I am taking the under here between the Patriots and Seahawks in the Super Bowl. I think this will be a very defensive game with limited scoring opportunities. The Seahawks defense ranks 2nd in overall Total EPA this season and while the Pats sit ranked 11th, their defense has been in great form this post season. They’ve allowed an average of 8.6 PPG and no team has scored more than 2 TD’s against them yet. The Seahawks rank 3rd in overall success % and will force Drake Maye into some sticky situations. Both defenses can limit the amount of explosive plays given up and barring any crazy D/ST scores from both teams, this should go under almost every time. Play the UNDER in Super Bowl 60. —Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between the Bills and Texans in this Thursday Night Football match up. This features two very stout defenses and if the Texans want any shot at winning, their defense will need to be on their A game. Houston is arguably the best defensive unit in the league ranking Top 5 in almost all metrics but the ones that stand out the most are ranking 3rd in Pass Completions and 4th in Passing TD’s. Barring a few hiccups in recent weeks, the Bills defense is not too far off themselves and will hold this Texans offense in check, especially with Davis Mills under center for Houston. Buffalo has a terrible rush defense which will burn the clock however once in the Red Zone I see them struggling as the Bills defense is 5th RZ Attempts and 8th in RZ Touchdowns. Buffalo is 116-94 to the under in road game against Conference foes and Houston is 62-51 to the under in home games where the total is between 42.5 to 49 points. Play the UNDER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the OVER here between the Broncos and Raiders. As good and strong as the Broncos defense is, they still have vulnerabilities that can be exposed, even against the Raiders. Denver has allowed 56 points in their last 2 home games and the Raiders offense is coming off an offensive explosion where they scored 29 points against a good Jaguars team. Geno Smith is at the helm again for Las Vegas who had a great game with 284 yards / 4 TD's and the Broncos defense sits 24th in Defensive Pass Attempts which will give Geno some comfortability here. On the other side, the Raiders defense is horrid as they've now allowed at least 30 points in 3 of their L4 games and rank 29th in the NFL on 3rd Down % which will get tiresome after a while for this depleted D-Line. The Raiders are 7-5 to the over, when playing against a team with a winning record and the Broncos are 8-2 to the over at home, after 1 or more consecutive wins. Play the OVER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between the Cardinals and Cowboys for this Monday Night Football showdown. The total seems WAY too high and that is indicative of the last few Cowboys games blowing over the total. The Cardinals are entering this one fresh off their bye and well rested given the extra day of rest and it is much needed. They have allowed 20+ in 4 straight games leading into this one however they are ranked 8th in Defensive 3rd Down % which is going to be huge at getting the Dallas offense off the field. The Cardinals will have difficulty moving the ball even against this defense as they are likely going with Jacoby Brissett, who has been sacked 8 times the last 2 games. Arizona is 11-7 to the under in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 and Dallas is 23-15 to the under at home, after a loss by 14 or more points. Play the UNDER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between Purdue and Michigan. This total seems too high for a game that should be a walk over for the Wolverines with back to back road games on deck. Purdue has had a horrid season now having lost 6 in a row, and are averaging under 15 PPG across their last 3 games. The Michigan defense has been lights out at home allowing 7, 10, and 3 points in their 3 home games this season and are Top 15 on the season in rushing yards allowed per game. The Purdue defense is NOT great but they are decent on 3rd down, ranking 47th in the nation and keeping the Michigan offense off the field is important and they are converting less than 41% on the season (T66th). Purdue is 15-6 to the under, when play on the road off an upset loss as a favorite and Michigan is 20-15 to the under at home, as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. Play the UNDER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the OVER here between North Texas and Navy. Both of these teams have electric offenses ranking within the Top 35 efficiency in the nation and will be putting defense on the backburner here for good reason. North Texas has amassed 145 points their last 3 games, while Navy has accumulated 108 in the same span. North Texas ranks 118th in Rush Yards allowed which is huge for Blake Horvath and the Navy ground game while the Midshipmen have a horrid secondary that Drew Mestemaker can take advantage of, with a commanding 21-4 TD:INT ratio on the season. Navy is 33-26 to the over on the road off a home win and North Texas is 19-11 to the over at home, when the total is between 63.5 and 70. Play the OVER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between the Ravens and Dolphins on Thursday Night Football. The total and spread are evident of Lamar Jackson returning for Baltimore, however I am not confident that this number is actually reflective of other factors. The Ravens defense looked energized out of the bye week and have gotten much healthier, which is always a great sign. The Dolphins had a strong showing against Atlanta last week scoring 34 points however I do not see them moving the ball as easy here with a team that has a lot to play for with their star QB returning. Look for Baltimore to keep it conservative here and utilize the run game against Miami as they rank 29th in Rushing Yards allowed. Miami is 45-28 to the under at home, off a road win and Baltimore is 29-19 to the under on the road, as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Take the UNDER here on Thursday Night Football. –Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between Kennesaw State and UTEP. Both teams enter this one off of wins and I look for a defensive clash here. The UTEP defense is ranked 4th in the FBS on 3rd down percent, holding teams to just 24% and Kennesaw State is Top 61 here on the offensive side, pitting this for a great battle. Not only that, but both teams are holding the opposition this season to below 24 PPG, which means points should not come often. UTEP has 5 turnovers in their L3 games and conversely, have scored 20 or less points in 3 of their L5. Kennesaw State has done a fine job forcing turnovers as well with 4 in their last 3 games, meaning there will be a few back and forth empty possessions. UTEP is 9-6 to the under in all lined road games while Kennesaw State is 4-1 to the under at home, after playing their last game on the road. Take the UNDER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between the Commanders and the Chiefs in this Non-Conference showdown on Monday Night Football. The Commanders will be without Jayden Daniels and turn to Marcus Mariota who has done fine for them however they have lost 3 of 4 overall. The Chiefs enter this with back to back wins and victories in 3 of their last 4. The Chiefs defense has been in high gear now allowing just 17 points across their last 2 games and are Top 5 in passing yards allowed / Top 2 in Passing TD’s allowed. The Commanders, like the Chiefs will benefit from a longer week and will be able to muster some key stops for us. Kansas City has held their opposition to 20 or fewer points in all games this season but one, and will be looking ahead