1 Dimer on Blue Jays vs Rays under 8½ -105
Free Pick on Mariners
Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Boston Red Sox -136
The Boston Red Sox are rolling right, coming up clutch down the stretch as they try to make the wild card. They have gone 5-0 in their last five games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in all five wins.
Now the Red Sox take on the struggling New York Mets, who are all but eliminated from the playoffs. The Mets have gone just 1-5 in their last six games overall to fall 7.5 games back in the wild card. Don't be surprised if they pack it in the rest the way.
The Mets are 17-30 against left-handed starters this season, hitting just .236 and scoring 3.1 runs per game in those contests. They will be up against lefty Eduardo Rodriquez tonight. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in six of his last eight starts, two or fewer five times and one or fewer four times.
The Red Sox are 17-3 in Rodriquez's 20 Interleague starts in his career. The Mets are 5-21 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning record. New York is 16-38 in its last 54 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Boston is 84-39 in its last 123 Interleague games. Bet the Red Sox Tuesday.
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Dave's Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Colorado Rockies +189
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Colorado Rockies tonight. They have been a pesky team here of late in going 7-2 in their last 9 games overall while cashing time and time again as underdogs. Now they are back home where they have been the best home team in all of baseball from a betting perspective. You are up 22.2 units backing the Rockies at home as they've gone 45-27 at Coors Field. Antonio Senzatela has pitched well at home with a 3.89 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 13 starts. Senzatela shut out the Dodgers in 7 innings of a 5-0 victory in his last start against them on August 29th as a +220 dog. Julio Urias does not fare well against the Rockies, sporting a 5.48 ERA in 10 lifetime starts against them. Take Colorado.
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1* on A's -127
Free Play on Cardinals +190
1* MLB - Mets/Red Sox FREE PICK on Mets +126
Tuesday's Free MLB Pick is on the New York Mets as a +126 road dog against the Boston Red Sox. I just think Boston is getting a little too much love in this spot. Red Sox have won 5 in a row, but the last 3 game via a sweep of the lowly Orioles. It's just hard to trust Boston with Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound, especially at home. Rodriguez has a 6.32 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in 11 home starts this season. Mets should have a big edge on the mound with Marcus Stroman, who has a 2.88 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in 31 starts. Bet the Mets +126!
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R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Tuesday 9-21-21
OVER 9 1/2 Atlanta/Arizona (Chavez/Weaver) Listed
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1* Free Pick on A's -124
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Seattle Mariners +119
The Seattle Mariners should not be underdogs to the Oakland A's tonight. Marco Gonzales is the better starter in this matchup with Paul Blackburn. Gonzales is 8-5 with a 3.98 ERA in 22 starts this season. He has gone 6-3 with a 4.03 ERA in 13 previous starts against the A's. Blackburn is 1-2 with a 4.94 ERA in six starts this season, including 1-1 with a 7.94 ERA in his last three starts. Blackburn is also 1-1 with a 5.74 ERA in three previous starts against the Mariners. Seattle is 9-2 after allowing two runs or less in two straight games this season. Give me the Mariners.
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Mariners vs Athletics Free Pick September 21, 2021
I think we're getting a great price on the Mariners with the better/hotter pitcher on the mound. Seattle left-hander, Marco Gonzales (8-5, 4.05 ERA) is 7-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 12 starts and he has gone 6-3 with a 3.83 ERA in 14 career outings (13 starts) against the A's.
Oakland right-hander Paul Blackburn (1-2, 4.94 ERA) has posted a 7.94 ERA over his last three starts and he has a 5.74 ERA in three career starts against the Mariners.
Free pick on Seattle Mariners.
Mike has picked 67% over his last 15 MLB totals, and he has identified not only one or two, but THREE TOTALS the bookmakers got completely wrong on Tuesday's MLB card. He's ready to take full advantage, you in?
[1%] Free Play on Blue Jays +113
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR TUESDAY, 9/21:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Tuesday was with the Houston Astros with the money-line versus the Los Angeles Angels listing both starting pitchers Jose Urquidy and Packy Naughton. Houston (89-61) has won five of their last six games after their 10-0 win against the Angels in the opening game of this series. The Astros have now won 4 of their last 5 games on the road. Houston has also won 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles (72-78) has lost 5 straight games at home as a money-line underdog. The Angels have also lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Take Houston with the money-line listing Urquidy and Naughton. Best of luck — Frank.
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FREE PICK - St Louis Cardinals +196
This is just too good a price to pass up with St Louis. No way should the Cardinals be anywhere close to a 2-1 dog right now. St Louis is the hottest team in baseball. They have won 9 straight, including last night's 5-2 win as a +170 dog.
While it might appear the Brewers have a big edge on the mound with Brandon Woodruff facing off against Jake Woodford. I don't think it's as lopsided as the line would suggest. Woodruff has been slipping here some. He's got just a 4.00 ERA and 1.278 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Not to mention in Woodruff's only start vs St Louis since June, he gave up 6 runs in 5 innings of a 4-8 loss as a -185 favorite.
Woodford's numbers aren't going to excite you, but he has pitched effectively in his last two outings, both of which the Cardinals won. He gave up just 1 ER in 4 innings of a 2-1 win against the Dodgers and 2 ER in 4 innings of a 7-6 win at the Mets. Give me St Louis +196!
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Free Total Annihilator On Cardinals vs Brewers over 7½ -110
Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Seattle +1.5 runs over Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday.
The Mariners took the opener of this series last night, ending the A's five-game winning streak. Now Oakland falls into a tough situation as it has gone 2-10 when coming off a loss against a division opponent as a home favorite this season, outscored by 2.0 runs on average in that spot. The A's are just 12-20 when playing at home off a loss this season, outscored by an average margin of 1.5 runs. Meanwhile, the Mariners are in a strong positive momentum spot here having gone 9-2 after giving up two runs or less in consecutive games this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.0 run in that situation. Seattle starter Marco Gonzales hasn't been on the hill for a team loss by more than a single run on the road since back in early June in Detroit. Since then, the Mariners are a perfect 6-0 in his last six road outings when factoring in the +1.5 run-line. A's starter Paul Blackburn hasn't been good lately. Over his last three starts he owns an ugly 7.94 ERA and 2.12 WHIP. He's topped out at three strikeouts in his last four outings. The Mariners have seen Blackburn twice since last September and have tagged him for nine earned runs in just eight innings, winning both of those games by a combined margin of 17-6. Take Seattle +1.5 runs.
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