2nd chance points and creates opportunities for the opposition.   The Oklahoma State offense has been playing well against teams not named Arizona, with a over 100+ rating in each of their previous 3 games and grabbed 30% of offensive rebounds in 6 of 7showing they can create more chances on the glass. The Cowboys have thrived against Q2 foes with a 6-2 record and will play another strong outing here. Take the points with Oklahoma State here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Baylor here at home against BYU in this Big 12 clash. Both teams have been struggling however the Baylor Bears should be able to take advantage here. BYU has lost 4 straight and have posted over 125 defensive efficiency in 3 straight games with foes crushing them overall, hitting a 53% eFG or higher in 7 straight. The Baylor offense is taking their chances with a 104+ offensive efficiency in 3 straight games and are rocking in the mid range, hitting 58% or higher in back to back. Their defense should keep BYU in check posting a sub 100 rating in 3 of 4 while the Cougars have been all over the place on offense, shooting below a 50% eFG in 3 of their L6. BYU defense is the weakest link on the floor and in a hostile environment, I see these struggles staying prevalent, especially if Baylor gets going beyond the ark, where they are averaging just under 35% over their L10 games. Take the points with Baylor here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Kansas in this Big 12 clash against Arizona in this marquee showdown. Kansas has seen a massive uptick with 7 straight wins and Arizona, has yet to lose a game this season — key word being yet. They are now facing the toughest stretch of their schedule and it kicks off at Allen Field House while the Jayhawks have hit over a 50% eFG in 7 straight and their defense has been lights out allowing 61 or less in back to back. Arizona defense has seen some inconsistencies with a 100+ defensive rating in 4 of 7 and their perimeter defense has been weak allowing too many 3PT chances. The Kansas defense is not going to take this game lightly and having points with the home dog in our back pocket down the stretch is a premium. Take the points with Kansas here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Belmont here on the road against Bradley in this MVC Mid Major clash. Bradley enters this a modest 3-3 in their L6 games including an 11 pt loss to N.Iowa last time out while Belmont has won 9 straight and are playing some insanely good offense right now. Belmont has scored 100+ in 2 of their L3 games and although their defense hasn’t been the strongest, Bradley has not been doing anything to really rave about. Bradley offense has scored 70 or less their L3 games against Q2 foes showing success comes against much inferior teams. Belmont has a strong perimeter offense hitting at least 41% from 3PT in 5 straight games and once they get going, theirs no turning back. Lay it with Belmont here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with UNCW on the road here against Charleston in this CAA clash. UNCW enters this off a tough loss to William & Mary but are a strong 9-2 their L11 overall while Charleston has 5 straight wins entering this one. I see regression coming for this Charleston team as all wins but one came against Q-4 foes and UNCW is a big step up in competition. UNCW has posted over a 115 offensive rating in 3 straight games and making their 3’s at a strong 33% minimum over those games. Charleston has seen an good defense but at the cost of a much easier schedule and won’t have their easy ways. They give up too many perimeter shots and if UNCW is on their game, this can get ugly. Take the points with UNCW here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with the Patriots here in the Super Bowl against the Seahawks. This is going to be a solid game and I expect plenty of good chances to stay within this number. Seattle no doubt has looked strong scoring 72 points in their 2 playoff games however the Pats defense is not going to tread lightly here. New England showed last game against that strong defense wins games holding the Broncos to just 7 points and forcing 2 turnovers.They ranked Top 5 in both Rushing Yards/Attempts and 1st in Red Zone attempts. The Seahawks thrive on the rush game and will force Sam Darnold to throw the ball if they don’t find success on the ground. The Patriots offense ranks 1st in overall EPA per play on the season and their defense should do enough to limit this pesky Seahawks offense. Take the points with New England in Super Bowl 60. —Joey Tron  

I am taking the points with UCF here on the road against Cincinnati in this Big 12 clash. UCF enters this game off a loss, but are a convincing 3-1 in their L4 games while Cincinnati has back to back losses scoring just 54 points in both of them and are 1-4 their L5. The Bearcats offense has been the weakest link posting under a 100 offensive rating in 5 straight games, shooting a sub 48% eFG in each of those. The UCF has struggled a little themselves but this is a great get right spot for them against a much inferior offense that can’t buy a bucket right now. The Knights offense however is potent with a 113+ offensive rating in each of those wins and have a strong front court presence from 3PT, hitting 37% on the season and 42% the L4 games. Cincinnati will not be able to climb out of a hole if presented one and with the way UCF is shooting the ball, we may just see that. Take the points with UCF here. —Joey Tron

I am laying it with Wichita State here on the road against Tulane in this American Conference showdown. The Shockers are a strong 4-1 their L5 games and enter this off a 10 pt win against Charlotte, while Tulane enters this off a win, but are a staggering 1-5 in their L6 games. The weakest link here for Tulane has undoubtedly been there defense, with at least 105 defensive rating in 6 straight games and foes have been crushing them from the mid range. The Shockers offense, will be more than comfortable finding success against this defense, as they have gone 53% from here over the L4 games. The Shockers defense is just as potent right now with under a 97 defensive rating in 3 of their L4 games and have an insanely good perimeter defense. Wichita State has the depth and capabilities to build a huge lead and not look back. Lay it with Wichita State here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Texas A&M here at home against Florida. The Aggies are coming off a tough 3pt loss to Alabama but are a strong 10-2 in their L12 games (both Q-1A losses) and Florida, comes in with almost an identical record, with back to back wins and are 11-2 their L13 games. The Florida defense has definitely regressed as their schedule intensified, with a 99+ defensive rating in 5 of their L9 with 3 of those games over 110. Texas A&M offense has been on a tear with 4 straight games posting over a 120 offensive rating and are very strong beyond the arc, hitting at least 13 made 3’s in three straight. The Aggies