for next week’s date at Buffalo. I do not look for them to get fancy or blow out Washington with a tough few games on deck. The Commanders are 36-14 to the under on the road, after a loss by 14 or more points and the Chiefs are 47-23 to the under at home, as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. Take the UNDER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the OVER here between the Titans and Colts. I look for a high scoring game here as both defenses are susceptible to allowing points and this total seems somewhat low for a game that is technically “indoors”. The Colts defense ranks 30th in passing yards allowed and dead last in pass completions – meaning this is the game for Cam Ward to show what he can do. In addition to this, the Titans defense ranks 28th in points allowed and dead last in rushing TD’s allowed meaning JT can have a field day on this defense. The Colts have allowed 51 points their last 2 games and the Titans offense, although not good, should be able to put up a few to contribute to this total. Tennessee is 12-5 to the over against teams with a winning record and Indianapolis is 14-7 to the over in all lined home games. Play the OVER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the OVER here between Michigan State and Michigan in the battle for the Paul Bunyan Trophy. Michigan has seen the under in 3 of their last 4 games overall while Michigan State has seen the opposite, with 3 of their last 4 sailing over the total. I see this game being a back and forth offensive slugfest with very little defense here. The Wolverines offense has now tallied 61 points in their last 3 games and Michigan State, has allowed a staggering 159 points their last 4 games. Michigan has had their shortcomings defensively on the road this season with 58 points in their last 2 Big Ten games and I do not see the Spartans taking this game lightly. Michigan is 34-27 to the over, in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49and Michigan State is 12-7 to the over, when playing against a team with a winning record. Play the OVER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between Kennesaw State and Florida International as I look for this to be a close, low scoring battle. Kennesaw State has been playing some very good defense leading into their bye week, allowing an average of just 14 PPG and will be much rested coming into this battle. FIU is coming off a huge road win where they allowed just 6 points and forced 3 total turnovers, which can be the turning point for their season, sitting at 3-3. FIU knows they will need to be on their game defensively to keep this close, and Kennesaw State has a decent defense that should force a few turnovers and long, empty drives. FIU is 21-14 to the under in home October games and Kennesaw State is 6-2 to the under, after playing a game at home. Take the UNDER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between the Seahawks and Texans in this Prime Time Non-Conference match up on Monday Night Football. The Texans enter this off their bye week and have scored a staggering 70 points in their two games prior. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves as it was the Titans and a battered Ravens defense. The Seahawks defense looks solid right now having allowed 20 or less points in 3 of their L4 games and the Texans defense has been just as strong, holding teams to an average of just 11.7 PPG over their L4. Houston defense ranks third in EPA per play and the Seahawks rank Top 10 in both Red Zone TD’s and overall TD’s. Seattle is 10-7 to the under at home on Monday Night and Houston is a strong 39-31 to the under on the road, when playing against a team with a winning record. Take the under here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between Northwestern and Purdue, in what should be a tight low scoring Big Ten battle. Northwestern's defense has been playing excellent the last few weeks, allowing an average of 14 PPG in their L3 games and are coming off a huge win against Penn State. Purdue, is one of the worst teams in the Big Ten, have now lost 4 in a row, and have turned it over at least 2 times, in 4 straight games. Northwestern should keep Purdue in check here and limit how much they move the ball and Northwestern will not be able to move freely and should come up short a few drives. Purdue is 40-26 to the under on the road, in games played on a grass field while Northwestern is a strong 48-25 to the under, as a home favorite. Play the UNDER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between Jacksonville State and Delaware, as I see this being a low scoring, defensive battle. Delaware has a strong defense offense, however the Jacksonville State defense has been a strong force at home allowing just 17 PPG, and have forced at least 1 Turnover in 4 straight games. The Delaware defense is strong in road conference games allowing 16 PPG and will be a tough go here, as they have a stingy rush defense, which will force Jack State to pass, and I am not confident in their QB, who is completing just 55.8% of passes on the season. The under is 65-29 with Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 63 - off an extremely close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival, in weeks 5 through 9. Play the UNDER here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the OVER here between Temple and Navy in what should be a high scoring game. The Navy offense is strong, scoring 30+ in 4 of their 5 games this season, while Temple, has done an excellent job holding their own, scoring 24+ in 4 of their 5 games - and are coming off a big win. Defensively, they have had shortcomings allowing an average of 36 PPG over their L3 games and Navy should have no problems moving the ball. I expect Temple to fight and stay competitive, which should push this over. Navy is 9-4 to the over on the road, as a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points and Temple is 4-1 to the over at home, after playing at home. Take the OVER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the under in this Big Ten match up between Penn State and Northwestern. Penn State is coming off back to back losses where they’ve allowed a total of 72 total points combined in both games. I look for a big comeback here against a team that has struggled offensively, and is averaging less than 24 PPG on the season and scored just 3 total points in their only road game this season. The Penn State offense has had several problems, especially at the QB position, as Drew Allar has thrown over 200 yards just once the last 4 games. The Northwestern defense has a very underrated defense and will give the PSU offense problems - especially their rushing game as the Wildcats are allowing just 164 RYPG, and have allowed less than this in back to back. Northwestern is 17-9 to the under on the road, following a win by 17+ points and PSU is 9-2 to the under at home, following 3 consecutive overs. Take the UNDER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the under here between the Giants and Saints in what should be a low scoring game. The Saints offense has been one of the worst in the NFL now failing to score over 20 points in 3 of their 4 games. The Giants picked up their first win of the season last week and have not been bad defensively. They have forced 3 turnovers their L3 games and have been excellent in the secondary, ranking 7th in passing TDs. Both teams have struggled moving the ball in the air, so I look for the ground games to be prevalent, which should burn clock for us. The Giants are 6-2 to the under in road games where the total is between 42.5 to 49 and the Saints are 9-5 to the under at home, against Conference opponents. Play the UNDER here. -Joey Tron

