Fairly big dogs against great teams in playoffs are 21-3 if the game is not expected to be very high scoring. Go against teams off a home win in which they scored at last 27 points but won by single digits.

Two very well rested teams go under 76-31 under specific situations that apply in this game including 12-4 in playoffs. There are other situations involved, so it does not include all Super Bowls.

Seattle is 14-3 SU, the Rams just 12-5. Home field advantage is worth three points. But the Rams are getting just 2.5 despite all this. Listen to what the oddsmakers are telling us!

Road team not a big dog despite worse record is 566-437-27 for +85.3 units. The Zach Charbonnet injury is devastating for Hawks. 

Go with more underacheiving teams in the playoffs based on having lost as a favorite at least two more times than their opponent is 71-35-2. Go against a team in the playoffs off a game in which they scored at least 39 versus opponent that scored less than 28 is 14-2. Going against playoff teams with a margin of better than 11.5 is 28-10.

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

Denver will have the element of surprise with Jarrett Stidham. Pats won’t really know his tendencies and don’t have ton of recent film to go on. Home underdogs of 2 or more with more rest have covered seven straight in the postseason going back to 2006. Fading away favorites off three straight home games is 44-18 for 71 percent and 35.5 ROI. Fade overachieving road teams in the playoffs is 44-24-1. This is based on having more wins than times posted as a favorite.

Going with fairly big or more favorites in a battle of two ranked teams is 581-495-29.

Playoff underdogs off win as an underdog are 30-15. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

When a fairly big road dog off win as an away underdog, it goes under 66-36-2. Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our other metrics. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.  

Angle based on turnover and being passing oriented goes under 50-13.

Playoff home teams not favored are 20-11-1. Small playoff dogs are 23-11 including 9-2 home.

Low totals in postseason go over 15-4!

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 980-733-28.

NFL Game of the Week 

Chargers are 11-6 SU, Pats 14-3. Home field advantage is worth three points, so this line is implying the Pats would just be a .5 point favorite on a neutral field despite a much better record. We use the oddsmaker knowledge against them. Road teams not as big of a dog as SU records imply they should be are 296-189-16. Small playoff dogs, not at home, with more losses than their opponent are 21-9. Small dogs with at least five losses are 786-627-54. In the postseason it’s 63.9 percent winners! Since 2004, it is 68 percent. An angle that says to go with the more underachieving team in the playoffs is 70-31-2. 

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

NFC Game of the Week 

We have contrarian indexes worldwide: offshore, Vegas, all US states where betting is rightfully legal, and still substantial “outlaw” intel from other states. This as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. Public underdogs are particularly big fades.

Home playoff teams with fewer regular season wins that last year are 11-0 all-time SU and ATS winning by an average of 11.2 points per game. An angle that says to go with the more underachieving team in the playoffs is 70-31-2.

Playoff home teams not favored are 20-11-1. Small playoff dogs are 23-11 including 9-2 home. They are now a small home favorite, but the angles will win at this number. 

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 980-733-28.

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

Playoff home teams not favored are 20-11-1.

Angle that while shorter term, is insane. Teams that forced at least one turnover are an insane 96.6 percent since week 14. Math angle relative to the cumulative average of all of college football and compared to the current total goes under 760-562-22. In the game of full disclose it has not been good since 2022. But it not only holds up in the postseason at 8-3, but has gone under three straight. All postseason, including bowls, it’s gone under 7-of-8. 

Go with fairly big favorites in a battle of two ranked teams is 404-297-18. If the higher ranked favorite is not playing on the road, again a true road game, they are 266-196-9.

Angle that while shorter term, is insane. Teams that forced at least one turnover are an insane 96.6 percent since week 14.

Playoff Game of the Year 

Go with fairly big favorites in a battle of two ranked teams is 404-297-18. Going with streaking teams in the postseason, playing best football of the year, under specific situations that apply in this game is a stunning 13-0. Lower ranked favorites are 64-30. It includes 8-2 playoffs.

SNF AFC Game of the Year 

Many angles about going with away favorites with a worse record and this is led by big away favorites late in the season despite a worse winning percentage is 42-17-2. Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our other metrics. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource. 

Big home favorites despite splits saying they are much better on the road is 139-91-4. Laying 10.5 or more, it’s 64.6 percent.

Teams that had at least one fumble last game versus opponent that attempted fewer than 11 first downs is 613-480-20. Go against elite teams in a spread slump is 80-40-3.

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

Never been a big “they’ve quit” guy, but research has shown the one situation teams can roll over is on the road very late in the season when they have zero chance at the playoffs. KC is a dynasty with their star QB out and the Raiders are a team that could use a win heading into offseason. Bad underdogs not on a sustained winning streak is 484-354-23. Underdogs dominated over their last five games are 228-149-8. It’s 58 percent at home. If there was ever a battle of two also rans where one team should be substantially more motivated, this is it.

Small dog with at least five losses is 782-627. It’s 57.5 percent on the road, 58.1 getting 3.5 or less. Road team not a big dog despite worse record is 562-432-27. Combine the two and it is 62 percent with an 18.4 ROI. 

Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our other metrics. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

Teams that had at least one fumble last game versus opponent that attempted fewer than 11 first downs is 613-480-20. Away favorites on a short week are 215-176-10. Combined, it’s 7-1 since 2012.

Small dog with at least five losses is 782-627. It’s 57.5 percent on the road, 58.1 getting 3.5 or less. When said team is off a previous season in which they won no more than five games, it’s 61-27-5. This is also an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.  

Teams coming off horrid prior season don’t lack bowl motivation and cover at 39-5-2.

Play against favorites with less than eight wins, red hot, but too rested, is 24-4-1. Go with a terrible defensive team as a big underdogs is 25-6.

Bet on streaking hot team in the postseason is 12-0.

Wise Guy. Go with fairly big favorites in a battle of two ranked team is 401-294-18. Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our other metrics. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.  

Lower ranked favorite is 64-30. Lower ranked favorite to highly ranked team when the team we are betting on is not playing at home is 24-8. Fade rested hot spread teams is 149-111-2.

Go with fairly big favorites in a battle of two ranked team is 401-294-18. Fade neutral field highly ranked dogs are 53-24-1. Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our other metrics. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.  

Go with fairly big favorites in a battle of two ranked team is 401-294-18. Fade neutral field highly ranked dogs are 53-24-1.

Fade hot spread teams in a game expected to be close in bowls is 49-16. Also teams that play a slower pace are good bowl bets at 149-103-6. Combined, it’s 6-1 all-time.

Many angles about going with the colder and/or worse spread team. One of the combo angles is 37-12 for a 44.2 ROI. Among the master systems is to go with the worse spread team is 235-164-9.

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 978-731-28.

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 978-731-28.

Go with high quality dogs under specific situations that apply in this game is 42-12-3.

Fade home teams off consecutive off road losses 32-2-2. Fade struggling home underdogs is 51-17.

Small dogs with at least 5 losses is 780-625-54.

Road teams do tank it late in season under specific situations that apply in this game at 48-14-2, especially when off a blowout loss.

Small dogs with at least five losses are up 92.50 units. The winning percentage is even higher on the road. Road team not a large dog despite worse record is 559-432 for up 83.60 units. Combined it’s up 18.2 ROI and 61.9 winning percentage.

Teams coming off horrible seasons do not lack motivation in bowls and cover at 38-5-2.

Houston is 10-5 and while Chargers are 11-4, including 6-2 at home. Road team not a large dog despite worse record under specific situations that apply in this game is 559-432-27. Go with high-quality dogs under specific situations that apply in this game is 42-13-3. 

Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our other metrics. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.  

Go with fairly big favorites in battle of two ranked teams is 401-294-18 and holds up in bowls too.

Fade hot teams with fewer than 8 wins and too much rest is 23-4-1. Terrible teams do well in bowls with the theory they are happy to be here at 50-22-1.

Home underdogs of 7.5 or more in week 14 or later are a strong 78-54-2 and consistent with one of Golden Rules that one of the biggest mistakes of many that squares make, is to go with the team that needs it more. Oddsmakers must shade lines due to perceived motivation. Meanwhile the home team gets to be spoiler in their personal playoff game versus a team facing more pressure. Add to that it’s a marquee game on Christmas, these has beens will be plenty motivated. 

Betting on underachieving teams based on wins/favorite ratio is 131-83-9. Big underdogs with a game expected to be low scoring are 123-100-5 with the winning percentage better at home. 

KC covers 60 percent of SportsLine simulations.

Home underdogs of 7.5 or more in week 14 or later are a strong 78-54-2 and consistent with one of Golden Rules that one of the biggest mistakes of many that squares make, is to go with the team that needs it more. Oddsmakers must shade lines due to perceived motivation. Meanwhile the home team gets to be spoiler in their personal playoff game versus a team facing more pressure. Add to that it’s a marquee game on Christmas, these has beens will be plenty motivated. 

Regression towards the mean based on turnover margin is 587-430-34. It is a good 13-9 this season for 59.1 percent.

Big dogs if they’ve generally played in lower scoring games than their opponent are 72-40-1.

Pre-Christmas Game of the Year 

Teams coming off horrible previous season do not lack motivation in bowls and cover at a 38-4-2 rate unless they are big favorites. Bowl teams who were much worse spread teams this season are 143-90-5.

Many angles about going with the colder and/or worse spread team. One that combines both is 87-47. Though so many angles in bowls favor underdogs, this one is even better as a favorite, including big favorite.

Teams that had at least one fumble last game versus opponent that attempted 11 or fewer first downs is 608-478-20. Anti-splits angle in which we go with away favorites despite a much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 200-131-14. Yes of course Indiana Jones is out, but system says the oddsmakers do not account for it enough. MNF away favorites that have established themselves as the better team each of the last two years are 18-4.

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 976-730-28. This includes 32-23 this season.

Fade teams in long winning streaks is 38-14.

When both teams are in high scoring stretches, they regress to the mean and it goes under 36-5.

Bad underdogs not on a sustained winning streak are 482-352-23. Small dogs with at least five losses are up 94.9 units.