defense had a hiccup last game, but have held foes below 80 points in their previous 4 games straight and have held foes to a sub 50% eFG in 5 of their L6 games. This is going to be a competitive game and having points in our pocket with the home dog down the stretch will be huge, especially when the Aggies are hitting 75% of FT’s and Florida is sub 70% at the line. Take the points with Texas A&M here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points UNC here at home against Duke in this ACC Clash. UNC enters this with 4 straight wins after falling back to back and Duke has won 10 straight and I see them facing some challenges here. Duke defense has had some trouble from the mid range with foes averaging 51% and the Tar Heels thrive down low hitting 58% on the season and have hit an eFG of at least 55% 3 of 4. UNC has a strong perimeter defense with foes hitting 8 or less beyond the 3PT line in 4 straight games, while Duke has been dreadful as of late from here, averaging 29% over their last few games and will no doubt be met with a hostile environment. This should be a fast pace back and forth game and the Tar Heels will not be taking this game lightly. Take UNC with the points here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points here with Drexel on the road against Campbell in this CAA match up. Drexel enters this game with 3 straight wins are 6-1 their L7 while Campbell picked up a win in their last game, but lost a staggering 5 straight before that win. Their defense has been the weakest link, with a defensive rating of 121+ in 3 straight games and foes have hit a 50% eFG or better in 8 straight. The Drexel offense is far from lethal, but they are intimidating with a 54.5% eFG in their L6 games and are grabbing plenty of offensive rebounds. The Drexel defense is strong with back to back games posting a defensive rating under 94 and foes have hit over a 45% eFG just once their L7 games. Drexel is more efficient on both ends of the floor, and their defense will prevent Campbell from pulling away. Take the points with Drexel here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Le Moyne here against Wagner in this Northeastern Conference match up. Le Moyne has fallen back to back but were on a strong 4 game winning streak prior while Wagner, enters this one with an OT win against FDU but are a staggering 1-7 in their L8. The Wagner defense is statically one of the worst in the nation season to date, but recently foes have been averaging an eFG of 55% across the L5. The Le Moyne offense has posted over an offensive efficiency in 4 of the L6 and are displaying excellent ball control which is beneficial against a weak defense to get plenty of looks. Wagner offense has shot a sub 50% eFG in 3 of 4 games and will not find it easy here as Le Moyne defense has a good back court presence and will challenge Wagner down low. Lay the points with Le Moyne ML here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Iowa here on the road against Washington in this Big Ten matchup. Iowa has won 4 straight including a most recent 18 pt romp over Oregon, while Washington may be coming into this off a win, they are 2-4 their L6. The Washington defense has struggled against tougher competition, now posting a 114+ defensive rating in 7 of their L9 and forcing little to no turnovers which is not going to help them. The Iowa offense has posted an average offensive efficiency rating of 120.8 and have gone at least 32% from 3PT in 4 in a row. The Huskies offense has not helped them much going 50% or worse in 4 of 5 games and have a very poor FT Rate which can punish them down the stretch. Iowa is more efficient on both ends of the floor and limited turnovers will propel them. Lay it Iowa here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Nevada here on the road against Boise State in this Mountain West Clash. Nevada enters this with back to back wins and are 4-1 their L5, while Boise State is coming in off a loss where they had won four straight prior. The Boise State defense saw great success against Quad IV foes however against stronger teams - we’ve seen them struggle. The Broncos have posted a 110+ defensive efficiency rating in 6 of their L9 and goes have been crushing them around the perimeter. The Nevada offense has seen an offensive uptick with a 118+ offensive rating in 3 of their L5 and are hitting an eFG of 60% or better in 4 of 7 which will catch this Broncos defense off guard. Nevada defense is just as strong with a defensive rating below 100 in 3 of 5 and Boise State is coming off one of their worst offensive performances of the season. This will be a defensive back and forth game, with points in our back pocket being a premium. Take the points with Nevada here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Kansas here on the road against Texas Tech. Kansas enters this one  with 5 straight wins while Texas Tech is coming off a road loss to UCF and are 5-2 their L7. Kansas offense has been electric posting a 120+ offensive efficiency in 4 of their L5 games and have shot over a 50% eFG in each of those games. Texas Tech defense has seen back to back games with over a 125 defensive rating and foes have shot over a 50% eFG in 4 of their L5. TT has been getting crushed in the mid range and this is where Kansas is most dominant hitting nearly 55% on the season and are hitting 58% from here over the L4. This is going to be a back and forth game and have points in our back pocket with the more efficient team will be a premium. Take the points with Kansas here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Stephen F Austin here at home against McNeese State in this Southland Conference showdown. SFA has won 7 straight entering this contest and McNeese is 4-1 in their L5 showing strong competitiveness as well. The McNeese defense has shown glaring inconsistency with a 99+ defensive efficiency rating in 3 of their L6 games and back to back games with foes hitting 36% or better from the 3PT line. The SFA offense has posted a 118+ offensive rating in 4 of 5 and are averaging 46% from behind the 3PT line over the L3 which is not a bright sign for McNeese. The efficiency edge on both ends of the floor will be too much for McNeese to overcome on the road. Take the points with SFA here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with East Tennessee State here o the road against Wofford. E. Tennessee comes in off a 2 PT loss, where they had been on a 7-1 stretch prior to that loss and Wofford, is hot themselves with 4 straight wins, however all came against much inferior schools that were either Q3 or Q4. Despite winning these games, the Wofford defense still found difficulty with a 110+ defensive efficiency rating in 7 of their L8 and are not forcing many turnovers at all. They have been getting crushed in the mid range with foes hitting at least 48% over the L4. East Tennessee State finds a lot of their success down low in this area averaging 68% from here over their L2 games and are sneaky around the