I’m taking the under in the 49ers vs. Rams divisional showdown on Prime Time. Both teams are dealing with injuries on offense and defense, which sets the stage for a lower-scoring game. The Rams defense has been one of the best in the NFL, holding opponents to under 5 yards per play. Mac Jones will likely struggle to move the ball downfield. The Rams also rank 4th in forced turnovers and 2nd in sacks. The 49ers defense isn’t far behind and will need to be a key factor if San Francisco wants to stay competitive. They rank 2nd in third-down percentage, which will be crucial in stopping the Rams’ offense, and are top 10 in both touchdowns and red zone attempts. Play the UNDER here. –Joey Tron

I am taking the OVER here between the Jets and Dolphins in this AFC East showdown on Monday Night Football. Neither of these teams defenses have been anything to rave about, as they have each allowed 29+ in every game this season. Not only that, but their offenses are slowly starting to come around, and I look for them to build on these improvements. Miami ranks 1st on 3rd down converting on 54% and the Jets, have a top 10 rush offense while Miami has been horrid at stopping the run, allowing 4.5 YPR and rank dead last in EPA per play. The Jets are 6-1 to the over, on the road following 2 or more consecutive losses while the Dolphins are 6-2 to the over, at home off road loss. Take the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between the Cowboys and Packers in what should be a great defensive show down in my opinion. This game has definitely been on Micah Parsons’ mind since being traded and the only way Dallas stays close in this, is with a big defensive showing. The Packers are allowing a league’s best, just 14.7 PPG and Dallas will have trouble here. The Dallas defense is allowing a massive 30.7 PPG, however looking closer, they should be returning 2 strong players on the defensive side in DaRon Bland & Trevon Diggs. Home teams against the total - in conference games, off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a road favorite are an incredible 21-3 to the under and the Packers are 6-1 to the under on the road, after 1 or more consecutive losses. Play the under here. -Joey Tron

