1 Dimer on Cal Poly vs San Diego over 122½ -110
Free Pick on Steelers
R&R Totals FREE CBB Over-Under Sunday 12-5-21
UNDER 132 1/2 Ohio State/Penn State
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1* Free Pick on Washington Football Team vs Raiders under 48½ -110
1* NFL - Jaguars/Rams FREE PICK on Jaguars +13
Sunday's Free NFL Pick is on the Jacksonville Jaguars as a 13-point road dog against the Los Angeles Rams. I just think we got to bet against the Rams in this spot until they show us they deserve to be laying this big a number. LA has been a double-digit favorite twice this season and both times they failed to cover. I still don't trust that Rams offense after losing Robert Woods and this Jags defense has quietly been playing well of late. The Rams defense is also nowhere close to as good as it has been in the past. Just because LA has lost 3 in a row doesn't mean they are going to come out and destroy this Jags team. Bet Jacksonville +13!
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Real Sociedad -124
Look for a 2-1 victory.
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Facing the Oilers at home is daunting and the Kings, after a flurry of wins, have lost 4 straight. Kings goaltender, Quick, usually dependable has given up 11 goals in his last 2 starts. Koskinen has been heavily used but solid this year, but the Oilers do give up an average of 3 goals a game. The combination of the Oilers' explosive offense, their very good PP, and the Kings lack of a PK suggests a high total. Low scoring affairs involving the Oilers are a rarity; take the over.
Jack's Free Pick Sunday: 49ers/Seahawks UNDER 46
The UNDER is 5-0 in Seattle's last five games overall. They are broken on offense as Russell Wilson has played through injury and has really regressed. But they have at least stayed competitive due to having a great defense that is at least trying to do all they can to keep them in games while Wilson struggles.
The Seahawks have scored 15 or fewer points in four of their last five games overall. They have scored 20 or fewer points in six of their last seven with the only exception being the Jaguars. But the defense has held its own in allowing 23 points or fewer in six straight games and an average of just 16.7 points per game in those six contests.
The 49ers have one of the best defenses in the NFL. They are giving up just 22.5 points and 318.7 yards per game on the season. Their offense has been clicking of late, but they take a big blow here with the loss of their top playmaker in Deebo Samuel to a groin injury suffered last week. Samuel has 56 receptions for 1,006 yards and five touchdowns, while also rushing for 203 yards and five scores on the season. He is worth more to the spread and total than he is getting credit for.
The UNDER is 19-7 in Seahawks last 26 games overall. The UNDER is 10-1 in Seahawks last 11 games following an ATS loss. The UNDER is 9-0 in Seahawks last nine games after allowing more than 250 passing yards in their previous game. The UNDER is 9-1-1 in 49ers last 11 games after allowing more than 250 passing yards in their previous game. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.
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1* Free Pick on 49ers/Seahawks under 45½ -110
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Pittsburgh Steelers +4.5
The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. But it wasn't as bad as the 41-10 score showed. They were only outgained by 69 yards. Now they are catching more points than they should be this week against the Baltimore Ravens, who are one of the most overrated teams in the NFL. They are 8-3 SU this season despite only outscoring teams by 2.1 points per game on the year. Six of their eight wins have come by one score. We'll get a big effort from the Steelers off that loss and with their biggest rivals visiting the Steel City. 20 of the last 26 meetings have been decided by one score, and 17 of those were decided by 4 points or less. Underdogs of 3 points or more in this series have gone just 13-1-2 ATS in the last 16 instances. Give me the Steelers.
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1* Best Bet on Raiders -1½ -110
No analysis provided.
#473/474 ASA FREE PLAY ON UNDER 45.5 Points – San Francisco vs Seattle, Sunday at 4:25PM ET - Seattle 1-10 Under this season, 49ers 6-5 Over. Seattle is scoring just 19PPG this season which ranks 25th after averaging 28.2PPG which was 7th best in the NFL a season ago. Seattle has scored less than 20 points in 6 of their last 7 games. Seahawks offense 31st in total yards per game (296YPG), 26th in passing YPG, 25th in rushing YPG. San Francisco is tough to score against with a unit that is 10th in overall defensive efficiency this season, top 14 in: yards allowed, passing YPG allowed, rushing yards allowed and points. Looking at the raw numbers you would guess the 49ers will score here with an offense averaging 25.5PPG and ranks 12th in yards per game gained, but Seattle’s defense gives up yards but not points. The Seahawks are 32nd in yards allowed per game (399ypg) but rank 7th in PPG allowed at 20.5PPG. The first meeting of this season ended with 49 total points but the Seahawks scored 28-points on 234-total yards of offense. Seattle scored 2 TD’s in less than a minute when the 49ers fumbled a kickoff after a touchdown which the Hawks converted into another TD 2 plays later. The OVER is 5-1-1 the L7 meetings, but that was when the Seahawks had an offense capable of putting up points. The bet here is UNDER.
[1%] Free Play on Seattle University -8
FREE PLAY on Sharks -105
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Washington at Las Vegas 4:05 ET
Swampers (+) over Raiders- Now, Las Vegas is supposed to be good because they won in Dallas on Thanksgiving Day. Sorry, I just don't see it. I missed the call on the Raiders that day and passed the game while thinking the Saints could play at home (Nope). Vegas just ended a 3-game losing streak while Washington has won three in-a-row with wins over Tampa Bay, Carolina and Seattle Monday night. Swampers are 4-1 ATS against teams with winning records while the Raiders are 1-5 ATS in Vegas as home favorites. Take WASHINGTON!
1* Free Play on Oklahoma State -2½ -110
FREE PICK: San Francisco 49ers -3
I will gladly take my chances with the 49ers as a slim 3-point road favorite against the Seahawks. I just think there's so much respect out there for Russell Wilson and what he's done in years past, that it's hard for the books to adjust properly for how bad this Seattle team is playing right now.
Wilson not only doesn't look like he's having any fun out there, he's completely missing throws that he would make with his eyes closed in the past. It's almost like he's scared to hit another helmet on a throw that he's just not seeing the field well.
It doesn't help that he's playing behind a horrific offensive line that can't establish the run at all. They rushed for 90 or fewer yards in 5 straight games and are up against a 49ers defense that hasn't allowed more than 70 rushing yards in their last 3 games.
San Francisco is also a team that seems to be surging right now. Not only are the 49ers playing better defensively, their offense is in the midst of their best stretch this season. San Francisco has put up 30 or more in 3 straight and are back to grinding teams on the ground with 150 or more rushing yards in all 3 of those games. Give me the 49ers -3!
Sunday NBA Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Charlotte and Atlanta at 6:10 pm et on Sunday.
The Hornets have seen the 'over' cash in four straight games and they check in having allowed a whopping 146, 133 and 127 points over their last three contests. I don't believe that 'over' streak is in jeopardy on Sunday as they wrap up their four-game road trip in Atlanta. The Hawks have been involved in low-scoring affairs in two of their last three games but that's had more to do with the opposition than anything else as those games were against the Knicks and 76ers. They've been a better offensive team at home this season where they average just north of 111 points per game on better than 47% shooting. The Hornets, meanwhile, check in averaging just shy of 114 points per game on the road. The issue is, the opposition has averaged 117.5 points per game. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 41-24 with the Hawks coming off two losses in their last three games over the last 2+ seasons, resulting in an average total of 227.4 points. Take the over.