perimeter, hitting over 35% from 3PT in back to back. This will be a back and forth game, but East Tennessee State shooting tendency will pull them away late. Lay it with East Tennessee here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Illinois here with against Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are coming off their first loss of the season to Michigan and Illinois, has now fired off 11 straight wins. The Illinois offense has posted over a 120 offensive efficiency rating 5 straight and are red-hot on the floor averaging a 56% eFG on the season. The Nebraska defense has shown plenty of inconsistencies in recent games with a 96 or higher defensive efficiency rating in 5 of 7 and have been getting crushed in the mid range - where Illinois flourishes. The Fighting Illini are grabbing plenty of offensive rebounds and have a significant height advantage which will help them significantly on both ends of the floor. Take the points with Illinois here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Indiana here on the road against UCLA. Indiana is coming off a massive win against Purdue and have now won back to back. UCLA is similarly on an uptick with 3 straight wins but I see regression coming with the Hoosiers coming to town. UCLA defense has posted at least a 100 defensive efficiency rating in 3 of 5 and have been getting crushed in the mid range. The Indiana offense has posted 3 straight games with an offensive efficiency over 100 and are rocking from the paint and mid range, hitting over 60% in back to back. UCLA has struggled against stronger opposition and the Hossiers are on a tough run with 5 of their L6 coming against teams in the Top 20 of net ratings. This is too many points for a team that can get hot any moment, especially from 3PT, where they are averaging 37% over the L3 games. Play Indiana with the points here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Texas A&M here on the road against Georgia. The Aggies are on a 3 game winning streak and are 9-1 their L10 while Georgia has fallen back to back and are 2-3 in their L5 overall. The Georgia defense has been their weakest link to date posting a 118+ defensive efficiency rating in 5 of their L8 overall and back to back over 124. The Aggies offense has been on fire with a 119+ offensive efficiency rating in 3 straight and have hit at least 35% from 3PT in all of those. Their defense is playing well too, especially their perimeter defense where they’ve held foes to sub 30% from beyond the 3PT line in 3 of 4. This is going to be a back and forth game and having points in our back pocket will be a premium down the stretch, especially where the Aggies are converting FT’s at a 75% clip. Take the points with Texas A&M here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Harvard here on the road against Brown in this Ivy League match up. Brown has struggled significantly with back to back losses and are 1-4 in their L5 overall. Harvard is coming into this off a loss, but saw a small offensive uptick with 3 straight wins prior and are 4-2 in their L6. They’ve posted an offensive efficiency rating of 120+ in 3 of 4 and have shot at least a 52% eFG in 4 straight. The Brown defense has been super inconsistent with an average defensive efficiency rating of 113.4 and foes have hit over a 50% eFG in 4 of 5. The Harvard defense will find success against Brown as they have scored below 70 in back to back and are dreadful at the line which should create chances for the Crimson. Harvard’s efficiency edge on both ends of the floor combined with their strong FT% rate, will push Brown to their limits. Lay it with Harvard here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Hawaii here on the road against UC Irvine. Following their uncharacteristic loss to UC Santa Barbara, Hawaii has won back to back and are a commanding 11-2 their L13. UC Irvine has reeled off back to back wins after 2 straight losses however they have not looked good nonetheless. Offensively, they’ve shot below a 50% eFG in 5 straight games and are dreadful from 3PT, hitting 5 or less 3PT shots in each of those games. The Hawaii offense has been impressive with a 105+ offensive rating in 5 of 7 and back to back at 115+. They are hitting an avg eFG of 55.6% the L2 games and hold a small height advantage which is going to be huge down low. Hawaii’s defense is strong in conference only play ranking Top 2 in both 2PT%/ 3PT% and will give the Ant Eaters plenty of issues. Take the points with Hawaii here. —Joey Tron 

I am taking UNCW with the points here on the road in this match up against Towson. UNCW is the way better team with an impressive 8-1 record in their L9 while Towson is a strong 4-1 in their L5, they were on a 4 game skid prior and enter this off a tough road loss to a Quad 4 foe. The UNCW offense has posted an offensive efficiency of 114+ in 4 of the L5 and shot at least a 50% eFG in each of those. The Towson defense has ben inconsistent which has led it to being their weakest link, posting a defensive efficiency of 112+ in 3 of their L6 and are 3-4 against Quad 3/4 teams showing their strong appearances come against much inferior opposition. UNCW has a small height advantage that will go a long way, especially from the midrange where Towson has ben getting lit up. Play UNCW with the points here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Illinois State here on the road against Murray State. Murray State has lost back to back after reeling off 12 straight wins while Illinois State is 6-4 their L10 and have been well offensively, which will challenge this flustered Murray State defense. The Racers are struggling posting over a 105 defensive efficiency rating in 4 straight and hit a staggering 122/123 in both losses while foes have hit over a 50% eFG in 5 straight. The Illinois State defense struggled in their last match up but have held foes to a sub 40% eFG in 2 of 3 and are allowing less than 30% of offensive rebounds to opponents in 5 straight. This will be neck and neck and should come down to the wire with points in our back pocket being a bonus. Take the points with Illinois St here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Tennessee here on the road against Georgia in this SEC clash. The Volunteers have been trading wins and loses going 3-3 in their L6 but it is important to note that each loss came against either a Q1 or Q1-A foe. Georgia, started hot but has since fizzled out going 3-3 in their L6 are coming off a brutal 20 pt loss at the hands of Texas. The Tennessee offense has posted back to back games with an offensive of 117+ and extends even further hitting this mark in 3 of 5. The Georgia defense has had hiccups with a 118+ defensive rating in 4 of 7 and are getting crushed on the boards, where the Bulldogs will be at a massive size disadvantage to the Volunteers. Tennessee’s defensive efficiency and offensive shot quality will propel them here. Take the points with Tennessee here. —Joey Tron 