I’m taking the UNDER in this non-conference matchup between the Jaguars and 49ers. Both teams feature defenses that are significantly stronger than their offenses, and I expect a game filled with long, scoreless drives and field goal attempts rather than touchdowns. Trevor Lawrence has been turnover-prone, and while Nick Bosa may be out, the 49ers still have a legitimate pass-rushing threat in Bryce Huff. Defensively, both squads rank Top 5 in points allowed, setting the stage for a time-of-possession battle that favors a low-scoring game. Jacksonville is 17–11 to the UNDER in games played on grass while San Francisco is 25–16 to the UNDER at home following a win by 6 points or fewer.Play the UNDER. -Joey Tron

I’m taking the OVER in the matchup between Vanderbilt and Georgia State. Both teams are capable of putting up points in a hurry—each averaging over 5 touchdowns per game. They're also coming off massive 40+ point wins, showing just how explosive their offenses can be. Defensively, there are clear concerns on both sides. Vanderbilt showed vulnerability against Georgia Southern, and Utah State allowed 44 points to Texas A&M in their only real test so far. Utah State is 9-1 to the OVER as an underdog while Vanderbilt is 8–1 to the OVER following a non-conference game. Play the OVER. -Joey Tron

I am taking the OVER here between USC and Michigan State in what should be an offensive explosion in the Coliseum. The Spartans have scored 40+ in back to back games showing signs of life from a sluggish offense last season while USC is slinging the ball, averaging 55 PPG through their first 3. Aidan Chiles is off to a great start completing 71% of passes with a 6:1 TD-INT ratio and USC has a dynamic offense, led by Jr QB, Jayden Maiava. The Spartans are 6-3 to the over, off a home win while USC is a commanding 7-2 to the over at home, after playing a road game. Play the OVER between USC/Michigan State. -Joey Tron

I am taking the OVER here between Memhpis and Arkansas in this Non-Conference clash. Both of these teams have really strong offenses which should overpower the defensive match up here. Both are averaging over 35 PPG thus far throughout the season and have explosive offenses. The Arkansas secondary showed several vulnerabilities against Ole Miss as they allowed 357 yards through the air. Arkansas needs a big game here before their gauntlet of a schedule and Memphis will not be an easy target as they are hosting a Power 4 for the first time since 2020. Arkansas is 4-1 the over, on the road off a loss against a conference rival while Memphis is a commanding 6-2 to the over at home, after 1 or more consecutive wins. Play the OVER here between Arkansas/Memphis. -Joey Tron

I am taking the UNDER here between Rice and Charlotte as I look for this to be more of a defensive showdown than an offensive front. Rice does not have a strong passing game, averaging under 100 total yards passing per game thus far and the Charlotte defense has a tough front which should prevent Rice from running the ball well. On the other side, Charlotte has a terrible rushing game resorting them to pass the ball often, however the Rice defense has yet to allow over 200 yards in the air, setting this up to be a ground game. Neither team has a strong offense and will be limited to how much the ball will be moved down field. Rice is 5-2 to the under on the road, after playing a home game while Charlotte is 7-2 to the under, at home after scoring 37 points or more in their previous game. Play the UNDER here between Rice/Charlotte. -Joey Tron

I am taking the OVER here between the Jaguars and Bengals. Both of these teams have strong offenses, and it is more likely this becomes a slugfest, rather a defensive showing. The Bengals offense always starts slow, look no further than the last two seasons. Scored 10 and 3 respectively, then followed up with 25 and 24 in Week 2. The Jaguars offense looked comfortable in their win against the Panthers and Trevor Lawrence needs all the confidence he can get after a poor campaign last season. The Bengals are 10-5 to the over as a home favorite and 8-4 to the over at home against conference opponents while the Jaguars are 4-1 to the over on the road, off a home win. Take the OVER here. -Joey Tron

I am taking the OVER between Texas A&M and Notre Dame. After an underwhelming showing against Miami, I look for the Fighting Irish to have a different showing at home. Texas A&M, has had an offensive explosion in both games they’ve played scoring over 40 points in both of them and amassing 953 total yards of offense combined in both games. Their weakest link however is their defense, where they allowed over 21 points in both games. The Notre Dame offense should find comfort in moving the ball against the Aggies defense and converting in the red zone. The Aggies are 8-1 to the over on the road, following a home win while the Fighting Irish are 4-1 to the over, at home following a bye week. Take the OVER here. -Joey Tron