Small dogs with at least five losses are up 94.9 units.

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 976-730-28. This includes 32-23 this season.

Angle based on turnovers and being passing oriented, goes under 50-12.

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

Fade a top 20 team off a win in which they were small favorites or underdogs in a game in which they faced another top 25 team and said team we are facing is well rested is 15-2 for a 59.1 ROI.

Postseason teams that peaked at the right time are 62-44 but 4-0 all-time in postseason. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

They opened up as favorites, but now are the slight dog. Lower ranked away favorites to a top 10 team is 16-4 including 9 straight wins. The fact we are pitting the oddsmakers against the rankings and now the public is a good thing and yes not worried about the line move.

Much colder SU and ATS team in the bowls is 37-11 for a 47.2 percent ROI.

Fade hot spread teams in the bowls in a game expected to be close is 46-12.

Favorites in short week are 126-71-2. A team off a negative turnover margin game versus opponent off a positive one is 108-73-3.

Fade sizzling hot bowl teams and the time off is the last thing they needed in games expected to be close is 46-12. Bowl teams with at least three fewer covers than their opponent is 142-90.

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

Home teams off a road loss versus opponent off a win as a dog are 120-67-2. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 60%.

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

Go against sizzling hot teams that are not at least a FG favorite is 51-19. Road teams not a big dog despite worse record is 556-430. Stunningly, we have a super rare situation that applies twice today. Away favorites versus opponent off 10 or more consecutive wins are 2-0.

We have contrarian indexes worldwide: offshore, Vegas, all US states where betting is rightfully legal, and still substantial “outlaw” intel from other states. This as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. Public underdogs are particularly big fades.

Go with the more disappointing defense based on delta points allowed is 374-278-15. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the average team total.

Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our other metrics. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.   

We have contrarian indexes worldwide: offshore, Vegas, all US states where betting is rightfully legal, and still substantial “outlaw” intel from other states. This as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. Public underdogs are particularly big fades.

Go against sizzling hot teams that are not at least a FG favorite is 51-19. Road teams not a big dog despite worse record is 556-430. Stunningly, we have a super rare situation that applies twice today. Away favorites versus opponent off 10 or more consecutive wins are 2-0.

Go with bowl teams with at least three fewer covers than their opponent is 141-90-5.

Academy totals go under 45-13-1. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1120-786-34. One that combines full-season and recency math unders goes under 77-31-1.

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

Road underdogs based on completion percentage and rushing yards per attempt is 70-33-2.

We have contrarian indexes worldwide: offshore, Vegas, all US states where betting is rightfully legal, and still substantial “outlaw” intel from other states. This as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. Public underdogs are particularly big fades.

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1704-1346-67.

Bad road teams off a loss that was not a blowout is 284-177-7. Road teams not a big dog despite worse record is 555-428-27. Small dogs with at least five losses is 780-630-54. On the road, it’s 410-312-25. Underdogs that have been dominated over the last five games is 231-161-10. 

Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our AI. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource. 

Miami is 1-4 road, while Jets are 2-5 at home but Fins are laying 3. Anti-splits angle in which we go with away favorites despite a much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 198-131-14. Go against bad defenses off a win is 186-132-5. Combo angle is 15-3 for a 59.1 percent ROI.

Teams off dominant rushing game go under 585-396-25.

The higher ranked favorite not playing in a true road game is 257-188-8.

The higher ranked favorite not playing in a true road game is 257-188-8. Very highly ranked big underdogs are a fade of 133-83-3. On neutral fields, it’s a stunning 52-24-1 for 68.4 percent and a 30.6 ROI.

Total relative to the last 4 game results goes under 827-631-21. When the total is 66 or higher, it goes under 61-37.

Home favorites with momentum off double-digit win versus opponent off win as an underdog is 105-59-3.

Thursday Night NFC Interdivisional Game of the Year 

Go with a hot team versus opponent off loss as home favorite is 35-5. Road teams not a big dog despite worse record are 555-428-27. Thursday road teams when they are not massive underdogs are 43-15-1. Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our AI. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning th

MNF Interconference Game of the Year 

Go with much colder team is 178-125-6. This includes 27-9 since 2021 for a 43.2 ROI. Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our AI. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.  

Road underdogs that have not overachieved based on projected wins and wins versus opponent off one loss is 236-148-11 for a 17.3 ROI. Underdogs dominated over the last five games have regression towards the mean in which they are 230-159-10. 

Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our AI. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.  

Anti-splits angle in which we go with the home team with a much worse home winning percentage than the road team’s road winning percentage is 125-73-8. Bad underdogs not on a sustained winning streak at 481-351-23.

Anti-splits angle in which we go with the home team with a much worse home winning percentage than the road team’s road winning percentage is 125-73-8. Bad underdogs not on a sustained winning streak at 481-351-23.

Fade struggling home underdogs off consecutive losses as away underdogs is 51-15.

Road teams not as big of a dog as the records indicate they should be are 291-189-16. Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our AI. Another based on turnover margin last game for each team favors cards and is 102-67-3. 

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.