I am taking Rice with the points against East Carolina in this AAC clash. East Carolina stopped a 7 game skid last time out with a 4 pt win over North Texas while Rice is 2-3 in their L5 however the average margin of defeat in those games was just 3.6 PPG showing how close these games were. Offensively, Rice has been really solid with 100+ offensive rating in 6 straight and have a 113+ rating in 3 of 4, while posting an average eFG of 61% the L3. The East Carolina offense has been far from good posting under 100 efficiency rating in 3 of 4 and have show below a 49% eFG in 3 straight. The Rice defense has struggled but will find success against a much inferior offense that has yet to find their stride themselves. Rice’s low turnover rate and high offensive rebounding percentage will give them plenty of chances to get their perimeter shooting going where they’ve gone 46%+ from 3PT in three straight. Take the points with Rice here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Indiana here at home against Purdue in this Big Ten square off. The Boilermakers have now fallen back to back and are playing their 3rd game on the road in their L4 overall with another one deck. The Hoosiers stopped a 4 game skid with a commanding road win against Rutgers but it is important to note all 4 losses came against Q1/Q1-A foes. The Hoosiers offense has posted 102+ offensive efficiency rating in 7 of 9 and have been sensational from the mid range, hitting just under 60% to date. The Purdue defense has ben their weakest link allowing a 118+ defensive rating in 4 of 5 and foes are crushing them on the floor, hitting an eFG of 64%+ in those 4 games. Indiana’s tough schedule and Free Throw capabilities along with the environment of Assembly Hall will be to much for Purdue. Take the points with the Hoosiers here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Eastern Michigan here on the road against their in-state rival, Central Michigan. Central Michigan has really struggled with 3 straight losses and are a horrid 1-8 in their L9. Eastern Michigan Is coming off back to back losses to Q2 and 3 foes, however it is important to note that they came by an average of marking of 3.5 points. The E. Michigan offense has been playing well with a 100+ offensive rating in 5 of 7 and have been exceptionally well from the mid range going at least 58% in 4 of 5. Central Michigan defense has been getting crushed with a 113+ defensive rating in 5 straight and are at a size disadvantage which will be taken advantage of. Eastern Michigan’s shot efficiency and shot quality will overwhelm the Chippewas here. Lay it with Eastern Michigan. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with BYU here against Arizona. This is set to be an awesome Big 12 match up and I have to give the edge to the home court Cougars here. BYU is off to strong 5-1 start in conference play with their only two losses on the season coming to Q1-A teams. They have had several hiccups on the defensive side but the bright spot is Arizona offense has played weak defenses with all Q2,3 or 4 opponents in 8 of their L9 wins. BYU conference only defense is Top 5 in the conference and will no doubt be ready for their biggest game of the season to date. The BYU offense has posted a 120+ offensive efficiency in 3 of 5 games and will be another strong force tonight. This should come down to the last few possessions and home the court environment will be vital. Take the points with BYU here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Louisville on the road here against Duke in this ACC clash. Louisville has revenge on their mind after Duke came into the KFC Yum and picked up a win not too long ago. The Cardinals have picked up back to back wins and are 3-1 in their L4 after losing back to back games. Duke has been impressive to date winning 7 straight since losing to TT. Defensively, Duke’s defense has been out of shape posting 106+ defensive efficiency rating in 5 of 8 and foes have shot over a 50% eFG in 1/2 those games. Louisville is coming off back to back massive offensive showing where they posted an average efficiency rating of 136 and an eFG of 66.5%. Louisville’s physicality and rebound numbers should keep them within this striking number. Take the points with Louisville here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with the Rams here on the road against Seattle. The Seahawks are coming off a thunderous win against the 49ers and the Rams are looking for revenge after losing on this field not too long ago. In that loss, the Rams amassed 581 yards of offense and had the strongest offensive unit in the NFL during the reg season, with 392 yards per game and 30 PPG. The Seahawks have been dominant on the ground however the Rams defense is 1st in rushing TD’s allowed and 3rd in RZ TD%. The bad news for Seattle is Sam Darnold has not been intimidating with 4 TDs and 3 INT the L4 games and has been sacked a whomping 11 times in this span. The Rams ability to the shorter the field and get Seattle offense off the field on 3rd downs is the difference maker. Take the points with the Rams here. —Joey Tron 

I am taking the points with the home dog Denver Broncos in this AFC Championship game against the Patriots. Despite not having Bo Nix, I think this is a significant overreaction and not giving enough credit to arguably the best defense in the NFL. Denver has the best pressure defense in the league and Drake Maye, has looked far from his MVP Caliber. Maye has been sacked 10 times and has thrown 2 INTs in 2 playoff games thus far and the Denver defense forced 5 total turnovers against Buffalo in the divisional round. The Patriots played two weaker foes with far inferior offensive lines and this is where New England will be at the disadvantage - in the trenches and on 3rd down. Denver’s offensive efficiency and 3rd down conversion rates give them a massive boost. Take the points with the Broncos here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Seton Hall here on the road against DePaul. The Pirates have lost 3 in a row coming into this one but each loss has come against either a Q1-A or Q2 foe with all coming by single digits. DePaul has been trading wins and losses, but are 3-5 in their L8 and defensively have really struggled. They have posted over a defensive rating of 116 in back to back games and opponents have shot a 56%+ eFG in 3 straight. The Seton Hall offense is grabbing offensive rebounds at a 48% clip the last 3 games and although struggling to score, they have averaged 46% from the mid range their L4. Their defense will overpower DePaul here as they are Top 10 in defensive efficiency and have forced turnovers on 17%+ of opponents possessions in 4 of 5. Seton Hall’s defensive efficiency and rebounding edge will push them over the finish line as time wears down the DePaul defense. Lay it with Seton Hall here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Davidson here in this A10 square off against VCU. After a slight skid, Davidson has kicked it up going 4-1 in their L5 with and impressive Q1 win over George Washington. VCU has won back to back after falling two in a row but this is a rough spot for them traveling for their 3rd out of 4 games. The Davidson offense have hit at least 50% eFG in 3 of 5 and display great ball control, rarely turning it over. VCU defense has had their hurdles with 110+ defensive rating in 2 of their L3 games and goes have hit at least 48% from 2PT in 5 straight. Davidson’s pace control and home shooting capabilities will keep them close in this one. Take the points with Davidson here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Central Florida here on the road against Colorado. UCF has back to back losses but both come against Q1 teams and were an impressive 13-1 before this small skid. Colorado has really struggled with losses in 4 straight and they hav not been good defensively, as foes have hit a 47% or higher eFG in in each of those games. The UCF offense has posted a 105+ offensive rating in 4 straight and have grabbed more than 30% of offensive rebounds in back to back showing that chances can be created. The Colorado offense has struggled to score as of late with a poor eFG going 45% or less in 3 of 4 and are not strong behind the perimeter going below 30% from 3PT in back to back. UCF controls efficiency and rebounding which will help them late in this one. Take the points with UCF here. —Joey Tron 

I am taking the points with Illinois here on the road against Purdue. This is way too many points for Purdue to be laying giving how poor they have been playing and Illinois has significantly played under the radar to date with 8 straight wins, half coming against Q1/A and Q2 schools. Purdue is coming off a road loss to UCLA and despite going 4-1 in their L5, they have failed to cover in all of them. Purdue defense has had a 112 or worse defensive rating in 3 of those 4 games and foes have hit a staggering 64%+ eFG in those 3 games. The Illinois offense has been sensational with a 113+ offensive efficiency rating in 5 straight, shooting over a 50% eFG in each of ‘em. Illinois key here is controlling pace and hitting their perimeter shots, where they’ve hit 30% or better in 5 straight. Take the points with the Illinois Illini here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Buffalo here at home against Massachusetts in this MAC battle. Buffalo is coming off 4 straight losses however the last 2 were against Q1 & Q2 foes making this a strong come back spot for them. Massachusetts is 3-1 their L4 but every game was against a Q4 opponent and looking back just a tad further, they are 3-4 in their L7. Despite their  wins, Massachusetts defense has really struggled with a 116+ defensive rating in 4 of their L6 match ups and foes have shot over 50% in 5 of those 6. Buffalo defense has struggled however offensive they are on a tear with a 115+ offensive rating in 7 of 8 and have posted an avg eFG of 58.5% in that span. This should be back and forth game with the Buffalo shooting efficiency pulling away late. Take the points with Buffalo here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with WVU here on the road against Arizona State. West Virginia is a solid 3-1 in their L4 games with their loss coming to Houston on the road. Arizona State has lost back to back and are just 1-6 their L7 and their defense has been their weakest link allowing 80+ in every game but one. They have had a 117 or worse defensive rating in 6 of their L7 and the Mountaineers offense has been strong to date with an eFG of 50% in 5 of 6 and have been lights out from 3PT hitting 36% on the season. WVU’s physicality and experience will prove too much for the Sun Devils to overcome. Take the points with West Virginia here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Pittsburgh on the road against Boston College. Pittsburgh might be 1-4 in their L5 games however every loss comes against either Q1 or 2 foes and just one comes by more than double digits. Boston College snapped a 4 game skid with an OT win against Syracuse however they have not been good on offense by any means. They have posted below a 100 offensive efficiency rating in 4 of their L6 games and have show an eFG of 47% or worse in 5 of 6. Pittsburgh offense has shot at a 50% or better eFG in 5 of the L7 match ups and will find success against a much inferior defense In Boston College, where foes have shot a 50%+ eFG in 4 straight against them. Pittsburgh’s efficiency with the ball and defensive possessions will be too strong for Boston College to overcome. Lay it with Pittsburgh here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points here with Indiana against Miami. The Hoosiers have been a force on both sides of the ball and will finish what Curt Cignetti started last season. Indiana is no doubt the more disciplined team on the field leading the country in turnover at 1.40 per game and rank 2nd in the NCAA in Penalty Yards per game. Miami is penalty happy, ranking 84th in the nation in this category and just had TEN in their Semi-Final match up. The Miami secondary was burnt plenty of times against Ole Miss allowing 277 passing yards and Fernando Mendoza will certainly take advantage of this secondary as he’s amassed 369 yards and 8 TD’s in 2 CFP games thus far. Lay it with Indiana here to pull away late. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points here with Providence against Marquette in this Big East showdown. Providence snapped a 3 game skid with a home win against Creighton and are a modest 2-3 their L5 with a win against St. John’s and took UConn to OT, losing by 5. Marquette is just 1-9 in their L10 games with 3 straight losses and defensively have been a mess with teams shooting a 54% or higher eFG in all 3 of those games. The Friars offense has been playing incredibly we’ll scoring at least 80 points in each of their 4 games and are averaging a 116 offensive rating in their L4 which will be too much for the Golden Eagles defense to overcome. Providence’s height advantage in the front court should benefit them down low in grabbing rebounds and creating second chance opportunities. Take the points with Providence here. —Joey Tron 

I am taking the points with the Bears here at home against the Rams. This is going to be a COLD game and I am giving that edge to the Bears here. Not only that, but 4 of the L5 games for the Rams have been decided by a single score, showing how close their games have been. The Bears have a dynamic defense that can force takeaways on the fly and an offense that has multiple weapons that will keep this Rams defense on their toes. Chicago’s path to victory here comes by winning the turnover battle and forcing LA to kick FG’s in the Red Zone and limiting long 3rd down attempts on the offensive side. Take the points with the Bears here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Green Bay here at home against Oakland in this mid major clash. Green Bay has seen an offensive surge with 5 straight wins along with wins in 7 of their L10, and have scored 72+ across all those 5 games. Oakland has been inconsistent at best with a 4-3 record in their L7 and have not faired well on the road this season going 4-7 overall. The Oakland defense is by far their weakest link allowing 82 PPG and have posted a defensive efficiency rating of 110+ in 4 of 7 which is not a good sign where as Green Bay has been electric with an offensive rating 120+ in 3 of 4 and are averaging a 64.4% eFG in that span. Green Bay’s path here comes from winning the offensive rebound battle and slowing the tempo to compress possessions. Take the points with Green Bay here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Fresno State here at home against Wyoming. Wyoming saw a massive uptrend in their Non-Conference play due to a favorable schedule. Wyoming has now lost back to back allowing 166 points in the process and didn’t even show up last game, scoring just 57 points. Fresno State has wins in 2 of their L3 including a 10 point win at home against Colorado State after a brutal stretch of play which should benefit them here. The Fresno State offense is coming alive behind Jake Heibreder who has scored 21+ in 3 of 5. Take the points with Fresno State here at home. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with USC here at home against Purdue. Purdue is traveling across the country for this match up and they have not looked good as of late, making this a rough spot for them. They have now failed to cover 3 in a row, including PSU hitting 57% from the floor. USC had a rough trip to Michigan losing to both the Spartans and Wolverines, however have won back to back since scoring 158 points in the process. Purdue has allowed 70+ in 4 straight games and the Trojans have revenge on their mind with last seasons Big Ten tourney loss still stinging. USC limiting the turnovers and forcing the tempo up is their path to victory. Take the points with USC here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with the Bills here on the road against the Broncos. The Bills looked impressive in their road win against the Jaguars and I look for them to keep this momentum going. The Broncos offense has been their weakest link with 11 of their 14 wins by just one score and they trailed at least once in 15 games this season. The Bills secondary is one of the best units in the NFL ranking 1st in passing yards allowed per game and are Top 7 in EPA per Pass which will make it very difficult for Bo Nix to move the ball. The Broncos secondary is 27th in pass attempts and 26th in TO’s forced which will be beneficial for Josh Allen to move the ball downfield. This should be another close game with the Bills keeping it tight to the end. Take the points with Buffalo here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Colorado State here on the road against Boise State. Colorado State Rams have been trading wins and losses their L4 and are coming off 10 pt road loss to Fresno State. Boise State is significantly overpriced here as they’ve lost 4 in a row and have had a defensive efficiency rating of 110+ in all those games. Offensively, they are averaging just  a 46% eFG across this losing streak and are turning it over far too often. Colorado State has been playing competitive with a 50%+ eFG in 4 straight and have been shooting it very well all season, ranking Top 35 in both 3P% and 2P%. Colorado State’s faster tempo and and hot perimeter shooting should convert forced turnovers and rebounds into more opportunities. Take the points with Colorado State here. —Joey Tron 

I am taking Creighton on the ML here on the road against Providence in this Big East clash. Creighton picked up a big win last time out with an OT win against Georgetown and are a strong 6-2 in their L8 games. Providence has fallen 3 in a row and 5 of 6 with their defense by far being their weakest link. They have had a defensive efficiency rating of 120+ in 4 of those games and have allowed 88+ in 3 straight. The Creighton offense has seen an offensive uptick  hitting an eFG of at least 55% in 6 of 8. Providence offense although playing well, are going to be held back by their pace and defensive capability. Creighton’s ability to win comes from not only grabbing more rebounds and better conversion rates in late game moments. Play Creighton ML here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with San Diego here against Seattle U. Both teams are struggling right now, as San Diego is just 1-4 in their L5 and Seattle isn’t doing much better themselves also going 1-4 in their L5 with 3 straight losses. This is too many points to be laying for a team that has a date with Gonzaga next time on the court and is out for revenge after their 2 OT loss to them earlier. San Diego has been shooting the ball extremely well in front of the 3PT line shooting 47% or better from the mid range in 5 straight. The Seattle defense has been all over the place allowing an average of 80 PPG their L3 and will struggle to pull away down the stretch. The more possessions that San Diego gets by winning the turnover battle and strong perimeter shooting will be the path to success. Take the points with San Diego here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with UNC here on the road against Stanford. Stanford is coming off a tough loss to Virginia and have been playing below their means defensively, with a 110+ defensive efficiency in each of their L3 games. The Tar Heels rebounded with a Conference win against Wake Forest and are embarking on a small West Coast road trip here where offensively, they’ve been doing well. They have scored 79+ in 4 straight games and have an average eFG of 57.6% over the last 4 games. The Tar Heels also carry a significant height advantage which will be huge for their backcourt down the stretch. UNC’s ability to create chances off of rebounds will be the difference here. Lay it with North Carolina. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with San Francisco here at home against Saint Mary’s. This spread is a bit too high and the Don’s should be able to compete in this spot. The Gaels defense has been all over the place with a defensive efficiency of 115+ in 3 of their L5 games including back to back and are embarking on back to back road trips. San Francisco has won 6 of their L8 with their most recent loss coming by just 2 in Double OT. The Dons offense has been strong with an offensive efficiency over 100 in 4 straight, including going at least 33% from 3PT in the last 3. The Dons path to success comes from strong perimeter shooting like we have seen and grabbing as many offensive boards as possible. Take the points with San Fransisco here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Virginia here against Louisville. Virginia has been rolling since their 3OT loss to Virginia Tech and have been a formidable force on the defensive side, conceding no more than 61 points in each of their last 3 wins. Louisville is just 3-3 L6, including 1-2 in their L3 due in part to a poor defensive showing with an avg efficiency of 106 the L4 games. Virginia is shooting the ball extremely well averaging a 56% eFG in their L5 games and Louisville will undoubtedly have a difficult time stopping their back court as nearly 36% of UVA’s points come from beyond the 3PT line. Virginia’s low turnover rate combined with elite defensive possession efficiency should keep them within this number. Take the points with UVA here. —Joey Tron 

I am taking the points with the Steelers here at home against the Texans in this divisional round of the playoffs. The Steelers offense has been on a tear scoring 25+ in 9 of their L12 games and Pittsburgh is only getting stronger with DK Metcalf and TJ Watt returning. The Texans despite having won 9 in a row, they are not WINNING convincingly and their defense has been lackluster - allowing 30 pts to the Colts and 23 to the Raiders, where they won by just 2. The Steelers offense is among the best in the league in recent weeks with 12.4 YPP and the cold weather will negate the passing attack by Houston, giving Aaron Rodgers comfort to sling it. Pittsburgh’s path to success comes from forcing turnovers and forcing TD’s into FG’s. Take the points with the Steelers here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with the Chargers here on the road against the Patriots. The Pats have not played to the level of competition that the Chargers have endured and in fact, New England went just 2-2 against Playoff teams this year. The Chargers not only have a better point differential against common opponents here, but LAC has a formidable QB in Justin Herbert and New England ranks towards the bottom of the league in pressure rate. The Chargers defense should have success in containing Drake Maye as they are ranked 2nd in defensive EPA over the last 10 weeks and have plenty of rest with all the starters benched in the finale. The Chargers have the edge in explosive play efficiency and their defense should give them excellent field position to work with, allowing 20 or less to 9 of their L10 opponents. Take the Chargers with the points here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Ohio State here on the road again Washington. Ohio State is playing solid basketball right now with wins in 3 of their L5 with their losses coming to UNC and Nebraska, by a combined margin of 4 points. Washington has lost back to back and are just 2-3 in their L5 games. Defensively, their have been inefficient with a efficiency rating of 127.5 in their L2 games and their front court has been getting destroyed. The Buckeyes enjoy a small height advantage over the Huskies are are hitting nearly 61% from 2PT which is going to pummel Washington here. Ohio State has the experience and much lower turnover rate that will be crucial down the wire here. Take the points with Ohio State here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with the Panthers here against the Rams. The Panthers have been playing competitive football down the stretch against teams not named Seattle and despite going just 1-3 their L4, 2 of those losses come by a combined 5 points. The Rams finished the season going 3-2 however the Rams have now turned the ball over 4 times in the last 4 games making this a tough road spot for Los Angeles in the opening round of the Wild Card. Bryce Young has kept his team in games all down the stretch and theirs no reason he won’t do the same here. Carolina’s path to covering comes from Red Zone success and the Rams defense has allowed 119 points the last 4 games, showing their RZ efficiency is dwindling. Take the points with the Panthers here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Baylor here at home against Houston in this Big 12 battle. This is Houston’s second true road game of the season and it will no doubt be a challenging one. Houston has been playing very close games recently with each of their last 3 wins coming by an average of 6.6 PPG. Defensively they have been playing under their means with foes hitting an eFG% of at least 49% in their last 4 games. Baylor has lost back to back however their back court will be a force against Houston here as they have a small height advantage which will be huge in grabbing rebounds and creating second chance points. Baylor’s success here will come from the transition offense and above-average perimeter shooting and Houston is conceding nearly 1/3 of their points from here. Take the points with Baylor here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the small spread with Indiana here in the Peach Bowl against Oregon. This is going to be a great game and I do not see the Ducks slowing down this Indiana offense. The Hoosiers have a dynamic offense that Oregon is going to have a hard time stopping, similarly to what we saw in their regular season battle, where the Hoosiers won on the road 30-20. Indiana’s key to victory is winning the turnover battle and keeping Dante Moore off the field where the Ducks went 3-14 on 3rd downs in Oregon. Indiana’s rush defense is formidable holding Alabama to just 23 yards in the Rose Bowl and just 58 yards to the Buckeyes in the Big Ten Championship game showing that moving the ball downfield on them will not be easy. The Hoosiers and Curt Cignetti are the real deal and get one step closer to the championship tonight. Lay it with Indiana here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Toledo here at home against Miami OH. This is set up to be a great MAC battle and Toledo has the edge here. Miami comes into this game undefeated with 16 straight wins, however the level of competition has been horrid with only 3 wins coming against teams over .500. Toledo offense has been strong in recent competitions posting an offensive efficiency of 105+ in 4 straight games and are rarely turning the ball over. The Miami defense is their weakest link with an defensive efficiency of 102+ in 8 straight games and foes have shot 48% or higher in 3 straight in front of the 3PT line, showing regressing is on the horizon for Miami. The Toledo defense is in great form allowing less than 80 points in 4 straight games, forcing turnovers on 20%+ of possessions in 3 of the L5 as well. Toledo’s edge comes from their offensive efficiency and scoring outbursts, both of which should be on display. Take the points with Toledo here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Ole Miss here in the College Football Semi-Final here. This is going to be a great match up and I give the edge to the Rebels here. The Miami Hurricanes have a very strong defense but their offense lacks the strength to hang with the Rebels. Ole Miss has scored 80 points in the CFP so far and won’t be slowing down anytime soon. The Rebels have a strong rush defense ranking 34th in the nation and are holding foes to 35% on 3rd down. Getting Carson Beck off the field is going to be crucial here and Miami is just 37% on 3rd downs in the CFP. Ole Miss offensive success rate will be imperative here with this key number. Take the points with Ole Miss here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with VCU at home here against Saint Louis. This is set up to be a great A10 square off with the Rams having the slight edge here at home. The Billikens defense has been having their share of issues now posting a 100+ defensive efficiency in 3 of their L5 games and are coming off  season’s worst defensive performance. VCU offense has been on an absolute tear with 5 straight games posting an offensive efficiency of 125+ and have shot at least 59% in each of them. The VCU defense is playing a lot stronger and their backcourt will be a strong challenge for the Billikens offense who enjoys playing down low. VCU’s home court advantage and efficiency separation late in games will be the difference maker. Lay it with VCU here.—Joey Tron

I am taking Wake Forest on the ML here in this ACC match up against Miami. This should be a close back and forth battle with the Demon Deacons prevailing here. Wake Forest stopped a 2 game skid last time out with a win while Miami is on a 7 game win streak - against less inferior opposition. Their defense has been all over the place with a defensive efficiency of 105+ in 3 of their L4 game and foes have gone 34% from beyond the 3PT line in that span. The Wake Forest defense has struggled but has been against formidable opposition like Vanderbilt and NC State which will pay dividends here. The Wake Forest front court is going to keep the Hurricanes in check and slowing the tempo when necessary. The Deacs’ efficiency and late-game consistency separate these two more often than not. Take Wake Forest on the ML here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with the Texas A&M Aggies here on the road in this SEC clash against Auburn. Texas A&M has been on a tear with 4 straight wins posting an offensive efficiency rating of 128+ in 3 of those 4. They are strong beyond the 3PT line averaging 41% beyond the arc their L4 games. The Auburn defense has significantly struggled against strong competition, as they have a 125+ defensive efficiency in 3 of the L5 games, and foes have hit an eFG of 50% or higher in 4 of 5. The Aggies defense has been fierce with an efficiency under 100 in 4 straight and have the more formidable front court.  The Aggies rebounding and physical defense will keep them within this number. Take the points with Texas A&M here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Georgia Tech here at home in this ACC clash against Syracuse. Georgia Tech carries a very small height advantage and stronger backcourt which is going to pay dividends down low. The Yellow Jackets have been strong offensively posting an efficiency over 108 in 5 of their L6 games and have been shooting it insanely well, especially from 3PT, at a 35% clip. The Orange struggled in their most recent defeat and this isn’t new as their defense has been very inconsistent and foes have shot an eFG of 44% or higher in 4 of their L5 games. The Georgia Tech front court will prove too much once they start getting hot from 3 PT. Take the points with Georgia Tech here. —Joey Tron

I am laying the points with Charleston here against William and Mary at home in this CAA match up. Charleston has won 5 in a row and offensively, have been doing much better posting an offensive efficiency of 113+ in 4 straight. They’re shooting the ball in front of the 3PT line at a 64% average across this winning streak and have a sizable height advantage which should be very beneficial for the Charleston backcourt. William and Mary is turning the ball over on nearly 20% of their possessions and are going to be dependent on playing down low where they are at a size disadvantage. Charleston’s home-court edge combined with their higher offensive tempo and shot volume gives them a massive lean. Lay it with the Charleston Cougars here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Bradley here on the road against Murray State. This going to be a MVC slugfest and Bradley should hang with the Racers all game. The Bradley defense is formidable forcing turnovers on 22% of opponents possessions and are Top 100 in defensive efficiency. Murray State’s offense has regressed slightly the last two games and will be up for another big challenge here. Bradley’s defensive consistency and half-court efficiency give them a slight edge and will be a thorn in the side. Take the points with Bradley here. —Joey Tron 

I am taking the points with the Saints here on the road against the Falcons. Tyler Shough has been playing very well down the stretch despite them being eliminated and I like him here. The Falcons had a huge win on Prime Time last time out and I look for a big let down spot here in the season finale. The Falcons have won 3 in a row, but defensively have been getting lit up at home, allowing 91 points in their last 3 home games. The Saints offense is on a massive tear with 4 straight wins, scoring 20+ in all of them with 2 of them coming on the road. The Atlanta defense is on a short week and are ranked 21st in defensive success rate, which should give the Saints offense plenty of confidence to move that ball. The Saints defense has forced at least 1 turnover in 5 straight and wining the turnover battle will be the difference here. Take the points with the Saints. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with the Panthers here on the road against the Buccaneers in this divisional match up to end the season. This should be a very close game and the Panthers will be within this number for a good duration of the game. Despite getting blown out by the Seahawks in their last game, Carolina is still playing some solid football against teams not named Seattle with wins against the Bucs and Rams and 3pt loss at NO in their L4 games. The Buccaneers have not had any answers on the defensive side of the ball allowing an average of 22.6 PPG their L5 and just stopped a losing skid with a pitiful 20-17 win over the lowly Cardinals. Tampa is turning it over at an alarming rate with 3 in their last game and a total of 6 in their last 4 games. The Bucs defense has allowed just under 500 yards on the ground the L4 games and rank 27th in Passing yards allowed on the season which should give Bryce Young confidence to get out there and win the division. Take the points with the Panthers here. —Joey Tron

I am taking the points with Auburn here on the road against Georgia. Auburn has 4 losses on the season but each loss has come to a team has at one point ranked #1 and have one of the most difficult Strength of Schedules in the country. Auburn’s defensive pressure and ability to create turnovers will be the difference maker here. The Tigers defense is battle tested against the likes of some of the best in the country and will be ready here. Offensively, they have posted a 118+ offensive efficiency in 3 of 5 and have shot great beyond the arc, hitting 35% on the season. Georgia backcourt is going to be at massive heigh disadvantage forcing the Bulldogs shoot beyond the 3PT line they are horrid here hitting 31%. This should be a close game with the Tigers keeping it manageable throughout. Take the points with Auburn here. —Joey Tron